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Welcome back folks.
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This is April, 2000 seventeens
content for the ICT mentorship.
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This month, we're gonna be
teaching my day trading model.
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This is lesson one, and we're
gonna be covering essential to ICT.
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All right folks, uh, ICT day trading model
and the essentials to the ICT day tree.
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Okay.
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For the opportunities
inside the daily rain.
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Now the aim is to capitalize on the
movement existing in a single day.
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Now this makes this type of trading
the hardest, and this is why most
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analyst and technical, uh, gurus, if
you will, that, uh, like to talk on CNBC
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or in the higher timeframe world, uh,
they'll they'll scoff at day trading.
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They'll say that it's not likely
that anyone can be profitable
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treating this timeframe.
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As you'll learn in this month,
it's very, very precise.
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And our aim is to capitalize
on the movement that exists
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in a 24 hour trading period.
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It's important just because the
name again, and I've said as many
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times as day trading, it does not
mean or equate to everyday trading.
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So not all dates are
going to be ideal for.
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Generally, there are two setups per
trading day on average, and we're going
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to go over both of those, uh, setups.
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Uh, but we're going to be talking about
other scenarios that can take place in
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a 24 hour trading period for this month.
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That will also help you.
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When we get into scalping in the
may content, the daily range is
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the goal for us as the day trader.
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In other words, Expectation
is to capitalize on at least
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65 to 70% of the daily range.
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That means we're going to leave a
little bit on the table, possibly
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near the higher, the low of the
day, but we're trying to get the
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lines portion of the move that
comprises the daily range or daily.
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Now, typically the daily range
will be close to the last five
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days, average daily range.
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And I'll go into detail about that
and how we can arrive at that figure.
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But generally what we're looking
for is a range that is equivalent to
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the last five days averaged across.
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In other words, what's the most pips
it's moved in the last five days.
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And then that's going to be
our expected daily range.
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Now there's going to be times
where I'm going to teach you a were
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average daily rains can be actually
doubled or even expected to be
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more than doubled in a single day.
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Directional bias frames, a
large portion of all day trades.
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That means we're gonna be looking
for directional place primarily.
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So we're going to have a preconceived
idea going into the week, looking
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for a specific criteria to link
ourselves with institutional or flow.
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Now the ideal scenario is to day trade
in the direction of the weekly timeframe.
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I'm going to give you insights in this
specific teaching here, how it can do.
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Now the more higher timeframe ideas that
you can find to support the day trade.
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This is going to increase the odds
and therefore make it better for you.
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Uh, day trades permit the trader to
limit the stop-loss on all trades.
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Now, while we're dealing specifically
with day trading in this entire
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month, content the advantages, even
if you do not want to be a danger.
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Or you don't have the ability
to sit in front of the charts
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all day long and babysit.
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Uh, there's going to be a way of
doing this type of trading without
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sitting in front of the trucks all day.
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I'll give you that.
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But also I want you to think about
how using day trade entries and using
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the very small stop losses that this
timeframe permits and this discipline
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of trading, you can lower your initial
risk when we were trading these
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long-term position trades or swing
trades and or your one shot, one.
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So these setups, while they
are really limited by your
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own imagination, you can't.
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Just look at this as a wall to
day trading model or discipline.
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So therefore, you know, it doesn't fit me.
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It doesn't fit my criteria or
my personal makeup as a trader.
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It doesn't jive with my
psyche as an individual.
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So therefore let me just, just
discount this and maybe you're
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looking for something that's going
to be taught later in the mentorship,
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and you're not really going to pay
too much attention to this one.
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Uh, you'd be really doing yourself
with disservice as a service because it
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helps you reduce the amount of risks.
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Lower the amount of pips.
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And it's also going to have
a framework where you can
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incorporate with the last lesson.
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Number eight of this month, we can
incorporate the entry techniques that
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we're using for day trading and an overlap
that with higher timeframe setups, which
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can give you many, many times over the
standard three to five to one set ups.
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In other words, we're looking
for setups that pay off five to
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one or three to one, ideally.
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When you're using day trade
entries and you're high trading
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off a hard timeframe set up.
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Wow.
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The multiples can be ridiculous.
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That could be in the
double digits very easily.
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It's important not to take many
day trades in a single 24 hour day.
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And as I mentioned earlier, there's
two primary setups in a day.
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And we're going to go over
that in the next teaching.
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But for now, just understand
that just because your day.
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And we're not talking about scalping
here, but we're looking for specific
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setups to allow us to try to capitalize
on the majority of the daily.
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Now it's not important that
we get all the daily range.
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Believe me, if you get a portion of
the daily range and you go on the
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profit, that's way better than 99%
of all the other traders out there,
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because most people are losing money.
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So if you're capitalizing on a daily range
and you're getting some portion of every
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single day that may equate to maybe 30
pips, and maybe the average daily range
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is 120 pips and the daily range for that
particular day, you traded was a hundred.
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But you only got 30 or maybe 40.
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That's not a loss.
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That's not a missed opportunity.
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That's actually very successful.
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So you're, you're doing well.
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And if you can continuously do that,
you'll grow your understanding and bring
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yourself to holding for larger portions of
the move and getting in better entries and
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you'll get larger portions of that daily.
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But don't think that you can day trade
a lot and therefore get a lot of trades.
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Okay.
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That's not the answer to what
you're looking for in terms
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of profitability or pips.
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Now, the have the data ranges
combined with rays are the
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foundation to all of my data.
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FMC days and non-farm payroll days
keep us on the sidelines and they
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are basically a no set-up day.
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So while we can play in the sand and
use our demo accounts to keep close to
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the price and stay dialed in in terms
of what they may be reaching for, uh,
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as we just did just this past Friday,
the week of this recording, um, just
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because we may be able to forecast or see
analytically where Ellipta may take price.
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Many times better just to sit on the
sidelines and just let that one day
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go by without you participation in
those types of days really does not
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increase your odds even in day trading.
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Sorry.
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So what frames the daily setups.
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Obviously we have to concern
ourselves with higher timeframe,
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institutional order flow, and that's
going to be a ride that looking at
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monthly, weekly, and daily PDMs.
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In the last 20, 40, and 60 trading days,
I'm going to assume that you have a firm
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understanding about what APD array is.
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And looking back at last 20, 40,
and 60 trading days, you have to
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look for those hard timeframe.
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And we're going to focus primarily
on a daily, uh, for day trades.
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Uh, you don't need to see anything
in terms of a weekly or a month.
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Primarily, uh, cause you'll generally
see something on a daily that'll align
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up who are a discount or a premium
PD right now IPTA will be seeking
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new levels in price for liquidity.
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That's the role of the interbank
price delivery algorithm.
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It seeks to move price to an area of.
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The weekly chart or current
candles direction is what
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we're primarily working within.
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So what we're doing is, is
we're blending our expectation.
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It may be seeking in terms of new
liquidity, above or below us in
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terms of market price, and we're
forecasting the weekly candle direction
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that we're presently trading in.
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So in other words, if we're
getting ready to go into a new.
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We're going to be forecasting.
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What if they will be reaching for
higher or lower prices in relative
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terms to the PDA rays and in if the
data ranges in those, how far back
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are we looking for the most obvious
logical premium or discount array?
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And what's the direction that's the most
likely favoring higher or lower prices.
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And then we incorporate that idea in
forecasting, the present, or next weekly.
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And we look for that expansion higher
or lower in relative terms to what we
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expect in terms of the, at the data
range in institutional order flow.
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The day of the week is paramount and
understanding about day trading because
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there's certain days that have high
probability and there's other days that
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can be a little bit of a hat-trick.
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In other words, you may expect something
to happen this particular day, but it
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may do something entirely different.
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And then there's other days that are
predisposed to really just be acquired.
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We'll talk about that.
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And the most important is time of
day, time of day for day trading is
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absolutely paramount just because we are
day trading doesn't mean that you can
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just sit down at any old time and say,
okay, I'm going to buy the Euro here.
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And therefore I'm going to be profitable,
or I'm going to sell short the Euro
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yen because, you know, I got off of
work and I can sit in front of charts.
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Now it does not equate to that.
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There are specific times of the day that.
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We'll move price and gyrate price
around and in the market makers will
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facilitate trade, but at these particular
times, and there are no set brokerage
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operating hours, but there are time
windows that we have to work within.
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So while I don't trade in zones in
price, I do trade in zones and time.
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So you have to be flexible with
time and demand specifics in price.
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That means we're demanding specific
things that occur in a window of time.
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So the flexibility resides in time,
not price, price must hit our level
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must go to our level and we look
for price to reach for that contrary
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and PD at REA for our profit.
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We do not wait for price to get
exactly to that level because we're
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always gonna look to fix it early, but
we're always looking for these Xs and
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entries to overlap with specific times.
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And what we're primarily
focusing on our volatility,
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expansions or large daily ranges.
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Okay.
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Time of day.
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What time of day are we referring to?
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Obviously, if you're going through all
my pre tutorials with these times of
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the day, aren't going to be new to you.
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But for completeness sake,
I do have to incorporate.
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Primarily, we're going to looking for day
trades at the London session open and as
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basically the ICT kill zone for London.
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And we're going to be talking
in terms of New York time.
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So when I refer to a time here,
it's going to be relative to
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what time it is in New York.
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So typically London, the hotspot for
the higher load, the form for the
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day is usually between two o'clock
in the morning and four o'clock
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in the morning, New York time.
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00:12:06,390 --> 00:12:10,170
Now it can deviate and in transition a
little bit earlier, a little bit later,
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relative to the economic calendar and
or daylight savings times, it has a
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little bit of an overlap where there
may be some transition time before
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the market observes any movement
from a daylight savings time or.
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In daylight savings time.
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00:12:26,954 --> 00:12:31,214
Uh, the way I overcome that is I
look at my London open kill zone
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beginning at 1:00 AM, New York time
and ending at 5:00 AM, New York time.
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So it gives me that window
of four hours where it allows
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literally nothing to escape me.
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I'm looking already at that time when.
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And I'm looking at the alkyne calendar
relative to the pair I'm trading.
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So there should be some kind of
manipulation just before or at the
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time of a news release that either
isn't medium impact or high impact.
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And then therefore the trade setup
is seeing the next time window we
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look at is the New York session open.
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00:13:03,930 --> 00:13:06,230
Now this is primarily
the easiest one to work.
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Uh, you're gonna, you're gonna see that
with the insights that you're gonna
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learn in this particular, uh, teaching
you'll know why that the New York
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session really, really is so much easier.
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00:13:16,574 --> 00:13:21,765
And that's why I worked primarily the
majority of our mentorship thus far in
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the New York session, because I want
you to get really friendly with that.
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00:13:26,730 --> 00:13:29,190
Uh, you know, London can
be a little bit of a beast.
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00:13:29,430 --> 00:13:33,710
So you have to know a little bit
more understanding about how the
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daily range is formed within the
weekly range, and then the weekly
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00:13:36,300 --> 00:13:38,250
range forms within a monthly range.
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00:13:38,640 --> 00:13:43,540
So all of these fractal ideas, they
have to be utilized in modular fashion.
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And over a period of time,
you'll get a better understanding
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about how the sessions on.
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00:13:48,525 --> 00:13:52,380
And when London is to be avoided, which
we'll talk about this month, but New
224
00:13:52,380 --> 00:13:55,605
York primarily is really, really good.
225
00:13:55,605 --> 00:14:00,465
Now, the only time that you would avoid
New York is if the London session puts
226
00:14:00,465 --> 00:14:03,705
in 80% of the average daily range.
227
00:14:03,705 --> 00:14:06,585
And it's going to be very few times
that it does that, but generally,
228
00:14:06,945 --> 00:14:11,415
unless the daily range is almost
entirely completed last five days,
229
00:14:11,415 --> 00:14:15,285
average daily range, that's where I'm
referring to, uh, that measurement.
230
00:14:15,315 --> 00:14:15,525
If it is.
231
00:14:16,290 --> 00:14:17,970
Met or exceeded in London.
232
00:14:18,540 --> 00:14:21,480
That is when you want to move to the
sidelines and don't even consider trading
233
00:14:21,480 --> 00:14:25,680
New York because it's probably either
going to bounce around and go sideways,
234
00:14:25,710 --> 00:14:28,110
or it may catch you in a reversal to you.
235
00:14:28,110 --> 00:14:28,860
Weren't expecting.
236
00:14:29,340 --> 00:14:32,010
And it's just better just to just sit on
the sidelines and don't worry about it.
237
00:14:32,670 --> 00:14:36,450
Wait for another trading
day, London close.
238
00:14:36,450 --> 00:14:40,170
Now I've taught, uh, London close
day trading strategy in the past.
239
00:14:40,530 --> 00:14:41,400
Uh, I used to do it.
240
00:14:41,460 --> 00:14:43,610
I lost interest in it because
it just doesn't give me.
241
00:14:44,444 --> 00:14:47,085
Of a payment, if you will.
242
00:14:47,385 --> 00:14:51,015
Uh, I'll touch briefly on it this
month, but obviously I have my
243
00:14:51,015 --> 00:14:53,835
own teaching on it where you can
watch that in my free tutorials.
244
00:14:53,835 --> 00:14:56,895
But nonetheless, uh, London close
is the time of day where we look
245
00:14:56,895 --> 00:14:58,545
to really bank our positions.
246
00:14:58,905 --> 00:15:04,605
And there are times when, if the
market is in a reversal, uh, intraday
247
00:15:04,954 --> 00:15:09,555
a, it goes down into a logical
level of support or trades up into
248
00:15:09,555 --> 00:15:10,725
a logical level of resistance.
249
00:15:11,145 --> 00:15:13,545
Uh, that may be the very moment in time.
250
00:15:14,475 --> 00:15:16,814
A reversal occurs.
251
00:15:17,245 --> 00:15:20,625
London close is not always just
simply closed existing trades
252
00:15:20,834 --> 00:15:21,704
and moved to the sidelines.
253
00:15:21,704 --> 00:15:25,064
Many times London close can be
incorporated as a entry point
254
00:15:25,545 --> 00:15:29,865
for longer term one shot, one
kill or swing or position trades.
255
00:15:32,425 --> 00:15:32,635
All right.
256
00:15:32,635 --> 00:15:35,454
The New York clothes is
basically just a time window.
257
00:15:35,454 --> 00:15:38,694
What we're looking for is,
uh, the two o'clock hour.
258
00:15:38,725 --> 00:15:43,255
Now I'm not going to, uh, argue.
259
00:15:44,070 --> 00:15:46,350
Everyone else around the world
is going to say New York is
260
00:15:46,410 --> 00:15:47,820
new later in the day than that.
261
00:15:48,180 --> 00:15:51,150
Uh, I'll leave everyone else to
believe whatever they want to believe.
262
00:15:51,480 --> 00:15:54,360
But what we're looking at is the
two o'clock hour and specifically
263
00:15:54,360 --> 00:15:57,840
the three o'clock, which is
the close of the bond market.
264
00:15:57,870 --> 00:16:00,900
That to me is the close
of the New York session.
265
00:16:01,500 --> 00:16:06,330
So what we look for is in days to
have FMC interest rate stuff that
266
00:16:06,330 --> 00:16:10,080
comes out at two o'clock hour in
New York time, uh, that usually
267
00:16:10,080 --> 00:16:11,260
will run until around three o'clock.
268
00:16:12,329 --> 00:16:13,050
New York time.
269
00:16:13,079 --> 00:16:15,660
And then when the Biomark
closes at 3:00 PM, that's it.
270
00:16:15,660 --> 00:16:19,949
Whatever happened by then that's the daily
range and there's nothing else to expect.
271
00:16:21,209 --> 00:16:23,400
Very, very rarely are we
even concerned about that?
272
00:16:23,400 --> 00:16:27,000
Because generally by noon,
uh, you're you're done.
273
00:16:27,089 --> 00:16:32,370
You're not really looking at anything
past noon, Asian session open.
274
00:16:32,850 --> 00:16:34,290
Uh, this is primarily 8:00 PM.
275
00:16:35,040 --> 00:16:39,480
Uh, my time in New York, uh, we're
looking for very small little setups.
276
00:16:39,480 --> 00:16:44,700
It takes place in this time of day,
but many times, uh, during the Ozzie
277
00:16:45,090 --> 00:16:49,410
overlap into Asia, uh, you can actually
get the daily, lower high formed
278
00:16:50,310 --> 00:16:55,560
in the Asian session open for like
the yen pairs, uh, Aussie in Kiwi.
279
00:16:55,590 --> 00:16:59,700
Those types of, uh, pairs can
generally surprise at trading.
280
00:17:00,585 --> 00:17:06,494
By forming A's, uh, special or
important, if you will higher, low
281
00:17:06,585 --> 00:17:10,065
at that time of day, when you would
normally expect it in the London session,
282
00:17:10,515 --> 00:17:14,565
uh, those pairs generally can have
a surprise informed their particular
283
00:17:14,565 --> 00:17:21,494
daily, low and respective low at
that session, time and London lunch.
284
00:17:21,525 --> 00:17:25,484
This is generally between
5:00 AM to 7:00 AM.
285
00:17:26,264 --> 00:17:31,155
Uh, that time window is when the market
goes pretty much quiet and it prepares
286
00:17:31,155 --> 00:17:37,335
for the next leg, either in the direction
that London co creates or a reversal.
287
00:17:37,425 --> 00:17:40,425
And on days that don't promote any more.
288
00:17:40,425 --> 00:17:43,365
Follow-through it can just be
a continuation rate from London
289
00:17:43,425 --> 00:17:46,695
and goes right on through the New
York session and consolidation.
290
00:17:47,325 --> 00:17:53,115
So London after 5:00 AM, New York time,
you generally want to just answer that.
291
00:17:54,060 --> 00:17:58,350
A mode of transition,
retracement or consolidation.
292
00:17:58,360 --> 00:18:01,800
So if we're, for instance, if
we're looking for lower prices
293
00:18:01,800 --> 00:18:05,340
and we've gone short in London,
it's a pretty good idea to take
294
00:18:05,340 --> 00:18:08,580
something at, or just before 5:00 AM.
295
00:18:09,000 --> 00:18:11,340
Uh, just in case we get
reversal, uh, because there
296
00:18:11,340 --> 00:18:12,990
can be London lunch, rebirth.
297
00:18:14,385 --> 00:18:17,745
And because there's usually an economic
report that comes out late, like four
298
00:18:17,745 --> 00:18:21,794
30 in the morning, my time, or it could
be a 5:00 AM release economically,
299
00:18:21,794 --> 00:18:26,175
but nonetheless, you want to take
something during the London session
300
00:18:26,175 --> 00:18:30,705
in terms of profit because the London
lunch hour can cause a reversal
301
00:18:30,735 --> 00:18:35,355
or, um, a diva retracement that may
squeeze on your profits and dependent
302
00:18:35,355 --> 00:18:36,855
by how far that retracement goes.
303
00:18:37,034 --> 00:18:39,495
And some of them in London can be brutal.
304
00:18:40,095 --> 00:18:45,990
Uh, you don't want to get, uh, The
opportunity pass you by where a good
305
00:18:46,230 --> 00:18:50,220
position exit would have been favorable
for at least a portion of your trade.
306
00:18:50,700 --> 00:18:54,510
So be mindful that between 5:00 AM
and 7:00 AM, that is considered a
307
00:18:54,510 --> 00:18:58,950
London lunch, and we look for either
a retracement or consolidation
308
00:18:59,010 --> 00:19:00,510
on that particular time of day.
309
00:19:05,290 --> 00:19:05,470
Okay.
310
00:19:05,470 --> 00:19:05,800
Dale.
311
00:19:06,855 --> 00:19:11,055
I'm going to give you some characteristics
specifics about, uh, each day and
312
00:19:11,055 --> 00:19:14,595
Sunday, generally we opt out because
the daily range is, is simply too,
313
00:19:14,715 --> 00:19:18,525
too small to only a couple of hours,
but there are some things that we know
314
00:19:18,525 --> 00:19:20,415
about Sunday for those data providers.
315
00:19:21,209 --> 00:19:24,929
Use daily, uh, Sunday candles,
uh, some providers, some
316
00:19:25,169 --> 00:19:27,090
brokers don't use Sunday at all.
317
00:19:27,510 --> 00:19:32,699
Uh, but if it, if your broker doesn't
use Sunday, uh, don't worry about it.
318
00:19:32,699 --> 00:19:36,810
Just use everything that we teach and I'll
refer to later on and we get to that, uh,
319
00:19:36,870 --> 00:19:38,639
discussion about what we do with Sunday.
320
00:19:39,149 --> 00:19:42,030
Uh, you just incorporate
that with Monday's data.
321
00:19:42,030 --> 00:19:42,600
It's not that big.
322
00:19:45,365 --> 00:19:49,085
Okay, Monday, generally, this can
create a small range typically.
323
00:19:49,355 --> 00:19:54,875
Um, if it's a really large range and it
comes right out the gate, uh, you know,
324
00:19:54,885 --> 00:19:59,105
direction wise and you understand where
you're at in terms of, uh, the PDRs.
325
00:19:59,105 --> 00:20:04,595
If we're trading up into a premium
rate from jumbo new week and Monday
326
00:20:04,595 --> 00:20:07,775
becomes a high range or large
range day, and it trades into.
327
00:20:08,745 --> 00:20:12,885
PDA that can many times be
the high, the weak that's the
328
00:20:12,885 --> 00:20:14,145
characteristics that we look for.
329
00:20:14,445 --> 00:20:16,305
So that's kind of like a
tip that we can add to back.
330
00:20:16,995 --> 00:20:18,705
Uh, the one shot, one kill content.
331
00:20:19,065 --> 00:20:24,075
If Monday is a big range day and we
trade up into a premium relative to the
332
00:20:24,075 --> 00:20:27,435
daily, then we can really anticipate.
333
00:20:28,275 --> 00:20:32,295
That being the high, the week now,
generally Mondays are going to be a
334
00:20:32,295 --> 00:20:36,105
small range day unless that type of
scenario unfolds or the opposite would
335
00:20:36,105 --> 00:20:41,415
be if Monday has a big range, day and
trading down and it goes into a PD
336
00:20:41,415 --> 00:20:45,615
at REA that's a discount on the daily
chart, then we can anticipate Monday
337
00:20:45,615 --> 00:20:47,175
becoming the lowest low of the week.
338
00:20:51,285 --> 00:20:53,535
Tuesday usually is a good day to trade.
339
00:20:56,525 --> 00:21:00,935
In terms of specifics of one shot,
one kill, usually on bullish weeks,
340
00:21:01,025 --> 00:21:06,395
uh, Tuesday has a 70% likelihood of
creating the low the week in London.
341
00:21:07,115 --> 00:21:11,675
And therefore it creates a high
probability, uh, scenario to be a day
342
00:21:11,675 --> 00:21:15,485
trader on Tuesdays in the very verses
said for when the markets are bearish, you
343
00:21:15,485 --> 00:21:18,875
have a 70% likelihood that Tuesday's lemon
open will create the high of the week.
344
00:21:19,235 --> 00:21:22,025
So generally Tuesdays are
really good days to trade for.
345
00:21:24,205 --> 00:21:27,564
Wednesday are really ideal
scenarios, because what
346
00:21:27,564 --> 00:21:30,175
you'll see is you have Sunday.
347
00:21:30,175 --> 00:21:34,435
If you use those candles in your
platform Monday and Tuesday, or if you
348
00:21:34,435 --> 00:21:37,345
don't have Sunday, you have Monday and
Tuesday behind you, and it gives you
349
00:21:37,345 --> 00:21:41,335
some insight as we're going to share in
this teaching to help frame confidence
350
00:21:41,335 --> 00:21:45,865
around trading Wednesday with a particular
mindset going into London and New York.
351
00:21:46,465 --> 00:21:49,885
So generally ideal day trading
is seen on Wednesday because
352
00:21:49,885 --> 00:21:50,665
you have some data maybe.
353
00:21:53,465 --> 00:21:56,825
Thursday again is generally ideal
scenario, but gotta be careful.
354
00:21:57,185 --> 00:21:58,655
Thursdays can reverse.
355
00:21:59,015 --> 00:22:05,015
Um, usually that weekly range is again,
kept by Thursdays New York session.
356
00:22:05,405 --> 00:22:09,365
So be mindful that if we do get a
good day trading in Thursday's London,
357
00:22:09,395 --> 00:22:15,875
open, it may fizzle out and actually
reverse the week during the Thursday,
358
00:22:15,875 --> 00:22:17,855
New York or London close scenario.
359
00:22:21,125 --> 00:22:24,005
Friday's typically a small
range as we close a week.
360
00:22:24,395 --> 00:22:28,655
Uh, but if there are objectives that
haven't been met by Thursday, in
361
00:22:28,655 --> 00:22:33,605
terms of the PD res uh, you could
see a surprise expansion on Friday
362
00:22:33,935 --> 00:22:35,825
running into that, uh, PDA Ray.
363
00:22:35,825 --> 00:22:37,445
So it's kinda like a toss up.
364
00:22:37,505 --> 00:22:39,965
It depends on what we've
seen in the weekly range.
365
00:22:40,325 --> 00:22:44,405
If Thursday has met the daily PD array,
whether it be premium or discount that
366
00:22:44,405 --> 00:22:45,995
we've traded for in terms of a target.
367
00:22:47,250 --> 00:22:51,720
Uh, for the weekly range as a whole, if
that's been met by Thursday, chances are
368
00:22:51,720 --> 00:22:53,100
Friday's going to be a really quiet day.
369
00:22:53,670 --> 00:22:57,540
Uh, if it has not been met Friday,
can generally, sometimes surprise
370
00:22:57,540 --> 00:22:59,310
us and have a big, large range day.
371
00:23:05,240 --> 00:23:06,110
The weekly rain train.
372
00:23:09,215 --> 00:23:09,365
Okay.
373
00:23:09,365 --> 00:23:11,855
But we look for is on Sunday.
374
00:23:12,275 --> 00:23:14,645
We determined a new trading
weeks opening price.
375
00:23:15,125 --> 00:23:18,275
Now this will aid us in
intro week with day trade.
376
00:23:18,275 --> 00:23:20,705
Directional bias to work with
now are, you know, some of you
377
00:23:20,705 --> 00:23:21,815
are thinking and panicking.
378
00:23:21,845 --> 00:23:24,900
Oh, Know, I don't use Sunday candles.
379
00:23:24,900 --> 00:23:26,550
My broker doesn't use Sunday data.
380
00:23:26,670 --> 00:23:27,360
No problem.
381
00:23:27,690 --> 00:23:29,640
Just use your opening on Monday.
382
00:23:29,670 --> 00:23:30,990
It's not that big of a deal.
383
00:23:31,170 --> 00:23:34,740
It's still going to come to the same
consensus anyway, to just relax.
384
00:23:35,010 --> 00:23:39,210
It's not going to be that much of a
disparity, but we're going to note
385
00:23:39,240 --> 00:23:43,080
this Sunday opening and we're going
to note it and draw that out in time,
386
00:23:43,110 --> 00:23:47,400
all the way through our 60 minute or
one hour chart, all the way up to 30.
387
00:23:53,830 --> 00:23:55,270
Now the weekly range framework.
388
00:23:55,719 --> 00:24:01,570
What we do with this is we take that
opening range price from Sunday.
389
00:24:02,295 --> 00:24:06,645
And we draw it out on our hourly chart
and we draw it all the way until Thursday.
390
00:24:06,885 --> 00:24:08,235
Now, why is it Thursday?
391
00:24:08,295 --> 00:24:11,475
Well, because your profile say
on Thursday, you could see a
392
00:24:11,475 --> 00:24:13,185
reversal unfold for the week.
393
00:24:13,845 --> 00:24:17,265
So while we do have some rules that
we're gonna be sharing with you here,
394
00:24:17,805 --> 00:24:19,815
Thursday may change that entirely.
395
00:24:20,205 --> 00:24:22,275
And it'll also frame a hi.
396
00:24:24,030 --> 00:24:28,500
Probability reversal confirmation,
if you will, if price gets back
397
00:24:28,500 --> 00:24:31,260
above and when it's barest, like for
instance, look at this chart here.
398
00:24:31,620 --> 00:24:35,100
If price were to trade back above the
opening price on Sunday during Thursday's
399
00:24:35,100 --> 00:24:39,720
trading, we've probably turned the
corner and we've had a major intro week
400
00:24:39,720 --> 00:24:45,060
reversal, and that many times indicates
a longer-term one shot, one kill bullish.
401
00:24:45,480 --> 00:24:47,160
So we could get in sync with that.
402
00:24:47,190 --> 00:24:51,030
If not the next day and Friday, we
could certainly be in sync with it.
403
00:24:51,030 --> 00:24:51,480
The next trade.
404
00:24:52,335 --> 00:24:56,385
So think about that in terms
of intro week reversals.
405
00:24:57,375 --> 00:25:02,985
Uh, if we see a trade back above on this
case, since it was bearish for the week,
406
00:25:03,375 --> 00:25:07,274
if we trade above Sunday's opening on
Thursday, we've had intraweek reversal.
407
00:25:07,665 --> 00:25:09,885
And obviously that goes without
saying it's pretty obvious.
408
00:25:10,125 --> 00:25:12,615
And some of you that are very
cynical and say, well, good grief.
409
00:25:12,645 --> 00:25:13,575
That's the obvious Michael.
410
00:25:13,784 --> 00:25:18,375
But think of that, what it's telling you,
you've had a intermediate term reversal.
411
00:25:19,365 --> 00:25:24,675
So now, therefore Friday may not give
you a set up the trade long, but next
412
00:25:24,675 --> 00:25:28,455
week you can, you can trade long or
Monday, right out the gate, looking
413
00:25:28,455 --> 00:25:33,525
for a low in New York and London to
get along and, and take those positions
414
00:25:33,795 --> 00:25:35,085
throughout the rest of the next week.
415
00:25:35,505 --> 00:25:40,965
If this scenario was reversed and we had
Sundays opening, uh, forecast all the way
416
00:25:40,965 --> 00:25:45,735
in drawn through our hourly chart, oh,
it's a Thursday and it started bullish for
417
00:25:45,735 --> 00:25:47,535
the week and then traded down Thursday.
418
00:25:48,690 --> 00:25:53,820
Through that Sunday's opening price that
registers a potential weekly reversal.
419
00:25:53,820 --> 00:25:58,830
So therefore we can get in sync the very
next day on Friday selling short or the
420
00:25:58,830 --> 00:26:03,480
next week, our scenario would go into that
new week going short, right from jump on
421
00:26:03,480 --> 00:26:06,450
Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday, looking
for the high, the week of form, and then
422
00:26:06,450 --> 00:26:10,380
therefore going short every day in the
following week, based on the inside.
423
00:26:11,985 --> 00:26:16,185
But the sun, the opening price filter,
we look for price to trade above this
424
00:26:16,185 --> 00:26:21,015
level generally early in the week during
bearish weekly directional bias, and
425
00:26:21,015 --> 00:26:25,545
other words that we're expecting price
the trade down away from a PD array.
426
00:26:25,575 --> 00:26:26,355
That's a premium.
427
00:26:26,835 --> 00:26:27,045
Okay.
428
00:26:27,045 --> 00:26:29,805
We've seen price move up into
a premium it's already treated.
429
00:26:29,805 --> 00:26:31,935
It has already fulfilled a premium level.
430
00:26:32,145 --> 00:26:33,975
So therefore we're expecting expansion.
431
00:26:35,220 --> 00:26:38,910
And we see the opening price and then
price starts to trade up Sunday and
432
00:26:38,910 --> 00:26:40,830
going into Monday trades above it.
433
00:26:40,830 --> 00:26:42,660
So therefore we're seeing a
little bit with Judas swing.
434
00:26:43,140 --> 00:26:45,180
That's the criteria we're looking for.
435
00:26:45,180 --> 00:26:49,110
And then throughout the rest of the
week, as long as price is lower than
436
00:26:49,110 --> 00:26:52,800
this Sunday opening price, each day
of the week, we look to sell short
437
00:26:53,130 --> 00:26:57,030
in all of our day trades caveat is.
438
00:26:57,930 --> 00:27:03,600
Until a higher timeframe PD array that's
contrary to our trade is unfolding is
439
00:27:03,600 --> 00:27:07,620
traded to, in other words, if we're
looking for bearish ideas, okay.
440
00:27:07,620 --> 00:27:11,670
Directional lies, we're expecting
the weekly candle to be closing
441
00:27:11,670 --> 00:27:13,230
lower than it opened on Sunday.
442
00:27:14,490 --> 00:27:17,730
Middleweights the weekly candle
closing Friday, we'll close, lower
443
00:27:17,730 --> 00:27:19,320
than opened on Sundays opening.
444
00:27:19,350 --> 00:27:23,190
Or if your data provider opens on
Monday, if we're expecting that
445
00:27:23,190 --> 00:27:24,330
down candle on a weekly basis.
446
00:27:25,870 --> 00:27:30,340
As long as we are trading below
the Sunday's opening price.
447
00:27:31,030 --> 00:27:34,180
We're looking to sell short
every single day in London
448
00:27:34,600 --> 00:27:36,040
and continuation in New York.
449
00:27:36,310 --> 00:27:40,600
But this is only true in this case
while we're looking for sell days
450
00:27:40,629 --> 00:27:44,020
every day of the week, while we're
below the Sunday opening price.
451
00:27:44,830 --> 00:27:45,520
That's true.
452
00:27:45,550 --> 00:27:48,220
Only until we trade to a
higher timeframe discount.
453
00:27:49,380 --> 00:27:54,270
That has us on caution and we may see
inch or week reversal if that happens.
454
00:27:54,510 --> 00:27:57,900
Otherwise, if we continuously
take day trades short in London
455
00:27:57,930 --> 00:27:59,220
and continuations in New York.
456
00:28:04,760 --> 00:28:04,940
Okay.
457
00:28:04,940 --> 00:28:06,290
Continuing with the weekly rain train.
458
00:28:07,395 --> 00:28:10,575
The opposite said here for
Sunday's opening price filter.
459
00:28:11,235 --> 00:28:15,645
We look for price to trade below this
level early in the week during bullish
460
00:28:15,675 --> 00:28:17,535
weekly directional bias numbers.
461
00:28:17,745 --> 00:28:21,375
If price is trading at a hard
timeframe discount array, whether
462
00:28:21,375 --> 00:28:26,805
it be a monthly, weekly, and daily
there's suggestions that, you
463
00:28:26,805 --> 00:28:28,695
know, the prices really oversold.
464
00:28:29,365 --> 00:28:32,995
Institutionally speaking, not because
of indicators, but in relative
465
00:28:32,995 --> 00:28:35,935
terms, if we expect something to
be bullish on a daily chart, that's
466
00:28:35,935 --> 00:28:37,075
really the only thing we really need.
467
00:28:37,645 --> 00:28:40,764
Uh, if the daily is at a discount
and we're trading, edit discount,
468
00:28:40,764 --> 00:28:44,365
PDA Ray prices suggesting
higher prices, insufficient oral
469
00:28:44,365 --> 00:28:45,655
flow, suggesting higher prices.
470
00:28:46,075 --> 00:28:50,585
We're going to forecast the weekly
candle to close higher than it opens on.
471
00:28:52,650 --> 00:28:55,920
As long as price is higher
than this Sunday opening price.
472
00:28:55,950 --> 00:28:59,700
Each day of the week, we look to
buy long in all of our day trades.
473
00:28:59,700 --> 00:29:03,660
That means we're looking for
the low, the forum in London and
474
00:29:03,660 --> 00:29:06,000
a continuation by in New York.
475
00:29:06,480 --> 00:29:11,130
And we continuously hold this idea
throughout the week until a higher
476
00:29:11,130 --> 00:29:16,320
timeframe PD array in the form of a
premium is traded to then we would
477
00:29:16,320 --> 00:29:18,330
expect a potential intro week.
478
00:29:20,010 --> 00:29:24,050
So I know it's this probably going
way past your heads and it's going
479
00:29:24,080 --> 00:29:28,650
a lot of information because many
of you probably shortchange yourself
480
00:29:28,650 --> 00:29:30,810
studying the previous lessons.
481
00:29:31,240 --> 00:29:34,290
I'm going to give you a few examples when
we look back at the cable over the last
482
00:29:34,290 --> 00:29:38,220
three weeks and give you some scenarios
and what this did and how it helps.
483
00:29:42,400 --> 00:29:42,580
Okay.
484
00:29:42,580 --> 00:29:45,580
So we're looking at a British
pound USD, weekly chart.
485
00:29:45,940 --> 00:29:48,130
So every range here represents a week.
486
00:29:49,560 --> 00:29:50,610
Amount of data.
487
00:29:50,640 --> 00:29:53,700
In other words, that's the open,
high, low and close of an entire week.
488
00:29:55,640 --> 00:29:59,060
I want you to focus primarily at this
chart and think about power three
489
00:29:59,780 --> 00:30:00,950
had gone through my free tutorials.
490
00:30:00,960 --> 00:30:04,640
You understand what power three is,
but I want you to look at these candles
491
00:30:04,760 --> 00:30:09,020
and remind yourself that the weekly
range candles that are large, have
492
00:30:09,020 --> 00:30:12,750
the opening price and closing price
at opposing ends of the candle stick.
493
00:30:14,280 --> 00:30:18,600
And this is important because it's
teaching you to focus and anticipate
494
00:30:18,990 --> 00:30:23,760
range, expansion range expansion
on a weekly chart is a goldmine,
495
00:30:23,970 --> 00:30:28,290
as long as you know, what the most
likely probable direction is on the
496
00:30:28,290 --> 00:30:32,940
weekly candle that we're forming
right now, you can find setups.
497
00:30:33,660 --> 00:30:37,020
You don't have to worry about missing
anything because last time I checked.
498
00:30:37,725 --> 00:30:39,435
There's every new week.
499
00:30:39,675 --> 00:30:42,014
There's a new candle for
me on a weekly basis.
500
00:30:42,074 --> 00:30:43,274
So there's new setups to form.
501
00:30:43,605 --> 00:30:45,375
Now, some weeks are better than others.
502
00:30:45,675 --> 00:30:46,754
You're going to be small weeks.
503
00:30:46,754 --> 00:30:50,774
There's going to be WIC, rural
high WIC, real low candles, and
504
00:30:50,774 --> 00:30:52,155
then creating a small little body.
505
00:30:52,455 --> 00:30:56,014
Those weeks can be challenging sometimes,
but there's other times when the, when
506
00:30:56,014 --> 00:30:58,695
the candle itself is rather small and.
507
00:30:59,610 --> 00:31:03,420
You're not going to make money every
single week, every single day, every
508
00:31:03,420 --> 00:31:05,400
single month, that is not going to happen.
509
00:31:05,640 --> 00:31:08,430
Even with my content, because you're
going to do something to break the rules,
510
00:31:08,670 --> 00:31:11,700
or the markets is simply not going to
do what you hoped it was going to do.
511
00:31:11,970 --> 00:31:18,240
But on a large scale probability
spectrum, you have more odds of
512
00:31:18,240 --> 00:31:22,020
finding opportunities using this
criteria than in any other fashion.
513
00:31:22,170 --> 00:31:24,690
No other discipline out there
gives you this focus point.
514
00:31:28,774 --> 00:31:33,425
So now looking at this weekly chart,
we're going to look at a bullish candle.
515
00:31:33,844 --> 00:31:34,084
Okay.
516
00:31:34,084 --> 00:31:37,985
And what we're focusing on primarily
is that the open is usually
517
00:31:37,985 --> 00:31:43,024
near the low, the weak, and the
close is near the high the week.
518
00:31:43,024 --> 00:31:44,824
Now let's think about
this in relative terms.
519
00:31:45,334 --> 00:31:46,294
It's a weekly candle.
520
00:31:46,355 --> 00:31:48,485
So therefore the open is Sunday's opening.
521
00:31:48,995 --> 00:31:53,554
Or if your data is only providing
Monday, not Sunday candles,
522
00:31:53,824 --> 00:31:54,725
it's going to be the Monday.
523
00:31:55,604 --> 00:31:55,935
Okay.
524
00:31:56,114 --> 00:31:58,935
So what we're looking for is that
little bit of movement below the
525
00:31:58,935 --> 00:32:01,995
opening price when we're primarily
bullish, and then we're going to be
526
00:32:01,995 --> 00:32:05,235
looking for expansion throughout the
rest of the week until Friday's close
527
00:32:05,955 --> 00:32:08,475
all the way between the open and close.
528
00:32:08,534 --> 00:32:10,754
That's your range that
you're working within.
529
00:32:10,935 --> 00:32:11,235
Now.
530
00:32:11,354 --> 00:32:12,225
I know what you're thinking.
531
00:32:12,405 --> 00:32:14,504
How do I know how far away
the close is going to be?
532
00:32:15,795 --> 00:32:16,995
Calculations and things.
533
00:32:16,995 --> 00:32:19,545
I'm going to give you to determine
what the weekly range may be.
534
00:32:19,815 --> 00:32:22,365
And you're going to be thinking you
have to overlap with that in terms of
535
00:32:22,455 --> 00:32:27,735
if the daily ranges and PD erase, but
between this lesson and what you learn
536
00:32:27,735 --> 00:32:32,355
in later lessons, just for now, focus
on the fundamentals of knowing that
537
00:32:32,745 --> 00:32:34,245
there's a large range based on the.
538
00:32:35,100 --> 00:32:39,270
Candle that range is between the
opening on Sunday or your data
539
00:32:39,270 --> 00:32:43,560
provider only opening on Monday that
opening price to Friday's close.
540
00:32:43,830 --> 00:32:45,149
That's your time window.
541
00:32:45,270 --> 00:32:47,550
We're looking for day
trades throughout the week.
542
00:32:47,879 --> 00:32:49,980
Monday through Friday, we
have five opportunities.
543
00:32:49,980 --> 00:32:52,050
And if we're going to be fair
about it, we generally have.
544
00:32:52,670 --> 00:32:56,120
Basically a nine setups
that are pretty much solid.
545
00:32:56,180 --> 00:32:59,930
We generally don't rush eight London
set up one Monday, but if you're
546
00:32:59,930 --> 00:33:02,960
absolutely aggressive, you can be
looking for setups on Monday, especially
547
00:33:02,960 --> 00:33:06,320
if you have a big range, uh, starting
right out of the gate on a Sunday,
548
00:33:06,320 --> 00:33:08,060
going into Monday, uh, Frankfurt.
549
00:33:08,420 --> 00:33:12,590
So if that happens, then that's
pretty much it, uh, a short deal that
550
00:33:12,590 --> 00:33:13,670
you should be paying attention to.
551
00:33:14,475 --> 00:33:17,415
London on Monday, so you still
have to be paying attention to it.
552
00:33:17,415 --> 00:33:21,855
So regardless of where you live in the
world around midnight, in New York time
553
00:33:21,885 --> 00:33:25,425
on Monday, uh, you need to be looking
at the charts and see how big the
554
00:33:25,425 --> 00:33:28,065
range was for Asia or Monday's trading.
555
00:33:28,065 --> 00:33:34,335
So from Sunday's opening all into
Frankfurt, uh, set up, uh, you know, what
556
00:33:34,335 --> 00:33:36,045
that looks like by looking at midnight.
557
00:33:37,305 --> 00:33:38,655
Uh, Monday morning, New York time.
558
00:33:39,105 --> 00:33:43,125
And if it's a big range, then you
primarily want to look for that weekly,
559
00:33:43,125 --> 00:33:47,175
high or low to form on Monday because it's
in a rush to get somewhere in a hurry.
560
00:33:47,445 --> 00:33:50,295
If you look at the daily chart, many
times, it's going to line up with a
561
00:33:50,385 --> 00:33:53,745
premium or discount array, and then
you pretty much know what they're going
562
00:33:53,745 --> 00:33:54,825
to probably do the rest of the week
563
00:33:57,915 --> 00:34:00,764
in the same thing in reverse
terms, looking at it downtown.
564
00:34:01,605 --> 00:34:04,814
Uh, for the week we were looking
primarily from the open at the
565
00:34:04,814 --> 00:34:06,705
beginning, we get Sunday, Oregon.
566
00:34:06,705 --> 00:34:08,864
If you don't have something candles
in your platform, we're looking
567
00:34:08,864 --> 00:34:12,855
at the opening price on your
Monday feed to Friday's close.
568
00:34:12,884 --> 00:34:14,355
That's the range you're operating in.
569
00:34:14,355 --> 00:34:18,435
So you're looking for shorts in this
scenario every day, looking for shorts,
570
00:34:18,435 --> 00:34:20,384
as long as we're below that opening price.
571
00:34:21,254 --> 00:34:26,475
At Sunday or Monday, that filter
gives you focus to look for now,
572
00:34:26,564 --> 00:34:30,854
again, we don't just simply go and
look at just because for instance,
573
00:34:30,884 --> 00:34:34,125
Tuesday's London open may be lower.
574
00:34:34,694 --> 00:34:34,995
Okay.
575
00:34:34,995 --> 00:34:36,734
It may be lower than Sundays opening.
576
00:34:37,650 --> 00:34:42,120
In Tuesday's London open that does
not mean simply go in there and start
577
00:34:42,120 --> 00:34:45,810
going short, because I just said
something in general terms like that.
578
00:34:46,110 --> 00:34:50,159
No, we're going to show you in three
examples of what can happen and
579
00:34:50,159 --> 00:34:52,170
why that isn't always that simple.
580
00:34:52,290 --> 00:34:55,679
You have to look at again,
the PDA res and the PDRs.
581
00:35:01,355 --> 00:35:01,685
Okay.
582
00:35:01,745 --> 00:35:07,025
Our first and three examples here,
we're looking at the daily chart of
583
00:35:07,025 --> 00:35:14,015
the pound, and this is illustrating a
premium PV array on the daily chart in
584
00:35:14,015 --> 00:35:15,694
the form of a daily rejection block.
585
00:35:16,654 --> 00:35:16,955
Okay.
586
00:35:17,615 --> 00:35:20,254
And an old low discount.
587
00:35:21,345 --> 00:35:24,134
So we have two reference points
framed here, and we're going to
588
00:35:24,134 --> 00:35:26,625
look at the week of this recording.
589
00:35:29,865 --> 00:35:30,134
Okay.
590
00:35:30,134 --> 00:35:34,005
And you can see all of the days
for this particular week are noted.
591
00:35:34,725 --> 00:35:38,685
And our opening prices forecasted
throughout the week until Thursday,
592
00:35:38,985 --> 00:35:40,425
Thursday has a delineation.
593
00:35:40,605 --> 00:35:43,965
She can see the separation amongst
all the other days, Monday, Tuesday,
594
00:35:43,965 --> 00:35:47,055
Wednesday, and then the product
you can see that we had that
595
00:35:47,055 --> 00:35:49,545
daily rejection block premium PDF.
596
00:35:50,910 --> 00:35:56,070
Traded two and above the opening
price on Sunday and prices started
597
00:35:56,370 --> 00:36:01,560
trading softer right away on Monday
trading lower now on Tuesday.
598
00:36:02,100 --> 00:36:02,370
Okay.
599
00:36:02,370 --> 00:36:08,910
We had pro sell off right after the
transition from money into Tuesday.
600
00:36:08,970 --> 00:36:09,510
It's sold off.
601
00:36:09,510 --> 00:36:14,310
Then when the consolidation and the
consolidation continued all the way into.
602
00:36:15,375 --> 00:36:19,965
The London open for Wednesday
and then price rallied again.
603
00:36:20,295 --> 00:36:25,545
Now think about what's happened here on
Wednesday, Tuesday and Wednesday price
604
00:36:25,545 --> 00:36:30,255
had traded down into a fair value gap.
605
00:36:30,285 --> 00:36:32,835
So we had gaps support, and you
can see that gap really being
606
00:36:32,835 --> 00:36:35,235
noted here on the previous week.
607
00:36:35,265 --> 00:36:39,375
But we'll look at that week after
this one, but price traded down
608
00:36:39,375 --> 00:36:42,795
and found support and couldn't
find it's way below 1 20 14.
609
00:36:43,560 --> 00:36:48,570
Tuesday and Wednesday finally it rallied
up creating another consolidation.
610
00:36:48,870 --> 00:36:56,040
And in Thursday it trades up intraday
creating a high that's higher than
611
00:36:56,040 --> 00:36:59,760
the consolidation that was formed
in Wednesday and it was rejected.
612
00:37:00,420 --> 00:37:04,830
And then we sold off or
non-farm payroll on Friday.
613
00:37:05,850 --> 00:37:10,020
The general consensus is that
we were looking for cells, the
614
00:37:10,020 --> 00:37:11,460
low that opening price onsite.
615
00:37:12,345 --> 00:37:15,765
Because they had traded into
the daily rejection block
616
00:37:15,855 --> 00:37:17,775
PD array in a premium basis.
617
00:37:18,585 --> 00:37:26,025
This is the reason why I gave you a
short objectives of 1 24, 21, 23 75.
618
00:37:26,025 --> 00:37:32,685
And in 1 23, 10, 1 23, 10 didn't get
traded to, but 1 23 75 did, and we
619
00:37:32,685 --> 00:37:35,445
had a low of the week of 1 23 66.
620
00:37:36,570 --> 00:37:42,720
And it's 10 pips below the low that
formed for this old low discount PDR rang.
621
00:37:48,750 --> 00:37:48,990
Okay.
622
00:37:48,990 --> 00:37:53,580
Our second scenario or example for
case study, we have a daily rejection
623
00:37:53,580 --> 00:37:59,220
block, premium PD array, and we have
a bullish or block low discount PDA re
624
00:38:03,120 --> 00:38:03,330
okay.
625
00:38:04,200 --> 00:38:08,580
The previous week prior to the week of
this recording, can, you can see the
626
00:38:08,580 --> 00:38:13,350
opening price on Sunday and right away
price shoots out the gate on Monday trades
627
00:38:13,350 --> 00:38:22,170
up aggressively trades higher, and then
sells off again in London, on Tuesday and
628
00:38:22,170 --> 00:38:24,330
in trades down through the opening price.
629
00:38:24,840 --> 00:38:27,480
Now watch what happens on Wednesday.
630
00:38:28,640 --> 00:38:31,260
The mantra would be okay,
we're below the selling.
631
00:38:32,265 --> 00:38:33,675
Uh, Sunday's opening price.
632
00:38:33,885 --> 00:38:36,975
So therefore I should be looking
to sell short because we're
633
00:38:36,975 --> 00:38:38,595
below Sunday's opening price.
634
00:38:39,075 --> 00:38:43,035
No, the reason why is because we traded
down into a fair value gap relative
635
00:38:43,035 --> 00:38:47,415
to the daily chart, and we have that
daily discount bullish or block, see
636
00:38:47,415 --> 00:38:48,945
how it started dead in its tracks.
637
00:38:49,185 --> 00:38:53,775
So while we're still below the opening
price and we hit a PD array in a
638
00:38:53,775 --> 00:38:57,345
discount, contrarian scale, no words,
we're looking at something that would
639
00:38:57,345 --> 00:38:59,435
be opposing our expectations on lower.
640
00:39:00,750 --> 00:39:05,070
If we're at a discount on the
daily, if it hits that we have
641
00:39:05,070 --> 00:39:08,190
to look at what that PD Ray is.
642
00:39:08,190 --> 00:39:10,260
Is it premium or discount in this case?
643
00:39:10,470 --> 00:39:11,130
It's discount.
644
00:39:11,130 --> 00:39:13,110
So therefore it's going to offer support.
645
00:39:13,710 --> 00:39:17,160
We cannot be a seller in
this particular setup.
646
00:39:17,580 --> 00:39:20,160
We anticipate what unfolding a reversal.
647
00:39:20,970 --> 00:39:24,810
So we have Wednesdays profile,
Wednesday reversal or low the week.
648
00:39:25,590 --> 00:39:28,950
And then we can change gears and
forget the Sunday's opening price.
649
00:39:29,280 --> 00:39:32,160
And we're going to focus
primarily on the weekly profile.
650
00:39:32,640 --> 00:39:33,960
And we transitioned from that.
651
00:39:33,960 --> 00:39:37,680
Now we're going to incorporate that
weekly profile of Wednesday, low of the
652
00:39:37,680 --> 00:39:43,680
week, CBC, the low forming at that PD
array a discount on a daily basis, but
653
00:39:43,680 --> 00:39:48,690
the order block in London on Wednesday,
it trades down and then on Thursday,
654
00:39:48,690 --> 00:39:50,100
it trades down into that fair value.
655
00:39:50,100 --> 00:39:51,810
A gap also.
656
00:39:52,560 --> 00:39:56,640
A discount PD array, and then
expands up above the opening
657
00:39:56,640 --> 00:39:58,410
price that's seen on Sunday.
658
00:39:59,160 --> 00:40:05,730
And then on Friday, it opens and trades
down again into a bullish or a block
659
00:40:05,730 --> 00:40:07,380
that was seen on Thursday's trading.
660
00:40:07,380 --> 00:40:11,580
And then it expands up against
once more closing in the liquidity
661
00:40:11,580 --> 00:40:14,610
void formed on Tuesdays trading.
662
00:40:16,035 --> 00:40:19,695
So you can see how it's just
simply not watch a video from ICT.
663
00:40:19,725 --> 00:40:20,445
And there it is.
664
00:40:20,445 --> 00:40:24,855
It's simple as that you have to blend
some things and look at what would be
665
00:40:24,855 --> 00:40:29,505
barriers, where, what are the barriers
or speed bumps to you getting to
666
00:40:29,505 --> 00:40:30,825
what you think price is going to do?
667
00:40:31,305 --> 00:40:34,395
Because we understand if the data
ranges looking back 20, 40, and
668
00:40:34,395 --> 00:40:39,945
60 days, we understand the PD Ray
matrix, what makes a premium array?
669
00:40:39,975 --> 00:40:43,695
What makes a discount array and
where we're at in that scheme?
670
00:40:44,714 --> 00:40:49,095
The matrix are we above or below
equilibrium in this case, when price
671
00:40:49,095 --> 00:40:52,754
traded down Wednesday into that daily
discount bullish, shorter block, you
672
00:40:52,754 --> 00:40:56,595
can't just simply say I'm going to go sell
on short because it rally up in London.
673
00:40:57,435 --> 00:41:00,015
It's sold off a little bit, but
traded down to that bullet shorter
674
00:41:00,015 --> 00:41:01,544
block inside the fair value gap.
675
00:41:02,024 --> 00:41:04,875
These are all daily PD
erased in the discount.
676
00:41:05,955 --> 00:41:11,055
So if it's discounted, it's trading
on a daily chart, it's going to resist
677
00:41:11,085 --> 00:41:15,225
going lower, but it will paint all
kinds of scenarios that would look like
678
00:41:15,225 --> 00:41:17,055
cell setups in the retail spectrum.
679
00:41:17,775 --> 00:41:21,375
And then all of a sudden you see the
market trading higher and it goes up into
680
00:41:21,825 --> 00:41:25,665
its respective contrary discount PDA ring.
681
00:41:25,755 --> 00:41:30,225
In this case, it's the Tuesday
liquidity void being closed in
682
00:41:30,225 --> 00:41:33,465
fair value gap up at the 1 25 50.
683
00:41:39,080 --> 00:41:39,260
Okay.
684
00:41:39,260 --> 00:41:44,150
Our last example here we have the
bullish order block, low discount
685
00:41:44,150 --> 00:41:49,400
PD, Ray, and we have an old high
or equal highs, premium PDs.
686
00:41:54,255 --> 00:41:54,465
Okay.
687
00:41:54,465 --> 00:41:59,115
And we have the opening price on this
particular week's Sunday's opening and
688
00:41:59,115 --> 00:42:01,005
price trades rate from the opening.
689
00:42:01,245 --> 00:42:06,285
It curves up a little bit on Monday
and trades down right away into
690
00:42:06,555 --> 00:42:10,875
the bullish or block low discount,
PDA Ray and rallies away from that.
691
00:42:11,055 --> 00:42:14,865
And then we have one more attempt to go
lower on Tuesday trades down into it.
692
00:42:15,960 --> 00:42:17,580
Tuesday and then expands up.
693
00:42:17,880 --> 00:42:21,540
So now Tuesday we've traded
above Sunday's opening.
694
00:42:22,230 --> 00:42:25,410
We are at a discount on the daily.
695
00:42:25,740 --> 00:42:29,760
So therefore we have our scenario
expecting the weekly range or candle to
696
00:42:29,790 --> 00:42:31,860
close higher than it opened on Sunday.
697
00:42:32,340 --> 00:42:37,960
So therefore our mantra is every day,
we're looking for an open decline, low
698
00:42:38,010 --> 00:42:41,340
the day by it in London, in New York.
699
00:42:41,340 --> 00:42:42,630
We're looking for retreats.
700
00:42:43,650 --> 00:42:48,390
Into the rains it was created from
London's low to the high formed prior to
701
00:42:48,930 --> 00:42:52,830
eight 20 8:30 AM in that, in that realm.
702
00:42:53,100 --> 00:42:57,330
Uh, we're looking for that CME opening,
which is 8:20 AM, New York time.
703
00:42:58,110 --> 00:43:00,860
When that occurs, generally, that's
going to be the setup in new.
704
00:43:01,710 --> 00:43:05,250
And so usually a continuation, therefore,
uh, and we're going to be looking for
705
00:43:05,250 --> 00:43:07,170
an expansion continuing on the up move.
706
00:43:07,440 --> 00:43:13,350
So we have the criteria met with a
discount PDA rate on the daily being met.
707
00:43:13,770 --> 00:43:14,640
Well, Monday's trading.
708
00:43:15,310 --> 00:43:18,150
We trade above some of these
opening price on Tuesday.
709
00:43:18,390 --> 00:43:24,180
So therefore Wednesday, Thursday, we're
looking for openings in London, the trade
710
00:43:24,180 --> 00:43:29,190
down by at a logical discount PD array,
and it's lower timeframe, hourly chart.
711
00:43:29,940 --> 00:43:30,060
And.
712
00:43:31,680 --> 00:43:32,970
Look, what happens on Friday?
713
00:43:33,450 --> 00:43:39,509
The criteria says that Friday can be
a quiet day and weekly range can be
714
00:43:39,509 --> 00:43:42,899
kept by Thursdays trading in New York.
715
00:43:43,350 --> 00:43:44,640
And you see that happens here.
716
00:43:46,500 --> 00:43:51,720
Notice also because we did not hit
the old high or equal high premium
717
00:43:51,720 --> 00:43:58,050
PD array that particular week on the
24th of March on Sunday, we opened.
718
00:43:59,370 --> 00:44:00,630
Rallying right away.
719
00:44:00,660 --> 00:44:03,960
And it makes a run for what
the daily PD rate equal highs.
720
00:44:04,500 --> 00:44:06,210
Once it hit those equal highs.
721
00:44:06,540 --> 00:44:10,740
Then on Tuesday, we see that we, that
we just talked about, it creates that
722
00:44:10,740 --> 00:44:16,380
failure swing around that 1 25 90 level
creating the high of the week on Tuesday.
723
00:44:16,410 --> 00:44:20,910
So there's that overlap of PD raised
that caused the previous examples weekly
724
00:44:20,910 --> 00:44:22,890
high the forum on Monday and Tuesday.
725
00:44:24,150 --> 00:44:27,630
So you have to blend some things, but
incorporating the Sunday's opening
726
00:44:27,630 --> 00:44:33,360
price and blending it with PD rays
from a discount and premium basis
727
00:44:33,390 --> 00:44:38,280
on a daily chart, you can frame
out what the weekly range will be.
728
00:44:38,700 --> 00:44:43,890
This is this, you also with one shot,
one kill, but more importantly, it helps
729
00:44:43,890 --> 00:44:47,340
us frame whether we're going to be a
buyer or seller each day as a day trader.
730
00:44:47,370 --> 00:44:52,170
And if that condition's really there,
if we don't get the open-ended.
731
00:44:53,355 --> 00:44:56,565
In London that we're looking for to
be a buyer and say, this rallies,
732
00:44:56,865 --> 00:44:57,884
we don't do anything with it.
733
00:44:58,424 --> 00:45:02,490
Or if it trades down later in the day
in New York, we can be a buyer in New
734
00:45:02,490 --> 00:45:04,904
York and it looked for the expansion
on the upside when we're bullish.
735
00:45:05,775 --> 00:45:07,125
So hopefully this has
been insightful to you.
736
00:45:07,125 --> 00:45:10,035
We're going to build a lot more on this
information throughout this month, and
737
00:45:10,035 --> 00:45:13,095
you'll be a lot more details and, and,
and processes that you go through.
738
00:45:13,455 --> 00:45:15,315
But this is a strong foundation.
739
00:45:15,555 --> 00:45:20,025
It helps fill in a lot of gaps from my
day trading, intraday stuff, and power.
740
00:45:20,940 --> 00:45:24,990
And especially with the one shot, one
kill setups that you learned about in
741
00:45:25,260 --> 00:45:31,620
the previous month in March, but it's
important that isn't simply, you don't
742
00:45:31,620 --> 00:45:34,640
look at the opening price on Sunday
and therefore it's above or below it.
743
00:45:34,730 --> 00:45:35,550
I'm going to just do that.
744
00:45:35,550 --> 00:45:38,130
Now you have to incorporate the PDA race.
745
00:45:38,140 --> 00:45:42,180
And again, this is the reason why it's
not to simply watch it video and do it.
746
00:45:42,180 --> 00:45:42,840
You have to.
747
00:45:43,890 --> 00:45:48,060
You have to have these things on your
chart, know what they are, identify
748
00:45:48,060 --> 00:45:49,440
them, label them on your chart.
749
00:45:49,710 --> 00:45:53,910
And when it's traded to you anticipate
specific things to unfold Ellipta will
750
00:45:53,910 --> 00:45:58,560
move from one PD array to the next,
from a discount to a premium, from
751
00:45:58,560 --> 00:46:02,040
a premium to a discount and knowing
what they are on a daily chart will
752
00:46:02,040 --> 00:46:06,600
help you build and framework for
your weekly candle, forecasting it.
753
00:46:06,900 --> 00:46:09,780
And if you are trading in the
right direction, you only need
754
00:46:09,780 --> 00:46:11,100
really one good day of the week.
755
00:46:12,315 --> 00:46:17,145
If you get 30 to 50 pips in one
trading day, that is all you need.
756
00:46:17,685 --> 00:46:20,475
But I already know, and you're going
to want to do more than that, but use
757
00:46:20,475 --> 00:46:23,145
the rules that's been shown to you
thus far, this mantra in this first
758
00:46:23,145 --> 00:46:28,125
teaching and we're to build on it
and our understanding about how we
759
00:46:28,125 --> 00:46:32,265
can incorporate all these rules and
more roles leading to your complete
760
00:46:32,325 --> 00:46:34,785
day trading system until next lesson.
761
00:46:34,785 --> 00:46:35,495
I wish you good luck and.
69089
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