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We humans are unable to experience the
true nature of the universe, unfiltered.
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Our senses and brains can only
process a fraction of the world.
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So we have to use concepts and tools, to
learn about the true nature of reality
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Technological progress not only widened
our knowledge about the universe,
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it also made us aware of unsettling possibilities.
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In the future, it might become possible
to simulate entire universes.
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But if this is an option, how can we know
that it's not already happened?
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What if we are not creators, but creations?
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Is it possible that we are not real,
and we don't even know it?
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If our current understanding of physics is correct,
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Then, it's impossible to simulate the whole universe,
with its trillions and trillions of things.
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But we don't actually need to, anyway.
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We only need enough universe to fool
the inhabitants of our simulation,
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into thinking that they're real.
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Who needs billions of galaxies?
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We only need the space our
subjects are allowed to explore.
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The vast universe could just be a flat projection, and they would have no way to know.
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What about small things like cells or bacteria?
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We don't really need them.
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When you use a microscope, what you
see could be instantly created.
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Same with atoms the chair you're sitting
on right now does not need to be
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simulated with quadrillions of atoms.
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We just need the outermost layer of it,
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it might be empty inside, until you
decide to break it open.
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Your body might feel like it's filled with bubbly things,
but it might be empty, until you open it.
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The minimum requirement for our simulation,
is only the consciousness of our virtual humans.
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Our subjects just need to think the simulation is real.
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Okay, so are we being simulated?
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Well, maybe, but there are a few
conditions that need to be met.
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Obviously, we have no authority over this topic,
so please take everything we say with a grain of salt.
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Based on a modified version of the original
simulation argument by Nick Bostrom,
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we have five assumptions for you.
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If they're true, you dear viewer are living in a simulation.
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Assumption one,
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it's possible to simulate consciousness
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Nobody knows what consciousness is.
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For the sake of argument, let's assume that you could generate consciousness by simulating a brain.
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Brains are pretty complex.
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If you count every interaction between
synapses as one operation,
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your brain runs at about ten to the power of seventeen, for one hundred million billion operations, per second.
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Let's generously assume we need ten
to the power of twenty operations,
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to simulate one second of human consciousness.
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But, we don't want to simulate just one human...
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We want to simulate all of human history at once,
so we can skip around.
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Let's say we want to simulate two hundred billion humans, with an average life span of fifty years.
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One year has thirty million seconds times fifty years
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times two hundred billion humans
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times ten to the power of twenty operations.
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So we need a computer able to handle million,
trillion, trillion, trillion operations per second.
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More operations than there are stars
in the observable universe.
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The computer like this is just impossible.
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Except, maybe it isn't.
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Assumption two,
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technological progress will not stop anytime soon.
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If we assume that technological progress continues
in a similar fashion as it has so far,
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then there might be galaxy spanning civilizations,
with unlimited computer power at some point.
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Beings on a technology level so advanced, that we
could barely distinguish them from god's.
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A computer that can handle a million trillion, trillion, trillion operations is serious business,
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but there are actually concepts for computers,
which could handle this.
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The Matrioshka Brain, is the theoretical megastructure,
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made up of billions of parts orbiting a star,
feeding on its radiation.
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A computer of this scale, would have enough
power to simulate many thousands,
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if not millions of humanities, at the same time.
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Other technologies, like high-end future quantum computers might lower the size drastically,
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so it might be possible to do this with a structure the size of a large city, or even smaller.
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But, only if there's still someone around
to build the computer.
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Assumption three,
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advanced civilizations don't destroy themselves.
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If there is a point at which all civilizations destroyed themselves, this whole discussion ends here.
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Looking into space, you'd expect to universe filled,
with millions of alien civilizations,
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but we see nobody.
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the reason for this might be, Great Filters.
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Great Filters are barriers life has to overcome,
like nuclear war,
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asteroids, climate change or a black hole generator.
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If life is inherently self-destructive,
then there are no simulations.
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We explain this in more detail, in our
Fermi Paradox video.
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Assumption four,
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super advanced civilizations, want to run simulations.
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When we speak of posthuman civilizations,
we don't know what we're dealing with
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To think we know what beings as powerful
as gods want, is pretty arrogant.
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Imagine the smartest ant on earth living
next to an amusement park,
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It's curious about what humans are up to,
so you try to explain.
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Unfortunately, the ant just doesn't understand.
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The concept of rollercoasters and standing
in lines and holidays and fun,
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doesn't make sense to an ant living an ant life.
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It's the same with us and a posthuman being,
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compared to them, we are ants.
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Running simulations for fun or science,
might be an absurdly stupid idea to them.
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But, if they do want to run simulations for whatever reasons and assumptions one, two, three are true too,
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then the chances are not zero that you
are living inside a simulation.
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Assumption five,
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if there are a lot of simulations, you are
probably inside a simulation.
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if there are simulated civilizations,
It's likely that there are a lot of them.
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After all, we assume that post human beings have access to practically unlimited computing power.
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So if they run simulations, it would be convenient
to run millions or even billions of them.
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If there are billions of simulated universes, there are probably trillions and trillions of
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simulated conscious beings.
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which would mean that the vast majority of all conscious beings that will ever have existed,
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are simulated.
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So, for every conscious being made of flesh,
a billion simulated ones exists.
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Since we have no way of knowing if we are simulated or not,
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in this case, the chances of you being one
of the nine hundred and ninety nine million
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nine hundred and ninety nine thousand nine hundred ninety nine simulated ones, are pretty high.
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So, what you consider reality, might not be real at all
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You really might be...
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simulated.
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All of this is based on a lot of assumptions
that we can't really test right now
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So many scientists disagree with
this whole thought experiment.
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So don't burn your house down to test
if there will be glitches.
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If you are simulated, not that much changes for you
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you might be on a small planet speeding
through eternal nothingness,
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or a simulation inside a computer.
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your existence does not become
more or less scary and bizarre.
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All we can hope to do is try to live good lives,
and have a good time.
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And hope that if we actually are simulations
in a supercomputer,
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nobody trips over the power cable.
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Oh, oh, oh no, I think I just unplugged the simulation
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But what if that doesn't matter, what if we are in one right now? What if you are simulated?
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Jake, over at Vsauce3 is looking into that.
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Click here to watch his video and
subscribe to his channel.
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Why are you still here? go over to Vsauce3 watch the video and subscribe,
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we promise, it's worth your time...11748
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