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Would you like to inspect the original subtitles? These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:00,200 --> 00:00:03,880 "The value of information does not 1 00:00:03,879 --> 00:00:07,599 survive the moment in which it was new. 1 00:00:07,599 --> 00:00:11,279 It lives only at that moment; 1 00:00:11,279 --> 00:00:15,000 it has to surrender to it completely 1 00:00:15,000 --> 00:00:18,679 and explain itself to it without losing any time." 1 00:00:18,679 --> 00:00:22,399 "A story is different. It does not expend itself. 1 00:00:22,399 --> 00:00:26,079 It preserves and concentrates its strength 1 00:00:26,079 --> 00:00:29,799 and is capable of releasing it even after a long time." 1 00:00:29,800 --> 00:00:32,799 — Walter Benjamin 1 00:00:42,479 --> 00:00:50,199 Vice Documentary Films IMPACT 1 00:00:51,280 --> 00:00:53,399 PRESENT 1 00:00:55,799 --> 00:01:01,399 THE THIRD INDUSTRIAL REVOLUTION 1 00:01:03,200 --> 00:01:09,799 A RADICAL NEW SHARING ECONOMY 1 00:01:17,200 --> 00:01:23,000 The global economy is in crisis. 1 00:01:26,480 --> 00:01:28,600 Economists warn that we face another 20 years of 1 00:01:28,599 --> 00:01:30,679 declining productivity, slow growth, steep unemployment 1 00:01:30,680 --> 00:01:32,800 and increasing inequality. 1 00:01:35,799 --> 00:01:38,280 The economic downturn is fueling growing discontent toward 1 00:01:38,280 --> 00:01:41,079 governing institutions and spawning extreme political movements 1 00:01:41,079 --> 00:01:43,599 around the world. 1 00:01:46,200 --> 00:01:48,000 And now, after 200 years of industrial activity, 1 00:01:48,000 --> 00:01:49,799 scientists report that climate change is 1 00:01:49,799 --> 00:01:51,599 ravaging the planet, taking us into 1 00:01:51,599 --> 00:01:53,479 the sixth mass extinction of life on Earth. 1 00:01:57,799 --> 00:02:03,799 Where do we go from here? 1 00:02:45,199 --> 00:02:47,079 Jeremy Rifkin is an economic and social theorist 1 00:02:47,080 --> 00:02:49,000 and the author of over 20 books including 1 00:02:49,000 --> 00:02:50,879 "The Zero Marginal Cast Society," "The Third Industrial Revolution," 1 00:02:50,879 --> 00:02:52,799 and "The Empathic Civilization." 1 00:02:53,199 --> 00:02:55,399 He is an advisor to the European Union 1 00:02:55,400 --> 00:02:57,200 and The People's Republic of China, 1 00:02:57,199 --> 00:03:00,799 and a principal architect of their Third Industrial Revolution plans. 1 00:03:24,960 --> 00:03:27,960 Let me start on a very somber note. 1 00:03:29,280 --> 00:03:31,759 I hope it will end up being a liberating reflection. 1 00:03:31,759 --> 00:03:33,560 You'll have to judge. 1 00:03:36,479 --> 00:03:41,679 GDP is slowing all over the world everywhere. 1 00:03:43,360 --> 00:03:48,080 And the reason is productivity has been declining 1 00:03:48,080 --> 00:03:50,880 for twenty years all over the world. 1 00:03:51,080 --> 00:03:54,880 The result: Unemployment is very high everywhere. 1 00:03:54,879 --> 00:03:58,280 And nowhere is it more pronounced than among 1 00:03:58,280 --> 00:04:00,879 the Millennial Generation coming into the workforce. 1 00:04:02,759 --> 00:04:05,959 Our economists tell us that we can look forward to 1 00:04:05,960 --> 00:04:09,960 slow productivity and slow growth for the next 20 years. 1 00:04:10,759 --> 00:04:13,159 And let me do the math for you: 1 00:04:13,879 --> 00:04:15,879 At the end of two industrial revolutions 1 00:04:15,879 --> 00:04:19,759 in the 19th and 20th century, here's the equation: 1 00:04:19,759 --> 00:04:22,680 We have to admit that half the human race 1 00:04:21,079 --> 00:04:24,879 is far better off today 1 00:04:24,879 --> 00:04:28,360 than our ancestors were before we began this industrial experiment. 1 00:04:28,360 --> 00:04:29,360 Granted? 1 00:04:29,680 --> 00:04:34,480 Also we need to acknowledge that 40% of the human race 1 00:04:34,480 --> 00:04:37,080 are making $2 a day or less. 1 00:04:37,079 --> 00:04:40,159 And arguably they are worse off 1 00:04:40,160 --> 00:04:43,680 than their ancestors were before the Industrial experiment. 1 00:04:44,160 --> 00:04:46,160 And the final equation: 1 00:04:46,279 --> 00:04:49,759 The industrial era, while it's benefited half the human race 1 00:04:49,759 --> 00:04:52,360 in detriment to the other half of the human race, 1 00:04:52,360 --> 00:04:56,280 the well-off, the very wealthy have done quite well. 1 00:04:56,759 --> 00:04:59,959 Today, the 62 wealthiest human beings in the world 1 00:04:59,959 --> 00:05:02,959 —we could put them in this little section of the room. 1 00:05:02,959 --> 00:05:06,359 The 62 wealthiest human beings in the world today 1 00:05:06,360 --> 00:05:10,360 their combined wealth equals the accumulated wealth 1 00:05:10,360 --> 00:05:13,879 of one half the human population living on Earth. 1 00:05:13,879 --> 00:05:15,879 Three and a half billion people. 1 00:05:16,560 --> 00:05:19,079 There's something really dysfunctional 1 00:05:19,079 --> 00:05:22,079 about the way the human family is organizing 1 00:05:22,079 --> 00:05:24,680 its economic relationships on this Earth. 1 00:05:25,879 --> 00:05:28,959 It's clear we're in a long-term structural economic crisis 1 00:05:28,959 --> 00:05:31,159 at the end of the 2nd Industrial Revolution. 1 00:05:32,279 --> 00:05:35,559 But now this industrial air has given rise 1 00:05:35,560 --> 00:05:39,560 to a much more profound crisis —an environmental crisis. 1 00:05:40,759 --> 00:05:43,480 We have spewed massive amounts of CO₂ 1 00:05:43,480 --> 00:05:46,480 and methane and nitrous oxide into the atmosphere of this planet 1 00:05:46,480 --> 00:05:48,759 to create this industrial way of life. 1 00:05:48,759 --> 00:05:51,360 And now we have so much CO₂, 1 00:05:51,360 --> 00:05:54,160 methane and nitrous oxide in the atmosphere 1 00:05:54,160 --> 00:05:56,880 that is blocking the sun's heat from getting off the Earth. 1 00:05:57,480 --> 00:06:01,480 We are in real time climate change. 1 00:06:01,480 --> 00:06:03,160 This is no longer a theory. 1 00:06:03,160 --> 00:06:05,480 This is no longer looming on the horizon. 1 00:06:05,480 --> 00:06:07,080 This is no longer imminent. 1 00:06:07,560 --> 00:06:11,560 Climate change is now at the house, in the door. 1 00:06:12,879 --> 00:06:15,480 What's terrifying about climate change 1 00:06:15,480 --> 00:06:17,560 —and unfortunately it's never explained, 1 00:06:17,560 --> 00:06:19,079 because if it were explained, 1 00:06:19,079 --> 00:06:22,479 our human family would be justifiably terrified 1 00:06:22,480 --> 00:06:27,280 and motivated and driven to begin to transform this planet. 1 00:06:28,480 --> 00:06:31,759 Climate change changes the water cycles of the Earth. 1 00:06:32,160 --> 00:06:33,880 That's what this is all about. It's never explained. 1 00:06:37,279 --> 00:06:38,759 We're the watery planet. 1 00:06:38,759 --> 00:06:40,759 Our satellite probes go to other planets 1 00:06:40,759 --> 00:06:43,759 and what's the first thing we look for? Water. 1 00:06:44,079 --> 00:06:45,959 No water? Not interested! 1 00:06:46,079 --> 00:06:49,560 Recently they discovered what they think is dirty water on Mars 1 00:06:49,560 --> 00:06:50,959 and everybody is thrilled. 1 00:06:54,879 --> 00:07:00,879 Our ecosystems on Earth have developed over millions of years 1 00:07:00,879 --> 00:07:03,079 based on the water cycles, 1 00:07:03,079 --> 00:07:05,879 the cloud cycles that traverse them across the Earth. 1 00:07:09,079 --> 00:07:12,759 For every one degree that the temperature of the planet goes up 1 00:07:12,959 --> 00:07:15,560 because of industrial induced CO₂ emissions— 1 00:07:15,879 --> 00:07:19,079 For every one degree that the temperature goes up on this planet, 1 00:07:19,079 --> 00:07:21,479 the atmosphere is actually sucking up 1 00:07:21,480 --> 00:07:23,680 7% more precipitation from the ground. 1 00:07:23,680 --> 00:07:27,280 The heat is forcing the precipitation into the clouds, 1 00:07:27,279 --> 00:07:30,279 so we're getting more concentrated precipitation, 1 00:07:30,279 --> 00:07:33,679 more violent water events, but they're more infrequent, 1 00:07:33,680 --> 00:07:37,160 throwing the entire water cycle of the Earth off kilter. 1 00:07:41,279 --> 00:07:43,679 More blockbuster winter snows. 1 00:07:43,680 --> 00:07:47,680 Eight feet in Boston at last season? My gosh! 1 00:07:48,879 --> 00:07:50,480 More dramatic spring floods 1 00:07:50,480 --> 00:07:52,280 —that flood in the Carolinas, remember? 1 00:07:52,279 --> 00:07:55,879 They said this flood only will occur once every thousand years. 1 00:07:58,879 --> 00:08:00,159 It's the new normal. 1 00:08:01,480 --> 00:08:03,560 More prolonged summer droughts. 1 00:08:03,879 --> 00:08:05,680 My wife and I were in British Columbia 1 00:08:05,680 --> 00:08:08,480 and we're coming into Vancouver. 1 00:08:08,879 --> 00:08:11,159 The pilot says, "We have some smoke coming in." 1 00:08:11,160 --> 00:08:13,680 I turned to my wife and I said, "You mean smog?" 1 00:08:13,680 --> 00:08:14,959 No, he meant smoke. 1 00:08:15,480 --> 00:08:18,960 Wildfires from British Columbia to California. 1 00:08:20,160 --> 00:08:22,160 Summer droughts and wildfire. 1 00:08:23,759 --> 00:08:27,560 We have Category 3, 4, and 5 hurricanes now 1 00:08:27,560 --> 00:08:30,360 —so dramatic that they're destroying infrastructure 1 00:08:30,360 --> 00:08:32,080 and killing people all over the world. 1 00:08:32,080 --> 00:08:34,280 That hurricane that hit the Philippines— 1 00:08:35,879 --> 00:08:39,360 This was the most powerful hurricane ever recorded. 1 00:08:40,480 --> 00:08:42,080 This is the new normal. 1 00:08:42,759 --> 00:08:44,759 What I'm saying here is that climate change 1 00:08:44,759 --> 00:08:47,879 is dramatically changing the water cycles. 1 00:08:47,879 --> 00:08:49,480 They're out an exponential curve. 1 00:08:50,559 --> 00:08:53,079 This is absolutely frightening. 1 00:08:54,559 --> 00:08:55,879 It's terrifying. 1 00:08:58,279 --> 00:09:02,480 And, if you are a young millennial about to start a family— 1 00:09:02,480 --> 00:09:05,279 If you're a parent here or a grandparent. 1 00:09:05,279 --> 00:09:06,679 I want you to listen to this. 1 00:09:07,960 --> 00:09:10,759 Our scientists now tell us that we are in the sixth 1 00:09:10,759 --> 00:09:12,960 extinction event of life on Earth. 1 00:09:13,759 --> 00:09:15,679 It doesn't even make the headlines. 1 00:09:15,679 --> 00:09:20,679 This is the most dramatic story a human family has ever faced. 1 00:09:21,159 --> 00:09:24,480 There have been five mass extinction events on Earth 1 00:09:24,480 --> 00:09:25,759 in 450 million years. 1 00:09:25,759 --> 00:09:29,559 And each time the chemistry of the planet shifts very quickly 1 00:09:29,559 --> 00:09:31,079 —there's what we call a turning point— 1 00:09:30,080 --> 00:09:32,560 and massive die out. 1 00:09:33,559 --> 00:09:35,759 And after the massive die out of life, 1 00:09:35,759 --> 00:09:38,279 it takes upwards of 10 million years 1 00:09:38,279 --> 00:09:40,360 to get new life back on Earth. 1 00:09:40,960 --> 00:09:44,560 Our scientists now tell us we are in the sixth extinction event 1 00:09:44,559 --> 00:09:46,879 This is not a model— we're chronicling it in real time. 1 00:09:48,480 --> 00:09:52,360 And what they're saying is that over the next seven decades 1 00:09:52,360 --> 00:09:55,879 —and many of you will be around for a lot of that, 1 00:09:55,879 --> 00:09:58,679 and your children will —in the next seven decades 1 00:09:58,679 --> 00:10:01,279 we could lose over half the species of life 1 00:10:01,279 --> 00:10:04,279 that now inhabits this little oasis in the universe. 1 00:10:11,759 --> 00:10:14,879 As my wife says, we just are not grasping 1 00:10:14,679 --> 00:10:16,879 the enormity of this moment. 1 00:10:17,960 --> 00:10:19,480 We might acknowledge climate change, 1 00:10:19,480 --> 00:10:21,680 but we're going on as business as usual, 1 00:10:21,679 --> 00:10:23,079 with a little green washing. 1 00:10:24,480 --> 00:10:30,759 99.5% of all the species that ever been on this planet 1 00:10:30,759 --> 00:10:33,679 have come and gone. Those are not good odds. 1 00:10:34,360 --> 00:10:37,560 And what's interesting is, human beings— 1 00:10:37,559 --> 00:10:40,359 We're the actual youngest species, we're the babies. 1 00:10:40,879 --> 00:10:44,480 Anatomically modern humans have only been here about 200,000 years. 1 00:10:45,080 --> 00:10:48,080 There's no guarantee we're gonna make this. 1 00:10:48,480 --> 00:10:50,360 And the new studies that have just come out 1 00:10:51,080 --> 00:10:53,879 they're even more terrifying because they're seeing the 1 00:10:54,080 --> 00:10:58,280 freshwater melts in the Arctic, now in Greenland and now in Antarctica 1 00:10:58,279 --> 00:11:01,360 much quicker than we expected changing the ocean currents. 1 00:11:08,360 --> 00:11:10,159 And they're talking about storms 1 00:11:10,159 --> 00:11:12,879 that are beyond anything we can imagine, 1 00:11:12,879 --> 00:11:15,480 that we've ever seen in human history by the end of this century. 1 00:11:18,759 --> 00:11:20,559 Talking about the major coastal cities, 1 00:11:20,559 --> 00:11:23,759 where much of our urban population is, underwater. 1 00:11:24,559 --> 00:11:26,559 This is not a century from now. 1 00:11:27,080 --> 00:11:29,560 This is in the lifetime of many young people 1 00:11:29,559 --> 00:11:32,879 who are four and five now and will be my age when 1 00:11:32,879 --> 00:11:36,960 we're in full steam into this new era, this abyss. 1 00:11:40,679 --> 00:11:42,279 So what do we do? 1 00:11:43,279 --> 00:11:45,759 We need a new economic vision for the world. 1 00:11:45,759 --> 00:11:47,159 It has to be compelling. 1 00:11:48,480 --> 00:11:51,080 We needed a game plan to deploy that vision 1 00:11:51,159 --> 00:11:52,879 and it needs to be quick. 1 00:11:53,559 --> 00:11:57,079 It needs to move as quickly in the developing countries 1 00:11:57,080 --> 00:11:59,360 as in the industrialized nations. 1 00:12:00,879 --> 00:12:06,080 If we have any chance of arresting the worst of this climate change 1 00:12:06,080 --> 00:12:09,480 we're gonna have to be off carbon in four decades everywhere. 1 00:12:09,080 --> 00:12:13,879 This is beyond anything we're talking about at global conferences. 1 00:12:14,679 --> 00:12:17,959 How do we begin to tackle something of this magnitude? 1 00:12:18,879 --> 00:12:20,559 We need to step back and reflect 1 00:12:20,559 --> 00:12:23,759 on how the great economic paradigm shifts in history occur. 1 00:12:25,279 --> 00:12:27,279 If we know how they occur, 1 00:12:27,279 --> 00:12:30,480 we're gonna get a road map here in this room and around the world, 1 00:12:30,480 --> 00:12:35,080 and we're gonna get a compass that allow us to navigate a new journey 1 00:12:35,080 --> 00:12:38,360 to completely transform the way we handle life on Earth. 1 00:12:38,360 --> 00:12:40,680 CHAPTER ONE: The Great Economic Revolutions in History 1 00:12:40,679 --> 00:12:42,679 There have been at least seven 1 00:12:42,679 --> 00:12:45,359 major economic paradigm shifts in history, 1 00:12:45,360 --> 00:12:47,879 and they're very interesting anthropologically because 1 00:12:47,879 --> 00:12:49,879 they share a common denominator. 1 00:12:50,559 --> 00:12:52,759 And that is at a certain moment of time 1 00:12:53,559 --> 00:12:56,879 three technologies emerge and converge 1 00:12:56,879 --> 00:12:58,759 to create what we call in engineering 1 00:12:58,759 --> 00:13:01,360 a general-purpose technology platform. 1 00:13:01,360 --> 00:13:04,879 That's a fancy way of saying "a new infrastructure." 1 00:13:04,759 --> 00:13:07,159 It fundamentally changes 1 00:13:07,159 --> 00:13:10,480 the way we manage power and move economic life. 1 00:13:11,279 --> 00:13:13,480 What are those three technologies? 1 00:13:14,080 --> 00:13:17,080 First, new communication technologies 1 00:13:17,080 --> 00:13:20,280 to allow us to more efficiently manage our economic activity. 1 00:13:20,559 --> 00:13:23,679 Second, new sources of energy 1 00:13:23,679 --> 00:13:27,359 to allow us to more efficiently power our economic activity. 1 00:13:27,759 --> 00:13:32,679 And third, new modes of mobility —transportation logistics— 1 00:13:32,679 --> 00:13:35,879 to allow us to more efficiently move the economic activity. 1 00:13:34,559 --> 00:13:40,359 So when communication revolutions join with new energy regimes, 1 00:13:40,360 --> 00:13:42,759 and new modes of transportation 1 00:13:42,759 --> 00:13:46,279 it does change the way we manage power and move economic life. 1 00:13:46,759 --> 00:13:49,360 It changes temporal spatial orientation. 1 00:13:49,360 --> 00:13:51,480 It changes our habitats. 1 00:13:51,480 --> 00:13:54,680 It allows us to integrate in larger units. 1 00:13:54,679 --> 00:13:56,959 It actually even changes consciousness and governance. 1 00:13:57,679 --> 00:13:59,479 Let me give you two examples: 1 00:14:01,080 --> 00:14:03,080 First Industrial Revolution, 19th century. 1 00:14:03,080 --> 00:14:05,080 Second Industrial Revolution, 20th century. 1 00:14:07,559 --> 00:14:10,079 The Brits took us into the first Industrial Revolution. 1 00:14:12,679 --> 00:14:14,479 And first there was a communication revolution. 1 00:14:14,480 --> 00:14:16,960 They invented steam-powered printing. 1 00:14:17,879 --> 00:14:19,679 No more manual print presses. 1 00:14:20,480 --> 00:14:22,879 Steam power printing was a big leap forward, 1 00:14:22,879 --> 00:14:26,279 because it allowed us to mass produce very cheap print quickly. 1 00:14:27,279 --> 00:14:29,959 Then, in the second half of the 19th century, 1 00:14:29,960 --> 00:14:32,680 the Brits lay out a telegraph system across the British Isles. 1 00:14:33,480 --> 00:14:35,080 Steam power printing and the telegraph: 1 00:14:35,080 --> 00:14:38,080 those communication technologies then converged with 1 00:14:38,080 --> 00:14:41,280 a completely new source of energy in Britain called coal. 1 00:14:42,879 --> 00:14:46,080 But how are they gonna take that coal and harvest it? 1 00:14:47,759 --> 00:14:48,879 They invented the steam engine. 1 00:14:51,279 --> 00:14:52,959 Then this is ingenious: 1 00:14:52,960 --> 00:14:56,480 They figured out that they should put the steam engine on rails, 1 00:14:56,480 --> 00:14:59,560 for locomotives, national transport and logistics. 1 00:15:03,159 --> 00:15:05,879 Urban life, the Industrial Revolution, 1 00:15:05,879 --> 00:15:06,879 steam power. 1 00:15:09,559 --> 00:15:11,959 Second Industrial Revolution: the United States. 1 00:15:14,279 --> 00:15:16,079 Centralized electricity 1 00:15:18,080 --> 00:15:19,960 and especially the telephone. 1 00:15:19,559 --> 00:15:21,879 I know we think the Internet's a big deal, 1 00:15:21,879 --> 00:15:25,080 but a telephone was a really big deal. 1 00:15:25,080 --> 00:15:26,879 All of a sudden, people could communicate 1 00:15:26,879 --> 00:15:29,080 at vast distances at the speed of light. 1 00:15:33,559 --> 00:15:35,359 Later, radio and television. 1 00:15:38,679 --> 00:15:41,159 These communication technologies 1 00:15:41,159 --> 00:15:44,879 converge in the United States with a completely new energy source. 1 00:15:47,960 --> 00:15:50,080 Cheap Texas oil. 1 00:15:50,960 --> 00:15:53,560 Then, Henry Ford put everybody on the road 1 00:15:53,559 --> 00:15:55,279 with cars, buses, and trucks. 1 00:16:01,679 --> 00:16:03,279 Second Industrial Revolution changed 1 00:16:03,279 --> 00:16:05,559 the way we manage power and move economic life. 1 00:16:06,559 --> 00:16:09,959 That second Industrial Revolution took us through the 20th century. 1 00:16:10,559 --> 00:16:12,879 It took the whole world through the 20th century. 1 00:16:12,879 --> 00:16:16,080 And it peaked in July 2008. 1 00:16:19,559 --> 00:16:22,079 Hi! Welcome back to the show here: Oil! Oil! Oil! 1 00:16:22,080 --> 00:16:23,759 To $147 we went— 1 00:16:23,759 --> 00:16:25,080 Remember that month? 1 00:16:26,480 --> 00:16:29,080 In that month, Brent crude oil 1 00:16:29,080 --> 00:16:34,080 had a record price of $147 dollars on world markets 1 00:16:34,080 --> 00:16:36,480 and, when it hit that record price, 1 00:16:36,480 --> 00:16:39,279 the whole global economy shut down. 1 00:16:39,279 --> 00:16:40,759 Silence. 1 00:16:40,159 --> 00:16:42,480 Completely gone. 1 00:16:43,360 --> 00:16:45,480 That was the economic earthquake. 1 00:16:45,879 --> 00:16:49,080 The collapse of the financial markets 60 days later 1 00:16:49,080 --> 00:16:50,560 was the aftershock. 1 00:16:50,879 --> 00:16:53,960 Mayhem, carnage, and bloodbath. 1 00:16:54,159 --> 00:16:55,879 Call it what you want, but what we saw 1 00:16:55,879 --> 00:16:59,559 on global stock markets today was ill-disguised panic. 1 00:17:00,360 --> 00:17:02,360 Good evening. This was the day after 1 00:17:02,360 --> 00:17:06,160 what may someday be called Black Monday on Wall Street 1 00:17:06,160 --> 00:17:09,560 because it was perhaps the worst financial collapse 1 00:17:09,559 --> 00:17:11,359 since the Great Depression. 1 00:17:12,279 --> 00:17:15,079 Our policy leaders are still dealing with the aftershock, 1 00:17:15,079 --> 00:17:16,480 not the Earthquake. 1 00:17:17,759 --> 00:17:19,279 Why was it the Earthquake? 1 00:17:19,680 --> 00:17:22,560 Because the entire Industrial Revolution 1 00:17:22,559 --> 00:17:24,359 that we've gone through 1 00:17:24,359 --> 00:17:26,559 is all dependent on the carbon deposits 1 00:17:26,559 --> 00:17:28,759 of a previous period in history. 1 00:17:28,960 --> 00:17:31,559 You know, if we look back let's say that we make it 1 00:17:31,559 --> 00:17:33,559 through this next period of history. 1 00:17:33,960 --> 00:17:36,759 I always wonder what will future generations think of us, 1 00:17:36,759 --> 00:17:38,359 maybe in a hundred thousand years from now. 1 00:17:38,359 --> 00:17:40,359 They'll say, "Oh, yes, we remember them." 1 00:17:40,759 --> 00:17:43,559 "There was the Bronze Age, the Iron Age." 1 00:17:43,559 --> 00:17:45,159 "These were the fossil fuel people." 1 00:17:45,759 --> 00:17:48,680 "They dug up the burial grounds of the Carboniferous era 1 00:17:48,680 --> 00:17:52,880 and created a short-lived dramatic and very dangerous civilization." 1 00:17:57,160 --> 00:17:58,880 It's all about fossil fuels. 1 00:17:59,359 --> 00:18:02,359 Our fertilizers and pesticides are made out of fossil fuels. 1 00:18:03,160 --> 00:18:05,759 Our construction materials are made out of fossil fuels. 1 00:18:06,160 --> 00:18:09,279 Most of our pharmaceutical products are made out of fossil fuels. 1 00:18:09,279 --> 00:18:12,079 Our synthetic fiber, our power, 1 00:18:12,079 --> 00:18:13,759 our transport, our heating lights— 1 00:18:13,759 --> 00:18:16,079 all made out of, moved by fossil fuels. 1 00:18:16,759 --> 00:18:20,279 When the price of oil goes over around $95 a barrel, 1 00:18:20,279 --> 00:18:22,079 all the other prices go up. 1 00:18:22,559 --> 00:18:25,879 When we get into the zone of around $115 a barrel, 1 00:18:25,880 --> 00:18:29,560 prices become so high, the purchasing power slows. 1 00:18:31,079 --> 00:18:33,559 This is the sunset of a great industrial era. 1 00:18:34,279 --> 00:18:37,079 Now you remember in 2009 oil went down to 50 a barrel, 1 00:18:37,039 --> 00:18:39,079 because the economy had shut down. 1 00:18:39,359 --> 00:18:40,559 There was no activity. 1 00:18:41,359 --> 00:18:44,079 In 2010, we tried to regrow inventories, 1 00:18:44,759 --> 00:18:48,759 so oil prices started to go up all the other prices go up. 1 00:18:48,759 --> 00:18:53,079 In 2014 we hit a new peak of $114 or $115 a barrel. 1 00:18:53,079 --> 00:18:55,480 Purchasing power slowed down again. 1 00:18:55,880 --> 00:18:59,880 This is a convulsion of growth-shutdown, growth-shutdown. 1 00:19:00,559 --> 00:19:03,079 And the only reason oil went down 1 00:19:03,079 --> 00:19:05,559 in the last few years to $30 a barrel 1 00:19:05,559 --> 00:19:08,759 is now the fossil fuel industry is fighting among themselves. 1 00:19:08,759 --> 00:19:10,359 In the sunset. 1 00:19:10,359 --> 00:19:13,559 OPEC said, "We're gonna keep the oil spigot open." 1 00:19:13,559 --> 00:19:15,559 "We're gonna flood the world with oil." 1 00:19:15,960 --> 00:19:18,360 "And that's gonna take the price down the $30 a barrel 1 00:19:18,359 --> 00:19:21,959 and wipe out our new competitors, the more exotic fossil fuels: 1 00:19:21,960 --> 00:19:26,079 shale gas in the US, tar sands in Canada." Guess what? 1 00:19:25,960 --> 00:19:28,559 They wiped them out —only took a year and a half. 1 00:19:29,079 --> 00:19:32,079 Bankruptcies across the USA in the shale gas industry. 1 00:19:33,480 --> 00:19:35,559 And now tar sands in Canada. 1 00:19:35,559 --> 00:19:36,960 The pipeline's not happening. 1 00:19:36,960 --> 00:19:40,360 And do you hear anybody talking about energy independent right now? 1 00:19:40,359 --> 00:19:41,559 It's over! 1 00:19:42,279 --> 00:19:45,359 And, as soon as the bankruptcies complete themselves, 1 00:19:45,359 --> 00:19:47,759 the oil prices are now starting to go back up. 1 00:19:48,759 --> 00:19:52,759 But now we have failed states where there's oil production. 1 00:19:52,759 --> 00:19:54,359 We have failed States. 1 00:19:54,359 --> 00:19:57,759 So this is a volatile, convulsive sunset 1 00:19:57,759 --> 00:20:01,079 over the next 40 to 50 years —an unstable world. 1 00:20:02,559 --> 00:20:04,279 Where do we head from here? 1 00:20:06,079 --> 00:20:07,559 Let me share an anecdote. 1 00:20:09,079 --> 00:20:11,759 When Angela Merkel became Chancellor of Germany, 1 00:20:11,759 --> 00:20:13,079 she asked me to come to Berlin 1 00:20:13,079 --> 00:20:14,879 in the first couple of weeks of her new government 1 00:20:14,880 --> 00:20:16,760 to help her address the question of how 1 00:20:16,759 --> 00:20:18,879 to grow the German economy on her watch. 1 00:20:19,079 --> 00:20:21,279 Now, remember: In terms of per capita 1 00:20:21,279 --> 00:20:24,759 Germany's the most robust capitalist market economy in the world. 1 00:20:25,960 --> 00:20:26,960 When I got to Berlin, 1 00:20:26,960 --> 00:20:29,079 the first question I asked the new chancellor— 1 00:20:29,079 --> 00:20:32,679 I said, "Madam Chancellor how are you gonna grow the German economy 1 00:20:32,680 --> 00:20:38,080 when your businesses are plugged in to a platform, an infrastructure 1 00:20:38,079 --> 00:20:40,559 of centralized telecommunication, 1 00:20:40,559 --> 00:20:42,879 fossil fuel nuclear power, 1 00:20:42,880 --> 00:20:46,560 internal combustion, road rail water, and air transport 1 00:20:46,559 --> 00:20:50,679 —and that infrastructure peaked in its productivity, 1 00:20:50,680 --> 00:20:52,560 in Germany, years ago? 1 00:20:52,680 --> 00:20:54,560 CHAPTER TWO: The Science of Productivity. 1 00:20:54,559 --> 00:20:56,359 Let me talk about productivity. 1 00:20:56,359 --> 00:20:57,759 This is crucial. 1 00:20:58,559 --> 00:21:00,559 Our economists are lamenting. 1 00:21:00,559 --> 00:21:03,559 They're asking, "Why's productivity been declining for 20 years?" 1 00:21:03,559 --> 00:21:06,759 "We have all these new killer products coming out of Silicon Valley." 1 00:21:06,759 --> 00:21:08,559 "Why is productivity declining?" 1 00:21:09,359 --> 00:21:11,079 I'm gonna share with you a dirty little secret 1 00:21:11,079 --> 00:21:13,679 in economics that economists don't like to talk about. 1 00:21:15,079 --> 00:21:17,279 We used to believe that there are two factors 1 00:21:17,279 --> 00:21:20,079 that drive productivity in standard economic theory: 1 00:21:20,559 --> 00:21:23,960 Better machines and better performing workers. 1 00:21:25,079 --> 00:21:27,759 But when Robert Solow won the Nobel Prize 1 00:21:27,759 --> 00:21:29,879 for economic growth theory in the mid-1980s, 1 00:21:29,880 --> 00:21:31,280 he actually let the little secret out. 1 00:21:32,079 --> 00:21:33,559 He said, "We've got a problem here." 1 00:21:33,559 --> 00:21:36,559 When we trace every single year of the Industrial Revolution 1 00:21:36,559 --> 00:21:39,879 these two factors —better machines, better workers— 1 00:21:39,880 --> 00:21:43,280 it only accounts for about 14% of the productivity. 1 00:21:44,359 --> 00:21:46,479 So Robert Solow asked the big question: 1 00:21:46,480 --> 00:21:49,880 "Where does the other 86% of productivity come from?" 1 00:21:50,480 --> 00:21:51,360 Don't know. 1 00:21:52,480 --> 00:21:53,880 Moses Abramowitz, the former head of the 1 00:21:53,880 --> 00:21:56,080 American Economic Association said, 1 00:21:56,079 --> 00:21:58,079 "This is a measure of our ignorance." 1 00:21:58,079 --> 00:22:00,079 Now wouldn't you think economists would know 1 00:22:00,079 --> 00:22:01,279 where productivity comes from, 1 00:22:01,279 --> 00:22:03,480 because that's the basis of the discipline? 1 00:22:03,480 --> 00:22:04,559 Here's why they don't know. 1 00:22:06,559 --> 00:22:08,879 When classical economic theory was penned 1 00:22:08,880 --> 00:22:10,480 in the late seventeen hundreds, 1 00:22:10,480 --> 00:22:12,559 the Vogue was Newton's physics. 1 00:22:12,559 --> 00:22:14,279 Newton was the big guy in town. 1 00:22:14,680 --> 00:22:16,680 Everybody wanted to use Newton's metaphor 1 00:22:16,680 --> 00:22:18,360 so they could be more scientific 1 00:22:18,359 --> 00:22:22,079 because he had discovered the laws that run the universe—supposedly. 1 00:22:23,079 --> 00:22:25,879 The economists also fell in line. 1 00:22:26,880 --> 00:22:28,680 For example, you know Newton's law: 1 00:22:28,680 --> 00:22:30,880 "For every action there's an equal and opposite reaction." 1 00:22:32,160 --> 00:22:33,759 Adam Smith borrowed that metaphor 1 00:22:33,759 --> 00:22:35,759 for his invisible hand of supply and demand. 1 00:22:35,759 --> 00:22:37,879 "For every action on the supply side 1 00:22:37,880 --> 00:22:40,280 there's an equal and opposite reaction on the demand side." 1 00:22:40,480 --> 00:22:44,079 Newton's law: "A body in motion stays in motion unless disrupted." 1 00:22:44,079 --> 00:22:46,879 Baptiste Say borrowed that metaphor —the French economist. 1 00:22:47,160 --> 00:22:49,960 And he suggested that, "Well supply will stimulate demand, 1 00:22:49,960 --> 00:22:52,480 which will generate supply, which will stimulate demand 1 00:22:52,480 --> 00:22:54,079 —unless disrupted." 1 00:22:54,680 --> 00:22:57,960 All of our economic theory, if you go back and take a look at it— 1 00:22:57,960 --> 00:23:01,680 it's all based on Newton's metaphors in physics. 1 00:23:01,960 --> 00:23:04,279 There's only one problem with this: 1 00:23:04,279 --> 00:23:08,160 Newton's physics has absolutely nothing to do with economics. 1 00:23:08,359 --> 00:23:09,559 Nothing. 1 00:23:10,480 --> 00:23:11,480 Nothing. 1 00:23:12,680 --> 00:23:16,880 economics is governed by the same laws that govern the universe, 1 00:23:16,880 --> 00:23:19,360 the solar system, the biosphere on Earth, 1 00:23:19,359 --> 00:23:22,559 and every single thing you and I do in our economic life 1 00:23:22,559 --> 00:23:24,159 while we're here on this planet. 1 00:23:25,759 --> 00:23:28,480 Here are the two laws that govern everything in the universe, 1 00:23:28,480 --> 00:23:29,880 including our economy. 1 00:23:30,559 --> 00:23:32,679 The first law of Energy says: 1 00:23:33,160 --> 00:23:36,080 "All the energy in the universe is constant." 1 00:23:36,359 --> 00:23:40,079 "Since the Big Bang, no new energy has been created." 1 00:23:40,079 --> 00:23:42,079 "No energy has been destroyed since the Big Bang." 1 00:23:42,880 --> 00:23:44,360 That's the conservation law. 1 00:23:44,680 --> 00:23:47,759 The second law of energy says that's true 1 00:23:47,759 --> 00:23:49,480 that the energy isn't created or destroyed, 1 00:23:49,480 --> 00:23:53,759 but it always changes form, but only in one direction. 1 00:23:53,759 --> 00:23:58,160 From concentrated—the Big Bang— to dispersed through the galaxies. 1 00:23:58,759 --> 00:24:02,160 From hot to cooled off through the galaxies. 1 00:24:02,960 --> 00:24:07,279 From order to disorder. From available to unavailable. 1 00:24:07,559 --> 00:24:11,480 Entropy is a measure of the energy that's still there, but 1 00:24:11,480 --> 00:24:13,079 not available to do useful work. 1 00:24:14,279 --> 00:24:17,480 There are three systems that we can talk about in thermodynamics: 1 00:24:17,480 --> 00:24:21,160 an open system that exchanges matter and energy with the outside world; 1 00:24:20,279 --> 00:24:24,879 a closed system, which exchanges energy with the outside world, 1 00:24:24,880 --> 00:24:26,160 but does an exchange matter; 1 00:24:26,160 --> 00:24:29,680 and an isolated system, which doesn't exchange matter or energy 1 00:24:29,680 --> 00:24:30,680 with the outside world. 1 00:24:31,359 --> 00:24:35,359 The Earth in relation to the solar system and Sun is B. 1 00:24:35,359 --> 00:24:37,159 We get plenty of energy from the Sun, 1 00:24:37,160 --> 00:24:39,480 we don't have to worry about this for billions of years. 1 00:24:40,279 --> 00:24:43,480 But in terms of the fixed matter on this planet 1 00:24:43,480 --> 00:24:46,160 we don't have a lot of additional matter coming down here. 1 00:24:46,160 --> 00:24:48,680 We get a few meteorites, a little cosmic dust, 1 00:24:48,680 --> 00:24:51,080 but whatever we have in terms of fixed matter 1 00:24:51,079 --> 00:24:54,079 —which is a form of energy—has been here since we blew off the Sun 1 00:24:54,079 --> 00:24:54,960 and cooled off. 1 00:24:55,680 --> 00:24:57,960 All of you have smartphones on you right now and 1 00:24:57,960 --> 00:25:00,680 there are little granules of rare Earths in those phones. 1 00:25:01,759 --> 00:25:03,759 They've been here since the Earth has been here. 1 00:25:03,759 --> 00:25:05,759 That's a form of energy as a material form. 1 00:25:06,759 --> 00:25:10,759 So here's what economics is all about: 1 00:25:11,759 --> 00:25:14,759 We extract low entropy, available energy in nature 1 00:25:14,759 --> 00:25:18,079 —a rare Earth, a metallic ore, a fossil fuel— 1 00:25:18,359 --> 00:25:20,879 we extract it and then, through our value chains, 1 00:25:20,880 --> 00:25:25,160 we store it, we ship it, we produce goods and services from it, 1 00:25:25,160 --> 00:25:27,480 we consume it, we recycle it back to nature. 1 00:25:27,480 --> 00:25:28,960 Those are value chains. 1 00:25:29,279 --> 00:25:32,879 At every step of conversion, —when we take nature's resources 1 00:25:32,880 --> 00:25:35,680 and move it through society— at every step of conversion 1 00:25:35,680 --> 00:25:40,279 we have to embed energy into that good or service 1 00:25:40,279 --> 00:25:42,759 to get it to the next stage of what it becomes. 1 00:25:42,759 --> 00:25:46,559 But we lose some energy in the process of that conversion. 1 00:25:47,480 --> 00:25:50,759 This is called "aggregate efficiency" in economics. 1 00:25:51,279 --> 00:25:55,559 Aggregate efficiency is the ratio of the potential work 1 00:25:55,559 --> 00:25:57,879 versus the actual useful work you actually embed 1 00:25:57,880 --> 00:25:59,760 in the good or service. 1 00:25:59,759 --> 00:26:00,879 Let me give you an example. 1 00:26:01,880 --> 00:26:04,080 Nature has the same economic conditions 1 00:26:04,079 --> 00:26:06,079 that we have in our human economy. 1 00:26:07,559 --> 00:26:12,079 If a lion chases down an antelope in the wild, 1 00:26:12,960 --> 00:26:13,759 then kills it, 1 00:26:14,359 --> 00:26:18,759 about 10-20% of the total energy that's in that antelope 1 00:26:18,759 --> 00:26:20,480 gets embedded into the lion. 1 00:26:20,480 --> 00:26:22,480 The rest is heat lost in the conversion. 1 00:26:22,960 --> 00:26:24,960 That's the aggregate efficiency. 1 00:26:25,960 --> 00:26:28,680 What does this have to do with my conversation 1 00:26:28,680 --> 00:26:30,160 with the Chancellor of Germany? 1 00:26:31,480 --> 00:26:33,759 She's a physicist, you know, by background. 1 00:26:33,759 --> 00:26:35,480 So here's what I said to her. 1 00:26:36,079 --> 00:26:39,679 We started the 2nd Industrial Revolution in 1905 in the USA 1 00:26:39,680 --> 00:26:41,960 with 3% aggregate efficiency. 1 00:26:41,960 --> 00:26:45,079 At every conversion of nature's resources through the value chain, 1 00:26:45,079 --> 00:26:48,759 we lost about 97%—it didn't get into the product or service. 1 00:26:49,480 --> 00:26:55,680 By 1990, the US got up to about 14% aggregate efficiency. 1 00:26:56,359 --> 00:26:59,679 That was our ceiling —nothing's changed since then. 1 00:27:00,680 --> 00:27:03,680 And I reported to the Chancellor that Germany got up to about 1 00:27:03,680 --> 00:27:06,680 18.5% aggregate efficiency. 1 00:27:06,680 --> 00:27:09,080 That was their ceiling. Nothing's changed. 1 00:27:09,079 --> 00:27:12,480 Anybody wanna guess which country led the world 1 00:27:12,480 --> 00:27:13,759 in aggregate efficiency? 1 00:27:13,759 --> 00:27:15,480 —China? —Japan? 1 00:27:15,480 --> 00:27:16,480 Japan! 1 00:27:16,480 --> 00:27:19,680 20% aggregate efficiency, 1990s, reached its ceiling. 1 00:27:21,079 --> 00:27:23,359 What I'm saying to the Chancellor is this: 1 00:27:24,079 --> 00:27:28,879 You can have market reforms, labor reforms, monetary reforms. 1 00:27:28,880 --> 00:27:31,280 You can create incentives for killer new products. 1 00:27:31,279 --> 00:27:33,160 You can try to create a million Steve Jobs. 1 00:27:33,880 --> 00:27:35,680 It won't make a damn bit of difference. 1 00:27:35,880 --> 00:27:38,680 If your businesses are still plugged in 1 00:27:38,680 --> 00:27:41,360 to a 2nd Industrial Revolution infrastructure 1 00:27:41,359 --> 00:27:43,359 you can't get above the ceiling 1 00:27:43,359 --> 00:27:46,279 of 20% aggregate efficiency anywhere in the world. 1 00:27:47,480 --> 00:27:49,079 Why is this important? 1 00:27:49,359 --> 00:27:53,479 A new generation of economists who happen to study physics 1 00:27:53,480 --> 00:27:56,360 have gone back and looked at the industrial record 1 00:27:56,359 --> 00:27:58,759 and they added a third factor to productivity: 1 00:27:58,759 --> 00:28:03,079 better machines, better workers, aggregate efficiency. 1 00:28:03,079 --> 00:28:07,359 The ratio—yes, it's so obvious! The ratio of potential to useful work. 1 00:28:07,359 --> 00:28:09,359 When they put in that third factor, 1 00:28:09,359 --> 00:28:11,959 it accounts for much of the rest of productivity. 1 00:28:12,359 --> 00:28:13,959 Henry Ford could have told you this. 1 00:28:13,960 --> 00:28:16,160 In fact every engineer could have told you this. 1 00:28:16,160 --> 00:28:17,960 Every architect could have told you this. 1 00:28:17,960 --> 00:28:19,880 Every biologist could have told you this. 1 00:28:19,880 --> 00:28:21,080 Every chemist could have told you this. 1 00:28:21,079 --> 00:28:24,480 They all have to start their training in school 1 00:28:24,480 --> 00:28:27,680 by learning these two laws of energy that govern the universe. 1 00:28:28,559 --> 00:28:30,480 I teach in the oldest Business School in the world. 1 00:28:30,880 --> 00:28:32,880 I taught the advanced management program 1 00:28:32,880 --> 00:28:34,680 at the Wharton School for 15 years. 1 00:28:34,680 --> 00:28:37,360 Not a single business school in the world 1 00:28:37,359 --> 00:28:40,679 today, right now, requires that you learn about 1 00:28:40,680 --> 00:28:42,680 the 1st and 2nd laws of thermodynamics 1 00:28:42,680 --> 00:28:44,880 that govern economic activity. 1 00:28:45,359 --> 00:28:47,079 How shameful is this? 1 00:28:48,480 --> 00:28:50,880 So, in that first day with the Chancellor 1 00:28:51,359 --> 00:28:53,279 we discussed a 3rd Industrial Revolution: 1 00:28:53,880 --> 00:28:56,080 a new convergence of communication, 1 00:28:56,079 --> 00:28:57,759 energy and transportation 1 00:28:57,759 --> 00:28:59,759 to manage power and move Germany. 1 00:29:01,279 --> 00:29:03,879 At the end of the day, in a private session, 1 00:29:03,880 --> 00:29:05,960 the Chancellor said, "Mr. Rifkin, 1 00:29:05,960 --> 00:29:08,360 we will have this 3rd Industrial Revolution 1 00:29:08,359 --> 00:29:09,559 here in Germany. 1 00:29:09,559 --> 00:29:11,279 CHAPTER THREE: A New Smart Infrastructure 1 00:29:11,279 --> 00:29:13,759 The communication internet is now mature. 1 00:29:13,759 --> 00:29:16,160 It's been 25 years since the World Wide Web. 1 00:29:16,160 --> 00:29:18,759 We have digitalized communication. 1 00:29:18,960 --> 00:29:22,680 Now this communication internet is converging 1 00:29:22,680 --> 00:29:27,560 with a nascent, digitalized, renewable-energy internet. 1 00:29:28,559 --> 00:29:31,759 And now both those Internets are converging with a 1 00:29:31,759 --> 00:29:36,960 fledgling, automated, GPS, and very soon driverless 1 00:29:36,960 --> 00:29:40,279 road, rail, water, and air transport internet 1 00:29:40,279 --> 00:29:41,879 to create three Internets: 1 00:29:42,160 --> 00:29:43,560 communication internet, 1 00:29:43,559 --> 00:29:44,679 renewable energy internet, 1 00:29:44,680 --> 00:29:47,080 automated transportation-logistic internet. 1 00:29:47,079 --> 00:29:51,759 One super internet to manage, power, and move economic life. 1 00:29:52,279 --> 00:29:56,079 These three internets ride on top of a platform 1 00:29:56,079 --> 00:29:57,679 called the "Internet of Things." 1 00:29:58,559 --> 00:30:01,559 We're embedding sensors in all of our devices, as you know, 1 00:30:01,559 --> 00:30:04,559 so they can monitor real-time activity 1 00:30:04,960 --> 00:30:07,480 and then talk to other machines and talk to us. 1 00:30:08,359 --> 00:30:10,679 So we have sensors now in the agricultural fields 1 00:30:10,680 --> 00:30:12,680 and they're actually monitoring the growth of crops 1 00:30:12,680 --> 00:30:14,880 the soil salinity, the moisture in the crops, etc. 1 00:30:14,880 --> 00:30:15,960 They're sending that data. 1 00:30:17,079 --> 00:30:19,679 We have sensors now in the factories 1 00:30:19,680 --> 00:30:21,279 that are monitoring our economic data. 1 00:30:23,559 --> 00:30:25,359 We have sensors in smart homes 1 00:30:25,359 --> 00:30:28,479 monitoring how the energy is used in our buildings. 1 00:30:29,279 --> 00:30:33,680 We have sensors in smart vehicles, warehouses, smart roads. 1 00:30:34,160 --> 00:30:36,759 All of them collecting data. 1 00:30:37,079 --> 00:30:38,759 But where does that big data go? 1 00:30:38,759 --> 00:30:41,480 It goes to communication, energy, and transport Internets 1 00:30:41,960 --> 00:30:43,960 to manage, power, and move economic life. 1 00:30:44,559 --> 00:30:46,879 As this new system comes in 1 00:30:46,880 --> 00:30:49,280 it's gonna be ubiquitous by 2030, 1 00:30:49,279 --> 00:30:51,759 connecting everything with everything with everyone. 1 00:30:52,880 --> 00:30:56,680 We are essentially creating an external prosthesis 1 00:30:56,680 --> 00:30:58,480 —a distributed nervous system— 1 00:30:58,480 --> 00:31:01,160 that's gonna allow everyone on this planet, 1 00:31:01,759 --> 00:31:03,359 at very low cost, 1 00:31:03,359 --> 00:31:06,559 to begin directly engaging each other 1 00:31:06,559 --> 00:31:09,559 on a global Internet of Things 1 00:31:10,160 --> 00:31:13,160 and bypassing a lot of the vertical integrated organization 1 00:31:13,160 --> 00:31:14,960 and middlemen that kept us away from each other. 1 00:31:14,960 --> 00:31:16,680 We can have direct engagement now. 1 00:31:16,680 --> 00:31:17,880 This is the revolution. 1 00:31:17,880 --> 00:31:19,960 This evens the playing field. 1 00:31:20,279 --> 00:31:22,559 There's been a long discussion among the Millennials— 1 00:31:22,559 --> 00:31:25,079 You started this: Occupy movements. 1 00:31:25,079 --> 00:31:27,279 Saying, "What about the 1%? The 99%?" 1 00:31:28,079 --> 00:31:29,879 Now we have a new platform. 1 00:31:30,160 --> 00:31:33,560 The Internet of Things platform is of a different nature 1 00:31:33,559 --> 00:31:36,359 than the platforms in the 1st and 2nd Industrial Revolution. 1 00:31:36,759 --> 00:31:39,559 The new platform is really radical, 1 00:31:39,559 --> 00:31:42,079 because this 3rd Industrial Revolution platform 1 00:31:42,079 --> 00:31:44,879 is designed to be distributed, not centralized. 1 00:31:45,480 --> 00:31:48,279 It works best when it's collaborative, 1 00:31:48,279 --> 00:31:52,279 and open and transparent, rather than closed and proprietary. 1 00:31:52,759 --> 00:31:57,079 And the benefits come when more and more people join the network 1 00:31:57,079 --> 00:31:59,759 and each of us contributes our talents, 1 00:31:59,759 --> 00:32:02,359 which benefits the network and then benefits us. 1 00:32:02,480 --> 00:32:06,079 It's designed to be laterally scaled, not vertically integrated. 1 00:32:06,079 --> 00:32:09,679 And this is what moves us from the 1% of the 99% 1 00:32:10,079 --> 00:32:14,480 to a vast, vast expansion of social entrepreneurialism 1 00:32:14,480 --> 00:32:16,279 and global networks. 1 00:32:16,880 --> 00:32:18,360 That's the upside. 1 00:32:19,279 --> 00:32:22,680 On the other hand, how do we deal with network neutrality? 1 00:32:23,079 --> 00:32:26,480 How do we ensure that everyone has equal access 1 00:32:26,480 --> 00:32:28,680 to this new Internet of Things platform, 1 00:32:28,680 --> 00:32:30,080 this 3rd Industrial Revolution? 1 00:32:30,079 --> 00:32:34,079 How do we make sure governments don't purloin this platform 1 00:32:34,079 --> 00:32:36,079 for political purposes —it's already beginning. 1 00:32:36,559 --> 00:32:39,279 How do we make sure that giant monopoly companies, 1 00:32:39,279 --> 00:32:40,759 some of them on the Internet, 1 00:32:41,160 --> 00:32:45,680 don't use that data for their own commercial purposes at our expense? 1 00:32:46,960 --> 00:32:50,279 How do we ensure privacy when everyone's connected? 1 00:32:51,559 --> 00:32:55,079 How do we ensure data security when everyone's connected? 1 00:32:56,279 --> 00:32:58,960 How do we prevent cyber crime and cyber terrorism 1 00:32:59,160 --> 00:33:01,160 that could disrupt the system and take it down 1 00:33:01,160 --> 00:33:02,759 when everyone's connected? 1 00:33:02,960 --> 00:33:06,680 This is the DarkNet, and what I'm saying to you today is that 1 00:33:06,680 --> 00:33:10,680 the DarkNet is as impressive as the opportunity of the BrightNet. 1 00:33:11,559 --> 00:33:14,159 And I would say that the next three generations, 1 00:33:14,160 --> 00:33:16,080 beginning with you and your children and grandchildren— 1 00:33:16,359 --> 00:33:19,359 You're gonna be heavily engaged in a new political movement. 1 00:33:19,880 --> 00:33:22,080 And that movement is going to be to ensure 1 00:33:22,079 --> 00:33:23,759 against the DarkNet prevailing, 1 00:33:24,279 --> 00:33:27,480 and making sure that we all have equal access, 1 00:33:27,480 --> 00:33:30,880 so the human family can engage in a distributed nervous system 1 00:33:31,279 --> 00:33:34,759 and begin to have a vast expansion of social entrepreneurialism. 1 00:33:34,759 --> 00:33:37,759 This is the political struggle that starts with the Millennials, 1 00:33:37,759 --> 00:33:39,079 your children and grandchildren. 1 00:33:39,079 --> 00:33:40,159 This is an uphill battle. 1 00:33:40,359 --> 00:33:41,679 This is not a cakewalk. 1 00:33:41,880 --> 00:33:45,480 I'm not a technological determinist and I'm not a utopian. 1 00:33:45,880 --> 00:33:49,160 Technology just enables, then the question is, 1 00:33:49,759 --> 00:33:50,759 How will that journey end? 1 00:33:50,960 --> 00:33:53,079 It's a big question mark right now. 1 00:33:53,279 --> 00:33:55,879 But let's assume, for the sake of this afternoon, 1 00:33:56,559 --> 00:33:58,159 that we're gonna be able to deal with 1 00:33:58,160 --> 00:34:01,279 all the complexities of the DarkNet —and it's a big challenge. 1 00:34:01,960 --> 00:34:05,079 Here's what this Internet of Things platform provides. 1 00:34:05,559 --> 00:34:08,079 Let's say here at Brooklyn you're a SME 1 00:34:08,079 --> 00:34:12,079 —small and medium-sized enterprise, or cooperative, or nonprofit. 1 00:34:12,960 --> 00:34:16,679 You can go up on this nascent Internet of Things platform 1 00:34:16,679 --> 00:34:17,879 that's already emerging. 1 00:34:18,679 --> 00:34:20,079 It's not theoretical. 1 00:34:20,079 --> 00:34:22,480 And you can have a transparent picture 1 00:34:22,480 --> 00:34:24,480 of all the economic data flowing through the world 1 00:34:24,480 --> 00:34:25,960 —if it stays network neutral. 1 00:34:27,280 --> 00:34:28,680 The power here is enormous. 1 00:34:28,679 --> 00:34:30,879 We think Snowden was a big deal? 1 00:34:31,679 --> 00:34:34,559 Now all the economic data is gonna be open to everyone, 1 00:34:34,559 --> 00:34:36,079 not just a few government secrets. 1 00:34:37,280 --> 00:34:39,360 But in a network neutral world 1 00:34:39,360 --> 00:34:41,960 you're gonna be able to go up on this platform 1 00:34:41,960 --> 00:34:44,360 and have a completely transparent picture of all the data. 1 00:34:44,760 --> 00:34:47,680 You can go up on the platform and cut your big data 1 00:34:47,679 --> 00:34:49,559 on your value chain out from the noise. 1 00:34:49,760 --> 00:34:54,080 Then, you can mine your big data with analytics. 1 00:34:54,760 --> 00:34:57,560 Then you can create your own algorithms and apps. 1 00:34:57,960 --> 00:35:02,079 They'll allow you to dramatically increase your aggregate efficiency 1 00:35:02,079 --> 00:35:05,079 at every step of conversion on your value chain. 1 00:35:05,760 --> 00:35:08,760 And, as you do that, dramatically increase your productivity, 1 00:35:09,079 --> 00:35:11,960 dramatically reduce your ecological footprint, 1 00:35:11,960 --> 00:35:15,079 and dramatically plunge your marginal cost. 1 00:35:15,079 --> 00:35:17,880 Some of those marginal costs are gonna get so low 1 00:35:17,880 --> 00:35:19,559 —they head to zero marginal cost. 1 00:35:20,079 --> 00:35:22,559 And when they hit near zero marginal cost, 1 00:35:22,559 --> 00:35:26,079 it gives rise to a completely new economic system. 1 00:35:26,280 --> 00:35:27,680 CHAPTER FOUR: Zero Marginal Cost and the Rise of the Sharing Economy. 1 00:35:27,679 --> 00:35:30,159 In economic theory, the optimum market is 1 00:35:30,159 --> 00:35:31,679 where you sell at marginal cost. 1 00:35:31,679 --> 00:35:33,480 Marginal cost is after fixed costs. 1 00:35:33,480 --> 00:35:34,960 Once you pay for whatever the technology is. 1 00:35:34,960 --> 00:35:37,480 The marginal cost is what it costs to produce a unit. 1 00:35:38,159 --> 00:35:40,159 Classical economic theory, we've always said that 1 00:35:40,159 --> 00:35:43,079 the most optimum market is where you sell at marginal cost. 1 00:35:43,079 --> 00:35:45,279 Here's the problem we never expected 1 00:35:45,280 --> 00:35:48,280 a technology revolution —digital revolution— 1 00:35:48,280 --> 00:35:51,560 that would be so powerful in its potential productivity 1 00:35:51,559 --> 00:35:53,880 that it could actually reduce the marginal cost 1 00:35:53,880 --> 00:35:55,880 for some goods and services to near zero. 1 00:35:56,159 --> 00:35:58,480 Meaning there's no longer a profit margin 1 00:35:58,880 --> 00:36:01,360 and you can produce goods and services for each other 1 00:36:01,360 --> 00:36:03,960 beyond the market in the sharing economy 1 00:36:03,960 --> 00:36:05,159 for nearly free. 1 00:36:05,559 --> 00:36:07,559 This sharing economy didn't come out of the blue. 1 00:36:07,559 --> 00:36:09,559 Capitalism gave birth to the sharing economy. 1 00:36:09,880 --> 00:36:10,960 Let me be clear: 1 00:36:11,880 --> 00:36:13,880 As muddy as the sharing economy is, 1 00:36:13,880 --> 00:36:15,880 it's the first new economic system 1 00:36:15,880 --> 00:36:18,079 to enter onto the world stage 1 00:36:18,079 --> 00:36:20,480 since capitalism and socialism in the 19th century. 1 00:36:20,880 --> 00:36:22,280 It's a remarkable historical event. 1 00:36:22,960 --> 00:36:23,880 This is already happening. 1 00:36:24,079 --> 00:36:26,559 Zero marginal cost phenomena is not theoretical. 1 00:36:26,559 --> 00:36:29,880 It's been how many years since Napster—the file-sharing service? 1 00:36:29,880 --> 00:36:32,280 About 17 years? 17 years! 1 00:36:32,280 --> 00:36:34,880 Well, this little file-sharing service started a revolution. 1 00:36:34,880 --> 00:36:37,680 We have 3 billion people right now on the internet 1 00:36:37,679 --> 00:36:39,559 —and now the Internet of Things— 1 00:36:39,559 --> 00:36:42,759 who are actually producing and sharing virtual goods 1 00:36:42,760 --> 00:36:44,680 at near zero marginal cost beyond the market, 1 00:36:44,679 --> 00:36:46,079 disrupting entire industries. 1 00:36:47,480 --> 00:36:50,079 We have young people that are producing their own music. 1 00:36:51,559 --> 00:36:52,679 And what does it cost 1 00:36:53,280 --> 00:36:55,880 to have a little technology, a little machine that allows you 1 00:36:55,880 --> 00:36:58,760 studio-quality music when you wanna record in your home? 1 00:36:59,360 --> 00:37:00,960 And then, whether you send that music 1 00:37:00,960 --> 00:37:03,159 to one person on the web or a billion— 1 00:37:03,880 --> 00:37:05,079 It's zero marginal costs. 1 00:37:05,079 --> 00:37:07,559 You just need a service provider to keep your power up. 1 00:37:08,280 --> 00:37:11,480 I was surprised when that Korean performance artist 1 00:37:11,480 --> 00:37:12,480 a couple years ago— 1 00:37:13,079 --> 00:37:15,559 A billion people went to his website! 1 00:37:15,960 --> 00:37:17,079 Zero marginal cost. 1 00:37:19,079 --> 00:37:21,360 We have millions of young people, any given day, 1 00:37:21,360 --> 00:37:23,079 who are producing their own YouTube videos. 1 00:37:25,280 --> 00:37:27,560 Take a little video, put it up on the web, 1 00:37:28,280 --> 00:37:29,680 a billion people can see it. 1 00:37:29,679 --> 00:37:30,960 Zero marginal cost. 1 00:37:32,679 --> 00:37:35,960 We have people producing their own news blogs and social media. 1 00:37:36,960 --> 00:37:38,280 Near zero marginal cost. 1 00:37:38,679 --> 00:37:42,679 We have millions of people contributing to Wikipedia 1 00:37:42,679 --> 00:37:44,879 and constructing the knowledge of the world 1 00:37:44,880 --> 00:37:47,360 on a non-profit website for free. 1 00:37:47,360 --> 00:37:51,079 This is the most improbable experiment I could ever imagine. 1 00:37:51,079 --> 00:37:53,279 I don't know how Jimmy Wales came up with this. 1 00:37:53,280 --> 00:37:55,160 I would have said, "This cannot succeed!" 1 00:37:55,360 --> 00:37:57,680 Adam Smith said, "Each individual 1 00:37:57,679 --> 00:38:00,079 pursues their own self-interest and never cares 1 00:38:00,079 --> 00:38:00,960 about the public good." 1 00:38:01,559 --> 00:38:03,559 But in pursuing their self-interest 1 00:38:03,559 --> 00:38:05,759 and not giving a damn about the public good— 1 00:38:06,679 --> 00:38:09,559 By pursuing their self-interest, the society is better off. 1 00:38:09,559 --> 00:38:10,559 I always thought it was a little dubious, 1 00:38:10,559 --> 00:38:12,279 but that's how we grew up. 1 00:38:12,960 --> 00:38:15,679 But apparently, none of the Millennials have read Adam Smith. 1 00:38:15,679 --> 00:38:17,559 Because, for example, in Wikipedia you're all 1 00:38:17,559 --> 00:38:19,159 freely giving your talent, 1 00:38:20,280 --> 00:38:22,280 putting things up on Wikipedia, 1 00:38:22,280 --> 00:38:23,760 constructing the knowledge of the world. 1 00:38:23,760 --> 00:38:27,560 You've democratized knowledge in less than 15 years 1 00:38:27,880 --> 00:38:29,960 and the accuracy is... 1 00:38:30,679 --> 00:38:31,679 Now: Book publishing. 1 00:38:32,079 --> 00:38:32,960 What's happening? 1 00:38:32,960 --> 00:38:35,079 People are creating their own free eBooks. 1 00:38:35,079 --> 00:38:37,279 My new book came out on the Pirate Bays 1 00:38:37,280 --> 00:38:38,760 before we could publish in our languages and 1 00:38:38,760 --> 00:38:40,560 —God bless them— they were ranking it 1 00:38:40,559 --> 00:38:42,079 before Amazon could even touch it. 1 00:38:42,159 --> 00:38:45,480 We have 6 million college students taking massive 1 00:38:45,480 --> 00:38:48,480 open online college courses taught by the best professors 1 00:38:48,480 --> 00:38:50,559 at the best universities. They're getting college credits. 1 00:38:50,559 --> 00:38:51,360 It's free! 1 00:38:51,360 --> 00:38:53,880 You can't win here. You Millennials have won. 1 00:38:53,880 --> 00:38:56,079 Unless we outlaw all the technology, 1 00:38:56,480 --> 00:38:58,079 we've got to find a way to live with it 1 00:38:58,079 --> 00:38:59,279 and find value with it. 1 00:38:59,880 --> 00:39:02,360 Entire industries have been disrupted 1 00:39:02,360 --> 00:39:04,079 in the 17 years since Napster. 1 00:39:04,079 --> 00:39:05,679 The music industry has shrunk. 1 00:39:06,280 --> 00:39:07,560 Television has declined 'cause 1 00:39:07,559 --> 00:39:09,480 everyone's producing their own YouTube videos. 1 00:39:09,480 --> 00:39:11,880 You're all producers sharing with each other. 1 00:39:12,280 --> 00:39:14,560 Newspapers and magazines have gone out of business 1 00:39:14,559 --> 00:39:15,679 with social blogs. 1 00:39:15,880 --> 00:39:18,160 But thousands of new enterprises have emerged. 1 00:39:18,159 --> 00:39:20,960 Not just Google, Facebook, and Twitter—all of these are new. 1 00:39:20,960 --> 00:39:23,360 But thousands of startup enterprises 1 00:39:23,360 --> 00:39:25,559 —profit and nonprofit— 1 00:39:25,559 --> 00:39:27,559 they're creating the platforms, 1 00:39:27,559 --> 00:39:29,679 they're creating the apps, 1 00:39:29,679 --> 00:39:31,159 they're creating the connectivity, 1 00:39:31,480 --> 00:39:34,079 they're using the analytics and the data. 1 00:39:34,559 --> 00:39:35,759 It's a revolution! 1 00:39:36,679 --> 00:39:40,679 Well, we thought there'd be a firewall here. 1 00:39:40,960 --> 00:39:42,880 And certainly we could understand 1 00:39:42,880 --> 00:39:45,280 how zero marginal cost brought on by digitalization 1 00:39:45,280 --> 00:39:46,880 would affect the virtual world, 1 00:39:47,480 --> 00:39:49,760 but we didn't think it would move over the firewall 1 00:39:49,760 --> 00:39:51,080 to the physical world. 1 00:39:51,679 --> 00:39:52,559 What I'm saying, 1 00:39:52,559 --> 00:39:54,360 with the zero marginal cost society 1 00:39:54,360 --> 00:39:56,079 is that firewall is broken now 1 00:39:56,079 --> 00:39:58,360 —it's called the Internet of Things— completely gone. 1 00:39:59,760 --> 00:40:01,280 We have millions of people now 1 00:40:01,280 --> 00:40:02,880 producing their own renewable energy, 1 00:40:02,880 --> 00:40:05,360 right now, at near zero marginal cost. 1 00:40:05,360 --> 00:40:06,280 Free! 1 00:40:06,679 --> 00:40:09,279 And now, as we move to car sharing, 1 00:40:09,280 --> 00:40:11,760 and as we move to driverless transportation, 1 00:40:11,760 --> 00:40:14,360 we're gonna see the marginal cost plunge 1 00:40:14,360 --> 00:40:15,880 toward near zero in transport logistics 1 00:40:15,880 --> 00:40:17,360 in the next 20 years. 1 00:40:17,360 --> 00:40:18,880 Let's go back to Germany. 1 00:40:20,360 --> 00:40:21,880 What's happened in the 10 years 1 00:40:21,880 --> 00:40:23,360 since that first conversation with the Chancellor? 1 00:40:23,960 --> 00:40:26,079 We are now in Germany at 1 00:40:26,079 --> 00:40:29,559 32% of all the electricity power in Germany now 1 00:40:29,559 --> 00:40:32,279 is solar and wind, right now. In ten years. 1 00:40:32,280 --> 00:40:34,880 And this is a northern country —doesn't have a lot of Sun. 1 00:40:35,079 --> 00:40:39,360 We're gonna be 35% of the electricity, 1 00:40:39,360 --> 00:40:41,079 solar and wind, by 2020— 1 00:40:41,079 --> 00:40:45,279 We're gonna be 100% renewable energy by 2040. 1 00:40:45,559 --> 00:40:46,559 Absolutely! 1 00:40:46,760 --> 00:40:49,880 And what's interesting is the fixed cost of introducing 1 00:40:49,880 --> 00:40:52,760 the solar technology and the wind turbines 1 00:40:52,760 --> 00:40:54,280 and the geothermal heat pumps— 1 00:40:54,480 --> 00:40:56,960 Solar and wind are on an exponential curve, 1 00:40:56,960 --> 00:40:58,559 just like computers! 1 00:40:58,880 --> 00:41:02,079 When I was a kid in the 1940s and 50s, 1 00:41:02,079 --> 00:41:03,679 there's only a few computers. 1 00:41:03,679 --> 00:41:05,159 They cost millions of dollars. 1 00:41:06,079 --> 00:41:08,480 And the chairman of IBM at the time said, 1 00:41:08,480 --> 00:41:10,960 "We probably will need a total of seven computers." 1 00:41:11,880 --> 00:41:12,760 "Maybe seven!" 1 00:41:13,280 --> 00:41:15,080 It was just an optimistic forecast. 1 00:41:15,079 --> 00:41:17,880 We did not anticipate exponential curves 1 00:41:17,880 --> 00:41:19,360 in computer chips. 1 00:41:19,880 --> 00:41:21,079 Moore's law. 1 00:41:21,079 --> 00:41:23,679 So all of a sudden, Intel figures out that 1 00:41:23,679 --> 00:41:26,359 their engineers are doubling the capacity on that chip 1 00:41:26,360 --> 00:41:28,480 every two years. This is still going on. 1 00:41:28,480 --> 00:41:30,559 So, even if you're making $2 dollars a day, 1 00:41:30,559 --> 00:41:33,960 everyone's going to be connected to the Internet of Things 1 00:41:33,960 --> 00:41:36,559 within less than 15 to 20 years. 1 00:41:36,559 --> 00:41:39,360 And the cost—the fixed costs are gonna be as cheap as 1 00:41:39,360 --> 00:41:40,960 your cell phones in 20 years. 1 00:41:40,960 --> 00:41:43,559 Everyone's gonna produce their own green electricity. 1 00:41:43,559 --> 00:41:46,480 These exponential curves are not going away. 1 00:41:46,480 --> 00:41:49,079 You know how much a solar watt used to cost? 1 00:41:49,079 --> 00:41:53,159 $78 dollars to generate one watt solar in 1978. 1 00:41:53,159 --> 00:41:55,559 You know how much it costs to generate one watt solar today? 1 00:41:55,559 --> 00:41:57,759 Not $78 dollars; 50 cents. 1 00:41:58,360 --> 00:42:00,760 It's gonna be 35 cents in 18 months from now. 1 00:42:01,280 --> 00:42:02,480 This is really moving quick. 1 00:42:02,480 --> 00:42:05,280 And this is what you're not told here in the United States 1 00:42:05,280 --> 00:42:06,360 by the energy companies. 1 00:42:07,159 --> 00:42:09,279 We have power and utility companies 1 00:42:09,280 --> 00:42:10,760 —some of them in my group, Global Group— 1 00:42:10,760 --> 00:42:13,080 and they're quietly, right now, 1 00:42:13,079 --> 00:42:15,279 buying long-term 20-year contracts 1 00:42:15,280 --> 00:42:18,280 for solar and wind electricity in Europe and America, 1 00:42:18,280 --> 00:42:21,760 quietly right now, for 4 cents a kilowatt hour. 1 00:42:22,480 --> 00:42:24,079 And the Berkeley National Labs, 1 00:42:24,079 --> 00:42:26,079 government labs just announced 1 00:42:26,079 --> 00:42:27,480 they're generating wind and solar— 1 00:42:27,480 --> 00:42:29,360 I think it's somewhere between 1 00:42:29,360 --> 00:42:32,079 2.8 and 3.5 cents a kilowatt hour. 1 00:42:32,079 --> 00:42:35,079 It's over actually for fossil fuel and nuclear. 1 00:42:35,559 --> 00:42:38,079 And the next big bubble —I will tell you now— 1 00:42:38,079 --> 00:42:40,960 is gonna be the 100 trillion dollars in stranded assets 1 00:42:40,960 --> 00:42:42,559 in the fossil fuel industry. 1 00:42:42,559 --> 00:42:44,679 This is gonna make the subprime mortgage 1 00:42:44,679 --> 00:42:46,879 look like the small-time game. 1 00:42:47,760 --> 00:42:50,080 Because we're moving toward parity 1 00:42:50,079 --> 00:42:52,279 and then solar and wind are getting cheaper and cheaper. 1 00:42:52,559 --> 00:42:54,559 That's what's going on behind the scenes, 1 00:42:54,960 --> 00:42:56,079 right now. 1 00:42:56,079 --> 00:42:57,480 But what's interesting in Germany, 1 00:42:57,480 --> 00:42:59,880 once you pay the fixed cost for your 1 00:43:00,360 --> 00:43:02,360 solar panel and wind turbine— 1 00:43:03,280 --> 00:43:06,480 The marginal cost of producing the energy in Germany today? 1 00:43:06,679 --> 00:43:07,759 It's zero! 1 00:43:07,760 --> 00:43:10,880 The Sun has not sent us a bill in Germany. 1 00:43:11,880 --> 00:43:13,360 The wind hasn't invoiced us. 1 00:43:13,880 --> 00:43:17,079 The geothermal heat has not come to us with a bill. 1 00:43:17,280 --> 00:43:18,160 It's free! 1 00:43:19,280 --> 00:43:22,760 So what happens when German businesses can plug in 1 00:43:22,760 --> 00:43:26,080 to a communication internet that then 1 00:43:26,079 --> 00:43:28,079 converges with an energy internet 1 00:43:28,079 --> 00:43:29,679 and we digitalize the electricity grid, 1 00:43:29,679 --> 00:43:32,279 so everyone can produce their own solar and wind, 1 00:43:32,280 --> 00:43:35,480 and either use it off-grid or sell it back to the grid? 1 00:43:35,480 --> 00:43:37,679 What happens when companies plug in 1 00:43:37,679 --> 00:43:39,079 to an energy internet 1 00:43:39,079 --> 00:43:42,079 where the cost of the energy is near zero marginal cost. 1 00:43:42,079 --> 00:43:45,759 Think about when they have to move across their value chain, 1 00:43:45,760 --> 00:43:48,680 and at each step of conversion on their value chain, 1 00:43:49,079 --> 00:43:50,759 their energy cost is near zero. 1 00:43:52,159 --> 00:43:54,079 How does any 2nd Industrial Revolution country 1 00:43:54,079 --> 00:43:55,480 compete with that? 1 00:43:57,159 --> 00:43:58,559 And it's not big Germany only 1 00:43:58,559 --> 00:43:59,759 —little Denmark's done this. 1 00:44:00,079 --> 00:44:01,480 Anybody can do this. 1 00:44:02,960 --> 00:44:04,880 Who's producing all the new energy? 1 00:44:05,960 --> 00:44:08,159 In Germany, there are four major power companies: 1 00:44:08,159 --> 00:44:10,879 MBW, RWE, E.On and Vattenfall 1 00:44:10,880 --> 00:44:14,280 —these giant, global, vertically integrated companies. 1 00:44:14,280 --> 00:44:16,280 And, frankly, we thought they were invincible. 1 00:44:17,760 --> 00:44:19,560 What's happened to them in 10 years 1 00:44:19,559 --> 00:44:21,480 is what happened to the music industry, 1 00:44:21,480 --> 00:44:24,760 television, newspapers, magazine, and book publishing. 1 00:44:25,480 --> 00:44:28,079 Thousands of small players have come together 1 00:44:28,079 --> 00:44:29,559 in electricity cooperatives. 1 00:44:29,760 --> 00:44:33,360 Farmers, small businesses, neighborhood associations. 1 00:44:33,360 --> 00:44:36,079 All of them went to the banks and got loans 1 00:44:36,079 --> 00:44:37,480 —these electricity cooperatives— 1 00:44:37,480 --> 00:44:39,960 and every bank was completely fine about 1 00:44:39,960 --> 00:44:41,480 giving them the loans. Why? 1 00:44:41,480 --> 00:44:44,559 Because they knew that the energy they generated 1 00:44:44,559 --> 00:44:47,159 would get a premium price when they sell it back to the market. 1 00:44:47,159 --> 00:44:48,559 Nobody was turned down. 1 00:44:49,280 --> 00:44:50,760 They're creating all the new energy. 1 00:44:51,360 --> 00:44:52,760 This is power to the people 1 00:44:52,760 --> 00:44:55,280 —literally and figuratively— power to the people. 1 00:44:55,280 --> 00:44:57,360 What happened to the big 4 power companies? 1 00:44:57,960 --> 00:45:00,079 They're producing less than 7% of the new power. 1 00:45:00,079 --> 00:45:01,279 And they acknowledge they're out of the game. 1 00:45:01,360 --> 00:45:02,559 Why? 1 00:45:02,559 --> 00:45:06,759 To their credit, they were the most efficient means 1 00:45:06,760 --> 00:45:10,880 to produce and distribute centralized power 1 00:45:10,880 --> 00:45:13,480 —fossil fuel and nuclear power, vertical integration. 1 00:45:13,960 --> 00:45:16,079 But the new energies— 1 00:45:16,079 --> 00:45:18,559 They require millions of small players 1 00:45:18,559 --> 00:45:20,079 connecting where they are in collecting. 1 00:45:20,679 --> 00:45:23,079 You have to collect the Sun everywhere in little amounts. 1 00:45:23,559 --> 00:45:25,880 And the wind everywhere where you are. 1 00:45:25,880 --> 00:45:28,480 And the geothermal heat everywhere where it is. 1 00:45:28,480 --> 00:45:31,760 And you—We reward cooperatives who laterally scale 1 00:45:31,760 --> 00:45:33,080 and join together in networks. 1 00:45:33,760 --> 00:45:36,960 Big companies can't put all these players together. 1 00:45:36,960 --> 00:45:38,280 The players come together 1 00:45:38,280 --> 00:45:40,680 in their own regions of cooperation, and they join together. 1 00:45:41,760 --> 00:45:43,080 It is power to the people. 1 00:45:43,079 --> 00:45:46,159 Does this mean this is the end of the energy companies? 1 00:45:46,960 --> 00:45:48,079 Not necessarily. 1 00:45:48,079 --> 00:45:50,559 Many will go out of business. Some will not. 1 00:45:50,559 --> 00:45:52,480 About seven years ago, 1 00:45:52,480 --> 00:45:56,480 the EON—one of the giant four companies— 1 00:45:56,480 --> 00:45:58,760 they asked if I would debate their Chairman, Mr. Tyson, 1 00:45:58,760 --> 00:46:00,480 but in a neutral country, the Netherlands. 1 00:46:00,480 --> 00:46:01,760 We had a three-hour debate. 1 00:46:02,519 --> 00:46:05,079 you're not leaving the 2nd Industrial Revolution 1 00:46:02,559 --> 00:46:03,559 And I said to him, "Look, 1 00:46:05,079 --> 00:46:06,559 tomorrow morning. 1 00:46:06,559 --> 00:46:08,679 But you also have to be in the 3rd Industrial Revolution 1 00:46:08,679 --> 00:46:09,559 tomorrow morning, 1 00:46:09,559 --> 00:46:12,079 because you have a 25, 30-year transition 1 00:46:12,079 --> 00:46:14,759 to get from the 2nd to the 3rd and find new value. 1 00:46:15,679 --> 00:46:17,359 And I said in the new system, 1 00:46:17,360 --> 00:46:19,680 it operates quite differently than the old system. 1 00:46:20,280 --> 00:46:22,280 In the new 3rd Industrial Revolution 1 00:46:22,280 --> 00:46:26,280 you make more money by selling less and less and less electricity. 1 00:46:27,280 --> 00:46:28,280 I said, what you do is, 1 00:46:28,280 --> 00:46:31,480 you set up partnerships with thousands of enterprises. 1 00:46:32,280 --> 00:46:36,080 And you help manage the energy flow through their value chains. 1 00:46:36,480 --> 00:46:38,280 You help them with their big data. 1 00:46:38,280 --> 00:46:40,960 You help them mine that big data with the analytics. 1 00:46:40,960 --> 00:46:42,480 You help them with their algorithms and apps. 1 00:46:43,559 --> 00:46:45,559 Dramatically increase their productivity. 1 00:46:46,079 --> 00:46:48,360 In return, those thousands of enterprises 1 00:46:48,360 --> 00:46:51,280 will share their gains back with the power companies. 1 00:46:51,679 --> 00:46:53,559 It's called "performance contracts." 1 00:46:53,960 --> 00:46:55,960 We're now doing it, and guess what? 1 00:46:55,960 --> 00:46:58,079 Last year, the chairman of Eon 1 00:46:58,079 --> 00:46:59,480 —took him 7 years— 1 00:46:59,480 --> 00:47:01,760 they're moving to renewable energies 1 00:47:01,760 --> 00:47:03,480 and they want to help manage 1 00:47:03,480 --> 00:47:06,559 parts of the energy internet with energy services. 1 00:47:08,159 --> 00:47:12,079 EDF, the great nuclear power, in France has joined our group. 1 00:47:12,079 --> 00:47:13,559 We're doing the whole build-out 1 00:47:13,559 --> 00:47:15,880 of the 3rd Industrial Revolution in parts of Europe: 1 00:47:15,880 --> 00:47:18,079 in northern France, the Netherlands, Luxemburg... 1 00:47:18,079 --> 00:47:20,159 And EDF said, "We're with you." 1 00:47:20,159 --> 00:47:22,079 They're on the ground helping lay this out. 1 00:47:22,760 --> 00:47:24,080 They're not leaving nuclear tomorrow, 1 00:47:24,079 --> 00:47:26,679 but they see that the handwriting is on the wall. 1 00:47:26,679 --> 00:47:28,679 So the companies that don't go there; 1 00:47:28,679 --> 00:47:29,679 we don't need them. 1 00:47:30,480 --> 00:47:32,679 It's not just Europe; now China. 1 00:47:32,960 --> 00:47:36,360 When President Xi came in to power with Premier Li— 1 00:47:36,360 --> 00:47:38,559 Premier Li announced that he 1 00:47:38,559 --> 00:47:40,679 —and I was pleased— he announced he'd read my book, 1 00:47:40,679 --> 00:47:41,879 The Third Industrial Revolution. 1 00:47:41,880 --> 00:47:43,880 He put out a public announcement. I'd never met him. 1 00:47:44,360 --> 00:47:45,880 I never even been to China. 1 00:47:46,559 --> 00:47:48,759 And he instructed the central government of China 1 00:47:49,480 --> 00:47:52,480 to begin looking at these themes that I'm laying out to you 1 00:47:53,360 --> 00:47:55,480 to move China to a 3rd Industrial Revolution. 1 00:47:55,480 --> 00:47:56,960 There mindful in China. 1 00:47:56,960 --> 00:47:58,559 They lost the whole 1st Industrial Revolution. 1 00:47:59,079 --> 00:48:01,679 They missed almost all the 2nd Industrial Revolution 1 00:48:01,679 --> 00:48:03,559 and came it in the tail in the last 10 years. 1 00:48:04,360 --> 00:48:07,280 And they said, "We're not gonna lose the 3rd Industrial Revolution." 1 00:48:07,280 --> 00:48:09,560 "We wanna collaborate with the 3rd Industrial Revolution." 1 00:48:09,559 --> 00:48:11,559 And they said, "Be among the leaders." 1 00:48:11,559 --> 00:48:13,360 To show you how fast they move, 1 00:48:13,360 --> 00:48:15,880 I've been shuttling back and forth, but after the first visit 1 00:48:15,880 --> 00:48:17,360 —it was about eleven weeks later. 1 00:48:17,360 --> 00:48:19,079 The chairman of the state grid, 1 00:48:19,079 --> 00:48:21,279 which is the largest electricity grid in the world, 1 00:48:21,280 --> 00:48:25,280 announced an $82 billion dollar, four-year commitment 1 00:48:25,960 --> 00:48:28,280 to digitalize the Chinese grid 1 00:48:28,280 --> 00:48:30,480 so the millions of Chinese people 1 00:48:30,480 --> 00:48:33,159 could produce their own solar and wind in their local communities 1 00:48:33,679 --> 00:48:35,359 and share it back on an energy internet. 1 00:48:35,360 --> 00:48:37,480 That started this year, yeah. 1 00:48:38,400 --> 00:48:39,880 Watch Europe. Watch China. 1 00:48:43,159 --> 00:48:45,079 The coming together of the communication internet, 1 00:48:45,079 --> 00:48:46,679 with the renewable energy internet 1 00:48:46,679 --> 00:48:49,359 gives rise to the automated, GPS, driverless, 1 00:48:48,159 --> 00:48:50,879 transportation logistics internet. 1 00:48:53,280 --> 00:48:56,560 We built the whole global economy in the 2nd Industrial Revolution 1 00:48:56,559 --> 00:48:57,880 around car ownership. 1 00:48:57,880 --> 00:48:59,079 That's what this was all about. 1 00:48:59,559 --> 00:49:02,079 You've thrown us a curve. You really have. 1 00:49:02,079 --> 00:49:04,360 Apparently you don't wanna own cars anymore. 1 00:49:04,360 --> 00:49:06,160 This is Grandma and Grandpa. 1 00:49:06,159 --> 00:49:08,279 They got two cars sitting in the driveway 1 00:49:08,280 --> 00:49:10,480 cleaning and waxing them every few weeks, 1 00:49:10,480 --> 00:49:11,559 and they're never used. 1 00:49:11,559 --> 00:49:13,880 Or they're at the office 90% of the day never used. 1 00:49:14,159 --> 00:49:15,480 You don't wanna own cars. 1 00:49:15,880 --> 00:49:19,280 You want access to mobility and car sharing networks, 1 00:49:18,280 --> 00:49:21,680 not ownership of cars in markets, correct? 1 00:49:22,960 --> 00:49:25,159 So there's a problem here. 1 00:49:26,559 --> 00:49:29,079 The problem is for every car shared 1 00:49:29,079 --> 00:49:31,079 in car sharing in the sharing economy, 1 00:49:31,079 --> 00:49:33,279 we're eliminating 15 cars. 1 00:49:34,159 --> 00:49:36,079 This is both the problem and the opportunity. 1 00:49:37,159 --> 00:49:40,079 Larry burns was the former Vice President of General Motors 1 00:49:40,079 --> 00:49:41,159 until a few years ago, 1 00:49:41,159 --> 00:49:42,960 now he's a professor at the University of Michigan. 1 00:49:42,960 --> 00:49:45,480 So Larry just did a study —very revealing. 1 00:49:46,159 --> 00:49:48,079 He studied Ann Arbor, Michigan. 1 00:49:49,880 --> 00:49:53,360 We can eliminate 80% of vehicles with better mobility, cheaper. 1 00:49:53,880 --> 00:49:55,680 Now let's extrapolate Larry's study. 1 00:49:56,079 --> 00:49:58,759 We've got a billion cars, buses, and trucks 1 00:49:58,760 --> 00:50:01,080 choking us in traffic around the world. 1 00:50:01,559 --> 00:50:05,279 They're the 3rd major cause of global warming emissions. 1 00:50:05,760 --> 00:50:09,280 The number 1 cause of global warming emissions is buildings. 1 00:50:09,760 --> 00:50:13,080 But in Europe, we're now retrofitting those buildings, 1 00:50:13,079 --> 00:50:15,559 transforming into micro power plants 1 00:50:15,559 --> 00:50:17,880 and big data centers off carbon. 1 00:50:19,079 --> 00:50:21,559 Anybody know what the number 2 cause of climate change, 1 00:50:21,559 --> 00:50:23,759 global warming emissions are by industrial activity? 1 00:50:23,760 --> 00:50:25,960 Number 1 is buildings —we always talk about it. 1 00:50:25,960 --> 00:50:28,079 Number 3 is transport. What's number 2? 1 00:50:28,280 --> 00:50:30,560 —Consumption of meat —Meat, meat, meat. 1 00:50:31,159 --> 00:50:34,359 We have 1.3 billion cows. 1 00:50:34,360 --> 00:50:37,280 They take up about 23% of the land mass of the Earth. 1 00:50:37,280 --> 00:50:39,560 I love cows, but the methane they produce 1 00:50:39,559 --> 00:50:42,279 is a major contributor to global warming, 1 00:50:42,280 --> 00:50:44,080 —much more powerful than CO₂— 1 00:50:44,079 --> 00:50:46,559 and then, when we pasture those animals, 1 00:50:46,559 --> 00:50:49,759 we have the fertilizers that emit nitrous oxide. 1 00:50:49,760 --> 00:50:51,160 And it goes on and on. 1 00:50:51,159 --> 00:50:54,079 And I should say that, without mentioning names, 1 00:50:54,079 --> 00:50:57,079 even some of the prophetic voices 1 00:50:57,079 --> 00:50:59,880 in the climate change debate will never mention this. 1 00:51:00,280 --> 00:51:03,360 Because they do not want to antagonize people 1 00:51:03,360 --> 00:51:06,760 and even suggest that we may wanna change our diet 1 00:51:06,360 --> 00:51:08,880 and move down the food chain 1 00:51:08,880 --> 00:51:10,760 so that we can live healthy, 1 00:51:10,760 --> 00:51:12,880 respect our fellow creatures, 1 00:51:12,880 --> 00:51:15,480 and at the same time mitigate climate change. 1 00:51:15,480 --> 00:51:16,960 So, you never hear this in the debate. 1 00:51:16,960 --> 00:51:17,960 Never! 1 00:51:20,880 --> 00:51:22,079 Number 3 is transport. 1 00:51:22,079 --> 00:51:24,360 So, if Larry's right —Larry Burns— 1 00:51:24,360 --> 00:51:27,680 we're gonna eliminate probably 80% of the vehicles in the world 1 00:51:27,679 --> 00:51:28,879 in the next two generations 1 00:51:28,880 --> 00:51:30,960 because the Millennials, your children, and grandchildren 1 00:51:30,960 --> 00:51:32,360 are never going to own cars again. 1 00:51:32,360 --> 00:51:33,360 This I know. 1 00:51:34,280 --> 00:51:36,360 And the remaining 200 million vehicles— 1 00:51:36,360 --> 00:51:37,880 They're gonna be electric. 1 00:51:38,559 --> 00:51:40,279 They're gonna be fuel-cell driven. 1 00:51:40,679 --> 00:51:43,559 They're gonna be operated by near zero marginal cost 1 00:51:43,559 --> 00:51:44,880 renewable energy. 1 00:51:44,880 --> 00:51:45,960 This is already happening. 1 00:51:46,480 --> 00:51:48,679 They're gonna be 3D printed, 1 00:51:48,679 --> 00:51:51,679 with composite recycled materials at low marginal cost. 1 00:51:51,960 --> 00:51:53,559 They're gonna be driverless. 1 00:51:54,360 --> 00:51:55,960 This is already happening. 1 00:51:55,960 --> 00:51:57,159 This gets to the question of, 1 00:51:57,159 --> 00:52:00,279 "Is this the end of the world for transportation companies?" 1 00:52:00,280 --> 00:52:01,360 Not necessarily. 1 00:52:01,880 --> 00:52:03,960 But they have to change their business model 1 00:52:03,960 --> 00:52:05,880 while they're still in the 2nd Industrial Revolution, 1 00:52:05,880 --> 00:52:07,360 selling cars, buses, and trucks. 1 00:52:07,360 --> 00:52:09,880 They have to move to the 3rd Industrial Revolution, 1 00:52:09,880 --> 00:52:11,760 where they help manage vast networks 1 00:52:11,760 --> 00:52:13,360 along with all the other players. 1 00:52:14,559 --> 00:52:17,360 This is a very cool thing that happened about six weeks ago. 1 00:52:18,079 --> 00:52:19,960 Daimler asked me to join them— 1 00:52:19,960 --> 00:52:22,280 Daimler invented the internal combustion engine. 1 00:52:22,280 --> 00:52:24,760 So I'm always mindful they're a step ahead. 1 00:52:25,360 --> 00:52:27,280 And the chairman of Daimler Trucks 1 00:52:27,280 --> 00:52:30,560 brought together 350 journalists from around the world in Germany 1 00:52:30,559 --> 00:52:31,679 asked me to come in— 1 00:52:31,679 --> 00:52:34,279 I laid out the same story we're talking about here. 1 00:52:34,679 --> 00:52:36,359 And then the chairman of Daimler Trucks 1 00:52:36,360 --> 00:52:37,880 —he's one of the eight board of directors— 1 00:52:38,880 --> 00:52:41,360 He announced that Daimler is in a new business. 1 00:52:42,760 --> 00:52:47,880 And that is logistics, on the transportation internet. 1 00:52:47,880 --> 00:52:50,360 And he announced that Daimler had equipped, 1 00:52:50,360 --> 00:52:54,559 in the last three years, 300,000 trucks full of sensors. 1 00:52:55,760 --> 00:52:57,480 —300,000 vehicles, 1 00:52:57,480 --> 00:52:59,079 and they're on the roads now. 1 00:53:02,360 --> 00:53:05,559 These are what I call "big data," "mobile big data centers." 1 00:53:05,559 --> 00:53:07,960 And these trucks are collecting data 1 00:53:07,960 --> 00:53:10,159 all across the transport corridors of Europe, 1 00:53:10,159 --> 00:53:12,559 on traffic flows, weather conditions, 1 00:53:12,559 --> 00:53:14,360 availability of warehouses... 1 00:53:14,360 --> 00:53:17,079 All of the data you would need if you're a small business, 1 00:53:17,079 --> 00:53:18,759 a large business, or just a home owner, 1 00:53:18,760 --> 00:53:21,760 to be able to increase your aggregate efficiencies 1 00:53:21,760 --> 00:53:24,280 and productivity, reduce your ecological footprint, 1 00:53:24,280 --> 00:53:27,560 and anytime you're involved in moving shipments from A to B. 1 00:53:28,360 --> 00:53:30,559 Then this is what's really interesting. 1 00:53:31,159 --> 00:53:33,759 He dimed the lights and they went to a helicopter feed, 1 00:53:33,760 --> 00:53:35,560 live on the German Expressway. 1 00:53:38,280 --> 00:53:40,880 And the helicopter zooms in on these three trucks 1 00:53:40,880 --> 00:53:42,360 on the German Expressway, 1 00:53:42,360 --> 00:53:44,680 and then they went right into the cab of the trucks 1 00:53:44,679 --> 00:53:47,879 and the drivers are waving and talking to everybody in the room. 1 00:53:48,679 --> 00:53:50,559 And the chairman of Daimler Trucks said, 1 00:53:50,559 --> 00:53:53,079 "Okay, gentlemen. Take your hands off the wheel. 1 00:53:53,079 --> 00:53:54,559 Take your feet off the pedals." 1 00:53:55,280 --> 00:53:59,080 All of a sudden, the drivers became software analysts. 1 00:53:59,559 --> 00:54:00,759 No longer drivers. 1 00:54:00,760 --> 00:54:03,280 They were software analysts monitoring the data. 1 00:54:03,679 --> 00:54:06,480 The trucks then started to platoon together, 1 00:54:06,480 --> 00:54:09,280 automated, into a mobile data, 1 00:54:09,280 --> 00:54:11,560 almost a train going down the highways, 1 00:54:11,960 --> 00:54:13,280 collecting data. 1 00:54:13,280 --> 00:54:16,680 So they're providing the data, and then the analytics, 1 00:54:16,679 --> 00:54:18,679 so that you will have apps, 1 00:54:18,679 --> 00:54:19,879 so that you can find ways 1 00:54:19,880 --> 00:54:21,280 to increase your aggregate efficiency 1 00:54:21,280 --> 00:54:22,560 and be a player in the system. 1 00:54:23,360 --> 00:54:24,280 Smart! 1 00:54:25,760 --> 00:54:29,160 How do we finance this? How do we pay for this? 1 00:54:29,159 --> 00:54:30,759 CHAPTER FIVE: Financing the Transition 1 00:54:30,760 --> 00:54:34,160 We are laying out a plan in Europe called "Digital Europe," 1 00:54:34,559 --> 00:54:36,279 "Smart Europe." 1 00:54:36,280 --> 00:54:38,160 And working with the European Commission, 1 00:54:38,159 --> 00:54:40,679 we're building this out over the next 10 years. 1 00:54:40,679 --> 00:54:41,759 But the big question is, 1 00:54:41,760 --> 00:54:43,280 "How do we pay for this infrastructure, 1 00:54:43,280 --> 00:54:45,480 region after region, across all of Europe 1 00:54:45,480 --> 00:54:48,480 to connect us in a digital world, 1 00:54:48,480 --> 00:54:51,280 where we can begin to enjoy the new opportunities?" 1 00:54:51,679 --> 00:54:53,759 So the question came up in Brussels and I said, 1 00:54:53,760 --> 00:54:55,360 "We've got all the money we need." 1 00:54:56,079 --> 00:54:58,679 Problem's not the money; it's what we're doing with the money. 1 00:54:58,679 --> 00:55:01,480 I'll give you an example— in America is the same situation. 1 00:55:01,880 --> 00:55:04,280 In Europe, we spent 1 00:55:04,280 --> 00:55:09,080 741 billion equivalent US dollars on infrastructure in 2012. 1 00:55:09,079 --> 00:55:10,279 One year alone. 1 00:55:10,280 --> 00:55:12,280 That's just a bad recession year, typical. 1 00:55:14,079 --> 00:55:16,159 The problem is what we spent it on. 1 00:55:16,480 --> 00:55:20,960 We spent the money on an old 2nd Industrial Revolution platform. 1 00:55:20,960 --> 00:55:22,360 Remember what I said to Chancellor Merkel? 1 00:55:23,079 --> 00:55:25,079 and we peaked in the productivity 1 00:55:25,079 --> 00:55:27,360 20 years ago at 20% ceiling, 1 00:55:27,360 --> 00:55:28,960 and we can't get anything more out of it. 1 00:55:28,960 --> 00:55:30,280 We're stalled, 1 00:55:30,280 --> 00:55:31,560 which stalls the economy, 1 00:55:31,559 --> 00:55:33,360 stalls the smart startups, 1 00:55:33,360 --> 00:55:35,079 stalls the entrepreneurial expansion. 1 00:55:35,679 --> 00:55:39,079 So I said, if we simply reprioritize our investments, 1 00:55:39,079 --> 00:55:42,079 spend some of it patching up the old infrastructure 1 00:55:42,079 --> 00:55:43,279 —we don't want it to collapse— 1 00:55:43,280 --> 00:55:45,080 but we prioritize, so 1 00:55:45,079 --> 00:55:47,679 part of those funds each year go to each region, 1 00:55:47,679 --> 00:55:50,759 so that they can begin to build out and scale up 1 00:55:50,760 --> 00:55:53,160 a 3rd Industrial Revolution infrastructure. 1 00:55:53,159 --> 00:55:54,759 With an Internet of Things platform, 1 00:55:54,760 --> 00:55:56,480 we will be there in 30 years. 1 00:55:59,079 --> 00:56:01,480 This year, we reprioritized our funding at the EU 1 00:56:01,880 --> 00:56:04,079 and, beginning in January of next year, 1 00:56:04,079 --> 00:56:07,880 regions across the EU will secure EU funding, 1 00:56:07,880 --> 00:56:09,559 leverage against private equity, 1 00:56:09,559 --> 00:56:11,880 and each region will customize and build out, 1 00:56:11,880 --> 00:56:14,280 like Wi-Fi, their plan and then connect up 1 00:56:14,280 --> 00:56:15,880 region to region to region. 1 00:56:15,880 --> 00:56:17,760 We call it "Digital Europe." 1 00:56:18,880 --> 00:56:21,880 We have a similar plan called "China Internet Plus" 1 00:56:21,880 --> 00:56:23,360 across the regions of China. 1 00:56:25,079 --> 00:56:26,759 Where's the US here? 1 00:56:27,760 --> 00:56:29,280 CHAPTER SIX: TWO GENERATIONS OF MASS EMPLOYMENT 1 00:56:29,280 --> 00:56:32,080 The coming together of this revolution 1 00:56:32,079 --> 00:56:33,559 will involve every industry: 1 00:56:33,559 --> 00:56:38,279 telecom, cable, ICT, consumer electronics, 1 00:56:38,280 --> 00:56:41,160 transport, logistics, construction, and real estate 1 00:56:41,159 --> 00:56:42,679 —all the retrofitting— 1 00:56:42,679 --> 00:56:44,079 all the industries are involved. 1 00:56:45,079 --> 00:56:46,960 And it means work. 1 00:56:47,960 --> 00:56:49,880 What I'm suggesting here 1 00:56:49,880 --> 00:56:55,079 is that we have one last surge of massive employment 1 00:56:55,079 --> 00:56:59,480 involving semi-skilled, unskilled professional and conceptual labor. 1 00:56:59,960 --> 00:57:02,280 We have to build out this smart infrastructure. 1 00:57:02,760 --> 00:57:04,360 Robots aren't gonna do this. 1 00:57:04,880 --> 00:57:08,880 We have to take the entire energy complex of the United States. 1 00:57:08,880 --> 00:57:10,280 Think of all the infrastructure 1 00:57:10,280 --> 00:57:12,960 and all the technology, all those stranded assets. 1 00:57:12,960 --> 00:57:14,360 We have to convert 1 00:57:14,360 --> 00:57:16,960 all of that infrastructure from fossil fuel, nuclear 1 00:57:16,960 --> 00:57:18,480 to distributed renewable energy. 1 00:57:20,079 --> 00:57:22,360 We have to retrofit every building in the USA. 1 00:57:22,360 --> 00:57:23,079 That's what we're gonna do in Europe. 1 00:57:23,480 --> 00:57:25,079 Because you can't install 1 00:57:25,079 --> 00:57:28,079 the renewable technologies until the buildings are efficient. 1 00:57:28,559 --> 00:57:31,360 That means huge jobs for energy service companies 1 00:57:31,360 --> 00:57:33,480 and for the construction and real estate industry. 1 00:57:35,480 --> 00:57:37,480 Robots won't put in the insulation, 1 00:57:37,480 --> 00:57:38,760 and the new windows, and the doors. 1 00:57:40,480 --> 00:57:44,280 And then we have to install all the renewable energy technology. 1 00:57:45,480 --> 00:57:48,880 Human beings have to install that technology, 1 00:57:48,880 --> 00:57:52,280 and all the smart technologies that monitors the equipment, 1 00:57:52,280 --> 00:57:54,760 and puts in the digital advanced meters. 1 00:57:56,280 --> 00:57:59,760 We have to take the entire electricity grid of the USA, 1 00:57:59,760 --> 00:58:02,960 which is dumb, servo mechanical, embarrassing 1 00:58:02,960 --> 00:58:05,079 —it's 60 years old; it barely functions. 1 00:58:05,079 --> 00:58:08,079 And we have to transform the entire electricity grid 1 00:58:08,079 --> 00:58:10,079 to smart, digital 1 00:58:10,079 --> 00:58:12,880 so that we can manage these three internets. 1 00:58:12,880 --> 00:58:14,760 This is gonna require professional talent 1 00:58:14,760 --> 00:58:17,160 and unskilled and skilled labor for two generations. 1 00:58:17,679 --> 00:58:22,079 We have to take the entire transportation grid of the USA 1 00:58:22,079 --> 00:58:25,679 and turn it from dumb to smart road, rail, water and air. 1 00:58:25,679 --> 00:58:28,559 Who's going to install the thousands of charging stations 1 00:58:28,559 --> 00:58:29,679 in all the buildings? 1 00:58:30,360 --> 00:58:33,079 Fuel cell outlets? Smart sensors? 1 00:58:33,079 --> 00:58:35,279 This requires human beings. 1 00:58:35,280 --> 00:58:38,560 This means two generations of work and guess what? 1 00:58:38,559 --> 00:58:41,880 It's financed by the payback of the energy savings. 1 00:58:41,880 --> 00:58:43,680 You don't have to have huge government involvement here. 1 00:58:44,559 --> 00:58:46,360 You simply have to have the enablement, 1 00:58:46,360 --> 00:58:48,680 so energy service companies can be set up, 1 00:58:48,679 --> 00:58:52,079 and we transform every building in the USA to a node. 1 00:58:52,559 --> 00:58:54,079 These nodes then connect, 1 00:58:54,079 --> 00:58:55,480 and they are the big data centers. 1 00:58:55,480 --> 00:58:57,079 They are the micro power plants. 1 00:58:57,079 --> 00:59:00,960 They are the transport hubs with electric charging stations. 1 00:59:00,960 --> 00:59:03,679 The nodes connect like Wi-Fi and all those nodes, 1 00:59:03,679 --> 00:59:06,159 those buildings —homes, offices, factory— 1 00:59:06,159 --> 00:59:07,679 that's your Internet of Things. 1 00:59:08,360 --> 00:59:10,559 That's a huge job for the construction industry 1 00:59:10,559 --> 00:59:13,480 and you pay back by the energy savings. 1 00:59:13,480 --> 00:59:15,280 You can't default on the loans. 1 00:59:16,280 --> 00:59:18,480 But the technology doesn't do it alone. 1 00:59:19,079 --> 00:59:20,759 We have to change consciousness. 1 00:59:21,079 --> 00:59:22,559 I'm only guardedly hopeful. 1 00:59:23,760 --> 00:59:26,080 You know, I'm not naive; I'm guardedly hopeful. 1 00:59:26,079 --> 00:59:28,679 I think that what I've said is really a tough challenge. 1 00:59:29,360 --> 00:59:31,079 But I'm guardedly hopeful because 1 00:59:31,079 --> 00:59:33,559 human beings are the most social creature on this planet. 1 00:59:33,559 --> 00:59:36,679 When we get the story right, we move quickly. 1 00:59:36,679 --> 00:59:39,480 I'm always amazed when I fly and I see 1 00:59:39,480 --> 00:59:42,159 electricity grids across continents, 1 00:59:42,159 --> 00:59:44,480 and highways and urban centers. 1 00:59:44,480 --> 00:59:46,960 And I think, "My God! That was all done in 50, 60 years?" 1 00:59:47,360 --> 00:59:48,360 It's amazing! 1 00:59:48,360 --> 00:59:50,559 When we get the story, we move quick. 1 00:59:50,559 --> 00:59:51,880 We're a very social creature. 1 00:59:52,880 --> 00:59:54,760 They're coming together, these three Internet's 1 00:59:54,760 --> 00:59:56,680 —communication, energy and transport internets 1 00:59:56,679 --> 00:59:58,559 on top of an Internet of Things platform. 1 01:00:00,760 --> 01:00:03,960 It changes the way we think about life. 1 01:00:03,960 --> 01:00:06,079 CHAPTER SEVEN: A New Consciousness for a New Era 1 01:00:06,079 --> 01:00:07,360 Let me give you the best example. 1 01:00:07,880 --> 01:00:10,760 We've got millennial parents now that are sharing toys 1 01:00:10,760 --> 01:00:12,880 on these millennial websites, 1 01:00:12,880 --> 01:00:15,760 where you go up and you pay a subscription fee, 1 01:00:15,760 --> 01:00:17,480 one time and you're in the system. 1 01:00:17,480 --> 01:00:20,159 Then you can get a toy —any kind of toy you want— 1 01:00:20,159 --> 01:00:23,079 by age category, and give it to your child. 1 01:00:23,679 --> 01:00:25,679 This is creating the real revolution. 1 01:00:26,280 --> 01:00:28,760 The parent traditionally brings home a toy. 1 01:00:29,360 --> 01:00:31,960 And they say to the daughter, "This is not Christmas." 1 01:00:31,960 --> 01:00:33,480 "Santa Claus didn't get you this toy." 1 01:00:33,480 --> 01:00:37,079 "We bought this toy at a store and we're giving this toy to you." 1 01:00:37,079 --> 01:00:38,480 "This is your property." 1 01:00:38,679 --> 01:00:41,759 "This is not your brother's toy, and this is not your sister's toy." 1 01:00:41,760 --> 01:00:43,080 "This is your toy." 1 01:00:43,079 --> 01:00:45,960 "You need to take responsibility for it and take care of it." 1 01:00:46,360 --> 01:00:48,680 "What did mom and dad just say to me?" 1 01:00:49,079 --> 01:00:50,559 The first thing I caught is, 1 01:00:50,559 --> 01:00:52,159 "This isn't my brother and sister's toy." 1 01:00:52,159 --> 01:00:53,359 That's pretty relevant. 1 01:00:53,360 --> 01:00:56,880 Now, status, power, negotiability. 1 01:00:56,880 --> 01:00:58,480 "I'll never let my siblings ever use this, 1 01:00:58,480 --> 01:00:59,960 unless they pay the price." 1 01:00:59,960 --> 01:01:02,679 They're learning possession of property and markets. 1 01:01:02,679 --> 01:01:04,159 There's nothing wrong with that. 1 01:01:04,159 --> 01:01:07,879 But now, on these toy-sharing websites, 1 01:01:07,880 --> 01:01:09,680 parents are bringing home these toys 1 01:01:09,679 --> 01:01:12,279 —and pretty soon they're gonna come in a driverless drone 1 01:01:12,280 --> 01:01:13,680 at near zero marginal cost. 1 01:01:13,679 --> 01:01:15,759 Now the parents are giving this toy and saying, 1 01:01:15,760 --> 01:01:17,880 "Another little child played with this toy, 1 01:01:17,880 --> 01:01:19,360 and she had a lot of fun with it 1 01:01:19,360 --> 01:01:21,880 and she really took good care of it 1 01:01:21,880 --> 01:01:23,680 'cause she knew one day you'd want to play with the toy." 1 01:01:24,559 --> 01:01:26,279 "And we hope you take good care of it 1 01:01:26,280 --> 01:01:28,480 'cause one day another child will wanna play with the toy." 1 01:01:29,079 --> 01:01:32,279 What the child is learning now is this toys not a possession, 1 01:01:32,280 --> 01:01:36,560 it's not status, it's not power, it's not negotiable. 1 01:01:36,559 --> 01:01:39,279 It's simply access to an experience for a moment of time, 1 01:01:39,280 --> 01:01:41,280 then another child gets to use it. 1 01:01:41,280 --> 01:01:43,560 They're learning how to be part of a circular economy, 1 01:01:43,559 --> 01:01:45,960 where we distribute things in the sharing economy 1 01:01:45,960 --> 01:01:47,679 over and over and over. 1 01:01:47,679 --> 01:01:49,359 Nothing goes to the landfill. 1 01:01:49,960 --> 01:01:52,480 I like a system where you have both opportunities. 1 01:01:52,480 --> 01:01:54,360 There's nothing wrong with being property. 1 01:01:54,360 --> 01:01:56,760 There's nothing wrong with having possessions 1 01:01:56,760 --> 01:02:00,080 and some status, but it's also nice to have another option 1 01:02:00,079 --> 01:02:02,480 where part of her life is being able to 1 01:02:02,480 --> 01:02:05,559 access an experience in time, and then share it with someone else. 1 01:02:05,559 --> 01:02:07,960 I don't think capitalism is gonna disappear, 1 01:02:08,760 --> 01:02:12,280 but I think it's gonna find value by creating a relationship, 1 01:02:12,280 --> 01:02:14,160 so that it finds value 1 01:02:14,159 --> 01:02:15,679 with the child that gave birth through the sharing economy. 1 01:02:16,480 --> 01:02:18,559 And, right here in this room, you are already 1 01:02:18,559 --> 01:02:21,159 in two economic systems day to day right here in Brooklyn. 1 01:02:21,480 --> 01:02:22,960 Part of the day, you're in the market. 1 01:02:22,960 --> 01:02:24,280 You're sellers, you're buyers, 1 01:02:24,280 --> 01:02:25,760 you're owners, you're workers, 1 01:02:25,760 --> 01:02:27,680 you're producing goods and services for each other 1 01:02:27,679 --> 01:02:29,759 for a profit in the marketplace, 1 01:02:29,760 --> 01:02:31,080 and you have property. 1 01:02:31,079 --> 01:02:33,159 But part of the day you're in the sharing economy. 1 01:02:33,159 --> 01:02:35,679 You're sharing virtual goods, entertainment, news, 1 01:02:35,679 --> 01:02:37,279 social blogs, Wikipedia. 1 01:02:37,880 --> 01:02:40,160 And now energy and car sharing. 1 01:02:40,159 --> 01:02:43,559 And, while it has capitalist parts to it, 1 01:02:43,559 --> 01:02:46,360 it's also a sharing economy where you can reduce the cost. 1 01:02:46,360 --> 01:02:49,360 And, by 2050, we will have two mature systems: 1 01:02:49,360 --> 01:02:50,880 part of the day, capitalist market, 1 01:02:51,760 --> 01:02:54,560 with a profit margin producing and selling to each other; 1 01:02:54,559 --> 01:02:56,079 part of the day in the sharing economy 1 01:02:56,079 --> 01:02:57,079 beyond the market, 1 01:02:57,079 --> 01:02:59,480 freely producing goods and services for each other. 1 01:02:59,480 --> 01:03:00,480 That's already started. 1 01:03:00,480 --> 01:03:01,880 That is not gonna go away. 1 01:03:01,880 --> 01:03:05,559 Your generation is moving from ownership to access, 1 01:03:05,559 --> 01:03:07,559 from markets to networks, 1 01:03:07,559 --> 01:03:10,079 from consumerism to sustainability, 1 01:03:10,960 --> 01:03:13,679 from market capital to social capital. 1 01:03:13,679 --> 01:03:14,879 Does this all sound familiar? 1 01:03:15,280 --> 01:03:16,280 It's a revolution. 1 01:03:16,280 --> 01:03:18,560 None of this is being taught in the schools, by the way. 1 01:03:19,360 --> 01:03:21,280 That's why this is really a revolution. 1 01:03:22,360 --> 01:03:24,559 And there are three things that I've noticed 1 01:03:24,559 --> 01:03:26,759 that give me some guarded hope. 1 01:03:28,159 --> 01:03:31,879 There's a basic change going on with you people in this room. 1 01:03:31,880 --> 01:03:33,559 It's strange to older people. 1 01:03:33,559 --> 01:03:36,759 There's a change in the way you define freedom. 1 01:03:37,559 --> 01:03:39,880 The way you define power. 1 01:03:39,880 --> 01:03:41,880 And the way you define community. 1 01:03:42,480 --> 01:03:46,760 And these changes really suggest the real revolution. 1 01:03:47,480 --> 01:03:50,480 For my generation, and generations before me, 1 01:03:50,480 --> 01:03:53,280 freedom was very simple, since the Enlightenment. 1 01:03:53,559 --> 01:03:56,360 To be free, in Enlightenment perspective, 1 01:03:56,360 --> 01:03:57,880 is to be an autonomous agent. 1 01:03:58,760 --> 01:04:01,880 To be self-sufficient. To be independent. 1 01:04:02,079 --> 01:04:04,360 To be not beholden to others. 1 01:04:04,760 --> 01:04:06,360 To be an island to oneself, 1 01:04:06,360 --> 01:04:09,559 so that one can have freedom as exclusivity. 1 01:04:09,880 --> 01:04:12,680 For the millennial generation that grew up on the Internet, 1 01:04:12,679 --> 01:04:14,559 autonomy is death. 1 01:04:15,559 --> 01:04:18,480 Being an island to oneself is death. 1 01:04:18,480 --> 01:04:21,079 Because for your generation 1 01:04:21,079 --> 01:04:22,279 you ask the question, 1 01:04:22,280 --> 01:04:24,280 "How can I flourish to the full extent 1 01:04:24,280 --> 01:04:25,880 of my possibilities here on the planet?" 1 01:04:26,480 --> 01:04:29,360 And it's clear that your answer to that is 1 01:04:29,360 --> 01:04:31,760 "I flourish to the extent that I'm embedded in network 1 01:04:31,760 --> 01:04:33,560 after network, after network; 1 01:04:33,559 --> 01:04:36,360 community after community, where I can share my talents. 1 01:04:36,880 --> 01:04:38,880 And those talents can benefit the network 1 01:04:38,880 --> 01:04:40,360 and come back to benefit myself. 1 01:04:40,360 --> 01:04:43,360 I'm free because I have access." 1 01:04:43,360 --> 01:04:45,280 And, for you, freedom is not exclusivity. 1 01:04:45,280 --> 01:04:47,760 It's not being an autonomous agent. 1 01:04:47,760 --> 01:04:49,560 It's inclusivity. 1 01:04:49,559 --> 01:04:51,159 It's access to others in networks. 1 01:04:51,159 --> 01:04:51,759 Do I have this right? 1 01:04:52,480 --> 01:04:54,559 This is very alien to our generation. 1 01:04:54,559 --> 01:04:56,559 We may have to change all the constitutions in the world. 1 01:04:56,880 --> 01:04:59,079 This is a completely different idea about freedom. 1 01:05:00,280 --> 01:05:03,080 You have a different sensibility about power, 1 01:05:03,079 --> 01:05:05,480 which makes the older generation very nervous. 1 01:05:05,960 --> 01:05:10,559 We essentially believe that power always has to be a pyramid. 1 01:05:11,679 --> 01:05:13,879 It goes from the top down. That is power. 1 01:05:13,880 --> 01:05:15,360 There's no other way to define power. 1 01:05:15,360 --> 01:05:17,680 It's a pyramid —from the one to the many. 1 01:05:18,760 --> 01:05:20,960 But young people that grew up on the Internet— 1 01:05:20,960 --> 01:05:25,079 It's strange because you grew up thinking that power has to do 1 01:05:25,079 --> 01:05:26,559 with the networks you're engaged in. 1 01:05:26,559 --> 01:05:28,759 For you, power is not vertical; it's lateral. 1 01:05:28,760 --> 01:05:31,960 For you, power is being a mesh in network after network 1 01:05:31,960 --> 01:05:33,679 where you benefit each other. 1 01:05:34,760 --> 01:05:36,360 Open source. 1 01:05:36,360 --> 01:05:38,760 This is so strange to our older generation. 1 01:05:38,760 --> 01:05:41,080 We do not have this notion of power. 1 01:05:41,559 --> 01:05:43,279 It makes no sense to us, actually. 1 01:05:43,280 --> 01:05:44,760 But it makes total sense to you. 1 01:05:44,960 --> 01:05:47,360 And, finally, I think most importantly, 1 01:05:48,079 --> 01:05:50,279 we're seeing a change in the way 1 01:05:50,280 --> 01:05:53,680 a younger generation perceives identity to community. 1 01:05:53,960 --> 01:05:57,280 I grew up in a post Westphalian world, the nation-state. 1 01:05:57,280 --> 01:05:59,480 We were very clear on community. 1 01:05:59,480 --> 01:06:03,159 That is, each individual is born to be an autonomous agent 1 01:06:03,159 --> 01:06:04,679 and we're each sovereign. 1 01:06:04,679 --> 01:06:06,559 We are each a sovereign to ourselves. 1 01:06:07,079 --> 01:06:09,559 And each of us as a sovereign to ourselves— 1 01:06:09,559 --> 01:06:11,880 We compete with other sovereign individuals, 1 01:06:11,880 --> 01:06:13,360 in the marketplace, 1 01:06:13,360 --> 01:06:16,280 for scarce resources, in a zero-sum game. 1 01:06:16,960 --> 01:06:19,960 Our nations represent us because they are sovereigns. 1 01:06:20,280 --> 01:06:22,880 And they represent all the millions of individual citizens 1 01:06:22,880 --> 01:06:24,960 who are sovereigns against other nations. 1 01:06:25,480 --> 01:06:28,360 And each nation then competes with every other nation 1 01:06:28,360 --> 01:06:31,559 for scarce resources in the marketplace of the battlefield 1 01:06:31,559 --> 01:06:32,759 in a zero-sum game. 1 01:06:33,159 --> 01:06:35,679 That's the post Westphalia nation-state world. 1 01:06:35,679 --> 01:06:37,159 Here's my question: 1 01:06:37,880 --> 01:06:40,160 Does anyone here believe 1 01:06:40,159 --> 01:06:42,159 that we're gonna be able to address 1 01:06:42,159 --> 01:06:45,679 climate change and bring the human family together 1 01:06:45,679 --> 01:06:47,960 and take our responsibility for our fellow creatures 1 01:06:47,960 --> 01:06:50,360 in the Earth we live in with that worldview? 1 01:06:51,079 --> 01:06:52,159 Anybody? 1 01:06:55,760 --> 01:06:57,680 What we're beginning to see with Millennials 1 01:06:57,679 --> 01:06:59,279 —and I don't wanna overstretch this— 1 01:06:59,280 --> 01:07:00,760 but I'm beginning to sense 1 01:07:00,760 --> 01:07:04,680 a shift from geopolitics to biosphere consciousness. 1 01:07:05,159 --> 01:07:06,879 Just beginning to see it. 1 01:07:07,480 --> 01:07:09,360 I hope it doesn't go away. I don't think it will. 1 01:07:09,360 --> 01:07:13,559 The biosphere is that 19 km from the stratosphere to the ocean, 1 01:07:13,559 --> 01:07:16,079 where all life and all the chemicals on the planet 1 01:07:16,079 --> 01:07:18,360 interact to maintain the ecosystems, 1 01:07:18,360 --> 01:07:19,559 the biology of the Earth. 1 01:07:21,159 --> 01:07:24,159 We're getting 14-year olds coming home 1 01:07:24,159 --> 01:07:25,679 with biosphere consciousness. 1 01:07:27,360 --> 01:07:29,360 They're becoming the biosphere police. 1 01:07:29,360 --> 01:07:31,880 We got young people coming home and saying to their father, 1 01:07:31,880 --> 01:07:34,880 "Why are you using so much water here while you're shaving?" 1 01:07:35,360 --> 01:07:38,079 "Can't we turn it off once in a while?" 1 01:07:38,079 --> 01:07:39,559 "We're wasting the water." 1 01:07:40,159 --> 01:07:41,359 They're saying to their parents, 1 01:07:41,360 --> 01:07:43,559 "Why is the little red light on on the TV?" 1 01:07:43,559 --> 01:07:45,759 "We haven't been in that room for three weeks!" 1 01:07:46,280 --> 01:07:48,080 Wasting electricity... 1 01:07:48,079 --> 01:07:49,159 They're saying to their parents, 1 01:07:49,159 --> 01:07:51,079 "Why are there two cars in the driveway?" 1 01:07:51,079 --> 01:07:53,480 "Why can't we at least car share one?" 1 01:07:54,159 --> 01:07:55,679 They're saying to their parents, 1 01:07:55,679 --> 01:07:57,759 And this is the one I'm particularly fond of. 1 01:07:58,280 --> 01:08:00,080 It brings a smile to me. 1 01:08:00,079 --> 01:08:02,360 We actually have young people coming home 1 01:08:03,079 --> 01:08:05,279 and, at dinnertime, they're asking their parents 1 01:08:05,280 --> 01:08:07,480 where the hamburger came from on the table. 1 01:08:07,480 --> 01:08:10,480 Yes, I'm sure some of you have this experience. 1 01:08:10,480 --> 01:08:12,079 They're saying, "Did that hamburger 1 01:08:12,079 --> 01:08:13,480 come from a rain forest?" 1 01:08:14,880 --> 01:08:18,760 "Did they have to destroy the trees for four little inches of topsoil, 1 01:08:18,760 --> 01:08:20,560 which only gives you three years of grazing, 1 01:08:20,560 --> 01:08:23,160 so that that cow could become my hamburger?" 1 01:08:24,479 --> 01:08:28,879 And when those trees are destroyed for the topsoil 1 01:08:28,880 --> 01:08:29,960 to graze the cow for the hamburger, 1 01:08:29,960 --> 01:08:31,680 the kids are smart enough to understand 1 01:08:31,680 --> 01:08:32,760 —the high school kids— 1 01:08:32,760 --> 01:08:37,079 that those trees harbor rare species of plant and animal life 1 01:08:37,079 --> 01:08:39,279 that only live in those canopies. They go extinct. 1 01:08:39,960 --> 01:08:41,480 And then they connect the dots. 1 01:08:41,479 --> 01:08:43,479 If the trees disappear 1 01:08:43,479 --> 01:08:45,959 for the soil to graze the cow for the hamburger, 1 01:08:45,960 --> 01:08:50,960 those trees are not there to absorb CO₂ from industrial emissions. 1 01:08:51,880 --> 01:08:54,159 And that means the temperature the planet goes up. 1 01:08:54,159 --> 01:08:58,680 So then, a mother cannot feed her children if she's on the farm, 1 01:08:58,680 --> 01:09:01,360 because she's getting spring floods, 1 01:09:01,359 --> 01:09:04,479 summer droughts, and wildfires because of the hamburger. 1 01:09:05,680 --> 01:09:07,960 These kids are learning ecological footprint. 1 01:09:07,960 --> 01:09:09,279 Junior high school. 1 01:09:09,279 --> 01:09:10,279 And they're coming home. 1 01:09:10,279 --> 01:09:13,880 They're beginning to understand that everything each of us does, 1 01:09:15,279 --> 01:09:17,159 all day long, even when we're sleeping, 1 01:09:17,159 --> 01:09:19,159 intimately affects some other human being, 1 01:09:19,760 --> 01:09:21,280 some other creature, 1 01:09:21,760 --> 01:09:23,159 and the planet we live in. 1 01:09:23,159 --> 01:09:27,359 This is so alien to the way your previous generations grew up. 1 01:09:28,159 --> 01:09:30,559 You're beginning to connect the dots and say, 1 01:09:30,560 --> 01:09:33,080 "We live in an indivisible biosphere community; 1 01:09:33,079 --> 01:09:34,479 there's no escape." 1 01:09:34,479 --> 01:09:36,759 "This isn't just academic: our well-being depends 1 01:09:36,760 --> 01:09:39,560 on the well-being of the whole system and all the creatures in it. 1 01:09:39,560 --> 01:09:42,480 We have young people who are beginning to extend 1 01:09:42,479 --> 01:09:45,279 their empathic concern to the rest of the human family, 1 01:09:45,279 --> 01:09:47,359 because you're all skyping on global classrooms. 1 01:09:47,359 --> 01:09:48,880 Heck—a billion of you on Facebook. 1 01:09:48,880 --> 01:09:51,480 That's the largest fictional family in history! 1 01:09:51,479 --> 01:09:54,359 And what's promising to me is that part of this generation 1 01:09:54,359 --> 01:09:58,159 is also beginning to empathize with our fellow creatures. 1 01:09:58,760 --> 01:10:01,880 Not just the polar bears and the penguins on the poles, 1 01:10:01,880 --> 01:10:04,359 but all of our fellow creatures. And I gotta tell you, 1 01:10:04,359 --> 01:10:07,079 my wife and I are into animal rights and animal protection. 1 01:10:07,079 --> 01:10:08,960 Our fellow creatures have a right to be here. 1 01:10:08,960 --> 01:10:12,480 We do not have a right to end existence for them. 1 01:10:12,479 --> 01:10:14,759 This is their planet, as well as our planet. 1 01:10:14,760 --> 01:10:18,159 So I think we're beginning to see a shift the notion of freedom. 1 01:10:18,159 --> 01:10:21,359 How we perceive power, our sense of community. 1 01:10:21,359 --> 01:10:22,960 We're heading to a biosphere frame. 1 01:10:22,960 --> 01:10:24,560 This is all good. 1 01:10:25,880 --> 01:10:28,760 Let me be clear on why I've been doing this work. 1 01:10:31,359 --> 01:10:32,880 I'm terrified about climate change. 1 01:10:33,279 --> 01:10:36,279 I began working on energy issues— it was in 1973. 1 01:10:36,279 --> 01:10:38,960 And wrote a book, "Entropy on Climate Change," in 1980. 1 01:10:38,960 --> 01:10:40,480 I thought we had more time. 1 01:10:40,479 --> 01:10:42,879 I did not anticipate the feedback loops. 1 01:10:42,880 --> 01:10:45,159 We couldn't even see them until they came, 1 01:10:45,159 --> 01:10:47,079 and then each feedback decreased ten more 1 01:10:47,079 --> 01:10:49,559 on an exponential curve. And we just didn't see it. 1 01:10:49,560 --> 01:10:50,880 We thought linear. 1 01:10:50,880 --> 01:10:52,560 Now we're really scared. 1 01:10:53,279 --> 01:10:56,159 I'm gonna tell you, we are really really scared. 1 01:10:56,159 --> 01:10:58,880 'Cause now we're in a runaway exponential curve 1 01:10:58,880 --> 01:11:01,359 on the water cycles. We didn't see it. 1 01:11:01,359 --> 01:11:04,359 The fortunate thing is, we now have a 1 01:11:04,359 --> 01:11:07,559 new infrastructure paradigm —a 3rd Industrial Revolution. 1 01:11:08,079 --> 01:11:11,359 That can allow us to move off carbon quickly, 1 01:11:11,359 --> 01:11:12,279 in three decades. 1 01:11:12,479 --> 01:11:14,879 We have the technology that allows us to do this, because 1 01:11:14,880 --> 01:11:17,760 zero marginal cost is the ultimate metric 1 01:11:17,760 --> 01:11:19,480 for reducing ecological footprint. 1 01:11:19,760 --> 01:11:21,560 If people equipped with a little technology 1 01:11:21,560 --> 01:11:23,960 are constantly finding new analytics and apps 1 01:11:23,960 --> 01:11:25,960 to increase their aggregate efficiency 1 01:11:25,960 --> 01:11:27,560 at whatever value chain they're in, 1 01:11:27,560 --> 01:11:29,080 it means we're using less of the Earth 1 01:11:29,079 --> 01:11:30,960 and getting more out of it. 1 01:11:30,960 --> 01:11:32,960 In other words, more of the energy and materials 1 01:11:32,960 --> 01:11:34,680 gets into the product, less is lost. 1 01:11:35,479 --> 01:11:38,279 Then, if what we do produce is shared 1 01:11:38,279 --> 01:11:41,880 —share the cars, share the homes share the toys— 1 01:11:41,880 --> 01:11:44,359 we're distributing a circular economy over and over. 1 01:11:44,359 --> 01:11:45,880 Nothing needs to go to the landfill. 1 01:11:45,880 --> 01:11:48,159 Every resource is always there for us. 1 01:11:50,560 --> 01:11:53,160 If we move to the energy internet, there's no reason why 1 01:11:53,159 --> 01:11:55,079 everyone on this planet shouldn't be producing 1 01:11:55,079 --> 01:11:57,159 their own green electricity, right where they are 1 01:11:57,159 --> 01:11:59,159 at very low cost in 25 years from now, 1 01:11:59,159 --> 01:12:00,479 on this exponential curve, 1 01:12:00,479 --> 01:12:02,759 and sharing across continental energy Internets. 1 01:12:04,159 --> 01:12:07,159 And if we go to a car sharing, driverless transport grid, 1 01:12:07,159 --> 01:12:09,279 we can eliminate 80% of those vehicles 1 01:12:09,279 --> 01:12:11,679 that have taken a big hunk of the Earth 1 01:12:11,680 --> 01:12:12,760 to put online. 1 01:12:13,279 --> 01:12:15,079 This is a plan and what we've done— 1 01:12:15,079 --> 01:12:17,559 a lot of businesses are working with us around the world on this— 1 01:12:17,560 --> 01:12:20,280 and we say to people, "If you have another plan, 1 01:12:20,279 --> 01:12:23,359 step forward and tell us what it might be 1 01:12:23,359 --> 01:12:26,759 to address climate change and move the economy." 1 01:12:27,560 --> 01:12:29,160 And I always get silence. 1 01:12:30,079 --> 01:12:32,559 'Cause the only other plan is to stay where we are 1 01:12:32,560 --> 01:12:34,880 and that's taking us to an economic crisis 1 01:12:34,880 --> 01:12:36,359 and an environmental abyss. 1 01:12:37,560 --> 01:12:38,360 But here's what I'd like to do: 1 01:12:39,680 --> 01:12:40,880 I'm gonna turn it over to you. 1 01:12:41,560 --> 01:12:43,360 Let's think about your sensibilities 1 01:12:43,359 --> 01:12:46,559 and find out if we can come to some common ground 1 01:12:46,560 --> 01:12:49,360 on how we can begin to move this from this little room 1 01:12:49,359 --> 01:12:52,279 out to all the larger communities and networks are in. 1 01:12:53,079 --> 01:12:53,960 Is that a deal? 1 01:12:55,560 --> 01:12:57,080 Who wants to start? 1 01:12:57,279 --> 01:12:59,159 Hello, my name is Lena. 1 01:12:59,159 --> 01:13:01,760 And my question will be related to technological unemployment. 1 01:13:02,359 --> 01:13:03,679 What is your take on that? 1 01:13:05,359 --> 01:13:07,279 We are moving to an automated world. 1 01:13:07,760 --> 01:13:08,760 There's no doubt about it. 1 01:13:08,760 --> 01:13:10,480 However, as I said during the talk, 1 01:13:10,479 --> 01:13:13,279 we've got two generations of massive employment, 1 01:13:13,279 --> 01:13:15,079 that's clear, to lay out this infrastructure. 1 01:13:15,079 --> 01:13:17,479 That's gonna require millions and millions of jobs. 1 01:13:17,479 --> 01:13:19,279 We know this on the ground as we're laying this out 1 01:13:19,279 --> 01:13:20,359 in Europe right now. 1 01:13:20,359 --> 01:13:21,880 It's a huge amount of jobs. 1 01:13:21,880 --> 01:13:23,960 Robots can't do it. AI can't do it. 1 01:13:23,960 --> 01:13:25,760 This is infrastructure shift. 1 01:13:25,760 --> 01:13:31,880 However, as this smart digital economy and society moves in, 1 01:13:31,880 --> 01:13:35,560 it can be run by very small supervisory workforces 1 01:13:35,560 --> 01:13:37,960 with analytics, big data, algorithms and apps 1 01:13:37,960 --> 01:13:40,560 —that's why we call it "smart world," "smart society," 1 01:13:40,560 --> 01:13:42,360 "smart economy." 1 01:13:42,680 --> 01:13:45,960 Then, what do we do once we have the smart society in 1 01:13:45,960 --> 01:13:48,159 and it's automated, running by analytics? 1 01:13:48,479 --> 01:13:50,279 We're not gonna pay people just to do nothing. 1 01:13:50,880 --> 01:13:53,359 We already know where the employment is going. 1 01:13:54,159 --> 01:13:55,559 And that is, as we 1 01:13:55,560 --> 01:13:58,160 continue to automate the market economy, 1 01:13:58,159 --> 01:14:00,960 employment is shifting to the nonprofit social economy 1 01:14:00,960 --> 01:14:03,279 and the sharing economy —we already know that. 1 01:14:03,760 --> 01:14:06,960 The nonprofit sector is the fastest growing 1 01:14:06,960 --> 01:14:09,359 employment sector right now in the world. 1 01:14:09,359 --> 01:14:12,880 It's about 9.5, 10% of the American employment— 1 01:14:12,880 --> 01:14:14,079 paid employments and nonprofit. 1 01:14:14,079 --> 01:14:15,559 Why is it heading there? 1 01:14:15,560 --> 01:14:18,880 Because, in the social economy, the nonprofit economy, 1 01:14:18,880 --> 01:14:21,359 and large sections of the sharing economy, 1 01:14:21,359 --> 01:14:24,559 social capital is as important as market capital. 1 01:14:24,560 --> 01:14:27,680 And, in this realm 1 01:14:27,680 --> 01:14:30,280 —the nonprofit realm, the social economy, 1 01:14:30,279 --> 01:14:31,079 the sharing economy— 1 01:14:31,479 --> 01:14:34,879 it requires human beings engaged with other human beings. 1 01:14:35,479 --> 01:14:37,079 Machines aren't only supplemental. 1 01:14:37,079 --> 01:14:40,159 We will never have a robot 1 01:14:40,159 --> 01:14:44,279 raising a child and interacting with them in a childcare center 1 01:14:44,279 --> 01:14:46,759 to develop their brain. It's never gonna happen. 1 01:14:46,760 --> 01:14:49,560 They may bring the lunch to the kid —the robot— 1 01:14:49,560 --> 01:14:54,280 but it's gonna require human beings working with those children. 1 01:14:54,479 --> 01:14:56,879 And whether it's in parts of healthcare 1 01:14:56,880 --> 01:15:00,480 and the knowledge industries, in cultural areas, 1 01:15:00,479 --> 01:15:01,759 humans with humans. 1 01:15:02,279 --> 01:15:03,960 The only other question is, 1 01:15:03,960 --> 01:15:06,079 how does this sector survive financially? 1 01:15:06,079 --> 01:15:08,079 Johns Hopkins University 1 01:15:08,079 --> 01:15:11,359 does a study of nonprofits in 40 countries every few years. 1 01:15:11,359 --> 01:15:12,679 And guess what they found: 1 01:15:12,680 --> 01:15:16,280 Over half the income for nonprofits 1 01:15:16,279 --> 01:15:18,159 which are one of the biggest employers now, 1 01:15:18,159 --> 01:15:19,359 comes with fees for services. 1 01:15:19,359 --> 01:15:22,079 If you're doing health research, you set up a health clinic. 1 01:15:22,079 --> 01:15:24,359 You get fees for services and then 1 01:15:24,359 --> 01:15:26,359 you can continue to do your nonprofit research. 1 01:15:27,560 --> 01:15:29,480 If we get any of this transition right, 1 01:15:30,479 --> 01:15:31,759 we automate the market, 1 01:15:31,760 --> 01:15:33,480 we move to social capital 1 01:15:33,479 --> 01:15:35,759 where we can use our minds much more expansively, 1 01:15:35,760 --> 01:15:38,079 so we can learn to live as a human family 1 01:15:38,079 --> 01:15:40,159 and steward each other steward our fellow creatures, 1 01:15:40,159 --> 01:15:41,279 steward the Earth. 1 01:15:41,279 --> 01:15:42,559 That's a much more noble mission. 1 01:15:44,960 --> 01:15:47,960 I believe that in order to create a better tomorrow, 1 01:15:47,960 --> 01:15:51,079 we also need to look at rehabilitating our psychology. 1 01:15:51,079 --> 01:15:53,559 Yeah, I'm in agreement with you. 1 01:15:54,079 --> 01:15:57,359 You know, and I have to say, our academic disciplines 1 01:15:57,359 --> 01:15:58,880 —I'm gonna step on more toes. 1 01:15:58,880 --> 01:16:02,279 The academic disciplines in our school systems are so moribund. 1 01:16:02,279 --> 01:16:03,960 It's dysfunctional. 1 01:16:03,960 --> 01:16:07,960 We have an internet generation that lives one way of life 1 01:16:07,960 --> 01:16:10,680 in terms of their mind outside the classroom, 1 01:16:10,680 --> 01:16:12,360 and another inside the classroom. 1 01:16:12,359 --> 01:16:16,559 In the classroom, for example, when we think about education, 1 01:16:16,560 --> 01:16:18,480 the first thing we realize is 1 01:16:18,479 --> 01:16:20,479 the classroom looks a little bit like a factory. 1 01:16:20,960 --> 01:16:22,880 These big, giant institutions. 1 01:16:22,880 --> 01:16:25,159 And the kid comes in there in 1st grade 1 01:16:25,159 --> 01:16:26,279 —a little boy or girl— 1 01:16:26,279 --> 01:16:27,759 and they immediately realize 1 01:16:27,760 --> 01:16:29,680 there's a central authority of the teacher, 1 01:16:29,680 --> 01:16:31,480 they have to be silent, 1 01:16:31,479 --> 01:16:33,559 if they share knowledge with each other 1 01:16:33,560 --> 01:16:35,480 it's called cheating, and they're expelled. 1 01:16:35,479 --> 01:16:38,559 And they learn that their mission is to be efficient, 1 01:16:38,560 --> 01:16:43,280 but only in the sense of being able to have the skills they need 1 01:16:43,279 --> 01:16:46,279 to follow orders and tend the machinery 1 01:16:46,279 --> 01:16:47,679 of the Industrial Revolution. 1 01:16:48,279 --> 01:16:50,679 Yet, an internet generation out of school— 1 01:16:50,680 --> 01:16:52,480 You're all sharing knowledge. 1 01:16:52,479 --> 01:16:56,159 The whole point of the Internet is to share your talents and skills, 1 01:16:56,159 --> 01:16:58,680 open-source, no intellectual property 1 01:16:58,680 --> 01:17:02,680 and begin to crowdsource the knowledge of the world together. 1 01:17:02,680 --> 01:17:05,079 That is so different than what you're getting in school. 1 01:17:05,079 --> 01:17:07,279 So let me say one thing about this. 1 01:17:07,279 --> 01:17:09,759 You know what we're doing in northern industrial France? 1 01:17:09,760 --> 01:17:11,960 All 7 universities have come together 1 01:17:11,960 --> 01:17:13,279 and 200 high schools, 1 01:17:13,279 --> 01:17:16,079 and the universities are led by Catholic University of Lille. 1 01:17:16,079 --> 01:17:16,960 Here's what they've done: 1 01:17:17,359 --> 01:17:20,559 all faculty now teach interdisciplinary so that 1 01:17:20,560 --> 01:17:22,480 you learn various perspectives 1 01:17:22,479 --> 01:17:24,079 and there's more than one way to look at things 1 01:17:24,079 --> 01:17:25,559 and you have to share a common language. 1 01:17:25,560 --> 01:17:26,680 No silence. 1 01:17:26,680 --> 01:17:31,280 Secondly, all the students now are put into modules, 1 01:17:31,279 --> 01:17:33,960 in teams, and they work with their teams 1 01:17:33,960 --> 01:17:36,079 and the students have to teach each other. 1 01:17:36,079 --> 01:17:39,079 The teacher becomes a facilitator and a guide, 1 01:17:39,079 --> 01:17:40,760 but the students have to teach each other. 1 01:17:40,760 --> 01:17:43,560 If they share knowledge, it's good—it's not cheating. 1 01:17:44,159 --> 01:17:46,760 Then they learn that knowledge is not power 1 01:17:46,760 --> 01:17:49,360 and something one possesses at the expense of the other. 1 01:17:49,359 --> 01:17:52,759 Knowledge is the shared experience you have as a social being. 1 01:17:52,760 --> 01:17:55,280 And the learning now is clinical. 1 01:17:55,279 --> 01:17:56,559 What's the good of learning 1 01:17:56,560 --> 01:17:58,760 if theory isn't brought together with practice? 1 01:17:58,760 --> 01:18:00,159 So their learning is clinical. 1 01:18:00,159 --> 01:18:02,760 They've taken service-learning, which you all did here, 1 01:18:02,760 --> 01:18:04,560 and they've elevated to pedagogy. 1 01:18:04,560 --> 01:18:05,680 So whatever you're learning, 1 01:18:05,680 --> 01:18:08,360 you have to apply it with your fellow citizens 1 01:18:08,359 --> 01:18:10,279 in the neighborhoods where these universities are. 1 01:18:10,680 --> 01:18:11,760 How do you like that? 1 01:18:12,479 --> 01:18:14,359 Catholic University of Lille. 1 01:18:14,560 --> 01:18:15,880 That's the revolution. 1 01:18:17,359 --> 01:18:19,279 I believe in the Darwinian theory 1 01:18:19,279 --> 01:18:21,960 of humanity being more Darwinian than utopian. 1 01:18:21,960 --> 01:18:25,079 What would you do about basically corruption and fraud? 1 01:18:25,079 --> 01:18:28,479 Let me be very clear: I am an anti-utopian. 1 01:18:28,479 --> 01:18:31,159 If you read my books, I don't believe in utopias. 1 01:18:31,159 --> 01:18:33,960 I don't like utopias. I think utopia is are dangerous. 1 01:18:34,279 --> 01:18:36,960 Our human spirit, the empathic spirit, 1 01:18:36,960 --> 01:18:40,760 is designed to show compassion to our frailties 1 01:18:40,760 --> 01:18:45,960 —our precarious existence. 1 01:18:45,960 --> 01:18:48,359 An empathic world is never a utopian world. 1 01:18:48,960 --> 01:18:51,279 Utopias are worlds that are perfect. 1 01:18:51,279 --> 01:18:53,079 There's no mortality, 1 01:18:53,079 --> 01:18:55,559 there's no pain, there's no suffering, 1 01:18:55,560 --> 01:18:57,360 and every moment is perfect. 1 01:18:57,359 --> 01:18:58,679 There's no such world. 1 01:18:59,079 --> 01:19:00,760 I looked through history and it says that 1 01:19:00,760 --> 01:19:03,360 the most civilized societies 1 01:19:02,359 --> 01:19:06,679 are the ones that can move empathy to larger reigns. 1 01:19:07,279 --> 01:19:09,679 And there's a history of that, of empathy. 1 01:19:09,680 --> 01:19:11,760 So I like an empathic world 1 01:19:11,760 --> 01:19:14,880 where we understand each other's frailties, 1 01:19:14,880 --> 01:19:18,560 we show compassion with each other's desires to flourish, 1 01:19:18,560 --> 01:19:21,360 we reach out to each other —and we do this every day. 1 01:19:21,760 --> 01:19:24,760 And when someone that we know is in joy, or pain, or suffering— 1 01:19:24,760 --> 01:19:28,079 We do this with our fellow creatures that are in trouble. 1 01:19:28,079 --> 01:19:31,479 It's the empathy that runs day to day life, not utopias. 1 01:19:31,479 --> 01:19:33,959 And I think George Frederick Hegel got it right. 1 01:19:33,960 --> 01:19:38,279 He wrote a little passage that I read 40 years ago. 1 01:19:38,279 --> 01:19:42,079 He said, "Happiness are the blank pages of history, 1 01:19:42,079 --> 01:19:44,559 because they are the periods of harmony." 1 01:19:45,079 --> 01:19:46,479 I thought, "What does that mean?" 1 01:19:46,479 --> 01:19:48,079 Over and over I kept thinking of it. 1 01:19:48,079 --> 01:19:51,559 Well, he's right because, when you read historians 1 01:19:52,359 --> 01:19:54,479 and you read their view of history, 1 01:19:54,479 --> 01:19:56,479 you think we're pretty pathological creatures. 1 01:19:56,479 --> 01:19:59,479 because historians always chronicle 1 01:19:59,479 --> 01:20:03,079 the mayhem, the genocides, the wars, 1 01:20:03,079 --> 01:20:05,079 the redress of social grievances 1 01:20:05,079 --> 01:20:08,079 because those moments are extraordinary, not ordinary. 1 01:20:08,079 --> 01:20:11,479 They imprint a stamp on us, they move us to fright and flight 1 01:20:11,479 --> 01:20:14,279 because they're so extraordinary their remembered for generations. 1 01:20:14,760 --> 01:20:18,280 But when you then chronicle all of history as if it's 1 01:20:18,279 --> 01:20:22,679 a series of these very very dysfunctional episodes in life, 1 01:20:22,680 --> 01:20:24,960 you get a pretty dire picture of the human race, correct? 1 01:20:26,279 --> 01:20:28,359 Happiness of the blank periods in history, 1 01:20:28,359 --> 01:20:30,159 where most of us, as we evolve 1 01:20:30,159 --> 01:20:32,680 our empathic concerns to larger social units, 1 01:20:32,680 --> 01:20:35,079 our day-to-day life is reaching out to each other 1 01:20:35,079 --> 01:20:37,680 in some ways to help, to show our concern, 1 01:20:37,680 --> 01:20:39,079 to provide our compassion. 1 01:20:39,079 --> 01:20:41,760 It's not the few —we do this as the multitudes. 1 01:20:41,760 --> 01:20:43,480 I'll give you an example: Cooperatives. 1 01:20:44,079 --> 01:20:46,079 You never hear about cooperatives in business school. 1 01:20:46,079 --> 01:20:48,359 There are banking cooperatives, and housing cooperatives, 1 01:20:48,359 --> 01:20:50,679 and agricultural cooperatives instruction cooperatives. 1 01:20:50,680 --> 01:20:52,560 In some countries they're the largest banks. 1 01:20:52,560 --> 01:20:54,080 They're the social housing. 1 01:20:54,079 --> 01:20:55,680 It's never mentioned in business school, 1 01:20:55,680 --> 01:20:57,280 because it's a different form. 1 01:20:57,279 --> 01:21:00,159 It's people coming together and sharing their destiny. 1 01:21:00,159 --> 01:21:02,559 This is the true sharing economy: Cooperatives. 1 01:21:02,560 --> 01:21:04,680 And that's why they're the engine, the vehicle 1 01:21:04,680 --> 01:21:06,280 for the new sharing economy. 1 01:21:06,279 --> 01:21:07,679 But they're never mentioned. 1 01:21:08,279 --> 01:21:12,679 Societies that are able to nurture the empathic sensitivities 1 01:21:12,680 --> 01:21:14,159 that are in our neural circuitry 1 01:21:14,159 --> 01:21:16,680 are the ones that don't have to worry as much about 1 01:21:16,680 --> 01:21:19,280 the secondary drives, which are 1 01:21:19,279 --> 01:21:24,279 brutality, and corruption, and all the bad things that go with them. 1 01:21:24,279 --> 01:21:26,359 So I have a little bit better picture in my mind 1 01:21:26,359 --> 01:21:27,479 of the evolution of the human race. 1 01:21:27,479 --> 01:21:29,679 What I'm suggesting is the next stage is 1 01:21:29,680 --> 01:21:31,280 biosphere consciousness. 1 01:21:31,279 --> 01:21:35,759 As we begin to see climate change impacting our entire community, 1 01:21:35,760 --> 01:21:37,480 and there's nowhere to escape, 1 01:21:37,479 --> 01:21:39,959 we begin to realize we're part of that community. 1 01:21:40,279 --> 01:21:42,279 And so we're getting our younger generations 1 01:21:42,279 --> 01:21:43,880 beginning to empathize 1 01:21:43,880 --> 01:21:45,880 with our fellow human beings and our fellow creatures 1 01:21:45,880 --> 01:21:46,760 in one biosphere. 1 01:21:47,079 --> 01:21:49,479 This is a hopeful narrative of the human race, 1 01:21:49,479 --> 01:21:51,279 with all the dark periods in between. 1 01:21:52,560 --> 01:21:55,360 So I hope you leave with that message— 1 01:21:55,359 --> 01:21:58,159 At least I believe that the history the human race 1 01:21:58,159 --> 01:22:01,880 is to overcome, and to transcend ourselves, 1 01:22:01,880 --> 01:22:04,760 and to empathize in larger social units 1 01:22:04,760 --> 01:22:07,760 until we see ourselves as part of one life force on the planet. 1 01:22:09,079 --> 01:22:13,559 I'm Tony. I think you might be coming up against something 1 01:22:13,560 --> 01:22:18,960 with these new corporate agreements that they want to force on us: 1 01:22:18,960 --> 01:22:21,279 TPP, TTIPS and so on. 1 01:22:21,279 --> 01:22:24,479 But they do seem to contain provisions that would 1 01:22:24,479 --> 01:22:28,359 put corporations that are at an advantage over governments 1 01:22:28,359 --> 01:22:29,479 —over elected governments. 1 01:22:29,479 --> 01:22:31,359 Well, let me give you a counter pose: 1 01:22:31,359 --> 01:22:33,479 There's another kind of agreement emerging 1 01:22:33,479 --> 01:22:35,079 with very different politics. 1 01:22:35,960 --> 01:22:39,680 President Xi and Premier Li introduced an idea called 1 01:22:39,680 --> 01:22:42,680 "Belt One..." "Belt One Road" —the Belt and Road initiative. 1 01:22:42,680 --> 01:22:44,880 This is a very different initiative because here's 1 01:22:44,880 --> 01:22:47,960 the US trying to isolate —if you will—China 1 01:22:47,960 --> 01:22:50,079 with its specific agreements; corporate led. 1 01:22:50,680 --> 01:22:53,159 And the belt road initiative is the idea of 1 01:22:53,159 --> 01:22:57,279 resurrecting the old Silk Road, from Shanghai to Rotterdam. 1 01:22:57,960 --> 01:23:00,279 But it requires a different sensibility. 1 01:23:01,159 --> 01:23:04,159 Originally it was designed just to get a railroad across 1 01:23:04,159 --> 01:23:07,079 the hinterlands, crossing the stands all the way into Europe 1 01:23:07,079 --> 01:23:08,760 and The Mediterranean, a route 1 01:23:08,760 --> 01:23:11,560 around the southern edge, and Italy. 1 01:23:11,560 --> 01:23:15,480 But then it quickly escalated to a conversation— 1 01:23:15,479 --> 01:23:18,359 Wait a minute! Europe's doing "Digital Europe," 1 01:23:18,359 --> 01:23:19,759 the Internet of Things platform, 1 01:23:19,760 --> 01:23:21,360 3rd Industrial Revolution, and that— 1 01:23:21,359 --> 01:23:23,759 It not only will be in the EU, but our partnership regions 1 01:23:23,760 --> 01:23:24,880 in the Mediterranean. 1 01:23:24,880 --> 01:23:26,880 That's a billion people market: 1 01:23:26,880 --> 01:23:28,359 500 million in the Union, 1 01:23:28,359 --> 01:23:30,279 500 million in our partnership regions 1 01:23:30,279 --> 01:23:31,679 in the Mediterranean and North Africa. 1 01:23:31,560 --> 01:23:34,760 China has a similar plan that we've worked with with them. 1 01:23:34,760 --> 01:23:37,680 It's identical, called "China Internet Plus." 1 01:23:37,680 --> 01:23:40,680 So the conversation quickly went to, "Wait a minute! 1 01:23:41,359 --> 01:23:43,679 Europe is China's largest trading partner. 1 01:23:43,680 --> 01:23:46,159 China is Europe's second largest trading partner. 1 01:23:46,159 --> 01:23:49,960 How about a belt road initiative from Shanghai to Rotterdam? 1 01:23:49,960 --> 01:23:51,480 That's now in deep conversation, 1 01:23:51,479 --> 01:23:53,759 but it requires a different sensibility. 1 01:23:54,279 --> 01:23:55,759 No one can control 1 01:23:55,760 --> 01:23:58,560 the Internet of Things platforms centrally, 1 01:23:58,560 --> 01:24:01,080 because it's designed to be distributed— 1 01:24:01,359 --> 01:24:02,880 that's the resiliency of the system. 1 01:24:02,880 --> 01:24:04,079 And so that, 1 01:24:04,079 --> 01:24:07,279 if anyone power or any nation across the region, 1 01:24:07,279 --> 01:24:09,479 you know, is going to try to control it from the top, 1 01:24:09,479 --> 01:24:11,479 you can't do it because you can go off-grid. 1 01:24:11,479 --> 01:24:13,759 And I think all the parties are aware of this. 1 01:24:13,760 --> 01:24:17,560 And in my dealings in Beijing, in Brussels, in Berlin, 1 01:24:17,560 --> 01:24:19,760 they're aware that this is a new partnership. 1 01:24:19,760 --> 01:24:21,880 It requires collaboration. You gotta share. 1 01:24:21,880 --> 01:24:23,359 You gotta share best practices. 1 01:24:23,359 --> 01:24:25,559 You gotta share the science and technology. 1 01:24:25,560 --> 01:24:27,080 You gotta get over the suspicion— 1 01:24:27,079 --> 01:24:28,880 Everyone benefits in a network. 1 01:24:28,880 --> 01:24:30,680 That's the—it's not geopolitics. 1 01:24:30,680 --> 01:24:35,680 It isn't, "We control. We close. And then we overpower you." 1 01:24:36,359 --> 01:24:38,479 It doesn't work in an Internet of Things world. 1 01:24:38,479 --> 01:24:41,159 You have to have it borderless. It has to be open. 1 01:24:41,159 --> 01:24:43,559 It has to allow you to have a distributed 1 01:24:43,560 --> 01:24:46,160 ability to go off and on when you want, 1 01:24:46,159 --> 01:24:47,359 and have block chains. 1 01:24:47,359 --> 01:24:50,279 So, I think this belt Road initiative is quite interesting because 1 01:24:50,279 --> 01:24:51,759 it may not just be for Eurasia. 1 01:24:52,680 --> 01:24:55,760 This may be a vision that would be, for a millennial generation, 1 01:24:55,760 --> 01:24:58,079 a vision that could move from the Americas, 1 01:24:58,079 --> 01:25:01,159 from Canada and the United States down to Chile— 1 01:25:01,159 --> 01:25:02,559 then you have really a distributed 1 01:25:02,560 --> 01:25:04,880 biosphere infrastructure revolution, 1 01:25:04,880 --> 01:25:08,079 not a traditional geopolitical revolution. 1 01:25:08,079 --> 01:25:10,479 And, therefore, it requires everyone to be involved, 1 01:25:10,479 --> 01:25:11,959 because everyone's a player. 1 01:25:13,880 --> 01:25:16,680 My name is Denille. How do you see your vision 1 01:25:16,680 --> 01:25:21,480 and what you've been talking about affecting large food systems 1 01:25:21,479 --> 01:25:25,159 in industrialized countries, as well as developing countries? 1 01:25:25,880 --> 01:25:28,960 You know how much energy the agricultural system uses? 1 01:25:28,960 --> 01:25:31,960 About a third of their cost —our energy costs. 1 01:25:31,960 --> 01:25:34,560 The fertilizers; those are fossil fuels. 1 01:25:34,560 --> 01:25:37,080 The pesticides; those are fossil fuels. 1 01:25:37,079 --> 01:25:39,680 The machinery; it's all run by fossil fuels. 1 01:25:39,680 --> 01:25:42,480 The packaging, the plastics; it's made out of fossil fuels. 1 01:25:42,479 --> 01:25:45,359 The water that they have to bring in to irrigate, 1 01:25:45,359 --> 01:25:48,279 the electricity grids; run by fossil fuel and nuclear power 1 01:25:48,279 --> 01:25:49,159 to move the water. 1 01:25:49,159 --> 01:25:51,279 So, if you wanna take a look at agriculture, 1 01:25:51,279 --> 01:25:54,079 it is a huge player. Not only that: 1 01:25:54,079 --> 01:25:56,479 The fertilizers emit nitrous oxides, 1 01:25:56,479 --> 01:26:01,759 which are much more potent in terms of their impact than CO₂. 1 01:26:01,760 --> 01:26:04,360 You know that 40%—I believe it is— 1 01:26:04,359 --> 01:26:06,880 of the land that's used for agriculture in the world today 1 01:26:06,880 --> 01:26:08,480 is to grow feed for animals? 1 01:26:08,760 --> 01:26:13,880 It takes at least 8 pounds of feed to create 1 pound of beef. 1 01:26:13,880 --> 01:26:16,880 That makes the transport industry look like super efficient. 1 01:26:16,880 --> 01:26:19,279 It's the most inefficient system we know on the food chain. 1 01:26:19,560 --> 01:26:21,760 If you look at pure injustice, 1 01:26:21,760 --> 01:26:26,960 you'd have to say the shift to a feed grain animal culture 1 01:26:26,960 --> 01:26:30,159 and a chemical farming culture for pasturing animals 1 01:26:30,159 --> 01:26:32,479 is one of the great injustices in the history of the world. 1 01:26:33,079 --> 01:26:35,359 Some of us live high up on the food chain; 1 01:26:35,359 --> 01:26:37,559 the rest are denied access to the land. 1 01:26:37,560 --> 01:26:39,480 We got to turn that around so, 1 01:26:39,479 --> 01:26:42,879 in Europe, we are interested in organic agriculture. 1 01:26:42,880 --> 01:26:46,359 We're interested in moving from pesticides and chemical agriculture 1 01:26:46,359 --> 01:26:48,279 to ecological agriculture, 1 01:26:48,279 --> 01:26:51,559 where we learn to live with the surrounding flora and fauna, 1 01:26:51,560 --> 01:26:55,280 and we find ways to encourage the flora and fauna 1 01:26:55,279 --> 01:26:57,679 to be able to be compatible with what we're growing. 1 01:26:57,760 --> 01:27:00,760 In the old chemical world, if it moves, kill it. 1 01:27:00,760 --> 01:27:03,280 Everything surrounding your crops should be killed. 1 01:27:03,680 --> 01:27:06,880 So we live in a chemical wasteland across the agricultural fields 1 01:27:06,880 --> 01:27:08,359 with runoff poisoning our water. 1 01:27:08,359 --> 01:27:09,559 It sounds shameful. 1 01:27:09,560 --> 01:27:11,680 So we wanna move to organic agriculture. 1 01:27:11,680 --> 01:27:14,360 We had mechanical agriculture in the 1st Industrial Revolution. 1 01:27:14,359 --> 01:27:16,679 It started late 1st Industrial Revolution. 1 01:27:16,680 --> 01:27:18,960 We had chemical agriculture in the 2nd Industrial Revolution. 1 01:27:18,960 --> 01:27:22,159 We need to have smart, organic, ecological agriculture 1 01:27:22,159 --> 01:27:23,359 in the 3rd Industrial Revolution, 1 01:27:23,359 --> 01:27:26,279 and we have to bring back regional and local agriculture 1 01:27:26,279 --> 01:27:28,079 that supports local communities. 1 01:27:28,079 --> 01:27:30,880 It's absurd to ship a tomato around the world. 1 01:27:31,359 --> 01:27:32,559 Ridiculous! 1 01:27:34,359 --> 01:27:35,559 Hi, I'm Rochelle. 1 01:27:35,560 --> 01:27:37,880 I was wondering if you could talk a little bit about water. 1 01:27:38,880 --> 01:27:42,359 And how water plays into this decentralized vision. 1 01:27:42,359 --> 01:27:45,159 How the privatization of water plays out. 1 01:27:45,159 --> 01:27:46,680 I was just hoping you could speak to that. 1 01:27:46,680 --> 01:27:49,360 There's only a small amount of water on this planet 1 01:27:49,359 --> 01:27:50,759 that's available for human reuse. 1 01:27:50,760 --> 01:27:53,360 Less than 1%; the rest is not available. 1 01:27:53,880 --> 01:27:56,279 There is a deep nexus between energy and water 1 01:27:56,279 --> 01:27:57,759 that's never, just never explained. 1 01:27:59,279 --> 01:28:02,559 You have to have energy to move water. 1 01:28:03,279 --> 01:28:07,960 And that is that 8% of all the energy we generate in the world 1 01:28:07,960 --> 01:28:11,960 —power— goes to extracting water, 1 01:28:11,960 --> 01:28:15,960 treating water, moving it through pipelines in water, 1 01:28:15,960 --> 01:28:17,760 and recycling the waste. 1 01:28:17,760 --> 01:28:20,480 But you need water to move energy. 1 01:28:20,479 --> 01:28:21,959 This isn't well known. 1 01:28:21,960 --> 01:28:25,079 And, that is, the energy industry uses— 1 01:28:25,079 --> 01:28:29,680 Over half of all the water we use goes to the power industries. 1 01:28:29,680 --> 01:28:31,360 Of all industries, over half. 1 01:28:31,359 --> 01:28:32,559 And this will surprise you: 1 01:28:33,479 --> 01:28:37,079 In France, which is 80% nuclear power, 1 01:28:38,079 --> 01:28:39,960 you know how much of the water they use 1 01:28:39,960 --> 01:28:41,880 for cooling off nuclear reactors in France? 1 01:28:42,960 --> 01:28:47,480 Almost 50% of all the fresh water consumed in France 1 01:28:47,479 --> 01:28:50,959 goes to cooling the nuclear reactors. 1 01:28:50,960 --> 01:28:54,079 Yeah, and when the water comes back, it's heated. 1 01:28:54,079 --> 01:28:57,479 So it's dehydrating ecosystems that are already facing drought 1 01:28:57,479 --> 01:28:58,759 for their agriculture. 1 01:28:58,760 --> 01:29:01,480 And now, sometimes the water is so hot 1 01:29:01,479 --> 01:29:02,959 because of climate change in the summer, 1 01:29:02,960 --> 01:29:05,560 they can't even use it to cool the nuclear reactors 1 01:29:05,560 --> 01:29:07,480 and they have to slow down the electricity. 1 01:29:08,279 --> 01:29:09,759 So what's the nexus? 1 01:29:10,079 --> 01:29:14,279 We have to begin to create a new plan, 1 01:29:14,279 --> 01:29:16,880 so that people get control over their water 1 01:29:16,880 --> 01:29:19,760 in a distributed system that brings water together with energy. 1 01:29:19,760 --> 01:29:21,159 I'll give you an example of why: 1 01:29:22,159 --> 01:29:26,159 If the electricity grid is disrupted —let's say one of the transformers, 1 01:29:26,760 --> 01:29:30,079 big electricity transformers, either through cyber crimes, 1 01:29:30,079 --> 01:29:31,760 cyber terrorism, or natural disaster 1 01:29:31,760 --> 01:29:35,560 goes down and your power goes down— there's no water. 1 01:29:35,560 --> 01:29:38,960 We're dead in three weeks. That's how vulnerable system is. 1 01:29:38,960 --> 01:29:40,960 That's why we have to build in resilience 1 01:29:40,960 --> 01:29:42,159 by keeping it so distributed. 1 01:29:42,159 --> 01:29:43,279 So what do we do? 1 01:29:43,560 --> 01:29:45,880 I'm in Hauts-de-France a couple of weeks ago. 1 01:29:45,880 --> 01:29:47,279 This little startup— 1 01:29:47,279 --> 01:29:51,359 They've taken a whole social housing complex, 1 01:29:51,359 --> 01:29:52,759 huge housing complex. 1 01:29:52,760 --> 01:29:55,280 They took the whole roof and turned it into a cistern. 1 01:29:55,560 --> 01:29:56,880 Why did they do that? 1 01:29:56,880 --> 01:29:59,359 Because the water falls, and as it falls, 1 01:29:59,359 --> 01:30:01,359 it generates electricity in a turbine. 1 01:30:01,359 --> 01:30:03,559 So they're using for electricity, but now we're saying, 1 01:30:03,560 --> 01:30:04,760 "Use it as a cistern." 1 01:30:04,760 --> 01:30:07,760 So if the power grid goes out and you can't get water, 1 01:30:07,760 --> 01:30:09,880 you're dead in a couple of weeks. 1 01:30:09,960 --> 01:30:13,159 You have the water right built-in to your home office and factory, 1 01:30:13,159 --> 01:30:16,159 on the roofs or nearby, you can share it in a cooperative. 1 01:30:15,039 --> 01:30:19,560 And then that water can be used, potable for fresh water. 1 01:30:19,560 --> 01:30:22,880 And then we're now talking with companies about... 1 01:30:22,880 --> 01:30:26,480 With housing, that you can take the water, 1 01:30:26,479 --> 01:30:28,159 use it for your toilet water, 1 01:30:28,159 --> 01:30:31,680 and you will be able to recycle it right back on site. 1 01:30:32,760 --> 01:30:35,360 So you can go distributed and decentralized 1 01:30:35,359 --> 01:30:36,960 when the real power grid goes out. 1 01:30:36,960 --> 01:30:40,159 They key to maintaining this system is it's distributed. 1 01:30:40,359 --> 01:30:42,359 If anything happens in one part of the system, 1 01:30:42,359 --> 01:30:43,880 you can go off. 1 01:30:43,880 --> 01:30:46,480 Well distributed and decentralized, and share your water, 1 01:30:46,479 --> 01:30:47,479 share your energy. 1 01:30:47,479 --> 01:30:49,959 So water and energy go together, and you've just hit 1 01:30:49,960 --> 01:30:51,359 —and I'm glad you said this— 1 01:30:51,359 --> 01:30:54,479 something that has really come to the top of the agenda for us now: 1 01:30:54,479 --> 01:30:56,879 How do we create a distributed water internet 1 01:30:56,880 --> 01:30:59,359 to go side-by-side with the energy internet? 1 01:30:59,359 --> 01:31:00,880 Very cool thinking. 1 01:31:01,760 --> 01:31:04,480 My name is Elizabeth and I just have a question 1 01:31:04,479 --> 01:31:05,759 for underdeveloped countries. 1 01:31:05,760 --> 01:31:09,159 How do they play a part in this whole 3rd Industrial Revolution? 1 01:31:09,159 --> 01:31:10,760 Can they sort of skip the gun, 1 01:31:10,760 --> 01:31:13,079 because they don't have an established infrastructure? 1 01:31:13,079 --> 01:31:15,159 Yeah, you just answered the question I was about to answer. 1 01:31:15,880 --> 01:31:19,079 Very good! Well here's what we realize, 1 01:31:19,079 --> 01:31:20,079 just what you said. 1 01:31:20,079 --> 01:31:23,359 What we finally realized is in the developing world, 1 01:31:23,359 --> 01:31:26,279 their liability is their key asset. 1 01:31:26,279 --> 01:31:28,880 Their liability is: they have no infrastructure. 1 01:31:28,880 --> 01:31:30,079 That's their asset. 1 01:31:30,880 --> 01:31:33,359 Because, it's easy to build virgin infrastructure, 1 01:31:33,359 --> 01:31:35,559 with new codes and regulations from scratch, 1 01:31:35,560 --> 01:31:37,880 than to take an old infrastructure 1 01:31:37,880 --> 01:31:39,880 with old codes and regulations and transform it. 1 01:31:39,880 --> 01:31:42,079 So what we're learning in the developing world 1 01:31:42,079 --> 01:31:43,479 is this can move more quickly. 1 01:31:43,479 --> 01:31:46,079 We saw the opportunity that the developing world 1 01:31:46,079 --> 01:31:47,760 can leapfrog right past 1 01:31:47,760 --> 01:31:50,159 the 1st and 2nd Industrial Revolution into the 3rd. 1 01:31:50,159 --> 01:31:52,359 So the United Nations has now embraced the 1 01:31:52,359 --> 01:31:53,960 3rd Industrial Revolution narrative 1 01:31:53,960 --> 01:31:55,560 that we've just talked about tonight. 1 01:31:56,560 --> 01:31:58,560 The biggest problem in the developing world: 1 01:31:58,560 --> 01:31:59,680 No electricity. 1 01:31:59,680 --> 01:32:02,960 Ban Ki-moon has made this his pledge: Universal electricity. 1 01:32:03,079 --> 01:32:05,960 We got a billion people that have no electricity. 1 01:32:06,079 --> 01:32:07,159 They're in the dark. 1 01:32:07,479 --> 01:32:10,759 We have 40% of the human race with infrequent, 1 01:32:10,760 --> 01:32:12,280 not reliable electricity. 1 01:32:13,279 --> 01:32:16,279 And what keeps women enslaved in this world? 1 01:32:16,279 --> 01:32:18,079 It's no electricity. 1 01:32:18,560 --> 01:32:20,760 And what we see with these big families, 1 01:32:20,760 --> 01:32:22,280 in these patriarchal, brutal conditions, 1 01:32:22,279 --> 01:32:24,880 and male-oriented cultures? No electricity. Why? 1 01:32:24,880 --> 01:32:27,760 Because, with no electricity, women are the slaves, 1 01:32:27,760 --> 01:32:31,960 the children of the slaves, more children, more hands on deck 1 01:32:31,960 --> 01:32:34,079 that can actually carry the energy load. 1 01:32:34,560 --> 01:32:37,480 We forget the relationship between electricity and 1 01:32:37,479 --> 01:32:38,759 freeing women in the West. 1 01:32:38,760 --> 01:32:40,960 Women were the slaves at the hearth 1 01:32:40,960 --> 01:32:42,359 until electricity came in. 1 01:32:42,359 --> 01:32:46,479 Electricity freed women from that slavery, if you will, 1 01:32:46,479 --> 01:32:49,679 to go to school beyond the first 5 grades, 1 01:32:49,680 --> 01:32:52,079 and then electricity created new skills 1 01:32:52,079 --> 01:32:54,680 that didn't require upper-body strength, but up here. 1 01:32:55,159 --> 01:32:57,760 Electricity revolution created all sorts of new skills. 1 01:32:57,760 --> 01:32:59,159 And, when that happened, 1 01:32:59,159 --> 01:33:01,880 as women became more educated and more independent, 1 01:33:01,880 --> 01:33:04,159 and had the new skills of the 2nd Industrial Revolution? 1 01:33:04,159 --> 01:33:05,159 Fewer babies. 1 01:33:05,760 --> 01:33:07,880 You can give out millions of condoms; 1 01:33:07,880 --> 01:33:08,960 it'll make no difference, 1 01:33:08,960 --> 01:33:11,480 until you bring electricity into the developing world, 1 01:33:11,479 --> 01:33:14,759 free the women, and you have them get educated, 1 01:33:14,760 --> 01:33:18,360 and have them be recognized as half the human race. 1 01:33:18,359 --> 01:33:20,880 And what's interesting is the women are setting up 1 01:33:20,880 --> 01:33:23,560 these micro grids—a lot of it. 1 01:33:23,560 --> 01:33:28,280 So, you see it in rural Africa, they go into a village 1 01:33:29,279 --> 01:33:32,279 —it's happening in India, too— and small startups. 1 01:33:32,560 --> 01:33:36,080 They come in, they lease a solar panel on each roof. 1 01:33:36,079 --> 01:33:38,880 They give you a lease, and then they give you a cell phone. 1 01:33:38,880 --> 01:33:42,359 This is happening all across rural India and now sub-Sahara Africa. 1 01:33:42,359 --> 01:33:46,279 But instead of a big centralized grid then you go village, to village, to village 1 01:33:46,279 --> 01:33:48,359 and you create micro grids that are laterally scaled. 1 01:33:48,359 --> 01:33:51,759 This is going to take off very, very quickly—it already is. 1 01:33:51,760 --> 01:33:55,560 This is the smart social entrepreneurs of the next generation. 1 01:33:56,279 --> 01:33:59,359 This is why I'm really pleased to see this happen. 1 01:33:59,359 --> 01:34:01,359 It brings confidence that we can do better. 1 01:34:03,359 --> 01:34:06,759 I'm Ray, and I've been thinking during your whole talk about 1 01:34:06,760 --> 01:34:09,280 how do we overcome monopoly? 1 01:34:09,279 --> 01:34:12,079 We have to worry about a new kind of monopoly. 1 01:34:12,079 --> 01:34:14,559 Now, I'm gonna be honest with you: I love Google! 1 01:34:14,560 --> 01:34:16,080 It is the magic box! 1 01:34:17,079 --> 01:34:19,479 I'm now so lazy that anything that comes up, 1 01:34:19,479 --> 01:34:21,679 especially in my age, I ask the magic box. 1 01:34:21,680 --> 01:34:23,760 It is a great research engine. However, 1 01:34:24,680 --> 01:34:28,360 when everybody needs Google, and it's the only research engine, 1 01:34:28,359 --> 01:34:32,960 and it's our window to the research we need, 1 01:34:32,960 --> 01:34:35,359 it starts to look like a global monopoly, 1 01:34:35,359 --> 01:34:37,479 and it starts to look like a public utility. 1 01:34:37,880 --> 01:34:41,359 What did we do with successful businesses 1 01:34:41,359 --> 01:34:45,759 that had a product line that was so important 1 01:34:45,760 --> 01:34:47,680 that everybody needed it, and it was a public good. 1 01:34:47,680 --> 01:34:49,159 What did we do in the 2nd Industrial Revolution 1 01:34:49,159 --> 01:34:51,479 with the telephone industry? 1 01:34:52,159 --> 01:34:55,279 We, in America— In other parts of the world, 1 01:34:55,279 --> 01:34:58,279 the government took over a lot of it— 1 01:34:58,279 --> 01:35:01,759 but in America we kept them in the private sphere, like AT&T, 1 01:35:01,760 --> 01:35:03,680 but we regulated them as utilities. 1 01:35:04,159 --> 01:35:07,079 And we did this across the electricity utilities, 1 01:35:07,079 --> 01:35:09,880 the many of the power utilities. We regulated them. 1 01:35:10,359 --> 01:35:13,279 I think it's naive to believe that we won't do this. 1 01:35:13,279 --> 01:35:15,880 The Millennials and your children— This is the new political movement. 1 01:35:15,880 --> 01:35:17,359 You're gonna be asking the question: 1 01:35:17,359 --> 01:35:20,960 How do we get the best out of these new enterprises, 1 01:35:20,960 --> 01:35:24,560 but they have to be regulated as public goods, in the realm, 1 01:35:24,560 --> 01:35:28,160 so that we all we all ensure that we get equal access, 1 01:35:28,680 --> 01:35:31,159 that we have some control over our creative content and data, 1 01:35:31,159 --> 01:35:32,479 may be through block chains, 1 01:35:32,359 --> 01:35:36,159 and that we're able to secure our privacy, etc. 1 01:35:36,880 --> 01:35:38,480 Facebook? Same thing. 1 01:35:38,479 --> 01:35:41,079 When the whole human family has to come together on Facebook 1 01:35:41,079 --> 01:35:43,479 to communicate with each other, it's a great service, 1 01:35:43,479 --> 01:35:45,679 but it looks like a public good, it's a utility. 1 01:35:45,680 --> 01:35:48,760 And we're gonna have to have some kind of global authorities 1 01:35:48,760 --> 01:35:50,560 to regulate them. Does this make sense? 1 01:35:50,960 --> 01:35:52,960 This is the politics of your generation. 1 01:35:53,760 --> 01:35:57,280 This is the politics of the new 3rd Industrial Revolution. 1 01:35:58,359 --> 01:36:03,759 Hi, I'm Carlin. In the words of your Wharton alumni, 1 01:36:03,760 --> 01:36:05,680 how do we make America great again? 1 01:36:09,479 --> 01:36:12,879 Let me say something to take us from another corner. 1 01:36:14,279 --> 01:36:17,880 President Obama wanted a green economy. 1 01:36:18,760 --> 01:36:22,159 He spent billions and billions of dollars of our tax money 1 01:36:22,159 --> 01:36:24,359 for a green economy, and we don't have a green economy. 1 01:36:24,359 --> 01:36:25,679 Why did this happen? 1 01:36:26,680 --> 01:36:29,960 Because the mentality here in this country 1 01:36:29,960 --> 01:36:33,560 is all we need to do is use tax money to incentivize, 1 01:36:33,560 --> 01:36:35,080 'cause we want a million Steve Jobs. 1 01:36:36,279 --> 01:36:38,359 So, what happened with President Obama is he 1 01:36:38,359 --> 01:36:41,759 would incentivize, give some money to a solar factory here, 1 01:36:41,760 --> 01:36:44,880 a battery factory over there... Incentivize. 1 01:36:45,479 --> 01:36:47,879 But you can't start with that. 1 01:36:47,880 --> 01:36:50,480 You have to start with incentivizing the infrastructure itself, 1 01:36:50,479 --> 01:36:52,359 which requires everybody coming together. 1 01:36:52,359 --> 01:36:54,880 Now, he made a very famous statement 1 01:36:54,880 --> 01:36:56,960 during his second presidential campaign, 1 01:36:56,960 --> 01:36:58,079 which got to the heart of it. 1 01:36:58,079 --> 01:37:01,760 You may recall that he was speaking of small businesses 1 01:37:01,760 --> 01:37:05,079 and he made an offhanded comment saying, "You didn't build that." 1 01:37:05,079 --> 01:37:09,279 Remember this comment? It went viral: "You didn't build that." 1 01:37:09,279 --> 01:37:10,479 And they went they went nuts. 1 01:37:11,760 --> 01:37:13,960 He was referring to infrastructure, 1 01:37:13,960 --> 01:37:16,359 and he was trying to say the infrastructure comes first. 1 01:37:16,359 --> 01:37:18,759 Then you can create your new businesses with it. 1 01:37:18,760 --> 01:37:21,760 The problem is, they went viral because the small business said, 1 01:37:21,760 --> 01:37:24,079 "No, we create America! It's the entrepreneurial spirit!" 1 01:37:24,079 --> 01:37:27,960 We've actually so dummy down our country 1 01:37:28,680 --> 01:37:31,360 that we actually have no idea 1 01:37:31,359 --> 01:37:34,359 how businesses feed off the infrastructure that come 1 01:37:34,359 --> 01:37:36,279 from public-private partnerships: 1 01:37:36,279 --> 01:37:38,559 government, industry, and civil society. 1 01:37:39,279 --> 01:37:41,759 Who do they think created the public school systems, 1 01:37:41,760 --> 01:37:44,079 so that we could train the workforces? 1 01:37:44,079 --> 01:37:45,880 Private businesses didn't do that. 1 01:37:45,880 --> 01:37:49,079 Who laid out the interstate highways with tax money? 1 01:37:49,079 --> 01:37:52,479 You think private businesses will lay out an interstate highway system 1 01:37:52,479 --> 01:37:54,759 with no lights from coast-to-coast? 1 01:37:55,159 --> 01:37:59,159 Who under wrote all the pipelines that had to bring in the electricity, 1 01:37:59,159 --> 01:38:01,680 the gas and the telephone industry? 1 01:38:01,680 --> 01:38:04,280 On and on and on... In fact, let's look at Steve Jobs! 1 01:38:04,960 --> 01:38:08,159 The fact is that most of the research that went into his smartphone 1 01:38:08,159 --> 01:38:11,079 was government-funded research; he marketed the product! 1 01:38:11,760 --> 01:38:13,560 But we've so dummy down 1 01:38:13,560 --> 01:38:15,680 that half the country or more doesn't want 1 01:38:15,680 --> 01:38:17,960 the government to do anything— They don't even want the government. 1 01:38:18,479 --> 01:38:20,959 This is the failure of the USA. 1 01:38:21,680 --> 01:38:24,280 We do not have a social market economy. 1 01:38:24,279 --> 01:38:27,679 Europe does; other parts of the world do. 1 01:38:28,479 --> 01:38:32,079 But, in America, we have this whole idea 1 01:38:32,079 --> 01:38:33,559 that it's just the entrepreneurial spirit. 1 01:38:33,560 --> 01:38:36,280 Let the companies rule, let the marketplace reign. 1 01:38:36,279 --> 01:38:37,880 This is our death now. 1 01:38:38,479 --> 01:38:42,479 Because, if we can't work together in each county, in each state 1 01:38:42,479 --> 01:38:45,679 with business, civil society, and academia, 1 01:38:45,680 --> 01:38:47,280 to lay out this platform 1 01:38:47,279 --> 01:38:49,679 and create the regulations codes and standards, 1 01:38:49,680 --> 01:38:52,560 then the new businesses come, then the new models plug in. 1 01:38:52,760 --> 01:38:55,760 So what I'm saying is, look to the infrastructure. 1 01:38:55,760 --> 01:38:57,480 And your millennial generation, 1 01:38:57,479 --> 01:39:00,959 it's up to you now to bring this sense of a social market economy 1 01:39:00,960 --> 01:39:02,480 back into the dialogue. 1 01:39:03,479 --> 01:39:05,279 We need government, we need business, 1 01:39:05,279 --> 01:39:06,759 we need the civil society, 1 01:39:06,760 --> 01:39:09,079 we need public capital, we need private capital, 1 01:39:09,079 --> 01:39:10,559 and we need social capital. 1 01:39:10,560 --> 01:39:13,280 All three equal players at the table. 1 01:39:18,359 --> 01:39:20,079 So, here's what I will say in closing: 1 01:39:23,159 --> 01:39:25,960 I know you get frustrated and sometimes you think, 1 01:39:25,960 --> 01:39:27,480 "My Gosh, it's going too slow!" 1 01:39:27,880 --> 01:39:29,960 But now's the time to redouble your efforts. 1 01:39:29,960 --> 01:39:32,560 We all have to really come together. 1 01:39:34,479 --> 01:39:36,559 We've got one generation —yours— 1 01:39:36,560 --> 01:39:40,080 to lay down this new consciousness, this biosphere for consciousness. 1 01:39:42,159 --> 01:39:45,079 Your responsibility to carry this on 1 01:39:45,079 --> 01:39:47,680 is the weight that no generations had in history. 1 01:39:48,079 --> 01:39:50,079 I don't know of any period in history 1 01:39:50,079 --> 01:39:53,279 where one generation was called upon to save the species. 1 01:39:53,680 --> 01:39:56,159 And, if you believe this is really happening, and it is, 1 01:39:56,159 --> 01:39:59,479 this is actually the responsibility of the Millennials in this room. 1 01:40:01,479 --> 01:40:04,879 We now have, I think, potentially a road map and a compass. 1 01:40:05,560 --> 01:40:08,080 It's gonna be up to the younger generations now. 1 01:40:08,079 --> 01:40:09,559 This is the digital revolution. 1 01:40:09,560 --> 01:40:12,480 You are the digital revolution. It's your turn. 1 01:40:12,479 --> 01:40:14,559 It seems to me, if the millennial generation 1 01:40:14,560 --> 01:40:17,080 is ready to create this new digitally connected world, 1 01:40:17,079 --> 01:40:21,159 it helps us create peace between economy and society 1 01:40:21,159 --> 01:40:23,279 and the balance for the planet. It should be now. 1 01:40:23,680 --> 01:40:26,760 And what you have to do is you have to join together 1 01:40:26,760 --> 01:40:28,560 in the virtual world, in the physical world, 1 01:40:28,560 --> 01:40:30,480 on the ground, in the communities, 1 01:40:30,479 --> 01:40:32,679 both in the infrastructure and the politics, 1 01:40:32,680 --> 01:40:34,560 and the social engagement. 1 01:40:35,159 --> 01:40:36,079 You got to make this happen. 1 01:40:38,880 --> 01:40:40,279 I'll give you one little mission: 1 01:40:40,279 --> 01:40:42,759 How long is it gonna take for a millennial generation 1 01:40:42,760 --> 01:40:45,880 to prepare a bill of particulars for a declaration of 1 01:40:45,880 --> 01:40:50,079 human responsibilities and stewardship of our human race, 1 01:40:50,079 --> 01:40:51,559 our fellow creatures in the planet we live in? 1 01:40:52,359 --> 01:40:54,159 And then you have a billion young people 1 01:40:54,159 --> 01:40:56,760 in a cohort in Facebook, and they're all declaring this, 1 01:40:56,760 --> 01:40:58,159 then you're at the table. 1 01:40:58,560 --> 01:41:00,480 You're at the table, virtually and physically, 1 01:41:00,479 --> 01:41:02,279 and then a billion people strong, 1 01:41:02,279 --> 01:41:04,479 you should be able to do this in a very short period of time. 1 01:41:04,760 --> 01:41:06,280 This doesn't take a lot of organizing. 1 01:41:06,680 --> 01:41:09,560 Then you're at the table, with the new potential monopolies. 1 01:41:09,560 --> 01:41:10,680 You're at the table with the governments 1 01:41:10,680 --> 01:41:12,159 who would purloined this for their own ends. 1 01:41:12,159 --> 01:41:14,359 You're at the table with the special interests 1 01:41:14,359 --> 01:41:17,479 —they want to drag us back to the 2nd Industrial Revolution. 1 01:41:17,479 --> 01:41:20,159 Come to the table. Make it happen. 1 01:41:21,159 --> 01:41:22,680 Pass on this legacy, 1 01:41:22,680 --> 01:41:24,760 so when your grandchildren look back at you they can say 1 01:41:24,760 --> 01:41:25,960 you did the right thing: 1 01:41:26,479 --> 01:41:28,079 You helped replenish the planet, 1 01:41:28,079 --> 01:41:29,559 got us off carbon, 1 01:41:30,359 --> 01:41:33,679 helped show our proper respect to generations not yet here, 1 01:41:33,680 --> 01:41:35,360 including our fellow creatures. 1 01:41:36,279 --> 01:41:37,479 Thank you. Good night. 1 01:41:49,079 --> 01:41:54,159 Join us. 1 01:42:17,159 --> 01:42:19,559 —Hi. —Hi, I'm Kelsey. 1 01:42:19,560 --> 01:42:22,560 I study Design and Technology. What I wanted to say is that— 1 01:42:22,560 --> 01:42:24,760 —You're at Parsons? —No, SVA. 1 01:42:24,760 --> 01:42:26,360 But, like, the real problem is that, 1 01:42:26,359 --> 01:42:27,960 a lot of people who have this passion 1 01:42:27,960 --> 01:42:29,680 and who, like, really do care about this stuff— 1 01:42:29,680 --> 01:42:31,159 We're getting purchased out, and... 1 01:42:31,159 --> 01:42:33,359 —Yeah. —So, the real thing is, like, 1 01:42:33,359 --> 01:42:34,759 everyone doesn't have the same enemies. 1 01:42:34,760 --> 01:42:37,360 Like, the people who really care, 1 01:42:37,359 --> 01:42:39,079 like, they're going to be purchased, 1 01:42:39,079 --> 01:42:41,559 and they're going to end up working for someone, somewhere, 1 01:42:41,560 --> 01:42:43,080 and they're gonna feel like they have to compromise. 1 01:42:43,079 --> 01:42:45,880 Yeah, I understand... Well, it's a delicate game every day. 1 01:42:45,880 --> 01:42:49,760 You know, as you get older you have to think about what is— 1 01:42:49,760 --> 01:42:51,280 Life goes really quickly. 1 01:42:51,960 --> 01:42:54,359 And, if one doesn't have the commitment at 25, 1 01:42:54,359 --> 01:42:55,359 you're not gonna have it at 50. 1 01:42:55,359 --> 01:42:57,679 And, this time, we need a generation that can stay 1 01:42:57,680 --> 01:43:00,079 close to the mission all the way through their life, 1 01:43:00,079 --> 01:43:01,079 and pass it on to the kids. 1 01:43:01,079 --> 01:43:04,079 And I understand how difficult this is. Believe me. 1 01:43:04,680 --> 01:43:06,079 Hi! Thanks for coming. 1 01:43:06,079 --> 01:43:07,680 Thank you so much for this —very enlightening. 1 01:43:07,680 --> 01:43:09,680 —My pleasure. —Is there any recommendations 1 01:43:09,680 --> 01:43:11,159 on how to get more involved at a local level? 1 01:43:11,560 --> 01:43:15,080 Brooklyn's ideal. Brooklyn should be the place. 1 01:43:15,479 --> 01:43:17,959 Absolutely! This is where a lot of the startups are. 1 01:43:17,960 --> 01:43:20,359 I 100% agree with you. 1 01:43:20,359 --> 01:43:24,159 I interviewed like 30 people for the documentary I worked on, 1 01:43:24,159 --> 01:43:27,960 including Global Dryden, and they all are optimistic long-term. 1 01:43:27,960 --> 01:43:30,760 I'm only guardedly hopeful that demographics is on our side. 1 01:43:30,760 --> 01:43:31,760 It's called "the Millennials." 1 01:43:31,760 --> 01:43:34,280 Millennial generation is more sustainable, 1 01:43:34,279 --> 01:43:36,880 more ecological oriented, but I think it's an uphill battle. 1 01:43:37,479 --> 01:43:38,759 As Thomas Paine said, 1 01:43:38,760 --> 01:43:40,960 "Every generation must recreate the world anew." 1 01:43:40,960 --> 01:43:43,480 The digital generation; you're there. Do it! 1 01:43:43,479 --> 01:43:47,359 You don't need to look back at those who are our history. 1 01:43:47,359 --> 01:43:49,359 Look to the future of what you want for your children. 1 01:43:50,680 --> 01:43:53,079 —Hi! How are you? —I just wanna shake your hand. 1 01:43:53,079 --> 01:43:54,559 Thanks for coming. 1 01:43:55,279 --> 01:44:00,359 So, zero marginal cost is possible if the data centers are for free. 1 01:44:00,359 --> 01:44:01,759 —Yeah. —We need it! 1 01:44:01,760 --> 01:44:03,159 Well, you have, you know— it's Wikipedia. 1 01:44:03,159 --> 01:44:05,359 They do nonprofit, they get contributions, 1 01:44:05,359 --> 01:44:08,079 it's tough, but they make it because enough people believe in it. 1 01:44:08,079 --> 01:44:09,880 Or you look at Blah Blah Car Etsy. 1 01:44:09,880 --> 01:44:11,760 They've done it with a little bit commissions. 1 01:44:11,760 --> 01:44:14,079 Look at Patagonia— they've become a benefit company. 1 01:44:14,279 --> 01:44:16,759 And they say— There are eight or nine states 1 01:44:16,760 --> 01:44:18,079 that passed legislation now saying, 1 01:44:18,079 --> 01:44:19,479 "Look, if you're a benefit company, 1 01:44:19,479 --> 01:44:21,479 profits don't have to be a first motive; 1 01:44:21,479 --> 01:44:23,679 therefore you won't risk hostile takeovers. 1 01:44:24,479 --> 01:44:27,879 So there's a lot of stuff moving, but it's difficult. 1 01:44:27,880 --> 01:44:29,560 So are you— I encourage you to do that. 1 01:44:29,560 --> 01:44:31,880 Take some risk. Don't sell out. 1 01:44:32,680 --> 01:44:33,880 That's what I'm saying. 172323

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