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In this video we are going to focus on the candlesticks,
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so I'm not opening any trade.
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You will have the section with the live trades later on in this course.
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For now I want you to understand how to analyze the market with the tools that you have studied so far.
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Now that you know all the candlestick patterns,
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it may be easy for you to recognize them if I show you a picture of a pattern but maybe it is not so
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easy when you have an entire chart in front of you.
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Hopefully, after practicing with this chart you will feel more confident.
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So let's analyze the chart together.
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Here we have pound dollar on a daily chart and the first thing you need to do is to identify the trend
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because we have seen that all the patterns or almost all the patterns need a direction to be identified.
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For example you can't find any bullish engulfing pattern if the price is already moving up or you
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will not find any shooting star if the price is already going down.
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So before analyzing the single candlesticks, it is important to understand if the currency pair is in
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an uptrend, a downtrend or a sideways trend.
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We can zoom in to have a better view of the candlesticks and we can start to analyze the currency pair
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from the very beginning of the up-channel.
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So in the first phase, the price is going up.
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It is quite obvious because we have many long green candles on the market.
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There's a tweezers top here,
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but in any case I'm not going to open any short position with the pair that is in an uptrend.
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The first important red candle is here,
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but in any case the green candle that precedes the red candle is bigger,
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so we don't have a significant clue to say that sellers are stronger than buyers at this point but at
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least with this red candle we can start to think that sellers may find convenient that price.
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After that, we have some small candles and another red candle here but then the price starts to go up
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again.
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When the price reaches the top of the channel, we have a bearish engulfing pattern, that is this one, with
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the second candle that pushes the price down. Here I would probably start to think that this might be the beginning
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of a retracement of the price.
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So the price is going a bit down after a long rally.
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It's like that buyers made their move and now they're taking a breath.
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Another thing that is very interesting to analyze is that this bearish engulfing pattern appears at
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the same price of that long red candle that I have analyzed before. I said that it was the first significant
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candle and probably it was a sign that sellers find convenient to sell at that price.
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And here we are again with sellers that take the chance to sell the couple at this price again.
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Actually we can see that the price goes down and here we find a doji on the market.
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What does this doji say? The same thing that any doji says: there's indecision on the market.
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You can see that after the doji, there's a lateral phase on the market, with the price that is not going
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up,
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it's not going down,
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it is just following a minor sideways trend. After this doji,
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you can see that in this session
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sellers try to push the price down but buyers reacted. And the opposite happened in this candle with
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buyers that made their move but sellers managed to close near the opening.
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So it is a lateral phase in which buyers and sellers are trying to take control of the market,
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but no one is prevailing for now.
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Then we have the price going down again.
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It is quite easy to recognize the down movement because of all these red candles here. At the end
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of this down movement,
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we have a hammer, that is also near the bottom of the channel.
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So this is a pattern that I want to consider to open a long position on the market.
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I don't particularly like that the real body is that big,
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even if it is easy to see that the lower shadow is at least the double of the length of the real body.
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So at this point, I start to think that buyers are stepping into the market and they may have the power
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to push the price up, following the uptrend. At least for the first following sessions,
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I was not right, because the price continues to go down a bit more. At this point we have 2 dojis
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that may indicate that the retracement is coming to an end because a doji expresses indecision
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and here we have two dojis that are also near the bottom of the up-channel.
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So this is a very positive signal.
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The price starts to go up again, then there's a red candle and this gives me another clue that buyers
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are strong.
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You can see that this red candle has a long lower shadow, so it means that sellers were pushing the
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price down but buyers reacted.
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This means that for sellers is hard to go below this price because they find the resistance of
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the buyers. After that candle, there's a very strong green candle that also forms a bullish engulfing
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pattern.
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The price goes up without any huge problem
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and the first pattern that we face, that shows a trace of sellers on the markets, is here with the two candles
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that can be confused with a bearish engulfing pattern.
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Honestly, I wouldn't consider this one as a bearish engulfing pattern because you can see that at this
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point there's a very low volatility and the candles are very small if you compare them with the previous
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ones.
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So this pattern is not so significant because the shadows and the real body are very small and this
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means that the market was just quiet at that moment.
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I'm glad that we have studied the pattern in a very logic way,
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so you are able to understand the market without just saying: "oh there's a bearish engulfing pattern, I need
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to sell the currency pair". Then going on we have other two green candles that confirm the uptrend,
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but then we have a strong red candle that also forms a bearish engulfing pattern.
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So at this point, I would be a bit worried for my long position and I would monitor carefully next sessions.
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Buyers immediately react in the next sessions,
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you can see three green candles that almost recovered the loss caused by the long red candle.
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Then we have a doji almost at the same price of the bearish engulfing pattern
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and this is not good for my long position because it confirms that at that level sellers may find convenient
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to place they short positions.
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I want to draw a line to check this price because I also think that it has been an important level in
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the past.
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Actually there's a doji at this price, then a bearish engulfing pattern and then the lateral area that
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we have identified before, and this price matches with the resistance of the minor sideways trend.
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So my suspicions proved to be well founded. At this price level sellers seem to find convenient selling
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the couple and actually the price starts to go down again.
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Ok, so I can cancel this line now and analyze what we have at the end of this down move.
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We have another doji, again near the uptrend line that defines the bottom of the up-channel and you can
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see that the price starts to go up again.
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So it is a very interesting battle between buyers and sellers.
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It looks that buyers are in control and, in general, the price is following this up-channel.
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We have already identified three price levels where buyers push the price higher.
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The first one is at the beginning, where the price goes up forming very strong
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green candles.
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Then again buyers find convenient opening their long positions on the uptrend line here and now, after the
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doji, the price is going up again.
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There are also levels where sellers find convenient to place their short positions and they manage
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to push the price down.
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But I would say that buyers are stronger, especially because the price is forming higher lows,
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that is typical of an uptrend.10573
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