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These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:03,326 --> 00:00:06,243 (soft piano music) 2 00:00:16,320 --> 00:00:20,961 - This is a film about one very simple question: 3 00:00:20,961 --> 00:00:22,628 how did we get here? 4 00:00:30,002 --> 00:00:32,069 These are the elements and compounds 5 00:00:32,069 --> 00:00:34,574 from which all humans are made. 6 00:00:34,574 --> 00:00:37,672 They're incredibly, almost embarrassingly, common. 7 00:00:37,672 --> 00:00:40,525 In fact, almost 99% of the human body 8 00:00:40,525 --> 00:00:44,222 is a mixture of air, water, coal, and chalk, 9 00:00:44,222 --> 00:00:46,955 with traces of other slightly more exotic elements 10 00:00:46,955 --> 00:00:50,372 like iron, zinc, phosphorous, and sulfur. 11 00:00:52,331 --> 00:00:55,586 In fact, I've estimated that the elements which make up 12 00:00:55,586 --> 00:00:59,253 the average human cost at most a few pounds. 13 00:01:00,503 --> 00:01:04,164 But somehow trillions of these very ordinary atoms 14 00:01:04,164 --> 00:01:07,979 conspire miraculously to organize themselves 15 00:01:07,979 --> 00:01:12,568 into thinking, breathing, living human beings. 16 00:01:12,568 --> 00:01:14,873 How the wonders of creation are assembled 17 00:01:14,873 --> 00:01:17,013 from such simple building blocks 18 00:01:17,013 --> 00:01:21,930 is surely the most intriguing question we can ask. 19 00:01:21,930 --> 00:01:23,993 You may think that answering it 20 00:01:23,993 --> 00:01:26,553 is beyond the realm of science. 21 00:01:26,553 --> 00:01:28,211 But that's changing. 22 00:01:28,211 --> 00:01:30,590 For the first time, I believe, 23 00:01:30,590 --> 00:01:34,113 science has pushed past religion and philosophy 24 00:01:34,113 --> 00:01:38,280 in daring to tackle this most fundamental of questions. 25 00:01:43,643 --> 00:01:45,920 This film is the story of a series 26 00:01:45,920 --> 00:01:49,556 of bizarre and interconnected discoveries. 27 00:01:49,556 --> 00:01:52,473 It reveals a hidden safe of nature. 28 00:01:54,207 --> 00:01:57,509 That woven into it's simplest and most basic laws 29 00:01:57,509 --> 00:02:00,092 is a power to be unpredictable. 30 00:02:01,939 --> 00:02:06,309 It's about how inanimate matter with no purpose or design 31 00:02:06,309 --> 00:02:09,809 can spontaneously create exquisite beauty. 32 00:02:11,904 --> 00:02:14,169 It's about how the same laws that make 33 00:02:14,169 --> 00:02:16,930 the universe chaotic and unpredictable 34 00:02:16,930 --> 00:02:20,180 can turn simple dust into human beings. 35 00:02:22,495 --> 00:02:24,559 It's about the discovery that there is 36 00:02:24,559 --> 00:02:28,178 a strange and unexpected relationship 37 00:02:28,178 --> 00:02:30,178 between order and chaos. 38 00:02:57,508 --> 00:03:00,425 (soft piano music) 39 00:03:03,193 --> 00:03:06,253 The natural world really is one great, 40 00:03:06,253 --> 00:03:08,586 blooming, buzzing confusion. 41 00:03:10,488 --> 00:03:13,490 It's a mess of quirky shapes and blotches. 42 00:03:13,490 --> 00:03:16,846 What patterns there are are never quite regular, 43 00:03:16,846 --> 00:03:19,596 and never seem to repeat exactly. 44 00:03:23,455 --> 00:03:26,887 The idea that all this mayhem, all this chaos 45 00:03:26,887 --> 00:03:31,289 is underpinned, indeed determined, by mathematical rules, 46 00:03:31,289 --> 00:03:34,241 and that we can work out what those rules might be 47 00:03:34,241 --> 00:03:38,158 run counter to our most dearly held intuitions. 48 00:03:45,135 --> 00:03:48,150 So not surprisingly, the first man to really 49 00:03:48,150 --> 00:03:51,371 take on the momentous task of unraveling 50 00:03:51,371 --> 00:03:54,014 nature's mysterious mathematics 51 00:03:54,014 --> 00:03:57,625 had a very special and unusual mind. 52 00:03:57,625 --> 00:03:59,657 He was both a great scientist 53 00:03:59,657 --> 00:04:01,157 and a tragic hero. 54 00:04:02,428 --> 00:04:05,227 He was born in 1912 in London. 55 00:04:05,227 --> 00:04:07,310 His name was Alan Turing. 56 00:04:11,161 --> 00:04:13,331 Alan Turing was a remarkable man; 57 00:04:13,331 --> 00:04:16,359 one of the greatest mathematicians who ever lived. 58 00:04:16,359 --> 00:04:18,617 He discovered many of the fundamental ideas 59 00:04:18,617 --> 00:04:21,703 that underpin the modern computer. 60 00:04:21,703 --> 00:04:24,134 Also, during the Second World War, he worked here 61 00:04:24,134 --> 00:04:27,639 at Bletchley Park just outside today's Milton Keynes 62 00:04:27,639 --> 00:04:30,359 in what was then a secret government project 63 00:04:30,359 --> 00:04:33,098 called Station X, which was set up 64 00:04:33,098 --> 00:04:36,015 to crack the German military codes. 65 00:04:37,584 --> 00:04:41,336 The Station X code breakers proved highly effective, 66 00:04:41,336 --> 00:04:44,191 and Turing's contribution was crucial. 67 00:04:44,191 --> 00:04:46,424 The work he personally did to crack 68 00:04:46,424 --> 00:04:50,800 German naval codes saved thousands of Allied lives 69 00:04:50,800 --> 00:04:53,534 and was a turning point in the war. 70 00:04:53,534 --> 00:04:58,070 But code breaking was just one aspect of Turing's genius. 71 00:04:58,070 --> 00:05:00,576 Just one part of his uncanny ability 72 00:05:00,576 --> 00:05:03,864 to see patterns that are hidden from the rest of us. 73 00:05:03,864 --> 00:05:08,376 For Turing, the natural world offered up the ultimate codes. 74 00:05:08,376 --> 00:05:09,906 And over the course of his life, 75 00:05:09,906 --> 00:05:13,509 he'd come tantalizingly close to cracking them. 76 00:05:13,509 --> 00:05:16,429 - Turing was a very original person. 77 00:05:16,429 --> 00:05:20,797 And he had realized that there was this possibility 78 00:05:20,797 --> 00:05:23,726 that simple mathematical equations 79 00:05:23,726 --> 00:05:26,503 might describe aspects of the biological world, 80 00:05:26,503 --> 00:05:29,670 and no one had thought of that before. 81 00:05:30,739 --> 00:05:32,436 - [Jim] Of all nature's mysteries, 82 00:05:32,436 --> 00:05:34,720 the one that fascinated Turing most 83 00:05:34,720 --> 00:05:38,297 was the idea that there might be a mathematical basis 84 00:05:38,297 --> 00:05:40,130 to human intelligence. 85 00:05:41,920 --> 00:05:46,503 Turing had very personal reasons for believing in this. 86 00:05:46,503 --> 00:05:49,460 - It was the death of this young man, Christopher Morton, 87 00:05:49,460 --> 00:05:51,363 who Alan Turing, well, he was gay, 88 00:05:51,363 --> 00:05:53,109 and he'd been a great 89 00:05:53,109 --> 00:05:55,791 emotional thing of this life at that point. 90 00:05:55,791 --> 00:05:57,710 Christopher Morton suddenly died. 91 00:05:57,710 --> 00:05:59,962 And Alan Turing was very, 92 00:05:59,962 --> 00:06:03,264 obviously, he was very emotionally disturbed by this. 93 00:06:03,264 --> 00:06:05,163 But you can see is he wanted to put this 94 00:06:05,163 --> 00:06:08,791 in a intellectual context, a scientific context. 95 00:06:08,791 --> 00:06:11,437 And the question he wanted to put into context was 96 00:06:11,437 --> 00:06:13,046 what happens to the mind? 97 00:06:13,046 --> 00:06:13,963 What is it? 98 00:06:18,505 --> 00:06:21,149 - [Jim] Turing became convinced that mathematics 99 00:06:21,149 --> 00:06:24,368 could be used to describe biological systems 100 00:06:24,368 --> 00:06:26,868 and, ultimately, intelligence. 101 00:06:28,139 --> 00:06:31,395 This fascination would give rise to the modern computer, 102 00:06:31,395 --> 00:06:35,562 and later in Turing's life, an even more radical idea. 103 00:06:36,496 --> 00:06:39,337 The idea that the simple mathematical description 104 00:06:39,337 --> 00:06:42,189 could be given for a mysterious process 105 00:06:42,189 --> 00:06:44,689 that takes place in an embryo. 106 00:06:48,574 --> 00:06:51,426 The process is called morphogenesis, 107 00:06:51,426 --> 00:06:53,343 and it's very puzzling. 108 00:06:58,007 --> 00:07:02,174 At first, all the cells in the embryo are identical. 109 00:07:05,135 --> 00:07:09,086 Then, the cells begin to clump together 110 00:07:09,086 --> 00:07:12,586 and also become different from each other. 111 00:07:16,103 --> 00:07:17,941 How does this happen? 112 00:07:17,941 --> 00:07:19,698 With no thought, 113 00:07:19,698 --> 00:07:21,698 no central coordination, 114 00:07:23,106 --> 00:07:26,215 how do cells that start off identical 115 00:07:26,215 --> 00:07:29,142 know to become, say, skin, 116 00:07:29,142 --> 00:07:32,059 while others become part of an eye. 117 00:07:37,427 --> 00:07:40,350 Morphogenesis is a spectacular example 118 00:07:40,350 --> 00:07:43,517 of something called self organization. 119 00:07:45,029 --> 00:07:46,998 And before Turing, 120 00:07:46,998 --> 00:07:49,665 no one had a clue how it worked. 121 00:07:54,443 --> 00:07:57,443 Then in 1952, Turing published this. 122 00:07:58,437 --> 00:08:01,166 His paper was the world's first mathematical 123 00:08:01,166 --> 00:08:03,666 explanation for morphogenesis. 124 00:08:04,777 --> 00:08:08,777 The sheer chutzpah of this paper was staggering. 125 00:08:11,925 --> 00:08:14,974 In it, Turing used a mathematical equation 126 00:08:14,974 --> 00:08:18,473 of the type normally seen in papers on astronomy 127 00:08:18,473 --> 00:08:22,390 or atomic physics to describe a living process. 128 00:08:24,218 --> 00:08:27,135 No one had done anything like this. 129 00:08:29,447 --> 00:08:33,291 Crucially, Turing's equations did, for the first time, 130 00:08:33,291 --> 00:08:38,282 describe how a biological system could self organize. 131 00:08:38,282 --> 00:08:41,311 They showed that something smooth and featureless 132 00:08:41,311 --> 00:08:43,061 can develop features. 133 00:08:44,934 --> 00:08:47,807 - One of the astonishing things about Turing's work 134 00:08:47,807 --> 00:08:49,967 was that starting with the description of 135 00:08:49,967 --> 00:08:51,971 really very simple processes 136 00:08:51,971 --> 00:08:54,710 that were governed by very simple equations, 137 00:08:54,710 --> 00:08:57,178 by putting these together, suddenly 138 00:08:57,178 --> 00:08:58,907 complexity emerged. 139 00:08:58,907 --> 00:09:02,459 The pattern suddenly came out as a natural consequence. 140 00:09:02,459 --> 00:09:06,626 And I think in many ways this was very, very unexpected. 141 00:09:10,988 --> 00:09:13,278 - [Jim] In essence, Turing's equations 142 00:09:13,278 --> 00:09:15,873 described something quite familiar, 143 00:09:15,873 --> 00:09:17,471 but which no one had thought of 144 00:09:17,471 --> 00:09:20,221 in the context of biology before. 145 00:09:26,139 --> 00:09:29,467 Think of the way a steady wind flowing across sand 146 00:09:29,467 --> 00:09:32,155 creates all kinds of shapes. 147 00:09:32,155 --> 00:09:36,322 The grains self organize into ripples, waves, and dunes. 148 00:09:39,693 --> 00:09:43,042 This happens even though the grains are virtually identical 149 00:09:43,042 --> 00:09:47,209 and have no knowledge of the shape they become part of. 150 00:09:50,105 --> 00:09:52,858 Turing argues that, in a very similar way, 151 00:09:52,858 --> 00:09:55,385 chemicals seeping across an embryo 152 00:09:55,385 --> 00:09:58,469 might cause its cells to self organize 153 00:09:58,469 --> 00:10:00,302 into different organs. 154 00:10:07,992 --> 00:10:10,899 These are Turing's own very rough scribblings 155 00:10:10,899 --> 00:10:12,816 of how this might work. 156 00:10:19,349 --> 00:10:23,090 They show how a completely featureless chemical soup 157 00:10:23,090 --> 00:10:26,590 can evolve these strange mods and patches. 158 00:10:29,685 --> 00:10:32,412 In his paper, he refined his sketches 159 00:10:32,412 --> 00:10:35,040 to show how his equations could spontaneously 160 00:10:35,040 --> 00:10:37,523 create markings similar to those 161 00:10:37,523 --> 00:10:39,523 on the skins of animals. 162 00:10:43,118 --> 00:10:44,968 - Turing went around showing people pictures, saying, 163 00:10:44,968 --> 00:10:47,554 "Does this look a bit like the patterns on a cow?" 164 00:10:47,554 --> 00:10:50,391 And everyone sort of, what is this man on about? 165 00:10:50,391 --> 00:10:52,248 But actually, and he knew what he was doing, 166 00:10:52,248 --> 00:10:55,517 because yes, indeed, they did like the patterns on a cow, 167 00:10:55,517 --> 00:10:57,383 and that's one of the reasons have this 168 00:10:57,383 --> 00:10:59,248 sort of duffle pattern order. 169 00:10:59,248 --> 00:11:03,893 So an area where mathematics have never been used before, 170 00:11:03,893 --> 00:11:07,233 pattern formation in biology, animal markings, 171 00:11:07,233 --> 00:11:11,400 suddenly the door was opened and we could see that 172 00:11:13,297 --> 00:11:16,400 mathematics might be useful in that sort of area. 173 00:11:16,400 --> 00:11:18,424 So even though Turing's exact equations 174 00:11:18,424 --> 00:11:20,191 are not the full story, 175 00:11:20,191 --> 00:11:22,191 they are the first piece 176 00:11:23,792 --> 00:11:25,488 of mathematical work that showed there was 177 00:11:25,488 --> 00:11:29,155 any possibility of doing this kind of thing. 178 00:11:34,099 --> 00:11:35,484 - [Jim] Of course, we now know 179 00:11:35,484 --> 00:11:38,233 that morphogenesis is much more complicated 180 00:11:38,233 --> 00:11:42,513 than the process Turing's equations describe. 181 00:11:42,513 --> 00:11:44,961 In fact, the precise mechanism of how 182 00:11:44,961 --> 00:11:47,031 DNA molecules in our cells 183 00:11:47,031 --> 00:11:49,172 interacts with other chemicals 184 00:11:49,172 --> 00:11:52,505 is still fiercely debated by scientists. 185 00:11:53,438 --> 00:11:56,375 But Turing's idea that whatever is going 186 00:11:56,375 --> 00:12:00,584 is deep down a simple mathematical process 187 00:12:00,584 --> 00:12:02,584 was truly revolutionary. 188 00:12:03,985 --> 00:12:06,439 - I think Alan Turing's paper is 189 00:12:06,439 --> 00:12:09,075 probably the cornerstone in the whole idea 190 00:12:09,075 --> 00:12:11,351 of how morphogenesis works. 191 00:12:11,351 --> 00:12:14,287 What it does is it provides us with a mechanism, 192 00:12:14,287 --> 00:12:17,448 something that Darwin didn't for how pattern emerges. 193 00:12:17,448 --> 00:12:20,339 Darwin, of course, tells us that once you have a pattern 194 00:12:20,339 --> 00:12:22,771 and it is coded for in the genes, 195 00:12:22,771 --> 00:12:24,908 that may or may not be passed on 196 00:12:24,908 --> 00:12:26,411 depending on circumstances. 197 00:12:26,411 --> 00:12:27,807 But what it doesn't do is explain 198 00:12:27,807 --> 00:12:30,593 where that pattern comes from in the first place. 199 00:12:30,593 --> 00:12:32,077 That's the real mystery. 200 00:12:32,077 --> 00:12:34,427 And so what Turing's had done 201 00:12:34,427 --> 00:12:36,756 was to suddenly provide an accessible 202 00:12:36,756 --> 00:12:39,015 chemical mechanism for doing this. 203 00:12:39,015 --> 00:12:40,432 That was amazing. 204 00:12:43,113 --> 00:12:47,113 - [Jim] Turing was onto a really big, bold idea. 205 00:12:48,627 --> 00:12:51,270 But sadly, we can only speculate how his 206 00:12:51,270 --> 00:12:55,353 extraordinary mind would have developed his idea. 207 00:12:56,480 --> 00:12:59,069 Because shortly after his groundbreaking paper 208 00:12:59,069 --> 00:13:01,590 on morphogenesis, a dreadful 209 00:13:01,590 --> 00:13:05,757 and completely avoidable tragedy destroyed his life. 210 00:13:10,341 --> 00:13:13,954 After his work breaking codes at Bletchley Park, 211 00:13:13,954 --> 00:13:16,388 you might all have assumed that Turing 212 00:13:16,388 --> 00:13:17,642 would have been by the country 213 00:13:17,642 --> 00:13:20,318 he did so much to protect. 214 00:13:20,318 --> 00:13:22,909 This couldn't be further from the truth. 215 00:13:22,909 --> 00:13:24,669 What happened to him after the war 216 00:13:24,669 --> 00:13:26,411 was a great tragedy, 217 00:13:26,411 --> 00:13:28,498 and one of the most shameful episodes 218 00:13:28,498 --> 00:13:31,331 in the history of British science. 219 00:13:33,245 --> 00:13:36,649 The same year Turing published his morphogenesis paper, 220 00:13:36,649 --> 00:13:41,134 he had a brief affair with a man called Arnold Murray. 221 00:13:41,134 --> 00:13:43,687 The affair went sour, and Murray was involved 222 00:13:43,687 --> 00:13:46,612 in a burglary at Turing's house. 223 00:13:46,612 --> 00:13:49,613 But when Turing reported this to the police, 224 00:13:49,613 --> 00:13:52,613 they arrested him as well as Murray. 225 00:13:54,755 --> 00:13:57,191 In court, the prosecution then argued 226 00:13:57,191 --> 00:14:00,303 that Turing, with his university education, 227 00:14:00,303 --> 00:14:02,136 had led Murray astray. 228 00:14:04,413 --> 00:14:08,126 He was convicted of gross indecency. 229 00:14:08,126 --> 00:14:12,126 The judge then offered Turing a dreadful choice. 230 00:14:13,990 --> 00:14:15,818 He could either go to prison 231 00:14:15,818 --> 00:14:19,473 or sign up to a regime of female hormone injections 232 00:14:19,473 --> 00:14:22,551 to cure him of his homosexuality. 233 00:14:22,551 --> 00:14:24,748 He chose the latter, and it was to send him 234 00:14:24,748 --> 00:14:27,741 into a spiral of depression. 235 00:14:27,741 --> 00:14:30,226 On the 8th of June, 1954, 236 00:14:30,226 --> 00:14:33,001 Turing's body was found by his cleaner. 237 00:14:33,001 --> 00:14:35,962 He died the day before by taking a bite from an apple 238 00:14:35,962 --> 00:14:39,712 he'd laced with cyanide, ending his own life. 239 00:14:42,073 --> 00:14:44,876 (somber violin music) 240 00:14:44,876 --> 00:14:47,376 Alan Turing died aged just 41. 241 00:14:48,656 --> 00:14:51,656 The loss to science is incalculable. 242 00:14:53,314 --> 00:14:55,207 Turing would never know that his ideas 243 00:14:55,207 --> 00:14:57,557 would inspire an entirely new 244 00:14:57,557 --> 00:14:59,904 mathematical approach to biology, 245 00:14:59,904 --> 00:15:02,579 and that scientists would find equations like his 246 00:15:02,579 --> 00:15:05,312 really do explain many of the shapes 247 00:15:05,312 --> 00:15:07,979 that appear on living organisms. 248 00:15:10,871 --> 00:15:12,990 Looking back, we now know Turing 249 00:15:12,990 --> 00:15:15,437 had really grasped the idea that 250 00:15:15,437 --> 00:15:17,757 the wonders of creation are derived 251 00:15:17,757 --> 00:15:20,450 from the simplest of rules. 252 00:15:20,450 --> 00:15:23,186 He had, perhaps unexpectedly, 253 00:15:23,186 --> 00:15:27,019 taken the first step to a new kind of science. 254 00:15:44,100 --> 00:15:45,920 The next step in this story 255 00:15:45,920 --> 00:15:48,236 was just as unexpected, 256 00:15:48,236 --> 00:15:51,903 and in many ways just as tragic as Turing's. 257 00:15:54,359 --> 00:15:56,363 In the early 1950s, 258 00:15:56,363 --> 00:16:00,687 around the time of Turing's seminal paper on morphogenesis, 259 00:16:00,687 --> 00:16:04,200 a brilliant Russian chemist by the name of Boris Belousov 260 00:16:04,200 --> 00:16:06,466 was beginning his own investigations into 261 00:16:06,466 --> 00:16:08,843 the chemistry of nature. 262 00:16:08,843 --> 00:16:10,742 Deep behind the iron curtain 263 00:16:10,742 --> 00:16:13,752 in a lab at the Soviet Ministry of Health, 264 00:16:13,752 --> 00:16:16,811 he was beginning to investigate the way our bodies 265 00:16:16,811 --> 00:16:19,061 extract energy from sugars. 266 00:16:22,761 --> 00:16:27,280 Just like Turing, Belousov was working on a personal project 267 00:16:27,280 --> 00:16:29,639 having just finished a distinguished career 268 00:16:29,639 --> 00:16:32,183 as a scientist in the military. 269 00:16:32,183 --> 00:16:36,603 In his lab, Belousov had formulated a mixture of chemicals 270 00:16:36,603 --> 00:16:40,390 to mimic one part of the process of glucose absorption 271 00:16:40,390 --> 00:16:41,934 in the body. 272 00:16:41,934 --> 00:16:45,402 The mix of chemicals sat on the lab bench in front of him, 273 00:16:45,402 --> 00:16:48,626 clear and colorless while being shaken. 274 00:16:48,626 --> 00:16:51,070 As he mixed in the final chemical, 275 00:16:51,070 --> 00:16:53,820 the whole solution changed color. 276 00:16:54,672 --> 00:16:56,843 Now this isn't particularly remarkable. 277 00:16:56,843 --> 00:17:00,696 If we mix ink into water, it changes color. 278 00:17:00,696 --> 00:17:04,863 But then something happened that made no sense at all. 279 00:17:06,137 --> 00:17:09,137 The mixture began to go clear again. 280 00:17:14,888 --> 00:17:16,805 Belousov was astounded. 281 00:17:17,657 --> 00:17:20,209 Chemicals can mix together and react. 282 00:17:20,209 --> 00:17:22,997 But they shouldn't be able to go back on themselves 283 00:17:22,997 --> 00:17:26,933 to apparently unmix without intervention. 284 00:17:26,933 --> 00:17:30,308 You can change from a clear mixture to a colored mixture 285 00:17:30,308 --> 00:17:32,975 fine, but surely not back again. 286 00:17:35,895 --> 00:17:37,746 And it got weirder. 287 00:17:37,746 --> 00:17:40,523 Belousov's chemicals didn't just spontaneously 288 00:17:40,523 --> 00:17:42,476 go into reverse. 289 00:17:42,476 --> 00:17:44,321 They oscillated. 290 00:17:44,321 --> 00:17:47,937 They switched back and forth from colored to clear 291 00:17:47,937 --> 00:17:50,262 as if they were being driven by some sort of 292 00:17:50,262 --> 00:17:52,429 hidden chemical metronome. 293 00:17:55,084 --> 00:17:58,871 With meticulous care, Belousov repeated his experiment 294 00:17:58,871 --> 00:18:00,658 again and again. 295 00:18:00,658 --> 00:18:02,965 It was the same every time. 296 00:18:02,965 --> 00:18:05,458 His mixture would cycle from clear 297 00:18:05,458 --> 00:18:08,107 to colored and back again repeatedly. 298 00:18:08,107 --> 00:18:11,404 He discovered something that was almost like magic, 299 00:18:11,404 --> 00:18:13,709 a physical process that seemed to violate 300 00:18:13,709 --> 00:18:15,292 the laws of nature. 301 00:18:18,369 --> 00:18:21,460 Convinced he'd discovered something of great importance, 302 00:18:21,460 --> 00:18:23,938 Belousov wrote up his findings, 303 00:18:23,938 --> 00:18:27,733 keen to share his discover with the wider world. 304 00:18:27,733 --> 00:18:29,694 But when he submitted his paper to leading 305 00:18:29,694 --> 00:18:31,716 Russian scientific journal, 306 00:18:31,716 --> 00:18:35,883 he received a wholly unexpected and damning response. 307 00:18:36,825 --> 00:18:39,604 The editor of the journal told Belousov 308 00:18:39,604 --> 00:18:43,531 that his findings in the lab were quite simply impossible. 309 00:18:43,531 --> 00:18:47,109 They contravene the fundamental laws of physics. 310 00:18:47,109 --> 00:18:49,438 The only explanation was that Belousov 311 00:18:49,438 --> 00:18:51,923 had made a mistake in his experiments. 312 00:18:51,923 --> 00:18:55,923 And the work was simply not fit for publication. 313 00:19:00,884 --> 00:19:03,805 The rejection crushed Belousov. 314 00:19:03,805 --> 00:19:06,121 Deeply insulted by the suggestion his work 315 00:19:06,121 --> 00:19:07,423 had been botched, 316 00:19:07,423 --> 00:19:10,014 he abandoned his experiments. 317 00:19:10,014 --> 00:19:12,931 Soon he gave up science altogether. 318 00:19:14,695 --> 00:19:17,815 The tragic irony was that, divided as they were 319 00:19:17,815 --> 00:19:19,494 by the iron curtain, 320 00:19:19,494 --> 00:19:23,419 Belousov never encountered Turing's work. 321 00:19:23,419 --> 00:19:27,586 For if he had, he would have been completely vindicated. 322 00:19:28,901 --> 00:19:32,022 It turns out that Belousov's oscillating chemicals, 323 00:19:32,022 --> 00:19:34,975 far from contravening the laws of physics, 324 00:19:34,975 --> 00:19:38,314 were actually a real-world example 325 00:19:38,314 --> 00:19:42,481 of precisely the behavior Turing's equations predicted. 326 00:19:52,976 --> 00:19:54,767 While the connection might not appear 327 00:19:54,767 --> 00:19:56,840 obvious at first sight, 328 00:19:56,840 --> 00:19:59,259 other scientists showed that if you left 329 00:19:59,259 --> 00:20:01,835 a variation of Belousov's chemicals, 330 00:20:01,835 --> 00:20:04,154 unstirred in a Petri dish, 331 00:20:04,154 --> 00:20:07,541 instead of simply oscillating, they self organized 332 00:20:07,541 --> 00:20:09,270 into shapes. 333 00:20:09,270 --> 00:20:13,300 In fact, they go beyond Turing's simple blobs and stripes 334 00:20:13,300 --> 00:20:18,122 to create stunningly beautiful structures and patterns 335 00:20:18,122 --> 00:20:19,372 out of nowhere. 336 00:20:29,603 --> 00:20:32,182 - The amazing and very unexpected thing 337 00:20:32,182 --> 00:20:33,762 about the Bizet Reaction 338 00:20:33,762 --> 00:20:36,083 is that someone had discovered a system 339 00:20:36,083 --> 00:20:39,453 which essentially reproduces the Turing equations. 340 00:20:39,453 --> 00:20:43,614 And so from what looks like a very, very bland solution 341 00:20:43,614 --> 00:20:46,546 emerged these astonishing patterns of waves 342 00:20:46,546 --> 00:20:48,546 and scrolls and spirals. 343 00:20:53,295 --> 00:20:57,480 - [Jim] Now this is emphatically not abstract science. 344 00:20:57,480 --> 00:21:01,231 The way Belousov's chemicals move as coordinated waves 345 00:21:01,231 --> 00:21:03,791 is exactly the way our heart cells 346 00:21:03,791 --> 00:21:06,208 are coordinated as they beat. 347 00:21:09,523 --> 00:21:12,238 Animal skins and heart beats. 348 00:21:12,238 --> 00:21:14,167 Self organization seems to operate 349 00:21:14,167 --> 00:21:16,417 all over the natural world. 350 00:21:23,152 --> 00:21:25,618 So why were the scientific community 351 00:21:25,618 --> 00:21:27,706 in Turing and Belousov's day 352 00:21:27,706 --> 00:21:30,327 so uninterested or even hostile 353 00:21:30,327 --> 00:21:33,577 to this astonishing and beautiful idea? 354 00:21:37,680 --> 00:21:40,513 Well the reason was all too human. 355 00:21:42,223 --> 00:21:46,208 Mainstream scientists simply didn't like it. 356 00:21:46,208 --> 00:21:49,784 To them, it seemed to run counter to science 357 00:21:49,784 --> 00:21:52,201 and all that it had achieved. 358 00:22:02,005 --> 00:22:04,335 To change that view would require 359 00:22:04,335 --> 00:22:08,502 a truly shocking and completely unexpected discovery. 360 00:22:12,458 --> 00:22:15,898 In essence, by the beginning of the 20th century, 361 00:22:15,898 --> 00:22:19,101 scientists saw the universe as a giant 362 00:22:19,101 --> 00:22:21,601 complicated mechanical device, 363 00:22:22,726 --> 00:22:26,476 kind of a super-sized version of this orrery. 364 00:22:30,940 --> 00:22:34,022 The idea was that the universe is a huge 365 00:22:34,022 --> 00:22:38,189 and intricate machine that obeys orderly mathematical rules. 366 00:22:39,598 --> 00:22:41,335 If you knew the rules of how the machine 367 00:22:41,335 --> 00:22:43,366 was configured to start with, 368 00:22:43,366 --> 00:22:46,686 as you turn the handle over and over again, 369 00:22:46,686 --> 00:22:50,519 it will behave in an entirely predictable way. 370 00:22:52,969 --> 00:22:54,637 - Back in the times of Isaac Newton 371 00:22:54,637 --> 00:22:56,633 when people were discovering the laws 372 00:22:56,633 --> 00:22:58,436 that drove the universe, 373 00:22:58,436 --> 00:23:00,256 they came up with this kind of metaphor 374 00:23:00,256 --> 00:23:01,677 of a clockwork universe. 375 00:23:01,677 --> 00:23:03,782 The universe looked like a machine 376 00:23:03,782 --> 00:23:06,694 which had been set going at the instant of creation, 377 00:23:06,694 --> 00:23:09,451 and just followed the rules and ticked along. 378 00:23:09,451 --> 00:23:10,805 And it was a complicated machine, 379 00:23:10,805 --> 00:23:14,144 and therefore complicated things happen. 380 00:23:14,144 --> 00:23:18,222 But once you set it going, it would only do one thing. 381 00:23:18,222 --> 00:23:21,000 And the message that people drew from this 382 00:23:21,000 --> 00:23:23,970 was that anything describable by mathematical rules 383 00:23:23,970 --> 00:23:27,387 must actually basically be fairly simple. 384 00:23:31,655 --> 00:23:34,848 - [Jim] Find the mathematics that describes the system, 385 00:23:34,848 --> 00:23:38,461 and you can then predict how that system will unfold. 386 00:23:38,461 --> 00:23:40,826 That was the big idea. 387 00:23:40,826 --> 00:23:43,424 It began with Newton's law of gravity, 388 00:23:43,424 --> 00:23:45,700 which can be used to predict how a planet 389 00:23:45,700 --> 00:23:47,852 moves around the Sun. 390 00:23:47,852 --> 00:23:50,809 Scientists soon found many other equations 391 00:23:50,809 --> 00:23:51,892 just like it. 392 00:23:54,396 --> 00:23:58,934 Newtonian physics seemed like the ultimate crystal ball. 393 00:23:58,934 --> 00:24:01,924 It held up the tantalizing possibility that the future 394 00:24:01,924 --> 00:24:04,221 could, in principle, be known. 395 00:24:04,221 --> 00:24:06,673 The more careful your measurements are today, 396 00:24:06,673 --> 00:24:10,840 the better you can predict what will happen tomorrow. 397 00:24:15,083 --> 00:24:19,139 But Newtonianism had a dangerous consequence. 398 00:24:19,139 --> 00:24:21,416 If a nice mathematical system 399 00:24:21,416 --> 00:24:24,222 that worked in a similar way to my orrery 400 00:24:24,222 --> 00:24:27,416 did sometimes become unpredictable, 401 00:24:27,416 --> 00:24:30,735 scientists assumed some malign outside force 402 00:24:30,735 --> 00:24:32,107 was causing it. 403 00:24:32,107 --> 00:24:34,130 Perhaps dirt had got it. 404 00:24:34,130 --> 00:24:36,322 Perhaps the cogs were wearing out. 405 00:24:36,322 --> 00:24:39,731 Or perhaps someone had tampered with it. 406 00:24:39,731 --> 00:24:42,270 - Basically, we used to think if you saw 407 00:24:42,270 --> 00:24:44,979 very irregular behavior in some 408 00:24:44,979 --> 00:24:46,747 problem you're working on, 409 00:24:46,747 --> 00:24:48,129 this must be the result of some sort of 410 00:24:48,129 --> 00:24:50,044 random outside influences. 411 00:24:50,044 --> 00:24:52,950 It couldn't be internally generated. 412 00:24:52,950 --> 00:24:55,177 It wasn't an intrinsic part of the problem. 413 00:24:55,177 --> 00:24:58,510 It was some other thing impacting on it. 414 00:25:00,883 --> 00:25:03,180 - [Jim] Looked at from this point of view, 415 00:25:03,180 --> 00:25:07,563 the whole idea of self organization seemed absurd. 416 00:25:07,563 --> 00:25:09,639 The idea that patterns of the kind 417 00:25:09,639 --> 00:25:11,604 Turing and Belousov had found 418 00:25:11,604 --> 00:25:13,709 could appear of their own accord 419 00:25:13,709 --> 00:25:17,876 without any outside influence was a complete taboo. 420 00:25:18,990 --> 00:25:22,324 - [Man] Six, five, four, three-- 421 00:25:22,324 --> 00:25:25,974 - [Jim] The only way for self organization to be accepted 422 00:25:25,974 --> 00:25:30,141 was for the domineering Newtonian view to collapse. 423 00:25:31,030 --> 00:25:33,530 But that seemed very unlikely. 424 00:25:35,691 --> 00:25:37,849 After all, by the late 60s, 425 00:25:37,849 --> 00:25:41,030 it had delivered all the wonders of the modern age. 426 00:25:41,030 --> 00:25:42,408 - [Man On Radio] Beautiful, beautiful 427 00:25:42,408 --> 00:25:43,950 - [Man On Radio] Isn't that something? 428 00:25:43,950 --> 00:25:46,117 (mumbles) 429 00:25:49,297 --> 00:25:52,942 - [Jim] But then at the same time as the moon mission, 430 00:25:52,942 --> 00:25:57,380 a small group of scientists, all ardent Newtonians, 431 00:25:57,380 --> 00:26:01,380 quite unexpectedly found something wasn't right; 432 00:26:02,495 --> 00:26:03,912 not right at all. 433 00:26:08,628 --> 00:26:11,337 During the second half of the 20th century, 434 00:26:11,337 --> 00:26:13,843 a devil was found in the detail. 435 00:26:13,843 --> 00:26:18,066 A devil that would ultimately shatter the Newtonian dream, 436 00:26:18,066 --> 00:26:20,845 and plunge us literally into chaos. 437 00:26:20,845 --> 00:26:24,512 (chaotic electrical sounds) 438 00:26:30,436 --> 00:26:33,602 Ironically, the events that forced scientists 439 00:26:33,602 --> 00:26:36,725 to take self organization seriously 440 00:26:36,725 --> 00:26:40,808 was the discovery of a phenomenon known as chaos. 441 00:26:42,526 --> 00:26:46,163 Chaos is one of the most overused words in English. 442 00:26:46,163 --> 00:26:49,830 But in science, has a very specific meaning. 443 00:26:50,887 --> 00:26:53,984 It says that a system that is completely described 444 00:26:53,984 --> 00:26:56,250 by mathematical equations 445 00:26:56,250 --> 00:26:59,861 is more than capable of being unpredictable 446 00:26:59,861 --> 00:27:03,528 without any outside interference whatsoever. 447 00:27:04,745 --> 00:27:06,649 - There's a widespread misapprehension 448 00:27:06,649 --> 00:27:09,236 that chaos is just somehow saying 449 00:27:09,236 --> 00:27:12,318 the very familiar fact that everything's complicated. 450 00:27:12,318 --> 00:27:15,519 I mean, the nitwit chaos assist in Jurassic Park 451 00:27:15,519 --> 00:27:17,813 was under that confusion. 452 00:27:17,813 --> 00:27:20,145 It's something much simpler and yet 453 00:27:20,145 --> 00:27:22,056 much more complicated than that. 454 00:27:22,056 --> 00:27:26,139 It says some very, very simple rules or equations 455 00:27:27,539 --> 00:27:29,735 with nothing random in them; 456 00:27:29,735 --> 00:27:31,142 they're completely determined; 457 00:27:31,142 --> 00:27:33,874 we know everything about the rule; 458 00:27:33,874 --> 00:27:38,041 can have outcomes that are entirely unpredictable. 459 00:27:41,166 --> 00:27:43,323 - [Jim] Hail is one of the most unwelcome 460 00:27:43,323 --> 00:27:45,240 discoveries in science. 461 00:27:47,311 --> 00:27:49,800 The man who forced the scientific community 462 00:27:49,800 --> 00:27:52,889 to confront it was an American (mumbles) zoologist 463 00:27:52,889 --> 00:27:54,639 called Edward Lorenz. 464 00:27:55,604 --> 00:27:58,332 In the early 1960s, he tried to find 465 00:27:58,332 --> 00:28:02,499 mathematical equations that could help predict the weather. 466 00:28:05,406 --> 00:28:09,074 Like all his contemporaries, he believed that, in principle, 467 00:28:09,074 --> 00:28:13,433 the weather system was no different to my orrery. 468 00:28:13,433 --> 00:28:15,771 A mechanical system that could be described 469 00:28:15,771 --> 00:28:18,188 and predicted mathematically. 470 00:28:19,796 --> 00:28:21,213 But he was wrong. 471 00:28:25,266 --> 00:28:27,257 When Lorenz wrote down what looked like 472 00:28:27,257 --> 00:28:30,263 perfectly simple mathematical equations 473 00:28:30,263 --> 00:28:33,307 to describe the movement of air currents, 474 00:28:33,307 --> 00:28:36,234 they didn't do what they were supposed to. 475 00:28:36,234 --> 00:28:39,817 They made no useful predictions whatsoever. 476 00:28:42,864 --> 00:28:46,418 It was as if the lightest breath of wind one day 477 00:28:46,418 --> 00:28:49,424 could make the difference a month later 478 00:28:49,424 --> 00:28:53,341 between a snow storm and a perfectly sunny day. 479 00:28:56,037 --> 00:28:58,623 How can a simple system that works 480 00:28:58,623 --> 00:29:01,866 in the regular clockwork manner of my orrery 481 00:29:01,866 --> 00:29:04,295 become unpredictable? 482 00:29:04,295 --> 00:29:07,038 It's all down to how it's configured, 483 00:29:07,038 --> 00:29:09,357 how the gears are connected. 484 00:29:09,357 --> 00:29:12,445 In essence, under certain circumstances, 485 00:29:12,445 --> 00:29:15,409 the tiniest difference in the starting positions 486 00:29:15,409 --> 00:29:19,662 of the cogs, differences that are too small to measure, 487 00:29:19,662 --> 00:29:24,566 can get bigger and bigger with each turn of the handle. 488 00:29:24,566 --> 00:29:26,531 With each step in the process, 489 00:29:26,531 --> 00:29:29,602 the system then moves further and further away 490 00:29:29,602 --> 00:29:32,987 from where you thought it was going. 491 00:29:32,987 --> 00:29:35,808 Lorenz captured this radical idea 492 00:29:35,808 --> 00:29:38,037 in an influential talk he gave 493 00:29:38,037 --> 00:29:41,332 called Does the Flap of a Butterfly's Wings 494 00:29:41,332 --> 00:29:44,332 in Brazil Set Up a Tornado in Texas? 495 00:29:49,557 --> 00:29:52,332 It was a powerful and evocative image, 496 00:29:52,332 --> 00:29:56,329 and within months, a new phrase had entered our language: 497 00:29:56,329 --> 00:29:58,079 the butterfly effect. 498 00:29:59,749 --> 00:30:01,363 And the butterfly effect, 499 00:30:01,363 --> 00:30:04,257 the hallmark of all chaotic systems, 500 00:30:04,257 --> 00:30:06,757 started turning up everywhere. 501 00:30:12,521 --> 00:30:16,455 In the early '70s, a young Australian called Robert May 502 00:30:16,455 --> 00:30:19,093 was investigating a mathematical equation 503 00:30:19,093 --> 00:30:23,614 that modeled how animal populations changed over time. 504 00:30:23,614 --> 00:30:27,819 But here too lurked the dreaded butterfly effect. 505 00:30:27,819 --> 00:30:30,125 Immeasurably small changes to the rate 506 00:30:30,125 --> 00:30:32,358 at which the animals reproduced 507 00:30:32,358 --> 00:30:34,693 could sometimes have huge consequences 508 00:30:34,693 --> 00:30:37,344 on their overall population. 509 00:30:37,344 --> 00:30:40,023 Numbers could go up and down wildly 510 00:30:40,023 --> 00:30:41,856 for no obvious reason. 511 00:30:43,076 --> 00:30:45,994 The idea that a mathematical equation 512 00:30:45,994 --> 00:30:50,196 gave you the power to predict how a system will behave 513 00:30:50,196 --> 00:30:51,029 was dead. 514 00:30:52,416 --> 00:30:55,649 - In some sense, this is the end of the Newtonian dream. 515 00:30:55,649 --> 00:30:58,002 When I was a graduate student, 516 00:30:58,002 --> 00:30:59,169 the belief was 517 00:31:00,601 --> 00:31:03,876 as we got more and more computer power, 518 00:31:03,876 --> 00:31:06,425 we'd be able to solve ever more complicated 519 00:31:06,425 --> 00:31:07,925 sets of equations. 520 00:31:09,768 --> 00:31:11,833 But this said that's not necessarily true. 521 00:31:11,833 --> 00:31:15,500 You could have the simplest equations you can think of, 522 00:31:15,500 --> 00:31:19,569 with nothing random in them, you know everything. 523 00:31:19,569 --> 00:31:21,319 And yet, if they have 524 00:31:22,856 --> 00:31:26,356 behavior that gives you chaotic solutions, 525 00:31:27,656 --> 00:31:30,188 then you can never know the starting point 526 00:31:30,188 --> 00:31:31,688 accurately enough. 527 00:31:35,797 --> 00:31:38,360 - [Jim] Centuries of scientific certainty 528 00:31:38,360 --> 00:31:41,509 dissolved in just a few short years. 529 00:31:41,509 --> 00:31:43,270 The truth of the clockwork universe 530 00:31:43,270 --> 00:31:45,940 turned out to be just an illusion; 531 00:31:45,940 --> 00:31:48,858 something which had seemed a logical certainty 532 00:31:48,858 --> 00:31:52,364 revealed itself merely as an act of faith. 533 00:31:52,364 --> 00:31:54,372 And what's worse, the truth had been staring us 534 00:31:54,372 --> 00:31:56,420 in the face all the time, 535 00:31:56,420 --> 00:31:58,753 because chaos is everywhere. 536 00:32:03,417 --> 00:32:06,943 It seemed unpredictability was hardwired 537 00:32:06,943 --> 00:32:10,860 into everywhere aspect of the world we live in. 538 00:32:12,606 --> 00:32:15,364 The global climate could dramatically change 539 00:32:15,364 --> 00:32:18,508 in the course of a few short years. 540 00:32:18,508 --> 00:32:22,290 The stock market could crash without warning. 541 00:32:22,290 --> 00:32:26,131 We could be wiped from the face of the planet overnight, 542 00:32:26,131 --> 00:32:29,964 and there is nothing anyone could do about it. 543 00:32:35,447 --> 00:32:40,397 Unfortunately, I have to tell you that all of this is true. 544 00:32:40,397 --> 00:32:43,980 And yet to be scared of chaos is pointless. 545 00:32:44,851 --> 00:32:48,351 It's woven into the basic laws of physics. 546 00:32:49,738 --> 00:32:53,753 I mean, really all has to accept it as a fact of life. 547 00:32:53,753 --> 00:32:57,328 - The idea of chaos really did have a big impact 548 00:32:57,328 --> 00:32:59,318 over a period of about 20 or 30 years, 549 00:32:59,318 --> 00:33:01,452 because it changed the way everyone 550 00:33:01,452 --> 00:33:03,839 thought about what they were doing in science. 551 00:33:03,839 --> 00:33:05,166 It changed into the point the point 552 00:33:05,166 --> 00:33:08,486 that they forgot that they'd ever believed otherwise. 553 00:33:08,486 --> 00:33:11,453 What chaos did was to show us 554 00:33:11,453 --> 00:33:15,227 that the possibilities inherent in the simple mathematics 555 00:33:15,227 --> 00:33:18,677 are much broader, are much more general 556 00:33:18,677 --> 00:33:21,249 than you might imagine. 557 00:33:21,249 --> 00:33:23,781 And so a clockwork universe 558 00:33:23,781 --> 00:33:27,149 can nonetheless behave in the rich, complex way 559 00:33:27,149 --> 00:33:28,732 that we experience. 560 00:33:31,194 --> 00:33:33,437 - [Jim] The discovery of chaos was a real 561 00:33:33,437 --> 00:33:36,712 turning point in the history of science. 562 00:33:36,712 --> 00:33:39,385 As it tore down the Newtonian dream, 563 00:33:39,385 --> 00:33:41,463 scientists began to look more favorably 564 00:33:41,463 --> 00:33:43,488 at Turing and Belousov's work 565 00:33:43,488 --> 00:33:46,552 on spontaneous pattern formation. 566 00:33:46,552 --> 00:33:49,630 And perhaps more importantly, as they did so, 567 00:33:49,630 --> 00:33:53,168 they realized something truly astonishing. 568 00:33:53,168 --> 00:33:56,596 That there was a very deep and unexpected link, 569 00:33:56,596 --> 00:33:59,722 a truly cosmic connection between nature's 570 00:33:59,722 --> 00:34:02,521 strange power to self organize 571 00:34:02,521 --> 00:34:06,978 and the chaotic consequences of the butterfly effect. 572 00:34:06,978 --> 00:34:09,657 Between them, Turing, Belousov, 573 00:34:09,657 --> 00:34:12,650 May, and Lorenz had all discovered 574 00:34:12,650 --> 00:34:16,317 different faces of just one really big idea. 575 00:34:20,044 --> 00:34:22,428 They discovered that the natural world 576 00:34:22,428 --> 00:34:26,467 could be deeply, profoundly unpredictable. 577 00:34:26,467 --> 00:34:28,866 But the very same things that make it unpredictable 578 00:34:28,866 --> 00:34:33,011 also allow it to create pattern and structure, 579 00:34:33,011 --> 00:34:34,344 order and chaos. 580 00:34:35,577 --> 00:34:38,134 It seems the two are more deeply linked 581 00:34:38,134 --> 00:34:40,884 than we could have ever imagined. 582 00:34:42,077 --> 00:34:44,551 So how is this possible? 583 00:34:44,551 --> 00:34:47,383 What do phenomena as apparently different 584 00:34:47,383 --> 00:34:49,856 as a pattern in Belousov's chemicals 585 00:34:49,856 --> 00:34:52,439 and the weather have in common? 586 00:34:54,866 --> 00:34:57,068 First, though both systems behave 587 00:34:57,068 --> 00:34:59,412 in very complicated ways, 588 00:34:59,412 --> 00:35:01,985 they are both based on surprisingly simple 589 00:35:01,985 --> 00:35:03,568 mathematical rules. 590 00:35:08,723 --> 00:35:12,572 Secondly, these rules have a unique property. 591 00:35:12,572 --> 00:35:15,663 A property that's often referred to as coupling, 592 00:35:15,663 --> 00:35:16,663 or feedback. 593 00:35:22,636 --> 00:35:24,342 To show you what I mean, 594 00:35:24,342 --> 00:35:28,030 to show you both order and chaos can emerge on their own 595 00:35:28,030 --> 00:35:30,791 from a simple system with feedback, 596 00:35:30,791 --> 00:35:33,267 I'm going to do what seems at first glance 597 00:35:33,267 --> 00:35:36,017 like a rather trivial experiment. 598 00:35:41,633 --> 00:35:44,204 This screen behind me is connected 599 00:35:44,204 --> 00:35:47,022 up to the camera that's filming me. 600 00:35:47,022 --> 00:35:50,814 But the camera in turn is filming me with the screen. 601 00:35:50,814 --> 00:35:54,792 This creates a loop with multiple copies of me 602 00:35:54,792 --> 00:35:56,792 appearing on the screen. 603 00:35:59,502 --> 00:36:02,912 This is a classic example of a feedback loop. 604 00:36:02,912 --> 00:36:06,783 We get a picture in a picture in a picture. 605 00:36:06,783 --> 00:36:09,485 At first it seems fairly predictable, 606 00:36:09,485 --> 00:36:11,845 but as we zoom the camera in, 607 00:36:11,845 --> 00:36:15,428 some pretty strange things begin to happen. 608 00:36:16,891 --> 00:36:20,414 The first thing I notice is that the object I'm filming 609 00:36:20,414 --> 00:36:22,576 stops bearing much resemblance to what 610 00:36:22,576 --> 00:36:24,743 now appears on the screen. 611 00:36:29,361 --> 00:36:32,080 Small changes in the movements of the match 612 00:36:32,080 --> 00:36:35,163 become rapidly amplified as they loop around 613 00:36:35,163 --> 00:36:39,330 from the camera to the screen and back to the camera. 614 00:36:42,360 --> 00:36:44,396 So even though I can describe each step 615 00:36:44,396 --> 00:36:46,607 in the process mathematically, 616 00:36:46,607 --> 00:36:49,097 I still have no way of predicting 617 00:36:49,097 --> 00:36:52,288 how tiny changes in the flickering of the flame 618 00:36:52,288 --> 00:36:54,871 will end up in the final image. 619 00:36:58,514 --> 00:37:01,764 This is the butterfly effect in action. 620 00:37:07,770 --> 00:37:10,603 But now here comes the spooky bit. 621 00:37:12,670 --> 00:37:15,976 With just a slight tweak to the system, 622 00:37:15,976 --> 00:37:18,980 these strange and rather beautiful patterns 623 00:37:18,980 --> 00:37:20,313 begin to emerge. 624 00:37:22,710 --> 00:37:26,221 The same system, one that's based on simple rules 625 00:37:26,221 --> 00:37:29,554 with feedback, produces chaos and order. 626 00:37:38,720 --> 00:37:42,638 - The same mathematics is generating chaotic behavior 627 00:37:42,638 --> 00:37:44,555 and patterned behavior. 628 00:37:45,763 --> 00:37:49,345 This changes completely how you think about all of this. 629 00:37:49,345 --> 00:37:52,447 The idea that there are regularities in nature 630 00:37:52,447 --> 00:37:56,723 and then totally separately from them are irregularities, 631 00:37:56,723 --> 00:37:59,064 and these are just two different things. 632 00:37:59,064 --> 00:38:00,282 It's just not true. 633 00:38:00,282 --> 00:38:03,418 These are two ends of the spectrum of behavior 634 00:38:03,418 --> 00:38:06,702 which can be generated by the same kind of mathematics. 635 00:38:06,702 --> 00:38:08,942 And it's the closest thing that we have at the moment 636 00:38:08,942 --> 00:38:13,029 to the kind of true mathematics of nature. 637 00:38:13,029 --> 00:38:15,297 - I think one of the great take-home messages 638 00:38:15,297 --> 00:38:18,225 from Turing's work and from the discoveries 639 00:38:18,225 --> 00:38:20,763 in chemistry and biology and so on, 640 00:38:20,763 --> 00:38:22,986 is that, ultimately, pattern formation 641 00:38:22,986 --> 00:38:25,251 seems to be woven very, very deeply 642 00:38:25,251 --> 00:38:26,955 into the fabric of the universe. 643 00:38:26,955 --> 00:38:29,095 And it actually takes some very, very simple 644 00:38:29,095 --> 00:38:31,715 and familiar processes like diffusion, 645 00:38:31,715 --> 00:38:33,749 like the rates of chemical reactions. 646 00:38:33,749 --> 00:38:36,919 And the interplay between them naturally gives rise 647 00:38:36,919 --> 00:38:37,938 to pattern. 648 00:38:37,938 --> 00:38:42,105 So pattern is everywhere. It's just waiting to happen. 649 00:38:44,271 --> 00:38:45,932 - [Jim] From the '70s on, 650 00:38:45,932 --> 00:38:48,747 more and more scientists began to embrace 651 00:38:48,747 --> 00:38:51,531 the concept that chaos and pattern 652 00:38:51,531 --> 00:38:55,724 are built into nature's most basic rules. 653 00:38:55,724 --> 00:38:58,169 But one scientist, more than any other, 654 00:38:58,169 --> 00:39:00,590 brought this fundamentally new understanding 655 00:39:00,590 --> 00:39:04,257 to this astonishing and often puzzling idea. 656 00:39:06,180 --> 00:39:09,981 He was a colorful character and something of a maverick. 657 00:39:09,981 --> 00:39:12,481 His name is Benoit Mandelbrot. 658 00:39:15,364 --> 00:39:18,877 Benoit Mandelbrot wasn't an ordinary child. 659 00:39:18,877 --> 00:39:21,436 He skipped the first two years of school. 660 00:39:21,436 --> 00:39:23,631 And as a Jew in war-torn Europe, 661 00:39:23,631 --> 00:39:26,081 his education was very disrupted. 662 00:39:26,081 --> 00:39:28,126 He was largely self-taught 663 00:39:28,126 --> 00:39:30,037 or tutored by relatives. 664 00:39:30,037 --> 00:39:32,702 He never formally learned the alphabet 665 00:39:32,702 --> 00:39:36,869 or even multiplication beyond the Five times table. 666 00:39:39,092 --> 00:39:42,264 But like Alan Turing, Mandelbrot had a gift 667 00:39:42,264 --> 00:39:44,787 for seeing nature's hidden patterns. 668 00:39:44,787 --> 00:39:49,007 He could see rules where the rest of us see anarchy. 669 00:39:49,007 --> 00:39:51,154 He could see form and structure 670 00:39:51,154 --> 00:39:54,157 where the rest of us just see a shapeless mess. 671 00:39:54,157 --> 00:39:56,554 And above all, he could see that a strange 672 00:39:56,554 --> 00:40:00,721 new kind of mathematics underpin the whole of nature. 673 00:40:04,677 --> 00:40:07,598 Mandelbrot's lifelong quest was to find 674 00:40:07,598 --> 00:40:10,790 a simple mathematical basis for the rough 675 00:40:10,790 --> 00:40:14,040 and irregular shapes of the real world. 676 00:40:16,734 --> 00:40:18,508 - Mandelbrot was working for IBM, 677 00:40:18,508 --> 00:40:22,015 and he was not in the normal academic environment. 678 00:40:22,015 --> 00:40:23,984 And he was working on a whole pile of different 679 00:40:23,984 --> 00:40:27,278 problems about irregularities in nature, 680 00:40:27,278 --> 00:40:30,042 in the financial markets, all over the place. 681 00:40:30,042 --> 00:40:32,141 And I think at some point it dawned on him 682 00:40:32,141 --> 00:40:34,038 that everything he was doing seemed to be 683 00:40:34,038 --> 00:40:37,100 really parts of the same big picture. 684 00:40:37,100 --> 00:40:41,494 And he was a sufficiently original and unusual person 685 00:40:41,494 --> 00:40:44,200 that he'd realized that pursuing this big picture 686 00:40:44,200 --> 00:40:47,402 was what he really wanted to do. 687 00:40:47,402 --> 00:40:49,096 - [Jim] To Mandelbrot, it seemed perverse 688 00:40:49,096 --> 00:40:51,566 that mathematicians have spent centuries 689 00:40:51,566 --> 00:40:55,002 contemplating idealized shapes like straight lines 690 00:40:55,002 --> 00:40:57,966 or perfect circles, and yet had no proper 691 00:40:57,966 --> 00:41:00,744 or systematic way of describing the rough 692 00:41:00,744 --> 00:41:04,911 and imperfect shapes that dominate the real world. 693 00:41:06,929 --> 00:41:08,346 Take this pebble. 694 00:41:09,397 --> 00:41:11,480 Is it a sphere or a cube? 695 00:41:12,719 --> 00:41:14,636 Or maybe a bit of both? 696 00:41:15,584 --> 00:41:18,091 And what about something much bigger? 697 00:41:18,091 --> 00:41:20,230 Look at the arch behind me. 698 00:41:20,230 --> 00:41:23,628 From a distance, it looks like a semi-circle. 699 00:41:23,628 --> 00:41:27,795 But up close, we'll see that it's bent and crooked. 700 00:41:28,860 --> 00:41:30,527 So what shape is it? 701 00:41:34,667 --> 00:41:37,135 Mandelbrot asked if there's something unique 702 00:41:37,135 --> 00:41:40,797 that defines all the varied shapes in nature. 703 00:41:40,797 --> 00:41:43,102 Do the fluffy surfaces of clouds, 704 00:41:43,102 --> 00:41:45,638 the branches and trees and rivers, 705 00:41:45,638 --> 00:41:48,010 the crinkled edges of shorelines 706 00:41:48,010 --> 00:41:51,107 share a common mathematical feature? 707 00:41:51,107 --> 00:41:52,274 Well, they do. 708 00:41:54,012 --> 00:41:57,475 Underlying nearly all the shapes in the natural world 709 00:41:57,475 --> 00:42:01,642 is a mathematical principle known as self similarity. 710 00:42:02,847 --> 00:42:05,748 This describes anything in which the same shape 711 00:42:05,748 --> 00:42:08,692 is repeated over and over again 712 00:42:08,692 --> 00:42:11,192 at smaller and smaller scales. 713 00:42:13,046 --> 00:42:16,231 A great example are the branches of trees. 714 00:42:16,231 --> 00:42:18,209 They fork and fork again 715 00:42:18,209 --> 00:42:21,445 repeating that simple process over and over 716 00:42:21,445 --> 00:42:23,945 at smaller and smaller scales. 717 00:42:26,358 --> 00:42:29,024 The same branching principles applied 718 00:42:29,024 --> 00:42:31,221 in the structure of our lungs, 719 00:42:31,221 --> 00:42:33,166 and the way our blood vessels are 720 00:42:33,166 --> 00:42:36,577 distributed throughout our body. 721 00:42:36,577 --> 00:42:38,446 It's even described how rivers 722 00:42:38,446 --> 00:42:41,113 split into ever smaller streams. 723 00:42:41,982 --> 00:42:46,149 And nature can repeat all sorts of shapes in this way. 724 00:42:47,492 --> 00:42:50,397 Look at this Romanesco Broccoli. 725 00:42:50,397 --> 00:42:52,918 It's overall structure is made up of a series 726 00:42:52,918 --> 00:42:57,001 of repeating cones at smaller and smaller scales. 727 00:42:59,170 --> 00:43:02,996 Mandelbrot realized self similarity was the basis 728 00:43:02,996 --> 00:43:06,526 of an entirely new kind of geometry. 729 00:43:06,526 --> 00:43:08,896 And he even gave it a name: 730 00:43:08,896 --> 00:43:09,729 fractal. 731 00:43:11,738 --> 00:43:14,662 Now that's a pretty neat observation. 732 00:43:14,662 --> 00:43:16,798 But what if you could represent this property 733 00:43:16,798 --> 00:43:19,324 of nature in mathematics? 734 00:43:19,324 --> 00:43:22,714 What if you could capture its essence to draw a picture? 735 00:43:22,714 --> 00:43:25,006 What would that picture look like? 736 00:43:25,006 --> 00:43:28,650 Could you use a simple set of mathematical rules 737 00:43:28,650 --> 00:43:32,443 to draw an image that didn't look man-made? 738 00:43:32,443 --> 00:43:34,884 The answer would come from Mandelbrot, 739 00:43:34,884 --> 00:43:38,354 who had take a job at IBM in the late 1950s 740 00:43:38,354 --> 00:43:41,653 to gain access to its incredible computing power 741 00:43:41,653 --> 00:43:46,526 and pursue his obsession with the mathematics of nature. 742 00:43:46,526 --> 00:43:49,575 Armed with a new breed of supercomputer, 743 00:43:49,575 --> 00:43:52,646 he began investigating a rather curious 744 00:43:52,646 --> 00:43:55,493 and strangely simple-looking equation 745 00:43:55,493 --> 00:43:59,493 that could be used to draw a very unusual shape. 746 00:44:00,376 --> 00:44:01,945 What I'm about to show you 747 00:44:01,945 --> 00:44:05,444 is one of the most remarkable mathematical images 748 00:44:05,444 --> 00:44:07,556 ever discovered. 749 00:44:07,556 --> 00:44:11,085 Epic doesn't really do it justice. 750 00:44:11,085 --> 00:44:13,335 This is the Mandelbrot set. 751 00:44:14,688 --> 00:44:18,138 It's been called the thumbprint of God. 752 00:44:18,138 --> 00:44:19,820 And when we begin to explore it, 753 00:44:19,820 --> 00:44:21,653 you'll understand why. 754 00:44:31,923 --> 00:44:34,603 Just as with the tree or the broccoli, 755 00:44:34,603 --> 00:44:36,936 the closer you study this picture, 756 00:44:36,936 --> 00:44:38,936 the more detail you see. 757 00:44:42,856 --> 00:44:45,015 Each shape within the step contains 758 00:44:45,015 --> 00:44:48,016 an infinite number of smaller shapes, 759 00:44:48,016 --> 00:44:51,099 baby Mandelbrots, that go on forever. 760 00:44:56,851 --> 00:44:58,955 Yet all this complexity stems from 761 00:44:58,955 --> 00:45:01,955 just one incredibly simple equation. 762 00:45:03,004 --> 00:45:06,568 This equation has a very important property. 763 00:45:06,568 --> 00:45:08,568 It feeds back on itself. 764 00:45:10,148 --> 00:45:13,086 Like a video loop, each output 765 00:45:13,086 --> 00:45:15,669 becomes the input for next set. 766 00:45:19,525 --> 00:45:22,462 This feedback means that an incredibly simple 767 00:45:22,462 --> 00:45:24,783 mathematical equation can produce 768 00:45:24,783 --> 00:45:27,533 a picture of infinite complexity. 769 00:45:44,684 --> 00:45:46,525 The really fascinating thing 770 00:45:46,525 --> 00:45:48,297 is that the Mandelbrot set 771 00:45:48,297 --> 00:45:51,867 isn't just a bizarre mathematical quirk. 772 00:45:51,867 --> 00:45:55,791 Its fractal property of being similar at all scales 773 00:45:55,791 --> 00:45:59,958 mirrors fundamental order, in principle, in nature. 774 00:46:05,710 --> 00:46:08,402 Turing's patterns, Belousov's reactions, 775 00:46:08,402 --> 00:46:11,985 and Mandelbrot's fractals are all signposts 776 00:46:11,985 --> 00:46:15,985 pointing to a deep underlying natural principle. 777 00:46:19,489 --> 00:46:21,394 - When we look at complexities in nature, 778 00:46:21,394 --> 00:46:23,799 we tend to ask where did they come from. 779 00:46:23,799 --> 00:46:25,650 There is something in our heads that says 780 00:46:25,650 --> 00:46:29,216 complexity does not arise out of simplicity; 781 00:46:29,216 --> 00:46:31,214 it must arise from something complicated 782 00:46:31,214 --> 00:46:33,423 with conserved complexity. 783 00:46:33,423 --> 00:46:35,289 But what the mathematics in this whole area 784 00:46:35,289 --> 00:46:37,816 is telling us is that very simple rules 785 00:46:37,816 --> 00:46:40,830 naturally give rise to very complex objects. 786 00:46:40,830 --> 00:46:43,191 And so if you look at the object, it looks complex, 787 00:46:43,191 --> 00:46:45,333 and you think about the rule that generates it, 788 00:46:45,333 --> 00:46:46,459 it's simple. 789 00:46:46,459 --> 00:46:48,882 So the same thing is both complex and simple 790 00:46:48,882 --> 00:46:50,601 from two different points of view. 791 00:46:50,601 --> 00:46:52,825 And that means we have to rethink completely 792 00:46:52,825 --> 00:46:56,742 the relation between simplicity and complexity. 793 00:46:59,115 --> 00:47:03,851 - [Jim] Complex systems can be based on simple rules. 794 00:47:03,851 --> 00:47:06,725 That's the big revelation. 795 00:47:06,725 --> 00:47:09,142 And it's an astonishing idea. 796 00:47:10,322 --> 00:47:13,405 It seems to apply all over our world. 797 00:47:23,895 --> 00:47:25,781 Look at the flock of birds. 798 00:47:25,781 --> 00:47:29,263 Each bird obeys very simple rules. 799 00:47:29,263 --> 00:47:30,970 But the flock as a whole 800 00:47:30,970 --> 00:47:33,863 does incredibly complicated things. 801 00:47:33,863 --> 00:47:37,089 Avoiding obstacles, navigating the planet 802 00:47:37,089 --> 00:47:40,839 with no single leader or even conscious plan. 803 00:47:42,419 --> 00:47:45,360 But amazing though this flock's behavior is, 804 00:47:45,360 --> 00:47:49,598 it's impossible to predict how it will behave. 805 00:47:49,598 --> 00:47:52,551 It never repeats exactly what it does, 806 00:47:52,551 --> 00:47:56,051 even in seemingly identical circumstances. 807 00:47:58,862 --> 00:48:01,849 It's just like the Belousov reaction. 808 00:48:01,849 --> 00:48:04,488 Each time you run it, the patterns produced 809 00:48:04,488 --> 00:48:06,556 are slightly different. 810 00:48:06,556 --> 00:48:10,737 They may look similar but they are never identical. 811 00:48:10,737 --> 00:48:14,654 The same is true of video loops and sand dunes. 812 00:48:15,987 --> 00:48:18,865 We know they'll produce a certain kind of pattern, 813 00:48:18,865 --> 00:48:22,032 but we can't predict the exact shapes. 814 00:48:26,239 --> 00:48:29,595 The big question is can nature's ability 815 00:48:29,595 --> 00:48:32,291 to turn simplicity into complexity 816 00:48:32,291 --> 00:48:35,689 in this mysterious and unpredictable way 817 00:48:35,689 --> 00:48:37,689 explain why life exists? 818 00:48:39,573 --> 00:48:43,304 Can it explain how a universe full of simple dust 819 00:48:43,304 --> 00:48:45,554 can turn into human beings? 820 00:48:47,124 --> 00:48:50,791 How inanimate matter can spawn intelligence? 821 00:48:52,610 --> 00:48:54,404 At first you might think that this is 822 00:48:54,404 --> 00:48:56,769 beyond the remit of science. 823 00:48:56,769 --> 00:48:59,774 If nature's rules are really unpredictable, 824 00:48:59,774 --> 00:49:02,009 should we simply give up? 825 00:49:02,009 --> 00:49:05,676 Absolutely not. In fact, quite the opposite. 826 00:49:07,732 --> 00:49:09,985 Fittingly, the answer to this problem 827 00:49:09,985 --> 00:49:12,812 lies in the natural world. 828 00:49:12,812 --> 00:49:15,438 All around us there exists a process 829 00:49:15,438 --> 00:49:19,385 that's engineered these unpredictable complex systems 830 00:49:19,385 --> 00:49:23,552 and hones them to perform almost miraculous tasks. 831 00:49:25,510 --> 00:49:28,177 The process is called evolution. 832 00:49:30,613 --> 00:49:33,774 - Evolution has built on these patterns, 833 00:49:33,774 --> 00:49:36,356 it's taken them as the raw ingredients. 834 00:49:36,356 --> 00:49:39,613 It's combined them together in various ways, 835 00:49:39,613 --> 00:49:43,243 experimented to see what works and what doesn't, 836 00:49:43,243 --> 00:49:45,981 kept the things that do work, 837 00:49:45,981 --> 00:49:47,644 and then built on that. 838 00:49:47,644 --> 00:49:49,530 It's a completely unconscious process, 839 00:49:49,530 --> 00:49:52,401 but basically that's what's happening. 840 00:49:52,401 --> 00:49:55,299 - [Jim] Everywhere you look, you can see evolution 841 00:49:55,299 --> 00:49:59,070 using nature's self organizing patterns. 842 00:49:59,070 --> 00:50:01,734 Our hearts use the Belousov-type reactions 843 00:50:01,734 --> 00:50:04,167 to regulate how they beat. 844 00:50:04,167 --> 00:50:08,199 Our blood vessels are organized like fractals. 845 00:50:08,199 --> 00:50:12,366 Even our brain cells interact according to simple rules. 846 00:50:14,278 --> 00:50:18,547 The way evolution refines and enriches complex systems 847 00:50:18,547 --> 00:50:22,714 is one of the most intriguing ideas in recent science. 848 00:50:25,787 --> 00:50:28,547 - My interest in my Ph.D. research in complex systems 849 00:50:28,547 --> 00:50:31,964 was to see how complex systems interact with evolution. 850 00:50:31,964 --> 00:50:34,192 So on the one hand, you have systems that 851 00:50:34,192 --> 00:50:36,964 almost organize themselves as complex systems. 852 00:50:36,964 --> 00:50:39,710 So they exhibit order that you wouldn't expect. 853 00:50:39,710 --> 00:50:42,544 But on the other hand, you still have to have evolution 854 00:50:42,544 --> 00:50:44,408 interact with that to create something 855 00:50:44,408 --> 00:50:47,475 that is truly adapted to the environment. 856 00:50:47,475 --> 00:50:50,728 - [Jim] Evolution's mindless, yet creative, power 857 00:50:50,728 --> 00:50:53,579 to develop and shape complex systems 858 00:50:53,579 --> 00:50:55,329 is indeed incredible. 859 00:50:57,232 --> 00:51:00,482 But it operates on a cosmic time scale. 860 00:51:01,915 --> 00:51:05,315 From the first life on Earth to us walking about 861 00:51:05,315 --> 00:51:09,482 took in the region of 3 1/2 billion years. 862 00:51:10,817 --> 00:51:12,769 But we now have in our hands 863 00:51:12,769 --> 00:51:15,078 a device that can mimic this process 864 00:51:15,078 --> 00:51:17,411 on a much shorter timescale. 865 00:51:18,464 --> 00:51:21,530 What is the invention I'm talking about? 866 00:51:21,530 --> 00:51:22,818 Well there's a good chance you've been 867 00:51:22,818 --> 00:51:25,485 sitting in front of one all day. 868 00:51:26,993 --> 00:51:29,576 It is, of course, the computer. 869 00:51:35,387 --> 00:51:37,417 Computers today can churn through 870 00:51:37,417 --> 00:51:40,445 trillions of calculations per second. 871 00:51:40,445 --> 00:51:44,813 And that gives them the power to do something very special. 872 00:51:44,813 --> 00:51:47,146 They can simulate evolution. 873 00:51:49,006 --> 00:51:51,851 More precisely, computers can use the principles 874 00:51:51,851 --> 00:51:56,266 of evolution to shape and refine their own program 875 00:51:56,266 --> 00:51:59,123 in the same way the natural world uses evolution 876 00:51:59,123 --> 00:52:02,206 to shape and refine living organisms. 877 00:52:03,517 --> 00:52:06,422 And today, computer scientists find that 878 00:52:06,422 --> 00:52:09,665 this evolved software can solve problems 879 00:52:09,665 --> 00:52:13,332 that would be beyond the smartest of humans. 880 00:52:14,174 --> 00:52:16,081 - One thing that we found, and particularly in 881 00:52:16,081 --> 00:52:17,952 our original research, is how powerful 882 00:52:17,952 --> 00:52:21,129 evolution is as a system, as an algorithm 883 00:52:21,129 --> 00:52:23,096 to create something that is very complex, 884 00:52:23,096 --> 00:52:26,180 and to create something that is very adaptive. 885 00:52:26,180 --> 00:52:28,157 - [Jim] Swarston and his team's goal 886 00:52:28,157 --> 00:52:32,106 was nothing less than to use computerized evolution 887 00:52:32,106 --> 00:52:36,273 to create a virtual brain that would control a virtual body. 888 00:52:38,267 --> 00:52:42,636 To begin with, they created 100 random brains. 889 00:52:42,636 --> 00:52:46,767 As you can see, they weren't up to much. 890 00:52:46,767 --> 00:52:49,438 Evolution then took over. 891 00:52:49,438 --> 00:52:51,665 The computer selected the brain 892 00:52:51,665 --> 00:52:55,458 that was slightly better at moving their bodies, 893 00:52:55,458 --> 00:52:57,291 and got them to breed. 894 00:52:59,257 --> 00:53:01,275 - The algorithm then takes those individuals 895 00:53:01,275 --> 00:53:05,442 that do the best, and then allows them to create offspring. 896 00:53:06,564 --> 00:53:09,195 - [Jim] The best movers of the next generation 897 00:53:09,195 --> 00:53:12,695 were then bred together, and so on and on. 898 00:53:13,587 --> 00:53:17,104 Amazingly, after just 10 generations, 899 00:53:17,104 --> 00:53:19,701 although they're still a bit unsteady, 900 00:53:19,701 --> 00:53:21,618 the figures could walk. 901 00:53:22,537 --> 00:53:24,027 - Eventually, miraculously, 902 00:53:24,027 --> 00:53:27,026 you actually end up with something that works. 903 00:53:27,026 --> 00:53:28,662 The slightly scary thing is you don't know 904 00:53:28,662 --> 00:53:30,176 why it works and how it works. 905 00:53:30,176 --> 00:53:31,717 You look at that brain, 906 00:53:31,717 --> 00:53:33,811 and you have no idea actually what's going on, 907 00:53:33,811 --> 00:53:37,894 because evolution has optimized it automatically. 908 00:53:40,170 --> 00:53:42,143 - [Jim] In 20 generations, 909 00:53:42,143 --> 00:53:44,226 evolution had turned this 910 00:53:45,373 --> 00:53:46,206 into this. 911 00:53:49,812 --> 00:53:52,140 But these evolved computer beings 912 00:53:52,140 --> 00:53:54,973 soon went far beyond just walking. 913 00:53:58,183 --> 00:54:00,586 They evolved to do things that really are 914 00:54:00,586 --> 00:54:03,669 impossible to program conventionally. 915 00:54:06,621 --> 00:54:10,977 They react realistically to unexpected events, 916 00:54:10,977 --> 00:54:13,560 like being hit or falling over. 917 00:54:17,831 --> 00:54:19,671 - Even though we programmed these algorithms, 918 00:54:19,671 --> 00:54:22,401 what actually then happens when it unfolds live 919 00:54:22,401 --> 00:54:23,661 we don't control anymore. 920 00:54:23,661 --> 00:54:26,010 And things happen that we never expected. 921 00:54:26,010 --> 00:54:27,816 And it's quite a funny feeling that you 922 00:54:27,816 --> 00:54:31,983 create these algorithms, but they do their own thing. 923 00:54:37,912 --> 00:54:40,509 - [Jim] An unthinking process of evolutionary 924 00:54:40,509 --> 00:54:44,738 trial and error had created these virtual creatures 925 00:54:44,738 --> 00:54:47,821 that can move and react in real time. 926 00:54:52,748 --> 00:54:55,035 What we're seeing here is fantastic 927 00:54:55,035 --> 00:54:58,599 experimental evidence for the creative power 928 00:54:58,599 --> 00:55:01,349 of systems based on simple rules. 929 00:55:06,500 --> 00:55:09,417 (soft piano music) 930 00:55:11,620 --> 00:55:14,337 Watching how computers can unconsciously 931 00:55:14,337 --> 00:55:16,744 evolve programs to do things that 932 00:55:16,744 --> 00:55:19,943 no human could consciously program 933 00:55:19,943 --> 00:55:22,541 is a fantastic example of the power 934 00:55:22,541 --> 00:55:24,291 of self organization. 935 00:55:25,543 --> 00:55:28,611 It demonstrates that evolution is itself 936 00:55:28,611 --> 00:55:31,932 just like the other systems we've encountered; 937 00:55:31,932 --> 00:55:35,327 one based on simple rules and feedback, 938 00:55:35,327 --> 00:55:38,994 from which complexity spontaneously emerges. 939 00:55:40,047 --> 00:55:41,865 Think about it. 940 00:55:41,865 --> 00:55:45,719 The simple rule is that the organism must replicate 941 00:55:45,719 --> 00:55:49,747 with a few random mutations now and again. 942 00:55:49,747 --> 00:55:53,511 The feedback comes from the environment 943 00:55:53,511 --> 00:55:57,666 which favors the mutations that are best suited to it. 944 00:55:57,666 --> 00:56:01,386 The result is ever-increasing complexity, 945 00:56:01,386 --> 00:56:04,303 produced without thought or design. 946 00:56:06,130 --> 00:56:08,061 - The interesting thing is that we can move up 947 00:56:08,061 --> 00:56:10,403 to a higher level of organization. 948 00:56:10,403 --> 00:56:14,256 Once you have organisms that actually have patterns on them, 949 00:56:14,256 --> 00:56:17,780 these can be selected for or selected against 950 00:56:17,780 --> 00:56:20,839 by process which are essentially feedbacks. 951 00:56:20,839 --> 00:56:24,693 And so evolution itself, the whole Darwinian scheme, 952 00:56:24,693 --> 00:56:26,693 is in sense Turing again 953 00:56:27,984 --> 00:56:32,763 with feedbacks happening through different processes. 954 00:56:32,763 --> 00:56:35,613 - [Jim] And that's the essence of this story. 955 00:56:35,613 --> 00:56:37,965 Unthinking, simple rules 956 00:56:37,965 --> 00:56:41,723 have the power to create amazingly complex systems 957 00:56:41,723 --> 00:56:44,223 without any conscious thought. 958 00:56:45,262 --> 00:56:48,407 In that sense, these computer beings 959 00:56:48,407 --> 00:56:50,839 are self-organized systems 960 00:56:50,839 --> 00:56:52,689 just like the one Belousov observed 961 00:56:52,689 --> 00:56:54,939 happening in his chemicals; 962 00:56:55,958 --> 00:56:58,431 just like the ones in sand dunes 963 00:56:58,431 --> 00:57:00,222 and the Mandelbrot sets, 964 00:57:00,222 --> 00:57:02,904 in our lungs, our hearts, 965 00:57:02,904 --> 00:57:07,264 in weather, and in the geography of our planet. 966 00:57:07,264 --> 00:57:11,431 Design does not need an active interfering designer. 967 00:57:13,097 --> 00:57:16,264 It's an inherent part of the universe. 968 00:57:20,179 --> 00:57:22,610 - One of the things that makes people so uncomfortable 969 00:57:22,610 --> 00:57:24,251 about this idea of, if you will, 970 00:57:24,251 --> 00:57:26,400 spontaneous pattern formation 971 00:57:26,400 --> 00:57:30,182 is that somehow or other you don't need a creator 972 00:57:30,182 --> 00:57:33,249 but perhaps a really clever designer. 973 00:57:33,249 --> 00:57:35,839 What you would do is to kind of treat the universe 974 00:57:35,839 --> 00:57:37,728 like a giant simulation, 975 00:57:37,728 --> 00:57:40,005 where you set some initial condition 976 00:57:40,005 --> 00:57:43,506 and just let the whole thing spontaneously happen 977 00:57:43,506 --> 00:57:47,089 in all of its wonder and all if its beauty. 978 00:57:48,167 --> 00:57:49,835 - The mathematics of pattern formation 979 00:57:49,835 --> 00:57:53,543 shows that the same kind of pattern can show up 980 00:57:53,543 --> 00:57:56,247 in an enormous range of different physical, 981 00:57:56,247 --> 00:57:58,309 chemical, biological systems. 982 00:57:58,309 --> 00:58:00,108 Somewhere deep down inside, it's happening 983 00:58:00,108 --> 00:58:02,859 for the same mathematical reason. 984 00:58:02,859 --> 00:58:05,395 Implicit in those facts 985 00:58:05,395 --> 00:58:08,703 are these beautiful patterns that we see everywhere. 986 00:58:08,703 --> 00:58:12,120 This, I think, is a mind-blowing thought. 987 00:58:21,621 --> 00:58:23,812 - So what is the ultimate lesson 988 00:58:23,812 --> 00:58:26,132 we can take from all this? 989 00:58:26,132 --> 00:58:29,324 Well, it's that all the complexity of the universe, 990 00:58:29,324 --> 00:58:31,624 all its infinite richness, 991 00:58:31,624 --> 00:58:34,818 emerges from mindless simple rules 992 00:58:34,818 --> 00:58:37,693 repeated over and over again. 993 00:58:37,693 --> 00:58:40,886 But remember, powerful though this process is, 994 00:58:40,886 --> 00:58:44,332 it's also inherently unpredictable. 995 00:58:44,332 --> 00:58:46,968 So, although I can confidently tell you 996 00:58:46,968 --> 00:58:49,714 that the future will be amazing, 997 00:58:49,714 --> 00:58:53,384 I can also say with scientific certainty 998 00:58:53,384 --> 00:58:56,891 that I have no idea what it holds. 999 00:58:56,891 --> 00:58:59,808 (soft piano music) 74830

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