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(intense music)
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- [Narrator] In medieval China,
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a scholar predicts events
hundreds of years in the future
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with startling accuracy.
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- Liu Bowen is a near mythic
figure in Chinese history.
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He exercised enormous influence
over an entire dynasty,
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but the question is whether
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he could actually
predict the future,
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including predicting
events in our own lifetime.
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- [Narrator] In ancient Rome,
a soothsayer warns Caesar,
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"Beware the Ides of March."
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00:00:38,334 --> 00:00:41,533
- Whether you believe that
Caesar learned of his death
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through the power of
prophecy or pure politics,
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the question still remains:
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Why didn't he protect himself?
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- [Narrator] And in
16th century Scotland,
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a generational curse
torments a family.
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- The Doom of Mar is this curse
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on one of the most influential
families in Scotland.
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- But what could a family have
done to deserve such a curse?
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(intense music continues)
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(intense music)
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- [Narrator] March 2020.
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As COVID-19 spreads, the
world goes into lockdown.
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Haunting images of empty streets
are seen around the globe
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as businesses shutter
their windows,
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schools close their doors,
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and people shelter
in their homes
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to protect themselves
from the virus.
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(intense music continues)
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It is one of the most
unprecedented events of our time
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that seemingly no
one saw coming.
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(patient coughing)
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And, yet, a story emerges
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of a Chinese prophet
named Liu Bowen,
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who reportedly foresaw
these over 700 years ago.
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(intense music continues)
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"The Earth will be in turmoil.
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The streets will be devoid
of people and activity.
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If you ask when the
epidemic will happen,
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look to the winter between
the eighth and ninth months.
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The pig and rat years
will be difficult."
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- News stories spread on
social media that Liu Bowen
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has predicted a global pandemic
that will occur in 2019,
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for the year of the pig,
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and 2020, during
the year of the rat.
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- Liu Bowen is seen as
the Chinese Nostradamus.
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He was a prophesier
who lived in the 1300s,
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some 700 years ago,
and is believed
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to have predicted things that
have happened in our own time.
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- These prophecies
are widely published
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in compendiums of
Chinese prophecies,
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and they are said by
some to predict events
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with frightening accuracy.
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(intense music)
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- [Narrator] Liu Bowen,
also known as Liu Ji,
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is born in 1311,
in Qingtian County
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near present day Wenzhou.
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(intense music continues)
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China is under the
brutal occupation
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of the Mongol-led Yuan dynasty,
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established over 30 years prior
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after the conquest of
China by Kublai Khan,
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the grandson of Genghis Khan.
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- Liu was living in a time
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when the Mongols have become
the elite of Chinese society.
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They are completely in control.
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China is part of
their vast empire
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that stretches all
the way to Europe.
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- Despite Liu Bowen's
remarkable talents,
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he finds himself unsuccessful
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within the Yuan government
and unable to advance.
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He finds that his honesty
becomes a barrier for him.
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Also, the fact that he
is Chinese and not Mongol
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puts him at a disadvantage
for advancement.
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- You can imagine
how devastating
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and frustrating this
must feel for Liu Bowen.
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For a man with such
great intellect,
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integrity and potential,
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it must feel like his career
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is over before it even
has a chance to get going.
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(intense music)
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- [Narrator] Meanwhile, China
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is becoming
increasingly chaotic.
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After a severe
famine and drought,
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resentment towards the
Mongols intensifies.
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(intense music continues)
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Rebel factions pop
up across the country
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and wage violent insurrection
against the Mongols
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while simultaneously
fight against each other
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for control over the
revolutionary movement.
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1360.
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With his impressive intellect
and reputation for strategy,
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49 year old Liu Bowen
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becomes acquainted with
32 year old Zhu Yuanzhang,
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a leader of one of the
anti-Yuan rebel factions.
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- There's this other
figure, Zhu Yuanzhang,
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who is originally a peasant.
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He becomes a Buddhist monk,
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and as a young man
he becomes involved
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in an emergent organized
rebellion against the Mongols.
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(intense music continues)
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In his involvement
in the rebellion,
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Zhu rises up the
ranks pretty quickly,
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and he becomes an important
leader in the movement.
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Part of his success
in this movement
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is that he really approaches
this as a learning opportunity,
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and this means that
he's very eager
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to consult with learned people
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who have a developed
understanding of philosophy,
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political ideology, history,
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all of the elements
of understanding
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what's happening in the world.
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- We don't know exactly how
their meeting first takes place,
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but you can imagine
that for Liu Bowen
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this must feel like the
lifeline he's been looking for
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and an opportunity to
make a real difference
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against a government
he believes is corrupt.
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For Zhu, Liu is an
intellectual mastermind
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who can give him an edge
against all of his enemies.
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It seems like a
match made in heaven,
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and it's a partnership
that will prove
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to be incredibly successful
for both of them.
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(intense music continues)
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- [Narrator] Liu Bowen provides
crucial strategic advice
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and military insight
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to help Zhu Yuanzhang
combat rival rebel factions.
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Yet tales are told that
Liu Bowen's abilities
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go far beyond merely
a talent for strategy.
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- When Liu Bowen becomes
involved in the rebellion,
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one of the things that he
brings with him is the I Ching.
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The I Ching, it's something
like a reference book,
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but it's not full
of information.
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It's full of interpretable
signs, these 64 hexagrams.
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- [Narrator] The I Ching is
one of the most common forms
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of divination in
China at this time.
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The goal is to create
eight hexagrams.
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Each hexagram
consists of six lines,
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which are either
broken to represent yin
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or solid to represent yang.
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Each line of each hexagram
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is determined by ritualistically
shuffling and dividing
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50 yarrow stalks into piles.
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A yarrow stalk is the dried
stem of the yarrow plant.
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The number of stalks
in the piles determines
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whether you have a broken
line or a solid line.
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After doing this six times,
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you have one hexagram
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that consists of six
broken or solid lines.
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You then consult the I Ching,
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which provides a reading
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for each of the 64
possible hexagrams.
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After creating eight hexagrams,
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you are left with a
series of eight readings.
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You can then interpret how
those readings work together
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to create your final divination.
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- You are then able to
take the pattern created
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and consult the book of I Ching,
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and then basically discover
what is going to happen
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in the future.
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- Liu Bowen's system
for divination
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is reportedly even
more complicated,
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and combines the I
Ching with Wu Xing,
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which is the idea that
the five elements,
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water, wood, fire,
earth, and metal,
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are continually moving and
interacting with each other.
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(intense music continues)
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- Liu is going to be responsible
for using the I Ching
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to provide advice on matters
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ranging from weather predictions
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to strategic approaches
and formations.
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- [Narrator] 1363.
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Zhu Yuanzhang faces
a rival rebel leader
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in a naval battle
on Poyang Lake.
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He sails out on a
ship to join the fight
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with Liu Bowen by his side
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as the battle rages around them.
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- Liu observes a
comet flying overhead.
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- In Chinese astrology,
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comets have long been viewed
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as an omen of
impending calamity,
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especially for leaders.
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- Liu interprets
it as a warning,
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and grabs his friend
Zhu off of this boat,
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and says something
awful is happening.
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Immediately after that,
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the ship is destroyed by fire,
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and so Liu saved
his friend's life.
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And of course,
this will turn out
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to have momentous consequences,
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not just for the success
of this rebellion,
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but for the history of China.
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- [Narrator] In
1368, Zhu Yuanzhang
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successfully defeats the
Mongol controlled Yuan dynasty
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and becomes the first
emperor of the Ming dynasty.
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Liu Bowen is given a
prominent role in his court
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as Zhu's Eminent Chief Advisor.
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- With the triumph
of the Ming dynasty,
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China now is independent.
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It can carve its own path,
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decide its own destiny,
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and Liu becomes a major
statesman and a philosopher
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in the administration
of this new dynasty.
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He is going to play a major
role in deciding its direction,
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its shape, its future.
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- He crafts some of the
first government legislation.
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Yet, at the same time,
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his blunt honesty doesn't
win him any friends.
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Yet the Emperor still
appreciates that aspect of him
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most of the time.
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(inspiring music)
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- According to legend,
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it's during this
time that Liu Bowen
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produces his greatest work.
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- [Narrator] Liu Bowen
is most famous in China
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for a series of prophecies
known as the Shaobing Song.
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- One day, the emperor
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has a rather curious
meeting with Liu,
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where the emperor is
tucking into a delicacy
220
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called a Shaobing.
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It's a bit like a
pastry or a pancake.
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And as Lui approaches,
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he covers it up and asks Liu
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to guess what he's
just been eating.
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Liu guesses correctly.
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Maybe the aroma gives it away.
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Who knows?
228
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But he then gets into a
discussion with the Emperor
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about the future of
the Ming dynasty,
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and he warns of
barbarian invasions.
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He talks about
dragons and ghosts
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and other evil portents
that are on the horizon,
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00:11:46,400 --> 00:11:50,033
and this series of
very doomy prophecies
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becomes known as
the Shaobing Song
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after the pastry that
the emperor was eating.
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(ominous music)
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- [Narrator] One of
the Shaobing Song's
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00:11:59,567 --> 00:12:01,967
terrifying prophecies predicts:
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00:12:01,967 --> 00:12:04,434
"When the eunuchs are
used to protect the altars
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00:12:04,434 --> 00:12:06,367
of the earth and grain,
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00:12:06,367 --> 00:12:10,467
8,000 female ghosts
shall disturb the
country's stability."
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00:12:10,467 --> 00:12:15,667
Strangely, over 250
years later in 1624,
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a eunuch named Wei Zhongxian
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00:12:17,734 --> 00:12:20,100
takes control of the government.
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00:12:20,100 --> 00:12:21,967
For the next three years,
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00:12:21,967 --> 00:12:24,867
he ruthlessly terrorizes
the civilian population
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00:12:24,867 --> 00:12:26,301
and ruling class.
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00:12:27,433 --> 00:12:29,534
- What's remarkable
about this prophecy
249
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is that Wei Zhongxian
is actually referenced
in it by name.
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In the text of the prophecy
there appear the words
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00:12:37,867 --> 00:12:43,134
for eight, thousand,
female, and ghosts,
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and when you combine them,
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you get the character
for the surname Wei,
254
00:12:49,134 --> 00:12:52,967
which is the same as the
surname of Wei Zhongxian.
255
00:12:54,034 --> 00:12:56,067
- [Narrator] Through this
method of cryptic verses
256
00:12:56,067 --> 00:12:57,934
and mysterious wordplay,
257
00:12:57,934 --> 00:13:00,200
the Shaobing Song alludes to
258
00:13:00,200 --> 00:13:04,100
and seemingly predicts a number
of events in Chinese history
259
00:13:04,100 --> 00:13:06,867
hundreds of years after
Liu Bowen's death,
260
00:13:06,867 --> 00:13:10,034
including the 1449
Mongol invasion,
261
00:13:10,867 --> 00:13:14,034
the 1894 Sino-Japanese War,
262
00:13:15,100 --> 00:13:18,034
and the founding of the
Republic of China in 1911.
263
00:13:19,133 --> 00:13:21,833
- With such staggering
specificity,
264
00:13:21,833 --> 00:13:24,033
it's not hard to
see how Liu Bowen
265
00:13:24,033 --> 00:13:28,300
is revered as one of China's
greatest prognosticators.
266
00:13:28,300 --> 00:13:31,201
But you have to wonder
how is it possible
267
00:13:31,201 --> 00:13:35,034
he is able to prophesize
with such precision?
268
00:13:36,367 --> 00:13:38,834
- [Narrator] In 1371, Liu
Bowen receives permission
269
00:13:38,834 --> 00:13:41,101
from the Emperor to retire.
270
00:13:42,367 --> 00:13:45,334
Three years later, he passes
away at the age of 64,
271
00:13:45,334 --> 00:13:48,334
officially due to
complications from a cold.
272
00:13:49,534 --> 00:13:52,534
Yet there are rumors
that Liu Bowen's demise
273
00:13:52,534 --> 00:13:55,533
comes not from a health
condition, but murder.
274
00:13:55,533 --> 00:13:57,200
(ominous music continues)
275
00:13:57,200 --> 00:14:00,267
And it is said he issues
one final prophecy
276
00:14:00,267 --> 00:14:03,534
as a warning before
his untimely death.
277
00:14:03,534 --> 00:14:06,400
- It was said that his
insistence on honesty
278
00:14:06,400 --> 00:14:10,834
would ultimately be
Liu Bowen's undoing.
279
00:14:10,834 --> 00:14:12,434
A man named Hu Weiyong
280
00:14:12,434 --> 00:14:14,700
was angling to become
prime minister.
281
00:14:14,700 --> 00:14:16,901
However, Liu Bowen did not think
282
00:14:16,901 --> 00:14:18,200
he was suitable for the job,
283
00:14:18,200 --> 00:14:20,200
and he told the Emperor as such.
284
00:14:20,200 --> 00:14:23,400
Hu Weiyong, however,
was furious.
285
00:14:23,400 --> 00:14:25,767
He told the Emperor
that Liu Bowen
286
00:14:25,767 --> 00:14:28,700
was plotting against
him in vengeance.
287
00:14:28,700 --> 00:14:32,767
As a result, Liu Bowen was
stripped of all of his titles.
288
00:14:32,767 --> 00:14:34,600
He shortly died thereafter.
289
00:14:34,600 --> 00:14:38,733
(ominous music continues)
290
00:14:38,733 --> 00:14:42,234
- Several years
after Liu's death,
291
00:14:42,234 --> 00:14:45,734
Hu is discovered to
have been plotting
292
00:14:45,734 --> 00:14:51,167
against the Emperor and the
Emperor has him executed,
293
00:14:52,400 --> 00:14:55,767
along with 30,000 people
that the Emperor believes
294
00:14:55,767 --> 00:14:58,267
are involved in the conspiracy.
295
00:14:59,401 --> 00:15:01,001
- [Narrator] It is said
that before he dies,
296
00:15:01,001 --> 00:15:03,933
Liu Bowen warns
the emperor that Hu
297
00:15:03,933 --> 00:15:05,434
is not to be trusted
298
00:15:05,434 --> 00:15:08,167
and prophesies that he
is like a chariot horse
299
00:15:08,167 --> 00:15:10,334
about to break out
of its harness.
300
00:15:11,834 --> 00:15:14,500
- Is this Liu Bowen's
final prophecy,
301
00:15:14,500 --> 00:15:18,000
or perhaps a final
political analysis offered
302
00:15:18,000 --> 00:15:20,667
from a brilliant strategic mind?
303
00:15:20,667 --> 00:15:23,100
Or is there a third possibility?
304
00:15:23,100 --> 00:15:25,334
Is it possible that
some of the stories
305
00:15:25,334 --> 00:15:29,167
surrounding Liu Bowen have
taken on a life of their own?
306
00:15:30,601 --> 00:15:32,401
- [Narrator] To modern ears,
307
00:15:32,401 --> 00:15:35,434
one of the most
chilling prophecies
attributed to Liu Bowen
308
00:15:35,434 --> 00:15:39,534
is a prediction that seems
to be about COVID-19.
309
00:15:39,534 --> 00:15:41,300
"The earth will be in turmoil.
310
00:15:41,300 --> 00:15:44,167
The streets will be devoid
of people and activity.
311
00:15:44,167 --> 00:15:46,501
If you ask when the
epidemic will happen,
312
00:15:46,501 --> 00:15:49,867
look to the winter between
the eighth and ninth months.
313
00:15:49,867 --> 00:15:52,333
The pig and rat years
will be difficult."
314
00:15:52,333 --> 00:15:57,601
- You can see how people have
taken that and construed it
315
00:15:58,800 --> 00:16:00,834
as a prophecy of
the COVID pandemic,
316
00:16:00,834 --> 00:16:04,167
seven, eight centuries
before it happened.
317
00:16:04,167 --> 00:16:06,801
- This story is not
actually a prophecy
318
00:16:06,801 --> 00:16:08,167
from the Shaobing Song,
319
00:16:08,167 --> 00:16:11,034
but some say is
actually from a tablet
320
00:16:11,034 --> 00:16:13,701
that was only uncovered
about 30 years ago,
321
00:16:13,701 --> 00:16:18,067
but actually originates from a
leaflet printed in the 1920s.
322
00:16:18,067 --> 00:16:20,134
- There are also questions
about the validity
323
00:16:20,134 --> 00:16:21,700
of the Shaobing Song,
324
00:16:21,700 --> 00:16:25,067
in large part because the
earliest written version
325
00:16:25,067 --> 00:16:30,534
that we have of these prophecies
is actually from the 1800s.
326
00:16:31,267 --> 00:16:33,934
(intense music)
327
00:16:34,900 --> 00:16:36,067
- [Narrator] 1860.
328
00:16:36,067 --> 00:16:37,667
The Second Opium War.
329
00:16:37,667 --> 00:16:40,933
China is under siege by
English and French troops,
330
00:16:40,933 --> 00:16:43,400
who want increased
trading rights in China
331
00:16:43,400 --> 00:16:46,001
and are willing to
take them by force.
332
00:16:47,167 --> 00:16:50,034
In October, Western
troops capture Beijing
333
00:16:50,034 --> 00:16:52,467
and burn down the
Emperor's Summer Palace.
334
00:16:52,467 --> 00:16:54,034
(fire crackling)
335
00:16:54,034 --> 00:16:56,700
According to legend, one
of these soldiers emerges
336
00:16:56,700 --> 00:17:00,434
from the burning building
carrying a mysterious box.
337
00:17:02,401 --> 00:17:05,800
- One of the proposed
places of discovery
338
00:17:05,800 --> 00:17:07,267
of the Shaobing Song
339
00:17:07,267 --> 00:17:10,301
actually comes from
a European soldier
340
00:17:10,301 --> 00:17:14,134
stumbling on a box of
ancient Chinese writings,
341
00:17:14,134 --> 00:17:16,834
and the Shaobing Song
was supposedly in there.
342
00:17:16,834 --> 00:17:20,833
Now, evidently it was
said that this writing
343
00:17:20,833 --> 00:17:23,300
was hidden by the
emperors at the time,
344
00:17:23,300 --> 00:17:26,833
because if it were
to be released,
345
00:17:26,833 --> 00:17:29,800
it would create chaos
within the public.
346
00:17:29,800 --> 00:17:31,467
(intense music continues)
347
00:17:31,467 --> 00:17:35,067
- The question is were
they really generated
348
00:17:35,067 --> 00:17:36,834
in the 14th century,
349
00:17:36,834 --> 00:17:40,634
or are they an invention
of the 19th century
350
00:17:40,634 --> 00:17:43,034
and purported to have derived
351
00:17:43,034 --> 00:17:45,467
from several centuries earlier?
352
00:17:45,467 --> 00:17:47,801
And if they are a 19th
century invention,
353
00:17:47,801 --> 00:17:50,834
what does that mean
for Liu's legacy,
354
00:17:50,834 --> 00:17:55,567
for the meaning of
the Shaobing Song?
355
00:17:55,567 --> 00:17:56,900
- By crafting your propaganda
356
00:17:56,900 --> 00:17:59,000
so that you're showing
that some predictions
357
00:17:59,000 --> 00:18:01,367
which have already
happened were proven right,
358
00:18:01,367 --> 00:18:05,401
it also makes your
future predictions
seem more legitimate.
359
00:18:05,401 --> 00:18:06,834
You're saying to people
360
00:18:06,834 --> 00:18:09,133
that we are living
in prophetic times.
361
00:18:09,133 --> 00:18:12,200
You are living in
an important time.
362
00:18:12,200 --> 00:18:16,133
Liu Bowen, the famous
Chinese prophet,
363
00:18:16,133 --> 00:18:18,734
has said that our
time is important.
364
00:18:18,734 --> 00:18:21,400
This is the greatest
propaganda of all.
365
00:18:21,400 --> 00:18:22,901
(intense music)
366
00:18:22,901 --> 00:18:24,367
- [Narrator] Although
there are questions
367
00:18:24,367 --> 00:18:26,533
over who exactly wrote
the Shaobing Song,
368
00:18:26,533 --> 00:18:30,034
Liu Bowen continues to be
revered throughout China,
369
00:18:30,034 --> 00:18:31,834
even to this day.
370
00:18:31,834 --> 00:18:35,901
But where does the man
end and the myth begin?
371
00:18:36,867 --> 00:18:40,434
- Liu Bowen clearly was
a legitimate statesman,
372
00:18:40,434 --> 00:18:43,900
somebody who was very
important in shaping China
373
00:18:43,900 --> 00:18:46,534
as it became independent
of Mongol rule,
374
00:18:46,534 --> 00:18:51,033
somebody who has inspired other
political figures in China
375
00:18:51,033 --> 00:18:52,167
down the centuries.
376
00:18:52,167 --> 00:18:53,867
But at the same time,
377
00:18:53,867 --> 00:18:57,534
he's become a kind of
a cult esoteric figure,
378
00:18:57,534 --> 00:18:59,367
a kind of soothsayer.
379
00:18:59,367 --> 00:19:02,200
And so what we have
to ask, looking back,
380
00:19:02,200 --> 00:19:05,167
is who is the real Liu Bowen?
381
00:19:05,167 --> 00:19:07,801
Was he statesman
and philosopher,
382
00:19:07,801 --> 00:19:10,933
or was he prophesier
and soothsayer?
383
00:19:10,933 --> 00:19:12,033
Or was he both?
384
00:19:12,033 --> 00:19:13,401
(intense music continues)
385
00:19:13,401 --> 00:19:15,367
- He's a popular hero
386
00:19:15,367 --> 00:19:18,401
who has transcended his
own historical moment
387
00:19:18,401 --> 00:19:21,134
and even the details
of his historical life
388
00:19:21,134 --> 00:19:26,434
and has achieved something
almost like a superhero status
389
00:19:27,234 --> 00:19:28,501
in the Chinese imagination.
390
00:19:30,133 --> 00:19:34,200
- Regardless of whether Liu
Bowen wrote the Shaobing Song,
391
00:19:34,200 --> 00:19:37,767
whether it was written in the
14th century or much later,
392
00:19:37,767 --> 00:19:40,767
it's important not
to underestimate
393
00:19:40,767 --> 00:19:44,067
the cultural
significance of this text
394
00:19:44,067 --> 00:19:47,234
for China's culture and history.
395
00:19:48,233 --> 00:19:49,767
- [Narrator] Liu
Bowen, still revered
396
00:19:49,767 --> 00:19:51,900
as one of China's
greatest divinators,
397
00:19:51,900 --> 00:19:55,033
wielded prophesies meant
to illuminate the path
398
00:19:55,033 --> 00:19:57,433
of wisdom for an emperor.
399
00:19:57,433 --> 00:19:59,900
Yet prophecy is a
double-edged sword
400
00:19:59,900 --> 00:20:03,400
capable of revealing
both triumph and tragedy.
401
00:20:03,400 --> 00:20:05,733
(intense music)
402
00:20:05,733 --> 00:20:08,033
Half a world away
in ancient Rome,
403
00:20:08,033 --> 00:20:10,701
another seer would peer
through the veil of time
404
00:20:10,701 --> 00:20:13,767
to glimpse a fate
far more foreboding
405
00:20:13,767 --> 00:20:15,567
and would utilize
his power not merely
406
00:20:15,567 --> 00:20:19,600
to guide but to save a
dictator from impending doom.
407
00:20:19,600 --> 00:20:22,433
(intense music continues)
408
00:20:22,433 --> 00:20:26,134
March 15th, 44 BCE.
409
00:20:26,134 --> 00:20:29,767
Julius Caesar arrives in a
meeting of the Roman Senate.
410
00:20:29,767 --> 00:20:31,900
A group of senators
approach him,
411
00:20:31,900 --> 00:20:34,900
seemingly to speak with
him about a petition.
412
00:20:34,900 --> 00:20:38,034
Suddenly, a senator's
hand shoots out.
413
00:20:38,034 --> 00:20:39,867
He grabs Caesar's toga.
414
00:20:39,867 --> 00:20:41,800
He rips it from his neck.
415
00:20:41,800 --> 00:20:44,167
A dagger is thrust
at his throat.
416
00:20:44,167 --> 00:20:46,434
The other senators
descend upon him,
417
00:20:46,434 --> 00:20:48,534
stabbing him 23 times
418
00:20:48,534 --> 00:20:52,267
until Caesar lies dead
on the Senate floor.
419
00:20:52,267 --> 00:20:53,700
Amongst the murderous senators
420
00:20:53,700 --> 00:20:55,567
are Caesar's political rivals,
421
00:20:55,567 --> 00:20:57,600
but also his friends.
422
00:20:57,600 --> 00:21:01,034
The betrayal is so
profound that even today,
423
00:21:01,034 --> 00:21:03,667
it is considered one of the
ultimate tales of treachery.
424
00:21:03,667 --> 00:21:06,001
(intense music continues)
425
00:21:06,001 --> 00:21:10,001
And yet, should Caesar have
really been so surprised?
426
00:21:11,601 --> 00:21:12,933
According to some accounts,
427
00:21:12,933 --> 00:21:16,134
Caesar did not enter the
Senate without warning.
428
00:21:16,134 --> 00:21:20,867
It is said he was told,
"Beware the Ides of March."
429
00:21:20,867 --> 00:21:24,467
- In Shakespeare's tragic
play, "Julius Caesar,"
430
00:21:24,467 --> 00:21:25,867
we see a soothsayer,
431
00:21:25,867 --> 00:21:28,667
a prophesier who
shouts from the crowd,
432
00:21:28,667 --> 00:21:31,767
"Beware the Ides of March."
433
00:21:31,767 --> 00:21:35,334
And what this is saying is
that at this particular date,
434
00:21:35,334 --> 00:21:40,067
something terrible is going to
happen to you, Julius Caesar.
435
00:21:40,067 --> 00:21:42,033
But he doesn't heed the warning.
436
00:21:42,033 --> 00:21:45,933
He goes to the Senate
regardless and meets his fate.
437
00:21:45,933 --> 00:21:48,167
(intense music continues)
438
00:21:48,167 --> 00:21:53,434
- But did Caesar's death really
occur the way he was warned?
439
00:21:54,834 --> 00:21:57,534
Or was it the way that
Shakespeare depicted?
440
00:21:57,534 --> 00:22:01,033
Or was it even more mysterious?
441
00:22:01,033 --> 00:22:04,901
(intense music continues)
442
00:22:07,734 --> 00:22:10,234
- [Narrator] In the
first century BCE,
443
00:22:10,234 --> 00:22:14,934
Rome is a democracy and has
been for almost 500 years.
444
00:22:14,934 --> 00:22:18,267
One of the most important
elements of that democracy
445
00:22:18,267 --> 00:22:19,401
is the Senate.
446
00:22:21,200 --> 00:22:25,700
- The Senate in
Rome is a largely
aristocratic institution.
447
00:22:25,700 --> 00:22:27,534
- These men were part of a body
448
00:22:27,534 --> 00:22:29,733
that had ruled for centuries.
449
00:22:29,733 --> 00:22:31,567
They were in charge
of the treasury,
450
00:22:31,567 --> 00:22:33,401
in charge of the military.
451
00:22:34,467 --> 00:22:37,134
- The Roman Republic,
as it then was,
452
00:22:37,134 --> 00:22:39,034
not the Roman Empire,
453
00:22:39,034 --> 00:22:43,500
had become the most powerful
political force in Europe.
454
00:22:43,500 --> 00:22:47,667
It had basically invaded
all its neighbors.
455
00:22:47,667 --> 00:22:49,767
And it really was emerging
456
00:22:49,767 --> 00:22:52,567
as the superpower of
the Mediterranean.
457
00:22:52,567 --> 00:22:54,067
But as that happened,
458
00:22:54,067 --> 00:22:57,667
power was becoming
concentrated in Rome
459
00:22:57,667 --> 00:23:00,301
into fewer and fewer hands.
460
00:23:00,301 --> 00:23:03,767
And the democracy that
had once been the hallmark
461
00:23:03,767 --> 00:23:07,033
of the Roman Republic
was being eroded.
462
00:23:07,033 --> 00:23:10,001
(intense music)
463
00:23:11,167 --> 00:23:14,801
- [Narrator] Born into an
aristocratic family in 100 BCE,
464
00:23:14,801 --> 00:23:17,234
Julius Caesar quickly
establishes himself
465
00:23:17,234 --> 00:23:21,167
as both a statesman and a
general of the Roman army.
466
00:23:21,167 --> 00:23:24,734
He rises in power through
strategic political alliances
467
00:23:24,734 --> 00:23:27,633
and a series of military
victories abroad.
468
00:23:27,633 --> 00:23:29,133
(intense music continues)
469
00:23:29,133 --> 00:23:33,800
In 49 BCE, the Senate, wary
of his increasing power,
470
00:23:33,800 --> 00:23:36,834
orders him to step
down from his command.
471
00:23:36,834 --> 00:23:40,200
Caesar refuses and
marches his army to Rome.
472
00:23:40,200 --> 00:23:42,634
This leads to a brutal civil war
473
00:23:42,634 --> 00:23:44,901
that will last for four years.
474
00:23:46,601 --> 00:23:48,767
Ultimately, Caesar prevails
475
00:23:48,767 --> 00:23:51,200
and seizes control
of the government,
476
00:23:51,200 --> 00:23:55,067
declaring himself dictator
for the next ten years.
477
00:23:56,134 --> 00:23:59,233
- Caesar, his
successful campaigns,
478
00:23:59,233 --> 00:24:01,834
his great propagandizing,
479
00:24:01,834 --> 00:24:04,200
his erection of
statues as himself,
480
00:24:04,200 --> 00:24:08,300
to the senators, they see
him as a potential despot,
481
00:24:08,300 --> 00:24:10,534
someone that they can't control.
482
00:24:12,067 --> 00:24:14,500
- [Narrator] Caesar's enemies'
fears seem to prove true
483
00:24:14,500 --> 00:24:19,967
when, in 44 BCE, he proclaims
himself dictator for life.
484
00:24:21,201 --> 00:24:23,367
- The senators were
convinced that the only way
485
00:24:23,367 --> 00:24:25,601
to stop Caesar's
assumption of power
486
00:24:25,601 --> 00:24:27,700
was to assassinate him.
487
00:24:27,700 --> 00:24:32,367
- Looking at it now, through
the lens of 2,000 years,
488
00:24:32,367 --> 00:24:37,333
it's not that difficult to
predict the death of Caesar.
489
00:24:37,333 --> 00:24:38,867
But at the time,
490
00:24:38,867 --> 00:24:42,567
was it really possible
for a soothsayer
491
00:24:42,567 --> 00:24:44,033
to predict his death?
492
00:24:44,033 --> 00:24:46,033
(ominous music)
493
00:24:46,033 --> 00:24:48,400
- [Narrator] Predictions
about the future are common
494
00:24:48,400 --> 00:24:49,534
in ancient Rome,
495
00:24:50,833 --> 00:24:52,467
and the ability to
influence and interpret
496
00:24:52,467 --> 00:24:53,933
the will of the gods
497
00:24:53,933 --> 00:24:57,034
is an important part of
their religious beliefs.
498
00:24:58,200 --> 00:25:01,534
- The difference between Roman
religion and, for example,
499
00:25:01,534 --> 00:25:03,034
the Abrahamic religions,
500
00:25:03,034 --> 00:25:05,101
Judaism, Christianity, Islam,
501
00:25:05,101 --> 00:25:08,933
is that the Roman religion
was more transactional
502
00:25:08,933 --> 00:25:11,167
in its relationship
with the gods.
503
00:25:11,167 --> 00:25:14,267
This wasn't about
what you believe.
504
00:25:14,267 --> 00:25:16,534
It wasn't about a moral system.
505
00:25:16,534 --> 00:25:18,267
It was more about negotiating
506
00:25:18,267 --> 00:25:20,934
with the gods to get something:
507
00:25:20,934 --> 00:25:24,234
Sacrifice an animal,
will I win this battle?
508
00:25:25,534 --> 00:25:29,001
- The ancient Romans
believed in the human ability
509
00:25:29,001 --> 00:25:32,101
to interpret the gods' will
510
00:25:32,101 --> 00:25:35,667
through certain
interpretive practices.
511
00:25:35,667 --> 00:25:37,000
(ominous music continues)
512
00:25:37,000 --> 00:25:39,934
In the time of Julius Caesar,
513
00:25:39,934 --> 00:25:44,934
there are 16 state-employed
augurs whose job it is
514
00:25:45,933 --> 00:25:48,867
to interpret the
will of the gods
515
00:25:48,867 --> 00:25:51,033
based on interpretation of signs
516
00:25:51,033 --> 00:25:54,467
such as lightning
and weather events
517
00:25:54,467 --> 00:25:55,567
or the behavior of birds.
518
00:25:55,567 --> 00:25:57,067
(birds chirping)
519
00:25:57,067 --> 00:25:58,567
- [Narrator] It
is not the augurs
520
00:25:58,567 --> 00:26:00,467
who will predict Caesar's death.
521
00:26:00,467 --> 00:26:02,900
(ominous music)
522
00:26:02,900 --> 00:26:04,834
Caesar's death is
well documented
523
00:26:04,834 --> 00:26:06,867
by several classical writers,
524
00:26:06,867 --> 00:26:08,833
including someone
who knew him in life,
525
00:26:08,833 --> 00:26:12,034
the Roman scholar and
politician Cicero.
526
00:26:13,167 --> 00:26:15,167
These accounts state that
Caesar is issued a warning
527
00:26:15,167 --> 00:26:18,533
by a mysterious
divinator named Spurinna.
528
00:26:18,533 --> 00:26:20,067
(ominous music continues)
529
00:26:20,067 --> 00:26:22,601
- The soothsayer who
warns Julius Caesar
530
00:26:22,601 --> 00:26:24,734
of his impending doom
531
00:26:24,734 --> 00:26:26,501
is a man called Spurinna
532
00:26:26,501 --> 00:26:29,901
who we believe was Etruscan.
533
00:26:29,901 --> 00:26:34,567
- The Etruscans are a
people from a region
534
00:26:34,567 --> 00:26:36,467
just north of Rome,
535
00:26:36,467 --> 00:26:39,067
in what is today Tuscany.
536
00:26:39,067 --> 00:26:41,734
This region was
conquered by the Romans
537
00:26:41,734 --> 00:26:43,101
in the 3rd century BCE,
538
00:26:44,401 --> 00:26:47,967
and there is a certain
level of cultural exchange.
539
00:26:47,967 --> 00:26:51,334
- Now, Rome had once been
ruled by the Etruscans,
540
00:26:51,334 --> 00:26:54,667
and they had a kind
of certain suspicion,
541
00:26:54,667 --> 00:26:58,667
wariness of the
Etruscan culture,
542
00:26:58,667 --> 00:27:01,000
Etruscan religious system,
543
00:27:01,000 --> 00:27:03,933
even though they were
also influenced by it.
544
00:27:03,933 --> 00:27:06,200
And there's this idea
that the Etruscans
545
00:27:06,200 --> 00:27:10,367
have a kind of knowledge that
is a little bit dangerous.
546
00:27:10,367 --> 00:27:11,400
(ominous music)
547
00:27:11,400 --> 00:27:14,501
- Etruscan religion
is heavily reliant
548
00:27:14,501 --> 00:27:16,301
on divination practices,
549
00:27:16,301 --> 00:27:20,034
and this is because
the Etruscans believed
550
00:27:20,034 --> 00:27:22,400
that the divine is everywhere,
551
00:27:22,400 --> 00:27:26,033
from the tiniest leaf to
the clouds in the sky.
552
00:27:26,033 --> 00:27:31,301
And divination is the practice
of being in conversation
553
00:27:32,067 --> 00:27:35,033
with the divine as it manifests
554
00:27:35,033 --> 00:27:38,901
in every material
aspect of human life.
555
00:27:40,067 --> 00:27:43,167
- Although Rome had
its own state augurs,
556
00:27:43,167 --> 00:27:47,167
Etruscans were especially
well known for haruspicy.
557
00:27:47,167 --> 00:27:49,400
Haruspicy becomes
a specialization
558
00:27:49,400 --> 00:27:52,833
that the Romans respect
among the Etruscan people.
559
00:27:52,833 --> 00:27:54,234
(ominous music continues)
560
00:27:54,234 --> 00:27:56,033
- [Narrator] The
practice of haruspicy
561
00:27:56,033 --> 00:27:58,901
is an ancient and mysterious
form of divination
562
00:27:58,901 --> 00:28:01,800
that dates back
thousands of years.
563
00:28:01,800 --> 00:28:04,967
It is a practice not well
suited for the faint of heart
564
00:28:04,967 --> 00:28:06,634
or the weak of stomach,
565
00:28:06,634 --> 00:28:08,301
as it involves
reading the organs
566
00:28:08,301 --> 00:28:11,901
of sacrificial animals
like sheep and oxen.
567
00:28:12,667 --> 00:28:13,967
- So haruspicy is
this particular
568
00:28:13,967 --> 00:28:16,300
specialization of
prognostication,
569
00:28:16,300 --> 00:28:22,001
and this is when a haruspex
performs a ritual on an animal
570
00:28:22,534 --> 00:28:23,967
and reads the entrails.
571
00:28:23,967 --> 00:28:26,200
(ominous music continues)
572
00:28:26,200 --> 00:28:27,567
- [Narrator] For the Etruscans,
573
00:28:27,567 --> 00:28:29,767
haruspicy is not just an art.
574
00:28:29,767 --> 00:28:31,900
It is almost a science.
575
00:28:31,900 --> 00:28:33,700
It is a well-established
discipline,
576
00:28:33,700 --> 00:28:37,100
with protocols handed down
from generation to generation
577
00:28:37,100 --> 00:28:39,434
through a series
of Etruscan texts
578
00:28:39,434 --> 00:28:42,600
the Romans called the
Etrusca Disciplina.
579
00:28:42,600 --> 00:28:44,534
(ominous music continues)
580
00:28:44,534 --> 00:28:45,800
- Once the offering was made,
581
00:28:45,800 --> 00:28:47,467
the entrails were
kept, set aside,
582
00:28:47,467 --> 00:28:50,833
and then they would be
examined as a predictive tool.
583
00:28:50,833 --> 00:28:52,701
So whether the
entrails are clean,
584
00:28:52,701 --> 00:28:54,134
whether there are any marks,
585
00:28:54,134 --> 00:28:55,934
the location of said markings,
586
00:28:55,934 --> 00:28:59,467
all of that would be used
to interpret the result
587
00:28:59,467 --> 00:29:00,467
of the divination.
588
00:29:00,467 --> 00:29:01,867
(ominous music)
589
00:29:01,867 --> 00:29:03,200
- [Narrator] During
Caesar's time,
590
00:29:03,200 --> 00:29:05,534
haruspicy plays
an important role
591
00:29:05,534 --> 00:29:07,967
in the affairs of ancient Rome.
592
00:29:07,967 --> 00:29:11,367
- Haruspicy was not
state-sanctioned
in ancient Rome,
593
00:29:11,367 --> 00:29:13,967
unlike the augurs who were
part of the priesthood,
594
00:29:13,967 --> 00:29:16,767
but it was a very
popular practice,
595
00:29:16,767 --> 00:29:19,001
even if it was controversial.
596
00:29:20,134 --> 00:29:23,667
- Who is Spurinna in the
context of Caesar's prophecy?
597
00:29:23,667 --> 00:29:25,633
Some have suggested
that Spurinna
598
00:29:25,633 --> 00:29:29,367
was the haruspex or
soothsayer of Rome itself,
599
00:29:29,367 --> 00:29:33,034
or perhaps the personal
haruspex of Caesar.
600
00:29:34,301 --> 00:29:35,534
- [Narrator] Although
Spurinna's exact identity
601
00:29:35,534 --> 00:29:37,100
has been lost to time,
602
00:29:37,100 --> 00:29:38,533
he will deliver a prophecy
603
00:29:38,533 --> 00:29:41,367
that will reverberate
through the ages.
604
00:29:42,434 --> 00:29:44,534
It is a few weeks
before his death.
605
00:29:44,534 --> 00:29:47,767
Caesar performs the rituals
of a votive sacrifice.
606
00:29:47,767 --> 00:29:53,201
He offers prayers, wine, and
incense, and sacrifices an ox.
607
00:29:54,034 --> 00:29:55,667
Spurinna examines the results
608
00:29:55,667 --> 00:29:57,467
and is shocked by
what he discovers.
609
00:29:57,467 --> 00:30:01,101
He reports to Caesar that
it is a very bad omen.
610
00:30:01,101 --> 00:30:03,533
The bull has no heart.
611
00:30:03,533 --> 00:30:05,167
- Spurinna says to Caesar,
612
00:30:05,167 --> 00:30:08,367
"This is an appalling augury.
613
00:30:08,367 --> 00:30:12,000
This is a terrible portent
of what's going to happen."
614
00:30:12,000 --> 00:30:14,800
Well, Caesar decides to
go for another attempt,
615
00:30:14,800 --> 00:30:16,434
another sacrifice,
616
00:30:17,600 --> 00:30:21,967
but this one has a very
badly deformed liver.
617
00:30:21,967 --> 00:30:24,700
And the same person,
Spurinna, says,
618
00:30:24,700 --> 00:30:27,701
"Look, Caesar, this is not good.
619
00:30:27,701 --> 00:30:29,500
By the Ides of March,
620
00:30:29,500 --> 00:30:32,167
something terrible is
going to happen to you."
621
00:30:32,167 --> 00:30:34,101
(ominous music continues)
622
00:30:34,101 --> 00:30:37,334
- The Shakespearean
version of the prophecy
623
00:30:37,334 --> 00:30:43,001
has Spurinna warned Caesar
of the Ides of March,
624
00:30:43,667 --> 00:30:45,867
which means the middle of March,
625
00:30:45,867 --> 00:30:49,533
and in particular
the 15th of March.
626
00:30:49,533 --> 00:30:51,300
(ominous music continues)
627
00:30:51,300 --> 00:30:53,000
- [Narrator] While
sources differ
628
00:30:53,000 --> 00:30:55,033
on some of the specifics
of how or when Caesar
629
00:30:55,033 --> 00:30:57,767
receives the prophecy
from Spurinna,
630
00:30:57,767 --> 00:31:00,601
many seem to agree
that it did occur.
631
00:31:01,767 --> 00:31:04,501
- Was he relying
truly on prophecy,
632
00:31:04,501 --> 00:31:07,367
or was he reading the political
temperature of the time?
633
00:31:07,367 --> 00:31:10,267
We know that rumors were
swirling throughout Rome
634
00:31:10,267 --> 00:31:13,067
that Caesar was in
danger of assassination,
635
00:31:13,067 --> 00:31:16,567
and the fact that Caesar
was leaving March 18th
636
00:31:16,567 --> 00:31:19,101
in order to go on another
military expedition,
637
00:31:19,101 --> 00:31:22,100
the rumors were that
the assassination
638
00:31:22,100 --> 00:31:24,267
would have to happen soon.
639
00:31:25,700 --> 00:31:28,434
- [Narrator] Whether it is a
prophecy deduced by divination
640
00:31:29,901 --> 00:31:32,501
or a warning based on
shifting political tides,
641
00:31:33,433 --> 00:31:36,000
Caesar dismisses
Spurinna's words.
642
00:31:36,000 --> 00:31:37,434
(ominous music continues)
643
00:31:37,434 --> 00:31:39,600
- On the morning of
the 15th of March,
644
00:31:39,600 --> 00:31:41,534
Caesar goes to the Senate,
645
00:31:41,534 --> 00:31:45,934
and he's going there in a
mood of grim determination.
646
00:31:45,934 --> 00:31:48,201
He's going to defy
this prophecy.
647
00:31:48,201 --> 00:31:51,067
Nothing bad is going
to happen to him.
648
00:31:51,067 --> 00:31:52,667
- It's often
mentioned that Brutus
649
00:31:52,667 --> 00:31:56,100
was a key conspirator in
the assassination of Caesar,
650
00:31:56,100 --> 00:31:58,434
but it was actually his
closest friend, Decimus,
651
00:31:58,434 --> 00:32:02,000
who encouraged him on that
day to go to the Senate.
652
00:32:02,000 --> 00:32:04,600
- This is a trap, a death trap.
653
00:32:04,600 --> 00:32:08,434
The senators are there,
armed underneath their togas,
654
00:32:08,434 --> 00:32:12,601
waiting for him, ready to
plunge their knives in.
655
00:32:12,601 --> 00:32:14,601
Caesar begins to speak,
656
00:32:14,601 --> 00:32:17,967
and they choose their
moment to assassinate him.
657
00:32:17,967 --> 00:32:20,500
(ominous music continues)
658
00:32:20,500 --> 00:32:23,434
(Caesar grunting)
659
00:32:25,833 --> 00:32:28,634
(intense music)
660
00:32:29,734 --> 00:32:32,000
- One would have to
wonder why Caesar
661
00:32:32,000 --> 00:32:34,134
would walk into the
Senate that day,
662
00:32:34,134 --> 00:32:36,000
with all these rumors swirling
663
00:32:36,000 --> 00:32:37,867
about a potential assassination.
664
00:32:37,867 --> 00:32:40,434
Perhaps he trusted his
friend Decimus enough
665
00:32:40,434 --> 00:32:42,034
and didn't believe them.
666
00:32:42,034 --> 00:32:44,667
Perhaps he was very arrogant
and felt the senators
667
00:32:44,667 --> 00:32:48,000
would never rise against him
because he was so powerful.
668
00:32:48,000 --> 00:32:50,000
(intense music continues)
669
00:32:50,000 --> 00:32:51,501
- [Narrator] After
Caesar's death,
670
00:32:51,501 --> 00:32:53,634
the men responsible
for his assassination
671
00:32:53,634 --> 00:32:56,001
are hunted down and executed.
672
00:32:56,001 --> 00:32:57,567
The bloodshed continues
673
00:32:57,567 --> 00:33:00,767
and Rome erupts into a
series of civil wars.
674
00:33:00,767 --> 00:33:03,401
The Republic is
never fully restored.
675
00:33:04,567 --> 00:33:07,167
- The period following
Caesar's death is chaos.
676
00:33:07,167 --> 00:33:09,900
Rome essentially
erupts into civil war,
677
00:33:09,900 --> 00:33:11,534
which lasts years.
678
00:33:11,534 --> 00:33:14,967
It involves notable figures
such as Mark Antony,
679
00:33:14,967 --> 00:33:16,934
and the Egyptian
queen Cleopatra,
680
00:33:16,934 --> 00:33:20,400
and, of course, Caesar's
adopted son, Octavian.
681
00:33:20,400 --> 00:33:23,834
In the end, it would be
Octavian that would triumph.
682
00:33:23,834 --> 00:33:28,401
He will become Rome's
first emperor, Augustus.
683
00:33:30,400 --> 00:33:32,567
- [Narrator] The life and
death of Julius Caesar
684
00:33:32,567 --> 00:33:34,133
changes the course of history.
685
00:33:34,133 --> 00:33:35,700
(intense music continues)
686
00:33:35,700 --> 00:33:37,900
But if he had
heeded the warnings,
687
00:33:37,900 --> 00:33:39,967
could it have been prevented?
688
00:33:41,000 --> 00:33:42,733
- Whether you
believe that Caesar
689
00:33:42,733 --> 00:33:48,201
was forewarned of his death
through the power of prophecy
690
00:33:48,867 --> 00:33:50,233
or through politics,
691
00:33:50,233 --> 00:33:52,767
the question still remains
692
00:33:52,767 --> 00:33:57,234
why he didn't seek
to protect his life.
693
00:33:58,634 --> 00:34:01,367
- [Narrator] Julius Caesar's
response, or lack thereof,
694
00:34:01,367 --> 00:34:04,867
to a dire warning will
alter the course of history.
695
00:34:04,867 --> 00:34:06,801
(ominous music)
696
00:34:06,801 --> 00:34:10,101
Centuries later, there
exists another prophecy
697
00:34:10,101 --> 00:34:14,634
that's far more sinister and
entirely absent of choice,
698
00:34:14,634 --> 00:34:16,100
one that does not
announce itself
699
00:34:16,100 --> 00:34:18,001
through a concerned messenger,
700
00:34:18,001 --> 00:34:21,467
but, instead, runs like a
poison through a bloodline.
701
00:34:21,467 --> 00:34:23,567
(ominous music continues)
702
00:34:23,567 --> 00:34:25,367
- [Narrator] 1800. Scotland.
703
00:34:26,467 --> 00:34:30,467
A fire rages, engulfing
a stately mansion
704
00:34:30,467 --> 00:34:32,134
called Alloa House.
705
00:34:32,134 --> 00:34:33,967
It is the home of one
706
00:34:33,967 --> 00:34:36,567
of the great Scottish noble
families, the Erskines.
707
00:34:38,234 --> 00:34:40,933
The family mercifully
escapes with their lives,
708
00:34:40,933 --> 00:34:43,800
but their home is
completely destroyed.
709
00:34:43,800 --> 00:34:46,634
By morning, the only
thing still standing
710
00:34:46,634 --> 00:34:48,134
is the medieval fortification
711
00:34:48,134 --> 00:34:50,967
the mansion was built
around, Alloa Tower.
712
00:34:50,967 --> 00:34:53,100
(ominous music continues)
713
00:34:53,100 --> 00:34:54,867
- [Narrator] This is
a devastating loss
714
00:34:54,867 --> 00:34:56,367
for the Erskine family,
715
00:34:56,367 --> 00:34:59,800
but perhaps to some
it is not a surprise.
716
00:34:59,800 --> 00:35:01,301
According to local legend,
717
00:35:01,301 --> 00:35:05,034
200 years ago, an abbot
stood at Alloa Tower
718
00:35:05,034 --> 00:35:06,900
and laid a curse upon the family
719
00:35:06,900 --> 00:35:10,300
that would haunt them
for centuries to come,
720
00:35:10,300 --> 00:35:12,801
the Doom of Mar.
721
00:35:12,801 --> 00:35:15,667
- The Doom of Mar is
this generational curse
722
00:35:15,667 --> 00:35:18,467
on one of the most influential
families in Scotland.
723
00:35:18,467 --> 00:35:20,367
(ominous music continues)
724
00:35:20,367 --> 00:35:22,700
- [Narrator] Alloa was a
small town in Scotland,
725
00:35:22,700 --> 00:35:25,067
located in the
Scottish Lowlands.
726
00:35:25,067 --> 00:35:29,000
It is surrounded by lush green
rolling hills and valleys.
727
00:35:29,000 --> 00:35:31,933
One of the most striking
features on the landscape
728
00:35:31,933 --> 00:35:33,767
is Alloa Tower.
729
00:35:33,767 --> 00:35:35,467
Built during the 1300s,
730
00:35:35,467 --> 00:35:39,000
the tower stands at an
imposing 68 feet tall
731
00:35:39,000 --> 00:35:40,767
and 40 feet wide.
732
00:35:40,767 --> 00:35:45,001
- Alloa Tower is
a typical medieval
defensive fortification.
733
00:35:45,001 --> 00:35:46,467
It's incredibly strong.
734
00:35:46,467 --> 00:35:48,467
Its walls are thick.
735
00:35:48,467 --> 00:35:50,233
It has a dungeon,
736
00:35:50,233 --> 00:35:54,367
and it is one of Scotland's
best preserved medieval keeps.
737
00:35:55,200 --> 00:35:56,534
- [Narrator] The Erskines live
738
00:35:56,534 --> 00:35:58,534
at Alloa Tower for generations.
739
00:35:58,534 --> 00:36:01,167
But there's one member of
the family in particular
740
00:36:01,167 --> 00:36:05,800
who will soon attract the
wrath of the Doom of Mar.
741
00:36:05,800 --> 00:36:08,000
- The origins of the
story of the curse
742
00:36:08,000 --> 00:36:09,600
are rooted in the 16th century,
743
00:36:09,600 --> 00:36:13,600
in an act of profound
betrayal when John Erskine,
744
00:36:13,600 --> 00:36:17,133
who had been a staunch supporter
of Mary, Queen of Scots,
745
00:36:17,133 --> 00:36:21,267
eventually switched sides as
her popularity began to wane.
746
00:36:21,267 --> 00:36:22,600
(ominous music)
747
00:36:22,600 --> 00:36:25,767
- John Erskine, in fact,
had been Mary's guardian
748
00:36:25,767 --> 00:36:27,500
when she was a child,
749
00:36:27,500 --> 00:36:30,367
and she had spent time at Alloa
Castle as a child as well.
750
00:36:30,367 --> 00:36:32,600
He had supported her
through thick and thin,
751
00:36:32,600 --> 00:36:35,100
and he was rewarded as a result,
752
00:36:35,100 --> 00:36:37,533
finally, with the
Earldom of Mar.
753
00:36:37,533 --> 00:36:38,734
(ominous music continues)
754
00:36:38,734 --> 00:36:40,101
- [Narrator] 1567.
755
00:36:40,101 --> 00:36:44,067
Mary, Queen of Scots,
also known as Mary Stuart,
756
00:36:44,067 --> 00:36:48,434
has been deposed in favor
of her infant son James.
757
00:36:49,767 --> 00:36:53,734
- When Mary's son James was
born at Edinburgh Castle,
758
00:36:53,734 --> 00:36:56,767
he became James'
guardian and protector,
759
00:36:56,767 --> 00:37:00,734
and Mary entrusted
him into his care.
760
00:37:00,734 --> 00:37:03,334
As Mary's unpopularity grew,
761
00:37:03,334 --> 00:37:05,667
John Erskine's
loyalties shifted.
762
00:37:05,667 --> 00:37:09,501
When she tried to take her
son James back, John refuses,
763
00:37:09,501 --> 00:37:12,533
and he leads a group
of nobles to depose her
764
00:37:12,533 --> 00:37:13,800
in favor of her son,
765
00:37:13,800 --> 00:37:17,001
who becomes James
VI of Scotland,
766
00:37:17,001 --> 00:37:19,367
king at just 13 months old.
767
00:37:19,367 --> 00:37:21,834
(ominous music)
768
00:37:21,834 --> 00:37:23,567
- [Narrator] 1571.
769
00:37:23,567 --> 00:37:27,534
John Erskine sends his men
to Cambuskenneth Abbey,
770
00:37:27,534 --> 00:37:29,767
a church built in the 1100s,
771
00:37:29,767 --> 00:37:32,100
which he's been
granted control over.
772
00:37:32,100 --> 00:37:33,767
According to legend,
773
00:37:33,767 --> 00:37:35,867
he orders his men to
dismantle the abbey
774
00:37:35,867 --> 00:37:38,934
so they can use the
stones to build himself
775
00:37:38,934 --> 00:37:42,401
a luxurious new mansion
house in a nearby town.
776
00:37:43,434 --> 00:37:45,000
The abbot is furious,
777
00:37:45,000 --> 00:37:47,167
outraged that a man
would choose extravagance
778
00:37:47,167 --> 00:37:49,501
over a sacred and holy space.
779
00:37:49,501 --> 00:37:52,667
Despite his fury, the abbot
cannot stop John Erskine,
780
00:37:52,667 --> 00:37:55,667
but perhaps he can
find retribution.
781
00:37:55,667 --> 00:37:59,334
(ominous music continues)
782
00:37:59,334 --> 00:38:01,801
Reportedly, the
abbot dresses in rags
783
00:38:01,801 --> 00:38:03,667
and arrives at Alloa Tower,
784
00:38:03,667 --> 00:38:05,567
where he speaks aloud the curse
785
00:38:05,567 --> 00:38:09,067
that will haunt the Erskine
family for generations.
786
00:38:09,067 --> 00:38:11,033
(ominous music continues)
787
00:38:11,033 --> 00:38:12,700
"Proud Chief of Mar,
788
00:38:12,700 --> 00:38:15,467
thou shalt be raised still
higher until thou sittest
789
00:38:15,467 --> 00:38:17,233
in the place of the king.
790
00:38:17,233 --> 00:38:19,133
Then shall come thy fall.
791
00:38:19,133 --> 00:38:21,834
Thy lands shall be
given to the stranger.
792
00:38:21,834 --> 00:38:25,234
And thy titles shall
be among the dead.
793
00:38:25,234 --> 00:38:27,100
The branch that
springs from thee
794
00:38:27,100 --> 00:38:30,167
shall see his dwelling
burnt, his children numerous,
795
00:38:30,167 --> 00:38:33,567
but of little honor, until
an ash sapling shall spring
796
00:38:33,567 --> 00:38:35,667
from its utmost stone.
797
00:38:35,667 --> 00:38:38,400
Then shall thy
sorrows be ended."
798
00:38:38,400 --> 00:38:39,867
(ominous music)
799
00:38:39,867 --> 00:38:41,400
- The first part of
the abbot's curse
800
00:38:41,400 --> 00:38:43,067
is actually
surprisingly positive.
801
00:38:43,067 --> 00:38:46,401
It says that John Erskine
will rise higher in ranks
802
00:38:46,401 --> 00:38:48,567
and actually sit in
the place of the king.
803
00:38:48,567 --> 00:38:50,067
(ominous music continues)
804
00:38:50,067 --> 00:38:52,734
- [Narrator] In 1571, John
Erskine becomes regent ruler
805
00:38:52,734 --> 00:38:55,067
of Scotland on behalf of James,
806
00:38:55,067 --> 00:38:56,233
the five year old King.
807
00:38:56,233 --> 00:38:57,634
(ominous music continues)
808
00:38:57,634 --> 00:39:00,100
30 years later, James will unite
809
00:39:00,100 --> 00:39:01,734
the Scottish and English thrones
810
00:39:01,734 --> 00:39:05,234
and become King
James 1st of England.
811
00:39:05,234 --> 00:39:07,133
- Acting as regent, John Erskine
812
00:39:07,133 --> 00:39:10,067
does actually end up sitting
in the place of the king,
813
00:39:10,067 --> 00:39:13,100
but he doesn't actually get
to enjoy it for very long
814
00:39:13,100 --> 00:39:16,734
and dies a year later
of natural causes.
815
00:39:16,734 --> 00:39:19,200
- Although the first part
of the prophecy comes true,
816
00:39:19,200 --> 00:39:22,434
it's his descendants who
will suffer for his sins.
817
00:39:23,234 --> 00:39:24,500
The worst is still to come.
818
00:39:24,500 --> 00:39:26,034
(ominous music continues)
819
00:39:26,034 --> 00:39:27,633
- [Narrator] 1715.
820
00:39:27,633 --> 00:39:31,700
150 years after John Erskine
incurs the Doom of Mar,
821
00:39:31,700 --> 00:39:34,734
the monarchy is once
again in crisis.
822
00:39:34,734 --> 00:39:38,334
King James I's
great-grandson, James II,
823
00:39:38,334 --> 00:39:39,701
has been deposed.
824
00:39:39,701 --> 00:39:41,400
The Erskine family now works
825
00:39:41,400 --> 00:39:43,634
to restore his
great-great grandson,
826
00:39:43,634 --> 00:39:45,934
James Stuart, to the throne.
827
00:39:46,900 --> 00:39:49,501
John Erskine's
great-great-great-grandson,
828
00:39:49,501 --> 00:39:51,034
also named John Erskine,
829
00:39:51,034 --> 00:39:54,767
leads what is known as the
Jacobite Rebellion in Scotland
830
00:39:54,767 --> 00:39:56,533
in support of James Stuart.
831
00:39:56,533 --> 00:39:58,800
(ominous music continues)
832
00:39:58,800 --> 00:40:01,133
The Doom of Mar predicts
that the Erskines
833
00:40:01,133 --> 00:40:04,133
will be true to their
sovereign and raise his banner
834
00:40:04,133 --> 00:40:05,934
in a field of blood
835
00:40:05,934 --> 00:40:08,967
but also predicts that it
will lead to their fall.
836
00:40:10,134 --> 00:40:12,134
The Jacobite rebellion
837
00:40:12,134 --> 00:40:15,700
with John Erskine at helm will
not have a favorable outcome.
838
00:40:15,700 --> 00:40:18,267
At Sheriffmuir,
hundreds of rebels
839
00:40:18,267 --> 00:40:20,634
are killed by British forces.
840
00:40:21,934 --> 00:40:25,601
- The location became known
as the Field of Blood.
841
00:40:26,901 --> 00:40:29,600
- After this time, the
family falls into disgrace.
842
00:40:29,600 --> 00:40:31,634
He's forced to flee.
843
00:40:31,634 --> 00:40:33,300
He's deprived of his title.
844
00:40:33,300 --> 00:40:37,534
The family loses their
lands, including Alloa Tower.
845
00:40:37,534 --> 00:40:40,501
- We can imagine how
devastating this must be
846
00:40:40,501 --> 00:40:41,800
for the Erskine family.
847
00:40:41,800 --> 00:40:44,634
They've now lost
their ancestral home.
848
00:40:44,634 --> 00:40:45,900
They've lost their
title of Earl,
849
00:40:45,900 --> 00:40:47,934
which meant so much for them.
850
00:40:47,934 --> 00:40:49,133
And at this point,
851
00:40:49,133 --> 00:40:51,867
the Erskine family
must truly feel cursed.
852
00:40:51,867 --> 00:40:54,267
They've gone through
so much heartbreak.
853
00:40:54,267 --> 00:40:57,034
- It's easy to think that
since the rebellion was over
854
00:40:57,034 --> 00:41:00,034
and Alloa Tower no longer
belonged to the Erskines
855
00:41:00,034 --> 00:41:01,667
that the curse was over.
856
00:41:01,667 --> 00:41:03,533
However, there was more to come.
857
00:41:03,533 --> 00:41:04,600
(ominous music continues)
858
00:41:04,600 --> 00:41:06,034
John had a brother, James,
859
00:41:06,034 --> 00:41:07,900
who hadn't been involved
in the rebellion,
860
00:41:07,900 --> 00:41:10,134
and he managed to
buy Alloa Tower back,
861
00:41:10,134 --> 00:41:12,567
and it became part of
the family once more.
862
00:41:12,567 --> 00:41:14,034
(ominous music continues)
863
00:41:14,034 --> 00:41:17,700
- This, perhaps, is what allows
the curse to strike again.
864
00:41:17,700 --> 00:41:20,534
Except this time it will
come for James' grandson,
865
00:41:20,534 --> 00:41:22,167
another John Erskine.
866
00:41:22,167 --> 00:41:26,400
(ominous music continues)
867
00:41:26,400 --> 00:41:28,067
- [Narrator] 1800.
868
00:41:28,067 --> 00:41:31,700
John Erskine watches his
family home envelop in flames.
869
00:41:31,700 --> 00:41:33,634
Alloa Tower is
the only structure
870
00:41:33,634 --> 00:41:35,200
that could endure the blaze.
871
00:41:35,200 --> 00:41:36,900
(ominous music continues)
872
00:41:36,900 --> 00:41:39,034
- As John Erskine
watched his home burn,
873
00:41:39,034 --> 00:41:41,834
he must have thought about
the last words of the abbot,
874
00:41:41,834 --> 00:41:43,534
who invoked the curse.
875
00:41:43,534 --> 00:41:45,800
- [Narrator] The Doom
of Mar also predicts
876
00:41:45,800 --> 00:41:47,534
that he will have
numerous children,
877
00:41:47,534 --> 00:41:50,867
some of little honor and
of three born and grown,
878
00:41:50,867 --> 00:41:53,200
who will never see
the light of day.
879
00:41:53,200 --> 00:41:57,267
- In fact, John Erskine did
have children, nine in fact.
880
00:41:57,267 --> 00:41:59,034
And just like the prophecy said,
881
00:41:59,034 --> 00:42:01,900
one was dishonored
and disinherited
882
00:42:01,900 --> 00:42:03,733
and three were born blind.
883
00:42:03,733 --> 00:42:05,234
(intense music)
884
00:42:05,234 --> 00:42:06,767
- [Narrator] With their
family home destroyed,
885
00:42:06,767 --> 00:42:09,267
the Erskines
abandon Alloa Tower.
886
00:42:09,267 --> 00:42:10,767
The property becomes derelict.
887
00:42:10,767 --> 00:42:12,434
(ominous music continues)
888
00:42:12,434 --> 00:42:14,767
- At this point, the Erskines
must have been wondering
889
00:42:14,767 --> 00:42:16,667
if they would ever
be free of the curse,
890
00:42:16,667 --> 00:42:18,100
because it had been
891
00:42:18,100 --> 00:42:20,600
devastating their
family for generations.
892
00:42:20,600 --> 00:42:21,567
(intense music continues)
893
00:42:21,567 --> 00:42:23,367
Fortunately, for the Erskines,
894
00:42:23,367 --> 00:42:26,834
the curse also predicted
an end to their suffering.
895
00:42:26,834 --> 00:42:28,967
- [Narrator] The
abbot's curse predicts
896
00:42:28,967 --> 00:42:31,334
that the Erskines'
sorrow shall not be ended
897
00:42:31,334 --> 00:42:34,767
until an ash sapling
springs from the tower.
898
00:42:34,767 --> 00:42:36,500
- According to legend,
899
00:42:36,500 --> 00:42:38,933
the people who live nearby
continued to visit the tower,
900
00:42:38,933 --> 00:42:41,567
looking for any sign
that the Doom of Mar
901
00:42:41,567 --> 00:42:43,267
had come to an end.
902
00:42:43,267 --> 00:42:44,767
(ominous music)
903
00:42:44,767 --> 00:42:46,734
- [Narrator] 1824.
904
00:42:46,734 --> 00:42:48,833
An ash tree sapling
is seen sprouting
905
00:42:48,833 --> 00:42:50,567
from the top of the tower.
906
00:42:50,567 --> 00:42:52,267
From that one tiny seed,
907
00:42:52,267 --> 00:42:56,367
the curse laid 250
years ago is broken
908
00:42:56,367 --> 00:43:00,034
and the Erskines' days
of peace are restored.
909
00:43:00,034 --> 00:43:03,501
- In 1824, the family managed
to regain their earldom,
910
00:43:03,501 --> 00:43:05,067
and at this point they went
911
00:43:05,067 --> 00:43:07,934
and rebuilt their house
right beside Alloa Tower.
912
00:43:09,167 --> 00:43:11,300
- [Narrator] The Doom of
Mar is a fantastical story
913
00:43:11,300 --> 00:43:14,634
spanning centuries of
Scottish and English history.
914
00:43:16,033 --> 00:43:18,333
It centers on an incredibly
influential family
915
00:43:18,333 --> 00:43:22,801
that bears witness to changing
tides and shifting dynasties
916
00:43:22,801 --> 00:43:25,300
that they both prosper
and suffer from.
917
00:43:25,300 --> 00:43:27,000
(fire crackling)
918
00:43:27,000 --> 00:43:29,834
- Is there any
truth to the curse?
919
00:43:29,834 --> 00:43:33,867
Well, the curse may
have emerged in response
920
00:43:33,867 --> 00:43:35,000
to the many tragedies
that the family
921
00:43:35,000 --> 00:43:37,934
had experienced over
the generations.
922
00:43:38,800 --> 00:43:40,334
There's also evidence
that the story
923
00:43:40,334 --> 00:43:43,600
that John Erskine stole
the stones from the abbey
924
00:43:43,600 --> 00:43:45,100
is also untrue.
925
00:43:45,100 --> 00:43:47,334
It's very clear from the
archeological records
926
00:43:47,334 --> 00:43:49,967
that it was in ruins
by the time he decided
927
00:43:49,967 --> 00:43:52,267
to use that stone to
build his manor house.
928
00:43:52,267 --> 00:43:55,034
(intense music)
929
00:43:55,933 --> 00:43:57,667
- Meanwhile, Alloa
Tower now belongs
930
00:43:57,667 --> 00:43:59,167
to the National
Trust of Scotland
931
00:43:59,167 --> 00:44:02,000
and is a really popular
tourist attraction.
932
00:44:02,000 --> 00:44:05,634
This continuing legacy and
interest in Alloa Tower
933
00:44:05,634 --> 00:44:09,833
really speaks to the
enduring power of the macabre
934
00:44:09,833 --> 00:44:11,334
on people's psyche.
935
00:44:14,800 --> 00:44:16,334
(ominous music)
936
00:44:16,334 --> 00:44:17,800
- [Narrator] From the
tragedies that befell
937
00:44:17,800 --> 00:44:19,301
the House of Mar,
938
00:44:19,301 --> 00:44:21,567
to the prophecies that
trace the rise and fall
939
00:44:21,567 --> 00:44:23,234
of Chinese dynasties,
940
00:44:24,700 --> 00:44:28,734
and the urgent warnings issued
to a doomed Roman dictator,
941
00:44:28,734 --> 00:44:30,967
these accounts
obscure the bounds
942
00:44:30,967 --> 00:44:33,834
between true foretelling
and the fantasies
943
00:44:33,834 --> 00:44:35,967
that often prosper in its wake.
944
00:44:35,967 --> 00:44:38,700
(ominous music continues)
945
00:44:38,700 --> 00:44:41,901
(intense music)
946
00:45:06,133 --> 00:45:08,434
(intense music fades out)
73371
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