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Pounding rain,
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ferocious winds
and surging waves.
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00:00:32,120 --> 00:00:37,119
Tropical storms are a deadly
disaster that affect millions,
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00:00:37,120 --> 00:00:42,399
causing damage, death
and destruction in their wake.
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They just destroy everything
in their path.
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These things are...
Are deadly.
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They're-- In some cases
they're unsurvivable.
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Then the winds drop
and calm descends.
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Is it over?
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The eye of the storm is
a small oasis of calm
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in the center of
a tropical cyclone storm.
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Found at the center,
the eye is surrounded
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by storm clouds,
rain and wind.
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Cyclones continuously move
across the Earth's surface.
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Any safety afforded
by the eye of the storm
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is only a temporary respite.
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As the cyclone continues
to track forward,
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the eye moves on.
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The safe zone shifts
as the winds close in again
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for a second dose.
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Cyclones are among
the most destructive
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of natural disasters,
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impacting millions of people
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and causing billions of dollars
of damage.
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In this episode
of Deadly Disasters,
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we will discover
how cyclones form
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and why they are so deadly.
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Experts will provide testimony
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on the most catastrophic
disasters of recent years.
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We will look at storm case
studies from around the globe.
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In 2017, Cyclone Debbie
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left no part of Australia
unaffected.
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We will see the reasons
why it went on to become
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one of the costliest cyclones
in Australian history.
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Most of my stuff got
still left there.
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And it'll all be gone.
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The aftermath of cyclones
can be just as deadly,
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with whole populations
of people affected
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by the lack of food
and medical supplies.
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We will look at how
the rescue efforts in Myanmar
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were thwarted
by its despotic rulers,
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ensuring the outcome
of Cyclone Nargis in 2008
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was many times worse.
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What can be expected
when the unthinkable happens
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and two major cyclones hit
in a single season?
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Southern Africa in 2019
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faced up to this
nightmare circumstance,
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forced to deal
with both Idai and Kenneth.
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No food, no food, no food.
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We will consider what happens
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when a country struggling
to deal with one disaster
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gets hit with another.
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We will look at how people
adapt and respond to cyclones.
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Our experts will also look
at how our changing climate
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has influenced the impact
and outcome of these storms.
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Cyclones, typhoons
and hurricanes
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are basically
the same type of storm.
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The different titles indicate
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the storm's
geographical location:
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cyclones in the South Pacific
and Indian Ocean,
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hurricanes in the Atlantic
and the eastern North Pacific
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and typhoons
in the western North Pacific.
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Regardless of the title,
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these tropical storms
are a serious challenge
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for anyone unlucky enough
to be in their path.
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Cyclones need very specific
weather conditions to form.
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A tropical cyclone is
a large swirling storm
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which is found usually
between five degrees latitude
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in either hemisphere
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and approximately
20 to 30 degrees latitude.
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A tropical cyclone
is a low pressure storm
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that forms over tropical
or subtropical waters.
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The storm winds
circulate in a spiral,
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clockwise in the Earth's
southern hemisphere
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and counterclockwise
in the north.
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The forces that are needed
for them to form
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means that they will only occur
in areas in the tropics
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away from the equator,
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where there is a rotational
effect in the winds.
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They will only form
where the ocean is warm.
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And they will form where there
is humidity in the atmosphere.
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So where those conditions
are right,
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then a storm can be formed.
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And it can grow and grow
under its own power
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and produce
a devastating tropical cyclone.
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Cyclones cover large areas,
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enough to affect
many millions of people
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when they hit
populated areas.
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A cyclonic system is typically
eight or 10 kilometers high
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and around
480 to 640 kilometers across,
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approximately the distance
between London and Dublin.
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Hurricanes and cyclones require
several conditions to be right
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in order for them to form.
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Cyclones start in the tropics
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over the warm ocean because
heat and moisture are needed.
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This sets up a flow
of warm, moist air
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that rises very quickly.
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The rising air creates an area
of low pressure at the surface
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called a depression.
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These tropical depressions
only become tropical cyclones
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when certain circumstances
occur.
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For instance, sea surface
temperatures need to be
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at least 27 degrees Celsius
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to inject enough energy
into the process.
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Surface winds need to converge
in the same area
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from different directions.
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This pushes
the damp air upward,
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allowing storm clouds to form.
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The storm clouds need to rise
vertically unimpeded
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without being blown off course,
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so wind shear
needs to be minimal.
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The twisting motion
of the cyclones is generated
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by the rotation
of the Earth.
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The depression needs to be
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a specific distance
from the equator
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to provide a sufficient
Coriolis force.
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When all the weather conditions
fall into this Goldilocks zone,
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the winds accelerate into the
spiral of a full-blown cyclone.
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Its early genesis,
it might be no more
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than a severe thunderstorm,
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or, as we would see it,
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sort of a very cloudy,
thundery, rainy area.
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But if it gets
those three conditions right,
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it will intensify.
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So when we are
forecasting storms,
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we can see them change their
characteristics very quickly.
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If they are traveling
along a trajectory
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which suddenly brings them
into very, very warm ocean
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or very moist atmospheres,
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or suddenly the winds
that might shear the storm
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become very calm,
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a tropical cyclone can
intensify incredibly quickly.
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In a matter of 24 hours,
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it can change from
a Category 1 to a Category 5.
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Easily recognized from space,
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cyclones form a cylinder
of dense thundercloud
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around a calm central eye.
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The average eye of a cyclone
is about 48 kilometers across.
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The area is relatively calm,
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a space where winds
and rain abate.
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The most extreme winds
are found
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on the edge of this area.
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The eyewall is typically
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the most destructive part
of a cyclone.
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Cyclones can be deadly
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because they cause
severe flooding.
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And this flooding is over
a fairly large area
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and can be extreme,
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in terms of 5, 6 meters
of flooding in some cases,
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and that catches people
unprepared.
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People underestimate cyclones
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when they have not experienced
a strong cyclone
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in their region
in the last, say, 20 years.
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So when there is not the memory
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of a strong cyclone
in that region,
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people tend to underestimate
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how bad a cyclone
is going to be.
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Cyclones bring devastation
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in the form of high winds,
torrential rain
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and coastal storm surges.
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Australia, as a continent,
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is close to the warm tropical
waters of the South Pacific.
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It's no stranger to the havoc
that cyclones can unleash.
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For a country that's used
to extreme weather,
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2017 was an exceptional year.
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Tropical Cyclone Debbie
was one of the worst storms
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to hit Australia
since records began.
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Cyclones are given
human's names
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to allow
for easy identification
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of specific storms.
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The practice stems
from the 1950s.
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Alternating male and female
names are chosen
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in alphabetic order.
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On March the 23rd,
off the coast of Queensland,
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a tropical low pressure zone
was detected.
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Fed by high surface
temperatures in the ocean,
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it developed over
the next three days
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into a Category 4 cyclone.
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Categories are
an important indicator
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of how dangerous
a cyclone can be.
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Cyclones are given
a different numbered category
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depending on
their wind speeds.
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Category 1 have sustained winds
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above 119 kilometers per hour.
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Category 2,
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above 154 kilometers per hour.
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Three, above 178 kilometers
per hour.
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Four, above 209.
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And Category 5 have speeds
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above 251 kilometers per hour.
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The higher the category rating,
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the more dangerous
the cyclone potentially is.
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Category 4 and 5 storms need to
be taken very seriously indeed.
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The strongest recorded winds
from a tropical cyclone
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are around 200 miles an hour,
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sustained for about a minute.
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And that is approaching the
kind of winds and devastation
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you would get from a tornado.
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From March the 26th, 2017,
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meteorologists tracked the
westward progress of the storm
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across the Pacific.
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First landfall occurred
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when Debbie hit
the Whitsunday Islands
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on March the 28th.
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The Whitsunday Islands are
normally a tropical paradise,
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famous for their proximity
to the Great Barrier Reef
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and a popular
tourist destination.
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When Debbie hit the islands,
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it was at Category 4 strength
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with winds
over 209 kilometers per hour.
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The full force of the cyclone
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was perfectly targeted
on the islands,
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with the eye of the storm
passing directly overhead.
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We were either
just inside the red zone
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or just outside it
in the orange zone.
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And that's like 170,
180 kilometer-an-hour winds.
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That's-- That's bad.
Heh, heh, that really is.
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After hitting
the Whitsunday Islands,
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the storm continued
towards the mainland
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00:12:37,520 --> 00:12:40,480
and made landfall
at Airlie Beach, Queensland.
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A peak storm surge
of over two and a half meters
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was recorded
by Laguna Quays.
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A storm surge is
a rise in sea level
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caused by a tropical cyclone.
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Most deaths
from tropical cyclones occur
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from flooding
due to storm surge.
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And the second cause of death
is flooding
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due to freshwater rains
and mudslides.
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00:13:11,800 --> 00:13:14,519
And the best way to prevent
loss of life in storm surge
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is evacuation and shelter.
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And so people need time
to be able to get to shelters
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00:13:22,040 --> 00:13:24,319
and there need to be
shelters close enough
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that people can get to them.
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And the shelters
need to be large enough
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and adequate
to survive the storm.
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A storm surge occurs
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where the sea level rises
above its normal level,
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often flooding low-lying areas.
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00:13:40,760 --> 00:13:43,519
Surges are caused
by the low pressure,
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high winds and high waves
generated by the cyclone.
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00:13:50,240 --> 00:13:53,799
If a high tide coincides
with the cyclone's landfall,
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the waves can be even higher...
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because the additional
storm surge waters
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flow on top of the high tide.
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00:14:03,520 --> 00:14:06,559
In coastal areas,
storm surges are often
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00:14:06,560 --> 00:14:09,840
the greatest threat
to life and property.
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00:14:11,680 --> 00:14:17,439
A cubic meter of water
weighs about 1000 kilograms,
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00:14:17,440 --> 00:14:21,039
and surges are able
to exert significant forces
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00:14:21,040 --> 00:14:23,200
against anything
in their path.
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00:14:25,160 --> 00:14:28,199
Only the strongest buildings
and flood defenses
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00:14:28,200 --> 00:14:30,840
can withstand the pounding
of the water.
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People caught
in the initial surge
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00:14:34,440 --> 00:14:36,160
risk being washed away...
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00:14:37,760 --> 00:14:40,479
drowned,
trapped in falling buildings,
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or injured by moving debris.
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Floods caused by storm surges
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have the added complication
that the seawater is saline.
258
00:14:54,000 --> 00:14:56,319
The salt water flows inland,
259
00:14:56,320 --> 00:14:58,599
poisoning wells, farmland
260
00:14:58,600 --> 00:15:01,040
and seeping
into the groundwater.
261
00:15:02,840 --> 00:15:06,039
The groundwater salinity
can last years,
262
00:15:06,040 --> 00:15:08,599
causing havoc
with water supplies
263
00:15:08,600 --> 00:15:13,999
until it's eventually diluted
enough by fresh rainwater.
264
00:15:14,000 --> 00:15:17,279
Floodwaters can also
overrun sewers,
265
00:15:17,280 --> 00:15:19,560
spreading infectious disease.
266
00:15:21,240 --> 00:15:24,439
Evidence of fecal contamination,
such as E. coli,
267
00:15:24,440 --> 00:15:25,999
as well as we've got evidence
268
00:15:26,000 --> 00:15:28,559
of Streptococcus
and Legionella.
269
00:15:28,560 --> 00:15:30,999
These things,
while they may be harmless
270
00:15:31,000 --> 00:15:32,719
when floating around
in floodwater,
271
00:15:32,720 --> 00:15:35,359
if you were to get them
into a wound or in your mouth
272
00:15:35,360 --> 00:15:37,079
or on your food, could cause
273
00:15:37,080 --> 00:15:39,439
some quite severe
gastrointestinal illnesses.
274
00:15:39,440 --> 00:15:42,919
Dealing with the sheer numbers
of affected people
275
00:15:42,920 --> 00:15:45,599
is one of the main
logistical challenges
276
00:15:45,600 --> 00:15:47,920
associated with cyclones.
277
00:15:51,840 --> 00:15:54,919
All women and children,
follow the lady!
278
00:15:54,920 --> 00:15:57,319
Large numbers
of transient people
279
00:15:57,320 --> 00:15:59,159
can block transport routes
280
00:15:59,160 --> 00:16:03,640
and then need quantities
of food, medicine and shelter.
281
00:16:07,280 --> 00:16:11,199
Flooding was expected
in low-lying coastal areas.
282
00:16:11,200 --> 00:16:15,279
Twenty-five thousand residents
in the area of Airlie Beach,
283
00:16:15,280 --> 00:16:19,599
Bowen and Proserpine
were ordered to evacuate.
284
00:16:19,600 --> 00:16:21,479
The same day,
285
00:16:21,480 --> 00:16:25,319
Debbie made landfall
in Queensland around 5 p.m.
286
00:16:25,320 --> 00:16:30,400
with wind gusts of up
to 262 kilometers per hour.
287
00:16:33,560 --> 00:16:36,319
Boats were blown
onto the shore.
288
00:16:36,320 --> 00:16:39,479
Gusts ripped roofs
off buildings,
289
00:16:39,480 --> 00:16:40,719
leveled walls,
290
00:16:40,720 --> 00:16:43,520
and mature trees were uprooted.
291
00:16:47,240 --> 00:16:49,679
The storm behaved
like a battering ram
292
00:16:49,680 --> 00:16:52,360
as it smashed through the town.
293
00:16:55,120 --> 00:16:57,039
Heavy rainfall continued,
294
00:16:57,040 --> 00:16:58,760
triggering dramatic flooding.
295
00:17:00,880 --> 00:17:05,519
One measuring station recorded
646 millimeters of rain
296
00:17:05,520 --> 00:17:08,519
in a single 24 hours.
297
00:17:08,520 --> 00:17:11,679
The water went up
to the top of the windows,
298
00:17:11,680 --> 00:17:15,600
so everything I couldn't get up
out of it would be gone.
299
00:17:17,280 --> 00:17:18,959
For the next two days,
300
00:17:18,960 --> 00:17:21,399
Cyclone Debbie continued
to push on
301
00:17:21,400 --> 00:17:23,120
across the countryside...
302
00:17:24,880 --> 00:17:27,280
creating a disaster zone...
303
00:17:29,000 --> 00:17:32,319
across a 1400 kilometer-wide
stretch
304
00:17:32,320 --> 00:17:35,079
of the Australian landscape.
305
00:17:35,080 --> 00:17:39,519
Cyclone Debbie was a very large
system that moved slowly.
306
00:17:39,520 --> 00:17:42,279
It took a long time to pass.
307
00:17:42,280 --> 00:17:45,239
Areas underneath were directly
in the storm for longer
308
00:17:45,240 --> 00:17:49,799
than they would otherwise be
in a typical cyclone.
309
00:17:49,800 --> 00:17:52,559
Fortunately, there were
no immediate deaths
310
00:17:52,560 --> 00:17:54,159
in the strike zone,
311
00:17:54,160 --> 00:17:56,559
although the eventual death toll
312
00:17:56,560 --> 00:17:58,440
was at least 10 people.
313
00:18:00,520 --> 00:18:03,039
Days after the cyclone passed,
314
00:18:03,040 --> 00:18:06,880
Airlie Beach was still without
power and running water.
315
00:18:08,800 --> 00:18:12,159
The continued bad weather
frustrated aid efforts,
316
00:18:12,160 --> 00:18:13,639
with roads blocked
317
00:18:13,640 --> 00:18:16,880
and communications
infrastructure damaged.
318
00:18:21,720 --> 00:18:24,039
This happened so fast,
319
00:18:24,040 --> 00:18:25,599
within six hours.
320
00:18:25,600 --> 00:18:27,879
Had virtually no warning.
321
00:18:27,880 --> 00:18:30,519
In fact, the warning I got
was after the event.
322
00:18:30,520 --> 00:18:33,399
The Logan river
burst its banks,
323
00:18:33,400 --> 00:18:38,479
and the area suffered from
particularly extensive floods.
324
00:18:38,480 --> 00:18:40,319
A lot of people
have lost houses.
325
00:18:40,320 --> 00:18:42,359
In this part
of the Logan River,
326
00:18:42,360 --> 00:18:44,759
there's people
who have yet to discover
327
00:18:44,760 --> 00:18:46,279
that they've lost their houses
328
00:18:46,280 --> 00:18:48,439
because they stayed
with family and friends.
329
00:18:48,440 --> 00:18:51,599
They'll come back today and find
that their house is underwater.
330
00:18:51,600 --> 00:18:55,559
Homes were flooded, soaking
belongings beyond repair.
331
00:18:55,560 --> 00:18:59,879
In addition to homes
and buildings being damaged,
332
00:18:59,880 --> 00:19:02,199
farmland was also affected,
333
00:19:02,200 --> 00:19:03,840
with many crops destroyed.
334
00:19:06,000 --> 00:19:09,879
All told,
Tropical Cyclone Debbie caused
335
00:19:09,880 --> 00:19:15,719
insured losses of 1.7 billion
Australian dollars.
336
00:19:15,720 --> 00:19:19,519
The task of rebuilding
was a daunting prospect,
337
00:19:19,520 --> 00:19:23,439
set to impact people's lives
for years to come.
338
00:19:23,440 --> 00:19:25,519
As well as a physical toll,
339
00:19:25,520 --> 00:19:28,439
such disasters can have
a negative impact
340
00:19:28,440 --> 00:19:31,239
on people's mental health.
341
00:19:31,240 --> 00:19:34,199
Populations can bounce back
and recover
342
00:19:34,200 --> 00:19:36,999
from individual incidents.
343
00:19:37,000 --> 00:19:42,079
However, Australia remains
at risk of future cyclones.
344
00:19:42,080 --> 00:19:44,959
Any rebuilding efforts
need to consider
345
00:19:44,960 --> 00:19:49,280
that they will be enveloped
by the next inevitable cyclone.
346
00:20:00,440 --> 00:20:03,239
Cyclones can't be avoided.
347
00:20:03,240 --> 00:20:05,079
But the more
we know about them,
348
00:20:05,080 --> 00:20:08,159
the more it becomes possible
to detect patterns
349
00:20:08,160 --> 00:20:11,039
and learn to manage the risk.
350
00:20:11,040 --> 00:20:13,599
If we are able
to predict cyclones
351
00:20:13,600 --> 00:20:15,759
and provide early warnings,
352
00:20:15,760 --> 00:20:17,999
this information
has the potential
353
00:20:18,000 --> 00:20:22,999
to save thousands of lives
each year worldwide.
354
00:20:23,000 --> 00:20:25,119
Tropical cyclones
by their nature
355
00:20:25,120 --> 00:20:26,999
are difficult to predict.
356
00:20:27,000 --> 00:20:31,239
They can change direction
and dissipate at any time.
357
00:20:31,240 --> 00:20:35,319
This makes long-term
predictions difficult to make.
358
00:20:35,320 --> 00:20:37,359
When it comes
to weather warnings,
359
00:20:37,360 --> 00:20:42,079
it is also important
to avoid false positives.
360
00:20:42,080 --> 00:20:45,959
Mobilizing rescue crews
and evacuating populations
361
00:20:45,960 --> 00:20:48,359
is costly
and should only be done
362
00:20:48,360 --> 00:20:50,959
when strictly necessary.
363
00:20:50,960 --> 00:20:54,279
In some circumstances,
the storm may abate
364
00:20:54,280 --> 00:20:57,999
and it may become safer
for populations to ride it out
365
00:20:58,000 --> 00:21:00,719
rather than evacuate.
366
00:21:00,720 --> 00:21:03,639
Fortunately,
cyclones move quite slowly,
367
00:21:03,640 --> 00:21:08,239
typically 16 to 32 kilometers
per hour.
368
00:21:08,240 --> 00:21:10,919
This allows some time
for evacuation
369
00:21:10,920 --> 00:21:14,280
and fortification of buildings
against the storm.
370
00:21:16,560 --> 00:21:18,719
Satellite imaging is key
371
00:21:18,720 --> 00:21:21,079
in the early detection
of a cyclone
372
00:21:21,080 --> 00:21:24,999
because they normally form
away from land.
373
00:21:25,000 --> 00:21:27,639
Radar and computer modeling
technologies
374
00:21:27,640 --> 00:21:31,159
are being
continuously developed.
375
00:21:31,160 --> 00:21:34,279
Further research has involved
flying planes
376
00:21:34,280 --> 00:21:37,639
directly into cyclones
to gather dimensional data
377
00:21:37,640 --> 00:21:40,360
of the forces involved
in the storm.
378
00:21:42,360 --> 00:21:46,319
At ground level,
so-called storm chasers
379
00:21:46,320 --> 00:21:49,359
use customized vehicles
built to collect data
380
00:21:49,360 --> 00:21:52,559
as they follow
the path of the storm.
381
00:21:52,560 --> 00:21:55,239
International cooperation
is key,
382
00:21:55,240 --> 00:21:58,279
and countries work together
to track cyclones
383
00:21:58,280 --> 00:22:00,679
and share information.
384
00:22:00,680 --> 00:22:04,399
These activities are
coordinated at a global level
385
00:22:04,400 --> 00:22:07,439
by the World Weather Watch
program.
386
00:22:07,440 --> 00:22:09,519
The point of gathering
this data
387
00:22:09,520 --> 00:22:12,199
is to shrink
the cone of uncertainty
388
00:22:12,200 --> 00:22:14,959
and ensure that predictions
are accurate enough
389
00:22:14,960 --> 00:22:17,279
to allow people
to make the right decision
390
00:22:17,280 --> 00:22:21,199
whether to evacuate or shelter
during the next storm.
391
00:22:21,200 --> 00:22:23,839
Cyclone Debbie
was highly damaging
392
00:22:23,840 --> 00:22:27,759
to the settlements
on the Whitsunday Islands.
393
00:22:33,160 --> 00:22:35,479
Coastal mangroves.
394
00:22:35,480 --> 00:22:38,279
A tangle of trees
adapted to survive
395
00:22:38,280 --> 00:22:41,319
in the saltwater deltas.
396
00:22:41,320 --> 00:22:44,559
A twisted knot of roots
intertwined
397
00:22:44,560 --> 00:22:48,599
forms an almost
impenetrable barrier.
398
00:22:48,600 --> 00:22:51,079
Mangroves' complex root systems
399
00:22:51,080 --> 00:22:55,159
are evolved to withstand
the action of the waves.
400
00:22:55,160 --> 00:22:57,999
They form
a natural defensive barrier,
401
00:22:58,000 --> 00:22:59,479
protecting the landscape
402
00:22:59,480 --> 00:23:02,879
from the extremes
of cyclone activity.
403
00:23:02,880 --> 00:23:05,039
In many parts of the world,
404
00:23:05,040 --> 00:23:10,039
humans have cleared
large areas of mangrove forest.
405
00:23:17,200 --> 00:23:19,199
Previously known as Burma,
406
00:23:19,200 --> 00:23:21,919
Myanmar is a country
in South Asia
407
00:23:21,920 --> 00:23:28,199
bordered by Bangladesh, India,
China, Laos and Thailand.
408
00:23:28,200 --> 00:23:31,279
In the last decade,
Myanmar has lost
409
00:23:31,280 --> 00:23:34,399
most of its mangrove forests
along the coast
410
00:23:34,400 --> 00:23:38,359
to shrimp farms
and rice paddies.
411
00:23:38,360 --> 00:23:42,479
The mangroves,
not only do their root systems
412
00:23:42,480 --> 00:23:44,919
hold the soil together
413
00:23:44,920 --> 00:23:47,159
underneath the water
or near the water,
414
00:23:47,160 --> 00:23:51,959
but the trees themselves also
protect against wave action.
415
00:23:51,960 --> 00:23:55,159
And all of this
helps prevent erosion of land
416
00:23:55,160 --> 00:24:00,679
and it helps create new areas
of land out from the coast.
417
00:24:00,680 --> 00:24:04,839
And so mangrove forests
help form a barrier
418
00:24:04,840 --> 00:24:07,559
that protects further inland
419
00:24:07,560 --> 00:24:10,399
from heavy waves
and storm surge.
420
00:24:10,400 --> 00:24:13,599
The data backs this up.
421
00:24:13,600 --> 00:24:15,999
Studies have shown
that mangroves
422
00:24:16,000 --> 00:24:20,879
reduce the number of deaths
in cyclone-hit areas.
423
00:24:20,880 --> 00:24:24,079
In Myanmar, the destruction
of the mangroves
424
00:24:24,080 --> 00:24:27,279
has economic benefits
in the short term.
425
00:24:27,280 --> 00:24:29,599
The farms established
in their place
426
00:24:29,600 --> 00:24:32,159
are relied upon
by the local populations
427
00:24:32,160 --> 00:24:34,799
as a key element
of their diet.
428
00:24:34,800 --> 00:24:37,399
However, in the longer term,
429
00:24:37,400 --> 00:24:40,599
the increased flood risk due
to the loss of the mangroves
430
00:24:40,600 --> 00:24:43,640
has the potential
to impact the economy more.
431
00:24:45,000 --> 00:24:47,039
Low-lying aquaculture ponds
432
00:24:47,040 --> 00:24:51,999
and rice paddies present
an inherent flood risk.
433
00:24:52,000 --> 00:24:53,959
The ground is
already waterlogged,
434
00:24:53,960 --> 00:24:55,679
and any potential barriers
435
00:24:55,680 --> 00:24:59,079
to the influx of water
are removed.
436
00:24:59,080 --> 00:25:02,119
In the event of storm surges,
there is nothing to prevent
437
00:25:02,120 --> 00:25:07,280
oceanic saltwater flowing
inland, poisoning the crops.
438
00:25:11,840 --> 00:25:13,919
With its tropical location,
439
00:25:13,920 --> 00:25:17,240
Myanmar has a high risk
of cyclone activity.
440
00:25:18,640 --> 00:25:20,959
However,
with its defenses depleted
441
00:25:20,960 --> 00:25:24,439
in recent years,
the risk of catastrophic floods
442
00:25:24,440 --> 00:25:26,999
have continued to increase.
443
00:25:27,000 --> 00:25:29,200
It was just a matter of time.
444
00:25:30,760 --> 00:25:34,360
In 2008, time ran out.
445
00:25:35,760 --> 00:25:37,479
2008 was the year
446
00:25:37,480 --> 00:25:39,839
of the most deadly
natural disaster
447
00:25:39,840 --> 00:25:42,719
ever recorded in Myanmar.
448
00:25:42,720 --> 00:25:45,640
It was caused
by a tropical cyclone.
449
00:25:47,200 --> 00:25:49,119
A tropical system was detected
450
00:25:49,120 --> 00:25:50,879
in the Bay of Bengal
451
00:25:50,880 --> 00:25:54,480
by Indian meteorologists
on April the 27th.
452
00:25:56,200 --> 00:25:58,159
By the following day,
it had developed
453
00:25:58,160 --> 00:26:03,759
into a Category 1 cyclone
and was given the name Nargis.
454
00:26:03,760 --> 00:26:06,199
Nargis was a tropical cyclone
455
00:26:06,200 --> 00:26:11,079
that formed in the Bay of Bengal
in late April, 2008.
456
00:26:11,080 --> 00:26:13,119
And the Bay of Bengal has
457
00:26:13,120 --> 00:26:15,799
among the highest
sea surface temperatures
458
00:26:15,800 --> 00:26:17,679
in the entire world,
459
00:26:17,680 --> 00:26:21,079
especially between spring,
summer and fall
460
00:26:21,080 --> 00:26:22,479
in the Northern Hemisphere.
461
00:26:24,000 --> 00:26:25,399
By May the 2nd,
462
00:26:25,400 --> 00:26:27,039
Nargis had developed
463
00:26:27,040 --> 00:26:29,799
into a deadly
Category 4 cyclone,
464
00:26:29,800 --> 00:26:32,719
and it made landfall
near the town of Wagon
465
00:26:32,720 --> 00:26:35,599
in the Ayeyarwady Division.
466
00:26:35,600 --> 00:26:37,279
In Myanmar in particular,
467
00:26:37,280 --> 00:26:39,519
the Cyclone Nargis
was an event that--
468
00:26:39,520 --> 00:26:42,359
None of which on that scale
has happened before.
469
00:26:42,360 --> 00:26:45,639
So the government was very much
unprepared for that.
470
00:26:45,640 --> 00:26:48,039
And people on the ground
in the delta, of course,
471
00:26:48,040 --> 00:26:49,559
were very vulnerable.
472
00:26:49,560 --> 00:26:51,279
Typically,
when a storm would hit
473
00:26:51,280 --> 00:26:54,119
big, solid land of mountains,
it would lose energy.
474
00:26:54,120 --> 00:26:56,039
But in this case, in the delta,
475
00:26:56,040 --> 00:26:58,319
the land is already
completely flooded.
476
00:26:58,320 --> 00:27:00,279
There's lots of warm water
there.
477
00:27:00,280 --> 00:27:02,959
It's very, very flat,
there is no shelter.
478
00:27:02,960 --> 00:27:05,799
And there's nothing to make
the storm lose energy.
479
00:27:05,800 --> 00:27:08,399
So as Nargis hit
the river delta in Myanmar,
480
00:27:08,400 --> 00:27:10,759
it didn't lose
any energy at all.
481
00:27:10,760 --> 00:27:12,959
The winds were
incredibly intense
482
00:27:12,960 --> 00:27:16,639
and the storm surge drove the
water far inland from the delta
483
00:27:16,640 --> 00:27:19,159
because the land was
already flooded full of water.
484
00:27:19,160 --> 00:27:22,239
That was what was responsible
for the loss of life.
485
00:27:22,240 --> 00:27:27,999
Nargis would go on to cause
untold devastation,
486
00:27:28,000 --> 00:27:34,319
destroying 450,000 homes
and damaging a further 350,000.
487
00:27:38,280 --> 00:27:43,719
Approximately 600 hectares
of farmland were destroyed
488
00:27:43,720 --> 00:27:47,280
and over 800,000 people
were displaced.
489
00:28:04,960 --> 00:28:10,359
Nargis could be considered
a perfect storm of destruction.
490
00:28:10,360 --> 00:28:13,559
However, there were several
human factors to consider
491
00:28:13,560 --> 00:28:17,520
that greatly increased the toll
caused by the cyclone.
492
00:28:20,520 --> 00:28:25,119
The country of Myanmar was
not well prepared for cyclones.
493
00:28:25,120 --> 00:28:28,600
It had no early warning system
for incoming storms.
494
00:28:31,160 --> 00:28:33,559
In the case of Cyclone Nargis,
495
00:28:33,560 --> 00:28:36,039
it was only tipped off
to the storm's presence
496
00:28:36,040 --> 00:28:39,239
by Indian meteorologists.
497
00:28:39,240 --> 00:28:43,200
It had no storm shelters
or evacuation plans.
498
00:28:44,920 --> 00:28:48,479
Much of its housing was
particularly vulnerable,
499
00:28:48,480 --> 00:28:50,679
built mainly
from poor materials
500
00:28:50,680 --> 00:28:52,599
in a haphazard fashion
501
00:28:52,600 --> 00:28:55,680
without controls
or building regulations.
502
00:28:58,000 --> 00:28:59,359
Poor quality housing
503
00:28:59,360 --> 00:29:01,239
is one of
the main risk factors
504
00:29:01,240 --> 00:29:06,519
in the developing world when
facing extreme weather events.
505
00:29:06,520 --> 00:29:09,439
Myanmar is one of
the least developed countries
506
00:29:09,440 --> 00:29:11,159
in the world
and in Southeast Asia.
507
00:29:11,160 --> 00:29:13,039
It's also one
of the largest countries
508
00:29:13,040 --> 00:29:15,399
in Southeast Asia actually,
space-wise,
509
00:29:15,400 --> 00:29:21,079
and it has about 55 million
inhabitants who suffered under
510
00:29:21,080 --> 00:29:24,839
authoritarianism, military rule,
ethnic conflicts, civil war
511
00:29:24,840 --> 00:29:26,959
ever since the independence
of the country.
512
00:29:26,960 --> 00:29:29,119
When the weather warnings
did come,
513
00:29:29,120 --> 00:29:31,599
many people doubted
their accuracy
514
00:29:31,600 --> 00:29:34,240
and didn't evacuate
or prepare.
515
00:29:37,240 --> 00:29:41,319
Previous forecasts in Myanmar
had been so inaccurate,
516
00:29:41,320 --> 00:29:43,480
people didn't believe
these warnings...
517
00:29:45,240 --> 00:29:49,079
the cone of uncertainty
regarding storm predictions
518
00:29:49,080 --> 00:29:51,880
having a deadly effect
in this case.
519
00:29:54,040 --> 00:29:57,199
Within a couple of days
of landfall,
520
00:29:57,200 --> 00:30:02,519
some 260,000 people were
evacuated to temporary camps
521
00:30:02,520 --> 00:30:05,480
throughout the Ayeyarwady River Delta.
522
00:30:08,720 --> 00:30:12,679
Heavy rains and
a 3.6-meter-high storm surge
523
00:30:12,680 --> 00:30:15,559
destroyed up to 95 percent
of the buildings
524
00:30:15,560 --> 00:30:18,319
in the cyclone's path.
525
00:30:18,320 --> 00:30:22,039
The floodwaters penetrated
48 kilometers inland
526
00:30:22,040 --> 00:30:23,680
from the coast...
527
00:30:25,520 --> 00:30:27,839
damaging not just homes,
528
00:30:27,840 --> 00:30:33,320
but farms, fisheries, industry,
roads and infrastructure.
529
00:30:51,800 --> 00:30:54,879
The political situation
at the time in Myanmar
530
00:30:54,880 --> 00:30:58,839
greatly complicated
the emergency response.
531
00:30:58,840 --> 00:31:03,239
Myanmar at the time
was considered a pariah state
532
00:31:03,240 --> 00:31:06,599
while under the rule
of an oppressive military junta
533
00:31:06,600 --> 00:31:09,920
from 1962 to 2011.
534
00:31:12,080 --> 00:31:14,479
The military were in place
by force
535
00:31:14,480 --> 00:31:17,479
rather than
a democratic mandate.
536
00:31:17,480 --> 00:31:19,759
Its response to the cyclone
537
00:31:19,760 --> 00:31:23,200
greatly increased
the human cost of the disaster.
538
00:31:26,000 --> 00:31:29,599
During the disaster, despite
international condemnation
539
00:31:29,600 --> 00:31:31,799
by multiple world leaders,
540
00:31:31,800 --> 00:31:35,519
including U.S. President
George W. Bush
541
00:31:35,520 --> 00:31:37,999
and British Prime Minister
Gordon Brown,
542
00:31:38,000 --> 00:31:41,679
Myanmar's rulers heavily
resisted international aid
543
00:31:41,680 --> 00:31:43,000
for too long.
544
00:31:44,720 --> 00:31:47,879
We now estimate
that 2 million people
545
00:31:47,880 --> 00:31:50,399
faced famine or disease
as a result
546
00:31:50,400 --> 00:31:53,199
of the lack of cooperation
of the Burmese authorities.
547
00:31:53,200 --> 00:31:54,839
This is
completely unacceptable.
548
00:31:54,840 --> 00:31:58,039
There must be unfettered access
to humanitarian agencies.
549
00:31:58,040 --> 00:32:00,759
We've already made available
5 million pounds.
550
00:32:00,760 --> 00:32:02,919
We've got a humanitarian team
now in Rangoon
551
00:32:02,920 --> 00:32:04,239
to assess all options
552
00:32:04,240 --> 00:32:06,359
for getting help through
to people in need.
553
00:32:06,360 --> 00:32:09,159
You do have people
that are dying every day.
554
00:32:09,160 --> 00:32:12,399
And we don't have a sense
at this point
555
00:32:12,400 --> 00:32:15,359
that the response to date
is adequate
556
00:32:15,360 --> 00:32:17,559
to keep more people from dying.
557
00:32:17,560 --> 00:32:22,279
It means, you know,
probability of outbreaks,
558
00:32:22,280 --> 00:32:23,599
disease outbreaks.
559
00:32:23,600 --> 00:32:25,719
More people dying
because of exposure,
560
00:32:25,720 --> 00:32:30,119
because of disease,
because of malnutrition,
561
00:32:30,120 --> 00:32:31,400
because of hunger.
562
00:32:32,760 --> 00:32:35,239
When aid finally came,
563
00:32:35,240 --> 00:32:37,040
it was too late for many.
564
00:32:38,600 --> 00:32:41,319
An official death toll
doesn't exist.
565
00:32:41,320 --> 00:32:45,799
Myanmar's military leaders
didn't coordinate a count.
566
00:32:45,800 --> 00:32:49,399
However, the confirmed
death toll is known to be
567
00:32:49,400 --> 00:32:53,399
at least 146,000.
568
00:32:53,400 --> 00:32:55,919
At least 2.4 million people
569
00:32:55,920 --> 00:32:59,360
were greatly impacted
by Cyclone Nargis.
570
00:33:01,400 --> 00:33:04,239
All told, it is estimated
571
00:33:04,240 --> 00:33:06,079
that Cyclone Nargis caused
572
00:33:06,080 --> 00:33:09,839
over 10 billion U.S. dollars'
worth of damage,
573
00:33:09,840 --> 00:33:12,959
making it the costliest cyclone
to have occurred
574
00:33:12,960 --> 00:33:15,920
in the North Indian Ocean
basin.
575
00:33:26,480 --> 00:33:28,959
Most of the discourse
around cyclones
576
00:33:28,960 --> 00:33:31,119
is focused on the damage
they do
577
00:33:31,120 --> 00:33:35,160
and the humanitarian challenges
of dealing with the aftermath.
578
00:33:45,040 --> 00:33:47,519
Climate change also needs to be
factored in
579
00:33:47,520 --> 00:33:50,119
when discussing
the potential future outcomes
580
00:33:50,120 --> 00:33:53,400
of extreme weather systems
like cyclones.
581
00:33:54,720 --> 00:33:56,399
Counterintuitively,
582
00:33:56,400 --> 00:34:00,719
studies show cyclones
are happening less often.
583
00:34:00,720 --> 00:34:04,239
The number of tropical cyclones
over the last 70 years
584
00:34:04,240 --> 00:34:06,399
have steadily reduced.
585
00:34:06,400 --> 00:34:10,159
Unfortunately,
it's not all good news.
586
00:34:10,160 --> 00:34:11,799
The cyclones that do occur
587
00:34:11,800 --> 00:34:14,360
are more intense
and more dangerous.
588
00:34:19,280 --> 00:34:20,839
As the Earth warms,
589
00:34:20,840 --> 00:34:23,519
the moisture content
in the air increases,
590
00:34:23,520 --> 00:34:27,479
which in turn feeds
more powerful storms.
591
00:34:27,480 --> 00:34:31,279
Computer models predict that
for a two-degree Celsius rise
592
00:34:31,280 --> 00:34:33,079
in global temperatures,
593
00:34:33,080 --> 00:34:37,599
rainfall during a cyclone
would increase 10 to 15 percent
594
00:34:37,600 --> 00:34:40,559
and the storm's
intensities would rise by
595
00:34:40,560 --> 00:34:43,679
as much as 10 percent.
596
00:34:43,680 --> 00:34:47,559
Rising sea levels increase the
height of coastal storm surges
597
00:34:47,560 --> 00:34:51,359
and greater flooding is likely.
598
00:34:51,360 --> 00:34:54,479
The effects of climate change
are already visible
599
00:34:54,480 --> 00:34:58,079
in the cyclones that are
affecting many countries.
600
00:34:58,080 --> 00:35:00,919
The trend of more and more
powerful storms
601
00:35:00,920 --> 00:35:03,519
can be seen in Cyclone Idai,
602
00:35:03,520 --> 00:35:08,400
which decimated parts
of Southern Africa in 2019.
603
00:35:13,040 --> 00:35:15,879
The impact a storm has
on the population
604
00:35:15,880 --> 00:35:18,279
depends not just
upon the deadly ferocity
605
00:35:18,280 --> 00:35:20,159
of the storm itself
606
00:35:20,160 --> 00:35:23,800
but how well equipped a
population is to deal with it.
607
00:35:26,120 --> 00:35:28,079
In developing countries,
608
00:35:28,080 --> 00:35:30,359
buildings are
typically less robust
609
00:35:30,360 --> 00:35:33,119
and less able
to withstand the forces
610
00:35:33,120 --> 00:35:36,880
of 160-plus
kilometer-per-hour winds.
611
00:35:38,960 --> 00:35:42,239
Emergency response services
are underfunded,
612
00:35:42,240 --> 00:35:45,039
and their ability
to help is exacerbated
613
00:35:45,040 --> 00:35:47,839
by poor transport
infrastructure.
614
00:35:47,840 --> 00:35:51,559
Food and medical supplies
are often overstretched
615
00:35:51,560 --> 00:35:54,240
by the sheer numbers
of people involved.
616
00:35:55,760 --> 00:35:58,319
This magnifies
the human impact,
617
00:35:58,320 --> 00:36:01,799
resulting in tens of thousands
of casualties,
618
00:36:01,800 --> 00:36:03,759
compared to the hundreds
in the West
619
00:36:03,760 --> 00:36:06,839
for a similar-size cyclone.
620
00:36:23,880 --> 00:36:29,679
Cyclone Idai hit Southeastern
Africa in March, 2019,
621
00:36:29,680 --> 00:36:31,199
and went on to become
622
00:36:31,200 --> 00:36:34,480
one of the hemisphere's
most devastating storms.
623
00:36:39,320 --> 00:36:41,799
Mozambique typically only gets
624
00:36:41,800 --> 00:36:45,240
one significant storm
every 10 years.
625
00:36:46,840 --> 00:36:49,199
Because of this
intermittent risk,
626
00:36:49,200 --> 00:36:52,560
preparation for cyclones
isn't prioritized.
627
00:36:54,760 --> 00:36:56,759
It's unlikely, if an area
628
00:36:56,760 --> 00:37:00,319
is very infrequently attacked
by tropical cyclones,
629
00:37:00,320 --> 00:37:02,639
that they will have
the infrastructure in place
630
00:37:02,640 --> 00:37:05,639
to move people,
to have safe places
631
00:37:05,640 --> 00:37:07,999
where they can
evacuate people to.
632
00:37:08,000 --> 00:37:09,639
So a storm that hits in an area
633
00:37:09,640 --> 00:37:12,719
which is, shall we say,
unprepared,
634
00:37:12,720 --> 00:37:15,999
of course, like any event, is
going to be more badly affected.
635
00:37:16,000 --> 00:37:19,919
Between the 9th and the 12th
of March, 2019,
636
00:37:19,920 --> 00:37:24,399
a tropical storm strengthened
into Tropical Cyclone Idai.
637
00:37:27,080 --> 00:37:29,279
At its peak,
sustained wind speeds
638
00:37:29,280 --> 00:37:33,919
were around
177 kilometers per hour.
639
00:37:33,920 --> 00:37:37,800
Idai's intensity receded
over the next day or so.
640
00:37:39,320 --> 00:37:42,519
But that trend didn't continue,
641
00:37:42,520 --> 00:37:46,279
and Cyclone Idai's wind speed
ramped up again.
642
00:37:46,280 --> 00:37:49,719
By March the 14th,
the sustained wind speeds
643
00:37:49,720 --> 00:37:54,359
peaked at
193 kilometers per hour.
644
00:37:54,360 --> 00:37:56,839
Cyclone Idai had a looping path
645
00:37:56,840 --> 00:38:00,320
that made it unpredictable
and difficult to track.
646
00:38:02,080 --> 00:38:06,239
It actually made landfall twice
in Mozambique.
647
00:38:06,240 --> 00:38:08,039
On the 15th of March,
648
00:38:08,040 --> 00:38:12,639
Idai made landfall in
the Mozambican city of Beira.
649
00:38:12,640 --> 00:38:16,520
It was not prepared
for such a catastrophic storm.
650
00:38:18,080 --> 00:38:20,999
The city of Beira was torn up
651
00:38:21,000 --> 00:38:23,920
as the storm ripped
through the buildings.
652
00:38:25,720 --> 00:38:29,520
Many people were injured
by the airborne debris.
653
00:38:31,320 --> 00:38:35,039
Beira has about 500,000 people,
654
00:38:35,040 --> 00:38:39,239
some of whom live right near
the river in low-lying areas.
655
00:38:39,240 --> 00:38:44,759
So because the system was able
to push a surge of seawater
656
00:38:44,760 --> 00:38:48,759
up the river
in a populated region,
657
00:38:48,760 --> 00:38:52,119
it made this system
quite deadly at landfall.
658
00:38:52,120 --> 00:38:55,919
And furthermore,
it spent more days after that
659
00:38:55,920 --> 00:38:59,359
with heavy rainfall,
causing further river flooding
660
00:38:59,360 --> 00:39:02,039
and other kinds
of inland flooding.
661
00:39:02,040 --> 00:39:05,119
Up to 90 percent
of the buildings in Beira
662
00:39:05,120 --> 00:39:07,279
were totally destroyed.
663
00:39:07,280 --> 00:39:11,679
From Beira,
Cyclone Idai continued inland,
664
00:39:11,680 --> 00:39:14,719
leaving a trail of destruction
in its wake
665
00:39:14,720 --> 00:39:19,239
and reaching Zimbabwe
on March the 16th.
666
00:39:19,240 --> 00:39:23,959
Eventually, Idai killed
at least 1300 people
667
00:39:23,960 --> 00:39:28,399
and impacted over 3 million
people across Madagascar,
668
00:39:28,400 --> 00:39:33,159
Mozambique, Malawi
and Zimbabwe,
669
00:39:33,160 --> 00:39:35,839
making it
the second deadliest cyclone
670
00:39:35,840 --> 00:39:38,359
to hit the Southern Hemisphere.
671
00:39:38,360 --> 00:39:40,799
Idai brought
torrential rainfall,
672
00:39:40,800 --> 00:39:44,559
causing catastrophic flooding
in many areas,
673
00:39:44,560 --> 00:39:48,519
displacing hundreds
of thousands of people.
674
00:40:51,520 --> 00:40:54,479
The floods helped spread
infectious diseases,
675
00:40:54,480 --> 00:40:57,040
including cholera and malaria.
676
00:41:29,640 --> 00:41:32,999
Over 100,000 homes
were destroyed
677
00:41:33,000 --> 00:41:36,280
and at least 1 million acres
of crops were ruined...
678
00:41:38,080 --> 00:41:40,559
exacerbating food shortages
679
00:41:40,560 --> 00:41:43,640
and placing the country
at risk of famine.
680
00:41:44,800 --> 00:41:47,239
Very intense rain
681
00:41:47,240 --> 00:41:49,079
has hit the whole province,
682
00:41:49,080 --> 00:41:51,159
which is
swelling the river basins
683
00:41:51,160 --> 00:41:53,799
and is putting
additional populations
684
00:41:53,800 --> 00:41:55,279
along those rivers at risk,
685
00:41:55,280 --> 00:41:57,719
including the population
686
00:41:57,720 --> 00:42:00,039
in certain cities such as Pemba.
687
00:42:00,040 --> 00:42:05,639
We estimate that probably
over 100,000 more people
688
00:42:05,640 --> 00:42:08,799
are at risk of the flood.
689
00:42:08,800 --> 00:42:14,759
The impact of storms such as
Idai can last a long time.
690
00:42:14,760 --> 00:42:17,799
People can suffer
from disease and malnutrition
691
00:42:17,800 --> 00:42:20,640
for many months
after the storm has passed.
692
00:42:24,040 --> 00:42:25,719
In some areas,
693
00:42:25,720 --> 00:42:29,359
girls are caught between
impossible choices for survival
694
00:42:29,360 --> 00:42:32,359
as severe food shortages bite.
695
00:42:32,360 --> 00:42:35,959
A rise of prostitution,
sex for food,
696
00:42:35,960 --> 00:42:38,679
forced and arranged marriages
were noted
697
00:42:38,680 --> 00:42:41,679
in the aftermath
of the cyclone.
698
00:42:41,680 --> 00:42:47,759
So the main impact of Storm Idai
in Mozambique was the flooding.
699
00:42:47,760 --> 00:42:50,279
The winds, of course,
were very severe,
700
00:42:50,280 --> 00:42:53,639
but the winds were
relatively short-lived.
701
00:42:53,640 --> 00:42:56,639
Idai was not a particularly
severe windstorm
702
00:42:56,640 --> 00:42:58,559
by any standard,
703
00:42:58,560 --> 00:43:01,359
but it did produce
vast amounts of rain,
704
00:43:01,360 --> 00:43:03,239
a lot of storm surge,
705
00:43:03,240 --> 00:43:05,359
and it deposited
a large amount of water
706
00:43:05,360 --> 00:43:09,879
on land that was already
quite low-lying and wet.
707
00:43:09,880 --> 00:43:12,519
As the floodwaters
started to recede
708
00:43:12,520 --> 00:43:16,399
and the slow, painful process
of rebuilding began,
709
00:43:16,400 --> 00:43:18,520
the unthinkable happened.
710
00:43:20,400 --> 00:43:22,959
Less than six weeks
after Cyclone Idai
711
00:43:22,960 --> 00:43:24,759
tore through the country,
712
00:43:24,760 --> 00:43:28,439
Cyclone Kenneth made landfall
in Mozambique
713
00:43:28,440 --> 00:43:30,400
on the 24th of April...
714
00:43:32,480 --> 00:43:34,799
the second major storm to hit
715
00:43:34,800 --> 00:43:36,840
in less than
a two-month period.
716
00:43:39,920 --> 00:43:45,839
Kenneth made landfall just
north of Pemba in Mozambique.
717
00:43:45,840 --> 00:43:47,839
Idai was bad.
718
00:43:47,840 --> 00:43:49,839
Kenneth was worse.
719
00:43:59,000 --> 00:44:02,919
When Kenneth came along
not very long after Idai,
720
00:44:02,920 --> 00:44:05,919
it was falling--
It was causing rain to fall
721
00:44:05,920 --> 00:44:07,879
on an area
that was already flooded.
722
00:44:07,880 --> 00:44:09,919
People's homes
were already devastated.
723
00:44:09,920 --> 00:44:12,159
People were already
living outside
724
00:44:12,160 --> 00:44:14,079
because of the previous storm.
725
00:44:14,080 --> 00:44:16,119
So that when the second storm
came along,
726
00:44:16,120 --> 00:44:17,719
they were totally exposed.
727
00:44:17,720 --> 00:44:23,119
And the impact, of course,
was amplified many times.
728
00:44:23,120 --> 00:44:27,039
Kenneth was to become the most
intense tropical cyclone
729
00:44:27,040 --> 00:44:29,799
in Mozambique's
recorded history,
730
00:44:29,800 --> 00:44:34,880
with sustained winds
of 225 kilometers per hour.
731
00:44:36,800 --> 00:44:40,799
Scientists believe climate
change may have had a hand
732
00:44:40,800 --> 00:44:44,039
in triggering two storms
so close together.
733
00:44:53,000 --> 00:44:56,719
In the case of Idai
when it hit Mozambique,
734
00:44:56,720 --> 00:44:59,359
of course the flooding
and the winds
735
00:44:59,360 --> 00:45:01,599
caused a lot of people to
be moved away from their homes.
736
00:45:01,600 --> 00:45:04,679
A lot of people lost their
homes and then were displaced.
737
00:45:04,680 --> 00:45:07,439
They were battered
by the first storm.
738
00:45:07,440 --> 00:45:09,639
There was a lot of sickness,
a lot of injury,
739
00:45:09,640 --> 00:45:11,759
a lot of people didn't
have water and food.
740
00:45:11,760 --> 00:45:13,279
So under those conditions,
741
00:45:13,280 --> 00:45:16,119
while people are camping
essentially in the open air
742
00:45:16,120 --> 00:45:17,639
in a very weakened state,
743
00:45:17,640 --> 00:45:20,199
the arrival of
the second storm, Kenneth,
744
00:45:20,200 --> 00:45:23,839
a very short period afterwards
was utterly devastating.
745
00:45:23,840 --> 00:45:27,519
The two storms
greatly impacted agriculture
746
00:45:27,520 --> 00:45:32,399
in an area with
780,000 hectares of crops,
747
00:45:32,400 --> 00:45:35,159
plunging some 200,000 children
748
00:45:35,160 --> 00:45:38,720
into crisis levels
of food insecurity.
749
00:45:40,920 --> 00:45:44,399
Mozambique was hit
by two cyclones
750
00:45:44,400 --> 00:45:48,039
in March and April of 2019,
751
00:45:48,040 --> 00:45:50,079
and that additional flooding
752
00:45:50,080 --> 00:45:54,479
made more regions
difficult to get to.
753
00:45:54,480 --> 00:45:56,479
Roads were washed out.
754
00:45:56,480 --> 00:46:00,279
This flooding was
lasting for weeks on end.
755
00:46:00,280 --> 00:46:02,479
And for those reasons,
it was difficult
756
00:46:02,480 --> 00:46:04,919
for international aid workers
to reach
757
00:46:04,920 --> 00:46:07,279
some of the villages
and cities and towns
758
00:46:07,280 --> 00:46:09,239
that had been affected.
759
00:46:09,240 --> 00:46:12,479
And in addition,
these regions are fairly poor,
760
00:46:12,480 --> 00:46:15,319
and they are exposed
to diseases
761
00:46:15,320 --> 00:46:18,999
like cholera and malaria
on a regular basis.
762
00:46:19,000 --> 00:46:22,959
But these flooding conditions
made those worse.
763
00:46:22,960 --> 00:46:28,479
So, for instance, Mozambique had
a cholera outbreak after Idai,
764
00:46:28,480 --> 00:46:31,799
and Kenneth would have
made that even worse.
765
00:46:31,800 --> 00:46:36,639
Cyclones Idai and Kenneth
happening so close together
766
00:46:36,640 --> 00:46:39,160
was a once-in-a-generation
disaster.
767
00:46:43,800 --> 00:46:46,479
Populations still reeling
from Idai
768
00:46:46,480 --> 00:46:49,120
were in no position
to deal with Kenneth.
769
00:46:51,480 --> 00:46:55,079
An estimated
2.5 million people,
770
00:46:55,080 --> 00:46:58,159
almost 10 percent
of the country's population,
771
00:46:58,160 --> 00:47:00,760
needed life-saving assistance.
772
00:47:14,680 --> 00:47:19,479
Cyclones represent nature
at its most primal,
773
00:47:19,480 --> 00:47:23,199
a force we can't control
or easily predict,
774
00:47:23,200 --> 00:47:26,119
with winds and waves
that are so powerful
775
00:47:26,120 --> 00:47:28,959
that our defenses seem futile.
776
00:47:28,960 --> 00:47:30,679
They can strike in many places
777
00:47:30,680 --> 00:47:32,359
and often hit countries
778
00:47:32,360 --> 00:47:34,719
not equipped to deal with them.
779
00:47:34,720 --> 00:47:38,239
The initial landfall
is frightening and chaotic,
780
00:47:38,240 --> 00:47:42,079
but the really deadly disaster
occurs in the aftermath
781
00:47:42,080 --> 00:47:45,879
with the spread
of disease and famine.
782
00:47:45,880 --> 00:47:49,159
A country's infrastructure
can be torn up,
783
00:47:49,160 --> 00:47:51,479
hampering rescue efforts.
784
00:47:51,480 --> 00:47:53,159
Even if people can escape
785
00:47:53,160 --> 00:47:55,759
the initial danger
of the storm,
786
00:47:55,760 --> 00:47:57,719
where do they go?
787
00:47:57,720 --> 00:48:01,519
Cyclones oust hundreds of
thousands of people each year.
788
00:48:01,520 --> 00:48:05,119
Where are these
displaced populations housed?
789
00:48:05,120 --> 00:48:07,999
The various dangers
to these people remain
790
00:48:08,000 --> 00:48:10,719
long after
the storm has abated.
791
00:48:10,720 --> 00:48:13,959
Some of the world's
worst humanitarian disasters
792
00:48:13,960 --> 00:48:16,479
have been triggered
by cyclones,
793
00:48:16,480 --> 00:48:19,439
with individual storms
that negatively impact
794
00:48:19,440 --> 00:48:23,239
millions of people while
costing billions of dollars.
795
00:48:23,240 --> 00:48:27,079
The relationship between
climate change and cyclones
796
00:48:27,080 --> 00:48:29,119
is still being tested,
797
00:48:29,120 --> 00:48:32,959
but the trend is
for more dramatic storms.
798
00:48:32,960 --> 00:48:37,359
Unity among organizations
is the lifeline to survival
799
00:48:37,360 --> 00:48:40,359
in any disaster,
let alone when faced
800
00:48:40,360 --> 00:48:43,479
with the eye
of Mother Nature's fury,
801
00:48:43,480 --> 00:48:46,679
the catastrophic impact
of cyclones.
67274
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