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These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:00,300 --> 00:00:01,140 Okay, good morning folks. 2 00:00:01,140 --> 00:00:02,009 Welcome back. 3 00:00:02,550 --> 00:00:06,240 We're going to be doing a quick session, just overviewing, what 4 00:00:06,240 --> 00:00:12,120 we've seen so far for today and what may be unfolding for Thursday and 5 00:00:12,120 --> 00:00:13,470 maybe going into Friday's close. 6 00:00:16,710 --> 00:00:19,320 Alright, so I've kept the levels from our markup. 7 00:00:19,770 --> 00:00:24,810 Top-down from, uh, yesterday evening as well. 8 00:00:24,810 --> 00:00:29,430 So the levels we have here on our daily chart, we mentioned there's a 40. 9 00:00:30,955 --> 00:00:32,244 Fair value gap up in here. 10 00:00:32,995 --> 00:00:36,864 Price me want to punch through this hole is old high to get up in there 11 00:00:36,864 --> 00:00:42,805 and close that little range in this smaller pocket price action. 12 00:00:43,364 --> 00:00:45,144 We so far have equal highs. 13 00:00:45,714 --> 00:00:49,944 We've had a nice little pop off the four hour bull shorter block over here. 14 00:00:50,785 --> 00:00:51,175 Excuse me. 15 00:00:52,405 --> 00:00:56,694 And prices ran $1 off that level of a small, low fair value gap. 16 00:00:58,305 --> 00:01:01,004 That if we start to trade lower, that may be a catalyst 17 00:01:01,004 --> 00:01:03,585 for an intermediate term lows. 18 00:01:04,065 --> 00:01:07,664 So we can come down here at a later time and create another buying opportunity. 19 00:01:07,664 --> 00:01:11,835 So say, say, this occurs and we trade up, you're closing the range, 20 00:01:12,285 --> 00:01:16,545 filling this gap, and then we stop there and start drifting down lower. 21 00:01:16,935 --> 00:01:21,075 This could be a potentially a longer term intermediate term. 22 00:01:22,065 --> 00:01:25,005 If we get back down to this level and we get some support, once this 23 00:01:25,005 --> 00:01:28,425 is filled in, if we break below this low, that means they would have it 24 00:01:28,425 --> 00:01:32,145 run on cell stops, just like they did back here or at least equal lows. 25 00:01:33,195 --> 00:01:38,925 So that would give them freedom to trade with another leg from this low to this 26 00:01:38,925 --> 00:01:42,675 high, that measured move that could occur from something like off this level here. 27 00:01:42,675 --> 00:01:43,905 Should we trade down to that level? 28 00:01:44,205 --> 00:01:48,735 But I'd like, it only if it gets to this level first and then it retraces, 29 00:01:48,825 --> 00:01:49,935 I don't want to see it, do it here. 30 00:01:50,655 --> 00:01:54,105 Because then what it would do is probably just leave the double 31 00:01:54,105 --> 00:01:56,505 top in place that stops build up. 32 00:01:56,505 --> 00:01:59,145 And then if they went back up here, we just clearing stuff and then we 33 00:01:59,145 --> 00:02:04,395 could end up staying in a longer-term consolidation sideways, or potentially 34 00:02:04,395 --> 00:02:05,865 trade lower either scenario. 35 00:02:05,865 --> 00:02:07,965 Wouldn't be good for a buy off that level. 36 00:02:08,384 --> 00:02:11,445 So it has to come up here first and then come down. 37 00:02:11,505 --> 00:02:13,755 And then if it hits that level, that would be a better enemy, 38 00:02:13,755 --> 00:02:15,465 a term or swing trade idea. 39 00:02:21,720 --> 00:02:26,670 Um, we had this area down here, south side liquidity mapped out for a while. 40 00:02:26,670 --> 00:02:32,370 Now we did in fact, go down into it convincingly today through it 41 00:02:32,370 --> 00:02:37,589 went down below the lowest, well that all tension now changes to 42 00:02:37,600 --> 00:02:39,870 below these bodies down here. 43 00:02:39,870 --> 00:02:41,100 So I'm just going to add this. 44 00:02:45,050 --> 00:02:48,440 So Lois of all the bodies are on this candle here, the open. 45 00:02:49,650 --> 00:02:51,330 Comes in at 100, 3 93. 46 00:02:52,230 --> 00:02:54,060 So it was going to keep that for an hour. 47 00:02:54,870 --> 00:02:56,160 That's the level we're looking for. 48 00:02:56,910 --> 00:03:02,910 We're looking for one to 3 95 to one to three 80 downside. 49 00:03:02,910 --> 00:03:06,510 And eventually if we get some momentum creating a lower, low, and again, 50 00:03:06,540 --> 00:03:10,440 nothing's changed in my long longterm analysis where we're expecting 51 00:03:10,440 --> 00:03:12,720 parody with the dollar and Euro. 52 00:03:18,100 --> 00:03:19,450 Nice rejection at that breaker. 53 00:03:19,450 --> 00:03:23,290 So you can see it now in hindsight, why we were expecting this down 54 00:03:23,290 --> 00:03:27,880 candle, being a catalyst, the wound, the lungs, they used to drive 55 00:03:27,880 --> 00:03:29,500 price up above the short term high. 56 00:03:30,100 --> 00:03:33,340 When you have this, you need to be taking a picture of your own chart on a 57 00:03:33,340 --> 00:03:39,370 Europe dollar daily, and really do some notations on this whole down move prior 58 00:03:39,370 --> 00:03:42,880 to this up, move this being a stop run. 59 00:03:43,210 --> 00:03:45,400 And then once we break that low, these are. 60 00:03:46,484 --> 00:03:49,035 The scenario you need to understand for breakers. 61 00:03:49,364 --> 00:03:54,165 And if you see that in your charts, you want to be making notations of 62 00:03:54,165 --> 00:03:55,905 that and studying every single week. 63 00:03:55,905 --> 00:03:59,355 Look at it, look for the markets to provide that every single week. 64 00:03:59,805 --> 00:04:02,984 If you look for them, you're going to see where the institutional 65 00:04:02,984 --> 00:04:06,734 order flow is at range extremes. 66 00:04:06,765 --> 00:04:11,114 In other words, reversals, there's a lot of work that's been done 67 00:04:11,114 --> 00:04:14,894 by a lot of teachers and mentors and such as it regards to. 68 00:04:15,989 --> 00:04:17,010 Reversal patterns. 69 00:04:17,669 --> 00:04:19,169 And I'll just toss that out there. 70 00:04:19,200 --> 00:04:23,789 Um, Chris Laurie did one, um, reversal pattern saying Emma 71 00:04:23,969 --> 00:04:25,260 first started buying everything. 72 00:04:25,260 --> 00:04:27,719 I could get my hands on with Forex. 73 00:04:28,380 --> 00:04:32,700 Uh, he had a video, he put out, um, reversal patterns. 74 00:04:34,245 --> 00:04:38,445 The only one in that collection, in my opinion, but worth of any 75 00:04:38,445 --> 00:04:41,175 concern was his Riptide reversal. 76 00:04:41,505 --> 00:04:46,455 And basically without ripping the man off or anything, it's basically a turtle soup. 77 00:04:46,784 --> 00:04:47,295 It's all it is. 78 00:04:47,295 --> 00:04:50,805 It's a false break above old high, and then it trades back down the range. 79 00:04:50,835 --> 00:04:52,895 It's not something earth shattering. 80 00:04:53,185 --> 00:04:55,905 It's nothing new and it's nothing bad about it either. 81 00:04:55,905 --> 00:05:00,225 It's a good pattern, but, uh, the street Stuart's book where 82 00:05:00,225 --> 00:05:01,215 I learned the turtle soup. 83 00:05:01,605 --> 00:05:06,555 And from that idea, In my opinion, if that's the, that's the pattern, 84 00:05:06,585 --> 00:05:07,604 that's the reversal pattern. 85 00:05:07,604 --> 00:05:11,325 Everybody should know, um, much better than a head and shoulders 86 00:05:11,325 --> 00:05:13,575 pattern inverted or otherwise. 87 00:05:14,294 --> 00:05:15,854 It's just the easiest one to see. 88 00:05:15,945 --> 00:05:19,784 It's, it's very telling in terms of what the market may want to 89 00:05:19,784 --> 00:05:21,974 do in terms of directional bias. 90 00:05:21,974 --> 00:05:25,335 And if he signed them on a higher timeframe chart, like a daily, it helps 91 00:05:25,485 --> 00:05:27,615 you, it helps give you a directional. 92 00:05:30,965 --> 00:05:34,115 Just have that notation on your own charts and have that in your notes. 93 00:05:34,165 --> 00:05:38,345 You should have this whole business in here mapped out and keep this 94 00:05:38,345 --> 00:05:39,275 level in your notes as well. 95 00:05:39,275 --> 00:05:44,015 That 1 0 3 95 to one to four big figure as downside objectives 96 00:05:44,015 --> 00:05:45,725 and just draw it out, type it in. 97 00:05:46,950 --> 00:05:51,840 Format and save it and look at it as we go day by day in this pair, as 98 00:05:51,840 --> 00:05:55,800 it approaches this level, reflect on it and see, okay, this is how long 99 00:05:55,800 --> 00:05:57,990 it took for that mood to take place. 100 00:05:58,410 --> 00:06:03,270 This is the levelness sensitivity took to get that level traded to, and by doing 101 00:06:03,270 --> 00:06:08,190 that, you condition yourself to prepare your mindset for the length of time that 102 00:06:08,190 --> 00:06:11,340 these swing trades take to come to pass. 103 00:06:15,885 --> 00:06:21,344 And we mentioned there was weakness on Euro versus pound, and we would expect to 104 00:06:21,344 --> 00:06:24,344 see the Euro pound the lower as a result. 105 00:06:24,375 --> 00:06:25,365 Let's skip over cable. 106 00:06:25,365 --> 00:06:26,325 We'll come back to that in a minute. 107 00:06:27,104 --> 00:06:28,155 We'll go to Euro pound 108 00:06:31,515 --> 00:06:33,974 and price did in fact trade lower. 109 00:06:34,455 --> 00:06:37,875 We have a little bit of a rejection so far, but it was really nice to see 110 00:06:37,875 --> 00:06:41,984 it trade below here, after closing in that little range right in here. 111 00:06:41,984 --> 00:06:43,185 And again, this isn't another opportunity. 112 00:06:44,100 --> 00:06:47,460 You want to have in your notations, you know, when I'm sharing these 113 00:06:47,460 --> 00:06:48,930 charts on a daily baby, I'm sorry. 114 00:06:48,940 --> 00:06:49,680 Daily basis. 115 00:06:51,875 --> 00:06:55,385 Just because there's very little typing or commentary on my chart. 116 00:06:56,075 --> 00:06:58,234 That's the interactive portion for you. 117 00:06:58,234 --> 00:06:59,734 You should be doing on your own. 118 00:07:00,245 --> 00:07:03,995 And some of you are sharing them on the forum and some of you are sharing 119 00:07:03,995 --> 00:07:06,784 them with me in email every single day. 120 00:07:07,445 --> 00:07:11,044 And while I appreciate your enthusiasm, please don't do that. 121 00:07:11,315 --> 00:07:12,305 I mean, if you have a question. 122 00:07:12,305 --> 00:07:12,815 Yeah, great. 123 00:07:13,145 --> 00:07:15,664 But I'm not asking you to supply that to me in email, it just makes a 124 00:07:15,784 --> 00:07:17,195 ton of emails for me to go through. 125 00:07:17,985 --> 00:07:19,485 And it's, this is for you. 126 00:07:19,485 --> 00:07:21,375 This is your personal journal. 127 00:07:21,765 --> 00:07:24,435 So these are the things that you make notations about, uh, you 128 00:07:24,435 --> 00:07:27,945 know, how much the ranges were, how much did it move in your favor? 129 00:07:27,945 --> 00:07:30,705 How much draw down was there against the downdraft? 130 00:07:30,705 --> 00:07:32,475 You thought it was going to take place each day? 131 00:07:33,015 --> 00:07:36,315 You know, how much negative price actions did you see and how much of 132 00:07:36,345 --> 00:07:40,365 a positive direction in terms of pips that it moved in each individual. 133 00:07:41,700 --> 00:07:43,170 Keeping record of that. 134 00:07:43,230 --> 00:07:46,530 And it helps remind you to, even though when you're in a swing trades or if 135 00:07:46,530 --> 00:07:51,120 you're in a, even a short term trade, or when we get into day trading, the 136 00:07:51,120 --> 00:07:54,990 idea is don't get caught up in the small little, tiny little movements that would 137 00:07:54,990 --> 00:07:57,720 be counter to your trend or your trade. 138 00:07:58,320 --> 00:07:58,620 The. 139 00:07:59,675 --> 00:08:04,805 The submission of waiting for time to allow the markets to move to these levels. 140 00:08:05,164 --> 00:08:06,005 That's very hard. 141 00:08:06,245 --> 00:08:09,935 And the only way you're going to learn that is to allow yourself 142 00:08:09,935 --> 00:08:11,284 to be desensitized by it. 143 00:08:11,854 --> 00:08:14,405 And the way you do it is the way I teach it to everyone. 144 00:08:14,405 --> 00:08:15,544 And it's the way I learned it. 145 00:08:15,905 --> 00:08:19,294 You have to literally work off of a higher timeframe chart, 146 00:08:19,745 --> 00:08:23,075 make the notations of what you expect to see and look at it like. 147 00:08:23,685 --> 00:08:28,605 They daily close basis only what transpired, how much movement was it? 148 00:08:28,665 --> 00:08:32,414 How much movement was it against you and the idea of the directional bias. 149 00:08:33,075 --> 00:08:35,355 And by keeping that in mind, you're also. 150 00:08:37,695 --> 00:08:38,375 Encouraged. 151 00:08:38,385 --> 00:08:42,885 And when you have a stop-loss that's 30 pips or 50 pips on a swing, you'll 152 00:08:42,885 --> 00:08:47,745 see that it's still a good idea, not to trail a stop-loss because you'll 153 00:08:47,745 --> 00:08:51,105 see how very easily it can come back and grab what would otherwise 154 00:08:51,105 --> 00:08:54,555 be a really tight stop that usually everyone else will be trailing. 155 00:08:55,215 --> 00:08:56,175 You don't want to be doing that. 156 00:08:56,175 --> 00:08:59,265 You want to leave your stop at a level that is outside the 157 00:08:59,265 --> 00:09:01,125 reach of normal static prices. 158 00:09:03,200 --> 00:09:06,710 Since the minute the manipulation is intraday. 159 00:09:06,920 --> 00:09:07,520 Largely. 160 00:09:08,330 --> 00:09:13,010 You want to keep your stop-loss outside of the last three days range at the best. 161 00:09:13,010 --> 00:09:16,160 I mean, at the minimum, you want to do that because the market makers 162 00:09:16,160 --> 00:09:18,020 work in a three-day rotation. 163 00:09:18,020 --> 00:09:20,420 So they're going to look for liquidity in the last three days, 164 00:09:20,420 --> 00:09:22,400 highs in the last three days, lows. 165 00:09:22,760 --> 00:09:27,230 And if you want early Jan, your stop loss just above a short-term 166 00:09:27,230 --> 00:09:29,060 high or below a short term, low. 167 00:09:30,090 --> 00:09:31,710 You're asking for it to get taken out. 168 00:09:32,189 --> 00:09:35,250 And they're going to take that stop, especially if it's going to move 169 00:09:35,329 --> 00:09:36,420 what you think it's going to go. 170 00:09:36,840 --> 00:09:37,860 They're going to take those stops. 171 00:09:37,860 --> 00:09:38,189 First. 172 00:09:38,400 --> 00:09:39,540 We talked about this. 173 00:09:40,425 --> 00:09:41,865 The phenomenon a lot. 174 00:09:42,285 --> 00:09:44,265 So right before a big move, they're going to run stops 175 00:09:44,265 --> 00:09:45,765 out in the opposite direction. 176 00:09:46,334 --> 00:09:49,905 Take those positions off in an, let the market releasing, go in the direction 177 00:09:49,915 --> 00:09:50,655 you thought it was going to go. 178 00:09:50,655 --> 00:09:51,615 And it's very frustrating. 179 00:09:52,245 --> 00:09:55,305 So as a reminder, please, don't send me your daily journals. 180 00:09:55,334 --> 00:09:58,214 I'm not interested in seeing that because it's number one. 181 00:09:58,214 --> 00:10:01,125 It's a time consumer for me and I, I'm not grading. 182 00:10:01,945 --> 00:10:03,975 It's not like, you know, I'm saying, okay, this is good. 183 00:10:03,975 --> 00:10:04,545 This is bad. 184 00:10:04,605 --> 00:10:08,025 But if you do have a question regarding something, then obviously you share 185 00:10:08,025 --> 00:10:10,665 it through the forum because it may be a question that's otherwise 186 00:10:10,665 --> 00:10:15,915 beneficial to just not only you, but to me as a teacher, it helps me see 187 00:10:15,915 --> 00:10:17,355 where I'm lacking in what I need. 188 00:10:18,235 --> 00:10:23,845 To help educate you better and be able to speak more fluidly about what it 189 00:10:23,845 --> 00:10:26,695 is you're struggling with, because I'm sure some of you are probably silent. 190 00:10:27,025 --> 00:10:30,685 You're just being very polite and not saying anything, but if you aren't 191 00:10:30,685 --> 00:10:33,145 really getting something and you're just making a notation, if I know 192 00:10:33,145 --> 00:10:35,935 I'm going to be able to clear it up by a future lesson, I'll tell you. 193 00:10:36,445 --> 00:10:40,195 But if it's something that you should know by now, I don't know if you don't 194 00:10:40,195 --> 00:10:41,695 understand it, unless you talk about it. 195 00:10:41,695 --> 00:10:44,575 So you use the forum for that, make a post about it, and 196 00:10:44,575 --> 00:10:45,385 then send me that tweet, like. 197 00:10:47,075 --> 00:10:50,885 And I'll get right back to you in about 24 hours or so it's about 198 00:10:50,885 --> 00:10:51,995 their usual turnaround time. 199 00:10:51,995 --> 00:10:53,315 If it's directed to me. 200 00:10:55,175 --> 00:10:59,165 So right now, we've already extended below these loads on your pounds. 201 00:10:59,165 --> 00:11:00,725 So we can consolidate a little bit in here. 202 00:11:01,205 --> 00:11:06,005 Um, we already came back up essentially to this low here, so we want to 203 00:11:06,005 --> 00:11:08,135 see a little bit of a consolidation and we do not want to see it. 204 00:11:08,135 --> 00:11:10,835 Come back up aggressively, closing anything up here. 205 00:11:11,135 --> 00:11:13,835 It can pop up and close this little tiny. 206 00:11:15,285 --> 00:11:15,574 Yeah. 207 00:11:15,594 --> 00:11:15,885 Been here. 208 00:11:15,885 --> 00:11:18,224 See how that low stops right here. 209 00:11:19,214 --> 00:11:21,974 And we had one big candle and we traded up here. 210 00:11:21,974 --> 00:11:25,395 So delivery on price has been offered by five here, but stop. 211 00:11:26,025 --> 00:11:29,115 No buys has been delivered up to basically 84, 75. 212 00:11:29,115 --> 00:11:32,354 So what's that low 84 75. 213 00:11:32,354 --> 00:11:36,344 So it can trade up to 84 75 closing this little gap and 214 00:11:36,344 --> 00:11:37,875 instill be okay, the roll lower. 215 00:11:38,564 --> 00:11:39,854 I'd rather leave it open. 216 00:11:40,785 --> 00:11:43,485 If we keep it open, it can be used as a measuring. 217 00:11:44,400 --> 00:11:47,339 Which would be like, this is the midway point, go back to this high 218 00:11:47,819 --> 00:11:50,339 and we can see that same level of price action projected lower. 219 00:11:50,339 --> 00:11:51,420 And I'll show you what that looks like. 220 00:11:54,270 --> 00:12:01,890 So let's assume we're correct that this becomes a measuring gap right here. 221 00:12:02,969 --> 00:12:06,449 So price could come up here and close that in, but it's better if it leaves 222 00:12:06,449 --> 00:12:08,670 it open because we could see this on. 223 00:12:15,214 --> 00:12:17,135 I'll give you two measurements to WIC. 224 00:12:30,535 --> 00:12:35,785 So 83 50 downside, and then we can see. 225 00:12:41,255 --> 00:12:44,435 That the best version of the lower version would be using the body's 226 00:12:51,715 --> 00:12:54,145 83 65. 227 00:12:56,215 --> 00:12:56,455 Okay. 228 00:12:56,455 --> 00:13:00,205 So it's not much difference in terms of the objectives, but 83, 229 00:13:00,205 --> 00:13:02,935 65 to 83 50 downside objective. 230 00:13:03,535 --> 00:13:05,935 If we keep the gap open, that's the levels we're looking for. 231 00:13:06,475 --> 00:13:06,865 Okay. 232 00:13:07,345 --> 00:13:13,255 And that would put you essentially below these candles bodies in here in this 233 00:13:13,255 --> 00:13:18,325 little area here, and then we'd obviously make a run potentially for these levels. 234 00:13:18,325 --> 00:13:20,335 Outlined already that's been described in. 235 00:13:21,300 --> 00:13:22,260 Last night's session. 236 00:13:24,599 --> 00:13:27,150 So we'll keep that little gap in our chart going forward. 237 00:13:27,150 --> 00:13:29,640 Let's go back and refer to the cable. 238 00:13:51,545 --> 00:13:52,175 Okay. 239 00:13:55,565 --> 00:13:55,925 All right. 240 00:13:55,925 --> 00:13:59,705 So we have British pounds on the left-hand side daily. 241 00:14:02,880 --> 00:14:04,590 And we were a hand sites to four hour. 242 00:14:05,130 --> 00:14:08,640 And like I said, this pair, you gotta be careful with this thing cause it's 243 00:14:08,640 --> 00:14:13,350 going all over the place and it's literally just beating people up if 244 00:14:13,350 --> 00:14:17,160 we go back and we were to look at now taking the, again, completely out of 245 00:14:17,160 --> 00:14:21,180 the equation in Swiss as the equation, because already made a very common 246 00:14:21,180 --> 00:14:23,970 knowledge that I don't like to trade these parents because they're highly material. 247 00:14:24,795 --> 00:14:28,875 And only in there certain conditions that will I trade again. 248 00:14:29,324 --> 00:14:32,925 And, but it's gotta be like really insane odds for it to 249 00:14:32,925 --> 00:14:34,454 move on a hard timeframe level. 250 00:14:34,814 --> 00:14:36,105 CO2 has gotta be in line. 251 00:14:36,135 --> 00:14:37,574 I mean, everything's gotta be basically. 252 00:14:38,670 --> 00:14:41,670 Telling me it's a good buy or it's a good sell, or I won't touch in period. 253 00:14:42,330 --> 00:14:47,610 And as a, as a general, I just don't trade it because it, it burned me and I've made 254 00:14:47,610 --> 00:14:49,650 money out of that pair or that currency. 255 00:14:49,650 --> 00:14:52,800 And I just feel it's like a conspiracy nut. 256 00:14:52,800 --> 00:14:54,900 I just don't want to give them an opportunity to get any of it back. 257 00:14:54,900 --> 00:14:59,790 So apart from those two pairs or there's currencies, again is. 258 00:15:00,675 --> 00:15:05,954 Um, the pair I've lost the most money in or the currency I've made the most. 259 00:15:06,045 --> 00:15:07,425 I'm sorry, let me say it correctly. 260 00:15:07,425 --> 00:15:13,305 Michael, the pair I had lost the most money in is table. 261 00:15:13,725 --> 00:15:16,064 Now that could be said, because I trade it more than any other payer. 262 00:15:16,064 --> 00:15:18,735 So therefore obviously the most money would be shown in that. 263 00:15:19,005 --> 00:15:24,704 And I say this because cable or British pound has the tendency to 264 00:15:24,704 --> 00:15:26,805 go into really choppy condition. 265 00:15:27,720 --> 00:15:31,590 And really make it difficult to trade, especially if you cannot 266 00:15:31,590 --> 00:15:32,730 work on a lower timeframe. 267 00:15:33,270 --> 00:15:36,780 And so if you're trying to do higher timeframe analysis and you can't 268 00:15:36,780 --> 00:15:39,840 get down to the lower timeframes and understand what you're looking at as 269 00:15:39,840 --> 00:15:41,640 initially, I didn't know how to do that. 270 00:15:41,670 --> 00:15:46,200 Then I was only trading a day trades British pound, and I was trading, uh, the 271 00:15:46,200 --> 00:15:48,960 Denmark and I was trading, uh, Denmark. 272 00:15:50,745 --> 00:15:55,125 Denmark, the Deutsche mark and I was trading, uh, uh, Swiss Franc creatures. 273 00:15:55,125 --> 00:16:01,245 I was trading every, every major currency as a commodity and the times it would be 274 00:16:01,245 --> 00:16:07,365 like this, it would beat me up and I had to learn what it was that it was doing. 275 00:16:07,755 --> 00:16:11,685 And once I understood that, and obviously you've been seeing examples 276 00:16:11,685 --> 00:16:12,795 of it for the last two weeks. 277 00:16:12,795 --> 00:16:16,935 Now, we've been respecting the fact that this market is 278 00:16:16,935 --> 00:16:18,405 in a really sloppy condition. 279 00:16:20,040 --> 00:16:24,120 Folks that are in here, still not listening, trying to trade this pair. 280 00:16:24,780 --> 00:16:28,290 I'm telling you how you feel about it now, are you learning 281 00:16:29,250 --> 00:16:30,330 or are you paying the price? 282 00:16:31,320 --> 00:16:35,520 Because if you're on the sidelines and you're not feeling that sting of being 283 00:16:35,520 --> 00:16:42,420 whipsawed back and forth, No, that's the seat you should be in, not trading it in 284 00:16:42,420 --> 00:16:43,950 sign and say, well, you know, I beat it. 285 00:16:43,980 --> 00:16:44,790 I got money out of it. 286 00:16:44,880 --> 00:16:46,710 Or I didn't lose that much money. 287 00:16:47,160 --> 00:16:49,890 That's not what you should be doing to get the benefit of this. 288 00:16:49,890 --> 00:16:54,720 Mentorship is if I'm telling you to avoid something and you stay out and you do the 289 00:16:54,720 --> 00:16:58,830 very thing by following that instruction and then seeing the adversities that 290 00:16:58,830 --> 00:16:59,970 you would have otherwise experienced. 291 00:16:59,970 --> 00:17:02,900 Had you been in the marketplace that is constructive. 292 00:17:03,750 --> 00:17:07,710 It's not constructive learning for you to go against what I'm trying to tell you 293 00:17:08,280 --> 00:17:10,650 and avoid it and instill, try to trade it. 294 00:17:10,950 --> 00:17:14,730 Because what you're feeling now is an emotional commitment to the trade idea. 295 00:17:15,300 --> 00:17:18,630 It becomes an arm wrestling match with your analysis versus what I'm telling you. 296 00:17:19,290 --> 00:17:22,530 And it becomes a monetary loss. 297 00:17:22,890 --> 00:17:26,280 You have money in this now, which compounds everything 298 00:17:26,640 --> 00:17:28,170 and you can't learn by. 299 00:17:29,219 --> 00:17:32,489 The except for toxic thinking, oh, I should've did this. 300 00:17:32,520 --> 00:17:33,419 Oh, I should've done that. 301 00:17:33,510 --> 00:17:36,479 I wish I wouldn't have listened to ICT or I wish I would've listened to ICT. 302 00:17:36,479 --> 00:17:37,679 I wish I would have traded something else. 303 00:17:37,979 --> 00:17:42,209 And you spend more time thinking about that then had you just listened to me 304 00:17:42,419 --> 00:17:43,739 then on the sidelines and say, wow. 305 00:17:43,770 --> 00:17:45,959 Yeah, look at this it's mood erotically. 306 00:17:46,379 --> 00:17:49,169 It's taken out the people that want to use trend lines here. 307 00:17:49,439 --> 00:17:50,550 Blew it all the way up here. 308 00:17:50,850 --> 00:17:52,560 And now we're right back down inside the range again. 309 00:17:52,620 --> 00:17:53,189 So what is it? 310 00:17:53,310 --> 00:17:53,909 Is it a trend? 311 00:17:55,199 --> 00:17:55,320 No. 312 00:17:56,325 --> 00:17:57,915 It's inside the consolidation. 313 00:17:57,915 --> 00:18:02,235 I said that we were in, nothing has changed now in a lower timeframe. 314 00:18:02,235 --> 00:18:05,325 There's all kinds of opportunities, but we can't talk about those because it's 315 00:18:05,355 --> 00:18:11,295 day trading, but when a hard timeframe basis, you can see how by staying 316 00:18:11,295 --> 00:18:12,645 on the sidelines with this payer. 317 00:18:13,710 --> 00:18:16,980 In this timeframe, that's the constructive way of learning. 318 00:18:17,189 --> 00:18:18,270 It doesn't cause you pain. 319 00:18:18,270 --> 00:18:19,830 It doesn't cause you grief. 320 00:18:20,189 --> 00:18:21,659 You don't feel like you missed anything. 321 00:18:21,780 --> 00:18:25,020 If you do feel that way, you need to relax. 322 00:18:25,080 --> 00:18:25,379 Okay. 323 00:18:25,379 --> 00:18:28,260 Cause there's opportunities come in, but you can't be in everything. 324 00:18:28,260 --> 00:18:31,290 And this is not the ideal scenario you don't want to be in this environment. 325 00:18:31,889 --> 00:18:35,939 You want to learn to anticipate consolidations because by doing that, you 326 00:18:35,939 --> 00:18:39,240 also know when it won't be consolidating and when it's not consolidating, what's. 327 00:18:40,440 --> 00:18:42,210 It's expanding its range. 328 00:18:42,300 --> 00:18:45,270 It's, it's breaking out of a range, rights and leaving a range, our consolidation. 329 00:18:45,480 --> 00:18:48,960 So therefore it would be a trend and that's where the easy money is. 330 00:18:49,110 --> 00:18:51,270 And you have to learn to wait for those opportunities throughout the year. 331 00:18:51,570 --> 00:18:53,640 And when it's there, you milk it for all, everything you 332 00:18:53,910 --> 00:18:55,140 possibly can out of that move. 333 00:18:55,770 --> 00:18:58,980 And then when it goes into conditions like we outlined beforehand, we 334 00:18:58,980 --> 00:19:00,360 were trapped between two fractals. 335 00:19:00,990 --> 00:19:02,820 We couldn't be at below these lows. 336 00:19:02,910 --> 00:19:03,180 I'm sorry. 337 00:19:03,180 --> 00:19:03,930 These highs here. 338 00:19:04,995 --> 00:19:10,245 A lot of structure in here after what a big breaker, this low was 339 00:19:10,245 --> 00:19:11,985 violated by this move down here. 340 00:19:11,985 --> 00:19:14,354 So we got to go back to this reference point is last up candle. 341 00:19:14,715 --> 00:19:16,304 This last up candle is a breaker. 342 00:19:16,665 --> 00:19:17,715 It's a bullish breaker. 343 00:19:18,165 --> 00:19:21,435 That's why we've been unable to get down below all this. 344 00:19:22,455 --> 00:19:22,784 Okay. 345 00:19:23,235 --> 00:19:24,314 Same scenario here. 346 00:19:26,054 --> 00:19:28,635 We had an old high here violated on the upside. 347 00:19:28,754 --> 00:19:29,024 Okay. 348 00:19:29,024 --> 00:19:29,774 So what does that mean? 349 00:19:30,735 --> 00:19:32,145 The down candle right here? 350 00:19:32,205 --> 00:19:32,385 Is it. 351 00:19:33,815 --> 00:19:38,705 So it's a bearish breaker here and it's a bullish breaker here. 352 00:19:39,365 --> 00:19:41,405 That's why we're struggling in here. 353 00:19:42,035 --> 00:19:43,415 It can't find its way. 354 00:19:43,985 --> 00:19:47,105 So we have to wait for it to do what it needs to leave. 355 00:19:47,135 --> 00:19:48,245 The range that it's in. 356 00:19:48,725 --> 00:19:53,014 It's got to get above this high, or it's got to get below this low, that's it. 357 00:19:53,495 --> 00:19:56,014 And you have to wait and it means you're gonna give up some move on 358 00:19:56,014 --> 00:19:59,525 the daily chart and too bad if you want to be in every part of the move. 359 00:20:00,960 --> 00:20:01,650 Just accept it. 360 00:20:02,220 --> 00:20:03,960 You're never going to get to that degree of trading. 361 00:20:03,990 --> 00:20:04,380 Okay. 362 00:20:04,410 --> 00:20:07,350 And you don't need that to make money, but that's the reason why we're trapped. 363 00:20:07,350 --> 00:20:10,950 We have a bullish breaker here and a bear Spreaker here, and that's 364 00:20:10,950 --> 00:20:13,230 exactly why we're stuck in this rut. 365 00:20:14,070 --> 00:20:16,830 And that's what was the catalyst for me telling you why, if we fail 366 00:20:16,830 --> 00:20:20,310 above this high and traded lower, we're going to go into consolidation. 367 00:20:20,880 --> 00:20:23,160 So now you know how to figure out when we're going to win and we're 368 00:20:23,160 --> 00:20:24,720 going to go into consolidation. 369 00:20:25,650 --> 00:20:26,130 There's your. 370 00:20:27,300 --> 00:20:30,780 Your tactic, if you will, or your concept, you know, I get a lot of questions. 371 00:20:30,780 --> 00:20:32,340 How do you know when it's going to go into a range? 372 00:20:32,430 --> 00:20:33,150 I just taught you. 373 00:20:34,020 --> 00:20:37,470 You got to understand the breaker because the breaker is giving you a 374 00:20:37,470 --> 00:20:41,640 trend reversal here, and it's giving you a trend reversal down here. 375 00:20:41,910 --> 00:20:42,870 Well, which one is it? 376 00:20:43,710 --> 00:20:46,950 If you got it, if it's conflicting on the buy and the sell side, and you're 377 00:20:46,950 --> 00:20:49,980 in what you're in the middle of it here in the middle of the range, this 378 00:20:49,980 --> 00:20:51,990 high and this low your equilibrium. 379 00:20:52,620 --> 00:20:54,540 So is it high probability for it to trade higher? 380 00:20:54,750 --> 00:20:55,680 Whereas the high probability trade. 381 00:20:56,655 --> 00:20:57,315 Neither. 382 00:20:57,885 --> 00:21:01,905 So if it's neither, then it's doing what it's staying in a state of neutrality, 383 00:21:02,115 --> 00:21:03,675 it's going to be held in consolidation. 384 00:21:03,975 --> 00:21:05,805 That means check Euro. 385 00:21:05,895 --> 00:21:07,335 If Euro is being able to move. 386 00:21:08,100 --> 00:21:08,850 It's trending. 387 00:21:09,120 --> 00:21:10,020 That means though. 388 00:21:10,020 --> 00:21:12,300 And the Euro pound, see if it's confirming it does. 389 00:21:12,810 --> 00:21:15,810 Do we, uh, do we see weakness in European? 390 00:21:15,960 --> 00:21:19,020 We called weakness in European and we said that it was a void that 391 00:21:19,020 --> 00:21:20,340 was closed on its four hour chart. 392 00:21:20,490 --> 00:21:21,180 It was done. 393 00:21:21,420 --> 00:21:22,830 And now we'll probably see it rotate lower. 394 00:21:23,070 --> 00:21:24,000 It's been doing that. 395 00:21:24,000 --> 00:21:27,300 Euro dollar has been trading lower Euro pound has confirmed it. 396 00:21:27,930 --> 00:21:31,620 You've seen consolidation in your I'm sorry, pound dollar as a result. 397 00:21:32,129 --> 00:21:34,170 Why, what was the talus for all that stuff? 398 00:21:35,370 --> 00:21:36,840 Bear Spreaker bullish. 399 00:21:38,500 --> 00:21:40,810 Stuck in the mud and you can't find its way. 400 00:21:41,350 --> 00:21:46,270 So it's going to take some entity to say, okay, we got to get this thing 401 00:21:46,270 --> 00:21:50,230 moving here and they'll start doing dramatic pricing outside of the range 402 00:21:50,290 --> 00:21:55,600 to stimulate either buying or selling if it takes down and breaks below this low. 403 00:21:56,560 --> 00:21:56,710 Okay. 404 00:21:56,710 --> 00:22:00,600 So that's your notes for today for your teaching in regards to, you know, 405 00:22:00,600 --> 00:22:03,430 why markets go into consolidations to have anticipated before. 406 00:22:05,055 --> 00:22:08,325 Trust me, if you didn't appreciate that you will years from now 407 00:22:08,325 --> 00:22:11,205 because it's a million dollar maker and it saves you a lot of money. 408 00:22:13,005 --> 00:22:14,535 That was the hardest lesson for me to learn. 409 00:22:15,345 --> 00:22:17,505 And I just taught you in less than five minutes. 410 00:22:18,855 --> 00:22:19,035 All right. 411 00:22:19,035 --> 00:22:25,365 So a dollar CAD let's get the, for our, to, uh, we have buy-side 412 00:22:25,365 --> 00:22:28,755 liquidity ran out this morning above the buyers of these candles in here. 413 00:22:29,235 --> 00:22:30,615 Rejection, uh, block has been. 414 00:22:32,235 --> 00:22:35,475 I still like the idea of getting about this high still could potentially do that. 415 00:22:35,535 --> 00:22:41,565 1 32 15 is likely, um, that may be what we go back up here for again, um, above 416 00:22:41,565 --> 00:22:49,185 that we have our four hour order block, and then we have a four hour opening on 417 00:22:49,185 --> 00:22:53,295 the, or block, which you scroll back here. 418 00:22:56,640 --> 00:22:57,540 What is that low here? 419 00:22:58,560 --> 00:22:59,040 I'm not sure. 420 00:22:59,040 --> 00:22:59,730 I ha I didn't. 421 00:22:59,730 --> 00:23:01,720 Yeah, I didn't take these levels and transfer it or not four 422 00:23:01,720 --> 00:23:07,470 hour, but this is a four hour order block, low and the opening. 423 00:23:10,920 --> 00:23:12,390 So that could be the upside objectives. 424 00:23:12,390 --> 00:23:14,190 Should we get above 32 15. 425 00:23:18,175 --> 00:23:21,355 It needs to get through that in a closing basis and then consolidate, 426 00:23:21,385 --> 00:23:25,345 and then I'll be con out to have conviction, to look for longs. 427 00:23:25,855 --> 00:23:28,645 If we find some support above here, otherwise I'd like I said, I 428 00:23:28,645 --> 00:23:30,955 just think this is still a range. 429 00:23:31,255 --> 00:23:34,285 We may maybe just coming above it to get a false breakout and then come back 430 00:23:34,285 --> 00:23:36,175 down inside the range or break lower. 431 00:23:36,745 --> 00:23:39,535 So again, I'm not trying to predict a trend change in this 432 00:23:39,535 --> 00:23:41,725 payer or nothing like that. 433 00:23:41,725 --> 00:23:42,415 I just want to see. 434 00:23:43,195 --> 00:23:46,465 If we can get above this old high, like we've been talking about, if it 435 00:23:46,465 --> 00:23:50,935 happens, then I'm willing to submit if the dollar index does resume bullish, 436 00:23:52,525 --> 00:23:55,825 then both of them would be income in concert with one another, as it has. 437 00:23:55,825 --> 00:23:59,155 It's been, we've seen weakness in this pair, even when there's been dollar 438 00:23:59,155 --> 00:24:04,195 strength, which is not in alignment, does not symmetry, symmetry would be, but. 439 00:24:05,130 --> 00:24:08,160 Dollar CAD and your dollar moving in the same direction, 440 00:24:08,190 --> 00:24:09,480 moving in lock step for step. 441 00:24:09,480 --> 00:24:14,040 But oil has been the catalyst for this, this payer, because 442 00:24:14,040 --> 00:24:14,820 of the Canadian dollar. 443 00:24:14,850 --> 00:24:19,230 We've seen weakness think Canadian as it relates to a 444 00:24:19,890 --> 00:24:22,020 Crudo trail has been slipping. 445 00:24:24,810 --> 00:24:25,290 All right. 446 00:24:25,710 --> 00:24:26,280 Aussie. 447 00:24:28,260 --> 00:24:31,409 You guys can tell, I have not have my charts open until now this 448 00:24:31,409 --> 00:24:35,310 morning, because everything's still stuck on last night's presentation. 449 00:24:37,080 --> 00:24:37,290 All right. 450 00:24:37,290 --> 00:24:43,620 So we had a, for our rejection block is noted in here. 451 00:24:45,570 --> 00:24:52,220 Uh, we have overall price is still in consolidations, in equilibrium and 452 00:24:52,570 --> 00:24:54,770 nicely really break down in this pair. 453 00:24:55,190 --> 00:24:55,980 I still really. 454 00:24:56,790 --> 00:25:00,390 The 77 50 level and maybe even 78 and I'm not going to let go of it 455 00:25:00,390 --> 00:25:02,340 until we see a concerning breakdown. 456 00:25:02,940 --> 00:25:03,900 Um, if we get down to this. 457 00:25:04,770 --> 00:25:05,760 The 75 95. 458 00:25:05,760 --> 00:25:08,220 And then w we keep saying all the time, but that's the way 459 00:25:08,220 --> 00:25:09,540 this is, this is the business. 460 00:25:09,930 --> 00:25:11,640 You have to know your levels in advance. 461 00:25:11,670 --> 00:25:14,250 And if we get down to this level and we break down, this would still be in 462 00:25:14,250 --> 00:25:17,460 my opinion, something to be buying, I will try to do a buy if we get down 463 00:25:17,460 --> 00:25:21,540 there for a swing trade, if we get to this level and we just Rory on through 464 00:25:21,540 --> 00:25:24,090 it, then obviously there's no setup, but we have to see some kind of a. 465 00:25:24,785 --> 00:25:29,735 Uh, short-term bounce in here, like a pause or a, uh, a reason to stop 466 00:25:29,735 --> 00:25:34,145 wanting to go here and then we'll have an ability to go in and use our 467 00:25:34,205 --> 00:25:38,285 buying on a limit or buying one to stop idea for a swing trade entry. 468 00:25:39,185 --> 00:25:45,695 And then we'll look for a 77 50 to 78 big figure and gold. 469 00:25:45,845 --> 00:25:46,835 Let's take a look at the gold. 470 00:25:50,465 --> 00:25:50,765 All right. 471 00:25:50,765 --> 00:25:51,965 So we have a gold. 472 00:25:54,350 --> 00:25:55,850 It's still holding it's consolidation here. 473 00:25:55,850 --> 00:25:59,570 I like the fact that we still have our load that we called in intact. 474 00:25:59,629 --> 00:26:03,050 Nothing's broken down since yesterday's whipped down into 475 00:26:03,050 --> 00:26:06,379 it's low and the rejected, uh, it just simply looks like it wants to 476 00:26:06,379 --> 00:26:08,210 expand up through these equal highs. 477 00:26:08,629 --> 00:26:11,870 We're looking for 1250 still on the metal that, uh, we've 478 00:26:11,870 --> 00:26:13,070 been found for bullishness. 479 00:26:13,610 --> 00:26:18,824 Uh, It just, it just wants to go there. 480 00:26:19,064 --> 00:26:21,705 It's one it's wanting to go to 12 50, 12 55. 481 00:26:22,215 --> 00:26:23,445 I think it's going to go there. 482 00:26:24,014 --> 00:26:27,264 It just may need a dollar index signal real quick. 483 00:26:27,264 --> 00:26:30,735 Coca, it may need to see dollar index trade above this high here and then 484 00:26:30,735 --> 00:26:32,175 consolidate or reject a little bit. 485 00:26:32,264 --> 00:26:33,655 That may be the catalyst that sends. 486 00:26:35,235 --> 00:26:36,855 Up to 12 50, 12 55. 487 00:26:37,304 --> 00:26:38,264 So this be mindful of that. 488 00:26:38,264 --> 00:26:47,475 Beadlock, uh, keep your sights set on the relationship between gold and the dollar 489 00:26:47,475 --> 00:26:52,064 index intraday or for our basis, once the rotations between the highs and the lows. 490 00:26:52,514 --> 00:26:56,595 And you want to see gold hold onto its gains and saying consolidation 491 00:26:56,834 --> 00:26:59,915 while dollars rallying, because that means that they're holding. 492 00:27:00,915 --> 00:27:04,485 For a later time when dollar goes in consolidation or retraces lower, 493 00:27:04,935 --> 00:27:06,235 this thing is going to spring. 494 00:27:07,615 --> 00:27:07,855 Okay. 495 00:27:07,855 --> 00:27:11,305 It's the same way that we look at like Euro dollar and pound dollar. 496 00:27:11,575 --> 00:27:17,754 And when regards to Euro pound pair, the same scenario you're seeing here, where 497 00:27:17,754 --> 00:27:21,595 if the dollar index is allowed to be trading higher and gold, isn't going lower 498 00:27:21,595 --> 00:27:23,455 as it should, but it's consolidating. 499 00:27:23,995 --> 00:27:26,784 All they're doing is keeping gold in the consolidation, waiting for 500 00:27:26,784 --> 00:27:28,195 dollar to get to where it needs to go. 501 00:27:28,465 --> 00:27:32,875 Then they'll retrace dollar index or hold it dollar index in consolidation, 502 00:27:33,385 --> 00:27:34,495 then go and we allow the trade. 503 00:27:35,610 --> 00:27:38,070 Otherwise, this should be trading lower notice. 504 00:27:38,070 --> 00:27:38,910 It's not doing that. 505 00:27:39,660 --> 00:27:41,730 So what does that tell you in relative strength analysis? 506 00:27:42,510 --> 00:27:47,490 This is not weak, it's bullish, so it will wait for dollar index. 507 00:27:47,490 --> 00:27:51,150 It's flex its muscle, but when it gets to what it needs to get to in terms of 508 00:27:51,150 --> 00:27:56,070 its dollar objectives above the current price, action, gold then will be permitted 509 00:27:56,070 --> 00:27:57,480 to release and trade to the upside. 510 00:27:57,540 --> 00:28:01,860 It will not go lower with the dollar rally because it's underlined. 511 00:28:02,835 --> 00:28:08,565 It's being held at relatively, um, against what would otherwise force 512 00:28:08,565 --> 00:28:09,705 it to bend the knee to the dollar? 513 00:28:10,185 --> 00:28:14,985 Because if the dollar index is going higher, excuse me, gold 514 00:28:14,985 --> 00:28:16,305 will be going low and sympathy. 515 00:28:16,754 --> 00:28:19,335 And when the dollar index is going lower, go, we'll go home. 516 00:28:20,370 --> 00:28:21,480 It's inverted. 517 00:28:21,870 --> 00:28:22,200 Okay. 518 00:28:23,879 --> 00:28:29,129 And lastly, silver again, it's still staying in a consolidation as well. 519 00:28:29,159 --> 00:28:31,800 I still think that we're going to get 1820 on this bad boy. 520 00:28:32,100 --> 00:28:34,980 Um, and again, it's still may required the dollar index, same 521 00:28:34,980 --> 00:28:36,419 scenario we just mentioned for gold. 522 00:28:36,990 --> 00:28:39,240 That may be what we're having to endure here. 523 00:28:39,450 --> 00:28:43,020 And if we see the dollar index going to consolidation or retrace lower. 524 00:28:43,800 --> 00:28:45,210 Both gold and silver will rally. 525 00:28:45,870 --> 00:28:48,720 And I think gold is going to move up a little bit higher 526 00:28:48,780 --> 00:28:50,340 initially, but longer term. 527 00:28:50,340 --> 00:28:52,500 I think silver is going to go up a lot. 528 00:28:52,920 --> 00:28:57,390 I think we'll see twenties and 20 fives in the next 18 months in, uh, in silver. 529 00:28:57,390 --> 00:29:00,570 So you can put that in your note pad for longterm prognostication. 530 00:29:01,350 --> 00:29:02,550 Uh, keep those numbers to yourself. 531 00:29:02,550 --> 00:29:03,330 Don't make them public. 532 00:29:03,970 --> 00:29:07,680 I don't want anybody sharing a tunnel sitting around, but for us as a 533 00:29:07,680 --> 00:29:12,780 group, I think we'll see 20 and 25, uh, potentially in, in silver market. 534 00:29:14,370 --> 00:29:15,000 18 months. 535 00:29:15,270 --> 00:29:15,570 All right. 536 00:29:15,600 --> 00:29:17,400 So that's the business for today. 537 00:29:17,700 --> 00:29:23,370 Um, I'm going to bid you farewell and I do, and I will see you all later on this 538 00:29:23,370 --> 00:29:25,710 afternoon in a short, daily recap video. 539 00:29:26,420 --> 00:29:33,360 I promise you I will check my, uh, um, notes before I do anything. 540 00:29:33,420 --> 00:29:35,220 And I will include the Japanese yen. 541 00:29:35,670 --> 00:29:40,410 They will, it will make its way into our daily discussions and, uh, charting in. 542 00:29:41,460 --> 00:29:42,660 Keep that promise. 543 00:29:42,660 --> 00:29:43,920 I'll do it now in closing. 544 00:29:45,150 --> 00:29:46,440 Always left when I couldn't do it. 545 00:29:49,480 --> 00:29:49,870 Okay. 546 00:29:49,960 --> 00:29:50,830 Let's see. 547 00:29:51,220 --> 00:29:52,090 Scrunches up. 548 00:29:55,540 --> 00:29:56,230 Do a quick 549 00:30:02,210 --> 00:30:03,020 15 minute video. 550 00:30:03,020 --> 00:30:07,280 You say Michael, nothing has changed. 551 00:30:11,795 --> 00:30:12,185 All right. 552 00:30:12,245 --> 00:30:13,775 I'm not going to calibrate the levels. 553 00:30:13,775 --> 00:30:19,475 I'm just gonna do a quick eyeball and I can refine this later on this afternoon 554 00:30:19,565 --> 00:30:25,175 with the levels, but, uh, we have our monthly high, monthly, low range. 555 00:30:42,945 --> 00:30:47,295 Uh, we have a monthly void, his entire range here from this low 556 00:30:48,825 --> 00:30:50,205 or this month and this high. 557 00:30:50,265 --> 00:30:51,255 So that is a void. 558 00:30:51,285 --> 00:30:52,095 I don't need a new debt. 559 00:30:52,125 --> 00:30:58,665 You can see that, uh, we have a mitigation block here as the market was going lower. 560 00:30:58,665 --> 00:31:06,255 Every up candle, we look at that as a potential short-term support level. 561 00:31:06,255 --> 00:31:08,025 And again, I will refine these levels. 562 00:31:09,945 --> 00:31:10,905 And it's afternoon. 563 00:31:18,525 --> 00:31:18,885 Okay. 564 00:31:19,365 --> 00:31:24,525 And we've already traded down away from this last up handle and 565 00:31:24,755 --> 00:31:26,535 back up into it this month, right? 566 00:31:26,535 --> 00:31:28,485 To the opening on that candle. 567 00:31:32,205 --> 00:31:36,555 So we've already hit this as a bear's order block right there. 568 00:31:38,325 --> 00:31:39,885 I'm going to leave that range as it is. 569 00:31:39,975 --> 00:31:43,905 And anything else I need to add this evening per afternoon, rather. 570 00:31:45,435 --> 00:31:45,735 All right. 571 00:31:45,735 --> 00:31:47,085 So we've seen 572 00:31:50,415 --> 00:31:53,645 last up candle here that can be refined. 573 00:31:53,645 --> 00:31:57,725 You can now better see the, the level right there. 574 00:31:58,565 --> 00:32:01,715 This candle is low 1 14 74. 575 00:32:06,555 --> 00:32:07,695 Yeah, 1 14 74. 576 00:32:07,695 --> 00:32:13,125 So it was only when I went to two pips into that range as, as a monthly 577 00:32:13,125 --> 00:32:14,925 or a block and a weekly now refined. 578 00:32:15,855 --> 00:32:20,055 Uh, we have the void in here from this high. 579 00:32:22,685 --> 00:32:23,185 Oh yeah. 580 00:32:23,185 --> 00:32:23,885 Up to here. 581 00:32:24,485 --> 00:32:26,405 So that's your liquidity void right there. 582 00:32:27,004 --> 00:32:27,905 Buy-side delivery. 583 00:32:29,935 --> 00:32:32,905 And we have mitigation blocks. 584 00:32:32,995 --> 00:32:35,274 The last up handle here on a weekly, 585 00:32:42,115 --> 00:32:46,794 more specifically refined to this level there. 586 00:32:47,695 --> 00:32:51,024 And we have this one as well, but I'm going to keep it relative to the 587 00:32:51,024 --> 00:32:52,495 monthly level that we've identified. 588 00:32:54,300 --> 00:32:57,630 So I think this is going to be a support level that we need to be watching. 589 00:32:57,960 --> 00:33:04,230 If 1 11 41, 11 35 breaks and gives way, uh, we will look for the 590 00:33:04,230 --> 00:33:06,300 markets trade down into that 1 0 7. 591 00:33:08,040 --> 00:33:08,520 What is that? 592 00:33:11,610 --> 00:33:14,310 One of the seven 50 to 1 7 80. 593 00:33:15,450 --> 00:33:16,500 It could be a downside objective. 594 00:33:16,510 --> 00:33:20,610 Should we lose this low and break convincing above of below this monthly 595 00:33:20,610 --> 00:33:26,370 word block or mitigation block rather, still have equal highs up here. 596 00:33:26,370 --> 00:33:31,620 So if we do fail to go lower and start to rally, um, we're going to be 597 00:33:31,620 --> 00:33:34,020 watching this down candle right here. 598 00:33:34,380 --> 00:33:34,860 So if we trade. 599 00:33:35,729 --> 00:33:39,000 This becomes a weekly or blocked it's bullish. 600 00:33:39,419 --> 00:33:44,219 And we also have an overlapping of that bare short block, almost level. 601 00:33:44,219 --> 00:33:45,629 It could become an inversion level. 602 00:33:46,229 --> 00:33:46,379 Okay. 603 00:33:46,379 --> 00:33:49,320 So while it's acting as resistance here, we trade back above it. 604 00:33:49,560 --> 00:33:52,379 That coupled with the fact that this is a down candle when we can chart, 605 00:33:52,379 --> 00:33:53,340 and this is the bull shore block. 606 00:33:53,729 --> 00:33:56,340 So monthly bear, shorter block reversion. 607 00:33:57,780 --> 00:34:03,300 And foolish or block on weekly, this level could be a flipping point. 608 00:34:03,390 --> 00:34:05,430 And if it trades through it, it becomes a pivot. 609 00:34:05,460 --> 00:34:08,550 And then we can see it spring forward and take up the 610 00:34:08,550 --> 00:34:12,030 liquidity above here on a daily. 611 00:34:28,095 --> 00:34:28,425 Okay. 612 00:34:28,455 --> 00:34:31,065 We have our daily bullet or block here, 613 00:34:35,895 --> 00:34:39,975 opening it right there. 614 00:34:40,425 --> 00:34:42,415 Can we have the eight mean threshold? 615 00:34:42,415 --> 00:34:45,885 We had identified that cause that is not been traded to yet. 616 00:34:47,264 --> 00:34:49,335 That's our last line in the sand for both. 617 00:34:58,230 --> 00:35:03,030 So price needs, ideally to stay above this low, if it does, we would 618 00:35:03,030 --> 00:35:05,940 permit it to trade down to 1225. 619 00:35:06,090 --> 00:35:07,140 That would be permissible. 620 00:35:07,590 --> 00:35:11,070 Anything below that on a closing basis, puts us in line with. 621 00:35:13,544 --> 00:35:14,535 These levels out here. 622 00:35:20,205 --> 00:35:21,975 We already hit the last candle here. 623 00:35:22,035 --> 00:35:22,964 That's why we're struggling. 624 00:35:22,964 --> 00:35:23,714 We sold off. 625 00:35:25,169 --> 00:35:26,520 From yesterday's rally higher. 626 00:35:28,379 --> 00:35:30,450 We have equal high saying you're west of buy-side liquidity, 627 00:35:30,899 --> 00:35:32,189 pressing above these equal highs. 628 00:35:32,819 --> 00:35:36,899 And I think that's about it for this. 629 00:35:36,959 --> 00:35:40,649 I don't want to get too more ingrained in that because ultimately what 630 00:35:40,649 --> 00:35:41,759 we're looking for is, is there any. 631 00:35:43,485 --> 00:35:46,545 Strength in what we've already priced in here, because we've 632 00:35:46,635 --> 00:35:50,325 already worked inside this glass down candle, which the bull shore block. 633 00:35:50,625 --> 00:35:54,735 We capitalize some of that here, but notice that while we rallied, we didn't 634 00:35:54,735 --> 00:35:58,005 take out the short-term high, which would have been an ideal scenario to 635 00:35:58,005 --> 00:36:03,195 see market structure, shift and resume bullish because it failed to do that. 636 00:36:03,465 --> 00:36:05,655 We're waiting to see if we break below list low here. 637 00:36:06,015 --> 00:36:09,195 That may be the catalyst that we're going to drive below this low and then make 638 00:36:09,195 --> 00:36:11,805 a run into that 1 0 7 60, the 1 0 7. 639 00:36:14,024 --> 00:36:17,774 We also have a board or a block in here on a daily basis. 640 00:36:21,404 --> 00:36:23,415 Circa posts at 109 75. 641 00:36:24,254 --> 00:36:29,265 With the opening at these would be downside, objective, 642 00:36:29,295 --> 00:36:33,645 not buys 1.9 big figure. 643 00:36:34,065 --> 00:36:37,035 So if we see continuation any erosion on this pair, go and lower. 644 00:36:37,605 --> 00:36:38,024 There's your left. 645 00:36:40,000 --> 00:36:40,540 Okay. 646 00:36:40,750 --> 00:36:43,420 And lastly, we'll look at the four hour. 647 00:36:50,250 --> 00:36:51,480 I don't like this in here. 648 00:36:52,620 --> 00:36:56,430 I don't like how that's formed a low, I think we'll probably 649 00:36:56,430 --> 00:37:00,240 go back down into these candles. 650 00:37:00,870 --> 00:37:03,120 This is a much better area of stroke. 651 00:37:04,185 --> 00:37:07,215 But it could ultimately be a market macro cell profile, 652 00:37:07,815 --> 00:37:09,795 which is a consolidation rally. 653 00:37:11,085 --> 00:37:14,955 Regulation regulation, smart mining reversal, low risk sell 654 00:37:14,955 --> 00:37:16,305 is in here on a lower timeframe. 655 00:37:16,815 --> 00:37:21,015 Now we are in a distribution area and if we trade back down, make one more higher. 656 00:37:21,345 --> 00:37:22,395 I'm sorry, lower high. 657 00:37:22,935 --> 00:37:24,915 Uh, then it would probably drive us lower. 658 00:37:25,065 --> 00:37:29,475 Taking out these equal lows, completing the sell side, uh, delivery on 659 00:37:29,475 --> 00:37:32,745 price and marketing or sell profile would be completed at that time. 660 00:37:32,745 --> 00:37:33,315 Trading below. 661 00:37:34,595 --> 00:37:38,105 1 11 60, the 1, 11 50. 662 00:37:38,705 --> 00:37:43,325 So that's the scenario that maybe unfolding in here and that's it. 663 00:37:43,835 --> 00:37:45,605 I'm going to wish you all a very pleasant afternoon. 664 00:37:45,605 --> 00:37:46,805 I will talk with you all then. 665 00:37:47,225 --> 00:37:48,964 And until then, good luck in the training. 55594

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