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Two weeks ago, Donald Trump was asked if he would use a nuclear weapon on Iran.
His answer, I wouldn't use nuclear. We don't have to.
On Saturday, he named the target that's left, Pickaxe Mountain, and he said, we
can do that in 10 minutes.
Here's the problem.
The halls under that mountain sit about 100 meters down, inside solid granite.
America's biggest conventional bomb is built to reach about 60.
So, how do you destroy a mountain in 10 minutes without a nuke?
There are four ways to try.
And at the end of this video, we run the one the Pentagon would most likely pick,
minute by minute.
Start with what's actually there, Pickaxe Mountain.
In Farsi, Ku-e-Kolang-Gazla.
It sits about two kilometers south of Natanz, Iran's biggest enrichment site.
Iran has been digging under it since around 2020.
Satellite images show several tunnel entrances and two deep tunnel complexes
inside the rock.
Researchers at the James Martin Center measured the spoil piles, the rock Iran
hauled out, and estimated the hauls sit between 80 and 100 meters underground.
And the rock is the whole point.
Most of the hills around Natanz are sedimentary.
This one is dense granite.
Israel told Washington that Iran moved thousands of centrifuges inside late
last year.
The United States has never confirmed it.
Iran says its program is peaceful.
But here's what matters.
The mountain has never been hit.
Not in June 2025, when B-2 bombers struck Fordow and Natanz.
And not in eight months of this war.
Trump has been promising it since July.
We're going to take out Pickaxe Mountain.
Tell the Iranians to be ready.
In September.
We may hit Pickaxe very soon.
In October.
We'll knock it out fast.
And now, 10 minutes.
He also said there are only one or two sites left to take care of.
Everyone knows which one is first.
So, let's look at the one weapon built for this job.
And the clock matters.
America votes on Tuesday.
Israeli officials have already said the next round could start the day after the
election.
This is the GBU-57, the Massive Ordnance Penetrator.
30,000 pounds, more than 6 meters of hardened steel guided by satellite.
It doesn't explode when it hits. It drives into the ground at enormous
speed, and a delayed fuse sets it off deep below the surface.
The Air Force says it can go through about 60 meters of earth, or roughly 18
meters of reinforced concrete.
Now put that next to pickaxe.
60 meters of earth is not 100 meters of granite.
Granite is far harder.
The bomb slows down faster and stops shallower.
Pickaxe is believed to sit 10 to 20 meters deeper than Fordow, the site the
B-2s hit last year. And Fordow was under softer rock.
That's why most experts say a single GBU-57 will not reach the halls, not
even close.
And there's a second problem. Only one aircraft can carry it, the B-2 stealth
bomber, two bombs at a time.
Reports say America used 14 of its roughly 20 on Fordow alone.
So the math gets tight fast.
Fewer bombs, a harder target, and a president who has promised the job takes
10 minutes.
If you want to see how this ends, hit subscribe.
This series follows every move between Trump and Iran, and the next chapter
drops right after the vote.
So, if Trump means what he said, no nuke, there are four ways to go after
pickaxe. Let's run all four.
Option one, same hole, again, and again.
The first bomb digs a crater.
The next one... aimed at the exact same point starts from the bottom of it.
It's called sequential bombing.
In theory, every bomb goes deeper than the last.
Two bombs might reach a hundred meters.
Might.
In practice, granite cracks and shifts.
A second bomb can glance off the wall of the first crater.
Nobody has ever tried this through a hundred meters of solid rock.
Option two, don't go through the rock at all. Go through the holes Iran already
made.
That's how Fordow was hit.
General Dan Cain said planners found two ventilation shafts. The first bomb blew
off the concrete cap.
The next ones went straight down the shaft.
Pickaxe has entrances and air vents too.
Hit every one and you may not destroy the halls, but you seal them.
Nothing goes in, nothing comes out.
Option three, kill what keeps the mountain alive.
Centrifuges need steady power, cooling, and air.
Cut the power lines, hit the substation, knock out the fans.
The machines inside stop spinning, and a sudden blackout can wreck them.
It happened at Natanz in 2021.
Option four is the one nobody in Washington wants to say out loud.
a low-yield nuclear bomb designed to dig into the ground before it goes off.
It's the one weapon that could almost certainly reach 100 meters down.
But it would be the first nuclear weapon used in war since 1945.
And Trump has said on camera that he wouldn't.
A ground burst would also throw radioactive dust high into the air,
across Iran, and possibly over the Gulf.
It's a line no American president has crossed in 80 years.
And Iran knows exactly what's at stake.
Its supreme leader has already ordered a response with no geographic limits if
the country is attacked again.
There's even talk of a fifth trick.
CNN reported that planners looked at the Moab, America's biggest air blast bomb,
to push a massive blast into any opening the penetrators make.
So, for 10 minutes, without a nuke, there's really only one plan that fits.
Options 1, 2, and 3.
All at once.
Here's how those 10 minutes could look.
This is a simulation, built only from weapons and plans named in public.
Minute zero.
Two B-2s are already over central Iran.
They crossed in the dark.
hours before anyone saw them.
Minute 1.
Cruise missiles hit the power lines and the substation feeding the site.
Inside, the lights switch to backup.
Minute 3.
The first GBU-57 hits the main tunnel and a second one lands on the same
point, seconds later.
Minute 5.
Bombs hit the ventilation shafts.
If one of them drops down a shaft, the way it happened at Fordow, this is the
moment.
Minute 7.
The second B-2 drops on the south pole.
Both sides are now buried under tons of broken granite.
Bombs 5 and 6 go back to the same two craters.
That's the sequential gamble.
Three bombs stacked in one hole, trying to break through.
Minute 9.
A drone pass checks the damage.
Smoke from the vents.
Nothing moving on the access road.
Minute 10.
The bombers turn for home. On paper, Trump gets his 10 minutes.
But look at what actually happened. The entrances are sealed. The power is cut.
And the halls, 100 meters down, may still be standing.
That's the real answer.
10 minutes can close Pickaxe Mountain.
It may not destroy it, and a sealed tunnel can be dug out again.
Then Iran picks what comes next.
Missiles at American bases, mines in the Strait of Hormuz, or the answer it has
promised, with no geographic limits.
And a deal is still on the table in Doha.
So, Tuesday night, Trump has two options. Take the deal, or take the shot
at the mountain.
So, watch three things.
Tuesday's vote, where the B2s are, and whether anyone in Washington says the
word nuclear out loud again.
If Trump strikes, the next chapter is right here. Watch it next.
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