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welcome to March, 2017 content
for the ICT mentorship.
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This month, we're teaching
short-term trading.
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This is lesson one, combining higher
timeframe, monthly and weekly.
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Okay folks, short-term trading.
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This is my cup of tea.
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If you will.
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My go-to discipline trading style.
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Um, in this month, we're going
to teaching in great detail.
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My one shot one.
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Approach to trading, not just the Forex
market, but all the other, uh, asset
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classes will be touched on in the scope.
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As we get to those later discussions, uh,
in the middle of the summer, we will be
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teaching bond trading, uh, index trading,
stock trading, and commodity trading.
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And I'll touch on this specific
trading model in higher detail.
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When I go into those
respective discussions.
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And just so you know, it's the
month of June, we go through that,
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uh, that gambit, if you will, of
those four different asset classes.
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All right.
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So what is short term trading?
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It's the practice of trading and
duration of one week or a few days we
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use both the monthly and weekly charts.
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The frame.
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We traded the direction of the
present or next week's probable range.
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It's essential that you understand
that the weekly range is going
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to be the backbone to your
success in short term trading.
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And I'm going to go through a lot.
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Teaching and concepts, as it relates
to producing consistent results.
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When you're looking for forecasting
the next week or current weeks range,
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the short-term model can be
both trend or range bound.
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Trades that are clear to
see forming are the goal.
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Again, specifically with this trading
model, try your best to keep from
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forcing yourself to take a trade if
it's not obvious, but simply just
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not clear enough on, on your chart.
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Just simply sit on your
hands and wait these types of
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setups form every single week.
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There's absolutely no
reason for you to rush.
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If you do believe me, you will have
psychological tug of war going on.
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You're gonna have emotional issues.
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And the bottom line is, is
you're ultimately probably
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going to lose some money.
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Short term trading.
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In my opinion is the
highest probability to sell.
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It offers frequent setups
and with consistency, it
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provides a plethora of trades.
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Now, before we get into this discussion
about short-term trading, let me preface
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it by saying it's important that you
go through your notes from the January
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long-term trading model and from
February with the swing trading model
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notes, because those notes will combat.
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This specific whole entire month, it
would be very easy for me to load you
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down with rehash of everything that
was discussed in January and February.
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But what I want to do is I want
to keep things moving along.
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Number one, I want the lessons to
be fresh, and I also want you to be.
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Forced.
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If you will, to go back through
your notes, it's simply me
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giving you the PDF files.
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Not enough.
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You need to be referring
to them every single month.
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He gets something new.
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When you finish that new month, go
back from the previous month and
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go through all those lessons again.
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And yes, it takes a lot of time.
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That's why we're doing
a 12 month mentorship.
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It takes a great deal of time.
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You go through this information
to digest it, to retain it,
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and then to be able to use it.
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It's simply not enough to give me
this and then I'll know what to do.
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It's not, it doesn't work like that.
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And obviously some of you already
realize that and it's requiring you
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a great deal, more work, but the
ones that are doing it, guess what?
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And you already see the fruits of that.
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So while many of the folks
on the internet think they
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understand how I do one shot, one.
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Believe me, there's a whole lot of
things that I did not reveal in the
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first four lessons of this month
will look somewhat like you have
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already seen it already, but there's
subtle nuances, especially with one.
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Uh, component that I'm going
to release it at the very last
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slide in this presentation.
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I want you to be really focused
on because it really is, in my
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opinion, one of the telltale signs
that you've got a tiger by the tail.
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In other words, you have a big move
still, and I'll get to that when we get
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to the last slide in this presentation.
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But I want you to know
that when we go through.
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Short-term trading.
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This is my favorite form of trading.
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If I can't find a setup for a
one shot, one kill, the next
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thing I'm doing is day trading.
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And guess what?
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We teach that next month.
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But this month in next, this is where
I Excel as a trader because of my
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personal unique makeup as a trader
and as a person, my psychology about
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things in nature is very short term.
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I can change my mind very quick.
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I can.
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Make a decision rather quickly.
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So that means that I can do very
well in this specific discipline of
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trading and with intraday day trading.
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So while this may not be your
particular style trading, Trust me.
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I'm going to teach you things in
this month and next month that
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will help you really, really Excel
as a longterm trader or a swing
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trader, everything blends together.
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That's why we have to do these
things from a higher timeframe down.
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And we keep back to the hard timeframe
and fill in gaps that were left there.
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Intentionally some of you have scratched
your head saying, well, wait a minute.
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I feel like there's some things
missing from the swing trading model.
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The things that are missing will be.
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By filling in with the short term,
because everything is modular.
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Everything is complimentary as we go
through deeper study on this mentorship.
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So as we get down to the smaller
timeframes, everything fills in, and then
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you'll go back into the higher timeframes
and say, okay, now I know what I'm doing.
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I know what I'm looking for.
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And everything fit together
like a dovetail perfectly.
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Okay.
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As a reminder, every
discipline, we will always be.
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We referring to.
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PDA Ray matrix.
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And I want to not just go over everything
that you've seen here so far, and I'm
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not trying to, you know, the labor,
but it's important to understand that
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as a short term trader, especially for
one shot, one kill, which is the, like
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the flagship of this month's content.
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That's what I'm, that's
my hallmark as a trader.
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I mean that, that's what
makes ICT what he is.
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You know, I can trade the weekly
range and get pretty close to what
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the high and low is for the week.
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And you've already seen many examples.
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We call the intraday highs and lows
before the fact within one or two
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pips and sometimes rate on the PIP.
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Those same components are applicable
to the weekly range, which if
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you really stop and think about.
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Think about the Sunday opening to
Friday's clothes, how many pips
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is offered over that time period?
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A lot tons.
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So if you can really focus in on what
we're teaching this month, even if
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it's not going to be your discipline
of choice or style of trading, it
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will give you a greater insight on how
you can reduce your risk trading as a
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swing trader and or a long-term trader.
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As it relates to PDA matrix, that's
again, the backbone to what we look
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for and how we frame our trades.
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Okay.
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So it ends up in every one
of our teachings as we go
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forward in each new discipline.
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This slide will always be there because
I want it ingrained in your brain.
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Okay.
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Because this is what I do
from an institutional mindset.
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I look for how the institutions will move
from my premium to a discount array or
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from a discount rate to a premium marae.
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You have to understand that.
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And just an example, this is
take a look at one real quick.
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Saying, we looked at the market and it
just recently filled out a fair value gap.
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Okay.
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And we think the market's bearish where
we go through this process of looking
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for potential future discount PDRs.
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And we look, and we can't see anything in
terms of a bullish, uh, mitigation block.
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We don't see any bullish breakers.
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There's no liquidity void, but
there is no fair value gap either.
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All of a sudden it reduces
us down to a bullish.
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So, if we're looking at a monthly hard
timeframe, premium array, we're looking
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for a opposing weekly discount array.
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So in this case, we were looking for,
or the movement from a fair value get
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that has filled in at a premium level.
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We're dropping down and looking
for a weekly discount array.
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And if our analysis leads us to only
a bullshitter block below us in the
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weekly format or timeframe, that's the
range that we're going to be looking.
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That's your potential range.
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That's how much you can
frame your risk reward model.
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That's the range you're trading.
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That's not, um, to be broken
up and looked at as, okay.
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Well, if this range is 300 pips, I'm just
going to take 20 pips and be done with it.
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No, you're gonna look
to frame your trades.
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As you scale out your holding
for these longer-term objects.
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Throughout the week, you are going to
learn and take some profits along the
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way, but you're holding out ultimately
what that last portion of your trade to
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get down to that bullet shorter block.
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And this is just one example.
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It could be any combination of how a
premium moved to a discount array or
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a discount array moved up to a premium
terms of reaching for how the market may
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reach in terms of moving higher or lower.
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And I'll say this in simple terms.
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All we're doing is looking for a monthly
PD array, whether it's discount or
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premium based on our next logical price
move, has it gone most likely higher
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or lower from where we are right now?
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And we move from a monthly PD right now,
if it's bullish, obviously we're gonna
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be focusing on a monthly discount array.
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If it's bearish, we're looking for a
premium monthly array from that monthly.
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You're going to look for
an opposing weekly array.
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So if you're starting from a premium
and a monthly basis, you'll be
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looking for a weekly discount.
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That's your target.
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You're looking for that range,
the close in, or the market
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to be drawn to that level.
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Now, if you're not really
paying attention, if that
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didn't hit you hard, believe me.
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When you go through your, all your
charts, go back and look at every
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major move that's what's been going on.
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That's what makes my ability to call the
markets from one level to the next and be
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pretty solid in terms of why I think the
mark is going to go one direction over
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the other when I'm not confident about
that is because I don't, I don't know
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what PD array is going to be used next.
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So I'm waiting for more information
or the PD erase have been expired.
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They've already been traded too.
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So you have to look for something
new and that means you have to
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wait, but guess what that does.
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It gives you content.
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And it also gives you patience.
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It gives you the ability to wait now,
you know what you're waiting for,
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because right now you can't do anything.
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So when we go through this process of
eliminating or what's available in terms
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of active PD arrays, we start from a
monthly, wait, what is the Mar monthly PD
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rate that we're most actively traded from?
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Is it coming off of a bear shorter block?
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Okay, great.
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So what's the weekly discount
rate it's going to be.
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There may not be a mitigation block.
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There may not be a bullet Spreaker.
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There may not be a void or a gap.
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There may not even be a bullish order buck
that you could feign around confidence.
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It may be a series of all down candles.
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So what does that mean?
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You look for a rejection block
or an old, low and over high.
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Another example would be, if we were
looking from a discount monthly array
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up into a weekly premium array, we can
be looking for the market, moving from
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a bullish breaker, for instance, and we
could potentially look for the market to
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possibly run to an old high or an old low.
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Again, that would be your potential range.
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This is the maximum, you're leaving your
portion of your trade on to reach for it
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may not get to these objectives, but if
you leave a little piece on many times,
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you're gonna find that if you do this,
you can actually make more than the trade.
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If you had on the full position and
left it to your first objective and
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just simply took it all off there, that
small little portion, if you leave it
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on and you hold it for your maximum.
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That little portion, many times will
be what you would be making entirely.
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If you just took first profit
at a smaller, lesser objective.
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00:12:38,230 --> 00:12:38,740
Okay.
233
00:12:38,740 --> 00:12:40,000
Higher timeframe sequence.
234
00:12:40,030 --> 00:12:43,810
We've seen this slide before, but now
we're making one more addition and we're
235
00:12:43,810 --> 00:12:45,190
making some additional notes as well.
236
00:12:46,720 --> 00:12:48,790
When we're looking for shorting
opportunities, we're moving from
237
00:12:48,790 --> 00:12:50,590
a monthly chart sell program.
238
00:12:50,590 --> 00:12:54,520
It means we're looking for the market
to move away from a premium array.
239
00:12:55,780 --> 00:12:57,970
And we're moving down into
the lower timeframe, which
240
00:12:57,970 --> 00:12:59,230
would be the weekly chart.
241
00:12:59,380 --> 00:13:02,350
And we're looking for it to
become a sell program as well.
242
00:13:02,439 --> 00:13:05,350
So we're going to looking for the market
to move away from its premium arrays
243
00:13:05,740 --> 00:13:09,790
down into a lower timeframe daily we're
watching for price to move away from.
244
00:13:11,010 --> 00:13:15,180
Individual premium arrays down into a
four-hour chart, looking forward to sell
245
00:13:15,180 --> 00:13:19,800
program as well, moving away from its
premium rays down into a one-hour chart
246
00:13:19,980 --> 00:13:25,860
where we're again, looking for the market
to move away from their premium arrays.
247
00:13:27,780 --> 00:13:29,850
So if we look at the slide here to the.
248
00:13:31,109 --> 00:13:35,339
We have the monthly, the weekly, the
daily, the four hour and the one hour.
249
00:13:35,819 --> 00:13:38,189
And we're focusing on the monthly
chart is we're looking for a
250
00:13:38,219 --> 00:13:40,770
premium array to trade off of north.
251
00:13:40,770 --> 00:13:44,430
That's going to be our point of
origin from the monthly, weekly,
252
00:13:44,430 --> 00:13:48,449
daily, and for our, these timeframes,
you're scanning, searching and
253
00:13:48,449 --> 00:13:50,520
trying to determine all of the PDs.
254
00:13:51,435 --> 00:13:53,535
Not just premium and not just discount.
255
00:13:53,565 --> 00:13:57,405
You're looking for all of them from each
timeframe because all of them will give
256
00:13:57,405 --> 00:14:01,335
us potentially new setups short-term
trading or one-shot kill setups.
257
00:14:02,445 --> 00:14:08,205
And also if we're looking for a move
in this case, a selling opportunity
258
00:14:08,865 --> 00:14:13,185
and we're framing off of a monthly PD
array from a premium level, it means
259
00:14:13,185 --> 00:14:15,825
we're in a, basically an overbought
condition and we're going to be
260
00:14:15,825 --> 00:14:19,995
watching and expecting the price to
move lower, to trade down to a weekly.
261
00:14:21,745 --> 00:14:25,465
So if we're going to look at the
monthly, the weekly dealing for our
262
00:14:25,465 --> 00:14:29,185
own, both premium end discount basis,
as we've already talked about in
263
00:14:29,185 --> 00:14:34,435
previous disciplines and teachings in
December and January, when we do this,
264
00:14:35,005 --> 00:14:38,305
if we're bearish, if we're looking
for the monthly premium arrays to
265
00:14:38,725 --> 00:14:43,615
influence price, to go lower, why is
it important to look at the monthly,
266
00:14:43,615 --> 00:14:45,955
weekly, daily and four-hour discount rate?
267
00:14:48,230 --> 00:14:52,850
Because we're looking for these
arrays and the Viscount form to break.
268
00:14:53,600 --> 00:14:57,860
We want to see them break and we want to
see them continuously keep breaking until
269
00:14:57,860 --> 00:15:01,939
we get down to our weekly discount array.
270
00:15:04,280 --> 00:15:08,990
So if we're framing a monthly
premium PD array, we're expecting
271
00:15:08,990 --> 00:15:10,910
lower prices from a monthly level.
272
00:15:11,839 --> 00:15:13,400
And we're trying to
get down into a weekly.
273
00:15:14,460 --> 00:15:18,840
Now it could be any one of the
discount, rays, whichever one appears
274
00:15:18,900 --> 00:15:22,590
on the chart or the market that you're
trading, not every payer or market
275
00:15:22,770 --> 00:15:24,660
has every single discount array.
276
00:15:25,410 --> 00:15:27,660
There's only a few that can exist.
277
00:15:27,690 --> 00:15:28,320
Very rarely.
278
00:15:28,320 --> 00:15:29,880
Have you ever seen more than three?
279
00:15:30,780 --> 00:15:34,920
So if you focus on what you're looking for
in terms of monthly, down into a daily.
280
00:15:35,925 --> 00:15:38,685
It gives you a very clear
cut thing to look for.
281
00:15:38,925 --> 00:15:43,245
There's not a plethora of things to choose
from or, well, there's so many things.
282
00:15:43,245 --> 00:15:45,015
It could be Michael, you
know, which level is it?
283
00:15:45,045 --> 00:15:46,005
No, it's very obvious.
284
00:15:46,785 --> 00:15:49,995
We're framing the market
contextually and conceptually.
285
00:15:50,505 --> 00:15:54,255
So it gives us a way to break down the
marketplace and define where that market
286
00:15:54,255 --> 00:15:57,545
may most and obviously likely reach.
287
00:16:00,000 --> 00:16:02,910
So we're scouting for opposing
PD erase from the monthly
288
00:16:02,940 --> 00:16:04,620
down into a weekly discount.
289
00:16:05,130 --> 00:16:09,300
So again, monthly premium level, and
we're trying to look for an opposing
290
00:16:09,330 --> 00:16:16,710
weekly PDRs in the form of a discount
from that monthly premium array.
291
00:16:17,760 --> 00:16:22,590
We dropped down into a weekly,
daily and four hour at every
292
00:16:22,590 --> 00:16:24,180
premium array for each one of those.
293
00:16:25,170 --> 00:16:30,060
Timeframes and we're scanning for
all of the premium arrays where
294
00:16:30,060 --> 00:16:35,010
we can take short-term trades from
as a short, every one of those at
295
00:16:35,010 --> 00:16:36,450
the weekly, daily, and four hour.
296
00:16:36,660 --> 00:16:40,800
If we find a level like that, we refine it
all the way to the one hour chart or one
297
00:16:40,800 --> 00:16:45,450
hour chart is our executable timeframe for
one shot, one kills or short-term trading.
298
00:16:47,190 --> 00:16:50,130
Once you have that executed, what
we're doing is, is we're aiming
299
00:16:50,130 --> 00:16:52,440
for that weekly discount PDRs.
300
00:16:53,430 --> 00:16:54,390
There's your cycle.
301
00:16:54,780 --> 00:16:55,800
That's your process?
302
00:16:55,800 --> 00:16:58,830
That's your whole, uh,
outlining, if you will.
303
00:16:59,490 --> 00:17:02,430
What we do with the information we learned
from January and February and what we're
304
00:17:02,430 --> 00:17:06,210
learning so far is that we're taking
all this concept actually, and breaking
305
00:17:06,210 --> 00:17:07,980
it down into a user-friendly format.
306
00:17:09,359 --> 00:17:14,490
We want a monthly premium
array and we start there.
307
00:17:15,119 --> 00:17:18,300
We're looking for a opposing weekly.
308
00:17:19,915 --> 00:17:23,964
Whatever that range is, it may be hundreds
of pips, or it could be a thousand pips.
309
00:17:24,265 --> 00:17:29,065
I don't know it's going to be unique
to each market and environment, but we
310
00:17:29,065 --> 00:17:32,845
may have missed the real opportunity
to trade off of that monthly premium.
311
00:17:32,875 --> 00:17:34,615
Maybe you sat down in your
turn and say, oh, look at this.
312
00:17:35,065 --> 00:17:37,135
It's coming off of a
monthly bear, shorter block.
313
00:17:37,615 --> 00:17:38,655
So it's already moved away from it.
314
00:17:38,665 --> 00:17:41,815
You can't really use that to trade off
of you just know that it's moving lower.
315
00:17:41,815 --> 00:17:42,685
So what do you do next?
316
00:17:42,685 --> 00:17:45,115
You dropped down to a weekly
what's the weekly premium.
317
00:17:45,929 --> 00:17:49,889
There may be one, it trades up
to you later on or a daily chart.
318
00:17:49,949 --> 00:17:54,870
It may trade up into a daily
premium array or four hour.
319
00:17:56,100 --> 00:18:01,050
One of those four timeframes is going
to give you a setup based on the fact
320
00:18:01,050 --> 00:18:06,780
that the monthly premium is overbought,
most likely are going to trade lower
321
00:18:07,169 --> 00:18:10,709
and we're going to be looking for
a lesser timeframe discount array.
322
00:18:10,919 --> 00:18:12,090
What's less than a monthly.
323
00:18:13,825 --> 00:18:17,425
We execute, regardless if it's on
a weekly, daily, or for our premium
324
00:18:17,425 --> 00:18:22,825
level, from a one-hour chart, you
get down to the discount on a weekly.
325
00:18:23,155 --> 00:18:29,885
That's our objective throughout
the time from that execution.
326
00:18:29,885 --> 00:18:33,725
If it's a weekly or it's a monthly
level, we could potentially see
327
00:18:33,725 --> 00:18:35,495
multiple short-term trades form.
328
00:18:36,395 --> 00:18:39,845
If it's from a four hour basis, you
won't see that many charts setups
329
00:18:39,935 --> 00:18:42,395
form, but nonetheless, there's
still gonna be high priority.
330
00:18:45,605 --> 00:18:49,115
Okay for buying opportunities, the
same thing as this repeated this
331
00:18:49,115 --> 00:18:53,695
an opposite, we're gonna be looking
for a monthly chart by programs.
332
00:18:53,695 --> 00:18:57,635
So we're gonna be looking at a
monthly discount array, and we're
333
00:18:57,635 --> 00:18:59,585
gonna be looking forward to going
into a buy program and which we're
334
00:18:59,585 --> 00:19:02,195
expecting higher prices, weekly chart.
335
00:19:02,195 --> 00:19:04,295
We dropped down into it and we
start looking for all of the
336
00:19:04,295 --> 00:19:05,915
discount PD erased as well.
337
00:19:07,755 --> 00:19:11,895
And we look for the daily chart to
also move away from its discount rate.
338
00:19:12,825 --> 00:19:15,855
And then dropping them to a lower
four hour and then ultimately down
339
00:19:15,855 --> 00:19:20,055
to a one hour chart, looking at
all of the discount PDRs to offer
340
00:19:20,055 --> 00:19:23,565
support and price, but ultimately
we're framing it off of whatever
341
00:19:23,565 --> 00:19:25,395
the monthly chart discount array is.
342
00:19:25,965 --> 00:19:26,985
That's the beginning basis.
343
00:19:28,020 --> 00:19:29,490
So we're starting from a monthly level.
344
00:19:29,850 --> 00:19:36,270
We're finding a discount if we're oversold
or for any really deep discount market.
345
00:19:36,270 --> 00:19:39,720
In other words, it's traded for a
long time lower and we found some
346
00:19:39,870 --> 00:19:42,480
old institutional price models for.
347
00:19:44,100 --> 00:19:45,240
Institutional order flow.
348
00:19:45,420 --> 00:19:48,840
For instance, at bullish order block,
when old, higher and old low whatever's
349
00:19:48,840 --> 00:19:53,130
caused the market to trade higher in the
past, all those are potential scenarios.
350
00:19:54,270 --> 00:19:58,620
We're looking for a lower
timeframe, opposing PD array.
351
00:19:59,970 --> 00:20:03,450
In this case, we're looking
for a weekly premium array.
352
00:20:04,170 --> 00:20:06,960
We're scouting, opposing PD
arrays, but we're starting
353
00:20:06,960 --> 00:20:08,670
from that monthly basis for.
354
00:20:09,900 --> 00:20:12,840
So the lesser timeframe for a
monthly he's a weekly and the
355
00:20:12,840 --> 00:20:15,180
opposing from a discount is premium.
356
00:20:15,480 --> 00:20:19,350
So we're looking for him over
sold condition on a monthly, to
357
00:20:19,350 --> 00:20:23,610
a higher timeframe premium rate.
358
00:20:23,610 --> 00:20:24,930
It will be seen on a weekly chart.
359
00:20:25,110 --> 00:20:29,070
So that would give us a relatively
intermediate term overbought scenario.
360
00:20:29,490 --> 00:20:32,490
It helps us frame the model
without using any indicators.
361
00:20:35,020 --> 00:20:37,510
Once we arrive at discount monthly PDF.
362
00:20:38,580 --> 00:20:41,220
We go down through the monthly, the
weekly, the daily, and the four hour
363
00:20:41,460 --> 00:20:47,400
to reference all of its individual
unique discount arrays, every single
364
00:20:47,400 --> 00:20:52,380
one of these, even if we missed the
monthly discount, array and price
365
00:20:52,380 --> 00:20:53,280
is already moved away from it.
366
00:20:53,670 --> 00:20:56,730
We can't use it, but we can
refer to it as an indication that
367
00:20:56,730 --> 00:20:58,710
market's wanting to go higher.
368
00:20:59,010 --> 00:21:01,860
So therefore we're identifying
that weekly premium level.
369
00:21:02,909 --> 00:21:06,180
So, whatever that range is, that's
what we're waiting for it to trade
370
00:21:06,180 --> 00:21:08,190
up to between them two points.
371
00:21:08,430 --> 00:21:13,169
There may be thousands or hundreds of pips
in terms of the difference between the
372
00:21:13,169 --> 00:21:15,600
monthly discount level and the weekly.
373
00:21:17,715 --> 00:21:20,685
So we dropped down to the weekly,
the daily and a four hour for all
374
00:21:20,685 --> 00:21:25,155
of the discount PDRs, but which
order blocks bullish breakers,
375
00:21:25,185 --> 00:21:29,205
bullish mitigation blocks, liquidity
voids below current market action.
376
00:21:29,534 --> 00:21:34,754
Fair value gets below current market
action, uh, rejection blocks, old
377
00:21:34,905 --> 00:21:37,455
candle bodies with long wicks below it.
378
00:21:37,965 --> 00:21:40,754
Uh, it made me want to reach down
below that, or it could be just
379
00:21:40,784 --> 00:21:43,665
a run on an old, low or return
back to an old high historically.
380
00:21:44,565 --> 00:21:47,355
Those are all discount arrays.
381
00:21:47,865 --> 00:21:51,435
We look for them from the monthly and
then drop down to a weekly, find whatever
382
00:21:51,435 --> 00:21:52,785
they are there in that timeframe.
383
00:21:52,815 --> 00:21:55,935
Then the daily and the four hour,
any one of those timeframes.
384
00:21:56,295 --> 00:21:56,595
Okay.
385
00:21:56,625 --> 00:22:00,405
We're searching and determining
whatever the PDA rays are from a
386
00:22:00,405 --> 00:22:04,095
discount basis, but we're framing the
directional move from the monthly.
387
00:22:05,955 --> 00:22:09,885
We time all of those potential
setups with the one hour chart.
388
00:22:11,504 --> 00:22:13,215
Aiming for that weekly premium array.
389
00:22:13,485 --> 00:22:17,925
And again, it could be multiple
short-term trades forming between
390
00:22:17,955 --> 00:22:23,774
the monthly, the weekly and daily
getting to that weekly premium array.
391
00:22:24,345 --> 00:22:26,625
Again, we dropped down to a four-hour
chart and once we get into the four
392
00:22:26,625 --> 00:22:31,695
hour, the trades start to fall off a
lot in terms of the frequency or multi.
393
00:22:35,355 --> 00:22:35,655
Okay.
394
00:22:35,985 --> 00:22:40,995
If we look at how we can use the same
model dropping down from a weekly chart,
395
00:22:41,925 --> 00:22:46,785
we can start from a weekly premium
looking into a lower timeframe daily
396
00:22:46,785 --> 00:22:51,525
discount, and we're gonna be scouting,
opposing PD, arrays, respectively,
397
00:22:53,055 --> 00:22:56,595
and from a weekly, from two daily to
a four-hour, we're looking for all the
398
00:22:56,595 --> 00:22:58,305
premium arrays that we could short from.
399
00:22:58,665 --> 00:23:00,105
And we key off of whatever they are.
400
00:23:00,899 --> 00:23:02,399
We wait for price to trade to them.
401
00:23:02,670 --> 00:23:06,450
And then we use the one hour chart to
sell short from that's our executable
402
00:23:06,450 --> 00:23:11,879
timeframe aiming for that lower
level timeframe daily discount.
403
00:23:12,540 --> 00:23:15,690
This my friends is the
one shot, one kill set up.
404
00:23:16,590 --> 00:23:17,850
This is my bread and butter.
405
00:23:17,909 --> 00:23:21,360
This is the one that has consistent
setups every single week.
406
00:23:21,600 --> 00:23:24,240
There's something to trade off
of, but you have to go through
407
00:23:24,720 --> 00:23:26,370
the process of waiting for the.
408
00:23:29,710 --> 00:23:30,180
The opposite.
409
00:23:30,200 --> 00:23:30,850
Same here.
410
00:23:31,180 --> 00:23:35,920
When we're looking for a weekly
discount scouting and opposing PD
411
00:23:35,920 --> 00:23:41,830
array for daily premium level, we
dropped down from the weekly, the
412
00:23:41,830 --> 00:23:46,150
daily and the four hour looking for
all the discount PD res executing on
413
00:23:46,300 --> 00:23:49,000
any one of them from a one hour chart.
414
00:23:50,020 --> 00:23:52,310
And again, this is the one
shot, one kill set up for.
415
00:23:59,555 --> 00:23:59,705
Okay.
416
00:23:59,705 --> 00:24:03,515
We talked about the swing trade
progression, and it's important to
417
00:24:03,515 --> 00:24:07,865
bring this back up again, because
without this understanding, it's going
418
00:24:07,865 --> 00:24:13,685
to be a little too vague, but I gave
you a model at which we thought that
419
00:24:13,685 --> 00:24:15,215
maybe this is a six month outlook on.
420
00:24:16,260 --> 00:24:16,470
Okay.
421
00:24:16,470 --> 00:24:19,380
Maybe it's a little bit aggressive to
say six months, but just for the sake
422
00:24:19,380 --> 00:24:23,340
of argument and discussion, let's just
say this whole entire range of higher
423
00:24:23,340 --> 00:24:26,250
highs and higher lows is six months.
424
00:24:26,790 --> 00:24:30,480
And we had the benefit of forecasting,
the potential move to see this unfold.
425
00:24:31,050 --> 00:24:35,070
Each one of these price legs has a
impulse leg and it has a retracement.
426
00:24:35,070 --> 00:24:39,750
Then there's an expansion swing inside
of each individual impulse swing.
427
00:24:39,780 --> 00:24:42,930
There could be smaller
impulse and expansion.
428
00:24:44,395 --> 00:24:49,135
Each expansion swing again, just like
we saw in the impulse swing, it could
429
00:24:49,145 --> 00:24:53,245
be broken down to a smaller timeframe,
seeing its own individual unique
430
00:24:53,845 --> 00:24:55,585
impulse swing and expansion swing.
431
00:24:56,905 --> 00:25:00,054
And this is repeated throughout
the entire fractal that is seen
432
00:25:00,054 --> 00:25:03,054
in price as a short-term trader.
433
00:25:03,205 --> 00:25:10,225
With this alone, there is a plethora of
many, many sex setups and signals that you
434
00:25:10,225 --> 00:25:12,534
can find just trading with one market one.
435
00:25:14,885 --> 00:25:19,775
If this is a whole landscape, if
you will have six months of price
436
00:25:19,775 --> 00:25:24,875
data, this could be every load
it trades from and trades higher.
437
00:25:25,505 --> 00:25:28,325
Every single time, it makes
a low moves up graphically.
438
00:25:28,715 --> 00:25:30,695
That is a potential short-term trade.
439
00:25:31,835 --> 00:25:35,165
So just from this chart alone,
if you take a moment and count
440
00:25:35,165 --> 00:25:37,385
every time he creates a move.
441
00:25:38,610 --> 00:25:43,170
Use that lowest point at which you could
frame a short-term trade count them.
442
00:25:43,350 --> 00:25:44,430
I'll give you a moment to do so.
443
00:25:48,460 --> 00:25:50,320
There's potentially just on longs.
444
00:25:50,350 --> 00:25:54,580
There's eight short term setups here
just by breaking the fractal down
445
00:25:54,610 --> 00:26:00,010
one scale, but we can go further
than that and break down the smaller
446
00:26:00,010 --> 00:26:03,880
swings into their individual impulse
swing, retracement and expansion.
447
00:26:05,195 --> 00:26:08,735
And smaller expansion swing
can be further broken down.
448
00:26:09,845 --> 00:26:13,715
Each individual fractal can be
broken down to a less rack though.
449
00:26:13,745 --> 00:26:17,345
Now, if we count how many opportunities
you could be a buyer when you're bullish
450
00:26:17,375 --> 00:26:21,935
and you can frame the marketplace
correctly, how many opportunities do
451
00:26:21,935 --> 00:26:24,065
you see here in terms of potential buys?
452
00:26:26,525 --> 00:26:30,335
There's potentially 16 buying
opportunities in this overall.
453
00:26:31,905 --> 00:26:35,025
That's not counting any short-term
trades that you go to done
454
00:26:35,055 --> 00:26:38,985
on all the retracements every
little red section in here.
455
00:26:39,405 --> 00:26:41,655
They could also be
short-term trades as well.
456
00:26:44,225 --> 00:26:48,335
If we couple those with the buying
opportunities, there's a great deal.
457
00:26:48,365 --> 00:26:51,754
More trades that are available
as a short-term trader.
458
00:26:56,275 --> 00:26:56,425
Okay.
459
00:26:56,425 --> 00:26:57,865
The general concept revisit.
460
00:26:59,305 --> 00:27:02,365
We're looking for a market that is poised
to trade higher on a higher timeframe.
461
00:27:03,025 --> 00:27:05,635
Now we're going to be looking for
seasonal tendencies to help us.
462
00:27:06,295 --> 00:27:09,805
We don't require it, but they're always
going to be a bonus and we're looking
463
00:27:09,805 --> 00:27:11,845
for interest rate driven conditions.
464
00:27:11,965 --> 00:27:12,955
In other words, is there.
465
00:27:15,170 --> 00:27:15,950
Bond market.
466
00:27:15,950 --> 00:27:16,700
Is it moving?
467
00:27:16,970 --> 00:27:17,960
Is it stagnant?
468
00:27:17,960 --> 00:27:18,830
It's going sideways.
469
00:27:19,040 --> 00:27:22,270
Preferably we were looking for a
market that's moving around and just
470
00:27:22,270 --> 00:27:25,010
the commitment, traders support the
hedging program about the commercials.
471
00:27:25,010 --> 00:27:25,700
Are they buying?
472
00:27:25,700 --> 00:27:29,050
Are they selling, um, in this case,
if we're looking for a bull scenario,
473
00:27:29,070 --> 00:27:32,180
we're looking for commercials to be
lessening their short positions or
474
00:27:32,180 --> 00:27:34,100
aggressively adding or already net long.
475
00:27:35,420 --> 00:27:37,490
And we're using intermarket
analysis to support abortions.
476
00:27:37,500 --> 00:27:40,790
That could be in the form
of supporting, uh, with.
477
00:27:41,985 --> 00:27:46,695
S and T divergence or correlated pair SMT.
478
00:27:49,275 --> 00:27:52,335
We're looking for a market that rallies
higher than retraces and this is going
479
00:27:52,335 --> 00:27:54,375
to occur Monday through Wednesday.
480
00:27:54,375 --> 00:27:58,755
So now we're getting more time-specific
and then we look for the market to
481
00:27:58,755 --> 00:28:03,585
expand up into higher highs so that
before we do anything, we're going
482
00:28:03,585 --> 00:28:05,595
to already have our point of origin.
483
00:28:06,165 --> 00:28:06,465
No worries.
484
00:28:06,465 --> 00:28:08,715
That's going to be the reference
point from a monthly standpoint and,
485
00:28:08,715 --> 00:28:10,155
or dropping down to the weekly daily.
486
00:28:11,930 --> 00:28:16,490
And we're going to know what PD array
in the premium we're aiming for.
487
00:28:18,909 --> 00:28:23,590
So we see that impulse swing Monday,
Tuesday, or Wednesday, we were looking
488
00:28:23,590 --> 00:28:25,149
for an up move to suggested this.
489
00:28:25,389 --> 00:28:30,580
In fact, buying that impulse swing
is the telltale sign that there
490
00:28:30,580 --> 00:28:34,180
are smart money players in the
marketplace pushing price higher.
491
00:28:34,720 --> 00:28:37,510
That's we're looking for underlying
we're expecting higher prices
492
00:28:37,510 --> 00:28:38,980
anyway, but now we're seeing.
493
00:28:40,470 --> 00:28:44,400
We're waiting for the retracement that
retracing it's going to come again
494
00:28:44,400 --> 00:28:45,990
between Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday.
495
00:28:46,380 --> 00:28:48,930
It could happen directly
right off of Sunday's rally.
496
00:28:49,230 --> 00:28:51,570
And then Monday would be maybe the
retracement, or it could just start
497
00:28:51,570 --> 00:28:56,490
right from Monday and have a very shallow
retracement of one day between Monday
498
00:28:56,490 --> 00:29:02,790
and Wednesday, during that retracement
we're gonna be looking for or anticipating
499
00:29:02,790 --> 00:29:04,560
the next move, higher driving.
500
00:29:05,990 --> 00:29:09,649
Move higher into that premium
array that we're looking for.
501
00:29:11,399 --> 00:29:13,770
That expansion swing is where
we're looking to be profitable.
502
00:29:15,600 --> 00:29:18,720
Framing the retracement
from the point of origin.
503
00:29:19,230 --> 00:29:24,510
That's where we're looking for our
executable timeframe hourly for our
504
00:29:25,500 --> 00:29:29,669
daily, weekly, monthly discount.
505
00:29:29,669 --> 00:29:30,090
Pediatric.
506
00:29:30,855 --> 00:29:34,815
We're looking for all of these potential
levels as price starts to drop down.
507
00:29:34,995 --> 00:29:38,265
Now, it looks like graphically it's
only on Wednesday, but for the sake
508
00:29:38,265 --> 00:29:44,565
of discussion and keeping the slide
clean this retracement and the discount
509
00:29:44,565 --> 00:29:48,255
PD array matrix is applied through
the entire range across the days
510
00:29:48,255 --> 00:29:49,575
of Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday.
511
00:29:50,055 --> 00:29:53,475
So in other words, what I'm saying is, is
Chrome, Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday,
512
00:29:53,625 --> 00:29:58,305
during any retracement lower, we're
looking for a monthly, weekly, daily.
513
00:29:59,790 --> 00:30:11,120
Discount array the off of aiming for
the weekly premium array and it has
514
00:30:11,120 --> 00:30:13,429
to drop down into, uh, kills them.
515
00:30:14,360 --> 00:30:16,510
Now, what kills them?
516
00:30:16,610 --> 00:30:17,449
Could you be trading?
517
00:30:17,750 --> 00:30:20,840
Uh, obviously y'all know that I like
to trade the London open and I like
518
00:30:20,840 --> 00:30:25,429
to trade the New York open freely
trading, the Aussie Kiwi or Japanese.
519
00:30:26,250 --> 00:30:29,850
You want to be including
the Asian session kills him.
520
00:30:30,420 --> 00:30:30,690
Okay.
521
00:30:30,690 --> 00:30:34,620
So you can go into my free tutorial
stuff and see what that actually is.
522
00:30:35,130 --> 00:30:42,170
But for a quick down dirty timeframe, what
you're looking for is 2300 hours to what
523
00:30:42,170 --> 00:30:48,270
basically you're going to be looking at,
uh, 6:00 PM to 9:00 PM, New York standard
524
00:30:48,270 --> 00:30:50,520
time, whatever time it is in New York.
525
00:30:51,495 --> 00:30:53,235
6:00 PM to 9:00 PM.
526
00:30:53,415 --> 00:30:54,825
There's your sweet spot for Asia.
527
00:30:55,335 --> 00:30:55,575
Okay.
528
00:30:55,605 --> 00:30:56,055
There you go.
529
00:30:56,115 --> 00:30:57,945
Nothing, nothing easier than that.
530
00:30:59,085 --> 00:31:01,455
And many times it can extend to
10 o'clock, but usually you don't
531
00:31:01,455 --> 00:31:02,685
want to be doing anything after 10.
532
00:31:03,135 --> 00:31:05,205
Uh, the closer you get to 10,
that's kinda like their lunch time.
533
00:31:05,205 --> 00:31:06,435
So you don't want to
do anything around 10.
534
00:31:10,575 --> 00:31:14,055
And ultimately if price drops down
and gives you a retracement into a
535
00:31:14,235 --> 00:31:17,235
discount PD array from a monthly,
weekly, daily, or four hour level.
536
00:31:18,345 --> 00:31:23,085
You can see that also can be used
from an hourly executable timeframe.
537
00:31:23,085 --> 00:31:28,575
So if you get a hourly discount
PD era, they could be executed
538
00:31:28,575 --> 00:31:30,014
on as well inside of Kilz.
539
00:31:30,014 --> 00:31:33,225
Then again, you're looking for that
Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday set
540
00:31:33,225 --> 00:31:39,585
up, but you're aiming for the weekly
PDRI if you don't want shot one kill,
541
00:31:39,855 --> 00:31:42,315
you're looking for that daily PDA.
542
00:31:42,315 --> 00:31:42,615
Right.
543
00:31:43,335 --> 00:31:44,685
But framing off of a weekly.
544
00:31:50,430 --> 00:31:50,550
Okay.
545
00:31:50,550 --> 00:31:54,690
A general concept revisited
again in bearish markets, we're
546
00:31:54,690 --> 00:31:57,300
looking for markets poised to
trade lower on a higher timeframe.
547
00:31:57,420 --> 00:32:01,170
We're looking for any market that would
potentially move lower seasonally,
548
00:32:01,170 --> 00:32:04,440
but it doesn't have to, we don't need
to seasonal tendency there again,
549
00:32:04,440 --> 00:32:07,860
it's it's always a bonus or a plus
if you will, if we can use a market
550
00:32:07,860 --> 00:32:09,480
that has a bear seasonal tendency.
551
00:32:10,784 --> 00:32:11,804
Our interest rates moving.
552
00:32:11,845 --> 00:32:12,585
Are they stagnant?
553
00:32:13,034 --> 00:32:14,655
Preferably we were looking
for a market that has the
554
00:32:14,655 --> 00:32:15,975
bond market moving all around.
555
00:32:16,395 --> 00:32:18,554
The tenure notes are moving around.
556
00:32:18,554 --> 00:32:22,575
That's held in consolidation
and commitment of traders.
557
00:32:22,635 --> 00:32:26,655
Are we looking at a lessening of long
positions by the commercials or are we
558
00:32:26,655 --> 00:32:31,605
seeing a heavy net short position being
built or are they already net short?
559
00:32:32,024 --> 00:32:34,695
Uh, those are the conditions we're
looking for from a cot standpoint.
560
00:32:35,445 --> 00:32:37,725
And intermarket analysis
supports the bear sense.
561
00:32:37,725 --> 00:32:42,735
That means SMT diversions is indicating
weakness or correlate a pair.
562
00:32:42,735 --> 00:32:48,315
SMT suggested there should be a overall
sympathy, move lower for foreign
563
00:32:48,315 --> 00:32:50,085
currencies or for trading stocks.
564
00:32:50,325 --> 00:32:55,095
You learn all that as well with the
indices versus the leadership issues.
565
00:32:56,475 --> 00:32:59,715
And we're looking for a market
decline lower than retrace
566
00:32:59,715 --> 00:33:01,665
higher during Monday into winter.
567
00:33:04,165 --> 00:33:04,615
And we're done.
568
00:33:04,615 --> 00:33:07,645
We're gonna be looking for a market
to expand down to lower lows.
569
00:33:09,715 --> 00:33:15,175
So we have a point of origin from a
hard timeframe, monthly premium array
570
00:33:17,095 --> 00:33:20,395
trades, the lower impulse swing.
571
00:33:21,085 --> 00:33:22,045
And then there's a retracement.
572
00:33:22,045 --> 00:33:26,185
Again, this is all occurring between
Monday and Tuesday and Wednesday.
573
00:33:26,575 --> 00:33:29,665
Any one of those three days, this
scenario or condition has to be.
574
00:33:31,260 --> 00:33:37,620
That retracement has to come up to
the level of premium and then the
575
00:33:38,100 --> 00:33:42,300
expansion swing is what we're looking
for to be profitable in aiming for
576
00:33:42,300 --> 00:33:49,730
the discount array, reframing our
trade with premium array matrix.
577
00:33:50,149 --> 00:33:54,439
So we're looking for a monthly, weekly,
daily four hour and one hour premium
578
00:33:54,439 --> 00:33:57,649
array to short from in a kill zone.
579
00:33:59,765 --> 00:34:01,535
For time of day analysis.
580
00:34:05,435 --> 00:34:05,585
Okay.
581
00:34:05,585 --> 00:34:11,405
Monthly ranges are prices, fractal and
higher time frame analysis benefits us
582
00:34:11,405 --> 00:34:18,245
as a result, we note the high and the
low of every month candle, we knew to
583
00:34:18,255 --> 00:34:23,475
present range in terms of premium and
or discount we consider where price
584
00:34:23,475 --> 00:34:25,815
on the monthly will or could draw to.
585
00:34:26,235 --> 00:34:27,465
And the words what's the most likely to.
586
00:34:29,955 --> 00:34:33,165
There is generally four weekly
candles in every monthly candle.
587
00:34:34,985 --> 00:34:38,375
Every week we study where the
monthly will likely trade next.
588
00:34:39,665 --> 00:34:43,115
Again, all we're doing is looking
for probabilities and there's nothing
589
00:34:43,115 --> 00:34:45,395
that I teach with 100% ironclad.
590
00:34:45,395 --> 00:34:46,535
This is where it's going
to happen every, since.
591
00:34:47,400 --> 00:34:51,150
There's no, absolutions,
there's only probability.
592
00:34:51,150 --> 00:34:53,969
So we're looking from these
higher timeframes to look for.
593
00:34:53,969 --> 00:34:55,440
Where is it most likely reaching for it?
594
00:34:55,440 --> 00:34:58,410
Cause if we're trading off a monthly
chart and we can pick the most probable
595
00:34:58,410 --> 00:35:03,170
direction, chances are even if we're
wrong, you know, the lower timeframes that
596
00:35:03,170 --> 00:35:05,820
we're going to be executing on, it still
might give us opportunity to be paid.
597
00:35:07,600 --> 00:35:09,340
And then usually monthly ranges.
598
00:35:09,400 --> 00:35:11,320
We frame trades on the weekly range.
599
00:35:13,810 --> 00:35:14,770
I said, what's a weekly rain.
600
00:35:16,255 --> 00:35:21,654
Uh, again, prices fractal and monthly
analysis builds on the weekly, and we knew
601
00:35:21,654 --> 00:35:23,515
it to high in a lobe, every weekly candle.
602
00:35:24,895 --> 00:35:30,235
We note the present range in terms of
premium and or discount we consider where
603
00:35:30,235 --> 00:35:32,365
price on the weekly will or could draw to.
604
00:35:32,395 --> 00:35:35,455
Again, what's the most probable
direction in terms of whether weekly
605
00:35:35,455 --> 00:35:41,185
chart is trading and where it may
reach up or lower to there's generally
606
00:35:41,185 --> 00:35:42,955
five daily candles and every weekly.
607
00:35:45,220 --> 00:35:49,120
And every week we study how the
weekly trades inside of its monthly
608
00:35:49,120 --> 00:35:54,850
range using weekly ranges, we
frame trades on the daily chart.
609
00:35:56,230 --> 00:36:02,560
We're watching the, see if the weeklies
continuously expand and make the larger
610
00:36:02,620 --> 00:36:05,890
monthly candle move in a direction.
611
00:36:05,890 --> 00:36:06,350
We thought they were.
612
00:36:07,620 --> 00:36:12,779
So each week we're looking for confluence
and confirmation that what we anticipated
613
00:36:12,779 --> 00:36:16,020
seeing on the monthly isn't fact
unfolding, because the weekends we'll
614
00:36:16,020 --> 00:36:19,890
be pushing that direction, hopefully in
our favor, and then making that weekly
615
00:36:20,910 --> 00:36:27,029
range, expand every hire or every lower,
uh, weekly candle we'll build that bigger
616
00:36:27,029 --> 00:36:29,160
monthly candle in respective direction.
617
00:36:34,460 --> 00:36:34,640
Okay.
618
00:36:34,640 --> 00:36:35,779
So let's take a look at an example.
619
00:36:37,430 --> 00:36:37,580
All right.
620
00:36:37,580 --> 00:36:39,140
So here, we're looking at the Japanese.
621
00:36:39,140 --> 00:36:46,040
Janice is a monthly chart and you can
see from 2015 springtime going into
622
00:36:46,040 --> 00:36:53,990
June, 2015, we saw the Japanese yen or
dollar yen pair trade up into, around
623
00:36:53,990 --> 00:36:56,690
the 1 25, 80 level or thereabouts.
624
00:36:57,830 --> 00:37:04,700
And we moved from a low formed
back in 2013, and then we dropped.
625
00:37:05,775 --> 00:37:09,795
1 25 into round, June of 2016.
626
00:37:11,205 --> 00:37:14,685
If you look at the total range, we
have obviously moved into a discount
627
00:37:14,685 --> 00:37:17,235
market and we look at the markets.
628
00:37:18,015 --> 00:37:24,075
Old support levels found at the
February, 2014 to June, 2014.
629
00:37:24,525 --> 00:37:25,785
There was a lot of support seen in there.
630
00:37:26,655 --> 00:37:29,955
So products came all the
way down into the point of.
631
00:37:30,930 --> 00:37:32,250
Where we think the market will.
632
00:37:32,250 --> 00:37:35,520
And with the benefit of hindsight
here, I'm not going to be slicing
633
00:37:35,520 --> 00:37:40,110
and dicing charts because we called
the Japanese Shan lower, which is
634
00:37:40,200 --> 00:37:46,260
dollar yen higher all through the, uh,
the months in 2016, as we see here.
635
00:37:47,280 --> 00:37:50,250
But looking at this example, we
have a point of origin where we
636
00:37:50,250 --> 00:37:51,780
think price may want to go higher.
637
00:37:52,110 --> 00:37:54,840
And then once we see that we start
looking at all of the monthly.
638
00:37:56,009 --> 00:38:00,689
PDRs I'm framing the last down
candle right before the big
639
00:38:00,689 --> 00:38:01,859
mood starts to take place.
640
00:38:02,279 --> 00:38:06,060
That is a monthly candle, and we start
looking at the monthly range, but that's
641
00:38:06,060 --> 00:38:07,950
not the monthly range we're trading in.
642
00:38:08,040 --> 00:38:09,569
That's just a monthly range.
643
00:38:09,959 --> 00:38:10,529
So don't be this.
644
00:38:10,919 --> 00:38:11,700
Don't be confused.
645
00:38:11,700 --> 00:38:15,959
When I start talking about monthly
ranges, I may interchangeably refer
646
00:38:15,959 --> 00:38:19,890
to a monthly candle where it's
individual or independent range.
647
00:38:20,189 --> 00:38:22,350
That's not the monthly range that
we're going to be referring to.
648
00:38:22,350 --> 00:38:23,700
I'm actually going to distinguish.
649
00:38:28,675 --> 00:38:28,825
Okay.
650
00:38:28,825 --> 00:38:34,115
So we have that one month's candle
range defined, and we're going to
651
00:38:34,115 --> 00:38:40,355
go back to when the monthly level,
where are our monthly premium arrays?
652
00:38:40,955 --> 00:38:44,045
Well, you have a breaker
here, so we frame that.
653
00:38:44,045 --> 00:38:47,165
So there's a mood that we can
look up to for a monthly level.
654
00:38:47,495 --> 00:38:51,815
So we have both our monthly
discount and premium.
655
00:38:55,015 --> 00:38:56,515
This is our monthly range.
656
00:39:01,875 --> 00:39:06,915
This is our range for
trading the monthly range.
657
00:39:07,214 --> 00:39:13,185
In other words, what's our probable range
of probability or profitability where
658
00:39:13,234 --> 00:39:15,524
would be expect to see moves, take place.
659
00:39:18,785 --> 00:39:20,464
We take that range and
we apply it to a weekly.
660
00:39:21,315 --> 00:39:27,225
And refine that down into that
individual weekly PD arrays in terms of.
661
00:39:28,080 --> 00:39:28,860
Premium array.
662
00:39:29,220 --> 00:39:31,260
So we have here weekly
premium arrays outlined.
663
00:39:31,260 --> 00:39:33,840
I didn't put every single one of them
on there just to keep the chart clean.
664
00:39:34,020 --> 00:39:36,660
So that way we can go through
and have many examples, uh, for
665
00:39:36,660 --> 00:39:39,840
your study, go through and find
out where all the other ones are.
666
00:39:40,230 --> 00:39:40,500
Okay.
667
00:39:40,500 --> 00:39:43,770
Go through the individual
weekly chart and monthly chart.
668
00:39:43,770 --> 00:39:45,540
And you can see how price had respected.
669
00:39:45,540 --> 00:39:48,090
A lot of the other ones too, that
aren't being used here, but I
670
00:39:48,090 --> 00:39:49,350
just gave you the obvious ones.
671
00:39:49,680 --> 00:39:52,840
I use rejection blocks
here for weekly premium.
672
00:39:54,500 --> 00:39:58,430
So when price broke away from that
100, 4 35 level and started expanding,
673
00:39:58,430 --> 00:40:04,069
reaching up into that 1860 level,
that weekly premium array, it had
674
00:40:04,490 --> 00:40:11,899
three lesser, lower, weekly premium
arrays, old lows seen through 2014
675
00:40:12,470 --> 00:40:16,040
going into 2015, and then we saw.
676
00:40:16,859 --> 00:40:21,000
Rejection block around the one 11 level.
677
00:40:21,480 --> 00:40:26,730
And then we saw another rejection block
around the 1 0 6 big figure as noted here.
678
00:40:27,240 --> 00:40:30,330
So they're all objectives are
where price should reach up to.
679
00:40:30,750 --> 00:40:34,410
So if you look at that, it's still a great
deal of opportunity between just those
680
00:40:34,410 --> 00:40:37,950
four premium arrays on a weekly chart,
681
00:40:41,379 --> 00:40:44,680
dropping down into a daily chart, you
can see a little bit more detailed.
682
00:40:45,509 --> 00:40:49,710
And how price had reached from
the 1 0 4 35 up to the each one of
683
00:40:49,710 --> 00:40:55,319
those weekly premium arrays, all
being catalysts for higher prices.
684
00:40:59,049 --> 00:41:00,339
Now we got into a four-hour chart.
685
00:41:00,920 --> 00:41:06,759
We can start applying all of the order,
block theory and rejection block theory.
686
00:41:07,810 --> 00:41:10,270
And we're also incorporating
now the day of.
687
00:41:11,800 --> 00:41:13,900
Filter, which is Monday,
Tuesday, Wednesday.
688
00:41:14,259 --> 00:41:19,810
So I've shaded where every Monday, Tuesday
and Wednesdays range is, and I'm also
689
00:41:20,140 --> 00:41:26,950
highlighting or blocks for bullish by,
and I'm also highlighting mitigation and
690
00:41:26,950 --> 00:41:29,560
I'm also highlighting rejection blocks.
691
00:41:30,550 --> 00:41:36,720
All of these are discount arrays and
the red shaded area up as a one eight.
692
00:41:37,875 --> 00:41:41,654
70 level or thereabouts, that's
the premium array on a weekly
693
00:41:41,654 --> 00:41:43,035
basis that we're reaching for.
694
00:41:43,904 --> 00:41:46,665
So how many buying
opportunities did you see here?
695
00:41:50,115 --> 00:41:52,485
Six one each week.
696
00:41:54,195 --> 00:41:57,585
Let's break it down a little bit
more detail again, taking all the
697
00:41:58,154 --> 00:42:01,725
unnecessary things off the chart
and you can see how price has moved.
698
00:42:02,025 --> 00:42:02,265
Right.
699
00:42:03,045 --> 00:42:07,785
Uniformly and systematic each new
week, giving you buying opportunities.
700
00:42:10,645 --> 00:42:13,015
And now we'll add all the
individual day dividers.
701
00:42:13,555 --> 00:42:18,295
And I want you to take a look at
something as the weekly ranges defined
702
00:42:18,295 --> 00:42:20,995
by the double line vertical dash lines.
703
00:42:21,025 --> 00:42:21,385
Okay.
704
00:42:21,445 --> 00:42:23,635
That delineates the Sundays.
705
00:42:24,235 --> 00:42:28,165
So everything to the right of those
double vertical lines that are
706
00:42:28,165 --> 00:42:29,685
dashed, that represents a Sunday.
707
00:42:31,080 --> 00:42:31,650
To the right of it.
708
00:42:31,650 --> 00:42:36,810
You had Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday
shaded notice how the lows of
709
00:42:36,810 --> 00:42:39,930
the week are generally formed in
Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday.
710
00:42:40,290 --> 00:42:47,220
In this context, also notice that when
you see the high that's formed between
711
00:42:47,220 --> 00:42:51,240
Monday and Wednesday, say for instance,
that there's a high that forms, uh, during
712
00:42:51,240 --> 00:42:57,110
the Monday through Wednesday range, when
that high is taken out intro week, this.
713
00:42:58,655 --> 00:43:01,955
Because price will tend to expand
aggressively towards the monthly
714
00:43:01,955 --> 00:43:03,575
and or weekly premium array.
715
00:43:04,415 --> 00:43:05,975
And it's reversed if it's bearish.
716
00:43:06,425 --> 00:43:08,765
So what we're doing is we're looking
for the Monday through Wednesday
717
00:43:08,765 --> 00:43:14,225
range every single week when that
is bullish underlying in the market.
718
00:43:14,615 --> 00:43:19,175
And if you break that range, that's
defined by technically Sunday's opening,
719
00:43:19,175 --> 00:43:23,075
but just for the sake of keeping
things, Jermaine and consistent.
720
00:43:23,075 --> 00:43:25,535
Cause I did mention how we
didn't really refer to Sundays.
721
00:43:26,895 --> 00:43:32,205
Uh, you can use Sunday for completeness
sake, but from a Monday's opening to
722
00:43:32,205 --> 00:43:37,275
Tuesday and Wednesdays range, whatever
the highest high is when month when,
723
00:43:37,365 --> 00:43:40,455
when the markets are bullish, if
that highest broken, intraweek say
724
00:43:40,455 --> 00:43:46,035
for instance, on Thursday or Friday,
generally, that is indicative of an
725
00:43:46,035 --> 00:43:50,325
aggressive confirmation that we're going
to be moving to our premium array that
726
00:43:50,325 --> 00:43:52,045
we were looking for, or identify that.
727
00:43:53,250 --> 00:43:56,190
And then everything that you see here
would just be reversed for bearish
728
00:43:56,190 --> 00:44:00,510
markets Monday through Wednesdays range.
729
00:44:00,840 --> 00:44:05,550
If that is broken, when it's bullish,
the high that's formed between Monday
730
00:44:05,550 --> 00:44:09,930
and Wednesday, that is a confirmation
that you are in a buy program and the
731
00:44:09,930 --> 00:44:14,310
markets will expand aggressively to reach
for your higher level premium array.
732
00:44:15,090 --> 00:44:15,960
When the markets are buried.
733
00:44:17,420 --> 00:44:21,560
The load is formed between Monday through
Wednesday, if that is broken on an
734
00:44:21,560 --> 00:44:26,600
intro week basis, that is confirmation
that you are an aggressive sell off
735
00:44:26,720 --> 00:44:30,529
sell program and your longterm higher
timeframe, discount or rate at you're
736
00:44:30,529 --> 00:44:35,120
aiming for is a high probability condition
that's going to reach for that may not
737
00:44:35,120 --> 00:44:38,120
happen that week, but you're gonna keep
looking for the next week to be bullish
738
00:44:38,270 --> 00:44:39,779
where bears respectively based on that.
739
00:44:41,250 --> 00:44:43,290
So hopefully you found
this teaching insightful.
740
00:44:43,290 --> 00:44:46,980
We're going to be building on a lot of
these ideas and a lot more detail leading
741
00:44:46,980 --> 00:44:49,230
into the ultimate delivery of one shot.
742
00:44:49,230 --> 00:44:52,890
One kill on him in a process
oriented rule-based breakdown.
743
00:44:52,920 --> 00:44:56,190
What you do from beginning to end
to execution until next session.
744
00:44:56,670 --> 00:44:57,569
I wish you good luck and good trading.
66348
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