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These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:10,860 --> 00:00:13,740 welcome to March, 2017 content for the ICT mentorship. 2 00:00:14,430 --> 00:00:16,860 This month, we're teaching short-term trading. 3 00:00:17,190 --> 00:00:20,550 This is lesson one, combining higher timeframe, monthly and weekly. 4 00:00:24,685 --> 00:00:26,125 Okay folks, short-term trading. 5 00:00:26,515 --> 00:00:28,794 This is my cup of tea. 6 00:00:28,794 --> 00:00:29,244 If you will. 7 00:00:29,244 --> 00:00:31,674 My go-to discipline trading style. 8 00:00:32,215 --> 00:00:35,065 Um, in this month, we're going to teaching in great detail. 9 00:00:35,065 --> 00:00:35,695 My one shot one. 10 00:00:36,690 --> 00:00:40,650 Approach to trading, not just the Forex market, but all the other, uh, asset 11 00:00:40,650 --> 00:00:43,350 classes will be touched on in the scope. 12 00:00:43,410 --> 00:00:48,030 As we get to those later discussions, uh, in the middle of the summer, we will be 13 00:00:48,030 --> 00:00:53,700 teaching bond trading, uh, index trading, stock trading, and commodity trading. 14 00:00:54,060 --> 00:00:58,380 And I'll touch on this specific trading model in higher detail. 15 00:00:58,380 --> 00:01:01,500 When I go into those respective discussions. 16 00:01:02,965 --> 00:01:05,965 And just so you know, it's the month of June, we go through that, 17 00:01:06,055 --> 00:01:10,615 uh, that gambit, if you will, of those four different asset classes. 18 00:01:14,335 --> 00:01:14,485 All right. 19 00:01:14,485 --> 00:01:15,895 So what is short term trading? 20 00:01:16,285 --> 00:01:22,735 It's the practice of trading and duration of one week or a few days we 21 00:01:22,735 --> 00:01:24,295 use both the monthly and weekly charts. 22 00:01:24,295 --> 00:01:24,685 The frame. 23 00:01:27,300 --> 00:01:31,199 We traded the direction of the present or next week's probable range. 24 00:01:34,109 --> 00:01:38,009 It's essential that you understand that the weekly range is going 25 00:01:38,009 --> 00:01:41,399 to be the backbone to your success in short term trading. 26 00:01:41,880 --> 00:01:43,139 And I'm going to go through a lot. 27 00:01:43,995 --> 00:01:49,995 Teaching and concepts, as it relates to producing consistent results. 28 00:01:50,295 --> 00:01:54,885 When you're looking for forecasting the next week or current weeks range, 29 00:01:57,945 --> 00:02:01,335 the short-term model can be both trend or range bound. 30 00:02:04,845 --> 00:02:07,274 Trades that are clear to see forming are the goal. 31 00:02:07,604 --> 00:02:13,125 Again, specifically with this trading model, try your best to keep from 32 00:02:13,125 --> 00:02:17,204 forcing yourself to take a trade if it's not obvious, but simply just 33 00:02:18,525 --> 00:02:20,415 not clear enough on, on your chart. 34 00:02:20,935 --> 00:02:23,575 Just simply sit on your hands and wait these types of 35 00:02:23,575 --> 00:02:25,855 setups form every single week. 36 00:02:26,095 --> 00:02:28,075 There's absolutely no reason for you to rush. 37 00:02:28,285 --> 00:02:31,915 If you do believe me, you will have psychological tug of war going on. 38 00:02:32,215 --> 00:02:33,625 You're gonna have emotional issues. 39 00:02:33,865 --> 00:02:35,725 And the bottom line is, is you're ultimately probably 40 00:02:35,725 --> 00:02:36,415 going to lose some money. 41 00:02:39,055 --> 00:02:39,775 Short term trading. 42 00:02:39,775 --> 00:02:42,325 In my opinion is the highest probability to sell. 43 00:02:45,430 --> 00:02:48,520 It offers frequent setups and with consistency, it 44 00:02:48,520 --> 00:02:50,140 provides a plethora of trades. 45 00:02:50,830 --> 00:02:53,950 Now, before we get into this discussion about short-term trading, let me preface 46 00:02:53,950 --> 00:02:59,200 it by saying it's important that you go through your notes from the January 47 00:02:59,200 --> 00:03:03,430 long-term trading model and from February with the swing trading model 48 00:03:03,430 --> 00:03:05,650 notes, because those notes will combat. 49 00:03:06,570 --> 00:03:12,930 This specific whole entire month, it would be very easy for me to load you 50 00:03:12,930 --> 00:03:17,040 down with rehash of everything that was discussed in January and February. 51 00:03:17,370 --> 00:03:20,520 But what I want to do is I want to keep things moving along. 52 00:03:20,760 --> 00:03:24,270 Number one, I want the lessons to be fresh, and I also want you to be. 53 00:03:25,875 --> 00:03:26,355 Forced. 54 00:03:26,355 --> 00:03:29,085 If you will, to go back through your notes, it's simply me 55 00:03:29,085 --> 00:03:30,165 giving you the PDF files. 56 00:03:30,165 --> 00:03:30,555 Not enough. 57 00:03:30,555 --> 00:03:32,685 You need to be referring to them every single month. 58 00:03:32,685 --> 00:03:33,585 He gets something new. 59 00:03:33,704 --> 00:03:37,005 When you finish that new month, go back from the previous month and 60 00:03:37,005 --> 00:03:38,295 go through all those lessons again. 61 00:03:38,325 --> 00:03:39,675 And yes, it takes a lot of time. 62 00:03:39,885 --> 00:03:42,015 That's why we're doing a 12 month mentorship. 63 00:03:42,315 --> 00:03:43,475 It takes a great deal of time. 64 00:03:43,975 --> 00:03:46,644 You go through this information to digest it, to retain it, 65 00:03:47,095 --> 00:03:48,114 and then to be able to use it. 66 00:03:48,385 --> 00:03:51,174 It's simply not enough to give me this and then I'll know what to do. 67 00:03:51,174 --> 00:03:52,405 It's not, it doesn't work like that. 68 00:03:52,405 --> 00:03:55,165 And obviously some of you already realize that and it's requiring you 69 00:03:55,255 --> 00:03:58,015 a great deal, more work, but the ones that are doing it, guess what? 70 00:03:58,015 --> 00:03:59,454 And you already see the fruits of that. 71 00:03:59,995 --> 00:04:03,685 So while many of the folks on the internet think they 72 00:04:03,685 --> 00:04:04,915 understand how I do one shot, one. 73 00:04:06,360 --> 00:04:09,630 Believe me, there's a whole lot of things that I did not reveal in the 74 00:04:09,630 --> 00:04:13,860 first four lessons of this month will look somewhat like you have 75 00:04:13,860 --> 00:04:17,280 already seen it already, but there's subtle nuances, especially with one. 76 00:04:18,555 --> 00:04:21,555 Uh, component that I'm going to release it at the very last 77 00:04:21,555 --> 00:04:22,665 slide in this presentation. 78 00:04:22,905 --> 00:04:25,275 I want you to be really focused on because it really is, in my 79 00:04:25,275 --> 00:04:28,125 opinion, one of the telltale signs that you've got a tiger by the tail. 80 00:04:28,515 --> 00:04:32,535 In other words, you have a big move still, and I'll get to that when we get 81 00:04:32,535 --> 00:04:33,945 to the last slide in this presentation. 82 00:04:33,945 --> 00:04:36,315 But I want you to know that when we go through. 83 00:04:37,425 --> 00:04:38,415 Short-term trading. 84 00:04:38,805 --> 00:04:42,315 This is my favorite form of trading. 85 00:04:42,675 --> 00:04:45,885 If I can't find a setup for a one shot, one kill, the next 86 00:04:45,885 --> 00:04:47,175 thing I'm doing is day trading. 87 00:04:47,175 --> 00:04:47,625 And guess what? 88 00:04:47,625 --> 00:04:48,585 We teach that next month. 89 00:04:48,945 --> 00:04:53,325 But this month in next, this is where I Excel as a trader because of my 90 00:04:53,355 --> 00:04:59,925 personal unique makeup as a trader and as a person, my psychology about 91 00:04:59,925 --> 00:05:01,995 things in nature is very short term. 92 00:05:01,995 --> 00:05:03,795 I can change my mind very quick. 93 00:05:04,425 --> 00:05:04,695 I can. 94 00:05:05,349 --> 00:05:06,640 Make a decision rather quickly. 95 00:05:06,969 --> 00:05:11,560 So that means that I can do very well in this specific discipline of 96 00:05:11,560 --> 00:05:13,419 trading and with intraday day trading. 97 00:05:14,080 --> 00:05:19,500 So while this may not be your particular style trading, Trust me. 98 00:05:19,500 --> 00:05:22,140 I'm going to teach you things in this month and next month that 99 00:05:22,140 --> 00:05:27,540 will help you really, really Excel as a longterm trader or a swing 100 00:05:27,540 --> 00:05:29,460 trader, everything blends together. 101 00:05:29,490 --> 00:05:32,070 That's why we have to do these things from a higher timeframe down. 102 00:05:32,310 --> 00:05:36,000 And we keep back to the hard timeframe and fill in gaps that were left there. 103 00:05:36,000 --> 00:05:39,930 Intentionally some of you have scratched your head saying, well, wait a minute. 104 00:05:39,930 --> 00:05:42,180 I feel like there's some things missing from the swing trading model. 105 00:05:42,480 --> 00:05:43,680 The things that are missing will be. 106 00:05:44,475 --> 00:05:47,745 By filling in with the short term, because everything is modular. 107 00:05:47,955 --> 00:05:53,055 Everything is complimentary as we go through deeper study on this mentorship. 108 00:05:53,055 --> 00:05:56,565 So as we get down to the smaller timeframes, everything fills in, and then 109 00:05:56,565 --> 00:05:59,175 you'll go back into the higher timeframes and say, okay, now I know what I'm doing. 110 00:05:59,355 --> 00:06:00,315 I know what I'm looking for. 111 00:06:00,315 --> 00:06:02,865 And everything fit together like a dovetail perfectly. 112 00:06:05,925 --> 00:06:06,105 Okay. 113 00:06:06,105 --> 00:06:09,405 As a reminder, every discipline, we will always be. 114 00:06:09,645 --> 00:06:10,455 We referring to. 115 00:06:11,175 --> 00:06:12,285 PDA Ray matrix. 116 00:06:12,915 --> 00:06:16,575 And I want to not just go over everything that you've seen here so far, and I'm 117 00:06:16,575 --> 00:06:20,625 not trying to, you know, the labor, but it's important to understand that 118 00:06:21,495 --> 00:06:25,335 as a short term trader, especially for one shot, one kill, which is the, like 119 00:06:25,335 --> 00:06:27,405 the flagship of this month's content. 120 00:06:28,635 --> 00:06:30,705 That's what I'm, that's my hallmark as a trader. 121 00:06:30,915 --> 00:06:33,165 I mean that, that's what makes ICT what he is. 122 00:06:33,195 --> 00:06:37,185 You know, I can trade the weekly range and get pretty close to what 123 00:06:37,185 --> 00:06:38,445 the high and low is for the week. 124 00:06:38,775 --> 00:06:40,155 And you've already seen many examples. 125 00:06:40,195 --> 00:06:43,845 We call the intraday highs and lows before the fact within one or two 126 00:06:43,845 --> 00:06:45,375 pips and sometimes rate on the PIP. 127 00:06:46,245 --> 00:06:50,025 Those same components are applicable to the weekly range, which if 128 00:06:50,025 --> 00:06:50,865 you really stop and think about. 129 00:06:51,945 --> 00:06:55,755 Think about the Sunday opening to Friday's clothes, how many pips 130 00:06:55,995 --> 00:06:57,885 is offered over that time period? 131 00:06:57,915 --> 00:06:59,565 A lot tons. 132 00:06:59,895 --> 00:07:03,375 So if you can really focus in on what we're teaching this month, even if 133 00:07:03,375 --> 00:07:08,085 it's not going to be your discipline of choice or style of trading, it 134 00:07:08,085 --> 00:07:11,385 will give you a greater insight on how you can reduce your risk trading as a 135 00:07:11,385 --> 00:07:13,755 swing trader and or a long-term trader. 136 00:07:16,050 --> 00:07:20,040 As it relates to PDA matrix, that's again, the backbone to what we look 137 00:07:20,040 --> 00:07:21,840 for and how we frame our trades. 138 00:07:22,020 --> 00:07:22,260 Okay. 139 00:07:22,260 --> 00:07:25,020 So it ends up in every one of our teachings as we go 140 00:07:25,020 --> 00:07:26,340 forward in each new discipline. 141 00:07:26,850 --> 00:07:30,420 This slide will always be there because I want it ingrained in your brain. 142 00:07:30,540 --> 00:07:30,810 Okay. 143 00:07:30,810 --> 00:07:33,660 Because this is what I do from an institutional mindset. 144 00:07:33,660 --> 00:07:38,730 I look for how the institutions will move from my premium to a discount array or 145 00:07:38,760 --> 00:07:40,560 from a discount rate to a premium marae. 146 00:07:41,070 --> 00:07:42,240 You have to understand that. 147 00:07:42,240 --> 00:07:44,250 And just an example, this is take a look at one real quick. 148 00:07:45,210 --> 00:07:48,840 Saying, we looked at the market and it just recently filled out a fair value gap. 149 00:07:49,470 --> 00:07:49,860 Okay. 150 00:07:50,160 --> 00:07:54,690 And we think the market's bearish where we go through this process of looking 151 00:07:54,690 --> 00:07:59,070 for potential future discount PDRs. 152 00:07:59,490 --> 00:08:03,360 And we look, and we can't see anything in terms of a bullish, uh, mitigation block. 153 00:08:03,360 --> 00:08:05,130 We don't see any bullish breakers. 154 00:08:05,370 --> 00:08:10,290 There's no liquidity void, but there is no fair value gap either. 155 00:08:11,160 --> 00:08:13,830 All of a sudden it reduces us down to a bullish. 156 00:08:14,760 --> 00:08:19,950 So, if we're looking at a monthly hard timeframe, premium array, we're looking 157 00:08:19,950 --> 00:08:25,950 for a opposing weekly discount array. 158 00:08:27,060 --> 00:08:30,090 So in this case, we were looking for, or the movement from a fair value get 159 00:08:30,090 --> 00:08:31,650 that has filled in at a premium level. 160 00:08:32,039 --> 00:08:36,390 We're dropping down and looking for a weekly discount array. 161 00:08:36,600 --> 00:08:41,100 And if our analysis leads us to only a bullshitter block below us in the 162 00:08:41,100 --> 00:08:45,090 weekly format or timeframe, that's the range that we're going to be looking. 163 00:08:46,020 --> 00:08:47,340 That's your potential range. 164 00:08:47,370 --> 00:08:50,430 That's how much you can frame your risk reward model. 165 00:08:50,910 --> 00:08:52,560 That's the range you're trading. 166 00:08:52,740 --> 00:08:56,910 That's not, um, to be broken up and looked at as, okay. 167 00:08:56,910 --> 00:09:01,110 Well, if this range is 300 pips, I'm just going to take 20 pips and be done with it. 168 00:09:01,110 --> 00:09:03,750 No, you're gonna look to frame your trades. 169 00:09:03,750 --> 00:09:06,540 As you scale out your holding for these longer-term objects. 170 00:09:07,290 --> 00:09:10,080 Throughout the week, you are going to learn and take some profits along the 171 00:09:10,080 --> 00:09:13,950 way, but you're holding out ultimately what that last portion of your trade to 172 00:09:13,950 --> 00:09:15,270 get down to that bullet shorter block. 173 00:09:15,270 --> 00:09:16,440 And this is just one example. 174 00:09:16,560 --> 00:09:21,990 It could be any combination of how a premium moved to a discount array or 175 00:09:21,990 --> 00:09:26,490 a discount array moved up to a premium terms of reaching for how the market may 176 00:09:26,490 --> 00:09:28,680 reach in terms of moving higher or lower. 177 00:09:29,550 --> 00:09:30,960 And I'll say this in simple terms. 178 00:09:32,579 --> 00:09:40,110 All we're doing is looking for a monthly PD array, whether it's discount or 179 00:09:40,110 --> 00:09:45,000 premium based on our next logical price move, has it gone most likely higher 180 00:09:45,000 --> 00:09:46,500 or lower from where we are right now? 181 00:09:47,010 --> 00:09:52,199 And we move from a monthly PD right now, if it's bullish, obviously we're gonna 182 00:09:52,199 --> 00:09:54,000 be focusing on a monthly discount array. 183 00:09:54,540 --> 00:09:59,490 If it's bearish, we're looking for a premium monthly array from that monthly. 184 00:10:01,245 --> 00:10:04,665 You're going to look for an opposing weekly array. 185 00:10:05,085 --> 00:10:08,005 So if you're starting from a premium and a monthly basis, you'll be 186 00:10:08,005 --> 00:10:09,855 looking for a weekly discount. 187 00:10:10,095 --> 00:10:11,145 That's your target. 188 00:10:11,145 --> 00:10:13,725 You're looking for that range, the close in, or the market 189 00:10:13,725 --> 00:10:14,925 to be drawn to that level. 190 00:10:15,825 --> 00:10:18,435 Now, if you're not really paying attention, if that 191 00:10:18,435 --> 00:10:20,175 didn't hit you hard, believe me. 192 00:10:20,415 --> 00:10:22,425 When you go through your, all your charts, go back and look at every 193 00:10:22,425 --> 00:10:24,345 major move that's what's been going on. 194 00:10:25,335 --> 00:10:29,685 That's what makes my ability to call the markets from one level to the next and be 195 00:10:30,074 --> 00:10:32,895 pretty solid in terms of why I think the mark is going to go one direction over 196 00:10:32,895 --> 00:10:36,225 the other when I'm not confident about that is because I don't, I don't know 197 00:10:36,225 --> 00:10:39,375 what PD array is going to be used next. 198 00:10:39,375 --> 00:10:44,444 So I'm waiting for more information or the PD erase have been expired. 199 00:10:44,475 --> 00:10:45,615 They've already been traded too. 200 00:10:45,615 --> 00:10:47,925 So you have to look for something new and that means you have to 201 00:10:47,925 --> 00:10:49,395 wait, but guess what that does. 202 00:10:49,395 --> 00:10:50,655 It gives you content. 203 00:10:51,390 --> 00:10:53,340 And it also gives you patience. 204 00:10:53,550 --> 00:10:55,680 It gives you the ability to wait now, you know what you're waiting for, 205 00:10:55,720 --> 00:10:57,030 because right now you can't do anything. 206 00:10:57,630 --> 00:11:02,400 So when we go through this process of eliminating or what's available in terms 207 00:11:02,400 --> 00:11:07,890 of active PD arrays, we start from a monthly, wait, what is the Mar monthly PD 208 00:11:07,890 --> 00:11:09,600 rate that we're most actively traded from? 209 00:11:09,930 --> 00:11:12,270 Is it coming off of a bear shorter block? 210 00:11:12,420 --> 00:11:12,990 Okay, great. 211 00:11:13,260 --> 00:11:15,370 So what's the weekly discount rate it's going to be. 212 00:11:16,395 --> 00:11:17,775 There may not be a mitigation block. 213 00:11:17,775 --> 00:11:19,035 There may not be a bullet Spreaker. 214 00:11:19,365 --> 00:11:20,685 There may not be a void or a gap. 215 00:11:20,715 --> 00:11:24,945 There may not even be a bullish order buck that you could feign around confidence. 216 00:11:25,875 --> 00:11:27,705 It may be a series of all down candles. 217 00:11:28,695 --> 00:11:29,505 So what does that mean? 218 00:11:29,955 --> 00:11:33,375 You look for a rejection block or an old, low and over high. 219 00:11:35,935 --> 00:11:40,495 Another example would be, if we were looking from a discount monthly array 220 00:11:40,495 --> 00:11:45,625 up into a weekly premium array, we can be looking for the market, moving from 221 00:11:45,625 --> 00:11:49,345 a bullish breaker, for instance, and we could potentially look for the market to 222 00:11:49,345 --> 00:11:51,564 possibly run to an old high or an old low. 223 00:11:52,980 --> 00:11:55,620 Again, that would be your potential range. 224 00:11:55,860 --> 00:12:00,900 This is the maximum, you're leaving your portion of your trade on to reach for it 225 00:12:00,900 --> 00:12:04,760 may not get to these objectives, but if you leave a little piece on many times, 226 00:12:04,760 --> 00:12:09,569 you're gonna find that if you do this, you can actually make more than the trade. 227 00:12:09,569 --> 00:12:13,949 If you had on the full position and left it to your first objective and 228 00:12:13,949 --> 00:12:17,340 just simply took it all off there, that small little portion, if you leave it 229 00:12:17,340 --> 00:12:19,410 on and you hold it for your maximum. 230 00:12:20,520 --> 00:12:24,960 That little portion, many times will be what you would be making entirely. 231 00:12:25,200 --> 00:12:28,740 If you just took first profit at a smaller, lesser objective. 232 00:12:38,230 --> 00:12:38,740 Okay. 233 00:12:38,740 --> 00:12:40,000 Higher timeframe sequence. 234 00:12:40,030 --> 00:12:43,810 We've seen this slide before, but now we're making one more addition and we're 235 00:12:43,810 --> 00:12:45,190 making some additional notes as well. 236 00:12:46,720 --> 00:12:48,790 When we're looking for shorting opportunities, we're moving from 237 00:12:48,790 --> 00:12:50,590 a monthly chart sell program. 238 00:12:50,590 --> 00:12:54,520 It means we're looking for the market to move away from a premium array. 239 00:12:55,780 --> 00:12:57,970 And we're moving down into the lower timeframe, which 240 00:12:57,970 --> 00:12:59,230 would be the weekly chart. 241 00:12:59,380 --> 00:13:02,350 And we're looking for it to become a sell program as well. 242 00:13:02,439 --> 00:13:05,350 So we're going to looking for the market to move away from its premium arrays 243 00:13:05,740 --> 00:13:09,790 down into a lower timeframe daily we're watching for price to move away from. 244 00:13:11,010 --> 00:13:15,180 Individual premium arrays down into a four-hour chart, looking forward to sell 245 00:13:15,180 --> 00:13:19,800 program as well, moving away from its premium rays down into a one-hour chart 246 00:13:19,980 --> 00:13:25,860 where we're again, looking for the market to move away from their premium arrays. 247 00:13:27,780 --> 00:13:29,850 So if we look at the slide here to the. 248 00:13:31,109 --> 00:13:35,339 We have the monthly, the weekly, the daily, the four hour and the one hour. 249 00:13:35,819 --> 00:13:38,189 And we're focusing on the monthly chart is we're looking for a 250 00:13:38,219 --> 00:13:40,770 premium array to trade off of north. 251 00:13:40,770 --> 00:13:44,430 That's going to be our point of origin from the monthly, weekly, 252 00:13:44,430 --> 00:13:48,449 daily, and for our, these timeframes, you're scanning, searching and 253 00:13:48,449 --> 00:13:50,520 trying to determine all of the PDs. 254 00:13:51,435 --> 00:13:53,535 Not just premium and not just discount. 255 00:13:53,565 --> 00:13:57,405 You're looking for all of them from each timeframe because all of them will give 256 00:13:57,405 --> 00:14:01,335 us potentially new setups short-term trading or one-shot kill setups. 257 00:14:02,445 --> 00:14:08,205 And also if we're looking for a move in this case, a selling opportunity 258 00:14:08,865 --> 00:14:13,185 and we're framing off of a monthly PD array from a premium level, it means 259 00:14:13,185 --> 00:14:15,825 we're in a, basically an overbought condition and we're going to be 260 00:14:15,825 --> 00:14:19,995 watching and expecting the price to move lower, to trade down to a weekly. 261 00:14:21,745 --> 00:14:25,465 So if we're going to look at the monthly, the weekly dealing for our 262 00:14:25,465 --> 00:14:29,185 own, both premium end discount basis, as we've already talked about in 263 00:14:29,185 --> 00:14:34,435 previous disciplines and teachings in December and January, when we do this, 264 00:14:35,005 --> 00:14:38,305 if we're bearish, if we're looking for the monthly premium arrays to 265 00:14:38,725 --> 00:14:43,615 influence price, to go lower, why is it important to look at the monthly, 266 00:14:43,615 --> 00:14:45,955 weekly, daily and four-hour discount rate? 267 00:14:48,230 --> 00:14:52,850 Because we're looking for these arrays and the Viscount form to break. 268 00:14:53,600 --> 00:14:57,860 We want to see them break and we want to see them continuously keep breaking until 269 00:14:57,860 --> 00:15:01,939 we get down to our weekly discount array. 270 00:15:04,280 --> 00:15:08,990 So if we're framing a monthly premium PD array, we're expecting 271 00:15:08,990 --> 00:15:10,910 lower prices from a monthly level. 272 00:15:11,839 --> 00:15:13,400 And we're trying to get down into a weekly. 273 00:15:14,460 --> 00:15:18,840 Now it could be any one of the discount, rays, whichever one appears 274 00:15:18,900 --> 00:15:22,590 on the chart or the market that you're trading, not every payer or market 275 00:15:22,770 --> 00:15:24,660 has every single discount array. 276 00:15:25,410 --> 00:15:27,660 There's only a few that can exist. 277 00:15:27,690 --> 00:15:28,320 Very rarely. 278 00:15:28,320 --> 00:15:29,880 Have you ever seen more than three? 279 00:15:30,780 --> 00:15:34,920 So if you focus on what you're looking for in terms of monthly, down into a daily. 280 00:15:35,925 --> 00:15:38,685 It gives you a very clear cut thing to look for. 281 00:15:38,925 --> 00:15:43,245 There's not a plethora of things to choose from or, well, there's so many things. 282 00:15:43,245 --> 00:15:45,015 It could be Michael, you know, which level is it? 283 00:15:45,045 --> 00:15:46,005 No, it's very obvious. 284 00:15:46,785 --> 00:15:49,995 We're framing the market contextually and conceptually. 285 00:15:50,505 --> 00:15:54,255 So it gives us a way to break down the marketplace and define where that market 286 00:15:54,255 --> 00:15:57,545 may most and obviously likely reach. 287 00:16:00,000 --> 00:16:02,910 So we're scouting for opposing PD erase from the monthly 288 00:16:02,940 --> 00:16:04,620 down into a weekly discount. 289 00:16:05,130 --> 00:16:09,300 So again, monthly premium level, and we're trying to look for an opposing 290 00:16:09,330 --> 00:16:16,710 weekly PDRs in the form of a discount from that monthly premium array. 291 00:16:17,760 --> 00:16:22,590 We dropped down into a weekly, daily and four hour at every 292 00:16:22,590 --> 00:16:24,180 premium array for each one of those. 293 00:16:25,170 --> 00:16:30,060 Timeframes and we're scanning for all of the premium arrays where 294 00:16:30,060 --> 00:16:35,010 we can take short-term trades from as a short, every one of those at 295 00:16:35,010 --> 00:16:36,450 the weekly, daily, and four hour. 296 00:16:36,660 --> 00:16:40,800 If we find a level like that, we refine it all the way to the one hour chart or one 297 00:16:40,800 --> 00:16:45,450 hour chart is our executable timeframe for one shot, one kills or short-term trading. 298 00:16:47,190 --> 00:16:50,130 Once you have that executed, what we're doing is, is we're aiming 299 00:16:50,130 --> 00:16:52,440 for that weekly discount PDRs. 300 00:16:53,430 --> 00:16:54,390 There's your cycle. 301 00:16:54,780 --> 00:16:55,800 That's your process? 302 00:16:55,800 --> 00:16:58,830 That's your whole, uh, outlining, if you will. 303 00:16:59,490 --> 00:17:02,430 What we do with the information we learned from January and February and what we're 304 00:17:02,430 --> 00:17:06,210 learning so far is that we're taking all this concept actually, and breaking 305 00:17:06,210 --> 00:17:07,980 it down into a user-friendly format. 306 00:17:09,359 --> 00:17:14,490 We want a monthly premium array and we start there. 307 00:17:15,119 --> 00:17:18,300 We're looking for a opposing weekly. 308 00:17:19,915 --> 00:17:23,964 Whatever that range is, it may be hundreds of pips, or it could be a thousand pips. 309 00:17:24,265 --> 00:17:29,065 I don't know it's going to be unique to each market and environment, but we 310 00:17:29,065 --> 00:17:32,845 may have missed the real opportunity to trade off of that monthly premium. 311 00:17:32,875 --> 00:17:34,615 Maybe you sat down in your turn and say, oh, look at this. 312 00:17:35,065 --> 00:17:37,135 It's coming off of a monthly bear, shorter block. 313 00:17:37,615 --> 00:17:38,655 So it's already moved away from it. 314 00:17:38,665 --> 00:17:41,815 You can't really use that to trade off of you just know that it's moving lower. 315 00:17:41,815 --> 00:17:42,685 So what do you do next? 316 00:17:42,685 --> 00:17:45,115 You dropped down to a weekly what's the weekly premium. 317 00:17:45,929 --> 00:17:49,889 There may be one, it trades up to you later on or a daily chart. 318 00:17:49,949 --> 00:17:54,870 It may trade up into a daily premium array or four hour. 319 00:17:56,100 --> 00:18:01,050 One of those four timeframes is going to give you a setup based on the fact 320 00:18:01,050 --> 00:18:06,780 that the monthly premium is overbought, most likely are going to trade lower 321 00:18:07,169 --> 00:18:10,709 and we're going to be looking for a lesser timeframe discount array. 322 00:18:10,919 --> 00:18:12,090 What's less than a monthly. 323 00:18:13,825 --> 00:18:17,425 We execute, regardless if it's on a weekly, daily, or for our premium 324 00:18:17,425 --> 00:18:22,825 level, from a one-hour chart, you get down to the discount on a weekly. 325 00:18:23,155 --> 00:18:29,885 That's our objective throughout the time from that execution. 326 00:18:29,885 --> 00:18:33,725 If it's a weekly or it's a monthly level, we could potentially see 327 00:18:33,725 --> 00:18:35,495 multiple short-term trades form. 328 00:18:36,395 --> 00:18:39,845 If it's from a four hour basis, you won't see that many charts setups 329 00:18:39,935 --> 00:18:42,395 form, but nonetheless, there's still gonna be high priority. 330 00:18:45,605 --> 00:18:49,115 Okay for buying opportunities, the same thing as this repeated this 331 00:18:49,115 --> 00:18:53,695 an opposite, we're gonna be looking for a monthly chart by programs. 332 00:18:53,695 --> 00:18:57,635 So we're gonna be looking at a monthly discount array, and we're 333 00:18:57,635 --> 00:18:59,585 gonna be looking forward to going into a buy program and which we're 334 00:18:59,585 --> 00:19:02,195 expecting higher prices, weekly chart. 335 00:19:02,195 --> 00:19:04,295 We dropped down into it and we start looking for all of the 336 00:19:04,295 --> 00:19:05,915 discount PD erased as well. 337 00:19:07,755 --> 00:19:11,895 And we look for the daily chart to also move away from its discount rate. 338 00:19:12,825 --> 00:19:15,855 And then dropping them to a lower four hour and then ultimately down 339 00:19:15,855 --> 00:19:20,055 to a one hour chart, looking at all of the discount PDRs to offer 340 00:19:20,055 --> 00:19:23,565 support and price, but ultimately we're framing it off of whatever 341 00:19:23,565 --> 00:19:25,395 the monthly chart discount array is. 342 00:19:25,965 --> 00:19:26,985 That's the beginning basis. 343 00:19:28,020 --> 00:19:29,490 So we're starting from a monthly level. 344 00:19:29,850 --> 00:19:36,270 We're finding a discount if we're oversold or for any really deep discount market. 345 00:19:36,270 --> 00:19:39,720 In other words, it's traded for a long time lower and we found some 346 00:19:39,870 --> 00:19:42,480 old institutional price models for. 347 00:19:44,100 --> 00:19:45,240 Institutional order flow. 348 00:19:45,420 --> 00:19:48,840 For instance, at bullish order block, when old, higher and old low whatever's 349 00:19:48,840 --> 00:19:53,130 caused the market to trade higher in the past, all those are potential scenarios. 350 00:19:54,270 --> 00:19:58,620 We're looking for a lower timeframe, opposing PD array. 351 00:19:59,970 --> 00:20:03,450 In this case, we're looking for a weekly premium array. 352 00:20:04,170 --> 00:20:06,960 We're scouting, opposing PD arrays, but we're starting 353 00:20:06,960 --> 00:20:08,670 from that monthly basis for. 354 00:20:09,900 --> 00:20:12,840 So the lesser timeframe for a monthly he's a weekly and the 355 00:20:12,840 --> 00:20:15,180 opposing from a discount is premium. 356 00:20:15,480 --> 00:20:19,350 So we're looking for him over sold condition on a monthly, to 357 00:20:19,350 --> 00:20:23,610 a higher timeframe premium rate. 358 00:20:23,610 --> 00:20:24,930 It will be seen on a weekly chart. 359 00:20:25,110 --> 00:20:29,070 So that would give us a relatively intermediate term overbought scenario. 360 00:20:29,490 --> 00:20:32,490 It helps us frame the model without using any indicators. 361 00:20:35,020 --> 00:20:37,510 Once we arrive at discount monthly PDF. 362 00:20:38,580 --> 00:20:41,220 We go down through the monthly, the weekly, the daily, and the four hour 363 00:20:41,460 --> 00:20:47,400 to reference all of its individual unique discount arrays, every single 364 00:20:47,400 --> 00:20:52,380 one of these, even if we missed the monthly discount, array and price 365 00:20:52,380 --> 00:20:53,280 is already moved away from it. 366 00:20:53,670 --> 00:20:56,730 We can't use it, but we can refer to it as an indication that 367 00:20:56,730 --> 00:20:58,710 market's wanting to go higher. 368 00:20:59,010 --> 00:21:01,860 So therefore we're identifying that weekly premium level. 369 00:21:02,909 --> 00:21:06,180 So, whatever that range is, that's what we're waiting for it to trade 370 00:21:06,180 --> 00:21:08,190 up to between them two points. 371 00:21:08,430 --> 00:21:13,169 There may be thousands or hundreds of pips in terms of the difference between the 372 00:21:13,169 --> 00:21:15,600 monthly discount level and the weekly. 373 00:21:17,715 --> 00:21:20,685 So we dropped down to the weekly, the daily and a four hour for all 374 00:21:20,685 --> 00:21:25,155 of the discount PDRs, but which order blocks bullish breakers, 375 00:21:25,185 --> 00:21:29,205 bullish mitigation blocks, liquidity voids below current market action. 376 00:21:29,534 --> 00:21:34,754 Fair value gets below current market action, uh, rejection blocks, old 377 00:21:34,905 --> 00:21:37,455 candle bodies with long wicks below it. 378 00:21:37,965 --> 00:21:40,754 Uh, it made me want to reach down below that, or it could be just 379 00:21:40,784 --> 00:21:43,665 a run on an old, low or return back to an old high historically. 380 00:21:44,565 --> 00:21:47,355 Those are all discount arrays. 381 00:21:47,865 --> 00:21:51,435 We look for them from the monthly and then drop down to a weekly, find whatever 382 00:21:51,435 --> 00:21:52,785 they are there in that timeframe. 383 00:21:52,815 --> 00:21:55,935 Then the daily and the four hour, any one of those timeframes. 384 00:21:56,295 --> 00:21:56,595 Okay. 385 00:21:56,625 --> 00:22:00,405 We're searching and determining whatever the PDA rays are from a 386 00:22:00,405 --> 00:22:04,095 discount basis, but we're framing the directional move from the monthly. 387 00:22:05,955 --> 00:22:09,885 We time all of those potential setups with the one hour chart. 388 00:22:11,504 --> 00:22:13,215 Aiming for that weekly premium array. 389 00:22:13,485 --> 00:22:17,925 And again, it could be multiple short-term trades forming between 390 00:22:17,955 --> 00:22:23,774 the monthly, the weekly and daily getting to that weekly premium array. 391 00:22:24,345 --> 00:22:26,625 Again, we dropped down to a four-hour chart and once we get into the four 392 00:22:26,625 --> 00:22:31,695 hour, the trades start to fall off a lot in terms of the frequency or multi. 393 00:22:35,355 --> 00:22:35,655 Okay. 394 00:22:35,985 --> 00:22:40,995 If we look at how we can use the same model dropping down from a weekly chart, 395 00:22:41,925 --> 00:22:46,785 we can start from a weekly premium looking into a lower timeframe daily 396 00:22:46,785 --> 00:22:51,525 discount, and we're gonna be scouting, opposing PD, arrays, respectively, 397 00:22:53,055 --> 00:22:56,595 and from a weekly, from two daily to a four-hour, we're looking for all the 398 00:22:56,595 --> 00:22:58,305 premium arrays that we could short from. 399 00:22:58,665 --> 00:23:00,105 And we key off of whatever they are. 400 00:23:00,899 --> 00:23:02,399 We wait for price to trade to them. 401 00:23:02,670 --> 00:23:06,450 And then we use the one hour chart to sell short from that's our executable 402 00:23:06,450 --> 00:23:11,879 timeframe aiming for that lower level timeframe daily discount. 403 00:23:12,540 --> 00:23:15,690 This my friends is the one shot, one kill set up. 404 00:23:16,590 --> 00:23:17,850 This is my bread and butter. 405 00:23:17,909 --> 00:23:21,360 This is the one that has consistent setups every single week. 406 00:23:21,600 --> 00:23:24,240 There's something to trade off of, but you have to go through 407 00:23:24,720 --> 00:23:26,370 the process of waiting for the. 408 00:23:29,710 --> 00:23:30,180 The opposite. 409 00:23:30,200 --> 00:23:30,850 Same here. 410 00:23:31,180 --> 00:23:35,920 When we're looking for a weekly discount scouting and opposing PD 411 00:23:35,920 --> 00:23:41,830 array for daily premium level, we dropped down from the weekly, the 412 00:23:41,830 --> 00:23:46,150 daily and the four hour looking for all the discount PD res executing on 413 00:23:46,300 --> 00:23:49,000 any one of them from a one hour chart. 414 00:23:50,020 --> 00:23:52,310 And again, this is the one shot, one kill set up for. 415 00:23:59,555 --> 00:23:59,705 Okay. 416 00:23:59,705 --> 00:24:03,515 We talked about the swing trade progression, and it's important to 417 00:24:03,515 --> 00:24:07,865 bring this back up again, because without this understanding, it's going 418 00:24:07,865 --> 00:24:13,685 to be a little too vague, but I gave you a model at which we thought that 419 00:24:13,685 --> 00:24:15,215 maybe this is a six month outlook on. 420 00:24:16,260 --> 00:24:16,470 Okay. 421 00:24:16,470 --> 00:24:19,380 Maybe it's a little bit aggressive to say six months, but just for the sake 422 00:24:19,380 --> 00:24:23,340 of argument and discussion, let's just say this whole entire range of higher 423 00:24:23,340 --> 00:24:26,250 highs and higher lows is six months. 424 00:24:26,790 --> 00:24:30,480 And we had the benefit of forecasting, the potential move to see this unfold. 425 00:24:31,050 --> 00:24:35,070 Each one of these price legs has a impulse leg and it has a retracement. 426 00:24:35,070 --> 00:24:39,750 Then there's an expansion swing inside of each individual impulse swing. 427 00:24:39,780 --> 00:24:42,930 There could be smaller impulse and expansion. 428 00:24:44,395 --> 00:24:49,135 Each expansion swing again, just like we saw in the impulse swing, it could 429 00:24:49,145 --> 00:24:53,245 be broken down to a smaller timeframe, seeing its own individual unique 430 00:24:53,845 --> 00:24:55,585 impulse swing and expansion swing. 431 00:24:56,905 --> 00:25:00,054 And this is repeated throughout the entire fractal that is seen 432 00:25:00,054 --> 00:25:03,054 in price as a short-term trader. 433 00:25:03,205 --> 00:25:10,225 With this alone, there is a plethora of many, many sex setups and signals that you 434 00:25:10,225 --> 00:25:12,534 can find just trading with one market one. 435 00:25:14,885 --> 00:25:19,775 If this is a whole landscape, if you will have six months of price 436 00:25:19,775 --> 00:25:24,875 data, this could be every load it trades from and trades higher. 437 00:25:25,505 --> 00:25:28,325 Every single time, it makes a low moves up graphically. 438 00:25:28,715 --> 00:25:30,695 That is a potential short-term trade. 439 00:25:31,835 --> 00:25:35,165 So just from this chart alone, if you take a moment and count 440 00:25:35,165 --> 00:25:37,385 every time he creates a move. 441 00:25:38,610 --> 00:25:43,170 Use that lowest point at which you could frame a short-term trade count them. 442 00:25:43,350 --> 00:25:44,430 I'll give you a moment to do so. 443 00:25:48,460 --> 00:25:50,320 There's potentially just on longs. 444 00:25:50,350 --> 00:25:54,580 There's eight short term setups here just by breaking the fractal down 445 00:25:54,610 --> 00:26:00,010 one scale, but we can go further than that and break down the smaller 446 00:26:00,010 --> 00:26:03,880 swings into their individual impulse swing, retracement and expansion. 447 00:26:05,195 --> 00:26:08,735 And smaller expansion swing can be further broken down. 448 00:26:09,845 --> 00:26:13,715 Each individual fractal can be broken down to a less rack though. 449 00:26:13,745 --> 00:26:17,345 Now, if we count how many opportunities you could be a buyer when you're bullish 450 00:26:17,375 --> 00:26:21,935 and you can frame the marketplace correctly, how many opportunities do 451 00:26:21,935 --> 00:26:24,065 you see here in terms of potential buys? 452 00:26:26,525 --> 00:26:30,335 There's potentially 16 buying opportunities in this overall. 453 00:26:31,905 --> 00:26:35,025 That's not counting any short-term trades that you go to done 454 00:26:35,055 --> 00:26:38,985 on all the retracements every little red section in here. 455 00:26:39,405 --> 00:26:41,655 They could also be short-term trades as well. 456 00:26:44,225 --> 00:26:48,335 If we couple those with the buying opportunities, there's a great deal. 457 00:26:48,365 --> 00:26:51,754 More trades that are available as a short-term trader. 458 00:26:56,275 --> 00:26:56,425 Okay. 459 00:26:56,425 --> 00:26:57,865 The general concept revisit. 460 00:26:59,305 --> 00:27:02,365 We're looking for a market that is poised to trade higher on a higher timeframe. 461 00:27:03,025 --> 00:27:05,635 Now we're going to be looking for seasonal tendencies to help us. 462 00:27:06,295 --> 00:27:09,805 We don't require it, but they're always going to be a bonus and we're looking 463 00:27:09,805 --> 00:27:11,845 for interest rate driven conditions. 464 00:27:11,965 --> 00:27:12,955 In other words, is there. 465 00:27:15,170 --> 00:27:15,950 Bond market. 466 00:27:15,950 --> 00:27:16,700 Is it moving? 467 00:27:16,970 --> 00:27:17,960 Is it stagnant? 468 00:27:17,960 --> 00:27:18,830 It's going sideways. 469 00:27:19,040 --> 00:27:22,270 Preferably we were looking for a market that's moving around and just 470 00:27:22,270 --> 00:27:25,010 the commitment, traders support the hedging program about the commercials. 471 00:27:25,010 --> 00:27:25,700 Are they buying? 472 00:27:25,700 --> 00:27:29,050 Are they selling, um, in this case, if we're looking for a bull scenario, 473 00:27:29,070 --> 00:27:32,180 we're looking for commercials to be lessening their short positions or 474 00:27:32,180 --> 00:27:34,100 aggressively adding or already net long. 475 00:27:35,420 --> 00:27:37,490 And we're using intermarket analysis to support abortions. 476 00:27:37,500 --> 00:27:40,790 That could be in the form of supporting, uh, with. 477 00:27:41,985 --> 00:27:46,695 S and T divergence or correlated pair SMT. 478 00:27:49,275 --> 00:27:52,335 We're looking for a market that rallies higher than retraces and this is going 479 00:27:52,335 --> 00:27:54,375 to occur Monday through Wednesday. 480 00:27:54,375 --> 00:27:58,755 So now we're getting more time-specific and then we look for the market to 481 00:27:58,755 --> 00:28:03,585 expand up into higher highs so that before we do anything, we're going 482 00:28:03,585 --> 00:28:05,595 to already have our point of origin. 483 00:28:06,165 --> 00:28:06,465 No worries. 484 00:28:06,465 --> 00:28:08,715 That's going to be the reference point from a monthly standpoint and, 485 00:28:08,715 --> 00:28:10,155 or dropping down to the weekly daily. 486 00:28:11,930 --> 00:28:16,490 And we're going to know what PD array in the premium we're aiming for. 487 00:28:18,909 --> 00:28:23,590 So we see that impulse swing Monday, Tuesday, or Wednesday, we were looking 488 00:28:23,590 --> 00:28:25,149 for an up move to suggested this. 489 00:28:25,389 --> 00:28:30,580 In fact, buying that impulse swing is the telltale sign that there 490 00:28:30,580 --> 00:28:34,180 are smart money players in the marketplace pushing price higher. 491 00:28:34,720 --> 00:28:37,510 That's we're looking for underlying we're expecting higher prices 492 00:28:37,510 --> 00:28:38,980 anyway, but now we're seeing. 493 00:28:40,470 --> 00:28:44,400 We're waiting for the retracement that retracing it's going to come again 494 00:28:44,400 --> 00:28:45,990 between Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday. 495 00:28:46,380 --> 00:28:48,930 It could happen directly right off of Sunday's rally. 496 00:28:49,230 --> 00:28:51,570 And then Monday would be maybe the retracement, or it could just start 497 00:28:51,570 --> 00:28:56,490 right from Monday and have a very shallow retracement of one day between Monday 498 00:28:56,490 --> 00:29:02,790 and Wednesday, during that retracement we're gonna be looking for or anticipating 499 00:29:02,790 --> 00:29:04,560 the next move, higher driving. 500 00:29:05,990 --> 00:29:09,649 Move higher into that premium array that we're looking for. 501 00:29:11,399 --> 00:29:13,770 That expansion swing is where we're looking to be profitable. 502 00:29:15,600 --> 00:29:18,720 Framing the retracement from the point of origin. 503 00:29:19,230 --> 00:29:24,510 That's where we're looking for our executable timeframe hourly for our 504 00:29:25,500 --> 00:29:29,669 daily, weekly, monthly discount. 505 00:29:29,669 --> 00:29:30,090 Pediatric. 506 00:29:30,855 --> 00:29:34,815 We're looking for all of these potential levels as price starts to drop down. 507 00:29:34,995 --> 00:29:38,265 Now, it looks like graphically it's only on Wednesday, but for the sake 508 00:29:38,265 --> 00:29:44,565 of discussion and keeping the slide clean this retracement and the discount 509 00:29:44,565 --> 00:29:48,255 PD array matrix is applied through the entire range across the days 510 00:29:48,255 --> 00:29:49,575 of Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday. 511 00:29:50,055 --> 00:29:53,475 So in other words, what I'm saying is, is Chrome, Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday, 512 00:29:53,625 --> 00:29:58,305 during any retracement lower, we're looking for a monthly, weekly, daily. 513 00:29:59,790 --> 00:30:11,120 Discount array the off of aiming for the weekly premium array and it has 514 00:30:11,120 --> 00:30:13,429 to drop down into, uh, kills them. 515 00:30:14,360 --> 00:30:16,510 Now, what kills them? 516 00:30:16,610 --> 00:30:17,449 Could you be trading? 517 00:30:17,750 --> 00:30:20,840 Uh, obviously y'all know that I like to trade the London open and I like 518 00:30:20,840 --> 00:30:25,429 to trade the New York open freely trading, the Aussie Kiwi or Japanese. 519 00:30:26,250 --> 00:30:29,850 You want to be including the Asian session kills him. 520 00:30:30,420 --> 00:30:30,690 Okay. 521 00:30:30,690 --> 00:30:34,620 So you can go into my free tutorial stuff and see what that actually is. 522 00:30:35,130 --> 00:30:42,170 But for a quick down dirty timeframe, what you're looking for is 2300 hours to what 523 00:30:42,170 --> 00:30:48,270 basically you're going to be looking at, uh, 6:00 PM to 9:00 PM, New York standard 524 00:30:48,270 --> 00:30:50,520 time, whatever time it is in New York. 525 00:30:51,495 --> 00:30:53,235 6:00 PM to 9:00 PM. 526 00:30:53,415 --> 00:30:54,825 There's your sweet spot for Asia. 527 00:30:55,335 --> 00:30:55,575 Okay. 528 00:30:55,605 --> 00:30:56,055 There you go. 529 00:30:56,115 --> 00:30:57,945 Nothing, nothing easier than that. 530 00:30:59,085 --> 00:31:01,455 And many times it can extend to 10 o'clock, but usually you don't 531 00:31:01,455 --> 00:31:02,685 want to be doing anything after 10. 532 00:31:03,135 --> 00:31:05,205 Uh, the closer you get to 10, that's kinda like their lunch time. 533 00:31:05,205 --> 00:31:06,435 So you don't want to do anything around 10. 534 00:31:10,575 --> 00:31:14,055 And ultimately if price drops down and gives you a retracement into a 535 00:31:14,235 --> 00:31:17,235 discount PD array from a monthly, weekly, daily, or four hour level. 536 00:31:18,345 --> 00:31:23,085 You can see that also can be used from an hourly executable timeframe. 537 00:31:23,085 --> 00:31:28,575 So if you get a hourly discount PD era, they could be executed 538 00:31:28,575 --> 00:31:30,014 on as well inside of Kilz. 539 00:31:30,014 --> 00:31:33,225 Then again, you're looking for that Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday set 540 00:31:33,225 --> 00:31:39,585 up, but you're aiming for the weekly PDRI if you don't want shot one kill, 541 00:31:39,855 --> 00:31:42,315 you're looking for that daily PDA. 542 00:31:42,315 --> 00:31:42,615 Right. 543 00:31:43,335 --> 00:31:44,685 But framing off of a weekly. 544 00:31:50,430 --> 00:31:50,550 Okay. 545 00:31:50,550 --> 00:31:54,690 A general concept revisited again in bearish markets, we're 546 00:31:54,690 --> 00:31:57,300 looking for markets poised to trade lower on a higher timeframe. 547 00:31:57,420 --> 00:32:01,170 We're looking for any market that would potentially move lower seasonally, 548 00:32:01,170 --> 00:32:04,440 but it doesn't have to, we don't need to seasonal tendency there again, 549 00:32:04,440 --> 00:32:07,860 it's it's always a bonus or a plus if you will, if we can use a market 550 00:32:07,860 --> 00:32:09,480 that has a bear seasonal tendency. 551 00:32:10,784 --> 00:32:11,804 Our interest rates moving. 552 00:32:11,845 --> 00:32:12,585 Are they stagnant? 553 00:32:13,034 --> 00:32:14,655 Preferably we were looking for a market that has the 554 00:32:14,655 --> 00:32:15,975 bond market moving all around. 555 00:32:16,395 --> 00:32:18,554 The tenure notes are moving around. 556 00:32:18,554 --> 00:32:22,575 That's held in consolidation and commitment of traders. 557 00:32:22,635 --> 00:32:26,655 Are we looking at a lessening of long positions by the commercials or are we 558 00:32:26,655 --> 00:32:31,605 seeing a heavy net short position being built or are they already net short? 559 00:32:32,024 --> 00:32:34,695 Uh, those are the conditions we're looking for from a cot standpoint. 560 00:32:35,445 --> 00:32:37,725 And intermarket analysis supports the bear sense. 561 00:32:37,725 --> 00:32:42,735 That means SMT diversions is indicating weakness or correlate a pair. 562 00:32:42,735 --> 00:32:48,315 SMT suggested there should be a overall sympathy, move lower for foreign 563 00:32:48,315 --> 00:32:50,085 currencies or for trading stocks. 564 00:32:50,325 --> 00:32:55,095 You learn all that as well with the indices versus the leadership issues. 565 00:32:56,475 --> 00:32:59,715 And we're looking for a market decline lower than retrace 566 00:32:59,715 --> 00:33:01,665 higher during Monday into winter. 567 00:33:04,165 --> 00:33:04,615 And we're done. 568 00:33:04,615 --> 00:33:07,645 We're gonna be looking for a market to expand down to lower lows. 569 00:33:09,715 --> 00:33:15,175 So we have a point of origin from a hard timeframe, monthly premium array 570 00:33:17,095 --> 00:33:20,395 trades, the lower impulse swing. 571 00:33:21,085 --> 00:33:22,045 And then there's a retracement. 572 00:33:22,045 --> 00:33:26,185 Again, this is all occurring between Monday and Tuesday and Wednesday. 573 00:33:26,575 --> 00:33:29,665 Any one of those three days, this scenario or condition has to be. 574 00:33:31,260 --> 00:33:37,620 That retracement has to come up to the level of premium and then the 575 00:33:38,100 --> 00:33:42,300 expansion swing is what we're looking for to be profitable in aiming for 576 00:33:42,300 --> 00:33:49,730 the discount array, reframing our trade with premium array matrix. 577 00:33:50,149 --> 00:33:54,439 So we're looking for a monthly, weekly, daily four hour and one hour premium 578 00:33:54,439 --> 00:33:57,649 array to short from in a kill zone. 579 00:33:59,765 --> 00:34:01,535 For time of day analysis. 580 00:34:05,435 --> 00:34:05,585 Okay. 581 00:34:05,585 --> 00:34:11,405 Monthly ranges are prices, fractal and higher time frame analysis benefits us 582 00:34:11,405 --> 00:34:18,245 as a result, we note the high and the low of every month candle, we knew to 583 00:34:18,255 --> 00:34:23,475 present range in terms of premium and or discount we consider where price 584 00:34:23,475 --> 00:34:25,815 on the monthly will or could draw to. 585 00:34:26,235 --> 00:34:27,465 And the words what's the most likely to. 586 00:34:29,955 --> 00:34:33,165 There is generally four weekly candles in every monthly candle. 587 00:34:34,985 --> 00:34:38,375 Every week we study where the monthly will likely trade next. 588 00:34:39,665 --> 00:34:43,115 Again, all we're doing is looking for probabilities and there's nothing 589 00:34:43,115 --> 00:34:45,395 that I teach with 100% ironclad. 590 00:34:45,395 --> 00:34:46,535 This is where it's going to happen every, since. 591 00:34:47,400 --> 00:34:51,150 There's no, absolutions, there's only probability. 592 00:34:51,150 --> 00:34:53,969 So we're looking from these higher timeframes to look for. 593 00:34:53,969 --> 00:34:55,440 Where is it most likely reaching for it? 594 00:34:55,440 --> 00:34:58,410 Cause if we're trading off a monthly chart and we can pick the most probable 595 00:34:58,410 --> 00:35:03,170 direction, chances are even if we're wrong, you know, the lower timeframes that 596 00:35:03,170 --> 00:35:05,820 we're going to be executing on, it still might give us opportunity to be paid. 597 00:35:07,600 --> 00:35:09,340 And then usually monthly ranges. 598 00:35:09,400 --> 00:35:11,320 We frame trades on the weekly range. 599 00:35:13,810 --> 00:35:14,770 I said, what's a weekly rain. 600 00:35:16,255 --> 00:35:21,654 Uh, again, prices fractal and monthly analysis builds on the weekly, and we knew 601 00:35:21,654 --> 00:35:23,515 it to high in a lobe, every weekly candle. 602 00:35:24,895 --> 00:35:30,235 We note the present range in terms of premium and or discount we consider where 603 00:35:30,235 --> 00:35:32,365 price on the weekly will or could draw to. 604 00:35:32,395 --> 00:35:35,455 Again, what's the most probable direction in terms of whether weekly 605 00:35:35,455 --> 00:35:41,185 chart is trading and where it may reach up or lower to there's generally 606 00:35:41,185 --> 00:35:42,955 five daily candles and every weekly. 607 00:35:45,220 --> 00:35:49,120 And every week we study how the weekly trades inside of its monthly 608 00:35:49,120 --> 00:35:54,850 range using weekly ranges, we frame trades on the daily chart. 609 00:35:56,230 --> 00:36:02,560 We're watching the, see if the weeklies continuously expand and make the larger 610 00:36:02,620 --> 00:36:05,890 monthly candle move in a direction. 611 00:36:05,890 --> 00:36:06,350 We thought they were. 612 00:36:07,620 --> 00:36:12,779 So each week we're looking for confluence and confirmation that what we anticipated 613 00:36:12,779 --> 00:36:16,020 seeing on the monthly isn't fact unfolding, because the weekends we'll 614 00:36:16,020 --> 00:36:19,890 be pushing that direction, hopefully in our favor, and then making that weekly 615 00:36:20,910 --> 00:36:27,029 range, expand every hire or every lower, uh, weekly candle we'll build that bigger 616 00:36:27,029 --> 00:36:29,160 monthly candle in respective direction. 617 00:36:34,460 --> 00:36:34,640 Okay. 618 00:36:34,640 --> 00:36:35,779 So let's take a look at an example. 619 00:36:37,430 --> 00:36:37,580 All right. 620 00:36:37,580 --> 00:36:39,140 So here, we're looking at the Japanese. 621 00:36:39,140 --> 00:36:46,040 Janice is a monthly chart and you can see from 2015 springtime going into 622 00:36:46,040 --> 00:36:53,990 June, 2015, we saw the Japanese yen or dollar yen pair trade up into, around 623 00:36:53,990 --> 00:36:56,690 the 1 25, 80 level or thereabouts. 624 00:36:57,830 --> 00:37:04,700 And we moved from a low formed back in 2013, and then we dropped. 625 00:37:05,775 --> 00:37:09,795 1 25 into round, June of 2016. 626 00:37:11,205 --> 00:37:14,685 If you look at the total range, we have obviously moved into a discount 627 00:37:14,685 --> 00:37:17,235 market and we look at the markets. 628 00:37:18,015 --> 00:37:24,075 Old support levels found at the February, 2014 to June, 2014. 629 00:37:24,525 --> 00:37:25,785 There was a lot of support seen in there. 630 00:37:26,655 --> 00:37:29,955 So products came all the way down into the point of. 631 00:37:30,930 --> 00:37:32,250 Where we think the market will. 632 00:37:32,250 --> 00:37:35,520 And with the benefit of hindsight here, I'm not going to be slicing 633 00:37:35,520 --> 00:37:40,110 and dicing charts because we called the Japanese Shan lower, which is 634 00:37:40,200 --> 00:37:46,260 dollar yen higher all through the, uh, the months in 2016, as we see here. 635 00:37:47,280 --> 00:37:50,250 But looking at this example, we have a point of origin where we 636 00:37:50,250 --> 00:37:51,780 think price may want to go higher. 637 00:37:52,110 --> 00:37:54,840 And then once we see that we start looking at all of the monthly. 638 00:37:56,009 --> 00:38:00,689 PDRs I'm framing the last down candle right before the big 639 00:38:00,689 --> 00:38:01,859 mood starts to take place. 640 00:38:02,279 --> 00:38:06,060 That is a monthly candle, and we start looking at the monthly range, but that's 641 00:38:06,060 --> 00:38:07,950 not the monthly range we're trading in. 642 00:38:08,040 --> 00:38:09,569 That's just a monthly range. 643 00:38:09,959 --> 00:38:10,529 So don't be this. 644 00:38:10,919 --> 00:38:11,700 Don't be confused. 645 00:38:11,700 --> 00:38:15,959 When I start talking about monthly ranges, I may interchangeably refer 646 00:38:15,959 --> 00:38:19,890 to a monthly candle where it's individual or independent range. 647 00:38:20,189 --> 00:38:22,350 That's not the monthly range that we're going to be referring to. 648 00:38:22,350 --> 00:38:23,700 I'm actually going to distinguish. 649 00:38:28,675 --> 00:38:28,825 Okay. 650 00:38:28,825 --> 00:38:34,115 So we have that one month's candle range defined, and we're going to 651 00:38:34,115 --> 00:38:40,355 go back to when the monthly level, where are our monthly premium arrays? 652 00:38:40,955 --> 00:38:44,045 Well, you have a breaker here, so we frame that. 653 00:38:44,045 --> 00:38:47,165 So there's a mood that we can look up to for a monthly level. 654 00:38:47,495 --> 00:38:51,815 So we have both our monthly discount and premium. 655 00:38:55,015 --> 00:38:56,515 This is our monthly range. 656 00:39:01,875 --> 00:39:06,915 This is our range for trading the monthly range. 657 00:39:07,214 --> 00:39:13,185 In other words, what's our probable range of probability or profitability where 658 00:39:13,234 --> 00:39:15,524 would be expect to see moves, take place. 659 00:39:18,785 --> 00:39:20,464 We take that range and we apply it to a weekly. 660 00:39:21,315 --> 00:39:27,225 And refine that down into that individual weekly PD arrays in terms of. 661 00:39:28,080 --> 00:39:28,860 Premium array. 662 00:39:29,220 --> 00:39:31,260 So we have here weekly premium arrays outlined. 663 00:39:31,260 --> 00:39:33,840 I didn't put every single one of them on there just to keep the chart clean. 664 00:39:34,020 --> 00:39:36,660 So that way we can go through and have many examples, uh, for 665 00:39:36,660 --> 00:39:39,840 your study, go through and find out where all the other ones are. 666 00:39:40,230 --> 00:39:40,500 Okay. 667 00:39:40,500 --> 00:39:43,770 Go through the individual weekly chart and monthly chart. 668 00:39:43,770 --> 00:39:45,540 And you can see how price had respected. 669 00:39:45,540 --> 00:39:48,090 A lot of the other ones too, that aren't being used here, but I 670 00:39:48,090 --> 00:39:49,350 just gave you the obvious ones. 671 00:39:49,680 --> 00:39:52,840 I use rejection blocks here for weekly premium. 672 00:39:54,500 --> 00:39:58,430 So when price broke away from that 100, 4 35 level and started expanding, 673 00:39:58,430 --> 00:40:04,069 reaching up into that 1860 level, that weekly premium array, it had 674 00:40:04,490 --> 00:40:11,899 three lesser, lower, weekly premium arrays, old lows seen through 2014 675 00:40:12,470 --> 00:40:16,040 going into 2015, and then we saw. 676 00:40:16,859 --> 00:40:21,000 Rejection block around the one 11 level. 677 00:40:21,480 --> 00:40:26,730 And then we saw another rejection block around the 1 0 6 big figure as noted here. 678 00:40:27,240 --> 00:40:30,330 So they're all objectives are where price should reach up to. 679 00:40:30,750 --> 00:40:34,410 So if you look at that, it's still a great deal of opportunity between just those 680 00:40:34,410 --> 00:40:37,950 four premium arrays on a weekly chart, 681 00:40:41,379 --> 00:40:44,680 dropping down into a daily chart, you can see a little bit more detailed. 682 00:40:45,509 --> 00:40:49,710 And how price had reached from the 1 0 4 35 up to the each one of 683 00:40:49,710 --> 00:40:55,319 those weekly premium arrays, all being catalysts for higher prices. 684 00:40:59,049 --> 00:41:00,339 Now we got into a four-hour chart. 685 00:41:00,920 --> 00:41:06,759 We can start applying all of the order, block theory and rejection block theory. 686 00:41:07,810 --> 00:41:10,270 And we're also incorporating now the day of. 687 00:41:11,800 --> 00:41:13,900 Filter, which is Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday. 688 00:41:14,259 --> 00:41:19,810 So I've shaded where every Monday, Tuesday and Wednesdays range is, and I'm also 689 00:41:20,140 --> 00:41:26,950 highlighting or blocks for bullish by, and I'm also highlighting mitigation and 690 00:41:26,950 --> 00:41:29,560 I'm also highlighting rejection blocks. 691 00:41:30,550 --> 00:41:36,720 All of these are discount arrays and the red shaded area up as a one eight. 692 00:41:37,875 --> 00:41:41,654 70 level or thereabouts, that's the premium array on a weekly 693 00:41:41,654 --> 00:41:43,035 basis that we're reaching for. 694 00:41:43,904 --> 00:41:46,665 So how many buying opportunities did you see here? 695 00:41:50,115 --> 00:41:52,485 Six one each week. 696 00:41:54,195 --> 00:41:57,585 Let's break it down a little bit more detail again, taking all the 697 00:41:58,154 --> 00:42:01,725 unnecessary things off the chart and you can see how price has moved. 698 00:42:02,025 --> 00:42:02,265 Right. 699 00:42:03,045 --> 00:42:07,785 Uniformly and systematic each new week, giving you buying opportunities. 700 00:42:10,645 --> 00:42:13,015 And now we'll add all the individual day dividers. 701 00:42:13,555 --> 00:42:18,295 And I want you to take a look at something as the weekly ranges defined 702 00:42:18,295 --> 00:42:20,995 by the double line vertical dash lines. 703 00:42:21,025 --> 00:42:21,385 Okay. 704 00:42:21,445 --> 00:42:23,635 That delineates the Sundays. 705 00:42:24,235 --> 00:42:28,165 So everything to the right of those double vertical lines that are 706 00:42:28,165 --> 00:42:29,685 dashed, that represents a Sunday. 707 00:42:31,080 --> 00:42:31,650 To the right of it. 708 00:42:31,650 --> 00:42:36,810 You had Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday shaded notice how the lows of 709 00:42:36,810 --> 00:42:39,930 the week are generally formed in Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday. 710 00:42:40,290 --> 00:42:47,220 In this context, also notice that when you see the high that's formed between 711 00:42:47,220 --> 00:42:51,240 Monday and Wednesday, say for instance, that there's a high that forms, uh, during 712 00:42:51,240 --> 00:42:57,110 the Monday through Wednesday range, when that high is taken out intro week, this. 713 00:42:58,655 --> 00:43:01,955 Because price will tend to expand aggressively towards the monthly 714 00:43:01,955 --> 00:43:03,575 and or weekly premium array. 715 00:43:04,415 --> 00:43:05,975 And it's reversed if it's bearish. 716 00:43:06,425 --> 00:43:08,765 So what we're doing is we're looking for the Monday through Wednesday 717 00:43:08,765 --> 00:43:14,225 range every single week when that is bullish underlying in the market. 718 00:43:14,615 --> 00:43:19,175 And if you break that range, that's defined by technically Sunday's opening, 719 00:43:19,175 --> 00:43:23,075 but just for the sake of keeping things, Jermaine and consistent. 720 00:43:23,075 --> 00:43:25,535 Cause I did mention how we didn't really refer to Sundays. 721 00:43:26,895 --> 00:43:32,205 Uh, you can use Sunday for completeness sake, but from a Monday's opening to 722 00:43:32,205 --> 00:43:37,275 Tuesday and Wednesdays range, whatever the highest high is when month when, 723 00:43:37,365 --> 00:43:40,455 when the markets are bullish, if that highest broken, intraweek say 724 00:43:40,455 --> 00:43:46,035 for instance, on Thursday or Friday, generally, that is indicative of an 725 00:43:46,035 --> 00:43:50,325 aggressive confirmation that we're going to be moving to our premium array that 726 00:43:50,325 --> 00:43:52,045 we were looking for, or identify that. 727 00:43:53,250 --> 00:43:56,190 And then everything that you see here would just be reversed for bearish 728 00:43:56,190 --> 00:44:00,510 markets Monday through Wednesdays range. 729 00:44:00,840 --> 00:44:05,550 If that is broken, when it's bullish, the high that's formed between Monday 730 00:44:05,550 --> 00:44:09,930 and Wednesday, that is a confirmation that you are in a buy program and the 731 00:44:09,930 --> 00:44:14,310 markets will expand aggressively to reach for your higher level premium array. 732 00:44:15,090 --> 00:44:15,960 When the markets are buried. 733 00:44:17,420 --> 00:44:21,560 The load is formed between Monday through Wednesday, if that is broken on an 734 00:44:21,560 --> 00:44:26,600 intro week basis, that is confirmation that you are an aggressive sell off 735 00:44:26,720 --> 00:44:30,529 sell program and your longterm higher timeframe, discount or rate at you're 736 00:44:30,529 --> 00:44:35,120 aiming for is a high probability condition that's going to reach for that may not 737 00:44:35,120 --> 00:44:38,120 happen that week, but you're gonna keep looking for the next week to be bullish 738 00:44:38,270 --> 00:44:39,779 where bears respectively based on that. 739 00:44:41,250 --> 00:44:43,290 So hopefully you found this teaching insightful. 740 00:44:43,290 --> 00:44:46,980 We're going to be building on a lot of these ideas and a lot more detail leading 741 00:44:46,980 --> 00:44:49,230 into the ultimate delivery of one shot. 742 00:44:49,230 --> 00:44:52,890 One kill on him in a process oriented rule-based breakdown. 743 00:44:52,920 --> 00:44:56,190 What you do from beginning to end to execution until next session. 744 00:44:56,670 --> 00:44:57,569 I wish you good luck and good trading. 66348

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