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"The value of information does not
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survive the moment
in which it was new.
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It lives only at that moment;
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it has to surrender to it
completely
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and explain itself to it
without losing any time."
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"A story is different.
It does not expend itself.
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It preserves and
concentrates its strength
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and is capable of releasing it
even after a long time."
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— Walter Benjamin
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Vice Documentary Films
IMPACT
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PRESENT
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THE THIRD INDUSTRIAL REVOLUTION
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A RADICAL NEW SHARING ECONOMY
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The global economy is in crisis.
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Economists warn that we face
another 20 years of
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declining productivity,
slow growth, steep unemployment
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and increasing inequality.
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The economic downturn is fueling
growing discontent toward
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governing institutions and spawning
extreme political movements
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around the world.
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And now, after 200 years
of industrial activity,
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scientists report that
climate change is
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ravaging the planet,
taking us into
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the sixth mass extinction
of life on Earth.
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Where do we go from here?
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Jeremy Rifkin is
an economic and social theorist
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and the author of
over 20 books including
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"The Zero Marginal Cast Society,"
"The Third Industrial Revolution,"
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and "The Empathic Civilization."
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He is an advisor
to the European Union
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and The People's Republic of China,
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and a principal architect of their
Third Industrial Revolution plans.
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Let me start on a very somber note.
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I hope it will end up being
a liberating reflection.
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You'll have to judge.
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GDP is slowing
all over the world everywhere.
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And the reason is productivity
has been declining
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for twenty years
all over the world.
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The result: Unemployment
is very high everywhere.
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And nowhere is it
more pronounced than among
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the Millennial Generation
coming into the workforce.
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Our economists tell us
that we can look forward to
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slow productivity and slow growth
for the next 20 years.
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And let me do the math for you:
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At the end of two
industrial revolutions
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in the 19th and 20th century,
here's the equation:
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We have to admit that
half the human race
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is far better off today
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than our ancestors were before
we began this industrial experiment.
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Granted?
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Also we need to acknowledge
that 40% of the human race
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are making $2 a day or less.
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And arguably they are worse off
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than their ancestors were before
the Industrial experiment.
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And the final equation:
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The industrial era, while
it's benefited half the human race
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in detriment to
the other half of the human race,
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the well-off, the
very wealthy have done quite well.
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Today, the 62 wealthiest
human beings in the world
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—we could put them in this
little section of the room.
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The 62 wealthiest human beings
in the world today
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their combined wealth
equals the accumulated wealth
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of one half the human population
living on Earth.
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Three and a half billion people.
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There's something
really dysfunctional
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about the way
the human family is organizing
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its economic relationships
on this Earth.
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It's clear we're in a long-term
structural economic crisis
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at the end of the
2nd Industrial Revolution.
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But now this industrial air
has given rise
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to a much more profound crisis
—an environmental crisis.
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We have spewed
massive amounts of CO₂
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and methane and nitrous oxide
into the atmosphere of this planet
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to create this
industrial way of life.
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And now we have so much CO₂,
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methane and nitrous oxide
in the atmosphere
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that is blocking the sun's heat
from getting off the Earth.
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We are in real time climate change.
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This is no longer a theory.
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This is no longer
looming on the horizon.
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This is no longer imminent.
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Climate change is now
at the house, in the door.
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What's terrifying
about climate change
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—and unfortunately
it's never explained,
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because if it were explained,
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our human family would be
justifiably terrified
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and motivated and driven
to begin to transform this planet.
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Climate change changes
the water cycles of the Earth.
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That's what this is all about.
It's never explained.
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We're the watery planet.
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Our satellite probes
go to other planets
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and what's the first thing
we look for? Water.
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No water? Not interested!
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Recently they discovered what
they think is dirty water on Mars
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and everybody is thrilled.
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Our ecosystems on Earth have
developed over millions of years
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based on the water cycles,
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the cloud cycles that
traverse them across the Earth.
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For every one degree that the
temperature of the planet goes up
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because of industrial induced
CO₂ emissions—
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For every one degree that the
temperature goes up on this planet,
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the atmosphere is
actually sucking up
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7% more precipitation
from the ground.
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The heat is forcing
the precipitation into the clouds,
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so we're getting
more concentrated precipitation,
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more violent water events,
but they're more infrequent,
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throwing the entire water cycle
of the Earth off kilter.
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More blockbuster winter snows.
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00:07:43,680 --> 00:07:47,680
Eight feet in Boston
at last season? My gosh!
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00:07:48,879 --> 00:07:50,480
More dramatic spring floods
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—that flood in the Carolinas,
remember?
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They said this flood only will
occur once every thousand years.
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It's the new normal.
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00:08:01,480 --> 00:08:03,560
More prolonged summer droughts.
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00:08:03,879 --> 00:08:05,680
My wife and I were in
British Columbia
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and we're coming into Vancouver.
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00:08:08,879 --> 00:08:11,159
The pilot says, "We have
some smoke coming in."
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I turned to my wife and I said,
"You mean smog?"
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No, he meant smoke.
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Wildfires from
British Columbia to California.
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Summer droughts and wildfire.
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00:08:23,759 --> 00:08:27,560
We have Category 3, 4, and 5
hurricanes now
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00:08:27,560 --> 00:08:30,360
—so dramatic that
they're destroying infrastructure
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and killing people
all over the world.
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00:08:32,080 --> 00:08:34,280
That hurricane that
hit the Philippines—
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This was the most
powerful hurricane ever recorded.
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This is the new normal.
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What I'm saying here
is that climate change
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is dramatically changing
the water cycles.
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They're out an exponential curve.
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This is absolutely frightening.
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It's terrifying.
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And, if you are a young millennial
about to start a family—
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If you're a parent here
or a grandparent.
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00:09:05,279 --> 00:09:06,679
I want you to listen to this.
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00:09:07,960 --> 00:09:10,759
Our scientists now tell us
that we are in the sixth
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extinction event of life on Earth.
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00:09:13,759 --> 00:09:15,679
It doesn't even make the headlines.
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00:09:15,679 --> 00:09:20,679
This is the most dramatic story
a human family has ever faced.
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00:09:21,159 --> 00:09:24,480
There have been five
mass extinction events on Earth
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in 450 million years.
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00:09:25,759 --> 00:09:29,559
And each time the chemistry
of the planet shifts very quickly
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—there's what we call
a turning point—
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and massive die out.
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00:09:33,559 --> 00:09:35,759
And after the massive die out of life,
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it takes upwards of 10 million years
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to get new life back on Earth.
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Our scientists now tell us we are
in the sixth extinction event
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This is not a model—
we're chronicling it in real time.
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And what they're saying is that
over the next seven decades
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—and many of you will
be around for a lot of that,
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and your children will
—in the next seven decades
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we could lose over half
the species of life
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that now inhabits this
little oasis in the universe.
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00:10:11,759 --> 00:10:14,879
As my wife says,
we just are not grasping
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00:10:14,679 --> 00:10:16,879
the enormity of this moment.
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00:10:17,960 --> 00:10:19,480
We might acknowledge
climate change,
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00:10:19,480 --> 00:10:21,680
but we're going on
as business as usual,
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00:10:21,679 --> 00:10:23,079
with a little green washing.
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00:10:24,480 --> 00:10:30,759
99.5% of all the species
that ever been on this planet
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have come and gone.
Those are not good odds.
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00:10:34,360 --> 00:10:37,560
And what's interesting is,
human beings—
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We're the actual youngest species,
we're the babies.
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Anatomically modern humans have
only been here about 200,000 years.
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There's no guarantee
we're gonna make this.
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00:10:48,480 --> 00:10:50,360
And the new studies
that have just come out
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they're even more terrifying
because they're seeing the
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freshwater melts in the Arctic, now
in Greenland and now in Antarctica
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much quicker than we expected
changing the ocean currents.
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00:11:08,360 --> 00:11:10,159
And they're talking about storms
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00:11:10,159 --> 00:11:12,879
that are beyond
anything we can imagine,
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00:11:12,879 --> 00:11:15,480
that we've ever seen in human history
by the end of this century.
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00:11:18,759 --> 00:11:20,559
Talking about
the major coastal cities,
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where much of our
urban population is, underwater.
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00:11:24,559 --> 00:11:26,559
This is not a century from now.
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This is in the lifetime of
many young people
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who are four and five now
and will be my age when
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we're in full steam
into this new era, this abyss.
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So what do we do?
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00:11:43,279 --> 00:11:45,759
We need a new
economic vision for the world.
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00:11:45,759 --> 00:11:47,159
It has to be compelling.
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We needed a game plan
to deploy that vision
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and it needs to be quick.
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It needs to move as quickly
in the developing countries
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as in the industrialized nations.
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00:12:00,879 --> 00:12:06,080
If we have any chance of arresting
the worst of this climate change
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00:12:06,080 --> 00:12:09,480
we're gonna have to be off carbon
in four decades everywhere.
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This is beyond anything we're
talking about at global conferences.
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How do we begin to tackle
something of this magnitude?
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00:12:18,879 --> 00:12:20,559
We need to step back and reflect
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on how the great economic
paradigm shifts in history occur.
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If we know how they occur,
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we're gonna get a road map here
in this room and around the world,
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and we're gonna get a compass that
allow us to navigate a new journey
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to completely transform the way
we handle life on Earth.
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CHAPTER ONE: The Great
Economic Revolutions in History
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There have been at least seven
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major economic paradigm shifts
in history,
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00:12:45,360 --> 00:12:47,879
and they're very interesting
anthropologically because
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00:12:47,879 --> 00:12:49,879
they share a common denominator.
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And that is at
a certain moment of time
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three technologies emerge
and converge
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to create what we call
in engineering
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a general-purpose
technology platform.
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00:13:01,360 --> 00:13:04,879
That's a fancy way of saying
"a new infrastructure."
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00:13:04,759 --> 00:13:07,159
It fundamentally changes
1
00:13:07,159 --> 00:13:10,480
the way we manage power
and move economic life.
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What are those three technologies?
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First, new
communication technologies
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to allow us to more efficiently
manage our economic activity.
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00:13:20,559 --> 00:13:23,679
Second, new sources of energy
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00:13:23,679 --> 00:13:27,359
to allow us to more efficiently
power our economic activity.
1
00:13:27,759 --> 00:13:32,679
And third, new modes of mobility
—transportation logistics—
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00:13:32,679 --> 00:13:35,879
to allow us to more efficiently
move the economic activity.
1
00:13:34,559 --> 00:13:40,359
So when communication revolutions
join with new energy regimes,
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00:13:40,360 --> 00:13:42,759
and new modes of transportation
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00:13:42,759 --> 00:13:46,279
it does change the way we manage
power and move economic life.
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00:13:46,759 --> 00:13:49,360
It changes
temporal spatial orientation.
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It changes our habitats.
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00:13:51,480 --> 00:13:54,680
It allows us to integrate
in larger units.
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00:13:54,679 --> 00:13:56,959
It actually even changes
consciousness and governance.
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00:13:57,679 --> 00:13:59,479
Let me give you two examples:
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00:14:01,080 --> 00:14:03,080
First Industrial Revolution,
19th century.
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00:14:03,080 --> 00:14:05,080
Second Industrial Revolution,
20th century.
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00:14:07,559 --> 00:14:10,079
The Brits took us into
the first Industrial Revolution.
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00:14:12,679 --> 00:14:14,479
And first there was
a communication revolution.
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00:14:14,480 --> 00:14:16,960
They invented
steam-powered printing.
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00:14:17,879 --> 00:14:19,679
No more manual print presses.
1
00:14:20,480 --> 00:14:22,879
Steam power printing
was a big leap forward,
1
00:14:22,879 --> 00:14:26,279
because it allowed us to mass
produce very cheap print quickly.
1
00:14:27,279 --> 00:14:29,959
Then, in the
second half of the 19th century,
1
00:14:29,960 --> 00:14:32,680
the Brits lay out a telegraph
system across the British Isles.
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00:14:33,480 --> 00:14:35,080
Steam power printing and the telegraph:
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00:14:35,080 --> 00:14:38,080
those communication technologies
then converged with
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00:14:38,080 --> 00:14:41,280
a completely new source of energy
in Britain called coal.
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00:14:42,879 --> 00:14:46,080
But how are they gonna
take that coal and harvest it?
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00:14:47,759 --> 00:14:48,879
They invented the steam engine.
1
00:14:51,279 --> 00:14:52,959
Then this is ingenious:
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00:14:52,960 --> 00:14:56,480
They figured out that they should
put the steam engine on rails,
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00:14:56,480 --> 00:14:59,560
for locomotives,
national transport and logistics.
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00:15:03,159 --> 00:15:05,879
Urban life,
the Industrial Revolution,
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00:15:05,879 --> 00:15:06,879
steam power.
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00:15:09,559 --> 00:15:11,959
Second Industrial Revolution:
the United States.
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00:15:14,279 --> 00:15:16,079
Centralized electricity
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00:15:18,080 --> 00:15:19,960
and especially the telephone.
1
00:15:19,559 --> 00:15:21,879
I know we think
the Internet's a big deal,
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00:15:21,879 --> 00:15:25,080
but a telephone
was a really big deal.
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00:15:25,080 --> 00:15:26,879
All of a sudden,
people could communicate
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00:15:26,879 --> 00:15:29,080
at vast distances
at the speed of light.
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Later, radio and television.
1
00:15:38,679 --> 00:15:41,159
These communication technologies
1
00:15:41,159 --> 00:15:44,879
converge in the United States with
a completely new energy source.
1
00:15:47,960 --> 00:15:50,080
Cheap Texas oil.
1
00:15:50,960 --> 00:15:53,560
Then, Henry Ford
put everybody on the road
1
00:15:53,559 --> 00:15:55,279
with cars, buses, and trucks.
1
00:16:01,679 --> 00:16:03,279
Second Industrial Revolution changed
1
00:16:03,279 --> 00:16:05,559
the way we manage power
and move economic life.
1
00:16:06,559 --> 00:16:09,959
That second Industrial Revolution
took us through the 20th century.
1
00:16:10,559 --> 00:16:12,879
It took the whole world
through the 20th century.
1
00:16:12,879 --> 00:16:16,080
And it peaked in July 2008.
1
00:16:19,559 --> 00:16:22,079
Hi! Welcome back to the show here:
Oil! Oil! Oil!
1
00:16:22,080 --> 00:16:23,759
To $147 we went—
1
00:16:23,759 --> 00:16:25,080
Remember that month?
1
00:16:26,480 --> 00:16:29,080
In that month, Brent crude oil
1
00:16:29,080 --> 00:16:34,080
had a record price of $147 dollars
on world markets
1
00:16:34,080 --> 00:16:36,480
and, when it hit that record price,
1
00:16:36,480 --> 00:16:39,279
the whole global economy shut down.
1
00:16:39,279 --> 00:16:40,759
Silence.
1
00:16:40,159 --> 00:16:42,480
Completely gone.
1
00:16:43,360 --> 00:16:45,480
That was the economic earthquake.
1
00:16:45,879 --> 00:16:49,080
The collapse of the
financial markets 60 days later
1
00:16:49,080 --> 00:16:50,560
was the aftershock.
1
00:16:50,879 --> 00:16:53,960
Mayhem, carnage, and bloodbath.
1
00:16:54,159 --> 00:16:55,879
Call it what you want,
but what we saw
1
00:16:55,879 --> 00:16:59,559
on global stock markets today
was ill-disguised panic.
1
00:17:00,360 --> 00:17:02,360
Good evening.
This was the day after
1
00:17:02,360 --> 00:17:06,160
what may someday be called
Black Monday on Wall Street
1
00:17:06,160 --> 00:17:09,560
because it was perhaps
the worst financial collapse
1
00:17:09,559 --> 00:17:11,359
since the Great Depression.
1
00:17:12,279 --> 00:17:15,079
Our policy leaders are
still dealing with the aftershock,
1
00:17:15,079 --> 00:17:16,480
not the Earthquake.
1
00:17:17,759 --> 00:17:19,279
Why was it the Earthquake?
1
00:17:19,680 --> 00:17:22,560
Because the entire
Industrial Revolution
1
00:17:22,559 --> 00:17:24,359
that we've gone through
1
00:17:24,359 --> 00:17:26,559
is all dependent on
the carbon deposits
1
00:17:26,559 --> 00:17:28,759
of a previous period in history.
1
00:17:28,960 --> 00:17:31,559
You know, if we look back
let's say that we make it
1
00:17:31,559 --> 00:17:33,559
through this
next period of history.
1
00:17:33,960 --> 00:17:36,759
I always wonder what will
future generations think of us,
1
00:17:36,759 --> 00:17:38,359
maybe in a
hundred thousand years from now.
1
00:17:38,359 --> 00:17:40,359
They'll say,
"Oh, yes, we remember them."
1
00:17:40,759 --> 00:17:43,559
"There was
the Bronze Age, the Iron Age."
1
00:17:43,559 --> 00:17:45,159
"These were
the fossil fuel people."
1
00:17:45,759 --> 00:17:48,680
"They dug up the burial grounds
of the Carboniferous era
1
00:17:48,680 --> 00:17:52,880
and created a short-lived dramatic
and very dangerous civilization."
1
00:17:57,160 --> 00:17:58,880
It's all about fossil fuels.
1
00:17:59,359 --> 00:18:02,359
Our fertilizers and pesticides
are made out of fossil fuels.
1
00:18:03,160 --> 00:18:05,759
Our construction materials
are made out of fossil fuels.
1
00:18:06,160 --> 00:18:09,279
Most of our pharmaceutical products
are made out of fossil fuels.
1
00:18:09,279 --> 00:18:12,079
Our synthetic fiber, our power,
1
00:18:12,079 --> 00:18:13,759
our transport, our heating lights—
1
00:18:13,759 --> 00:18:16,079
all made out of,
moved by fossil fuels.
1
00:18:16,759 --> 00:18:20,279
When the price of oil
goes over around $95 a barrel,
1
00:18:20,279 --> 00:18:22,079
all the other prices go up.
1
00:18:22,559 --> 00:18:25,879
When we get into the zone of
around $115 a barrel,
1
00:18:25,880 --> 00:18:29,560
prices become so high,
the purchasing power slows.
1
00:18:31,079 --> 00:18:33,559
This is the sunset
of a great industrial era.
1
00:18:34,279 --> 00:18:37,079
Now you remember in 2009
oil went down to 50 a barrel,
1
00:18:37,039 --> 00:18:39,079
because the economy had shut down.
1
00:18:39,359 --> 00:18:40,559
There was no activity.
1
00:18:41,359 --> 00:18:44,079
In 2010, we tried
to regrow inventories,
1
00:18:44,759 --> 00:18:48,759
so oil prices started to go up
all the other prices go up.
1
00:18:48,759 --> 00:18:53,079
In 2014 we hit a new peak of
$114 or $115 a barrel.
1
00:18:53,079 --> 00:18:55,480
Purchasing power slowed down again.
1
00:18:55,880 --> 00:18:59,880
This is a convulsion of
growth-shutdown, growth-shutdown.
1
00:19:00,559 --> 00:19:03,079
And the only reason oil went down
1
00:19:03,079 --> 00:19:05,559
in the last few years
to $30 a barrel
1
00:19:05,559 --> 00:19:08,759
is now the fossil fuel industry
is fighting among themselves.
1
00:19:08,759 --> 00:19:10,359
In the sunset.
1
00:19:10,359 --> 00:19:13,559
OPEC said, "We're gonna keep
the oil spigot open."
1
00:19:13,559 --> 00:19:15,559
"We're gonna
flood the world with oil."
1
00:19:15,960 --> 00:19:18,360
"And that's gonna take
the price down the $30 a barrel
1
00:19:18,359 --> 00:19:21,959
and wipe out our new competitors,
the more exotic fossil fuels:
1
00:19:21,960 --> 00:19:26,079
shale gas in the US,
tar sands in Canada." Guess what?
1
00:19:25,960 --> 00:19:28,559
They wiped them out
—only took a year and a half.
1
00:19:29,079 --> 00:19:32,079
Bankruptcies across the USA
in the shale gas industry.
1
00:19:33,480 --> 00:19:35,559
And now tar sands in Canada.
1
00:19:35,559 --> 00:19:36,960
The pipeline's not happening.
1
00:19:36,960 --> 00:19:40,360
And do you hear anybody talking
about energy independent right now?
1
00:19:40,359 --> 00:19:41,559
It's over!
1
00:19:42,279 --> 00:19:45,359
And, as soon as the
bankruptcies complete themselves,
1
00:19:45,359 --> 00:19:47,759
the oil prices are now
starting to go back up.
1
00:19:48,759 --> 00:19:52,759
But now we have failed states
where there's oil production.
1
00:19:52,759 --> 00:19:54,359
We have failed States.
1
00:19:54,359 --> 00:19:57,759
So this is a volatile,
convulsive sunset
1
00:19:57,759 --> 00:20:01,079
over the next 40 to 50 years
—an unstable world.
1
00:20:02,559 --> 00:20:04,279
Where do we head from here?
1
00:20:06,079 --> 00:20:07,559
Let me share an anecdote.
1
00:20:09,079 --> 00:20:11,759
When Angela Merkel became
Chancellor of Germany,
1
00:20:11,759 --> 00:20:13,079
she asked me to come to Berlin
1
00:20:13,079 --> 00:20:14,879
in the first couple of weeks
of her new government
1
00:20:14,880 --> 00:20:16,760
to help her address
the question of how
1
00:20:16,759 --> 00:20:18,879
to grow the German economy
on her watch.
1
00:20:19,079 --> 00:20:21,279
Now, remember:
In terms of per capita
1
00:20:21,279 --> 00:20:24,759
Germany's the most robust capitalist
market economy in the world.
1
00:20:25,960 --> 00:20:26,960
When I got to Berlin,
1
00:20:26,960 --> 00:20:29,079
the first question I asked
the new chancellor—
1
00:20:29,079 --> 00:20:32,679
I said, "Madam Chancellor how are
you gonna grow the German economy
1
00:20:32,680 --> 00:20:38,080
when your businesses are plugged in
to a platform, an infrastructure
1
00:20:38,079 --> 00:20:40,559
of centralized telecommunication,
1
00:20:40,559 --> 00:20:42,879
fossil fuel nuclear power,
1
00:20:42,880 --> 00:20:46,560
internal combustion,
road rail water, and air transport
1
00:20:46,559 --> 00:20:50,679
—and that infrastructure
peaked in its productivity,
1
00:20:50,680 --> 00:20:52,560
in Germany, years ago?
1
00:20:52,680 --> 00:20:54,560
CHAPTER TWO:
The Science of Productivity.
1
00:20:54,559 --> 00:20:56,359
Let me talk about productivity.
1
00:20:56,359 --> 00:20:57,759
This is crucial.
1
00:20:58,559 --> 00:21:00,559
Our economists are lamenting.
1
00:21:00,559 --> 00:21:03,559
They're asking, "Why's productivity
been declining for 20 years?"
1
00:21:03,559 --> 00:21:06,759
"We have all these new killer products
coming out of Silicon Valley."
1
00:21:06,759 --> 00:21:08,559
"Why is productivity declining?"
1
00:21:09,359 --> 00:21:11,079
I'm gonna share with you
a dirty little secret
1
00:21:11,079 --> 00:21:13,679
in economics that economists
don't like to talk about.
1
00:21:15,079 --> 00:21:17,279
We used to believe that
there are two factors
1
00:21:17,279 --> 00:21:20,079
that drive productivity
in standard economic theory:
1
00:21:20,559 --> 00:21:23,960
Better machines and
better performing workers.
1
00:21:25,079 --> 00:21:27,759
But when Robert Solow
won the Nobel Prize
1
00:21:27,759 --> 00:21:29,879
for economic growth theory
in the mid-1980s,
1
00:21:29,880 --> 00:21:31,280
he actually let
the little secret out.
1
00:21:32,079 --> 00:21:33,559
He said,
"We've got a problem here."
1
00:21:33,559 --> 00:21:36,559
When we trace every single year of
the Industrial Revolution
1
00:21:36,559 --> 00:21:39,879
these two factors
—better machines, better workers—
1
00:21:39,880 --> 00:21:43,280
it only accounts for about
14% of the productivity.
1
00:21:44,359 --> 00:21:46,479
So Robert Solow
asked the big question:
1
00:21:46,480 --> 00:21:49,880
"Where does the other
86% of productivity come from?"
1
00:21:50,480 --> 00:21:51,360
Don't know.
1
00:21:52,480 --> 00:21:53,880
Moses Abramowitz,
the former head of the
1
00:21:53,880 --> 00:21:56,080
American Economic Association said,
1
00:21:56,079 --> 00:21:58,079
"This is a measure of our ignorance."
1
00:21:58,079 --> 00:22:00,079
Now wouldn't you think
economists would know
1
00:22:00,079 --> 00:22:01,279
where productivity comes from,
1
00:22:01,279 --> 00:22:03,480
because that's the basis
of the discipline?
1
00:22:03,480 --> 00:22:04,559
Here's why they don't know.
1
00:22:06,559 --> 00:22:08,879
When classical economic theory
was penned
1
00:22:08,880 --> 00:22:10,480
in the late seventeen hundreds,
1
00:22:10,480 --> 00:22:12,559
the Vogue was Newton's physics.
1
00:22:12,559 --> 00:22:14,279
Newton was the big guy in town.
1
00:22:14,680 --> 00:22:16,680
Everybody wanted to use
Newton's metaphor
1
00:22:16,680 --> 00:22:18,360
so they could be more scientific
1
00:22:18,359 --> 00:22:22,079
because he had discovered the laws
that run the universe—supposedly.
1
00:22:23,079 --> 00:22:25,879
The economists also fell in line.
1
00:22:26,880 --> 00:22:28,680
For example, you know Newton's law:
1
00:22:28,680 --> 00:22:30,880
"For every action there's
an equal and opposite reaction."
1
00:22:32,160 --> 00:22:33,759
Adam Smith borrowed that metaphor
1
00:22:33,759 --> 00:22:35,759
for his invisible hand
of supply and demand.
1
00:22:35,759 --> 00:22:37,879
"For every action on the supply side
1
00:22:37,880 --> 00:22:40,280
there's an equal and opposite
reaction on the demand side."
1
00:22:40,480 --> 00:22:44,079
Newton's law: "A body in motion
stays in motion unless disrupted."
1
00:22:44,079 --> 00:22:46,879
Baptiste Say borrowed that metaphor
—the French economist.
1
00:22:47,160 --> 00:22:49,960
And he suggested that,
"Well supply will stimulate demand,
1
00:22:49,960 --> 00:22:52,480
which will generate supply,
which will stimulate demand
1
00:22:52,480 --> 00:22:54,079
—unless disrupted."
1
00:22:54,680 --> 00:22:57,960
All of our economic theory, if
you go back and take a look at it—
1
00:22:57,960 --> 00:23:01,680
it's all based on Newton's
metaphors in physics.
1
00:23:01,960 --> 00:23:04,279
There's only one problem with this:
1
00:23:04,279 --> 00:23:08,160
Newton's physics has absolutely
nothing to do with economics.
1
00:23:08,359 --> 00:23:09,559
Nothing.
1
00:23:10,480 --> 00:23:11,480
Nothing.
1
00:23:12,680 --> 00:23:16,880
economics is governed by the
same laws that govern the universe,
1
00:23:16,880 --> 00:23:19,360
the solar system,
the biosphere on Earth,
1
00:23:19,359 --> 00:23:22,559
and every single thing you and I
do in our economic life
1
00:23:22,559 --> 00:23:24,159
while we're here on this planet.
1
00:23:25,759 --> 00:23:28,480
Here are the two laws that govern
everything in the universe,
1
00:23:28,480 --> 00:23:29,880
including our economy.
1
00:23:30,559 --> 00:23:32,679
The first law of Energy says:
1
00:23:33,160 --> 00:23:36,080
"All the energy in the universe
is constant."
1
00:23:36,359 --> 00:23:40,079
"Since the Big Bang,
no new energy has been created."
1
00:23:40,079 --> 00:23:42,079
"No energy has been destroyed
since the Big Bang."
1
00:23:42,880 --> 00:23:44,360
That's the conservation law.
1
00:23:44,680 --> 00:23:47,759
The second law of energy
says that's true
1
00:23:47,759 --> 00:23:49,480
that the energy isn't created
or destroyed,
1
00:23:49,480 --> 00:23:53,759
but it always changes form,
but only in one direction.
1
00:23:53,759 --> 00:23:58,160
From concentrated—the Big Bang—
to dispersed through the galaxies.
1
00:23:58,759 --> 00:24:02,160
From hot to cooled off
through the galaxies.
1
00:24:02,960 --> 00:24:07,279
From order to disorder.
From available to unavailable.
1
00:24:07,559 --> 00:24:11,480
Entropy is a measure of the
energy that's still there, but
1
00:24:11,480 --> 00:24:13,079
not available to do useful work.
1
00:24:14,279 --> 00:24:17,480
There are three systems that
we can talk about in thermodynamics:
1
00:24:17,480 --> 00:24:21,160
an open system that exchanges matter
and energy with the outside world;
1
00:24:20,279 --> 00:24:24,879
a closed system, which exchanges
energy with the outside world,
1
00:24:24,880 --> 00:24:26,160
but does an exchange matter;
1
00:24:26,160 --> 00:24:29,680
and an isolated system, which
doesn't exchange matter or energy
1
00:24:29,680 --> 00:24:30,680
with the outside world.
1
00:24:31,359 --> 00:24:35,359
The Earth in relation to the
solar system and Sun is B.
1
00:24:35,359 --> 00:24:37,159
We get plenty of energy
from the Sun,
1
00:24:37,160 --> 00:24:39,480
we don't have to worry about this
for billions of years.
1
00:24:40,279 --> 00:24:43,480
But in terms of the fixed matter
on this planet
1
00:24:43,480 --> 00:24:46,160
we don't have a lot of
additional matter coming down here.
1
00:24:46,160 --> 00:24:48,680
We get a few meteorites,
a little cosmic dust,
1
00:24:48,680 --> 00:24:51,080
but whatever we have
in terms of fixed matter
1
00:24:51,079 --> 00:24:54,079
—which is a form of energy—has been
here since we blew off the Sun
1
00:24:54,079 --> 00:24:54,960
and cooled off.
1
00:24:55,680 --> 00:24:57,960
All of you have smartphones
on you right now and
1
00:24:57,960 --> 00:25:00,680
there are little granules
of rare Earths in those phones.
1
00:25:01,759 --> 00:25:03,759
They've been here since
the Earth has been here.
1
00:25:03,759 --> 00:25:05,759
That's a form of energy
as a material form.
1
00:25:06,759 --> 00:25:10,759
So here's what
economics is all about:
1
00:25:11,759 --> 00:25:14,759
We extract low entropy,
available energy in nature
1
00:25:14,759 --> 00:25:18,079
—a rare Earth, a metallic ore,
a fossil fuel—
1
00:25:18,359 --> 00:25:20,879
we extract it and then,
through our value chains,
1
00:25:20,880 --> 00:25:25,160
we store it, we ship it, we produce
goods and services from it,
1
00:25:25,160 --> 00:25:27,480
we consume it,
we recycle it back to nature.
1
00:25:27,480 --> 00:25:28,960
Those are value chains.
1
00:25:29,279 --> 00:25:32,879
At every step of conversion,
—when we take nature's resources
1
00:25:32,880 --> 00:25:35,680
and move it through society—
at every step of conversion
1
00:25:35,680 --> 00:25:40,279
we have to embed energy
into that good or service
1
00:25:40,279 --> 00:25:42,759
to get it to the next stage
of what it becomes.
1
00:25:42,759 --> 00:25:46,559
But we lose some energy in the
process of that conversion.
1
00:25:47,480 --> 00:25:50,759
This is called
"aggregate efficiency" in economics.
1
00:25:51,279 --> 00:25:55,559
Aggregate efficiency is the ratio
of the potential work
1
00:25:55,559 --> 00:25:57,879
versus the actual useful work
you actually embed
1
00:25:57,880 --> 00:25:59,760
in the good or service.
1
00:25:59,759 --> 00:26:00,879
Let me give you an example.
1
00:26:01,880 --> 00:26:04,080
Nature has the same
economic conditions
1
00:26:04,079 --> 00:26:06,079
that we have in our human economy.
1
00:26:07,559 --> 00:26:12,079
If a lion chases down
an antelope in the wild,
1
00:26:12,960 --> 00:26:13,759
then kills it,
1
00:26:14,359 --> 00:26:18,759
about 10-20% of the total energy
that's in that antelope
1
00:26:18,759 --> 00:26:20,480
gets embedded into the lion.
1
00:26:20,480 --> 00:26:22,480
The rest is heat
lost in the conversion.
1
00:26:22,960 --> 00:26:24,960
That's the aggregate efficiency.
1
00:26:25,960 --> 00:26:28,680
What does this have to do
with my conversation
1
00:26:28,680 --> 00:26:30,160
with the Chancellor of Germany?
1
00:26:31,480 --> 00:26:33,759
She's a physicist, you know,
by background.
1
00:26:33,759 --> 00:26:35,480
So here's what I said to her.
1
00:26:36,079 --> 00:26:39,679
We started the 2nd Industrial
Revolution in 1905 in the USA
1
00:26:39,680 --> 00:26:41,960
with 3% aggregate efficiency.
1
00:26:41,960 --> 00:26:45,079
At every conversion of nature's
resources through the value chain,
1
00:26:45,079 --> 00:26:48,759
we lost about 97%—it didn't
get into the product or service.
1
00:26:49,480 --> 00:26:55,680
By 1990, the US got up to about
14% aggregate efficiency.
1
00:26:56,359 --> 00:26:59,679
That was our ceiling
—nothing's changed since then.
1
00:27:00,680 --> 00:27:03,680
And I reported to the Chancellor that
Germany got up to about
1
00:27:03,680 --> 00:27:06,680
18.5% aggregate efficiency.
1
00:27:06,680 --> 00:27:09,080
That was their ceiling.
Nothing's changed.
1
00:27:09,079 --> 00:27:12,480
Anybody wanna guess
which country led the world
1
00:27:12,480 --> 00:27:13,759
in aggregate efficiency?
1
00:27:13,759 --> 00:27:15,480
—China?
—Japan?
1
00:27:15,480 --> 00:27:16,480
Japan!
1
00:27:16,480 --> 00:27:19,680
20% aggregate efficiency,
1990s, reached its ceiling.
1
00:27:21,079 --> 00:27:23,359
What I'm saying
to the Chancellor is this:
1
00:27:24,079 --> 00:27:28,879
You can have market reforms,
labor reforms, monetary reforms.
1
00:27:28,880 --> 00:27:31,280
You can create incentives
for killer new products.
1
00:27:31,279 --> 00:27:33,160
You can try to create
a million Steve Jobs.
1
00:27:33,880 --> 00:27:35,680
It won't make
a damn bit of difference.
1
00:27:35,880 --> 00:27:38,680
If your businesses
are still plugged in
1
00:27:38,680 --> 00:27:41,360
to a 2nd Industrial Revolution
infrastructure
1
00:27:41,359 --> 00:27:43,359
you can't get above the ceiling
1
00:27:43,359 --> 00:27:46,279
of 20% aggregate efficiency
anywhere in the world.
1
00:27:47,480 --> 00:27:49,079
Why is this important?
1
00:27:49,359 --> 00:27:53,479
A new generation of economists
who happen to study physics
1
00:27:53,480 --> 00:27:56,360
have gone back and
looked at the industrial record
1
00:27:56,359 --> 00:27:58,759
and they added
a third factor to productivity:
1
00:27:58,759 --> 00:28:03,079
better machines, better workers,
aggregate efficiency.
1
00:28:03,079 --> 00:28:07,359
The ratio—yes, it's so obvious!
The ratio of potential to useful work.
1
00:28:07,359 --> 00:28:09,359
When they put in that third factor,
1
00:28:09,359 --> 00:28:11,959
it accounts for
much of the rest of productivity.
1
00:28:12,359 --> 00:28:13,959
Henry Ford could have told you this.
1
00:28:13,960 --> 00:28:16,160
In fact every engineer
could have told you this.
1
00:28:16,160 --> 00:28:17,960
Every architect
could have told you this.
1
00:28:17,960 --> 00:28:19,880
Every biologist
could have told you this.
1
00:28:19,880 --> 00:28:21,080
Every chemist
could have told you this.
1
00:28:21,079 --> 00:28:24,480
They all have to start
their training in school
1
00:28:24,480 --> 00:28:27,680
by learning these two laws
of energy that govern the universe.
1
00:28:28,559 --> 00:28:30,480
I teach in the oldest
Business School in the world.
1
00:28:30,880 --> 00:28:32,880
I taught the
advanced management program
1
00:28:32,880 --> 00:28:34,680
at the Wharton School for 15 years.
1
00:28:34,680 --> 00:28:37,360
Not a single business school
in the world
1
00:28:37,359 --> 00:28:40,679
today, right now,
requires that you learn about
1
00:28:40,680 --> 00:28:42,680
the 1st and 2nd laws
of thermodynamics
1
00:28:42,680 --> 00:28:44,880
that govern economic activity.
1
00:28:45,359 --> 00:28:47,079
How shameful is this?
1
00:28:48,480 --> 00:28:50,880
So, in that first day
with the Chancellor
1
00:28:51,359 --> 00:28:53,279
we discussed
a 3rd Industrial Revolution:
1
00:28:53,880 --> 00:28:56,080
a new convergence of
communication,
1
00:28:56,079 --> 00:28:57,759
energy and transportation
1
00:28:57,759 --> 00:28:59,759
to manage power and move Germany.
1
00:29:01,279 --> 00:29:03,879
At the end of the day,
in a private session,
1
00:29:03,880 --> 00:29:05,960
the Chancellor said, "Mr. Rifkin,
1
00:29:05,960 --> 00:29:08,360
we will have this
3rd Industrial Revolution
1
00:29:08,359 --> 00:29:09,559
here in Germany.
1
00:29:09,559 --> 00:29:11,279
CHAPTER THREE:
A New Smart Infrastructure
1
00:29:11,279 --> 00:29:13,759
The communication internet
is now mature.
1
00:29:13,759 --> 00:29:16,160
It's been 25 years since
the World Wide Web.
1
00:29:16,160 --> 00:29:18,759
We have digitalized communication.
1
00:29:18,960 --> 00:29:22,680
Now this communication
internet is converging
1
00:29:22,680 --> 00:29:27,560
with a nascent, digitalized,
renewable-energy internet.
1
00:29:28,559 --> 00:29:31,759
And now both those Internets
are converging with a
1
00:29:31,759 --> 00:29:36,960
fledgling, automated, GPS,
and very soon driverless
1
00:29:36,960 --> 00:29:40,279
road, rail, water,
and air transport internet
1
00:29:40,279 --> 00:29:41,879
to create three Internets:
1
00:29:42,160 --> 00:29:43,560
communication internet,
1
00:29:43,559 --> 00:29:44,679
renewable energy internet,
1
00:29:44,680 --> 00:29:47,080
automated
transportation-logistic internet.
1
00:29:47,079 --> 00:29:51,759
One super internet to manage,
power, and move economic life.
1
00:29:52,279 --> 00:29:56,079
These three internets ride on top
of a platform
1
00:29:56,079 --> 00:29:57,679
called the "Internet of Things."
1
00:29:58,559 --> 00:30:01,559
We're embedding sensors
in all of our devices, as you know,
1
00:30:01,559 --> 00:30:04,559
so they can monitor
real-time activity
1
00:30:04,960 --> 00:30:07,480
and then talk to other machines
and talk to us.
1
00:30:08,359 --> 00:30:10,679
So we have sensors now
in the agricultural fields
1
00:30:10,680 --> 00:30:12,680
and they're actually monitoring
the growth of crops
1
00:30:12,680 --> 00:30:14,880
the soil salinity,
the moisture in the crops, etc.
1
00:30:14,880 --> 00:30:15,960
They're sending that data.
1
00:30:17,079 --> 00:30:19,679
We have sensors now
in the factories
1
00:30:19,680 --> 00:30:21,279
that are monitoring
our economic data.
1
00:30:23,559 --> 00:30:25,359
We have sensors in smart homes
1
00:30:25,359 --> 00:30:28,479
monitoring how the energy
is used in our buildings.
1
00:30:29,279 --> 00:30:33,680
We have sensors in smart vehicles,
warehouses, smart roads.
1
00:30:34,160 --> 00:30:36,759
All of them collecting data.
1
00:30:37,079 --> 00:30:38,759
But where does that big data go?
1
00:30:38,759 --> 00:30:41,480
It goes to communication, energy,
and transport Internets
1
00:30:41,960 --> 00:30:43,960
to manage, power,
and move economic life.
1
00:30:44,559 --> 00:30:46,879
As this new system comes in
1
00:30:46,880 --> 00:30:49,280
it's gonna be ubiquitous by 2030,
1
00:30:49,279 --> 00:30:51,759
connecting everything with
everything with everyone.
1
00:30:52,880 --> 00:30:56,680
We are essentially creating
an external prosthesis
1
00:30:56,680 --> 00:30:58,480
—a distributed nervous system—
1
00:30:58,480 --> 00:31:01,160
that's gonna allow
everyone on this planet,
1
00:31:01,759 --> 00:31:03,359
at very low cost,
1
00:31:03,359 --> 00:31:06,559
to begin directly engaging
each other
1
00:31:06,559 --> 00:31:09,559
on a global Internet of Things
1
00:31:10,160 --> 00:31:13,160
and bypassing a lot of the
vertical integrated organization
1
00:31:13,160 --> 00:31:14,960
and middlemen that kept us
away from each other.
1
00:31:14,960 --> 00:31:16,680
We can have direct engagement now.
1
00:31:16,680 --> 00:31:17,880
This is the revolution.
1
00:31:17,880 --> 00:31:19,960
This evens the playing field.
1
00:31:20,279 --> 00:31:22,559
There's been a long discussion
among the Millennials—
1
00:31:22,559 --> 00:31:25,079
You started this:
Occupy movements.
1
00:31:25,079 --> 00:31:27,279
Saying, "What about the 1%?
The 99%?"
1
00:31:28,079 --> 00:31:29,879
Now we have a new platform.
1
00:31:30,160 --> 00:31:33,560
The Internet of Things platform
is of a different nature
1
00:31:33,559 --> 00:31:36,359
than the platforms in the
1st and 2nd Industrial Revolution.
1
00:31:36,759 --> 00:31:39,559
The new platform is really radical,
1
00:31:39,559 --> 00:31:42,079
because this 3rd
Industrial Revolution platform
1
00:31:42,079 --> 00:31:44,879
is designed to be distributed,
not centralized.
1
00:31:45,480 --> 00:31:48,279
It works best
when it's collaborative,
1
00:31:48,279 --> 00:31:52,279
and open and transparent,
rather than closed and proprietary.
1
00:31:52,759 --> 00:31:57,079
And the benefits come when more
and more people join the network
1
00:31:57,079 --> 00:31:59,759
and each of us
contributes our talents,
1
00:31:59,759 --> 00:32:02,359
which benefits the network
and then benefits us.
1
00:32:02,480 --> 00:32:06,079
It's designed to be laterally scaled,
not vertically integrated.
1
00:32:06,079 --> 00:32:09,679
And this is what moves us
from the 1% of the 99%
1
00:32:10,079 --> 00:32:14,480
to a vast, vast expansion
of social entrepreneurialism
1
00:32:14,480 --> 00:32:16,279
and global networks.
1
00:32:16,880 --> 00:32:18,360
That's the upside.
1
00:32:19,279 --> 00:32:22,680
On the other hand, how do we
deal with network neutrality?
1
00:32:23,079 --> 00:32:26,480
How do we ensure that everyone
has equal access
1
00:32:26,480 --> 00:32:28,680
to this new
Internet of Things platform,
1
00:32:28,680 --> 00:32:30,080
this 3rd Industrial Revolution?
1
00:32:30,079 --> 00:32:34,079
How do we make sure governments
don't purloin this platform
1
00:32:34,079 --> 00:32:36,079
for political purposes
—it's already beginning.
1
00:32:36,559 --> 00:32:39,279
How do we make sure
that giant monopoly companies,
1
00:32:39,279 --> 00:32:40,759
some of them on the Internet,
1
00:32:41,160 --> 00:32:45,680
don't use that data for their own
commercial purposes at our expense?
1
00:32:46,960 --> 00:32:50,279
How do we ensure privacy
when everyone's connected?
1
00:32:51,559 --> 00:32:55,079
How do we ensure data security
when everyone's connected?
1
00:32:56,279 --> 00:32:58,960
How do we prevent cyber crime
and cyber terrorism
1
00:32:59,160 --> 00:33:01,160
that could disrupt the system
and take it down
1
00:33:01,160 --> 00:33:02,759
when everyone's connected?
1
00:33:02,960 --> 00:33:06,680
This is the DarkNet, and what
I'm saying to you today is that
1
00:33:06,680 --> 00:33:10,680
the DarkNet is as impressive
as the opportunity of the BrightNet.
1
00:33:11,559 --> 00:33:14,159
And I would say that
the next three generations,
1
00:33:14,160 --> 00:33:16,080
beginning with you and
your children and grandchildren—
1
00:33:16,359 --> 00:33:19,359
You're gonna be heavily engaged
in a new political movement.
1
00:33:19,880 --> 00:33:22,080
And that movement is
going to be to ensure
1
00:33:22,079 --> 00:33:23,759
against the DarkNet prevailing,
1
00:33:24,279 --> 00:33:27,480
and making sure that we all
have equal access,
1
00:33:27,480 --> 00:33:30,880
so the human family can engage
in a distributed nervous system
1
00:33:31,279 --> 00:33:34,759
and begin to have a vast expansion
of social entrepreneurialism.
1
00:33:34,759 --> 00:33:37,759
This is the political struggle
that starts with the Millennials,
1
00:33:37,759 --> 00:33:39,079
your children and grandchildren.
1
00:33:39,079 --> 00:33:40,159
This is an uphill battle.
1
00:33:40,359 --> 00:33:41,679
This is not a cakewalk.
1
00:33:41,880 --> 00:33:45,480
I'm not a technological determinist
and I'm not a utopian.
1
00:33:45,880 --> 00:33:49,160
Technology just enables,
then the question is,
1
00:33:49,759 --> 00:33:50,759
How will that journey end?
1
00:33:50,960 --> 00:33:53,079
It's a big question mark right now.
1
00:33:53,279 --> 00:33:55,879
But let's assume,
for the sake of this afternoon,
1
00:33:56,559 --> 00:33:58,159
that we're gonna be able
to deal with
1
00:33:58,160 --> 00:34:01,279
all the complexities of the DarkNet
—and it's a big challenge.
1
00:34:01,960 --> 00:34:05,079
Here's what this Internet of Things
platform provides.
1
00:34:05,559 --> 00:34:08,079
Let's say here at Brooklyn
you're a SME
1
00:34:08,079 --> 00:34:12,079
—small and medium-sized enterprise,
or cooperative, or nonprofit.
1
00:34:12,960 --> 00:34:16,679
You can go up on this nascent
Internet of Things platform
1
00:34:16,679 --> 00:34:17,879
that's already emerging.
1
00:34:18,679 --> 00:34:20,079
It's not theoretical.
1
00:34:20,079 --> 00:34:22,480
And you can have
a transparent picture
1
00:34:22,480 --> 00:34:24,480
of all the economic data
flowing through the world
1
00:34:24,480 --> 00:34:25,960
—if it stays network neutral.
1
00:34:27,280 --> 00:34:28,680
The power here is enormous.
1
00:34:28,679 --> 00:34:30,879
We think Snowden was a big deal?
1
00:34:31,679 --> 00:34:34,559
Now all the economic data
is gonna be open to everyone,
1
00:34:34,559 --> 00:34:36,079
not just a few government secrets.
1
00:34:37,280 --> 00:34:39,360
But in a network neutral world
1
00:34:39,360 --> 00:34:41,960
you're gonna be able to go up
on this platform
1
00:34:41,960 --> 00:34:44,360
and have a completely transparent
picture of all the data.
1
00:34:44,760 --> 00:34:47,680
You can go up on the platform
and cut your big data
1
00:34:47,679 --> 00:34:49,559
on your value chain
out from the noise.
1
00:34:49,760 --> 00:34:54,080
Then, you can mine your big data
with analytics.
1
00:34:54,760 --> 00:34:57,560
Then you can create your own
algorithms and apps.
1
00:34:57,960 --> 00:35:02,079
They'll allow you to dramatically
increase your aggregate efficiency
1
00:35:02,079 --> 00:35:05,079
at every step of conversion
on your value chain.
1
00:35:05,760 --> 00:35:08,760
And, as you do that, dramatically
increase your productivity,
1
00:35:09,079 --> 00:35:11,960
dramatically reduce
your ecological footprint,
1
00:35:11,960 --> 00:35:15,079
and dramatically
plunge your marginal cost.
1
00:35:15,079 --> 00:35:17,880
Some of those marginal costs
are gonna get so low
1
00:35:17,880 --> 00:35:19,559
—they head to zero marginal cost.
1
00:35:20,079 --> 00:35:22,559
And when they hit near
zero marginal cost,
1
00:35:22,559 --> 00:35:26,079
it gives rise to a completely
new economic system.
1
00:35:26,280 --> 00:35:27,680
CHAPTER FOUR: Zero Marginal Cost
and the Rise of the Sharing Economy.
1
00:35:27,679 --> 00:35:30,159
In economic theory,
the optimum market is
1
00:35:30,159 --> 00:35:31,679
where you sell at marginal cost.
1
00:35:31,679 --> 00:35:33,480
Marginal cost is after fixed costs.
1
00:35:33,480 --> 00:35:34,960
Once you pay for
whatever the technology is.
1
00:35:34,960 --> 00:35:37,480
The marginal cost is
what it costs to produce a unit.
1
00:35:38,159 --> 00:35:40,159
Classical economic theory,
we've always said that
1
00:35:40,159 --> 00:35:43,079
the most optimum market is
where you sell at marginal cost.
1
00:35:43,079 --> 00:35:45,279
Here's the problem we
never expected
1
00:35:45,280 --> 00:35:48,280
a technology revolution
—digital revolution—
1
00:35:48,280 --> 00:35:51,560
that would be so powerful
in its potential productivity
1
00:35:51,559 --> 00:35:53,880
that it could actually reduce
the marginal cost
1
00:35:53,880 --> 00:35:55,880
for some goods and services
to near zero.
1
00:35:56,159 --> 00:35:58,480
Meaning there's no longer
a profit margin
1
00:35:58,880 --> 00:36:01,360
and you can produce goods
and services for each other
1
00:36:01,360 --> 00:36:03,960
beyond the market
in the sharing economy
1
00:36:03,960 --> 00:36:05,159
for nearly free.
1
00:36:05,559 --> 00:36:07,559
This sharing economy
didn't come out of the blue.
1
00:36:07,559 --> 00:36:09,559
Capitalism gave birth
to the sharing economy.
1
00:36:09,880 --> 00:36:10,960
Let me be clear:
1
00:36:11,880 --> 00:36:13,880
As muddy as
the sharing economy is,
1
00:36:13,880 --> 00:36:15,880
it's the first
new economic system
1
00:36:15,880 --> 00:36:18,079
to enter onto the world stage
1
00:36:18,079 --> 00:36:20,480
since capitalism and socialism
in the 19th century.
1
00:36:20,880 --> 00:36:22,280
It's a remarkable historical event.
1
00:36:22,960 --> 00:36:23,880
This is already happening.
1
00:36:24,079 --> 00:36:26,559
Zero marginal cost phenomena
is not theoretical.
1
00:36:26,559 --> 00:36:29,880
It's been how many years since
Napster—the file-sharing service?
1
00:36:29,880 --> 00:36:32,280
About 17 years? 17 years!
1
00:36:32,280 --> 00:36:34,880
Well, this little file-sharing
service started a revolution.
1
00:36:34,880 --> 00:36:37,680
We have 3 billion people
right now on the internet
1
00:36:37,679 --> 00:36:39,559
—and now the Internet of Things—
1
00:36:39,559 --> 00:36:42,759
who are actually producing
and sharing virtual goods
1
00:36:42,760 --> 00:36:44,680
at near zero marginal cost
beyond the market,
1
00:36:44,679 --> 00:36:46,079
disrupting entire industries.
1
00:36:47,480 --> 00:36:50,079
We have young people that are
producing their own music.
1
00:36:51,559 --> 00:36:52,679
And what does it cost
1
00:36:53,280 --> 00:36:55,880
to have a little technology,
a little machine that allows you
1
00:36:55,880 --> 00:36:58,760
studio-quality music when
you wanna record in your home?
1
00:36:59,360 --> 00:37:00,960
And then,
whether you send that music
1
00:37:00,960 --> 00:37:03,159
to one person on the web or a billion—
1
00:37:03,880 --> 00:37:05,079
It's zero marginal costs.
1
00:37:05,079 --> 00:37:07,559
You just need a service provider
to keep your power up.
1
00:37:08,280 --> 00:37:11,480
I was surprised when that
Korean performance artist
1
00:37:11,480 --> 00:37:12,480
a couple years ago—
1
00:37:13,079 --> 00:37:15,559
A billion people
went to his website!
1
00:37:15,960 --> 00:37:17,079
Zero marginal cost.
1
00:37:19,079 --> 00:37:21,360
We have millions of young people,
any given day,
1
00:37:21,360 --> 00:37:23,079
who are producing their own
YouTube videos.
1
00:37:25,280 --> 00:37:27,560
Take a little video,
put it up on the web,
1
00:37:28,280 --> 00:37:29,680
a billion people can see it.
1
00:37:29,679 --> 00:37:30,960
Zero marginal cost.
1
00:37:32,679 --> 00:37:35,960
We have people producing their own
news blogs and social media.
1
00:37:36,960 --> 00:37:38,280
Near zero marginal cost.
1
00:37:38,679 --> 00:37:42,679
We have millions of people
contributing to Wikipedia
1
00:37:42,679 --> 00:37:44,879
and constructing the knowledge
of the world
1
00:37:44,880 --> 00:37:47,360
on a non-profit website for free.
1
00:37:47,360 --> 00:37:51,079
This is the most improbable
experiment I could ever imagine.
1
00:37:51,079 --> 00:37:53,279
I don't know how Jimmy Wales
came up with this.
1
00:37:53,280 --> 00:37:55,160
I would have said,
"This cannot succeed!"
1
00:37:55,360 --> 00:37:57,680
Adam Smith said,
"Each individual
1
00:37:57,679 --> 00:38:00,079
pursues their own self-interest
and never cares
1
00:38:00,079 --> 00:38:00,960
about the public good."
1
00:38:01,559 --> 00:38:03,559
But in pursuing their self-interest
1
00:38:03,559 --> 00:38:05,759
and not giving a damn
about the public good—
1
00:38:06,679 --> 00:38:09,559
By pursuing their self-interest,
the society is better off.
1
00:38:09,559 --> 00:38:10,559
I always thought
it was a little dubious,
1
00:38:10,559 --> 00:38:12,279
but that's how we grew up.
1
00:38:12,960 --> 00:38:15,679
But apparently, none of the
Millennials have read Adam Smith.
1
00:38:15,679 --> 00:38:17,559
Because, for example,
in Wikipedia you're all
1
00:38:17,559 --> 00:38:19,159
freely giving your talent,
1
00:38:20,280 --> 00:38:22,280
putting things up on Wikipedia,
1
00:38:22,280 --> 00:38:23,760
constructing the knowledge
of the world.
1
00:38:23,760 --> 00:38:27,560
You've democratized knowledge
in less than 15 years
1
00:38:27,880 --> 00:38:29,960
and the accuracy is...
1
00:38:30,679 --> 00:38:31,679
Now: Book publishing.
1
00:38:32,079 --> 00:38:32,960
What's happening?
1
00:38:32,960 --> 00:38:35,079
People are creating
their own free eBooks.
1
00:38:35,079 --> 00:38:37,279
My new book came out
on the Pirate Bays
1
00:38:37,280 --> 00:38:38,760
before we could publish
in our languages and
1
00:38:38,760 --> 00:38:40,560
—God bless them—
they were ranking it
1
00:38:40,559 --> 00:38:42,079
before Amazon could even touch it.
1
00:38:42,159 --> 00:38:45,480
We have 6 million
college students taking massive
1
00:38:45,480 --> 00:38:48,480
open online college courses
taught by the best professors
1
00:38:48,480 --> 00:38:50,559
at the best universities.
They're getting college credits.
1
00:38:50,559 --> 00:38:51,360
It's free!
1
00:38:51,360 --> 00:38:53,880
You can't win here.
You Millennials have won.
1
00:38:53,880 --> 00:38:56,079
Unless we outlaw
all the technology,
1
00:38:56,480 --> 00:38:58,079
we've got to find
a way to live with it
1
00:38:58,079 --> 00:38:59,279
and find value with it.
1
00:38:59,880 --> 00:39:02,360
Entire industries
have been disrupted
1
00:39:02,360 --> 00:39:04,079
in the 17 years since Napster.
1
00:39:04,079 --> 00:39:05,679
The music industry has shrunk.
1
00:39:06,280 --> 00:39:07,560
Television has declined 'cause
1
00:39:07,559 --> 00:39:09,480
everyone's producing
their own YouTube videos.
1
00:39:09,480 --> 00:39:11,880
You're all producers
sharing with each other.
1
00:39:12,280 --> 00:39:14,560
Newspapers and magazines
have gone out of business
1
00:39:14,559 --> 00:39:15,679
with social blogs.
1
00:39:15,880 --> 00:39:18,160
But thousands of
new enterprises have emerged.
1
00:39:18,159 --> 00:39:20,960
Not just Google, Facebook, and
Twitter—all of these are new.
1
00:39:20,960 --> 00:39:23,360
But thousands of
startup enterprises
1
00:39:23,360 --> 00:39:25,559
—profit and nonprofit—
1
00:39:25,559 --> 00:39:27,559
they're creating the platforms,
1
00:39:27,559 --> 00:39:29,679
they're creating the apps,
1
00:39:29,679 --> 00:39:31,159
they're creating the connectivity,
1
00:39:31,480 --> 00:39:34,079
they're using the
analytics and the data.
1
00:39:34,559 --> 00:39:35,759
It's a revolution!
1
00:39:36,679 --> 00:39:40,679
Well, we thought
there'd be a firewall here.
1
00:39:40,960 --> 00:39:42,880
And certainly we could understand
1
00:39:42,880 --> 00:39:45,280
how zero marginal cost
brought on by digitalization
1
00:39:45,280 --> 00:39:46,880
would affect the virtual world,
1
00:39:47,480 --> 00:39:49,760
but we didn't think
it would move over the firewall
1
00:39:49,760 --> 00:39:51,080
to the physical world.
1
00:39:51,679 --> 00:39:52,559
What I'm saying,
1
00:39:52,559 --> 00:39:54,360
with the zero marginal cost society
1
00:39:54,360 --> 00:39:56,079
is that firewall is broken now
1
00:39:56,079 --> 00:39:58,360
—it's called the Internet of Things—
completely gone.
1
00:39:59,760 --> 00:40:01,280
We have millions of people now
1
00:40:01,280 --> 00:40:02,880
producing their own
renewable energy,
1
00:40:02,880 --> 00:40:05,360
right now,
at near zero marginal cost.
1
00:40:05,360 --> 00:40:06,280
Free!
1
00:40:06,679 --> 00:40:09,279
And now,
as we move to car sharing,
1
00:40:09,280 --> 00:40:11,760
and as we move to
driverless transportation,
1
00:40:11,760 --> 00:40:14,360
we're gonna see
the marginal cost plunge
1
00:40:14,360 --> 00:40:15,880
toward near zero
in transport logistics
1
00:40:15,880 --> 00:40:17,360
in the next 20 years.
1
00:40:17,360 --> 00:40:18,880
Let's go back to Germany.
1
00:40:20,360 --> 00:40:21,880
What's happened in the 10 years
1
00:40:21,880 --> 00:40:23,360
since that first conversation
with the Chancellor?
1
00:40:23,960 --> 00:40:26,079
We are now in Germany at
1
00:40:26,079 --> 00:40:29,559
32% of all the electricity power
in Germany now
1
00:40:29,559 --> 00:40:32,279
is solar and wind, right now.
In ten years.
1
00:40:32,280 --> 00:40:34,880
And this is a northern country
—doesn't have a lot of Sun.
1
00:40:35,079 --> 00:40:39,360
We're gonna be 35%
of the electricity,
1
00:40:39,360 --> 00:40:41,079
solar and wind, by 2020—
1
00:40:41,079 --> 00:40:45,279
We're gonna be 100%
renewable energy by 2040.
1
00:40:45,559 --> 00:40:46,559
Absolutely!
1
00:40:46,760 --> 00:40:49,880
And what's interesting is
the fixed cost of introducing
1
00:40:49,880 --> 00:40:52,760
the solar technology
and the wind turbines
1
00:40:52,760 --> 00:40:54,280
and the geothermal heat pumps—
1
00:40:54,480 --> 00:40:56,960
Solar and wind are
on an exponential curve,
1
00:40:56,960 --> 00:40:58,559
just like computers!
1
00:40:58,880 --> 00:41:02,079
When I was a kid
in the 1940s and 50s,
1
00:41:02,079 --> 00:41:03,679
there's only a few computers.
1
00:41:03,679 --> 00:41:05,159
They cost millions of dollars.
1
00:41:06,079 --> 00:41:08,480
And the chairman of IBM
at the time said,
1
00:41:08,480 --> 00:41:10,960
"We probably will need
a total of seven computers."
1
00:41:11,880 --> 00:41:12,760
"Maybe seven!"
1
00:41:13,280 --> 00:41:15,080
It was just an optimistic forecast.
1
00:41:15,079 --> 00:41:17,880
We did not anticipate
exponential curves
1
00:41:17,880 --> 00:41:19,360
in computer chips.
1
00:41:19,880 --> 00:41:21,079
Moore's law.
1
00:41:21,079 --> 00:41:23,679
So all of a sudden,
Intel figures out that
1
00:41:23,679 --> 00:41:26,359
their engineers are doubling
the capacity on that chip
1
00:41:26,360 --> 00:41:28,480
every two years.
This is still going on.
1
00:41:28,480 --> 00:41:30,559
So, even if you're making
$2 dollars a day,
1
00:41:30,559 --> 00:41:33,960
everyone's going to be connected
to the Internet of Things
1
00:41:33,960 --> 00:41:36,559
within less than 15 to 20 years.
1
00:41:36,559 --> 00:41:39,360
And the cost—the fixed costs
are gonna be as cheap as
1
00:41:39,360 --> 00:41:40,960
your cell phones in 20 years.
1
00:41:40,960 --> 00:41:43,559
Everyone's gonna produce
their own green electricity.
1
00:41:43,559 --> 00:41:46,480
These exponential curves
are not going away.
1
00:41:46,480 --> 00:41:49,079
You know how much
a solar watt used to cost?
1
00:41:49,079 --> 00:41:53,159
$78 dollars to generate
one watt solar in 1978.
1
00:41:53,159 --> 00:41:55,559
You know how much it costs
to generate one watt solar today?
1
00:41:55,559 --> 00:41:57,759
Not $78 dollars; 50 cents.
1
00:41:58,360 --> 00:42:00,760
It's gonna be 35 cents
in 18 months from now.
1
00:42:01,280 --> 00:42:02,480
This is really moving quick.
1
00:42:02,480 --> 00:42:05,280
And this is what you're not told
here in the United States
1
00:42:05,280 --> 00:42:06,360
by the energy companies.
1
00:42:07,159 --> 00:42:09,279
We have power and utility companies
1
00:42:09,280 --> 00:42:10,760
—some of them in my group,
Global Group—
1
00:42:10,760 --> 00:42:13,080
and they're quietly, right now,
1
00:42:13,079 --> 00:42:15,279
buying long-term 20-year contracts
1
00:42:15,280 --> 00:42:18,280
for solar and wind electricity
in Europe and America,
1
00:42:18,280 --> 00:42:21,760
quietly right now,
for 4 cents a kilowatt hour.
1
00:42:22,480 --> 00:42:24,079
And the Berkeley National Labs,
1
00:42:24,079 --> 00:42:26,079
government labs just announced
1
00:42:26,079 --> 00:42:27,480
they're generating
wind and solar—
1
00:42:27,480 --> 00:42:29,360
I think it's somewhere between
1
00:42:29,360 --> 00:42:32,079
2.8 and 3.5 cents a kilowatt hour.
1
00:42:32,079 --> 00:42:35,079
It's over actually for
fossil fuel and nuclear.
1
00:42:35,559 --> 00:42:38,079
And the next big bubble
—I will tell you now—
1
00:42:38,079 --> 00:42:40,960
is gonna be the 100 trillion
dollars in stranded assets
1
00:42:40,960 --> 00:42:42,559
in the fossil fuel industry.
1
00:42:42,559 --> 00:42:44,679
This is gonna make
the subprime mortgage
1
00:42:44,679 --> 00:42:46,879
look like the small-time game.
1
00:42:47,760 --> 00:42:50,080
Because we're moving
toward parity
1
00:42:50,079 --> 00:42:52,279
and then solar and wind
are getting cheaper and cheaper.
1
00:42:52,559 --> 00:42:54,559
That's what's going on
behind the scenes,
1
00:42:54,960 --> 00:42:56,079
right now.
1
00:42:56,079 --> 00:42:57,480
But what's interesting in Germany,
1
00:42:57,480 --> 00:42:59,880
once you pay
the fixed cost for your
1
00:43:00,360 --> 00:43:02,360
solar panel and wind turbine—
1
00:43:03,280 --> 00:43:06,480
The marginal cost of producing
the energy in Germany today?
1
00:43:06,679 --> 00:43:07,759
It's zero!
1
00:43:07,760 --> 00:43:10,880
The Sun has not sent us
a bill in Germany.
1
00:43:11,880 --> 00:43:13,360
The wind hasn't invoiced us.
1
00:43:13,880 --> 00:43:17,079
The geothermal heat has not
come to us with a bill.
1
00:43:17,280 --> 00:43:18,160
It's free!
1
00:43:19,280 --> 00:43:22,760
So what happens when
German businesses can plug in
1
00:43:22,760 --> 00:43:26,080
to a communication internet
that then
1
00:43:26,079 --> 00:43:28,079
converges with an energy internet
1
00:43:28,079 --> 00:43:29,679
and we digitalize
the electricity grid,
1
00:43:29,679 --> 00:43:32,279
so everyone can produce
their own solar and wind,
1
00:43:32,280 --> 00:43:35,480
and either use it off-grid
or sell it back to the grid?
1
00:43:35,480 --> 00:43:37,679
What happens
when companies plug in
1
00:43:37,679 --> 00:43:39,079
to an energy internet
1
00:43:39,079 --> 00:43:42,079
where the cost of the energy
is near zero marginal cost.
1
00:43:42,079 --> 00:43:45,759
Think about when they have
to move across their value chain,
1
00:43:45,760 --> 00:43:48,680
and at each step of conversion
on their value chain,
1
00:43:49,079 --> 00:43:50,759
their energy cost is near zero.
1
00:43:52,159 --> 00:43:54,079
How does any 2nd
Industrial Revolution country
1
00:43:54,079 --> 00:43:55,480
compete with that?
1
00:43:57,159 --> 00:43:58,559
And it's not big Germany only
1
00:43:58,559 --> 00:43:59,759
—little Denmark's done this.
1
00:44:00,079 --> 00:44:01,480
Anybody can do this.
1
00:44:02,960 --> 00:44:04,880
Who's producing all the new energy?
1
00:44:05,960 --> 00:44:08,159
In Germany, there are four
major power companies:
1
00:44:08,159 --> 00:44:10,879
MBW, RWE, E.On and Vattenfall
1
00:44:10,880 --> 00:44:14,280
—these giant, global,
vertically integrated companies.
1
00:44:14,280 --> 00:44:16,280
And, frankly, we thought
they were invincible.
1
00:44:17,760 --> 00:44:19,560
What's happened to them in 10 years
1
00:44:19,559 --> 00:44:21,480
is what happened
to the music industry,
1
00:44:21,480 --> 00:44:24,760
television, newspapers, magazine,
and book publishing.
1
00:44:25,480 --> 00:44:28,079
Thousands of small players
have come together
1
00:44:28,079 --> 00:44:29,559
in electricity cooperatives.
1
00:44:29,760 --> 00:44:33,360
Farmers, small businesses,
neighborhood associations.
1
00:44:33,360 --> 00:44:36,079
All of them went to the banks
and got loans
1
00:44:36,079 --> 00:44:37,480
—these electricity cooperatives—
1
00:44:37,480 --> 00:44:39,960
and every bank
was completely fine about
1
00:44:39,960 --> 00:44:41,480
giving them the loans.
Why?
1
00:44:41,480 --> 00:44:44,559
Because they knew that
the energy they generated
1
00:44:44,559 --> 00:44:47,159
would get a premium price when
they sell it back to the market.
1
00:44:47,159 --> 00:44:48,559
Nobody was turned down.
1
00:44:49,280 --> 00:44:50,760
They're creating
all the new energy.
1
00:44:51,360 --> 00:44:52,760
This is power to the people
1
00:44:52,760 --> 00:44:55,280
—literally and figuratively—
power to the people.
1
00:44:55,280 --> 00:44:57,360
What happened to the big 4
power companies?
1
00:44:57,960 --> 00:45:00,079
They're producing less than
7% of the new power.
1
00:45:00,079 --> 00:45:01,279
And they acknowledge
they're out of the game.
1
00:45:01,360 --> 00:45:02,559
Why?
1
00:45:02,559 --> 00:45:06,759
To their credit,
they were the most efficient means
1
00:45:06,760 --> 00:45:10,880
to produce and distribute
centralized power
1
00:45:10,880 --> 00:45:13,480
—fossil fuel and nuclear power,
vertical integration.
1
00:45:13,960 --> 00:45:16,079
But the new energies—
1
00:45:16,079 --> 00:45:18,559
They require
millions of small players
1
00:45:18,559 --> 00:45:20,079
connecting where they are
in collecting.
1
00:45:20,679 --> 00:45:23,079
You have to collect the Sun
everywhere in little amounts.
1
00:45:23,559 --> 00:45:25,880
And the wind everywhere
where you are.
1
00:45:25,880 --> 00:45:28,480
And the geothermal heat
everywhere where it is.
1
00:45:28,480 --> 00:45:31,760
And you—We reward cooperatives
who laterally scale
1
00:45:31,760 --> 00:45:33,080
and join together in networks.
1
00:45:33,760 --> 00:45:36,960
Big companies can't put
all these players together.
1
00:45:36,960 --> 00:45:38,280
The players come together
1
00:45:38,280 --> 00:45:40,680
in their own regions of cooperation,
and they join together.
1
00:45:41,760 --> 00:45:43,080
It is power to the people.
1
00:45:43,079 --> 00:45:46,159
Does this mean this is the end
of the energy companies?
1
00:45:46,960 --> 00:45:48,079
Not necessarily.
1
00:45:48,079 --> 00:45:50,559
Many will go out of business.
Some will not.
1
00:45:50,559 --> 00:45:52,480
About seven years ago,
1
00:45:52,480 --> 00:45:56,480
the EON—one of the
giant four companies—
1
00:45:56,480 --> 00:45:58,760
they asked if I would debate
their Chairman, Mr. Tyson,
1
00:45:58,760 --> 00:46:00,480
but in a neutral country,
the Netherlands.
1
00:46:00,480 --> 00:46:01,760
We had a three-hour debate.
1
00:46:02,519 --> 00:46:05,079
you're not leaving
the 2nd Industrial Revolution
1
00:46:02,559 --> 00:46:03,559
And I said to him, "Look,
1
00:46:05,079 --> 00:46:06,559
tomorrow morning.
1
00:46:06,559 --> 00:46:08,679
But you also have to be
in the 3rd Industrial Revolution
1
00:46:08,679 --> 00:46:09,559
tomorrow morning,
1
00:46:09,559 --> 00:46:12,079
because you have a
25, 30-year transition
1
00:46:12,079 --> 00:46:14,759
to get from the 2nd to the 3rd
and find new value.
1
00:46:15,679 --> 00:46:17,359
And I said in the new system,
1
00:46:17,360 --> 00:46:19,680
it operates quite differently
than the old system.
1
00:46:20,280 --> 00:46:22,280
In the new
3rd Industrial Revolution
1
00:46:22,280 --> 00:46:26,280
you make more money by selling
less and less and less electricity.
1
00:46:27,280 --> 00:46:28,280
I said, what you do is,
1
00:46:28,280 --> 00:46:31,480
you set up partnerships
with thousands of enterprises.
1
00:46:32,280 --> 00:46:36,080
And you help manage the energy
flow through their value chains.
1
00:46:36,480 --> 00:46:38,280
You help them with their big data.
1
00:46:38,280 --> 00:46:40,960
You help them mine
that big data with the analytics.
1
00:46:40,960 --> 00:46:42,480
You help them with their
algorithms and apps.
1
00:46:43,559 --> 00:46:45,559
Dramatically increase
their productivity.
1
00:46:46,079 --> 00:46:48,360
In return, those thousands
of enterprises
1
00:46:48,360 --> 00:46:51,280
will share their gains back
with the power companies.
1
00:46:51,679 --> 00:46:53,559
It's called
"performance contracts."
1
00:46:53,960 --> 00:46:55,960
We're now doing it,
and guess what?
1
00:46:55,960 --> 00:46:58,079
Last year, the chairman of Eon
1
00:46:58,079 --> 00:46:59,480
—took him 7 years—
1
00:46:59,480 --> 00:47:01,760
they're moving to
renewable energies
1
00:47:01,760 --> 00:47:03,480
and they want to help manage
1
00:47:03,480 --> 00:47:06,559
parts of the energy internet
with energy services.
1
00:47:08,159 --> 00:47:12,079
EDF, the great nuclear power,
in France has joined our group.
1
00:47:12,079 --> 00:47:13,559
We're doing
the whole build-out
1
00:47:13,559 --> 00:47:15,880
of the 3rd Industrial Revolution
in parts of Europe:
1
00:47:15,880 --> 00:47:18,079
in northern France,
the Netherlands, Luxemburg...
1
00:47:18,079 --> 00:47:20,159
And EDF said, "We're with you."
1
00:47:20,159 --> 00:47:22,079
They're on the ground
helping lay this out.
1
00:47:22,760 --> 00:47:24,080
They're not leaving
nuclear tomorrow,
1
00:47:24,079 --> 00:47:26,679
but they see that
the handwriting is on the wall.
1
00:47:26,679 --> 00:47:28,679
So the companies
that don't go there;
1
00:47:28,679 --> 00:47:29,679
we don't need them.
1
00:47:30,480 --> 00:47:32,679
It's not just Europe; now China.
1
00:47:32,960 --> 00:47:36,360
When President Xi came in to power
with Premier Li—
1
00:47:36,360 --> 00:47:38,559
Premier Li announced that he
1
00:47:38,559 --> 00:47:40,679
—and I was pleased—
he announced he'd read my book,
1
00:47:40,679 --> 00:47:41,879
The Third Industrial Revolution.
1
00:47:41,880 --> 00:47:43,880
He put out a public announcement.
I'd never met him.
1
00:47:44,360 --> 00:47:45,880
I never even been to China.
1
00:47:46,559 --> 00:47:48,759
And he instructed
the central government of China
1
00:47:49,480 --> 00:47:52,480
to begin looking at these themes
that I'm laying out to you
1
00:47:53,360 --> 00:47:55,480
to move China to
a 3rd Industrial Revolution.
1
00:47:55,480 --> 00:47:56,960
There mindful in China.
1
00:47:56,960 --> 00:47:58,559
They lost the whole
1st Industrial Revolution.
1
00:47:59,079 --> 00:48:01,679
They missed almost all the
2nd Industrial Revolution
1
00:48:01,679 --> 00:48:03,559
and came it in the tail
in the last 10 years.
1
00:48:04,360 --> 00:48:07,280
And they said, "We're not gonna
lose the 3rd Industrial Revolution."
1
00:48:07,280 --> 00:48:09,560
"We wanna collaborate with the
3rd Industrial Revolution."
1
00:48:09,559 --> 00:48:11,559
And they said,
"Be among the leaders."
1
00:48:11,559 --> 00:48:13,360
To show you how fast they move,
1
00:48:13,360 --> 00:48:15,880
I've been shuttling back and forth,
but after the first visit
1
00:48:15,880 --> 00:48:17,360
—it was about eleven weeks later.
1
00:48:17,360 --> 00:48:19,079
The chairman of the state grid,
1
00:48:19,079 --> 00:48:21,279
which is the largest electricity grid
in the world,
1
00:48:21,280 --> 00:48:25,280
announced an $82 billion dollar,
four-year commitment
1
00:48:25,960 --> 00:48:28,280
to digitalize the Chinese grid
1
00:48:28,280 --> 00:48:30,480
so the millions of Chinese people
1
00:48:30,480 --> 00:48:33,159
could produce their own solar
and wind in their local communities
1
00:48:33,679 --> 00:48:35,359
and share it back
on an energy internet.
1
00:48:35,360 --> 00:48:37,480
That started this year, yeah.
1
00:48:38,400 --> 00:48:39,880
Watch Europe. Watch China.
1
00:48:43,159 --> 00:48:45,079
The coming together
of the communication internet,
1
00:48:45,079 --> 00:48:46,679
with the renewable energy internet
1
00:48:46,679 --> 00:48:49,359
gives rise to the automated,
GPS, driverless,
1
00:48:48,159 --> 00:48:50,879
transportation logistics internet.
1
00:48:53,280 --> 00:48:56,560
We built the whole global economy
in the 2nd Industrial Revolution
1
00:48:56,559 --> 00:48:57,880
around car ownership.
1
00:48:57,880 --> 00:48:59,079
That's what this was all about.
1
00:48:59,559 --> 00:49:02,079
You've thrown us a curve.
You really have.
1
00:49:02,079 --> 00:49:04,360
Apparently you don't wanna
own cars anymore.
1
00:49:04,360 --> 00:49:06,160
This is Grandma and Grandpa.
1
00:49:06,159 --> 00:49:08,279
They got two cars
sitting in the driveway
1
00:49:08,280 --> 00:49:10,480
cleaning and waxing them
every few weeks,
1
00:49:10,480 --> 00:49:11,559
and they're never used.
1
00:49:11,559 --> 00:49:13,880
Or they're at the office 90%
of the day never used.
1
00:49:14,159 --> 00:49:15,480
You don't wanna own cars.
1
00:49:15,880 --> 00:49:19,280
You want access to mobility and
car sharing networks,
1
00:49:18,280 --> 00:49:21,680
not ownership of
cars in markets, correct?
1
00:49:22,960 --> 00:49:25,159
So there's a problem here.
1
00:49:26,559 --> 00:49:29,079
The problem is
for every car shared
1
00:49:29,079 --> 00:49:31,079
in car sharing
in the sharing economy,
1
00:49:31,079 --> 00:49:33,279
we're eliminating 15 cars.
1
00:49:34,159 --> 00:49:36,079
This is both the problem
and the opportunity.
1
00:49:37,159 --> 00:49:40,079
Larry burns was the former
Vice President of General Motors
1
00:49:40,079 --> 00:49:41,159
until a few years ago,
1
00:49:41,159 --> 00:49:42,960
now he's a professor
at the University of Michigan.
1
00:49:42,960 --> 00:49:45,480
So Larry just did a study
—very revealing.
1
00:49:46,159 --> 00:49:48,079
He studied Ann Arbor, Michigan.
1
00:49:49,880 --> 00:49:53,360
We can eliminate 80% of vehicles
with better mobility, cheaper.
1
00:49:53,880 --> 00:49:55,680
Now let's
extrapolate Larry's study.
1
00:49:56,079 --> 00:49:58,759
We've got a billion cars,
buses, and trucks
1
00:49:58,760 --> 00:50:01,080
choking us in traffic
around the world.
1
00:50:01,559 --> 00:50:05,279
They're the 3rd major cause
of global warming emissions.
1
00:50:05,760 --> 00:50:09,280
The number 1 cause of global
warming emissions is buildings.
1
00:50:09,760 --> 00:50:13,080
But in Europe, we're now
retrofitting those buildings,
1
00:50:13,079 --> 00:50:15,559
transforming into
micro power plants
1
00:50:15,559 --> 00:50:17,880
and big data centers off carbon.
1
00:50:19,079 --> 00:50:21,559
Anybody know what the
number 2 cause of climate change,
1
00:50:21,559 --> 00:50:23,759
global warming emissions are
by industrial activity?
1
00:50:23,760 --> 00:50:25,960
Number 1 is buildings
—we always talk about it.
1
00:50:25,960 --> 00:50:28,079
Number 3 is transport.
What's number 2?
1
00:50:28,280 --> 00:50:30,560
—Consumption of meat
—Meat, meat, meat.
1
00:50:31,159 --> 00:50:34,359
We have 1.3 billion cows.
1
00:50:34,360 --> 00:50:37,280
They take up about 23%
of the land mass of the Earth.
1
00:50:37,280 --> 00:50:39,560
I love cows,
but the methane they produce
1
00:50:39,559 --> 00:50:42,279
is a major contributor
to global warming,
1
00:50:42,280 --> 00:50:44,080
—much more powerful than CO₂—
1
00:50:44,079 --> 00:50:46,559
and then,
when we pasture those animals,
1
00:50:46,559 --> 00:50:49,759
we have the fertilizers
that emit nitrous oxide.
1
00:50:49,760 --> 00:50:51,160
And it goes on and on.
1
00:50:51,159 --> 00:50:54,079
And I should say that,
without mentioning names,
1
00:50:54,079 --> 00:50:57,079
even some of the
prophetic voices
1
00:50:57,079 --> 00:50:59,880
in the climate change debate
will never mention this.
1
00:51:00,280 --> 00:51:03,360
Because they do not want
to antagonize people
1
00:51:03,360 --> 00:51:06,760
and even suggest that
we may wanna change our diet
1
00:51:06,360 --> 00:51:08,880
and move down the food chain
1
00:51:08,880 --> 00:51:10,760
so that we can live healthy,
1
00:51:10,760 --> 00:51:12,880
respect our fellow creatures,
1
00:51:12,880 --> 00:51:15,480
and at the same time
mitigate climate change.
1
00:51:15,480 --> 00:51:16,960
So, you never hear
this in the debate.
1
00:51:16,960 --> 00:51:17,960
Never!
1
00:51:20,880 --> 00:51:22,079
Number 3 is transport.
1
00:51:22,079 --> 00:51:24,360
So, if Larry's right
—Larry Burns—
1
00:51:24,360 --> 00:51:27,680
we're gonna eliminate probably
80% of the vehicles in the world
1
00:51:27,679 --> 00:51:28,879
in the next two generations
1
00:51:28,880 --> 00:51:30,960
because the Millennials,
your children, and grandchildren
1
00:51:30,960 --> 00:51:32,360
are never going to own cars again.
1
00:51:32,360 --> 00:51:33,360
This I know.
1
00:51:34,280 --> 00:51:36,360
And the remaining
200 million vehicles—
1
00:51:36,360 --> 00:51:37,880
They're gonna be electric.
1
00:51:38,559 --> 00:51:40,279
They're gonna be fuel-cell driven.
1
00:51:40,679 --> 00:51:43,559
They're gonna be operated by
near zero marginal cost
1
00:51:43,559 --> 00:51:44,880
renewable energy.
1
00:51:44,880 --> 00:51:45,960
This is already happening.
1
00:51:46,480 --> 00:51:48,679
They're gonna be 3D printed,
1
00:51:48,679 --> 00:51:51,679
with composite recycled materials
at low marginal cost.
1
00:51:51,960 --> 00:51:53,559
They're gonna be driverless.
1
00:51:54,360 --> 00:51:55,960
This is already happening.
1
00:51:55,960 --> 00:51:57,159
This gets to the question of,
1
00:51:57,159 --> 00:52:00,279
"Is this the end of the world
for transportation companies?"
1
00:52:00,280 --> 00:52:01,360
Not necessarily.
1
00:52:01,880 --> 00:52:03,960
But they have to change
their business model
1
00:52:03,960 --> 00:52:05,880
while they're still in the
2nd Industrial Revolution,
1
00:52:05,880 --> 00:52:07,360
selling cars, buses, and trucks.
1
00:52:07,360 --> 00:52:09,880
They have to move to the
3rd Industrial Revolution,
1
00:52:09,880 --> 00:52:11,760
where they help
manage vast networks
1
00:52:11,760 --> 00:52:13,360
along with all the other players.
1
00:52:14,559 --> 00:52:17,360
This is a very cool thing that
happened about six weeks ago.
1
00:52:18,079 --> 00:52:19,960
Daimler asked me to join them—
1
00:52:19,960 --> 00:52:22,280
Daimler invented the
internal combustion engine.
1
00:52:22,280 --> 00:52:24,760
So I'm always mindful
they're a step ahead.
1
00:52:25,360 --> 00:52:27,280
And the chairman of Daimler Trucks
1
00:52:27,280 --> 00:52:30,560
brought together 350 journalists
from around the world in Germany
1
00:52:30,559 --> 00:52:31,679
asked me to come in—
1
00:52:31,679 --> 00:52:34,279
I laid out the same story
we're talking about here.
1
00:52:34,679 --> 00:52:36,359
And then the chairman
of Daimler Trucks
1
00:52:36,360 --> 00:52:37,880
—he's one of the eight
board of directors—
1
00:52:38,880 --> 00:52:41,360
He announced that Daimler
is in a new business.
1
00:52:42,760 --> 00:52:47,880
And that is logistics,
on the transportation internet.
1
00:52:47,880 --> 00:52:50,360
And he announced that Daimler
had equipped,
1
00:52:50,360 --> 00:52:54,559
in the last three years,
300,000 trucks full of sensors.
1
00:52:55,760 --> 00:52:57,480
—300,000 vehicles,
1
00:52:57,480 --> 00:52:59,079
and they're on the roads now.
1
00:53:02,360 --> 00:53:05,559
These are what I call "big data,"
"mobile big data centers."
1
00:53:05,559 --> 00:53:07,960
And these trucks
are collecting data
1
00:53:07,960 --> 00:53:10,159
all across the transport corridors
of Europe,
1
00:53:10,159 --> 00:53:12,559
on traffic flows,
weather conditions,
1
00:53:12,559 --> 00:53:14,360
availability of warehouses...
1
00:53:14,360 --> 00:53:17,079
All of the data you would need
if you're a small business,
1
00:53:17,079 --> 00:53:18,759
a large business,
or just a home owner,
1
00:53:18,760 --> 00:53:21,760
to be able to increase
your aggregate efficiencies
1
00:53:21,760 --> 00:53:24,280
and productivity,
reduce your ecological footprint,
1
00:53:24,280 --> 00:53:27,560
and anytime you're involved in
moving shipments from A to B.
1
00:53:28,360 --> 00:53:30,559
Then this is
what's really interesting.
1
00:53:31,159 --> 00:53:33,759
He dimed the lights
and they went to a helicopter feed,
1
00:53:33,760 --> 00:53:35,560
live on the German Expressway.
1
00:53:38,280 --> 00:53:40,880
And the helicopter zooms in
on these three trucks
1
00:53:40,880 --> 00:53:42,360
on the German Expressway,
1
00:53:42,360 --> 00:53:44,680
and then they went right into
the cab of the trucks
1
00:53:44,679 --> 00:53:47,879
and the drivers are waving and
talking to everybody in the room.
1
00:53:48,679 --> 00:53:50,559
And the chairman of
Daimler Trucks said,
1
00:53:50,559 --> 00:53:53,079
"Okay, gentlemen.
Take your hands off the wheel.
1
00:53:53,079 --> 00:53:54,559
Take your feet off the pedals."
1
00:53:55,280 --> 00:53:59,080
All of a sudden, the drivers
became software analysts.
1
00:53:59,559 --> 00:54:00,759
No longer drivers.
1
00:54:00,760 --> 00:54:03,280
They were software analysts
monitoring the data.
1
00:54:03,679 --> 00:54:06,480
The trucks then started
to platoon together,
1
00:54:06,480 --> 00:54:09,280
automated, into a mobile data,
1
00:54:09,280 --> 00:54:11,560
almost a train
going down the highways,
1
00:54:11,960 --> 00:54:13,280
collecting data.
1
00:54:13,280 --> 00:54:16,680
So they're providing the data,
and then the analytics,
1
00:54:16,679 --> 00:54:18,679
so that you will have apps,
1
00:54:18,679 --> 00:54:19,879
so that you can find ways
1
00:54:19,880 --> 00:54:21,280
to increase your
aggregate efficiency
1
00:54:21,280 --> 00:54:22,560
and be a player in the system.
1
00:54:23,360 --> 00:54:24,280
Smart!
1
00:54:25,760 --> 00:54:29,160
How do we finance this?
How do we pay for this?
1
00:54:29,159 --> 00:54:30,759
CHAPTER FIVE:
Financing the Transition
1
00:54:30,760 --> 00:54:34,160
We are laying out a plan in Europe
called "Digital Europe,"
1
00:54:34,559 --> 00:54:36,279
"Smart Europe."
1
00:54:36,280 --> 00:54:38,160
And working with the
European Commission,
1
00:54:38,159 --> 00:54:40,679
we're building this out
over the next 10 years.
1
00:54:40,679 --> 00:54:41,759
But the big question is,
1
00:54:41,760 --> 00:54:43,280
"How do we pay
for this infrastructure,
1
00:54:43,280 --> 00:54:45,480
region after region,
across all of Europe
1
00:54:45,480 --> 00:54:48,480
to connect us in a digital world,
1
00:54:48,480 --> 00:54:51,280
where we can begin
to enjoy the new opportunities?"
1
00:54:51,679 --> 00:54:53,759
So the question came up in Brussels
and I said,
1
00:54:53,760 --> 00:54:55,360
"We've got all the money we need."
1
00:54:56,079 --> 00:54:58,679
Problem's not the money; it's
what we're doing with the money.
1
00:54:58,679 --> 00:55:01,480
I'll give you an example—
in America is the same situation.
1
00:55:01,880 --> 00:55:04,280
In Europe, we spent
1
00:55:04,280 --> 00:55:09,080
741 billion equivalent US dollars
on infrastructure in 2012.
1
00:55:09,079 --> 00:55:10,279
One year alone.
1
00:55:10,280 --> 00:55:12,280
That's just a bad
recession year, typical.
1
00:55:14,079 --> 00:55:16,159
The problem is what we spent it on.
1
00:55:16,480 --> 00:55:20,960
We spent the money on an old
2nd Industrial Revolution platform.
1
00:55:20,960 --> 00:55:22,360
Remember what I said
to Chancellor Merkel?
1
00:55:23,079 --> 00:55:25,079
and we peaked in the productivity
1
00:55:25,079 --> 00:55:27,360
20 years ago at 20% ceiling,
1
00:55:27,360 --> 00:55:28,960
and we can't get
anything more out of it.
1
00:55:28,960 --> 00:55:30,280
We're stalled,
1
00:55:30,280 --> 00:55:31,560
which stalls the economy,
1
00:55:31,559 --> 00:55:33,360
stalls the smart startups,
1
00:55:33,360 --> 00:55:35,079
stalls the entrepreneurial expansion.
1
00:55:35,679 --> 00:55:39,079
So I said, if we simply
reprioritize our investments,
1
00:55:39,079 --> 00:55:42,079
spend some of it patching up
the old infrastructure
1
00:55:42,079 --> 00:55:43,279
—we don't want it to collapse—
1
00:55:43,280 --> 00:55:45,080
but we prioritize, so
1
00:55:45,079 --> 00:55:47,679
part of those funds each year
go to each region,
1
00:55:47,679 --> 00:55:50,759
so that they can begin
to build out and scale up
1
00:55:50,760 --> 00:55:53,160
a 3rd Industrial Revolution
infrastructure.
1
00:55:53,159 --> 00:55:54,759
With an
Internet of Things platform,
1
00:55:54,760 --> 00:55:56,480
we will be there in 30 years.
1
00:55:59,079 --> 00:56:01,480
This year, we reprioritized
our funding at the EU
1
00:56:01,880 --> 00:56:04,079
and, beginning in January
of next year,
1
00:56:04,079 --> 00:56:07,880
regions across the EU
will secure EU funding,
1
00:56:07,880 --> 00:56:09,559
leverage against private equity,
1
00:56:09,559 --> 00:56:11,880
and each region will
customize and build out,
1
00:56:11,880 --> 00:56:14,280
like Wi-Fi, their plan
and then connect up
1
00:56:14,280 --> 00:56:15,880
region to region to region.
1
00:56:15,880 --> 00:56:17,760
We call it "Digital Europe."
1
00:56:18,880 --> 00:56:21,880
We have a similar plan called
"China Internet Plus"
1
00:56:21,880 --> 00:56:23,360
across the regions of China.
1
00:56:25,079 --> 00:56:26,759
Where's the US here?
1
00:56:27,760 --> 00:56:29,280
CHAPTER SIX: TWO GENERATIONS
OF MASS EMPLOYMENT
1
00:56:29,280 --> 00:56:32,080
The coming together
of this revolution
1
00:56:32,079 --> 00:56:33,559
will involve every industry:
1
00:56:33,559 --> 00:56:38,279
telecom, cable, ICT,
consumer electronics,
1
00:56:38,280 --> 00:56:41,160
transport, logistics,
construction, and real estate
1
00:56:41,159 --> 00:56:42,679
—all the retrofitting—
1
00:56:42,679 --> 00:56:44,079
all the industries are involved.
1
00:56:45,079 --> 00:56:46,960
And it means work.
1
00:56:47,960 --> 00:56:49,880
What I'm suggesting here
1
00:56:49,880 --> 00:56:55,079
is that we have one last surge
of massive employment
1
00:56:55,079 --> 00:56:59,480
involving semi-skilled, unskilled
professional and conceptual labor.
1
00:56:59,960 --> 00:57:02,280
We have to build out
this smart infrastructure.
1
00:57:02,760 --> 00:57:04,360
Robots aren't gonna do this.
1
00:57:04,880 --> 00:57:08,880
We have to take the entire energy
complex of the United States.
1
00:57:08,880 --> 00:57:10,280
Think of all the infrastructure
1
00:57:10,280 --> 00:57:12,960
and all the technology,
all those stranded assets.
1
00:57:12,960 --> 00:57:14,360
We have to convert
1
00:57:14,360 --> 00:57:16,960
all of that infrastructure
from fossil fuel, nuclear
1
00:57:16,960 --> 00:57:18,480
to distributed renewable energy.
1
00:57:20,079 --> 00:57:22,360
We have to retrofit
every building in the USA.
1
00:57:22,360 --> 00:57:23,079
That's what
we're gonna do in Europe.
1
00:57:23,480 --> 00:57:25,079
Because you can't install
1
00:57:25,079 --> 00:57:28,079
the renewable technologies
until the buildings are efficient.
1
00:57:28,559 --> 00:57:31,360
That means huge jobs
for energy service companies
1
00:57:31,360 --> 00:57:33,480
and for the construction
and real estate industry.
1
00:57:35,480 --> 00:57:37,480
Robots won't put in the insulation,
1
00:57:37,480 --> 00:57:38,760
and the new windows, and the doors.
1
00:57:40,480 --> 00:57:44,280
And then we have to install all
the renewable energy technology.
1
00:57:45,480 --> 00:57:48,880
Human beings have to
install that technology,
1
00:57:48,880 --> 00:57:52,280
and all the smart technologies
that monitors the equipment,
1
00:57:52,280 --> 00:57:54,760
and puts in the
digital advanced meters.
1
00:57:56,280 --> 00:57:59,760
We have to take the entire
electricity grid of the USA,
1
00:57:59,760 --> 00:58:02,960
which is dumb, servo mechanical,
embarrassing
1
00:58:02,960 --> 00:58:05,079
—it's 60 years old;
it barely functions.
1
00:58:05,079 --> 00:58:08,079
And we have to transform
the entire electricity grid
1
00:58:08,079 --> 00:58:10,079
to smart, digital
1
00:58:10,079 --> 00:58:12,880
so that we can
manage these three internets.
1
00:58:12,880 --> 00:58:14,760
This is gonna require
professional talent
1
00:58:14,760 --> 00:58:17,160
and unskilled and skilled labor
for two generations.
1
00:58:17,679 --> 00:58:22,079
We have to take the entire
transportation grid of the USA
1
00:58:22,079 --> 00:58:25,679
and turn it from dumb to smart
road, rail, water and air.
1
00:58:25,679 --> 00:58:28,559
Who's going to install
the thousands of charging stations
1
00:58:28,559 --> 00:58:29,679
in all the buildings?
1
00:58:30,360 --> 00:58:33,079
Fuel cell outlets?
Smart sensors?
1
00:58:33,079 --> 00:58:35,279
This requires human beings.
1
00:58:35,280 --> 00:58:38,560
This means two generations of work
and guess what?
1
00:58:38,559 --> 00:58:41,880
It's financed by the payback
of the energy savings.
1
00:58:41,880 --> 00:58:43,680
You don't have to have huge
government involvement here.
1
00:58:44,559 --> 00:58:46,360
You simply have to
have the enablement,
1
00:58:46,360 --> 00:58:48,680
so energy service companies
can be set up,
1
00:58:48,679 --> 00:58:52,079
and we transform every building
in the USA to a node.
1
00:58:52,559 --> 00:58:54,079
These nodes then connect,
1
00:58:54,079 --> 00:58:55,480
and they are the big data centers.
1
00:58:55,480 --> 00:58:57,079
They are the micro power plants.
1
00:58:57,079 --> 00:59:00,960
They are the transport hubs
with electric charging stations.
1
00:59:00,960 --> 00:59:03,679
The nodes connect like Wi-Fi
and all those nodes,
1
00:59:03,679 --> 00:59:06,159
those buildings
—homes, offices, factory—
1
00:59:06,159 --> 00:59:07,679
that's your Internet of Things.
1
00:59:08,360 --> 00:59:10,559
That's a huge job
for the construction industry
1
00:59:10,559 --> 00:59:13,480
and you pay back
by the energy savings.
1
00:59:13,480 --> 00:59:15,280
You can't default on the loans.
1
00:59:16,280 --> 00:59:18,480
But the technology
doesn't do it alone.
1
00:59:19,079 --> 00:59:20,759
We have to change consciousness.
1
00:59:21,079 --> 00:59:22,559
I'm only guardedly hopeful.
1
00:59:23,760 --> 00:59:26,080
You know, I'm not naive;
I'm guardedly hopeful.
1
00:59:26,079 --> 00:59:28,679
I think that what I've said
is really a tough challenge.
1
00:59:29,360 --> 00:59:31,079
But I'm guardedly hopeful because
1
00:59:31,079 --> 00:59:33,559
human beings are the most
social creature on this planet.
1
00:59:33,559 --> 00:59:36,679
When we get the story right,
we move quickly.
1
00:59:36,679 --> 00:59:39,480
I'm always amazed
when I fly and I see
1
00:59:39,480 --> 00:59:42,159
electricity grids
across continents,
1
00:59:42,159 --> 00:59:44,480
and highways and urban centers.
1
00:59:44,480 --> 00:59:46,960
And I think, "My God!
That was all done in 50, 60 years?"
1
00:59:47,360 --> 00:59:48,360
It's amazing!
1
00:59:48,360 --> 00:59:50,559
When we get the story,
we move quick.
1
00:59:50,559 --> 00:59:51,880
We're a very social creature.
1
00:59:52,880 --> 00:59:54,760
They're coming together,
these three Internet's
1
00:59:54,760 --> 00:59:56,680
—communication, energy
and transport internets
1
00:59:56,679 --> 00:59:58,559
on top of
an Internet of Things platform.
1
01:00:00,760 --> 01:00:03,960
It changes the way
we think about life.
1
01:00:03,960 --> 01:00:06,079
CHAPTER SEVEN:
A New Consciousness for a New Era
1
01:00:06,079 --> 01:00:07,360
Let me give you the best example.
1
01:00:07,880 --> 01:00:10,760
We've got millennial parents now
that are sharing toys
1
01:00:10,760 --> 01:00:12,880
on these millennial websites,
1
01:00:12,880 --> 01:00:15,760
where you go up and
you pay a subscription fee,
1
01:00:15,760 --> 01:00:17,480
one time and you're in the system.
1
01:00:17,480 --> 01:00:20,159
Then you can get a toy
—any kind of toy you want—
1
01:00:20,159 --> 01:00:23,079
by age category,
and give it to your child.
1
01:00:23,679 --> 01:00:25,679
This is creating
the real revolution.
1
01:00:26,280 --> 01:00:28,760
The parent traditionally
brings home a toy.
1
01:00:29,360 --> 01:00:31,960
And they say to the daughter,
"This is not Christmas."
1
01:00:31,960 --> 01:00:33,480
"Santa Claus
didn't get you this toy."
1
01:00:33,480 --> 01:00:37,079
"We bought this toy at a store
and we're giving this toy to you."
1
01:00:37,079 --> 01:00:38,480
"This is your property."
1
01:00:38,679 --> 01:00:41,759
"This is not your brother's toy,
and this is not your sister's toy."
1
01:00:41,760 --> 01:00:43,080
"This is your toy."
1
01:00:43,079 --> 01:00:45,960
"You need to take responsibility
for it and take care of it."
1
01:00:46,360 --> 01:00:48,680
"What did mom and dad
just say to me?"
1
01:00:49,079 --> 01:00:50,559
The first thing I caught is,
1
01:00:50,559 --> 01:00:52,159
"This isn't
my brother and sister's toy."
1
01:00:52,159 --> 01:00:53,359
That's pretty relevant.
1
01:00:53,360 --> 01:00:56,880
Now, status, power, negotiability.
1
01:00:56,880 --> 01:00:58,480
"I'll never let
my siblings ever use this,
1
01:00:58,480 --> 01:00:59,960
unless they pay the price."
1
01:00:59,960 --> 01:01:02,679
They're learning possession
of property and markets.
1
01:01:02,679 --> 01:01:04,159
There's nothing wrong with that.
1
01:01:04,159 --> 01:01:07,879
But now, on these
toy-sharing websites,
1
01:01:07,880 --> 01:01:09,680
parents are
bringing home these toys
1
01:01:09,679 --> 01:01:12,279
—and pretty soon they're gonna
come in a driverless drone
1
01:01:12,280 --> 01:01:13,680
at near zero marginal cost.
1
01:01:13,679 --> 01:01:15,759
Now the parents are
giving this toy and saying,
1
01:01:15,760 --> 01:01:17,880
"Another little child
played with this toy,
1
01:01:17,880 --> 01:01:19,360
and she had a lot of fun with it
1
01:01:19,360 --> 01:01:21,880
and she really took good care of it
1
01:01:21,880 --> 01:01:23,680
'cause she knew one day
you'd want to play with the toy."
1
01:01:24,559 --> 01:01:26,279
"And we hope you
take good care of it
1
01:01:26,280 --> 01:01:28,480
'cause one day another child
will wanna play with the toy."
1
01:01:29,079 --> 01:01:32,279
What the child is learning now
is this toys not a possession,
1
01:01:32,280 --> 01:01:36,560
it's not status, it's not power,
it's not negotiable.
1
01:01:36,559 --> 01:01:39,279
It's simply access to an experience
for a moment of time,
1
01:01:39,280 --> 01:01:41,280
then another child gets to use it.
1
01:01:41,280 --> 01:01:43,560
They're learning how to be
part of a circular economy,
1
01:01:43,559 --> 01:01:45,960
where we distribute things
in the sharing economy
1
01:01:45,960 --> 01:01:47,679
over and over and over.
1
01:01:47,679 --> 01:01:49,359
Nothing goes to the landfill.
1
01:01:49,960 --> 01:01:52,480
I like a system where you have
both opportunities.
1
01:01:52,480 --> 01:01:54,360
There's nothing wrong
with being property.
1
01:01:54,360 --> 01:01:56,760
There's nothing wrong
with having possessions
1
01:01:56,760 --> 01:02:00,080
and some status, but it's also
nice to have another option
1
01:02:00,079 --> 01:02:02,480
where part of her life
is being able to
1
01:02:02,480 --> 01:02:05,559
access an experience in time, and
then share it with someone else.
1
01:02:05,559 --> 01:02:07,960
I don't think capitalism
is gonna disappear,
1
01:02:08,760 --> 01:02:12,280
but I think it's gonna find value
by creating a relationship,
1
01:02:12,280 --> 01:02:14,160
so that it finds value
1
01:02:14,159 --> 01:02:15,679
with the child that gave birth
through the sharing economy.
1
01:02:16,480 --> 01:02:18,559
And, right here in this room,
you are already
1
01:02:18,559 --> 01:02:21,159
in two economic systems
day to day right here in Brooklyn.
1
01:02:21,480 --> 01:02:22,960
Part of the day,
you're in the market.
1
01:02:22,960 --> 01:02:24,280
You're sellers, you're buyers,
1
01:02:24,280 --> 01:02:25,760
you're owners, you're workers,
1
01:02:25,760 --> 01:02:27,680
you're producing goods
and services for each other
1
01:02:27,679 --> 01:02:29,759
for a profit in the marketplace,
1
01:02:29,760 --> 01:02:31,080
and you have property.
1
01:02:31,079 --> 01:02:33,159
But part of the day
you're in the sharing economy.
1
01:02:33,159 --> 01:02:35,679
You're sharing virtual goods,
entertainment, news,
1
01:02:35,679 --> 01:02:37,279
social blogs, Wikipedia.
1
01:02:37,880 --> 01:02:40,160
And now energy and car sharing.
1
01:02:40,159 --> 01:02:43,559
And, while it has
capitalist parts to it,
1
01:02:43,559 --> 01:02:46,360
it's also a sharing economy
where you can reduce the cost.
1
01:02:46,360 --> 01:02:49,360
And, by 2050, we will have
two mature systems:
1
01:02:49,360 --> 01:02:50,880
part of the day, capitalist market,
1
01:02:51,760 --> 01:02:54,560
with a profit margin producing
and selling to each other;
1
01:02:54,559 --> 01:02:56,079
part of the day
in the sharing economy
1
01:02:56,079 --> 01:02:57,079
beyond the market,
1
01:02:57,079 --> 01:02:59,480
freely producing goods and services
for each other.
1
01:02:59,480 --> 01:03:00,480
That's already started.
1
01:03:00,480 --> 01:03:01,880
That is not gonna go away.
1
01:03:01,880 --> 01:03:05,559
Your generation is moving
from ownership to access,
1
01:03:05,559 --> 01:03:07,559
from markets to networks,
1
01:03:07,559 --> 01:03:10,079
from consumerism to sustainability,
1
01:03:10,960 --> 01:03:13,679
from market capital
to social capital.
1
01:03:13,679 --> 01:03:14,879
Does this all sound familiar?
1
01:03:15,280 --> 01:03:16,280
It's a revolution.
1
01:03:16,280 --> 01:03:18,560
None of this is being taught
in the schools, by the way.
1
01:03:19,360 --> 01:03:21,280
That's why this is
really a revolution.
1
01:03:22,360 --> 01:03:24,559
And there are three things
that I've noticed
1
01:03:24,559 --> 01:03:26,759
that give me some guarded hope.
1
01:03:28,159 --> 01:03:31,879
There's a basic change going on
with you people in this room.
1
01:03:31,880 --> 01:03:33,559
It's strange to older people.
1
01:03:33,559 --> 01:03:36,759
There's a change in the way
you define freedom.
1
01:03:37,559 --> 01:03:39,880
The way you define power.
1
01:03:39,880 --> 01:03:41,880
And the way you define community.
1
01:03:42,480 --> 01:03:46,760
And these changes really
suggest the real revolution.
1
01:03:47,480 --> 01:03:50,480
For my generation,
and generations before me,
1
01:03:50,480 --> 01:03:53,280
freedom was very simple,
since the Enlightenment.
1
01:03:53,559 --> 01:03:56,360
To be free,
in Enlightenment perspective,
1
01:03:56,360 --> 01:03:57,880
is to be an autonomous agent.
1
01:03:58,760 --> 01:04:01,880
To be self-sufficient.
To be independent.
1
01:04:02,079 --> 01:04:04,360
To be not beholden to others.
1
01:04:04,760 --> 01:04:06,360
To be an island to oneself,
1
01:04:06,360 --> 01:04:09,559
so that one can have freedom
as exclusivity.
1
01:04:09,880 --> 01:04:12,680
For the millennial generation
that grew up on the Internet,
1
01:04:12,679 --> 01:04:14,559
autonomy is death.
1
01:04:15,559 --> 01:04:18,480
Being an island to oneself
is death.
1
01:04:18,480 --> 01:04:21,079
Because for your generation
1
01:04:21,079 --> 01:04:22,279
you ask the question,
1
01:04:22,280 --> 01:04:24,280
"How can I flourish
to the full extent
1
01:04:24,280 --> 01:04:25,880
of my possibilities
here on the planet?"
1
01:04:26,480 --> 01:04:29,360
And it's clear
that your answer to that is
1
01:04:29,360 --> 01:04:31,760
"I flourish to the extent
that I'm embedded in network
1
01:04:31,760 --> 01:04:33,560
after network, after network;
1
01:04:33,559 --> 01:04:36,360
community after community,
where I can share my talents.
1
01:04:36,880 --> 01:04:38,880
And those talents
can benefit the network
1
01:04:38,880 --> 01:04:40,360
and come back to benefit myself.
1
01:04:40,360 --> 01:04:43,360
I'm free because I have access."
1
01:04:43,360 --> 01:04:45,280
And, for you,
freedom is not exclusivity.
1
01:04:45,280 --> 01:04:47,760
It's not being an autonomous agent.
1
01:04:47,760 --> 01:04:49,560
It's inclusivity.
1
01:04:49,559 --> 01:04:51,159
It's access to others in networks.
1
01:04:51,159 --> 01:04:51,759
Do I have this right?
1
01:04:52,480 --> 01:04:54,559
This is very alien to our generation.
1
01:04:54,559 --> 01:04:56,559
We may have to change
all the constitutions in the world.
1
01:04:56,880 --> 01:04:59,079
This is a completely
different idea about freedom.
1
01:05:00,280 --> 01:05:03,080
You have a different sensibility
about power,
1
01:05:03,079 --> 01:05:05,480
which makes the older generation
very nervous.
1
01:05:05,960 --> 01:05:10,559
We essentially believe that power
always has to be a pyramid.
1
01:05:11,679 --> 01:05:13,879
It goes from the top down.
That is power.
1
01:05:13,880 --> 01:05:15,360
There's no other way
to define power.
1
01:05:15,360 --> 01:05:17,680
It's a pyramid
—from the one to the many.
1
01:05:18,760 --> 01:05:20,960
But young people
that grew up on the Internet—
1
01:05:20,960 --> 01:05:25,079
It's strange because you grew up
thinking that power has to do
1
01:05:25,079 --> 01:05:26,559
with the networks
you're engaged in.
1
01:05:26,559 --> 01:05:28,759
For you, power is not vertical;
it's lateral.
1
01:05:28,760 --> 01:05:31,960
For you, power is being a mesh
in network after network
1
01:05:31,960 --> 01:05:33,679
where you benefit each other.
1
01:05:34,760 --> 01:05:36,360
Open source.
1
01:05:36,360 --> 01:05:38,760
This is so strange
to our older generation.
1
01:05:38,760 --> 01:05:41,080
We do not have
this notion of power.
1
01:05:41,559 --> 01:05:43,279
It makes no sense to us, actually.
1
01:05:43,280 --> 01:05:44,760
But it makes total sense to you.
1
01:05:44,960 --> 01:05:47,360
And, finally,
I think most importantly,
1
01:05:48,079 --> 01:05:50,279
we're seeing a change in the way
1
01:05:50,280 --> 01:05:53,680
a younger generation perceives
identity to community.
1
01:05:53,960 --> 01:05:57,280
I grew up in a post Westphalian
world, the nation-state.
1
01:05:57,280 --> 01:05:59,480
We were very clear on community.
1
01:05:59,480 --> 01:06:03,159
That is, each individual is born
to be an autonomous agent
1
01:06:03,159 --> 01:06:04,679
and we're each sovereign.
1
01:06:04,679 --> 01:06:06,559
We are each a sovereign
to ourselves.
1
01:06:07,079 --> 01:06:09,559
And each of us
as a sovereign to ourselves—
1
01:06:09,559 --> 01:06:11,880
We compete with
other sovereign individuals,
1
01:06:11,880 --> 01:06:13,360
in the marketplace,
1
01:06:13,360 --> 01:06:16,280
for scarce resources,
in a zero-sum game.
1
01:06:16,960 --> 01:06:19,960
Our nations represent us
because they are sovereigns.
1
01:06:20,280 --> 01:06:22,880
And they represent all the
millions of individual citizens
1
01:06:22,880 --> 01:06:24,960
who are sovereigns
against other nations.
1
01:06:25,480 --> 01:06:28,360
And each nation then competes
with every other nation
1
01:06:28,360 --> 01:06:31,559
for scarce resources in the
marketplace of the battlefield
1
01:06:31,559 --> 01:06:32,759
in a zero-sum game.
1
01:06:33,159 --> 01:06:35,679
That's the post Westphalia
nation-state world.
1
01:06:35,679 --> 01:06:37,159
Here's my question:
1
01:06:37,880 --> 01:06:40,160
Does anyone here believe
1
01:06:40,159 --> 01:06:42,159
that we're gonna be able to address
1
01:06:42,159 --> 01:06:45,679
climate change and
bring the human family together
1
01:06:45,679 --> 01:06:47,960
and take our responsibility
for our fellow creatures
1
01:06:47,960 --> 01:06:50,360
in the Earth we live in
with that worldview?
1
01:06:51,079 --> 01:06:52,159
Anybody?
1
01:06:55,760 --> 01:06:57,680
What we're beginning to see
with Millennials
1
01:06:57,679 --> 01:06:59,279
—and I don't wanna
overstretch this—
1
01:06:59,280 --> 01:07:00,760
but I'm beginning to sense
1
01:07:00,760 --> 01:07:04,680
a shift from geopolitics
to biosphere consciousness.
1
01:07:05,159 --> 01:07:06,879
Just beginning to see it.
1
01:07:07,480 --> 01:07:09,360
I hope it doesn't go away.
I don't think it will.
1
01:07:09,360 --> 01:07:13,559
The biosphere is that 19 km
from the stratosphere to the ocean,
1
01:07:13,559 --> 01:07:16,079
where all life
and all the chemicals on the planet
1
01:07:16,079 --> 01:07:18,360
interact to maintain
the ecosystems,
1
01:07:18,360 --> 01:07:19,559
the biology of the Earth.
1
01:07:21,159 --> 01:07:24,159
We're getting 14-year olds
coming home
1
01:07:24,159 --> 01:07:25,679
with biosphere consciousness.
1
01:07:27,360 --> 01:07:29,360
They're becoming
the biosphere police.
1
01:07:29,360 --> 01:07:31,880
We got young people coming home
and saying to their father,
1
01:07:31,880 --> 01:07:34,880
"Why are you using so much water
here while you're shaving?"
1
01:07:35,360 --> 01:07:38,079
"Can't we turn it off
once in a while?"
1
01:07:38,079 --> 01:07:39,559
"We're wasting the water."
1
01:07:40,159 --> 01:07:41,359
They're saying to their parents,
1
01:07:41,360 --> 01:07:43,559
"Why is the little red light
on on the TV?"
1
01:07:43,559 --> 01:07:45,759
"We haven't been in that room
for three weeks!"
1
01:07:46,280 --> 01:07:48,080
Wasting electricity...
1
01:07:48,079 --> 01:07:49,159
They're saying to their parents,
1
01:07:49,159 --> 01:07:51,079
"Why are there two cars
in the driveway?"
1
01:07:51,079 --> 01:07:53,480
"Why can't we at least
car share one?"
1
01:07:54,159 --> 01:07:55,679
They're saying to their parents,
1
01:07:55,679 --> 01:07:57,759
And this is the one
I'm particularly fond of.
1
01:07:58,280 --> 01:08:00,080
It brings a smile to me.
1
01:08:00,079 --> 01:08:02,360
We actually have young people
coming home
1
01:08:03,079 --> 01:08:05,279
and, at dinnertime,
they're asking their parents
1
01:08:05,280 --> 01:08:07,480
where the hamburger came from
on the table.
1
01:08:07,480 --> 01:08:10,480
Yes, I'm sure some of you
have this experience.
1
01:08:10,480 --> 01:08:12,079
They're saying,
"Did that hamburger
1
01:08:12,079 --> 01:08:13,480
come from a rain forest?"
1
01:08:14,880 --> 01:08:18,760
"Did they have to destroy the trees
for four little inches of topsoil,
1
01:08:18,760 --> 01:08:20,560
which only gives you
three years of grazing,
1
01:08:20,560 --> 01:08:23,160
so that that cow
could become my hamburger?"
1
01:08:24,479 --> 01:08:28,879
And when those trees are destroyed
for the topsoil
1
01:08:28,880 --> 01:08:29,960
to graze the cow for the hamburger,
1
01:08:29,960 --> 01:08:31,680
the kids are
smart enough to understand
1
01:08:31,680 --> 01:08:32,760
—the high school kids—
1
01:08:32,760 --> 01:08:37,079
that those trees harbor rare
species of plant and animal life
1
01:08:37,079 --> 01:08:39,279
that only live in those canopies.
They go extinct.
1
01:08:39,960 --> 01:08:41,480
And then they connect the dots.
1
01:08:41,479 --> 01:08:43,479
If the trees disappear
1
01:08:43,479 --> 01:08:45,959
for the soil to graze the cow
for the hamburger,
1
01:08:45,960 --> 01:08:50,960
those trees are not there to absorb
CO₂ from industrial emissions.
1
01:08:51,880 --> 01:08:54,159
And that means the
temperature the planet goes up.
1
01:08:54,159 --> 01:08:58,680
So then, a mother cannot feed
her children if she's on the farm,
1
01:08:58,680 --> 01:09:01,360
because she's getting
spring floods,
1
01:09:01,359 --> 01:09:04,479
summer droughts, and wildfires
because of the hamburger.
1
01:09:05,680 --> 01:09:07,960
These kids are learning
ecological footprint.
1
01:09:07,960 --> 01:09:09,279
Junior high school.
1
01:09:09,279 --> 01:09:10,279
And they're coming home.
1
01:09:10,279 --> 01:09:13,880
They're beginning to understand
that everything each of us does,
1
01:09:15,279 --> 01:09:17,159
all day long,
even when we're sleeping,
1
01:09:17,159 --> 01:09:19,159
intimately affects
some other human being,
1
01:09:19,760 --> 01:09:21,280
some other creature,
1
01:09:21,760 --> 01:09:23,159
and the planet we live in.
1
01:09:23,159 --> 01:09:27,359
This is so alien to the way
your previous generations grew up.
1
01:09:28,159 --> 01:09:30,559
You're beginning to
connect the dots and say,
1
01:09:30,560 --> 01:09:33,080
"We live in an indivisible
biosphere community;
1
01:09:33,079 --> 01:09:34,479
there's no escape."
1
01:09:34,479 --> 01:09:36,759
"This isn't just academic:
our well-being depends
1
01:09:36,760 --> 01:09:39,560
on the well-being of the whole
system and all the creatures in it.
1
01:09:39,560 --> 01:09:42,480
We have young people
who are beginning to extend
1
01:09:42,479 --> 01:09:45,279
their empathic concern
to the rest of the human family,
1
01:09:45,279 --> 01:09:47,359
because you're all skyping
on global classrooms.
1
01:09:47,359 --> 01:09:48,880
Heck—a billion of you on Facebook.
1
01:09:48,880 --> 01:09:51,480
That's the largest fictional family
in history!
1
01:09:51,479 --> 01:09:54,359
And what's promising to me
is that part of this generation
1
01:09:54,359 --> 01:09:58,159
is also beginning to
empathize with our fellow creatures.
1
01:09:58,760 --> 01:10:01,880
Not just the polar bears
and the penguins on the poles,
1
01:10:01,880 --> 01:10:04,359
but all of our fellow creatures.
And I gotta tell you,
1
01:10:04,359 --> 01:10:07,079
my wife and I are into animal rights
and animal protection.
1
01:10:07,079 --> 01:10:08,960
Our fellow creatures
have a right to be here.
1
01:10:08,960 --> 01:10:12,480
We do not have a right
to end existence for them.
1
01:10:12,479 --> 01:10:14,759
This is their planet,
as well as our planet.
1
01:10:14,760 --> 01:10:18,159
So I think we're beginning to see
a shift the notion of freedom.
1
01:10:18,159 --> 01:10:21,359
How we perceive power,
our sense of community.
1
01:10:21,359 --> 01:10:22,960
We're heading to a biosphere frame.
1
01:10:22,960 --> 01:10:24,560
This is all good.
1
01:10:25,880 --> 01:10:28,760
Let me be clear on why
I've been doing this work.
1
01:10:31,359 --> 01:10:32,880
I'm terrified about climate change.
1
01:10:33,279 --> 01:10:36,279
I began working on energy issues—
it was in 1973.
1
01:10:36,279 --> 01:10:38,960
And wrote a book, "Entropy
on Climate Change," in 1980.
1
01:10:38,960 --> 01:10:40,480
I thought we had more time.
1
01:10:40,479 --> 01:10:42,879
I did not anticipate
the feedback loops.
1
01:10:42,880 --> 01:10:45,159
We couldn't even see them
until they came,
1
01:10:45,159 --> 01:10:47,079
and then each feedback
decreased ten more
1
01:10:47,079 --> 01:10:49,559
on an exponential curve.
And we just didn't see it.
1
01:10:49,560 --> 01:10:50,880
We thought linear.
1
01:10:50,880 --> 01:10:52,560
Now we're really scared.
1
01:10:53,279 --> 01:10:56,159
I'm gonna tell you,
we are really really scared.
1
01:10:56,159 --> 01:10:58,880
'Cause now we're in a runaway
exponential curve
1
01:10:58,880 --> 01:11:01,359
on the water cycles.
We didn't see it.
1
01:11:01,359 --> 01:11:04,359
The fortunate thing is,
we now have a
1
01:11:04,359 --> 01:11:07,559
new infrastructure paradigm
—a 3rd Industrial Revolution.
1
01:11:08,079 --> 01:11:11,359
That can allow us
to move off carbon quickly,
1
01:11:11,359 --> 01:11:12,279
in three decades.
1
01:11:12,479 --> 01:11:14,879
We have the technology
that allows us to do this, because
1
01:11:14,880 --> 01:11:17,760
zero marginal cost
is the ultimate metric
1
01:11:17,760 --> 01:11:19,480
for reducing ecological footprint.
1
01:11:19,760 --> 01:11:21,560
If people equipped
with a little technology
1
01:11:21,560 --> 01:11:23,960
are constantly finding
new analytics and apps
1
01:11:23,960 --> 01:11:25,960
to increase
their aggregate efficiency
1
01:11:25,960 --> 01:11:27,560
at whatever value chain they're in,
1
01:11:27,560 --> 01:11:29,080
it means we're using
less of the Earth
1
01:11:29,079 --> 01:11:30,960
and getting more out of it.
1
01:11:30,960 --> 01:11:32,960
In other words, more
of the energy and materials
1
01:11:32,960 --> 01:11:34,680
gets into the product,
less is lost.
1
01:11:35,479 --> 01:11:38,279
Then, if what we do produce
is shared
1
01:11:38,279 --> 01:11:41,880
—share the cars, share the homes
share the toys—
1
01:11:41,880 --> 01:11:44,359
we're distributing a
circular economy over and over.
1
01:11:44,359 --> 01:11:45,880
Nothing needs to go
to the landfill.
1
01:11:45,880 --> 01:11:48,159
Every resource is
always there for us.
1
01:11:50,560 --> 01:11:53,160
If we move to the energy internet,
there's no reason why
1
01:11:53,159 --> 01:11:55,079
everyone on this planet
shouldn't be producing
1
01:11:55,079 --> 01:11:57,159
their own green electricity,
right where they are
1
01:11:57,159 --> 01:11:59,159
at very low cost
in 25 years from now,
1
01:11:59,159 --> 01:12:00,479
on this exponential curve,
1
01:12:00,479 --> 01:12:02,759
and sharing across
continental energy Internets.
1
01:12:04,159 --> 01:12:07,159
And if we go to a car sharing,
driverless transport grid,
1
01:12:07,159 --> 01:12:09,279
we can eliminate
80% of those vehicles
1
01:12:09,279 --> 01:12:11,679
that have taken
a big hunk of the Earth
1
01:12:11,680 --> 01:12:12,760
to put online.
1
01:12:13,279 --> 01:12:15,079
This is a plan
and what we've done—
1
01:12:15,079 --> 01:12:17,559
a lot of businesses are working
with us around the world on this—
1
01:12:17,560 --> 01:12:20,280
and we say to people,
"If you have another plan,
1
01:12:20,279 --> 01:12:23,359
step forward and tell us
what it might be
1
01:12:23,359 --> 01:12:26,759
to address climate change
and move the economy."
1
01:12:27,560 --> 01:12:29,160
And I always get silence.
1
01:12:30,079 --> 01:12:32,559
'Cause the only other plan
is to stay where we are
1
01:12:32,560 --> 01:12:34,880
and that's taking us
to an economic crisis
1
01:12:34,880 --> 01:12:36,359
and an environmental abyss.
1
01:12:37,560 --> 01:12:38,360
But here's what I'd like to do:
1
01:12:39,680 --> 01:12:40,880
I'm gonna turn it over to you.
1
01:12:41,560 --> 01:12:43,360
Let's think about your sensibilities
1
01:12:43,359 --> 01:12:46,559
and find out if we can
come to some common ground
1
01:12:46,560 --> 01:12:49,360
on how we can begin to move this
from this little room
1
01:12:49,359 --> 01:12:52,279
out to all the larger communities
and networks are in.
1
01:12:53,079 --> 01:12:53,960
Is that a deal?
1
01:12:55,560 --> 01:12:57,080
Who wants to start?
1
01:12:57,279 --> 01:12:59,159
Hello, my name is Lena.
1
01:12:59,159 --> 01:13:01,760
And my question will be related to
technological unemployment.
1
01:13:02,359 --> 01:13:03,679
What is your take on that?
1
01:13:05,359 --> 01:13:07,279
We are moving to
an automated world.
1
01:13:07,760 --> 01:13:08,760
There's no doubt about it.
1
01:13:08,760 --> 01:13:10,480
However, as I said during the talk,
1
01:13:10,479 --> 01:13:13,279
we've got two generations of
massive employment,
1
01:13:13,279 --> 01:13:15,079
that's clear,
to lay out this infrastructure.
1
01:13:15,079 --> 01:13:17,479
That's gonna require
millions and millions of jobs.
1
01:13:17,479 --> 01:13:19,279
We know this on the ground
as we're laying this out
1
01:13:19,279 --> 01:13:20,359
in Europe right now.
1
01:13:20,359 --> 01:13:21,880
It's a huge amount of jobs.
1
01:13:21,880 --> 01:13:23,960
Robots can't do it.
AI can't do it.
1
01:13:23,960 --> 01:13:25,760
This is infrastructure shift.
1
01:13:25,760 --> 01:13:31,880
However, as this smart digital
economy and society moves in,
1
01:13:31,880 --> 01:13:35,560
it can be run by very small
supervisory workforces
1
01:13:35,560 --> 01:13:37,960
with analytics, big data,
algorithms and apps
1
01:13:37,960 --> 01:13:40,560
—that's why we call it
"smart world," "smart society,"
1
01:13:40,560 --> 01:13:42,360
"smart economy."
1
01:13:42,680 --> 01:13:45,960
Then, what do we do
once we have the smart society in
1
01:13:45,960 --> 01:13:48,159
and it's automated,
running by analytics?
1
01:13:48,479 --> 01:13:50,279
We're not gonna pay people
just to do nothing.
1
01:13:50,880 --> 01:13:53,359
We already know
where the employment is going.
1
01:13:54,159 --> 01:13:55,559
And that is, as we
1
01:13:55,560 --> 01:13:58,160
continue to automate
the market economy,
1
01:13:58,159 --> 01:14:00,960
employment is shifting to
the nonprofit social economy
1
01:14:00,960 --> 01:14:03,279
and the sharing economy
—we already know that.
1
01:14:03,760 --> 01:14:06,960
The nonprofit sector
is the fastest growing
1
01:14:06,960 --> 01:14:09,359
employment sector right now
in the world.
1
01:14:09,359 --> 01:14:12,880
It's about 9.5, 10% of the
American employment—
1
01:14:12,880 --> 01:14:14,079
paid employments and nonprofit.
1
01:14:14,079 --> 01:14:15,559
Why is it heading there?
1
01:14:15,560 --> 01:14:18,880
Because, in the social economy,
the nonprofit economy,
1
01:14:18,880 --> 01:14:21,359
and large sections
of the sharing economy,
1
01:14:21,359 --> 01:14:24,559
social capital is as important
as market capital.
1
01:14:24,560 --> 01:14:27,680
And, in this realm
1
01:14:27,680 --> 01:14:30,280
—the nonprofit realm,
the social economy,
1
01:14:30,279 --> 01:14:31,079
the sharing economy—
1
01:14:31,479 --> 01:14:34,879
it requires human beings
engaged with other human beings.
1
01:14:35,479 --> 01:14:37,079
Machines aren't only supplemental.
1
01:14:37,079 --> 01:14:40,159
We will never have a robot
1
01:14:40,159 --> 01:14:44,279
raising a child and interacting
with them in a childcare center
1
01:14:44,279 --> 01:14:46,759
to develop their brain.
It's never gonna happen.
1
01:14:46,760 --> 01:14:49,560
They may bring the lunch to the kid
—the robot—
1
01:14:49,560 --> 01:14:54,280
but it's gonna require human beings
working with those children.
1
01:14:54,479 --> 01:14:56,879
And whether it's
in parts of healthcare
1
01:14:56,880 --> 01:15:00,480
and the knowledge industries,
in cultural areas,
1
01:15:00,479 --> 01:15:01,759
humans with humans.
1
01:15:02,279 --> 01:15:03,960
The only other question is,
1
01:15:03,960 --> 01:15:06,079
how does this sector
survive financially?
1
01:15:06,079 --> 01:15:08,079
Johns Hopkins University
1
01:15:08,079 --> 01:15:11,359
does a study of nonprofits
in 40 countries every few years.
1
01:15:11,359 --> 01:15:12,679
And guess what they found:
1
01:15:12,680 --> 01:15:16,280
Over half the income for nonprofits
1
01:15:16,279 --> 01:15:18,159
which are one of the
biggest employers now,
1
01:15:18,159 --> 01:15:19,359
comes with fees for services.
1
01:15:19,359 --> 01:15:22,079
If you're doing health research,
you set up a health clinic.
1
01:15:22,079 --> 01:15:24,359
You get fees for services and then
1
01:15:24,359 --> 01:15:26,359
you can continue
to do your nonprofit research.
1
01:15:27,560 --> 01:15:29,480
If we get any
of this transition right,
1
01:15:30,479 --> 01:15:31,759
we automate the market,
1
01:15:31,760 --> 01:15:33,480
we move to social capital
1
01:15:33,479 --> 01:15:35,759
where we can use our minds
much more expansively,
1
01:15:35,760 --> 01:15:38,079
so we can learn to live
as a human family
1
01:15:38,079 --> 01:15:40,159
and steward each other
steward our fellow creatures,
1
01:15:40,159 --> 01:15:41,279
steward the Earth.
1
01:15:41,279 --> 01:15:42,559
That's a much more noble mission.
1
01:15:44,960 --> 01:15:47,960
I believe that in order to
create a better tomorrow,
1
01:15:47,960 --> 01:15:51,079
we also need to look at
rehabilitating our psychology.
1
01:15:51,079 --> 01:15:53,559
Yeah, I'm in agreement with you.
1
01:15:54,079 --> 01:15:57,359
You know, and I have to say,
our academic disciplines
1
01:15:57,359 --> 01:15:58,880
—I'm gonna step on more toes.
1
01:15:58,880 --> 01:16:02,279
The academic disciplines in
our school systems are so moribund.
1
01:16:02,279 --> 01:16:03,960
It's dysfunctional.
1
01:16:03,960 --> 01:16:07,960
We have an internet generation
that lives one way of life
1
01:16:07,960 --> 01:16:10,680
in terms of their mind
outside the classroom,
1
01:16:10,680 --> 01:16:12,360
and another inside the classroom.
1
01:16:12,359 --> 01:16:16,559
In the classroom, for example,
when we think about education,
1
01:16:16,560 --> 01:16:18,480
the first thing we realize is
1
01:16:18,479 --> 01:16:20,479
the classroom looks a little bit
like a factory.
1
01:16:20,960 --> 01:16:22,880
These big, giant institutions.
1
01:16:22,880 --> 01:16:25,159
And the kid comes in there
in 1st grade
1
01:16:25,159 --> 01:16:26,279
—a little boy or girl—
1
01:16:26,279 --> 01:16:27,759
and they immediately realize
1
01:16:27,760 --> 01:16:29,680
there's a central authority
of the teacher,
1
01:16:29,680 --> 01:16:31,480
they have to be silent,
1
01:16:31,479 --> 01:16:33,559
if they share knowledge
with each other
1
01:16:33,560 --> 01:16:35,480
it's called cheating,
and they're expelled.
1
01:16:35,479 --> 01:16:38,559
And they learn that
their mission is to be efficient,
1
01:16:38,560 --> 01:16:43,280
but only in the sense of being
able to have the skills they need
1
01:16:43,279 --> 01:16:46,279
to follow orders and
tend the machinery
1
01:16:46,279 --> 01:16:47,679
of the Industrial Revolution.
1
01:16:48,279 --> 01:16:50,679
Yet, an internet generation
out of school—
1
01:16:50,680 --> 01:16:52,480
You're all sharing knowledge.
1
01:16:52,479 --> 01:16:56,159
The whole point of the Internet is
to share your talents and skills,
1
01:16:56,159 --> 01:16:58,680
open-source,
no intellectual property
1
01:16:58,680 --> 01:17:02,680
and begin to crowdsource the
knowledge of the world together.
1
01:17:02,680 --> 01:17:05,079
That is so different than
what you're getting in school.
1
01:17:05,079 --> 01:17:07,279
So let me say one thing about this.
1
01:17:07,279 --> 01:17:09,759
You know what we're doing
in northern industrial France?
1
01:17:09,760 --> 01:17:11,960
All 7 universities
have come together
1
01:17:11,960 --> 01:17:13,279
and 200 high schools,
1
01:17:13,279 --> 01:17:16,079
and the universities are led by
Catholic University of Lille.
1
01:17:16,079 --> 01:17:16,960
Here's what they've done:
1
01:17:17,359 --> 01:17:20,559
all faculty now teach
interdisciplinary so that
1
01:17:20,560 --> 01:17:22,480
you learn various perspectives
1
01:17:22,479 --> 01:17:24,079
and there's more than one way
to look at things
1
01:17:24,079 --> 01:17:25,559
and you have to
share a common language.
1
01:17:25,560 --> 01:17:26,680
No silence.
1
01:17:26,680 --> 01:17:31,280
Secondly, all the students now
are put into modules,
1
01:17:31,279 --> 01:17:33,960
in teams,
and they work with their teams
1
01:17:33,960 --> 01:17:36,079
and the students have to
teach each other.
1
01:17:36,079 --> 01:17:39,079
The teacher becomes
a facilitator and a guide,
1
01:17:39,079 --> 01:17:40,760
but the students have to
teach each other.
1
01:17:40,760 --> 01:17:43,560
If they share knowledge,
it's good—it's not cheating.
1
01:17:44,159 --> 01:17:46,760
Then they learn that
knowledge is not power
1
01:17:46,760 --> 01:17:49,360
and something one possesses
at the expense of the other.
1
01:17:49,359 --> 01:17:52,759
Knowledge is the shared experience
you have as a social being.
1
01:17:52,760 --> 01:17:55,280
And the learning now is clinical.
1
01:17:55,279 --> 01:17:56,559
What's the good of learning
1
01:17:56,560 --> 01:17:58,760
if theory isn't
brought together with practice?
1
01:17:58,760 --> 01:18:00,159
So their learning is clinical.
1
01:18:00,159 --> 01:18:02,760
They've taken service-learning,
which you all did here,
1
01:18:02,760 --> 01:18:04,560
and they've elevated to pedagogy.
1
01:18:04,560 --> 01:18:05,680
So whatever you're learning,
1
01:18:05,680 --> 01:18:08,360
you have to apply it
with your fellow citizens
1
01:18:08,359 --> 01:18:10,279
in the neighborhoods
where these universities are.
1
01:18:10,680 --> 01:18:11,760
How do you like that?
1
01:18:12,479 --> 01:18:14,359
Catholic University of Lille.
1
01:18:14,560 --> 01:18:15,880
That's the revolution.
1
01:18:17,359 --> 01:18:19,279
I believe in the Darwinian theory
1
01:18:19,279 --> 01:18:21,960
of humanity being
more Darwinian than utopian.
1
01:18:21,960 --> 01:18:25,079
What would you do about
basically corruption and fraud?
1
01:18:25,079 --> 01:18:28,479
Let me be very clear:
I am an anti-utopian.
1
01:18:28,479 --> 01:18:31,159
If you read my books,
I don't believe in utopias.
1
01:18:31,159 --> 01:18:33,960
I don't like utopias.
I think utopia is are dangerous.
1
01:18:34,279 --> 01:18:36,960
Our human spirit,
the empathic spirit,
1
01:18:36,960 --> 01:18:40,760
is designed to show compassion
to our frailties
1
01:18:40,760 --> 01:18:45,960
—our precarious existence.
1
01:18:45,960 --> 01:18:48,359
An empathic world is
never a utopian world.
1
01:18:48,960 --> 01:18:51,279
Utopias are
worlds that are perfect.
1
01:18:51,279 --> 01:18:53,079
There's no mortality,
1
01:18:53,079 --> 01:18:55,559
there's no pain,
there's no suffering,
1
01:18:55,560 --> 01:18:57,360
and every moment is perfect.
1
01:18:57,359 --> 01:18:58,679
There's no such world.
1
01:18:59,079 --> 01:19:00,760
I looked through history
and it says that
1
01:19:00,760 --> 01:19:03,360
the most civilized societies
1
01:19:02,359 --> 01:19:06,679
are the ones that can
move empathy to larger reigns.
1
01:19:07,279 --> 01:19:09,679
And there's a history of that,
of empathy.
1
01:19:09,680 --> 01:19:11,760
So I like an empathic world
1
01:19:11,760 --> 01:19:14,880
where we understand
each other's frailties,
1
01:19:14,880 --> 01:19:18,560
we show compassion with
each other's desires to flourish,
1
01:19:18,560 --> 01:19:21,360
we reach out to each other
—and we do this every day.
1
01:19:21,760 --> 01:19:24,760
And when someone that we know
is in joy, or pain, or suffering—
1
01:19:24,760 --> 01:19:28,079
We do this with our fellow
creatures that are in trouble.
1
01:19:28,079 --> 01:19:31,479
It's the empathy that runs
day to day life, not utopias.
1
01:19:31,479 --> 01:19:33,959
And I think George Frederick Hegel
got it right.
1
01:19:33,960 --> 01:19:38,279
He wrote a little passage
that I read 40 years ago.
1
01:19:38,279 --> 01:19:42,079
He said, "Happiness are
the blank pages of history,
1
01:19:42,079 --> 01:19:44,559
because they are
the periods of harmony."
1
01:19:45,079 --> 01:19:46,479
I thought, "What does that mean?"
1
01:19:46,479 --> 01:19:48,079
Over and over
I kept thinking of it.
1
01:19:48,079 --> 01:19:51,559
Well, he's right because,
when you read historians
1
01:19:52,359 --> 01:19:54,479
and you read their view of history,
1
01:19:54,479 --> 01:19:56,479
you think we're pretty
pathological creatures.
1
01:19:56,479 --> 01:19:59,479
because historians always chronicle
1
01:19:59,479 --> 01:20:03,079
the mayhem,
the genocides, the wars,
1
01:20:03,079 --> 01:20:05,079
the redress of
social grievances
1
01:20:05,079 --> 01:20:08,079
because those moments
are extraordinary, not ordinary.
1
01:20:08,079 --> 01:20:11,479
They imprint a stamp on us,
they move us to fright and flight
1
01:20:11,479 --> 01:20:14,279
because they're so extraordinary
their remembered for generations.
1
01:20:14,760 --> 01:20:18,280
But when you then chronicle
all of history as if it's
1
01:20:18,279 --> 01:20:22,679
a series of these very very
dysfunctional episodes in life,
1
01:20:22,680 --> 01:20:24,960
you get a pretty dire picture
of the human race, correct?
1
01:20:26,279 --> 01:20:28,359
Happiness of the
blank periods in history,
1
01:20:28,359 --> 01:20:30,159
where most of us, as we evolve
1
01:20:30,159 --> 01:20:32,680
our empathic concerns
to larger social units,
1
01:20:32,680 --> 01:20:35,079
our day-to-day life is
reaching out to each other
1
01:20:35,079 --> 01:20:37,680
in some ways to help,
to show our concern,
1
01:20:37,680 --> 01:20:39,079
to provide our compassion.
1
01:20:39,079 --> 01:20:41,760
It's not the few
—we do this as the multitudes.
1
01:20:41,760 --> 01:20:43,480
I'll give you an example:
Cooperatives.
1
01:20:44,079 --> 01:20:46,079
You never hear about
cooperatives in business school.
1
01:20:46,079 --> 01:20:48,359
There are banking cooperatives,
and housing cooperatives,
1
01:20:48,359 --> 01:20:50,679
and agricultural cooperatives
instruction cooperatives.
1
01:20:50,680 --> 01:20:52,560
In some countries
they're the largest banks.
1
01:20:52,560 --> 01:20:54,080
They're the social housing.
1
01:20:54,079 --> 01:20:55,680
It's never mentioned
in business school,
1
01:20:55,680 --> 01:20:57,280
because it's a different form.
1
01:20:57,279 --> 01:21:00,159
It's people coming together
and sharing their destiny.
1
01:21:00,159 --> 01:21:02,559
This is the true sharing economy:
Cooperatives.
1
01:21:02,560 --> 01:21:04,680
And that's why
they're the engine, the vehicle
1
01:21:04,680 --> 01:21:06,280
for the new sharing economy.
1
01:21:06,279 --> 01:21:07,679
But they're never mentioned.
1
01:21:08,279 --> 01:21:12,679
Societies that are able to nurture
the empathic sensitivities
1
01:21:12,680 --> 01:21:14,159
that are in our neural circuitry
1
01:21:14,159 --> 01:21:16,680
are the ones that don't have
to worry as much about
1
01:21:16,680 --> 01:21:19,280
the secondary drives, which are
1
01:21:19,279 --> 01:21:24,279
brutality, and corruption, and all
the bad things that go with them.
1
01:21:24,279 --> 01:21:26,359
So I have a little bit
better picture in my mind
1
01:21:26,359 --> 01:21:27,479
of the evolution
of the human race.
1
01:21:27,479 --> 01:21:29,679
What I'm suggesting is
the next stage is
1
01:21:29,680 --> 01:21:31,280
biosphere consciousness.
1
01:21:31,279 --> 01:21:35,759
As we begin to see climate change
impacting our entire community,
1
01:21:35,760 --> 01:21:37,480
and there's nowhere to escape,
1
01:21:37,479 --> 01:21:39,959
we begin to realize
we're part of that community.
1
01:21:40,279 --> 01:21:42,279
And so we're getting
our younger generations
1
01:21:42,279 --> 01:21:43,880
beginning to empathize
1
01:21:43,880 --> 01:21:45,880
with our fellow human beings
and our fellow creatures
1
01:21:45,880 --> 01:21:46,760
in one biosphere.
1
01:21:47,079 --> 01:21:49,479
This is a hopeful narrative
of the human race,
1
01:21:49,479 --> 01:21:51,279
with all the
dark periods in between.
1
01:21:52,560 --> 01:21:55,360
So I hope you leave
with that message—
1
01:21:55,359 --> 01:21:58,159
At least I believe that
the history the human race
1
01:21:58,159 --> 01:22:01,880
is to overcome,
and to transcend ourselves,
1
01:22:01,880 --> 01:22:04,760
and to empathize
in larger social units
1
01:22:04,760 --> 01:22:07,760
until we see ourselves as part
of one life force on the planet.
1
01:22:09,079 --> 01:22:13,559
I'm Tony. I think you might be
coming up against something
1
01:22:13,560 --> 01:22:18,960
with these new corporate agreements
that they want to force on us:
1
01:22:18,960 --> 01:22:21,279
TPP, TTIPS and so on.
1
01:22:21,279 --> 01:22:24,479
But they do seem to contain
provisions that would
1
01:22:24,479 --> 01:22:28,359
put corporations that are
at an advantage over governments
1
01:22:28,359 --> 01:22:29,479
—over elected governments.
1
01:22:29,479 --> 01:22:31,359
Well, let me give you
a counter pose:
1
01:22:31,359 --> 01:22:33,479
There's another kind of
agreement emerging
1
01:22:33,479 --> 01:22:35,079
with very different politics.
1
01:22:35,960 --> 01:22:39,680
President Xi and Premier Li
introduced an idea called
1
01:22:39,680 --> 01:22:42,680
"Belt One..." "Belt One Road"
—the Belt and Road initiative.
1
01:22:42,680 --> 01:22:44,880
This is a very different initiative
because here's
1
01:22:44,880 --> 01:22:47,960
the US trying to isolate
—if you will—China
1
01:22:47,960 --> 01:22:50,079
with its specific agreements;
corporate led.
1
01:22:50,680 --> 01:22:53,159
And the belt road initiative
is the idea of
1
01:22:53,159 --> 01:22:57,279
resurrecting the old Silk Road,
from Shanghai to Rotterdam.
1
01:22:57,960 --> 01:23:00,279
But it requires a
different sensibility.
1
01:23:01,159 --> 01:23:04,159
Originally it was designed
just to get a railroad across
1
01:23:04,159 --> 01:23:07,079
the hinterlands, crossing
the stands all the way into Europe
1
01:23:07,079 --> 01:23:08,760
and The Mediterranean, a route
1
01:23:08,760 --> 01:23:11,560
around the southern edge,
and Italy.
1
01:23:11,560 --> 01:23:15,480
But then it quickly
escalated to a conversation—
1
01:23:15,479 --> 01:23:18,359
Wait a minute!
Europe's doing "Digital Europe,"
1
01:23:18,359 --> 01:23:19,759
the Internet of Things platform,
1
01:23:19,760 --> 01:23:21,360
3rd Industrial Revolution,
and that—
1
01:23:21,359 --> 01:23:23,759
It not only will be in the EU,
but our partnership regions
1
01:23:23,760 --> 01:23:24,880
in the Mediterranean.
1
01:23:24,880 --> 01:23:26,880
That's a billion people market:
1
01:23:26,880 --> 01:23:28,359
500 million in the Union,
1
01:23:28,359 --> 01:23:30,279
500 million in
our partnership regions
1
01:23:30,279 --> 01:23:31,679
in the Mediterranean
and North Africa.
1
01:23:31,560 --> 01:23:34,760
China has a similar plan that
we've worked with with them.
1
01:23:34,760 --> 01:23:37,680
It's identical, called
"China Internet Plus."
1
01:23:37,680 --> 01:23:40,680
So the conversation quickly
went to, "Wait a minute!
1
01:23:41,359 --> 01:23:43,679
Europe is China's
largest trading partner.
1
01:23:43,680 --> 01:23:46,159
China is Europe's
second largest trading partner.
1
01:23:46,159 --> 01:23:49,960
How about a belt road initiative
from Shanghai to Rotterdam?
1
01:23:49,960 --> 01:23:51,480
That's now in deep conversation,
1
01:23:51,479 --> 01:23:53,759
but it requires
a different sensibility.
1
01:23:54,279 --> 01:23:55,759
No one can control
1
01:23:55,760 --> 01:23:58,560
the Internet of Things platforms
centrally,
1
01:23:58,560 --> 01:24:01,080
because it's designed
to be distributed—
1
01:24:01,359 --> 01:24:02,880
that's the resiliency
of the system.
1
01:24:02,880 --> 01:24:04,079
And so that,
1
01:24:04,079 --> 01:24:07,279
if anyone power or any nation
across the region,
1
01:24:07,279 --> 01:24:09,479
you know, is going to
try to control it from the top,
1
01:24:09,479 --> 01:24:11,479
you can't do it
because you can go off-grid.
1
01:24:11,479 --> 01:24:13,759
And I think all
the parties are aware of this.
1
01:24:13,760 --> 01:24:17,560
And in my dealings
in Beijing, in Brussels, in Berlin,
1
01:24:17,560 --> 01:24:19,760
they're aware that
this is a new partnership.
1
01:24:19,760 --> 01:24:21,880
It requires collaboration.
You gotta share.
1
01:24:21,880 --> 01:24:23,359
You gotta share best practices.
1
01:24:23,359 --> 01:24:25,559
You gotta share
the science and technology.
1
01:24:25,560 --> 01:24:27,080
You gotta get over the suspicion—
1
01:24:27,079 --> 01:24:28,880
Everyone benefits in a network.
1
01:24:28,880 --> 01:24:30,680
That's the—it's not geopolitics.
1
01:24:30,680 --> 01:24:35,680
It isn't, "We control. We close.
And then we overpower you."
1
01:24:36,359 --> 01:24:38,479
It doesn't work in
an Internet of Things world.
1
01:24:38,479 --> 01:24:41,159
You have to have it borderless.
It has to be open.
1
01:24:41,159 --> 01:24:43,559
It has to allow you
to have a distributed
1
01:24:43,560 --> 01:24:46,160
ability to go off and on
when you want,
1
01:24:46,159 --> 01:24:47,359
and have block chains.
1
01:24:47,359 --> 01:24:50,279
So, I think this belt Road initiative
is quite interesting because
1
01:24:50,279 --> 01:24:51,759
it may not just be for Eurasia.
1
01:24:52,680 --> 01:24:55,760
This may be a vision that would be,
for a millennial generation,
1
01:24:55,760 --> 01:24:58,079
a vision that could move
from the Americas,
1
01:24:58,079 --> 01:25:01,159
from Canada and the United States
down to Chile—
1
01:25:01,159 --> 01:25:02,559
then you have really a distributed
1
01:25:02,560 --> 01:25:04,880
biosphere infrastructure revolution,
1
01:25:04,880 --> 01:25:08,079
not a traditional
geopolitical revolution.
1
01:25:08,079 --> 01:25:10,479
And, therefore, it requires
everyone to be involved,
1
01:25:10,479 --> 01:25:11,959
because everyone's a player.
1
01:25:13,880 --> 01:25:16,680
My name is Denille.
How do you see your vision
1
01:25:16,680 --> 01:25:21,480
and what you've been talking about
affecting large food systems
1
01:25:21,479 --> 01:25:25,159
in industrialized countries,
as well as developing countries?
1
01:25:25,880 --> 01:25:28,960
You know how much energy
the agricultural system uses?
1
01:25:28,960 --> 01:25:31,960
About a third of their cost
—our energy costs.
1
01:25:31,960 --> 01:25:34,560
The fertilizers;
those are fossil fuels.
1
01:25:34,560 --> 01:25:37,080
The pesticides;
those are fossil fuels.
1
01:25:37,079 --> 01:25:39,680
The machinery;
it's all run by fossil fuels.
1
01:25:39,680 --> 01:25:42,480
The packaging, the plastics;
it's made out of fossil fuels.
1
01:25:42,479 --> 01:25:45,359
The water that they
have to bring in to irrigate,
1
01:25:45,359 --> 01:25:48,279
the electricity grids; run by
fossil fuel and nuclear power
1
01:25:48,279 --> 01:25:49,159
to move the water.
1
01:25:49,159 --> 01:25:51,279
So, if you wanna
take a look at agriculture,
1
01:25:51,279 --> 01:25:54,079
it is a huge player.
Not only that:
1
01:25:54,079 --> 01:25:56,479
The fertilizers
emit nitrous oxides,
1
01:25:56,479 --> 01:26:01,759
which are much more potent
in terms of their impact than CO₂.
1
01:26:01,760 --> 01:26:04,360
You know that 40%—I believe it is—
1
01:26:04,359 --> 01:26:06,880
of the land that's used
for agriculture in the world today
1
01:26:06,880 --> 01:26:08,480
is to grow feed for animals?
1
01:26:08,760 --> 01:26:13,880
It takes at least 8 pounds of feed
to create 1 pound of beef.
1
01:26:13,880 --> 01:26:16,880
That makes the transport industry
look like super efficient.
1
01:26:16,880 --> 01:26:19,279
It's the most inefficient system
we know on the food chain.
1
01:26:19,560 --> 01:26:21,760
If you look at pure injustice,
1
01:26:21,760 --> 01:26:26,960
you'd have to say the shift
to a feed grain animal culture
1
01:26:26,960 --> 01:26:30,159
and a chemical farming culture
for pasturing animals
1
01:26:30,159 --> 01:26:32,479
is one of the great injustices
in the history of the world.
1
01:26:33,079 --> 01:26:35,359
Some of us live high up
on the food chain;
1
01:26:35,359 --> 01:26:37,559
the rest are denied
access to the land.
1
01:26:37,560 --> 01:26:39,480
We got to turn that around so,
1
01:26:39,479 --> 01:26:42,879
in Europe, we are interested
in organic agriculture.
1
01:26:42,880 --> 01:26:46,359
We're interested in moving from
pesticides and chemical agriculture
1
01:26:46,359 --> 01:26:48,279
to ecological agriculture,
1
01:26:48,279 --> 01:26:51,559
where we learn to live with
the surrounding flora and fauna,
1
01:26:51,560 --> 01:26:55,280
and we find ways to encourage
the flora and fauna
1
01:26:55,279 --> 01:26:57,679
to be able to be compatible
with what we're growing.
1
01:26:57,760 --> 01:27:00,760
In the old chemical world,
if it moves, kill it.
1
01:27:00,760 --> 01:27:03,280
Everything surrounding your crops
should be killed.
1
01:27:03,680 --> 01:27:06,880
So we live in a chemical wasteland
across the agricultural fields
1
01:27:06,880 --> 01:27:08,359
with runoff poisoning our water.
1
01:27:08,359 --> 01:27:09,559
It sounds shameful.
1
01:27:09,560 --> 01:27:11,680
So we wanna move
to organic agriculture.
1
01:27:11,680 --> 01:27:14,360
We had mechanical agriculture
in the 1st Industrial Revolution.
1
01:27:14,359 --> 01:27:16,679
It started late
1st Industrial Revolution.
1
01:27:16,680 --> 01:27:18,960
We had chemical agriculture
in the 2nd Industrial Revolution.
1
01:27:18,960 --> 01:27:22,159
We need to have smart, organic,
ecological agriculture
1
01:27:22,159 --> 01:27:23,359
in the 3rd Industrial Revolution,
1
01:27:23,359 --> 01:27:26,279
and we have to bring back
regional and local agriculture
1
01:27:26,279 --> 01:27:28,079
that supports local communities.
1
01:27:28,079 --> 01:27:30,880
It's absurd to ship
a tomato around the world.
1
01:27:31,359 --> 01:27:32,559
Ridiculous!
1
01:27:34,359 --> 01:27:35,559
Hi, I'm Rochelle.
1
01:27:35,560 --> 01:27:37,880
I was wondering if you could talk
a little bit about water.
1
01:27:38,880 --> 01:27:42,359
And how water plays into this
decentralized vision.
1
01:27:42,359 --> 01:27:45,159
How the privatization of water
plays out.
1
01:27:45,159 --> 01:27:46,680
I was just hoping
you could speak to that.
1
01:27:46,680 --> 01:27:49,360
There's only a small amount
of water on this planet
1
01:27:49,359 --> 01:27:50,759
that's available for human reuse.
1
01:27:50,760 --> 01:27:53,360
Less than 1%;
the rest is not available.
1
01:27:53,880 --> 01:27:56,279
There is a deep nexus between
energy and water
1
01:27:56,279 --> 01:27:57,759
that's never, just never explained.
1
01:27:59,279 --> 01:28:02,559
You have to have energy
to move water.
1
01:28:03,279 --> 01:28:07,960
And that is that 8% of all the
energy we generate in the world
1
01:28:07,960 --> 01:28:11,960
—power—
goes to extracting water,
1
01:28:11,960 --> 01:28:15,960
treating water, moving it
through pipelines in water,
1
01:28:15,960 --> 01:28:17,760
and recycling the waste.
1
01:28:17,760 --> 01:28:20,480
But you need water
to move energy.
1
01:28:20,479 --> 01:28:21,959
This isn't well known.
1
01:28:21,960 --> 01:28:25,079
And, that is,
the energy industry uses—
1
01:28:25,079 --> 01:28:29,680
Over half of all the water we use
goes to the power industries.
1
01:28:29,680 --> 01:28:31,360
Of all industries, over half.
1
01:28:31,359 --> 01:28:32,559
And this will surprise you:
1
01:28:33,479 --> 01:28:37,079
In France,
which is 80% nuclear power,
1
01:28:38,079 --> 01:28:39,960
you know how much
of the water they use
1
01:28:39,960 --> 01:28:41,880
for cooling off nuclear reactors
in France?
1
01:28:42,960 --> 01:28:47,480
Almost 50% of all the
fresh water consumed in France
1
01:28:47,479 --> 01:28:50,959
goes to cooling
the nuclear reactors.
1
01:28:50,960 --> 01:28:54,079
Yeah, and when the
water comes back, it's heated.
1
01:28:54,079 --> 01:28:57,479
So it's dehydrating ecosystems
that are already facing drought
1
01:28:57,479 --> 01:28:58,759
for their agriculture.
1
01:28:58,760 --> 01:29:01,480
And now, sometimes
the water is so hot
1
01:29:01,479 --> 01:29:02,959
because of climate change
in the summer,
1
01:29:02,960 --> 01:29:05,560
they can't even use it
to cool the nuclear reactors
1
01:29:05,560 --> 01:29:07,480
and they have to
slow down the electricity.
1
01:29:08,279 --> 01:29:09,759
So what's the nexus?
1
01:29:10,079 --> 01:29:14,279
We have to begin to create
a new plan,
1
01:29:14,279 --> 01:29:16,880
so that people get control
over their water
1
01:29:16,880 --> 01:29:19,760
in a distributed system that
brings water together with energy.
1
01:29:19,760 --> 01:29:21,159
I'll give you an example of why:
1
01:29:22,159 --> 01:29:26,159
If the electricity grid is disrupted
—let's say one of the transformers,
1
01:29:26,760 --> 01:29:30,079
big electricity transformers,
either through cyber crimes,
1
01:29:30,079 --> 01:29:31,760
cyber terrorism,
or natural disaster
1
01:29:31,760 --> 01:29:35,560
goes down and your power goes down—
there's no water.
1
01:29:35,560 --> 01:29:38,960
We're dead in three weeks.
That's how vulnerable system is.
1
01:29:38,960 --> 01:29:40,960
That's why we have
to build in resilience
1
01:29:40,960 --> 01:29:42,159
by keeping it so distributed.
1
01:29:42,159 --> 01:29:43,279
So what do we do?
1
01:29:43,560 --> 01:29:45,880
I'm in Hauts-de-France
a couple of weeks ago.
1
01:29:45,880 --> 01:29:47,279
This little startup—
1
01:29:47,279 --> 01:29:51,359
They've taken a whole
social housing complex,
1
01:29:51,359 --> 01:29:52,759
huge housing complex.
1
01:29:52,760 --> 01:29:55,280
They took the whole roof
and turned it into a cistern.
1
01:29:55,560 --> 01:29:56,880
Why did they do that?
1
01:29:56,880 --> 01:29:59,359
Because the water falls,
and as it falls,
1
01:29:59,359 --> 01:30:01,359
it generates electricity
in a turbine.
1
01:30:01,359 --> 01:30:03,559
So they're using for electricity,
but now we're saying,
1
01:30:03,560 --> 01:30:04,760
"Use it as a cistern."
1
01:30:04,760 --> 01:30:07,760
So if the power grid goes out
and you can't get water,
1
01:30:07,760 --> 01:30:09,880
you're dead in a couple of weeks.
1
01:30:09,960 --> 01:30:13,159
You have the water right built-in
to your home office and factory,
1
01:30:13,159 --> 01:30:16,159
on the roofs or nearby,
you can share it in a cooperative.
1
01:30:15,039 --> 01:30:19,560
And then that water can be used,
potable for fresh water.
1
01:30:19,560 --> 01:30:22,880
And then we're now talking
with companies about...
1
01:30:22,880 --> 01:30:26,480
With housing,
that you can take the water,
1
01:30:26,479 --> 01:30:28,159
use it for your toilet water,
1
01:30:28,159 --> 01:30:31,680
and you will be able to recycle it
right back on site.
1
01:30:32,760 --> 01:30:35,360
So you can go distributed
and decentralized
1
01:30:35,359 --> 01:30:36,960
when the real power grid goes out.
1
01:30:36,960 --> 01:30:40,159
They key to maintaining this system
is it's distributed.
1
01:30:40,359 --> 01:30:42,359
If anything happens
in one part of the system,
1
01:30:42,359 --> 01:30:43,880
you can go off.
1
01:30:43,880 --> 01:30:46,480
Well distributed and decentralized,
and share your water,
1
01:30:46,479 --> 01:30:47,479
share your energy.
1
01:30:47,479 --> 01:30:49,959
So water and energy go together,
and you've just hit
1
01:30:49,960 --> 01:30:51,359
—and I'm glad you said this—
1
01:30:51,359 --> 01:30:54,479
something that has really come to
the top of the agenda for us now:
1
01:30:54,479 --> 01:30:56,879
How do we create a
distributed water internet
1
01:30:56,880 --> 01:30:59,359
to go side-by-side
with the energy internet?
1
01:30:59,359 --> 01:31:00,880
Very cool thinking.
1
01:31:01,760 --> 01:31:04,480
My name is Elizabeth and
I just have a question
1
01:31:04,479 --> 01:31:05,759
for underdeveloped countries.
1
01:31:05,760 --> 01:31:09,159
How do they play a part in this
whole 3rd Industrial Revolution?
1
01:31:09,159 --> 01:31:10,760
Can they sort of skip the gun,
1
01:31:10,760 --> 01:31:13,079
because they don't have
an established infrastructure?
1
01:31:13,079 --> 01:31:15,159
Yeah, you just answered
the question I was about to answer.
1
01:31:15,880 --> 01:31:19,079
Very good!
Well here's what we realize,
1
01:31:19,079 --> 01:31:20,079
just what you said.
1
01:31:20,079 --> 01:31:23,359
What we finally realized is
in the developing world,
1
01:31:23,359 --> 01:31:26,279
their liability is their key asset.
1
01:31:26,279 --> 01:31:28,880
Their liability is:
they have no infrastructure.
1
01:31:28,880 --> 01:31:30,079
That's their asset.
1
01:31:30,880 --> 01:31:33,359
Because, it's easy to build
virgin infrastructure,
1
01:31:33,359 --> 01:31:35,559
with new codes and regulations
from scratch,
1
01:31:35,560 --> 01:31:37,880
than to take an old infrastructure
1
01:31:37,880 --> 01:31:39,880
with old codes and regulations
and transform it.
1
01:31:39,880 --> 01:31:42,079
So what we're learning
in the developing world
1
01:31:42,079 --> 01:31:43,479
is this can move more quickly.
1
01:31:43,479 --> 01:31:46,079
We saw the opportunity
that the developing world
1
01:31:46,079 --> 01:31:47,760
can leapfrog right past
1
01:31:47,760 --> 01:31:50,159
the 1st and 2nd
Industrial Revolution into the 3rd.
1
01:31:50,159 --> 01:31:52,359
So the United Nations
has now embraced the
1
01:31:52,359 --> 01:31:53,960
3rd Industrial Revolution narrative
1
01:31:53,960 --> 01:31:55,560
that we've just
talked about tonight.
1
01:31:56,560 --> 01:31:58,560
The biggest problem
in the developing world:
1
01:31:58,560 --> 01:31:59,680
No electricity.
1
01:31:59,680 --> 01:32:02,960
Ban Ki-moon has made this
his pledge: Universal electricity.
1
01:32:03,079 --> 01:32:05,960
We got a billion people
that have no electricity.
1
01:32:06,079 --> 01:32:07,159
They're in the dark.
1
01:32:07,479 --> 01:32:10,759
We have 40% of the human race
with infrequent,
1
01:32:10,760 --> 01:32:12,280
not reliable electricity.
1
01:32:13,279 --> 01:32:16,279
And what keeps women
enslaved in this world?
1
01:32:16,279 --> 01:32:18,079
It's no electricity.
1
01:32:18,560 --> 01:32:20,760
And what we see
with these big families,
1
01:32:20,760 --> 01:32:22,280
in these patriarchal,
brutal conditions,
1
01:32:22,279 --> 01:32:24,880
and male-oriented cultures?
No electricity. Why?
1
01:32:24,880 --> 01:32:27,760
Because, with no electricity,
women are the slaves,
1
01:32:27,760 --> 01:32:31,960
the children of the slaves,
more children, more hands on deck
1
01:32:31,960 --> 01:32:34,079
that can actually
carry the energy load.
1
01:32:34,560 --> 01:32:37,480
We forget the relationship
between electricity and
1
01:32:37,479 --> 01:32:38,759
freeing women in the West.
1
01:32:38,760 --> 01:32:40,960
Women were the slaves
at the hearth
1
01:32:40,960 --> 01:32:42,359
until electricity came in.
1
01:32:42,359 --> 01:32:46,479
Electricity freed women
from that slavery, if you will,
1
01:32:46,479 --> 01:32:49,679
to go to school
beyond the first 5 grades,
1
01:32:49,680 --> 01:32:52,079
and then electricity
created new skills
1
01:32:52,079 --> 01:32:54,680
that didn't require
upper-body strength, but up here.
1
01:32:55,159 --> 01:32:57,760
Electricity revolution created
all sorts of new skills.
1
01:32:57,760 --> 01:32:59,159
And, when that happened,
1
01:32:59,159 --> 01:33:01,880
as women became more educated
and more independent,
1
01:33:01,880 --> 01:33:04,159
and had the new skills
of the 2nd Industrial Revolution?
1
01:33:04,159 --> 01:33:05,159
Fewer babies.
1
01:33:05,760 --> 01:33:07,880
You can give out
millions of condoms;
1
01:33:07,880 --> 01:33:08,960
it'll make no difference,
1
01:33:08,960 --> 01:33:11,480
until you bring electricity
into the developing world,
1
01:33:11,479 --> 01:33:14,759
free the women,
and you have them get educated,
1
01:33:14,760 --> 01:33:18,360
and have them be recognized
as half the human race.
1
01:33:18,359 --> 01:33:20,880
And what's interesting
is the women are setting up
1
01:33:20,880 --> 01:33:23,560
these micro grids—a lot of it.
1
01:33:23,560 --> 01:33:28,280
So, you see it in rural Africa,
they go into a village
1
01:33:29,279 --> 01:33:32,279
—it's happening in India, too—
and small startups.
1
01:33:32,560 --> 01:33:36,080
They come in, they lease
a solar panel on each roof.
1
01:33:36,079 --> 01:33:38,880
They give you a lease, and
then they give you a cell phone.
1
01:33:38,880 --> 01:33:42,359
This is happening all across rural
India and now sub-Sahara Africa.
1
01:33:42,359 --> 01:33:46,279
But instead of a big centralized grid
then you go village, to village, to village
1
01:33:46,279 --> 01:33:48,359
and you create micro grids
that are laterally scaled.
1
01:33:48,359 --> 01:33:51,759
This is going to take off
very, very quickly—it already is.
1
01:33:51,760 --> 01:33:55,560
This is the smart social entrepreneurs
of the next generation.
1
01:33:56,279 --> 01:33:59,359
This is why I'm really pleased
to see this happen.
1
01:33:59,359 --> 01:34:01,359
It brings confidence
that we can do better.
1
01:34:03,359 --> 01:34:06,759
I'm Ray, and I've been thinking
during your whole talk about
1
01:34:06,760 --> 01:34:09,280
how do we overcome monopoly?
1
01:34:09,279 --> 01:34:12,079
We have to worry about
a new kind of monopoly.
1
01:34:12,079 --> 01:34:14,559
Now, I'm gonna be honest with you:
I love Google!
1
01:34:14,560 --> 01:34:16,080
It is the magic box!
1
01:34:17,079 --> 01:34:19,479
I'm now so lazy that
anything that comes up,
1
01:34:19,479 --> 01:34:21,679
especially in my age,
I ask the magic box.
1
01:34:21,680 --> 01:34:23,760
It is a great research engine.
However,
1
01:34:24,680 --> 01:34:28,360
when everybody needs Google,
and it's the only research engine,
1
01:34:28,359 --> 01:34:32,960
and it's our window
to the research we need,
1
01:34:32,960 --> 01:34:35,359
it starts to look like
a global monopoly,
1
01:34:35,359 --> 01:34:37,479
and it starts to look like
a public utility.
1
01:34:37,880 --> 01:34:41,359
What did we do
with successful businesses
1
01:34:41,359 --> 01:34:45,759
that had a product line
that was so important
1
01:34:45,760 --> 01:34:47,680
that everybody needed it,
and it was a public good.
1
01:34:47,680 --> 01:34:49,159
What did we do in
the 2nd Industrial Revolution
1
01:34:49,159 --> 01:34:51,479
with the telephone industry?
1
01:34:52,159 --> 01:34:55,279
We, in America—
In other parts of the world,
1
01:34:55,279 --> 01:34:58,279
the government
took over a lot of it—
1
01:34:58,279 --> 01:35:01,759
but in America we kept them
in the private sphere, like AT&T,
1
01:35:01,760 --> 01:35:03,680
but we regulated them as utilities.
1
01:35:04,159 --> 01:35:07,079
And we did this across
the electricity utilities,
1
01:35:07,079 --> 01:35:09,880
the many of the power utilities.
We regulated them.
1
01:35:10,359 --> 01:35:13,279
I think it's naive to believe
that we won't do this.
1
01:35:13,279 --> 01:35:15,880
The Millennials and your children—
This is the new political movement.
1
01:35:15,880 --> 01:35:17,359
You're gonna be asking the question:
1
01:35:17,359 --> 01:35:20,960
How do we get the best
out of these new enterprises,
1
01:35:20,960 --> 01:35:24,560
but they have to be regulated
as public goods, in the realm,
1
01:35:24,560 --> 01:35:28,160
so that we all we all ensure
that we get equal access,
1
01:35:28,680 --> 01:35:31,159
that we have some control
over our creative content and data,
1
01:35:31,159 --> 01:35:32,479
may be through block chains,
1
01:35:32,359 --> 01:35:36,159
and that we're able
to secure our privacy, etc.
1
01:35:36,880 --> 01:35:38,480
Facebook? Same thing.
1
01:35:38,479 --> 01:35:41,079
When the whole human family
has to come together on Facebook
1
01:35:41,079 --> 01:35:43,479
to communicate with each other,
it's a great service,
1
01:35:43,479 --> 01:35:45,679
but it looks like a public good,
it's a utility.
1
01:35:45,680 --> 01:35:48,760
And we're gonna have to have
some kind of global authorities
1
01:35:48,760 --> 01:35:50,560
to regulate them.
Does this make sense?
1
01:35:50,960 --> 01:35:52,960
This is the politics of your generation.
1
01:35:53,760 --> 01:35:57,280
This is the politics of the new
3rd Industrial Revolution.
1
01:35:58,359 --> 01:36:03,759
Hi, I'm Carlin. In the words
of your Wharton alumni,
1
01:36:03,760 --> 01:36:05,680
how do we make America great again?
1
01:36:09,479 --> 01:36:12,879
Let me say something
to take us from another corner.
1
01:36:14,279 --> 01:36:17,880
President Obama
wanted a green economy.
1
01:36:18,760 --> 01:36:22,159
He spent billions and billions
of dollars of our tax money
1
01:36:22,159 --> 01:36:24,359
for a green economy,
and we don't have a green economy.
1
01:36:24,359 --> 01:36:25,679
Why did this happen?
1
01:36:26,680 --> 01:36:29,960
Because the mentality
here in this country
1
01:36:29,960 --> 01:36:33,560
is all we need to do is
use tax money to incentivize,
1
01:36:33,560 --> 01:36:35,080
'cause we want a million Steve Jobs.
1
01:36:36,279 --> 01:36:38,359
So, what happened
with President Obama is he
1
01:36:38,359 --> 01:36:41,759
would incentivize, give
some money to a solar factory here,
1
01:36:41,760 --> 01:36:44,880
a battery factory over there...
Incentivize.
1
01:36:45,479 --> 01:36:47,879
But you can't start with that.
1
01:36:47,880 --> 01:36:50,480
You have to start with incentivizing
the infrastructure itself,
1
01:36:50,479 --> 01:36:52,359
which requires everybody
coming together.
1
01:36:52,359 --> 01:36:54,880
Now, he made
a very famous statement
1
01:36:54,880 --> 01:36:56,960
during his second
presidential campaign,
1
01:36:56,960 --> 01:36:58,079
which got to the heart of it.
1
01:36:58,079 --> 01:37:01,760
You may recall that
he was speaking of small businesses
1
01:37:01,760 --> 01:37:05,079
and he made an offhanded comment
saying, "You didn't build that."
1
01:37:05,079 --> 01:37:09,279
Remember this comment?
It went viral: "You didn't build that."
1
01:37:09,279 --> 01:37:10,479
And they went they went nuts.
1
01:37:11,760 --> 01:37:13,960
He was referring to infrastructure,
1
01:37:13,960 --> 01:37:16,359
and he was trying to say
the infrastructure comes first.
1
01:37:16,359 --> 01:37:18,759
Then you can create
your new businesses with it.
1
01:37:18,760 --> 01:37:21,760
The problem is, they went viral
because the small business said,
1
01:37:21,760 --> 01:37:24,079
"No, we create America!
It's the entrepreneurial spirit!"
1
01:37:24,079 --> 01:37:27,960
We've actually so
dummy down our country
1
01:37:28,680 --> 01:37:31,360
that we actually have no idea
1
01:37:31,359 --> 01:37:34,359
how businesses feed off
the infrastructure that come
1
01:37:34,359 --> 01:37:36,279
from public-private partnerships:
1
01:37:36,279 --> 01:37:38,559
government, industry,
and civil society.
1
01:37:39,279 --> 01:37:41,759
Who do they think
created the public school systems,
1
01:37:41,760 --> 01:37:44,079
so that we could train
the workforces?
1
01:37:44,079 --> 01:37:45,880
Private businesses didn't do that.
1
01:37:45,880 --> 01:37:49,079
Who laid out the interstate highways
with tax money?
1
01:37:49,079 --> 01:37:52,479
You think private businesses will
lay out an interstate highway system
1
01:37:52,479 --> 01:37:54,759
with no lights from coast-to-coast?
1
01:37:55,159 --> 01:37:59,159
Who under wrote all the pipelines
that had to bring in the electricity,
1
01:37:59,159 --> 01:38:01,680
the gas and
the telephone industry?
1
01:38:01,680 --> 01:38:04,280
On and on and on...
In fact, let's look at Steve Jobs!
1
01:38:04,960 --> 01:38:08,159
The fact is that most of the research
that went into his smartphone
1
01:38:08,159 --> 01:38:11,079
was government-funded research;
he marketed the product!
1
01:38:11,760 --> 01:38:13,560
But we've so dummy down
1
01:38:13,560 --> 01:38:15,680
that half the country or more
doesn't want
1
01:38:15,680 --> 01:38:17,960
the government to do anything—
They don't even want the government.
1
01:38:18,479 --> 01:38:20,959
This is the failure of the USA.
1
01:38:21,680 --> 01:38:24,280
We do not have a
social market economy.
1
01:38:24,279 --> 01:38:27,679
Europe does;
other parts of the world do.
1
01:38:28,479 --> 01:38:32,079
But, in America,
we have this whole idea
1
01:38:32,079 --> 01:38:33,559
that it's just
the entrepreneurial spirit.
1
01:38:33,560 --> 01:38:36,280
Let the companies rule,
let the marketplace reign.
1
01:38:36,279 --> 01:38:37,880
This is our death now.
1
01:38:38,479 --> 01:38:42,479
Because, if we can't work together
in each county, in each state
1
01:38:42,479 --> 01:38:45,679
with business, civil society,
and academia,
1
01:38:45,680 --> 01:38:47,280
to lay out this platform
1
01:38:47,279 --> 01:38:49,679
and create the regulations codes
and standards,
1
01:38:49,680 --> 01:38:52,560
then the new businesses come,
then the new models plug in.
1
01:38:52,760 --> 01:38:55,760
So what I'm saying is,
look to the infrastructure.
1
01:38:55,760 --> 01:38:57,480
And your millennial generation,
1
01:38:57,479 --> 01:39:00,959
it's up to you now to bring this
sense of a social market economy
1
01:39:00,960 --> 01:39:02,480
back into the dialogue.
1
01:39:03,479 --> 01:39:05,279
We need government,
we need business,
1
01:39:05,279 --> 01:39:06,759
we need the civil society,
1
01:39:06,760 --> 01:39:09,079
we need public capital,
we need private capital,
1
01:39:09,079 --> 01:39:10,559
and we need social capital.
1
01:39:10,560 --> 01:39:13,280
All three equal players
at the table.
1
01:39:18,359 --> 01:39:20,079
So, here's
what I will say in closing:
1
01:39:23,159 --> 01:39:25,960
I know you get frustrated
and sometimes you think,
1
01:39:25,960 --> 01:39:27,480
"My Gosh, it's going too slow!"
1
01:39:27,880 --> 01:39:29,960
But now's the time
to redouble your efforts.
1
01:39:29,960 --> 01:39:32,560
We all have to
really come together.
1
01:39:34,479 --> 01:39:36,559
We've got one generation
—yours—
1
01:39:36,560 --> 01:39:40,080
to lay down this new consciousness,
this biosphere for consciousness.
1
01:39:42,159 --> 01:39:45,079
Your responsibility to carry this on
1
01:39:45,079 --> 01:39:47,680
is the weight that
no generations had in history.
1
01:39:48,079 --> 01:39:50,079
I don't know of
any period in history
1
01:39:50,079 --> 01:39:53,279
where one generation was
called upon to save the species.
1
01:39:53,680 --> 01:39:56,159
And, if you believe
this is really happening, and it is,
1
01:39:56,159 --> 01:39:59,479
this is actually the responsibility
of the Millennials in this room.
1
01:40:01,479 --> 01:40:04,879
We now have, I think,
potentially a road map and a compass.
1
01:40:05,560 --> 01:40:08,080
It's gonna be up to
the younger generations now.
1
01:40:08,079 --> 01:40:09,559
This is the digital revolution.
1
01:40:09,560 --> 01:40:12,480
You are the digital revolution.
It's your turn.
1
01:40:12,479 --> 01:40:14,559
It seems to me,
if the millennial generation
1
01:40:14,560 --> 01:40:17,080
is ready to create this
new digitally connected world,
1
01:40:17,079 --> 01:40:21,159
it helps us create peace between
economy and society
1
01:40:21,159 --> 01:40:23,279
and the balance for the planet.
It should be now.
1
01:40:23,680 --> 01:40:26,760
And what you have to do is
you have to join together
1
01:40:26,760 --> 01:40:28,560
in the virtual world,
in the physical world,
1
01:40:28,560 --> 01:40:30,480
on the ground, in the communities,
1
01:40:30,479 --> 01:40:32,679
both in the infrastructure
and the politics,
1
01:40:32,680 --> 01:40:34,560
and the social engagement.
1
01:40:35,159 --> 01:40:36,079
You got to make this happen.
1
01:40:38,880 --> 01:40:40,279
I'll give you one little mission:
1
01:40:40,279 --> 01:40:42,759
How long is it gonna take
for a millennial generation
1
01:40:42,760 --> 01:40:45,880
to prepare a bill of particulars
for a declaration of
1
01:40:45,880 --> 01:40:50,079
human responsibilities
and stewardship of our human race,
1
01:40:50,079 --> 01:40:51,559
our fellow creatures
in the planet we live in?
1
01:40:52,359 --> 01:40:54,159
And then you have
a billion young people
1
01:40:54,159 --> 01:40:56,760
in a cohort in Facebook,
and they're all declaring this,
1
01:40:56,760 --> 01:40:58,159
then you're at the table.
1
01:40:58,560 --> 01:41:00,480
You're at the table,
virtually and physically,
1
01:41:00,479 --> 01:41:02,279
and then a billion people strong,
1
01:41:02,279 --> 01:41:04,479
you should be able to do this
in a very short period of time.
1
01:41:04,760 --> 01:41:06,280
This doesn't take
a lot of organizing.
1
01:41:06,680 --> 01:41:09,560
Then you're at the table,
with the new potential monopolies.
1
01:41:09,560 --> 01:41:10,680
You're at the table
with the governments
1
01:41:10,680 --> 01:41:12,159
who would purloined
this for their own ends.
1
01:41:12,159 --> 01:41:14,359
You're at the table
with the special interests
1
01:41:14,359 --> 01:41:17,479
—they want to drag us back
to the 2nd Industrial Revolution.
1
01:41:17,479 --> 01:41:20,159
Come to the table.
Make it happen.
1
01:41:21,159 --> 01:41:22,680
Pass on this legacy,
1
01:41:22,680 --> 01:41:24,760
so when your grandchildren
look back at you they can say
1
01:41:24,760 --> 01:41:25,960
you did the right thing:
1
01:41:26,479 --> 01:41:28,079
You helped replenish the planet,
1
01:41:28,079 --> 01:41:29,559
got us off carbon,
1
01:41:30,359 --> 01:41:33,679
helped show our proper respect
to generations not yet here,
1
01:41:33,680 --> 01:41:35,360
including our fellow creatures.
1
01:41:36,279 --> 01:41:37,479
Thank you. Good night.
1
01:41:49,079 --> 01:41:54,159
Join us.
1
01:42:17,159 --> 01:42:19,559
—Hi.
—Hi, I'm Kelsey.
1
01:42:19,560 --> 01:42:22,560
I study Design and Technology.
What I wanted to say is that—
1
01:42:22,560 --> 01:42:24,760
—You're at Parsons?
—No, SVA.
1
01:42:24,760 --> 01:42:26,360
But, like,
the real problem is that,
1
01:42:26,359 --> 01:42:27,960
a lot of people
who have this passion
1
01:42:27,960 --> 01:42:29,680
and who, like,
really do care about this stuff—
1
01:42:29,680 --> 01:42:31,159
We're getting purchased out, and...
1
01:42:31,159 --> 01:42:33,359
—Yeah.
—So, the real thing is, like,
1
01:42:33,359 --> 01:42:34,759
everyone doesn't have
the same enemies.
1
01:42:34,760 --> 01:42:37,360
Like, the people who really care,
1
01:42:37,359 --> 01:42:39,079
like, they're going
to be purchased,
1
01:42:39,079 --> 01:42:41,559
and they're going to end up
working for someone, somewhere,
1
01:42:41,560 --> 01:42:43,080
and they're gonna feel like
they have to compromise.
1
01:42:43,079 --> 01:42:45,880
Yeah, I understand...
Well, it's a delicate game every day.
1
01:42:45,880 --> 01:42:49,760
You know, as you get older
you have to think about what is—
1
01:42:49,760 --> 01:42:51,280
Life goes really quickly.
1
01:42:51,960 --> 01:42:54,359
And, if one doesn't have
the commitment at 25,
1
01:42:54,359 --> 01:42:55,359
you're not gonna have it at 50.
1
01:42:55,359 --> 01:42:57,679
And, this time,
we need a generation that can stay
1
01:42:57,680 --> 01:43:00,079
close to the mission
all the way through their life,
1
01:43:00,079 --> 01:43:01,079
and pass it on to the kids.
1
01:43:01,079 --> 01:43:04,079
And I understand how
difficult this is. Believe me.
1
01:43:04,680 --> 01:43:06,079
Hi! Thanks for coming.
1
01:43:06,079 --> 01:43:07,680
Thank you so much for this
—very enlightening.
1
01:43:07,680 --> 01:43:09,680
—My pleasure.
—Is there any recommendations
1
01:43:09,680 --> 01:43:11,159
on how to get more involved
at a local level?
1
01:43:11,560 --> 01:43:15,080
Brooklyn's ideal.
Brooklyn should be the place.
1
01:43:15,479 --> 01:43:17,959
Absolutely! This is where
a lot of the startups are.
1
01:43:17,960 --> 01:43:20,359
I 100% agree with you.
1
01:43:20,359 --> 01:43:24,159
I interviewed like 30 people
for the documentary I worked on,
1
01:43:24,159 --> 01:43:27,960
including Global Dryden,
and they all are optimistic long-term.
1
01:43:27,960 --> 01:43:30,760
I'm only guardedly hopeful
that demographics is on our side.
1
01:43:30,760 --> 01:43:31,760
It's called "the Millennials."
1
01:43:31,760 --> 01:43:34,280
Millennial generation
is more sustainable,
1
01:43:34,279 --> 01:43:36,880
more ecological oriented,
but I think it's an uphill battle.
1
01:43:37,479 --> 01:43:38,759
As Thomas Paine said,
1
01:43:38,760 --> 01:43:40,960
"Every generation must recreate
the world anew."
1
01:43:40,960 --> 01:43:43,480
The digital generation;
you're there. Do it!
1
01:43:43,479 --> 01:43:47,359
You don't need to look back
at those who are our history.
1
01:43:47,359 --> 01:43:49,359
Look to the future of
what you want for your children.
1
01:43:50,680 --> 01:43:53,079
—Hi! How are you?
—I just wanna shake your hand.
1
01:43:53,079 --> 01:43:54,559
Thanks for coming.
1
01:43:55,279 --> 01:44:00,359
So, zero marginal cost is possible
if the data centers are for free.
1
01:44:00,359 --> 01:44:01,759
—Yeah.
—We need it!
1
01:44:01,760 --> 01:44:03,159
Well, you have, you know—
it's Wikipedia.
1
01:44:03,159 --> 01:44:05,359
They do nonprofit,
they get contributions,
1
01:44:05,359 --> 01:44:08,079
it's tough, but they make it
because enough people believe in it.
1
01:44:08,079 --> 01:44:09,880
Or you look at Blah Blah Car Etsy.
1
01:44:09,880 --> 01:44:11,760
They've done it with
a little bit commissions.
1
01:44:11,760 --> 01:44:14,079
Look at Patagonia—
they've become a benefit company.
1
01:44:14,279 --> 01:44:16,759
And they say—
There are eight or nine states
1
01:44:16,760 --> 01:44:18,079
that passed legislation now saying,
1
01:44:18,079 --> 01:44:19,479
"Look, if you're a benefit company,
1
01:44:19,479 --> 01:44:21,479
profits don't have to be
a first motive;
1
01:44:21,479 --> 01:44:23,679
therefore you won't risk
hostile takeovers.
1
01:44:24,479 --> 01:44:27,879
So there's a lot of stuff moving,
but it's difficult.
1
01:44:27,880 --> 01:44:29,560
So are you—
I encourage you to do that.
1
01:44:29,560 --> 01:44:31,880
Take some risk.
Don't sell out.
1
01:44:32,680 --> 01:44:33,880
That's what I'm saying.
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