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All right, guys, we're going to be
looking at a data range example and what
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we focusing on the Australian dollar.
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Now, if you've noticed we've had a little
bit of a runoff on Aussie, and we're gonna
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break this down a little bit and context,
why I was expecting the, the levels
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that we're looking at now to be here.
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Looking at the charts that
we share on the forum.
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So if you're not paying attention to
those charts or if you're not saving
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them, um, it might be a good idea
of while we're doing this month, not
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that I'm encouraging you to do this
throughout the mentorship, but when
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we do, um, daily review, I'm taking
you basically to the points at which
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I'm drawing my attention to on my own
journal, how I have reference points on
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my own charts, what you see me, me noting
on those daily entries on the forum.
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They're the points at which I'm
keeping focus in my own journal at
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any salient points that would be,
um, in addition to those levels, I
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will make in terms of commentary.
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The month of January, when we do these
daily entries where I do the dollar
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index, that Euro dollar British pound, us
dollar, dollar, cat, and Aussie dollar.
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When I share them with you,
don't just click on them and wait
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for some kind of a neon sign.
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Say, buy here, sell here.
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I want you to be focusing on what I'm
drawing your attention to, and then
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watching how price moves to these.
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Regardless of what type of
trader you're going to be.
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You're going to need to be focusing on
how that happens from beginning or from
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foresight to when now we can talk about
it in hindsight, because all these things
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are going to help you prepare yourself
for when you anticipate something and
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then waiting throughout that process.
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Because it's not is quickly learned
by simply looking at hindsight example
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where I can say, okay, this is what
we said the market was going to do.
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This is where we thought the
market was going to happen.
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And here it is, bang.
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When you see it in the charts and draw
your attention is drawn to it beforehand.
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There's a submission to
time that's required.
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And unfortunately we glossed over
that many times, even as educators
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like myself, it's hard to communicate.
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What's required.
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In terms of having to wait for that
thing to unfold or develop in the chart
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just simply because we have a level or
an order block or a target, even for
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price to get to when you show a hindsight
example, that part of the lesson, which
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in my opinion, is the, that's the main,
that's the main point you have to learn.
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You have to learn to wait
for these things on unfold.
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The impatience.
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The market presents us an opportunity
to experience is overwhelming sometimes.
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And while I'm at many times a credited
for being very patient, I am not
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really a patient person at all.
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I'm very impatient.
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Uh, this, the reason why I don't do
long-term assistant trading, but.
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I'm going to counsel you to go in every
single day when we do our daily entries
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for the content, whether it be a video, a
review, or whether it be a, a teaching, or
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if it's something along the lines of just
simply providing the charts you want to be
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really copying those charts, printing them
out, make, you know, hold me, hold me to.
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The standard of, if I know what I'm doing,
then it should be evidenced in this.
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Okay.
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It's for, you know, for the most part,
we've seen many times that occurring,
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but for your learning, you need this.
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Okay.
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This is when this was noted.
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This is when the observation was made to
how long did it take for this to occur?
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Now, since January is focused,
primarily on the daily chart,
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obviously each daily candle, when
it paints and closes for the day, it
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obviously takes 24 hours to do that.
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So, yes.
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We can glibly say that takes 24 hours for
this came up form, and this is what it
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takes in terms of, uh, the setup or level
being reached over this period of time.
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It took three days or
four days or two weeks.
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You need to experience that you
need to be being mindful of how
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long those things take, especially
on these hard timeframe charts.
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If you don't do this and you're new, or
you're just a relatively inexperienced.
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Some of you that are in my group that
have been trading for a long time,
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know exactly what I'm referring to.
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There, there's a big gap in between
learning something with examples and
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hindsight and textbook, and even being
taught something in a webinar or a
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workshop live where people say, this
is what happened in the marketplace.
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It's missing that element
of having to endure.
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What needs to be waited upon
to come into your chart?
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You can't just simply say, okay,
well, this is the outcome unexpecting.
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And therefore it needs
to happen on my time.
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That's the part that kills traders.
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It was very influential in my
early days as a trader because I
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needed it to happen right away.
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Because when I first started
trading, things were moving quick.
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They were fast.
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Mark.
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And then when I realized that it
wasn't like that always, it was a
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very big struggling point for me.
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Just go in every day, gather
those charts up, print them
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out, keep a running log of them.
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In fact, it's probably a good idea
just to print them out every day,
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get yourself a three ring binder,
punch some holes in it, datum.
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Okay.
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And then keep track.
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It's a good reference point to go back
on, on Saturdays and Sundays on the
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weekend when we're not really doing
anything, go back and look at what
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was observed before the fact and in
how long it took for these things to
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develop and those levels to be reached.
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And what was the response
after it got to the.
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Okay.
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So that's important.
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You go through a mentorship
with that in mind.
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I'm not just showing you trophies
or, you know, just things in passing.
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I'm really drawing to draw your
attention to something that I want
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you to focus on and study how long it
takes for these things to come through.
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I guess I get it.
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Let's get into the Australian dollar
example where the, if the data range.
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All right.
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So we have here a futures chart.
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Okay.
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This is the March contract, the
underlying daily chart of the futures
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contract or the Australian dollar.
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And by looking at the futures contract,
if we're going to be trading for X, okay.
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It's really important that
you, that you can get a lot
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of insights just by studying.
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The underlying futures price.
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So since we're going to be looking at
the Australian USD pair, as our case
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study, we're going to be looking at
how influential this study of just
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the futures contract alone, how that's
paramount and understanding how that
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moves right into and segues beautifully
into trading the foreign exchange market.
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If I were to do a poll right
now, and if we were all in
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the same room together, okay.
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And we simply said, Hey, look,
um, I've never traded for X or
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I've never shared a futures.
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If you.
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Studying one or the other, I guarantee
you a large percentage had probably
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80% or more, never really refer to
the opposite in terms of the analysis.
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So what I mean by that is if you're a
futures trader you've never considered
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what the foreign exchange markets doing,
or if you're a futures trader, I'm sorry.
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Of course, trader you've never
considered what the underlying
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futures contract is doing.
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Vice versa.
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It's imperative that you
understand what they're both doing.
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To get a complete picture.
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You want to be looking at
both now, obviously you right
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away, one's going to assume.
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Well, it should be the obvious.
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It should be the same thing because
the Australian is leading the
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payer Aussies versus the dollar.
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So therefore the Australian
underlying futures contract should
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be in fact, the same thing we see.
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The foreign exchange market and
by car and large, that's true.
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But there are certain data points
that you cannot get by looking
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at the foreign exchange market.
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There's simply no way of getting
that because foreign exchange
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doesn't give you volume.
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It doesn't give you accurate volume.
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Like you can get volume
from the underlying futures.
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And we'll talk more about that
as we go, but I want you to
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take a look at this chart here.
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Okay.
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And I'm looking at a little
bit less than six months.
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I wanted to show just this data range
because outside of this, the chart
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becomes spotty because it is a futures
contract and it's March delivery.
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Uh, prior to March, we had December's
contract and that's already expired.
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And now we're trading in the nearby
contract, which is March, 2017 Australian
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dollar when we taught or rather
when I taught the IPTA data ranges.
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Okay.
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Obviously I asked everyone to
hold off, sending me emails, but
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some of you were just overzealous
and want to know it right now.
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These are things that are going to
be building on your understanding
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as we go through the mentorship,
especially through January.
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But I want you to focus when you look at
your daily chart, just simply go through
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and look at the last three months.
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Okay.
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Start whatever, whatever time point
you're looking at, like right now, let's
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assume we sat down and charge right now.
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And this would be the first day
we're looking at Australians.
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We're a brand new trader brand new
to the concept we're sitting down.
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How will we pal, would we
go about looking at where.
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The crypto data ranges are.
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And if we're looking at Australian dollar,
you want to go from today's candle,
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which is what's being painted here.
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That, and it's not a came on notes, open
high, low, close, but you're gonna have
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to suffer through that because, uh, I had
to get these slides together and I promise
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there will be candlesticks shown, but
for now I want to focus on this because
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the open high loan closes important.
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The.
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Most recent market shift.
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Okay.
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In the last three months
occurred back in November.
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Now I know some of you that
are hard line critics are
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saying, well, here we go again.
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This is the Highmark hindsight thing.
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This is where hindsight is gold.
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You need to know what I'm going to show
you in this teaching, because it will
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clarify what the up-to-date arranges are
actually supposed to be dealing with.
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Some of you are thinking that it's
going to call the high and low 20
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days, 40 days and 60 days away.
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That's not what happens.
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Sometimes it can hurt.
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Sometimes it can occur, but
that's not what its job is.
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Okay.
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The question that comes up a lot is when
I'm looking for a order block to buy on
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for, if I'm looking at an order block
to sell into, or if I'm looking for an
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area of buy stocks or sell stocks, which
one should I expect them to go after?
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Which one are they going to respect?
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How do I know if it's not going
to keep on going through an old
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high and not be a turtle soup?
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All those scenarios and those ideas,
while I told everyone in the beginning,
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if you were just patient and waited
and all those questions with the
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answer, but some of you are just
really, really impatient and I get it.
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You're excited.
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And you think that you're not going
to learn all this stuff in the
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remaining time of the mentorship,
but trust me, I'm committed.
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You will learn it years, tons
of information come and type to
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you, but you have to let me go
through the process of teaching it.
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This is the first time I taught this.
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To trust me, I've been
successful in the past.
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Okay.
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So just go along with the process.
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But if we look at back in November,
we can clearly see that there was a
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major market shift in November, 2016.
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Now what that does, it gives
us a great deal of insight.
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We can't take a Tynecastle
travel back in time.
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Okay.
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And be back in November
and go short there.
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But we can use the information that
our daily charts are telling us there.
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That means there was a
great deal of displacing.
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By the large players or smart money.
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When we see that in November, what
we're seeing here is the underlying
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futures contract of the Australian
dollar has a market shift right there.
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That's a quarterly market.
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Over the last three to six months.
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That's the most obvious one.
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You can clearly see it.
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If I was to ask everyone, if we were
all in the same room, raise your hand.
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If you can clearly say that that is
the most obvious market shift in the
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last three to six months, everybody
integratively would raise their hand.
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They would click thick.
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Obviously, if you can see
it, you can't deny it.
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That's what you're looking for
every three months, there's going
230
00:12:29,415 --> 00:12:31,785
to be something like this occurring.
231
00:12:31,875 --> 00:12:32,564
It could be a similar.
232
00:12:33,330 --> 00:12:38,160
Creating a high, or it could be a,
a low where it starts to rally, but
233
00:12:38,190 --> 00:12:42,630
every three months, I want you to
look at your charts and anticipate
234
00:12:43,050 --> 00:12:46,080
finding that in hindsight now.
235
00:12:46,110 --> 00:12:46,530
Great.
236
00:12:46,650 --> 00:12:47,190
That's wonderful.
237
00:12:47,190 --> 00:12:48,210
You can see it in hindsight.
238
00:12:48,570 --> 00:12:49,800
What do you do with that information?
239
00:12:49,800 --> 00:12:54,720
See, this is what I have an issue
with, like with Elliott wave and
240
00:12:54,990 --> 00:13:00,090
all these other very, they're
just, they're highly subjective.
241
00:13:01,290 --> 00:13:02,480
If the market really is.
242
00:13:03,630 --> 00:13:08,310
Influenced or controlled by smart
money, or if there is what I'm telling
243
00:13:08,310 --> 00:13:11,520
you, there is an algorithm that
controls what price is going to do.
244
00:13:11,520 --> 00:13:12,810
It's absolutely not random.
245
00:13:13,110 --> 00:13:20,340
It's predetermined it's, it's running
on a script that refers to specific data
246
00:13:20,340 --> 00:13:26,850
points that it will go back to over and
over and over again, the IPTA data range.
247
00:13:27,270 --> 00:13:27,720
Okay.
248
00:13:28,170 --> 00:13:32,070
You have a 20 day look back and cast for.
249
00:13:33,255 --> 00:13:39,015
Range, you have a 40 day look back and
cast forward range, and then you have a
250
00:13:39,015 --> 00:13:41,834
60 day look back and cast forward range.
251
00:13:42,675 --> 00:13:48,464
What I'm suggesting to you is if
you are looking at price and you
252
00:13:48,464 --> 00:13:51,915
see a, for instance, they have a
market structure shift here, and the
253
00:13:51,915 --> 00:13:53,415
quarterly shift occurs in November.
254
00:13:54,285 --> 00:13:58,635
That means that now the market is in a
cell profile from that point until it
255
00:13:58,635 --> 00:14:01,454
gets to a level of significant counter.
256
00:14:02,995 --> 00:14:07,165
Direction, what would cause it to
change direction or consolidate?
257
00:14:07,255 --> 00:14:10,975
That's the other thing, that's
the vague green, not green,
258
00:14:10,975 --> 00:14:12,564
but gray area in the analysis.
259
00:14:12,834 --> 00:14:17,635
Sometimes you won't see
a clear retracement or
260
00:14:17,665 --> 00:14:19,105
correction opposite direction.
261
00:14:19,194 --> 00:14:20,755
For instance, it's been
going down November.
262
00:14:21,115 --> 00:14:24,714
Uh, it could have very easily then
consolidating here going into January.
263
00:14:25,650 --> 00:14:25,949
Okay.
264
00:14:26,110 --> 00:14:29,790
And to February, it doesn't
need to be a countertrend move.
265
00:14:29,850 --> 00:14:32,610
Like we're seeing unfold here
since the last week of December,
266
00:14:33,150 --> 00:14:34,650
it can be a consolidation.
267
00:14:35,250 --> 00:14:39,630
And as we go further into the content
for the January, uh, delivery of the
268
00:14:39,640 --> 00:14:42,780
information, we'll talk about when
it does or when to anticipate when
269
00:14:42,780 --> 00:14:47,189
it's going to go on the consolidation
and not have a counter swing.
270
00:14:48,780 --> 00:14:50,910
So back in November, we
see that there's a high.
271
00:14:52,170 --> 00:14:55,710
What's what's really going
on that low here is broken.
272
00:14:56,100 --> 00:14:58,920
So we have a shift in market
structure and it breaks lower.
273
00:14:59,850 --> 00:15:04,320
We know that we can see it because it's
taken out an area of equal highs and
274
00:15:04,320 --> 00:15:09,330
we've pierced above that, taking out the
Bi-State liquidity pool and that's seen
275
00:15:09,330 --> 00:15:13,890
here that was the, uh, that was the basis
and the framework around what caused the
276
00:15:13,890 --> 00:15:19,430
market structure shift that quarterly
effect comes in, uh, to operation at that.
277
00:15:20,354 --> 00:15:20,714
Okay.
278
00:15:21,074 --> 00:15:24,224
Where our eyes go
immediately back to November.
279
00:15:24,285 --> 00:15:28,905
Cause you can clearly see it when you see
that and you delineate down your chart.
280
00:15:28,905 --> 00:15:32,385
What you're doing is, is you're now
identifying the beginning of November.
281
00:15:33,045 --> 00:15:35,864
So you have to have a basis
point where, where is it?
282
00:15:36,255 --> 00:15:37,275
Where did it all begin?
283
00:15:37,724 --> 00:15:41,775
Because if you don't get yourself in
sync with what if the most recently.
284
00:15:42,825 --> 00:15:46,515
And if the is the interbank price
delivery algorithm, that's where
285
00:15:46,515 --> 00:15:50,445
your notes again, you're going to
delineate where the most obvious one
286
00:15:50,445 --> 00:15:56,435
in the last three months has been,
then you're going to cast out 20 days.
287
00:15:57,900 --> 00:16:02,280
Go forward from the beginning of
the month that that market structure
288
00:16:02,490 --> 00:16:04,530
shift or quarterly shift takes place.
289
00:16:04,920 --> 00:16:06,900
You're going to count out 20 days.
290
00:16:07,050 --> 00:16:07,350
Now.
291
00:16:07,680 --> 00:16:10,170
It may not even be 20 days.
292
00:16:10,170 --> 00:16:12,390
You may look at the chart and say,
Hey, this is an obvious one right here.
293
00:16:12,390 --> 00:16:13,260
Something's really going on.
294
00:16:14,069 --> 00:16:18,390
If you do that, you're really
doing too much anticipation.
295
00:16:19,050 --> 00:16:22,780
You got to go back to the most obvious one
and it may require you going back through.
296
00:16:24,235 --> 00:16:28,285
But find the most recent one where
the market structure has shifted and
297
00:16:28,285 --> 00:16:29,785
there was a move that took place.
298
00:16:29,785 --> 00:16:31,344
There was obvious bullish or bearish.
299
00:16:31,704 --> 00:16:32,094
Okay.
300
00:16:32,545 --> 00:16:35,214
And if they really easy, if you
just divide your, your daily
301
00:16:35,214 --> 00:16:39,834
chart into, uh, quarters, like
put one, put a line on March, but
302
00:16:39,834 --> 00:16:43,854
align on, uh, June and September,
December, and just keep doing that.
303
00:16:44,275 --> 00:16:45,625
You're you're I will go right to.
304
00:16:46,515 --> 00:16:48,194
These quarterly shifts are happening.
305
00:16:48,194 --> 00:16:49,995
They're not going to always
occur on those months.
306
00:16:50,324 --> 00:16:52,425
There's a little bit of gray area,
which is the reason why we have
307
00:16:52,425 --> 00:16:54,135
a look back in a cast forward.
308
00:16:55,694 --> 00:16:57,105
The up-to-date arrange.
309
00:16:57,464 --> 00:16:57,824
Okay.
310
00:16:57,855 --> 00:17:01,814
What it's really doing is it's
highlighting you as the trader.
311
00:17:01,845 --> 00:17:05,024
You're going to try to mimic
what this algorithm is doing.
312
00:17:05,835 --> 00:17:11,595
It's looking for the liquidity in
the range of 60 days in the past.
313
00:17:12,885 --> 00:17:15,435
Where is the cell stops
in the last 60 days?
314
00:17:16,755 --> 00:17:22,964
Where the buy stops in the last 60
days, where are the fair value gaps?
315
00:17:22,964 --> 00:17:25,575
Where's the price gaps that
price has not been efficiently
316
00:17:25,575 --> 00:17:27,135
delivered in the last 60 days.
317
00:17:28,545 --> 00:17:34,065
Where are the, um, the liquidity voids
where price has only been delivered on
318
00:17:34,065 --> 00:17:37,635
the upside, where it has to come back down
to efficiently deliver price and balance
319
00:17:37,635 --> 00:17:42,945
it out by going back down and closing
in that range, optimal trade entries.
320
00:17:42,945 --> 00:17:43,725
That's where that comes from.
321
00:17:44,895 --> 00:17:48,345
Where are the equilibrium price points?
322
00:17:49,395 --> 00:17:51,465
Does it have to return back
to equilibrium equilibrium?
323
00:17:51,795 --> 00:17:53,325
Did we get too far ahead of ourselves?
324
00:17:53,325 --> 00:17:54,495
Do we extend too far?
325
00:17:54,795 --> 00:17:58,425
Do we have to come back and retrace
minor retracement before we see the
326
00:17:58,425 --> 00:18:04,815
next leg lower by looking at the market
structure shift that takes place in this
327
00:18:04,815 --> 00:18:09,315
November time period, we are in essence
saying that this is a quarterly shift,
328
00:18:09,855 --> 00:18:11,415
therefore, because of the daily chart.
329
00:18:12,225 --> 00:18:16,845
This is going to give us insight about
what the market should do on a three
330
00:18:16,845 --> 00:18:19,485
month timeline as much as six months.
331
00:18:20,145 --> 00:18:24,585
But I like to remind you that I'm only
really looking for about three months,
332
00:18:24,585 --> 00:18:26,535
horizon time, horizon that far out.
333
00:18:26,595 --> 00:18:28,125
I don't like to look beyond that.
334
00:18:28,125 --> 00:18:31,455
And there's many, many times I can
show you in journals where I had it.
335
00:18:31,455 --> 00:18:31,785
Right.
336
00:18:32,235 --> 00:18:33,405
But I wrote just because I had it right.
337
00:18:33,405 --> 00:18:34,935
Doesn't mean I was
executing on every trade.
338
00:18:36,090 --> 00:18:40,350
But many times I'm really accurate in
about four to six weeks time horizon.
339
00:18:40,500 --> 00:18:43,620
And it's about the half-life
of a three month cycle.
340
00:18:44,580 --> 00:18:50,370
So if I think that the time horizon
is, um, consistently derived at,
341
00:18:50,640 --> 00:18:53,790
by looking at three months out by
using the daily chart like this.
342
00:18:55,035 --> 00:18:59,325
That's my belief I'm firm in my
belief that I believe I can teach
343
00:18:59,325 --> 00:19:03,135
you how to do that and have a three
month horizon by having that, that
344
00:19:03,165 --> 00:19:08,145
is a great deal of opportunities for
all disciplines of trading long-term
345
00:19:08,145 --> 00:19:12,585
position, swing short-term intra-day
scalping, all that stuff can be done
346
00:19:12,585 --> 00:19:14,715
effectively by having this time horizon.
347
00:19:15,285 --> 00:19:19,455
But when we find the clear
market structure shift
348
00:19:19,575 --> 00:19:20,625
that happens every quarter.
349
00:19:21,585 --> 00:19:25,095
Every three to four months or
so we find it, we identified
350
00:19:25,095 --> 00:19:26,385
the beginning of that month.
351
00:19:26,445 --> 00:19:28,215
You got to roll back to that first month.
352
00:19:28,365 --> 00:19:29,595
Why are we doing that?
353
00:19:29,775 --> 00:19:33,645
Why does it have to go back to the first
month, first of the month, rather because
354
00:19:34,005 --> 00:19:39,015
if an algorithm and I'm not sure if any
of you are aware of how computer programs
355
00:19:39,015 --> 00:19:46,365
are made or designed, but when a systems
analyst sits down with a company and they
356
00:19:46,365 --> 00:19:47,825
say, okay, look, this is what I want.
357
00:19:48,765 --> 00:19:53,115
Um, the output to be, or
I need a report generator.
358
00:19:53,385 --> 00:19:56,775
That's going to give me this
outcome, or I need this information,
359
00:19:56,775 --> 00:19:59,775
or I need this computation
made, I need this process done.
360
00:20:00,675 --> 00:20:01,065
Okay.
361
00:20:01,065 --> 00:20:03,435
The system analysis system
analyst is going to say, okay,
362
00:20:03,465 --> 00:20:06,075
well, what, what data points.
363
00:20:07,140 --> 00:20:11,160
You making available to me so I can sit
down with my team of computer programmers.
364
00:20:11,520 --> 00:20:11,850
Okay.
365
00:20:11,850 --> 00:20:16,290
And the analyst will make a documentation
stage where he sits down and
366
00:20:16,320 --> 00:20:19,380
outlines the overall macro process.
367
00:20:19,980 --> 00:20:24,840
Now because of what they're dealing
with, they are taught and learn
368
00:20:25,170 --> 00:20:28,740
computer programming to some degree,
but they are not doing the programming.
369
00:20:29,220 --> 00:20:30,390
They put all of the.
370
00:20:31,155 --> 00:20:33,825
Context around what is supposed to happen?
371
00:20:33,825 --> 00:20:37,935
What processes are there, w if this is
done, then this should be done as well.
372
00:20:37,935 --> 00:20:38,895
What checks and balances.
373
00:20:38,895 --> 00:20:44,265
And it's basically the documentation stage
of the process of a computer program.
374
00:20:44,715 --> 00:20:48,254
Then the computer programmers take that
information and they actually code it out.
375
00:20:48,735 --> 00:20:53,295
Now it comes from computer program
and a computer programmer it's
376
00:20:53,295 --> 00:20:56,055
completely utterly blind and useless.
377
00:20:56,355 --> 00:20:58,035
If he doesn't have data points that.
378
00:20:58,980 --> 00:21:03,270
You can't have a computer program,
do anything of any value, unless it
379
00:21:03,270 --> 00:21:05,880
knows where to draw data points from.
380
00:21:06,210 --> 00:21:09,930
And there has to be an array
of information coming to it to
381
00:21:09,930 --> 00:21:11,310
process and do calculations.
382
00:21:11,670 --> 00:21:14,160
So my here's my, this was my epiphany.
383
00:21:14,670 --> 00:21:14,910
Okay.
384
00:21:14,910 --> 00:21:18,270
When I was sitting down with the
folks that were introducing these
385
00:21:18,270 --> 00:21:22,410
ideas to me and no, they're not
in the teaching circuit, you're
386
00:21:22,410 --> 00:21:23,610
never going to meet these people.
387
00:21:23,670 --> 00:21:24,000
Okay.
388
00:21:24,870 --> 00:21:30,030
When I was introduced on how the
markets actually work and operate, the
389
00:21:30,390 --> 00:21:35,280
fast thing I've, uh, fastest and most
obvious thing I learned was there was
390
00:21:35,280 --> 00:21:38,730
no ambiguity to how price moves around.
391
00:21:39,210 --> 00:21:46,470
There was no randomness because they were
talking about things that had a financial.
392
00:21:47,785 --> 00:21:51,625
Or origination where it wasn't
like it could have been this day.
393
00:21:51,625 --> 00:21:52,885
It could have been that year.
394
00:21:52,885 --> 00:21:53,754
It could have been this month.
395
00:21:53,785 --> 00:21:54,415
No, no, no, no.
396
00:21:54,445 --> 00:21:56,095
It's absolutely nothing like that.
397
00:21:56,875 --> 00:22:01,225
If you understand it, we're going to be
referring to things that are numerical.
398
00:22:01,885 --> 00:22:03,475
They are price related.
399
00:22:04,225 --> 00:22:06,055
They are value based.
400
00:22:06,055 --> 00:22:08,575
That means that we have to look
at a specific level in price,
401
00:22:09,175 --> 00:22:11,605
but how does the algorithm go?
402
00:22:11,605 --> 00:22:12,625
Just to end the old price?
403
00:22:12,625 --> 00:22:14,195
How does the algorithm know that?
404
00:22:14,195 --> 00:22:16,165
Get that that's where the large one-stop.
405
00:22:17,855 --> 00:22:22,295
So this is what's taught and permeated
in the teaching, uh, circuits in an
406
00:22:22,295 --> 00:22:24,215
education for trading, they teach.
407
00:22:24,245 --> 00:22:27,155
And I've said these things before,
but I used it to communicate to
408
00:22:27,155 --> 00:22:31,325
you the idea, because most people
don't understand fund level trading.
409
00:22:31,325 --> 00:22:32,885
They don't understand
institutional trading.
410
00:22:33,305 --> 00:22:35,015
They don't, they don't
know those types of things.
411
00:22:35,015 --> 00:22:38,435
They just think I got an account with
my broker, so therefore I'm trading.
412
00:22:38,705 --> 00:22:41,465
And if I get stopped out, it's
my broker that did it to me.
413
00:22:41,585 --> 00:22:43,055
And many times that's true.
414
00:22:44,594 --> 00:22:49,754
The delivery of price from the central
bank level, that movement that repricing
415
00:22:49,784 --> 00:22:55,875
is really not always, but on a short
term, it's being repriced to take into
416
00:22:55,875 --> 00:23:01,574
account for large liquidity pools that are
available on the large fund trading realm.
417
00:23:02,865 --> 00:23:03,915
Your little mom and pop.
418
00:23:04,185 --> 00:23:07,065
FXCM not your Owanda you?
419
00:23:07,065 --> 00:23:08,955
None of those, none of those things.
420
00:23:09,014 --> 00:23:09,465
Okay.
421
00:23:09,524 --> 00:23:12,135
Are obvious are on the radar
screen for what I'm teaching
422
00:23:12,135 --> 00:23:14,685
you here, but they are in close.
423
00:23:15,524 --> 00:23:19,245
Um, they're, they're basically
in alignment with the same thing.
424
00:23:19,245 --> 00:23:19,485
Okay.
425
00:23:19,485 --> 00:23:23,175
But they're not this, these
movements for these runs on stops.
426
00:23:23,445 --> 00:23:25,065
They're not looking
at, oh, here's Michael.
427
00:23:25,935 --> 00:23:26,175
Okay.
428
00:23:26,175 --> 00:23:30,555
Here's a Jon Jones from, uh,
Allentown, Pennsylvania stops.
429
00:23:30,645 --> 00:23:31,035
Okay.
430
00:23:31,395 --> 00:23:33,255
They, they don't have
that type of information.
431
00:23:33,255 --> 00:23:34,395
They don't see you.
432
00:23:34,635 --> 00:23:36,525
They don't have any identification of you.
433
00:23:36,855 --> 00:23:41,955
They don't have any identification to
retail at all, but because these ideas
434
00:23:41,955 --> 00:23:46,695
are taught across the board the same
way, because it's been put out there to
435
00:23:46,695 --> 00:23:50,925
be done this way, because eventually if
you're, uh, if you are a, an accurate.
436
00:23:51,720 --> 00:23:53,160
That's a retail-based trader.
437
00:23:53,550 --> 00:23:54,000
Okay.
438
00:23:54,420 --> 00:23:57,750
Eventually if you're profitable to
some degree, what eventually happens
439
00:23:57,750 --> 00:24:02,130
to some of these people, they get
very high minded of themselves.
440
00:24:02,430 --> 00:24:04,980
They think then they they're
great at what they're doing.
441
00:24:04,980 --> 00:24:06,270
So therefore they're profitable.
442
00:24:06,420 --> 00:24:08,850
And the first thing they want to do
is prove it to the world, by having
443
00:24:08,850 --> 00:24:10,290
everyone else give them their money.
444
00:24:10,620 --> 00:24:12,450
And they're going to be a
trader that manages funds.
445
00:24:13,530 --> 00:24:15,990
No one wakes up and is born a large fund.
446
00:24:17,100 --> 00:24:20,190
They come up through the ranks of
being a profitable retail trader.
447
00:24:20,610 --> 00:24:23,700
So are they going to come into
that realm and change the way
448
00:24:23,700 --> 00:24:24,510
they've been doing things?
449
00:24:24,510 --> 00:24:25,620
Absolutely not.
450
00:24:26,370 --> 00:24:28,200
It's the same thing
they're going to do there.
451
00:24:28,320 --> 00:24:32,520
Then the difference is they have a
process on the fund level that they have
452
00:24:32,520 --> 00:24:37,350
to go through specific parameters and
guidelines and stay within these to be
453
00:24:37,800 --> 00:24:41,940
compliant with whoever's running that,
uh, that operation behind the scenes.
454
00:24:41,940 --> 00:24:43,050
And just because you're a large.
455
00:24:43,889 --> 00:24:46,830
Manager, unless you're
operating alone and independent.
456
00:24:47,070 --> 00:24:51,000
If you go to work for an agency
and you are a fund trader and
457
00:24:51,000 --> 00:24:55,470
you're managing under their
umbrella, then you have guidelines.
458
00:24:55,470 --> 00:24:58,590
You have to work within there's
there's rules and, and things that you
459
00:24:58,590 --> 00:25:02,370
can't do outside of these, or you're
you're, you know, you basically get
460
00:25:02,370 --> 00:25:04,649
canned you're out the door you're
gone and you can't manage anything.
461
00:25:04,919 --> 00:25:05,639
You don't spell.
462
00:25:05,639 --> 00:25:05,790
You.
463
00:25:06,885 --> 00:25:09,525
But these ideas are the same.
464
00:25:09,915 --> 00:25:13,395
So how can an algorithm or a
country we'll just say it like this.
465
00:25:13,665 --> 00:25:17,625
How can a computer program
know where everyone stopped is?
466
00:25:18,975 --> 00:25:24,585
It has to have a range of data
now just because we have the, the
467
00:25:24,585 --> 00:25:26,955
numbers of price, the value of price.
468
00:25:27,195 --> 00:25:27,615
Okay.
469
00:25:28,185 --> 00:25:31,485
They have to have a look
back period to look back.
470
00:25:31,485 --> 00:25:34,295
Period is 20 days, 40 days and 60.
471
00:25:35,760 --> 00:25:40,380
And what you're doing is, is, and this
is what I want you to do with your time
472
00:25:40,380 --> 00:25:44,340
after today's teaching, while you're
waiting for today's daily recap video.
473
00:25:44,340 --> 00:25:45,780
Cause there'll be two, let's go up.
474
00:25:45,810 --> 00:25:47,490
This is the teaching video for today.
475
00:25:47,970 --> 00:25:50,580
And then we'll have a daily review
where I do like 10, 15 minutes
476
00:25:50,580 --> 00:25:51,300
talking about what's already had.
477
00:25:52,735 --> 00:25:54,205
And I'll give you the
charts and stuff to study.
478
00:25:55,015 --> 00:25:57,235
I want you to spend
your time this evening.
479
00:25:57,385 --> 00:25:57,865
Okay.
480
00:25:58,225 --> 00:26:00,895
And even tomorrow, while we're
not doing any live session,
481
00:26:01,135 --> 00:26:02,275
go back through your charts.
482
00:26:02,335 --> 00:26:04,705
And don't just look at
the Australian dollar.
483
00:26:04,795 --> 00:26:05,995
Look at every currency pair.
484
00:26:06,025 --> 00:26:07,255
Look at every commodity.
485
00:26:07,525 --> 00:26:08,965
Look at individual stock.
486
00:26:08,965 --> 00:26:13,375
Look at indices and you'll see quickly
by studying this, it will become
487
00:26:13,375 --> 00:26:16,165
quickly clear that there no random now.
488
00:26:16,875 --> 00:26:20,835
There's a specific pattern that
this thing does all the time.
489
00:26:20,865 --> 00:26:27,705
Now it used to be a manual thing where
the market maker was a real person.
490
00:26:28,035 --> 00:26:32,895
They sat there and they worked with a
team of individuals that manipulated
491
00:26:32,895 --> 00:26:36,195
price to do these very things,
but because everything has become
492
00:26:36,195 --> 00:26:38,265
so streamlined and efficient by.
493
00:26:39,090 --> 00:26:43,320
Uh, artificial intelligence, AI, the,
uh, the effectiveness of algorithms.
494
00:26:43,410 --> 00:26:43,800
Okay.
495
00:26:44,520 --> 00:26:45,690
That's been implemented now.
496
00:26:46,080 --> 00:26:48,780
It's much more efficient to do
that, and there's no emotion.
497
00:26:48,960 --> 00:26:50,340
It just does what it needs to do.
498
00:26:50,730 --> 00:26:55,980
So if a computer program or I'm quoting
with my fingers now, the interbank price
499
00:26:55,980 --> 00:26:59,640
delivery algorithm, that computer program,
we're going to call it from this point on,
500
00:27:00,480 --> 00:27:04,290
for this teaching, for it to be effective.
501
00:27:04,350 --> 00:27:08,190
It has to know where to
look at, to find stuff.
502
00:27:09,195 --> 00:27:10,725
They don't see orders.
503
00:27:11,475 --> 00:27:12,555
That's not what's going on.
504
00:27:12,585 --> 00:27:13,665
They don't seek orders.
505
00:27:14,655 --> 00:27:18,105
The orders are executed on by
the traders at the bank level.
506
00:27:18,705 --> 00:27:21,945
The algorithm just permits the
price to move to that level,
507
00:27:21,945 --> 00:27:25,185
which gives the opportunity for
the traders to execute on that.
508
00:27:27,330 --> 00:27:28,500
That's the real story.
509
00:27:28,500 --> 00:27:29,610
That's what really goes on.
510
00:27:29,880 --> 00:27:33,660
Everybody else out there in this industry
will tell you what, what's this happening?
511
00:27:33,780 --> 00:27:37,280
And this guy here, he's, he's pushing
a button and it's doing this to happen.
512
00:27:37,280 --> 00:27:39,780
No, it's not, it's not, that's
not what's happening at all.
513
00:27:40,980 --> 00:27:46,230
The algorithm will look back 60
days and it'll find it's very easy.
514
00:27:46,230 --> 00:27:48,840
If you, if you're, if you know anything
about computer programming and you
515
00:27:48,840 --> 00:27:50,340
don't even have to do that, but just.
516
00:27:51,495 --> 00:27:52,425
1st of November.
517
00:27:53,145 --> 00:27:57,735
If you look back 60 days in the past, what
was the highest high in the last 60 days?
518
00:27:58,995 --> 00:28:00,765
There's going to be by
stops above that high.
519
00:28:02,055 --> 00:28:05,865
We're still lowest low in the last 60
days, there's going to be sell stocks
520
00:28:05,865 --> 00:28:09,165
below that low in the last 40 days.
521
00:28:09,165 --> 00:28:10,725
What was the last highest high?
522
00:28:11,025 --> 00:28:12,105
And what was the last lowest?
523
00:28:13,365 --> 00:28:16,815
Looking back in the range to the
left from that November red line that
524
00:28:16,815 --> 00:28:21,315
we're delineating on November, where
are the stops below and above those
525
00:28:21,315 --> 00:28:28,905
highs inside of the range of 20 days,
40 days and 60 days now and already
526
00:28:28,905 --> 00:28:32,115
know what some of you're thinking,
well, what happens if there's a
527
00:28:32,115 --> 00:28:35,235
low that's really, really obvious.
528
00:28:35,235 --> 00:28:38,235
That's just outside the range of 60 days.
529
00:28:38,235 --> 00:28:38,915
That's the farthest.
530
00:28:40,260 --> 00:28:45,180
That's when the open float will
move aggressively and go outside
531
00:28:45,180 --> 00:28:47,460
that normal parameter of 60 days.
532
00:28:47,640 --> 00:28:51,420
And you'll see that big run,
the marketable jump and skip
533
00:28:51,450 --> 00:28:53,570
right down into that old load.
534
00:28:53,570 --> 00:28:55,530
That's just outside that 60 day range.
535
00:28:55,920 --> 00:28:57,690
How do you know what it's
going to be an explosive move?
536
00:28:57,690 --> 00:29:01,980
Michael, when you have that
scenario, if didn't last 60 days,
537
00:29:02,190 --> 00:29:07,140
if they've already ran out the stops
below and low in the last 60 days.
538
00:29:08,100 --> 00:29:10,679
For above an old high in the last 60 days.
539
00:29:10,950 --> 00:29:16,230
And there is a larger, higher, high
or lower low, where the stocks will be
540
00:29:16,230 --> 00:29:17,850
resting above or below respectively.
541
00:29:18,629 --> 00:29:21,540
Then, then you know, there's going
to be a big run on price and they're
542
00:29:21,540 --> 00:29:25,139
going to run for that liquidity because
that's the only other thing that's left.
543
00:29:26,159 --> 00:29:30,720
The large funds have their orders
above and below these old highs.
544
00:29:31,890 --> 00:29:38,190
You work just like the algorithm will in a
60 day range, look back the last 60 days.
545
00:29:38,700 --> 00:29:40,200
And then you watch going forward.
546
00:29:40,200 --> 00:29:43,440
You cast forward 60 days and
you can literally have this on
547
00:29:43,440 --> 00:29:44,790
your chart and you go forward.
548
00:29:45,090 --> 00:29:46,470
Count forward 60 days.
549
00:29:46,680 --> 00:29:51,150
You can literally go on your daily chart
and empty four and change your date.
550
00:29:51,150 --> 00:29:53,430
60 days forward to make a vertical line.
551
00:29:53,820 --> 00:29:57,300
And that way as price starts to paint,
you'll know, you're approaching that 60.
552
00:29:58,155 --> 00:30:01,215
That means it's going to be forming
some measurable enemy, a term
553
00:30:01,215 --> 00:30:02,655
higher, low before that time.
554
00:30:03,254 --> 00:30:06,794
And it's going to create a liquidity
pool above an old high or below
555
00:30:06,794 --> 00:30:10,004
an old well, that's going to be
influential for future trades.
556
00:30:10,455 --> 00:30:14,385
The same thing occurs by looking back
on the last 40 days to the left of
557
00:30:14,385 --> 00:30:17,235
that November 1st look back 40 days.
558
00:30:17,534 --> 00:30:18,405
What was the lowest level?
559
00:30:18,405 --> 00:30:19,215
What was the highest level?
560
00:30:19,365 --> 00:30:21,705
I'm sorry, what was the highest
high rather in the lowest low
561
00:30:22,004 --> 00:30:23,084
you're by stops above the old.
562
00:30:23,895 --> 00:30:28,455
And the cell festival or that old whoa,
inside of that range of 40 days, that's
563
00:30:28,455 --> 00:30:30,975
where IFTA we'll look for that liquidity.
564
00:30:31,395 --> 00:30:35,565
Now it's not giving you a directional
bias yet on telling you it needs to
565
00:30:35,565 --> 00:30:40,875
use these reference points to find
where the stocks would logically be.
566
00:30:41,175 --> 00:30:42,405
See the AI cannot.
567
00:30:42,945 --> 00:30:45,435
It can't think for.
568
00:30:46,830 --> 00:30:47,669
They can't do that.
569
00:30:47,970 --> 00:30:52,770
But because human nature says that
we will, as traders put ourselves,
570
00:30:52,770 --> 00:30:56,699
stopped below a low and we will
put a buy stop above and old high
571
00:30:57,270 --> 00:30:58,740
that's all the algorithms doing.
572
00:30:58,770 --> 00:31:01,800
It's seeking to take price to that level.
573
00:31:02,429 --> 00:31:07,590
When it gets to that level, then
your broker, then the central
574
00:31:07,590 --> 00:31:13,230
bank can do a wild spike and
send it above 10 to 20 pips.
575
00:31:14,100 --> 00:31:17,520
Think about it, you know, 10 to
20 pips, they becomes logical.
576
00:31:17,580 --> 00:31:19,230
Why they do those big spikes.
577
00:31:19,590 --> 00:31:19,950
Okay.
578
00:31:19,950 --> 00:31:23,850
Intraday 20 and 10 and
20 pips above and OHI.
579
00:31:24,060 --> 00:31:25,050
Then it stops right.
580
00:31:25,050 --> 00:31:25,650
Many times, right?
581
00:31:25,660 --> 00:31:28,680
At 20 pips or 10 pips, and then
rejects that goes the other way.
582
00:31:29,430 --> 00:31:34,200
It first has to get to those levels
based on a daily chart in the realm of a.
583
00:31:35,760 --> 00:31:40,770
40, I'm sorry, 20 day, 40 day or 60
day, look back and then cast forward.
584
00:31:40,980 --> 00:31:46,770
So really what you're doing is that you
have 120 days of range from the past
585
00:31:46,770 --> 00:31:50,340
and going forward, there's going to be a
significant move on some of your breasts.
586
00:31:50,370 --> 00:31:52,770
Of course, there's going to
be a mood, Michael, come on.
587
00:31:52,770 --> 00:31:54,840
I mean, a lot can happen in 120 days.
588
00:31:54,870 --> 00:31:55,500
Yeah, you're right.
589
00:31:56,070 --> 00:31:59,460
But there's things that you have to
look for, that the algorithm's going
590
00:31:59,460 --> 00:32:02,510
to be doing to engineer these types of.
591
00:32:03,480 --> 00:32:07,800
The, you have to have these data points
to know why the market's going to go at
592
00:32:07,800 --> 00:32:11,850
an old low what old, low, well, where's
the lowest low in the last 20 days.
593
00:32:12,690 --> 00:32:14,610
Where's the last 40 days.
594
00:32:14,610 --> 00:32:16,470
Where's the lowest low in that range.
595
00:32:16,980 --> 00:32:18,750
Where's the highest
high in that last range.
596
00:32:19,110 --> 00:32:23,100
And you need to be noting those because
that's the one that they're going to run.
597
00:32:23,490 --> 00:32:24,230
They're going to run rate for.
598
00:32:26,034 --> 00:32:30,865
If there isn't anything that hasn't
been traded to in the last 60 days,
599
00:32:31,165 --> 00:32:34,165
if everything's been wiped out,
above and below the marketplace.
600
00:32:34,165 --> 00:32:37,495
In other words, the open float, all the
buy stops above old highs and all the
601
00:32:37,585 --> 00:32:41,304
sell stops, blue, all lows in the last
68 during your look back in other words,
602
00:32:41,304 --> 00:32:45,355
everything to the left of that November
vertical line at red line, if everything's
603
00:32:45,355 --> 00:32:50,395
been cleaned out above and below the
highs and lows, there's no more bikes.
604
00:32:51,254 --> 00:32:52,335
There's no more cell stops.
605
00:32:52,725 --> 00:32:55,305
It has to create a new expansion.
606
00:32:56,235 --> 00:33:01,965
So you have to identify what the next
high and low outside that range of
607
00:33:01,965 --> 00:33:04,275
60 days, looking back where that is.
608
00:33:05,175 --> 00:33:07,065
And that's going to tell you
where they're going to draw a
609
00:33:07,065 --> 00:33:08,655
price on this daily timeframe.
610
00:33:09,435 --> 00:33:12,735
It's more, it's more confirmed when
you start applying it to the weekly
611
00:33:12,735 --> 00:33:15,705
chart and the monthly chart, because
you'll start seeing things align
612
00:33:15,705 --> 00:33:19,965
where that old load it's just outside
of the last 60 days, looking at.
613
00:33:21,014 --> 00:33:22,815
There's an old low that may
not be on this chart here.
614
00:33:22,815 --> 00:33:23,175
I don't know.
615
00:33:23,175 --> 00:33:25,965
I'm just giving you a
hypothetical example.
616
00:33:26,835 --> 00:33:30,165
If there's an old load, it's just
outside the realm of September.
617
00:33:30,165 --> 00:33:34,695
In this example here, say maybe there's
August, there's a significant, lower, low.
618
00:33:35,415 --> 00:33:36,975
The market's gone to reach for that.
619
00:33:37,815 --> 00:33:42,165
There may be a high that's just outside
the September boundary in August
620
00:33:42,345 --> 00:33:44,595
that they may have turned around.
621
00:33:45,720 --> 00:33:47,189
And they make a run for that.
622
00:33:47,220 --> 00:33:51,990
Maybe it may be in the 78, uh,
price range for, uh, for Aussie.
623
00:33:52,949 --> 00:33:54,120
That's what you would be noting.
624
00:33:54,179 --> 00:33:57,389
And you're going to look for price to be
drawn to one of those two price points.
625
00:33:57,659 --> 00:34:00,300
And you look for evidences
that that institutional order
626
00:34:00,300 --> 00:34:02,070
flow is going that direction.
627
00:34:02,310 --> 00:34:03,540
Then you know where it's going.
628
00:34:03,600 --> 00:34:07,800
It gives you directional bias because
of the higher timeframe nature of this
629
00:34:07,949 --> 00:34:10,440
daily chart and weekly and monthly.
630
00:34:12,389 --> 00:34:13,080
And what we have here.
631
00:34:13,080 --> 00:34:15,210
This is the look forward.
632
00:34:15,389 --> 00:34:15,600
Okay.
633
00:34:15,600 --> 00:34:22,049
Our cast forward of November, this is
20 days out from the 1st of November.
634
00:34:22,529 --> 00:34:26,129
So we have 20 days here
inside of that 20 day range.
635
00:34:26,129 --> 00:34:30,870
There's going to be a significant set
up that you can use for your trading.
636
00:34:31,290 --> 00:34:35,089
It's moving up into the old load.
637
00:34:35,100 --> 00:34:36,270
It was formed in October.
638
00:34:37,645 --> 00:34:41,455
He goes in the consolidation law here,
we have a condition where the market
639
00:34:41,455 --> 00:34:46,764
didn't create any significant shift, but
it starts to move into consolidation.
640
00:34:46,764 --> 00:34:47,634
Then you count forward.
641
00:34:48,025 --> 00:34:48,324
Okay.
642
00:34:48,324 --> 00:34:49,645
From here, that's the 20th.
643
00:34:50,455 --> 00:34:53,065
So you can go from the beginning
of November to the 20th.
644
00:34:53,304 --> 00:34:53,605
Yes.
645
00:34:53,605 --> 00:34:57,265
There was a price swing, but using
the information, the next stage
646
00:34:57,265 --> 00:35:01,975
would be 40 days out from that price
point of November, beginning, we have
647
00:35:02,515 --> 00:35:06,085
here that is your 40 day looking.
648
00:35:07,185 --> 00:35:14,205
Or cast forward and you're looking for,
again, a potential major shift quarterly.
649
00:35:14,535 --> 00:35:15,675
It can happen at that point.
650
00:35:16,305 --> 00:35:19,935
Now it didn't give you the lowest
low, because if you go back to the
651
00:35:19,935 --> 00:35:29,535
left to see two daily candles or
bars, the last down right here, this
652
00:35:29,535 --> 00:35:31,005
down candle, that was the actual.
653
00:35:31,980 --> 00:35:33,240
We have a small little range in here.
654
00:35:33,240 --> 00:35:36,180
And then we came down and
hit this level here at 71 50.
655
00:35:36,690 --> 00:35:42,630
That's the 40 days out from the
beginning of November, framed on the
656
00:35:43,350 --> 00:35:44,700
quarterly shift that took place here.
657
00:35:45,510 --> 00:35:49,260
So we're anticipating a potential
change in the direction.
658
00:35:49,590 --> 00:35:50,040
Okay.
659
00:35:51,150 --> 00:35:52,890
20, 40 or 60 days.
660
00:35:54,030 --> 00:35:55,530
But that's the range.
661
00:35:55,890 --> 00:35:58,320
It's not always going to do, like
what you're seeing here at, where
662
00:35:58,320 --> 00:36:00,120
it's almost calling the very day.
663
00:36:00,120 --> 00:36:05,030
It moves and makes the, the change
it's you're allowing your study to say,
664
00:36:05,030 --> 00:36:08,310
okay, the price is going to move about
20 days and then we could see something
665
00:36:08,820 --> 00:36:09,930
if it doesn't happen in 20 days.
666
00:36:09,930 --> 00:36:10,230
Okay.
667
00:36:10,230 --> 00:36:13,860
Well, in the next 20 days, up to 40
days from where the market structure
668
00:36:15,600 --> 00:36:20,160
last shifted here, quarterly, then
we're going to anticipate in the realm
669
00:36:20,160 --> 00:36:21,750
of the next 20 days, it may have.
670
00:36:22,665 --> 00:36:25,245
So you have to be looking for
signs that it's going to happen.
671
00:36:25,275 --> 00:36:28,815
If you don't do these things, you're
going to marry the idea that the
672
00:36:28,815 --> 00:36:33,884
market's going to keep on going
lower and never turn around it.
673
00:36:33,884 --> 00:36:35,115
Doesn't it doesn't do that.
674
00:36:35,115 --> 00:36:36,404
Markets don't trade in straight lines.
675
00:36:37,154 --> 00:36:40,995
So if we see here on this day
here, this is 40 days out from
676
00:36:40,995 --> 00:36:41,835
the beginning of November.
677
00:36:43,065 --> 00:36:45,315
Very significant price move
occurred from that price.
678
00:36:46,035 --> 00:36:46,725
7,100.
679
00:36:48,005 --> 00:36:50,675
I mean, I would think everyone, if we
were all in the same room, if we raised
680
00:36:50,675 --> 00:36:53,945
our hand, if we were in agreement, I
think the majority of us, if not all of
681
00:36:53,945 --> 00:36:56,345
us would raise our hand, say that's a
pretty significant move off that level.
682
00:36:57,875 --> 00:37:01,465
One of the things I learned when I
was an indicator based trader, uh,
683
00:37:01,465 --> 00:37:05,735
I'd like to set the Castic, uh, like,
uh, uh, Larry Williams accumulation
684
00:37:05,735 --> 00:37:09,965
distribution formula, where it plotted
in the chemo blind based on the
685
00:37:09,965 --> 00:37:13,955
relationship to open the close and
close the open and measuring that as,
686
00:37:14,435 --> 00:37:15,785
uh, smart money buying and selling.
687
00:37:17,160 --> 00:37:18,299
Sometimes that's true.
688
00:37:18,839 --> 00:37:19,470
Not always.
689
00:37:19,529 --> 00:37:21,120
And it didn't always
give you a divergence.
690
00:37:22,810 --> 00:37:26,549
I liked his William percent art and
the reason why I liked his William
691
00:37:26,549 --> 00:37:31,890
percent art is because it has an
uncanny ability to be one day before.
692
00:37:33,015 --> 00:37:33,165
Yeah.
693
00:37:33,165 --> 00:37:37,245
Like if you look at the Castic, you have
to wait for the, the candle, the clothes,
694
00:37:37,665 --> 00:37:42,044
and go to a new candle to see if the K
line crossed the D line or D line cross
695
00:37:42,044 --> 00:37:43,785
the, uh, the K line or wherever it is.
696
00:37:43,785 --> 00:37:46,785
I don't even remember what it was
anymore, but, uh, the trigger line
697
00:37:46,904 --> 00:37:51,225
that uses, uh, the idea behind a
crossover for staff, for us to caustic
698
00:37:51,975 --> 00:37:53,774
that has to happen after the fact.
699
00:37:54,194 --> 00:37:57,705
Well, the market's already moved
when I looked at the percent off.
700
00:37:58,470 --> 00:37:59,160
What that did.
701
00:37:59,190 --> 00:38:03,180
It gave me many times the day before the
real oversoul condition would happen.
702
00:38:03,420 --> 00:38:08,700
For instance, if the oversold condition
existed in Williams percent R today,
703
00:38:08,759 --> 00:38:11,670
that means tomorrow is probably still
likely to go down this a little bit
704
00:38:11,670 --> 00:38:13,080
more, but that's going to be the by day.
705
00:38:13,200 --> 00:38:17,609
That's a very low, low, well,
that same phenomenon sometimes
706
00:38:17,609 --> 00:38:18,930
occurs with these ranges.
707
00:38:18,960 --> 00:38:19,920
20 days out.
708
00:38:20,129 --> 00:38:24,660
You may get the, if it doesn't
turn, it may happen on the 21st.
709
00:38:25,875 --> 00:38:30,495
Or it may occur on the 19th day
when, when it does occur, but
710
00:38:30,495 --> 00:38:31,995
that's not what you're relying on.
711
00:38:31,995 --> 00:38:34,875
So it's important that while that
may have magic in your chart,
712
00:38:34,875 --> 00:38:36,315
sometimes you may see it happen.
713
00:38:36,525 --> 00:38:40,845
It might do the very thing of
turning on the 20th day for
714
00:38:40,845 --> 00:38:42,555
the 40th day or the 60th day.
715
00:38:43,065 --> 00:38:44,865
And you saw that in my first
teaching for the month.
716
00:38:46,185 --> 00:38:49,635
I wish I probably would have stressed
it more because everyone seems to think
717
00:38:49,635 --> 00:38:50,505
that that's, what's going to happen.
718
00:38:50,875 --> 00:38:54,105
I'm not telling you that the
market turns every 20 days, every
719
00:38:54,105 --> 00:38:58,275
40 days and every 60 days, but it
can, and will sometimes do that.
720
00:38:58,725 --> 00:39:02,295
What we're looking for is these
quarterly shifts that take place.
721
00:39:02,535 --> 00:39:05,355
Once we identify one,
there's our beginning of.
722
00:39:06,180 --> 00:39:09,180
Okay, but you have to roll back
to the beginning of that month.
723
00:39:09,210 --> 00:39:13,860
It occurs in curved in the second
week of, uh, of the month of November.
724
00:39:14,130 --> 00:39:15,840
So we're now we're calibrated.
725
00:39:15,870 --> 00:39:20,910
Now we can start going forward until
we see a equal or counterparty,
726
00:39:21,480 --> 00:39:22,800
uh, to that move on lower.
727
00:39:22,800 --> 00:39:27,750
There has to be a significant, um, re
retracement or correction or reversal.
728
00:39:28,230 --> 00:39:32,340
It's indicating that here the last
week of December, why is it doing that?
729
00:39:32,340 --> 00:39:33,509
Because we've taken out December.
730
00:39:35,340 --> 00:39:39,210
See that we're trading at a level
where if this was continuously
731
00:39:39,210 --> 00:39:42,360
bearish, it shouldn't be
where it's at right now today.
732
00:39:43,230 --> 00:39:43,560
Okay.
733
00:39:44,009 --> 00:39:49,200
But my point in drawing your attention
to the 40 day is it was not the 40th.
734
00:39:49,320 --> 00:39:50,370
Uh, I'm sorry.
735
00:39:50,370 --> 00:39:54,030
It wasn't the fact that it made the
lowest, low and turned on that day.
736
00:39:54,030 --> 00:39:57,660
But look at the low in proximity to
the lowest load, it was formed here.
737
00:39:58,080 --> 00:40:01,650
Inside this, see this day here
was inside the range of 40 days.
738
00:40:02,565 --> 00:40:04,395
Back to this point price point here.
739
00:40:04,695 --> 00:40:08,025
So from this level, looking at
the first day of November casting
740
00:40:08,025 --> 00:40:12,855
forward 40 days, this whole turning
point right here could have happened
741
00:40:12,915 --> 00:40:14,715
any time in the last 40 days.
742
00:40:16,155 --> 00:40:18,555
Now, again, for some of these
that are cynical, of course,
743
00:40:18,555 --> 00:40:20,445
obviously this is of no value.
744
00:40:20,775 --> 00:40:24,825
It's a great deal of value because
inside that 40 days, just like when
745
00:40:24,825 --> 00:40:28,485
we look back for 40 days and look
for the low for cell stops and we
746
00:40:28,485 --> 00:40:29,655
look for the high for the bicycle.
747
00:40:30,720 --> 00:40:33,960
In this range here, what is this?
748
00:40:37,220 --> 00:40:39,170
That's a low below.
749
00:40:39,170 --> 00:40:42,530
That low is going to be what sound stops.
750
00:40:42,980 --> 00:40:43,370
Yes.
751
00:40:43,400 --> 00:40:52,430
We moved about 150 pips for so below
that, but we came to a level of 71 50.
752
00:40:52,760 --> 00:40:54,530
That's not random.
753
00:40:55,340 --> 00:40:57,200
71 50 is a significant level.
754
00:40:57,200 --> 00:40:58,340
It's a mid figure that.
755
00:40:59,760 --> 00:41:04,890
And it's happening at a time when inside
a 40 days, the up-to-date arrange is going
756
00:41:04,890 --> 00:41:08,880
to be looking to do something it has to,
it has to do something every three months.
757
00:41:09,450 --> 00:41:11,760
Price is going to be pushed around.
758
00:41:12,150 --> 00:41:15,540
It's going to be drawn to a level,
or it's going to repel from a level.
759
00:41:16,170 --> 00:41:21,090
And it's based on what I'm telling you
here, it's seeking large fund liquid.
760
00:41:22,645 --> 00:41:27,985
Now longer term where we're talking
about monthly and yearly moves, they are
761
00:41:27,985 --> 00:41:33,745
all driven by real fundamental things
like interest rates, but every quarter
762
00:41:34,315 --> 00:41:39,595
there's going to be a ebb and flow
that takes place a rally and a decline.
763
00:41:40,045 --> 00:41:42,165
When this occurs, that's all short term.
764
00:41:43,185 --> 00:41:46,875
When you look at long-term trends
that go for five years or 10
765
00:41:46,875 --> 00:41:48,915
years, three months is nothing.
766
00:41:49,125 --> 00:41:51,645
That's like a five minute chart
on the scheme of a weekly chart.
767
00:41:51,645 --> 00:41:52,455
It doesn't mean anything.
768
00:41:52,485 --> 00:41:53,865
There's no significance to it at all.
769
00:41:54,885 --> 00:41:57,165
Long-term macro fundamentals.
770
00:41:57,285 --> 00:41:57,645
Okay.
771
00:41:57,645 --> 00:42:01,275
Are not impacted by three month cycles.
772
00:42:01,995 --> 00:42:07,275
They're not, they can be used to get in
sync with long-term macro fundamentals.
773
00:42:08,940 --> 00:42:11,820
The only fundamentals you're going to get
from me is interest rates, which is what's
774
00:42:11,820 --> 00:42:13,140
going to be taught to you as a, as well.
775
00:42:14,235 --> 00:42:18,735
So again in summary, the 40 days, and
I'm not done teaching, but for 40 days,
776
00:42:19,185 --> 00:42:21,795
this range, we're looking back to see.
777
00:42:21,795 --> 00:42:24,884
Now here we have a new 40 day look,
we're casting forward 40 days.
778
00:42:25,095 --> 00:42:29,025
So now at that moment, we're
going to have that in our charts.
779
00:42:29,174 --> 00:42:32,415
From this point here, we know 40 days
from then, this is where we would
780
00:42:32,415 --> 00:42:34,125
have our expectation of a shift.
781
00:42:34,725 --> 00:42:37,245
But we also, because we can
do that in advance, we can
782
00:42:37,245 --> 00:42:39,404
now look back 20 days from.
783
00:42:41,475 --> 00:42:43,185
We can look 40 days back from there.
784
00:42:43,215 --> 00:42:44,205
Where's the lows.
785
00:42:44,205 --> 00:42:45,165
And where's the highs.
786
00:42:46,845 --> 00:42:47,525
Think about that.
787
00:42:48,815 --> 00:42:53,585
If we know at this point here, casting 40
days forward, we can have a vertical line
788
00:42:53,585 --> 00:42:58,865
right here on our, or on our charts now to
someone looking over your shoulder, they'd
789
00:42:58,865 --> 00:43:00,425
be like, why is that line even there?
790
00:43:00,425 --> 00:43:01,595
Why do you have a vertical line there?
791
00:43:02,585 --> 00:43:02,855
I don't know.
792
00:43:03,840 --> 00:43:07,860
I ain't telling you, you weren't a
part of the mentorship, but from this
793
00:43:07,860 --> 00:43:09,450
point here, counting back, let's good.
794
00:43:09,690 --> 00:43:15,767
Or here's here's you gotta count this
day as day 1, 1, 2, 3, 4 5 6, 7 8,
795
00:43:15,767 --> 00:43:24,990
9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17,
18, 19 20 K to 20 is basically the
796
00:43:25,110 --> 00:43:26,970
last day before you get to December.
797
00:43:27,420 --> 00:43:30,080
So the second to the last
day in November is 20 days.
798
00:43:32,455 --> 00:43:35,995
What was the highest high
formed in that range?
799
00:43:37,134 --> 00:43:41,485
It's going to be mid July, mid December,
where it made there's equal highs.
800
00:43:42,355 --> 00:43:45,325
So there's going to be what what's
resting above that by stops.
801
00:43:45,805 --> 00:43:48,175
So what is the APTA algorithm going to do?
802
00:43:48,985 --> 00:43:52,915
It's going to seek that liquidity is
going to go up there and take that.
803
00:43:53,545 --> 00:43:54,835
Which high should I look for?
804
00:43:54,835 --> 00:43:55,315
Michael?
805
00:43:55,555 --> 00:43:59,515
That one, looking back from this point.
806
00:44:00,645 --> 00:44:04,245
Cause we know it from this point
here, casting forward 40 days.
807
00:44:04,575 --> 00:44:04,964
Okay.
808
00:44:05,174 --> 00:44:06,464
Going back 40 days.
809
00:44:06,795 --> 00:44:07,904
Well, that's going to be in the range.
810
00:44:07,904 --> 00:44:11,955
That's delineated here with this line
and we've already shown this is the low.
811
00:44:13,095 --> 00:44:14,895
Is there any significance about that low?
812
00:44:16,365 --> 00:44:19,935
Well, I'll count you to go into your
four hour, one hour and 15 minute
813
00:44:19,935 --> 00:44:24,674
timeframe and put up 7,300 on your
Aldi dollar and see what you see.
814
00:44:27,075 --> 00:44:28,484
There's nothing random about this stuff.
815
00:44:31,295 --> 00:44:34,895
That low is 40 days
inside the 40 day range.
816
00:44:35,105 --> 00:44:35,404
Okay.
817
00:44:35,404 --> 00:44:38,195
That is a significant turning point.
818
00:44:38,645 --> 00:44:41,884
It's not the very lowest low,
but you can see that the low
819
00:44:41,884 --> 00:44:43,325
forms two days before that.
820
00:44:43,895 --> 00:44:48,755
And then we have a market structure shift
and the market starts to go opposite to
821
00:44:48,755 --> 00:44:51,335
what has been put in place in November.
822
00:44:53,755 --> 00:44:58,015
You can now, also from that price point
there, by having a verbal line on the air.
823
00:44:59,660 --> 00:45:06,170
Uh, daily range, you can now start
counting forward 20 days, 40 days, 60 days
824
00:45:06,770 --> 00:45:13,190
until you see an obvious shift quarterly,
there was a major structure shift.
825
00:45:13,220 --> 00:45:13,640
Okay.
826
00:45:13,790 --> 00:45:16,040
It could be bullshit bears,
whatever one, it happens.
827
00:45:16,040 --> 00:45:19,100
It doesn't make it that you're not
trying to forecast that all you're doing
828
00:45:19,100 --> 00:45:23,960
is anticipating another significant
move in price on a daily chart.
829
00:45:24,170 --> 00:45:27,350
And it happens every three
months, but the point is this.
830
00:45:28,215 --> 00:45:34,935
The, if the data ranges give you a means
of looking back 20, 40, and 60 days from
831
00:45:34,935 --> 00:45:40,935
specific days and specific price points,
because then you'll know what stops
832
00:45:40,935 --> 00:45:44,805
they're going to be reaching for above
our old high and below an old, well,
833
00:45:44,835 --> 00:45:48,495
it's not just, well, I'm looking for
the lowest recent, obvious high and low.
834
00:45:48,545 --> 00:45:49,155
No, no, no, no.
835
00:45:49,185 --> 00:45:50,385
It's not like that at all.
836
00:45:50,505 --> 00:45:51,465
It's not like that at all.
837
00:45:51,765 --> 00:45:53,865
You got to look back in a range of 2014.
838
00:45:55,095 --> 00:45:57,675
And then if all those levels
have been cleared out, then you
839
00:45:57,675 --> 00:45:58,845
gotta look outside that range.
840
00:45:59,235 --> 00:46:00,675
Then, you know, you're
getting may see a big move.
841
00:46:01,695 --> 00:46:05,865
And if it has these characteristics,
then you know, you're going to see a
842
00:46:05,895 --> 00:46:11,295
larger move higher or lower based on
what those highs and lows would be
843
00:46:11,295 --> 00:46:13,335
outside of the most recent 60 day.
844
00:46:13,335 --> 00:46:13,785
Look back.
72930
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