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Welcome back folks.
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00:00:14,090 --> 00:00:15,470
This is less than 4.2.
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00:00:15,650 --> 00:00:19,310
Continuing our teaching on
applying seasonal tendencies
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00:00:19,850 --> 00:00:21,170
to higher timeframe analysis.
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00:00:25,175 --> 00:00:25,355
Okay.
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00:00:25,355 --> 00:00:30,755
For me highlighting our topic of
seasonals with a deeper focus on bear
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00:00:30,755 --> 00:00:32,674
seasonals in higher timeframe analysis.
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00:00:35,925 --> 00:00:40,845
And our market of study for
this teaching is going to be
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00:00:40,845 --> 00:00:43,334
the New Zealand dollar or Kiwi.
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00:00:46,245 --> 00:00:46,485
Okay.
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00:00:46,485 --> 00:00:54,224
And when we looked at lesson 4.1,
we looked at the Canadian dollar and
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we noticed that while the seasonal
tendencies that I'm sharing here,
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they're seasonal tendencies with the
utilization of the futures market.
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00:01:02,985 --> 00:01:07,065
So since it's the futures market and
we're using the seasonal tenancy,
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00:01:07,725 --> 00:01:12,914
it's important to understand that the
seasonal tendency may, if it's bullish
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00:01:12,945 --> 00:01:17,370
for the seasonal tendency chart, For a
particular time of year that may or may
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00:01:17,370 --> 00:01:20,010
not be bullish for a particular pair.
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00:01:20,010 --> 00:01:25,140
Like for instance, in 4.1
lesson, we use that us CAD pair.
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00:01:25,530 --> 00:01:29,430
And since it seasonal tendency is on
the Canadian dollar, we are looking
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at a time when the Canadian dollar
seasonal tendency for the futures
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00:01:34,680 --> 00:01:41,070
contract would be bullish in our
seasonal tendency, but we'll be buried.
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00:01:41,955 --> 00:01:44,865
In the U S CAD pear, because
it would be inverted.
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That would be a little bit of a
sticking point for someone that's
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00:01:49,824 --> 00:01:52,815
this rushing through this lesson,
but we're going to talk about.
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00:01:53,655 --> 00:01:57,225
Uh, currency this time where
it's going to move basically in
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tandem with what you expect to see
in the seasonal tendency chart.
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00:02:01,605 --> 00:02:04,875
We're looking at the Kiwi or the
New Zealand dollar, which is a
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calm doll, a commodity currency.
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00:02:07,635 --> 00:02:09,764
That means the currency is
traded as a futures market.
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00:02:09,884 --> 00:02:13,335
This teaching also is going to go a
little bit deeper in the understanding of
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00:02:13,335 --> 00:02:15,045
seasonal tenants and how I employ them.
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Um, I've been able to call.
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00:02:18,089 --> 00:02:21,329
Significant price swings in the
marketplace using hard timeframe
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00:02:21,329 --> 00:02:24,899
charts, and many of them YouTube
have witnessed that happen.
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00:02:24,899 --> 00:02:27,179
Some of you seen it in this mentorship.
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00:02:27,239 --> 00:02:31,560
All of it comes by way of the
things I'm teaching in these
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two lessons here, 4.1 4.2.
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The way we're going to approach
the seasonal tendencies in this
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00:02:39,119 --> 00:02:41,070
teaching is going to be applying.
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Bear seasonal.
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00:02:43,530 --> 00:02:48,390
But we're also going to segue into
how this helps us get in sync with
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hopefully a quarterly shift in the
marketplace, which is the goal of
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00:02:52,860 --> 00:02:54,690
position trading or long-term trading.
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00:02:54,690 --> 00:02:57,690
As I understand it and teach it
powerful moves that occur on these
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00:02:57,690 --> 00:03:02,250
hard timeframe charts, monthly,
weekly, and daily, they're in the
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00:03:02,250 --> 00:03:04,530
hundreds of pips for foreign exchange.
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00:03:05,280 --> 00:03:05,460
So.
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00:03:06,600 --> 00:03:10,620
It behooves you to look
at this marketplace when
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00:03:10,620 --> 00:03:11,579
these hard timeframe trusts.
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00:03:11,579 --> 00:03:13,770
Cause regardless of what type
of trade you're going to be.
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00:03:14,609 --> 00:03:20,130
And if you can use seasonal tenancies,
like a roadmap, it's literally like
52
00:03:21,000 --> 00:03:23,010
knowing the most probable direction.
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00:03:24,375 --> 00:03:27,375
Certain times of the year for
certain currencies or markets,
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00:03:27,795 --> 00:03:30,674
because it's not limited to just
foreign exchange or currencies Islam.
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00:03:30,734 --> 00:03:33,045
It's limited to nothing really.
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00:03:33,045 --> 00:03:36,165
I mean, everything has a seasonal
tendency, but you have to study it and
57
00:03:36,165 --> 00:03:38,864
go through a long process of compiling.
58
00:03:38,864 --> 00:03:43,725
All that data to get to the outcome
would highlight a seasonal tendency
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00:03:43,755 --> 00:03:45,945
where it rests most predominantly.
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00:03:47,715 --> 00:03:51,870
If you're looking at this chart here,
Um, obviously you can see that there are
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00:03:52,109 --> 00:03:56,760
certain points in where price generally
on the blue line and on the red line.
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00:03:57,180 --> 00:03:57,450
Okay.
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00:03:57,450 --> 00:04:03,930
And it's comparing a long period blue
line of time and a shorter period of data.
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00:04:04,740 --> 00:04:08,700
And when both of them move in tandem
direction, in other words, they all
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00:04:09,300 --> 00:04:13,109
are both basically moving in the same
direction, up or down at any given
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00:04:13,109 --> 00:04:17,519
particular time that highlights a
high probability seasonal trends.
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00:04:18,375 --> 00:04:22,185
Now when it gets real muddy and
it's choppy back and forth, then it
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00:04:22,185 --> 00:04:23,625
makes it a little bit less likely.
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00:04:23,625 --> 00:04:28,215
There's a seasonal tendency there,
but just quickly going over this chart
70
00:04:28,215 --> 00:04:30,645
here, it should be obvious to you.
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00:04:30,645 --> 00:04:36,255
What time of year there is a significant
decline in price expected and when
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00:04:36,284 --> 00:04:41,205
should there be a significant increase
in price for the Kiwi dollar let's zoom
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00:04:41,205 --> 00:04:44,924
in and take a closer look and we'll
break this down into real specifics.
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00:04:49,735 --> 00:04:49,885
Okay.
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00:04:49,885 --> 00:04:51,985
We have that same sharp
now, just zoomed in.
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00:04:52,645 --> 00:04:58,045
And I want to highlight a few things
going into this, these seasonal
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00:04:58,045 --> 00:05:02,845
tendencies while we're trying to
aim at where the conditions lie,
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00:05:02,845 --> 00:05:04,495
that would set up a quarterly shift.
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00:05:04,495 --> 00:05:05,425
In other words, a move that.
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00:05:06,405 --> 00:05:07,784
Two to three months to unfold.
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00:05:07,935 --> 00:05:12,495
We're using these higher timeframe
charts with the attempt to hone in on
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00:05:12,495 --> 00:05:17,805
an area where we can capture several
hundred pips in a long-term position,
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00:05:17,805 --> 00:05:24,585
trade or looking for the ideas to get us
in sync with the institutional mindset
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00:05:24,974 --> 00:05:27,405
where the direction of the market
should go on these hard timeframes.
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00:05:28,469 --> 00:05:32,880
Since it's the smart money entities that
move price on these hard timeframe charts.
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00:05:32,880 --> 00:05:34,979
We know there's a high probability.
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00:05:35,010 --> 00:05:38,370
If there's a certain time of year
or a tendency for the market to
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00:05:38,370 --> 00:05:42,750
rally or decline, and it's shown
itself over a large sample size of
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00:05:42,750 --> 00:05:47,340
data, the blue line in the Kiwi here
represents 19 years worth of data.
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00:05:48,479 --> 00:05:50,520
The red line represents 15 years worth of.
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00:05:51,875 --> 00:05:56,195
And the only thing it's doing is,
is contracting for 15 years worth of
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00:05:56,195 --> 00:05:58,505
data versus 19 years worth of data.
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00:05:58,805 --> 00:06:02,164
The seasonal tendencies pretty
much are lock in tandem.
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00:06:02,195 --> 00:06:04,715
You can see pretty much it's
the same scenario all the time,
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00:06:05,495 --> 00:06:09,695
because it's traded in March
contracts, June contracts, September
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00:06:09,695 --> 00:06:11,284
contracts, and December contracts.
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00:06:11,735 --> 00:06:13,655
They are the futures
contract delivery months.
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00:06:13,745 --> 00:06:16,534
In other words, these are the months
that you would be buying or selling.
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00:06:16,534 --> 00:06:17,104
If you're gonna be trading.
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00:06:18,315 --> 00:06:21,375
As you can see the June contract
has the strongest tendency to
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00:06:21,375 --> 00:06:26,835
rally and decline all in that same
contract month, beginning, first
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trading day and last trading day
before the contract would expire.
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00:06:31,755 --> 00:06:36,495
Then December's contract has a very
strong tendency to rally late in the year.
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00:06:36,975 --> 00:06:37,095
And.
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00:06:38,835 --> 00:06:41,145
Understanding that it's pretty
obvious that if you're going to be
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00:06:41,145 --> 00:06:44,625
trading the Kiwi, you only focusing
on the June contract and the December
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00:06:44,625 --> 00:06:48,375
contract, that's the powerful nature of
understanding these seasonal tendencies.
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00:06:49,065 --> 00:06:55,664
And it doesn't mean that the March
contract won't see specific price action
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00:06:55,664 --> 00:07:00,974
that sets up moves that we see in the
June and December contract, or that
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00:07:00,974 --> 00:07:05,025
we won't see things in the September
contract that would lead into this.
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00:07:06,090 --> 00:07:07,740
Contract month unfolding.
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00:07:07,740 --> 00:07:09,210
As we see here in a seasonal tendency.
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00:07:10,725 --> 00:07:14,295
They're not paying a see as they're
not be all end all, but their roadmaps
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00:07:14,295 --> 00:07:20,235
as to what price has done in the past
historically year after year, by compiling
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00:07:20,235 --> 00:07:24,165
the data, we can see that these contract
delivery months do this type of thing
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00:07:24,195 --> 00:07:26,475
over a large sample size of data.
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Will it happen every single year?
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Absolutely not.
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00:07:29,700 --> 00:07:33,870
In fact, I've went back all the way to
2007, and we're going to look at every
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00:07:33,870 --> 00:07:38,130
single year from 2007 to now, and we're
going to see what influence the seasonal
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00:07:38,130 --> 00:07:42,000
tendencies had and how it helped us, or
would have helped us say it that way.
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00:07:42,180 --> 00:07:46,830
We can go back in time and look at how
hypothetically knowing this information
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00:07:46,830 --> 00:07:51,330
back then we could have used it to get
in sync with a quarterly shift, or it
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00:07:51,330 --> 00:07:55,170
could have been just a unique trade
set up by itself since we're focusing
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00:07:55,170 --> 00:07:56,370
primarily on embarrass condition.
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We're going to be looking for areas
in which the market is most likely
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00:08:01,785 --> 00:08:04,275
to see a significant drop in price.
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Now we can go back in time and look
at the years like we're going to now
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00:08:09,525 --> 00:08:13,035
and use it to build our confidence in
the fact that the seasonal tendencies
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00:08:13,035 --> 00:08:15,285
do in fact, hold up over long periods.
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00:08:16,169 --> 00:08:20,580
Now again, we're looking at about
nine years or so worth of seasonal
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00:08:20,580 --> 00:08:24,479
Tennessee price study in the New
Zealand dollar futures contract.
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00:08:25,530 --> 00:08:26,590
Now this is not to say.
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00:08:27,375 --> 00:08:31,635
You're going to see the exact same
type of move dollar for dollar pit for
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PIP in the foreign exchange market.
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00:08:33,885 --> 00:08:37,034
But by far and large, they're
going to be moved, moving in
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00:08:37,034 --> 00:08:38,265
the same direction generally.
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00:08:38,985 --> 00:08:43,664
So have that as a point of
reference when we go over this,
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00:08:43,664 --> 00:08:45,795
because I'm not trying to force a.
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00:08:46,880 --> 00:08:51,470
Pitt to point ratio of a
movement in both the futures
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00:08:51,470 --> 00:08:53,240
and the foreign exchange market.
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00:08:53,240 --> 00:08:56,390
There's going to be slight disc new
difference between the two, but by
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00:08:56,390 --> 00:08:58,460
far and large, you're going to see do
they generally move in the same area?
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00:09:00,000 --> 00:09:04,949
So if we're going to look at this with a
sober mind and understand that yes, there
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00:09:04,949 --> 00:09:09,449
are opportunities to be a seller in Kiwi
and are some high probability conditions,
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00:09:09,510 --> 00:09:13,020
certain times of the year where it
positions itself for an opportunity to
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00:09:13,020 --> 00:09:18,569
sell off with a great deal of tendency to
do so, uh, seasonally and historically.
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00:09:19,440 --> 00:09:24,360
But we're going to focus on how we can
use these bears ideas to get us in sync
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with a long-term bullish quarterly shift.
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Now you're probably saying,
well, wait a minute.
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Am I going?
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00:09:30,660 --> 00:09:32,250
You're you're, you're
calling outside the lines.
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00:09:32,290 --> 00:09:34,470
You know, we're supposed to be talking
about bearish seasonal tendencies.
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00:09:34,470 --> 00:09:34,860
Yes.
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00:09:35,460 --> 00:09:37,190
Um, the teaching is really healthy.
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Use bearish seasonal tendencies,
not just my optically and only
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focus on just being a short seller.
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We gotta be able to understand that
that short selling opportunity may
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00:09:47,310 --> 00:09:50,910
be leading us to a quarterly move
on his heart timeframe charts.
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00:09:50,910 --> 00:09:55,290
So a decline while it could be traded,
we have to be mindful that there's
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certain times of the year when the Kiwi
has a predisposed nature to go higher.
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00:10:00,750 --> 00:10:02,340
So take a look at a few examples in here.
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There's obviously this one I like
is a mid February to mid March.
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Really significant a time point where you
can see there's a really nice movement
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00:10:13,710 --> 00:10:15,180
between the red and the blue line.
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00:10:15,569 --> 00:10:18,900
That means the 19 year seasonal tendency
in the 15 year seasonal tendency.
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00:10:18,900 --> 00:10:22,890
And again, I want to remind you
that it's taking 19 years worth
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00:10:22,890 --> 00:10:25,199
of price action year after year.
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00:10:25,560 --> 00:10:28,560
What did these months
deliver in terms of price?
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00:10:28,830 --> 00:10:32,790
And you can see here the mid
February to mid March time period.
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00:10:35,290 --> 00:10:37,000
The red and the blue lines.
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00:10:37,450 --> 00:10:41,800
And again, I'll remind you here
that the 19 year is the blue
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and the 15 year is the red.
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00:10:45,850 --> 00:10:52,750
And what it is is a compiling of 19 years
worth of data showing the historical
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00:10:52,750 --> 00:10:58,090
movement of the March delivery contract
and the June contract, the September
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00:10:58,090 --> 00:10:59,590
contract and the December contract.
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00:11:00,765 --> 00:11:06,255
And by showing a historical record
and compiling the data, the overall
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00:11:06,255 --> 00:11:11,925
price direction generally is from
mid February down to mid March.
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00:11:12,465 --> 00:11:15,314
There's a strong tendency for
the Kiwi dollar to decline.
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00:11:16,185 --> 00:11:20,324
And you can see it very clearly in
both the contrasting 19 years' worth
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00:11:20,324 --> 00:11:21,855
of data and 15 years worth of data.
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00:11:22,425 --> 00:11:24,705
So if it was the shift in
and out between the two.
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00:11:25,485 --> 00:11:29,865
Um, then it's most likely, probably not
a good time to be a buyer or seller,
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00:11:29,865 --> 00:11:33,765
but when they both move in the same
direction and it's a sizeable price
185
00:11:33,765 --> 00:11:39,465
swing, as we can see here in the shaded
area, it's in my opinion, that it's
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00:11:39,465 --> 00:11:45,375
a pretty good chance that we'll see a
decline near the second one there'll
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00:11:45,375 --> 00:11:47,585
be noteworthy of is that noticed it.
188
00:11:47,585 --> 00:11:51,705
If we drop down into mid March
and in April, the market tends to
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00:11:51,705 --> 00:11:53,025
have a significant rally at that.
190
00:11:54,240 --> 00:11:59,670
And it rallies up to about me and
both the 19 and 15 year seasonal
191
00:11:59,670 --> 00:12:04,410
tendency, uh, compilation shows that
it does in fact, make a high in may
192
00:12:04,710 --> 00:12:10,380
and then it sells off again, giving
us another bear seasonal tendency.
193
00:12:10,980 --> 00:12:15,510
And then we have an area where we
have consolidation between around
194
00:12:15,540 --> 00:12:18,060
the June month going into July.
195
00:12:18,810 --> 00:12:23,189
But it makes another seasonal low
around June and July and it bounces
196
00:12:23,189 --> 00:12:28,650
bullishly and then it sells off again
around mid August, down into October.
197
00:12:28,950 --> 00:12:32,670
But look what happens in September and
October, it generally makes a significant
198
00:12:32,819 --> 00:12:40,290
point of bullishness and puts the, a
large degree of buying in your scope.
199
00:12:40,290 --> 00:12:43,860
As far as the trader you'd look
at buying the Kiwi around that
200
00:12:43,860 --> 00:12:45,090
September, October time period.
201
00:12:47,245 --> 00:12:53,875
When we use seasonal tendencies, the way
we want to use them are limited only to
202
00:12:53,875 --> 00:12:56,035
what the current market conditions are.
203
00:12:56,545 --> 00:13:00,835
We do not go into our charts,
forcing the seasonal tendency.
204
00:13:00,835 --> 00:13:06,215
For instance, we're not forcing the idea
that Kiwi has to make a high or a top.
205
00:13:07,380 --> 00:13:10,410
Therefore we're going to sell in
may, in this whole, onto it forever.
206
00:13:10,410 --> 00:13:13,439
And then wait for it to be June,
July in this collect our money.
207
00:13:13,439 --> 00:13:14,850
That's not what we're saying here.
208
00:13:15,720 --> 00:13:19,110
Uh, what I want you to focus on is
that if this seasonal tendency is
209
00:13:19,110 --> 00:13:25,170
in fact true, and I believe it shows
validity here, the idea is, is there
210
00:13:25,170 --> 00:13:29,189
something technically in price that
would support that seasonal tendency?
211
00:13:29,280 --> 00:13:30,420
Are we in a bearish market?
212
00:13:30,750 --> 00:13:32,520
Did we rally up into a bear shorter block?
213
00:13:32,520 --> 00:13:33,600
Did we run an old high?
214
00:13:34,290 --> 00:13:35,310
Do we see a market structure?
215
00:13:36,584 --> 00:13:38,714
Have we in fact, been moving
up for the last two or three.
216
00:13:39,615 --> 00:13:44,205
And then are we likely to sell off
because of an over bought premium market?
217
00:13:44,205 --> 00:13:48,225
And then maybe we would anticipate seeing
some breakdown in the marketplace and
218
00:13:48,225 --> 00:13:52,215
then we can take a short or position
ourselves for a bearish move lower.
219
00:13:52,755 --> 00:13:55,935
So it's a matter of lining up what
the current market conditions are.
220
00:13:56,055 --> 00:13:58,515
It's not just take this thing,
apply it to the marketplace,
221
00:13:58,515 --> 00:13:59,265
and you're going to get rich.
222
00:13:59,775 --> 00:14:04,965
It's taking these ideas when there are
strong tendency for the market to move one
223
00:14:04,965 --> 00:14:07,725
side or the other, any particular time of.
224
00:14:09,230 --> 00:14:12,210
As you can see across this charter,
several other opportunities you can use.
225
00:14:12,480 --> 00:14:15,270
You don't have to be a long-term
position trader, which is what I'm
226
00:14:15,270 --> 00:14:18,120
focusing on here using the bearish moves.
227
00:14:18,600 --> 00:14:18,870
Okay.
228
00:14:18,870 --> 00:14:21,090
That seen in mid February to mid March.
229
00:14:21,660 --> 00:14:25,380
And then you have another move in may
that takes you down to June, July.
230
00:14:25,830 --> 00:14:28,860
So there's other
opportunities you can use.
231
00:14:29,310 --> 00:14:34,170
You can see that there's a typical
sell-off in the first week or so of
232
00:14:34,170 --> 00:14:35,730
January that goes down into February.
233
00:14:37,050 --> 00:14:41,490
There's another sell off that takes
place around mid June, down into the
234
00:14:41,670 --> 00:14:46,740
first or second week of July, both lines
blue and red are in agreement with that.
235
00:14:47,400 --> 00:14:49,650
And then you see another sell
off that takes place around mid
236
00:14:49,650 --> 00:14:52,319
August down into the September,
October time period, making it.
237
00:14:53,835 --> 00:14:58,395
But there is a small short-term
little mood that drops off mid
238
00:14:58,395 --> 00:14:59,745
September down into October.
239
00:15:00,015 --> 00:15:03,585
That's the one that generally sets up
a really strong buying opportunity.
240
00:15:03,975 --> 00:15:07,425
So we're going to be a quarterly
shift trader if we are going to trade
241
00:15:07,425 --> 00:15:11,415
these seasonal tendencies and we are
shorter on that time period, just
242
00:15:11,415 --> 00:15:13,935
be mindful that around September,
October generally makes it a very
243
00:15:14,325 --> 00:15:15,855
strong tendency for the, uh, the key.
244
00:15:17,535 --> 00:15:20,204
But now let's go back and have
a contrasting view as well.
245
00:15:20,204 --> 00:15:23,655
Since we're focusing on bears
seasonal tendencies and we're using
246
00:15:23,655 --> 00:15:27,344
them in the hard timeframe analysis,
we can take all of these bearish
247
00:15:27,344 --> 00:15:29,625
ideas and trade them respectively.
248
00:15:30,104 --> 00:15:33,944
Or we can go into the marketplace and
say, okay, I'm going to anticipate
249
00:15:33,944 --> 00:15:35,275
these bear seasonal tendencies.
250
00:15:35,295 --> 00:15:35,685
Not true.
251
00:15:36,540 --> 00:15:41,160
I'm going to anticipate them, showing
me the signs that the market is.
252
00:15:41,160 --> 00:15:45,959
In fact, dropping down into the
quarterly bullish scenarios that I
253
00:15:45,959 --> 00:15:50,220
could be a buyer so we can use bearish
seasonal tendencies to trade with,
254
00:15:50,699 --> 00:15:55,319
or we can use them as guides to lead
us to the next trading opportunity.
255
00:15:55,319 --> 00:15:56,459
That would be a quarterly shift.
256
00:15:57,030 --> 00:15:58,680
This teaching's going to show you both.
257
00:15:59,069 --> 00:15:59,250
Okay.
258
00:15:59,250 --> 00:16:01,079
We're going to go from 2007.
259
00:16:01,079 --> 00:16:02,280
All we got to 2006.
260
00:16:03,975 --> 00:16:07,125
But if you're going to be a bullish
trader on Kiwi, and we're going to be
261
00:16:07,125 --> 00:16:11,925
looking for bullish quarterly shifts,
they occur in March to April time
262
00:16:11,925 --> 00:16:15,015
period, that jelly making a low, okay.
263
00:16:15,025 --> 00:16:16,785
Make a note of this because
when we go through each.
264
00:16:17,865 --> 00:16:20,205
I want you to keep these
reference points in mind.
265
00:16:20,415 --> 00:16:25,125
We are focusing on offs between mid
February to mid March, and we're
266
00:16:25,125 --> 00:16:30,855
focusing on selloffs around may going
into June and July, but primarily we're
267
00:16:30,855 --> 00:16:38,025
looking at how these moves could set up
bullish conditions for quarterly shifts.
268
00:16:38,055 --> 00:16:41,205
In the first one we're watching
is it sets up a move between
269
00:16:41,205 --> 00:16:43,485
March and April for quarterly low.
270
00:16:44,745 --> 00:16:46,285
The next one is June, July.
271
00:16:47,415 --> 00:16:53,535
That you could expect a seasonal low
to form for that quarter to be a buyer.
272
00:16:53,564 --> 00:16:56,655
And then the other one is
September to October giving us
273
00:16:56,655 --> 00:16:58,064
a strong tendency to be a buyer.
274
00:16:58,395 --> 00:16:58,575
Okay.
275
00:16:58,575 --> 00:16:59,745
So now think about this for a minute.
276
00:17:01,695 --> 00:17:09,045
I just outlined the general roadmap on
what Kiwi dollar does on a 12 month cycle.
277
00:17:11,025 --> 00:17:15,514
Now, if that didn't flourish,
You're not paying attention
278
00:17:15,875 --> 00:17:17,375
now you probably didn't get it.
279
00:17:17,375 --> 00:17:20,204
And he didn't, you didn't register
you if you're a new trader
280
00:17:20,464 --> 00:17:21,484
trolley went right over your head.
281
00:17:22,294 --> 00:17:24,334
But think about what we've just did.
282
00:17:25,115 --> 00:17:31,865
We've outlined the macro view on what Kiwi
dollar does generally over a course of
283
00:17:31,865 --> 00:17:35,225
12 months, they're seasonal tendencies.
284
00:17:35,225 --> 00:17:39,365
They shift in and out of the marketplace
and depending on what the market
285
00:17:39,365 --> 00:17:45,075
conditions are for that particular time
or that year, One seasonal tendency.
286
00:17:45,075 --> 00:17:46,935
It's going to be favored over the other.
287
00:17:47,235 --> 00:17:52,245
If we're in a bullish market, obviously
the March, April, June, July, and
288
00:17:52,245 --> 00:17:55,425
September, October time periods are going
to be phenomenal buying opportunities.
289
00:17:56,655 --> 00:18:00,465
If we're in a bearish market,
that means mid February to mid
290
00:18:00,645 --> 00:18:01,935
March is going to be amazing.
291
00:18:01,935 --> 00:18:07,485
Sell-off and Mae is going to be an
amazing sell off and you have August
292
00:18:07,485 --> 00:18:09,225
can create a nice sell off as well.
293
00:18:09,225 --> 00:18:10,155
Lead me down to the fall.
294
00:18:11,580 --> 00:18:14,939
There's also another long in here that
I don't have an arrow to highlight,
295
00:18:15,149 --> 00:18:19,800
but it's the last week of November
going into the first week of December.
296
00:18:19,830 --> 00:18:21,629
That's a nice little
buying opportunity as well.
297
00:18:22,889 --> 00:18:25,649
So in your notes as we go
through these slides, okay.
298
00:18:25,649 --> 00:18:27,870
And you can obviously go after
you watch the video and go
299
00:18:27,870 --> 00:18:28,889
back and look at it as well.
300
00:18:29,399 --> 00:18:33,959
But as we go through each year, just be
mindful that March, April, June, July,
301
00:18:34,260 --> 00:18:38,159
September, October are really strong
buying opportunities when it's bull.
302
00:18:39,285 --> 00:18:42,585
When it's not bullish, we can
focus primarily on being a seller.
303
00:18:42,825 --> 00:18:46,605
Look for selling scenarios around
the February to March time period
304
00:18:47,085 --> 00:18:51,465
and may into June for sell offs
and in August into September
305
00:18:51,885 --> 00:18:54,435
giving us weak points to sell on.
306
00:18:55,275 --> 00:18:57,585
So let's go into our first year
and start breaking this down and
307
00:18:57,585 --> 00:18:59,625
give us some real examples to
see if it really does appear in.
308
00:19:03,270 --> 00:19:03,479
Okay.
309
00:19:03,479 --> 00:19:04,020
You can see here.
310
00:19:04,020 --> 00:19:05,699
This is 2007.
311
00:19:06,120 --> 00:19:11,580
And what I'm showing is December from the
previous year, 2006, all the way up to
312
00:19:12,209 --> 00:19:15,540
the January 1st of the following year.
313
00:19:15,540 --> 00:19:19,050
So we're getting the entire year
shown in every slide that we show.
314
00:19:19,290 --> 00:19:21,000
This is 2007 price chart.
315
00:19:22,199 --> 00:19:26,159
And here we have mid February
into March that weakness that
316
00:19:26,159 --> 00:19:27,360
we would expect to see bears.
317
00:19:28,879 --> 00:19:29,210
Okay.
318
00:19:29,270 --> 00:19:35,360
And also notice also that we have a
small little decline here as well in
319
00:19:35,360 --> 00:19:39,980
may, both seasonal tendencies while
in contrast to the larger moves.
320
00:19:40,550 --> 00:19:44,720
So there's several hundred pips on
these declines here, but now notice
321
00:19:44,720 --> 00:19:48,050
also these sell-offs that we expected
bearishness in the marketplace.
322
00:19:48,620 --> 00:19:53,389
They set up what opportunities remember
we have that March, April time.
323
00:19:54,225 --> 00:19:58,935
For Bush scenarios or expected bullish
scenarios for tendencies to go higher,
324
00:19:59,745 --> 00:20:02,055
June, July, and September, October.
325
00:20:04,665 --> 00:20:06,705
Can you not see those occurring here?
326
00:20:07,035 --> 00:20:13,275
We have the March April time
period, creating the very low
327
00:20:13,365 --> 00:20:14,565
and look at the move up from the.
328
00:20:15,705 --> 00:20:21,435
It's several hundred pips and then we
have the may June decline, but June starts
329
00:20:21,435 --> 00:20:26,205
off that rally that sends us all the
way up to the 81 big figure, huge move.
330
00:20:27,135 --> 00:20:30,915
Then we have another opportunity
where the market gets down and trades
331
00:20:30,915 --> 00:20:35,385
off into the September time period,
where we've seen that September,
332
00:20:35,385 --> 00:20:37,094
October seasonal tendency to rally.
333
00:20:38,564 --> 00:20:42,975
So while we're focusing on the bears
seasonal tendency, The other seasonal
334
00:20:42,975 --> 00:20:46,935
tendencies that we've went through at the
beginning of this teaching, when we're
335
00:20:46,935 --> 00:20:51,465
looking at the actual seasonal Tennessee
chart, all of the seasonal tendencies are
336
00:20:51,465 --> 00:20:53,475
going to have some measure of influence.
337
00:20:53,985 --> 00:20:58,185
Now, again, keeping in mind with
the current market conditions
338
00:20:58,185 --> 00:21:00,195
are at that particular year.
339
00:21:00,945 --> 00:21:03,885
It's going to be helpful for you
in that regard, because again,
340
00:21:03,885 --> 00:21:06,794
we're not trying to form fit just
a seasonal tendency in price.
341
00:21:07,215 --> 00:21:10,334
We're looking for clues justify
why that scenario would be.
342
00:21:12,000 --> 00:21:13,770
More inclined to unfold in the other.
343
00:21:13,860 --> 00:21:17,250
In other words, is it better to be a
buyer on the bullshit seasonal tendency
344
00:21:17,550 --> 00:21:22,470
or better to be a seller on the bear
seasonal tendency and years, sometimes
345
00:21:22,470 --> 00:21:26,220
we'll work in concert with them on
where the bearish move will lead
346
00:21:26,220 --> 00:21:28,770
into the bullish move and the bullish
move Willy into the bearish move.
347
00:21:29,250 --> 00:21:32,070
That's perfect market symmetry,
and that rarely exists.
348
00:21:32,070 --> 00:21:37,110
But sometimes in my 23 plus years
doing it, I've seen it a few
349
00:21:37,110 --> 00:21:38,340
times where it's been astonished.
350
00:21:39,105 --> 00:21:40,905
As we go to our next year in Kiwi,
351
00:21:44,175 --> 00:21:46,995
here's 2008 for the Kiwi.
352
00:21:48,015 --> 00:21:51,045
And obviously everybody
remembers what happened in 2008.
353
00:21:52,155 --> 00:21:57,015
The market though, in bloated, we had
the financial meltdown and we have
354
00:21:57,015 --> 00:22:01,575
mid March, I'm sorry, mid February to
mid-March, uh, creating the actual hot.
355
00:22:02,550 --> 00:22:03,330
And the Kiwi.
356
00:22:04,200 --> 00:22:07,320
And then we had to, uh, the Mae
creating another high here, where
357
00:22:07,320 --> 00:22:11,970
we sold off as well and notice
because we were all completely all
358
00:22:11,970 --> 00:22:13,620
bearish on all foreign currencies.
359
00:22:14,100 --> 00:22:16,470
Um, the Kiwi was no exception here.
360
00:22:16,470 --> 00:22:18,120
It just kept on falling
the rest of the year.
361
00:22:18,450 --> 00:22:19,920
So you have to also keep that in mind too.
362
00:22:19,920 --> 00:22:20,550
There's going to be.
363
00:22:21,690 --> 00:22:25,920
Um, big picture macro events that
are going to take precedence over
364
00:22:25,920 --> 00:22:28,950
whatever short-term quarterly effect
that you may be expecting, even if
365
00:22:28,950 --> 00:22:31,740
it's a seasonal tendency that holds
up for a long period of time, you're
366
00:22:31,740 --> 00:22:35,700
going to have these wildcard scenarios
where it just isn't going to pan out
367
00:22:35,700 --> 00:22:36,900
regardless of what you would expect.
368
00:22:41,940 --> 00:22:46,560
There's 2009, and we can see
the sell-off between, uh, mid
369
00:22:46,560 --> 00:22:47,760
February going into March.
370
00:22:48,120 --> 00:22:54,060
Uh, that decline in air was
600 pips and we see also.
371
00:22:55,740 --> 00:23:00,930
During the may period, we did not
get any decline at all on the bear
372
00:23:00,930 --> 00:23:06,060
side, but in contrast, keeping in mind
how we're using these bear seasonal
373
00:23:06,060 --> 00:23:10,020
tendencies, the one that dropped down
in February and the March leads us
374
00:23:10,020 --> 00:23:12,780
into the March April bullish scenario.
375
00:23:13,620 --> 00:23:15,570
And it was a very strong
buying opportunity there.
376
00:23:15,990 --> 00:23:20,430
And then we had the month of
June, July, we had a consolidation
377
00:23:20,490 --> 00:23:21,420
and July sent us home.
378
00:23:22,395 --> 00:23:29,625
Going into the late fall, October
highs, September and October
379
00:23:29,685 --> 00:23:30,915
had it just a continuation,
380
00:23:34,265 --> 00:23:37,865
2010, you can see here for the Kiwi.
381
00:23:39,605 --> 00:23:44,195
We had basically a flat market in mid
February to March, nothing bullish,
382
00:23:44,195 --> 00:23:47,825
nothing bearish, but we had our may the.
383
00:23:49,170 --> 00:23:51,420
And look, how many it's this thing moved?
384
00:23:51,720 --> 00:23:56,850
This thing moves about 700 pips
as a decline in the month of may.
385
00:23:57,690 --> 00:24:05,970
But again, that may decline set up
the June, July bullish, seasonal
386
00:24:05,970 --> 00:24:07,620
tendency that took off and sent prices.
387
00:24:08,685 --> 00:24:13,905
And we also see there was a
scenario for the bearish August
388
00:24:13,995 --> 00:24:16,185
to October time period, August.
389
00:24:16,185 --> 00:24:19,845
We had a little decline which had a
small seasonal tendency to be barest.
390
00:24:19,845 --> 00:24:23,115
If you go back and look at the slide
and all it did, was it retraced back
391
00:24:23,115 --> 00:24:27,495
down into a bear sh Canada, which is
a bull shorter block and an uptrend.
392
00:24:27,855 --> 00:24:32,925
And it rally off that 70 big figure
moving all the way up to 79, 50 sets,
393
00:24:32,925 --> 00:24:35,475
950 points or pips that it moved.
394
00:24:36,420 --> 00:24:39,720
Offer just retracing into an
area at which institutional order
395
00:24:39,720 --> 00:24:41,430
flow would give us bullishness.
396
00:24:44,550 --> 00:24:47,460
And then we had the September,
October time period, give us that
397
00:24:47,460 --> 00:24:54,210
last little leg price higher from
that 7,400 to the 79 50 level.
398
00:24:54,220 --> 00:24:58,500
So 550 pips there as well using the
seasonal tendencies as a roadmap.
399
00:25:03,140 --> 00:25:03,320
Okay.
400
00:25:03,320 --> 00:25:04,790
We can see 2011 here.
401
00:25:05,330 --> 00:25:08,090
CBR declined mid February,
going into mid March.
402
00:25:08,150 --> 00:25:12,020
We had a nice decline there, but that
leads us to what the bullish March,
403
00:25:12,080 --> 00:25:16,490
April seasonal tendency, nails it,
look at the rally off of that huge
404
00:25:16,490 --> 00:25:18,230
extrapolated move from that time period.
405
00:25:19,250 --> 00:25:21,740
And then we have a small
little decline from.
406
00:25:22,605 --> 00:25:28,304
Our may time period, where we expect
bearishness and that's about 350 pips
407
00:25:28,304 --> 00:25:36,105
just in mate on a decline, but finds us
trading back down into the January highs.
408
00:25:36,764 --> 00:25:39,375
So old resistance turns support there.
409
00:25:39,645 --> 00:25:45,925
The market creates that retracement down
in may just to set up another leg higher
410
00:25:46,284 --> 00:25:48,524
June July gives us a nice seasonal.
411
00:25:49,470 --> 00:25:52,980
Off of the previous down candle,
which is a bullet shorter block
412
00:25:53,520 --> 00:25:55,860
around that 80 big figure.
413
00:25:55,920 --> 00:25:59,910
And then it rallies all the way
up to 8,800 to 800 pips using the
414
00:25:59,910 --> 00:26:05,250
seasonal tendency where we saw a
decline in may and it rallied away
415
00:26:05,250 --> 00:26:07,080
and created a longer term price move.
416
00:26:07,770 --> 00:26:09,390
Very significant price moves higher.
417
00:26:10,020 --> 00:26:16,230
And in September, October gave us a
swing from the 7,500 to the 8,200.
418
00:26:16,230 --> 00:26:17,640
So there's 700 pips.
419
00:26:22,929 --> 00:26:28,209
Okay, 2012, you see, we had our
decline mid February to mid March,
420
00:26:30,090 --> 00:26:34,949
several hundred pips decline about,
uh, 400 or so on the downside.
421
00:26:35,010 --> 00:26:43,320
And then in may, we had a very significant
sell off in price mood, almost 800 pips.
422
00:26:44,295 --> 00:26:46,335
On the downside in the month of may.
423
00:26:47,385 --> 00:26:51,735
And that gives us that June
low seasonally, where we
424
00:26:51,735 --> 00:26:53,265
saw a bullishness expected.
425
00:26:53,745 --> 00:27:00,705
And I think took off from June lows
from 7,500 all the way up to 8,450.
426
00:27:01,065 --> 00:27:02,775
So that's a massive move.
427
00:27:07,855 --> 00:27:08,875
2013.
428
00:27:09,625 --> 00:27:09,805
Okay.
429
00:27:09,805 --> 00:27:12,025
We see our decline here in
mid February to mid March.
430
00:27:13,750 --> 00:27:15,430
Several hundred pips as well.
431
00:27:15,910 --> 00:27:23,830
And then a, another decline in may,
which leads us to our bullish June,
432
00:27:23,830 --> 00:27:26,920
July low, and it rallies away from that.
433
00:27:28,900 --> 00:27:34,330
And in 2014, we don't get anything
bearish at all between February.
434
00:27:35,295 --> 00:27:38,115
Mark was in consolidation and
rally out of the consolidation.
435
00:27:38,115 --> 00:27:41,235
So it's not expected to
be a barest area there.
436
00:27:41,325 --> 00:27:43,515
We're looking for continuation
on the upside because it's
437
00:27:43,515 --> 00:27:45,015
left area consolidation.
438
00:27:45,825 --> 00:27:48,345
And in may, we have a little
bit of a retracement that leads
439
00:27:48,345 --> 00:27:52,545
to a June rally creating the
high up at the ADA big figure.
440
00:27:56,905 --> 00:27:57,655
And we had a.
441
00:27:59,495 --> 00:28:03,605
Sell off in mid August, which
was the other bearish opportunity
442
00:28:03,615 --> 00:28:04,865
taken us down into October.
443
00:28:04,955 --> 00:28:09,125
Again, look at your seasonal tendency
about the first or second week of
444
00:28:09,185 --> 00:28:11,015
August, all the way down into October.
445
00:28:11,015 --> 00:28:15,185
And you can see that seasonal tendency
takes effect in this market here.
446
00:28:18,335 --> 00:28:18,665
Okay.
447
00:28:18,725 --> 00:28:22,835
On 2015, you see, we had a
little bit of a move down here
448
00:28:23,525 --> 00:28:25,535
and mid February to mid March.
449
00:28:25,625 --> 00:28:26,585
And again, these are weekly.
450
00:28:29,165 --> 00:28:32,525
To be mindful that we're not looking
at, uh, you find minute charts here.
451
00:28:33,455 --> 00:28:38,675
And then we have our decline
in may seasonally speaking, and
452
00:28:38,675 --> 00:28:40,205
June, July just kept on being.
453
00:28:41,550 --> 00:28:46,200
Which led us into the next bullish
scenario, which is the quarterly
454
00:28:46,200 --> 00:28:49,530
shift that would be bullish at
occurs in September, October.
455
00:28:49,590 --> 00:28:54,150
And that gives us a really nice
rally from the 62 50 level, up
456
00:28:54,150 --> 00:28:57,090
to the 68 50 level, almost 69.
457
00:28:57,420 --> 00:28:59,540
It's a very, very handsome
rally from that price point.
458
00:29:06,345 --> 00:29:11,905
Finally for 2016 unchanged
consolidation, nothing happening
459
00:29:11,905 --> 00:29:13,945
in mid February to mid-March.
460
00:29:14,965 --> 00:29:19,855
We have our decline in may comes
down into previous Bush order
461
00:29:19,855 --> 00:29:25,165
blocks and rallies away created an
alert higher high up into 74 50.
462
00:29:25,165 --> 00:29:26,595
So it moved from the may.
463
00:29:28,290 --> 00:29:34,200
Into the week before June rallying
away from the 67 big figure
464
00:29:34,590 --> 00:29:37,940
all the way up to almost 75.
465
00:29:39,014 --> 00:29:39,375
Big figure.
466
00:29:39,375 --> 00:29:42,615
So rather significant price
moves as a closing note.
467
00:29:42,615 --> 00:29:48,885
I want you to think about how these ideas
lead to a roadmap idea of where price
468
00:29:48,885 --> 00:29:54,975
should go generally speaking, and when
to focus in on very significant price
469
00:29:54,975 --> 00:29:57,284
moves, when they, when do they usually.
470
00:29:58,320 --> 00:30:01,800
See, it's one thing to say, okay, I
can see when an indicator bearishly
471
00:30:01,800 --> 00:30:07,110
diverges and it should give us a cell
signal, or it should some suggest some
472
00:30:07,590 --> 00:30:09,240
consolidation in a strong uptrend.
473
00:30:09,480 --> 00:30:13,649
We can understand that, but it doesn't
really tell us when the divergence
474
00:30:13,649 --> 00:30:16,500
should occur and seasonal tenancies.
475
00:30:16,510 --> 00:30:21,720
Tell us a specific time element that
escapes most people that don't use them.
476
00:30:22,290 --> 00:30:25,220
Most traders don't even
have any understanding.
477
00:30:25,240 --> 00:30:26,100
These things exist.
478
00:30:26,970 --> 00:30:30,750
Now because you've been exposed to
them with a great deal, more detail,
479
00:30:31,500 --> 00:30:34,379
much more than we saw when I was
teaching in a free tutorial area.
480
00:30:34,770 --> 00:30:39,540
We can see how we blend these two ideas,
time and price with quarterly shifts.
481
00:30:40,020 --> 00:30:45,570
And when the seasonal tendencies come
into the picture as well, there's a
482
00:30:45,570 --> 00:30:48,090
strong tendency for the market to react.
483
00:30:48,090 --> 00:30:51,330
When a few things come into confluence.
484
00:30:51,960 --> 00:30:54,540
If we have a seasonal
tendency to suggest bullish.
485
00:30:55,910 --> 00:30:58,850
When the market's already predisposed
to go higher because it's in a bullish
486
00:30:58,850 --> 00:31:06,170
market and it's an, a time of the day
when the market should be bullish.
487
00:31:06,770 --> 00:31:09,980
And it's also at a time when the market
is indicating that interest rates
488
00:31:09,980 --> 00:31:11,900
are supporting that bullish idea.
489
00:31:12,260 --> 00:31:14,720
It's also supported in the dollar index.
490
00:31:15,320 --> 00:31:20,450
When all these things come together,
they dovetail into a beautiful tapestry
491
00:31:20,450 --> 00:31:22,820
where you're going to see a profitable.
492
00:31:24,105 --> 00:31:28,485
And your analysis now, as long as
you stick to those types of trades,
493
00:31:29,054 --> 00:31:30,225
you're going to do very, very well.
494
00:31:30,885 --> 00:31:34,304
You don't need a whole lot of trades
throughout the year and notice that
495
00:31:34,304 --> 00:31:38,385
there's not a whole lot of overlapping
going on between what we've shown so far.
496
00:31:39,165 --> 00:31:42,794
Certain currency pairs have
certain seasonal tendencies.
497
00:31:43,814 --> 00:31:47,865
Now by far and large, they're all
going to bend in the, to the dollar.
498
00:31:49,035 --> 00:31:53,205
And we're going to have a 4.3
teaching with seasonal tendencies,
499
00:31:53,205 --> 00:31:55,455
where I'm going to show you the
seasonal tenants of the dollar index.
500
00:31:56,085 --> 00:31:58,725
And we're actually apply that
to other studies as well.
501
00:31:58,725 --> 00:32:02,865
But for now, I want you to be encouraged.
502
00:32:03,285 --> 00:32:03,405
Now.
503
00:32:03,425 --> 00:32:04,555
I don't want you to get so excited.
504
00:32:04,605 --> 00:32:05,715
You feel like you won a lottery.
505
00:32:05,925 --> 00:32:06,255
Okay.
506
00:32:06,255 --> 00:32:09,345
But the seasonal tendencies
are very, very powerful.
507
00:32:09,345 --> 00:32:13,065
And when you use them in the right
context, they lead to an analysis
508
00:32:13,065 --> 00:32:16,395
perspective that again, most
aren't going to be able to attend.
509
00:32:17,879 --> 00:32:19,889
Everyone looks at just price action alone.
510
00:32:19,919 --> 00:32:23,820
But if you look at what price has
done historically, and dare I say
511
00:32:23,820 --> 00:32:29,580
it hindsight, it's a gold mine of
information because it leads to and
512
00:32:29,580 --> 00:32:30,960
understanding what should take place.
513
00:32:31,560 --> 00:32:34,679
And it shows that there's yes,
there is manipulation in the
514
00:32:34,679 --> 00:32:38,520
marketplace, but by far and large,
these markets move by a certain.
515
00:32:39,555 --> 00:32:41,805
And they repeat themselves
over and over and over again.
516
00:32:42,105 --> 00:32:44,835
And if something comes to the
marketplace to upset what would be
517
00:32:44,835 --> 00:32:49,515
otherwise a bearish time of the year,
but yet it posts something bullish.
518
00:32:49,725 --> 00:32:53,085
For instance, look what we're seeing
here mid February to mid March.
519
00:32:53,595 --> 00:32:57,075
We're not seeing bears in this there
we're seeing consolidation in the market
520
00:32:57,075 --> 00:33:01,455
rallies away and it falls in may, but it
only falls down to the mid consolidation
521
00:33:01,455 --> 00:33:03,735
point or around a 67 big figure.
522
00:33:04,365 --> 00:33:05,925
Then it creates another rally.
523
00:33:07,440 --> 00:33:12,150
If you remember all through 2016,
I, I was telling everyone that the
524
00:33:12,180 --> 00:33:13,770
New Zealand dollar was going higher.
525
00:33:14,250 --> 00:33:19,080
It was strong, relatively speaking, just
like the Aussie dollar was those two
526
00:33:19,080 --> 00:33:23,730
currencies were the ones that held up
the most during 2016, when all the other
527
00:33:23,730 --> 00:33:29,790
payers variously moods lower against the
strength of the dollar also noticed that
528
00:33:29,790 --> 00:33:31,770
we had that sell off as a short term.
529
00:33:32,340 --> 00:33:35,685
Um, Verus idea in January.
530
00:33:36,045 --> 00:33:37,725
It actually materializes here as well.
531
00:33:38,415 --> 00:33:40,875
So think about if you're a day
trader, if you're a short-term trader.
532
00:33:41,685 --> 00:33:42,045
Okay.
533
00:33:42,045 --> 00:33:47,535
You can use those ideas to get you in
sync with long-term position trades on
534
00:33:47,535 --> 00:33:49,935
these higher timeframe, seasonal tenants.
535
00:33:51,469 --> 00:33:53,120
You're gonna be able to
blend all these things.
536
00:33:53,120 --> 00:33:55,729
By the time you're done with this
mentorship, you'll be able to go in
537
00:33:56,060 --> 00:33:58,189
and dissect any market or any market.
538
00:33:58,340 --> 00:34:01,129
You'll be able to dissect any
asset class and know right away.
539
00:34:01,129 --> 00:34:02,090
If there's an opportunity.
540
00:34:02,120 --> 00:34:03,949
If there isn't an opportunity
to move to the sideline.
541
00:34:05,335 --> 00:34:10,225
And by having a seasonal tendency in
your toolbox, it'll give you when you
542
00:34:10,225 --> 00:34:13,405
should be looking for something that's
really loaded in your favor, the move,
543
00:34:13,764 --> 00:34:17,905
because seasonally and historically
these times of the year in this
544
00:34:18,054 --> 00:34:21,925
particular currency, there are times
when it makes significant price moves.
545
00:34:22,495 --> 00:34:25,945
And if we can focus on trading on
those timeframes and those setups
546
00:34:25,945 --> 00:34:28,915
alone, we are really basically
framing high probabilities.
547
00:34:30,489 --> 00:34:34,120
You're not going to get perfect winners,
but you're going to have high probability
548
00:34:34,120 --> 00:34:39,850
conditions where even if you use this
as a directional bias tool, it'll help
549
00:34:39,850 --> 00:34:41,169
you in all facets of your trading.
550
00:34:41,199 --> 00:34:42,549
No matter what discipline you use.
551
00:34:43,239 --> 00:34:47,319
Swing trade, short term day, trade
or scalp until next lesson wish
552
00:34:47,319 --> 00:34:48,460
you good luck and good trading.
49671
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