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These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:00,620 --> 00:00:04,800 Now what I want to do is to give a very brief overview 2 00:00:04,800 --> 00:00:08,880 of some of the problems with centralized finance or CeFi. 3 00:00:08,880 --> 00:00:10,680 It's very brief because we will go 4 00:00:10,680 --> 00:00:12,735 through in much greater detail 5 00:00:12,735 --> 00:00:16,785 later in the course these problems one by one. 6 00:00:16,785 --> 00:00:20,160 But I want to introduce the problems. 7 00:00:20,160 --> 00:00:22,755 What's the reason for this? 8 00:00:22,755 --> 00:00:24,765 You've got a new technology. 9 00:00:24,765 --> 00:00:30,180 The new technology to be viable has to solve problems. 10 00:00:30,180 --> 00:00:35,910 It's not particularly useful to solve a problem 11 00:00:35,910 --> 00:00:38,430 that doesn't exist or 12 00:00:38,430 --> 00:00:41,805 a problem that might exist in the future. 13 00:00:41,805 --> 00:00:45,290 It's much more credible to actually address 14 00:00:45,290 --> 00:00:50,370 the problems that we deal with right now. 15 00:00:50,370 --> 00:00:54,615 Let me go through some of these problems. 16 00:00:54,615 --> 00:00:58,410 There are five that I focus on. 17 00:00:58,410 --> 00:01:03,245 There are more, but these are five that are important. 18 00:01:03,245 --> 00:01:06,065 Centralized control, limited access, 19 00:01:06,065 --> 00:01:11,230 inefficiency, lack of interoperability, and opacity. 20 00:01:11,230 --> 00:01:15,290 Again, I just want to do an overview and we will get 21 00:01:15,290 --> 00:01:19,685 back to each of these in much greater detail. 22 00:01:19,685 --> 00:01:22,275 To centralize control, 23 00:01:22,275 --> 00:01:26,405 our banking system is highly concentrated. 24 00:01:26,405 --> 00:01:30,980 It's interesting that it's not as concentrated as, 25 00:01:30,980 --> 00:01:34,070 let's say, in Europe or Canada, 26 00:01:34,070 --> 00:01:36,155 but it is concentrated. 27 00:01:36,155 --> 00:01:41,100 Our large banks have significant influence. 28 00:01:41,300 --> 00:01:47,165 Central national banks, 29 00:01:47,165 --> 00:01:50,210 like the Federal Reserve or the Bank of England, 30 00:01:50,210 --> 00:01:56,700 also have control over the fiat currencies. 31 00:01:56,750 --> 00:02:01,085 There's concentration in other areas too. 32 00:02:01,085 --> 00:02:05,045 There's non-financial centralization that 33 00:02:05,045 --> 00:02:08,990 you could argue is linked to finance. 34 00:02:08,990 --> 00:02:11,600 Amazon and retail, Facebook, 35 00:02:11,600 --> 00:02:14,720 Google, and digital advertising. 36 00:02:14,720 --> 00:02:18,395 These are firms with enormous market power. 37 00:02:18,395 --> 00:02:22,175 These are firms that are, 38 00:02:22,175 --> 00:02:25,910 at least we know for one of them, Facebook, 39 00:02:25,910 --> 00:02:31,615 very interested in investigating cryptocurrency. 40 00:02:31,615 --> 00:02:33,830 It makes sense for them. 41 00:02:33,830 --> 00:02:37,505 Given the amount of business that they actually do, 42 00:02:37,505 --> 00:02:40,340 that it comes down to a credit card to 43 00:02:40,340 --> 00:02:44,420 save that three percent is a big deal. 44 00:02:45,380 --> 00:02:47,775 Limited access, 45 00:02:47,775 --> 00:02:49,850 again I'll talk in more detail about this. 46 00:02:49,850 --> 00:02:54,810 But there are 1.7 billion people that are unbanked. 47 00:02:55,630 --> 00:03:01,530 There's probably more than that are underbanked. 48 00:03:01,940 --> 00:03:05,180 Our financial system, even though it's been 49 00:03:05,180 --> 00:03:08,120 operating in its current form 50 00:03:08,120 --> 00:03:10,615 for a little over a 100 years, 51 00:03:10,615 --> 00:03:13,600 a lot of people are left out. 52 00:03:14,180 --> 00:03:17,660 As I'll go through a little later, 53 00:03:17,660 --> 00:03:23,090 this means that many entrepreneurs are 54 00:03:23,090 --> 00:03:25,330 forced to use a credit card 55 00:03:25,330 --> 00:03:29,055 to get financing for their business. 56 00:03:29,055 --> 00:03:31,835 We know what those credit card rates are. 57 00:03:31,835 --> 00:03:34,805 Like 20 percent or more. 58 00:03:34,805 --> 00:03:37,380 That can't be a good thing. 59 00:03:37,760 --> 00:03:40,730 Number three is inefficiency and we've talked 60 00:03:40,730 --> 00:03:43,245 already about the three percent swipe. 61 00:03:43,245 --> 00:03:46,940 Look, don't fool yourself by saying, well, 62 00:03:46,940 --> 00:03:48,605 I don't pay the three percent, 63 00:03:48,605 --> 00:03:51,425 it's the retailer that does. 64 00:03:51,425 --> 00:03:53,660 Well, that's pretty naive 65 00:03:53,660 --> 00:03:56,600 because that three percent makes 66 00:03:56,600 --> 00:03:59,120 its way into the price that you're 67 00:03:59,120 --> 00:04:03,210 actually paying or part of the three percent. 68 00:04:03,460 --> 00:04:09,410 I talked about the inefficiency of a wire transfer or 69 00:04:09,410 --> 00:04:15,440 the two day settlement when you buy a stock, 70 00:04:15,440 --> 00:04:20,605 that just seems unacceptable in the age of the Internet. 71 00:04:20,605 --> 00:04:24,645 Transfer is slow, it's fraud. 72 00:04:24,645 --> 00:04:26,820 Credit card companies might say, "Well, 73 00:04:26,820 --> 00:04:28,895 we have to charge three percent because 74 00:04:28,895 --> 00:04:32,935 we need to spend that money on security. 75 00:04:32,935 --> 00:04:35,030 We will guarantee if somebody 76 00:04:35,030 --> 00:04:36,950 steals your card and uses it, 77 00:04:36,950 --> 00:04:39,655 we'll pay you back. 78 00:04:39,655 --> 00:04:43,909 You're not affected, there'll be a chargeback." 79 00:04:44,300 --> 00:04:48,610 Essentially you're paying that three percent 80 00:04:48,610 --> 00:04:51,425 because they've got a flawed technology, 81 00:04:51,425 --> 00:04:55,575 you're subsidizing a flawed technology. 82 00:04:55,575 --> 00:04:59,030 It's also no possibility of microtransactions, 83 00:04:59,030 --> 00:05:00,620 which I'll talk about also. 84 00:05:00,620 --> 00:05:02,585 It's interesting in this space. 85 00:05:02,585 --> 00:05:05,320 It's also difficult to get paid. 86 00:05:05,320 --> 00:05:09,410 We take a paying on the Internet with 87 00:05:09,410 --> 00:05:14,060 a credit card its much more difficult to receive funds. 88 00:05:14,060 --> 00:05:15,980 There are some Fintech technologies 89 00:05:15,980 --> 00:05:19,075 that are allowing people to do this, 90 00:05:19,075 --> 00:05:22,380 but those technologies largely use 91 00:05:22,380 --> 00:05:26,590 the centralized finance backbone. 92 00:05:27,350 --> 00:05:30,000 Lack of interoperability. 93 00:05:30,000 --> 00:05:33,720 Our institutions are highly siloed. 94 00:05:33,720 --> 00:05:36,445 To do something really simple, 95 00:05:36,445 --> 00:05:38,440 like move some money from 96 00:05:38,440 --> 00:05:41,815 my bank to my Robinhood account, 97 00:05:41,815 --> 00:05:44,990 that's going to take two or three days. 98 00:05:44,990 --> 00:05:46,830 Let's say I want to buy 99 00:05:46,830 --> 00:05:51,415 something like a stock on Robinhood or 100 00:05:51,415 --> 00:05:57,965 some other broker platform and I want to do it quickly. 101 00:05:57,965 --> 00:06:00,100 Well, it's really 102 00:06:00,100 --> 00:06:02,290 difficult to do quickly because I have to 103 00:06:02,290 --> 00:06:04,120 transfer the money using 104 00:06:04,120 --> 00:06:06,790 decentralized system and it's 105 00:06:06,790 --> 00:06:08,575 going take two or three days. 106 00:06:08,575 --> 00:06:12,480 Again, it is frustrating 107 00:06:12,480 --> 00:06:15,410 in the age of the Internet that 108 00:06:15,410 --> 00:06:18,750 it would take so long to do this. 109 00:06:21,680 --> 00:06:25,625 Some of these companies recognize 110 00:06:25,625 --> 00:06:29,480 that this is a problem and there had been efforts, 111 00:06:29,480 --> 00:06:34,495 for example, visa attempted to acquire Plaid. 112 00:06:34,495 --> 00:06:37,320 Plaid is a fintech platform that 113 00:06:37,320 --> 00:06:40,500 links to make things more interoperable. 114 00:06:40,500 --> 00:06:43,670 But interestingly enough, 115 00:06:43,670 --> 00:06:49,040 that transaction was blocked by the regulators. 116 00:06:49,040 --> 00:06:51,485 The last thing is opacity. 117 00:06:51,485 --> 00:06:54,450 There's very little transparency. 118 00:06:54,450 --> 00:06:56,640 You go to the bank, 119 00:06:56,640 --> 00:06:59,860 you see one bank advertising 120 00:06:59,860 --> 00:07:02,505 a savings rate or a CD rate 121 00:07:02,505 --> 00:07:06,000 that is much higher than the other bank. 122 00:07:06,000 --> 00:07:08,700 Well, maybe they're doing that because 123 00:07:08,700 --> 00:07:11,955 they're in distress, 124 00:07:11,955 --> 00:07:14,490 that they're just risky, 125 00:07:14,490 --> 00:07:17,310 and it's really hard for customers to figure 126 00:07:17,310 --> 00:07:20,625 out the risk of the actual bank. 127 00:07:20,625 --> 00:07:25,930 Indeed, what we have to do is to rely upon regulation. 128 00:07:26,490 --> 00:07:31,970 Thousands of people that are inspecting the banks. 129 00:07:31,970 --> 00:07:34,425 So it's not out in the open 130 00:07:34,425 --> 00:07:38,500 and that's what DeFi actually does. 131 00:07:39,470 --> 00:07:44,345 I'm going to argue that these frictions, 132 00:07:44,345 --> 00:07:49,670 these problems cause missed growth opportunities. 133 00:07:49,670 --> 00:07:51,580 This is very much related to some 134 00:07:51,580 --> 00:07:54,420 of my academic research. 135 00:07:54,420 --> 00:07:57,420 The idea is really simple. 136 00:07:57,420 --> 00:08:02,820 The entrepreneur goes to the bank with 137 00:08:02,820 --> 00:08:06,075 a great idea and 138 00:08:06,075 --> 00:08:10,370 it might be 25 percent return on investment. 139 00:08:10,370 --> 00:08:14,670 Very exciting idea. They need a loan, 140 00:08:14,670 --> 00:08:17,055 but the bank's not interested because 141 00:08:17,055 --> 00:08:20,715 the bank would rather deal with a very large customer, 142 00:08:20,715 --> 00:08:25,155 rather than dealing with many small customers. 143 00:08:25,155 --> 00:08:27,605 The entrepreneur might have a relationship with 144 00:08:27,605 --> 00:08:30,030 the bank and the bank says, well, 145 00:08:30,030 --> 00:08:32,920 we will boost your credit limit on 146 00:08:32,920 --> 00:08:35,240 your credit card and you can 147 00:08:35,240 --> 00:08:38,345 borrow the money on the credit card. 148 00:08:38,345 --> 00:08:40,815 That rate could be 24 percent. 149 00:08:40,815 --> 00:08:42,735 When you think about it, 150 00:08:42,735 --> 00:08:45,410 the return on investment,25, 151 00:08:45,410 --> 00:08:48,035 the cost of capital, 152 00:08:48,035 --> 00:08:51,765 24 percent. What happens? 153 00:08:51,765 --> 00:08:55,010 The project is not pursued. 154 00:08:56,570 --> 00:09:01,260 That is really damaging for the economy. 155 00:09:01,450 --> 00:09:06,510 All economies need economic growth. 156 00:09:06,510 --> 00:09:10,660 Indeed, many economies are greatly indebted. 157 00:09:11,510 --> 00:09:16,745 The amount of government debt divided by, let's say, 158 00:09:16,745 --> 00:09:20,530 GDP for many countries is at an all-time high, 159 00:09:20,530 --> 00:09:26,050 or at least an all-time non wartime high. 160 00:09:26,050 --> 00:09:30,130 That debt needs to be paid back. 161 00:09:30,680 --> 00:09:34,360 There are three ways to do that. 162 00:09:35,750 --> 00:09:38,200 One way is to raise 163 00:09:38,200 --> 00:09:41,760 taxes and we know that raising taxes is not 164 00:09:41,760 --> 00:09:48,040 going to be particularly stimulative for economic growth. 165 00:09:48,040 --> 00:09:52,050 Another way is just to print money and we know how 166 00:09:52,050 --> 00:09:55,835 that turns out with inflation, 167 00:09:55,835 --> 00:09:58,940 which is a tax on everybody, 168 00:09:58,940 --> 00:10:01,735 but there's a third way. 169 00:10:01,735 --> 00:10:06,875 The third way is increased economic growth. 170 00:10:06,875 --> 00:10:08,800 We've been stuck in 171 00:10:08,800 --> 00:10:12,005 the US with a two percent growth rate. 172 00:10:12,005 --> 00:10:14,020 Europe is one percent. 173 00:10:14,020 --> 00:10:18,875 Japan is less than that, effectively zero. 174 00:10:18,875 --> 00:10:22,590 But if you have increased growth, 175 00:10:22,590 --> 00:10:25,455 then it's much more likely that you can pay back 176 00:10:25,455 --> 00:10:29,915 your debt without raising tax rates. 177 00:10:29,915 --> 00:10:32,280 Just the economic growth, 178 00:10:32,280 --> 00:10:35,115 the increased revenues are generating 179 00:10:35,115 --> 00:10:41,355 more tax inflow for the government to pay down debt. 180 00:10:41,355 --> 00:10:44,920 This is really important in that 181 00:10:44,920 --> 00:10:50,350 the current economic system is basically locking us in to 182 00:10:50,350 --> 00:10:54,335 a low growth environment that 183 00:10:54,335 --> 00:10:56,305 the project that the entrepreneur has 184 00:10:56,305 --> 00:10:58,915 got that delivers 25 percent. 185 00:10:58,915 --> 00:11:02,690 That is the project that we can 186 00:11:02,690 --> 00:11:07,325 boost GDP growth to five percent, 187 00:11:07,325 --> 00:11:10,055 six percent, seven percent. 188 00:11:10,055 --> 00:11:12,390 But those projects just aren't 189 00:11:12,390 --> 00:11:17,920 profitable given the financial system that we've got. 190 00:11:18,810 --> 00:11:22,500 The basic idea is that there 191 00:11:22,500 --> 00:11:26,195 should be equality of opportunity. 192 00:11:26,195 --> 00:11:31,270 Right now, we've got inequality of opportunity. 193 00:11:31,270 --> 00:11:36,730 Certain powerful firms get the best possible deals. 194 00:11:37,910 --> 00:11:43,364 That just doesn't seem right on multiple dimensions, 195 00:11:43,364 --> 00:11:46,185 including the economic dimension. 196 00:11:46,185 --> 00:11:51,280 That project should be financed based upon the quality 197 00:11:51,280 --> 00:11:56,990 of the idea and the soundness of the execution plan. 198 00:11:58,670 --> 00:12:02,895 There are many other issues that are 199 00:12:02,895 --> 00:12:07,630 under this rubric of inequality of opportunities. 200 00:12:07,630 --> 00:12:11,465 Many in the world have no access 201 00:12:11,465 --> 00:12:16,290 to the Internet to do commerce, 202 00:12:16,290 --> 00:12:19,505 whether it's the buy or sell. 203 00:12:19,505 --> 00:12:24,020 Many of the unbanked. This is 204 00:12:24,020 --> 00:12:28,310 also a big loss for economic growth. 205 00:12:28,500 --> 00:12:32,205 Where we're going is to establish 206 00:12:32,205 --> 00:12:36,200 a technology that is inclusive, 207 00:12:36,200 --> 00:12:42,110 that allows for equality of opportunity. 14873

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