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These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:02,880 --> 00:00:03,360 Okay folks. 2 00:00:03,360 --> 00:00:03,870 Welcome back. 3 00:00:03,870 --> 00:00:10,380 This is another discussion on commodities is everything we refer to in this lesson. 4 00:00:10,470 --> 00:00:16,079 And in this month, 2017, June content is referring to you 5 00:00:16,079 --> 00:00:19,290 specifically as a paper trade only. 6 00:00:32,115 --> 00:00:36,405 Okay folks, June, 2017, ICT mentorship, ICT bond trading, lesson 7 00:00:36,405 --> 00:00:38,865 number two, split session rules, 8 00:00:46,695 --> 00:00:48,644 Katie bond, split session roles. 9 00:00:49,635 --> 00:00:53,685 Now, before we get into this, I understand that most of you are. 10 00:00:54,675 --> 00:01:00,315 In this mentorship to learn how to trade with my concepts for X. 11 00:01:01,184 --> 00:01:09,375 And there's a lot of time of day references for Forex and commodities. 12 00:01:09,375 --> 00:01:12,975 Have a unique time of day element as well. 13 00:01:13,634 --> 00:01:18,315 I'm going to teach you the way I interpret price action for my 14 00:01:18,315 --> 00:01:20,115 analysis for the bond market. 15 00:01:21,090 --> 00:01:24,090 There's some similarities, but there's some slight deviations that, as I 16 00:01:24,090 --> 00:01:26,789 mentioned at the beginning of this mentorship, when we get into the 17 00:01:27,179 --> 00:01:32,130 commodity content, there are time of day studies, but there's a small variance. 18 00:01:32,160 --> 00:01:35,429 What you normally expect to see in, for instance, the foreign exchange 19 00:01:35,429 --> 00:01:40,560 market, there's a small overlap, but then there's a small deviation for 20 00:01:40,560 --> 00:01:42,300 what we would normally expect for time. 21 00:01:45,025 --> 00:01:48,295 Traditionally overnight sessions will have an impact. 22 00:01:48,835 --> 00:01:51,085 And that's traditionally seen as the London session. 23 00:01:53,605 --> 00:01:56,935 New York am session is defined by 8:00 AM. 24 00:01:56,995 --> 00:01:59,575 New York time to noon, New York time. 25 00:02:01,365 --> 00:02:02,835 The New York PM session. 26 00:02:03,630 --> 00:02:07,679 Is defined by noon, New York time to 3:00 PM, New York time. 27 00:02:08,220 --> 00:02:11,880 Now, before I go any further and just understand that while we are 28 00:02:11,880 --> 00:02:16,620 generally familiar with the New York session or New York open kill zone, 29 00:02:16,680 --> 00:02:18,960 and there's a London close kill zone. 30 00:02:20,340 --> 00:02:24,630 And then the daily range we understand and can trade always late as 2:00 PM. 31 00:02:25,410 --> 00:02:27,300 There's a little bit of overlap, but we're going to actually 32 00:02:27,300 --> 00:02:29,640 define it in two sessions. 33 00:02:30,000 --> 00:02:30,240 So. 34 00:02:31,170 --> 00:02:32,280 Well, I'm teaching here. 35 00:02:32,370 --> 00:02:36,570 The analysis concept should be focused primarily on the New York session hours. 36 00:02:37,380 --> 00:02:41,760 While if you're going to graduate into, maybe you go through the lessons this 37 00:02:41,760 --> 00:02:45,300 week and you fall in love with bond trading and you say, you know, the 38 00:02:45,300 --> 00:02:46,920 heck with four X, the fact the heck. 39 00:02:47,730 --> 00:02:51,600 You know, stock trading and, uh, the other asset classes, 40 00:02:51,970 --> 00:02:53,490 I'm going to be avant trader. 41 00:02:53,670 --> 00:02:54,360 Well, yeah. 42 00:02:54,630 --> 00:02:55,050 Great. 43 00:02:55,230 --> 00:02:56,250 That's, that's wonderful. 44 00:02:56,250 --> 00:02:59,670 If that's what you become and you find your niche in the marketplace then great. 45 00:02:59,850 --> 00:03:02,760 That means that you've been a success going through the mentorship, 46 00:03:03,930 --> 00:03:09,540 but you can trade overnight or during the London session. 47 00:03:10,440 --> 00:03:16,470 The ZB or 30 year treasury bond and trade with similar things that we 48 00:03:16,470 --> 00:03:24,030 talked about in regards to the London open, I would counsel you to use the 49 00:03:24,030 --> 00:03:27,510 information that is seen by overnight trading during the London session 50 00:03:27,600 --> 00:03:29,580 to look for stops, liquidity voids. 51 00:03:30,584 --> 00:03:35,024 Fair value gaps, those types of things, and focus primarily on 52 00:03:35,024 --> 00:03:36,644 trading the New York session. 53 00:03:37,214 --> 00:03:42,375 As we mentioned in the previous lesson, one bond concepts, the largest 54 00:03:42,375 --> 00:03:46,725 volume is seen between eight o'clock and nine o'clock in the morning, or 55 00:03:46,725 --> 00:03:49,005 generally before the equity's open. 56 00:03:49,005 --> 00:03:52,394 So between 8:00 AM and 9:30 AM, New York time, that's the largest 57 00:03:52,394 --> 00:03:57,674 influx of purchasing and selling of the treasury bond futures. 58 00:04:01,079 --> 00:04:04,859 The am session has a built-in advantage because it generally will 59 00:04:04,859 --> 00:04:06,450 see the largest volume of the day. 60 00:04:07,320 --> 00:04:11,579 That means it's generally going to form the higher, low of the New York session 61 00:04:12,210 --> 00:04:18,329 or the blending of, or total range of the true day for treasury bonds. 62 00:04:20,790 --> 00:04:25,140 The PM session generally will have a continuation or reverse. 63 00:04:25,965 --> 00:04:28,215 And then the other thing is a consolidation. 64 00:04:28,965 --> 00:04:34,455 So generally you're going to see a move more often than not in the am session. 65 00:04:35,175 --> 00:04:39,255 I tried to focus when I was doing commodities only as an asset class 66 00:04:39,825 --> 00:04:44,925 focusing primarily on eight 20 in the morning to 11 o'clock in 67 00:04:44,925 --> 00:04:45,855 the morning, but it was like my. 68 00:04:47,160 --> 00:04:51,240 Kill zone, if you want to call it that when I was trading the E-mini S 69 00:04:51,240 --> 00:04:55,710 and P the S and P futures, big boy, and the commodities, the currencies, 70 00:04:55,710 --> 00:04:57,720 and the, um, the bond market. 71 00:04:58,200 --> 00:04:59,280 That was my work day. 72 00:04:59,520 --> 00:05:03,570 And when I wanted to be deviant or really push my luck, I would trade 73 00:05:03,570 --> 00:05:08,250 the PM session and the PM session for the treasury bond market. 74 00:05:08,640 --> 00:05:10,850 It seemed here as noon to three. 75 00:05:13,710 --> 00:05:17,220 Training days can see the complete trading day be one-sided in 76 00:05:17,220 --> 00:05:19,320 both the am and PM sessions. 77 00:05:19,530 --> 00:05:23,370 So in other words, the opening around 8:00 AM, 8:20 AM. 78 00:05:23,700 --> 00:05:27,360 New York time creates the low of the day and it can trade 79 00:05:27,360 --> 00:05:28,620 all the way up to 3:00 PM. 80 00:05:28,710 --> 00:05:31,590 One-sided completely bullish through am NPM trend. 81 00:05:32,820 --> 00:05:38,970 Those sessions together create the full daily range training days can start also. 82 00:05:40,034 --> 00:05:44,234 With one of the sessions being, for instance, the PM session. 83 00:05:45,075 --> 00:05:50,085 For instance, there could be a, uh, late afternoon FMC like we have tomorrow. 84 00:05:50,625 --> 00:05:54,885 Uh, the bond market could be consolidated during the am session and then go 85 00:05:54,885 --> 00:05:59,655 into a trending environment in the PM session that carries over and what we 86 00:05:59,655 --> 00:06:05,625 call a runner where you can have the move continuously go on into the next 87 00:06:05,625 --> 00:06:07,244 trading session or the session after. 88 00:06:10,219 --> 00:06:15,770 Consolidation days can see opposing directions in the am and PM sessions, or 89 00:06:15,770 --> 00:06:20,510 it can see one session produce a sling and the other be quiet or consolidate. 90 00:06:22,859 --> 00:06:25,979 So when we look at two o'clock in the morning to 5:00 AM we understand that 91 00:06:26,159 --> 00:06:28,590 is the traditional London session. 92 00:06:29,039 --> 00:06:29,219 Okay. 93 00:06:29,219 --> 00:06:32,460 So if we're looking at price, in terms of the bond market, we can 94 00:06:32,460 --> 00:06:33,960 refer to what overnight price. 95 00:06:34,935 --> 00:06:37,544 Has seen between two o'clock in the morning at 5:00 AM. 96 00:06:37,875 --> 00:06:39,255 That'll give us where our stops are. 97 00:06:39,255 --> 00:06:43,094 Overnight stops, overnight liquidity voids, fair value gaps. 98 00:06:43,515 --> 00:06:48,164 Um, any measure of PDA rate that we would normally use in 99 00:06:48,164 --> 00:06:49,515 the foreign exchange market. 100 00:06:49,965 --> 00:06:54,195 We would look for that to be found in this specific reference 101 00:06:54,195 --> 00:06:58,905 point in time while we're not actively trading them the session. 102 00:06:58,905 --> 00:07:02,385 And I don't really want to trade or imply that you should be trading 103 00:07:02,385 --> 00:07:03,914 along the session with the bond. 104 00:07:04,860 --> 00:07:09,690 We refer to it always between these two reference points, two 105 00:07:09,690 --> 00:07:10,980 o'clock in the morning at 5:00 AM. 106 00:07:13,350 --> 00:07:19,770 The am session or morning trend is defined by 8:00 AM to noon. 107 00:07:20,070 --> 00:07:26,909 Now, sometimes the 8:00 AM to noon session can end early around 11:00 AM, which is 108 00:07:26,909 --> 00:07:29,130 the traditional London close time period. 109 00:07:29,550 --> 00:07:32,070 London, European traders will be looking to close up. 110 00:07:32,955 --> 00:07:35,865 They made their money in the morning and they moved to the sidelines. 111 00:07:36,835 --> 00:07:40,215 Doesn't mean it's trailing the trading days ended or there's no more opportunity. 112 00:07:40,215 --> 00:07:43,295 It just means that we're going to see a reduction in. 113 00:07:44,625 --> 00:07:49,335 A lot of the European and UK traders are going to close up shop. 114 00:07:49,364 --> 00:07:52,125 Like I said, they're going to stop trading for the day and then you're left 115 00:07:52,125 --> 00:07:56,385 with the north American traders only, but we're also encountering what is 116 00:07:56,414 --> 00:08:00,734 referred to as New York lunch around 11 o'clock to one o'clock in the afternoon. 117 00:08:01,125 --> 00:08:05,594 So while I'm defining it in general terms, noon and the am session, 118 00:08:06,075 --> 00:08:08,864 just know that it can end earlier around 11 o'clock at night. 119 00:08:11,655 --> 00:08:15,945 This is your New York session am trend or New York am session. 120 00:08:17,715 --> 00:08:23,745 The next portion of the daily range for bond trading is the New York PM session. 121 00:08:23,775 --> 00:08:29,385 This is seen by delineating 12 noon, New York time to 3:00 PM. 122 00:08:29,835 --> 00:08:30,555 New York time. 123 00:08:32,625 --> 00:08:35,415 Again, this is the New York PM session now generally. 124 00:08:36,210 --> 00:08:39,150 If you have a runner, it means the market's made a significant 125 00:08:39,150 --> 00:08:40,860 higher, low in the morning session. 126 00:08:41,580 --> 00:08:46,260 Uh, you can see follow-through equal distance measured, moves that type 127 00:08:46,260 --> 00:08:50,640 of scenario, and whatever usually happens in the morning session 128 00:08:50,670 --> 00:08:56,400 generally is seen in quicker terms or less time in the PM session. 129 00:08:57,750 --> 00:09:01,560 If there's a large degree of the average daily range, if you will. 130 00:09:02,325 --> 00:09:04,125 Seen in the am session. 131 00:09:04,365 --> 00:09:07,155 That means that the PM session will be rather abbreviated. 132 00:09:07,575 --> 00:09:11,385 So that way we can use this information is if we know that the lion's portion 133 00:09:11,385 --> 00:09:15,525 of the day has been fulfilled by the am session, and we are going flat 134 00:09:15,525 --> 00:09:20,205 before New York lunch, we could avoid trading the PM session altogether. 135 00:09:20,235 --> 00:09:21,705 Don't come back for the second portion. 136 00:09:22,035 --> 00:09:25,275 Just be happy with what you made and go home in the black. 137 00:09:29,850 --> 00:09:30,030 All right. 138 00:09:30,030 --> 00:09:32,370 So let's take a look at the examples we had in the first 139 00:09:32,370 --> 00:09:36,930 lesson and define the price action by way of split session roles. 140 00:09:38,520 --> 00:09:40,890 Kate can see between two o'clock and five o'clock in the morning. 141 00:09:41,400 --> 00:09:47,010 There was a London open trade here, trades back up into closes the fair value 142 00:09:47,010 --> 00:09:52,200 gap and sells off going into what we understand classically as the New York. 143 00:09:53,250 --> 00:09:58,919 In Forex, but now we have to apply the bond rules, which is 8:00 AM to 9:00 AM. 144 00:09:59,250 --> 00:10:02,160 We have our opening range, which we defined in the first lesson. 145 00:10:02,880 --> 00:10:07,740 And then we saw a subsequent lower mood, which is the equity's opening 146 00:10:08,130 --> 00:10:13,109 runs that opening range low, and that's all occurring during the am 147 00:10:13,109 --> 00:10:19,650 session for the morning trend price rallies up into the 11 o'clock hour. 148 00:10:20,940 --> 00:10:22,530 And European traders go home. 149 00:10:22,800 --> 00:10:27,840 They square positions, retracement takes place right down into noon. 150 00:10:28,350 --> 00:10:34,920 So the retracement ends at noon and that begins the PM session, which we see here. 151 00:10:35,190 --> 00:10:39,690 This is the afternoon trend or the PM session for bonds. 152 00:10:40,560 --> 00:10:42,450 Price makes the high today ahead of, to. 153 00:10:43,439 --> 00:10:47,010 New York time and he doesn't consolidation at 3:00 PM. 154 00:10:47,099 --> 00:10:49,800 So we can see the daily range as defined by 8:00 AM. 155 00:10:50,219 --> 00:10:52,920 Typically is a bullish day. 156 00:10:52,949 --> 00:10:56,400 We can see the down move, which is a Judas swing price. 157 00:10:56,459 --> 00:10:58,170 Rallies away comes back. 158 00:10:58,380 --> 00:11:02,400 Find some support at the opening range and around that 1 53, 27 159 00:11:02,400 --> 00:11:07,620 level or thereabouts, and then rise again, making the high the day. 160 00:11:09,325 --> 00:11:12,775 I head up two o'clock in the afternoon and in price goes into retracement 161 00:11:12,775 --> 00:11:14,335 and then consolidation at 3:00 PM. 162 00:11:14,995 --> 00:11:18,595 Traditional power, three, just defined in terms of the 163 00:11:18,595 --> 00:11:20,305 split session rules for bonds. 164 00:11:23,305 --> 00:11:23,485 Okay. 165 00:11:23,485 --> 00:11:26,695 We have another example here and again, these are the same examples I used in 166 00:11:26,695 --> 00:11:31,165 lesson one, but we're just defining in split session roles for your benefit. 167 00:11:33,145 --> 00:11:36,625 Again, we have a price swing in the London. 168 00:11:37,995 --> 00:11:44,565 Price makes a high trades down into the eight to 9:00 AM session. 169 00:11:44,865 --> 00:11:49,545 Notice it's taking out the load that was formed in the London open. 170 00:11:51,705 --> 00:11:55,155 So the am session for the bond market trades down below the London 171 00:11:55,155 --> 00:12:00,075 session, lows creates a failure. 172 00:12:00,075 --> 00:12:05,815 Swing moves into a board shorter block at the 1 53 29. 173 00:12:06,855 --> 00:12:12,885 Price goes into expansion through the entire morning trend or am session into 174 00:12:12,975 --> 00:12:19,755 noon where it creates a market reversal profile and reversal takes place where 175 00:12:19,755 --> 00:12:26,715 we have the split session roles, seeing the am session going higher, then the 176 00:12:26,715 --> 00:12:31,455 PM session going lower, both offering opportunities, one for buy one for us. 177 00:12:32,339 --> 00:12:35,819 And then after three o'clock price goes into what we would see 178 00:12:35,819 --> 00:12:40,439 classically as a consolidation as defined by true day in Forex. 179 00:12:46,079 --> 00:12:46,229 Okay. 180 00:12:46,229 --> 00:12:47,339 We have another example here. 181 00:12:48,839 --> 00:12:54,780 Price makes that high in the two o'clock hour and as long as the session price 182 00:12:54,780 --> 00:12:58,890 trades down, and then notice what's happening here early at 7:00 AM. 183 00:12:59,760 --> 00:13:04,680 New York open kill zone in the forks market price rallies up and clears out 184 00:13:04,680 --> 00:13:07,770 the highs, the equal highs around 1 54 19. 185 00:13:08,430 --> 00:13:12,780 Going into the eight o'clock hour price makes that high sweeps, the 186 00:13:12,780 --> 00:13:18,390 London high trades down aggressively and blows out the lows that was 187 00:13:18,390 --> 00:13:24,000 formed in the London session and the early seven o'clock in the morning. 188 00:13:25,305 --> 00:13:28,245 Between eight o'clock and nine o'clock in the morning. 189 00:13:28,245 --> 00:13:29,805 So at nine o'clock, it creates the level of the day. 190 00:13:30,315 --> 00:13:33,765 True to form donate am. 191 00:13:33,765 --> 00:13:37,395 Session price has a large opening range. 192 00:13:37,395 --> 00:13:40,545 So when there's an, a large opening range, we want to start looking for 193 00:13:41,115 --> 00:13:43,425 retracement ideas or fair value ideas. 194 00:13:43,455 --> 00:13:46,965 In other words, bulls shorter blocks, fair value gaps to be a buyer or seller. 195 00:13:46,965 --> 00:13:49,785 And in his case, it was bullish because price traded down and took out the 196 00:13:49,785 --> 00:13:52,575 liquidity below the lows at 1 54. 197 00:13:54,000 --> 00:13:59,820 And ran a stops on the buy stops in the London highs. 198 00:14:00,090 --> 00:14:03,660 So it's worked both sides of the marketplace, but more specifically, 199 00:14:03,660 --> 00:14:09,180 it trades down, creates the Judas swing and it creates a turtle suit, 200 00:14:09,270 --> 00:14:15,630 which is a move below the 1 54 0 2 level in the opening range, eight 201 00:14:15,810 --> 00:14:16,980 o'clock to nine o'clock in the morning. 202 00:14:17,010 --> 00:14:20,430 New York time that down close candle creates a bullish 203 00:14:20,430 --> 00:14:22,170 shorter block at that 1 5402. 204 00:14:22,920 --> 00:14:27,870 And that is what is seen for the move taking place for the PM 205 00:14:27,870 --> 00:14:32,910 session or the afternoon trend and price starts to rally away there. 206 00:14:33,240 --> 00:14:34,560 Now you're probably saying, what does it look like? 207 00:14:34,560 --> 00:14:35,579 You're responsible to move there. 208 00:14:36,430 --> 00:14:39,630 Doesn't require a whole lot of move for the bond to pay you. 209 00:14:40,590 --> 00:14:44,970 So you have a bull shorter block during the am session or a turtle soup either. 210 00:14:44,970 --> 00:14:49,829 Or the turtle soup is a buy below 1 5400. 211 00:14:51,375 --> 00:14:57,194 Which is the six o'clock seven o'clock in the morning, lows or price trades 212 00:14:57,194 --> 00:15:00,705 back above that 1 54 0 3 level. 213 00:15:01,395 --> 00:15:05,265 And it comes back down into divorce order block for the PM session, you can take 214 00:15:05,265 --> 00:15:11,175 that trade or during the am session price trades down into fills the fair value 215 00:15:11,175 --> 00:15:18,194 gap at 1 54 0 3 into 1 54 0 2 ahead of. 216 00:15:19,185 --> 00:15:20,175 The 10 o'clock hour. 217 00:15:20,175 --> 00:15:25,920 And this is all during the equities open and price rallies from 1 218 00:15:25,920 --> 00:15:30,195 54 0 2 all up into 1 54, 10. 219 00:15:30,435 --> 00:15:35,235 So it's an eight tech move, eight times $31 and 25 cents per contract. 220 00:15:35,595 --> 00:15:36,915 That would be your am session mood. 221 00:15:36,945 --> 00:15:39,255 Now I know some of you're thinking, well, that doesn't seem like a lot. 222 00:15:39,855 --> 00:15:44,775 You can find these traits several different times a week, let your highly 223 00:15:44,835 --> 00:15:46,575 selective by what you're looking for. 224 00:15:46,575 --> 00:15:46,815 And. 225 00:15:48,855 --> 00:15:50,655 But the better trade was in the PM session. 226 00:15:50,955 --> 00:15:53,385 And you can take portions off once. 227 00:15:53,385 --> 00:15:58,395 The fair value gap is filled between the highs at 1 54 10 during the am 228 00:15:58,395 --> 00:16:05,715 session and the last up-close candle during the eight o'clock hour. 229 00:16:06,585 --> 00:16:09,225 So that fair you got closes in at 1 54 13. 230 00:16:10,185 --> 00:16:11,235 There's your profit there. 231 00:16:11,265 --> 00:16:13,095 You would take profits in net position. 232 00:16:13,095 --> 00:16:15,975 So 1 5402 to 1 54 13. 233 00:16:17,145 --> 00:16:20,475 So you would see an 11 tick move for the PM session. 234 00:16:20,535 --> 00:16:23,715 And if you left something on as a runner, you could have captured a little 235 00:16:23,715 --> 00:16:28,755 bit more move to run out the opening range high at 1 54 21 later on in 236 00:16:28,755 --> 00:16:30,105 the evening during the agent session. 237 00:16:31,814 --> 00:16:38,865 So by having these ideas applied to price action, we defined the bond market trading 238 00:16:38,865 --> 00:16:42,375 day in a specific criteria as defined. 239 00:16:43,485 --> 00:16:47,175 But we're also including everything we learned in terms of PDA res institutional 240 00:16:47,175 --> 00:16:51,555 order flow and other time of day studies as it overlaps with Forex. 241 00:16:51,975 --> 00:16:56,475 So you can see how there's a blending of how the markets work together. 242 00:16:56,505 --> 00:17:03,405 They still respect time, but by applying these concepts and then thinking about how 243 00:17:03,405 --> 00:17:08,025 it dovetails nicely with foreign exchange, you'll start to see there's a synergy 244 00:17:08,235 --> 00:17:10,454 that takes place between the asset class. 245 00:17:11,175 --> 00:17:14,595 And how bonds influence other markets, but you're not going to appreciate 246 00:17:14,595 --> 00:17:19,335 that until you start doing a day by day basis and study and keeping a journal of 247 00:17:19,545 --> 00:17:21,255 the bomb market as we're showing here. 248 00:17:22,665 --> 00:17:26,444 So what we've covered so far is the opening range concept, the basics of 249 00:17:26,474 --> 00:17:30,885 what makes a bond market valuation in terms of its movement, the time 250 00:17:30,885 --> 00:17:36,975 of day that we'd like to study it and specific generic terms of what type of 251 00:17:37,155 --> 00:17:39,765 moves take place at these times of day. 252 00:17:41,710 --> 00:17:45,399 Now the next lesson is going to be in trading and consolidation days and how 253 00:17:45,399 --> 00:17:50,139 we can look for small moves before we get to those trending days where there's 254 00:17:50,139 --> 00:17:52,990 a big, large range available until then. 255 00:17:53,050 --> 00:17:54,669 I wish you good luck and good trading. 23190

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