All language subtitles for English (auto-generated)_en_0_Game Theory _9_ The US-Iran War(1080P_HD)

I hope everyone had a nice break and

welcome back to the end of the world.

So, as you know, World War III has

started. The United States and Israel

have started to attack Iran.

And we are now in the fourth day of this

war, and we can expect this war to last

for many weeks,

possibly also for many years.

But I promise you that after this war is

done,

the world will never be the same again.

So, what what we will do these next few

weeks is use game theory

and understand and analyze the

geopolitical situation.

And so, I'm going to teach you the

ideas, the theories, the techniques to

understand the world around you and make

predictions. And we can know if our

analysis is correct because all this is

happening in real time, and so we can

test it against reality.

All right. So, let's go over some basic

facts about what's happened so far.

So, in the early morning of Saturday,

uh in Tehran, the Israelis and Americans

launched a decapitation strike against

the Ayatollah uh

Khamenei who is the supreme leader of

Iran.

Now, there are

arguments and and disputes about as to

what happened.

The Americans and Israelis said that

they had

>> [clears throat]

>> real intelligence about where the leader

was, and so they sent airplanes to just

bomb the crap out of the place. They

also had a spy who was able to record

the body of the dead Ayatollah.

And then this was announced.

At first, the Iranians denied this, and

the Iranians insisted he was still

alive. But eventually, state media

um admitted that he did die in the

airstrike. But then what they also said

is that Ayatollah is 86 years old and he

chose to die.

He could have gone to Moscow,

but instead he chose to stay in Tehran

and die for his people.

But only that, but he died along many of

his relatives. He died along with his

daughter, his son-in-law, his

grandchildren. So the entire So many of

the family died in this assault.

Also, there's been reporting that he had

prostate cancer. Okay, so he's going to

die fairly soon as well. So what you

need to understand first about the war

is that even though the Americans and

Israelis claim great success

in decapitating the leadership of

the Iranians, from the Iranian

perspective, this is a martyrdom.

Martyrdom, okay?

And so the religion of the Iranians is

called Shia

um Muslim. And this is different from

Sunni [snorts]

Muslim. So uh Sunnis are the majority.

They're about 90% of all Muslims in the

world. The Shia have always been the

minority. And as such, they've always

been persecuted.

So in the Shia faith, the core value,

the force that binds everyone together

and gives them purpose and meaning in

life, that galvanizes them into action,

is the idea of martyrdom, which forces

jihad.

To sacrifice yourself for your religion,

sacrifice yourself for the common good.

So think of the death of Khamenei as a

sacrifice, a self-sacrifice, in order to

motivate the Iranians

in this war, okay?

So that's the first thing you need to

understand.

That for the Iranians, this is not a

typical war. This is not an economic

war. This is not a war of resistance.

This is a jihad, okay? It's a war

against the Great Satan to avenge their

leader.

They will fight to the death.

All right? That's number one. Number

[snorts] two is this.

Also that morning when

um

Ayatollah was killed,

the Israelis struck a school in the

south of Tehran, killing about 150

school children. These are girls in

primary school.

And again, there's a lot of debate and

argument as to what happened. The

that first of all, the school was next

to a military base. We are targeting a

military base.

And second of all, it wasn't us which

struck the school. It was a

air defense missile that went off

course.

Okay?

And the Iranians insisted, "No. The

Israelis purposefully attacked the

school to kill the school children." And

then you're like, "Why would the

Israelis do that?"

But then these few years, well, we've

seen what they've done in Gaza in

Palestine to the Palestinians. It's

pretty consistent what the Israelis have

been doing. All right? So, this action

against the Israelis, it's meant to show

to themselves and the world that we are

now all in, okay? We've made the

sacrifice.

We are now committed to this war to

winning this war at all costs.

And this action

has also provoked the Iranian people to

resist with their full might, okay?

So, I want you to keep this in mind. And

again, we don't have complete evidence

that it's the Israelis who did this,

but given past actions from the

Israelis, this is fairly consistent

with what they've done.

Okay? So, we can assume that this is

something the Israelis do did. Why they

did this, what the purpose is, is

something we will we will discuss as we

move on, okay? It's very complicated.

Next, I want to show you this.

This is Dubai, and Dubai is considered

one of the wealthiest, safest cities in

the world. There are thousands, tens of

thousands of Westerners who moved to

Dubai because it's clean, you don't pay

any taxes, you make a lot of money. And

you there are great restaurants. And

this is really the economic model of

Dubai. It's one of the Gulf the GCC

countries, okay? The Gulf

um coastal countries.

And

for the longest time

Dubai had a really good deal.

Because they were under the protection

of the American military. So, they

didn't have to pay for defense.

They and then they were in the Middle

East, which is the oil producing um

center of the world. And so, they

focused on aviation. They focused on

logistics. They focused on finance, on

tourism. They made so many wealthy,

right? I'm not sure if you've taken

Emirates, one of the best airlines in

the world. So, their airport, Dubai

airport, is the busiest in the world.

And Dubai for the longest time was

flourishing under American protection.

And Dubai said to the world, "Listen,

we're like Switzerland. We're neutral.

We don't want any involvement in any

war. We're here just to take care of our

citizens, to make sure everyone has a

good time, to make money."

>> [snorts]

>> And then, right after the war started,

the Iranians attacked

the

uh GCC, okay?

Dubai, Abu Dhabi,

uh Bahrain, Qatar,

Kuwait. They attacked these places. And

these places were like, "What's going

on? We're neutral, man. We're not

involved in this war. And the airport

was shut down in Dubai. At

one point, rich the rich people in Dubai

were willing to pay about 26,000 US

dollars just to get on a plane and get

out of there.

Okay?

So, um

the reality is this. For the longest

time, Dubai had a reputation for being

safe and that's why people move their

money there. Guess what, guys? After

what the Iranians did, it's dead. Dubai

as a city in the long term, it is dead.

Because you're wealthy Westerner, you're

not going to move to a place where you

could be attacked anytime by the

Iranians.

You might move to Singapore, you might

move to Hong Kong, Japan,

South America, but you're not moving to

Dubai, okay? So, the big question for us

is, why did the Iranians do this?

If it was the Israelis and Americans who

attacked you, why go after the GCC?

All right? And not only that, but

they're escalating the attacks against

the GCC. So, there's something that we

will look at very closely today.

>> [snorts]

>> Well, the short answer is because these

places, even though they they pretend to

be neutral, [clears throat]

they house the American military. They

allow the Israelis and Americans to use

their airspace to attack Iran from. All

right? So, this is Bahrain.

Now, Bahrain is interesting, okay?

Because I I I want you guys to remember

this. But, Bahrain will probably be one

of the major centers of this conflict.

Because, first of all, this is the um

American Fifth Fleet. All right? This is

their naval base in the Middle East. And

as you can see, the Iranians are

attacking it with missiles. And it's

being blown up. Bahrain is interesting

because it has

about 50% or even more okay, Shia. Which

is the religion of the Iranians.

But, the people in charge are the

Sunnis.

And so,

what is the what makes this strike

really important for our for our

perspective is, first of all, not only

are the Iranians attacking US military

assets,

not only are they destroying the

economies of the GCC, but they're also

also trying to ignite a religious war,

right? Because you're Shia,

you're loyal to the Ayatollah. And if

he's dead, then you must, as a religious

obligation, now commit jihad against

your enemies.

It's no different in other religions

where Listen Listen, if you want to kill

the Pope, the Catholics would be really

angry at you, and they would want to

kill you, right?

So, now you have the Shia who will

probably eventually arise, creating a

revolution

in Iran, okay? So, I think Iran will be

the first to fall. Dubai will probably

go bankrupt,

okay? But in the long term, we can

expect the entire GCC area,

including Saudi Arabia,

to eventually collapse, okay? And so,

there's something we'll use game theory

to understand.

All right.

Let's continue.

So,

we will know how this war develops just

based on geography, okay? So, this is a

map. And this map, even even even if you

don't really know the war, even if you

don't know the participants, even if you

don't know the weaponry, this map will

tell you exactly how this war will

progress.

All right. So, some certain things to

keep in mind about this map.

This is what we call this area, okay?

Really small, but it's 33 km wide, okay?

People can swim across it. It's really,

really um uh narrow, okay? This small

area, guys, it's called the Strait of

Hormuz.

All right?

And it's important because

it's really the center of the world.

This one area is the nexus, the pivot

of the world.

Let me explain why. First of all, from

the GCC, you have 20%

of all the world's oil flowing through

the narrow strait. Where does it go,

guys? It goes to Asia,

India, Pakistan, South Korea, China,

Japan.

India depends on 60% of its oil from

this area.

China depends on 40%. Japan, 75%.

Prime Minister Takeo Fukuda of Japan has

said that

listen, if the Strait of Hormuz closes,

we're going to have oil in about 8-9

months.

The entire Japanese economy would

collapse in 8-9 months if the Strait of

Hormuz were to close. And guess what?

They would need to have closed the

Strait of Hormuz.

Okay? So, we can expect that the entire

global economy will suffer greatly over

the next few months.

All right. So, that's point number one.

Point number two is

Okay. So, the GCC sends oil across the

Strait of Hormuz, and what do they get

back in return?

Food, guys.

All right. So,

people don't appreciate the GCC, but it

is really the linchpin of the American

Empire. Because what is the American

Empire? The American Empire is the

petrodollar.

All right? The idea of the petrodollar

is this. The US dollar is worth nothing.

It's only valuable if people want it.

But the GCC says that if you want oil

from us, you have to pay us in US

dollars.

Okay? Then that is the basis of the

value of the US dollar.

>> [snorts]

>> So, if the GCC collapses, the American

economy and the Empire both collapse at

the same time.

The problem though is the GCC is an

artificial construct of empire. It does

not exist

naturally. Why? Because it has no food,

it has no oil, no water.

Okay guys, no food, no water.

So these cities are able to grow up in

the millions because of all these petrol

dollars flowing in.

If you close off the Strait of Hormuz,

there's no food coming in.

Right? They're going to starve.

How much food does the GCC get

from overseas? 80%.

80% of all the food it consumed comes

from overseas that it imports. It does

not grow by itself, it imports.

All right?

The Strait of Hormuz is really key. And

again, the Iranians will close it in

order to strangle the global economy and

therefore bankrupt the American Empire.

All right? Second thing you will notice

is these mountains.

These mountains is what we call Iran.

All right, this is Iran.

This is GCC.

Okay, this is not a fair match up,

right? Because these are mountains. And

what can you do in mountains? We can

hide rocket bases, you can hide drone

bases, you can hide hide missiles. And

that's the entire

Iranian offensive strategy. All right?

From here, they can hide missiles and

drones from which to attack

the GCC. And what are they attacking?

They're attacking

um

three things, right? They're attacking

American military bases,

American

military bases.

That's number one.

Okay? Is it possible for the Americans

to defend against these attacks? The

answer is

no.

NO, IT'S NOT. IT'S NOT. [laughter] IT'S

THE SILLIEST THING IN THE WORLD. YOU

have all these bases in the Middle East,

but you cannot defend them against the

Iranians. That's kind of strange. Okay,

but that's number one. Number two is

oil and energy.

How hard is it to blow up an oil field

with a drone?

Not hard at all. Can you defend these

oil fields?

No, you cannot.

All right?

Number three,

and this is most important, is water.

Okay? You guys don't know this, but

the GCC

has little access to fresh water.

So, the only way that it can produce

water is what is what we call

desalination plants, okay? These

factories that take salt water and then

through electrical chemical process turn

it into fresh water for the population

to use.

60%

of the water supply in the GCC comes

from desalination plants, okay? 60%.

Is it hard to blow up this desalination

plant using a drone? The answer is it's

very easy. You understand? Okay? So, you

have this absurd situation where Iran is

a mountain fortress

where it can hide its offensive capacity

and the GCC

it's just this desert this flat desert

and it is exposed to attack and there's

nothing it can do about it, okay?

So, at any point in this war

the Iranians can choose to just destroy

the entire GCC

and there's nothing that anyone can do

about it.

Okay? But, Iran also has a weakness,

okay? And this is fundamental. So, Iran

also has a water problem, okay? So, for

the longest time, they suffer they

suffer a drought issue.

Okay? It's just climate change.

And so, what the

plan

of the Israelis and Americans is is is

destroy the water supply

of the Iranians.

Because the fortress it's it is a

mountain fortress, but it can also be a

mountain prison as well, where people

are trapped inside with no access to

water. Okay? So, what what we're going

to see right now, we're we're already

seeing attacks on civilian

infrastructure, hospitals.

In the future, you'll see attacks on

water supply, on dams, on reservoirs,

on power plants.

The point, the idea is to make Iran so

inhabitable that the people will will

have to rebel against the people or

there'll be a refugee crisis in Iran.

Okay?

So, as you can see from this map, this

war, it is the end of the world.

Okay? Both sides have the potential to

destroy each other. It's really a

question of

how far do they want to go?

All right? We we can also say this is

almost a game of chicken.

Okay?

We can blow we can blow each other up.

How far do you want to go?

And the problem is this. The problem is

that the Iranians are Shia,

which believes in martyrdom. And you've

killed the religious leader, Ayatollah

Khamenei. So, they're willing to go very

very far.

The GCC The GCC countries are

Muslim, but they're materialistic. They

love money. And also, most of the

population are expatriates, foreigners.

90% of Dubai are foreigners. Guess what

Guess what's going to happen if they

suffer. They're all going to run away.

Okay?

So, this is not a fear match-up.

The big question that people have is,

first of all,

are the Americans going to use ground

troops?

Because the only way that you can defeat

Iran is by using ground troops, okay?

That's the big question we'll look at in

the next few weeks.

Will the Will America send its army?

Half a million, 2 million soldiers to

topple the government? Okay, that's

question number one. Question number

two,

nuclear weapons.

If you lose the war,

would you choose to use nuclear weapons?

Okay, that's another big question that

we have, okay? Now, another big question

that we have is who gets involved?

Because this situation is so dire that

Europe, okay? Specifically Germany,

France, and Britain

are talking about entering this war.

And guess what?

If that happens, it is possible that

Russia and China

will also enter this war on the side of

the Iranians. This is World War III,

okay?

Because of the importance of the Strait

of Hormuz, because of the importance of

the Middle East, everyone has to get

involved at some point.

And we're going to use game theory to

really try to understand what what's

happening on the ground and where this

could lead us.

Okay?

All right.

You guys understand?

All right.

All right.

Let's continue.

Okay, so again, there are American bases

all over the Middle East.

And originally these bases were

established to protect them from

basically their own people, okay? These

are monarchies that were imposed on

these nations by the Anglo-American

empire, the British first and then

Americans came to support these

monarchies.

And so they provide defense.

But then you're like, "Wait a minute

here. I mean, didn't you just say that

these American bases can't actually

defend these people, that they're

exposed?"

And the And the reason And the answer

is, yes, that's true. But remember that

the American military was built during

the Cold War.

Okay?

And the Cold War was a war between the

Soviet Union and um America. And so

the Cold War was defined as something

called MAD, mutually assured

destruction.

Because both had nuclear weapons, okay?

So they didn't really go to war against

each other. And so in other words, these

bases aren't really meant to defend uh

these nations from other enemies,

they're really meant to impose American

authority in the Middle East.

Okay? And it's the idea of this. It's

the idea that empire

it is really

a

image.

It is a hallucination. It is an idea.

Empire is the It's an aura of

invincibility and invulnerability, okay?

If you fear it, then you obey it.

But it's not really designed to fight a

war, okay? And And so that's why we have

this absurd situation.

And because there are so many bases in

the GCC, that gives the Iranians the

perfect pretext to attack them and to

destroy the GCC economy, which will

destroy the American empire.

Right? All right. So this is how the war

shipping out, okay? So, so the red is

the Israelis and Americans, the yellow

are

the

Iranians. And as you can see, the

Iranians are attacking everywhere.

Primarily

Israel,

okay? But also, as you can see, a lot of

focus on Bahrain

and Qatar. And again, the intention is

to destabilize

the economy and the government. Okay?

It's a It's a try to get as much

instability as possible.

All right?

>> [snorts]

>> Okay. And as you can see, the Americans

and Israelis are focused on

Tehran.

And so, the Americans and Israelis use

some something we call shock and awe.

And the very idea of shock and awe is

you decapitate

the enemy. You cut off the head,

the body will fall down, okay?

The problem, though, is again, the

Iranians see this as a religious war.

And so, the Iranians have off have

announced total war.

Okay? And so, what this means is that

right now command and control in in Iran

is decentralized.

There's no one person telling anyone

what to do. Every region has its own

orders, has its own strategy.

And so, if you knock out Tehran,

everyone else keeps on going. You see

what I mean? So, if you knock off the

take off the head, it doesn't change

anything.

Okay? But unfortunately,

the

um

Israelis and Americans use this as a

military doctrine.

Military doctrine just means how how how

you design your military for what

purpose.

And so, the even though the Americans

seem like an invincible army, they are

not equipped to fight a 21st century war

against drones, against digitalization,

against religious fanatics. Okay?

They're just not.

All right? But, unfortunately, because

of military military doctrine,

they're going to keep on attacking

Tehran.

Now, the great irony of all this is that

the Iranians, who will be most

supportive of you of regime change, are

actually in the cities because they're

educated, they're progressive. The

people who are most fundamentally

against you, who will fight you to the

death, are religious fanatics, the Shia

militants living in the rural areas.

Okay?

So, this is a really silly thing where

you are actually destroying those who

who will most likely support you, and

you're leaving alone those who are most

likely to commit jihad against you.

All right?

Any questions so far, guys?

Are you clear? All right. So, another

idea that I want you guys to understand

is the idea of asymmetry.

Asymmetry.

All right? So, what is asymmetry?

Asymmetry means that the two sides are

choosing to fight different wars using

different techniques because

one is much stronger than the other,

okay? America is a great empire. It has

unlimited resources. It has It has the

USD. It has It controls the world,

right? Iran uh

is a country that has been under

economic sanctions for the past 45

years. It's poor. It's technology is

very limited, okay?

But, as we learn in this class,

actually,

those nations that are poor actually

have more energy. They're more open, and

they're more cohesive. All right? So,

let me give you an example. This is what

we call the Shahed

drones. Shahed drones.

Each of these drones cost $50,000 at

most, okay? At most. It can go as cheap

as $35,000.

But one of them is one of them is

$50,000. As you can see, you can fit a

lot of these drones to a truck that can

go anywhere in Iraq. And then you can

hide anywhere.

All right? So, the thing you need to

understand is first of all, these drones

are cheap, they're easy They're easy to

make. They make about 500 a day.

Okay? And that's what I was about to

say, 80,000

um right now that the Iranians have. So,

they can go on for a long, long time.

Okay? And one of these drones, again,

can knock out of this this annihilation

plant. It can knock out a oil field. It

can knock out a hotel. It can do a lot

of damage. Okay? And it's easily

transportable. You can hide it anywhere.

You can you can you can use it from

anywhere, okay?

And that's what the Iranians are using

as an offensive weapon.

And how do the Americans defend against

this?

They use something called a THAAD,

right?

All right, guys. This is what they use.

THAAD.

THAAD stands for Terminal High Altitude

Area Defense. And they also have the

Patriot systems. There's a lot, okay?

The thing that you will that you need to

know know about the system is it's

really expensive. This missile, guys,

costs $1 million.

>> [snorts]

[sighs and gasps]

>> $1 million.

So, there's this $50,000 drone coming

your way, and you throw a million-dollar

missile at it, okay? And often these

missiles miss, so you have to throw two

or three missiles at it, okay? So,

you're you're you're spending two to

three million dollars on each $50,000

that the Iranians spend.

That's kind of silly.

Second thing you'll notice is that this

thing is really big and really slow.

And therefore, you can't really move it

around.

Therefore, it's pretty easy for the

Iranians to spot where this is and

attack it.

And when these things blow up, that's a

lot of money, guys.

Okay?

Then you're like,

"What? But this makes no sense. You know

the Iranians have drones. They've had

drones for like 10 years. You've also

seen drones used in the Russia-Ukraine

war to devastating effect. Why don't the

Americans know this? Why didn't they

prepare?" Okay, and again, it has to do

with military military doctrine. Because

military doctrine determines how you

fight a war, it determines on your

bureaucracy, and it

and it determines how you spend your

resources, okay? And unfortunately, the

Americans are used to fighting something

called the Cold War.

Right? And the Cold War, because you

can't actually fight the war. You can't

actually use

kill each other because then you people

use nuclear weapons. The Cold War was

about flexing.

Flexing. Okay? You see how big and

POWERFUL I AM? ME! OKAY? That's all it

was.

These weapon systems are designed to

scare the crap out of you. They were

designed to impress you.

And as a result, they cost a lot of

money, and they really don't do

anything, all right? So, that's the

entire American military. It costs a

lot, and it doesn't really do anything.

It's not resilient. It's not innovative.

It's not open.

All right? Also, the other thing, I have

to say this, okay? Is if you look at the

American military,

it's corrupt.

So, this is

really about corruption.

So, the Americans don't really care

about winning a war. What they care

about is spending as much money as

possible

because then they get a cut. It doesn't

make sense.

All right, and that's why the Americans

are in the situation

as they are.

All right, let's continue.

All right. [snorts]

So, um something that people don't

really talk about, but you need to

understand, is the water issue in the

GCC, in the Middle East, in Iraq. All

right. So,

um

this is a map of the world.

And if you are light blue, Brazil,

Canada, you have nothing nothing to

worry about because you have a lot of

water, a lot of fresh water, very little

population.

All right. So,

um

100%

just means

100% water stress just means that you

drink as much water as the environment

produces.

Okay? So, you want to be below 100% to

be sustainable. Ideally, you want you

want you want to be at 10%, okay?

If it goes above 100%, it means that you

are drinking more water, using more

water than the environment actually

produces.

Okay, so you're putting stress on the

environment.

So, 20%

is really bad, right? You're you're

you're using twice as much water as the

environment produces.

Guess what, guys? Look at the Middle

East, okay? Egypt.

6

thousand 420%.

Saudi Arabia.

883%.

All right. Bahrain.

Almost 4000%.

Dubai. 17000%.

All right.

This So, water is a huge issue. Again,

it doesn't matter if Iran

kills American soldiers, destroys

American military. It doesn't have to do

that. All it has to do is destroy the

desalination plants, and then the GCC is

destroyed, okay?

But, it's also true that Iran

has water issues. 72% is pretty bad.

Okay?

So, even though the Iranians could

destroy the GCC much faster than the

Americans could destroy Iran, Iran is

still in trouble, okay? So, so, so, let

let me let me give you give you an

example of this.

This is like Oh, sorry. Sorry. So, this

is another map that shows you

uh the issue of water scarcity, okay?

It's It's just basically the Middle

East, okay? Their biggest issue in the

future is water.

Okay? And that's where the geopolitical

tensions will rise in the future, over

water.

India is also affected as well, okay?

All right.

All right. So,

let's look at that map, guys. This is

called Lake Urmia in northern Iraq. It's

the sixth largest salt water lake in the

world, or it used to be.

Okay? This is what it was in 1984. The

This is the shallow. This is the deep,

okay? Can you see that? It's really big,

right? 20 years later, guys,

this is what it looks like.

There's no more water here. You can walk

from here over to there, okay? There's

some water over here, but it's shallow

now.

That's how serious the water issue is in

Iran, and that's the weak point that the

Americans and Israelis will attack.

All right? They want to make sure that

Iran has no access to fresh water, which

will cause devastation in their nation.

Okay, that's strategy number one.

Strategy number two is this.

This is a map of

the different ethnic minorities uh in

Iran.

As you can see, it's a very diverse

place. In the center are the Persians,

but you also have

10 other groups as well. And in the

borderlands, it's basically different

countries, right? Like these are

basically different countries.

And so, these places have more common

common areas with their neighbors than

they do with Iran. Okay, so the second

weakness of Iran. The first is water.

The second is the ethnic makeup of the

country. So, the strategy of the

Americans and Israelis moving forward is

to destroy Iran as a coherent

nation-state, divided into ethnic

enclaves, and have them fight over

water.

That is the grand plan of the Israelis

and Americans, okay?

All right. This is This is This is the

vision, where Persia is limited, and

then all these other places are

sponsored by the Americans and the

Israelis. They're given money, they're

given weapons, they're given political

support, and then this war will wage

over water

forever.

Okay? And this how you destroy Iran and

make sure Iran is no longer a viable

threat to you. That is the

plan of the Americans.

Okay? As As you can see,

it's pretty evil plan. And that's why

they have not announced it.

Right? Because

if you announce it, you're like, "Why

are you doing this? What did the

Persians What did they really ever do to

you to warrant you coming and destroying

their civilization?" And the answer is

nothing.

Right? So, the Americans and Israelis

will never admit they're doing this, but

if you look at the

map of war supply of

ethnic

tensions, this is the optimal game

theory strategy for them to use against

Iran. It doesn't make sense. This is a

long-term plan that they have in place.

It's all moving towards this plan.

But, now the question then is, how can

the Iranians respond to this?

And the answer is

this.

This is the map of the Muslim world.

Okay?

So, the

um

light green

are the Sunni people. Okay? That's 90%

of the entire Muslim population, about 2

2 billion people. Okay?

Then you have in dark green the Shia.

So, as you can see,

the main

place of the Shia is Iran. Okay? Iran is

one of the few Shia nations in the

world. But, you can also see from this

map that Shia are spread throughout the

world.

Okay?

And so, the first thing

that the Iranians want to do is create a

jihad to unite all the Shia against

American empire.

All right? So, what they want to do is

create a uprising.

It's already happening, guys.

Um

the Shia in Pakistan stormed the

American embassy in Pakistan. And the

Americans killed a lot of people. Okay?

The Shia have have attacked the American

embassy in Iraq.

The American embassy

uh are are being attacked in a lot of

places.

All right? So, the first strategy is to

create a international global jihad

of the Shia against the American empire.

It's already happening. It will continue

for a long long term, long time because

the Americans have killed the other

um caliphate.

Okay? And that requires vengeance.

The other thing though is that

it can unify

the Muslim world.

Okay? If you look at this map,

most of the Muslim world is actually run

by dictatorships that are not popular at

all, okay?

And they're allowed to exist because of

the American empire. Right? You go to

Saudi Arabia, Egypt,

Algeria. Uh

these places, they're all run by clients

of American empire.

Right? So, if you rally the people who

hate their governments and you overthrow

them,

then that makes Iran

the leader of the the Islamic world. Not

just Shia world, but the Islamic world.

This creates something called Pax

Islamica.

That is the end goal, guys. Okay?

If you do that, then you don't have to

worry about the Americans and Israelis

anymore.

All right? So, the Israeli game plan,

the American game plan is to fracture

Iran into the ethnic enclaves and

they'll fight over water for the rest of

their lives and they'll die.

The Iranian game plan is to create a

religious war, a crusade that unifies

the Shia people that overthrows the

American empire and establish something

called a Pax Islamica.

All right?

All right.

So,

again,

the key is the GCC.

All right?

So, the game plan is this. You have to

destroy the GCC. Why? Because the GCC is

the linchpin

of the American empire.

So, what the GCC

does is it sells oil

sells oil and then for US dollars.

Where does it put US dollars? It puts US

dollars into the American stock market.

All right, so this this is investments

of the UAE, okay, Saudi Arabia, and

Kuwait into

the US financial markets. As you can see

from 2012

up to today,

it's been exploding.

All right? Because the US financial

market is one of the safest places where

you can put your money.

The intention is this. The intention is,

"Hey, if I cut off oil

and these countries no longer have

access to US dollars, they're forced to

spend whatever resources they have on

protecting themselves, okay?"

And then guess what happens? The stock

market collapses.

The stock market collapses, the stock

market is the real growth engine of the

US economy, the entire US economic

collapses with it.

All right? There are about maybe seven

companies in

uh America that accounts for about a

quarter of stock market growth, okay?

These seven countries These seven uh

companies, of course, are all AI

companies. Nvidia,

um

um

Microsoft, Google, Apple, okay? These

are the companies. But and then these

companies are heavily invested in by the

GCC nations. So, if these nations are no

long longer able to invest in the stock

market, these companies will collapse in

value.

And with that, that would lead to

economic depression in America.

Okay, does that make sense?

All right. So, that is the situation for

today. Today was just an overview, guys,

okay? I know we covered a lot. I know

there's a lot to take in,

but over the next few weeks, we will

explore each issue

um in depth and really understand what's

really going on, okay?

All right. So, any questions, guys?

Any questions about what we've just

learned?

Okay.

Um if other countries such as Italy,

France, China, or Russia, they have

also joined this war, like, what's the

cause of they join the war? Because of

oil or those resources?

Okay.

That's a good question, okay? So, I

don't spend too much time on this

question because we will explore this

question as we move along,

So, the question is, what brings the

world into this conflict?

And the easy answer is

um just oil access, energy access, okay?

They need to protect their energy

supplies. Because, remember,

uh it's a very complicated situation

because Europe is now fighting Russia.

So, so Europe is not buying any oil

resources, energy resources from Russia.

They therefore depends a lot on the on

the GCC. So, if the GCC is not providing

them energy, then the Europe will go

bankrupt. Okay? So, Europe needs to

enter this war on behalf of Americans.

Okay? And then you have Russia, which

cannot allow Iran to fall because if

Iran falls, then they'll come after

Russia next.

All right? China is actually neutral.

China's okay with either scenario.

But that's just the way that the Chinese

system is set up, okay? So, we're going

to explore this question as we move

along, but it's a very complicated

issue.

All right?

Okay? And each nation will have its own

different strategic interests to

consider.

All right? And what we need to know what

we we we need to figure out is that

this war

in the Middle East is actually connected

to the to the Ukraine war. And then as

we move along, I'll show you how these

two two things connect together.

Okay?

Any other questions, guys?

Okay, great. So,

um we'll continue this discussion on

Thursday, okay?