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I was born in 1971 and was 18
in 1989 when the Berlin Wall fell.
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I sat glued to the radio and listened
when the communist regime fell.
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00:01:51,955 --> 00:01:57,915
As a student, I traveled to Romania,
Hungary and Russia.
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00:02:02,435 --> 00:02:06,755
I was there and saw the
consequences of the collapse.
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00:02:12,995 --> 00:02:18,955
I saw a failed economic and social system.
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A political system that had
promised personal freedom
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00:02:30,083 --> 00:02:35,019
but instead created misery
and political repression.
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00:02:57,915 --> 00:03:03,282
When the Communist
House of cards fell,
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the capitalist
argument was reinforced
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00:03:08,049 --> 00:03:10,299
but it went too far.
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00:03:20,115 --> 00:03:25,995
The fall of the Soviet Union led
to an eternal belief in liberalization.
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00:03:26,435 --> 00:03:31,731
It was accompanied by a new
glorification of private property.
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00:03:31,888 --> 00:03:40,555
As a result, rising injustices
increased nationalism and xenophobia
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00:03:40,580 --> 00:03:44,299
just as before the
First World War.
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00:03:55,235 --> 00:04:00,140
The 21st century scares me,
because when I compare it with history,
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we risk returning to a capitalist system similar to
the unequal world of the 19th and 20th centuries.
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00:04:56,027 --> 00:05:00,651
In Europe during
the 18th century,
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capital was concentrated
to a small group of people.
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The nobility made up one percent of the population.
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00:05:12,955 --> 00:05:16,875
Money limited social mobility.
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You could not climb very high relying on work or study.
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Often, in literature,
films and popular culture
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we can follow the importance
of capital throughout history.
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It is a darker story than the idyllic notion
of development and enlightenment.
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00:11:17,555 --> 00:11:20,571
The 18th century was no static world.
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00:11:20,595 --> 00:11:26,852
New political ideas demanded
equal rights for all
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and an end to
inherited benefits.
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00:12:12,555 --> 00:12:17,131
The French Revolution was to a certain
extent based on double standards.
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00:12:17,155 --> 00:12:23,435
Their vision of "equality" was at best optimistic,
somewhat naive and at worst a bit cynical.
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00:12:25,355 --> 00:12:32,555
It was pretended that it would be equally
spontaneous, a bit like a fairy tale.
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00:12:35,955 --> 00:12:42,388
But political institutions needed
educational institutions, health care,
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transport and a tax system
aimed at high-income earners.
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00:12:48,995 --> 00:12:55,275
At the time of the French Revolution
there was no such thing at all.
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00:17:27,675 --> 00:17:31,415
It was during this time
in the 19th century
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that division of labor, inequality
and power was established worldwide.
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First with slaves and then with a
relentless colonial rule.
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00:17:52,115 --> 00:17:59,383
It is difficult to say how much of Europe's
wealth comes from their colonial past,
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but the dominance gained during
the industrial revolution
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was linked to a military rule.
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00:18:26,915 --> 00:18:33,980
Between 1870 and 1914, Britain and
France, the great colonial powers,
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owned very much the world over.
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They raised so much profits,
dividends, interest and rents
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that they continued to invest
in other parts of the world.
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The rest of the world worked for them.
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Around 1914,
in a city like Paris,
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one percent of residents owned 70
percent of what was possible to own.
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Two thirds of the population died
without owning any property.
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00:22:15,315 --> 00:22:19,792
Nationalism increased and the countries
of Europe began to compete a little
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because of the extremely
strong social tensions
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00:22:23,932 --> 00:22:29,403
due to a stagnant standard
of living and injustice.
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00:22:31,875 --> 00:22:38,152
Nationalism, competition between
countries, was used by the elite
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to forget the class conflict and instead
rally around a national identity.
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It contributed to the outbreak
of the First World War
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in the summer of 1914.
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If you read John Steinbeck's
"Grapes of Wrath"
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you understand how enormous the
shock was when the system broke down.
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When the banks went bankrupt,
people lost their money.
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00:29:52,115 --> 00:29:58,915
Demand in other areas declined, which in
turn led to bankruptcies and unemployment.
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00:30:29,435 --> 00:30:33,175
The great crisis of the
1930s was so traumatic
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that the public and their political
representatives blamed capitalism.
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War itself destroys capital.
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First, you bomb and totally destroy cities.
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But that's only a third of the capital.
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What are the other two thirds?
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One third is inflation, which destroyed public
debt to private individuals who funded the war.
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The other third are new rules such as rent regulation,
state ownership and budget regulation.
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00:37:58,357 --> 00:38:05,915
The destruction of capital was not only bad
because society's balance of power was changed.
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00:38:24,190 --> 00:38:27,758
All are equal in the face of death.
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War, all the victims and all the hopelessness,
make us realize that we are all human beings.
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The new political context ultimately led to the
enlightenment and equality proclaimed in the 1700s.
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00:42:23,595 --> 00:42:29,600
If you follow the evolution of
inequality during the 20th century,
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the strong middle class is
the most striking change.
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Until 1914, there was no middle class.
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It was almost as poor as the poorest.
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During the first 30-35 years after the war,
economic growth prevailed.
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Purchasing power increased significantly especially
among the lower classes and the middle class.
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They could buy consumer goods,
get a better standard of living,
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save for a house
and raise capital.
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They were not very wealthy, but not poor either,
and held much of the country's capital.
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But the middle class's share of capital has declined
more in the United States than in Europe.
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The new direction can be quite alarming
if we look at the 21st century.
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A major challenge for the future
is whether the middle class shrinks
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and we risk an impoverished
middle class like 100 years ago.
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All countries must tell us why they are richer
than others or why they have become poor.
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That's what Reagan and Thatcher
told their constituents.
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In the US there was a feeling that Germany and Japan,
those who had lost the war, caught up.
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00:50:29,729 --> 00:50:36,545
Reagan, and to some extent Thatcher,
pointed it out and said:
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"Look, they're about to catch up.
We have to change something, but what?"
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"It's the fault of the welfare state
brought about by the New Deal."
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"It has made us weak."
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"We must return to the mythical capitalism
of the 19th century and gain new power."
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01:03:13,675 --> 01:03:17,128
When capital becomes
too concentrated,
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its influence over the media and the financing of political
campaigns and parties that benefit the most increases.
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01:03:28,795 --> 01:03:33,196
Their motto: "one dollar, one vote"
or "one euro, one vote"
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01:03:33,221 --> 01:03:37,779
goes against the motto of
democracy: "one person, one vote".
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01:11:21,755 --> 01:11:29,505
In 2015, Google Alphabet estimated a
profit of $15.5 billion in Bermuda,
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but they aren't doing
anything in Bermuda.
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01:11:33,195 --> 01:11:39,491
It is an example of how countries are
stealing tax bases from each other.
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Another is wealth management.
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They sell shell companies, numbered accounts
protected by bank secrecy, to wealthy families.
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01:12:05,515 --> 01:12:09,955
You cannot levy additional taxes on
what you can not measure.
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01:12:14,635 --> 01:12:22,041
We live in a statistical
fog about who is wealthy,
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who owns the building in New
York, in Paris?
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When we try to look it up,
we find shell companies.
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01:12:50,435 --> 01:12:56,971
You can fight the tax haven
in a fairly simple way.
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Penalties must be imposed on
countries that facilitate tax evasion
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01:13:02,273 --> 01:13:08,171
and change the calculation of
taxable profits in all countries.
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01:13:08,195 --> 01:13:10,811
Take Apple for example.
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01:13:10,835 --> 01:13:16,451
Imagine Apple making
$50 billion in profits.
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Ten percent of all sales
are made in France.
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01:13:21,595 --> 01:13:24,331
Then France could say:
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01:13:24,355 --> 01:13:33,571
"Ten percent of Apple's global profit,
$5 billion is to be taxed in France."
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01:13:33,595 --> 01:13:43,411
Today, multinational companies can manipulate
a lot of things but not where the customers are.
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01:13:43,435 --> 01:13:48,315
They are in France, Germany,
England, USA, not in Bermuda.
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01:16:41,455 --> 01:16:49,398
Since the late 1970s, Chinese average
income has increased by about 800 percent.
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That's a huge amount.
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01:16:52,515 --> 01:16:59,131
However, the average income for the
rich has increased by 2000 percent.
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01:16:59,155 --> 01:17:06,595
It is a country of growth but
extremely unfair growth.
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01:25:16,515 --> 01:25:21,505
Inheritance has once again become
as important during the 21st century
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01:25:21,530 --> 01:25:25,459
as in the 19th century
in England and France.
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01:25:28,195 --> 01:25:35,515
Inheritance means that a small part
of the population can live very well
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01:25:35,540 --> 01:25:40,139
because the inherited
wealth creates an income.
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01:25:42,728 --> 01:25:50,619
Returns have almost always been
higher than economic growth.
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01:25:57,315 --> 01:26:04,031
If we go back to the 18th
century until today, 2018,
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01:26:04,056 --> 01:26:09,899
the world economy has increased by
1.6 percent per year for 300 years.
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01:26:11,835 --> 01:26:18,755
This is much less than the return on
capital, which is 4-5 percent per year.
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01:26:22,675 --> 01:26:25,611
Is it a disaster? Not necessarily.
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01:26:25,635 --> 01:26:29,109
If everyone owns
part of the capital
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01:26:29,134 --> 01:26:35,281
if everyone owns an apartment and
participates in a pension fund,
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01:26:35,306 --> 01:26:38,691
it is not bad if the
return is higher.
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01:26:38,715 --> 01:26:44,715
The problem is in the concentration of
ownership and thus the power of society.
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01:26:46,869 --> 01:26:50,984
It leads to a resurgence
of social hierarchies
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01:26:51,009 --> 01:26:55,488
and increased tensions among
the working and middle classes.
134
01:28:21,635 --> 01:28:28,715
There are always politicians who are
attracted to the increase in inequality.
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01:28:30,995 --> 01:28:34,715
This was evident even before 1914.
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01:28:36,555 --> 01:28:39,411
I'm worried about the 21st century.
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01:28:39,435 --> 01:28:43,942
We fail to regulate
international capitalism,
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01:28:43,967 --> 01:28:47,571
and don't make multinationals
and billionaires pay taxes.
139
01:28:47,595 --> 01:28:52,051
Then we let our anger out on immigrants.
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01:28:52,075 --> 01:28:54,635
It hurts less than going
after the companies.
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01:28:59,714 --> 01:29:07,709
But to solve the increased injustices,
we have to tax capital progressively.
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01:29:09,515 --> 01:29:14,275
And ownership can not last forever.
143
01:29:15,035 --> 01:29:21,408
Those who have a lot of capital
should give back to the general
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01:29:21,433 --> 01:29:28,731
one, two, three percent,
or five or ten if you have billions.
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01:29:28,755 --> 01:29:36,411
If you continue to invest wisely with high
returns you will continue to prosper.
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01:29:36,435 --> 01:29:43,204
If you get a high
return, but do nothing,
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01:29:43,229 --> 01:29:47,761
the tax will erode
that mechanism.
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01:29:54,315 --> 01:30:01,068
In this way we can control the concentration
of capital and then also the political power
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01:30:01,093 --> 01:30:05,659
as well as the right to
property for the middle class.
150
01:30:20,995 --> 01:30:26,935
Many do not want to discuss
taxes on income and inheritance
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01:30:26,960 --> 01:30:34,799
but without it, the attempts to regulate capitalism
have terrible consequences for everyone.
152
01:33:45,915 --> 01:33:53,211
The challenge of creating a more just society
is different than in the 20th century.
153
01:33:53,235 --> 01:33:59,571
The important thing is that
it is not technically impossible.
154
01:33:59,595 --> 01:34:02,675
It is a political and
intellectual challenge.
155
01:34:06,675 --> 01:34:11,715
And given the story, we can be optimistic.
156
01:34:15,635 --> 01:34:21,816
If we want a society that
is peaceful and harmonious,
157
01:34:21,841 --> 01:34:25,819
we must avoid it
being too unfair.
158
01:34:29,115 --> 01:34:34,035
I am in favour of capital control
and an overrun of capitalism.
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01:34:36,355 --> 01:34:40,748
With means that are more
democratic, more participatory
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01:34:40,773 --> 01:34:45,179
and that allow us to see a
future in the 21st century.
15735
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