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We live on a water planet,
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with 71% of the Earth’s surface
covered in water.
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Only 2.5% of the Earth’s water
is fresh water...
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held in the ice caps,
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lakes...
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rivers...
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clouds and streams.
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We need water for life,
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to drink and irrigate crops.
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Not enough water,
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and the land withers
under drought.
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However, too much water
can be just as deadly.
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When normally dry land
overflows with water,
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you get flooding...
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a natural occurrence,
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sometimes benign
and sometimes catastrophic.
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When we have very,
very big flood events,
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there’s not a lot you can do
to get out of the way.
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Floods exist in the present
and are part of our history,
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featuring in the legends we use
to make sense of the world.
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Floods are among the most
costly natural disasters,
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affecting the largest
populations of people
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with far-ranging consequences,
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including damage to property,
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disease and loss of life.
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In this Deadly Disasters,
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we will look at
the different types of flooding
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and investigate the reasons
why they occur.
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Our experts will look at some
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of the most
catastrophic floods
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of recent years.
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We will consider
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how different countries
manage flooding,
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particularly in the developing world,
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where resources
can be stretched thin.
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Eyewitness reports will tell
the human story of flooding
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and the personal toll
these events take.
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Flood-prone areas
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can also tend
to be highly populated.
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Low-lying flood plains adjacent
to rivers attract people.
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The flat land is easier
to build on.
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Proximity to the river is good
for farming and irrigation.
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Rivers allow for people
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and supplies
to be transported,
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and previous floods provide
nutrients that farmers need.
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The human impact of floods
can be catastrophic
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when they hit in areas
of dense population.
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By the time people
got back to their homes,
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there were no homes anymore.
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Floods kill
more people each year
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than any other form
of extreme weather.
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The cost of flood damage
is astronomical,
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up to 40 billion U.S. dollars
per year in the U.S. alone.
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Water is part of the landscape,
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collecting in ponds and lakes
on the surface
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and as aquifers
and groundwater below.
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Rivers and streams
collect water
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and move it downhill,
eventually back to the sea.
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In normal circumstances,
the geography of most locations
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prevents extreme floods
from occurring.
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Water drains into the soil,
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runs into the rivers
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and is carried away
eventually to the sea.
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Water is also intercepted
by plants,
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and some of it evaporates.
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The landscape is efficient
at moving it from the surface
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via streams and rivers
to the sea
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or allows it to slowly soak
into groundwater.
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Floods happen when water
is added to a landscape
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quicker than it can be
carried away...
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when the surface becomes
waterlogged
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and the flow of water exceeds
what can be carried away.
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Floods occur when water remains
in areas not used to water.
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This excess water can
come from precipitation,
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coastal storm surges
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and meltwater and runoff
from higher ground.
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Flooding can be small
and localized,
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presenting minimal danger
to local populations.
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In extreme circumstances,
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floods can cover huge areas,
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many thousands
of square kilometers
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for weeks at a time,
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causing life-changing consequences
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for the people affected.
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Even six inches of water,
or 15 centimeters,
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is enough to knock a person
off their feet.
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And even 30 centimeters,
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or a foot,
of water can move cars.
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And so when you have
a flood event
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that can be several meters deep,
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that can actually
force people to the roofs
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and need immediate evacuation.
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Coastal areas present
a particular flood risk.
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Large areas of low-lying land
risk sea flooding
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from storm surges
and precipitation.
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Areas close to the sea
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often receive more rainfall
than inland.
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In the U.S., this can be due
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to atmospheric rivers.
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Conventional land rivers
are a place
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where water accumulates
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and flows
in the same direction,
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taking advantage
of the geography
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to concentrate flow
in troughs and gullies
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to carry water quickly
across the land.
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Atmospheric rivers
that form in the sky
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do the same thing
but with water vapor.
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Long, thin areas
with high moisture content
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transport water thousands of
kilometers across the globe.
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Often fed by water evaporation
in warm Pacific waters,
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atmospheric rivers
are responsible
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for much of the rainfall
in North America.
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Carried on fast winds,
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the water vapor remains
locked in the atmosphere
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like a saturated sponge
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until something comes along
to squeeze it out.
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That can be the edge
of a continent
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forcing water out of the air
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and triggering
torrential rainfall.
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Much of the precipitation
in the U.S.A.
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is transported
by atmospheric rivers.
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Coastal areas often bear
the brunt of storms.
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Large waves can develop
over large distances
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and then release
all this built-up energy
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onto the land as a storm surge.
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A storm surge is when you have
a raise in the ocean level
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because of low pressure
in the atmosphere.
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And that’s compounded with wind
that’s blowing the water
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from the sea onto the land.
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So you get
this kind of surge in water,
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which means you can
get floods further inland
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than you would
with just a high tide.
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Extreme storm surges
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can overcome flood defenses
and drive water inland.
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In the United States,
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one of the biggest surges
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was caused by Hurricane
Katrina in August of 2005...
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resulting in water levels
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of eight meters
above high tide.
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00:08:26,880 --> 00:08:30,159
Hurricanes pick up a lot
of energy and water moisture
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from traveling over the ocean
and warm waters,
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and when they reach landfall,
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they can dump a lot
of that water onto the land.
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When hurricanes make landfall,
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bad things usually follow.
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The levels
of devastation that you see
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in these types of events
is huge, it’s massive,
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and what we see on the TV
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when we see pictures of people
standing on roofs,
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that is just
the tip of the iceberg.
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Hurricane Harvey was the
second most costly hurricane
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to hit the U.S. since 1900.
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It began as a tropical storm
in the Gulf of Mexico
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around August 17th, 2017.
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When extreme tropical cyclones
occur,
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like Hurricane Harvey,
the amount of rain
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that falls from them
will be even greater.
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It had become
a Category 1 hurricane
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by the 24th.
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By the next day,
it was upgraded to Category 4
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and en route to Texas.
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When Hurricane Harvey tracked
over the Gulf of Mexico,
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the Gulf of Mexico was actually
much warmer than normal.
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And so that gave the hurricane
itself a lot more energy
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and was able to pick up
a lot of water.
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And so when it made landfall,
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it dumped
all that water on land.
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As the flood bore down
on the coast,
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flood preparations began.
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Aware of the storm and
potential floods to follow,
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the citizens of Houston
prepared.
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Forty-one thousand
emergency shelter beds
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were made available
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and 200 buses put on standby
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to move people inland
from the worst-hit areas.
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In the buildup to the landfall,
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the Houston mayor,
Sylvester Turner, tweeted:
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If you choose not to evacuate,
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it means that somebody’s going
to have to come and rescue you.
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The evac horn went off, and
they said you have five minutes
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to get whatever you can
and let’s go.
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So we had to climb over
the back wall,
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we had to walk
from the back of that wall
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on the back of our house
in thigh-high water.
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The next morning,
it kind of hit me,
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I’m like, "Oh, my goodness.
I don’t even know
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if I have a house or a car,
I don’t know."
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And I cried for a minute,
and then I prayed about it.
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There was another lady crying,
I went and gave her a hug.
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On August the 25th, it makes
landfall on San Jose Island
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in southern Texas,
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with 210-kilometers-per-hour
winds
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and a massive storm surge.
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The next day, the winds calmed
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and the event was downgraded
to a tropical storm.
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Yet, whilst the winds
may have abated,
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the rain did not let up.
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By August the 27th,
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Harvey had dropped
a year’s worth of rain
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00:11:20,560 --> 00:11:23,719
on Houston in just five days.
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That amount of water
falling over a city
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or a very built-up area
is absolutely devastating.
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It’s relentless,
and the drainage--
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Both the natural and the
engineered drainage capacity
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just can no longer cope
with that amount of rain.
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The rainfall was described
by many commentators
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as an historic amount of
rainfall, a 500-year storm.
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Harvey was particularly intense
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because when it reached
landfall, it stalled
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and moved very slowly
along the coast.
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And it was bringing water
from the Gulf of Mexico
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and dumping it over Houston.
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And essentially the storm
moved on and off the land
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around five times
before it dissipated
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and moved northwards.
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The ability to predict flooding
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has a huge impact
on how the response is managed.
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With enough time,
people can be safely evacuated,
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emergency services primed
and flood defenses shored up.
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00:12:23,760 --> 00:12:25,359
So there are two main ways
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that you can really limit
devastation from a flood.
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The first one is to be prepared
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00:12:30,160 --> 00:12:32,479
and to know what to do
when a flood is coming.
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And the second one is to know
where to get warnings from
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so that you can hear
what the latest information is.
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Put simply,
sufficient early flood warnings
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can actively save the lives
of people in high-risk areas.
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Early-warning systems
are an important tool
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to tackle floods.
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00:12:53,000 --> 00:12:56,559
Flood predicting requires
real-time, on-the-ground data,
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00:12:56,560 --> 00:12:59,479
from rainfall
to ground moisture
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00:12:59,480 --> 00:13:01,679
and knowledge
of the landscape.
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00:13:01,680 --> 00:13:04,519
Flood forecast tools
have been developed
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00:13:04,520 --> 00:13:06,719
to apply rainfall predictions
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00:13:06,720 --> 00:13:09,519
onto three-dimensional maps
of the ground.
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00:13:09,520 --> 00:13:12,759
By looking at the topography
and the ground cover,
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water flows can be predicted
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00:13:14,640 --> 00:13:16,959
and floods can be mapped
at street level,
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00:13:16,960 --> 00:13:20,119
sometimes up to 48 hours
in advance.
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00:13:20,120 --> 00:13:23,319
The University of Loughborough
have trialed
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00:13:23,320 --> 00:13:25,439
this type of flood map system
successfully
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00:13:25,440 --> 00:13:27,359
in four U.K. cities,
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00:13:27,360 --> 00:13:30,799
with hopes to make
an international product soon.
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00:13:30,800 --> 00:13:33,959
Satellite imaging has been
an important component
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00:13:33,960 --> 00:13:36,639
of weather prediction
for some time.
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00:13:36,640 --> 00:13:38,959
Storms can be tracked
and monitored
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00:13:38,960 --> 00:13:41,159
as they move across the globe,
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00:13:41,160 --> 00:13:44,759
making it possible to predict
when they make landfall.
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00:13:44,760 --> 00:13:49,199
This satellite data is key
in predicting floods,
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00:13:49,200 --> 00:13:51,399
since being able
to estimate the times
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00:13:51,400 --> 00:13:54,439
and amount of rainfall
in an area is key.
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00:13:54,440 --> 00:13:58,439
NASA scientists have developed
satellite capability
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even further.
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00:14:01,600 --> 00:14:04,799
By measuring microwave
emissions from the landscape,
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00:14:04,800 --> 00:14:07,800
it is possible to assess
soil moisture.
256
00:14:09,680 --> 00:14:12,199
The Soil Moisture
Active Passive system
257
00:14:12,200 --> 00:14:15,559
is able to measure the soil
moisture for the entire Earth
258
00:14:15,560 --> 00:14:18,039
in just three days.
259
00:14:18,040 --> 00:14:22,239
Soil moisture is an important
data set for flood prediction
260
00:14:22,240 --> 00:14:24,679
because it allows researchers
to know
261
00:14:24,680 --> 00:14:28,439
how much rainwater
can soak into the land.
262
00:14:28,440 --> 00:14:30,479
A large data set like this,
263
00:14:30,480 --> 00:14:32,519
combined with
weather predictions,
264
00:14:32,520 --> 00:14:36,159
increases the ability to make
global flood predictions
265
00:14:36,160 --> 00:14:38,839
on a large scale.
266
00:14:38,840 --> 00:14:41,919
If an area is already
deemed waterlogged,
267
00:14:41,920 --> 00:14:43,519
then they will be
able to know
268
00:14:43,520 --> 00:14:45,559
if the coming rain
will bring with it
269
00:14:45,560 --> 00:14:46,480
the risk of flooding.
270
00:14:48,080 --> 00:14:51,079
In Houston,
more water was being dumped
271
00:14:51,080 --> 00:14:52,679
than the drainage systems
272
00:14:52,680 --> 00:14:54,519
and natural runoff
could cope with.
273
00:14:54,520 --> 00:14:56,399
It had nowhere to go.
274
00:14:56,400 --> 00:14:57,919
It’s never been
like this before.
275
00:14:57,920 --> 00:14:59,599
I mean, it’s awful,
276
00:14:59,600 --> 00:15:02,119
but, you know,
we’re getting everybody out.
277
00:15:02,120 --> 00:15:04,119
Police and the fire department
were here yesterday,
278
00:15:04,120 --> 00:15:06,839
helped us get more out,
so we’ve been okay.
279
00:15:06,840 --> 00:15:10,479
With Harvey, people were not
really expecting this to happen.
280
00:15:10,480 --> 00:15:12,119
So they weren’t prepared.
281
00:15:12,120 --> 00:15:14,759
So they didn’t take the actions
they could have taken
282
00:15:14,760 --> 00:15:17,199
to protect themselves
and their property.
283
00:15:17,200 --> 00:15:21,199
Urban areas exacerbate flooding
for several reasons.
284
00:15:21,200 --> 00:15:24,239
Flood risk is reduced
by vegetation.
285
00:15:24,240 --> 00:15:27,239
Plants intercept and absorb
some of the water,
286
00:15:27,240 --> 00:15:29,639
slowing its propagation
downhill.
287
00:15:29,640 --> 00:15:32,319
The water is given time
to soak into the soil
288
00:15:32,320 --> 00:15:36,679
rather than gather
on the surface as a flood.
289
00:15:36,680 --> 00:15:39,559
Urban development reduces
the vegetation,
290
00:15:39,560 --> 00:15:43,040
replacing it with concrete,
buildings and tarmac.
291
00:15:45,080 --> 00:15:47,719
Modern building materials
coat the land
292
00:15:47,720 --> 00:15:49,599
in an impermeable layer,
293
00:15:49,600 --> 00:15:52,600
preventing water from soaking
into the ground.
294
00:15:55,680 --> 00:15:59,919
Instead it collects together
and starts to pool.
295
00:15:59,920 --> 00:16:01,599
Drainage can only do so much,
296
00:16:01,600 --> 00:16:04,039
and few cities have systems
in place
297
00:16:04,040 --> 00:16:07,439
to remove hurricane-levels
of water quickly enough.
298
00:16:07,440 --> 00:16:10,119
Good flood infrastructure
can prevent cities
299
00:16:10,120 --> 00:16:12,039
from the risk of flooding.
300
00:16:12,040 --> 00:16:15,599
However, even the most
sophisticated technology
301
00:16:15,600 --> 00:16:18,119
comes with problems.
302
00:16:18,120 --> 00:16:20,639
We have something called
the levee effect.
303
00:16:20,640 --> 00:16:22,359
It’s very common to find people
304
00:16:22,360 --> 00:16:25,439
who live behind
very large flood defenses
305
00:16:25,440 --> 00:16:28,359
are actually much less prepared
for a flood when it happens
306
00:16:28,360 --> 00:16:31,759
because they’re
perceived to have
a very high protection level.
307
00:16:31,760 --> 00:16:35,079
But when their protection level
is breached,
308
00:16:35,080 --> 00:16:36,799
they’re not prepared.
309
00:16:36,800 --> 00:16:38,119
So you need to know
310
00:16:38,120 --> 00:16:39,839
how high the water
is going to get.
311
00:16:39,840 --> 00:16:41,879
You need to listen
to those warnings
312
00:16:41,880 --> 00:16:43,599
about what’s going to happen.
313
00:16:43,600 --> 00:16:46,279
You can move things upstairs
if that’s a possibility.
314
00:16:46,280 --> 00:16:48,919
You can switch off
all electricity.
315
00:16:48,920 --> 00:16:51,959
That’s very, very important
to stop fires.
316
00:16:51,960 --> 00:16:53,359
And you can evacuate.
317
00:16:53,360 --> 00:16:55,519
If you really need to,
you should go.
318
00:16:55,520 --> 00:16:58,839
Houston was battered
by up to 50 inches of rain
319
00:16:58,840 --> 00:17:01,239
in just a few days.
320
00:17:01,240 --> 00:17:03,600
The flooding happened quickly.
321
00:17:04,920 --> 00:17:06,599
We know
that there was a problem
322
00:17:06,600 --> 00:17:09,279
with the communications
with the Texas floods.
323
00:17:09,280 --> 00:17:11,599
We know that there were
some very good warnings
324
00:17:11,600 --> 00:17:13,559
issued 30 hours ahead,
325
00:17:13,560 --> 00:17:16,719
saying there was devastating
amounts of rainfall coming,
326
00:17:16,720 --> 00:17:19,399
but some people didn’t seem
to receive those warnings
327
00:17:19,400 --> 00:17:22,439
or really know what to do when
they received those warnings.
328
00:17:22,440 --> 00:17:26,839
Five people were killed
in the initial storm.
329
00:17:26,840 --> 00:17:29,559
If you see the news,
everybody’s helping each other.
330
00:17:29,560 --> 00:17:30,879
They forgot about race,
331
00:17:30,880 --> 00:17:33,159
they forgot
about what color you are.
332
00:17:33,160 --> 00:17:38,519
More than 135,000 homes were
affected by the flooding.
333
00:17:38,520 --> 00:17:41,159
Floods cause
terrible devastation
334
00:17:41,160 --> 00:17:43,239
to buildings and property.
335
00:17:43,240 --> 00:17:45,799
The structure of buildings
can be damaged.
336
00:17:45,800 --> 00:17:48,519
Furnishings, carpet
and plasterboard
337
00:17:48,520 --> 00:17:50,520
become soaked
and waterlogged.
338
00:17:53,120 --> 00:17:55,999
A lot of this material has
to be ripped out and scrapped
339
00:17:56,000 --> 00:17:57,880
when the waters recede.
340
00:17:59,480 --> 00:18:02,879
Cars and electricals
are destroyed.
341
00:18:02,880 --> 00:18:04,839
In addition to homes,
342
00:18:04,840 --> 00:18:08,239
industrial areas are
also affected.
343
00:18:08,240 --> 00:18:09,959
Houston is a big player
344
00:18:09,960 --> 00:18:11,919
in the petrochemicals industry,
345
00:18:11,920 --> 00:18:15,799
and toxic chemicals leached
into the floodwater.
346
00:18:15,800 --> 00:18:19,479
Elevated levels of chromium,
nickel and arsenic
347
00:18:19,480 --> 00:18:21,359
were found in the water,
348
00:18:21,360 --> 00:18:22,959
which are detrimental
to people,
349
00:18:22,960 --> 00:18:25,200
animals and sea life.
350
00:18:26,400 --> 00:18:28,159
The effects of floods on people
351
00:18:28,160 --> 00:18:30,879
is just as dramatic.
352
00:18:30,880 --> 00:18:32,919
With fast flows
and storm surges,
353
00:18:32,920 --> 00:18:34,999
people risk
being washed away,
354
00:18:35,000 --> 00:18:37,080
injured and drowned.
355
00:18:38,720 --> 00:18:40,599
But even slower-rising floods
356
00:18:40,600 --> 00:18:43,439
can present a large risk
to human health.
357
00:18:43,440 --> 00:18:46,519
It’s not only the damage
that the water actually causes
358
00:18:46,520 --> 00:18:48,039
to buildings and properties,
359
00:18:48,040 --> 00:18:50,439
but it’s also the contaminants
it can bring
360
00:18:50,440 --> 00:18:53,799
that even after a flood
can cause many diseases.
361
00:18:53,800 --> 00:18:55,399
So cholera, for example.
362
00:18:55,400 --> 00:18:56,519
You having--?
363
00:18:56,520 --> 00:18:58,119
I think he’s having a seizure.
364
00:18:58,120 --> 00:19:00,039
I’ll check on him.
365
00:19:02,720 --> 00:19:05,799
One of the most common
misconceptions about flooding
366
00:19:05,800 --> 00:19:08,879
is that nice clean water will
be running through your house.
367
00:19:08,880 --> 00:19:12,399
And what’s left behind actually
is huge amounts of silt,
368
00:19:12,400 --> 00:19:16,159
disgusting debris,
you know, sometimes sewage,
369
00:19:16,160 --> 00:19:18,639
and it can really, really last
a long time,
370
00:19:18,640 --> 00:19:20,519
that problem,
trying to clear that up.
371
00:19:20,520 --> 00:19:22,839
As people fled the floods,
372
00:19:22,840 --> 00:19:25,479
shelters soon became
overburdened
373
00:19:25,480 --> 00:19:28,119
and firefighters began
a door-to-door search
374
00:19:28,120 --> 00:19:30,160
to look
for trapped survivors.
375
00:19:37,160 --> 00:19:39,319
Elderly and disabled people
376
00:19:39,320 --> 00:19:41,919
who are unable to escape
the initial floods
377
00:19:41,920 --> 00:19:45,999
can end up
trapped in their own homes.
378
00:19:46,000 --> 00:19:49,759
The rescue efforts took nearly
two weeks to complete.
379
00:19:49,760 --> 00:19:52,879
During that time,
trapped people risked illness
380
00:19:52,880 --> 00:19:56,199
due to exposure,
lack of supplies and disease
381
00:19:56,200 --> 00:19:59,479
spread by flooded sewers.
382
00:19:59,480 --> 00:20:02,679
floodwaters hamper
rescue efforts.
383
00:20:02,680 --> 00:20:06,079
The high water levels and
sometimes fast-flowing water
384
00:20:06,080 --> 00:20:09,119
mean that often boats
and helicopters
385
00:20:09,120 --> 00:20:11,919
are the only way
people can be reached.
386
00:20:11,920 --> 00:20:14,039
Everybody around here’s stuck
in the house
387
00:20:14,040 --> 00:20:16,479
unless they already left
ahead of time, so...
388
00:20:16,480 --> 00:20:18,679
But I came two times,
I talked to them over and over,
389
00:20:18,680 --> 00:20:20,759
and they finally came around
there and just...
390
00:20:20,760 --> 00:20:22,719
When you get
a big city flooding,
391
00:20:22,720 --> 00:20:25,479
it can be very frightening
for the people who live there.
392
00:20:25,480 --> 00:20:27,759
Their entire lives
are caught up in that city.
393
00:20:27,760 --> 00:20:29,919
There is really nowhere else
for them to go.
394
00:20:29,920 --> 00:20:32,399
And they lose electricity,
they lose their ability
395
00:20:32,400 --> 00:20:34,879
to walk across the city.
They don’t know what to do.
396
00:20:34,880 --> 00:20:38,279
Floods can leave
people desperate.
397
00:20:38,280 --> 00:20:39,959
Where do you all live?
398
00:20:39,960 --> 00:20:42,719
It’s really a low-type person
that would come in and--
399
00:20:42,720 --> 00:20:45,119
When you this, how devastating
it is to your heart,
400
00:20:45,120 --> 00:20:48,399
and knowing people are
suffering without insurance,
401
00:20:48,400 --> 00:20:51,639
it’s devastating that someone
would wade through water,
402
00:20:51,640 --> 00:20:53,239
through snakes and alligators,
403
00:20:53,240 --> 00:20:56,159
to come and take
people’s possessions.
404
00:20:56,160 --> 00:20:58,079
We’re our own police force
right now.
405
00:20:58,080 --> 00:21:00,399
So-- And I think
all over Houston
406
00:21:00,400 --> 00:21:02,479
people are kind of taking
the same stance.
407
00:21:02,480 --> 00:21:04,759
You’ve got an AR-15 here,
408
00:21:04,760 --> 00:21:07,519
we’ve got a .357 semi-auto
409
00:21:07,520 --> 00:21:11,719
and then two 9 millimeter
with 5.56 NATO rounds,
410
00:21:11,720 --> 00:21:14,239
so a full metal jacket,
you know.
411
00:21:22,680 --> 00:21:25,839
Floodwaters take time
to recede,
412
00:21:25,840 --> 00:21:29,560
delaying people’s return home
to pick up the sodden pieces.
413
00:21:31,120 --> 00:21:33,519
Homes and furnishings
are waterlogged,
414
00:21:33,520 --> 00:21:35,719
and damp and mold has set in,
415
00:21:35,720 --> 00:21:39,039
meaning many of the house’s
contents need to be dumped.
416
00:21:41,800 --> 00:21:43,559
Once a flood has just happened,
417
00:21:43,560 --> 00:21:46,719
people view their homes
very differently.
418
00:21:46,720 --> 00:21:49,439
This is the place
they felt most safe.
419
00:21:49,440 --> 00:21:51,959
And now it’s just been
devastated by flood.
420
00:21:51,960 --> 00:21:54,519
So it’s very difficult for them
to come back to that
421
00:21:54,520 --> 00:21:56,679
and feel safe again.
422
00:21:56,680 --> 00:21:59,199
People have to start again.
423
00:21:59,200 --> 00:22:02,759
Rebuilding can take years.
424
00:22:02,760 --> 00:22:06,479
People expect governments to
protect them from all floods,
425
00:22:06,480 --> 00:22:07,959
and this is quite problematic
426
00:22:07,960 --> 00:22:10,399
because that’s
completely impossible.
427
00:22:10,400 --> 00:22:12,759
We don’t know
when the next major flood
428
00:22:12,760 --> 00:22:14,399
is going to happen in Texas
429
00:22:14,400 --> 00:22:18,239
and if it will be on
a similar scale to Harvey.
430
00:22:18,240 --> 00:22:22,479
Hopefully lessons
have been learned from 2017
431
00:22:22,480 --> 00:22:25,759
and can be applied
to help save lives
432
00:22:25,760 --> 00:22:28,560
next time the flood comes.
433
00:22:34,240 --> 00:22:36,599
Storm surges are inevitable,
434
00:22:36,600 --> 00:22:39,359
and it’s impractical
to fully mitigate the risk
435
00:22:39,360 --> 00:22:41,080
with flood defenses.
436
00:22:44,240 --> 00:22:46,119
World coastlines are
much too long
437
00:22:46,120 --> 00:22:49,400
to physically protect
with barriers and levees.
438
00:22:51,200 --> 00:22:53,959
The quantity and intensity
of storm surges
439
00:22:53,960 --> 00:22:57,240
are influenced by the tides
and level of the sea.
440
00:23:01,160 --> 00:23:04,719
Most of the earth’s fresh water
is stored as ice
441
00:23:04,720 --> 00:23:07,880
in the Arctic and Antarctic
ice shelves.
442
00:23:10,280 --> 00:23:12,359
The Antarctic ice sheet alone
443
00:23:12,360 --> 00:23:16,039
covers an area of almost
14 million square kilometers
444
00:23:16,040 --> 00:23:20,040
and contains 30 million
cubic kilometers of ice.
445
00:23:22,040 --> 00:23:24,239
During the summer,
the ice recedes,
446
00:23:24,240 --> 00:23:26,120
adding meltwater to the ocean.
447
00:23:27,840 --> 00:23:30,119
In recent years,
the quantity of ice
448
00:23:30,120 --> 00:23:32,720
melted at the poles
has increased.
449
00:23:34,400 --> 00:23:36,639
The change
to the world’s climate
450
00:23:36,640 --> 00:23:38,959
has resulted
in a warmer planet,
451
00:23:38,960 --> 00:23:40,919
and if temperatures
continue to rise,
452
00:23:40,920 --> 00:23:45,160
more meltwater could be added
to the sea.
453
00:23:49,800 --> 00:23:51,399
Sea levels have been rising
454
00:23:51,400 --> 00:23:53,400
one to two millimeters a year.
455
00:23:55,840 --> 00:23:58,399
If more drastic melting occurs,
456
00:23:58,400 --> 00:24:01,279
for instance,
if the West Antarctic Ice Sheet
457
00:24:01,280 --> 00:24:03,719
were to melt
or move into the ocean,
458
00:24:03,720 --> 00:24:05,559
global sea level would rise
459
00:24:05,560 --> 00:24:08,520
approximately eight meters...
460
00:24:10,240 --> 00:24:13,559
automatically flooding
many low-lying areas
461
00:24:13,560 --> 00:24:16,720
and increasing
the storm-surge risk.
462
00:24:18,400 --> 00:24:20,439
A sea-level rise of this scale
463
00:24:20,440 --> 00:24:22,719
cannot be practically
defended against
464
00:24:22,720 --> 00:24:24,600
with traditional
flood defenses.
465
00:24:28,520 --> 00:24:31,799
Preventing the ice from melt
occurring in the first place
466
00:24:31,800 --> 00:24:33,679
is our best hope to avoid
467
00:24:33,680 --> 00:24:36,440
a dramatically
reshaped landscape.
468
00:24:39,040 --> 00:24:41,319
For instance,
much of Florida
469
00:24:41,320 --> 00:24:42,599
could be underwater
470
00:24:42,600 --> 00:24:44,920
in a worst-case scenario.
471
00:24:50,360 --> 00:24:52,119
Flooding due to ice melt
472
00:24:52,120 --> 00:24:55,400
doesn’t just occur because of
rising sea levels.
473
00:24:57,120 --> 00:24:59,999
It can happen inland as well.
474
00:25:00,000 --> 00:25:04,119
Mountainous areas can contain
large stores of water
475
00:25:04,120 --> 00:25:07,200
in the form of snow caps
and glaciers.
476
00:25:09,120 --> 00:25:13,119
In Europe, actually 30% of
floods are driven by snowmelt.
477
00:25:13,120 --> 00:25:15,799
The snowmelt floods are
actually occurring more often
478
00:25:15,800 --> 00:25:18,479
and occurring
earlier in the year.
479
00:25:18,480 --> 00:25:21,799
Glaciers are
literal rivers of ice,
480
00:25:21,800 --> 00:25:25,120
containing many thousands
of tons of water.
481
00:25:27,040 --> 00:25:29,279
Central Asia’s glaciers contain
482
00:25:29,280 --> 00:25:32,720
the third largest mass
of fresh water in the world.
483
00:25:35,120 --> 00:25:37,799
Springtime brings
warmer temperatures
484
00:25:37,800 --> 00:25:40,399
and flash thaws.
485
00:25:40,400 --> 00:25:42,519
The meltwater can be sufficient
486
00:25:42,520 --> 00:25:45,999
to cause dramatic flooding
at lower altitudes.
487
00:25:46,000 --> 00:25:47,679
As glaciers melt,
488
00:25:47,680 --> 00:25:50,120
lakes can often form
in glaciers.
489
00:25:52,280 --> 00:25:53,959
This erodes the land
490
00:25:53,960 --> 00:25:56,800
and creates a depression
that fills with meltwater.
491
00:25:58,600 --> 00:26:00,999
It can burst at any moment
if they are not drained.
492
00:26:01,000 --> 00:26:03,559
And then the threat
for the community will be
493
00:26:03,560 --> 00:26:06,279
that suddenly, hundreds
of thousands of cubic meters
494
00:26:06,280 --> 00:26:08,879
will come downstream and
will wash anyway everything.
495
00:26:08,880 --> 00:26:10,359
And when I say wash away,
496
00:26:10,360 --> 00:26:12,959
it’s really,
wash away their houses,
497
00:26:12,960 --> 00:26:15,719
their livelihoods and of course
the people themselves
498
00:26:15,720 --> 00:26:17,519
and their animals.
499
00:26:17,520 --> 00:26:19,639
A glacial lake outburst occurs
500
00:26:19,640 --> 00:26:22,639
when a dam made of ice
or terminal moraine,
501
00:26:22,640 --> 00:26:25,639
holding back a glacial lake,
fails,
502
00:26:25,640 --> 00:26:27,399
causing flash flooding
503
00:26:27,400 --> 00:26:30,599
and the release of rocks
and other debris.
504
00:26:30,600 --> 00:26:34,920
Ice can also cause floods
when it melts too slowly.
505
00:26:36,240 --> 00:26:38,559
The Huang He,
or Yellow River,
506
00:26:38,560 --> 00:26:41,559
is China’s second
longest river.
507
00:26:41,560 --> 00:26:45,120
It is also a river that is
prone to frequent flooding.
508
00:26:47,440 --> 00:26:49,119
Parts of the river can freeze
509
00:26:49,120 --> 00:26:51,559
and then thaw
at different times.
510
00:26:51,560 --> 00:26:54,359
Ice can form and block
parts of the river,
511
00:26:54,360 --> 00:26:57,599
causing a wall of water
to develop behind it
512
00:26:57,600 --> 00:26:59,839
which can then
eventually spill out
513
00:26:59,840 --> 00:27:01,840
and cause mass flooding.
514
00:27:03,800 --> 00:27:07,319
Rivers such as these can become
a never-ending hazard
515
00:27:07,320 --> 00:27:08,839
and have the capability
516
00:27:08,840 --> 00:27:11,159
to unleash
huge quantities of water
517
00:27:11,160 --> 00:27:13,520
both in winter and spring.
518
00:27:16,360 --> 00:27:18,519
Ice can cause floods
519
00:27:18,520 --> 00:27:21,480
and, surprisingly,
fire can too.
520
00:27:23,560 --> 00:27:27,159
Uncontrollable wildfires
are a deadly disaster
521
00:27:27,160 --> 00:27:30,000
perhaps not usually
associated with flooding...
522
00:27:32,200 --> 00:27:36,439
particularly as they are
opposite in their requirements.
523
00:27:36,440 --> 00:27:38,679
Floods require moisture,
524
00:27:38,680 --> 00:27:43,040
and fires, the absence of water
and drought conditions.
525
00:27:44,840 --> 00:27:49,040
Surprisingly, wildfires can
increase flood risk.
526
00:27:50,720 --> 00:27:53,719
Rainwater that falls
on hills and mountains
527
00:27:53,720 --> 00:27:57,600
can cause floods downhill
if the water flows unabated.
528
00:27:59,360 --> 00:28:02,119
The faster water flows
downhill,
529
00:28:02,120 --> 00:28:05,519
the more likely
a flood is to occur.
530
00:28:05,520 --> 00:28:08,439
The water supply needs
to be fast enough
531
00:28:08,440 --> 00:28:10,799
to overwhelm
a location’s ability
532
00:28:10,800 --> 00:28:13,719
to remove the excess water.
533
00:28:13,720 --> 00:28:17,559
Vegetation such as forests
reduces the flood risk
534
00:28:17,560 --> 00:28:20,479
because trees intercept
some of the water
535
00:28:20,480 --> 00:28:22,919
and the root systems slow
the water down,
536
00:28:22,920 --> 00:28:26,359
giving it more time
to soak into the soil
537
00:28:26,360 --> 00:28:28,519
rather than flow downhill
538
00:28:28,520 --> 00:28:31,240
and contribute
to any lowland flooding.
539
00:28:32,880 --> 00:28:34,519
Fires clear the tree cover,
540
00:28:34,520 --> 00:28:36,639
resulting in nothing
to slow down
541
00:28:36,640 --> 00:28:39,199
and intercept the water.
542
00:28:39,200 --> 00:28:42,079
It runs down hill uninhibited,
543
00:28:42,080 --> 00:28:44,879
free to contribute
to any flooding.
544
00:28:44,880 --> 00:28:47,799
The charred ground
is less permeable,
545
00:28:47,800 --> 00:28:50,639
preventing the water
from soaking in.
546
00:28:50,640 --> 00:28:53,599
It has nowhere to go
but downhill,
547
00:28:53,600 --> 00:28:56,839
potentially picking up
fine ash from the fire
548
00:28:56,840 --> 00:28:59,479
and creating
dangerous mudslides
549
00:28:59,480 --> 00:29:01,599
as well as dumping water
quickly
550
00:29:01,600 --> 00:29:04,239
on the now flooded lowlands.
551
00:29:04,240 --> 00:29:07,159
Burn scars increase
the flood risk
552
00:29:07,160 --> 00:29:10,439
in ways that are similar
to covering large areas of land
553
00:29:10,440 --> 00:29:12,239
with concrete.
554
00:29:12,240 --> 00:29:15,120
It concentrates the flow
in a similar way.
555
00:29:16,480 --> 00:29:17,799
In some cases,
556
00:29:17,800 --> 00:29:19,599
less than half an inch of rain
557
00:29:19,600 --> 00:29:22,639
is enough to trigger
flash flooding.
558
00:29:22,640 --> 00:29:25,479
The most damaging floods
are flash floods.
559
00:29:25,480 --> 00:29:27,079
So these happen when we have
560
00:29:27,080 --> 00:29:29,479
a very sudden, heavy amount
of rainfall
561
00:29:29,480 --> 00:29:31,679
falling over the land.
562
00:29:31,680 --> 00:29:33,639
And when this happens
in urban areas,
563
00:29:33,640 --> 00:29:35,679
it can take everybody
by surprise.
564
00:29:35,680 --> 00:29:37,439
And so these
are very intense events
565
00:29:37,440 --> 00:29:39,359
that people aren’t
prepared for.
566
00:29:39,360 --> 00:29:41,719
We find it very difficult
to predict these events.
567
00:29:41,720 --> 00:29:43,200
And so these can be actually
the most dangerous.
568
00:29:45,520 --> 00:29:49,039
After a wildfire,
eventually the land recovers
569
00:29:49,040 --> 00:29:51,640
and the vegetation starts
to grow back.
570
00:29:53,280 --> 00:29:54,959
The flood risk diminishes
571
00:29:54,960 --> 00:29:57,760
in proportion to the density
of ground cover.
572
00:29:59,480 --> 00:30:02,719
Each burn scar poses
a unique risk of flooding
573
00:30:02,720 --> 00:30:07,519
due to a variety of factors
that need to be considered:
574
00:30:07,520 --> 00:30:09,879
The proximity
to human settlements,
575
00:30:09,880 --> 00:30:11,399
burn severity,
576
00:30:11,400 --> 00:30:14,480
steepness and size
of the burned area.
577
00:30:17,480 --> 00:30:19,519
This, however,
does take time,
578
00:30:19,520 --> 00:30:22,559
and upland burn scars
in many places
579
00:30:22,560 --> 00:30:24,159
are considered a flood risk
580
00:30:24,160 --> 00:30:26,279
for at least two years
after the fire.
581
00:30:30,880 --> 00:30:33,479
In December 2017,
582
00:30:33,480 --> 00:30:36,999
the Thomas Fire burned
708 square kilometers
583
00:30:37,000 --> 00:30:39,439
of Southern California.
584
00:30:39,440 --> 00:30:44,399
It was the largest wildfire
in California’s history.
585
00:30:44,400 --> 00:30:45,959
November is normally
586
00:30:45,960 --> 00:30:48,239
the rainy season
for California,
587
00:30:48,240 --> 00:30:51,879
but that year the rains
didn’t come until January,
588
00:30:51,880 --> 00:30:55,080
allowing the fire to burn
for over a month.
589
00:30:58,280 --> 00:31:01,919
It took until
January the 12th, 2018,
590
00:31:01,920 --> 00:31:04,840
before the fire was brought
under control.
591
00:31:09,480 --> 00:31:11,719
The rains helped
put the fire out,
592
00:31:11,720 --> 00:31:14,279
but they also triggered
flash flooding
593
00:31:14,280 --> 00:31:16,719
made worse
by the extensive burn scars
594
00:31:16,720 --> 00:31:20,359
produced by the flames.
595
00:31:20,360 --> 00:31:23,239
Heavy rain that had fallen
on burn-scar areas
596
00:31:23,240 --> 00:31:25,399
from the devastating
Thomas Fire
597
00:31:25,400 --> 00:31:29,680
triggered waves of flowing mud,
rock and debris.
598
00:31:32,800 --> 00:31:35,839
On January the 9th, 2018,
599
00:31:35,840 --> 00:31:39,039
the Southern California town
of Montecito
600
00:31:39,040 --> 00:31:42,199
became overwhelmed
with destructive mudslides
601
00:31:42,200 --> 00:31:45,920
which came crashing down
onto homes and roadways.
602
00:31:48,920 --> 00:31:52,760
Hundreds of homes
were damaged or destroyed.
603
00:32:02,360 --> 00:32:04,439
Two thousand and seventeen,
604
00:32:04,440 --> 00:32:06,679
the same year
that Hurricane Harvey
605
00:32:06,680 --> 00:32:09,639
dumped trillions of gallons
of water on the U.S. coast,
606
00:32:09,640 --> 00:32:12,239
countries in South Asia
also suffered
607
00:32:12,240 --> 00:32:16,199
from a catastrophic
monsoon season.
608
00:32:16,200 --> 00:32:18,679
Flood can affect
just an individual house
609
00:32:18,680 --> 00:32:20,559
or an individual area,
610
00:32:20,560 --> 00:32:24,359
but it can also affect entire
communities and entire cities.
611
00:32:24,360 --> 00:32:26,239
In fact,
the most damaging floods
612
00:32:26,240 --> 00:32:28,759
can even affect multiple
countries at a time.
613
00:32:28,760 --> 00:32:32,759
The main areas affected
included India,
614
00:32:32,760 --> 00:32:34,960
Bangladesh and Nepal.
615
00:32:38,160 --> 00:32:40,199
These are
lower-income countries
616
00:32:40,200 --> 00:32:42,759
with large populations
of people
617
00:32:42,760 --> 00:32:45,359
in the potential flood zone.
618
00:32:45,360 --> 00:32:47,239
When there’s so much water
619
00:32:47,240 --> 00:32:50,519
and a country can’t deal
with that by rescuing people,
620
00:32:50,520 --> 00:32:52,039
getting people out the way,
621
00:32:52,040 --> 00:32:54,079
communities are left
to fend for themselves.
622
00:32:54,080 --> 00:32:56,800
And that can really make
these disasters deadly.
623
00:32:59,880 --> 00:33:04,359
Bangladesh in particular
is prone to flooding.
624
00:33:04,360 --> 00:33:08,439
It’s situated on
the Brahmaputra River Delta.
625
00:33:08,440 --> 00:33:10,439
Eighty percent of the country
626
00:33:10,440 --> 00:33:13,239
is considered
part of a floodplain,
627
00:33:13,240 --> 00:33:15,399
with a large proportion
of the country
628
00:33:15,400 --> 00:33:19,279
never rising more than
five meters above sea level.
629
00:33:19,280 --> 00:33:20,999
Because it’s so flat,
630
00:33:21,000 --> 00:33:22,639
when Bangladesh floods,
631
00:33:22,640 --> 00:33:25,319
the water has nowhere
to run off.
632
00:33:25,320 --> 00:33:27,919
This results
in long-lasting floods
633
00:33:27,920 --> 00:33:30,680
that submerge the land
for weeks at a time.
634
00:33:32,320 --> 00:33:35,719
Floods in Bangladesh
are fed by rainfall,
635
00:33:35,720 --> 00:33:38,959
water flashing
off the hills above
636
00:33:38,960 --> 00:33:41,799
and storm surge
from its coast.
637
00:33:41,800 --> 00:33:44,639
Every year, it deals
with this triple flood threat
638
00:33:44,640 --> 00:33:47,879
causing floods that cover
up to 18% of the country
639
00:33:47,880 --> 00:33:50,080
most monsoon seasons.
640
00:33:52,040 --> 00:33:55,119
The monsoons are very tricky
641
00:33:55,120 --> 00:33:58,479
because every year
from June to September
642
00:33:58,480 --> 00:34:01,839
these regions rely on
this monsoonal rain
643
00:34:01,840 --> 00:34:04,559
for crops
and for their agriculture.
644
00:34:04,560 --> 00:34:06,919
But when you have
a very intense monsoon season,
645
00:34:06,920 --> 00:34:08,760
this can then lead
to devastating floods.
646
00:34:20,720 --> 00:34:22,759
In addition
to being low-lying,
647
00:34:22,760 --> 00:34:26,119
Bangladesh is
a densely populated country
648
00:34:26,120 --> 00:34:28,880
with 165 million people.
649
00:34:30,880 --> 00:34:32,239
In many areas,
650
00:34:32,240 --> 00:34:34,039
regular small-scale floods
651
00:34:34,040 --> 00:34:36,079
are a blessing to farmers.
652
00:34:36,080 --> 00:34:39,360
They irrigate and provide
nutrients for crops.
653
00:34:40,840 --> 00:34:42,919
However, this, in turn,
654
00:34:42,920 --> 00:34:45,679
attracts more people
to these flood-prone areas
655
00:34:45,680 --> 00:34:47,560
because of the rich farmland.
656
00:34:49,600 --> 00:34:52,959
Unfortunately,
when large-scale floods hit,
657
00:34:52,960 --> 00:34:56,319
there are more people
living in the affected areas.
658
00:35:12,240 --> 00:35:13,999
Building flood defenses
659
00:35:14,000 --> 00:35:17,080
represent a considerable
engineering challenge.
660
00:35:19,120 --> 00:35:20,559
Water is heavy,
661
00:35:20,560 --> 00:35:22,919
and in quantity,
floodwaters impose
662
00:35:22,920 --> 00:35:26,200
considerable pressure
on any flood defense.
663
00:35:28,520 --> 00:35:31,839
They need to be built
to withstand the pressure.
664
00:35:31,840 --> 00:35:35,679
The building of these defenses
are resource-heavy
665
00:35:35,680 --> 00:35:39,839
in terms of materials,
labor and cost.
666
00:35:39,840 --> 00:35:42,719
Countries with a smaller
gross domestic product
667
00:35:42,720 --> 00:35:47,159
have less money to invest
in adequate flood defenses.
668
00:35:47,160 --> 00:35:49,799
This can result
in a greater flood impact
669
00:35:49,800 --> 00:35:51,799
than would have
potentially occurred
670
00:35:51,800 --> 00:35:54,759
in the better-funded nations.
671
00:35:54,760 --> 00:35:58,800
However, flood preparation
takes many forms.
672
00:36:00,480 --> 00:36:02,799
And even with
its limited resources,
673
00:36:02,800 --> 00:36:05,199
Bangladesh is used to flooding
674
00:36:05,200 --> 00:36:09,039
and in 2017 was considered
by many
675
00:36:09,040 --> 00:36:12,120
to be better prepared
for flooding than India.
676
00:36:13,720 --> 00:36:16,719
The economic impacts
of floods are huge.
677
00:36:16,720 --> 00:36:20,159
They not only affect individual
people and their households
678
00:36:20,160 --> 00:36:21,999
but they affect
the whole government,
679
00:36:22,000 --> 00:36:24,079
the whole way
of doing business.
680
00:36:24,080 --> 00:36:26,239
We can have
business loss occurring
681
00:36:26,240 --> 00:36:28,159
for months after a big flood,
682
00:36:28,160 --> 00:36:29,919
and that
doesn’t even take into account
683
00:36:29,920 --> 00:36:31,879
the economic cleanup.
684
00:36:31,880 --> 00:36:35,399
Bangladesh’s experience
of regular flooding
685
00:36:35,400 --> 00:36:39,719
resulted in more investment
in flood management.
686
00:36:39,720 --> 00:36:42,759
For instance,
public schools and mosques
687
00:36:42,760 --> 00:36:44,239
were built with the ability
688
00:36:44,240 --> 00:36:47,919
to also serve as shelters
during flooding.
689
00:36:47,920 --> 00:36:51,639
In previous floods,
food supplies ran out,
690
00:36:51,640 --> 00:36:54,679
partially due
to the disruption to farming
691
00:36:54,680 --> 00:36:57,999
but also because the floods
prevented the easy distribution
692
00:36:58,000 --> 00:37:01,519
of emergency food
to affected areas.
693
00:37:01,520 --> 00:37:03,559
To prevent this from occurring,
694
00:37:03,560 --> 00:37:07,399
in 2010,
Bangladesh instigated a policy
695
00:37:07,400 --> 00:37:09,959
of maintaining a food surplus.
696
00:37:09,960 --> 00:37:14,880
Now grain is stockpiled for use
in the event of disaster.
697
00:37:19,320 --> 00:37:22,399
The severe floods in South Asia
in August
698
00:37:22,400 --> 00:37:24,839
happened in
the three connected countries
699
00:37:24,840 --> 00:37:29,719
of Nepal, India and Bangladesh
at the same time.
700
00:37:29,720 --> 00:37:32,319
Their river systems
are interconnected
701
00:37:32,320 --> 00:37:37,119
across the vast geographical
Ganges-Brahmaputra basin.
702
00:37:37,120 --> 00:37:39,239
These are very, very
large rivers indeed,
703
00:37:39,240 --> 00:37:41,599
and they have a lot of
power associated with them,
704
00:37:41,600 --> 00:37:43,599
so when you get
that amount of rainfall,
705
00:37:43,600 --> 00:37:45,039
with these huge rivers
706
00:37:45,040 --> 00:37:46,759
and you have people living
in the way,
707
00:37:46,760 --> 00:37:49,359
perhaps not
with very strong homes,
708
00:37:49,360 --> 00:37:51,719
nor the ability
to move themselves
709
00:37:51,720 --> 00:37:53,039
and their livelihoods
out of the way,
710
00:37:53,040 --> 00:37:54,959
then you will
get people dying.
711
00:37:54,960 --> 00:37:56,559
Floods, however,
712
00:37:56,560 --> 00:37:59,799
don’t respect
international boundaries.
713
00:37:59,800 --> 00:38:03,159
They are
a transnational affair.
714
00:38:03,160 --> 00:38:05,519
Cooperation between countries
is needed
715
00:38:05,520 --> 00:38:08,479
to ensure floods
on this level can be dealt with
716
00:38:08,480 --> 00:38:10,720
and those affected
can be reached.
717
00:38:12,520 --> 00:38:15,359
If you see
the extent of the flood,
718
00:38:15,360 --> 00:38:17,519
it can happen
for miles and miles.
719
00:38:17,520 --> 00:38:19,439
And people living
in very rural areas
720
00:38:19,440 --> 00:38:22,599
can be cut off
from the major centers.
721
00:38:22,600 --> 00:38:25,159
And so, literally,
you have no communication
722
00:38:25,160 --> 00:38:28,319
and no means to communicate
with people back,
723
00:38:28,320 --> 00:38:30,039
and the authorities
in the city,
724
00:38:30,040 --> 00:38:33,119
so are just dependent
on the aid agencies
725
00:38:33,120 --> 00:38:35,239
and first responders
to find them.
726
00:38:35,240 --> 00:38:36,759
In India,
727
00:38:36,760 --> 00:38:39,319
streets in Mumbai turned
into rivers
728
00:38:39,320 --> 00:38:42,320
and people waded through
waist-high waters.
729
00:38:45,280 --> 00:38:46,639
Rainwater swamped
730
00:38:46,640 --> 00:38:48,559
the King Edward
Memorial Hospital
731
00:38:48,560 --> 00:38:51,239
in central Mumbai,
and doctors feared
732
00:38:51,240 --> 00:38:53,519
the rainwater would
spread infection
733
00:38:53,520 --> 00:38:58,279
as the water mixed with rubbish
and detritus.
734
00:38:58,280 --> 00:39:00,639
In Nepal,
the floods spanned across
735
00:39:00,640 --> 00:39:03,799
and impacted large parts
of the country,
736
00:39:03,800 --> 00:39:05,679
with 35 districts affected
737
00:39:05,680 --> 00:39:10,800
and more than 190,000 houses
damaged or destroyed.
738
00:39:12,880 --> 00:39:15,959
The floods displaced
tens of thousands of people
739
00:39:15,960 --> 00:39:19,400
and caused clean water
and food shortages.
740
00:39:25,240 --> 00:39:28,119
Disease and infection
is an ongoing problem
741
00:39:28,120 --> 00:39:29,639
with all flooding,
742
00:39:29,640 --> 00:39:32,640
but particularly
in lower-income countries.
743
00:39:34,760 --> 00:39:39,119
Floodwater mixes
with sewage and animal waste.
744
00:39:39,120 --> 00:39:42,399
Direct contact
with these polluted waters
745
00:39:42,400 --> 00:39:45,079
increases the risk
of waterborne diseases
746
00:39:45,080 --> 00:39:49,359
such as wound infections,
dermatitis, conjunctivitis
747
00:39:49,360 --> 00:39:52,760
and ear, nose and throat
infections.
748
00:39:54,640 --> 00:39:58,639
Floodwater can also contaminate
sources of drinking water,
749
00:39:58,640 --> 00:40:00,879
a major risk factor
for outbreaks
750
00:40:00,880 --> 00:40:03,239
associated with
waterborne diseases
751
00:40:03,240 --> 00:40:05,799
such as typhoid fever,
cholera,
752
00:40:05,800 --> 00:40:09,160
leptospirosis and hepatitis A.
753
00:40:19,000 --> 00:40:21,999
Mobile phones have turned
into the ideal tool
754
00:40:22,000 --> 00:40:25,960
for alerting populations
due to their extensive use.
755
00:40:28,040 --> 00:40:31,479
The most important thing
for protecting lives
756
00:40:31,480 --> 00:40:33,679
during a flood event
is early warning.
757
00:40:33,680 --> 00:40:36,559
If people are aware
of the event ahead of time,
758
00:40:36,560 --> 00:40:38,719
they can take precautions.
759
00:40:38,720 --> 00:40:41,719
SMS messaging used
in Bangladesh
760
00:40:41,720 --> 00:40:45,759
is a fast and efficient way
of spreading timely warnings
761
00:40:45,760 --> 00:40:48,799
to large sections of
the population quickly
762
00:40:48,800 --> 00:40:53,120
and more efficiently than other
communication infrastructure.
763
00:40:55,600 --> 00:40:59,239
India, however, struggled
to get the message out.
764
00:40:59,240 --> 00:41:03,439
Imagine the misery
people went through.
765
00:41:03,440 --> 00:41:05,719
If we had
an early-warning system,
766
00:41:05,720 --> 00:41:07,719
a lot of lives
could have been saved,
767
00:41:07,720 --> 00:41:10,039
people would have moved
to safer places.
768
00:41:10,040 --> 00:41:12,559
The help has to come
from government,
769
00:41:12,560 --> 00:41:14,559
and I’m very skeptical
that it will come
770
00:41:14,560 --> 00:41:16,439
in the quantities
that it is required.
771
00:41:16,440 --> 00:41:17,840
So we are doomed.
772
00:41:19,680 --> 00:41:22,159
Global forecasting centers
are able to provide
773
00:41:22,160 --> 00:41:24,679
the science and forecast
capabilities
774
00:41:24,680 --> 00:41:27,279
to individual governments
and authorities,
775
00:41:27,280 --> 00:41:29,839
but it’s up to the local
authorities and governments
776
00:41:29,840 --> 00:41:32,799
to provide the warning
to individual people.
777
00:41:32,800 --> 00:41:36,159
Even with evacuation
instructions,
778
00:41:36,160 --> 00:41:39,279
populations need
somewhere to evacuate to.
779
00:41:39,280 --> 00:41:41,840
Infrastructure is important.
780
00:41:43,600 --> 00:41:45,599
When the floods hit India,
781
00:41:45,600 --> 00:41:47,919
many chose to stay
in the affected areas
782
00:41:47,920 --> 00:41:50,560
to protect their homes
and belongings.
783
00:41:52,200 --> 00:41:54,639
Evacuation efforts
were hampered
784
00:41:54,640 --> 00:41:56,519
by the sheer number of people
affected
785
00:41:56,520 --> 00:41:59,599
and displaced by the flooding.
786
00:41:59,600 --> 00:42:02,920
Forty-one million people
were affected that year.
787
00:42:06,320 --> 00:42:09,559
It’s very difficult to provide
aid to that many people,
788
00:42:09,560 --> 00:42:12,999
particularly in areas where
the existing infrastructure
789
00:42:13,000 --> 00:42:15,040
is weak or limited.
790
00:42:17,240 --> 00:42:18,839
With as much as a third
791
00:42:18,840 --> 00:42:20,639
of Bangladesh underwater,
792
00:42:20,640 --> 00:42:23,719
humanitarian efforts
were severely challenged
793
00:42:23,720 --> 00:42:26,399
and the 2000 medical teams
deployed
794
00:42:26,400 --> 00:42:28,920
were only able to do so much.
795
00:42:30,600 --> 00:42:32,519
One of the biggest problems
with floods
796
00:42:32,520 --> 00:42:35,399
is you don’t actually see
some of the worst devastation.
797
00:42:35,400 --> 00:42:38,799
We see helicopter pictures
of people standing on roofs,
798
00:42:38,800 --> 00:42:40,359
but the people who are dying,
799
00:42:40,360 --> 00:42:42,079
the people
who are really injured,
800
00:42:42,080 --> 00:42:44,159
perhaps we don’t see
because they’re not reached
801
00:42:44,160 --> 00:42:46,039
by the rescue efforts.
802
00:42:46,040 --> 00:42:48,079
With rising sea levels,
803
00:42:48,080 --> 00:42:51,159
Bangladesh remains
at considerable risk
804
00:42:51,160 --> 00:42:52,840
of future flooding.
805
00:42:54,480 --> 00:42:57,439
In recent years,
the building of flood defenses
806
00:42:57,440 --> 00:42:58,919
has intensified,
807
00:42:58,920 --> 00:43:00,879
with the World Bank earmarking
808
00:43:00,880 --> 00:43:02,759
two billion U.S. dollars
809
00:43:02,760 --> 00:43:04,959
to fund
one of the largest programs
810
00:43:04,960 --> 00:43:09,759
of building and repair of
existing dikes and embankments,
811
00:43:09,760 --> 00:43:14,359
thought to protect
up to 42 million people.
812
00:43:14,360 --> 00:43:18,479
Embankments are not the most
effective flood defense.
813
00:43:18,480 --> 00:43:22,159
They do damage to the ecosystem
and can fail.
814
00:43:22,160 --> 00:43:24,399
They are, however,
more affordable
815
00:43:24,400 --> 00:43:28,199
than other
more engineered solutions.
816
00:43:28,200 --> 00:43:31,559
Bangladesh is
a densely populated country
817
00:43:31,560 --> 00:43:36,319
with tens of millions of people
living close to sea level.
818
00:43:36,320 --> 00:43:38,399
If sea levels continue to rise
819
00:43:38,400 --> 00:43:42,199
and floods can’t be prevented
by physical defenses,
820
00:43:42,200 --> 00:43:46,079
we could see
the rise of flood migration.
821
00:43:46,080 --> 00:43:50,000
Large populations of people may
be displaced from their homes.
822
00:43:51,800 --> 00:43:54,319
Those that rely on the land
for their livelihoods
823
00:43:54,320 --> 00:43:57,720
could experience
extensive financial losses.
824
00:43:59,440 --> 00:44:00,999
Sea level rise
825
00:44:01,000 --> 00:44:02,999
and the dramatic floods
that follow
826
00:44:03,000 --> 00:44:05,839
could displace
millions of people.
827
00:44:05,840 --> 00:44:09,399
This could cause a refugee
crisis in affected regions
828
00:44:09,400 --> 00:44:12,239
which could spill over
to neighboring countries
829
00:44:12,240 --> 00:44:16,360
as populations move
from the flood-ridden areas.
830
00:44:20,360 --> 00:44:22,439
In terms of limiting
climate change
831
00:44:22,440 --> 00:44:25,159
and developing
better flood defenses,
832
00:44:25,160 --> 00:44:26,600
the stakes are high.
833
00:44:28,200 --> 00:44:30,199
International responses
are needed
834
00:44:30,200 --> 00:44:32,639
because floods are
a transnational
835
00:44:32,640 --> 00:44:34,599
rather than local issue.
836
00:44:34,600 --> 00:44:37,279
There’s nothing we can do
to protect every single person
837
00:44:37,280 --> 00:44:39,399
from every single flood,
so we need to have
838
00:44:39,400 --> 00:44:41,399
preparedness actions in place.
839
00:44:41,400 --> 00:44:43,239
Those can be evacuations,
840
00:44:43,240 --> 00:44:46,119
they can be temporary barriers
that come in,
841
00:44:46,120 --> 00:44:48,439
they can be other ways
of diverting floodwater
842
00:44:48,440 --> 00:44:49,959
into other areas.
843
00:44:49,960 --> 00:44:52,559
The 2017 floods in Texas
844
00:44:52,560 --> 00:44:56,120
received extensive
media coverage in the West.
845
00:44:57,600 --> 00:44:59,959
Unfortunately,
the dramatic scale
846
00:44:59,960 --> 00:45:02,799
of the flooding in South Asia
wasn’t fully represented
847
00:45:02,800 --> 00:45:04,279
in the Western media
848
00:45:04,280 --> 00:45:07,759
compared to smaller
Hurricane Harvey.
849
00:45:07,760 --> 00:45:11,159
Because a dramatic flood was
already happening in the U.S.,
850
00:45:11,160 --> 00:45:14,400
it seemed they didn’t need
to cover another flood.
851
00:45:16,320 --> 00:45:20,999
Natural disasters like floods
occur around the world,
852
00:45:21,000 --> 00:45:24,599
impacting both
rich and poor countries.
853
00:45:24,600 --> 00:45:27,439
The vast majority of casualties
in these events
854
00:45:27,440 --> 00:45:30,280
happen in the developing world.
855
00:45:34,040 --> 00:45:37,119
This happens
for several reasons.
856
00:45:37,120 --> 00:45:39,639
Wealthy countries have
more money available
857
00:45:39,640 --> 00:45:41,759
to invest in flood defenses,
858
00:45:41,760 --> 00:45:45,559
potentially reducing
or even stopping the flood.
859
00:45:45,560 --> 00:45:48,639
Better infrastructure
and rescue services
860
00:45:48,640 --> 00:45:50,599
limit the loss of life
861
00:45:50,600 --> 00:45:53,319
and financial insurance
is usually in place
862
00:45:53,320 --> 00:45:56,440
to support rebuilding
after the waters recede.
863
00:45:58,120 --> 00:46:01,519
Poorer countries lack
many of these things.
864
00:46:01,520 --> 00:46:03,239
They also often don’t have
865
00:46:03,240 --> 00:46:05,239
the same degree
of urban planning,
866
00:46:05,240 --> 00:46:07,559
with shantytowns built
without design
867
00:46:07,560 --> 00:46:09,759
or regulatory
planning approval.
868
00:46:09,760 --> 00:46:14,559
Populations in lower-income
countries are more vulnerable,
869
00:46:14,560 --> 00:46:18,079
with more people living
in the wrong place.
870
00:46:18,080 --> 00:46:21,919
A strong communication
infrastructure is often lacking
871
00:46:21,920 --> 00:46:25,039
and it can be more difficult
to get the word out
872
00:46:25,040 --> 00:46:27,879
to warn of the need
to evacuate.
873
00:46:27,880 --> 00:46:31,839
Also, poorer people may be
less able to evacuate.
874
00:46:31,840 --> 00:46:34,919
They may not have the means
to travel quickly enough
875
00:46:34,920 --> 00:46:36,480
or have anyplace to go.
876
00:46:38,480 --> 00:46:41,919
The statistics confirm
this story.
877
00:46:41,920 --> 00:46:46,399
The floods of 2017
killed 88 people in Texas,
878
00:46:46,400 --> 00:46:51,160
but over 1200 people died
from the South Asia floods.
879
00:46:58,360 --> 00:47:01,359
Water is required for life
880
00:47:01,360 --> 00:47:05,679
and flooding is
a natural climatic event.
881
00:47:05,680 --> 00:47:09,679
Floods can be relatively benign
and easily managed.
882
00:47:09,680 --> 00:47:12,119
Sometimes they are
a net positive,
883
00:47:12,120 --> 00:47:15,959
irrigating the land
and washing away pollutants.
884
00:47:15,960 --> 00:47:19,519
However,
in many parts of the world,
885
00:47:19,520 --> 00:47:21,639
floods can be much more deadly,
886
00:47:21,640 --> 00:47:24,760
particularly for those living
in poorer areas.
887
00:47:26,880 --> 00:47:29,519
In many locations,
human activities
888
00:47:29,520 --> 00:47:32,639
such as agriculture,
climate change,
889
00:47:32,640 --> 00:47:38,159
deforestation and urbanization
have added to the flood risk.
890
00:47:38,160 --> 00:47:42,039
So we see every year
these huge floods come through,
891
00:47:42,040 --> 00:47:43,719
and it’s very worrying.
892
00:47:43,720 --> 00:47:46,399
So we think that there
is some kind of link
893
00:47:46,400 --> 00:47:47,839
with climate change.
894
00:47:47,840 --> 00:47:50,599
And we see, of course,
more people in the way
895
00:47:50,600 --> 00:47:53,479
as populations move
into more at-risk areas.
896
00:47:53,480 --> 00:47:56,519
They need to think about
adapting to these big floods.
897
00:47:56,520 --> 00:47:58,079
We know that it floods already,
898
00:47:58,080 --> 00:47:59,879
but we think it’s going
to get worse.
899
00:47:59,880 --> 00:48:01,999
The sheer power and quantity
900
00:48:02,000 --> 00:48:05,039
of water involved
in some of these disasters
901
00:48:05,040 --> 00:48:08,759
makes elimination
of risk impossible.
902
00:48:08,760 --> 00:48:10,399
The quantities involved
903
00:48:10,400 --> 00:48:12,519
can be beyond human ability
to prevent.
904
00:48:14,800 --> 00:48:18,679
In many cases, people live
in flood-prone areas
905
00:48:18,680 --> 00:48:20,519
because they have to.
906
00:48:20,520 --> 00:48:22,719
As world population grows,
907
00:48:22,720 --> 00:48:25,039
countries become more crowded,
908
00:48:25,040 --> 00:48:28,599
people have less choice
about where they live and work,
909
00:48:28,600 --> 00:48:30,399
resulting in
more and more people
910
00:48:30,400 --> 00:48:34,279
living in areas
of high flood risk.
911
00:48:34,280 --> 00:48:36,479
If a flood can’t be prevented,
912
00:48:36,480 --> 00:48:38,199
better planning is needed
913
00:48:38,200 --> 00:48:40,359
to ensure populations
are more able
914
00:48:40,360 --> 00:48:42,719
to withstand
the hardships of flooding
915
00:48:42,720 --> 00:48:47,559
and are in a stronger position
to bounce back and recover.
916
00:48:47,560 --> 00:48:52,599
Floods are a deadly disaster
that can’t be prevented.
917
00:48:52,600 --> 00:48:55,359
With forethought,
planning and investment,
918
00:48:55,360 --> 00:48:58,359
there are better ways
to avoid injury
919
00:48:58,360 --> 00:49:02,800
and loss of life associated
with these terrible events.
77173
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