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all right so we've now looked obviously at the theoretical side of things right
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we've looked at you know those nice fancy diagrams in the previous lesson
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but as always let's actually try and put that you know theory into practice and
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look at the real world price action examples and real world sort of trade
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examples to actually see how we can use that theory
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well to actually make some money right so
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hey hopping onto euro dollar you know the pair that we've obviously been using
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for the majority of these examples if you've been following along and drawing
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uh charts hopefully you will have uh some similar structure uh laid out so
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yeah i guess let's just you know look at some random bits on the weekly chart and
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just start to kind of loosely look at what really is going on um yeah with
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those liquidity concepts that we've been looking at so for instance we've had
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this clear bearish trend back in 2015 on euro dollar
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price then pulled out back to this kind of minor area of
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supply right that took out that minor low and it's starting to kind of
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range around have that battle between buyers and sellers so
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as buyers are kind of struggling to push price higher up above that sort of minor
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supply zone i'm starting to see sellers step in right pushing price down what do
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you think is happening tons of orders starting to build up
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above these highs right because anyone who is short what are they going to be
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doing they're going to be selling but a lot of them are going to be having their
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stop losses sitting just above these highs here right so if you're short and
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you have a stop loss that stop loss is going to be a buy order right because
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you have to buy back your position when your short position is stopped out
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right so there's going to be tons of buy stops from anyone who's been selling
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starting to collect above these highs and then also
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breakout traders what they may see is that this is starting to become quite a
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strong you know resistance level as they view it and they would think okay if
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price breaks up above this resistance level then that's a very very bullish
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sign and they want to get taken into the trade rights they'd have their buy
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stop order here as well and they'd be aiming for price and then take them up
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and into profit so as price is doing this over a number of weeks we just have
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a ton of liquidity starting to build up essentially just money right it's just
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orders sitting there waiting for price to eventually tap into it then what
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happens price runs those highs grabs all of that liquidity and all it does is it
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sweeps it and it fuels the move to then try and come down lower so
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one thing again another point i want to make very clear is there will always be
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liquidity building up in the market and all of these points right it will be
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there uh and you know it will likely have a
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reaction a sweep and it will either be a reversal or a pullback once price taps
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into it but we never know when
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price will essentially uh tap into that liquidity right so that's why you know
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structure um is always king and this is why we're looking at liquidity last
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because we understand it we understand what's happening when price taps into it
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but we never kind of assume or wait for that to happen first
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we always react right we don't predict so price grabs all that liquidity that
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was building up behind those highs and it ends up using it to retrace as big
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money steps back in to push price to close back below those highs there and
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then what do we do we come down and we take out all of this liquidity this
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trendline liquidity that was building up between these ascending uh lows here
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right as they were getting higher and higher anyone who's buying right buying
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these ascending highs they'll be building tons of liquidity below these
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lows here right for price then tap into so price comes into it it ends up
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sweeping it right it respects a minor demand in here so then it fails to take
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out that major swing low so we pull back up right building some nice trend line
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with liquidity again we come into supply it tries to hold right it tries to push
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down it fails to do so we have another attempt here right we come into more of
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that wick we try to push down again so just like before what's happening
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starting to build this sort of resistance level right all of these
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highs here so as that's happening there's tons of liquidity in this area
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there's tons of liquidity below this trend line right so anyone who's getting
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long all of their sales stops are below here or breakout traders trying to sell
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the break out of this trend line um anyone who's short up here a lot of
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their sell orders they're buy stop orders
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right their stop losses are gonna be buy
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supporters they're collecting up here anyone who's trying to buy the breakout
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also buy supporters so then what happens price grabs that liquidity big money
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then steps in to fuel that move down and then it grabs the liquidity below the
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trend line right which then initiates another pullback back into supply and
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then the exact same thing happens again and again and again so every time you
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get price essentially tapping into liquidity it is either going to produce
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a form reversal or it's just enough right to just uh produce that pullback
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back into supply supply cylinder control and then eventually we go
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now the swing highs are swing lows right there's uh
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essentially the external sides of the range right because price was in this
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larger weekly range all the way up here right or whether you're kind of you know
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looking at this range here on the external side of these ranges
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behind those swing lows and swing highs there's also obviously going to be a ton
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of liquidity so that's why we've been saying since pretty much the very first
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basic market structure lesson that when we get that break of swing structure um
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what do we expect we expect the pullback of course you know it's not always going
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to happen instantly like it did here it can go a little bit further and then we
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get the pullback but the reason why is because it's tapping into that external
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range liquidity and what do we know every time we tap into liquidity we
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either get a pullback or a full on reversal
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so in this case it does end up leading to a full reversal as you know buyers
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use that sell side liquidity to then fuel their move to push price back up to
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the upside okay so let's just kind of yes have a look
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and study what's going on in here a little bit more so
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price is obviously pretty correct for a number of years coming down and then
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what is happening that whole time we are building a huge amount of that trend
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line liquidity right coming all the way down here
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and pricing comes into this flip zone down here we have a bit of reaction what
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does that reaction do that reaction then builds up that trend line liquidity
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right trend line equity here we have that one touch second touch even you
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know third touchdown of that bullish candle um
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let's go to these lines a little bit what do we also have we also have these
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equal highs building right here as price moves away starts to move away so then
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what happens price breaks up grabs that liquidity there comes down takes out the
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sell-side equities below that trend line takes out the external range liquidity
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below that swing low right and then that's enough to fuel the move for
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buyers then to step in and push price up higher sweeping all of the liquidity
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that had built up or not all of it but the majority of the liquidity that built
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up right behind that trend line behind all of these highs um you know behind
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these relatively equal highs here and there's just literally liquidity
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everywhere right so this is why it's you know a reasonably subjective sort of
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concept and you know i don't sit here drawing on um you know annotating
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liquidity everywhere because it is everywhere it's more just having key
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understanding of what is happening every time
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price you know breaks a high or breaks a low or breaks equal highs or equal lows
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or a trend line and it starts to reverse we just use that as an extra little
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additional concept or tool to you know bring into our analysis right
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so you know there's no point in sitting here trying on every single bit of
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liquidity because it's literally everywhere right but it's just kind of
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understanding what happens when price taps into it why it then helps price to
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do what it ends up doing right because obviously again it grabs liquidity above
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these equal highs above the trend line then that's enough for
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big sell orders to step in and use that buy side liquidity to then fuel that
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move to the downside remember for every seller there needs to be buyers right
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eventually then the supply overpowers demand what does it do it then takes the
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external range liquidity below the swing low taps into demand and then we end up
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right filling then that next move and reversal to the upside right
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so on and so forth even here when we had that we've been talking about this price
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section a lot right the weekly is in this bullish trend between these uh
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swing low and the swing high price pulled back into demand it tried to then
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make that higher high but then when it started to roll over right start to get
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that bearish trend on lower time frames and we started to see that it failed to
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take out that higher high instead what it had done is it just swept some minor
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liquidity behind that minor height to the fuel that moved back down below the
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range and at that point what do we know that this is likely to be a weak weekly
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low it's still a pretty significant sort of internal swing low and we know that's
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very likely price is going to want to come down and take out that low and tap
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into the liquidity that had built below that low so just as literally we tap
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below it what happens price retraces now we don't know for certain whether that's
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going to lead to a full-on reversal and we are going to make a higher high or if
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it's literally just a bit of a pullback to potentially sweep some of the
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liquidity below this minor descending trend line here potentially tap in some
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sudden liquidity there right then we've built even more relatively equal lows
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here we have external lows there as well and then that could be tons of liquidity
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for price to want to tap into get a bearish weekly trend change sweep all of
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that liquidity to fuel a pullback right back into then that sweep zone that
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would have taken out that trend line liquidity right created that supply that
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then flipped to demand and then we can look for you know shorts in here to then
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continue what may be a weekly bearish move all right so hopefully you can
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start to see how you can piece together um essentially just what price is doing
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is just constantly trying to rebound its price sequel there are orders to to yeah
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rebalance that imbalance that is caused when either supply is overpowering
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demand or demand is overpowering supply and we see those big shifts in price
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action we then know that it's trying to you know seek liquidity to to to
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rebalance that and get price back to uh fair value but remember fair value is
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always a moving target because the minute it's at a fair value
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you know the market's constantly changing there's constantly market
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participants buying and selling and that those gold posts are constantly
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moving right which is why price moves and it doesn't just stay flat for
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eternity so that's the weekly chart let's jump down to the daily chart and
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focus sort of more on the price action that we've really been studying um yeah
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throughout these lessons thus far so let's actually take a look uh back
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around here because this is kind of really uh sort of interesting price
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action so daily chart obviously starts to switch a
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bit bearish here right we start to take out these lows here we obviously sweep
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that trend line liquidity that was building underneath we then pull back in
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to this area of supply all right what do we have for this area of supply just
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draw it on there in fact let me use the boxes just so it doesn't get too
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confusing with all of these orange lines i'm uh
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chucking about so it's obviously a little bit messy we
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have a lot of wicks there with that daily supply zone you can have the whole
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range you could have the pivot it doesn't massively matter for all intents
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and purposes at this moment but more just understanding what's going on with
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liquidity so we get that bearish trend change we
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sweep this liquidity what do we know after we get super liquidity we're
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either gonna get a pullback or a reversal it's likely to be a pullback in
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this case because it's now pro the daily bearish trend so we start to pull back
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all right as we start to pull back what are we doing we're building that
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trendline liquidity for price to potentially target um for when it you
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know has that next bearish leg but we're also doing what we're building
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inducement right in front of our supply zone so anyone who's starting to sell
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here and push price down there's going to be tons of uh buy side liquidity
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right sitting above this high here we'll just kind of draw this on with the sort
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of tool that i tend to use i just know there's a bit of liquidity
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there so then what we're talking about earlier with that theory right the the
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school of thought is that because there are going to be a
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lot of buy-side liquidity above these highs is that big money wants to use
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those buy orders to sell into so that when they start to kind of sell in this
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area they don't want to instantly get slipped and you know get filled you know
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all the way down here along along this level and get a really poor average
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price they want there to be as many buy orders as possible in this area to sell
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into so it can start to absorb sort of all of their orders before then price
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starts to move okay so that's kind of the school of thought again i have no
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real true idea or proof if that's actually what is happening but what
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matters more is that uh if you go to test this you will see um that you know
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it does definitely increase the increase the
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probability of these zones playing out uh yeah when you see that so
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you know even in the actual leg here this high here because it's quite a
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clean push right remember what i said about clean pushes is typically if
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there's no inducement in the leg not always but typically price will spike
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those highs and push up a little bit higher and tap into the supply behind it
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and then we will go and that's what happens here right you can see if i draw
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that line across it just taps above it taps into the remaining supply within
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that wick so this high here was then used as inducement for the you know the
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fractal supply above we've also used this as well now we've got uh liquidity
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to target and now we can try and target the external range liquidity below that
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swing low there then when price will obviously break the low we'll get one or
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two things we'll either get a pullback or we'll get a full-on reversal okay
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so let's pay this forward a couple of days and see what happens as we come
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below that swing low so already you know we're starting to react but we haven't
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taken out the low but that's because buyers are starting to step in around
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here and try and buy that potential double bottom and boom look at that nice
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big reaction so anyone who was looking to get long around here right but they
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weren't sure now they've got massive confirmation so now they're really
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really happy right to get long loads of buyers are going to be stepping in here
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because what are they seeing you know first thing you learn on youtube any
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type of technical analysis nice horizontal support level must be
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really really strong price is starting to move away and then let's see what
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happens the next day if i can get price to pay forward
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boom there we go so happens in one candle so it's obviously a little bit
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subtle but if we look at the shape of this candle what does it tell us about
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the price action that happened as that candle was formed right in that day
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intraday so we were up here on the 3rd of november and then going into the 4th
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of november what happened price moved down right
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it swept those equal lows tapped into all of that external range liquidity
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below that spring low there and then within that same day aggressively
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retrace back up to then finish the day back up here right so all that has done
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again really simple it's just come down it swept all that buy side liquidity big
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money has then stepped in right against all of those um sorry sell side
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liquidity below these lows big money has been stepped in to use those sell orders
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right to facilitate their buy orders and then eventually that is massively
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overpowered demand and then we have closed back up here now generally when
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you see that when you see a sweep of equal those like that it's going to
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facilitate either a pullback or potentially a strong reversal right so
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this is where you have to pair like always we can't just use any tools on
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their own right we need to pair them with all the tools that we've got to to
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kind of give us that knowledge we're really anticipating price and then break
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up to the upside or if it's just gonna be a pullback to come into supply to
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then potentially you know just form another lower high and roll over
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okay so um yeah just pay this forward and obviously
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we now know um that price then doesn't go on to fuel and break that weekly high
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right because it was just a weekly pullback and this is what you'll often
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see right on one time frames for the next so obviously from a weekly chart
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perspective we had that break of this structure here we're expecting a weekly
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pullback obviously to facilitate that pullback generally the daily will either
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switch bearish or at least get a change of character to facilitate that pullback
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and then eventually that will change character again right and then that will
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be in line to confirm that the weekly higher low is now in place and we're
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ready for that next weekly uh breaker structure to the upside now what you
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will often see is when the daily chart for instance is pulling back and we're
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expecting a weekly high low to form we can obviously have you know loads of
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demand zones down here and that may be better priced in the discount that we
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can expect the weekly to pull back to but this is one thing that you'll see
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is what can often happen if momentum is strong and price doesn't always pull
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back is it will build liquidity right so it will pull back
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it will potentially build liquidity say in the form of equal lows like we have
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here it will then sweep that liquidity and then that sweep of liquidity will be
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enough to fuel the move to the upside rather than price needs to come all the
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way back down to wherever you may have demand levels in that case right so
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you'll see a sweep of liquidity just like that right so as we go along i'll
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show you plenty of examples of where that will happen that's just another
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little mini lesson to bear in mind of you know sometimes if you're waiting for
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price to come back to a demand level and then it feels like i know we're kind of
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just rejecting thin air there's not really much here you know maybe if we
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investigate these these uh sell to buy wicks on a lower time frame there might
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be something decent but generally on this time frame we're not really
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rejecting anything significant but definitely not rejecting anything
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significant on the weekly chart so what you'll often see happen is it will build
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that liquidity that liquidity will then get swept and then when you see that
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happen that's a very high probability scenario to then look for buys right if
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you're looking for a weekly higher low that is right then you see that sweep
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and now we can look to fuel that next move there to the upside okay
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um i mean you know loads of retail patterns this is happening again again
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there's something called a head and shoulders pattern where essentially you
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have the left shoulder the head the right shoulder here we get the break of
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the neckline then traders will either sell on the break out of that neckline
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right or they'll look for the break and re-test back into that neckline
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all right so tons of cell supporters will be building up right we get another
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big equal highs here we then sweep these equal lows tap into that liquidity
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run those equal highs there right anyone who sold the sort of you know this
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retail pattern that then gets swept for the pullback but it's just to pull back
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into that demand right with those sell to buy wicks pull back into here and
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again that fuels a move to then run these highs again running starting with
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trinity start to pull back it's the same thing again
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and again and again so yeah sorry you're probably very bored in my voice saying
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the exact same phrases but yeah it's just what happens right and we just need
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to drill this into
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um yeah our subconscious and then you probably remember the example that
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um i posted the screenshot of in the previous
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theory lesson right when when um the daily started to switch bearish so what
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happened it came down into the daily low it started to have a bit of a reaction
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right it started to build those equal lows so support resistance traders think
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this is a strong support level they get long tons of cell supports start to
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build below here pricing taps into that liquidity just to fuel the pool back
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into that flip zone into our supply zone to then fuel the next move again right
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even here you can see right support level building up right price
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comes in it works away it's just building more liquidity for prices to
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tap into and pull back right so we pull back into
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our supply zone we are playing within that daily swing high and this daily
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swing low here so obviously there's a lot of selling pressure price coming in
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people trying to sell us push us down we even come up to here we almost have that
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then triple top with this bearish candle so we know there's tons of buy stops
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sitting above here price then grabs that liquidity right intraday it grabs it all
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big bullish move but it closes the day back down here
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so whenever you see that a big sweep of the highs right is pro the bearish trend
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we want to be trading away from the sweep right we always want to trade away
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from the sweep we don't want to see a sweep like that that bearish sweep and
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then we don't want to start we do not want to then suddenly start to
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buy into the sweep right because what that is is it's a very bearish sign at
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that point it's grabbed all of that liquidity to fuel the next bearish move
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so like here if you see these lows and then you see price sweep the low and
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then retrace we want to trade away from the sweep right with price we don't want
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to trade back into that sweep right you don't want to do that you want to trade
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away from that price action that has happened okay
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so that's that exact same thing equal highs building grab the liquidity
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obviously have trend line liquidity here building right people buying the bounces
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and what happens price taps into that liquidity right fuels it just for
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another pullback we always generally get a pull back after a sweep of liquidity a
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sweep of that external low pull back into here and then that is enough to
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fuel the move to the downside right so on and so forth i mean even here right
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trend line liquidity building up right people sell the bounce again on the
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trend line another bounce right people sell that
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price comes up taps into a liquidity that was building behind that descending
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trend line there's obviously the liquidity behind this minor daily high
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there as well grabs it and that's enough to fuel the move to the downside what do
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we get after taking out the external range liquidity there it's enough to
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fuel a pullback right so on and so forth another one here
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really good example is if we take remember this is that week
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weekly low that i'm just drawing from over here and we draw a horizontal line
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across to this level here it's gonna put that on as my daily liquidity line
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what happens price comes into it it tries to break the load but it
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doesn't quite and it price starts to aggressively move away so what do people
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start to think this is a really strong support level loads of people start to
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get along here tons and tons of liquidity starts to build up below this
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low right that wasn't already because obviously there would be still a lot
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below this weekly low here this week weekly low but this is just going to
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generate even more liquidity now price obviously then sweeps these lows
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it's enough to generate a bit of a small pullback but now there's tons of
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liquidity for price to target so then we see the sweep of the liquidity and then
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that's finally obviously combined with tapping into all of the demand that is
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within the zone as well from that initial sweep zone here which we know is
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a really strong zone we now have this inducement in front of it massive
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inducement so we have our big sweep zone we have huge inducement here we get a
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sweep of that inducement liquidity to obviously target as well and then that's
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what fuels that big aggressive move right and that is what is going on there
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so hopefully you can start to see that now how we can combine those concepts
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and that understanding um of you know yeah just why liquidity gets swept and
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why it can lead to the fuel for the big moves now
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see when we get this break of daily structure here we're obviously bearish
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and then we start to get a pullback yes we can still trade this of course we
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don't have to go uh-oh you know there's a there's a double bottom here um i'm
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just going to sit on my hands and wait for that sweep of course you can do that
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and that may give you potentially a higher strike rate but
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like i said right react don't predict if you start to see really nice lower time
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frame confirmations within here and you want to start to play that daily
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pullback you can do it you just have to manage your expectations
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and understand why this then happens right so now you
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have that it just brings your kind of you know your your comprehensive
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understanding of what is going on in the market just that
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that next level it is not a strict requirement to to understand this and
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kind of you know be drawing this on your charts and this is why you know i try to
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make a big song and dance about it of make sure you get market structure
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nailed first right just make sure you completely get that then introduce
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supply and demand into it and then just those two concepts alone will give you
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everything you need to be you know highly consistently profitable
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bringing in liquidity concepts is just bringing in that you know as we say that
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little bit of icing on the cake just to kind of fine-tune things a little bit
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more or just to kind of make your understanding a little bit more complete
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but if you suddenly start to see this move away yes at that point you can go
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this is pretty you know suspect especially as we didn't even pip that
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low right we retraced before it it's very very likely at this point that
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price is going to want to come down to sweep it but
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you will find sometimes as well where it doesn't do that and then price does go
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away and then you're going to be kicking yourself thinking why didn't i get long
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in here you know there's plenty opportunities to make money okay so just
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something that you're going to have to you know see what makes sense to you for
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your own training in your own plan if you see equal lows behind you and you
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don't want to get long of course that's fine you can't wait for the sweep but
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you just have to accept first that potentially you may
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miss out on a lot of moves where it does form those equal lows but then price
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goes on right and it goes on for a long long time and then you've missed out on
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that and eventually price may then come back down to sweep them at a much later
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date because remember what i was saying earlier is you know liquidity will be
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there and when price gets there it will sweep it but we never know if and when
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that will happen okay so that's why we react to it happening and we don't
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necessarily try and anticipate it too much okay
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so let's do the daily chart let's quickly jump down to the four-hour chart
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and yeah just take a look at um a few more things so
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actually this is this kind of uh bullish trending price action is quite a good
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example of that sort of little mini lesson i was saying earlier whereby
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you're always waiting right for price to so i just draw this bullish trend come
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down to you know our nice origin demand zones but in a strong bullish market
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right where it's quite impulsive price isn't pulling all the way back then you
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know you're always going to kind of be left sitting there you know scratching
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ahead of going why am i getting tagged in so what is one way we can use to
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give us a bit more confidence that actually when price is pulling back and
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we have our zone down here yes we can look to buy here um but what can we look
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for to give us confidence that we can buy a little bit higher well price can
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come down it will start to generally build liquidity something like this
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right people will think that the high lows in place it will then come down it
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will liquidate their positions right it will tap into that liquidity then we get
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the sweep right we get the pull back in and then that's where we can buy with a
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bit more confidence that we're ready to go and we're not going to use this
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demand zone just yet okay so we look on the four-hour chart
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and this is pretty good we do come back into the demand zone there then we get
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another break of the high but what do we have we have demand zones all the way
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00:23:53,919 --> 00:23:57,520
down here so let me just zoom in let's take a look at this i appreciate these
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00:23:57,520 --> 00:24:00,640
charts are very very messy at the moment just because we have so many old
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00:24:00,640 --> 00:24:05,200
drawings on but um yeah anyway so we get a movement up right we come
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00:24:05,200 --> 00:24:08,880
back down we do tap into liquidity just below that minor low there right so you
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00:24:08,880 --> 00:24:12,320
see that's enough to fuel that move but it wasn't enough to break that high so
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what ends up happening is you build um these equal those here all right draw
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them on uh for our liquidity there we go nice
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fancy little line there just to show you all right so we build those equal lows
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and what happens price then comes back to pick up more fuel for the move and
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then obviously that what that you know theoretical concept would be is that big
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money knows there's going to be sell loads of sale stops below here so then
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they can buy against that to try and uh reduce as much slippage so they can get
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in at this price level as better as possible but obviously then there's
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enough demand to other power supply and it fuels the move to break out to the
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upside exact same thing right we pull back
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we kind of build these relatively equal lows here we tap into liquidity below
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that monologue which is enough to fuel and move back up but it's not enough to
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actually break the trend in this case and then we build even more liquidity
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below these lows here you see how there's kind of a mini double bottom
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there on the four hour chart those two wicks it'd also be a bit more um
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prominent on the lower time frames but definitely equal lows there what happens
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then price comes back sweeps that liquidity right taps into it obviously
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we have this daily demand zone as well so what do we have we have inducement in
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front of our daily demand zone it's sweeps liquidity we now have these equal
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highs to target right price then breaks those equal highs and it sweeps it to
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fuel and move to the downside again right then what we do we build more
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equals price comes down sweep those equals and it pulls back we have larger
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equals here now with these kind of again remember it doesn't have to be perfectly
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equals it can be relatively equal like that but we know there's going to be
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cell stops building below there there's always building below there pricing
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comes down sweeps the liquidity then actually taps into the four hour range
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that we have nested within that daily zone picks up more orders from that
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demand zone sweeps liquidity for the inducement we have all of this trend
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00:25:46,880 --> 00:25:50,480
line liquidity to target and more and then it ends up being enough to fuel
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00:25:50,480 --> 00:25:53,440
uh that move to the upside because remember the four-hour switch bearish
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00:25:53,440 --> 00:25:56,480
here but this was just a daily pullback and a strong bullish trend
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so what's happening is the daily then is pulling back it's sweeping liquidity
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00:25:59,919 --> 00:26:02,960
picking up some more orders within the demand zone as well and then we have
440
00:26:02,960 --> 00:26:07,200
those liquidity to target there to the upside right so on so forth we had that
441
00:26:07,200 --> 00:26:11,279
nice flip zone there right supply turns to demands pricing comes back into that
442
00:26:11,279 --> 00:26:14,240
demand all right starts to build liquidity on a
443
00:26:14,240 --> 00:26:17,600
lower time frame and then sweeps that liquidity changes of character pulls
444
00:26:17,600 --> 00:26:20,240
back into that demand zone right that would be a sweep zone on the lower time
445
00:26:20,240 --> 00:26:23,760
frame and then we're off all right target these highs up here but obviously
446
00:26:23,760 --> 00:26:27,600
tons of uh by side liquidity building up above
447
00:26:27,600 --> 00:26:30,960
there for our chart here the exact same thing
448
00:26:30,960 --> 00:26:33,760
again right what do we do we start to pull back we tap into the minor
449
00:26:33,760 --> 00:26:36,559
liquidity below there which generates another pullback but it wasn't enough
450
00:26:36,559 --> 00:26:40,640
fuel to break these highs here so we start to calm down again but this time
451
00:26:40,640 --> 00:26:44,080
there must be some enough demand in that wick actually for price to go on and
452
00:26:44,080 --> 00:26:47,840
take out that high there so what happens well we sweep those equal highs right
453
00:26:47,840 --> 00:26:50,880
inducement just before our daily zone up here
454
00:26:50,880 --> 00:26:54,559
that's enough liquidity to sweep back down and we have equal loads to target
455
00:26:54,559 --> 00:26:58,240
so pricing takes out those equal lows before us which is bearish tap inside
456
00:26:58,240 --> 00:27:01,440
liquidity obviously demand as well that's enough to fuel the move back up
457
00:27:01,440 --> 00:27:05,840
into um before our supply zone right so we're taking the highs we've taken the
458
00:27:05,840 --> 00:27:09,919
lows pulled back into our supply zone nice high poverty zone and then we're
459
00:27:09,919 --> 00:27:12,559
off all right external range liquidity he generates
460
00:27:12,559 --> 00:27:16,080
the pullback yay rdr right equal lows building here
461
00:27:16,080 --> 00:27:18,880
take up those equal lows get the pool back after taking out the external range
462
00:27:18,880 --> 00:27:23,279
equity right so on and so forth
463
00:27:23,279 --> 00:27:27,200
yeah and then we start to you know build loads of liquidity down here i mean even
464
00:27:27,200 --> 00:27:32,720
if we look at let's do a bit more kind of of a sort of specific trade example i
465
00:27:32,720 --> 00:27:37,200
guess so right if you guys remember this daily zone down here right this origin
466
00:27:37,200 --> 00:27:40,240
zone it was in fact actually a flip zone
467
00:27:40,240 --> 00:27:43,440
because we had this minor daily supply zone right that took out that minor low
468
00:27:43,440 --> 00:27:47,440
so we have that inside bar price pulled back into it it tried to push lower and
469
00:27:47,440 --> 00:27:51,120
then demand stepped in and we had our daily flip zone but you know it didn't
470
00:27:51,120 --> 00:27:54,320
get used straight away so what do we know we know it's still valid and in
471
00:27:54,320 --> 00:27:58,159
when price comes back to it the price is in a bearish trend approaching previous
472
00:27:58,159 --> 00:28:02,240
demand zones what do we know they can obviously either produce a film reversal
473
00:28:02,240 --> 00:28:06,480
but more likely right it's just going to be used for a potential pullback um yeah
474
00:28:06,480 --> 00:28:09,440
for that move there so if we look at when price first comes into this daily
475
00:28:09,440 --> 00:28:14,080
zone was it around the 7th of july so let's just bring
476
00:28:14,080 --> 00:28:20,559
price back to uh around um yeah just as we kind of tap into it so
477
00:28:20,559 --> 00:28:25,200
if it will load come on into that there we go
478
00:28:25,200 --> 00:28:29,039
so here we go so price is coming down i've
479
00:28:29,039 --> 00:28:33,600
seen a strong daily and four hour bearish trend and we tap into our daily
480
00:28:33,600 --> 00:28:36,799
zone what happened before price tapped into that daily zone you see how it
481
00:28:36,799 --> 00:28:39,760
built those equal lows right price started to move away what was it doing
482
00:28:39,760 --> 00:28:44,480
it's just building inducement for price then sweep tap into that demand so then
483
00:28:44,480 --> 00:28:48,480
big money can potentially step in to either facilitate a pullback or
484
00:28:48,480 --> 00:28:51,919
potentially a reversal either all right so what we can use is we can use that as
485
00:28:51,919 --> 00:28:55,600
confluence uh to increase the probability of playing those counter
486
00:28:55,600 --> 00:28:59,600
trend longs playing that pull pullback or potential reversal so
487
00:28:59,600 --> 00:29:03,120
let's jump down to the 15 minute and see what price action was going on to see if
488
00:29:03,120 --> 00:29:07,200
we can get kind of you know those lower time frame confirmations to help us
489
00:29:07,200 --> 00:29:10,960
uh with potentially playing that pullback so you can see these big lows
490
00:29:10,960 --> 00:29:15,279
here all these lows building up nice big sweepers lows tap into daily demand now
491
00:29:15,279 --> 00:29:18,159
this point obviously it's very counter trend and there's a lot of bearish
492
00:29:18,159 --> 00:29:21,279
pressure so what can we do we can wait for a change of character well this
493
00:29:21,279 --> 00:29:24,640
one's a bit subtle but you see this candle here you see how it didn't break
494
00:29:24,640 --> 00:29:27,760
this candle's low so what that means is price pulled back
495
00:29:27,760 --> 00:29:30,880
it pulled up and then it took the low so there's a very minor low there which
496
00:29:30,880 --> 00:29:34,399
means that this is actually a high so soon um
497
00:29:34,399 --> 00:29:37,840
or if and when we get a break of that high that for me would be a change of
498
00:29:37,840 --> 00:29:42,080
character okay so now we have the m15 changing character the m15 is still
499
00:29:42,080 --> 00:29:44,480
bearish for me right because that would have been the low
500
00:29:44,480 --> 00:29:47,760
then yeah that would be the highest point so this for me is the high that
501
00:29:47,760 --> 00:29:50,720
would need to go for the m15 to actually switch
502
00:29:50,720 --> 00:29:54,399
uh bullish trend change but for now we've just had that change of character
503
00:29:54,399 --> 00:29:58,000
right so it's that first sign of a higher high that we may be starting to
504
00:29:58,000 --> 00:30:01,760
initiate that pullback and anticipate that m15 trend change we also take out
505
00:30:01,760 --> 00:30:04,080
this kind of more prominent minor high as well so that's a pretty good sign
506
00:30:04,080 --> 00:30:07,600
right we've taken out two levels now so now that we have our m15 change of
507
00:30:07,600 --> 00:30:11,360
character where could we look to potentially get along well we have the
508
00:30:11,360 --> 00:30:14,320
syllable for the buy or we can obviously refine it to the next candle that
509
00:30:14,320 --> 00:30:17,919
actually gets engulfed right so that's one valid way of doing it or if you want
510
00:30:17,919 --> 00:30:20,960
even more refinement and if you are super super strict and
511
00:30:20,960 --> 00:30:25,120
how you define your supply and demand zones well for a demand zone technically
512
00:30:25,120 --> 00:30:28,720
it should be drawn on the last cell before the buy and what we've drawn it
513
00:30:28,720 --> 00:30:32,880
on is the buy before the buy right so for me this is valid it works but what
514
00:30:32,880 --> 00:30:36,640
you can do is you can then refine it to the wick because it's very likely that
515
00:30:36,640 --> 00:30:39,840
there will be a obviously a bearish count on a lower time frame that then
516
00:30:39,840 --> 00:30:44,559
led to that move okay so we've had our m15 change of character
517
00:30:44,559 --> 00:30:48,480
we should draw it on there and now let's see if price pulls back
518
00:30:48,480 --> 00:30:51,679
into our m15 demando to potentially look for
519
00:30:51,679 --> 00:30:55,600
long plays to play that uh four hour pullback
520
00:30:55,600 --> 00:30:58,320
so obviously for price to come back to them towards the stone what did they
521
00:30:58,320 --> 00:31:01,679
have to do i had to change character again and kind of switch bearish which
522
00:31:01,679 --> 00:31:04,720
you know it's not the best of sign if we want to be getting long so what we can
523
00:31:04,720 --> 00:31:08,240
do is wait for price to come into our demand and then change character again
524
00:31:08,240 --> 00:31:13,200
and switch bullish again okay so price is staying bearish now even if
525
00:31:13,200 --> 00:31:15,840
you had right the zone on refine like that yes
526
00:31:15,840 --> 00:31:18,640
we are tapping in but we never actually get a change of character to the upside
527
00:31:18,640 --> 00:31:21,519
again so even if you have a more unrefined zone you can still wait for
528
00:31:21,519 --> 00:31:24,799
price to change character okay we can start to see orders potentially filling
529
00:31:24,799 --> 00:31:27,679
up all right i mean like it's a bit more
530
00:31:27,679 --> 00:31:31,200
subtle but it's happening still as you kind of have this trend
531
00:31:31,200 --> 00:31:35,120
line liquidity people expect the third touch to then have that bounce right it
532
00:31:35,120 --> 00:31:37,360
would also be a bit more prominent on the on the minute timeframes of the
533
00:31:37,360 --> 00:31:40,320
lower timeframes and then that is definitely counts as a sweep of
534
00:31:40,320 --> 00:31:42,880
liquidity then that fuels the mood for a bit of a
535
00:31:42,880 --> 00:31:47,440
pullback that m15 minus supply is trying to hold and then let's see
536
00:31:47,440 --> 00:31:51,200
so now right we have that change of character
537
00:31:51,200 --> 00:31:54,240
so prices switch bullish again
538
00:31:54,240 --> 00:31:59,120
if i just draw on that m15 chuck there we go so now okay this is
539
00:31:59,120 --> 00:32:01,679
pretty good sign and it's time to buy because we had that initial change of
540
00:32:01,679 --> 00:32:05,200
character there we created some minor demand prices come back into our demand
541
00:32:05,200 --> 00:32:08,159
right we can refine it we swept liquidity so we have inducement before
542
00:32:08,159 --> 00:32:10,720
our demand zone and then we've had another change of character gain so
543
00:32:10,720 --> 00:32:13,519
we're back in line with a bullish trend so now i'm pretty confident that this
544
00:32:13,519 --> 00:32:16,559
lower is going to hold and we can try and play at minimum or pull back up
545
00:32:16,559 --> 00:32:20,799
towards potentially this m15 supply zone but we can try and anticipate that that
546
00:32:20,799 --> 00:32:25,840
m15 uh trend is going to change right and we are going to break out uh we are
547
00:32:25,840 --> 00:32:29,120
going to take out the high and break out the upside to facilitate that steeper
548
00:32:29,120 --> 00:32:32,480
for our pullback up into the four-hour premium up into potentially for our
549
00:32:32,480 --> 00:32:37,039
supply right and potentially beyond so at this point obviously we don't just
550
00:32:37,039 --> 00:32:39,919
want to buy straight away as soon as we get changed character we want to wait
551
00:32:39,919 --> 00:32:45,039
for price to pull back to value and into a demand zone so at this point what
552
00:32:45,039 --> 00:32:48,559
demand zone could you be looking at because
553
00:32:48,559 --> 00:32:51,840
if i draw some on right all of these are kind of valid you could look at this
554
00:32:51,840 --> 00:32:55,760
inside bar that could potentially be one you could look at this sell before the
555
00:32:55,760 --> 00:32:59,120
buy down here you could be looking or maybe at the
556
00:32:59,120 --> 00:33:03,279
origin right so which one do you think is most likely going to
557
00:33:03,279 --> 00:33:06,159
um you know price is going to pull back to you and
558
00:33:06,159 --> 00:33:09,519
have the highest probability of reversing and forming a higher low well
559
00:33:09,519 --> 00:33:13,120
all of these are pretty much valid and you could you know have all three on
560
00:33:13,120 --> 00:33:17,120
but what we're actually going to do is dig into the detail and see what zone
561
00:33:17,120 --> 00:33:21,519
actually makes most sense and see what is going on here so if we actually look
562
00:33:21,519 --> 00:33:24,559
at where potentially a flip occurred because that's obviously one way we can
563
00:33:24,559 --> 00:33:28,080
use to increase our probability so we have the buy before the cell i took out
564
00:33:28,080 --> 00:33:31,600
that minor low right that last point of supply and we can see that price came
565
00:33:31,600 --> 00:33:34,080
into here into the candle
566
00:33:34,080 --> 00:33:40,640
it reacted right and then what did we do we took out that failed reaction there
567
00:33:40,640 --> 00:33:44,320
but that never led to the change of character but what i will say is if at
568
00:33:44,320 --> 00:33:46,720
this point you were watching this live right and you didn't wait up until if
569
00:33:46,720 --> 00:33:50,640
you know this this clear kind of bullish move and you saw price take out that
570
00:33:50,640 --> 00:33:54,720
failed reaction and then close up above here yes that is more than valid it's
571
00:33:54,720 --> 00:33:57,840
right then to get to get along here on that demand that caused the failed
572
00:33:57,840 --> 00:34:00,399
reaction right obviously it's more aggressive because you do not have a
573
00:34:00,399 --> 00:34:03,440
change of character at that point but yeah just want to point out that that is
574
00:34:03,440 --> 00:34:06,240
definitely a valid trade so let's say you wait for the change of character
575
00:34:06,240 --> 00:34:09,359
like we've done here pricing comes up it doesn't change
576
00:34:09,359 --> 00:34:14,560
character it pulls back it then mitigates this area of demand right and
577
00:34:14,560 --> 00:34:18,879
then that is what then fuels the move to actually get the change of character
578
00:34:18,879 --> 00:34:23,919
so for me that is a much more higher policy zone because it's mitigated where
579
00:34:23,919 --> 00:34:26,960
that kind of first file reaction happens but then it's where actually the demand
580
00:34:26,960 --> 00:34:31,040
actually stepped in to cause that change of character right
581
00:34:31,040 --> 00:34:33,440
also this is where it's a lot more subtle
582
00:34:33,440 --> 00:34:39,040
but it actually took liquidity of these sell to buy a wick so obviously on a
583
00:34:39,040 --> 00:34:41,760
lower time frame that would be a bit more of a prominent low and what
584
00:34:41,760 --> 00:34:45,599
happened is price came down it swept that low it mitigated demand and it led
585
00:34:45,599 --> 00:34:49,440
to the change of character so this for me is a pretty decent zone
586
00:34:49,440 --> 00:34:53,040
obviously price then tap back in if you unrefine it back into the body to then
587
00:34:53,040 --> 00:34:57,119
fuel this move here but there will still possibly be demand within this wick so
588
00:34:57,119 --> 00:35:00,560
then what do we have we have even more inducement with these lows here
589
00:35:00,560 --> 00:35:04,160
right it's subtle but it definitely counts and this does improve um the
590
00:35:04,160 --> 00:35:08,240
probability of those zones we then obviously took the liquidity below that
591
00:35:08,240 --> 00:35:11,440
cell to buy wick there right so you can see that we now have a sweep zone we
592
00:35:11,440 --> 00:35:15,920
have inducement above it and this is the zone that mitigated right it's just the
593
00:35:15,920 --> 00:35:18,960
last bit of mitigation so if we're following the order flow this is kind of
594
00:35:18,960 --> 00:35:22,800
the last fresh zone and it's what led to the change of character now this zone
595
00:35:22,800 --> 00:35:26,800
here is still valid why because you know you could have a bit more unrefined
596
00:35:26,800 --> 00:35:29,200
excuse me where you take the entire range
597
00:35:29,200 --> 00:35:32,720
let's draw that to the high right and yes technically price did pull into that
598
00:35:32,720 --> 00:35:36,320
range move down and go but when you compare that to all the confluence
599
00:35:36,320 --> 00:35:39,200
that's sitting with this zone that we've just gone
600
00:35:39,200 --> 00:35:43,680
through you know for me that is a much higher probability zone if you want to
601
00:35:43,680 --> 00:35:47,760
take that so if we play price forward now you can see for those reasons right
602
00:35:47,760 --> 00:35:51,839
because that is where the flip occurred but then price came back in mitigated it
603
00:35:51,839 --> 00:35:55,440
swept the cell to buy liquidity that then fueled the move to actually lead to
604
00:35:55,440 --> 00:35:58,720
the change of character price did come back in and me to get the orders if you
605
00:35:58,720 --> 00:36:01,920
drew the zone from the body but then what we can do is obviously then refine
606
00:36:01,920 --> 00:36:05,359
it to the wick that move then then produces inducement
607
00:36:05,359 --> 00:36:09,680
into the sweep zone and boom that's why you see the orders filled away now
608
00:36:09,680 --> 00:36:14,880
i do want to make one other crystal clear point here is this is again why
609
00:36:14,880 --> 00:36:18,000
you know i've made such a big song and dance about this before talking about
610
00:36:18,000 --> 00:36:21,599
liquidity when we start to dig into these lessons is this is very very very
611
00:36:21,599 --> 00:36:24,560
subtle fine-tuning that you were doing to just
612
00:36:24,560 --> 00:36:28,480
kind of help you you know really bring your training to that next level but it
613
00:36:28,480 --> 00:36:32,640
is not necessary it is not required okay it's very very subtle sort of nuanced
614
00:36:32,640 --> 00:36:35,599
differences a lot of the time but it's just trying to you know give you that
615
00:36:35,599 --> 00:36:39,760
complete understanding of what is going on and can help you to try and pick the
616
00:36:39,760 --> 00:36:43,599
right pois right the right demand of supply zones the right areas of value
617
00:36:43,599 --> 00:36:46,160
that you may want to be looking at trading in and just give you a bit more
618
00:36:46,160 --> 00:36:50,640
confidence if you want to be the trader right that then trades on these m15
619
00:36:50,640 --> 00:36:53,520
zones and you may have multiple zones and you're not sure which one to pick
620
00:36:53,520 --> 00:36:56,160
right obviously ideally we always want to be getting near the origin because
621
00:36:56,160 --> 00:36:59,200
we're in the best value and then if we're wrong we're wrong and we're
622
00:36:59,200 --> 00:37:03,520
stopped out um but this can be how you have a lot more confidence of picking
623
00:37:03,520 --> 00:37:06,480
ones that are slightly higher up in the leg right look for the ones that cause
624
00:37:06,480 --> 00:37:09,599
the flip that caused the change of character that took liquidity when they
625
00:37:09,599 --> 00:37:12,960
were created and then that have inducement in front of it to induce
626
00:37:12,960 --> 00:37:17,440
sellers right all the sell stops below those lows for them the big money to buy
627
00:37:17,440 --> 00:37:21,680
into okay let's get rid of those drawings there
628
00:37:21,680 --> 00:37:26,560
and then put this back here so let's have a nice to pip stop so at this point
629
00:37:26,560 --> 00:37:31,520
what do we have well if we jump back up to the four hour chart not
630
00:37:31,520 --> 00:37:35,040
that one that's the one i want um and wait for price to load so if you
631
00:37:35,040 --> 00:37:39,119
remember right we had that four hour break of structure
632
00:37:39,599 --> 00:37:42,079
there we go that's loaded we had that four hour breaker structure that took
633
00:37:42,079 --> 00:37:45,920
those equal lows we tapped into daily demand so we swept that liquidity and we
634
00:37:45,920 --> 00:37:49,920
were looking to play that pullback potentially up into for our supplies
635
00:37:49,920 --> 00:37:52,960
that's quite a big for our supply zone so i'm just going to kind of refine that
636
00:37:52,960 --> 00:37:56,800
to the wick right and potentially we can look to target price up to there and
637
00:37:56,800 --> 00:38:00,800
then potentially look for a lower high to then come back down towards these
638
00:38:00,800 --> 00:38:03,920
lows down here so let's play this forward a little bit
639
00:38:03,920 --> 00:38:06,400
again i'm not going to talk too much about management we can talk about that
640
00:38:06,400 --> 00:38:10,720
at a later date but for now it's just understanding you know where price is
641
00:38:10,720 --> 00:38:14,560
most likely to go if price will now load my drawings there
642
00:38:14,560 --> 00:38:19,119
we go so yeah we can roughly just target our backup to for our supply and then
643
00:38:19,119 --> 00:38:22,160
let's just play this forward so at this point what you know what i'd be looking
644
00:38:22,160 --> 00:38:24,800
for i'd be looking to see is supply going to hold or are we going to get
645
00:38:24,800 --> 00:38:28,640
that m15 breaker structure to the upside obviously in this case we eventually do
646
00:38:28,640 --> 00:38:32,240
get that so we can just put this on here and then
647
00:38:32,240 --> 00:38:36,560
let's put this forward um for the time so big nice swing move up
648
00:38:36,560 --> 00:38:40,400
obviously we then initiate that m15 pullback to form that higher low and
649
00:38:40,400 --> 00:38:43,599
then we continue to upside so really what we're looking for is price to then
650
00:38:43,599 --> 00:38:47,839
pull into supply and then we can start to look for signs that price is starting
651
00:38:47,839 --> 00:38:51,440
to to break down to the downside and then we can potentially that can give us
652
00:38:51,440 --> 00:38:55,359
an indication right that the four hour lower high may be in place so still
653
00:38:55,359 --> 00:38:58,880
pretty much bullish at this point right it just formed another higher low now
654
00:38:58,880 --> 00:39:02,400
we're tapping into supply so this is where you know really got to start you
655
00:39:02,400 --> 00:39:05,520
know in the live market i'd have my alerts and the moment we're in there i
656
00:39:05,520 --> 00:39:09,760
would really be you know paying attention um to what is going on at this
657
00:39:09,760 --> 00:39:12,720
point so but pulling back this for me would be
658
00:39:12,720 --> 00:39:16,640
the swing low that i would want to see broken to get you know a confirmed
659
00:39:16,640 --> 00:39:19,680
bearish trend change obviously not just a change of character but an actual
660
00:39:19,680 --> 00:39:23,920
trend change and that would be my high so we are starting to get changes of
661
00:39:23,920 --> 00:39:27,599
character here so yes it is definitely more than valid to start looking for
662
00:39:27,599 --> 00:39:33,040
shorts within here okay let's just play this forward a bit more
663
00:39:34,240 --> 00:39:36,880
so at this point right what i can now see
664
00:39:36,880 --> 00:39:41,280
okay so we still haven't taken up the low if i just zoom in
665
00:39:41,280 --> 00:39:44,880
is we've tapped into four hour demand we have
666
00:39:44,880 --> 00:39:48,960
run the liquidity above these highs here we have had our change of character
667
00:39:48,960 --> 00:39:53,280
we've then mitigated right the extreme supplies in there so i draw on
668
00:39:53,280 --> 00:39:57,040
right we're starting to get a series of mitigations which is what is showing us
669
00:39:57,040 --> 00:40:00,880
bearish order flows starting to kick in right
670
00:40:00,880 --> 00:40:04,319
we then take these lows here we pull back into
671
00:40:04,319 --> 00:40:08,000
supply then we continue back down now what we have done is we haven't taken
672
00:40:08,000 --> 00:40:10,960
out the low but we started to build a nice double bottom
673
00:40:10,960 --> 00:40:14,319
so the m15 is still bullish of course so literally it could just reject demand
674
00:40:14,319 --> 00:40:19,040
and we could shoot up from here so let's see what happens next
675
00:40:19,520 --> 00:40:22,800
pay press forward a little bit more okay so now we can see that it's failed to
676
00:40:22,800 --> 00:40:25,520
take out those highs on that first go there and
677
00:40:25,520 --> 00:40:29,280
again we have another mitigation where supply is starting to hold so we've seen
678
00:40:29,280 --> 00:40:32,240
those series of mitigations right we can see this trend line liquidity got
679
00:40:32,240 --> 00:40:35,200
absolutely smashed right anyone's selling that trend line boom sweeping
680
00:40:35,200 --> 00:40:38,880
security inducement for the supply zone and then we retrace but what do we also
681
00:40:38,880 --> 00:40:41,760
have we have these big equal lows you can even include this in there as well
682
00:40:41,760 --> 00:40:46,400
sort of almost a triple bottom for price to potentially target and sweep and then
683
00:40:46,400 --> 00:40:50,560
we get price breaking below we now have the m15 confirmed switch bearish we've
684
00:40:50,560 --> 00:40:53,440
had those series of bearish order flow kicking in
685
00:40:53,440 --> 00:40:57,200
and now we've had a break of structure so at this point i'm thinking okay we've
686
00:40:57,200 --> 00:41:00,480
mitigated for our supply all right we're with the four hour and bearish daily
687
00:41:00,480 --> 00:41:05,040
trend we've now had a confirmed m15 bearish trend change so now all systems
688
00:41:05,040 --> 00:41:09,359
go to look to want to get short so what we can do is we can mark on our premium
689
00:41:09,359 --> 00:41:13,280
discount clearly we want to be ideally buying uh sorry selling up in the
690
00:41:13,280 --> 00:41:15,520
premium all right and there are two kind of
691
00:41:15,520 --> 00:41:19,440
obvious levels that i would see to sell at one would be
692
00:41:19,440 --> 00:41:22,400
this pretty clean push here right from the supply zone where we can see a lot
693
00:41:22,400 --> 00:41:25,760
of money stepped in to take out those lows and then we have this one just
694
00:41:25,760 --> 00:41:29,599
above with the extreme okay so i'm just going to run this in a
695
00:41:29,599 --> 00:41:32,880
little bit because obviously we've had this series of bearish order flow price
696
00:41:32,880 --> 00:41:35,200
shouldn't really come up above this high here
697
00:41:35,200 --> 00:41:39,760
if it is to remain bearish now out of these two zones which one do you think
698
00:41:39,760 --> 00:41:42,640
is the highest probability because they are both more than valid and you can you
699
00:41:42,640 --> 00:41:46,160
know whack a limit order on both but if we want you know we had to pick one and
700
00:41:46,160 --> 00:41:49,440
we are going to use the liquidity concepts that we understand right which
701
00:41:49,440 --> 00:41:52,240
one is going to be better well let's go through this slowly and look at how
702
00:41:52,240 --> 00:41:56,079
those zones were created so obviously we had this bullish internal move come up
703
00:41:56,079 --> 00:41:59,680
we then created demand right with this cell before the buy so then if we drag
704
00:41:59,680 --> 00:42:04,400
that across what happened well price went up and then came back into
705
00:42:04,400 --> 00:42:08,400
demand but it just smashed pretty much straight through and it wasn't until it
706
00:42:08,400 --> 00:42:12,079
swept that low here but then price pulled back up right to close that bush
707
00:42:12,079 --> 00:42:15,839
candle here so for me there isn't a reaction there right remember the
708
00:42:15,839 --> 00:42:19,680
reaction is key because you want to see that exchange between buyers and sellers
709
00:42:19,680 --> 00:42:23,280
but for me there wasn't one price just smashed straight through okay so that's
710
00:42:23,280 --> 00:42:27,680
not great so for me neither of these zones are flips in my opinion
711
00:42:27,680 --> 00:42:32,000
now what i already can see i like about the top zone is that that is where the
712
00:42:32,000 --> 00:42:35,520
move that led to that first initial change of character right that took out
713
00:42:35,520 --> 00:42:39,280
that low there um what do we also have well when that zone was created was it a
714
00:42:39,280 --> 00:42:43,359
sweep zone yes because it took out those relatively equal highs there obviously
715
00:42:43,359 --> 00:42:47,359
it's very very subtle on the m15 time frame but what we are doing is we are
716
00:42:47,359 --> 00:42:51,760
fractally reading what would be going on the lower timeframe because on the m1
717
00:42:51,760 --> 00:42:55,280
what do you think that would be a nice big double top that price has then swept
718
00:42:55,280 --> 00:42:58,800
it's then retraced big money has stepped in right because what's happened is
719
00:42:58,800 --> 00:43:02,079
prices tried to break up above those highs and then boom it's got slapped
720
00:43:02,079 --> 00:43:06,400
back down right with those big sell orders that then led to demand getting
721
00:43:06,400 --> 00:43:09,200
that change of character now ideally we already got flip here as well but
722
00:43:09,200 --> 00:43:12,240
obviously that hasn't happened in this case so just going to delete that for
723
00:43:12,240 --> 00:43:15,839
now and then we pull back and then we obviously created more supply and we
724
00:43:15,839 --> 00:43:19,359
went to the downside but what i don't like about this is a couple of things
725
00:43:19,359 --> 00:43:22,480
one well what i do like is it did lead to
726
00:43:22,480 --> 00:43:25,680
the brake of structure which is decent but one it's a very very clean push
727
00:43:25,680 --> 00:43:29,520
right there's no inducement near this zone within the leg so what can often
728
00:43:29,520 --> 00:43:33,520
happen is that can be used for inducement for the zone above also it's
729
00:43:33,520 --> 00:43:37,359
not really technically a sweep zone yes it did take the liquidity of the inside
730
00:43:37,359 --> 00:43:42,240
bar range um but for me that's not as significant as taking kind of the actual
731
00:43:42,240 --> 00:43:45,680
kind of you know larger range that formed here like it did on the previous
732
00:43:45,680 --> 00:43:50,480
one so for me that's left equal highs to be inducement for this zone which did
733
00:43:50,480 --> 00:43:54,240
actually sweep liquidity which was a sweep zone okay and this is a king push
734
00:43:54,240 --> 00:43:57,520
there's no inducement above it so if i only had to pick one
735
00:43:57,520 --> 00:44:01,520
i much prefer the top one also this is the extreme which is obviously ideal as
736
00:44:01,520 --> 00:44:06,079
well to be looking to sell from so let's see start to get a bit of a reaction and
737
00:44:06,079 --> 00:44:10,480
then price spikes up and it sweeps that liquidity above those highs there um and
738
00:44:10,480 --> 00:44:14,480
then that leads to the retrace so okay we might not get tagged in
739
00:44:14,480 --> 00:44:18,400
but you know at least we you know used that confidence to potentially avoid a
740
00:44:18,400 --> 00:44:22,560
loss of us getting spiked out price still hasn't come up lower right this
741
00:44:22,560 --> 00:44:25,359
high here has failed to do what it's fair to do its job it's failed to take
742
00:44:25,359 --> 00:44:29,599
out that low so what does that tell us that tells us that this zone here
743
00:44:29,599 --> 00:44:33,440
is going to be run most likely obviously not guaranteed it's most likely going to
744
00:44:33,440 --> 00:44:37,040
be used for liquidity right for inducement for this zone above so now we
745
00:44:37,040 --> 00:44:40,720
have built inducement right for a price to tap into here what do we also have we
746
00:44:40,720 --> 00:44:44,800
also have all of this trend line liquidity to target
747
00:44:44,800 --> 00:44:49,280
okay boom boom boom and now we're really good
748
00:44:49,280 --> 00:44:53,119
trades and then set your limit order and take this trade short so just like the
749
00:44:53,119 --> 00:44:55,760
long that we took you know i'm just kind of showing you the conservative ways of
750
00:44:55,760 --> 00:44:58,720
trading here right because obviously we can drop down to the to the lower time
751
00:44:58,720 --> 00:45:03,119
frames to get a much more refined and high uh you know let's be conservative
752
00:45:03,119 --> 00:45:07,920
field excuse six pip stop all right um yeah it's on the distal and
753
00:45:07,920 --> 00:45:12,319
then because remember this is pro trend we're trading from the four hour extreme
754
00:45:12,319 --> 00:45:15,920
right we've got all of our confirmations the m15 switched bearish we filtered out
755
00:45:15,920 --> 00:45:20,079
our two zones using liquidity concept right which one
756
00:45:20,079 --> 00:45:22,400
was a liquidity sweep zone right which one
757
00:45:22,400 --> 00:45:25,599
took liquidity to form the zone and which one had inducement in front of
758
00:45:25,599 --> 00:45:28,640
obviously the one above had a lot more go for it in terms of that now we're
759
00:45:28,640 --> 00:45:33,599
staying at the top so what that should tell us is that this four hour swing low
760
00:45:33,599 --> 00:45:37,119
here right it's failed to take up the swing high so now we have all of this
761
00:45:37,119 --> 00:45:40,240
confluence right this low should be getting smashed it's a weak low it
762
00:45:40,240 --> 00:45:43,520
didn't do its job so now we can hold with confidence at a minimum down
763
00:45:43,520 --> 00:45:46,880
towards this low here what also do we have right we have those relatively
764
00:45:46,880 --> 00:45:50,560
equal lows for price and then tap into and sweep that liquidity we obviously
765
00:45:50,560 --> 00:45:53,200
had all of this trend line liquidity here building as well right it's
766
00:45:53,200 --> 00:45:56,960
literally everywhere in the market so let's just place forward and see if
767
00:45:56,960 --> 00:46:00,640
those lows get run or not and boom that low gets run so
768
00:46:00,640 --> 00:46:03,119
you know you've got 15 are there depending on how tight stop was you may
769
00:46:03,119 --> 00:46:06,560
have been a bit more aggressive um you know with a five five pip stop so
770
00:46:06,560 --> 00:46:10,240
anywhere between sort of 15 to 18 are there and then here even just up to four
771
00:46:10,240 --> 00:46:13,680
hour supply you had you know over 40 are there so
772
00:46:13,680 --> 00:46:17,200
insane amount of risk reward with very hands-off trades over the space of what
773
00:46:17,200 --> 00:46:20,560
from the eighth of july uh to the 13th suggest about a week's worth of price
774
00:46:20,560 --> 00:46:23,839
action um buying the bottom selling the top right
775
00:46:23,839 --> 00:46:26,880
you just waited for all of that confluence nice and patient
776
00:46:26,880 --> 00:46:30,000
on the m15 time frame don't even have to go any lower obviously you have multiple
777
00:46:30,000 --> 00:46:34,400
poise that you can potentially set limit orders on but just using those two sort
778
00:46:34,400 --> 00:46:38,079
of main concepts that we use with liquidity one the liquidity sweep zone
779
00:46:38,079 --> 00:46:42,240
right which one took liquidity in order when it was formed and two which one has
780
00:46:42,240 --> 00:46:45,599
inducement in front of it to induce buyers or sellers right for the big
781
00:46:45,599 --> 00:46:49,599
money in theory to write to potentially be using um to then you know increases
782
00:46:49,599 --> 00:46:53,440
the validity of those zones that we are looking at and then obviously using our
783
00:46:53,440 --> 00:46:57,040
knowledge of market structure week highs week lows liquidity to target in order
784
00:46:57,040 --> 00:47:00,960
to help us with our management decisions okay
785
00:47:00,960 --> 00:47:05,520
right hopefully now um you can start to see how yes liquidity can be subjective
786
00:47:05,520 --> 00:47:09,040
you can draw on these lines everywhere but how we kind of you know not forget
787
00:47:09,040 --> 00:47:13,200
about that but we are concentrating on the concept in a very very mechanical
788
00:47:13,200 --> 00:47:16,240
sort of and refined way of really just helping
789
00:47:16,240 --> 00:47:20,480
us to to refine our supply and demands even more um
790
00:47:20,480 --> 00:47:24,000
and use it for areas to target right that understanding that every time we
791
00:47:24,000 --> 00:47:26,960
take out one of those key structure points in the market yes we're not
792
00:47:26,960 --> 00:47:30,480
expecting price to to take out this low and then fill in
793
00:47:30,480 --> 00:47:33,760
reverse but we understand we're in a trade that it's likely when price takes
794
00:47:33,760 --> 00:47:36,559
out that low it's likely we're going to get a bit of a pullback of course we
795
00:47:36,559 --> 00:47:38,720
never know how steep that pullback's going to be or it's just going to be a
796
00:47:38,720 --> 00:47:41,599
little bit of reaction but it's having that knowledge that when you are in a
797
00:47:41,599 --> 00:47:44,800
trade when you see structural loads like this right it's very likely you're going
798
00:47:44,800 --> 00:47:47,520
to get a pullback of course always it doesn't happen straight away but it's
799
00:47:47,520 --> 00:47:49,839
just having that knowledge so whether you want to take some partial profits
800
00:47:49,839 --> 00:47:52,880
here just in case you don't want to hold a steep pullback they're the sorts of
801
00:47:52,880 --> 00:47:55,359
areas that you can start to look at right
802
00:47:55,359 --> 00:47:58,559
so on and so forth so i'm going to leave that there um i'll tell you what let's
803
00:47:58,559 --> 00:48:03,359
look at one last example um on eu is a pretty good example we have looked at it
804
00:48:03,359 --> 00:48:07,200
i believe before i think in some of the examples and the lessons um but it was
805
00:48:07,200 --> 00:48:11,280
just a really really good example of um
806
00:48:11,280 --> 00:48:15,760
liquidity in action so let's link up these time frames a
807
00:48:15,760 --> 00:48:18,640
little bit that should be my weekly chart that should be my four-hour chart
808
00:48:18,640 --> 00:48:23,520
and then let's get this all to load if it will load for me
809
00:48:23,760 --> 00:48:27,839
right okay got the four hour chart to finally load so
810
00:48:27,839 --> 00:48:32,160
okay the area that i want to to for us to just quickly focus on before we wrap
811
00:48:32,160 --> 00:48:36,319
this session up is when price obviously we just looked at the trade example here
812
00:48:36,319 --> 00:48:39,599
where we played that pullback from the daily zone into four hour supply to then
813
00:48:39,599 --> 00:48:43,119
run that low here and then what happened is we filled up more orders
814
00:48:43,119 --> 00:48:45,920
we actually tapped into the four-hour refine zone within here and then that
815
00:48:45,920 --> 00:48:49,359
led to a nice big bullish breakout as we can see on the four-hour chat right
816
00:48:49,359 --> 00:48:53,280
where the four-hour switch bullish but remember that whole time this is our
817
00:48:53,280 --> 00:48:57,440
daily swing low right this is sorry daddy swing high this is our daily swing
818
00:48:57,440 --> 00:49:00,640
low and that four hour bridge trend change just could be a bit of a daily
819
00:49:00,640 --> 00:49:04,640
pullback right more into premium prices and then this four hour high that we
820
00:49:04,640 --> 00:49:07,839
broke that can just be used potentially as liquidity right that trend line
821
00:49:07,839 --> 00:49:12,079
liquidity as well just for price to sweep and then fuel that next move to
822
00:49:12,079 --> 00:49:15,520
the downside so on the four-hour chart obviously price
823
00:49:15,520 --> 00:49:19,040
just zoomed into it did switch bullish to do that
824
00:49:19,040 --> 00:49:22,000
but then let's actually dig into this a little bit more
825
00:49:22,000 --> 00:49:24,400
and this is what you can do right you're not going to have every single little
826
00:49:24,400 --> 00:49:26,400
zone drawn on right because of course there's going to be loads of kind of
827
00:49:26,400 --> 00:49:29,280
fractal zones within here but like i've tried to say kind of
828
00:49:29,280 --> 00:49:32,720
throughout the lessons is you don't have to be you know mr miyagi and guess
829
00:49:32,720 --> 00:49:35,680
exactly which one price is going to react to you you can just let the market
830
00:49:35,680 --> 00:49:38,319
do it of course you can try and anticipate and have them have them drawn
831
00:49:38,319 --> 00:49:41,040
on but if you want to keep your charts you know reasonably clean especially in
832
00:49:41,040 --> 00:49:44,559
the live market that is something i would advise what you can see is when
833
00:49:44,559 --> 00:49:47,839
this sort of price action happens we can see that we broke out from the four hour
834
00:49:47,839 --> 00:49:50,960
high where you know after a four-hour break of structure that we expect a
835
00:49:50,960 --> 00:49:54,720
four-hour pullback but we're also aware that you know this could have just been
836
00:49:54,720 --> 00:49:59,119
a daily pullback to form a daily lower high and go so we have to be aware of
837
00:49:59,119 --> 00:50:02,400
that in the back of our minds now when you see a nice big bullish candle like
838
00:50:02,400 --> 00:50:07,280
that that instantly gets slapped down in the next candle and fully retraces and
839
00:50:07,280 --> 00:50:10,559
we get a pretty convincing change of character there which we know what is
840
00:50:10,559 --> 00:50:15,440
going to be most likely a m15 bearish trend change and then we understand that
841
00:50:15,440 --> 00:50:19,040
you know potentially a daily lower high could be forming now the four hours
842
00:50:19,040 --> 00:50:21,920
showing signs of weakness that can give us pretty
843
00:50:21,920 --> 00:50:25,760
you know a decent um uh sort of idea to potentially be
844
00:50:25,760 --> 00:50:29,440
looking for shorts to play that film reversal now of course the four hour
845
00:50:29,440 --> 00:50:33,359
could just pull back right into demand for former high low and we could go and
846
00:50:33,359 --> 00:50:36,880
the dele could switch bullish of course so we do have to look for longs as well
847
00:50:36,880 --> 00:50:40,480
but this is just you know a good reason to understand that although you're
848
00:50:40,480 --> 00:50:44,319
trading against the four-hour bullish trend if you are looking for shorts in
849
00:50:44,319 --> 00:50:47,920
this area it's understanding because of all of the multi-timeframes together of
850
00:50:47,920 --> 00:50:50,800
why actually it's not too aggressive training against the four-hour trend
851
00:50:50,800 --> 00:50:53,839
because you are anticipating that that could be the daily low high and we could
852
00:50:53,839 --> 00:50:56,800
be going down to run these will be closed because you can see how the load
853
00:50:56,800 --> 00:51:00,480
formed here right all of these wicks here it's quite a weak way of forming a
854
00:51:00,480 --> 00:51:04,480
swing low generally when you see a swing low it's a sharp pullback like that
855
00:51:04,480 --> 00:51:07,440
right when it's like this why is that a weak
856
00:51:07,440 --> 00:51:11,119
low well one it's obviously moved away very very slowly but two look at all of
857
00:51:11,119 --> 00:51:14,079
the quality that's going to be building below kind of all of these relatively
858
00:51:14,079 --> 00:51:17,599
equal lows tons of liquidity that price is going to want to come down and sweep
859
00:51:17,599 --> 00:51:20,800
okay as you can see this sharp move away
860
00:51:20,800 --> 00:51:24,960
that's a bit more of a sign of a king a swing high because big money has stepped
861
00:51:24,960 --> 00:51:27,599
in to do that right so anyway let's take a look at this this
862
00:51:27,599 --> 00:51:30,800
kind of area here and look at how we could potentially could have traded that
863
00:51:30,800 --> 00:51:35,440
short so let's hop down to the 15 minute time frame
864
00:51:35,440 --> 00:51:39,200
um and i promise this will be the last example that we look at but this is a
865
00:51:39,200 --> 00:51:42,880
really really really key one so this m15 bearish breaker structure
866
00:51:42,880 --> 00:51:46,319
downside was obviously that four hour change of character and then we kind of
867
00:51:46,319 --> 00:51:49,359
had multiple supply zones right whether you have a refined or the wick or
868
00:51:49,359 --> 00:51:54,240
whatever that we could be looking um at to trade so
869
00:51:54,240 --> 00:51:59,200
see you over here right what do we have we had um
870
00:51:59,200 --> 00:52:02,000
relatively equal those there right so just looking at what facilitated this
871
00:52:02,000 --> 00:52:04,079
pullback after we've got the break of structure and that's what i mean you
872
00:52:04,079 --> 00:52:06,800
don't have to have every single drawing on zone drawn on you can see price start
873
00:52:06,800 --> 00:52:09,200
to pull back and go okay and when i look left does it make sense what we're
874
00:52:09,200 --> 00:52:13,839
reacting to or reacting to where we are reacting to this m15 demands in here
875
00:52:13,839 --> 00:52:17,200
right we've tapped into that demand zone how was that demand zone formed well it
876
00:52:17,200 --> 00:52:21,440
swept these lows here right so sweep liquidity and a push up now prices come
877
00:52:21,440 --> 00:52:24,400
back in and that's facilitated the pullback so we have this supply zone
878
00:52:24,400 --> 00:52:27,440
here to look at we have these supplies here to look at so what's one tool we
879
00:52:27,440 --> 00:52:31,440
can use to help us pick kind of or filter out the zones we can use premium
880
00:52:31,440 --> 00:52:35,040
and discount okay so this one's pretty much in a discount it's not ideal price
881
00:52:35,040 --> 00:52:38,640
pulls back into it it has a bit of a reaction right but it's not enough it's
882
00:52:38,640 --> 00:52:42,319
just to facilitate you know that substructure pull back to then continue
883
00:52:42,319 --> 00:52:45,200
that move on higher right so we sweep those lows
884
00:52:45,200 --> 00:52:48,480
and then we continue to the upside so then we can start to look at our refined
885
00:52:48,480 --> 00:52:52,079
zones up here price taps into it we start to get that change of character
886
00:52:52,079 --> 00:52:55,520
again to the downside old internal demand zones just you know facilitate
887
00:52:55,520 --> 00:52:59,200
those pullbacks but it does what it fails to take out that low so
888
00:52:59,200 --> 00:53:02,640
technically although you know we are rejecting supply here that technically
889
00:53:02,640 --> 00:53:05,599
should be a weak high at this point remember this is the swing high that we
890
00:53:05,599 --> 00:53:10,880
are within this is the swing low right now price has come down we've kind of
891
00:53:10,880 --> 00:53:14,559
tapped into this demand zone here just drag it across and now we're starting to
892
00:53:14,559 --> 00:53:17,920
pull back so we do have this supply zone here but we do have to be aware that it
893
00:53:17,920 --> 00:53:22,079
is a weak high but in this case supply does actually hold and then we continue
894
00:53:22,079 --> 00:53:25,599
to try and push down and we run all of this sort of trend line liquidity here
895
00:53:25,599 --> 00:53:28,880
right we tap into what was these lows again but demand starts to hold right
896
00:53:28,880 --> 00:53:32,880
that internal demand we get here if you look right we get that pull back that
897
00:53:32,880 --> 00:53:35,520
break of the low so we get a minor breaker stretches to the upside we get
898
00:53:35,520 --> 00:53:38,960
that change of character there price then pulls back into demand
899
00:53:38,960 --> 00:53:42,480
we build these equal lows price sweeps those equal lows we come up right we
900
00:53:42,480 --> 00:53:45,920
take these equal highs and then pull back into demand all right so on and so
901
00:53:45,920 --> 00:53:48,960
forth and then we reject i believe these buy to sell works here that took out
902
00:53:48,960 --> 00:53:52,319
that inside bar right and then we get another move there
903
00:53:52,319 --> 00:53:57,040
so i'll just show you get rid of those drawings
904
00:53:57,040 --> 00:54:00,559
all right sweep of the equal highs equal those the target so we get that f you
905
00:54:00,559 --> 00:54:04,079
sweep right the sweep of the highs we push down we pull back into it that's
906
00:54:04,079 --> 00:54:08,240
just sweep zone and then boom we finally take the low there so at that point when
907
00:54:08,240 --> 00:54:12,480
we get that m15 break of structure this for me for just circle it becomes my new
908
00:54:12,480 --> 00:54:16,240
swing high why because that was the highest point in the pullback that then
909
00:54:16,240 --> 00:54:19,599
led to the break of the low so
910
00:54:19,599 --> 00:54:22,960
what also happened right this whole time when we were bouncing from demand
911
00:54:22,960 --> 00:54:26,480
because it's against the trend what's all it's doing it's just generating that
912
00:54:26,480 --> 00:54:30,000
sell side liquidity right with all of these equal loads for price to tap into
913
00:54:30,000 --> 00:54:34,400
to sweep to facilitate the pullback right now in this case it did actually
914
00:54:34,400 --> 00:54:37,680
have a very very aggressive sweep and it tried to do what actually tried to
915
00:54:37,680 --> 00:54:42,160
reverse it tried to break up higher and take out our newly formed swing high now
916
00:54:42,160 --> 00:54:45,040
if you're looking at this in the live market and you see this um what i would
917
00:54:45,040 --> 00:54:48,160
always recommend as well is you always set your alerts on the pair that you're
918
00:54:48,160 --> 00:54:51,920
trading on your kind of key structural swing lows and swing highs so this is
919
00:54:51,920 --> 00:54:55,040
when your alert would then go off you see price trying to potentially break
920
00:54:55,040 --> 00:54:58,799
out higher and actually form a higher high on the 15-minute chart
921
00:54:58,799 --> 00:55:04,000
but then what happens is price closes back below with that m15 candle so what
922
00:55:04,000 --> 00:55:07,200
is that a really good sign is that we've just swept those kind of weak highs that
923
00:55:07,200 --> 00:55:11,520
had built before we've tapped into all of that liquidity and now we've retraced
924
00:55:11,520 --> 00:55:15,280
i remember what i said about sweeps we want to trade away from them not into
925
00:55:15,280 --> 00:55:19,119
them so when you see that sweep you see the failure to close above the high you
926
00:55:19,119 --> 00:55:24,720
see price retraced back inside that is a really really good bearish sign to look
927
00:55:24,720 --> 00:55:27,599
for shorts because we are still pro trend remember we haven't had a candle
928
00:55:27,599 --> 00:55:30,559
closure above so the m15 is still bearish we've had that sweep we've had
929
00:55:30,559 --> 00:55:34,000
to tap into liquidity we've had to tap into our supply zone now let's all
930
00:55:34,000 --> 00:55:37,839
systems go to try and run that weak low because that weak load failed to do its
931
00:55:37,839 --> 00:55:41,599
job yes it wakes the high but it failed to actually cause a true break of
932
00:55:41,599 --> 00:55:44,240
structure now
933
00:55:44,240 --> 00:55:48,960
let's actually dive into how we potentially could have traded this now i
934
00:55:48,960 --> 00:55:52,480
made this kind of uh point before me originally to the supply zone that you
935
00:55:52,480 --> 00:55:54,799
know if you didn't have this drawn on you know i probably wouldn't have had it
936
00:55:54,799 --> 00:55:57,520
drawn on i probably would have just left at the more obvious swing point zone
937
00:55:57,520 --> 00:56:01,040
there but if you see what we just saw right which is where the m15 counter
938
00:56:01,040 --> 00:56:04,720
goes up and then it violently retraced back and you see okay it just missed my
939
00:56:04,720 --> 00:56:07,200
supply zone you don't have to go oh well you know
940
00:56:07,200 --> 00:56:10,079
i'm not going to trade it until it hits it because what you can do as long as of
941
00:56:10,079 --> 00:56:13,119
course you get your lower time frame confirmations and your entry model sets
942
00:56:13,119 --> 00:56:16,240
up it's just looking left and investigating well what is price
943
00:56:16,240 --> 00:56:19,520
reacting to you and that is where you can then see okay well we do have these
944
00:56:19,520 --> 00:56:22,960
cell to buy works all right that makes sense what do i like about it even more
945
00:56:22,960 --> 00:56:26,720
well we had these buy to sell to buy wicks here all right
946
00:56:26,720 --> 00:56:29,520
remember we looked at this before when we're looking at flip zones okay that
947
00:56:29,520 --> 00:56:32,880
does make sense because we had lower time frame demand that then made that
948
00:56:32,880 --> 00:56:36,160
higher high price came back into that demand it tries to do its job to make a
949
00:56:36,160 --> 00:56:40,079
higher high and then we flipped and that flip led to that breaker structure there
950
00:56:40,079 --> 00:56:42,640
it's actually yeah it's a pretty decent zone maybe i didn't have it drawn on
951
00:56:42,640 --> 00:56:45,359
before because obviously it's quite you know it's quite a nuanced zone then i
952
00:56:45,359 --> 00:56:49,599
see price tap into this high it fails to close above and it violently retraces
953
00:56:49,599 --> 00:56:52,960
okay that's a pretty good sign now that this week is a weak low if i get my
954
00:56:52,960 --> 00:56:57,680
lower timeframe confirmations i'm unhappy to take um take that entry after
955
00:56:57,680 --> 00:57:01,599
all of this liquidity has been swept so let's jump to one minute hopefully it
956
00:57:01,599 --> 00:57:06,960
will load for me um there we go okay so as you're looking at this live
957
00:57:06,960 --> 00:57:10,640
market right as price is starting to approach your high here what is
958
00:57:10,640 --> 00:57:14,720
happening well already i can see these beautiful almost triple top uh equal
959
00:57:14,720 --> 00:57:19,440
highs being built and what is that that is inducement before uh the zone so m1
960
00:57:19,440 --> 00:57:22,559
the quality there we go so let's play this forward a little bit just going to
961
00:57:22,559 --> 00:57:27,520
zoom in so we can actually see it
962
00:57:27,520 --> 00:57:30,400
i mean even here just to fuel this move to the upside right you can see it again
963
00:57:30,400 --> 00:57:34,000
and again we build these equal lows price sweeps those equal lows right
964
00:57:34,000 --> 00:57:37,359
moves the upside pulls back into demand and then that fuels the move to run
965
00:57:37,359 --> 00:57:40,480
those highs there right so coming to our demand zone not
966
00:57:40,480 --> 00:57:43,760
thinking anything too special as of yet all right okay tapping a few more orders
967
00:57:43,760 --> 00:57:47,359
trying to break up above that m15 high okay maybe potentially we're starting to
968
00:57:47,359 --> 00:57:51,280
switch bullish okay boom right it might not look like much it's probably only
969
00:57:51,280 --> 00:57:54,799
about you know five or six pips but that takes a hell of a lot of money to do
970
00:57:54,799 --> 00:57:59,359
that in one on one candle that is big orders being filled we now have an m1
971
00:57:59,359 --> 00:58:01,920
change of character it's a bit more subtle but it's that inside bar is a
972
00:58:01,920 --> 00:58:06,079
minor pullback right so now we have an m1 uh change of character so i'm
973
00:58:06,079 --> 00:58:08,880
thinking okay i'll be looking at the 15-minute chart i've seen that the
974
00:58:08,880 --> 00:58:12,960
15-minute chart has now retraced back inside i'm understanding that that m15
975
00:58:12,960 --> 00:58:15,760
low that we looked at all the way down here right is probably a weak low so now
976
00:58:15,760 --> 00:58:18,480
i'm just going to look for can i get my flip and shock well we've already had a
977
00:58:18,480 --> 00:58:22,400
chalk we're pulling back into the area of demand right so whether you take the
978
00:58:22,400 --> 00:58:25,440
whole sort of range here
979
00:58:25,440 --> 00:58:29,280
or whether you take the just a single candle right it doesn't matter massively
980
00:58:29,280 --> 00:58:32,240
matter so let's draw it across and see is there going to be a reaction here
981
00:58:32,240 --> 00:58:35,359
because we could react to here we could react to here it does a massive manner
982
00:58:35,359 --> 00:58:38,079
the way that my thought process works when i'm looking at this in the live
983
00:58:38,079 --> 00:58:41,520
market is i'm literally just waiting for price to start to move to the upside
984
00:58:41,520 --> 00:58:45,040
right where is the demand going to step in and then i will look left and go does
985
00:58:45,040 --> 00:58:49,040
it make sense right so let's see okay prices react to this level of demand so
986
00:58:49,040 --> 00:58:51,520
whether you took the whole range or whether you took the candle it makes
987
00:58:51,520 --> 00:58:55,440
zero difference in this case so now as soon as i see that bullish retrace i see
988
00:58:55,440 --> 00:58:58,240
demand holding right that exchange between buyers and sellers what am i
989
00:58:58,240 --> 00:59:00,799
going to do this is literally what i do in the live market i'll draw my line
990
00:59:00,799 --> 00:59:04,160
across from the reaction point right and i'm saying to myself we've seen that
991
00:59:04,160 --> 00:59:08,400
change of character we've seen price react so now as long as
992
00:59:08,400 --> 00:59:11,760
we don't take out this high here right we swept liquidity as long as we don't
993
00:59:11,760 --> 00:59:15,359
take out this high here and this reaction fails right us all systems go
994
00:59:15,359 --> 00:59:20,079
now to look for that truck and flip entry so that demands holding okay maybe
995
00:59:20,079 --> 00:59:23,599
it is gonna work maybe it's gonna make a higher high okay it's weight to the low
996
00:59:23,599 --> 00:59:27,119
so if you're using um if you need to see a counter closure below like type one
997
00:59:27,119 --> 00:59:30,319
mapping that won't be enough for you but for some people that will because what
998
00:59:30,319 --> 00:59:33,599
that will essentially represent on the 15 second chart is price probably did
999
00:59:33,599 --> 00:59:36,640
break and close below and now it's pulling back into that demand that did
1000
00:59:36,640 --> 00:59:40,240
it and this is why when price wicks it and it pulls back in you can literally
1001
00:59:40,240 --> 00:59:43,760
you know hit sell smash sell on the market and you could be in the trade
1002
00:59:43,760 --> 00:59:47,200
already but maybe you want a bit more confirmation and you want to wait for a
1003
00:59:47,200 --> 00:59:50,640
candle closure below so maybe you're going to think that's not enough for me
1004
00:59:50,640 --> 00:59:54,640
because what can happen right and this is why just a week break is less lower
1005
00:59:54,640 --> 00:59:57,440
probability this price could just be running that liquidity there just
1006
00:59:57,440 --> 01:00:00,480
tapping into some more demand has been in here and that could be enough to fuel
1007
01:00:00,480 --> 01:00:04,640
the move right so that's why with brakes are a bit more aggressive
1008
01:00:04,640 --> 01:00:08,640
so okay now we have a clear candle closure below here
1009
01:00:08,640 --> 01:00:11,599
but what do we also have if you didn't like this change of character you wanted
1010
01:00:11,599 --> 01:00:14,559
something a little bit more significant now we have this one as well so we have
1011
01:00:14,559 --> 01:00:18,559
that sort of double break of structure even more confident so we have a failed
1012
01:00:18,559 --> 01:00:22,640
reaction we clearly have a change of character demand has taken control uh
1013
01:00:22,640 --> 01:00:25,760
sorry supply has taken control right it's overpowered demand we had a sweep
1014
01:00:25,760 --> 01:00:29,040
of liquidity this is all systems go now to sell
1015
01:00:29,040 --> 01:00:34,640
anywhere within the supply range okay so you could take that whole range um but
1016
01:00:34,640 --> 01:00:37,520
for me i'm happy to be more than you know a little bit more refined there and
1017
01:00:37,520 --> 01:00:41,680
kind of take that last pivot there and then whack my limit order on right i've
1018
01:00:41,680 --> 01:00:46,079
seen everything i need to see so just put that in one short there two pip stop
1019
01:00:46,079 --> 01:00:48,480
perfect gives me a little bit more buffer price did want to push a bit more
1020
01:00:48,480 --> 01:00:52,000
higher and there we go right so let's pose forward and see if we do actually
1021
01:00:52,000 --> 01:00:55,040
get tagged in or not okay so you could have taken the eq
1022
01:00:55,040 --> 01:00:59,839
there and got even an even better stop and now we are within the trade okay so
1023
01:00:59,839 --> 01:01:01,760
boom everything that happened there right
1024
01:01:01,760 --> 01:01:04,319
we've spoken about in the 15-minute chart
1025
01:01:04,319 --> 01:01:08,000
we got a massive sweep of liquidity in a 15-minute chart we tried to break up
1026
01:01:08,000 --> 01:01:12,480
above higher we rejected supply pretty violently the m15 then closes back below
1027
01:01:12,480 --> 01:01:15,920
that then tells you that the m15 low is probably weak we look for our engine
1028
01:01:15,920 --> 01:01:21,359
model what do we have liquidation mitigation of a high time frame zone
1029
01:01:21,359 --> 01:01:26,240
chock flip boom set your entry order no
1030
01:01:26,240 --> 01:01:29,359
emotional interference that is the exact same mechanical thing we want to see
1031
01:01:29,359 --> 01:01:34,240
again and again and again and then you can run all the way to the bank right um
1032
01:01:34,240 --> 01:01:37,200
and remember like i said about management you've now got in what should
1033
01:01:37,200 --> 01:01:41,359
really be the extreme extremity of that range this is that weak low it failed to
1034
01:01:41,359 --> 01:01:46,400
do its job let's pay fast forward and price ends up absolutely smashing it and
1035
01:01:46,400 --> 01:01:48,799
boom obviously you can hold this a lot more further if you're anticipating that
1036
01:01:48,799 --> 01:01:52,960
daily lower high yadi rdr but just at a minimum to that low in the space of
1037
01:01:52,960 --> 01:01:56,720
let's see uh
1038
01:01:57,280 --> 01:02:02,640
so what was that uh 255 to 15 25. so what's that 30 minutes pretty
1039
01:02:02,640 --> 01:02:07,119
much bang on 30 minutes you've made 26r right we've just picture perfect setup
1040
01:02:07,119 --> 01:02:09,760
this stuff happens again and again and again
1041
01:02:09,760 --> 01:02:11,920
and you know if you've got the foresight to
1042
01:02:11,920 --> 01:02:14,960
potentially see that
1043
01:02:14,960 --> 01:02:18,799
you have you know caught what may be yes it's against the four-hour trend but
1044
01:02:18,799 --> 01:02:21,440
what may maybe that deadly level high then potentially right you could push
1045
01:02:21,440 --> 01:02:24,240
that even further down towards that daily low for you know obviously a lot
1046
01:02:24,240 --> 01:02:27,280
of profit i'm not going to show that now um but yeah it's just kind of showing
1047
01:02:27,280 --> 01:02:29,359
you how we can now combine everything that
1048
01:02:29,359 --> 01:02:32,319
we've looked at so far market structure supply and demand those structural zones
1049
01:02:32,319 --> 01:02:37,280
those flip zones with liquidity just to increase the probability of those zones
1050
01:02:37,280 --> 01:02:40,880
right for two ways one the zones that are sweep zones the ones that take
1051
01:02:40,880 --> 01:02:44,400
liquidity and two ones that have inducement in
1052
01:02:44,400 --> 01:02:48,640
front of the zone okay so that's the two ways in which we use liquidity to
1053
01:02:48,640 --> 01:02:51,440
filter out zones and increase the probability of them but also we just
1054
01:02:51,440 --> 01:02:54,799
lose equality just to understand like why price is doing what it's doing why
1055
01:02:54,799 --> 01:02:58,079
we get those retraces after breaks of structure as it taps into those external
1056
01:02:58,079 --> 01:03:01,200
ranges of liquidity you know any swing low even the internal ones within there
1057
01:03:01,200 --> 01:03:03,920
you're still likely to get very small pullbacks and you can use that to your
1058
01:03:03,920 --> 01:03:07,200
advantage when we start to think about management and where potentially we may
1059
01:03:07,200 --> 01:03:11,440
want to take some partial profits along the way whilst we are in the trade just
1060
01:03:11,440 --> 01:03:14,720
to make sure that we pay ourselves right so yeah i think that's pretty much
1061
01:03:14,720 --> 01:03:18,319
everything i kind of wanted to cover about liquidity um on euro dollar
1062
01:03:18,319 --> 01:03:21,359
obviously there's a few little mini lessons within there as well um you know
1063
01:03:21,359 --> 01:03:24,240
on top of what we looked at in the theory video but what i'll probably do
1064
01:03:24,240 --> 01:03:27,440
is go through um you know a couple more pairs and just kind of show you how
1065
01:03:27,440 --> 01:03:30,720
these concepts are universal and they apply to literally any currency pair
1066
01:03:30,720 --> 01:03:32,960
that you're looking at and yeah we'll just look at some some different
1067
01:03:32,960 --> 01:03:35,920
scenarios of how they set up but yeah what i'd recommend you guys do whatever
1068
01:03:35,920 --> 01:03:38,559
pair you've been using thus far throughout the lessons to to build on
1069
01:03:38,559 --> 01:03:41,520
your drawings it's just yeah just go and study it go and look at liquidity go and
1070
01:03:41,520 --> 01:03:43,839
look where there are equal highs and lows
1071
01:03:43,839 --> 01:03:46,400
go and look at examples right before where you were looking at these swing
1072
01:03:46,400 --> 01:03:50,559
points these turning points on the market and you identified potentially
1073
01:03:50,559 --> 01:03:54,799
multiple supply of demand zones that you were potentially anticipating
1074
01:03:54,799 --> 01:03:57,760
price to pull back to and you weren't sure which one you wanted to look for
1075
01:03:57,760 --> 01:04:01,760
entries on now go back and see okay maybe that one failed because it didn't
1076
01:04:01,760 --> 01:04:04,559
um take liquidity when it was created or maybe that one fell because it didn't
1077
01:04:04,559 --> 01:04:08,559
have inducement in front of it right but then what i also want you to do
1078
01:04:08,559 --> 01:04:12,799
is see times where um you know there isn't inducement or maybe there's a
1079
01:04:12,799 --> 01:04:16,240
supply zone and there are equal highs just behind it but actually it does play
1080
01:04:16,240 --> 01:04:18,720
out right because it's not always going to be picture perfect like that in the
1081
01:04:18,720 --> 01:04:22,640
market right sometimes those zones that you would think in theory are not great
1082
01:04:22,640 --> 01:04:25,920
but then they play out so that's when you're gonna have to ask yourself okay
1083
01:04:25,920 --> 01:04:29,839
you know in my trade plan if i see a zone that i'm not 100
1084
01:04:29,839 --> 01:04:32,319
comfortable with right for whatever reason because you know there's no
1085
01:04:32,319 --> 01:04:36,160
inducement or there's liquidity behind it and i think it might get swept first
1086
01:04:36,160 --> 01:04:39,280
am i just going to say my trade plan never trade those zones or maybe i just
1087
01:04:39,280 --> 01:04:42,799
need to see more lower timeframe confirmation so just like we said you
1088
01:04:42,799 --> 01:04:47,760
know we did with these um or just know any m15 zone let's say this is a
1089
01:04:47,760 --> 01:04:51,200
a supply zone you don't like definitely keep clicking the wrong
1090
01:04:51,200 --> 01:04:54,880
button there it's like i've never used trading view before let's say you have a
1091
01:04:54,880 --> 01:04:58,799
supply zone up here but potentially you know it's got some nice equals equal
1092
01:04:58,799 --> 01:05:01,680
highs behind it so there's money behind here and you're
1093
01:05:01,680 --> 01:05:04,799
not confident selling from this zone here um but what you may want to do in
1094
01:05:04,799 --> 01:05:07,839
your plan is just go okay when i get down to the m1 i just want to see you
1095
01:05:07,839 --> 01:05:11,280
know my m1 confirmation actually occur like the example we just went through
1096
01:05:11,280 --> 01:05:14,640
and then once i've got that then i'm happy to sell from here and that would
1097
01:05:14,640 --> 01:05:17,119
what you would have in your plan so maybe you would say you know i'm not
1098
01:05:17,119 --> 01:05:21,039
happy to set a limit order on an m15 zone um if it doesn't you know have that
1099
01:05:21,039 --> 01:05:24,720
criteria but what i will be happy to do is actually trade from here if i get my
1100
01:05:24,720 --> 01:05:28,160
lower timeframe entry model setting up to confirm that the zone is going to
1101
01:05:28,160 --> 01:05:30,720
hold right of course it's a bit more advanced but we'll get into that as we
1102
01:05:30,720 --> 01:05:33,440
start to talk about trade plans but this is just you know things that you'll pick
1103
01:05:33,440 --> 01:05:37,039
up as you start to collect data as you start to kind of you know feel what
1104
01:05:37,039 --> 01:05:39,760
makes most sense to you in the market as you start to kind of really figure out
1105
01:05:39,760 --> 01:05:42,720
your trading personality yeah and it will just come with time so i'll leave
1106
01:05:42,720 --> 01:05:45,440
that there before i run them any longer and hope you guys took some value from
1107
01:05:45,440 --> 01:05:50,039
that and i will see you in the next one
1108
01:05:52,400 --> 01:05:54,480
you118947
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