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Okay folks.
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Welcome back.
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I appreciate your patience
over the last day.
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Um, still have a couple of things I got
to do housekeeping wise, and I appreciate
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your patience in letting me to do that.
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The current economic calendar for today.
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Obviously we have a late start
today and we're looking at.
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Crude oil inventories at 11 o'clock.
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So we've got about 40 minutes, 45
minutes or so until that number is
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released, that should affect CAD as well.
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So we're going to be observing a dollar
versus the Canadian dollar, and we'll
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go over that in a few moments, but for
now, it's going to take a look at what's
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already transpired and what may be
unfolding for the remainder of the day.
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Right.
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You should be seeing the dollar index.
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Okay.
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And I'm going to, and yes, I'm recording.
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Thank you for the reminder.
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Um, I'm going to put your questions tab.
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Okay.
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And, uh, I saw your question before I,
uh, uh, clicked over the reason why I
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don't look at low impact news is because
I don't have that much influence it.
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Doesn't I don't believe it has
that much influence over the
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type of, uh, magnitude of movie.
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If I'm looking for it, it's
either going to be a medium impact
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or a high impact news event.
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That's usually what's used to mask.
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The manipulation is seen in price action.
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All right.
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So do we have the dollar index?
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Okay.
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And we moved above these highs.
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We were aiming for that as well.
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Um, we can move rather aggressively
yesterday through it came up here
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and hit the bottom of the bear order
block, which is the last bodied candle.
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Notice that we're not
using this candle here.
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It's a down candle with a
small little lower close.
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And this up candle here.
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Isn't the highest one either.
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It's this one, even though it
has a little bit of a wick on
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it, we're using the end of that.
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And the low there's a
fair value gap in between.
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Let me zoom in on that.
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Just remember the folks that are trying
to watch this on their iPhone, iPhone
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four, where you're looking at advanced
box size screen, you're on a why you
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would watch that there, but, uh, Opening
and the low on this, the, the low comes
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in at 98 0 9 and the opening is 98 13.
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So between 98, 13 and 98, 0 9.
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That's where the fair value gap is.
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And if you go over to see what today's
high is, today's hive comes in, right.
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98, 12.
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So it was just one PIP short away
from the opening on that bears on a
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block relative to the daily chart.
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And it's not unreasonable to expect some
measure of retracement or have a pause
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in here because we, we broke through an
old high back here on the daily charts.
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00:03:06,285 --> 00:03:11,445
So it's normal for it to do at least a
one day down to constitute a retracement.
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Now it can be forming a high, we
don't ever know that, that some of the
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things that I get questioned a lot.
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You know, w w how do I know if
it's going to do this or that?
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Um, I don't try to pick tops, especially
when the market's been primarily bullish.
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And my thought process is this.
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Um, if it's, if it's retraced this far
up above this high, I still think that
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we're, we're going to probably reach
up above that 98 55, the 98 60 level.
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And then ultimately I think we're
ultimately going to go higher really.
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I mean, yes, it's the bottom line.
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I think we're going higher.
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Um, we're getting ready to go into
November where the U S elections
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are going to be a lot more catalysts
than they have been thus far.
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It's getting really dirty.
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Um, a lot of mudslinging and really
just disgusting things being mentioned.
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Uh, the government's really trying to
do whatever they can to keep Donald
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Trump from being elected, uh, because
he, they know he's going to be a rebel.
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He's going to be.
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He's going to upset everything.
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And he's not even really probably
going to serve the American
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public the correct way either.
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So there's a lot of certainty with him,
but I would still pick him over Hillary.
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And that's just that's that's it.
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Uh, Hillary is still the establishment.
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Nothing's going to change with her.
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Trump may bring all kinds of change,
but it may be also unwelcomed change
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and that's going to cause a lot
of uncertainty, a lot of things
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are going to go off and people are
going to be running to the door.
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As a means of flight to quality,
because that's the way I that's
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the way I interpret that.
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The way I see it.
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Uh, I think that's what this has all
been down here, all accumulation.
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And I think they're going to make a run
through that, that dollar mark up here.
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Okay.
90
00:04:43,980 --> 00:04:46,800
And we're looking for 1 0 2 to
1, 2 7, 1 explode on blow off.
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00:04:47,190 --> 00:04:51,570
And if we get to those levels, we'll have
to revisit, see if we're going any higher.
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00:04:51,570 --> 00:04:53,760
But I do think that we're
aiming for parody still.
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Um, we're still looking for parody
on the fiber, your USD as well,
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but that takes some time to get out
and, you know, the work that out.
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So while they're long-term macro
views on price, uh, we still have
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to look at the lower timeframes.
97
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You need to find some objectives and,
and trade within the ranges that are
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00:05:12,420 --> 00:05:14,220
currently being made available to us.
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00:05:15,570 --> 00:05:19,260
So classic support resistance guys
are gonna be looking at these, uh, hi.
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00:05:20,085 --> 00:05:23,235
And on this candle here,
the high comes in at 97, 56.
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So we're looking for retail.
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We'll be expecting support to come down
in around that 97, 60 to 97 55 level.
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And for folks that look at the buys
at candles, like we do, uh, they're
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gonna be looking at 97 forties.
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Okay.
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For support on dollar, me personally.
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Uh, I don't want to see anything.
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00:05:45,455 --> 00:05:46,175
I'll get this out of my way.
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I don't want to see anything
below this candle here.
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I don't want to see that.
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Okay.
112
00:05:54,010 --> 00:05:56,140
Um, it can reach down
into that and hit that.
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Well, not so much for that.
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00:05:57,430 --> 00:05:58,030
Let's do this.
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I like that level.
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00:06:01,650 --> 00:06:04,290
And the reason why I did that, because
there's a lot of work around that
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00:06:04,290 --> 00:06:09,780
level means that the close on this
candle here, the opening on this candle
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here to close on this candle here.
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You open on this candle here.
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So there's a lot of work around that.
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00:06:18,270 --> 00:06:21,450
And it's also the middle of this big
down candle, which is a bullet a block.
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00:06:21,780 --> 00:06:27,330
So this is the mean threshold, so they
can come down and touch 97, 60 to 97 57.
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00:06:28,469 --> 00:06:31,469
Um, if it goes down through that,
obviously it's going to want to clear
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out these equal lows where there's
liquidity pool resting for cell stops.
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00:06:36,510 --> 00:06:39,090
I don't personally, personally believe
that it needs to go down there.
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Um, if it does, it's going to
have to show me a willingness
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to quickly get away from it.
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00:06:42,810 --> 00:06:45,480
Not spend a lot of time below these
lows, because if it does, it's what I
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00:06:45,480 --> 00:06:46,770
want to come down here and closing this.
130
00:06:47,310 --> 00:06:49,620
And that puts us around that 97 30 level.
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00:06:49,620 --> 00:06:54,120
And while that still might be necessary
for longer term, I'd rather not do
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that because we've already swept
out these lows here right here.
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00:06:58,620 --> 00:06:59,550
We've already cleaned those out.
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We've paused.
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00:07:00,240 --> 00:07:01,200
We haven't moved away from that.
136
00:07:01,590 --> 00:07:02,550
Now we're getting lower.
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00:07:02,850 --> 00:07:04,560
So if we get below this wicked.
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00:07:05,760 --> 00:07:09,360
And get down to this mean
threshold of this down candle.
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00:07:10,320 --> 00:07:10,770
Excuse me.
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00:07:11,849 --> 00:07:14,460
That should be, in my opinion,
should be all that should be
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00:07:14,460 --> 00:07:15,840
necessary for a retracement.
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00:07:16,320 --> 00:07:19,860
Uh, so 97, 60 to 97, 55, if
it spikes through it without
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00:07:19,860 --> 00:07:21,450
closing, um, that's exciting.
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00:07:22,185 --> 00:07:24,435
And then we would make a run
on these equal highs, like
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00:07:24,435 --> 00:07:25,365
how they left that up there.
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00:07:25,365 --> 00:07:25,844
Real nice.
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00:07:25,844 --> 00:07:29,325
It looks like a road solid
retail resistance level.
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00:07:29,474 --> 00:07:34,635
So folks are going to see that
as safe resistance or 97 98, 10
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00:07:35,115 --> 00:07:36,645
is a near-term resistance level.
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00:07:36,645 --> 00:07:37,575
So on your charts,
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you want to highlight.
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00:07:48,310 --> 00:07:53,530
Uh, 98, 10 to 9, 8, 12, uh there's by
staffs resting, just above those highs.
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And it's, it's been methodical about
the way they're dropping it down.
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00:07:58,659 --> 00:08:03,310
So again, all eyes are on that
97, 55 to 97 60 level it should
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00:08:03,310 --> 00:08:04,780
we lose that level again?
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00:08:05,050 --> 00:08:08,770
You're going to be paying attention to
this liquidity pool resting below these.
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00:08:09,735 --> 00:08:10,515
Lowe's down here.
158
00:08:11,445 --> 00:08:12,435
And we run through that.
159
00:08:12,825 --> 00:08:15,375
The last line of defense for near
term bullishness is going to be
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00:08:15,375 --> 00:08:18,675
this bullish or block, which is the
down candle, pry this up, move here.
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00:08:18,675 --> 00:08:22,515
So we have a little bit of a liquidity
void here and a fair value gap between the
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00:08:22,515 --> 00:08:24,705
opening on this down candle and it's high.
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00:08:25,215 --> 00:08:29,805
So be mindful that this is the 30 minute
chart for your, uh, for your notes.
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00:08:29,805 --> 00:08:30,795
Just make sure you're aware of that.
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Uh, Euro pound.
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00:08:36,155 --> 00:08:37,505
I still think we're
probably gonna make it.
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Up in here.
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00:08:39,315 --> 00:08:42,405
I'm not sure how we're going to
do that in regards to manipulation
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00:08:42,405 --> 00:08:44,085
through Euro and cable.
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00:08:44,625 --> 00:08:47,325
Um, but I do suspect that's
probably what's going to happen
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in here, Euro trade it down into
its bullish order block in here.
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00:08:56,095 --> 00:08:59,395
And we've since come back and now
we're retesting the opening of that
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00:08:59,395 --> 00:09:05,485
down candle or bull shorter block,
uh, the mean threshold for it.
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00:09:05,705 --> 00:09:07,225
This is a daily chart against the key tab.
175
00:09:11,395 --> 00:09:12,685
We've pierced equilibrium.
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00:09:13,555 --> 00:09:14,455
Didn't close through it.
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00:09:16,105 --> 00:09:18,655
It'll be interesting to see what
we do in regards to today's close.
178
00:09:18,655 --> 00:09:20,505
Do we hold on to it here?
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00:09:20,505 --> 00:09:26,155
Or we, we press up even higher and
I'll still maintain the thought
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00:09:26,155 --> 00:09:29,575
process that we're going to want
to go below these lows over here.
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00:09:29,845 --> 00:09:32,785
I almost did it today with its
willingness to want to reach down
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00:09:32,785 --> 00:09:35,005
initially, but, uh, it didn't have it.
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00:09:37,170 --> 00:09:43,200
Continuation from the, uh, the initial
move lower, uh, near term liquidity pool,
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00:09:43,350 --> 00:09:49,200
S obviously above the intraday high here,
and then we have these highs as well.
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00:09:49,200 --> 00:09:50,520
So we'll be watching this
186
00:09:55,540 --> 00:10:00,400
right in there and it also takes us
right up into bare shoulder block.
187
00:10:01,490 --> 00:10:02,920
I think it's a 15 minute timeframe.
188
00:10:02,920 --> 00:10:03,220
So.
189
00:10:04,635 --> 00:10:06,225
Using the low up to the opening.
190
00:10:06,795 --> 00:10:07,935
That's a fair value gap.
191
00:10:09,225 --> 00:10:12,075
So we can watch that as
potential upside objectives.
192
00:10:14,625 --> 00:10:17,295
Any question is, okay, let's say
we're looking at price right now.
193
00:10:18,224 --> 00:10:21,974
And this is, uh, just for, uh, a means
of teaching exercising when you're
194
00:10:21,974 --> 00:10:25,844
looking at charts and I'm not giving you
anything in between videos or suggestions.
195
00:10:26,444 --> 00:10:29,145
If you're watching price like
this and price was down here in,
196
00:10:29,224 --> 00:10:32,745
in close proximity to this down
candle, you can do a paper trade.
197
00:10:33,074 --> 00:10:33,464
Okay.
198
00:10:33,795 --> 00:10:34,625
You can do a paper chain set.
199
00:10:34,625 --> 00:10:34,785
Okay.
200
00:10:34,785 --> 00:10:35,594
Hype cycle on the second.
201
00:10:35,594 --> 00:10:38,444
Well, I'm going to buy, if you
have access to the demo account
202
00:10:38,444 --> 00:10:42,135
that you're messing around with and
practicing, you can do a long in here.
203
00:10:42,704 --> 00:10:42,974
Okay.
204
00:10:43,005 --> 00:10:45,135
And then use the stop below that candles.
205
00:10:46,380 --> 00:10:49,110
And you would be reaching
for this objective here.
206
00:10:49,110 --> 00:10:56,410
So let's assume for a moment, the
openness at 10 32 to highs at 10 36,
207
00:10:56,770 --> 00:11:00,460
and as, as price was trading around
in here, um, you could say, okay,
208
00:11:00,460 --> 00:11:03,880
look, I'm going to hypothetically
say, I think it's going to go higher.
209
00:11:04,510 --> 00:11:04,810
Okay.
210
00:11:05,170 --> 00:11:08,410
Now the question is, if you think
it's going to go higher and to buy
211
00:11:08,410 --> 00:11:11,950
it, you're going to add three pips
to whatever that market price is.
212
00:11:11,950 --> 00:11:13,050
So like right now, it would be 10.
213
00:11:13,935 --> 00:11:16,035
If you bought it right now,
your fill will be 10 40.
214
00:11:16,064 --> 00:11:18,555
Now I'm not going to do it
because my counsel hooked to them.
215
00:11:18,555 --> 00:11:22,324
I have textbook and I'm not trying to
mess it up, but you would add three pips.
216
00:11:22,324 --> 00:11:24,854
So, so you'd be at long at 10 40.
217
00:11:25,305 --> 00:11:28,724
The question is, would this
be a viable exercise to do for
218
00:11:28,724 --> 00:11:30,435
a demo or just paper trade?
219
00:11:30,974 --> 00:11:34,275
The reason why I'm asking that is how
much movement is there, between where
220
00:11:34,275 --> 00:11:37,964
we're identifying a liquidity pool and
where you would be taking a long practice.
221
00:11:56,385 --> 00:11:57,015
Exactly.
222
00:11:57,344 --> 00:11:58,574
It's not much room at all.
223
00:11:58,755 --> 00:12:00,555
You're only looking at
about 10 pips or so.
224
00:12:00,885 --> 00:12:01,275
Okay.
225
00:12:01,605 --> 00:12:05,805
So if you factor spread in for
that, even though we can anticipate
226
00:12:05,805 --> 00:12:07,275
where the market may reach up.
227
00:12:08,570 --> 00:12:12,380
It doesn't give us enough room
to frame out a practice trade.
228
00:12:12,980 --> 00:12:15,020
And that's why you need to be
looking at the hard timeframe trucks,
229
00:12:15,020 --> 00:12:16,970
because it gives you a lot more
range in terms of where the market
230
00:12:16,970 --> 00:12:18,860
may go and where it's at currently.
231
00:12:19,220 --> 00:12:22,730
And if it's above us, that where the
market may be reaching for, it's got
232
00:12:22,730 --> 00:12:26,240
to give us, at least in my opinion,
the best scenarios are 40 pips.
233
00:12:27,165 --> 00:12:30,464
If you can't find something that
offers 40 pips, move aside, just
234
00:12:30,464 --> 00:12:33,765
paper trade and say, okay, just
for practice sake in price rating.
235
00:12:34,064 --> 00:12:36,614
I think it's going to go up there,
but I can't be trading it, but I
236
00:12:36,614 --> 00:12:40,185
want to practice my anticipatory
skills and you just watch and
237
00:12:40,185 --> 00:12:41,444
see how many times it's unfolds.
238
00:12:41,444 --> 00:12:44,415
And the more time you do it, the
more time you spend in front of the
239
00:12:44,415 --> 00:12:46,844
charts with higher timeframe charts,
like, again, this is a 15 minute
240
00:12:46,875 --> 00:12:50,324
timeframe, so it's not much in terms
of movement that would be expected.
241
00:12:50,324 --> 00:12:51,555
That's not all that it could do it.
242
00:12:51,974 --> 00:12:54,165
I mean, the obviously go up here
and clear up a little bit of this.
243
00:12:54,975 --> 00:12:58,395
But that puts us around the 10
60, uh, that would give 20 pips.
244
00:12:58,395 --> 00:13:01,635
But, you know, being this late in the
day and the only thing that's coming
245
00:13:01,635 --> 00:13:03,345
out now is inventory on crude oil.
246
00:13:03,915 --> 00:13:06,405
I don't think it's going to be that
much of a catalyst for upside for,
247
00:13:06,715 --> 00:13:08,385
for Euro dollar in that regard.
248
00:13:09,195 --> 00:13:11,625
But that's all you're doing is when
you get in the charts, you look for
249
00:13:11,625 --> 00:13:15,615
those opportunities to find out where
the price may reach for and where we
250
00:13:15,615 --> 00:13:16,995
are in terms of current price action.
251
00:13:17,175 --> 00:13:19,485
And here we're just gonna watch
and see what that does today.
252
00:13:20,055 --> 00:13:21,525
Going into a lemon close.
253
00:13:24,315 --> 00:13:24,915
Cable.
254
00:13:26,385 --> 00:13:26,625
Okay.
255
00:13:26,655 --> 00:13:32,655
Cable is just slowly working its way
down in here to come down below this low.
256
00:13:33,165 --> 00:13:39,345
Um, I think if we go below this
low normal expectations would be
257
00:13:39,885 --> 00:13:44,325
for the Florida dropout and I think
they may end up surprising us.
258
00:13:44,775 --> 00:13:45,605
I think what'll happen is.
259
00:13:46,349 --> 00:13:49,740
They'll take it below the low, by
a little bit, maybe 30, 40 pips.
260
00:13:49,829 --> 00:13:53,459
It could even spike down as much as a
hundred pips below it, but I wouldn't
261
00:13:53,459 --> 00:13:57,540
be surprised if we don't aggressively
come back off of that and try to
262
00:13:57,540 --> 00:14:00,719
wipe out those individuals that are
assuming shorts all through here.
263
00:14:02,099 --> 00:14:06,300
Then still longer-term
going into March of 2017.
264
00:14:06,300 --> 00:14:09,569
I still think we're going to be
down into a one tense, uh, on.
265
00:14:10,485 --> 00:14:12,465
Across everybody's platform.
266
00:14:12,495 --> 00:14:15,555
I think that that'll be the price
everyone's looking at input maybe
267
00:14:15,555 --> 00:14:21,195
even lower than that, but, uh, I'm
watching the, uh, the, the low that
268
00:14:21,195 --> 00:14:25,575
was formed here on the quote unquote
flash crash of British pound USD.
269
00:14:26,055 --> 00:14:29,445
I think they were going to probably
come down here and improve that low
270
00:14:29,445 --> 00:14:32,985
and see if there's anything in terms
of willingness to be a seller below it.
271
00:14:34,820 --> 00:14:38,270
And if we do go below it, you know, I
think after then we'll probably see a
272
00:14:38,270 --> 00:14:42,590
measurable, well retracement and probably,
you know, one that would be, you know,
273
00:14:42,590 --> 00:14:45,710
respectable, you know, if you don't,
it's going to squeeze a lot of shorts.
274
00:14:45,950 --> 00:14:49,250
Cause there's a lot of folks in
here short and new shorts are
275
00:14:49,250 --> 00:14:50,180
being established right now.
276
00:14:50,180 --> 00:14:53,330
So they understand that
everyone's expectation on this
277
00:14:53,360 --> 00:14:54,740
market is to take out this low.
278
00:14:55,730 --> 00:14:58,670
So if they take it below that even
traders that want to trade on a
279
00:14:58,670 --> 00:15:01,150
breakout below that low, they will be.
280
00:15:02,370 --> 00:15:04,860
And those individuals
have been shortened here.
281
00:15:04,890 --> 00:15:08,220
They're going to put your stop loss
above, you know, significant short-term
282
00:15:08,220 --> 00:15:10,260
highs, and then they'll run through those.
283
00:15:11,250 --> 00:15:15,630
And if they're running those by stops
out, they'll be selling into all those
284
00:15:15,630 --> 00:15:19,410
runs on shorts to establish new shorts.
285
00:15:19,410 --> 00:15:24,209
In my opinion, for longer, longer-term
one tens on a pump dollars.
286
00:15:24,209 --> 00:15:24,810
That makes sense.
287
00:15:26,670 --> 00:15:28,050
I'm not saying you have to
agree with what I'm saying.
288
00:15:28,050 --> 00:15:28,949
I'm saying, does it make sense?
289
00:15:29,000 --> 00:15:29,850
What I'm describing?
290
00:15:42,675 --> 00:15:42,974
Right.
291
00:15:43,005 --> 00:15:43,454
Exactly.
292
00:15:43,454 --> 00:15:43,755
Okay.
293
00:15:44,114 --> 00:15:44,775
The, uh,
294
00:15:48,984 --> 00:15:50,665
I just don't see this thing bothering me.
295
00:15:50,665 --> 00:15:51,295
I don't like this.
296
00:15:51,385 --> 00:15:55,854
I think we're going to make them
one more run below the low and
297
00:15:56,025 --> 00:15:57,324
we'll see what we see there.
298
00:15:59,055 --> 00:16:04,605
Once we get through that, unless we
get some wild continuation, lower, you
299
00:16:04,605 --> 00:16:09,045
know, I think it's safe to be a real,
if you're trading British pound, you
300
00:16:09,045 --> 00:16:12,975
really want to dial back your leverage
and give yourself a little bit more room.
301
00:16:12,975 --> 00:16:17,145
If you're used to trading with like a 30
PIP stop, I'd be using a 60 PIP stop and
302
00:16:17,145 --> 00:16:21,735
use the same gearing you use the same Gary
in terms of your leveraging, but don't.
303
00:16:23,220 --> 00:16:26,290
You don't try to get in there with,
with a 10 PIP stop on cable right now
304
00:16:26,290 --> 00:16:30,700
because so many reasons for it to spike
up and down and take you out prematurely.
305
00:16:30,880 --> 00:16:32,020
And it's going to frustrate you.
306
00:16:32,470 --> 00:16:36,580
So give yourself a little bit more
room and a wider stop and you can
307
00:16:36,580 --> 00:16:41,530
still get, and still potentially make
a lot of pips and not necessarily need
308
00:16:41,530 --> 00:16:43,030
a really, really small, tight stop.
309
00:16:47,084 --> 00:16:49,665
Um, today we've been
rather lethargic and quiet.
310
00:16:49,905 --> 00:16:52,064
It hasn't been really doing
much at all for cable.
311
00:16:52,604 --> 00:16:55,425
And we, we had a little
bit, what is this here?
312
00:16:55,485 --> 00:16:58,245
Let me ask you before I talk about
it, for those that are watching,
313
00:16:58,844 --> 00:17:00,765
even in the recording, you
should already know what this is.
314
00:17:10,704 --> 00:17:11,514
Liquidity void.
315
00:17:11,724 --> 00:17:11,964
Yep.
316
00:17:12,385 --> 00:17:12,835
Very good.
317
00:17:14,715 --> 00:17:20,685
So if we identify that and price
has moved up aggressively in here.
318
00:17:21,045 --> 00:17:21,315
Okay.
319
00:17:21,315 --> 00:17:22,845
We have that exposed range right there.
320
00:17:33,415 --> 00:17:37,345
So while it doesn't quickly, immediately
come right back down there and fill it in.
321
00:17:37,705 --> 00:17:38,605
It takes some time.
322
00:17:38,605 --> 00:17:41,665
It, it, it drives down
lower notice witness.
323
00:17:42,929 --> 00:17:45,179
Came down into this void right here.
324
00:17:47,320 --> 00:17:52,500
This portion of that
void is still exposed.
325
00:17:52,500 --> 00:17:53,129
Do you get that?
326
00:17:54,629 --> 00:17:58,409
This portion is still only
been offered on the buy side.
327
00:17:59,879 --> 00:18:00,149
Okay.
328
00:18:00,149 --> 00:18:04,020
They've only seen pricing going through
up, so just like the paint analogy.
329
00:18:05,040 --> 00:18:05,490
Okay.
330
00:18:05,850 --> 00:18:10,100
This portion of the canvas
had to be filled in.
331
00:18:12,275 --> 00:18:18,485
On the downstroke price was delivered
on the up move here and it was
332
00:18:18,485 --> 00:18:19,625
delivered on a down move here.
333
00:18:20,495 --> 00:18:20,645
Okay.
334
00:18:20,645 --> 00:18:23,435
So the last video I did, do you
see how that distribution of
335
00:18:23,435 --> 00:18:26,765
price was, uh, exhibited here?
336
00:18:27,365 --> 00:18:30,805
It was offered on the up
move and then it was closed.
337
00:18:30,815 --> 00:18:35,795
And again, with the down move, perfect
delivery of price is going to happen.
338
00:18:37,020 --> 00:18:39,870
Price offered when it's trading up
through it and then down through it.
339
00:18:40,110 --> 00:18:40,500
Okay.
340
00:18:40,530 --> 00:18:42,419
And that's the efficient price delivery.
341
00:18:42,960 --> 00:18:46,200
Anything, apart from that, you're
going to have pockets or a little
342
00:18:46,200 --> 00:18:50,250
holes or gaps in price, and then the
market will invariably want to go
343
00:18:50,250 --> 00:18:52,470
back to those areas and fill that in.
344
00:18:53,550 --> 00:18:55,800
And that's why I'm saying you don't
necessarily have to have a, you
345
00:18:55,800 --> 00:18:58,740
don't have to have a trading bias,
like everyone's insistent on, you
346
00:18:58,740 --> 00:18:59,909
know, give me the bias for today.
347
00:19:00,300 --> 00:19:00,570
You don't know.
348
00:19:01,545 --> 00:19:04,425
You know, if you understand what
you're trading, um, and what timeframe
349
00:19:04,425 --> 00:19:07,515
you're looking at, you can trade
it with a great deal of precision.
350
00:19:07,965 --> 00:19:12,345
Just understanding what fair
value is and where are the gaps
351
00:19:12,495 --> 00:19:14,175
or the ranges you're trading in.
352
00:19:14,265 --> 00:19:18,375
I mean, everyone knows that this
move here from this low up to this
353
00:19:18,375 --> 00:19:19,305
high, what would that be called?
354
00:19:19,305 --> 00:19:21,735
Nothing in terms of what was the,
it was taught to you in September.
355
00:19:21,735 --> 00:19:22,455
What's this called?
356
00:19:24,105 --> 00:19:27,825
It's a specific exactly.
357
00:19:27,825 --> 00:19:28,785
Impulse prices.
358
00:19:29,895 --> 00:19:30,044
Okay.
359
00:19:30,044 --> 00:19:32,925
So we have an impulse price
swing, and we have that.
360
00:19:33,615 --> 00:19:36,584
We're going to see price wants
to come back down into it.
361
00:19:37,544 --> 00:19:37,844
Okay.
362
00:19:38,475 --> 00:19:44,405
Especially if we have a void, like we have
here, look at the responsiveness on price.
363
00:19:44,405 --> 00:19:48,784
When it got back down into where price
broke away from the bodies here, right
364
00:19:48,784 --> 00:19:52,445
in here, some people would have a,
uh, a line right on top of the wick.
365
00:19:52,925 --> 00:19:55,564
We don't look at the Wix because it's
the thinnest portion of the wall.
366
00:19:56,550 --> 00:19:59,940
The bodies of the candles, when
price blows through that, that's
367
00:19:59,940 --> 00:20:01,470
where you want to have your line.
368
00:20:01,480 --> 00:20:03,540
So when price comes back down to
it, it's going to want to reach
369
00:20:03,540 --> 00:20:04,590
into that level right there.
370
00:20:04,590 --> 00:20:05,909
And it does just by a little bit.
371
00:20:06,659 --> 00:20:15,180
Um, the low comes in at
1 21 36 and it's 1 21 40.
372
00:20:15,270 --> 00:20:19,680
So notice how it went down far enough
to allow the spread to be factored at
373
00:20:19,680 --> 00:20:21,120
buying essentially at that same time.
374
00:20:26,200 --> 00:20:28,810
You can sensitivity can
begin at the WIC back here.
375
00:20:28,810 --> 00:20:29,950
Yes, it can.
376
00:20:30,879 --> 00:20:33,639
But we prefer rather seeing
it come down into the bodies.
377
00:20:35,080 --> 00:20:38,290
Sometimes if you're demanding that
it gets down to that level there,
378
00:20:38,530 --> 00:20:41,500
you're going to see some traits that
escape you and that's going to happen.
379
00:20:41,940 --> 00:20:45,670
You there's no way around it, but if
you're absolutely 100%, gung-ho about
380
00:20:45,760 --> 00:20:49,210
you have to be in that trade, you
know, you're going to use the WIC plus.
381
00:20:50,750 --> 00:20:52,969
And then you get to allow
some room for your, for your
382
00:20:52,969 --> 00:20:54,290
protective stop loss as well.
383
00:20:54,860 --> 00:20:58,699
Notice the bodies of the candles
over here, look at what, look
384
00:20:58,699 --> 00:20:59,990
at what they were respecting.
385
00:21:00,649 --> 00:21:04,310
They had sensitivity really around the
WIC, but price ultimately came down
386
00:21:04,310 --> 00:21:06,050
to where the body's own our own here.
387
00:21:15,629 --> 00:21:15,870
Okay.
388
00:21:15,870 --> 00:21:17,159
So that's why I have that level there.
389
00:21:20,230 --> 00:21:26,850
It looks as though, I mean, we left,
we'd left a really nice area up here.
390
00:21:26,860 --> 00:21:32,500
1 23 42, 1 23 30 in that range.
391
00:21:32,830 --> 00:21:34,960
So there's a lot of bike
stops resting there.
392
00:21:35,560 --> 00:21:37,660
Um, I'm not saying we're going
to go run up and run right up
393
00:21:37,660 --> 00:21:38,650
there right now and get them.
394
00:21:38,680 --> 00:21:43,240
But, uh, that's, here's a scenario
I have in mind when I was looking
395
00:21:43,240 --> 00:21:47,710
at the daily chart, I was expecting,
you know, if we look at this move.
396
00:21:51,730 --> 00:21:54,160
Here's your low right in here.
397
00:21:54,940 --> 00:22:01,500
If we trade down and we take out
this low, you say we move around.
398
00:22:01,800 --> 00:22:06,870
I don't know, maybe down to, uh, 20,
60 or 2050, they're really wash out
399
00:22:06,870 --> 00:22:09,720
that low, get people really juiced
up about wanting to see a breakdown.
400
00:22:09,750 --> 00:22:10,680
And it very well may.
401
00:22:10,710 --> 00:22:12,930
It could keep going down for
a long time and go straight
402
00:22:12,930 --> 00:22:14,910
to one 10 and do it in a day.
403
00:22:14,910 --> 00:22:17,340
And then here you go, you miss one more
opportunity because it moved too fast.
404
00:22:19,005 --> 00:22:24,435
Assume for a moment that trades down there
and gets below the 1 20, 61, 20 50 level.
405
00:22:24,945 --> 00:22:28,005
And then we start trading back up
and we get back above this high here.
406
00:22:28,845 --> 00:22:29,085
I'm sorry.
407
00:22:29,085 --> 00:22:31,185
This low to start making higher highs.
408
00:22:31,905 --> 00:22:36,315
I think personally, they will make
a run on the liquidity about here,
409
00:22:37,455 --> 00:22:38,775
because think about what that'll do.
410
00:22:38,835 --> 00:22:44,295
I don't get I don't price in about 1300
pips for a move down to the one 10.
411
00:22:45,665 --> 00:22:49,655
Whereas if they just let it run
from here, they already have people
412
00:22:49,655 --> 00:22:54,215
already on the ride because we haven't
had any real runs on one stops.
413
00:22:54,225 --> 00:22:58,804
Noticed that since we came up here
and just poked above this short-term
414
00:22:58,804 --> 00:23:03,754
high here, right above that high
here, we have all this down movement.
415
00:23:03,754 --> 00:23:06,425
So people are already net short
and they're making money, but
416
00:23:06,425 --> 00:23:07,465
now they put the brakes on it.
417
00:23:07,485 --> 00:23:08,405
Now we're consolidating.
418
00:23:09,274 --> 00:23:14,195
So while it would be easy to
expect price to keep going lower.
419
00:23:15,300 --> 00:23:18,990
If it's going to go lower of any
significance below that low here, why
420
00:23:18,990 --> 00:23:22,590
would the bank allow everyone that's
already on board short to get a free ride?
421
00:23:24,030 --> 00:23:26,610
That's not going to, that's
not their Mo dynamo is okay.
422
00:23:27,030 --> 00:23:28,740
They already believe
that's going to go lower.
423
00:23:29,250 --> 00:23:32,070
Everybody's expecting British
pound to go down to zero.
424
00:23:32,580 --> 00:23:34,080
So they're short.
425
00:23:34,890 --> 00:23:36,870
And then we held, we had
this move here from London.
426
00:23:36,900 --> 00:23:39,990
It's slowly grinding, higher,
higher, higher, higher, higher.
427
00:23:41,670 --> 00:23:45,530
Ultimately, they may not have
enough buy stops in place in here.
428
00:23:45,580 --> 00:23:48,270
Maybe there's a lot of people that
are just too afraid to get short.
429
00:23:48,960 --> 00:23:49,860
That's what I'm weighing.
430
00:23:49,860 --> 00:23:50,040
Yeah.
431
00:23:50,060 --> 00:23:50,850
I, but that's what I'm saying.
432
00:23:50,850 --> 00:23:54,450
I'd rather see it come down, take
this low out here and then do
433
00:23:54,450 --> 00:23:58,170
a real quick aggressive run up
to just get above these highs.
434
00:23:58,770 --> 00:24:03,780
I would not be fearful of being short
still, even with being, uh, a witness
435
00:24:03,780 --> 00:24:06,480
of, of seeing that, because I would
understand that they're knocking
436
00:24:06,480 --> 00:24:07,950
out everyone that's already short.
437
00:24:08,985 --> 00:24:10,575
That would clear out the entire board.
438
00:24:10,635 --> 00:24:14,445
And by taking these stops out
here, these buy stops at the
439
00:24:14,445 --> 00:24:15,885
market become orders to buy.
440
00:24:16,515 --> 00:24:19,335
And if they're going to be assuming
short positions and we're ultimately
441
00:24:19,335 --> 00:24:23,625
going into the one 10 or lower, you
know, that would be a really optimal,
442
00:24:23,625 --> 00:24:25,745
optimal entry for, uh, being short.
443
00:24:25,754 --> 00:24:29,305
Cause it prices in a broad range
of 1300 potential pips on the down.
444
00:24:31,505 --> 00:24:34,475
In here while it's still can roll
over and go lower and breakthrough to
445
00:24:34,475 --> 00:24:36,425
low and ultimately keep going down.
446
00:24:36,815 --> 00:24:40,175
Um, to me it wouldn't make that
much sense because outside of this
447
00:24:40,175 --> 00:24:41,945
short-term little equal highs in here.
448
00:24:42,455 --> 00:24:45,485
That's all we saw price move above,
but notice we haven't seen any
449
00:24:45,485 --> 00:24:47,075
real willingness to break down.
450
00:24:48,395 --> 00:24:50,735
There's just, no, there's no
willingness to see it go lower.
451
00:24:51,815 --> 00:24:52,235
So,
452
00:24:57,075 --> 00:24:58,545
um, this is not right.
453
00:24:59,534 --> 00:25:02,445
That was being asked if, uh,
was this already right in there?
454
00:25:02,445 --> 00:25:03,524
This is this a retest.
455
00:25:04,064 --> 00:25:06,135
And that allows the
thought process of that.
456
00:25:06,135 --> 00:25:09,824
This is now resistance and therefore
that allows it's engineering.
457
00:25:09,824 --> 00:25:12,074
That's how they do it when
you have a high and it comes
458
00:25:12,074 --> 00:25:13,425
right back and just touches it.
459
00:25:13,455 --> 00:25:16,334
Or maybe it falls by one PIP or
goes above about two or three pips.
460
00:25:17,024 --> 00:25:21,854
We want to see 10 pips or
20 pips sweep above it.
461
00:25:22,485 --> 00:25:26,114
See what they're doing is that they're
giving you an, uh, retail trader rather.
462
00:25:27,555 --> 00:25:28,905
Premise that this looks like what?
463
00:25:28,995 --> 00:25:33,405
I mean, if you ask anybody, if you showed
them that chart there, they're going to
464
00:25:33,405 --> 00:25:38,745
tell you it's hitting resistance and say,
okay, get short price is going to go down.
465
00:25:39,345 --> 00:25:39,764
Okay.
466
00:25:39,764 --> 00:25:42,075
And now all of a sudden
they think they're smart.
467
00:25:43,485 --> 00:25:44,565
Now they're a genius.
468
00:25:46,245 --> 00:25:47,205
They can't be wrong.
469
00:25:49,305 --> 00:25:50,445
Um, definitely make all kinds of money.
470
00:25:50,524 --> 00:25:51,555
The low is going to break out.
471
00:25:51,795 --> 00:25:52,995
And then all of a sudden you get this.
472
00:25:55,635 --> 00:25:58,965
Anyone that's short way back way earlier.
473
00:25:59,055 --> 00:25:59,535
Okay.
474
00:26:00,525 --> 00:26:03,705
This is the most logical area for
them to want a trail, their stop loss,
475
00:26:03,765 --> 00:26:07,155
unless they're ultra really aggressive
and they don't want to lose a penny.
476
00:26:07,545 --> 00:26:10,545
You know, they may have their
stop above this high here or above
477
00:26:10,545 --> 00:26:12,585
these little short-term highs in
here that would have been viewed
478
00:26:12,585 --> 00:26:13,875
as a short-term resistance level.
479
00:26:14,295 --> 00:26:18,195
And they brought a clean news guys out
and they haven't really moved price.
480
00:26:18,195 --> 00:26:19,185
They just kept it sideways.
481
00:26:19,185 --> 00:26:21,405
So I think what they're doing
is they're giving folks a
482
00:26:21,405 --> 00:26:23,865
chance to trailer stop loss.
483
00:26:25,110 --> 00:26:29,820
Because apart from going above these
highs in here, I don't think it's good
484
00:26:29,820 --> 00:26:34,080
for the market to go lower near term
if they go much above these highs.
485
00:26:34,979 --> 00:26:35,189
Okay.
486
00:26:35,189 --> 00:26:37,139
So above these equal highs,
let me draw that out.
487
00:26:37,139 --> 00:26:37,919
Cause I do sometimes.
488
00:26:42,729 --> 00:26:43,060
Okay.
489
00:26:43,899 --> 00:26:45,219
Read about these highs in here.
490
00:26:45,250 --> 00:26:47,050
That's where I think the buy stops are.
491
00:26:47,979 --> 00:26:49,120
So if they make a run.
492
00:26:50,085 --> 00:26:52,665
That point here and it
may, it may not happen.
493
00:26:52,695 --> 00:26:55,455
It doesn't have to happen, but to
me it would be logical for that to
494
00:26:55,455 --> 00:27:01,754
happen after, after it takes this
low out, because what they'll do
495
00:27:01,754 --> 00:27:03,615
is they'll trip people in short.
496
00:27:04,455 --> 00:27:04,935
Okay.
497
00:27:05,145 --> 00:27:07,335
You're going to be knocking
people into the marketplace.
498
00:27:07,395 --> 00:27:12,705
Initially first, going short,
then aggressively running up
499
00:27:12,735 --> 00:27:14,595
on the trail to buy stops.
500
00:27:14,595 --> 00:27:18,135
That will be above whatever highs
are we in here and ultimately
501
00:27:18,165 --> 00:27:19,064
aiming for the bicycle.
502
00:27:20,920 --> 00:27:25,120
Now to do that, they would be establishing
shorts at every time that new highs
503
00:27:25,390 --> 00:27:27,130
would be violated, they'd sell into it.
504
00:27:27,130 --> 00:27:30,580
So until it sounds, and they would
ultimately aim for the biggest portion.
505
00:27:34,165 --> 00:27:38,784
To knock out those individuals prematurely
now without taking out the low.
506
00:27:39,115 --> 00:27:39,534
Okay.
507
00:27:40,284 --> 00:27:43,314
The only participants that have
stem cell stops, I'm sorry.
508
00:27:43,405 --> 00:27:46,254
Good grief by stops on their
short positions above these highs.
509
00:27:46,254 --> 00:27:49,554
Here are the folks that
have already sold over here.
510
00:27:50,215 --> 00:27:52,885
And I think I was the only one
that went short that I know of.
511
00:27:53,034 --> 00:27:53,365
Okay.
512
00:27:53,365 --> 00:27:57,084
That was willing to do anything with
it because of all the fear around it.
513
00:27:59,310 --> 00:28:03,300
This is the only logical area where
the stops would be at right now.
514
00:28:03,540 --> 00:28:05,620
There's not enough new
sellers in here yet.
515
00:28:05,639 --> 00:28:07,200
It's been, everyone was scared.
516
00:28:07,620 --> 00:28:10,770
They all watched the reaction
and they've been reading routers.
517
00:28:10,770 --> 00:28:15,750
They've been watching, uh, you
know, CNBC, you everyone's got their
518
00:28:15,750 --> 00:28:17,399
opinion of why the cable went down.
519
00:28:17,399 --> 00:28:18,750
We explained why it went down.
520
00:28:18,750 --> 00:28:21,510
It was the central bank
repricing third one 20 level.
521
00:28:21,990 --> 00:28:23,970
But if.
522
00:28:25,125 --> 00:28:28,544
You put that aside for a moment, just
look at, what's been going on here.
523
00:28:28,575 --> 00:28:34,725
I mean, the market, that's scary to watch
it go down 800 pips in three minutes.
524
00:28:35,355 --> 00:28:37,215
You know, that that's,
it's, it's dramatic.
525
00:28:37,695 --> 00:28:39,315
So it puts people on the brakes.
526
00:28:39,345 --> 00:28:39,735
Okay.
527
00:28:39,735 --> 00:28:41,445
And they're sitting on the sidelines
and they're watching cable.
528
00:28:41,445 --> 00:28:42,764
They all have a Twitter opinion.
529
00:28:43,125 --> 00:28:44,865
They all have a Facebook demo account.
530
00:28:44,925 --> 00:28:47,355
You know, that's linked up to something
and they're going to make a thousand
531
00:28:47,355 --> 00:28:51,705
pips, but really most traders are
on the fence about what they want
532
00:28:51,705 --> 00:28:52,935
to do with cable to their side.
533
00:28:54,090 --> 00:28:56,670
So even if this thing goes
lower, think about it.
534
00:28:56,700 --> 00:28:59,460
Why would the bank, why
would it apply with the bank?
535
00:28:59,520 --> 00:29:02,460
Make a run down to one 10 from these
levels right now, when they don't
536
00:29:02,460 --> 00:29:08,140
really have enough participants in w
w w like where, where, where, where
537
00:29:08,140 --> 00:29:10,570
are the buyers at there have to
have, they have to have buyers in.
538
00:29:11,020 --> 00:29:12,190
So what they're going to do
is they're going to engine.
539
00:29:32,235 --> 00:29:33,495
To get those stops.
540
00:29:34,395 --> 00:29:34,875
Okay.
541
00:29:35,385 --> 00:29:36,524
To sell into it.
542
00:29:37,095 --> 00:29:37,395
Okay.
543
00:29:37,425 --> 00:29:38,955
The smart money has to have books.
544
00:29:40,735 --> 00:29:44,305
The way they get those buyers is they
attack buyers above current price.
545
00:30:13,990 --> 00:30:17,740
So if the price drops any
farther from here, okay.
546
00:30:17,740 --> 00:30:19,030
The only sell stock, I'm sorry.
547
00:30:19,030 --> 00:30:21,790
The only buy stops that are
in the marketplace are those
548
00:30:21,790 --> 00:30:23,170
by stops that are above here.
549
00:30:24,190 --> 00:30:27,129
Small little pool of biceps
above this high here.
550
00:30:27,790 --> 00:30:29,020
Some by stops above here.
551
00:30:29,910 --> 00:30:32,310
And then whatever it would be
recessed, you know, residing here.
552
00:30:32,670 --> 00:30:34,020
So here's my, here's my question.
553
00:30:34,020 --> 00:30:36,060
And I want you to really think
about this because this is what
554
00:30:36,060 --> 00:30:38,580
makes you got to stop talking.
555
00:30:40,170 --> 00:30:42,690
I'm not continuously talking as
much as I'd like to talk a lot.
556
00:30:42,990 --> 00:30:44,970
I'm not always, I'm not always talking.
557
00:30:45,660 --> 00:30:48,900
So apart from these equal highs, you know?
558
00:30:48,960 --> 00:30:50,700
Yes, the market has drifted lower.
559
00:30:51,660 --> 00:30:51,990
Okay.
560
00:30:52,020 --> 00:30:56,730
The market has drifted
lower, but how much.
561
00:30:57,899 --> 00:31:02,730
We sing in terms of short-selling,
there's not been a whole great deal of,
562
00:31:02,760 --> 00:31:06,840
uh, you know, opportunity outside of
this run here and in the retracement.
563
00:31:07,620 --> 00:31:11,219
So the bulk of where I believe the
Bystolic reside are above this high
564
00:31:11,219 --> 00:31:13,620
here and above these equal highs.
565
00:31:14,219 --> 00:31:17,370
Maybe there's been a small
measurable amount of liquidity.
566
00:31:17,370 --> 00:31:20,209
That's been trailed down the here
from those individuals, solar.
567
00:31:21,030 --> 00:31:21,390
Okay.
568
00:31:21,660 --> 00:31:24,270
That's, that's fine and
great, but that's not enough.
569
00:31:24,600 --> 00:31:29,760
It's not enough to establish more
selling because the banks are greedy.
570
00:31:30,180 --> 00:31:32,520
They're going to want to
be positioning more shorts.
571
00:31:32,820 --> 00:31:38,550
So it lends well to the idea that
if we do just drop down here, okay.
572
00:31:39,210 --> 00:31:43,080
They know that the folks that are
going to expect this low, the break,
573
00:31:43,140 --> 00:31:46,350
they think it's going to go down
a lot more to these individuals.
574
00:31:47,505 --> 00:31:49,815
So they're going to be willing to
hold onto their short position.
575
00:31:50,145 --> 00:31:52,665
They may give up a small piece of the pie.
576
00:31:52,785 --> 00:31:53,805
They being smart money.
577
00:31:54,405 --> 00:31:57,435
They may give up a small piece of the pie
by letting price go down below this low.
578
00:31:58,125 --> 00:31:58,575
Okay.
579
00:31:58,785 --> 00:32:02,145
And then allow these folks that are
short up here to trailer stop loss
580
00:32:02,235 --> 00:32:04,515
to here, or whatever would be here.
581
00:32:04,695 --> 00:32:05,055
Okay.
582
00:32:05,085 --> 00:32:08,325
And ultimately the longer-term
bears leaving their stop up here.
583
00:32:08,325 --> 00:32:12,030
They won't be safe either because
when they drop it down, All of a
584
00:32:12,030 --> 00:32:15,300
sudden new shorts will be in and
the new shorts will put their stop
585
00:32:15,300 --> 00:32:16,890
above whatever recent high will form.
586
00:32:17,370 --> 00:32:20,160
And then when they reprice higher,
every time it goes through these
587
00:32:20,160 --> 00:32:25,110
positions, short terms, highs, those by
stops will allow the bank to go right
588
00:32:25,110 --> 00:32:28,320
in there and establish new shorts.
589
00:32:28,890 --> 00:32:31,830
And then they'll allow price to run
down and go to the one 10 level.
590
00:32:33,600 --> 00:32:34,320
Does that make sense?
591
00:32:37,610 --> 00:32:38,810
I mean, that's just the
scenario I'm seeing.
592
00:32:41,870 --> 00:32:44,240
And it's not the only one that could
happen, but that given what we're
593
00:32:44,240 --> 00:32:47,960
looking at here, that's what I would
personally and reasonably expect.
594
00:32:48,380 --> 00:32:50,900
Um, and the reason, and that's why
I believe we're going to go down
595
00:32:50,900 --> 00:32:53,870
below this low before we come up
here first, because it wouldn't
596
00:32:53,870 --> 00:32:55,370
make any sense to come up here yet.
597
00:32:55,850 --> 00:32:56,660
There's not enough.
598
00:32:56,870 --> 00:32:57,470
There's not enough.
599
00:32:57,500 --> 00:32:58,160
Buy stops up here.
600
00:32:59,605 --> 00:33:02,545
And we talk about open float
later in this, uh, mentorship.
601
00:33:02,545 --> 00:33:05,335
You'll understand why, but I'm just giving
you the foundations of why I believe
602
00:33:05,815 --> 00:33:09,985
that more, most likely going to take this
low out before we come up here, because
603
00:33:09,985 --> 00:33:15,535
there's gotta be more by stops, occurring,
informing, forming above current market
604
00:33:15,535 --> 00:33:17,815
action before they send price lower.
605
00:33:18,055 --> 00:33:21,625
And that's the first lesson I taught
on baby piss in 2010, I said that
606
00:33:22,195 --> 00:33:25,765
you want to be looking for price to
come back to a previous high running.
607
00:33:26,610 --> 00:33:31,380
If you're bearish, that's the best selling
scenario because they ran the stops.
608
00:33:32,010 --> 00:33:34,590
They only went up there to take
this buy stops out and convert them
609
00:33:34,590 --> 00:33:37,500
to liquidity for their selling.
610
00:33:38,520 --> 00:33:41,250
And if the market goes down below
a previous low, and you're bullish,
611
00:33:41,820 --> 00:33:47,100
they have only repriced below that
low to, to exercise those buy sell
612
00:33:47,100 --> 00:33:50,190
stops to induce selling liquidity.
613
00:33:50,190 --> 00:33:51,960
So that way they can buy into those cells.
614
00:33:52,980 --> 00:33:55,110
And then you'll see price expand and go.
615
00:33:55,110 --> 00:33:56,160
And it's uptrend.
616
00:33:57,000 --> 00:33:58,110
It's really important.
617
00:33:58,140 --> 00:34:01,290
That's why I gave it to you the first
month, what to focus on because if
618
00:34:01,290 --> 00:34:03,540
you, every single day, when you're
looking at price action, and you
619
00:34:03,540 --> 00:34:08,130
look at these reference points, you
can't, you can't not understand what
620
00:34:08,130 --> 00:34:09,780
price is going to do as a result.
621
00:34:09,810 --> 00:34:11,909
It will be by default,
you're going to see it.
622
00:34:12,000 --> 00:34:13,320
You won't understand why
they're doing what they're
623
00:34:13,320 --> 00:34:14,790
doing and you'll anticipate it.
624
00:34:15,360 --> 00:34:17,010
So right now that's why
we're consolidating.
625
00:34:17,909 --> 00:34:20,020
It's allowing folks to,
uh, you know, build.
626
00:34:20,880 --> 00:34:24,360
Expectation that this is going
to take it's run out and in more
627
00:34:24,480 --> 00:34:27,510
bypassable form above these reference
points that I've just noted here.
628
00:34:28,410 --> 00:34:32,520
So again, the least resistance is below
this low, but if we break below that low,
629
00:34:32,940 --> 00:34:35,280
I'm going to be really inclined to believe
that they're going to make a run or
630
00:34:35,280 --> 00:34:37,170
squeeze on those positions that are short.
631
00:34:37,290 --> 00:34:40,620
So you're gonna be focusing on your
short-term highs with the expectation that
632
00:34:40,620 --> 00:34:42,390
there may even run all the way up to here.
633
00:34:42,630 --> 00:34:43,530
And now think about this.
634
00:34:43,740 --> 00:34:44,660
Let's say that happens.
635
00:34:44,660 --> 00:34:48,840
Say that the bridge pound blows
out this low and then screamed.
636
00:34:49,770 --> 00:34:53,040
Okay for a week and takes
out the stops above here.
637
00:34:54,509 --> 00:34:58,430
Everyone's going to think
that we made the low wouldn't.
638
00:34:58,430 --> 00:35:01,580
You expect that if that's what
happens, say we take out the load
639
00:35:01,580 --> 00:35:04,910
that was formed on the 11th of
October, and then we scream all the
640
00:35:04,910 --> 00:35:06,350
way up over a series of several days.
641
00:35:06,350 --> 00:35:08,630
And we'd go up, back into the one 2340s.
642
00:35:09,830 --> 00:35:12,950
Everybody's going to assume that
that was the low and the British Pam.
643
00:35:13,580 --> 00:35:15,380
When in fact my expectations would be.
644
00:35:16,424 --> 00:35:19,694
They only came up there to knock them out
and then we're going to see the one 10th.
645
00:35:22,205 --> 00:35:25,774
So that's, that's, that's
the scenario I'm playing out.
646
00:35:25,774 --> 00:35:28,265
And if I had control over the price,
that's exactly what I would do.
647
00:35:29,134 --> 00:35:30,424
I say exactly what I was doing.
648
00:35:30,455 --> 00:35:32,585
I would consolidate this
thing all day today.
649
00:35:33,154 --> 00:35:33,544
Okay.
650
00:35:33,765 --> 00:35:38,165
I would send it up tomorrow in London
and in so off aggressively and make a
651
00:35:38,165 --> 00:35:40,205
straight run right down into these lows.
652
00:35:40,835 --> 00:35:42,725
That's what I would personally
do with that control report.
653
00:35:43,665 --> 00:35:46,095
And I would know that there'd be
all kinds of willingness to be a
654
00:35:46,115 --> 00:35:49,095
seller for the masses out there.
655
00:35:49,365 --> 00:35:57,075
And I could buy that up and I could make
a run from 1 20, 70, all up to 1 20, 3 40,
656
00:35:57,705 --> 00:36:01,785
and then I established my longterm shorts
here and then let it unfold down into
657
00:36:01,785 --> 00:36:03,555
one 10th over the next couple of months.
658
00:36:03,885 --> 00:36:04,215
That's what I.
659
00:36:05,865 --> 00:36:07,635
So, no, I don't have control over price.
660
00:36:07,635 --> 00:36:08,535
I'm working on it though.
661
00:36:08,565 --> 00:36:09,555
I am working on that.
662
00:36:09,975 --> 00:36:12,705
That's the next mentorship by ever
established control over price.
663
00:36:12,705 --> 00:36:15,795
That's that's the next time we do a
mentorship until then we have one.
664
00:36:17,055 --> 00:36:17,295
So.
56191
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