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These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:08,320 --> 00:00:09,130 Okay folks. 2 00:00:09,550 --> 00:00:10,300 Welcome back. 3 00:00:10,330 --> 00:00:12,430 I appreciate your patience over the last day. 4 00:00:14,020 --> 00:00:17,470 Um, still have a couple of things I got to do housekeeping wise, and I appreciate 5 00:00:17,470 --> 00:00:19,990 your patience in letting me to do that. 6 00:00:22,000 --> 00:00:24,520 The current economic calendar for today. 7 00:00:24,690 --> 00:00:28,850 Obviously we have a late start today and we're looking at. 8 00:00:29,970 --> 00:00:32,400 Crude oil inventories at 11 o'clock. 9 00:00:32,400 --> 00:00:36,390 So we've got about 40 minutes, 45 minutes or so until that number is 10 00:00:36,390 --> 00:00:38,910 released, that should affect CAD as well. 11 00:00:39,480 --> 00:00:45,239 So we're going to be observing a dollar versus the Canadian dollar, and we'll 12 00:00:45,239 --> 00:00:48,180 go over that in a few moments, but for now, it's going to take a look at what's 13 00:00:48,180 --> 00:00:51,870 already transpired and what may be unfolding for the remainder of the day. 14 00:00:59,030 --> 00:00:59,150 Right. 15 00:00:59,160 --> 00:01:00,780 You should be seeing the dollar index. 16 00:01:12,750 --> 00:01:13,110 Okay. 17 00:01:13,170 --> 00:01:15,090 And I'm going to, and yes, I'm recording. 18 00:01:15,090 --> 00:01:15,990 Thank you for the reminder. 19 00:01:16,530 --> 00:01:18,450 Um, I'm going to put your questions tab. 20 00:01:24,860 --> 00:01:25,250 Okay. 21 00:01:25,280 --> 00:01:29,660 And, uh, I saw your question before I, uh, uh, clicked over the reason why I 22 00:01:29,660 --> 00:01:33,230 don't look at low impact news is because I don't have that much influence it. 23 00:01:33,230 --> 00:01:34,880 Doesn't I don't believe it has that much influence over the 24 00:01:35,060 --> 00:01:38,160 type of, uh, magnitude of movie. 25 00:01:38,180 --> 00:01:40,130 If I'm looking for it, it's either going to be a medium impact 26 00:01:40,130 --> 00:01:41,360 or a high impact news event. 27 00:01:43,245 --> 00:01:45,645 That's usually what's used to mask. 28 00:01:46,065 --> 00:01:47,955 The manipulation is seen in price action. 29 00:01:48,735 --> 00:01:48,945 All right. 30 00:01:48,945 --> 00:01:50,415 So do we have the dollar index? 31 00:01:50,715 --> 00:01:51,105 Okay. 32 00:01:51,135 --> 00:01:52,745 And we moved above these highs. 33 00:01:52,785 --> 00:01:53,955 We were aiming for that as well. 34 00:01:54,315 --> 00:01:58,155 Um, we can move rather aggressively yesterday through it came up here 35 00:01:58,155 --> 00:02:02,445 and hit the bottom of the bear order block, which is the last bodied candle. 36 00:02:02,445 --> 00:02:04,245 Notice that we're not using this candle here. 37 00:02:04,905 --> 00:02:06,765 It's a down candle with a small little lower close. 38 00:02:07,635 --> 00:02:09,225 And this up candle here. 39 00:02:09,405 --> 00:02:10,755 Isn't the highest one either. 40 00:02:10,875 --> 00:02:13,185 It's this one, even though it has a little bit of a wick on 41 00:02:13,185 --> 00:02:15,375 it, we're using the end of that. 42 00:02:15,615 --> 00:02:17,775 And the low there's a fair value gap in between. 43 00:02:18,255 --> 00:02:19,185 Let me zoom in on that. 44 00:02:19,185 --> 00:02:23,835 Just remember the folks that are trying to watch this on their iPhone, iPhone 45 00:02:23,835 --> 00:02:27,525 four, where you're looking at advanced box size screen, you're on a why you 46 00:02:27,525 --> 00:02:32,985 would watch that there, but, uh, Opening and the low on this, the, the low comes 47 00:02:32,985 --> 00:02:36,495 in at 98 0 9 and the opening is 98 13. 48 00:02:36,495 --> 00:02:41,115 So between 98, 13 and 98, 0 9. 49 00:02:41,745 --> 00:02:44,595 That's where the fair value gap is. 50 00:02:44,955 --> 00:02:50,295 And if you go over to see what today's high is, today's hive comes in, right. 51 00:02:51,075 --> 00:02:51,885 98, 12. 52 00:02:51,885 --> 00:02:54,735 So it was just one PIP short away from the opening on that bears on a 53 00:02:54,735 --> 00:02:56,235 block relative to the daily chart. 54 00:02:57,135 --> 00:03:00,825 And it's not unreasonable to expect some measure of retracement or have a pause 55 00:03:00,825 --> 00:03:06,285 in here because we, we broke through an old high back here on the daily charts. 56 00:03:06,285 --> 00:03:11,445 So it's normal for it to do at least a one day down to constitute a retracement. 57 00:03:11,835 --> 00:03:15,585 Now it can be forming a high, we don't ever know that, that some of the 58 00:03:15,585 --> 00:03:17,055 things that I get questioned a lot. 59 00:03:17,760 --> 00:03:20,370 You know, w w how do I know if it's going to do this or that? 60 00:03:20,790 --> 00:03:24,630 Um, I don't try to pick tops, especially when the market's been primarily bullish. 61 00:03:25,200 --> 00:03:26,700 And my thought process is this. 62 00:03:27,060 --> 00:03:33,420 Um, if it's, if it's retraced this far up above this high, I still think that 63 00:03:33,420 --> 00:03:37,260 we're, we're going to probably reach up above that 98 55, the 98 60 level. 64 00:03:38,220 --> 00:03:41,010 And then ultimately I think we're ultimately going to go higher really. 65 00:03:41,010 --> 00:03:42,030 I mean, yes, it's the bottom line. 66 00:03:42,030 --> 00:03:42,930 I think we're going higher. 67 00:03:43,350 --> 00:03:46,500 Um, we're getting ready to go into November where the U S elections 68 00:03:46,500 --> 00:03:49,590 are going to be a lot more catalysts than they have been thus far. 69 00:03:49,980 --> 00:03:50,940 It's getting really dirty. 70 00:03:51,330 --> 00:03:56,250 Um, a lot of mudslinging and really just disgusting things being mentioned. 71 00:03:56,940 --> 00:03:59,610 Uh, the government's really trying to do whatever they can to keep Donald 72 00:03:59,610 --> 00:04:03,180 Trump from being elected, uh, because he, they know he's going to be a rebel. 73 00:04:03,180 --> 00:04:03,900 He's going to be. 74 00:04:05,505 --> 00:04:06,644 He's going to upset everything. 75 00:04:06,734 --> 00:04:09,345 And he's not even really probably going to serve the American 76 00:04:09,345 --> 00:04:10,725 public the correct way either. 77 00:04:10,905 --> 00:04:15,315 So there's a lot of certainty with him, but I would still pick him over Hillary. 78 00:04:15,674 --> 00:04:16,904 And that's just that's that's it. 79 00:04:17,415 --> 00:04:19,005 Uh, Hillary is still the establishment. 80 00:04:19,045 --> 00:04:20,685 Nothing's going to change with her. 81 00:04:21,404 --> 00:04:24,945 Trump may bring all kinds of change, but it may be also unwelcomed change 82 00:04:24,945 --> 00:04:27,525 and that's going to cause a lot of uncertainty, a lot of things 83 00:04:27,525 --> 00:04:29,925 are going to go off and people are going to be running to the door. 84 00:04:30,990 --> 00:04:35,010 As a means of flight to quality, because that's the way I that's 85 00:04:35,020 --> 00:04:35,850 the way I interpret that. 86 00:04:35,850 --> 00:04:36,420 The way I see it. 87 00:04:37,020 --> 00:04:39,870 Uh, I think that's what this has all been down here, all accumulation. 88 00:04:40,320 --> 00:04:43,350 And I think they're going to make a run through that, that dollar mark up here. 89 00:04:43,710 --> 00:04:43,980 Okay. 90 00:04:43,980 --> 00:04:46,800 And we're looking for 1 0 2 to 1, 2 7, 1 explode on blow off. 91 00:04:47,190 --> 00:04:51,570 And if we get to those levels, we'll have to revisit, see if we're going any higher. 92 00:04:51,570 --> 00:04:53,760 But I do think that we're aiming for parody still. 93 00:04:55,290 --> 00:04:59,550 Um, we're still looking for parody on the fiber, your USD as well, 94 00:04:59,910 --> 00:05:02,580 but that takes some time to get out and, you know, the work that out. 95 00:05:02,580 --> 00:05:08,190 So while they're long-term macro views on price, uh, we still have 96 00:05:08,190 --> 00:05:09,420 to look at the lower timeframes. 97 00:05:09,510 --> 00:05:12,330 You need to find some objectives and, and trade within the ranges that are 98 00:05:12,420 --> 00:05:14,220 currently being made available to us. 99 00:05:15,570 --> 00:05:19,260 So classic support resistance guys are gonna be looking at these, uh, hi. 100 00:05:20,085 --> 00:05:23,235 And on this candle here, the high comes in at 97, 56. 101 00:05:23,295 --> 00:05:24,885 So we're looking for retail. 102 00:05:24,885 --> 00:05:31,275 We'll be expecting support to come down in around that 97, 60 to 97 55 level. 103 00:05:32,145 --> 00:05:35,235 And for folks that look at the buys at candles, like we do, uh, they're 104 00:05:35,235 --> 00:05:36,765 gonna be looking at 97 forties. 105 00:05:37,094 --> 00:05:37,365 Okay. 106 00:05:37,365 --> 00:05:40,455 For support on dollar, me personally. 107 00:05:42,545 --> 00:05:44,225 Uh, I don't want to see anything. 108 00:05:45,455 --> 00:05:46,175 I'll get this out of my way. 109 00:05:49,420 --> 00:05:52,060 I don't want to see anything below this candle here. 110 00:05:52,510 --> 00:05:53,260 I don't want to see that. 111 00:05:53,590 --> 00:05:53,980 Okay. 112 00:05:54,010 --> 00:05:56,140 Um, it can reach down into that and hit that. 113 00:05:56,440 --> 00:05:57,430 Well, not so much for that. 114 00:05:57,430 --> 00:05:58,030 Let's do this. 115 00:06:00,930 --> 00:06:01,650 I like that level. 116 00:06:01,650 --> 00:06:04,290 And the reason why I did that, because there's a lot of work around that 117 00:06:04,290 --> 00:06:09,780 level means that the close on this candle here, the opening on this candle 118 00:06:09,780 --> 00:06:13,510 here to close on this candle here. 119 00:06:15,599 --> 00:06:16,830 You open on this candle here. 120 00:06:17,039 --> 00:06:18,270 So there's a lot of work around that. 121 00:06:18,270 --> 00:06:21,450 And it's also the middle of this big down candle, which is a bullet a block. 122 00:06:21,780 --> 00:06:27,330 So this is the mean threshold, so they can come down and touch 97, 60 to 97 57. 123 00:06:28,469 --> 00:06:31,469 Um, if it goes down through that, obviously it's going to want to clear 124 00:06:31,469 --> 00:06:34,830 out these equal lows where there's liquidity pool resting for cell stops. 125 00:06:36,510 --> 00:06:39,090 I don't personally, personally believe that it needs to go down there. 126 00:06:39,300 --> 00:06:41,640 Um, if it does, it's going to have to show me a willingness 127 00:06:41,640 --> 00:06:42,660 to quickly get away from it. 128 00:06:42,810 --> 00:06:45,480 Not spend a lot of time below these lows, because if it does, it's what I 129 00:06:45,480 --> 00:06:46,770 want to come down here and closing this. 130 00:06:47,310 --> 00:06:49,620 And that puts us around that 97 30 level. 131 00:06:49,620 --> 00:06:54,120 And while that still might be necessary for longer term, I'd rather not do 132 00:06:54,120 --> 00:06:58,620 that because we've already swept out these lows here right here. 133 00:06:58,620 --> 00:06:59,550 We've already cleaned those out. 134 00:06:59,600 --> 00:07:00,240 We've paused. 135 00:07:00,240 --> 00:07:01,200 We haven't moved away from that. 136 00:07:01,590 --> 00:07:02,550 Now we're getting lower. 137 00:07:02,850 --> 00:07:04,560 So if we get below this wicked. 138 00:07:05,760 --> 00:07:09,360 And get down to this mean threshold of this down candle. 139 00:07:10,320 --> 00:07:10,770 Excuse me. 140 00:07:11,849 --> 00:07:14,460 That should be, in my opinion, should be all that should be 141 00:07:14,460 --> 00:07:15,840 necessary for a retracement. 142 00:07:16,320 --> 00:07:19,860 Uh, so 97, 60 to 97, 55, if it spikes through it without 143 00:07:19,860 --> 00:07:21,450 closing, um, that's exciting. 144 00:07:22,185 --> 00:07:24,435 And then we would make a run on these equal highs, like 145 00:07:24,435 --> 00:07:25,365 how they left that up there. 146 00:07:25,365 --> 00:07:25,844 Real nice. 147 00:07:25,844 --> 00:07:29,325 It looks like a road solid retail resistance level. 148 00:07:29,474 --> 00:07:34,635 So folks are going to see that as safe resistance or 97 98, 10 149 00:07:35,115 --> 00:07:36,645 is a near-term resistance level. 150 00:07:36,645 --> 00:07:37,575 So on your charts, 151 00:07:42,145 --> 00:07:42,945 you want to highlight. 152 00:07:48,310 --> 00:07:53,530 Uh, 98, 10 to 9, 8, 12, uh there's by staffs resting, just above those highs. 153 00:07:54,370 --> 00:07:57,760 And it's, it's been methodical about the way they're dropping it down. 154 00:07:58,659 --> 00:08:03,310 So again, all eyes are on that 97, 55 to 97 60 level it should 155 00:08:03,310 --> 00:08:04,780 we lose that level again? 156 00:08:05,050 --> 00:08:08,770 You're going to be paying attention to this liquidity pool resting below these. 157 00:08:09,735 --> 00:08:10,515 Lowe's down here. 158 00:08:11,445 --> 00:08:12,435 And we run through that. 159 00:08:12,825 --> 00:08:15,375 The last line of defense for near term bullishness is going to be 160 00:08:15,375 --> 00:08:18,675 this bullish or block, which is the down candle, pry this up, move here. 161 00:08:18,675 --> 00:08:22,515 So we have a little bit of a liquidity void here and a fair value gap between the 162 00:08:22,515 --> 00:08:24,705 opening on this down candle and it's high. 163 00:08:25,215 --> 00:08:29,805 So be mindful that this is the 30 minute chart for your, uh, for your notes. 164 00:08:29,805 --> 00:08:30,795 Just make sure you're aware of that. 165 00:08:33,125 --> 00:08:34,595 Uh, Euro pound. 166 00:08:36,155 --> 00:08:37,505 I still think we're probably gonna make it. 167 00:08:38,775 --> 00:08:39,315 Up in here. 168 00:08:39,315 --> 00:08:42,405 I'm not sure how we're going to do that in regards to manipulation 169 00:08:42,405 --> 00:08:44,085 through Euro and cable. 170 00:08:44,625 --> 00:08:47,325 Um, but I do suspect that's probably what's going to happen 171 00:08:47,325 --> 00:08:54,955 in here, Euro trade it down into its bullish order block in here. 172 00:08:56,095 --> 00:08:59,395 And we've since come back and now we're retesting the opening of that 173 00:08:59,395 --> 00:09:05,485 down candle or bull shorter block, uh, the mean threshold for it. 174 00:09:05,705 --> 00:09:07,225 This is a daily chart against the key tab. 175 00:09:11,395 --> 00:09:12,685 We've pierced equilibrium. 176 00:09:13,555 --> 00:09:14,455 Didn't close through it. 177 00:09:16,105 --> 00:09:18,655 It'll be interesting to see what we do in regards to today's close. 178 00:09:18,655 --> 00:09:20,505 Do we hold on to it here? 179 00:09:20,505 --> 00:09:26,155 Or we, we press up even higher and I'll still maintain the thought 180 00:09:26,155 --> 00:09:29,575 process that we're going to want to go below these lows over here. 181 00:09:29,845 --> 00:09:32,785 I almost did it today with its willingness to want to reach down 182 00:09:32,785 --> 00:09:35,005 initially, but, uh, it didn't have it. 183 00:09:37,170 --> 00:09:43,200 Continuation from the, uh, the initial move lower, uh, near term liquidity pool, 184 00:09:43,350 --> 00:09:49,200 S obviously above the intraday high here, and then we have these highs as well. 185 00:09:49,200 --> 00:09:50,520 So we'll be watching this 186 00:09:55,540 --> 00:10:00,400 right in there and it also takes us right up into bare shoulder block. 187 00:10:01,490 --> 00:10:02,920 I think it's a 15 minute timeframe. 188 00:10:02,920 --> 00:10:03,220 So. 189 00:10:04,635 --> 00:10:06,225 Using the low up to the opening. 190 00:10:06,795 --> 00:10:07,935 That's a fair value gap. 191 00:10:09,225 --> 00:10:12,075 So we can watch that as potential upside objectives. 192 00:10:14,625 --> 00:10:17,295 Any question is, okay, let's say we're looking at price right now. 193 00:10:18,224 --> 00:10:21,974 And this is, uh, just for, uh, a means of teaching exercising when you're 194 00:10:21,974 --> 00:10:25,844 looking at charts and I'm not giving you anything in between videos or suggestions. 195 00:10:26,444 --> 00:10:29,145 If you're watching price like this and price was down here in, 196 00:10:29,224 --> 00:10:32,745 in close proximity to this down candle, you can do a paper trade. 197 00:10:33,074 --> 00:10:33,464 Okay. 198 00:10:33,795 --> 00:10:34,625 You can do a paper chain set. 199 00:10:34,625 --> 00:10:34,785 Okay. 200 00:10:34,785 --> 00:10:35,594 Hype cycle on the second. 201 00:10:35,594 --> 00:10:38,444 Well, I'm going to buy, if you have access to the demo account 202 00:10:38,444 --> 00:10:42,135 that you're messing around with and practicing, you can do a long in here. 203 00:10:42,704 --> 00:10:42,974 Okay. 204 00:10:43,005 --> 00:10:45,135 And then use the stop below that candles. 205 00:10:46,380 --> 00:10:49,110 And you would be reaching for this objective here. 206 00:10:49,110 --> 00:10:56,410 So let's assume for a moment, the openness at 10 32 to highs at 10 36, 207 00:10:56,770 --> 00:11:00,460 and as, as price was trading around in here, um, you could say, okay, 208 00:11:00,460 --> 00:11:03,880 look, I'm going to hypothetically say, I think it's going to go higher. 209 00:11:04,510 --> 00:11:04,810 Okay. 210 00:11:05,170 --> 00:11:08,410 Now the question is, if you think it's going to go higher and to buy 211 00:11:08,410 --> 00:11:11,950 it, you're going to add three pips to whatever that market price is. 212 00:11:11,950 --> 00:11:13,050 So like right now, it would be 10. 213 00:11:13,935 --> 00:11:16,035 If you bought it right now, your fill will be 10 40. 214 00:11:16,064 --> 00:11:18,555 Now I'm not going to do it because my counsel hooked to them. 215 00:11:18,555 --> 00:11:22,324 I have textbook and I'm not trying to mess it up, but you would add three pips. 216 00:11:22,324 --> 00:11:24,854 So, so you'd be at long at 10 40. 217 00:11:25,305 --> 00:11:28,724 The question is, would this be a viable exercise to do for 218 00:11:28,724 --> 00:11:30,435 a demo or just paper trade? 219 00:11:30,974 --> 00:11:34,275 The reason why I'm asking that is how much movement is there, between where 220 00:11:34,275 --> 00:11:37,964 we're identifying a liquidity pool and where you would be taking a long practice. 221 00:11:56,385 --> 00:11:57,015 Exactly. 222 00:11:57,344 --> 00:11:58,574 It's not much room at all. 223 00:11:58,755 --> 00:12:00,555 You're only looking at about 10 pips or so. 224 00:12:00,885 --> 00:12:01,275 Okay. 225 00:12:01,605 --> 00:12:05,805 So if you factor spread in for that, even though we can anticipate 226 00:12:05,805 --> 00:12:07,275 where the market may reach up. 227 00:12:08,570 --> 00:12:12,380 It doesn't give us enough room to frame out a practice trade. 228 00:12:12,980 --> 00:12:15,020 And that's why you need to be looking at the hard timeframe trucks, 229 00:12:15,020 --> 00:12:16,970 because it gives you a lot more range in terms of where the market 230 00:12:16,970 --> 00:12:18,860 may go and where it's at currently. 231 00:12:19,220 --> 00:12:22,730 And if it's above us, that where the market may be reaching for, it's got 232 00:12:22,730 --> 00:12:26,240 to give us, at least in my opinion, the best scenarios are 40 pips. 233 00:12:27,165 --> 00:12:30,464 If you can't find something that offers 40 pips, move aside, just 234 00:12:30,464 --> 00:12:33,765 paper trade and say, okay, just for practice sake in price rating. 235 00:12:34,064 --> 00:12:36,614 I think it's going to go up there, but I can't be trading it, but I 236 00:12:36,614 --> 00:12:40,185 want to practice my anticipatory skills and you just watch and 237 00:12:40,185 --> 00:12:41,444 see how many times it's unfolds. 238 00:12:41,444 --> 00:12:44,415 And the more time you do it, the more time you spend in front of the 239 00:12:44,415 --> 00:12:46,844 charts with higher timeframe charts, like, again, this is a 15 minute 240 00:12:46,875 --> 00:12:50,324 timeframe, so it's not much in terms of movement that would be expected. 241 00:12:50,324 --> 00:12:51,555 That's not all that it could do it. 242 00:12:51,974 --> 00:12:54,165 I mean, the obviously go up here and clear up a little bit of this. 243 00:12:54,975 --> 00:12:58,395 But that puts us around the 10 60, uh, that would give 20 pips. 244 00:12:58,395 --> 00:13:01,635 But, you know, being this late in the day and the only thing that's coming 245 00:13:01,635 --> 00:13:03,345 out now is inventory on crude oil. 246 00:13:03,915 --> 00:13:06,405 I don't think it's going to be that much of a catalyst for upside for, 247 00:13:06,715 --> 00:13:08,385 for Euro dollar in that regard. 248 00:13:09,195 --> 00:13:11,625 But that's all you're doing is when you get in the charts, you look for 249 00:13:11,625 --> 00:13:15,615 those opportunities to find out where the price may reach for and where we 250 00:13:15,615 --> 00:13:16,995 are in terms of current price action. 251 00:13:17,175 --> 00:13:19,485 And here we're just gonna watch and see what that does today. 252 00:13:20,055 --> 00:13:21,525 Going into a lemon close. 253 00:13:24,315 --> 00:13:24,915 Cable. 254 00:13:26,385 --> 00:13:26,625 Okay. 255 00:13:26,655 --> 00:13:32,655 Cable is just slowly working its way down in here to come down below this low. 256 00:13:33,165 --> 00:13:39,345 Um, I think if we go below this low normal expectations would be 257 00:13:39,885 --> 00:13:44,325 for the Florida dropout and I think they may end up surprising us. 258 00:13:44,775 --> 00:13:45,605 I think what'll happen is. 259 00:13:46,349 --> 00:13:49,740 They'll take it below the low, by a little bit, maybe 30, 40 pips. 260 00:13:49,829 --> 00:13:53,459 It could even spike down as much as a hundred pips below it, but I wouldn't 261 00:13:53,459 --> 00:13:57,540 be surprised if we don't aggressively come back off of that and try to 262 00:13:57,540 --> 00:14:00,719 wipe out those individuals that are assuming shorts all through here. 263 00:14:02,099 --> 00:14:06,300 Then still longer-term going into March of 2017. 264 00:14:06,300 --> 00:14:09,569 I still think we're going to be down into a one tense, uh, on. 265 00:14:10,485 --> 00:14:12,465 Across everybody's platform. 266 00:14:12,495 --> 00:14:15,555 I think that that'll be the price everyone's looking at input maybe 267 00:14:15,555 --> 00:14:21,195 even lower than that, but, uh, I'm watching the, uh, the, the low that 268 00:14:21,195 --> 00:14:25,575 was formed here on the quote unquote flash crash of British pound USD. 269 00:14:26,055 --> 00:14:29,445 I think they were going to probably come down here and improve that low 270 00:14:29,445 --> 00:14:32,985 and see if there's anything in terms of willingness to be a seller below it. 271 00:14:34,820 --> 00:14:38,270 And if we do go below it, you know, I think after then we'll probably see a 272 00:14:38,270 --> 00:14:42,590 measurable, well retracement and probably, you know, one that would be, you know, 273 00:14:42,590 --> 00:14:45,710 respectable, you know, if you don't, it's going to squeeze a lot of shorts. 274 00:14:45,950 --> 00:14:49,250 Cause there's a lot of folks in here short and new shorts are 275 00:14:49,250 --> 00:14:50,180 being established right now. 276 00:14:50,180 --> 00:14:53,330 So they understand that everyone's expectation on this 277 00:14:53,360 --> 00:14:54,740 market is to take out this low. 278 00:14:55,730 --> 00:14:58,670 So if they take it below that even traders that want to trade on a 279 00:14:58,670 --> 00:15:01,150 breakout below that low, they will be. 280 00:15:02,370 --> 00:15:04,860 And those individuals have been shortened here. 281 00:15:04,890 --> 00:15:08,220 They're going to put your stop loss above, you know, significant short-term 282 00:15:08,220 --> 00:15:10,260 highs, and then they'll run through those. 283 00:15:11,250 --> 00:15:15,630 And if they're running those by stops out, they'll be selling into all those 284 00:15:15,630 --> 00:15:19,410 runs on shorts to establish new shorts. 285 00:15:19,410 --> 00:15:24,209 In my opinion, for longer, longer-term one tens on a pump dollars. 286 00:15:24,209 --> 00:15:24,810 That makes sense. 287 00:15:26,670 --> 00:15:28,050 I'm not saying you have to agree with what I'm saying. 288 00:15:28,050 --> 00:15:28,949 I'm saying, does it make sense? 289 00:15:29,000 --> 00:15:29,850 What I'm describing? 290 00:15:42,675 --> 00:15:42,974 Right. 291 00:15:43,005 --> 00:15:43,454 Exactly. 292 00:15:43,454 --> 00:15:43,755 Okay. 293 00:15:44,114 --> 00:15:44,775 The, uh, 294 00:15:48,984 --> 00:15:50,665 I just don't see this thing bothering me. 295 00:15:50,665 --> 00:15:51,295 I don't like this. 296 00:15:51,385 --> 00:15:55,854 I think we're going to make them one more run below the low and 297 00:15:56,025 --> 00:15:57,324 we'll see what we see there. 298 00:15:59,055 --> 00:16:04,605 Once we get through that, unless we get some wild continuation, lower, you 299 00:16:04,605 --> 00:16:09,045 know, I think it's safe to be a real, if you're trading British pound, you 300 00:16:09,045 --> 00:16:12,975 really want to dial back your leverage and give yourself a little bit more room. 301 00:16:12,975 --> 00:16:17,145 If you're used to trading with like a 30 PIP stop, I'd be using a 60 PIP stop and 302 00:16:17,145 --> 00:16:21,735 use the same gearing you use the same Gary in terms of your leveraging, but don't. 303 00:16:23,220 --> 00:16:26,290 You don't try to get in there with, with a 10 PIP stop on cable right now 304 00:16:26,290 --> 00:16:30,700 because so many reasons for it to spike up and down and take you out prematurely. 305 00:16:30,880 --> 00:16:32,020 And it's going to frustrate you. 306 00:16:32,470 --> 00:16:36,580 So give yourself a little bit more room and a wider stop and you can 307 00:16:36,580 --> 00:16:41,530 still get, and still potentially make a lot of pips and not necessarily need 308 00:16:41,530 --> 00:16:43,030 a really, really small, tight stop. 309 00:16:47,084 --> 00:16:49,665 Um, today we've been rather lethargic and quiet. 310 00:16:49,905 --> 00:16:52,064 It hasn't been really doing much at all for cable. 311 00:16:52,604 --> 00:16:55,425 And we, we had a little bit, what is this here? 312 00:16:55,485 --> 00:16:58,245 Let me ask you before I talk about it, for those that are watching, 313 00:16:58,844 --> 00:17:00,765 even in the recording, you should already know what this is. 314 00:17:10,704 --> 00:17:11,514 Liquidity void. 315 00:17:11,724 --> 00:17:11,964 Yep. 316 00:17:12,385 --> 00:17:12,835 Very good. 317 00:17:14,715 --> 00:17:20,685 So if we identify that and price has moved up aggressively in here. 318 00:17:21,045 --> 00:17:21,315 Okay. 319 00:17:21,315 --> 00:17:22,845 We have that exposed range right there. 320 00:17:33,415 --> 00:17:37,345 So while it doesn't quickly, immediately come right back down there and fill it in. 321 00:17:37,705 --> 00:17:38,605 It takes some time. 322 00:17:38,605 --> 00:17:41,665 It, it, it drives down lower notice witness. 323 00:17:42,929 --> 00:17:45,179 Came down into this void right here. 324 00:17:47,320 --> 00:17:52,500 This portion of that void is still exposed. 325 00:17:52,500 --> 00:17:53,129 Do you get that? 326 00:17:54,629 --> 00:17:58,409 This portion is still only been offered on the buy side. 327 00:17:59,879 --> 00:18:00,149 Okay. 328 00:18:00,149 --> 00:18:04,020 They've only seen pricing going through up, so just like the paint analogy. 329 00:18:05,040 --> 00:18:05,490 Okay. 330 00:18:05,850 --> 00:18:10,100 This portion of the canvas had to be filled in. 331 00:18:12,275 --> 00:18:18,485 On the downstroke price was delivered on the up move here and it was 332 00:18:18,485 --> 00:18:19,625 delivered on a down move here. 333 00:18:20,495 --> 00:18:20,645 Okay. 334 00:18:20,645 --> 00:18:23,435 So the last video I did, do you see how that distribution of 335 00:18:23,435 --> 00:18:26,765 price was, uh, exhibited here? 336 00:18:27,365 --> 00:18:30,805 It was offered on the up move and then it was closed. 337 00:18:30,815 --> 00:18:35,795 And again, with the down move, perfect delivery of price is going to happen. 338 00:18:37,020 --> 00:18:39,870 Price offered when it's trading up through it and then down through it. 339 00:18:40,110 --> 00:18:40,500 Okay. 340 00:18:40,530 --> 00:18:42,419 And that's the efficient price delivery. 341 00:18:42,960 --> 00:18:46,200 Anything, apart from that, you're going to have pockets or a little 342 00:18:46,200 --> 00:18:50,250 holes or gaps in price, and then the market will invariably want to go 343 00:18:50,250 --> 00:18:52,470 back to those areas and fill that in. 344 00:18:53,550 --> 00:18:55,800 And that's why I'm saying you don't necessarily have to have a, you 345 00:18:55,800 --> 00:18:58,740 don't have to have a trading bias, like everyone's insistent on, you 346 00:18:58,740 --> 00:18:59,909 know, give me the bias for today. 347 00:19:00,300 --> 00:19:00,570 You don't know. 348 00:19:01,545 --> 00:19:04,425 You know, if you understand what you're trading, um, and what timeframe 349 00:19:04,425 --> 00:19:07,515 you're looking at, you can trade it with a great deal of precision. 350 00:19:07,965 --> 00:19:12,345 Just understanding what fair value is and where are the gaps 351 00:19:12,495 --> 00:19:14,175 or the ranges you're trading in. 352 00:19:14,265 --> 00:19:18,375 I mean, everyone knows that this move here from this low up to this 353 00:19:18,375 --> 00:19:19,305 high, what would that be called? 354 00:19:19,305 --> 00:19:21,735 Nothing in terms of what was the, it was taught to you in September. 355 00:19:21,735 --> 00:19:22,455 What's this called? 356 00:19:24,105 --> 00:19:27,825 It's a specific exactly. 357 00:19:27,825 --> 00:19:28,785 Impulse prices. 358 00:19:29,895 --> 00:19:30,044 Okay. 359 00:19:30,044 --> 00:19:32,925 So we have an impulse price swing, and we have that. 360 00:19:33,615 --> 00:19:36,584 We're going to see price wants to come back down into it. 361 00:19:37,544 --> 00:19:37,844 Okay. 362 00:19:38,475 --> 00:19:44,405 Especially if we have a void, like we have here, look at the responsiveness on price. 363 00:19:44,405 --> 00:19:48,784 When it got back down into where price broke away from the bodies here, right 364 00:19:48,784 --> 00:19:52,445 in here, some people would have a, uh, a line right on top of the wick. 365 00:19:52,925 --> 00:19:55,564 We don't look at the Wix because it's the thinnest portion of the wall. 366 00:19:56,550 --> 00:19:59,940 The bodies of the candles, when price blows through that, that's 367 00:19:59,940 --> 00:20:01,470 where you want to have your line. 368 00:20:01,480 --> 00:20:03,540 So when price comes back down to it, it's going to want to reach 369 00:20:03,540 --> 00:20:04,590 into that level right there. 370 00:20:04,590 --> 00:20:05,909 And it does just by a little bit. 371 00:20:06,659 --> 00:20:15,180 Um, the low comes in at 1 21 36 and it's 1 21 40. 372 00:20:15,270 --> 00:20:19,680 So notice how it went down far enough to allow the spread to be factored at 373 00:20:19,680 --> 00:20:21,120 buying essentially at that same time. 374 00:20:26,200 --> 00:20:28,810 You can sensitivity can begin at the WIC back here. 375 00:20:28,810 --> 00:20:29,950 Yes, it can. 376 00:20:30,879 --> 00:20:33,639 But we prefer rather seeing it come down into the bodies. 377 00:20:35,080 --> 00:20:38,290 Sometimes if you're demanding that it gets down to that level there, 378 00:20:38,530 --> 00:20:41,500 you're going to see some traits that escape you and that's going to happen. 379 00:20:41,940 --> 00:20:45,670 You there's no way around it, but if you're absolutely 100%, gung-ho about 380 00:20:45,760 --> 00:20:49,210 you have to be in that trade, you know, you're going to use the WIC plus. 381 00:20:50,750 --> 00:20:52,969 And then you get to allow some room for your, for your 382 00:20:52,969 --> 00:20:54,290 protective stop loss as well. 383 00:20:54,860 --> 00:20:58,699 Notice the bodies of the candles over here, look at what, look 384 00:20:58,699 --> 00:20:59,990 at what they were respecting. 385 00:21:00,649 --> 00:21:04,310 They had sensitivity really around the WIC, but price ultimately came down 386 00:21:04,310 --> 00:21:06,050 to where the body's own our own here. 387 00:21:15,629 --> 00:21:15,870 Okay. 388 00:21:15,870 --> 00:21:17,159 So that's why I have that level there. 389 00:21:20,230 --> 00:21:26,850 It looks as though, I mean, we left, we'd left a really nice area up here. 390 00:21:26,860 --> 00:21:32,500 1 23 42, 1 23 30 in that range. 391 00:21:32,830 --> 00:21:34,960 So there's a lot of bike stops resting there. 392 00:21:35,560 --> 00:21:37,660 Um, I'm not saying we're going to go run up and run right up 393 00:21:37,660 --> 00:21:38,650 there right now and get them. 394 00:21:38,680 --> 00:21:43,240 But, uh, that's, here's a scenario I have in mind when I was looking 395 00:21:43,240 --> 00:21:47,710 at the daily chart, I was expecting, you know, if we look at this move. 396 00:21:51,730 --> 00:21:54,160 Here's your low right in here. 397 00:21:54,940 --> 00:22:01,500 If we trade down and we take out this low, you say we move around. 398 00:22:01,800 --> 00:22:06,870 I don't know, maybe down to, uh, 20, 60 or 2050, they're really wash out 399 00:22:06,870 --> 00:22:09,720 that low, get people really juiced up about wanting to see a breakdown. 400 00:22:09,750 --> 00:22:10,680 And it very well may. 401 00:22:10,710 --> 00:22:12,930 It could keep going down for a long time and go straight 402 00:22:12,930 --> 00:22:14,910 to one 10 and do it in a day. 403 00:22:14,910 --> 00:22:17,340 And then here you go, you miss one more opportunity because it moved too fast. 404 00:22:19,005 --> 00:22:24,435 Assume for a moment that trades down there and gets below the 1 20, 61, 20 50 level. 405 00:22:24,945 --> 00:22:28,005 And then we start trading back up and we get back above this high here. 406 00:22:28,845 --> 00:22:29,085 I'm sorry. 407 00:22:29,085 --> 00:22:31,185 This low to start making higher highs. 408 00:22:31,905 --> 00:22:36,315 I think personally, they will make a run on the liquidity about here, 409 00:22:37,455 --> 00:22:38,775 because think about what that'll do. 410 00:22:38,835 --> 00:22:44,295 I don't get I don't price in about 1300 pips for a move down to the one 10. 411 00:22:45,665 --> 00:22:49,655 Whereas if they just let it run from here, they already have people 412 00:22:49,655 --> 00:22:54,215 already on the ride because we haven't had any real runs on one stops. 413 00:22:54,225 --> 00:22:58,804 Noticed that since we came up here and just poked above this short-term 414 00:22:58,804 --> 00:23:03,754 high here, right above that high here, we have all this down movement. 415 00:23:03,754 --> 00:23:06,425 So people are already net short and they're making money, but 416 00:23:06,425 --> 00:23:07,465 now they put the brakes on it. 417 00:23:07,485 --> 00:23:08,405 Now we're consolidating. 418 00:23:09,274 --> 00:23:14,195 So while it would be easy to expect price to keep going lower. 419 00:23:15,300 --> 00:23:18,990 If it's going to go lower of any significance below that low here, why 420 00:23:18,990 --> 00:23:22,590 would the bank allow everyone that's already on board short to get a free ride? 421 00:23:24,030 --> 00:23:26,610 That's not going to, that's not their Mo dynamo is okay. 422 00:23:27,030 --> 00:23:28,740 They already believe that's going to go lower. 423 00:23:29,250 --> 00:23:32,070 Everybody's expecting British pound to go down to zero. 424 00:23:32,580 --> 00:23:34,080 So they're short. 425 00:23:34,890 --> 00:23:36,870 And then we held, we had this move here from London. 426 00:23:36,900 --> 00:23:39,990 It's slowly grinding, higher, higher, higher, higher, higher. 427 00:23:41,670 --> 00:23:45,530 Ultimately, they may not have enough buy stops in place in here. 428 00:23:45,580 --> 00:23:48,270 Maybe there's a lot of people that are just too afraid to get short. 429 00:23:48,960 --> 00:23:49,860 That's what I'm weighing. 430 00:23:49,860 --> 00:23:50,040 Yeah. 431 00:23:50,060 --> 00:23:50,850 I, but that's what I'm saying. 432 00:23:50,850 --> 00:23:54,450 I'd rather see it come down, take this low out here and then do 433 00:23:54,450 --> 00:23:58,170 a real quick aggressive run up to just get above these highs. 434 00:23:58,770 --> 00:24:03,780 I would not be fearful of being short still, even with being, uh, a witness 435 00:24:03,780 --> 00:24:06,480 of, of seeing that, because I would understand that they're knocking 436 00:24:06,480 --> 00:24:07,950 out everyone that's already short. 437 00:24:08,985 --> 00:24:10,575 That would clear out the entire board. 438 00:24:10,635 --> 00:24:14,445 And by taking these stops out here, these buy stops at the 439 00:24:14,445 --> 00:24:15,885 market become orders to buy. 440 00:24:16,515 --> 00:24:19,335 And if they're going to be assuming short positions and we're ultimately 441 00:24:19,335 --> 00:24:23,625 going into the one 10 or lower, you know, that would be a really optimal, 442 00:24:23,625 --> 00:24:25,745 optimal entry for, uh, being short. 443 00:24:25,754 --> 00:24:29,305 Cause it prices in a broad range of 1300 potential pips on the down. 444 00:24:31,505 --> 00:24:34,475 In here while it's still can roll over and go lower and breakthrough to 445 00:24:34,475 --> 00:24:36,425 low and ultimately keep going down. 446 00:24:36,815 --> 00:24:40,175 Um, to me it wouldn't make that much sense because outside of this 447 00:24:40,175 --> 00:24:41,945 short-term little equal highs in here. 448 00:24:42,455 --> 00:24:45,485 That's all we saw price move above, but notice we haven't seen any 449 00:24:45,485 --> 00:24:47,075 real willingness to break down. 450 00:24:48,395 --> 00:24:50,735 There's just, no, there's no willingness to see it go lower. 451 00:24:51,815 --> 00:24:52,235 So, 452 00:24:57,075 --> 00:24:58,545 um, this is not right. 453 00:24:59,534 --> 00:25:02,445 That was being asked if, uh, was this already right in there? 454 00:25:02,445 --> 00:25:03,524 This is this a retest. 455 00:25:04,064 --> 00:25:06,135 And that allows the thought process of that. 456 00:25:06,135 --> 00:25:09,824 This is now resistance and therefore that allows it's engineering. 457 00:25:09,824 --> 00:25:12,074 That's how they do it when you have a high and it comes 458 00:25:12,074 --> 00:25:13,425 right back and just touches it. 459 00:25:13,455 --> 00:25:16,334 Or maybe it falls by one PIP or goes above about two or three pips. 460 00:25:17,024 --> 00:25:21,854 We want to see 10 pips or 20 pips sweep above it. 461 00:25:22,485 --> 00:25:26,114 See what they're doing is that they're giving you an, uh, retail trader rather. 462 00:25:27,555 --> 00:25:28,905 Premise that this looks like what? 463 00:25:28,995 --> 00:25:33,405 I mean, if you ask anybody, if you showed them that chart there, they're going to 464 00:25:33,405 --> 00:25:38,745 tell you it's hitting resistance and say, okay, get short price is going to go down. 465 00:25:39,345 --> 00:25:39,764 Okay. 466 00:25:39,764 --> 00:25:42,075 And now all of a sudden they think they're smart. 467 00:25:43,485 --> 00:25:44,565 Now they're a genius. 468 00:25:46,245 --> 00:25:47,205 They can't be wrong. 469 00:25:49,305 --> 00:25:50,445 Um, definitely make all kinds of money. 470 00:25:50,524 --> 00:25:51,555 The low is going to break out. 471 00:25:51,795 --> 00:25:52,995 And then all of a sudden you get this. 472 00:25:55,635 --> 00:25:58,965 Anyone that's short way back way earlier. 473 00:25:59,055 --> 00:25:59,535 Okay. 474 00:26:00,525 --> 00:26:03,705 This is the most logical area for them to want a trail, their stop loss, 475 00:26:03,765 --> 00:26:07,155 unless they're ultra really aggressive and they don't want to lose a penny. 476 00:26:07,545 --> 00:26:10,545 You know, they may have their stop above this high here or above 477 00:26:10,545 --> 00:26:12,585 these little short-term highs in here that would have been viewed 478 00:26:12,585 --> 00:26:13,875 as a short-term resistance level. 479 00:26:14,295 --> 00:26:18,195 And they brought a clean news guys out and they haven't really moved price. 480 00:26:18,195 --> 00:26:19,185 They just kept it sideways. 481 00:26:19,185 --> 00:26:21,405 So I think what they're doing is they're giving folks a 482 00:26:21,405 --> 00:26:23,865 chance to trailer stop loss. 483 00:26:25,110 --> 00:26:29,820 Because apart from going above these highs in here, I don't think it's good 484 00:26:29,820 --> 00:26:34,080 for the market to go lower near term if they go much above these highs. 485 00:26:34,979 --> 00:26:35,189 Okay. 486 00:26:35,189 --> 00:26:37,139 So above these equal highs, let me draw that out. 487 00:26:37,139 --> 00:26:37,919 Cause I do sometimes. 488 00:26:42,729 --> 00:26:43,060 Okay. 489 00:26:43,899 --> 00:26:45,219 Read about these highs in here. 490 00:26:45,250 --> 00:26:47,050 That's where I think the buy stops are. 491 00:26:47,979 --> 00:26:49,120 So if they make a run. 492 00:26:50,085 --> 00:26:52,665 That point here and it may, it may not happen. 493 00:26:52,695 --> 00:26:55,455 It doesn't have to happen, but to me it would be logical for that to 494 00:26:55,455 --> 00:27:01,754 happen after, after it takes this low out, because what they'll do 495 00:27:01,754 --> 00:27:03,615 is they'll trip people in short. 496 00:27:04,455 --> 00:27:04,935 Okay. 497 00:27:05,145 --> 00:27:07,335 You're going to be knocking people into the marketplace. 498 00:27:07,395 --> 00:27:12,705 Initially first, going short, then aggressively running up 499 00:27:12,735 --> 00:27:14,595 on the trail to buy stops. 500 00:27:14,595 --> 00:27:18,135 That will be above whatever highs are we in here and ultimately 501 00:27:18,165 --> 00:27:19,064 aiming for the bicycle. 502 00:27:20,920 --> 00:27:25,120 Now to do that, they would be establishing shorts at every time that new highs 503 00:27:25,390 --> 00:27:27,130 would be violated, they'd sell into it. 504 00:27:27,130 --> 00:27:30,580 So until it sounds, and they would ultimately aim for the biggest portion. 505 00:27:34,165 --> 00:27:38,784 To knock out those individuals prematurely now without taking out the low. 506 00:27:39,115 --> 00:27:39,534 Okay. 507 00:27:40,284 --> 00:27:43,314 The only participants that have stem cell stops, I'm sorry. 508 00:27:43,405 --> 00:27:46,254 Good grief by stops on their short positions above these highs. 509 00:27:46,254 --> 00:27:49,554 Here are the folks that have already sold over here. 510 00:27:50,215 --> 00:27:52,885 And I think I was the only one that went short that I know of. 511 00:27:53,034 --> 00:27:53,365 Okay. 512 00:27:53,365 --> 00:27:57,084 That was willing to do anything with it because of all the fear around it. 513 00:27:59,310 --> 00:28:03,300 This is the only logical area where the stops would be at right now. 514 00:28:03,540 --> 00:28:05,620 There's not enough new sellers in here yet. 515 00:28:05,639 --> 00:28:07,200 It's been, everyone was scared. 516 00:28:07,620 --> 00:28:10,770 They all watched the reaction and they've been reading routers. 517 00:28:10,770 --> 00:28:15,750 They've been watching, uh, you know, CNBC, you everyone's got their 518 00:28:15,750 --> 00:28:17,399 opinion of why the cable went down. 519 00:28:17,399 --> 00:28:18,750 We explained why it went down. 520 00:28:18,750 --> 00:28:21,510 It was the central bank repricing third one 20 level. 521 00:28:21,990 --> 00:28:23,970 But if. 522 00:28:25,125 --> 00:28:28,544 You put that aside for a moment, just look at, what's been going on here. 523 00:28:28,575 --> 00:28:34,725 I mean, the market, that's scary to watch it go down 800 pips in three minutes. 524 00:28:35,355 --> 00:28:37,215 You know, that that's, it's, it's dramatic. 525 00:28:37,695 --> 00:28:39,315 So it puts people on the brakes. 526 00:28:39,345 --> 00:28:39,735 Okay. 527 00:28:39,735 --> 00:28:41,445 And they're sitting on the sidelines and they're watching cable. 528 00:28:41,445 --> 00:28:42,764 They all have a Twitter opinion. 529 00:28:43,125 --> 00:28:44,865 They all have a Facebook demo account. 530 00:28:44,925 --> 00:28:47,355 You know, that's linked up to something and they're going to make a thousand 531 00:28:47,355 --> 00:28:51,705 pips, but really most traders are on the fence about what they want 532 00:28:51,705 --> 00:28:52,935 to do with cable to their side. 533 00:28:54,090 --> 00:28:56,670 So even if this thing goes lower, think about it. 534 00:28:56,700 --> 00:28:59,460 Why would the bank, why would it apply with the bank? 535 00:28:59,520 --> 00:29:02,460 Make a run down to one 10 from these levels right now, when they don't 536 00:29:02,460 --> 00:29:08,140 really have enough participants in w w w like where, where, where, where 537 00:29:08,140 --> 00:29:10,570 are the buyers at there have to have, they have to have buyers in. 538 00:29:11,020 --> 00:29:12,190 So what they're going to do is they're going to engine. 539 00:29:32,235 --> 00:29:33,495 To get those stops. 540 00:29:34,395 --> 00:29:34,875 Okay. 541 00:29:35,385 --> 00:29:36,524 To sell into it. 542 00:29:37,095 --> 00:29:37,395 Okay. 543 00:29:37,425 --> 00:29:38,955 The smart money has to have books. 544 00:29:40,735 --> 00:29:44,305 The way they get those buyers is they attack buyers above current price. 545 00:30:13,990 --> 00:30:17,740 So if the price drops any farther from here, okay. 546 00:30:17,740 --> 00:30:19,030 The only sell stock, I'm sorry. 547 00:30:19,030 --> 00:30:21,790 The only buy stops that are in the marketplace are those 548 00:30:21,790 --> 00:30:23,170 by stops that are above here. 549 00:30:24,190 --> 00:30:27,129 Small little pool of biceps above this high here. 550 00:30:27,790 --> 00:30:29,020 Some by stops above here. 551 00:30:29,910 --> 00:30:32,310 And then whatever it would be recessed, you know, residing here. 552 00:30:32,670 --> 00:30:34,020 So here's my, here's my question. 553 00:30:34,020 --> 00:30:36,060 And I want you to really think about this because this is what 554 00:30:36,060 --> 00:30:38,580 makes you got to stop talking. 555 00:30:40,170 --> 00:30:42,690 I'm not continuously talking as much as I'd like to talk a lot. 556 00:30:42,990 --> 00:30:44,970 I'm not always, I'm not always talking. 557 00:30:45,660 --> 00:30:48,900 So apart from these equal highs, you know? 558 00:30:48,960 --> 00:30:50,700 Yes, the market has drifted lower. 559 00:30:51,660 --> 00:30:51,990 Okay. 560 00:30:52,020 --> 00:30:56,730 The market has drifted lower, but how much. 561 00:30:57,899 --> 00:31:02,730 We sing in terms of short-selling, there's not been a whole great deal of, 562 00:31:02,760 --> 00:31:06,840 uh, you know, opportunity outside of this run here and in the retracement. 563 00:31:07,620 --> 00:31:11,219 So the bulk of where I believe the Bystolic reside are above this high 564 00:31:11,219 --> 00:31:13,620 here and above these equal highs. 565 00:31:14,219 --> 00:31:17,370 Maybe there's been a small measurable amount of liquidity. 566 00:31:17,370 --> 00:31:20,209 That's been trailed down the here from those individuals, solar. 567 00:31:21,030 --> 00:31:21,390 Okay. 568 00:31:21,660 --> 00:31:24,270 That's, that's fine and great, but that's not enough. 569 00:31:24,600 --> 00:31:29,760 It's not enough to establish more selling because the banks are greedy. 570 00:31:30,180 --> 00:31:32,520 They're going to want to be positioning more shorts. 571 00:31:32,820 --> 00:31:38,550 So it lends well to the idea that if we do just drop down here, okay. 572 00:31:39,210 --> 00:31:43,080 They know that the folks that are going to expect this low, the break, 573 00:31:43,140 --> 00:31:46,350 they think it's going to go down a lot more to these individuals. 574 00:31:47,505 --> 00:31:49,815 So they're going to be willing to hold onto their short position. 575 00:31:50,145 --> 00:31:52,665 They may give up a small piece of the pie. 576 00:31:52,785 --> 00:31:53,805 They being smart money. 577 00:31:54,405 --> 00:31:57,435 They may give up a small piece of the pie by letting price go down below this low. 578 00:31:58,125 --> 00:31:58,575 Okay. 579 00:31:58,785 --> 00:32:02,145 And then allow these folks that are short up here to trailer stop loss 580 00:32:02,235 --> 00:32:04,515 to here, or whatever would be here. 581 00:32:04,695 --> 00:32:05,055 Okay. 582 00:32:05,085 --> 00:32:08,325 And ultimately the longer-term bears leaving their stop up here. 583 00:32:08,325 --> 00:32:12,030 They won't be safe either because when they drop it down, All of a 584 00:32:12,030 --> 00:32:15,300 sudden new shorts will be in and the new shorts will put their stop 585 00:32:15,300 --> 00:32:16,890 above whatever recent high will form. 586 00:32:17,370 --> 00:32:20,160 And then when they reprice higher, every time it goes through these 587 00:32:20,160 --> 00:32:25,110 positions, short terms, highs, those by stops will allow the bank to go right 588 00:32:25,110 --> 00:32:28,320 in there and establish new shorts. 589 00:32:28,890 --> 00:32:31,830 And then they'll allow price to run down and go to the one 10 level. 590 00:32:33,600 --> 00:32:34,320 Does that make sense? 591 00:32:37,610 --> 00:32:38,810 I mean, that's just the scenario I'm seeing. 592 00:32:41,870 --> 00:32:44,240 And it's not the only one that could happen, but that given what we're 593 00:32:44,240 --> 00:32:47,960 looking at here, that's what I would personally and reasonably expect. 594 00:32:48,380 --> 00:32:50,900 Um, and the reason, and that's why I believe we're going to go down 595 00:32:50,900 --> 00:32:53,870 below this low before we come up here first, because it wouldn't 596 00:32:53,870 --> 00:32:55,370 make any sense to come up here yet. 597 00:32:55,850 --> 00:32:56,660 There's not enough. 598 00:32:56,870 --> 00:32:57,470 There's not enough. 599 00:32:57,500 --> 00:32:58,160 Buy stops up here. 600 00:32:59,605 --> 00:33:02,545 And we talk about open float later in this, uh, mentorship. 601 00:33:02,545 --> 00:33:05,335 You'll understand why, but I'm just giving you the foundations of why I believe 602 00:33:05,815 --> 00:33:09,985 that more, most likely going to take this low out before we come up here, because 603 00:33:09,985 --> 00:33:15,535 there's gotta be more by stops, occurring, informing, forming above current market 604 00:33:15,535 --> 00:33:17,815 action before they send price lower. 605 00:33:18,055 --> 00:33:21,625 And that's the first lesson I taught on baby piss in 2010, I said that 606 00:33:22,195 --> 00:33:25,765 you want to be looking for price to come back to a previous high running. 607 00:33:26,610 --> 00:33:31,380 If you're bearish, that's the best selling scenario because they ran the stops. 608 00:33:32,010 --> 00:33:34,590 They only went up there to take this buy stops out and convert them 609 00:33:34,590 --> 00:33:37,500 to liquidity for their selling. 610 00:33:38,520 --> 00:33:41,250 And if the market goes down below a previous low, and you're bullish, 611 00:33:41,820 --> 00:33:47,100 they have only repriced below that low to, to exercise those buy sell 612 00:33:47,100 --> 00:33:50,190 stops to induce selling liquidity. 613 00:33:50,190 --> 00:33:51,960 So that way they can buy into those cells. 614 00:33:52,980 --> 00:33:55,110 And then you'll see price expand and go. 615 00:33:55,110 --> 00:33:56,160 And it's uptrend. 616 00:33:57,000 --> 00:33:58,110 It's really important. 617 00:33:58,140 --> 00:34:01,290 That's why I gave it to you the first month, what to focus on because if 618 00:34:01,290 --> 00:34:03,540 you, every single day, when you're looking at price action, and you 619 00:34:03,540 --> 00:34:08,130 look at these reference points, you can't, you can't not understand what 620 00:34:08,130 --> 00:34:09,780 price is going to do as a result. 621 00:34:09,810 --> 00:34:11,909 It will be by default, you're going to see it. 622 00:34:12,000 --> 00:34:13,320 You won't understand why they're doing what they're 623 00:34:13,320 --> 00:34:14,790 doing and you'll anticipate it. 624 00:34:15,360 --> 00:34:17,010 So right now that's why we're consolidating. 625 00:34:17,909 --> 00:34:20,020 It's allowing folks to, uh, you know, build. 626 00:34:20,880 --> 00:34:24,360 Expectation that this is going to take it's run out and in more 627 00:34:24,480 --> 00:34:27,510 bypassable form above these reference points that I've just noted here. 628 00:34:28,410 --> 00:34:32,520 So again, the least resistance is below this low, but if we break below that low, 629 00:34:32,940 --> 00:34:35,280 I'm going to be really inclined to believe that they're going to make a run or 630 00:34:35,280 --> 00:34:37,170 squeeze on those positions that are short. 631 00:34:37,290 --> 00:34:40,620 So you're gonna be focusing on your short-term highs with the expectation that 632 00:34:40,620 --> 00:34:42,390 there may even run all the way up to here. 633 00:34:42,630 --> 00:34:43,530 And now think about this. 634 00:34:43,740 --> 00:34:44,660 Let's say that happens. 635 00:34:44,660 --> 00:34:48,840 Say that the bridge pound blows out this low and then screamed. 636 00:34:49,770 --> 00:34:53,040 Okay for a week and takes out the stops above here. 637 00:34:54,509 --> 00:34:58,430 Everyone's going to think that we made the low wouldn't. 638 00:34:58,430 --> 00:35:01,580 You expect that if that's what happens, say we take out the load 639 00:35:01,580 --> 00:35:04,910 that was formed on the 11th of October, and then we scream all the 640 00:35:04,910 --> 00:35:06,350 way up over a series of several days. 641 00:35:06,350 --> 00:35:08,630 And we'd go up, back into the one 2340s. 642 00:35:09,830 --> 00:35:12,950 Everybody's going to assume that that was the low and the British Pam. 643 00:35:13,580 --> 00:35:15,380 When in fact my expectations would be. 644 00:35:16,424 --> 00:35:19,694 They only came up there to knock them out and then we're going to see the one 10th. 645 00:35:22,205 --> 00:35:25,774 So that's, that's, that's the scenario I'm playing out. 646 00:35:25,774 --> 00:35:28,265 And if I had control over the price, that's exactly what I would do. 647 00:35:29,134 --> 00:35:30,424 I say exactly what I was doing. 648 00:35:30,455 --> 00:35:32,585 I would consolidate this thing all day today. 649 00:35:33,154 --> 00:35:33,544 Okay. 650 00:35:33,765 --> 00:35:38,165 I would send it up tomorrow in London and in so off aggressively and make a 651 00:35:38,165 --> 00:35:40,205 straight run right down into these lows. 652 00:35:40,835 --> 00:35:42,725 That's what I would personally do with that control report. 653 00:35:43,665 --> 00:35:46,095 And I would know that there'd be all kinds of willingness to be a 654 00:35:46,115 --> 00:35:49,095 seller for the masses out there. 655 00:35:49,365 --> 00:35:57,075 And I could buy that up and I could make a run from 1 20, 70, all up to 1 20, 3 40, 656 00:35:57,705 --> 00:36:01,785 and then I established my longterm shorts here and then let it unfold down into 657 00:36:01,785 --> 00:36:03,555 one 10th over the next couple of months. 658 00:36:03,885 --> 00:36:04,215 That's what I. 659 00:36:05,865 --> 00:36:07,635 So, no, I don't have control over price. 660 00:36:07,635 --> 00:36:08,535 I'm working on it though. 661 00:36:08,565 --> 00:36:09,555 I am working on that. 662 00:36:09,975 --> 00:36:12,705 That's the next mentorship by ever established control over price. 663 00:36:12,705 --> 00:36:15,795 That's that's the next time we do a mentorship until then we have one. 664 00:36:17,055 --> 00:36:17,295 So. 56191

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