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*
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Our galaxy,
a billion years from now.
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A planet shrouded in
turbulent, dense clouds...
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..buried deep below
an alien landscape.
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The surface scorched...
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..the temperature sky-high...
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..the pressure unbearable.
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This is not a distant
extraterrestrial world...
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..this is Earth.
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This is our future.
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We know it to be true
because Earth has a twin...
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..Venus,
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and Venus has already
descended into hell.
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The solar system.
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Eight planets orbit a central star -
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the sun.
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Among them,
Earth and its neighbour Venus.
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Earth is an oasis for life.
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Venus, the stuff of nightmares.
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Venus and Earth couldn't
be more different.
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The Earth is this beautiful planet
and there's water everywhere.
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It's ice at the poles,
it's water in the ocean,
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it's in the atmosphere
as water vapour.
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But then you look at Venus,
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it is the worst place imaginable.
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It is so hot on the surface,
crushing pressures.
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It couldn't be any less
supportive of life.
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To me, the planet Venus
is sort of a classic definition
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of the word "hell".
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If you were to transport to Venus
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and experience
the environment there,
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you'd quickly want
to return back to Earth.
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The conditions on Venus
are among the most inhospitable
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in the solar system.
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It's just a horrible place.
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It's so hot and there's no water
and the atmosphere is so thick
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and it rains sulphuric acid.
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It's going to be a competition
between whether or not
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you're gonna be cooked to death
or crushed to death.
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Earth and Venus may seem
like very different worlds...
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..but they shouldn't be.
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They're roughly the same size,
the same mass,
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and made from the same ingredients.
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At first, they were twins.
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Early Venus and early Earth
were very similar.
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They were twins,
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probably nearly identical twins
at their earliest stages.
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Given that Venus is
so Earth-like in so many ways,
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it's really odd that it is
so different than the Earth,
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and this makes it one of the biggest
mysteries in the solar system.
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Somewhere in their two histories...
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..the Earth and Venus took
two very different paths.
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The results -
two totally different worlds.
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Their paths were so different,
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you can hardly believe that one
would've been related to the other.
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But now the opposite
thing's going to happen,
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we're gonna catch up with our twin.
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We're gonna evolve to be
a lot more like Venus in the future.
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In the future,
the two planets' paths will converge
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and they will become twins once more.
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Like Venus...
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..Earth will descend into hell.
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The oceans will vaporise,
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the land will melt.
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Our hospitable blue planet
will vanish,
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replaced by a fiery molten world.
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We are actually on
the Earth at a time
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when there's water and rain
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and it was so easy
for life to take hold.
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But that's gonna change,
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and take a look in at Venus
and have a look at our future.
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Earth will even surpass
the horrors of Venus.
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A billion years from now,
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Earth could be
an unimaginably terrible place.
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But how will this happen?
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And can we stop it?
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The roots of our home
world's destruction
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are buried deep in the past
of our twin planet.
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It's very much true that
in studying the past of Venus,
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we are also studying
the distant future of Earth.
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Both planets shared a violent birth,
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scarred by brutal planet formation,
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giant cosmic impacts
and rampant volcanism.
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We're trying to reconstruct things
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that happened in
the ancient, ancient past.
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It's almost like
forensic planetary geology.
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4.6 billion years ago,
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hundreds of infant planets
began to form around the new sun.
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Among them, the baby Venus and Earth.
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As they hurtled around the sun,
collisions were inevitable.
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Planet formation is like
a demolition derby.
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In a derby, the cars are
racing around a track,
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going around in circles
at different speeds.
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Well, it's the same thing
with planets.
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The material is orbiting the sun.
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It's going around and they're
all going at different speeds,
angles and trajectories.
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And sometimes - "Boom!"
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In the chaos, planets collide.
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The scale of the impact
is unimaginable,
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as two planets...
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become one.
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You have these large bodies
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that are hitting each other
at really high velocity.
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It's really a very hot,
uh...violent mess.
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The amount of energy released
in these impacts is huge.
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It completely dwarfs all of the
nuclear weapons on Earth combined.
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And yet, somehow, on these scales,
you wind up forming
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gigantic objects
that we call planets.
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Earth and Venus became
veracious planet-eaters.
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But two spectacular collisions
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set the twins
on very different paths.
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That was the moment Venus and Earth
went through this divergence
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to what has now become these really
dramatically different worlds.
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The divergence began when
a Mars-sized object hit Earth.
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The impact made our
planet spin faster.
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The spinning core generated
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a powerful magnetic field
around the Earth.
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The field fended off the worst
of the sun's radiation
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and would go on
to protect life on Earth.
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At around the same time,
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Venus took a head-on hit
from another infant planet...
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..but this impact had
an unusual side effect.
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Venus is actually rotating
in the wrong direction.
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How could that be?
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Well, what if it got hit
really hard by some object?
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That could do it.
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An object so huge
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that it didn't only
stop Venus in its tracks,
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it actually made the planet
spin backwards.
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If you think about how much energy
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and what size you need
to change a planet's spin,
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that is an incredibly large hit.
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But the backspin was slow...
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..243 times slower than Earth's.
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Without a fast spin,
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Venus's core couldn't generate
a strong magnetic field.
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It had no protection from
the deadly stream of particles
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blasted from the sun.
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Venus does not have
a strong magnetic field,
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and so it has suffered
the full brunt of this wind
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blasted out from the sun.
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This is where the story
of the two planets split radically.
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Venus was destined to roast under
a violent, suffocating atmosphere...
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..while the Earth would give birth
to oceans, life and intelligence.
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But ultimately,
these twin's fates will be the same.
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Venus's present is Earth's future...
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..pure hell.
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*
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*
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Venus is a vision of hell,
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and one day,
we'll meet our twin's fate.
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It turns out that what Venus
went through in its distant past
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is what Earth is going to go
through in its distant future.
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The clues to the fate
of our blue planet
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are locked inside the super-heated
wastelands of Venus.
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Something happened to Venus
long in its past
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to make it a completely
different planet
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with a completely
different personality than
the Earth as we know it today.
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(BEEPING) Two, three, four.
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The first probe was sent
to our sister planet in 1967.
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We've been sending them ever since.
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What they found was incredible...
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..rocks that look like granite.
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What makes that interesting
is that to make granite,
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you need water.
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That means that there
must have been abundant water
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for it to have formed
in the first place.
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Venus once harboured oceans.
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Dr Lewis Dartnell thinks
you can get a glimpse
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of what it was like here...
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in Iceland.
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There's the possibility that
maybe in the early solar system
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there were not one
but two planets with oceans,
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two water-worlds - Earth and Venus.
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And if Venus did once have oceans,
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maybe they would've
looked a lot like this here.
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With a raw volcanic landscape
descending down into the ocean
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with the waves lapping
against the coastline.
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And maybe a overcast,
kind of misty, hazy atmosphere,
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not unlike what we
are seeing here today.
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If there were oceans,
there might even have been life.
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If Venus did have an early ocean,
maybe something a bit like this,
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around four billion years ago, when
life was getting started on Earth,
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then maybe life got
started on Venus, as well.
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Maybe some kind of microbial life
got started in the Venusian oceans.
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Just like Earth,
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Venus could have been
a habitable, wet planet...
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..but Venus couldn't
hold onto its water.
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All of that water is gone.
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It's just gone. Where did it go?
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Something happened,
either catastrophically or over time
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to basically dry out
this twin of the Earth.
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The culprit was the sun.
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Since its birth it's grown stronger.
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Our sun, when we look out
at it during the day,
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seems the same today
as it was yesterday,
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but that's on a human timescale.
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00:13:21,000 --> 00:13:24,000
On cosmic timescale, the sun has
been getting hotter and hotter.
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Every billion years,
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the sun gets 10% hotter...
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..slowly turning up
the temperature on Venus.
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Not only that,
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Venus formed 42 million kilometres
nearer the sun than the Earth.
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As it turns out, that distance
to the sun was critical.
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It's just an unfortunate
circumstance
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of being in the wrong place
at the wrong time.
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Earth is far enough from
the sun to hold onto its water...
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..but Venus is slightly too close.
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The intensity of its sunlight got
sort of just a little bit too much.
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It passed this threshold
where Venus couldn't hold its water
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on the surface any more.
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As temperatures rose,
the oceans started to evaporate.
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00:14:22,480 --> 00:14:24,200
All of that water in the oceans,
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all of those millions
of cubic miles of water
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would become water vapour.
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Basically, steam clouds
covering the entire planet,
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hiding the surface from the outside.
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Water vapour traps the sun's heat.
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As the clouds start to engulf Venus,
the temperature rises.
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Which, in turn,
causes more water to evaporate,
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00:14:46,000 --> 00:14:48,400
and more clouds to form,
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which raises
the temperature even higher.
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But the process can't go on forever
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because the clouds of water vapour
in the atmosphere start to disappear,
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ripped away by the solar wind.
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00:15:05,880 --> 00:15:08,680
Venus does not have
a strong magnetic field,
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and so the full brunt
of the solar wind
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00:15:11,080 --> 00:15:14,000
has been slamming into Venus
for billions of years.
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00:15:14,080 --> 00:15:15,800
Over time, if a water molecule
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was in the upper part
of Venus's atmosphere,
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light from the sun could break
it apart into oxygen and hydrogen.
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00:15:22,240 --> 00:15:25,280
And then the solar wind
could blow that stuff away.
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00:15:26,680 --> 00:15:28,240
Over billions of years,
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00:15:28,320 --> 00:15:31,600
this torrent of subatomic particles
blasted out from the sun
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has stripped the water
out of the atmosphere of Venus
and has desiccated it.
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00:15:40,440 --> 00:15:43,880
Venus Express was the most
recent mission to the planet.
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Surfing the atmosphere,
it found hydrogen and oxygen
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00:15:49,040 --> 00:15:51,160
streaming from the top,
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00:15:51,240 --> 00:15:54,120
confirming that water
was leaking into space.
240
00:15:57,800 --> 00:16:02,080
We see sort of a tail
of these atoms being stripped off
241
00:16:02,160 --> 00:16:05,040
and blown away
from the planet itself.
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00:16:05,120 --> 00:16:07,120
And really the only way
that could happen
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00:16:07,200 --> 00:16:09,240
is if there was
a little bit of water left
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00:16:09,320 --> 00:16:12,600
that is still being destroyed,
picked up and swept away.
245
00:16:15,240 --> 00:16:18,480
Wisps of water are all that remain
of Venus's oceans.
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00:16:24,440 --> 00:16:27,840
It's a terrifying vision
of our own future.
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00:16:32,280 --> 00:16:35,640
So if Venus were, in the past,
a lot more Earth-like,
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00:16:35,720 --> 00:16:39,480
then that tells us that
having a habitable world
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is something that
is actually very precious,
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and maybe is transient.
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It's not something
that lasts forever.
252
00:16:48,720 --> 00:16:51,640
By losing the clouds
that trap the heat,
253
00:16:51,720 --> 00:16:55,160
you might think that Venus's
temperature would have simmered down.
254
00:16:57,240 --> 00:17:01,440
But in fact, it was about to
rise to astonishing new heights.
255
00:17:02,920 --> 00:17:05,440
It would become so hot
that metal snow
256
00:17:05,520 --> 00:17:07,400
would fall on its mountains.
257
00:17:11,040 --> 00:17:13,520
Clues to how this happened
can be found on Earth.
258
00:17:15,840 --> 00:17:19,600
In Hawaii,
planetary geologist Jani Radebaugh
259
00:17:19,680 --> 00:17:22,200
studies the islands' volcanoes.
260
00:17:27,200 --> 00:17:30,600
These volcanoes are
a perfect model for early Venus.
261
00:17:34,080 --> 00:17:38,160
What we're seeing out here
are lava flows
262
00:17:38,240 --> 00:17:41,120
come all the way down
from Pu'u O'o vent
263
00:17:41,200 --> 00:17:43,880
which is about 15 miles away.
264
00:17:45,240 --> 00:17:47,440
Oh, there's hot...
you can see the hot stuff.
265
00:17:47,520 --> 00:17:51,080
You can see hot... Quick, quick,
quick, quick. Right there.
266
00:17:51,160 --> 00:17:52,680
It's really beautiful.
267
00:17:56,040 --> 00:17:59,680
Hawaii's volcanic lava fields
look like Venus in miniature.
268
00:18:03,240 --> 00:18:06,160
Both produce the same kind
of runny lava,
269
00:18:06,240 --> 00:18:09,200
building flat shield-like volcanoes.
270
00:18:10,000 --> 00:18:14,880
The big difference is there are only
five active volcanoes on Hawaii...
271
00:18:18,120 --> 00:18:21,600
..whereas Venus is covered in them.
272
00:18:23,280 --> 00:18:25,920
One thing that really jumps out
all around the planet
273
00:18:26,000 --> 00:18:29,760
is uh...the number
and variety of volcanoes.
274
00:18:29,840 --> 00:18:32,600
I mean, Venus could almost
be nicknamed Volcano World.
275
00:18:32,680 --> 00:18:37,240
Venus has tens of thousands
of volcanoes all over the planet.
276
00:18:42,720 --> 00:18:46,360
It's not the erupting lava
that turns up the heat,
277
00:18:46,440 --> 00:18:48,000
it's what comes out with it.
278
00:18:48,560 --> 00:18:51,240
If we think back
to the histories of Venus,
279
00:18:51,320 --> 00:18:54,360
I think we must have seen a
landscape very similar to this one.
280
00:18:54,440 --> 00:18:58,160
We have massive amounts of lava
flowing out of the surface,
281
00:18:58,240 --> 00:19:00,640
dumping huge amounts of gases
into the atmosphere,
282
00:19:00,720 --> 00:19:04,080
carbon dioxide, tons of gas into
the atmosphere every single day.
283
00:19:05,440 --> 00:19:07,200
It would have been amazing to see.
284
00:19:13,800 --> 00:19:17,440
On the surface,
the source of the gases is revealed.
285
00:19:20,640 --> 00:19:22,280
If we look behind us we can see
286
00:19:22,360 --> 00:19:24,680
volcanic gases
gushing out of steam vents.
287
00:19:24,760 --> 00:19:27,600
We've got carbon dioxide
being delivered to the atmosphere.
288
00:19:27,680 --> 00:19:29,920
It's exactly like
what has happened on Venus.
289
00:19:32,480 --> 00:19:35,040
Carbon dioxide has been
delivered out of volcanoes
290
00:19:35,120 --> 00:19:37,720
over and over and over again
throughout its history.
291
00:19:39,520 --> 00:19:41,960
So that now we have
just a tremendously thick,
292
00:19:42,040 --> 00:19:43,520
dense atmosphere.
293
00:19:45,840 --> 00:19:50,240
The result of all of these volcanic
gases pouring out of volcanoes,
294
00:19:50,320 --> 00:19:53,320
major greenhouse gases,
is that they've been absorbing heat
295
00:19:53,400 --> 00:19:56,160
for the billions of years
of the history of Venus.
296
00:19:56,240 --> 00:19:58,840
The temperature's been
gradually creeping up,
297
00:19:58,920 --> 00:20:02,840
until today, the surface
of Venus is 900 degrees.
298
00:20:04,840 --> 00:20:08,520
It's like if you go into your
kitchen and set your oven to broil,
299
00:20:08,600 --> 00:20:11,280
wait a couple of minutes
and stick your head in it,
300
00:20:11,360 --> 00:20:14,120
and even that's not
quite hot enough.
301
00:20:14,200 --> 00:20:17,400
It's a crazy, horrible,
hellish spot.
302
00:20:23,640 --> 00:20:26,280
It's hard to imagine
such extreme temperatures...
303
00:20:27,800 --> 00:20:32,520
..but probes orbiting the planet
reveal just how incredibly hot it is.
304
00:20:35,800 --> 00:20:37,400
Scientists studying the images
305
00:20:37,480 --> 00:20:40,280
noticed something strange
on the planet's mountains.
306
00:20:42,240 --> 00:20:44,040
It looks like, on the mountains,
307
00:20:44,120 --> 00:20:46,360
that there's apparently
snow-like structures.
308
00:20:49,400 --> 00:20:52,160
But this is not like
any snow found on Earth.
309
00:20:53,960 --> 00:20:57,080
So if you look at the
white-peaked mountains of Venus,
310
00:20:57,160 --> 00:20:58,880
you would think that it was snow.
311
00:20:58,960 --> 00:21:01,240
But it's actually metals
that have rained down
312
00:21:01,320 --> 00:21:03,440
and deposited on the top
of those mountains.
313
00:21:06,440 --> 00:21:09,960
Metals like bismuth and lead melt...
314
00:21:11,040 --> 00:21:13,240
..then they evaporate
into the atmosphere.
315
00:21:15,440 --> 00:21:18,240
As they rise, they cool,
316
00:21:18,320 --> 00:21:21,640
until they finally fall like
snow on the mountain tops.
317
00:21:25,960 --> 00:21:28,840
I'm not sure even the imagination
of science fiction authors
318
00:21:28,920 --> 00:21:31,320
would've come up with
something as weird as Venus.
319
00:21:31,400 --> 00:21:32,760
I mean, just think about that,
320
00:21:32,840 --> 00:21:35,880
you have possibly metal frost
on the top of mountains?
321
00:21:35,960 --> 00:21:37,280
I mean, how weird is that?
322
00:21:37,360 --> 00:21:38,880
(CHUCKLES) It's pretty insane.
323
00:21:38,960 --> 00:21:40,160
Raining metals,
324
00:21:40,240 --> 00:21:43,240
where would you ever
think about that existing?
325
00:21:43,320 --> 00:21:44,520
On Venus.
326
00:21:47,800 --> 00:21:52,040
In the future, metallic snow
is forecast for Earth, too,
327
00:21:52,120 --> 00:21:55,400
and our scorching mountain caps
will glitter like Venus's.
328
00:21:56,720 --> 00:21:58,080
But that's not all.
329
00:21:59,960 --> 00:22:03,160
Venus tells us that things
will get even worse...
330
00:22:04,600 --> 00:22:08,960
..our atmosphere will grow
heavy enough to crush cars.
331
00:22:12,240 --> 00:22:14,240
*
332
00:22:16,000 --> 00:22:18,000
*
333
00:22:23,720 --> 00:22:26,480
Earth and Venus were born twins...
334
00:22:27,920 --> 00:22:30,040
..but they took different paths.
335
00:22:30,760 --> 00:22:34,240
Earth slowly evolved
into a habitable world.
336
00:22:36,640 --> 00:22:40,040
Venus was covered in
thick volcanic gases,
337
00:22:40,120 --> 00:22:41,760
trapping the sun's heat.
338
00:22:43,120 --> 00:22:47,200
Temperatures rose to
over 450 degrees Celsius.
339
00:22:49,720 --> 00:22:52,640
But Venus wasn't just blighted
by high temperatures.
340
00:22:56,720 --> 00:23:01,280
The volcanoes kept spewing
gas up into the atmosphere,
341
00:23:01,360 --> 00:23:07,720
forming a 250km-deep cloud
of carbon dioxide around the planet.
342
00:23:07,800 --> 00:23:10,280
We don't think about gases
as weighing anything,
343
00:23:10,360 --> 00:23:11,720
but they actually do.
344
00:23:12,840 --> 00:23:16,720
Trillions and trillions
of tonnes of gas pressed downwards.
345
00:23:18,120 --> 00:23:20,800
There is simply so much air on Venus
346
00:23:20,880 --> 00:23:24,520
that on the surface it's pushing
down with a huge amount of force.
347
00:23:24,600 --> 00:23:27,440
The atmospheric pressure
on Venus is a monster.
348
00:23:27,520 --> 00:23:28,880
Think about it this way.
349
00:23:30,600 --> 00:23:33,880
All right, car. It's time
for you to be crushed, baby.
350
00:23:40,840 --> 00:23:41,920
If you're on Venus,
351
00:23:42,000 --> 00:23:45,320
you're gonna have 155 miles
of atmosphere above your head.
352
00:23:46,000 --> 00:23:50,560
As a result, atmospheric pressure
is 90 times that on Earth.
353
00:23:50,640 --> 00:23:56,320
So on Earth, it's about
14.6lb per square inch.
354
00:23:56,400 --> 00:24:00,360
On Venus, we're talking about
1,300lb per square inch.
355
00:24:00,440 --> 00:24:05,440
So if you're driving your car
in Venus, this is what might happen.
356
00:24:10,080 --> 00:24:14,240
The crusher delivers the same force
as the weight of Venus's atmosphere.
357
00:24:15,120 --> 00:24:16,920
This is pretty serious stuff.
358
00:24:24,080 --> 00:24:26,280
And this is why
it's so hard on Venus,
359
00:24:26,360 --> 00:24:27,760
you get down to the surface,
360
00:24:27,840 --> 00:24:30,880
you have the crushing
atmosphere to deal with.
361
00:24:39,680 --> 00:24:42,880
A spaceship tasked
with landing on Venus
362
00:24:42,960 --> 00:24:45,760
must first survive the violent
weather on the way down.
363
00:24:46,880 --> 00:24:49,200
The extreme heat powers a vortex
364
00:24:49,280 --> 00:24:51,600
the size of Europe
over the south pole.
365
00:24:52,560 --> 00:24:56,120
As the Earth heats up, we see
storms that are more violent.
366
00:24:56,200 --> 00:24:59,040
You can only imagine
the level of storms on Venus.
367
00:24:59,960 --> 00:25:02,320
The upper atmosphere of Venus
is whipping around
368
00:25:02,400 --> 00:25:03,920
hundreds of miles per hour.
369
00:25:05,680 --> 00:25:08,680
Wind speeds reach 400km per hour.
370
00:25:09,520 --> 00:25:11,720
That's faster than
most hurricanes on Earth.
371
00:25:12,680 --> 00:25:16,200
It must be a weatherman's
paradise in a sense.
372
00:25:18,960 --> 00:25:21,440
There are also huge
lightning strikes.
373
00:25:22,320 --> 00:25:25,560
But these bolts are not formed
in water clouds like on Earth...
374
00:25:26,600 --> 00:25:29,240
..they form in something
much more toxic.
375
00:25:31,040 --> 00:25:34,960
Venus's volcanoes release
sulphur dioxide gas,
376
00:25:35,080 --> 00:25:37,200
which mixes with water vapour,
377
00:25:37,280 --> 00:25:40,400
creating sulphuric acid.
378
00:25:40,480 --> 00:25:43,240
You have clouds that
are raining sulphuric acid.
379
00:25:43,320 --> 00:25:45,640
It rains sulphuric acid!
380
00:25:45,720 --> 00:25:49,760
Sulphuric acid in your lungs,
your eyes, your mouth, your nose -
381
00:25:49,840 --> 00:25:52,360
that would be deeply uncomfortable.
382
00:25:55,840 --> 00:25:57,400
The extreme pressure and heat
383
00:25:57,480 --> 00:25:59,880
make Venus nearly
impossible to explore.
384
00:26:02,360 --> 00:26:04,320
Only one nation has ever succeeded
385
00:26:04,400 --> 00:26:06,680
in getting a probe
to the planet's surface.
386
00:26:07,720 --> 00:26:10,480
Truly one of the engineering
triumphs of the human race
387
00:26:10,560 --> 00:26:12,480
was the Soviet Union's
Venera programme.
388
00:26:12,560 --> 00:26:16,280
The Russians sent over a dozen
probes to the planet Venus
389
00:26:16,360 --> 00:26:18,800
and only a few of them
were able to survive
390
00:26:18,880 --> 00:26:21,840
long enough to even be able to
take pictures from the surface.
391
00:26:24,240 --> 00:26:26,480
The Venera missions were incredible.
392
00:26:26,560 --> 00:26:29,760
It's such a hostile environment
on the surface for electronics,
393
00:26:29,840 --> 00:26:33,640
and they were able to land
on the surface and survive.
394
00:26:34,480 --> 00:26:36,560
The probe that sent back these images
395
00:26:36,640 --> 00:26:39,400
was crushed and burnt out
in 90 minutes.
396
00:26:40,200 --> 00:26:42,320
Some day in the future,
there are going to be
397
00:26:42,400 --> 00:26:44,240
interplanetary tour guides,
398
00:26:44,320 --> 00:26:46,720
taking people to every planet
in the solar system.
399
00:26:46,800 --> 00:26:48,600
And you can imagine going to Saturn
400
00:26:48,680 --> 00:26:51,680
and seeing the rings and Jupiter
and its panoply of moons.
401
00:26:51,760 --> 00:26:55,160
There are all these great tourist
attractions in the solar system.
402
00:26:55,240 --> 00:26:58,920
At the very bottom
of that list is Venus.
403
00:26:59,000 --> 00:27:01,400
That is the last place
in the solar system
404
00:27:01,480 --> 00:27:03,200
I would ever want to visit.
405
00:27:06,360 --> 00:27:08,560
The sun's heat and volcanic gases
406
00:27:08,640 --> 00:27:11,440
have transformed Venus
into a vision of hell...
407
00:27:15,320 --> 00:27:18,640
..the most lethal rocky planet
in our solar system.
408
00:27:21,400 --> 00:27:24,080
Suppose you decided
that you were gonna put me
409
00:27:24,200 --> 00:27:26,360
in a star-ship transporter beam
410
00:27:26,440 --> 00:27:28,880
and transport me to
the surface of Venus.
411
00:27:28,960 --> 00:27:30,040
What would happen?
412
00:27:30,120 --> 00:27:32,680
Well, the pressures there
are incredibly intense,
413
00:27:32,760 --> 00:27:35,400
and the rain there,
as I say, it is acidic.
414
00:27:35,480 --> 00:27:36,680
The atmosphere is acidic.
415
00:27:36,760 --> 00:27:38,880
So I would be unaffected,
416
00:27:38,960 --> 00:27:42,080
but the average man
would be crushed and melted.
417
00:27:42,160 --> 00:27:44,240
If you could imagine
standing on Venus,
418
00:27:44,320 --> 00:27:46,360
it would be a torture
in the extreme.
419
00:27:46,440 --> 00:27:51,760
Your feet would be burning
from the molten fire below you
420
00:27:51,840 --> 00:27:53,960
and your head would be hurting
421
00:27:54,040 --> 00:27:56,840
from the incredible pressure
pushing you down.
422
00:27:56,920 --> 00:27:58,920
You probably wouldn't
survive long enough
423
00:27:59,000 --> 00:28:00,560
to even notice it, actually.
424
00:28:02,400 --> 00:28:05,320
So why hasn't Earth
followed the same path?
425
00:28:08,720 --> 00:28:12,720
Our volcanoes also spew out
carbon dioxide,
426
00:28:12,800 --> 00:28:15,040
and we orbit around the same sun...
427
00:28:17,200 --> 00:28:20,120
..but we're not being
crushed and broiled.
428
00:28:22,280 --> 00:28:25,880
One reason is, Earth formed
farther away from the sun...
429
00:28:27,000 --> 00:28:29,920
..and stayed cool enough
to hold on to its oceans.
430
00:28:30,880 --> 00:28:33,400
Oceans do a lot of things
for us on Earth.
431
00:28:33,480 --> 00:28:35,960
Because not only, obviously,
are we water creatures
432
00:28:36,040 --> 00:28:40,760
and we depend on the water cycle
for our existence in so many ways.
433
00:28:40,840 --> 00:28:42,800
But people don't realise the oceans
434
00:28:42,880 --> 00:28:45,200
also help to regulate
the climate of Earth.
435
00:28:48,560 --> 00:28:53,240
Our oceans are full of tiny
creatures that eat carbon dioxide.
436
00:28:58,760 --> 00:29:01,880
Richard Zeebe from
the University of Hawaii
437
00:29:01,960 --> 00:29:04,720
is diving on
the islands' coral reefs.
438
00:29:08,680 --> 00:29:11,480
He's studying how
tiny marine organisms
439
00:29:11,560 --> 00:29:14,640
turn carbon dioxide into rock.
440
00:29:23,200 --> 00:29:25,400
What you see here, the white stuff,
441
00:29:25,480 --> 00:29:27,600
this is what we call
calcium carbonate.
442
00:29:27,680 --> 00:29:30,200
And on top of this, what you see,
these brown layers,
443
00:29:30,280 --> 00:29:32,520
this is essentially
the living organism.
444
00:29:32,600 --> 00:29:34,400
This is the coral itself.
445
00:29:34,480 --> 00:29:36,640
It takes calcium out of the seawater
446
00:29:36,720 --> 00:29:38,840
and it takes carbonate
out of the seawater,
447
00:29:38,920 --> 00:29:41,680
combines them and makes
this piece of calcium carbonate.
448
00:29:47,560 --> 00:29:50,920
There's over 70 million
billion tons of carbon
449
00:29:51,000 --> 00:29:52,800
locked up in carbonate rocks.
450
00:29:55,800 --> 00:29:59,440
This helps regulate carbon dioxide
levels in the atmosphere,
451
00:29:59,520 --> 00:30:01,600
keeping temperatures from rising.
452
00:30:02,960 --> 00:30:06,680
If all the carbon that is being
locked up in carbonate rocks
453
00:30:06,760 --> 00:30:10,360
in these corals would be put
into the atmosphere as CO2,
454
00:30:10,440 --> 00:30:12,480
that would be certainly
bad news for us.
455
00:30:16,560 --> 00:30:20,160
Currently, our carbon cycle
helps stabilise our climate...
456
00:30:21,760 --> 00:30:24,680
..but in the future this
won't be able to save us.
457
00:30:29,760 --> 00:30:32,440
Forces far greater
than the ones at work on Earth
458
00:30:32,520 --> 00:30:34,960
will overpower our natural defences.
459
00:30:38,240 --> 00:30:41,400
Like Venus, our oceans will burn off.
460
00:30:42,720 --> 00:30:46,560
Temperatures will rocket
as our life-giving sun
461
00:30:46,640 --> 00:30:48,480
starts to kill the Earth.
462
00:30:53,440 --> 00:30:56,720
Right now we live just the
right distance from the sun,
463
00:30:56,800 --> 00:31:00,040
where it's just the right
temperature for water to exist
464
00:31:00,120 --> 00:31:01,400
as a liquid.
465
00:31:02,880 --> 00:31:06,560
But that's going to change,
just as it did for Venus.
466
00:31:09,200 --> 00:31:11,600
Venus started off, probably,
in the habitable zone
467
00:31:11,680 --> 00:31:14,640
and then the inner limit
to the habitable zone crossed
468
00:31:14,720 --> 00:31:16,920
the distance of Venus's orbit.
469
00:31:17,000 --> 00:31:20,080
Well, it's gonna cross the
distance of Earth's orbit, too.
470
00:31:20,160 --> 00:31:22,240
There is an expiration date
to the Earth,
471
00:31:22,320 --> 00:31:24,400
and that's due to
the sun's evolution.
472
00:31:27,800 --> 00:31:31,640
Ever since its birth,
the sun has been getting hotter.
473
00:31:31,720 --> 00:31:34,160
That increased heat devastated Venus,
474
00:31:34,240 --> 00:31:37,760
and in the future,
it will destroy Earth.
475
00:31:41,560 --> 00:31:43,760
In 1.1 billion years,
476
00:31:43,840 --> 00:31:47,120
the sun will be 10% hotter
than it is today.
477
00:31:49,080 --> 00:31:53,200
The oceans will start to
evaporate into thick clouds,
478
00:31:53,280 --> 00:31:56,160
which will trap more
of the sun's heat.
479
00:31:56,240 --> 00:32:00,000
Catastrophically, very rapidly
on a geological timescale,
480
00:32:00,080 --> 00:32:03,120
the oceans will put so much
water vapour into the atmosphere
481
00:32:03,200 --> 00:32:05,600
that we will get
a runaway greenhouse effect.
482
00:32:07,840 --> 00:32:11,960
The clouds forming in the atmosphere
will trap more and more heat,
483
00:32:12,040 --> 00:32:14,600
driving temperatures even higher.
484
00:32:20,920 --> 00:32:24,280
Spiralling temperatures
will cause even more evaporation,
485
00:32:24,360 --> 00:32:27,240
so the clouds will get thicker.
486
00:32:28,720 --> 00:32:31,800
Which led to more heating,
which led to more evaporation
487
00:32:31,880 --> 00:32:33,480
and you can see where this is going.
488
00:32:33,560 --> 00:32:35,800
It's a vicious cycle,
it's a positive feedback.
489
00:32:37,400 --> 00:32:41,240
All of the oceans' water will boil
away, millions of cubic miles of it.
490
00:32:42,400 --> 00:32:45,560
We have all of this water
that will go into the atmosphere,
491
00:32:45,640 --> 00:32:48,960
covering the Earth and
shrouding it in, basically, steam.
492
00:32:54,760 --> 00:32:58,520
Earth has had oceans
for billions of years,
493
00:32:58,600 --> 00:33:01,520
but it will take just
10,000 years to lose them.
494
00:33:03,520 --> 00:33:06,600
All of the water in the Earth's
oceans will be in the atmosphere.
495
00:33:06,680 --> 00:33:09,520
We'll have an incredibly
dense cloud-coverage system
496
00:33:09,600 --> 00:33:13,720
where the temperatures on Earth
will be approaching 1,000 degrees.
497
00:33:15,280 --> 00:33:19,200
Like Venus in the past,
Earth will get hotter and hotter.
498
00:33:20,280 --> 00:33:24,240
But unlike Venus, which
plateaued at 500 degrees Celsius...
499
00:33:25,280 --> 00:33:27,760
..temperatures on Earth
will keep climbing.
500
00:33:30,520 --> 00:33:35,440
Venus lost its water to space,
blasted away by the solar wind.
501
00:33:36,640 --> 00:33:38,560
But Earth will hold on to its water,
502
00:33:38,640 --> 00:33:41,040
because it's protected
by our magnetic shield.
503
00:33:42,920 --> 00:33:45,440
However, that is
no longer a good thing.
504
00:33:50,600 --> 00:33:53,960
Unlike Venus, Earth has a strong
magnetic field which protects it
505
00:33:54,040 --> 00:33:55,840
from the erosion of the solar wind.
506
00:33:55,920 --> 00:33:57,600
That water will stay with us.
507
00:33:57,680 --> 00:34:02,440
The Earth could have a thicker,
hotter greenhouse atmosphere
508
00:34:02,520 --> 00:34:05,760
than Venus does today, much worse.
509
00:34:07,200 --> 00:34:11,480
This huge volume of water vapour
will push down on the surface...
510
00:34:13,120 --> 00:34:17,000
..increasing the surface
pressure by 270 times.
511
00:34:18,840 --> 00:34:22,600
If by some miracle, a human stepped
out onto the surface...
512
00:34:24,000 --> 00:34:27,040
..they would instantly
be crushed by the atmosphere.
513
00:34:27,120 --> 00:34:29,640
Its weight would be more
than a fully armoured tank,
514
00:34:29,720 --> 00:34:31,920
pushing down on their head.
515
00:34:32,000 --> 00:34:35,640
It is ironic to think that
the water on Earth will one day
516
00:34:35,720 --> 00:34:37,480
help contribute to its demise.
517
00:34:37,560 --> 00:34:40,840
After all, the water has been
the source of life on Earth.
518
00:34:40,920 --> 00:34:43,760
But in the far future,
it'll become our enemy.
519
00:34:46,960 --> 00:34:49,760
And with no oceans
and their microscopic creatures
520
00:34:49,840 --> 00:34:52,040
to absorb the carbon dioxide,
521
00:34:52,120 --> 00:34:55,240
there's nothing to hold back
the rising temperatures.
522
00:34:57,480 --> 00:35:00,120
Earth is doomed.
523
00:35:03,080 --> 00:35:05,080
*
524
00:35:07,000 --> 00:35:09,000
*
525
00:35:15,920 --> 00:35:18,120
In 1.2 billion years,
526
00:35:18,200 --> 00:35:21,440
a probe visiting Earth
would see an alien world...
527
00:35:22,480 --> 00:35:25,240
..a scorched, barren landscape.
528
00:35:31,040 --> 00:35:32,840
The pressure is crushing.
529
00:35:33,800 --> 00:35:37,280
Temperatures reach
650 degrees Celsius.
530
00:35:39,280 --> 00:35:42,880
Molten metals snow down
on the mountain tops.
531
00:35:42,960 --> 00:35:46,200
It's so hot, granite rock melts.
532
00:35:48,600 --> 00:35:50,440
The surface liquefies.
533
00:35:53,200 --> 00:35:55,960
At that point, the Earth
will become a molten ball
534
00:35:56,040 --> 00:35:58,640
very similar to what it
was at the very beginning.
535
00:36:01,320 --> 00:36:04,080
Earth and Venus started as twins.
536
00:36:05,240 --> 00:36:08,320
Venus was destroyed by
rampant global warming.
537
00:36:09,600 --> 00:36:13,920
Earth will follow the same path,
then overtake it.
538
00:36:14,000 --> 00:36:18,720
It is inevitable that the Earth
will someday not only be like Venus,
539
00:36:18,800 --> 00:36:20,320
but actually put it to shame.
540
00:36:25,880 --> 00:36:30,680
In 1.3 billion years, Earth
could hit 2,000 degrees Celsius...
541
00:36:31,720 --> 00:36:33,560
..four times hotter than Venus.
542
00:36:34,560 --> 00:36:38,200
It'll be the hottest and deadliest
planet in our solar system.
543
00:36:47,120 --> 00:36:51,240
For Earth and its inhabitants,
it's the end of the road.
544
00:36:52,760 --> 00:36:54,880
Maybe we'll escape to space
545
00:36:54,960 --> 00:36:58,560
and send probes back
to study our former home.
546
00:36:58,640 --> 00:37:00,360
A billion years from now,
547
00:37:00,440 --> 00:37:04,680
Earth could be
an unimaginably terrible place.
548
00:37:05,720 --> 00:37:08,880
Right now, today,
Venus is the evil twin of Earth,
549
00:37:08,960 --> 00:37:13,200
but in the distant future, Earth
could be the evil twin of Venus.
550
00:37:14,760 --> 00:37:18,000
Earth's surface temperature
will be far hotter
551
00:37:18,080 --> 00:37:21,080
and its surface pressure
far greater than Venus's.
552
00:37:23,720 --> 00:37:25,480
At these kind of temperatures where
553
00:37:25,560 --> 00:37:28,600
rock on the surface
of the Earth is molten,
554
00:37:28,680 --> 00:37:31,360
it's hard to imagine any place
there could be life.
555
00:37:35,760 --> 00:37:37,200
But there is hope.
556
00:37:43,040 --> 00:37:47,600
Astrobiologist Lewis Dartnell thinks
that some forms of life could survive
557
00:37:47,680 --> 00:37:49,800
such terrible conditions.
558
00:37:49,880 --> 00:37:52,760
We're here on top of
a volcanic outcrop
559
00:37:52,840 --> 00:37:57,000
in Iceland with this howling gale
whistling past our ears.
560
00:37:57,080 --> 00:37:58,760
The stench of hydrogen sulphide,
561
00:37:58,840 --> 00:38:02,000
of sulphurous fumes,
filling our nostrils.
562
00:38:02,080 --> 00:38:04,600
And this is about as close
as we can get on Earth
563
00:38:04,680 --> 00:38:07,640
to high up
in the Venusian atmosphere.
564
00:38:07,720 --> 00:38:11,880
About 30-35 miles above
the surface of the planet Venus,
565
00:38:11,960 --> 00:38:15,480
the air pressure is about
the same as on Earth's surface,
566
00:38:15,560 --> 00:38:19,280
the temperature
is pretty similar as well.
567
00:38:19,360 --> 00:38:23,400
But the cloud droplets are full
of concentrated sulphuric acid,
568
00:38:23,480 --> 00:38:26,720
many, many times more
concentrated than battery acid.
569
00:38:26,800 --> 00:38:31,040
It's a hostile,
horrible environment.
570
00:38:31,120 --> 00:38:32,440
But bizarrely enough,
571
00:38:32,520 --> 00:38:35,160
there's good reasons to think
that there may be life,
572
00:38:35,240 --> 00:38:38,080
Venusian life, high up
in the clouds there.
573
00:38:38,160 --> 00:38:41,240
A kind of high-altitude
aerial biosphere.
574
00:38:43,880 --> 00:38:47,920
If life can live up there,
then perhaps it might survive
575
00:38:48,000 --> 00:38:50,440
high up in the clouds
of future Earth.
576
00:38:51,800 --> 00:38:55,280
You can easily imagine these
microorganisms evaporating
577
00:38:55,360 --> 00:38:58,680
in water particles and being
transported to the upper atmosphere.
578
00:38:59,640 --> 00:39:04,000
Even though it turned into
this toxic greenhouse planet,
579
00:39:04,080 --> 00:39:08,120
life could potentially still
survive in that upper atmosphere.
580
00:39:11,360 --> 00:39:12,880
But what about us?
581
00:39:14,240 --> 00:39:16,240
We couldn't survive
the high temperatures
582
00:39:16,320 --> 00:39:17,920
or pressures at the surface...
583
00:39:19,440 --> 00:39:22,200
..and a life in the clouds
doesn't seem likely.
584
00:39:23,000 --> 00:39:24,760
What's our future?
585
00:39:24,840 --> 00:39:27,080
If there was this life on Venus,
586
00:39:27,200 --> 00:39:30,400
clearly they weren't
advanced enough to stop
587
00:39:30,480 --> 00:39:33,760
the changes in their atmosphere
that led to Venus's current state.
588
00:39:33,840 --> 00:39:35,280
The question is, are we?
589
00:39:43,960 --> 00:39:47,720
Perhaps we'll leave our
planet and find a new home.
590
00:39:53,960 --> 00:39:57,560
As the sun gets brighter,
Earth will go the way of Venus,
591
00:39:57,640 --> 00:40:00,560
but then the world's further out
will get warmer and warmer.
592
00:40:01,600 --> 00:40:05,280
It'll be a progression,
outward, of habitability.
593
00:40:09,400 --> 00:40:13,520
First, the polar ice-caps
on Mars will melt into oceans.
594
00:40:16,040 --> 00:40:19,160
Then even further out,
the sun's heat will unlock the water
595
00:40:19,240 --> 00:40:20,880
on Jupiter's moon Europa...
596
00:40:21,920 --> 00:40:24,600
..transforming it into a water-world.
597
00:40:25,880 --> 00:40:27,600
If we do this right,
598
00:40:27,680 --> 00:40:29,720
we could maybe sort of
hop from world to world
599
00:40:29,800 --> 00:40:32,840
and, like, move farther out from
the sun as the sun warms, sort of.
600
00:40:32,920 --> 00:40:36,400
Because these are gonna be slow
transitions, so there'd be, like,
601
00:40:36,480 --> 00:40:39,200
plenty of time to kind of
engineer the right environments
602
00:40:39,280 --> 00:40:42,120
and sort of hop from world to world,
farther from the sun.
603
00:40:42,200 --> 00:40:47,080
So that might be one way that,
you know, if there is
intelligent life on a solar system
604
00:40:47,160 --> 00:40:50,440
where this is happening, it might
just be a matter of sort of skipping
605
00:40:50,520 --> 00:40:53,520
from world to world and following
the habitable zones as they...
606
00:40:53,600 --> 00:40:55,560
as they move outward
in your solar system.
607
00:40:57,920 --> 00:40:59,800
But there is another solution...
608
00:41:01,360 --> 00:41:05,360
..stay and move the Earth
further from the sun.
609
00:41:06,440 --> 00:41:09,680
Moving the Earth is at least
imaginable because, in fact,
610
00:41:09,760 --> 00:41:12,040
as objects exchange
gravitational energy
611
00:41:12,120 --> 00:41:14,000
they move in or out
in the solar system.
612
00:41:14,080 --> 00:41:15,560
It has happened to our planet,
613
00:41:15,640 --> 00:41:18,080
so I could imagine
engineering things where we
614
00:41:18,160 --> 00:41:22,320
directed large asteroids
and comets close to the Earth
but not to hit it.
615
00:41:26,200 --> 00:41:30,400
The gravity from these large objects
would slowly alter our orbit.
616
00:41:31,600 --> 00:41:33,760
Gravitational energy
would be exchanged
617
00:41:33,840 --> 00:41:36,000
and the Earth could slowly move out.
618
00:41:39,920 --> 00:41:44,080
Each gravitational jolt would
only move Earth a short distance.
619
00:41:47,040 --> 00:41:50,240
But do it thousands
or millions of times
620
00:41:50,320 --> 00:41:52,960
and we could push the Earth
away from the sun...
621
00:41:54,320 --> 00:41:56,360
..in theory, at least.
622
00:41:56,440 --> 00:41:59,000
Over a billion-year period,
it's possible to imagine.
623
00:41:59,080 --> 00:42:00,960
It would require
incredible technology
624
00:42:01,040 --> 00:42:03,080
and incredible coordination.
625
00:42:03,160 --> 00:42:04,800
The technology is possible,
626
00:42:04,880 --> 00:42:07,480
whether humanity as a species
could ever coordinate it
627
00:42:07,560 --> 00:42:09,840
is something I'm a little
more sceptical about.
628
00:42:11,680 --> 00:42:13,920
It sounds like science fiction,
629
00:42:14,000 --> 00:42:17,560
but if we don't do something
the Earth will die
630
00:42:17,640 --> 00:42:20,520
and we'll become just like Venus.
631
00:42:25,880 --> 00:42:28,920
Earth and Venus were probably
born together as identical twins,
632
00:42:29,000 --> 00:42:30,680
but then their paths diverged.
633
00:42:30,760 --> 00:42:33,840
But now lifetime is gonna send
that cycle all the way back
634
00:42:33,920 --> 00:42:36,360
and they'll die
as identical twins again.
635
00:42:40,480 --> 00:42:44,920
In the grand scheme of things,
they'll just be two charred twins
636
00:42:45,000 --> 00:42:48,400
spinning to oblivion in
a backwater of the universe.
637
00:42:50,680 --> 00:42:54,280
On the cosmic scale, life is short.
638
00:42:56,120 --> 00:43:00,320
When you look at how Earth evolved
and how Venus evolved,
639
00:43:00,400 --> 00:43:05,280
you can see the difference, even
though it's two almost twin planets,
640
00:43:05,360 --> 00:43:09,120
how life and habitability
could change over time.
641
00:43:09,200 --> 00:43:12,160
So habitability isn't
always a permanent thing.
642
00:43:15,360 --> 00:43:20,480
On human scales, the universe
seems the same every single day.
643
00:43:20,560 --> 00:43:22,440
But of course, that's because
644
00:43:22,520 --> 00:43:28,480
human life and human civilisation is
but a brief instant in cosmic time.
645
00:43:28,560 --> 00:43:32,520
On cosmic scales,
the universe evolves and changes,
646
00:43:32,600 --> 00:43:36,120
and that makes the history
of the universe remarkable.
647
00:43:40,520 --> 00:43:44,640
Our tale of two planets
converges in the end,
648
00:43:44,720 --> 00:43:48,040
a cautionary tale about
forces beyond our control.
649
00:43:51,320 --> 00:43:54,320
Perhaps a billion years
of learning from Venus
650
00:43:54,400 --> 00:43:58,480
will ultimately save us
from the same terrible fate.
651
00:43:59,600 --> 00:44:01,600
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