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Welcome to lesson five folks.
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Short-term trading.
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Just, teaching's going to be specifically
talking about low resistance.
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Liquidity runs in consolidations.
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Okay.
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We have to preface it by a reminder
of every setup that we look to execute
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on and stock and the track, if you
will, is based on time and price.
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And the time element is going to be
related to the up-to-date ranges.
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Last 60 days, 40 and 20.
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And we're going to be focusing
on premium and discount PD erase.
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So for short term trading, we work cell
in the range of the last three months.
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So the up-to-date range of 60
days is our look back period.
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And it's going to comprise every
element that we need to frame a
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short-term trait or one shot, one kill.
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As a reminder when we deal with time
and price, price moves from a premium
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to a discount array or from a discount
array to a premium array in between
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these two realms of premium and
discount price, war key off of a time
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element related to the data range.
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So we're blending both time and price and
element of the last 20, 40, and 60 days.
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Two eight institutional reference
point in the round of the Ray matrix.
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Okay.
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For our study and case study
examples, we're going to be looking
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at the cable or British pound USD.
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And this is a daily.
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And what we do is we define
a market, whether it's it's
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trending or it's in consolidation.
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And obviously anyone with the average
intelligence in terms of market analysis,
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they can tell looking at the British
pound, we have been in a consolidation.
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Market's not been in a trending
markets, been in consolidation.
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So whenever we see a market it's
range-bound or it's cannot move
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outside of the current trading
range that you were looking at.
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At any given time on a daily chart, you're
looking at a frame of about three months
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again, and you'll look back three months
or 60 trading days, which is the relative.
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If the data range that we use for
maximum definition of look back.
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So when we have this framework in
terms of blast 60 days, what we
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do is we have to define the range
in terms of a high and a low.
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Now, what we do is we define the.
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In the form of its highest
and lowest candlestick body.
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We're not concerned about the wicks
so much, but we're primarily looking
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at the bodies of the candles.
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So I have here the lowest and the highest
in terms of the candlesticks bodies.
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And you can see those reference points
here with the errors, and that's
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going to be our range that we're going
to be framing all of our analysis
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concepts as it relates to one shot.
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One.
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Okay.
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So what we'll have to do is that we have
to look at the market in this range and we
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can use a tool that's on every platform.
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It's the Fibonacci.
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So we're gonna use our fit, told
to determine the 50% of the range.
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And we're going to note
that range midpoint.
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So I'm dragging the fib
from the highest body cam.
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To the lowest body candle.
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In other words, I'm not using
the lowest WIC low in the highest
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WIC high I'm looking for the
highest body on the candles.
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Either it's an open or close.
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I don't care which one it is, but
whatever, highest form of high open
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or close, that's the one I'm looking
for in the last 60 trading days.
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And I'm looking for the
lowest open or close.
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And in the last 60 trading
days, that gives me my defined
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range in terms of consolidation.
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Then I'm new to the 50% level.
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And I draw a horizontal
line on my daily chart.
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Next, we have to determine the 50%
levels of the upper and lower ranges,
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anything above the 50% level, that's
going to be our area, which we look
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for sell scenarios either by taking
profit on lungs or short position.
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And anything in the lower
portion we're looking for longs
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or covering short positions.
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Now the upper portion of the range
from the highest body close or open
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to the mid point that we've defined
by the total consolidation range.
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We measure that with the fit as well.
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And I gave you two examples of
where you could draw the anchor
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points with your fit, but the.
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And you note the 50% level on your fib
and you drop a horizontal line near
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by noting this we've now noted the upper
range for the total consolidation range.
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Next, we do the same thing by noting the
50% level or the lower range between the
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mid point of the total consolidation.
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To the lowest body close or open noting
it's 50% level as well on the fifth.
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And I drop a horizontal line on that.
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Now what we have here is by defining
our consolidation range in this
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manner, it gives us a form of
premium and discount identification.
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Anything above the mid point or main
50% level or in his case, the gray
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that would be deemed as a premium
range and anything below it would
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be deemed as a discount range.
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Next, we identify the PD
arrays in each new range.
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Now I'm going to save us a lot
of time and just apply everything
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from a monthly, a weekly and daily.
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Okay, so now you can see it, all
of the, if the data ranges and from
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a form of a premium and discount
have been applied to the chart.
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Now, I want you to look at this from
him before we go to the next slide.
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So pause the video here and really
study what's been identified.
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So every premium and
discount array provide.
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And the overall PD array matrix.
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So what we're looking for is
a element of time and price to
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blend a setup for a buy or sell.
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We understand that the highest
probability trades for shorts is
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by looking for any PD array in the
premium range of this consolidation.
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So anything above the
mid point of the 50%.
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I don't want a grade level here.
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That's going to be ideal self scenarios.
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If it is coupled with a PD array
for a premium market, we are
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blending both time and price.
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We would look for that move
to be correlated to a later.
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Discount PDA Ray, when price moves that
down to either the 50% level of the total
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consolidation or any level below the
midpoint or 50% level, the consolidation,
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an example would be the fair value gap
and bearish or block in the premium level
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around the February time period of 2007.
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And pairing that with a weekly
bullish order block lien threshold
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in a discount in March of 2017.
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Now, when we look at their quadrants
like this, where it's been broken up
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into a premium and discount, we can
also further define those quadrants.
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Into their own respective or unique,
premium and discount trading range.
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And what do I mean by that?
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Well, let's take a good closer look.
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As you can see here, the lower quadrant
can be divided into equal halves as well.
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And that in itself can be viewed
from a premium and discount for me.
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When we see these elements here,
anything that forms as a discount PD
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rate and a discount range from this
view or perspective, this is going to
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be high probability, short covering
objectives, or it's going to be high
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probability, new long positions, and any
first profit would be best taken along.
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Once it enters the pre.
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Range of this, uh, PD Ray matrix.
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Again, moving up the same thing
can, can be applied to the new
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quadrants that's shown here.
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Ideal longs are entered at the
discount level or a net discount
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range and taking first person.
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Would have to be best applied by
taking your first long exit in the
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premium range of this PD array matrix.
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Now, what you're looking
at is a daily chart.
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So in the form of a four hour or one
hour, you'll see that there's going to
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be premium PD res in those lower four
hour and one hour timeframes that you
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could pair up first objectives for.
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I'm giving you the elements to look
at through the scope of a daily chart.
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And, um, finally we can apply
it to this area as well.
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Each path is further divided into
new halves, but we're looking at
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it in the form of an algorithmic
way of defining premium India.
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So when markets are creating
discounts like this, again, this
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discount range is shown here.
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They're high probability longs, and
again, a four hour or one hour premium
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PD at REA as defined here, you can't
see them daily, but you would drop
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down into a lower timeframe, four
hour, one hour to take first profit
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on your lungs that you used to get
entries on by buying in the discount.
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Yeah.
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Now we're above the mid point of
the total consolidation range.
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So now, even though we're above it
and technically any overall premium
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market, we can still take longs, but
it has to be defined in the scope.
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As we're showing here, we have
the overall consolidation.
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We divided it.
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Half then we divide those
halves into halves as well.
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So we have quadrants.
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Then those quadrants are divided in
half as well as we're showing here,
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incremental increases moving further
up the overall consolidation range
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by buying in the discount range.
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And again, taking first profit
in a lower four-hour one.
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Yeah.
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Premium range coupled with a
PD array that's premium based.
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In other words, if we were buying,
for instance, the bullish order block
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means threshold here in a discount.
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Now, overall we're in a premium market,
but this is still a possible long
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entry because we're in a lower portion
of that total larger premium range.
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So we still have room to reach for high.
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Premium PD arrays.
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And obviously we have rains that
reach for much higher objectives.
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So looking at it like this,
framing it, what would otherwise
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be deemed as overbought?
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We don't view it like that.
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This is why indicators do not work
from a algorithmic perspective.
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Looking at price ranges like this.
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It gives us a greater definition on how
we can frame entries and classify them as.
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Oversold or undervalued entries
for longs or overvalued or
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overbought entries for shorts.
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In this case, we could take a
example of the daily bullish
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or block means threshold.
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We could be buying there and in once
price trades up into the premium range,
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we could look for a four hour or one hour
premium PDA rate, the couple and exit.
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And moving further up
the consolidation range.
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We have a new discount and premium PDRs
matrix, and we could define this as well.
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00:14:08,095 --> 00:14:11,205
And then what we're doing is we're
coupling the range as defined by
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premium and discount with actual or.
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In the form of fair value gaps, bears,
order blocks, weekly rejection blocks,
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all those things to the left of our chart.
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We're looking back that 20, 40, and 60
trading days for the up-to-date range.
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So we're blending both time and price
in the form of premium and discount.
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00:14:36,010 --> 00:14:39,490
So we're blending the
elements of time and price.
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We're looking at the market and
the scope of overbought oversold,
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but not in the context of.
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We're looking at it, algorithmically
in the scope of quadrants that are
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broken down into premium and discount.
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And by itself it doesn't mean anything,
but when price trades down to a PD
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array, whether it be a discount or a
premium, if we trade into that element,
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00:15:05,100 --> 00:15:09,060
whether it be a bullshitter block, a
breaker, any of those things from the
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00:15:09,060 --> 00:15:10,980
PD array matrix that we've taught you.
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If you're looking for a long.
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The highest probable entries for
longs again, are entering in the
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discount range and coupling it
with a premium range PD array.
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It doesn't matter that we're in a
premium range of the role consolidation
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because pride can move back and forth
and oscillate from the highest portion
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00:15:36,270 --> 00:15:39,660
and many times make us slightly higher,
high and return back inside of the.
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00:15:41,005 --> 00:15:44,665
And it can go to the lowest low move
outside the range a little bit and come
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00:15:44,665 --> 00:15:45,925
right back in the middle range as well.
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00:15:46,225 --> 00:15:51,025
So we're anticipating the oscillation
effect of price while it's in
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00:15:51,025 --> 00:15:56,275
consolidation, but in that consolidation,
there's smaller consolidations.
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00:15:56,545 --> 00:16:01,555
So we're able to look at price in the
view of overbought, never sold without
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the element of indicators or relying on
mathematically derived number crunching.
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00:16:08,020 --> 00:16:12,219
What we're looking for is range
defined in the overall context of
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00:16:12,219 --> 00:16:17,140
the consolidation as we've had here,
we're in eight, the upper half of the
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00:16:17,140 --> 00:16:19,270
portion of the larger consolidation.
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00:16:19,599 --> 00:16:25,300
And by itself that would many times filter
out by signals from anyone else that
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00:16:25,300 --> 00:16:26,709
would look for over about we were sold.
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But for us, we can frame this
with the oversold condition,
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even in the element of a premium.
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00:16:36,675 --> 00:16:41,025
It's a discount market in a
overall premium market that
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00:16:41,025 --> 00:16:42,075
still has room to go up.
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00:16:42,105 --> 00:16:44,595
That's basically, in other words,
a layman's way of approaching
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00:16:45,194 --> 00:16:49,335
a definition, but whatever we
do in terms of entry or exit.
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00:16:50,069 --> 00:16:54,569
We're looking for elements to
frame the discount PD at Ray's.
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00:16:54,569 --> 00:16:56,340
That means bull shorter blocks breakers.
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00:16:56,790 --> 00:17:00,360
A fair value gets below us in
price, uh, trading below an old
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00:17:00,360 --> 00:17:01,620
low to take ourselves stops.
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00:17:01,829 --> 00:17:07,319
We're using those ideas to frame long
positions and taking first profits
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00:17:07,680 --> 00:17:09,599
at a four-hour one-hour basis.
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00:17:09,629 --> 00:17:14,129
Once it enters the premium
PDA Ray matrix range.
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00:17:20,045 --> 00:17:24,395
And finally at the top of the load larger
consolidation, we can see that there is
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still an opportunity where one could be
a buyer, but the opportunities fall off
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00:17:29,525 --> 00:17:32,135
precipitously in terms of probabilities.
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00:17:32,675 --> 00:17:38,465
And you can see now that the premium
array area in order for PDA Ray matrix.
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Bear shorter blocks, old highs, um,
bears, breakers, bears, mitigation
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blocks, uh, all those ideas.
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They're going to be much more influential
in terms of price action, and you'll
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see much more dynamic price action
from that side of the spectrum.
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And you can see that in the form of
the weekly rejection block prices
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traded from in March of 2017, we saw
also a move away from the fair value
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gap and bear shorter block again.
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And.
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00:18:10,055 --> 00:18:13,535
Largely hinged on the fact that we
were in an upper portion of the overall
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consolidation and we made it up into
that last smallest portion of the
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00:18:19,955 --> 00:18:28,845
premium market or premium PDA matrix,
the shaded area that says premium that's
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the highest portion or last little
segment of price in this consolidation.
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00:18:34,215 --> 00:18:37,305
So anytime price reaches up into
that, it's going to have a much more.
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00:18:38,940 --> 00:18:43,800
Impactful response and price
when it trades to a various PD.
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Or a premium PD rang.
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00:18:47,415 --> 00:18:49,965
So we see that happening with
a weekly rejection block.
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00:18:50,295 --> 00:18:53,445
It also took out an old
high formed in February.
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00:18:53,865 --> 00:18:55,965
So there was many instances
there where you can see why
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00:18:55,965 --> 00:18:57,885
price had a strong rejection.
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Also keying off of that last
midpoint that's dividing the premium
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and discount levels noted here.
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Uh, we had a really significant sell
off and it trades all the way back down
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into a daily bullish order block means.
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00:19:13,245 --> 00:19:17,175
Then we had a a hundred PIP move
that we called for in our day
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to day, uh, meetings in charts.
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00:19:20,235 --> 00:19:22,365
And you see the response, it
trades right back up to what
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the daily bearish order block.
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00:19:24,885 --> 00:19:28,485
And it also overlaps with
the premium 50% level.
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So there's a lot of things that you
need to be able to look at conceptually,
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00:19:34,005 --> 00:19:35,505
and you have to do it on your own time.
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I can give you a plethora of examples
over and over and over again, but this is.
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Teaching that I've given you enough
that if you break your charts
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down and do your own study, yes.
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This is the part that requires
your work just takes study time.
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It takes you, uh, wanting to be in the
charts, looking for it because I'm not
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going to be there when we separate.
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00:19:56,415 --> 00:19:58,005
You're glad to do these
things on your own.
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You have to find these, these
opportunities on your own, but by
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00:20:00,885 --> 00:20:04,455
having this element, what we're doing
is we're looking for low resistance.
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Liquidity runs from
one PDA Ray to another.
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From a discount to a premium, but we're
coupling it with looking back over
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00:20:11,945 --> 00:20:16,355
the last three months, because one
shot, one kill uses in excels inside
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00:20:16,355 --> 00:20:17,915
the last three months of trading.
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00:20:18,725 --> 00:20:23,885
So when we look back the last 20, the
last 40 and Alexis, 60 trading days, it
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00:20:23,885 --> 00:20:29,315
gives us framework to say, okay, where
is the premium PDA Ray matrix leading
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00:20:29,315 --> 00:20:31,025
me to, in terms of what I can sell.
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00:20:32,220 --> 00:20:36,780
And what I can reach for, for
longs, the couple my exits with, or
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00:20:37,200 --> 00:20:39,990
where my discount PDA Ray matrix.
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00:20:40,350 --> 00:20:42,480
And where are those levels?
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00:20:42,480 --> 00:20:46,260
I can cover my short set and I'm going
to look back over the last 20, 40,
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00:20:46,260 --> 00:20:48,240
and 60 days to pair those things up.
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00:20:49,170 --> 00:20:51,870
I'm also now applying ranges in terms of.
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00:20:53,010 --> 00:20:56,070
PDA rate matrix, whether it be
a premium or discount market.
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00:20:56,490 --> 00:21:01,470
So it allows me to build context of what
I'm looking for as an entry and how I can
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00:21:01,470 --> 00:21:03,870
look for my first objective in targeting
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00:21:08,920 --> 00:21:12,490
now in an ideal world, the best
buys are going to be in the lower
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00:21:12,490 --> 00:21:18,580
portion or lower half of the overall
consolidation and in the lower quadrant.
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00:21:18,670 --> 00:21:20,770
In other words, the discount matrix.
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00:21:25,594 --> 00:21:29,165
And the highest probability trades
for selling short or taking long
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00:21:29,254 --> 00:21:35,314
exits are going to be in the premium
range, divided by the upper portion.
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00:21:35,465 --> 00:21:38,885
So in other words, that last quadrant
that's going to be your best self.
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00:21:39,125 --> 00:21:43,475
The highest probability cells are
highest probability, uh, exits for lungs.
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00:21:44,465 --> 00:21:46,084
That's going to be your best scenario.
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00:21:46,115 --> 00:21:50,554
That's where the algorithm that's going to
reach for, for selling or exiting online.
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00:21:51,870 --> 00:21:53,850
And any long position in here.
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00:21:53,850 --> 00:21:55,680
Again, you have to take
it with a grain of salt.
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00:21:56,100 --> 00:21:59,550
You have to know the overall ranger in,
because just because you see a train
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00:21:59,550 --> 00:22:04,680
to a down candle, you have to have, I
understand that it has a room to go up.
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00:22:04,950 --> 00:22:08,100
And in this case you can see what
the daily bullish or block means.
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00:22:08,100 --> 00:22:08,550
Threshold.
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00:22:08,850 --> 00:22:15,480
That 100 pep rally was a response
off of yes, a PDA rate discount.
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00:22:16,774 --> 00:22:21,095
Bull shoulder block, but it trades out
to a daily bearish or block, but it
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00:22:21,095 --> 00:22:22,985
trades up into that bear shorter block.
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00:22:23,014 --> 00:22:27,905
Once it gets into the premium range, that
also gives us a high probability target.
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00:22:29,284 --> 00:22:33,575
Now, yes, it's one shot, one kill
scenario, and we're trying to trade
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00:22:33,575 --> 00:22:37,655
the weekly range, but one shot, one
kill is not defined by getting in on
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00:22:37,655 --> 00:22:39,125
a Monday and getting out on a Friday.
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00:22:39,635 --> 00:22:43,085
One shot, one kill is a couple of days
of trading and short-term trading.
305
00:22:43,145 --> 00:22:44,495
It can be as little as one day.
306
00:22:45,300 --> 00:22:46,440
And as long as a week.
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00:22:51,080 --> 00:22:54,740
And finally, when we look at the
range in the middle, uh, this
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00:22:54,740 --> 00:22:58,610
can be the areas of where you're
going to get chopped up the most.
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00:22:59,030 --> 00:23:03,320
Um, because if you're looking at
a range incorrectly, uh, if you've
310
00:23:03,320 --> 00:23:08,750
already defined the range and you're
looking at PDR, Ray of premium and
311
00:23:08,750 --> 00:23:11,720
discount that have already been traded
to Lawrence, if you look at a down
312
00:23:11,720 --> 00:23:14,030
candle in a discount market, normally.
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00:23:15,090 --> 00:23:18,870
That may be a bullet shorter block,
but if it's already been traded to the
314
00:23:18,900 --> 00:23:22,680
likelihood of it being a bullshitter
block with high probability falls off,
315
00:23:22,710 --> 00:23:29,430
because it's already been used, we want
to use a new PD array in a discount
316
00:23:29,430 --> 00:23:34,710
or premium market that has not been
traded to because the algorithm knows
317
00:23:34,710 --> 00:23:36,450
the price has been there once before.
318
00:23:36,570 --> 00:23:41,820
So it's going to seek new liquidity
and expand to allow the banks to take
319
00:23:42,120 --> 00:23:43,860
participation in a move higher or.
320
00:23:45,285 --> 00:23:49,125
So looking at the range like this, as
we defined it, if you're trading in
321
00:23:49,125 --> 00:23:53,325
the middle of the range like this, and
you're not strong in your directional
322
00:23:53,325 --> 00:23:57,195
bias or where the market may reach
for next and onwards, understanding
323
00:23:57,195 --> 00:24:00,585
where open float is, where's the
buy stops and the sell stops.
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00:24:00,615 --> 00:24:04,935
If you're not really strong with that, if
you're trading in this range here, you're
325
00:24:04,935 --> 00:24:07,995
going to get chopped up a lot over time.
326
00:24:07,995 --> 00:24:12,915
You'll learn how to better approach
these specific premium discount ranges.
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00:24:14,370 --> 00:24:18,660
When you look at the outer rim, when
we were just showing the previous
328
00:24:18,660 --> 00:24:23,280
slide, the higher you can get up
in the overall consolidation in
329
00:24:23,280 --> 00:24:26,370
a premium market, the better your
short positions are going to be.
330
00:24:26,700 --> 00:24:29,850
And the easier it's going to be
to reach for a profitable discount
331
00:24:30,090 --> 00:24:37,170
PDR array, the lower you are in the
total consolidation, the better your
332
00:24:37,170 --> 00:24:39,030
discount long entries are going to be.
333
00:24:39,030 --> 00:24:42,660
And it's easier for you to get
to a profitable premium PDRs.
334
00:24:44,435 --> 00:24:48,515
Blending the two time and price
working in a range environment.
335
00:24:48,515 --> 00:24:53,615
Like this gives you context and you
can find very easy, low resistance
336
00:24:53,615 --> 00:24:59,075
liquidity runs between one PD
array to another and understanding
337
00:24:59,075 --> 00:25:00,845
the element of time and price.
30935
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