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Okay folks.
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Welcome back.
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This is another discussion on commodities
is everything we refer to in this lesson.
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And in this month, 2017, June
content is referring to you
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specifically as a paper trade only.
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Okay folks, June, 2017, ICT
mentorship, ICT bond trading, lesson
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number two, split session rules,
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Katie bond, split session roles.
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Now, before we get into this, I
understand that most of you are.
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In this mentorship to learn how
to trade with my concepts for X.
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And there's a lot of time of day
references for Forex and commodities.
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Have a unique time of day element as well.
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I'm going to teach you the way
I interpret price action for my
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analysis for the bond market.
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There's some similarities, but there's
some slight deviations that, as I
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mentioned at the beginning of this
mentorship, when we get into the
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commodity content, there are time of day
studies, but there's a small variance.
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What you normally expect to see in,
for instance, the foreign exchange
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market, there's a small overlap, but
then there's a small deviation for
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what we would normally expect for time.
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Traditionally overnight
sessions will have an impact.
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And that's traditionally
seen as the London session.
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New York am session is defined by 8:00 AM.
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New York time to noon, New York time.
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The New York PM session.
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Is defined by noon, New York
time to 3:00 PM, New York time.
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Now, before I go any further and
just understand that while we are
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generally familiar with the New York
session or New York open kill zone,
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and there's a London close kill zone.
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And then the daily range we understand
and can trade always late as 2:00 PM.
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There's a little bit of overlap,
but we're going to actually
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define it in two sessions.
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So.
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Well, I'm teaching here.
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The analysis concept should be focused
primarily on the New York session hours.
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While if you're going to graduate into,
maybe you go through the lessons this
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week and you fall in love with bond
trading and you say, you know, the
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heck with four X, the fact the heck.
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You know, stock trading and,
uh, the other asset classes,
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I'm going to be avant trader.
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Well, yeah.
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Great.
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That's, that's wonderful.
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If that's what you become and you find
your niche in the marketplace then great.
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That means that you've been a
success going through the mentorship,
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but you can trade overnight
or during the London session.
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The ZB or 30 year treasury bond and
trade with similar things that we
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talked about in regards to the London
open, I would counsel you to use the
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information that is seen by overnight
trading during the London session
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to look for stops, liquidity voids.
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Fair value gaps, those types of
things, and focus primarily on
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trading the New York session.
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As we mentioned in the previous
lesson, one bond concepts, the largest
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volume is seen between eight o'clock
and nine o'clock in the morning, or
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generally before the equity's open.
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So between 8:00 AM and 9:30 AM,
New York time, that's the largest
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influx of purchasing and selling
of the treasury bond futures.
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The am session has a built-in
advantage because it generally will
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see the largest volume of the day.
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That means it's generally going to form
the higher, low of the New York session
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or the blending of, or total range
of the true day for treasury bonds.
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The PM session generally will
have a continuation or reverse.
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And then the other thing
is a consolidation.
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So generally you're going to see a move
more often than not in the am session.
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I tried to focus when I was doing
commodities only as an asset class
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focusing primarily on eight 20
in the morning to 11 o'clock in
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the morning, but it was like my.
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Kill zone, if you want to call it
that when I was trading the E-mini S
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and P the S and P futures, big boy,
and the commodities, the currencies,
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and the, um, the bond market.
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That was my work day.
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And when I wanted to be deviant or
really push my luck, I would trade
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the PM session and the PM session
for the treasury bond market.
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It seemed here as noon to three.
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Training days can see the complete
trading day be one-sided in
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both the am and PM sessions.
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So in other words, the opening
around 8:00 AM, 8:20 AM.
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New York time creates the low
of the day and it can trade
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all the way up to 3:00 PM.
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One-sided completely bullish
through am NPM trend.
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Those sessions together create the full
daily range training days can start also.
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With one of the sessions being,
for instance, the PM session.
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For instance, there could be a, uh, late
afternoon FMC like we have tomorrow.
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Uh, the bond market could be consolidated
during the am session and then go
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into a trending environment in the PM
session that carries over and what we
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call a runner where you can have the
move continuously go on into the next
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trading session or the session after.
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Consolidation days can see opposing
directions in the am and PM sessions, or
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it can see one session produce a sling
and the other be quiet or consolidate.
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So when we look at two o'clock in the
morning to 5:00 AM we understand that
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is the traditional London session.
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Okay.
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So if we're looking at price, in
terms of the bond market, we can
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refer to what overnight price.
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Has seen between two o'clock
in the morning at 5:00 AM.
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That'll give us where our stops are.
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Overnight stops, overnight
liquidity voids, fair value gaps.
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Um, any measure of PDA rate
that we would normally use in
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the foreign exchange market.
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We would look for that to be
found in this specific reference
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point in time while we're not
actively trading them the session.
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And I don't really want to trade
or imply that you should be trading
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along the session with the bond.
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We refer to it always between
these two reference points, two
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o'clock in the morning at 5:00 AM.
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The am session or morning trend
is defined by 8:00 AM to noon.
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Now, sometimes the 8:00 AM to noon session
can end early around 11:00 AM, which is
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the traditional London close time period.
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London, European traders
will be looking to close up.
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They made their money in the morning
and they moved to the sidelines.
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Doesn't mean it's trailing the trading
days ended or there's no more opportunity.
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It just means that we're
going to see a reduction in.
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A lot of the European and UK
traders are going to close up shop.
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Like I said, they're going to stop
trading for the day and then you're left
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00:07:52,125 --> 00:07:56,385
with the north American traders only,
but we're also encountering what is
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referred to as New York lunch around 11
o'clock to one o'clock in the afternoon.
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00:08:01,125 --> 00:08:05,594
So while I'm defining it in general
terms, noon and the am session,
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just know that it can end earlier
around 11 o'clock at night.
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This is your New York session
am trend or New York am session.
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The next portion of the daily range for
bond trading is the New York PM session.
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This is seen by delineating 12
noon, New York time to 3:00 PM.
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New York time.
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Again, this is the New York
PM session now generally.
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If you have a runner, it means
the market's made a significant
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higher, low in the morning session.
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Uh, you can see follow-through equal
distance measured, moves that type
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of scenario, and whatever usually
happens in the morning session
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00:08:50,670 --> 00:08:56,400
generally is seen in quicker terms
or less time in the PM session.
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If there's a large degree of the
average daily range, if you will.
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Seen in the am session.
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That means that the PM session
will be rather abbreviated.
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So that way we can use this information
is if we know that the lion's portion
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of the day has been fulfilled by the
am session, and we are going flat
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before New York lunch, we could avoid
trading the PM session altogether.
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Don't come back for the second portion.
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Just be happy with what you
made and go home in the black.
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All right.
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So let's take a look at the
examples we had in the first
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lesson and define the price action
by way of split session roles.
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Kate can see between two o'clock
and five o'clock in the morning.
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There was a London open trade here,
trades back up into closes the fair value
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gap and sells off going into what we
understand classically as the New York.
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In Forex, but now we have to apply the
bond rules, which is 8:00 AM to 9:00 AM.
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We have our opening range, which
we defined in the first lesson.
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And then we saw a subsequent lower
mood, which is the equity's opening
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runs that opening range low, and
that's all occurring during the am
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session for the morning trend price
rallies up into the 11 o'clock hour.
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00:10:20,940 --> 00:10:22,530
And European traders go home.
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00:10:22,800 --> 00:10:27,840
They square positions, retracement
takes place right down into noon.
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00:10:28,350 --> 00:10:34,920
So the retracement ends at noon and that
begins the PM session, which we see here.
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00:10:35,190 --> 00:10:39,690
This is the afternoon trend
or the PM session for bonds.
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Price makes the high today ahead of, to.
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New York time and he doesn't
consolidation at 3:00 PM.
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So we can see the daily
range as defined by 8:00 AM.
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Typically is a bullish day.
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We can see the down move,
which is a Judas swing price.
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Rallies away comes back.
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Find some support at the opening
range and around that 1 53, 27
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level or thereabouts, and then rise
again, making the high the day.
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I head up two o'clock in the afternoon
and in price goes into retracement
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and then consolidation at 3:00 PM.
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Traditional power, three,
just defined in terms of the
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split session rules for bonds.
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Okay.
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We have another example here and again,
these are the same examples I used in
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lesson one, but we're just defining in
split session roles for your benefit.
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Again, we have a price
swing in the London.
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Price makes a high trades down
into the eight to 9:00 AM session.
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00:11:44,865 --> 00:11:49,545
Notice it's taking out the load
that was formed in the London open.
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00:11:51,705 --> 00:11:55,155
So the am session for the bond
market trades down below the London
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session, lows creates a failure.
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00:12:00,075 --> 00:12:05,815
Swing moves into a board
shorter block at the 1 53 29.
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00:12:06,855 --> 00:12:12,885
Price goes into expansion through the
entire morning trend or am session into
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noon where it creates a market reversal
profile and reversal takes place where
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we have the split session roles, seeing
the am session going higher, then the
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00:12:26,715 --> 00:12:31,455
PM session going lower, both offering
opportunities, one for buy one for us.
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00:12:32,339 --> 00:12:35,819
And then after three o'clock
price goes into what we would see
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00:12:35,819 --> 00:12:40,439
classically as a consolidation
as defined by true day in Forex.
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00:12:46,079 --> 00:12:46,229
Okay.
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00:12:46,229 --> 00:12:47,339
We have another example here.
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Price makes that high in the two o'clock
hour and as long as the session price
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00:12:54,780 --> 00:12:58,890
trades down, and then notice what's
happening here early at 7:00 AM.
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New York open kill zone in the forks
market price rallies up and clears out
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00:13:04,680 --> 00:13:07,770
the highs, the equal highs around 1 54 19.
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00:13:08,430 --> 00:13:12,780
Going into the eight o'clock hour
price makes that high sweeps, the
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00:13:12,780 --> 00:13:18,390
London high trades down aggressively
and blows out the lows that was
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00:13:18,390 --> 00:13:24,000
formed in the London session and the
early seven o'clock in the morning.
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00:13:25,305 --> 00:13:28,245
Between eight o'clock and
nine o'clock in the morning.
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00:13:28,245 --> 00:13:29,805
So at nine o'clock, it
creates the level of the day.
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00:13:30,315 --> 00:13:33,765
True to form donate am.
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00:13:33,765 --> 00:13:37,395
Session price has a large opening range.
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00:13:37,395 --> 00:13:40,545
So when there's an, a large opening
range, we want to start looking for
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00:13:41,115 --> 00:13:43,425
retracement ideas or fair value ideas.
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00:13:43,455 --> 00:13:46,965
In other words, bulls shorter blocks,
fair value gaps to be a buyer or seller.
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00:13:46,965 --> 00:13:49,785
And in his case, it was bullish because
price traded down and took out the
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00:13:49,785 --> 00:13:52,575
liquidity below the lows at 1 54.
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00:13:54,000 --> 00:13:59,820
And ran a stops on the buy
stops in the London highs.
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00:14:00,090 --> 00:14:03,660
So it's worked both sides of the
marketplace, but more specifically,
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00:14:03,660 --> 00:14:09,180
it trades down, creates the Judas
swing and it creates a turtle suit,
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00:14:09,270 --> 00:14:15,630
which is a move below the 1 54 0 2
level in the opening range, eight
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00:14:15,810 --> 00:14:16,980
o'clock to nine o'clock in the morning.
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00:14:17,010 --> 00:14:20,430
New York time that down close
candle creates a bullish
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00:14:20,430 --> 00:14:22,170
shorter block at that 1 5402.
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00:14:22,920 --> 00:14:27,870
And that is what is seen for
the move taking place for the PM
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00:14:27,870 --> 00:14:32,910
session or the afternoon trend and
price starts to rally away there.
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00:14:33,240 --> 00:14:34,560
Now you're probably saying,
what does it look like?
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00:14:34,560 --> 00:14:35,579
You're responsible to move there.
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00:14:36,430 --> 00:14:39,630
Doesn't require a whole lot of
move for the bond to pay you.
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00:14:40,590 --> 00:14:44,970
So you have a bull shorter block during
the am session or a turtle soup either.
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00:14:44,970 --> 00:14:49,829
Or the turtle soup is a buy below 1 5400.
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00:14:51,375 --> 00:14:57,194
Which is the six o'clock seven o'clock
in the morning, lows or price trades
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00:14:57,194 --> 00:15:00,705
back above that 1 54 0 3 level.
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00:15:01,395 --> 00:15:05,265
And it comes back down into divorce order
block for the PM session, you can take
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00:15:05,265 --> 00:15:11,175
that trade or during the am session price
trades down into fills the fair value
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00:15:11,175 --> 00:15:18,194
gap at 1 54 0 3 into 1 54 0 2 ahead of.
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00:15:19,185 --> 00:15:20,175
The 10 o'clock hour.
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00:15:20,175 --> 00:15:25,920
And this is all during the equities
open and price rallies from 1
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00:15:25,920 --> 00:15:30,195
54 0 2 all up into 1 54, 10.
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00:15:30,435 --> 00:15:35,235
So it's an eight tech move, eight
times $31 and 25 cents per contract.
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00:15:35,595 --> 00:15:36,915
That would be your am session mood.
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00:15:36,945 --> 00:15:39,255
Now I know some of you're thinking,
well, that doesn't seem like a lot.
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00:15:39,855 --> 00:15:44,775
You can find these traits several
different times a week, let your highly
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00:15:44,835 --> 00:15:46,575
selective by what you're looking for.
224
00:15:46,575 --> 00:15:46,815
And.
225
00:15:48,855 --> 00:15:50,655
But the better trade
was in the PM session.
226
00:15:50,955 --> 00:15:53,385
And you can take portions off once.
227
00:15:53,385 --> 00:15:58,395
The fair value gap is filled between
the highs at 1 54 10 during the am
228
00:15:58,395 --> 00:16:05,715
session and the last up-close candle
during the eight o'clock hour.
229
00:16:06,585 --> 00:16:09,225
So that fair you got closes in at 1 54 13.
230
00:16:10,185 --> 00:16:11,235
There's your profit there.
231
00:16:11,265 --> 00:16:13,095
You would take profits in net position.
232
00:16:13,095 --> 00:16:15,975
So 1 5402 to 1 54 13.
233
00:16:17,145 --> 00:16:20,475
So you would see an 11 tick
move for the PM session.
234
00:16:20,535 --> 00:16:23,715
And if you left something on as a
runner, you could have captured a little
235
00:16:23,715 --> 00:16:28,755
bit more move to run out the opening
range high at 1 54 21 later on in
236
00:16:28,755 --> 00:16:30,105
the evening during the agent session.
237
00:16:31,814 --> 00:16:38,865
So by having these ideas applied to price
action, we defined the bond market trading
238
00:16:38,865 --> 00:16:42,375
day in a specific criteria as defined.
239
00:16:43,485 --> 00:16:47,175
But we're also including everything we
learned in terms of PDA res institutional
240
00:16:47,175 --> 00:16:51,555
order flow and other time of day
studies as it overlaps with Forex.
241
00:16:51,975 --> 00:16:56,475
So you can see how there's a blending
of how the markets work together.
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00:16:56,505 --> 00:17:03,405
They still respect time, but by applying
these concepts and then thinking about how
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00:17:03,405 --> 00:17:08,025
it dovetails nicely with foreign exchange,
you'll start to see there's a synergy
244
00:17:08,235 --> 00:17:10,454
that takes place between the asset class.
245
00:17:11,175 --> 00:17:14,595
And how bonds influence other markets,
but you're not going to appreciate
246
00:17:14,595 --> 00:17:19,335
that until you start doing a day by day
basis and study and keeping a journal of
247
00:17:19,545 --> 00:17:21,255
the bomb market as we're showing here.
248
00:17:22,665 --> 00:17:26,444
So what we've covered so far is the
opening range concept, the basics of
249
00:17:26,474 --> 00:17:30,885
what makes a bond market valuation
in terms of its movement, the time
250
00:17:30,885 --> 00:17:36,975
of day that we'd like to study it and
specific generic terms of what type of
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00:17:37,155 --> 00:17:39,765
moves take place at these times of day.
252
00:17:41,710 --> 00:17:45,399
Now the next lesson is going to be in
trading and consolidation days and how
253
00:17:45,399 --> 00:17:50,139
we can look for small moves before we
get to those trending days where there's
254
00:17:50,139 --> 00:17:52,990
a big, large range available until then.
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00:17:53,050 --> 00:17:54,669
I wish you good luck and good trading.
23190
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