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All right.
2
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Good morning.
3
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Good morning.
4
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Welcome back.
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So we have non-farm payroll today and
we had meetings all day today as well.
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So, um, we're going to probably see some
weird price movement today, which is fun.
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It's always fun to see a volatility.
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So, um, we have.
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Fed monetary policy
report also at 11:00 AM.
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This morning says I'm going to
be rather impactful as well.
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Do you want to shoot over to the charts?
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00:00:47,715 --> 00:00:55,335
And first order of business, I have a
dollar CAD short one to see if I can get
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a push on any of that low for the cell.
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Stop.
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The order block was a little
too much for it to overcome.
16
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That stopped out at
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00:01:08,245 --> 00:01:11,905
29 80 in here on the rejection
block when above it hit it
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still inside the overall range.
19
00:01:14,695 --> 00:01:19,045
Now looking at it this morning, I'm
thinking that non-farm payroll might
20
00:01:19,435 --> 00:01:22,195
push it over these equal height.
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Did you see there's 1, 2, 3, and guys on
YouTube, like they call that triple top.
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So, you know, that means the,
uh, I'll come back to the dog cat
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in a second cable, true to form.
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I mentioned that we'd have issues with
this 1 29 70, because it's a breaker
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00:01:48,535 --> 00:01:53,125
and it has to leave it convincingly
as to really get through that.
26
00:01:53,455 --> 00:01:55,825
And you can see we're basically
encapsulated by that entire.
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So 1 29 70 was in fact, a struggling point
and it gave up a little bit of ground
28
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last night, left, equal highs in here.
29
00:02:05,115 --> 00:02:10,155
And we mentioned that that might be
one of the outcomes we see for cable,
30
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not being able to rally because at 1
29 70, if it drops and Euro rallies,
31
00:02:17,025 --> 00:02:20,775
or if they can keep your sideways,
um, that would give us that run on
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00:02:20,775 --> 00:02:22,245
your upon, which came to fruition.
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00:02:23,670 --> 00:02:26,309
So the fair value gap in here,
I was outlying last weekend
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and mentioned again everyday.
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So far this week came up and
hit that filter in brilliantly.
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00:02:31,980 --> 00:02:43,019
So we may be seeing the end of the Euro
pound move higher, but we may see cable
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00:02:43,049 --> 00:02:45,089
gained some of its losses overnight.
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00:02:45,600 --> 00:02:50,640
It may rally a little bit, and Euro may
rally up into that 1460 rejection block.
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00:02:51,510 --> 00:02:52,170
So it may see that.
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Push above clear out these buys stops.
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00:02:56,040 --> 00:02:59,310
Now whether we go through that and
reject and go low or not, I don't know.
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I don't have a strong feeling
one way or the other about that,
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00:03:03,810 --> 00:03:07,620
but I do believe that we are
going to go to 1460 this morning.
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00:03:08,280 --> 00:03:09,360
Oh, non-farm payroll.
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00:03:09,720 --> 00:03:13,260
I think that'll possibly happen
simply because we're so close to
46
00:03:13,260 --> 00:03:20,740
the daily, um, liquidity, this thing
on this daily, uh, here at, yeah.
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00:03:21,690 --> 00:03:23,280
1 14 52.
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00:03:24,660 --> 00:03:28,920
So it's not that far away from where
you know where we're at now and blow
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00:03:28,920 --> 00:03:31,920
out the weekly rejection block at 1460.
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00:03:32,490 --> 00:03:36,090
Uh, just as a side note, I made some
notations before I started today.
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I know I breezed through the recap
yesterday and didn't mention anything
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about the CRT, whether you're a
dollar and I will get to that.
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Today I promise.
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00:03:45,869 --> 00:03:48,420
Um, we just get more gotten slammed
because a lot of clubs didn't
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sign their satisfaction with
Bob when we're on vacation, they
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00:03:50,970 --> 00:03:52,829
haven't even opened it up yet.
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So we've been busy getting there
together and hang on one second.
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Where are we at?
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Alright, so dollar cat.
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I wanna go back to that one.
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00:04:07,280 --> 00:04:08,510
So I suspect now that.
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The premium arrays I was
trying to work off of.
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00:04:13,530 --> 00:04:19,079
They are no longer valid because we broke
through them and we got to mean threshold.
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00:04:19,079 --> 00:04:20,790
This last up Canada was
a bearish order block.
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00:04:21,240 --> 00:04:24,480
Buy-side liquidity risks at 1 30 20.
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So I think we have maybe a
low resistance liquidity run
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00:04:30,120 --> 00:04:33,690
for dollar cat on the upside.
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00:04:40,975 --> 00:04:42,745
Now that may not be
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00:04:48,365 --> 00:04:49,595
all that we see on this.
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00:04:49,595 --> 00:04:51,935
It may push a little bit higher
and I'll outline that in a
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00:04:51,935 --> 00:04:53,795
second, but I'm observing today.
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00:04:53,795 --> 00:04:54,545
I'm not trading.
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It's not on payroll.
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Maybe have ADR.
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00:05:00,605 --> 00:05:03,095
Hi, looking at a 1 30, 35.
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00:05:06,705 --> 00:05:11,025
And if we go out a little bit
further, a little bit of business,
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00:05:11,805 --> 00:05:15,165
I want to detail and he heard us
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00:05:18,255 --> 00:05:20,505
I'm going to use horizontal lines
because that way it'll pop on
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00:05:20,505 --> 00:05:22,035
the chart will be easier to see,
80
00:05:26,295 --> 00:05:32,415
to have 1 31 25, essentially
Travis down a little bit.
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00:05:37,305 --> 00:05:40,095
Top of the gap, bottom of the gap.
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00:05:40,355 --> 00:05:48,405
And we have this come on, work
with me here, small one in here.
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00:05:52,665 --> 00:05:57,314
So we got a 30, basically 31 60.
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00:05:57,315 --> 00:06:01,425
I like as a longer-term if we've
made some kind of a longer-term low.
85
00:06:02,550 --> 00:06:07,680
And 31 20, which is
between 30 and 15 31, 25.
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00:06:08,039 --> 00:06:09,690
I like getting it right
in the middle again.
87
00:06:09,690 --> 00:06:14,010
We'd like to see, uh, at least the
middle of gaps be traded to all
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00:06:14,010 --> 00:06:15,210
of this has been efficiently tray.
89
00:06:15,219 --> 00:06:16,860
We have two candles pass through that.
90
00:06:16,860 --> 00:06:21,390
So it's not that big of a deal
in terms of a gap it's small
91
00:06:21,390 --> 00:06:22,650
little itty bitty thing in here.
92
00:06:22,680 --> 00:06:23,729
I wouldn't even mention that.
93
00:06:24,270 --> 00:06:26,479
Um, but we do have an.
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00:06:29,045 --> 00:06:32,375
That NFP could work off of today
95
00:06:36,515 --> 00:06:39,485
as a catalyst and get this off.
96
00:06:43,385 --> 00:06:43,655
All right.
97
00:06:43,655 --> 00:06:45,995
So we have that, that, that
know we have the buy stops here.
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00:06:47,885 --> 00:06:51,335
So I'm going to throw a fib on real
quick to see what the projections
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00:06:51,335 --> 00:06:55,745
are on that and see if it relays
with any of the good grief.
100
00:07:02,210 --> 00:07:05,270
You guys are laughing about the song
on your lucky I wasn't playing Yani.
101
00:07:07,280 --> 00:07:07,610
Yeah.
102
00:07:07,970 --> 00:07:08,360
Yeah, man.
103
00:07:08,360 --> 00:07:09,050
It relaxes me.
104
00:07:09,470 --> 00:07:09,650
All right.
105
00:07:09,650 --> 00:07:17,180
So we have 200 extension up here, which
is basically a measured move completely.
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Duplicate of this range here.
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00:07:20,100 --> 00:07:21,570
Just add it to the high up there.
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00:07:21,930 --> 00:07:26,090
And it takes us right into
that one 13, I'm sorry, 1 31
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00:07:26,090 --> 00:07:29,820
13 level two, maybe 1 30, 1 15.
110
00:07:29,820 --> 00:07:30,360
Is that what that is?
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00:07:32,410 --> 00:07:35,230
Well, 16, give or take month,
one thirty, one fifteen.
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00:07:35,230 --> 00:07:36,010
We'll just call it that.
113
00:07:37,240 --> 00:07:39,700
So we can see, uh, this come to fruition.
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00:07:40,000 --> 00:07:43,990
If we got some wild reaction to
the employment numbers, this one.
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00:07:45,410 --> 00:07:48,590
And really upset some of the, uh,
a lot of talk about dollar, this
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00:07:48,590 --> 00:07:52,310
dollar, that everything down dollar
dollar, dollar, so sentiment right
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00:07:52,310 --> 00:07:54,620
now is heavily bearish on dollar.
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00:07:54,980 --> 00:08:00,950
And even though I do believe that this is
a viable target, we had this order blocked
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00:08:00,950 --> 00:08:07,130
down in here and we could be just making
a, uh, uh, an attempt to try to go lower,
120
00:08:07,130 --> 00:08:11,090
but fail rates, a bullshitter block,
and this old high draw that out in time.
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00:08:15,410 --> 00:08:17,810
And it's typical non-farm
payroll to do this type of stuff.
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00:08:18,950 --> 00:08:22,340
Upset the cart right there.
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00:08:22,340 --> 00:08:25,610
The main threshold that's left at last
closed down candle bull shorter block.
124
00:08:25,940 --> 00:08:31,550
So we could see dollar
based rally today on NFP.
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00:08:31,910 --> 00:08:34,770
And then I'd be looking for
this level up here, 96, 80.
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00:08:37,515 --> 00:08:42,735
I think that was a level that would
have been better if we would rally
127
00:08:42,735 --> 00:08:45,444
up to that, instead of just this
little thing here, I would have
128
00:08:45,444 --> 00:08:47,145
been better for it to rally to that.
129
00:08:47,564 --> 00:08:52,335
So that was the level I was looking for
for action this week, European again, I
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00:08:52,335 --> 00:08:54,495
think we've fulfilled our weekly range.
131
00:08:56,694 --> 00:09:00,925
You're a DOE I think this is going to
act like a rogue and just rally one
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00:09:00,925 --> 00:09:02,875
more time and hit that 1460 level.
133
00:09:03,265 --> 00:09:04,675
I do believe we'll get 14, 50.
134
00:09:05,805 --> 00:09:11,715
But non-farm payroll push just
a wild, uh, push on volatility.
135
00:09:12,315 --> 00:09:16,935
Um, we've already got the pre
NFP number spike below, so they
136
00:09:17,055 --> 00:09:19,425
they've taken a low, another low.
137
00:09:19,855 --> 00:09:20,955
Now we have gaps above us.
138
00:09:20,955 --> 00:09:21,765
We have it in here.
139
00:09:22,335 --> 00:09:24,855
We have it up in here, all through here.
140
00:09:25,635 --> 00:09:26,865
So let's define that.
141
00:09:27,885 --> 00:09:30,585
Let's keep it like this for now.
142
00:09:33,130 --> 00:09:33,640
I'm out here.
143
00:09:33,640 --> 00:09:36,640
I need the control button
and using my other laptop.
144
00:09:36,640 --> 00:09:37,870
And this is the one that
don't use that much.
145
00:09:37,870 --> 00:09:41,080
Some of like a blind man, so
wants me to buy furniture around.
146
00:09:42,250 --> 00:09:42,520
All right.
147
00:09:42,520 --> 00:09:43,240
So
148
00:09:46,690 --> 00:09:47,590
where are we at here?
149
00:09:55,470 --> 00:09:55,890
Yeah.
150
00:09:56,250 --> 00:09:56,400
All right.
151
00:09:56,400 --> 00:09:59,580
So NFP enforce.
152
00:10:06,540 --> 00:10:09,780
We are an order block.
153
00:10:09,780 --> 00:10:12,390
Now take this off.
154
00:10:12,390 --> 00:10:17,130
We got that projection already
to quick look on cable,
155
00:10:21,060 --> 00:10:21,420
sees it.
156
00:10:21,480 --> 00:10:22,350
This is where we're looking at.
157
00:10:22,350 --> 00:10:25,050
If it goes higher, you're a dollar.
158
00:10:28,470 --> 00:10:30,660
Big spike, knocking out trailed.
159
00:10:30,660 --> 00:10:35,820
Stop-losses let's see if they can
run it up above that 1450 level
160
00:10:47,930 --> 00:10:48,830
near she comes.
161
00:11:19,780 --> 00:11:22,540
So, so far both sides of the
marketplace cell stops taking first.
162
00:11:22,689 --> 00:11:23,290
Now we're on a bike.
163
00:11:24,135 --> 00:11:27,735
Uh, logically we have lots of
liquidity above the daily higher here.
164
00:11:27,735 --> 00:11:29,685
So 1450 should still be a draw
165
00:11:41,295 --> 00:11:45,495
cables almost up at it's upper
portion of the lowest fair value gap.
166
00:11:45,765 --> 00:11:48,015
And we have a 1 29 30 is our next.
167
00:11:56,365 --> 00:11:56,605
Okay.
168
00:11:56,605 --> 00:11:59,845
Dollar CAD has slipped completely
all the way down below the lows.
169
00:12:01,735 --> 00:12:02,605
It's dirty dogs.
170
00:12:07,204 --> 00:12:09,035
So they'll take their
cell stops now, of course.
171
00:12:24,795 --> 00:12:26,625
And see what the dollar
index is doing here.
172
00:12:26,625 --> 00:12:27,795
It's all over the place.
173
00:12:37,844 --> 00:12:39,375
Can you believe when I was
gonna ask the Patriot, I used
174
00:12:39,375 --> 00:12:40,454
to do this day all the time.
175
00:12:46,905 --> 00:12:52,425
You should look for it every first of
the month, I'm going to trade spoos man.
176
00:12:52,425 --> 00:12:55,485
I'm going to make some editing,
something so many handles today.
177
00:12:58,155 --> 00:12:59,835
Didn't work out as well
as I thought it was
178
00:13:05,235 --> 00:13:06,705
1 14 50.
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00:13:14,550 --> 00:13:17,069
Oh, Bella Bailey rally
180
00:13:35,000 --> 00:13:36,469
at our first fair value gap.
181
00:13:43,970 --> 00:13:47,600
Boxers of mine here it is 29 16 spin hit.
182
00:13:47,610 --> 00:13:49,550
So the next one is 29 30.
183
00:13:49,550 --> 00:13:50,000
Basically.
184
00:13:51,140 --> 00:13:51,860
They're both fighting.
185
00:13:51,860 --> 00:13:56,960
The girl needs my desk to sit at my
feet, but Bella so big, she takes
186
00:13:56,960 --> 00:13:59,990
up basically all the floor space and
Bailey's like, no, when they get in
187
00:13:59,990 --> 00:14:02,060
there, like it's an amusement ride.
188
00:14:06,975 --> 00:14:11,115
So I'm wondering if they're going
to take the self stops here and
189
00:14:11,115 --> 00:14:13,125
then port all the way back up.
190
00:14:14,085 --> 00:14:18,135
Cause it's not on payroll
and go for those buy stops.
191
00:14:18,135 --> 00:14:20,265
They're really layered in there.
192
00:14:20,265 --> 00:14:20,715
Nice.
193
00:14:23,265 --> 00:14:25,545
Still not enough to get me one
of the trade it, but it's still
194
00:14:28,095 --> 00:14:29,444
let's see what they get with that.
195
00:14:29,505 --> 00:14:33,314
Uh, Ron, we had this
level outline yesterday.
196
00:14:33,615 --> 00:14:37,035
Uh, Uh, 21 21 29.
197
00:14:37,035 --> 00:14:37,604
Big figure.
198
00:15:10,285 --> 00:15:14,365
Okay, so cables came ready
to climb up and closing this.
199
00:15:14,785 --> 00:15:16,105
Now it doesn't have to stop here.
200
00:15:16,195 --> 00:15:21,985
I just liked this order flow or here
is the most recent one, excuse me.
201
00:15:22,465 --> 00:15:24,775
Most recent down candle swing low.
202
00:15:25,255 --> 00:15:27,115
So that'd be a nice rebalancing point.
203
00:15:28,905 --> 00:15:31,185
Your dollar, just seven pips away.
204
00:15:32,280 --> 00:15:37,110
From the 1 14 50, then it
should pop clear up to the 1460.
205
00:15:40,170 --> 00:15:41,760
And that's a weekly rejection block.
206
00:15:43,079 --> 00:15:45,209
Let's see if we get that happened today.
207
00:16:08,985 --> 00:16:12,405
Oh, the white, and then
I changed that to white
208
00:16:16,275 --> 00:16:17,265
other computer, Michael?
209
00:16:25,125 --> 00:16:25,485
Yes, sir.
210
00:16:25,485 --> 00:16:26,745
That's the weekly rejection block.
211
00:16:26,745 --> 00:16:28,755
So we have 14, 15 and 1460.
212
00:16:31,635 --> 00:16:36,525
Our weekly rejection, so close,
213
00:16:39,525 --> 00:16:40,505
so close.
214
00:16:42,615 --> 00:16:43,665
So Tyler is wiped out.
215
00:16:43,695 --> 00:16:45,495
It's equal lows in here.
216
00:16:55,245 --> 00:16:58,275
It didn't come up to anything
that's clear on a 15 minute time.
217
00:17:01,949 --> 00:17:02,850
I can see here
218
00:17:07,170 --> 00:17:09,990
breaker here.
219
00:17:10,470 --> 00:17:11,879
See what it looks like on an hourly.
220
00:17:19,515 --> 00:17:20,235
Just a breaker
221
00:17:23,755 --> 00:17:24,165
in here.
222
00:17:35,385 --> 00:17:37,915
So we said we have south side
liquidity resting below these equal
223
00:17:37,915 --> 00:17:39,375
lows in here for dollar index.
224
00:17:40,095 --> 00:17:42,255
So that could be the draw on today's low.
225
00:17:43,064 --> 00:17:51,014
95 60, 95 50 takes us down into
this candle's high it's also it's
226
00:17:51,014 --> 00:17:56,175
open it's 95 50 I think is the
draw on a downside on dollar.
227
00:17:56,804 --> 00:18:03,615
Um, if we reject this low and go
above, we have a little bit of buy-side
228
00:18:03,615 --> 00:18:07,034
liquidity, poor buy start around 96.
229
00:18:08,294 --> 00:18:08,595
Is that.
230
00:18:13,360 --> 00:18:19,240
Let's see, 35 between 30, 96, 39, 6 35.
231
00:18:22,430 --> 00:18:28,040
Dark had no real run below the
lows, just a little push through it.
232
00:18:28,100 --> 00:18:29,840
Didn't even get to the 29 big figure yet
233
00:18:33,649 --> 00:18:37,129
two pips away from that and see if
anybody comes in steps in defense that.
234
00:18:38,535 --> 00:18:45,035
We had buyers ahead of it who were here
and here and now we're through it today.
235
00:18:45,035 --> 00:18:49,625
So see how much of a convincing
fashion there is a to move
236
00:18:49,625 --> 00:18:52,585
below 1 29 big figure so far.
237
00:18:52,595 --> 00:18:55,325
So some logical Reynold cell
stops and irritates me that
238
00:18:55,325 --> 00:18:56,495
it didn't do it yesterday, but
239
00:19:00,625 --> 00:19:01,255
we're here today.
240
00:19:10,650 --> 00:19:13,260
It's a cable still weak.
241
00:19:13,290 --> 00:19:14,850
Can't even get to the second gap yet.
242
00:19:17,760 --> 00:19:20,610
And your dollar failed to get to 1450.
243
00:19:27,110 --> 00:19:28,610
I'm still holding its ground.
244
00:19:55,200 --> 00:19:57,880
Just satisfying for a year.
245
00:19:57,900 --> 00:20:01,380
Not to at least hit that 1
14, 15 wipe out, even if it's
246
00:20:01,380 --> 00:20:04,590
by one PIP, things like that.
247
00:20:04,590 --> 00:20:05,280
Make me angry.
248
00:20:07,620 --> 00:20:11,130
See Bailey stop running around.
249
00:20:38,415 --> 00:20:38,715
Hang on.
250
00:20:38,715 --> 00:20:39,495
She's eating my pen.
251
00:21:11,420 --> 00:21:12,470
Hi, S
252
00:21:16,460 --> 00:21:19,310
1446 or pips short of the.
253
00:21:27,515 --> 00:21:28,305
It could happen today.
254
00:21:52,950 --> 00:21:55,520
So dollar cat has gone below its low.
255
00:21:55,570 --> 00:21:56,760
We were aiming for yesterday.
256
00:21:58,680 --> 00:22:00,000
And to see if we run back up
257
00:22:03,210 --> 00:22:06,930
at all in closing some of
this, uh, range, or we expand
258
00:22:06,930 --> 00:22:08,400
down below at 1 29 big figure.
259
00:22:24,060 --> 00:22:26,220
The dollar index is not
convincing either way.
260
00:22:33,810 --> 00:22:37,830
As I was saying, the beginning of
the session, let's go on through
261
00:22:39,960 --> 00:22:45,120
some of the articles that get, they
get sent to me by way of email.
262
00:22:45,629 --> 00:22:46,169
And when my.
263
00:22:48,340 --> 00:22:49,419
Videos are compressing.
264
00:22:50,469 --> 00:22:51,459
I can't do anything else.
265
00:22:53,500 --> 00:22:58,479
So I look at the, uh, the reports
on the headlines I go to market
266
00:22:58,479 --> 00:23:02,830
watch, and I'll go to, uh, all the
forums now click on the majors and
267
00:23:02,830 --> 00:23:04,090
see what the general sentiment is.
268
00:23:04,330 --> 00:23:05,560
And I'll spend a lot of time reading it.
269
00:23:05,560 --> 00:23:09,489
I just want to see excitement
basically like, oh, this is going
270
00:23:09,489 --> 00:23:12,459
to go to hell all this is going to
go straight up straight to the moon.
271
00:23:12,639 --> 00:23:13,360
I'm looking for those types.
272
00:23:14,340 --> 00:23:17,190
He keywords there's types of trigger
words, where it makes it feel like
273
00:23:17,190 --> 00:23:20,970
they're very emotional about it and
everybody's talking dollar dollar, dollar,
274
00:23:21,510 --> 00:23:23,129
you know, it's dead, it's going down.
275
00:23:23,129 --> 00:23:26,879
It's, it's going, you know, the
Haiti's it's straight, gone down.
276
00:23:27,300 --> 00:23:28,950
This is going to go
lower, yada yada, yada.
277
00:23:29,399 --> 00:23:35,340
And whenever that's like that,
it creates the opposite effect.
278
00:23:35,520 --> 00:23:38,399
So I think that's what
we're seeing in here.
279
00:23:47,760 --> 00:23:50,129
In a way, that's kind of why I'm
looking at this dollar cat, thinking
280
00:23:50,129 --> 00:23:51,449
that this may be a terrible suit.
281
00:23:52,620 --> 00:23:55,439
They could've taken the loads that we were
looking for yesterday as an objective.
282
00:23:56,340 --> 00:23:58,770
He came all the way against my
thought last night and then ran
283
00:23:58,770 --> 00:24:01,350
it down lower in non-farm payroll.
284
00:24:02,669 --> 00:24:04,110
So if they reject that low.
285
00:24:05,730 --> 00:24:09,600
That'll build on my idea about why
I believe the sentiment on dollar
286
00:24:09,600 --> 00:24:17,430
being bearish is at least for
the near term contrarian, because
287
00:24:17,430 --> 00:24:19,500
we've already worked off the cell
288
00:24:22,550 --> 00:24:27,380
mark microcell profile here,
consolidation return the consolidation,
289
00:24:28,070 --> 00:24:33,440
Samira solar risks, cell distribution,
distribution, and we're below.
290
00:24:34,620 --> 00:24:38,400
And we're at the low, essentially
right now, we taken out this
291
00:24:38,400 --> 00:24:39,810
short-term low, which is over here.
292
00:24:40,170 --> 00:24:41,370
So everything has been, uh,
293
00:24:44,480 --> 00:24:52,510
in my opinion, staged beautifully
for reversal, lots of folks that
294
00:24:52,510 --> 00:24:54,490
are, uh, looking for bears dollar.
295
00:24:54,490 --> 00:24:59,920
Now they gave it to him on a
spoon initially on non-farm
296
00:24:59,920 --> 00:25:01,840
payroll with this driveway.
297
00:25:02,925 --> 00:25:04,305
But we haven't seen any continuation.
298
00:25:06,495 --> 00:25:11,175
We have all of this over here and
it's got to break through which in
299
00:25:11,175 --> 00:25:15,075
a way it's for an hourly chart, it's
efficiently balanced out and we have
300
00:25:15,075 --> 00:25:19,245
a nice little cell side liquidity pool
resting below here, but doesn't seem
301
00:25:19,245 --> 00:25:20,745
like it's in any hurry to get down to it.
302
00:25:21,495 --> 00:25:24,315
You had thought that it was
expanding, taking out these.
303
00:25:24,315 --> 00:25:25,545
So why not go all the way down?
304
00:25:37,930 --> 00:25:41,410
cable only fulfill the
lower end fair value gap.
305
00:25:41,920 --> 00:25:46,690
And we're back towards the small
little efficient range of price action.
306
00:25:46,690 --> 00:25:47,260
Right in here.
307
00:25:49,930 --> 00:25:51,550
It's going to rally is
going to do it on this camp.
308
00:25:53,160 --> 00:25:56,100
We're at these last three down close
candles was the bullet or blocks.
309
00:25:56,120 --> 00:25:58,770
So it's going to go higher
and reach with this one.
310
00:25:58,980 --> 00:26:00,960
It should do it on this
particular camera right now.
311
00:26:01,590 --> 00:26:05,760
So between now and nine o'clock New York
time, it should rally if it's going to
312
00:26:05,760 --> 00:26:13,320
do it and you're a dollar, let's see if
it finds its legs to get to that 1450.
313
00:26:21,300 --> 00:26:22,110
And another news.
314
00:26:22,110 --> 00:26:26,640
Bailey has muscled Bella
out of the foot rest area.
315
00:26:30,030 --> 00:26:30,690
She's a brat.
316
00:26:33,120 --> 00:26:39,990
Alright, so dollar index come up
cleared all of yesterday's down close
317
00:26:41,940 --> 00:26:46,440
daily range bears, shorter block.
318
00:26:48,345 --> 00:27:00,485
96 or five stays high 96,
13 open on that 9, 6, 13.
319
00:27:00,485 --> 00:27:06,125
So we came all the way up and rebalanced
right to the opening perfectly.
320
00:27:23,084 --> 00:27:25,574
the only one that really
cared about is this Euro.
321
00:27:27,044 --> 00:27:28,844
I just wanted to get up here
and hit these two levels.
322
00:27:29,175 --> 00:27:31,094
If it does that I'm comfortable.
323
00:27:31,544 --> 00:27:31,905
I'll be good.
324
00:27:31,935 --> 00:27:32,804
I'll be happy about it.
325
00:27:33,975 --> 00:27:36,195
I stopped right here that herbs.
326
00:27:41,890 --> 00:27:42,340
Do me a favor.
327
00:27:42,340 --> 00:27:43,330
Let me pull up the box here.
328
00:27:43,330 --> 00:27:48,400
If you guys can answer me
and what's all of your, uh,
329
00:27:52,750 --> 00:27:56,560
what is the, uh, hi you have
on your feed for your dollar.
330
00:28:07,389 --> 00:28:25,340
46 39 39, 8 47 47 has got the lead
so far, the highest court I've seen.
331
00:28:43,274 --> 00:28:44,625
So it failed to get to that level.
332
00:28:47,745 --> 00:28:50,534
It's a little disappointing for me because
I wanted to see it pop up in there.
333
00:28:52,995 --> 00:28:58,995
So let's take a look at what the
landscape looks like post and FP.
334
00:29:01,590 --> 00:29:06,180
We have about 20 minutes
in because of the numbers.
335
00:29:06,720 --> 00:29:08,370
And we have Euro making a higher high
336
00:29:11,430 --> 00:29:12,660
dollar making a lower, low
337
00:29:16,620 --> 00:29:17,820
cable, making a lower low
338
00:29:22,830 --> 00:29:24,270
changes from two 15.
339
00:29:24,270 --> 00:29:26,700
It's still low for this about
from Dubai to the 15 minutes.
340
00:29:35,200 --> 00:29:42,700
Really really much more dramatic than
a 15 minute chart in it to crash.
341
00:29:43,450 --> 00:29:43,840
So
342
00:29:47,920 --> 00:29:49,030
there's spy stops.
343
00:29:51,370 --> 00:29:53,080
They're layered up a lie.
344
00:30:01,965 --> 00:30:10,905
we have met today's high and on fifth
and 4th of July and 3rd of July.
345
00:30:11,955 --> 00:30:16,035
So third, fourth, fifth, and overnight.
346
00:30:16,889 --> 00:30:20,940
Big piles of by stops,
resting on this dollar cat.
347
00:30:21,330 --> 00:30:24,000
So they pull it all the way up from
348
00:30:27,899 --> 00:30:36,780
we're looking for this low here
yesterday 29, 55, it's about 40 pips.
349
00:30:36,780 --> 00:30:39,780
They drug it up and then took it lower.
350
00:30:53,955 --> 00:30:59,745
Yeah, we might not see another
volume of movement until 11 o'clock
351
00:30:59,745 --> 00:31:05,565
our monetary policy thing, whether
that, uh, fed monetary policy report
352
00:31:05,565 --> 00:31:07,125
comes out 11:00 AM, New York time.
353
00:31:08,775 --> 00:31:10,275
So probably will be the driver.
354
00:31:10,635 --> 00:31:14,445
Um, we have PMI for cat at 10:00 AM.
355
00:31:14,445 --> 00:31:14,835
Also.
356
00:31:16,545 --> 00:31:19,215
So we'll see if that generates
a rejection off of those.
357
00:31:19,245 --> 00:31:26,265
Uh, or if we see continuation lower,
my gut tells me that this is going
358
00:31:26,265 --> 00:31:28,485
to get scooped up where we're at.
359
00:31:28,515 --> 00:31:35,405
How many of these lows,
maybe 1 29, 28, 90 safe.
360
00:31:35,405 --> 00:31:36,795
Any buyers come in underneath there.
361
00:31:47,695 --> 00:31:51,555
Really wanting to see that level,
get a hit, say, I'm looking at
362
00:31:51,555 --> 00:31:53,265
Euro and I don't have anything.
363
00:31:53,265 --> 00:31:58,995
I like, I have no horse in this race,
but the, the thought process is okay.
364
00:31:58,995 --> 00:32:03,045
If I would've been long yesterday,
say I would've taken a long on Euro.
365
00:32:04,335 --> 00:32:05,595
I'd still be in this.
366
00:32:07,125 --> 00:32:11,325
And feeling the grind of it
not having traded to 1 14 50.
367
00:32:11,685 --> 00:32:14,805
So that's, that's the internal
dialogue I'm having about it.
368
00:32:15,615 --> 00:32:19,935
And how would I feel right now, given
that like, if I was long, yesterday,
369
00:32:19,965 --> 00:32:27,965
anywhere in here, how would I feel
had it and having it not see 1 14
370
00:32:27,965 --> 00:32:33,735
50 when it got really close to it,
but just ran out and petered out and
371
00:32:33,735 --> 00:32:34,785
didn't have any more staying together.
372
00:32:36,465 --> 00:32:40,245
I might do it 11 o'clock, but I'm
not going to be here at 11 o'clock so
373
00:32:43,365 --> 00:32:47,084
or disappointing non-farm
payroll, my opinion, what I'd
374
00:32:47,084 --> 00:32:53,774
like to see in a little bit more
directional run, sloppy and cable.
375
00:32:59,775 --> 00:33:00,165
Katz.
376
00:33:00,165 --> 00:33:02,775
The only one that had a directional
run rate for the cell stops
377
00:33:03,855 --> 00:33:05,475
1 29 is coming in here now.
378
00:33:05,655 --> 00:33:06,195
Boom.
379
00:33:06,885 --> 00:33:07,455
There you go.
380
00:33:10,335 --> 00:33:11,805
That's what we were looking for yesterday.
381
00:33:14,235 --> 00:33:17,835
You Canadians, you guys got something
against me, just like the Japanese do
382
00:33:31,965 --> 00:33:33,975
Uh, this level here, you're asking about
383
00:33:48,145 --> 00:33:48,745
1 29.
384
00:33:54,905 --> 00:34:01,415
Uh, 1 14 61 40, 60 as an indicator
here is a weekly rejection block.
385
00:34:02,375 --> 00:34:07,294
It's the furthest up close
candle on a weekly to reach into.
386
00:34:11,375 --> 00:34:13,565
No, it doesn't have they as
anything to do with Ellipta.
387
00:34:14,554 --> 00:34:15,634
It's a higher timeframe.
388
00:34:15,634 --> 00:34:16,654
Weekly rejection.
389
00:34:18,950 --> 00:34:19,190
All right.
390
00:34:19,190 --> 00:34:22,100
So we're hitting that 1 29 big figure
on dollar cat, a secret real quick
391
00:34:22,100 --> 00:34:26,990
look over here at the dollar index.
392
00:34:27,980 --> 00:34:28,610
You see what I'm saying?
393
00:34:28,610 --> 00:34:34,070
Dollar indexes is not trying to reach
down there, but we had dollar CAD
394
00:34:36,370 --> 00:34:39,280
reach deeper down into 1 29 big figure.
395
00:34:39,290 --> 00:34:42,850
So in a perfect world, we would see.
396
00:34:43,980 --> 00:34:45,509
Dollar index reaching down.
397
00:34:45,540 --> 00:34:52,080
When we see the dollar cat
doing equal attempts to reach
398
00:34:52,080 --> 00:34:53,639
for a sell side liquidity.
399
00:34:53,880 --> 00:34:55,350
So we hit the 1 29 big figure.
400
00:34:59,900 --> 00:35:03,259
See if any buyers step in here,
gather this up a little bit.
401
00:35:26,095 --> 00:35:27,115
we'll need to take Providence.
402
00:35:28,735 --> 00:35:29,755
I buy one down here
403
00:35:33,325 --> 00:35:38,095
just to see if I can get
any kind of read on it.
404
00:35:38,125 --> 00:35:40,695
Now I have a little bit of a ego.
405
00:35:44,520 --> 00:35:45,600
So we're below the low though.
406
00:35:45,660 --> 00:35:51,060
Aiming for yesterday, we hit the 1 29
big figure dollar index is not trying
407
00:35:51,060 --> 00:35:52,680
to show willingness to go lower.
408
00:35:52,770 --> 00:35:54,450
In fact, it's even giving up more ground.
409
00:35:55,920 --> 00:36:00,270
So it could flip this candle
that we're in here bullish.
410
00:36:03,980 --> 00:36:07,910
Um, we're down below these cell
stops here, gathered them all
411
00:36:07,910 --> 00:36:09,350
up, hit the 1 29 safety team.
412
00:36:09,410 --> 00:36:10,400
Secret name defense on that.
413
00:36:15,060 --> 00:36:15,990
let's let that ride.
414
00:36:16,500 --> 00:36:22,350
I'm going to let this one cook until
today's, uh, and we see you're failing
415
00:36:22,350 --> 00:36:23,790
to make any more attempt to go higher.
416
00:36:25,290 --> 00:36:27,150
That really, uh, it really irks me.
417
00:36:27,180 --> 00:36:30,060
Why, why can't you just
give me what I want?
418
00:36:30,150 --> 00:36:30,480
Okay.
419
00:36:30,690 --> 00:36:32,700
I didn't have anything in
here to make money with this.
420
00:36:32,700 --> 00:36:35,670
Give me the 1450, and so I can go into
the weekend and be happy about it.
421
00:36:36,509 --> 00:36:37,350
And I'm going to be mad.
422
00:36:40,209 --> 00:36:41,140
I'll take it out on my wife.
423
00:36:43,750 --> 00:36:44,169
Yes, sir.
424
00:36:44,169 --> 00:36:44,470
I am.
425
00:36:46,990 --> 00:36:48,850
What was the U S CAD stop?
426
00:36:50,259 --> 00:36:51,640
What was the U S cat stop.
427
00:36:55,240 --> 00:36:55,810
Hang on here.
428
00:36:56,100 --> 00:36:56,950
Good to my chart.
429
00:37:01,970 --> 00:37:03,259
Hey guys can see it clearly.
430
00:37:08,205 --> 00:37:13,365
so we'll see if we get, uh,
a run up, if we can get above
431
00:37:13,875 --> 00:37:15,225
and see what this is here.
432
00:37:19,065 --> 00:37:19,665
Good grief
433
00:37:23,805 --> 00:37:24,225
cases.
434
00:37:24,225 --> 00:37:27,735
Last time you used this laptop, I
told you this before I hate this.
435
00:37:29,464 --> 00:37:29,645
All right.
436
00:37:29,645 --> 00:37:32,705
So 29, 38 48.
437
00:37:32,705 --> 00:37:38,585
So we'd need to get about 29 40,
which is the high on this candle
438
00:37:38,585 --> 00:37:39,935
here, the last down close candle.
439
00:37:42,365 --> 00:37:51,214
So 29 40, we see that we'll look for a
full, a full fill on this range and stop.
440
00:37:51,214 --> 00:37:55,025
I won't worry about moving it's
it's more or less just to get me a
441
00:37:55,025 --> 00:37:56,015
better feeling of what they're doing.
442
00:37:57,900 --> 00:37:58,800
With this dollar cat.
443
00:37:58,830 --> 00:38:03,740
Cause I don't believe that this
dropdown here is there you go.
444
00:38:03,920 --> 00:38:07,070
You got it up close now
on the dollar index.
445
00:38:07,070 --> 00:38:10,490
So again, all that sentiment,
dollar, dollar, dollar, it's
446
00:38:10,490 --> 00:38:11,840
going to hell it's bearish.
447
00:38:11,840 --> 00:38:12,260
It's bearish.
448
00:38:12,260 --> 00:38:13,640
It's bearish, man.
449
00:38:13,640 --> 00:38:17,180
Non-farm payroll X like a breaker
in sentiment where it just changes
450
00:38:17,180 --> 00:38:18,470
everybody's opinion about it.
451
00:38:18,470 --> 00:38:22,790
So, I mean, we could be looking
at the intermediate term low here.
452
00:38:24,029 --> 00:38:28,980
Rallied up and retracement and
to see a higher go to 96 60,
453
00:38:31,950 --> 00:38:33,750
but, uh, take one more quick.
454
00:38:33,750 --> 00:38:34,589
Pass through
455
00:38:37,629 --> 00:38:44,020
cable is left the Bush
breaker on the downside.
456
00:38:44,620 --> 00:38:48,190
I start paying attention
to this 28 62 it's Friday.
457
00:38:50,705 --> 00:38:52,445
It's a little late going
into this one here.
458
00:38:52,445 --> 00:38:55,355
If it would have hit that, or if
it saved us, it trades down to this
459
00:38:55,355 --> 00:39:01,415
level here, I will be buying 25
standard, lots of this in real money.
460
00:39:01,865 --> 00:39:03,485
That's how I like, I like it like that.
461
00:39:03,665 --> 00:39:09,215
So in here we trade the
1 27 70, I'm a buyer.
462
00:39:10,565 --> 00:39:11,795
So let's what I'm looking for it.
463
00:39:11,825 --> 00:39:14,375
Even if it doesn't get there
today, you know what I'm expecting.
464
00:39:14,375 --> 00:39:17,195
If we see lower prices going
into next week, I want that.
465
00:39:17,955 --> 00:39:20,595
If I get this, I'm buying lots of it.
466
00:39:22,185 --> 00:39:25,095
And in fact, if I get it, I'll
show you how we can use an hourly
467
00:39:25,095 --> 00:39:26,565
chart and pyramid and build it up.
468
00:39:35,055 --> 00:39:35,235
Okay.
469
00:39:35,235 --> 00:39:36,965
So one more quick look at cat.
470
00:39:36,965 --> 00:39:39,375
I'll go back third here to cat here.
471
00:39:39,375 --> 00:39:40,035
I got my stock.
472
00:39:40,065 --> 00:39:41,234
It's trading at 1 29.
473
00:39:41,235 --> 00:39:44,775
Big figure again, Katie.
474
00:39:46,250 --> 00:39:48,229
Next downside is 28 60.
475
00:39:48,919 --> 00:39:50,270
We'll just round the fit around number.
476
00:39:50,979 --> 00:39:53,600
If it's going to go down here, it
might spike into a little bit, and
477
00:39:53,600 --> 00:39:57,379
we're looking at that high being 28 62.
478
00:39:57,379 --> 00:40:04,520
So round number 28, 16, downside next
then below that it's all bounced out,
479
00:40:05,359 --> 00:40:07,490
efficiently, both passes through.
480
00:40:08,149 --> 00:40:12,620
So we're going to look
for, if we get ahead of.
481
00:40:18,970 --> 00:40:25,120
Of my expectations of seeing that 28
60 being support, it can go down to the
482
00:40:25,120 --> 00:40:26,950
middle of that efficiently traded range.
483
00:40:27,400 --> 00:40:29,110
Like I'm going to show
you in a year on a second.
484
00:40:29,710 --> 00:40:40,890
And that's basically what 1 20 30, 28, 28.
485
00:40:42,300 --> 00:40:47,130
So 20, 30, 28, 28 in that area,
we could see that as a daily.
486
00:40:47,130 --> 00:40:49,710
Well, if we lose this
short-term high in here,
487
00:40:53,410 --> 00:40:55,960
is it nice, late bounce out range?
488
00:40:57,160 --> 00:41:00,760
We had a buy-side delivered here and
sell side offered in the same candle.
489
00:41:00,850 --> 00:41:02,020
Then we left that range.
490
00:41:02,320 --> 00:41:06,870
So it starts at 28 62 comes down to 20.
491
00:41:08,095 --> 00:41:08,725
28.
492
00:41:08,725 --> 00:41:11,424
So we'll just call it 2025
reached for that objectives.
493
00:41:11,575 --> 00:41:11,904
Nice.
494
00:41:12,355 --> 00:41:13,015
Five level.
495
00:41:13,705 --> 00:41:17,904
If we lose that, then we know all
eyes go into here and we have that
496
00:41:17,904 --> 00:41:21,115
fair bay gap to find whether it's
candles high, this Campbell's low.
497
00:41:21,895 --> 00:41:23,575
And we also have the bullish breaker.
498
00:41:25,734 --> 00:41:29,065
So several different things in
here we could look at, but I
499
00:41:29,065 --> 00:41:33,955
like that 27, 70, 27, 65 level to
me, it's like an amazing buyer.
500
00:41:33,984 --> 00:41:34,705
I want to buy them.
501
00:41:35,605 --> 00:41:36,444
And I would look at your.
502
00:41:37,990 --> 00:41:39,130
It's given up its ghost.
503
00:41:40,540 --> 00:41:44,230
So now we're drawn down towards the
self stop that we're left, resting
504
00:41:44,230 --> 00:41:47,500
below the lows for all YouTube buyers.
505
00:41:49,000 --> 00:41:55,180
Then we have, you're a pound
still hanging around there.
506
00:41:55,180 --> 00:41:59,920
It's a gap you could punch
up, take out the 88 80 level.
507
00:41:59,920 --> 00:42:04,870
That also would make me happy, like to
see that when trade through a little bit.
508
00:42:07,640 --> 00:42:12,590
And then dollar index, like I said,
it's come off of its low and closed
509
00:42:13,040 --> 00:42:15,020
mostly on its last hourly candle.
510
00:42:15,020 --> 00:42:16,520
And we're now a new, a new candle.
511
00:42:16,520 --> 00:42:20,690
So notice the high in here,
this high and this the museum.
512
00:42:20,690 --> 00:42:26,810
And I'm going to close this session out
and let that dollar CAD trade pan pan out
513
00:42:27,259 --> 00:42:30,410
equal highs, small little gap in here.
514
00:42:31,485 --> 00:42:32,205
And this high here.
515
00:42:32,205 --> 00:42:41,525
So 96, 15 96, 20, if it gets
to that level, anticipate
516
00:42:41,525 --> 00:42:44,285
being a run out on 96 30 fives.
517
00:42:46,115 --> 00:42:50,075
So that's how we look at it at
96, 15 96, 20 and did 96 35.
518
00:42:50,735 --> 00:42:54,035
And then the rejection block would
be the highest candles close here.
519
00:42:54,875 --> 00:42:55,895
Ninety six forty four.
520
00:42:55,895 --> 00:42:56,795
We'll call it ninety six, forty.
521
00:42:58,549 --> 00:43:01,609
And apart from that, I don't see
anything else intraday for dollar,
522
00:43:02,060 --> 00:43:04,220
but if you'd like to guys, they
said, no, we're not going to lower.
523
00:43:04,220 --> 00:43:04,970
Thanks for asking.
524
00:43:10,959 --> 00:43:12,520
It's still at that 1 29 big figure.
525
00:43:16,180 --> 00:43:16,479
Yeah.
526
00:43:18,100 --> 00:43:19,060
So we'll let that one cook.
527
00:43:19,120 --> 00:43:20,890
See what the, see what pans out.
528
00:43:20,950 --> 00:43:21,850
I'd like to see it.
529
00:43:22,870 --> 00:43:23,859
Show someone to go up.
530
00:43:23,859 --> 00:43:25,209
Cause they're not going
to be a buyer on Monday.
531
00:43:26,700 --> 00:43:28,500
And try to get some of this
range in here closed up.
532
00:43:30,419 --> 00:43:31,470
This is only a demo on that.
533
00:43:31,470 --> 00:43:35,069
And then with light funds, but if it
does give me a positive feedback, then
534
00:43:35,069 --> 00:43:40,350
I will be looking to take logs in live
accounts in front of y'all on Monday.
535
00:43:41,460 --> 00:43:42,839
So I'm gonna close this one folks.
536
00:43:43,379 --> 00:43:43,710
Okay.
537
00:43:44,069 --> 00:43:46,290
So I'll catch up with you later on
this afternoon and daily recap and
538
00:43:46,290 --> 00:43:47,640
have yourself a great weekend, be safe.
539
00:43:47,790 --> 00:43:52,770
And I'll talk to you on Saturday
night with your first teaching or.
42263
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