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Great.
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Welcome back.
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This is module two of month,
two of the ICT mentorship.
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We're going to be specifically teaching
on how to frame low risk trade setups.
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Now before we actually consider doing
this, we have to consider what makes a
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setup worth taking and ideally selecting
trade setups on higher timeframe.
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Charts is ideal.
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That's the primary function of
a high odds probability trade.
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You have to look at a hard timeframe
chart to give you the directional bias
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to give you the institutional order flow.
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The the support or resistance ideas
that would be framing the buy or sell
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the idea that you're looking to do.
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And the reason why we do that is
because the large institutions and
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banks analyze markets on daily,
weekly, and monthly monthly basis.
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Now, when we do these things, we're
locating price levels that align
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with institutional order flow.
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This is key because if you don't have
the understanding of institutional
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order flow on a monthly, weekly,
and daily time, It's going to limit
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your exposure to high probability.
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So yeah.
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Higher timeframe, setups form slow
and provide ample time to plan
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accordingly folks that can't day
trade, uh, folks that can't be
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inside of the short-term intervals.
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Uh, in terms of charts, they
have businesses, they have jobs.
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They have.
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Uh, you know, barriers that keep them
from being able to be a intraday trader.
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Uh, you don't necessarily
need to be a day trader.
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You can be using these higher
timeframe charts, and they'll
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be able to frame out really low
risk, high end probability setups.
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It doesn't require being in.
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Okay.
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Can we do to lower the risk in a trade?
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The higher timeframe has
more influence on price.
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So we focus.
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the conditions that lend to a trade
setup on a higher timeframe can
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be refined to a lower timeframe.
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Transposing the higher timeframe
levels to lower timeframe charts is
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important because that way we can
start to reduce the overall exposure
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in terms of pips for our stock.
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And then finally refining higher
timeframe levels to lower timeframe.
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Charts allows for smaller stop-loss
placement and by default lower risk.
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Okay.
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Sticking to our model.
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Uh, we used the Aussie dollar daily chart.
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The last time we're going to look at this
same setup and we're going to look at
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it in terms of refining with lower risk.
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Now I want you to look at this
chart carefully, because this
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is exactly the same chart you
saw in the previous teaching.
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Now I'm going to amplify on
this, but it's important.
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You understand the way
the framework is here.
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You're going to see it's
exactly the same thing.
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Just brought down to a lower
timeframe chart, and we're actually
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going to do it in two scales lower.
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I want you to look at the fact
that we have the higher timeframe.
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75 20, 75, 12 level
relative to the daily chart.
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That's what this line is here.
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Delineating the daily bullish order block.
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Notice we have an old low here
in price, goes through that, down
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into that higher timeframe level.
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It's really important.
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You see that because not only is
it just because we're going below.
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Oh, Lowe's not enough to expect a rebirth.
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Okay.
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We're not looking for that
just because that's the case.
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We're looking for a higher timeframe.
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Premise.
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Why should we expect there to be
buying down below an old low, because
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this daily chart level 75 12 is
an old Bush order block because
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banks have bought there before.
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So if we trade into
that level again, okay.
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Look at the framework here.
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We have a hourly chart with a low
being violated down into a key support
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level relative to a daily time.
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We've noted.
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Obviously the buy stops above here, just
like we did in the first teaching and
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obviously the second area of by stop.
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So we have upper level
objectives framed on this trait.
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It's not a scalp, it's not a day trade.
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It's something that's going to give
us a little bit more magnitude.
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Okay.
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Four objectives for, for hauling impacts.
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Now, obviously be framed in the first
teaching in this month's delivery of
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content that we looked at this down
candle as the bullish shorter block.
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And we were looking at
75, 42 as a long entry.
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And obviously by doing that, we
framed it what a 20 PIP stop.
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This is where our stop-loss would
be, which would be below the mean
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threshold of this down candle,
which is a bull shorter block.
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So what if you want to get a smaller.
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In relative terms to, uh, 20 pips.
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And here's a more important thing.
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What if you want to be buying
lower and offering yourself a lot
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less in terms of risk exposure?
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Well, that's going to require us
going down into a 15 minute timeframe.
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Everything here, look very closely.
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This is very close to what
you saw on an hourly chart.
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We have an old one.
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Price trades down below that Ola right
into that key level, 75, 12 level.
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Now this up here is the buy
order that would be needed on
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an hourly chart way up here.
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But what if we focus our
attention down in this area here?
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What could we do do with this information?
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Well, obviously this is things there.
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We have sell stocks below an
old low whereby orders can be
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paired up when the smart money.
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And you see the market trades
down into that level 75 12.
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So we do have a turtle soup long set up,
but we don't require the price to come all
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the way up here before we started buying.
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So how can we do this and reduce risk?
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Well, we can take the bullish
order block here, that down
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candle rate off of that level.
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And why is this a bullshitter block?
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That's, it's valuable and
it's worth taking because this
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candle trades through it, right.
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And now we can focus on the mid point
of that candle up to a tie in that area.
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We can be a buyer, so it
could be a buyer down here.
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It's 75 20.
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Okay.
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And have a stop loss down here at 75 0 7.
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It should not go down to 75 0 7.
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If it's going to go higher, it should
go up higher from where it's at.
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By doing so now we have a 17 PIP stop
loss and look how much lower we are in
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relative terms to what we saw on the
setup on the hourly chart, way closer
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to the key level of 75 12, and we're
using a 15 minute timeframe to do it.
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So looking at it in terms of even further
reducing the risk, we can take this small
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little area in here and refine that same.
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Sample size of data.
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Okay.
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I'm going to take a closer look into it.
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Okay.
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So we're zoomed in now.
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I want a five minute chart.
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All we're doing is looking
at that same 75, 12 level.
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Okay.
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And we're refining the entry from 75 20.
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What can we do differently here?
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Well, let's take a look at what's
going on inside this yellow area.
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Okay.
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We have price with another down
candle as it hits that bullish or
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block 75 12 on the daily chart.
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This down candle gets violated right
here to now we can start looking at this
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down candle from its open or high down
to the mid point, and we can be a buyer
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there, or we can just simply say, okay,
well that's basically the 75 12 level.
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We'll just add the spread to it in terms
of buying that puts us in around 75 50.
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Our stop-loss can still
be down here at 75 0 7.
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That's less than 10 pips,
less than 10 pips on a buy.
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Now you can refine this where your
risk is eight pips here and in first
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profit of eight pips above here.
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Second and third.
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So we have a multiple of three.
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Before we even take out the
buy stops above this old high
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on a five minutes right now.
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No, this is not even the biostats
that was framed on an hourly chart.
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All we're doing is using the price
action on the timeframe we've
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executed on and looking at where
price is going to be reaching for it.
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So we have a multiple
three R or no worries.
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We've made three for every $1 we rift.
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So the price has already moved
24 pips up from our entry.
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On our stop is only eight pips below, or
you would enter at, at this old low here
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notice also by refining
our risks like this.
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We're actually getting multiple of
three, our reward for our $1 risk.
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As we hit the entry, that would
be assumed on an hourly chart
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at that night at 75 42 level.
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We're hitting that level here.
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With lower risk and we're getting
a three to one reward ratio.
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Think about that.
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The risk reward is $1 for $3 to be
made, or in terms of reward the risk.
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We're looking at $3 made for every $1.
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So it's amazing how you can take this
and refine it down to smaller timeframes.
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You don't have to have big, super
wide stops, but it does require
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you to understand what you're
doing and why you're doing it.
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Just can't get in there with these
ultra short stop-loss orders.
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If you don't understand price
action and why it should be
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responding on these levels.
14381
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