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Humans dream about leaving Earth
and traveling through the galaxy.
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But we were born too early to be part of it.
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Or were we?
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The reality is,
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we could begin our dream
by building a Moon base today.
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We actually do have the technology
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and current estimates from NASA
and the private sector
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say it could be done for 20 to 40 billion dollars,
spread out over about a decade.
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The price is comparable to
the International Space Station
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or the budget surplus of Germany in 2017.
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Not that big an investment really.
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The payoff would be immeasurable.
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The Moon is a sandbox to develop new technologies and exploit unlimited resources.
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It would start a new space race
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and lay the foundation for us to spread out
into the solar system and beyond.
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It would create a vast array of new
technologies to benefit us on Earth
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and we would all be part of it.
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So, why aren't we doing it?
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Well, sadly, it's hard to get governments interested in long-term investments in the future of humanity.
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Let's imagine, just doing it.
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If we start today, how would we build a Moon base?
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(Kurzgesagt intro music)
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Kurzgesagt in collaboration with BRILLIANT
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Throughout history,
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colonization happened in phases:
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In the first phase of the age of exploration
of the new world, for example,
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European monarchs funded expeditions to chart
and discover and to stake their claims.
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They planted a flag and set up a camp,
but they didn't stay.
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In the second phase, small missions set up outposts and settlements were founded,
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which was still very dependent on
their home countries for supplies.
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Some failed, but others survived and
established a permanent presence.
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Only then, in the third phase, did a true colony form
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to which tradesmen and laborers could emigrate,
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creating new wealth and opportunities
for themselves and their families,
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sending extreme wealth back
to their countries of origin.
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When we colonize the Moon,
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we'll go through the same three phases.
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This time, without murdering millions
of innocent people in the process.
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The Moon is not a welcoming place for living things.
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A Moon day lasts 29 Earth days,
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with a difference of maybe 300 degrees
Celsius between sunlight and shade.
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There's no atmosphere to shield us from meteorites,
big and small, or cosmic radiation.
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Worse still, the lunar surface is covered
in a layer of nasty jagged dust.
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The Moon is hard.
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But we're good at doing hard things.
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In the first phase of lunar colonization,
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our explorers proved it can be done
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that a new world can be reached.
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This phase started 60 years ago with the Apollo missions.
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Since then, satellites like the American Lunar Reconnaissance Orbiter have mapped the Moon,
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while rovers like the Chinese Yutu (玉兔), have studied the composition of the lunar surface,
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Looking for water, ice, and metals.
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Phase one is more or less complete.
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We know what we need to know to enter phase two.
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In the second phase,
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astronauts will build the first Moonbase and this could begin today.
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The first small Moonbase could
be completed in a decade.
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The first nation that establishes this base,
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will be akin to the first nations building outposts in the new world 500 years ago.
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It's expensive to send rockets to the Moon.
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So we will send as little as possible.
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The base will be light,
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little more than inflatable habitats for crews of no more than 12,
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and will be deployed somewhere with natural shelter.
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Options include caves, like underground lava tube tunnels,
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or craters near the poles, where the days are six months long.
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These astronauts will not stay long.
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The habitat is likely to be abandoned between missions,
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as solar panels cannot generate
electricity during the lunar night.
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But they'll do the groundwork to enable
humans to stay permanently.
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Our first crew will consist of scientists and engineers
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who will study the composition of the Moon
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and whose experiments will explore ways
of using the available lunar material.
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Say, and purifying the lunar ice and turning
it into the water for human use.
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And water is important for far more than drinking.
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They can use it to experiment with growing plants for food.
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Hydrogen fuel cells will store power through the long night,
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extending astronauts' stays.
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And most importantly:
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It could be split into hydrogen and oxygen.
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Rocket fuel!
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By harvesting water from the Moon and putting it into orbit,
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the Moon base will supply an orbital depot.
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Where scientific missions to Mars and the outer solar system can refuel.
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Compared to the Earth, it's much easier and cheaper to get things off the Moon into orbit.
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Colonizing Mars may mean starting from the Moon.
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But this isn't a true colony, not yet.
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The base will be abandoned if funding stops.
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If we want our base to grow into the third phase, into a true colony,
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it must become self-sufficient supporting itself via exports to Earth.
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Now, private contractors arrive looking to get rich off lunar resources and support services.
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If it's cheaper to produce rocket fuel in space,
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what else can they get rich on?
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They could extract precious metals,
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abundant in impact craters
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and other raw materials from the lunar regolith.
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One promising possibility is the mining of Helium-3,
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an isotope that could one day be used in nuclear fusion reactors,
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something the Chinese lunar exploration
program is currently looking into.
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Future colonists may export Helium-3 back to Earth,
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providing us with cheap and clean fusion energy.
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Asteroids could be pulled into the Moon's orbit and then mined.
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With commercial exports to Earth,
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the colony is fully in its third phase,
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self-sufficient and economically productive.
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Our base will begin using lunar material in its construction projects if it's to continue growing.
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Fortunately, lunar soil has all the necessary
ingredients to make concrete.
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Robotic mining rigs can sift the lunar dust for organic molecules
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and could be used to build huge structures
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way too massive to be brought from Earth.
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While advances in 3D printing,
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will make it possible to produce almost
everything else the crews need.
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It's hard to say when exactly the colony
becomes self-sustaining.
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Growth is gradual,
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experiments are replaced by industry
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and the population steadily reaches the hundreds,
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encompassing more than just scientists.
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Engineers, pilots, and contractors representing countries and corporations will be present.
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Two of these people will make a breakthrough.
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Not scientific, but social.
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They will have the first extraterrestrial child.
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Throughout history,
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the birth of the first child was celebrated
as a moment where the seed of a colony
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finally and irreversibly took root.
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Here, it means that the Moon is not just a place for scientists and engineers to work,
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it's a place for people to live, to raise a family.
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Once this transition happens, the colony grows rapidly,
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building more habitats and schools and farms and all the things needed to support the growing population.
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As our colony grows, all kinds of new technologies will be invented to sustain it.
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They might develop crops that efficiently recycle carbon dioxide,
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or the grow with very little water.
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They might find ways to recycle and reuse 100% of their waste,
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technologies that are extremely valuable for Earth.
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They could even build the first space elevator in the solar system.
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With a space elevator, spacecraft, astronauts and raw materials,
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could be brought back and forth from lunar orbit, without needing to use rockets at all.
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The Moon may become a hub for economic activity on a scale that's hard to imagine right now.
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It's hard to say who will own the colony at this point.
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Will the first person born on the Moon
take the national identity of their parents,
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or will a new generation meld together
into a new lunar society?
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And when existing treaties that bar any nation from owning the moon are inevitably rewritten,
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will the colonists be given a say?
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Will they declare independence from the Earth?
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However it happens,
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the Moon is a perfect sandbox to learn
how to colonize the Solar System,
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the perfect project unify nations,
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and the only way to guarantee our survival as a species,
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should something tragic happen on Earth?
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If we ever want to colonize the Milky Way,
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we'll have to start somewhere.
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So why not start there?
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Why not start now?
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While unfortunately you can't jump on a spacecraft
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and go to the Moon right now,
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you can learn more interesting things
about space and our universe.
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And we can even help you with that.
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Kurzgesagt and Brilliant are collaborating
on a six-part video series
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about our favorite science and space topics.
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Kurzgesagt has worked with Brilliant for a while now
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and we love what they're doing.
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In a nutshell, Brilliant teaches you science
and maths with a hands-on approach,
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by solving puzzles yourself, you learn to understand
concepts instead of just memorizing facts.
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If you'd like to think more like a scientist,
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go to brilliant.org/nutshell and sign up for free.
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The first 688 people to use the link get their
annual premium membership at a 20% discount
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and also support our collaboration with Brilliant.
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(Kurzgesagt outro)14734
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