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Welcome back folks.
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Okay.
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We're gonna get the dollar index.
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This is the daily on the
left for our, on the right.
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We had a nice sell off below.
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That means threshold here,
intimidate, but look, we've not
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been able to close below it.
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Uh, we went below a little
while, then rejected it.
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Now it's a little bit early.
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It can still do a little bit more
before, uh, the bomb market closes.
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I liked the fact that we rejected here.
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Um, I said today that in my gut, it
tells me that it wants to come back
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up here and clear out these equal
highs or stay in a consolidation.
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That's been indicated here today,
intraday and over here on the four
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hour, we came down and cleared out
a rejection block rate below these
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bodies on these candles on here.
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And we right back to
the middle of the range.
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So while it's not noted,
I'll mention it here.
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And I'll include it in
tomorrow's live session.
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And also in our charts time, won't permit
me to do this today, but, uh, the buy-side
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liquidity is about these equal highs.
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Sell-side liquidity is
below the short term.
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Well, I liked the fact
that we rejected here.
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Two times we came down, rejected,
came down again and then rejected.
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So if we get a higher close.
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Than this.
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Okay.
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And stay above that weekly order
block that we've been referring to
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here, it's a weekly bullish order.
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Why should we dipped into that two times?
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Once, twice.
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So at night it would be nice to see
it explode and go up to equal high.
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They got the buy-side liquidity out.
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Maybe reach up into the one or twos again.
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That would be nice.
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That would give us a
directional bias for the week.
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And it might help us see us break
out of the ranges that we're seeing.
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Keep on Euro and, uh, U S CAD.
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Alright.
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Euro dollar.
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Okay.
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We mentioned today in the live session
that I didn't feel that this last up
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candle rate for this move here would be
representative of a bear shorter block.
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I said that because we had
all this passed through.
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Here and on this candle here, that
there was no selling indication at
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the low of this candle or the mean
threshold that we would move through
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and clear out the bodies of these
candles and make a run into these wicks.
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If we were going to go up there to sell
off, um, that was a two fold statement.
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One, my belief was we were going
to go higher as a result of that.
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And if we saw any selling, it would come
only after the heels of this movement.
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So we saw price trade through
that, and we had about a 40%.
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Uh, above to the high today
and then came back down.
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So it's about 40 pips in range.
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They're a smaller intraday trade,
which is not inside the scope of our
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current session or topic for this month.
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But price day, in fact, go
above that rejection block.
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And we've seen a reaction intraday,
nothing is indicated they movement outside
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of the range here, but I like to see that
dollar index continuously rate that run.
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And if that's the case, we could be
seeing a potential sell off in here to
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make a one more pass below and here.
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And if that is in fact what
we see then the sell side
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liquidity will be an objective.
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Okay.
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So now it's a lot of give and take back
and forth, uh, references cause we're in
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a range, but if we get the dollar index to
give us some assistance with our analysis,
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that will help us in here, we're trading
inside of a daily bearish order blocking.
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We hit that didn't get quite to immune
threshold, but if we sell off here
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tomorrow, that would indicate that
we're probably going to make a rundown.
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Okay.
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Uh, if we continuously move higher again,
we'd have to get above the main threshold.
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This last up candle.
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Like I said, I mentioned in our
live session today that wouldn't
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make a bullish case for the Euro and
I would like that scenario there.
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But if we roll over at this point
after seeing what we saw today, that
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will be very handsome for downside
projections looking for 1 0 4 big figure.
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Alright, cable, small little bounce
filled in a little gap in here.
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Small little gap in here as well.
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So we could potentially see a
trade up into that 1 25, 20 level.
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Again, I'd like to see it, do that in
fact, and then if it wants to go higher
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on a dollar, that would be a really
good selling indication for cable.
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So watch that this week we could
see a 1 25 to 1 25, 20 as a
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selling opportunity for cable.
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Again, that's assuming
dollar index does it.
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Okay.
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Dollar CAD
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for hour block here, and price
is making a run potentially above
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these candles bodies in here.
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And this candles highest
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reference point for their body is the.
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And it comes in at 1 30, 1 64.
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So we're looking for 1 30, 1 62,
1 31 65 to go up inside of this
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00:05:06,465 --> 00:05:09,855
WIC and then maybe even a run
back above these equal highs here.
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00:05:09,855 --> 00:05:12,615
So now thinking about what we have,
we have a dollar index with equal
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highs on its daily chart, and we have
a dollar CAD chart on a daily basis.
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We equal high.
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So we have BICE buy-side liquidity
above this area here, and let's
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go back to the dollar index.
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We have buy-side liquidity here.
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We may be making the low of the week today
on Monday, and then looking for a upside
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expansion for the remainder of the week.
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And that would give us a run
into here for dollar CAD.
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So if that's the case, we may have
some things to discuss in regards
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to looking for bullish dollar
and weaker foreign currencies.
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And that would give a green light.
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As we talked about before, if
we get above this low here, that
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would be bullish for dollar cat.
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All the dollar, uh, having some
struggles at that 77 big figure.
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And it'll be interesting to
see if we do see dollar rally.
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If the dollar can force the Aussie
dollar down, if it does, and it takes
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out the south side liquidity here, this
still becomes a potential swing trade.
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The 76 big figure down to 75 95.
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So in that area, that's where we're
looking for the next significant
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price swing that would be for a buy.
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Anything else.
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That's going to be a day trade
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Euro pound.
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Um, nothing really terribly
exciting about here.
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We've moved up into,
uh, uh, last up candle.
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There's shorter blocks,
nothing terribly exciting.
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They're closing a smaller, fair value gap.
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I would like to see it, um, really
make a run out of this consolidation
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one way or the other, because the
longer it stays in it, the harder
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it is to depict the direction.
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Cause it could be argued that
we came back up and caused a,
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another selling opportunity here.
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I don't like that one just yet.
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I thought I liked the fact that we came
down below this low, this low in this.
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With this move here and we spent
a lot of time trying to go down.
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It couldn't do it.
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And now we rallied back up.
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So I think maybe we need to be
focusing on this down candle here.
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It's high as 84, 93
and it's open is 84 71.
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So 84, 75 to 84 95 in that area, we had
to start studying that and on a day by
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day basis and see if we can get some
kind of return back into that level.
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We do the.
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Could propel European higher.
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And if we get weakness on the
dollar, that would cause a really
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strong buy for the Euro dollar.
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Gold made a slightly higher, hard today.
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Uh, didn't want to see that.
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I said, we'd rather see it
consolidate and not do this.
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And that's the reason why, because if
we punch above this short term high,
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there's gonna be a lot of sellers
and they're gonna want to fade that.
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00:07:59,145 --> 00:08:02,355
So we have to watch and see
if there's any support seen at
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the 1250 level to 1245 level.
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It can go down at 1245.
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I'd rather it didn't, but
we're at the wait for now.
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Um, and see if it wants to get
to that 12 50, 12 45 level.
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But that's the next downside.
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Objective for support.
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Otherwise we wait
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silver, same thing just fell short
of 18, 50 level and rejected.
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So we might see some, uh, some
downside pressure in here.
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You could get down to 18,
10 and find some support.
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I don't think it needs to go
back down to 18, but, uh, 18,
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00:08:34,245 --> 00:08:35,684
10 looks like it's possible.
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And dollar yen.
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Okay, dialing in.
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You can see why I hate
this freaking payer.
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I don't see this as a bullet or
a block that I would want to buy.
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I like to see this one
down here to be traded to.
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We have also, um, a liquidity pool for
sell side liquidity resting below here.
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Personally.
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I like to see it fall
short of going above 1290.
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1 12 90.
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I think that should cap it.
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If it goes above that, then we're just
going to probably make a run higher.
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00:09:10,020 --> 00:09:13,230
Um, I'd like to see it fall short
there, maybe this is the Monday,
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uh, rally for the weekly high, and
we'll see maybe the Asian session
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give up the ghost and trade lower.
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If it goes considerably higher, you ended
that may indicate a little bit longer term
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bullish stance for the dollar as well.
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And this may present a buying
opportunity for the dollar yen right now.
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It's too early.
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I would move more inclined to see it.
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Just rally the sell off to get down
to that 1 10 90 level 1, 10 80,
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even, uh, as a weekly objective.
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And that's it for today's discussion.
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I will be with you again tomorrow at
nine o'clock, New York Eastern time.
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And I will speak with you then until
tomorrow we should be looking to train.
15092
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