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Now what I want to do is to
give a very brief overview
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of some of the problems with
centralized finance or CeFi.
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It's very brief
because we will go
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through in much greater detail
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later in the course these
problems one by one.
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But I want to introduce
the problems.
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What's the reason for this?
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You've got a new technology.
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The new technology to be
viable has to solve problems.
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It's not particularly
useful to solve a problem
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that doesn't exist or
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a problem that might
exist in the future.
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It's much more credible
to actually address
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the problems that we
deal with right now.
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Let me go through some
of these problems.
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There are five that I focus on.
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There are more, but these
are five that are important.
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Centralized control,
limited access,
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inefficiency, lack of
interoperability, and opacity.
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Again, I just want to do an
overview and we will get
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back to each of these
in much greater detail.
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To centralize control,
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our banking system is
highly concentrated.
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It's interesting that it's
not as concentrated as,
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let's say, in Europe or Canada,
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but it is concentrated.
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Our large banks have
significant influence.
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Central national banks,
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like the Federal Reserve
or the Bank of England,
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also have control over
the fiat currencies.
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There's concentration
in other areas too.
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There's non-financial
centralization that
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you could argue is
linked to finance.
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Amazon and retail, Facebook,
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Google, and digital advertising.
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These are firms with
enormous market power.
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These are firms that are,
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at least we know for
one of them, Facebook,
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very interested in
investigating cryptocurrency.
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It makes sense for them.
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Given the amount of business
that they actually do,
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that it comes down
to a credit card to
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save that three
percent is a big deal.
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Limited access,
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again I'll talk in more
detail about this.
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But there are 1.7 billion
people that are unbanked.
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There's probably more than
that are underbanked.
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Our financial system,
even though it's been
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operating in its current form
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for a little over a 100 years,
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a lot of people are left out.
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As I'll go through
a little later,
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this means that many
entrepreneurs are
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forced to use a credit card
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to get financing
for their business.
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We know what those
credit card rates are.
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Like 20 percent or more.
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That can't be a good thing.
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Number three is inefficiency
and we've talked
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already about the
three percent swipe.
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Look, don't fool yourself
by saying, well,
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I don't pay the three percent,
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it's the retailer that does.
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Well, that's pretty naive
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because that three percent makes
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its way into the
price that you're
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actually paying or part
of the three percent.
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I talked about the inefficiency
of a wire transfer or
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the two day settlement
when you buy a stock,
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that just seems unacceptable
in the age of the Internet.
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Transfer is slow, it's fraud.
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Credit card companies
might say, "Well,
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we have to charge
three percent because
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we need to spend that
money on security.
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We will guarantee if somebody
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steals your card and uses it,
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we'll pay you back.
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You're not affected,
there'll be a chargeback."
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Essentially you're paying
that three percent
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because they've got
a flawed technology,
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you're subsidizing a
flawed technology.
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It's also no possibility
of microtransactions,
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which I'll talk about also.
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It's interesting in this space.
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It's also difficult to get paid.
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We take a paying on
the Internet with
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a credit card its much more
difficult to receive funds.
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There are some
Fintech technologies
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that are allowing
people to do this,
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but those technologies
largely use
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the centralized
finance backbone.
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Lack of interoperability.
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Our institutions
are highly siloed.
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To do something really simple,
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like move some money from
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my bank to my Robinhood account,
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that's going to take
two or three days.
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Let's say I want to buy
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something like a
stock on Robinhood or
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some other broker platform
and I want to do it quickly.
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Well, it's really
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difficult to do quickly
because I have to
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transfer the money using
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decentralized system and it's
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going take two or three days.
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Again, it is frustrating
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in the age of the Internet that
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it would take so
long to do this.
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Some of these
companies recognize
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that this is a problem and
there had been efforts,
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for example, visa attempted
to acquire Plaid.
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Plaid is a fintech platform that
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links to make things
more interoperable.
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But interestingly enough,
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that transaction was
blocked by the regulators.
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The last thing is opacity.
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There's very little
transparency.
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You go to the bank,
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you see one bank advertising
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a savings rate or a CD rate
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that is much higher
than the other bank.
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Well, maybe they're
doing that because
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they're in distress,
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that they're just risky,
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and it's really hard
for customers to figure
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out the risk of the actual bank.
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Indeed, what we have to do
is to rely upon regulation.
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Thousands of people that
are inspecting the banks.
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So it's not out in the open
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and that's what
DeFi actually does.
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I'm going to argue
that these frictions,
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these problems cause missed
growth opportunities.
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This is very much
related to some
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of my academic research.
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The idea is really simple.
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The entrepreneur goes
to the bank with
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a great idea and
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it might be 25 percent
return on investment.
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Very exciting idea.
They need a loan,
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but the bank's not
interested because
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the bank would rather deal
with a very large customer,
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rather than dealing with
many small customers.
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The entrepreneur might
have a relationship with
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the bank and the
bank says, well,
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we will boost your
credit limit on
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your credit card and you can
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borrow the money on
the credit card.
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That rate could be 24 percent.
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When you think about it,
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the return on investment,25,
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the cost of capital,
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24 percent. What happens?
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The project is not pursued.
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That is really damaging
for the economy.
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All economies need
economic growth.
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Indeed, many economies
are greatly indebted.
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The amount of government
debt divided by, let's say,
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GDP for many countries
is at an all-time high,
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or at least an all-time
non wartime high.
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That debt needs to be paid back.
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There are three ways to do that.
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One way is to raise
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taxes and we know that
raising taxes is not
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going to be particularly
stimulative for economic growth.
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Another way is just to
print money and we know how
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that turns out with inflation,
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which is a tax on everybody,
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but there's a third way.
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The third way is increased
economic growth.
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We've been stuck in
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the US with a two
percent growth rate.
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Europe is one percent.
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Japan is less than
that, effectively zero.
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But if you have
increased growth,
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then it's much more likely
that you can pay back
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your debt without
raising tax rates.
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Just the economic growth,
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the increased revenues
are generating
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more tax inflow for the
government to pay down debt.
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This is really important in that
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the current economic system
is basically locking us in to
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a low growth environment that
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the project that the
entrepreneur has
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got that delivers 25 percent.
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That is the project that we can
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boost GDP growth
to five percent,
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six percent, seven percent.
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But those projects just aren't
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profitable given the financial
system that we've got.
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The basic idea is that there
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should be equality
of opportunity.
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Right now, we've got
inequality of opportunity.
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Certain powerful firms get
the best possible deals.
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That just doesn't seem right
on multiple dimensions,
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including the
economic dimension.
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That project should be financed
based upon the quality
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of the idea and the soundness
of the execution plan.
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There are many other
issues that are
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under this rubric of
inequality of opportunities.
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Many in the world have no access
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to the Internet to do commerce,
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whether it's the buy or sell.
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Many of the unbanked. This is
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also a big loss for
economic growth.
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Where we're going
is to establish
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a technology that is inclusive,
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that allows for equality
of opportunity.
14873
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