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1
00:00:01,410 --> 00:00:04,080
Good morning folks, just a heads up.
2
00:00:04,590 --> 00:00:06,300
You want to be sitting
on the sidelines today.
3
00:00:07,050 --> 00:00:10,290
We have FMC red announcement tomorrow.
4
00:00:10,350 --> 00:00:12,000
So the markets are actually decoupled.
5
00:00:12,000 --> 00:00:12,900
There's no symmetry.
6
00:00:15,430 --> 00:00:16,720
The frame high probability.
7
00:00:17,440 --> 00:00:22,930
We'll probably see the dollar index wants
to run up into these last three up candles
8
00:00:22,930 --> 00:00:26,270
in here could see it run up into a low.
9
00:00:29,119 --> 00:00:34,400
This candle at 1 0 180 to 1, 180 5.
10
00:00:35,660 --> 00:00:37,070
We're a small, fair value gap in here.
11
00:00:37,070 --> 00:00:41,600
So at eight 30 news, we could see a
dropdown close it and run up there.
12
00:00:41,660 --> 00:00:45,680
Or if we rally there, that
becomes our objective here.
13
00:00:49,019 --> 00:00:51,510
Euro, we have fair value
gap down here as well.
14
00:00:52,110 --> 00:00:55,080
I'm just, I'm.
15
00:00:56,265 --> 00:00:58,035
Not sure what this thing wants to do.
16
00:00:58,035 --> 00:00:59,565
We were inside of an order block here.
17
00:01:00,245 --> 00:01:02,625
It could come down and
closing this fair value gap.
18
00:01:03,255 --> 00:01:10,725
If it were to be likely, it probably
would happen right about now, which
19
00:01:10,725 --> 00:01:13,935
is going to be helpful to you at
all, which is fine because you
20
00:01:13,935 --> 00:01:15,045
shouldn't be in the markets today.
21
00:01:16,185 --> 00:01:22,575
Um, don't think that we'll get
much lower than the rejection
22
00:01:22,575 --> 00:01:24,025
block in here, so it couldn't come.
23
00:01:24,930 --> 00:01:27,360
And hit 1 0 5 94 level.
24
00:01:28,560 --> 00:01:33,630
If we get wild reaction in day 30 release,
but I don't see it happening personally.
25
00:01:34,860 --> 00:01:37,140
If we rally above the short-term
high here, we're just going
26
00:01:37,140 --> 00:01:38,250
to go back and forth chopping.
27
00:01:41,280 --> 00:01:44,790
This is the move that I genuinely missed.
28
00:01:45,870 --> 00:01:50,730
Um, I wanted to get something on
short, but, uh, it didn't give
29
00:01:50,730 --> 00:01:52,050
me any kind of a significant.
30
00:01:53,445 --> 00:01:57,585
Bounce after this high,
it was 400 to 1 22 50.
31
00:01:57,855 --> 00:02:01,395
So I was looking for something to
trade off of to go back up into.
32
00:02:01,785 --> 00:02:07,435
And the only thing it gave was
a small little shallow rallying.
33
00:02:07,435 --> 00:02:10,664
And don't hard taking out
the equal lows over here.
34
00:02:10,664 --> 00:02:13,605
So there's nothing I can do with cable.
35
00:02:13,695 --> 00:02:15,645
It's too far suppressed.
36
00:02:20,535 --> 00:02:23,025
Dollar CAD may want to
run the intraday high.
37
00:02:23,025 --> 00:02:28,005
So this is the one I want to have
you guys studying at eight 30.
38
00:02:28,365 --> 00:02:34,275
We may see this pair run and
make a new height, a 1 35 35.
39
00:02:34,335 --> 00:02:40,215
So we could see it trade
up into this chill area.
40
00:02:40,215 --> 00:02:44,355
Again, it comes back down and
hits the high here at 1 34.
41
00:02:45,660 --> 00:02:49,950
To the open at 1 34 70, either
one of those might be a demo
42
00:02:49,950 --> 00:02:54,989
trade buying opportunity just to
get some experience with price
43
00:02:54,989 --> 00:02:57,150
actions today, don't demand a lot
44
00:03:01,790 --> 00:03:02,630
Aussie dollar.
45
00:03:03,500 --> 00:03:09,019
Uh, this one is also very confusing for
me because I tried to take a short this
46
00:03:09,019 --> 00:03:11,030
morning and I'm glad I covered it because.
47
00:03:12,370 --> 00:03:13,660
It would've came back and hit my stop.
48
00:03:17,660 --> 00:03:24,290
We've had an order block in here that it
reacted to, and I did not want to see,
49
00:03:24,290 --> 00:03:32,930
uh, did he coupling with the dollar and
the Euro and cable cables, too many things
50
00:03:32,960 --> 00:03:35,720
doing two different opposing movements.
51
00:03:35,720 --> 00:03:40,580
And that's what you're gonna get
sometimes ahead of FMC European.
52
00:03:41,925 --> 00:03:46,135
May want to shoot up here and
hit, uh, these equal highs up
53
00:03:46,135 --> 00:03:47,515
here just fell short of it today.
54
00:03:50,005 --> 00:03:54,895
Maybe what it wants to reach
for, for an intraday move.
55
00:03:54,895 --> 00:03:58,045
If not, we'll probably be looking
for that to happen tomorrow.
56
00:04:01,955 --> 00:04:07,055
Dollar again, presently we're trading in a
bullet pool, shorter BlackLine only basis.
57
00:04:07,925 --> 00:04:09,605
Uh, I don't think we're
probably going to get.
58
00:04:11,560 --> 00:04:12,640
Run from there.
59
00:04:12,910 --> 00:04:19,200
We'll probably want to take out some cell
stops blow here below these lows here.
60
00:04:19,200 --> 00:04:26,120
We also have a pretty significant sell
side, uh, liquidity pool that may be a
61
00:04:26,120 --> 00:04:35,950
tomorrow scenario on the heels of FMC
and dollar Swiss for avoiding gold.
62
00:04:35,950 --> 00:04:38,140
Make may see a little rally up into this.
63
00:04:40,650 --> 00:04:45,719
At 12, 16, so 1215 could provide
a short-term resistance level.
64
00:04:48,860 --> 00:04:49,370
Silver.
65
00:04:49,370 --> 00:04:54,349
We could probably see a
trade up to 17, 20 to 1725.
66
00:04:58,690 --> 00:05:03,130
And these are levels that are good
all the way up to and through FMC.
67
00:05:04,330 --> 00:05:06,039
And I apologize, I'm losing my voice.
68
00:05:06,820 --> 00:05:07,599
If you can't hear.
69
00:05:09,060 --> 00:05:09,690
I apologize.
70
00:05:09,690 --> 00:05:10,710
It's not intentional.
71
00:05:15,210 --> 00:05:15,390
Yeah.
72
00:05:15,390 --> 00:05:20,640
Just be mindful that this one may want to
trade down into this level or favorite,
73
00:05:20,669 --> 00:05:32,070
favorite gap and CAD may want to run
a new high over here and that's it.
74
00:05:32,070 --> 00:05:33,929
There's nothing for us to be doing today.
75
00:05:34,560 --> 00:05:37,320
We'll be observing tomorrow ahead of FMC.
76
00:05:39,030 --> 00:05:43,590
And then we'll probably have
the markets released on Thursday
77
00:05:43,590 --> 00:05:44,760
after the rate announcement.
78
00:05:45,840 --> 00:05:49,260
And it will have some volatility
we can work with until then.
79
00:05:49,260 --> 00:05:49,740
I wish you good luck.
80
00:05:49,740 --> 00:05:50,190
A trading.
6577
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