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Across America and Europe,
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heat waves claim more lives
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00:00:29,120 --> 00:00:31,199
than any other type
of extreme weather event,
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00:00:31,200 --> 00:00:35,839
making this one of Mother
Nature’s most deadly disasters.
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00:00:35,840 --> 00:00:38,199
Temperatures in places
like Saudi Arabia
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00:00:38,200 --> 00:00:40,839
routinely exceed
40 degrees Celsius
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with few ill effects
to the population.
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But when people in Russia
were subjected
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to the same extreme heat,
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it killed an estimated
56,000 people.
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A heat wave occurs when
high pressure strengthens
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and remains over a region
for several days
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or up to several weeks.
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Under high pressure,
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the air sinks
toward the surface,
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causing the ground
to become warm and dry.
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This warmer, sinking air
creates a dome effect,
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trapping high humidity
and warm air below,
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resulting in
a progressive buildup of heat
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at the surface.
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When Europe experienced
scorching temperatures
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between July and August 2003,
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it resulted in the deaths
of an estimated 70,000 people.
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During the Russian heat wave
of 2010,
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as temperatures soared
to over 40 degrees Celsius,
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the unprecedented hot spell
left 56,000 people dead.
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But as Europe was struck by
yet another heat wave in 2018,
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it has forced us to ask:
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Are these extreme temperatures
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something we are going to have
to get used to?
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There is no exact definition
of a heat wave.
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It rather depends
on which country you’re in
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and where you are.
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But the World Meteorological
Organization
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has a definition that says:
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"A heat wave is when there
is a maximum daily temperature
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"five degrees higher
than the local
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normal maximum temperature,"
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and that’s every day
for five days.
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Sometimes you can also
not just look at temperature
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but look at the combination
of temperature and humidity.
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So heat stress, which is more--
Which affects the human body.
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So that would also be a common
definition of a heat wave.
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It really depends on
who is in harm’s way,
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how you define the heat wave,
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or where
your vulnerability lies,
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what a heat wave consists of.
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For example,
a colleague of mine,
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when we were talking about
the heat wave in Montreal,
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and in Montreal,
people were dying
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with a heat wave
where temperatures
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were about 35 degrees Celsius.
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And he then said,
"Well, show me one Indian
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who will die at 34 degrees."
In Indian cities,
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that’s a very average
and normal temperature.
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So a heat wave
in any Indian city
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would only be
if it’s 45 or higher.
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00:03:04,080 --> 00:03:05,919
If you look at a weather map,
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00:03:05,920 --> 00:03:07,639
usually you will see
patterns of low pressure
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00:03:07,640 --> 00:03:09,359
and high pressure
around the globe.
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You’ll be familiar
with those
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and the winds blowing
around them.
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A high-pressure system
in the northern hemisphere
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is one where the air
is circulating clockwise
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and sinking in the middle.
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A low-pressure system,
on the other hand,
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00:03:20,720 --> 00:03:22,599
is one where it’s circulating
anti-clockwise
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and rising in the middle.
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That’s just
the normal way of things.
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And those weather patterns
move around the globe,
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perhaps crossing each place
every three days or so.
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Sometimes, however,
the patterns will get stuck.
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And in particular, you can
get high-pressure systems
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00:03:36,840 --> 00:03:38,719
stuck over the continent.
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And when that happens,
that’s called a blocking high.
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And when they stay there for
days or possibly even weeks,
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they can have a big influence
on the local weather
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and in particular,
in summer,
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they can cause heat waves.
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Because the centers
of high-pressure areas
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are usually cloud-free,
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when direct sunlight shines
through clear blue skies,
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daytime temperatures
rise further.
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One of the biggest hazards of
heat waves is to human health.
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00:04:06,920 --> 00:04:10,679
While no one is truly immune
to the effects of a heat wave,
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it is often the most vulnerable
among us
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that will suffer
the greatest consequences.
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This could be the very old
or very young,
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00:04:18,040 --> 00:04:19,759
the obese or overweight,
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00:04:19,760 --> 00:04:21,840
or those that have
already fallen ill.
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It can also increase
your risk of dying
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from preexisting conditions
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like heart
and breathing problems.
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There will be signs
when a body
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is not managing
to cope with the heat.
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You may suffer cramps due to
overexertion in hot conditions.
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They are not
particularly dangerous
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but can be the first sign
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that you are having
trouble with the heat.
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Continued exposure to the heat
can lead to heat exhaustion.
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Body weight will diminish
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as excess sweating results
in significant losses of fluid.
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This causes dehydration.
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A lack of blood flow
to the vital organs
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will also cause the sufferer
to experience a mild shock.
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If left untreated,
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the condition will
gradually worsen.
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The body’s temperature
will continue to rise
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and may eventually result
in a heatstroke.
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Heatstroke,
or sunstroke,
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is a life-threatening
condition.
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The sufferer’s natural
thermoregulation system
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completely shuts down,
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causing such severe
body temperatures
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that brain damage
or death may occur.
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Ordinarily, human bodies
will get rid of heat
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by varying the rate and depth
of blood circulation,
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evaporating water from the skin
through sweating
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or, as a last resort, panting.
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00:05:37,880 --> 00:05:40,759
Blood, which carries
a lot of heat,
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is pumped away
from your internal organs
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and towards the outside
of your body.
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Blood vessels widen to
accommodate the increased flow.
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That’s why your skin tends
to get red when you’re hot.
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Your sweat glands begin
to release water
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onto the surface
of the skin.
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Humans have 2 to 4 million
sweat glands
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and can release more than
1 liter of sweat per hour.
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Sweating cools you down
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because the heat energy
needed
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00:06:06,760 --> 00:06:08,719
to evaporate the water
from your skin
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is extracted from the blood
beneath its surface.
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But if you fail to replace
the liquids
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that have been expelled
through sweat,
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you will start to produce
less sweat,
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causing a decrease
in the cooling effect.
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Also, if the weather
is very hot and humid,
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you won’t be able to sweat fast
enough to cool your body down.
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We define heat waves in terms
of extreme temperature,
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but actually,
how people feel it
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will also depend
on the local humidity.
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If it’s very humid and damp,
it’s more difficult to sweat,
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and that makes you feel the heat
worse than if it’s dry.
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The elderly don’t have very
efficient circulatory systems,
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and so it is harder for them
to regulate their temperature.
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They are also less mobile
and may find it harder
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to move to a cooler room
or fetch a cold drink.
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Old lady, lives alone,
she hasn’t eaten for two days
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because she doesn’t feel like
eating because of the heat.
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She’s not drinking enough,
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00:07:03,480 --> 00:07:05,679
she’s sleeping at night
with a 12-tog duvet.
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It’s absolute classic.
The radiator was on in her flat
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because she feels the cold.
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Old people get neuropathy
in their fingers and feet,
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and the extremities
do feel cold,
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but they cook like we all do.
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Babies and young children sweat
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far less than adults,
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limiting their body’s ability
to cool itself.
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But they also generate
more heat through exercise.
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Overexertion on a hot day
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can also cause
severe problems.
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And when these blistering
temperatures continue
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over several days,
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night temperatures may not cool
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as they normally would.
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Every day, there’s
a maximum in temperature
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during the afternoon and
a minimum temperature at night.
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And in a heat wave,
that’s also the case.
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But if the minimum temperature
during the night
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is not cool enough
that people’s bodies
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can get better from the heat
they suffered during the day,
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that makes the effect
even worse
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than it would have been
otherwise.
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Humidity is very important
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in the way heat wave
affects the human body.
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So if a heat wave just consists
of high temperatures
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but the air is very dry,
then the human body can sweat
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and gets cooled down
through that.
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And so the body is much better
able to deal with the heat,
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as if it was a humid heat wave
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where the air
is already very humid,
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so sweating
is much less effective
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than it would be
in dry surroundings.
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Temperatures in cities
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can often be 6 degrees Celsius
higher
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than the surrounding
countryside.
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This is because tarmac
and concrete store heat
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and gradually release it
at night,
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causing what is known as
the urban heat island effect.
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Fortunately,
many cities contain
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public air-conditioned spaces
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such as local libraries
or recreation centers,
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allowing people a safe place
to escape the heat.
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Poor air quality in
the stagnant, hot atmosphere
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that accompanies a heat wave
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00:09:03,680 --> 00:09:05,119
can lead to breathing
difficulties
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00:09:05,120 --> 00:09:06,799
in vulnerable people.
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00:09:06,800 --> 00:09:09,799
That irritates the lung
linings when we breathe it in,
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00:09:09,800 --> 00:09:11,399
so that means people who have
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00:09:11,400 --> 00:09:13,319
preexisting respiratory
conditions...
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00:09:13,320 --> 00:09:15,039
Asthma, COPD.
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00:09:15,040 --> 00:09:17,759
...they’re possibly going
to feel some effects today.
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00:09:17,760 --> 00:09:20,159
Heat waves occur
all over the globe,
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00:09:20,160 --> 00:09:21,679
with some areas of the world
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00:09:21,680 --> 00:09:24,119
experiencing these
extreme weather events
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on a yearly basis.
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00:09:26,320 --> 00:09:29,359
But Third World countries
suffer disproportionately,
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especially the poor,
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as they are often unable
to cultivate crops,
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find clean water or get
proper medical attention.
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In a heat wave,
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00:09:39,120 --> 00:09:40,799
high temperatures
are maintained
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00:09:40,800 --> 00:09:42,399
over a period of several days
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00:09:42,400 --> 00:09:44,679
and don’t drop much at night.
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In the developed world,
this leads
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00:09:47,000 --> 00:09:49,079
to an increased use
of air conditioning,
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leading to spikes
in electricity demand
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00:09:51,520 --> 00:09:53,199
and power shortages.
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00:09:53,200 --> 00:09:56,999
This increased demand can cause
substations to overheat
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00:09:57,000 --> 00:09:58,719
and shut down completely,
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00:09:58,720 --> 00:10:01,639
cutting off air conditioning
to thousands of people
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00:10:01,640 --> 00:10:04,119
at the time they need it most.
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00:10:04,120 --> 00:10:07,199
If a heat wave continues
for a longer period,
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00:10:07,200 --> 00:10:09,199
roads can also be affected.
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00:10:09,200 --> 00:10:14,039
The heat causes them to buckle,
and the tarmac may even melt.
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00:10:14,040 --> 00:10:18,480
A prolonged heat wave may also
lead to conditions of drought.
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00:10:20,120 --> 00:10:22,959
Droughts can affect vast
territorial regions
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and large population numbers.
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00:10:25,440 --> 00:10:27,399
They also have
environmental impacts
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that increase the risk
of other natural disasters,
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00:10:30,440 --> 00:10:32,599
such as fire.
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00:10:32,600 --> 00:10:37,039
In the heat, forests and shrubs
as well as agricultural areas
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00:10:37,040 --> 00:10:39,519
can become very dry,
making it possible
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00:10:39,520 --> 00:10:41,959
for forest or brush fires
to start.
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00:10:41,960 --> 00:10:45,159
Without rain, these fires
can spread over large areas
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00:10:45,160 --> 00:10:46,879
and rage for days,
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00:10:46,880 --> 00:10:50,399
causing loss of life and damage
or destruction of crops,
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00:10:50,400 --> 00:10:53,839
as well as homes and property.
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00:10:53,840 --> 00:10:56,519
An area where vegetation
has been killed off
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00:10:56,520 --> 00:10:58,519
through lack of water
or wildfires
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00:10:58,520 --> 00:11:01,239
is then much more susceptible
to flash floods,
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00:11:01,240 --> 00:11:04,479
landslides and debris flow.
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00:11:04,480 --> 00:11:06,599
Continuous heat
and drought conditions
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00:11:06,600 --> 00:11:08,839
take a major toll
on soil health,
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00:11:08,840 --> 00:11:11,439
causing the earth
to dry up and crack.
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00:11:11,440 --> 00:11:14,519
Strong winds can then pick up
the loose, cracked soil
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00:11:14,520 --> 00:11:17,079
and carry it
for hundreds of kilometers.
249
00:11:17,080 --> 00:11:19,159
With the topsoil removed,
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00:11:19,160 --> 00:11:23,519
the fertility of agricultural
land is greatly reduced.
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00:11:23,520 --> 00:11:25,239
In the United States,
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00:11:25,240 --> 00:11:28,519
heat waves are responsible
for more deaths per year
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00:11:28,520 --> 00:11:30,639
than hurricanes, lightning,
254
00:11:30,640 --> 00:11:35,199
tornadoes, floods
and earthquakes combined.
255
00:11:35,200 --> 00:11:37,559
In the past 30 to 40 years,
256
00:11:37,560 --> 00:11:39,479
there has been
an increasing trend
257
00:11:39,480 --> 00:11:41,159
in high-humidity heat waves,
258
00:11:41,160 --> 00:11:44,679
which involve extremely high
nighttime temperatures.
259
00:11:44,680 --> 00:11:46,759
In recent years, we see
260
00:11:46,760 --> 00:11:49,039
a statistically significant
increase
261
00:11:49,040 --> 00:11:51,719
in the number of heat waves
around the globe,
262
00:11:51,720 --> 00:11:53,999
but also in
the intensity of heat waves.
263
00:11:54,000 --> 00:11:56,839
As global warming takes effect,
264
00:11:56,840 --> 00:11:58,879
the average temperature’s
warming up,
265
00:11:58,880 --> 00:12:01,119
but also the extremes
are warming up.
266
00:12:01,120 --> 00:12:02,879
So in particular, a heat wave
267
00:12:02,880 --> 00:12:05,519
that only would’ve occurred
perhaps once in a hundred years
268
00:12:05,520 --> 00:12:07,999
is becoming
more and more frequent.
269
00:12:08,000 --> 00:12:11,999
For example, something in
the 1950s that would have been,
270
00:12:12,000 --> 00:12:14,439
just say, 1 percent chance
of happening
271
00:12:14,440 --> 00:12:16,959
is now about 10 percent chance
of happening.
272
00:12:16,960 --> 00:12:20,239
And we think by 2050,
it’ll be just normal.
273
00:12:20,240 --> 00:12:22,639
One factor
in what causes heat waves
274
00:12:22,640 --> 00:12:26,319
is what we would call
external forcing.
275
00:12:26,320 --> 00:12:29,839
And external forcing is
the amount of greenhouse gases
276
00:12:29,840 --> 00:12:33,559
in the atmosphere, and thus
the overall global temperature.
277
00:12:33,560 --> 00:12:36,159
And when global temperatures
are increasing,
278
00:12:36,160 --> 00:12:39,039
then also local temperatures
are increasing.
279
00:12:39,040 --> 00:12:42,399
And so we see a higher frequency
in heat waves
280
00:12:42,400 --> 00:12:44,599
and a lower frequency
in cold waves.
281
00:12:44,600 --> 00:12:48,799
There have been many deadly
heat waves in recent times.
282
00:12:48,800 --> 00:12:54,199
More than 220 people died
in North America in July 2006,
283
00:12:54,200 --> 00:12:58,639
as temperatures climbed to more
than 48 degrees Celsius.
284
00:12:58,640 --> 00:13:01,039
At its height,
a peak temperature
285
00:13:01,040 --> 00:13:05,719
of 54 degrees Celsius
was recorded in South Dakota.
286
00:13:05,720 --> 00:13:09,119
In Europe,
the deadliest single heat wave
287
00:13:09,120 --> 00:13:12,239
ever to strike was in 2003.
288
00:13:12,240 --> 00:13:13,559
During its summer months,
289
00:13:13,560 --> 00:13:15,479
the entire continent suffered
290
00:13:15,480 --> 00:13:18,039
exceptionally hot,
dry weather.
291
00:13:18,040 --> 00:13:20,519
Temperatures reached
over 40 degrees Celsius,
292
00:13:20,520 --> 00:13:22,399
with the death toll
being estimated
293
00:13:22,400 --> 00:13:25,239
at over 30,000 people.
294
00:13:25,240 --> 00:13:30,239
Using information collected
from ice cores and tree rings,
295
00:13:30,240 --> 00:13:33,599
scientists have even worked out
that the summer of 2003
296
00:13:33,600 --> 00:13:36,239
was Europe’s hottest
since 1540,
297
00:13:36,240 --> 00:13:38,599
nearly 500 years ago.
298
00:13:38,600 --> 00:13:40,519
France was badly hit,
299
00:13:40,520 --> 00:13:45,039
with estimates putting the
death toll at around 14,000.
300
00:13:45,040 --> 00:13:47,599
One of the biggest killers
during the heat wave
301
00:13:47,600 --> 00:13:50,119
was stagnant air,
which accumulated pollutants
302
00:13:50,120 --> 00:13:53,439
and other toxins,
causing respiratory failure.
303
00:13:53,440 --> 00:13:55,879
Dehydration and heat accounted
304
00:13:55,880 --> 00:13:57,879
for thousands
of premature deaths,
305
00:13:57,880 --> 00:14:01,000
particularly older citizens
and the very young.
306
00:14:02,400 --> 00:14:04,119
The severe heat wave in Europe
307
00:14:04,120 --> 00:14:06,079
began in June 2003
308
00:14:06,080 --> 00:14:08,799
and continued until mid-August.
309
00:14:08,800 --> 00:14:11,279
Temperatures were
20 to 30 percent higher
310
00:14:11,280 --> 00:14:13,039
than the seasonal average,
311
00:14:13,040 --> 00:14:15,959
and extended over a large
portion of the continent,
312
00:14:15,960 --> 00:14:18,319
from northern Spain
to the Czech Republic,
313
00:14:18,320 --> 00:14:19,520
and from Germany to Italy.
314
00:14:21,640 --> 00:14:24,079
Even nightly temperatures
were higher
315
00:14:24,080 --> 00:14:26,079
than the average
summer midday highs.
316
00:14:26,080 --> 00:14:30,759
Extreme maximum temperatures
of 35 to 40 degrees Celsius
317
00:14:30,760 --> 00:14:32,679
were recorded
on various occasions
318
00:14:32,680 --> 00:14:34,839
during the month
of July to August
319
00:14:34,840 --> 00:14:38,639
in most of the Southern
and Central European countries.
320
00:14:38,640 --> 00:14:41,519
Temperatures in France
were particularly severe
321
00:14:41,520 --> 00:14:45,359
throughout the month of August,
with small, landlocked cities
322
00:14:45,360 --> 00:14:46,759
in the central
and southern regions
323
00:14:46,760 --> 00:14:48,199
experiencing record heat waves
324
00:14:48,200 --> 00:14:52,039
of up to 47 degrees Celsius.
325
00:14:52,040 --> 00:14:54,759
Record-breaking
maximum temperatures
326
00:14:54,760 --> 00:14:57,399
were also experienced
in Germany, Switzerland
327
00:14:57,400 --> 00:14:59,039
and Portugal.
328
00:14:59,040 --> 00:15:00,519
In the U.K,
329
00:15:00,520 --> 00:15:03,359
a searing 38.5 degrees Celsius
330
00:15:03,360 --> 00:15:04,959
was recorded
in Brogdale, Kent,
331
00:15:04,960 --> 00:15:07,959
on the 10th of August, 2003,
332
00:15:07,960 --> 00:15:10,199
a record which has
since to be broken.
333
00:15:10,200 --> 00:15:12,759
This extreme weather
came as a result
334
00:15:12,760 --> 00:15:15,879
of high pressure becoming
stuck over Western Europe,
335
00:15:15,880 --> 00:15:18,919
barring the Atlantic Ocean’s
rain-bearing depressions
336
00:15:18,920 --> 00:15:20,679
from entering the continent.
337
00:15:20,680 --> 00:15:22,999
With little moisture
in the air,
338
00:15:23,000 --> 00:15:25,119
the skies were
generally cloudless,
339
00:15:25,120 --> 00:15:28,999
allowing the sun to further
bake the land and sea.
340
00:15:29,000 --> 00:15:30,599
In Switzerland,
341
00:15:30,600 --> 00:15:33,159
June was the hottest month
ever recorded
342
00:15:33,160 --> 00:15:35,919
in 250 years of archiving.
343
00:15:35,920 --> 00:15:39,879
A temperature record
of 41.5 degrees Celsius
344
00:15:39,880 --> 00:15:42,719
was reached on
the 11th of August in Grono,
345
00:15:42,720 --> 00:15:46,679
located in the Italian-speaking
south of the country.
346
00:15:46,680 --> 00:15:48,719
Drought affected
much of Europe,
347
00:15:48,720 --> 00:15:50,639
with no rainfall for weeks
348
00:15:50,640 --> 00:15:53,919
resulting in forest fires
breaking out in many countries,
349
00:15:53,920 --> 00:15:57,239
with more than 25,000 fires
recorded.
350
00:15:57,240 --> 00:15:59,679
Portugal was the worst hit.
351
00:15:59,680 --> 00:16:03,559
Nearly 6 percent of its forest
area was destroyed,
352
00:16:03,560 --> 00:16:06,719
over 3900 square kilometers,
353
00:16:06,720 --> 00:16:10,319
covering an area nearly
twice the size of Luxembourg.
354
00:16:10,320 --> 00:16:12,799
With the protection
of the forest gone,
355
00:16:12,800 --> 00:16:15,399
millions of tons
of topsoil and ash
356
00:16:15,400 --> 00:16:17,519
eventually washed away
into rivers,
357
00:16:17,520 --> 00:16:20,079
badly affecting
the quality of the water.
358
00:16:20,080 --> 00:16:23,319
All over Europe,
drought ravaged forests,
359
00:16:23,320 --> 00:16:26,559
with trees suffering dieback
in subsequent years
360
00:16:26,560 --> 00:16:28,279
due to the lack of water.
361
00:16:28,280 --> 00:16:30,639
Weakened trees were also
more prone
362
00:16:30,640 --> 00:16:33,159
to disease
and pest infestation.
363
00:16:33,160 --> 00:16:35,159
And the lack of rainfall
364
00:16:35,160 --> 00:16:38,839
led to desperately low levels
of water in Europe’s rivers.
365
00:16:38,840 --> 00:16:41,159
In Serbia,
the river Danube fell
366
00:16:41,160 --> 00:16:44,359
to its lowest level
in 100 years.
367
00:16:44,360 --> 00:16:46,959
People were shocked
when World War II bombs
368
00:16:46,960 --> 00:16:50,199
which had been submerged
under the river for decades
369
00:16:50,200 --> 00:16:53,279
were now exposed
by the receding water.
370
00:16:53,280 --> 00:16:57,079
Numerous rivers
as well as reservoirs dried up.
371
00:16:57,080 --> 00:17:00,479
This led to shortages in the
water supply to the population
372
00:17:00,480 --> 00:17:03,959
and a decreased output
from hydroelectric plants.
373
00:17:03,960 --> 00:17:06,039
Throughout the European Alps,
374
00:17:06,040 --> 00:17:09,159
there was exceptional melting
of snow and glaciers,
375
00:17:09,160 --> 00:17:11,079
which led to many
mountainous regions
376
00:17:11,080 --> 00:17:14,399
experiencing rock and ice falls.
377
00:17:14,400 --> 00:17:18,879
Alpine glaciers shrank
by 10 percent over the summer.
378
00:17:18,880 --> 00:17:20,719
The unusually hot weather
379
00:17:20,720 --> 00:17:24,639
resulted in an exceptional
reduction of glacier depth.
380
00:17:24,640 --> 00:17:27,399
It was nearly double that
of 1998,
381
00:17:27,400 --> 00:17:29,159
the previous record year,
382
00:17:29,160 --> 00:17:31,839
and around five times more
than the average lost
383
00:17:31,840 --> 00:17:35,679
in the 20 years
between 1980 and 2000.
384
00:17:35,680 --> 00:17:39,919
Thawing of normal permanently
frozen parts of the mountains
385
00:17:39,920 --> 00:17:41,919
reached greater depths
and occurred
386
00:17:41,920 --> 00:17:44,399
at higher altitudes
than before.
387
00:17:44,400 --> 00:17:47,039
In Switzerland,
melting snow and ice
388
00:17:47,040 --> 00:17:49,039
brought about the collapse
of a rock face
389
00:17:49,040 --> 00:17:50,959
on the iconic Matterhorn.
390
00:17:50,960 --> 00:17:55,159
Climbers had to be evacuated
and all activity was suspended
391
00:17:55,160 --> 00:17:59,719
while geologists evaluated the
safety of the mountain face.
392
00:17:59,720 --> 00:18:02,719
Mont Blanc, which on
an average summer’s day
393
00:18:02,720 --> 00:18:05,759
may see 300 climbers,
was shut for the first time
394
00:18:05,760 --> 00:18:09,119
since it was conquered in 1786.
395
00:18:09,120 --> 00:18:12,239
The heat wave made Europe’s
highest peak so unstable
396
00:18:12,240 --> 00:18:14,879
that it was deemed
too dangerous to climb.
397
00:18:14,880 --> 00:18:17,919
Glaciologists estimated
that it would need
398
00:18:17,920 --> 00:18:20,319
30 to 40 meters
of fresh snow,
399
00:18:20,320 --> 00:18:23,199
which would normally take
several harsh winters to fall,
400
00:18:23,200 --> 00:18:26,519
to replace the snow and ice
that had melted that summer.
401
00:18:26,520 --> 00:18:29,079
But some experts believe
that the damage done
402
00:18:29,080 --> 00:18:32,599
to the alpine environment
will never be repaired.
403
00:18:32,600 --> 00:18:36,999
The loss of snow and ice
has another serious effect:
404
00:18:37,000 --> 00:18:40,399
Sun hitting white snow
reflects back into space.
405
00:18:40,400 --> 00:18:43,679
But sun hitting gray rock
is absorbed further,
406
00:18:43,680 --> 00:18:45,519
heating up the ground.
407
00:18:45,520 --> 00:18:48,679
The length of time, as well as
the ferocity of the heat,
408
00:18:48,680 --> 00:18:51,359
proved deadly to thousands
of people across Europe,
409
00:18:51,360 --> 00:18:54,119
and exposed the vulnerability
of a population
410
00:18:54,120 --> 00:18:57,439
unprepared for such
an extreme weather event.
411
00:18:57,440 --> 00:19:01,719
Mortality rose so much that
mortuaries could no longer cope
412
00:19:01,720 --> 00:19:03,439
with the growing number
of bodies.
413
00:19:03,440 --> 00:19:06,119
When space eventually ran out,
414
00:19:06,120 --> 00:19:10,119
temporary mortuaries were set
up in refrigeration lorries.
415
00:19:10,120 --> 00:19:11,759
In the United Kingdom,
416
00:19:11,760 --> 00:19:15,199
there were around
2000 fatalities.
417
00:19:15,200 --> 00:19:17,639
Portugal lost over 2000 people,
418
00:19:17,640 --> 00:19:21,519
including 19 who perished
in forest fires.
419
00:19:21,520 --> 00:19:24,639
In Italy,
more than 4000 died,
420
00:19:24,640 --> 00:19:27,479
with exceptionally
high humidity blamed
421
00:19:27,480 --> 00:19:29,399
for the large number
of fatalities.
422
00:19:29,400 --> 00:19:32,599
And in Germany, 7000 died,
423
00:19:32,600 --> 00:19:34,559
making it the worst
natural disaster
424
00:19:34,560 --> 00:19:36,559
in the country’s history.
425
00:19:36,560 --> 00:19:40,079
And it wasn’t only humans
that died in the extreme heat.
426
00:19:40,080 --> 00:19:43,799
Many farm animals like
chickens, pigs and cows
427
00:19:43,800 --> 00:19:45,639
perished as well.
428
00:19:45,640 --> 00:19:48,759
Farming as an industry
was hugely affected.
429
00:19:48,760 --> 00:19:51,879
Vegetation growth
across Europe was reduced
430
00:19:51,880 --> 00:19:54,839
during the dry and hot summer
by about 30 percent.
431
00:19:54,840 --> 00:19:57,279
Crop yields were
greatly reduced.
432
00:19:57,280 --> 00:20:00,759
The heat wave is thought
to have cost European farming
433
00:20:00,760 --> 00:20:03,999
13.1 billion euros.
434
00:20:04,000 --> 00:20:07,199
It also led
to higher food prices.
435
00:20:07,200 --> 00:20:10,359
At most rivers,
extreme low flows
436
00:20:10,360 --> 00:20:14,359
as well as unusually high water
temperatures were recorded.
437
00:20:14,360 --> 00:20:17,799
Low flows affected
nuclear generating facilities,
438
00:20:17,800 --> 00:20:21,439
which all had to operate
at reduced capacities.
439
00:20:21,440 --> 00:20:24,319
The small nuclear power plant
of Obrigheim
440
00:20:24,320 --> 00:20:27,199
on the Neckar River
was completely turned off
441
00:20:27,200 --> 00:20:29,999
due to insufficient
cooling water.
442
00:20:30,000 --> 00:20:32,799
Low water in most
of Europe’s large rivers
443
00:20:32,800 --> 00:20:36,479
made navigation by ships
difficult or impossible.
444
00:20:36,480 --> 00:20:38,839
The major European
transport routes
445
00:20:38,840 --> 00:20:42,279
along the Danube and Rhine
basins ceased to function.
446
00:20:42,280 --> 00:20:44,839
Rivers like the Po,
the Elbe
447
00:20:44,840 --> 00:20:47,359
and the Oder were severely
affected as well.
448
00:20:47,360 --> 00:20:50,319
Land transport around Europe
was hit as well.
449
00:20:50,320 --> 00:20:53,279
Some railway tracks buckled
in the heat.
450
00:20:53,280 --> 00:20:56,079
Network Rail in the U.K.
imposed speed restrictions
451
00:20:56,080 --> 00:21:00,239
for trains when the temperature
rose above 30 degrees Celsius.
452
00:21:00,240 --> 00:21:02,559
This was to avoid trains
derailing
453
00:21:02,560 --> 00:21:04,839
when railway lines
might have been damaged
454
00:21:04,840 --> 00:21:07,999
and led to severe delays
and cancellations.
455
00:21:08,000 --> 00:21:10,799
The London Underground,
much of which runs
456
00:21:10,800 --> 00:21:13,079
without air conditioning
for passengers,
457
00:21:13,080 --> 00:21:14,999
became dangerously hot.
458
00:21:15,000 --> 00:21:19,359
But the 2003 heat wave
will be remembered primarily
459
00:21:19,360 --> 00:21:21,919
because of the high levels
of mortality.
460
00:21:21,920 --> 00:21:23,639
Following the disaster,
461
00:21:23,640 --> 00:21:26,359
a joint Met Office-Department
of Health project
462
00:21:26,360 --> 00:21:27,999
called the Heat-Health Watch
463
00:21:28,000 --> 00:21:31,399
now gives advanced warning
of U.K. hot weather,
464
00:21:31,400 --> 00:21:33,439
while the French government
has made efforts
465
00:21:33,440 --> 00:21:37,719
to improve its prevention,
surveillance and alert system.
466
00:21:37,720 --> 00:21:40,679
The need for governments
to plan for extreme heat waves
467
00:21:40,680 --> 00:21:44,079
was further justified in
the light of subsequent events
468
00:21:44,080 --> 00:21:48,079
which occurred during
the summer of 2010.
469
00:21:48,080 --> 00:21:50,479
Throughout that fateful summer,
470
00:21:50,480 --> 00:21:52,799
vast swathes of
the northern hemisphere
471
00:21:52,800 --> 00:21:54,719
were impacted
by severe heat,
472
00:21:54,720 --> 00:21:56,999
including most
of the United States,
473
00:21:57,000 --> 00:22:00,959
parts of Europe, Africa,
Asia and the Middle East.
474
00:22:00,960 --> 00:22:03,639
The heat wave shattered
all previous records
475
00:22:03,640 --> 00:22:05,519
both in terms of temperature
476
00:22:05,520 --> 00:22:08,159
and the expanse
of the area affected.
477
00:22:08,160 --> 00:22:13,679
Temperatures were between
6.7 and 13.3 degrees Celsius
478
00:22:13,680 --> 00:22:16,039
above the average,
and the heat wave covered
479
00:22:16,040 --> 00:22:18,679
around 2 million
square kilometers.
480
00:22:18,680 --> 00:22:21,719
Ten countries around the world
broke their records
481
00:22:21,720 --> 00:22:24,959
for the highest temperature
ever recorded.
482
00:22:24,960 --> 00:22:29,519
The heat was the most intense
in Myanmar and Pakistan,
483
00:22:29,520 --> 00:22:33,159
which both recorded the highest
temperature ever seen in Asia,
484
00:22:33,160 --> 00:22:37,239
a searing 53.5 degrees Celsius.
485
00:22:37,240 --> 00:22:40,199
Kuwait recorded its hottest
temperature in history,
486
00:22:40,200 --> 00:22:44,079
with an astonishing
52.6 degrees Celsius.
487
00:22:44,080 --> 00:22:46,439
Temperatures in Basra, Iraq,
488
00:22:46,440 --> 00:22:48,679
reached 52 degrees Celsius,
489
00:22:48,680 --> 00:22:50,639
its hottest day ever.
490
00:22:50,640 --> 00:22:53,599
Saudi Arabia suffered
a double blow.
491
00:22:53,600 --> 00:22:55,399
Not only did sandstorms
492
00:22:55,400 --> 00:22:57,319
cause eight power plants
to shut down,
493
00:22:57,320 --> 00:22:59,079
blacking out several cities,
494
00:22:59,080 --> 00:23:00,879
but this happened
at the same time
495
00:23:00,880 --> 00:23:04,239
as Jeddah sweltered
in 52-degrees heat,
496
00:23:04,240 --> 00:23:08,719
the highest temperature ever
experienced in the Kingdom.
497
00:23:08,720 --> 00:23:11,119
The heat wave
also reached Africa,
498
00:23:11,120 --> 00:23:15,719
where Sudan was blasted
by 49.6 degrees Celsius.
499
00:23:15,720 --> 00:23:18,799
Relative to average temperatures,
500
00:23:18,800 --> 00:23:21,799
the most severely affected
was Russia,
501
00:23:21,800 --> 00:23:23,479
where an extraordinary
heat wave brought
502
00:23:23,480 --> 00:23:26,319
the world’s largest country
to its knees.
503
00:23:26,320 --> 00:23:28,239
Temperatures in Moscow soared
504
00:23:28,240 --> 00:23:30,999
to 38.2 degrees Celsius
in the daytime,
505
00:23:31,000 --> 00:23:34,159
and didn’t fall much
through the night.
506
00:23:34,160 --> 00:23:37,679
But it was in Yashkul,
near the Kazakhstan border,
507
00:23:37,680 --> 00:23:40,759
that the temperature soared
to 44 degrees Celsius,
508
00:23:40,760 --> 00:23:43,799
the highest ever recorded
in Russia.
509
00:23:43,800 --> 00:23:46,399
The 2010 heat wave in Russia
was caused
510
00:23:46,400 --> 00:23:49,119
by a "blocking high"
situation.
511
00:23:49,120 --> 00:23:50,679
A blocking high
pressure system
512
00:23:50,680 --> 00:23:52,359
is a high-pressure system
513
00:23:52,360 --> 00:23:57,319
that stays over a particular
place for a very long time,
514
00:23:57,320 --> 00:24:00,399
and it blocks
low-pressure systems
515
00:24:00,400 --> 00:24:03,239
that would bring fresh air
into the area.
516
00:24:03,240 --> 00:24:06,599
The 2010 Russian heat wave
was an example
517
00:24:06,600 --> 00:24:09,759
where there was
a very strong stationary
518
00:24:09,760 --> 00:24:13,319
or blocking high-pressure system
for a very long time.
519
00:24:13,320 --> 00:24:17,439
It was basically centered
around Moscow, but had a very--
520
00:24:17,440 --> 00:24:18,999
It was a very large system
521
00:24:19,000 --> 00:24:21,559
and affected
a large part of Europe.
522
00:24:21,560 --> 00:24:23,599
There’s two things
about high-pressure systems.
523
00:24:23,600 --> 00:24:25,479
One is that
the air is sinking,
524
00:24:25,480 --> 00:24:27,719
and so there tends to be
less cloud.
525
00:24:27,720 --> 00:24:29,839
But the other thing is
that because the air
526
00:24:29,840 --> 00:24:31,519
is very, very slowly moving,
527
00:24:31,520 --> 00:24:33,759
it tends to be trapped
near the surface.
528
00:24:33,760 --> 00:24:36,639
Because it’s sinking
and slowly moving, it’s trapped.
529
00:24:36,640 --> 00:24:39,999
So any pollution
that’s produced at the surface
530
00:24:40,000 --> 00:24:41,279
tends to stay there.
531
00:24:41,280 --> 00:24:42,959
And if the high pressure
stays there,
532
00:24:42,960 --> 00:24:44,959
pollution is accumulating
and accumulating,
533
00:24:44,960 --> 00:24:46,719
and it’s getting worse
and worse.
534
00:24:46,720 --> 00:24:48,839
Another one
of the major factors
535
00:24:48,840 --> 00:24:50,719
in the record-breaking
heat wave
536
00:24:50,720 --> 00:24:52,919
was the position
of the jet stream.
537
00:24:52,920 --> 00:24:55,119
The jet stream
is a flow of strong winds
538
00:24:55,120 --> 00:24:56,639
high in the atmosphere,
539
00:24:56,640 --> 00:24:59,039
flowing from west to east
around the globe.
540
00:24:59,040 --> 00:25:01,879
And as it goes,
it drives the weather patterns,
541
00:25:01,880 --> 00:25:04,199
so the lows and highs
of the weather patterns
542
00:25:04,200 --> 00:25:07,079
are driven along
by the jet stream.
543
00:25:07,080 --> 00:25:08,319
The jet stream meanders.
544
00:25:08,320 --> 00:25:10,599
It flows to and fro,
like a wave.
545
00:25:10,600 --> 00:25:13,439
And the highs and lows
follow it in that way.
546
00:25:13,440 --> 00:25:16,239
Sometimes, if it gets
particularly deviating,
547
00:25:16,240 --> 00:25:20,079
it can be associated
with a blocking high system.
548
00:25:20,080 --> 00:25:22,519
And if you look
at the Russian situation
549
00:25:22,520 --> 00:25:24,239
with the heat waves in 2010,
550
00:25:24,240 --> 00:25:26,679
what happened was that
the jet stream meandered
551
00:25:26,680 --> 00:25:28,959
quite a lot
off its normal track
552
00:25:28,960 --> 00:25:31,639
and placed a large
high pressure system
553
00:25:31,640 --> 00:25:35,159
right over Central and
Eastern Europe and Russia,
554
00:25:35,160 --> 00:25:38,239
causing the heat waves
that occurred in that year.
555
00:25:38,240 --> 00:25:40,919
As well as stifling
temperatures,
556
00:25:40,920 --> 00:25:45,079
the heat wave in Russia caused
the worst drought in 130 years.
557
00:25:45,080 --> 00:25:47,879
A toxic smog that shrouded
major cities,
558
00:25:47,880 --> 00:25:50,999
particularly Moscow,
added to the misery.
559
00:25:51,000 --> 00:25:53,719
We have to stay
in the room of the hotel.
560
00:25:53,720 --> 00:25:58,119
So we go out just a few hours
per day because of the smog.
561
00:25:58,120 --> 00:26:00,639
Forest fires burned
out of control,
562
00:26:00,640 --> 00:26:03,519
and there were severe
losses to agriculture,
563
00:26:03,520 --> 00:26:05,959
forestry and infrastructure.
564
00:26:05,960 --> 00:26:10,279
In all, this deadly disaster
claimed thousands of lives.
565
00:26:10,280 --> 00:26:13,439
An estimated 56,000
more Russians
566
00:26:13,440 --> 00:26:14,959
died during the heat wave
567
00:26:14,960 --> 00:26:18,319
than in the same period
the previous year.
568
00:26:18,320 --> 00:26:20,999
Lack of water resulted
in the failure
569
00:26:21,000 --> 00:26:24,599
of around 90,000 square
kilometers of crops.
570
00:26:24,600 --> 00:26:26,639
In total,
the cost of the heat wave
571
00:26:26,640 --> 00:26:28,759
to Russia’s
agriculture industry
572
00:26:28,760 --> 00:26:32,039
ran to about
15 billion U.S. dollars.
573
00:26:32,040 --> 00:26:33,919
As well as intense heat,
574
00:26:33,920 --> 00:26:36,279
people in the big cities
had to contend
575
00:26:36,280 --> 00:26:39,279
with eye-watering levels
of pollution.
576
00:26:39,280 --> 00:26:42,239
So if you get a high-pressure
system sitting over a city,
577
00:26:42,240 --> 00:26:46,079
you’ve got the local pollution,
particularly from cars,
578
00:26:46,080 --> 00:26:51,199
and that’s going to trap these
pollutants into the local area.
579
00:26:51,200 --> 00:26:52,959
And as that accumulates
over days,
580
00:26:52,960 --> 00:26:55,479
you begin to see the air
becoming hazier.
581
00:26:55,480 --> 00:26:57,919
You’ll be familiar
with the sort of yellowish color
582
00:26:57,920 --> 00:27:01,759
associated with high-pressure
stagnant air patches.
583
00:27:01,760 --> 00:27:04,359
This air is not only unpleasant
to look at,
584
00:27:04,360 --> 00:27:07,199
it’s also unpleasant and bad
for your health to breathe.
585
00:27:07,200 --> 00:27:10,319
Air pollution
in the big industrial cities
586
00:27:10,320 --> 00:27:12,159
just wouldn’t disperse.
587
00:27:12,160 --> 00:27:15,759
In Moscow, the city’s
environmental protection agency
588
00:27:15,760 --> 00:27:17,239
warned the population
589
00:27:17,240 --> 00:27:19,639
that the concentrations
of carbon monoxide
590
00:27:19,640 --> 00:27:22,519
were five times higher
than acceptable levels,
591
00:27:22,520 --> 00:27:24,999
while particle matter pollution
592
00:27:25,000 --> 00:27:27,399
was three times
above safe limits.
593
00:27:27,400 --> 00:27:31,079
Added to this toxic mix
was another foul ingredient:
594
00:27:31,080 --> 00:27:33,839
the smoke
from forest and peat fires.
595
00:27:33,840 --> 00:27:36,079
The heat wave peaked
throughout July
596
00:27:36,080 --> 00:27:38,359
and into the first half
of August.
597
00:27:38,360 --> 00:27:40,439
This coincided exactly
598
00:27:40,440 --> 00:27:43,759
with the worst period
for peat and forest fires.
599
00:27:43,760 --> 00:27:45,559
As the temperatures soared,
600
00:27:45,560 --> 00:27:47,719
fires ripped through
the dry vegetation
601
00:27:47,720 --> 00:27:49,239
and spread rapidly.
602
00:27:49,240 --> 00:27:51,239
These fires
were probably started
603
00:27:51,240 --> 00:27:54,079
through careless actions
as people lit barbecues
604
00:27:54,080 --> 00:27:57,039
in the tinder-dry forests.
605
00:27:57,040 --> 00:27:59,719
Throughout July 2010,
606
00:27:59,720 --> 00:28:01,759
over 40 peat fires broke out
607
00:28:01,760 --> 00:28:04,359
to the south
and east of Moscow.
608
00:28:04,360 --> 00:28:06,719
These fires claimed 52 lives,
609
00:28:06,720 --> 00:28:08,199
destroyed property
610
00:28:08,200 --> 00:28:11,399
and left over 3000 people
homeless.
611
00:28:11,400 --> 00:28:14,839
The heavy smoke disrupted
flights into Moscow.
612
00:28:14,840 --> 00:28:17,839
At Domodedovo Airport,
visibility on the runways
613
00:28:17,840 --> 00:28:20,839
was down to about 370 meters.
614
00:28:20,840 --> 00:28:24,879
Artillery rockets housed at
a military base in Alabinsk,
615
00:28:24,880 --> 00:28:27,479
about 72 kilometers southwest
of Moscow,
616
00:28:27,480 --> 00:28:32,599
were moved to a safer location
away from the fires.
617
00:28:32,600 --> 00:28:34,399
Even more alarmingly,
618
00:28:34,400 --> 00:28:38,279
fires approached a nuclear
research facility in Sarov,
619
00:28:38,280 --> 00:28:40,439
about 500 kilometers
east of Moscow,
620
00:28:40,440 --> 00:28:43,599
where nuclear material
had to be moved.
621
00:28:43,600 --> 00:28:46,239
After wildfires destroyed
a naval base
622
00:28:46,240 --> 00:28:50,399
on the outskirts of Moscow,
then-president Dmitry Medvedev
623
00:28:50,400 --> 00:28:52,919
sacked several
top military officials.
624
00:28:52,920 --> 00:28:54,639
In July 2010,
625
00:28:54,640 --> 00:28:56,679
with pollution levels in Moscow
626
00:28:56,680 --> 00:28:58,719
five times greater than normal,
627
00:28:58,720 --> 00:29:01,399
over 14,000 deaths
were recorded.
628
00:29:01,400 --> 00:29:04,879
At one point, there were
roughly 700 deaths per day,
629
00:29:04,880 --> 00:29:07,399
twice the normal
mortality rate.
630
00:29:07,400 --> 00:29:10,759
As haze and smoke spread
through Moscow’s streets,
631
00:29:10,760 --> 00:29:14,119
visibility was reduced
to 50 meters in some areas.
632
00:29:14,120 --> 00:29:15,919
The acrid smoke seeped
633
00:29:15,920 --> 00:29:18,279
into apartment buildings
and offices.
634
00:29:18,280 --> 00:29:21,639
Fumes even sank down
into the metro network.
635
00:29:21,640 --> 00:29:25,199
Doctors warned the people
of Moscow to remain at home.
636
00:29:25,200 --> 00:29:26,799
Those that did venture out
637
00:29:26,800 --> 00:29:28,839
clutched handkerchiefs
to their faces
638
00:29:28,840 --> 00:29:31,599
or wore masks,
some even keeping them on
639
00:29:31,600 --> 00:29:34,119
when they got back indoors.
640
00:29:34,120 --> 00:29:35,519
Well-known tourist sites
641
00:29:35,520 --> 00:29:37,759
such as the Ostankino
television tower
642
00:29:37,760 --> 00:29:39,639
and Saint Basil’s Cathedral
643
00:29:39,640 --> 00:29:41,999
were only dimly visible
through the smoky haze,
644
00:29:42,000 --> 00:29:46,239
as the sun, a faint yellow
sphere hanging in the smog,
645
00:29:46,240 --> 00:29:48,279
continued to roast the town.
646
00:29:48,280 --> 00:29:50,799
Desperate people tried
to find some respite
647
00:29:50,800 --> 00:29:52,159
from the intense heat,
648
00:29:52,160 --> 00:29:54,719
but this led
to even more deaths.
649
00:29:54,720 --> 00:29:57,799
The acrid cocktail of smoke
and pollutants
650
00:29:57,800 --> 00:29:59,519
caused many Muscovites
651
00:29:59,520 --> 00:30:01,519
to flee their homes
or workplaces
652
00:30:01,520 --> 00:30:03,919
and hunt out
air-conditioned malls,
653
00:30:03,920 --> 00:30:07,239
cinemas and other public buildings.
654
00:30:07,240 --> 00:30:10,279
But the weak and the elderly
were not so fortunate.
655
00:30:10,280 --> 00:30:12,159
Ambulance services reported
656
00:30:12,160 --> 00:30:14,799
that emergency calls
were up 10 percent,
657
00:30:14,800 --> 00:30:17,079
while paramedics were
reported to have fainted
658
00:30:17,080 --> 00:30:19,279
in sweltering
ambulance vehicles.
659
00:30:19,280 --> 00:30:21,919
At the same time,
hospitals canceled
660
00:30:21,920 --> 00:30:24,199
all non-emergency operations.
661
00:30:24,200 --> 00:30:26,119
Many patients chose to go home
662
00:30:26,120 --> 00:30:28,439
because of the stifling heat
in wards
663
00:30:28,440 --> 00:30:30,999
without air conditioning
or fans.
664
00:30:31,000 --> 00:30:34,279
In an effort to stem the
choking levels of pollution,
665
00:30:34,280 --> 00:30:38,359
factories in Moscow were asked
to temporarily cut emissions
666
00:30:38,360 --> 00:30:40,559
by as much as 40 percent.
667
00:30:40,560 --> 00:30:42,559
The fact that
the 2010 heat wave
668
00:30:42,560 --> 00:30:47,279
followed only seven years
after the devastation of 2003
669
00:30:47,280 --> 00:30:49,439
seemed to signal
a worrying trend
670
00:30:49,440 --> 00:30:51,799
of extreme hot-weather events.
671
00:30:51,800 --> 00:30:55,760
But how does the 2010 heat wave
compare to that of 2003?
672
00:30:56,880 --> 00:30:58,839
In most respects,
673
00:30:58,840 --> 00:31:01,919
it was more extreme than
the one seven years earlier,
674
00:31:01,920 --> 00:31:03,919
both in terms of its severity
675
00:31:03,920 --> 00:31:06,879
and the sheer scale
of the area affected.
676
00:31:06,880 --> 00:31:09,039
The heat wave in 2003
was centered
677
00:31:09,040 --> 00:31:12,719
very much over the more
western part of Europe,
678
00:31:12,720 --> 00:31:16,319
whereas the 2010 one was more
over the eastern part of Europe.
679
00:31:16,320 --> 00:31:21,039
And the 2010 heat wave,
there was also a large drought.
680
00:31:21,040 --> 00:31:23,519
So the combination
of heat and drought
681
00:31:23,520 --> 00:31:26,519
had a huge impact on, um...
682
00:31:26,520 --> 00:31:28,719
On yields in the area.
683
00:31:28,720 --> 00:31:31,399
That was not
so much the case in 2003,
684
00:31:31,400 --> 00:31:35,359
where the strongest impact
of the heat waves
685
00:31:35,360 --> 00:31:37,359
was really on human health.
686
00:31:37,360 --> 00:31:41,159
There is a probability
that parts of Russia
687
00:31:41,160 --> 00:31:44,519
are on the verge of a period
in which extreme heat events
688
00:31:44,520 --> 00:31:46,919
will happen more frequently.
689
00:31:46,920 --> 00:31:49,719
But it isn’t only Russia
that needs to brace itself
690
00:31:49,720 --> 00:31:53,119
for more frequent
extreme hot-weather events.
691
00:31:53,120 --> 00:31:55,479
It’s certainly true
that there’s more heat waves
692
00:31:55,480 --> 00:31:57,079
occurring across the globe now
693
00:31:57,080 --> 00:31:59,879
than there were earlier
in my career.
694
00:31:59,880 --> 00:32:02,679
So one that I experienced
personally was in the U.K.,
695
00:32:02,680 --> 00:32:04,319
it was in 1976,
696
00:32:04,320 --> 00:32:06,919
when it was extremely hot
and dry during the summer.
697
00:32:06,920 --> 00:32:09,759
And that was quite--
Very, very unusual.
698
00:32:09,760 --> 00:32:11,519
And now we seem
to be experiencing
699
00:32:11,520 --> 00:32:13,159
those sort of things
much more often.
700
00:32:13,160 --> 00:32:15,719
If 2018 is anything to go by,
701
00:32:15,720 --> 00:32:19,119
the heat waves will be
a widespread scourge.
702
00:32:19,120 --> 00:32:22,519
From May 2018,
a vast ridge of high pressure
703
00:32:22,520 --> 00:32:24,999
sat across the majority
of Northern Europe,
704
00:32:25,000 --> 00:32:26,479
reaching from Ireland,
705
00:32:26,480 --> 00:32:27,879
across the United Kingdom
706
00:32:27,880 --> 00:32:30,919
and right over to Scandinavia.
707
00:32:30,920 --> 00:32:33,119
The enormous lump
of high pressure
708
00:32:33,120 --> 00:32:35,439
blocked all other
weather systems.
709
00:32:35,440 --> 00:32:39,879
Much-needed cool air was pushed
down over Southern Europe.
710
00:32:39,880 --> 00:32:43,639
Europe taken as a whole
had its warmest May
711
00:32:43,640 --> 00:32:46,079
and second warmest
June in continental records
712
00:32:46,080 --> 00:32:48,599
dating back to 1910.
713
00:32:48,600 --> 00:32:51,479
The normally cool countries
in Scandinavia
714
00:32:51,480 --> 00:32:54,199
were blasted by
extraordinary heat.
715
00:32:54,200 --> 00:32:56,719
All-time record-high
temperatures were recorded
716
00:32:56,720 --> 00:32:59,159
at three locations in Sweden,
717
00:32:59,160 --> 00:33:02,359
10 in Finland and 14 in Norway.
718
00:33:02,360 --> 00:33:05,319
In Sweden, the heat wave
wasn’t the only problem.
719
00:33:05,320 --> 00:33:08,479
In July 2018,
the Swedish government called
720
00:33:08,480 --> 00:33:11,679
for international help
to tackle a series of blazes
721
00:33:11,680 --> 00:33:15,399
across the country that were
raging out of control.
722
00:33:15,400 --> 00:33:17,919
A country more used to dealing
with the extremes
723
00:33:17,920 --> 00:33:20,599
of winter cold and snow
now found itself
724
00:33:20,600 --> 00:33:22,999
having to cope
with extreme summer weather.
725
00:33:23,000 --> 00:33:26,319
As temperatures soared,
rainfall dried up
726
00:33:26,320 --> 00:33:28,999
to only one-seventh
of the expected amount,
727
00:33:29,000 --> 00:33:31,599
the lowest since
record-keeping began
728
00:33:31,600 --> 00:33:33,439
in the late 19th century.
729
00:33:33,440 --> 00:33:35,719
With flows in the rivers
and lakes falling
730
00:33:35,720 --> 00:33:39,479
to exceptional lows,
Sweden faced water shortages.
731
00:33:39,480 --> 00:33:41,639
And after the months
of drought,
732
00:33:41,640 --> 00:33:43,719
followed by weeks
of sweltering heat,
733
00:33:43,720 --> 00:33:47,440
the nation’s forests
had become tinderboxes.
734
00:33:49,440 --> 00:33:52,319
More than 60 separate wildfires
broke out,
735
00:33:52,320 --> 00:33:55,639
12 of them in Swedish Lapland
within the Arctic Circle,
736
00:33:55,640 --> 00:33:59,439
where the temperature reached
more than 33 degrees Celsius,
737
00:33:59,440 --> 00:34:02,759
the highest ever recorded
in that polar region.
738
00:34:02,760 --> 00:34:05,559
Many villages threatened
by the infernos
739
00:34:05,560 --> 00:34:07,599
were forced to be evacuated.
740
00:34:07,600 --> 00:34:09,119
The Swedish Armed Forces
741
00:34:09,120 --> 00:34:11,759
and the Home Guard
were called in to help.
742
00:34:11,760 --> 00:34:14,359
But the nation famous
for its cold and snow
743
00:34:14,360 --> 00:34:16,559
found itself unable to cope
744
00:34:16,560 --> 00:34:18,679
with the fires
raging within its border
745
00:34:18,680 --> 00:34:21,159
and made an appeal
for help from abroad.
746
00:34:21,160 --> 00:34:24,439
Norway and Italy
both answered the call,
747
00:34:24,440 --> 00:34:27,359
sending airborne
firefighting teams.
748
00:34:27,360 --> 00:34:31,279
Italy sent two planes to Sweden
to dump water on the blazes
749
00:34:31,280 --> 00:34:34,159
while Norway, which itself
had been hit by wildfires,
750
00:34:34,160 --> 00:34:38,519
supplied eight helicopters
to help battle Sweden’s blazes.
751
00:34:38,520 --> 00:34:41,359
The exceptional heat wave
drove Swedes
752
00:34:41,360 --> 00:34:44,159
to attempt to cool down
in the ocean.
753
00:34:44,160 --> 00:34:45,879
Between May and July,
754
00:34:45,880 --> 00:34:47,999
the Swedish Sea Rescue Society
755
00:34:48,000 --> 00:34:52,119
mounted 651 rescue operations
across the country,
756
00:34:52,120 --> 00:34:55,919
the highest number for that
period since records began.
757
00:34:55,920 --> 00:34:58,119
As more people were attracted
758
00:34:58,120 --> 00:35:00,079
to Sweden’s lakes
and coastline,
759
00:35:00,080 --> 00:35:04,199
the number of deaths by
drowning showed a marked spike.
760
00:35:04,200 --> 00:35:07,519
In May and June alone,
39 people perished.
761
00:35:07,520 --> 00:35:10,519
And the number of children who
lost their lives in the water
762
00:35:10,520 --> 00:35:12,359
during those two months
was equal
763
00:35:12,360 --> 00:35:14,639
to the whole of the previous
year’s fatalities.
764
00:35:14,640 --> 00:35:18,519
In France, nuclear reactors
were forced to close
765
00:35:18,520 --> 00:35:21,079
because of the soaring
temperatures.
766
00:35:21,080 --> 00:35:22,839
Several French cities
were blighted
767
00:35:22,840 --> 00:35:26,919
by high levels of pollution
caused by the heat wave.
768
00:35:26,920 --> 00:35:29,399
Authorities were forced
to impose traffic bans
769
00:35:29,400 --> 00:35:31,439
to try and ease the problem.
770
00:35:31,440 --> 00:35:33,359
In the capital city of Paris,
771
00:35:33,360 --> 00:35:36,319
cheaper daily metro
and bus passes were offered
772
00:35:36,320 --> 00:35:39,199
to discourage people
from driving.
773
00:35:39,200 --> 00:35:41,319
Meanwhile in Portugal,
774
00:35:41,320 --> 00:35:43,799
more than 700 firefighters
struggled to contain
775
00:35:43,800 --> 00:35:45,279
a major wildfire
776
00:35:45,280 --> 00:35:48,039
in the southern coastal region
of the Algarve.
777
00:36:17,200 --> 00:36:21,559
As temperatures reached
46 degrees Celsius in places,
778
00:36:21,560 --> 00:36:25,599
threatening Portugal’s national
record of 47.4 degrees Celsius,
779
00:36:25,600 --> 00:36:28,719
the fire spread through
a eucalyptus forest
780
00:36:28,720 --> 00:36:30,799
and dense undergrowth.
781
00:36:30,800 --> 00:36:33,359
Mindful of the dozens
of people killed
782
00:36:33,360 --> 00:36:35,719
in terrible fires
the previous year,
783
00:36:35,720 --> 00:36:38,999
Portugal’s civil protection
agency attempted to avoid
784
00:36:39,000 --> 00:36:42,639
a similar tragedy by
sending out mobile text alerts
785
00:36:42,640 --> 00:36:44,919
warning of
the extreme fire risks.
786
00:36:44,920 --> 00:36:48,119
Temperatures in Spain
continued to soar,
787
00:36:48,120 --> 00:36:52,199
and seven people were reported
to have died from heatstroke.
788
00:36:52,200 --> 00:36:54,879
Wildfires raged
in the south of the country
789
00:36:54,880 --> 00:36:57,639
and in the center,
near the capital city, Madrid,
790
00:36:57,640 --> 00:36:59,999
as well as in the west
near Extremadura,
791
00:37:00,000 --> 00:37:02,839
a region close
to the Portuguese border,
792
00:37:02,840 --> 00:37:06,799
and in Catalonia, which
borders France in the north.
793
00:37:25,520 --> 00:37:26,919
Even at night,
794
00:37:26,920 --> 00:37:28,919
the population continued
to suffer
795
00:37:28,920 --> 00:37:30,239
in dangerous heat.
796
00:37:30,240 --> 00:37:32,919
The town of Zorita
in the southwest
797
00:37:32,920 --> 00:37:36,039
recorded an astonishing
midnight temperature
798
00:37:36,040 --> 00:37:38,519
of 35.1 degrees Celsius,
799
00:37:38,520 --> 00:37:41,319
Spain’s highest ever
midnight temperature.
800
00:37:41,320 --> 00:37:45,239
In Germany, temperatures peaked
at 39 degrees Celsius.
801
00:37:45,240 --> 00:37:48,879
For some, the unusually high
temperatures proved a blessing.
802
00:37:48,880 --> 00:37:51,919
German wine growers thanked
the hot, dry weather
803
00:37:51,920 --> 00:37:54,119
for a bumper harvest
which could be picked
804
00:37:54,120 --> 00:37:56,039
two weeks earlier
than usual.
805
00:37:56,040 --> 00:37:57,879
But for other Germans,
806
00:37:57,880 --> 00:38:00,760
the heat wave brought
only misery.
807
00:38:03,080 --> 00:38:05,679
In Gotteszell,
a town in Bavaria,
808
00:38:05,680 --> 00:38:07,839
regional trains
had to be suspended
809
00:38:07,840 --> 00:38:11,159
after railway tracks
warped in the extreme heat.
810
00:38:11,160 --> 00:38:14,519
Forest fires raged
just 50 kilometers south
811
00:38:14,520 --> 00:38:16,079
of the German capital, Berlin,
812
00:38:16,080 --> 00:38:17,639
where firefighters struggled
813
00:38:17,640 --> 00:38:20,239
to quell the largest blazes
in decades.
814
00:38:20,240 --> 00:38:23,119
Fire crews,
many of them volunteers,
815
00:38:23,120 --> 00:38:24,959
had their work complicated
816
00:38:24,960 --> 00:38:28,119
by the presence of unexploded
hand grenades and shells,
817
00:38:28,120 --> 00:38:31,119
which still littered
the forests around Berlin.
818
00:38:31,120 --> 00:38:34,479
When a number of the World War
II munitions exploded,
819
00:38:34,480 --> 00:38:37,079
firefighters were forced
to withdraw.
820
00:38:37,080 --> 00:38:41,039
540 people from three villages
were forced to evacuate
821
00:38:41,040 --> 00:38:45,399
as smoke and flames threatened
to engulf their homes.
822
00:38:45,400 --> 00:38:49,439
Residents in Berlin were told
to keep windows and doors shut
823
00:38:49,440 --> 00:38:51,719
and to turn off their
air-conditioning units
824
00:38:51,720 --> 00:38:54,319
to help protect themselves
from the acrid fumes.
825
00:38:54,320 --> 00:38:56,879
Helicopters tried
to quench the flames
826
00:38:56,880 --> 00:38:59,399
by dropping water
from above.
827
00:38:59,400 --> 00:39:02,119
Authorities even called
in police water cannons,
828
00:39:02,120 --> 00:39:04,119
more commonly used to control
829
00:39:04,120 --> 00:39:06,679
unruly crowds
and public disturbances,
830
00:39:06,680 --> 00:39:09,799
which helped to eventually
contain the blaze.
831
00:39:09,800 --> 00:39:12,759
In Greece,
scorching temperatures
832
00:39:12,760 --> 00:39:15,159
that reached
over 40 degrees Celsius,
833
00:39:15,160 --> 00:39:17,039
coupled with severe drought,
834
00:39:17,040 --> 00:39:20,559
turned the hillside forests
into kindling.
835
00:39:20,560 --> 00:39:23,999
Blazes started
in numerous locations,
836
00:39:24,000 --> 00:39:26,640
fanned by the strongest winds
in eight years.
837
00:39:30,480 --> 00:39:32,999
More than 90 people
were confirmed dead,
838
00:39:33,000 --> 00:39:34,799
while many were still missing.
839
00:39:34,800 --> 00:39:38,119
At least 300 homes in the
coastal villages near Athens
840
00:39:38,120 --> 00:39:39,879
frequented by holidaymakers
841
00:39:39,880 --> 00:39:43,359
were either destroyed
or severely damaged.
842
00:39:43,360 --> 00:39:46,159
It was Monday,
the 23rd of July,
843
00:39:46,160 --> 00:39:47,799
at 12.30 in the afternoon
844
00:39:47,800 --> 00:39:50,679
that the first fire
alarm sounded in Kinetta,
845
00:39:50,680 --> 00:39:53,399
a seaside town
around 50 kilometers west
846
00:39:53,400 --> 00:39:55,559
of Greece’s capital, Athens.
847
00:39:55,560 --> 00:39:57,039
Later that afternoon,
848
00:39:57,040 --> 00:39:59,239
the authorities received
emergency calls
849
00:39:59,240 --> 00:40:02,599
reporting flames near Rafina,
east of the capital.
850
00:40:02,600 --> 00:40:06,239
Powerful winds gusting
at 120 kilometers per hour
851
00:40:06,240 --> 00:40:09,199
whipped the flames
into a deadly wave of fire
852
00:40:09,200 --> 00:40:13,279
which swept downhill towards
the quiet seaside town of Mati
853
00:40:13,280 --> 00:40:14,919
like a volcanic flow.
854
00:40:14,920 --> 00:40:17,359
The fire reached there
around 5:00 p.m.,
855
00:40:17,360 --> 00:40:20,039
when many Greeks would be
having an afternoon nap
856
00:40:20,040 --> 00:40:22,719
following lunches delayed
till 4:00 p.m.
857
00:40:22,720 --> 00:40:24,639
because of the intense heat.
858
00:40:24,640 --> 00:40:26,759
Hundreds of people were trapped
859
00:40:26,760 --> 00:40:29,399
as flames threatened
to engulf them.
860
00:40:29,400 --> 00:40:31,639
Many attempted to flee
in their cars
861
00:40:31,640 --> 00:40:34,519
but were overtaken by fire
as they became hemmed in
862
00:40:34,520 --> 00:40:37,159
on narrow roads
gridlocked by traffic.
863
00:40:37,160 --> 00:40:39,639
Others fled
for the safety of the sea,
864
00:40:39,640 --> 00:40:42,879
where they watched in horror
as their town burned.
865
00:40:42,880 --> 00:40:44,719
Boats were mobilized
866
00:40:44,720 --> 00:40:47,639
in a hurriedly organized
rescue operation.
867
00:40:47,640 --> 00:40:50,639
Nearly 700 people were snatched
up from beaches,
868
00:40:50,640 --> 00:40:52,999
and 19 picked out of the sea.
869
00:40:53,000 --> 00:40:57,319
Rescuers retrieved six bodies
from the water.
870
00:40:57,320 --> 00:41:00,399
The following day,
large numbers of fellow Greeks
871
00:41:00,400 --> 00:41:03,159
descended on
the emergency headquarters.
872
00:41:03,160 --> 00:41:05,439
They brought with them
clothing,
873
00:41:05,440 --> 00:41:08,159
food, water
and other essentials.
874
00:41:08,160 --> 00:41:11,839
Meanwhile, officials
and residents braced themselves
875
00:41:11,840 --> 00:41:13,719
for the death toll
to climb higher
876
00:41:13,720 --> 00:41:16,239
as rescue workers searched
for the missing
877
00:41:16,240 --> 00:41:19,439
among some 2500 burned homes.
878
00:41:19,440 --> 00:41:22,079
We don’t have any hope
to find any alive,
879
00:41:22,080 --> 00:41:27,199
An hour before
from another street,
880
00:41:27,200 --> 00:41:28,839
the next block from here,
881
00:41:28,840 --> 00:41:31,159
they find the body
inside the house.
882
00:41:31,160 --> 00:41:34,759
I think for the next days
we’ll continue to find bodies.
883
00:41:34,760 --> 00:41:38,959
It’s a very huge area
that we have to search.
884
00:41:38,960 --> 00:41:41,959
Emergency crews
had the terrible task
885
00:41:41,960 --> 00:41:44,199
of combing through
incinerated dwellings
886
00:41:44,200 --> 00:41:46,159
as well as
the burnt-out vehicles
887
00:41:46,160 --> 00:41:49,919
that had been used by people
attempting to flee the fires.
888
00:41:49,920 --> 00:41:53,399
Burnt-out vehicles marked
the path of the flames.
889
00:41:53,400 --> 00:41:55,039
The heat had reached
such intensity
890
00:41:55,040 --> 00:41:57,319
that cars had literally melted,
891
00:41:57,320 --> 00:42:00,839
leaving pools of aluminum
and liquefied rubber.
892
00:42:00,840 --> 00:42:03,999
By Wednesday,
two days after the inferno,
893
00:42:04,000 --> 00:42:07,079
the death toll in Mati
stood at 80.
894
00:42:07,080 --> 00:42:11,039
Frantic relatives attempted to
track down those still missing
895
00:42:11,040 --> 00:42:12,559
from the horrific blaze.
896
00:42:12,560 --> 00:42:15,159
Meanwhile, coroners began
the grim task
897
00:42:15,160 --> 00:42:18,279
of identifying those bodies
that had been found.
898
00:42:18,280 --> 00:42:20,799
The Greek prime minister,
who was out of the country
899
00:42:20,800 --> 00:42:22,319
on a state visit to Bosnia,
900
00:42:22,320 --> 00:42:25,079
was forced to return
to his stricken country.
901
00:42:25,080 --> 00:42:28,199
He declared three days
of mourning.
902
00:42:28,200 --> 00:42:31,599
The day after the fire,
he spoke in a televised address
903
00:42:31,600 --> 00:42:33,519
about the grief of the nation
904
00:42:33,520 --> 00:42:36,159
in the face
of an unbearable tragedy.
905
00:42:36,160 --> 00:42:39,239
Citizens called on the
government to take swift action
906
00:42:39,240 --> 00:42:42,599
so that survivors, many of whom
had lost everything,
907
00:42:42,600 --> 00:42:45,759
could rebuild their lives.
908
00:42:45,760 --> 00:42:47,759
A week after
the horrific fires,
909
00:42:47,760 --> 00:42:50,159
people gathered outside
the Greek parliament
910
00:42:50,160 --> 00:42:52,719
and held
a candlelight vigil.
911
00:42:52,720 --> 00:42:54,399
Some blamed the high death toll
912
00:42:54,400 --> 00:42:57,119
on the fact that many of
the homes which had burned down
913
00:42:57,120 --> 00:43:00,159
had been illegally built
in wooded areas.
914
00:43:00,160 --> 00:43:02,439
Searching for ways
to raise cash
915
00:43:02,440 --> 00:43:04,759
in the wake
of the 2010 debt crisis,
916
00:43:04,760 --> 00:43:07,279
the government had
apparently allowed owners
917
00:43:07,280 --> 00:43:12,039
to keep their illegal houses
if they agreed to pay a fine.
918
00:43:12,040 --> 00:43:15,119
But worryingly,
it wasn’t just Europe
919
00:43:15,120 --> 00:43:18,079
that experienced heat waves
in 2018.
920
00:43:18,080 --> 00:43:19,719
All across the world,
921
00:43:19,720 --> 00:43:22,799
people were experiencing
record high temperatures.
922
00:43:22,800 --> 00:43:27,359
A weather station at Ouargla
in the Algerian Sahara Desert
923
00:43:27,360 --> 00:43:29,519
recorded the astonishing temperature
924
00:43:29,520 --> 00:43:31,959
of 51.3 degrees Celsius,
925
00:43:31,960 --> 00:43:34,159
the hottest
verified temperature
926
00:43:34,160 --> 00:43:35,839
in the whole of Africa.
927
00:43:35,840 --> 00:43:39,519
And for the population of Oman,
there was no relief.
928
00:43:39,520 --> 00:43:41,159
Even when the sun went down,
929
00:43:41,160 --> 00:43:44,399
the night temperature stayed
stiflingly hot.
930
00:43:44,400 --> 00:43:48,759
In Canada, at least
54 deaths were attributed
931
00:43:48,760 --> 00:43:51,839
to the prolonged heat wave
and high humidity in Quebec,
932
00:43:51,840 --> 00:43:55,319
with Montreal seeing
a new record high temperature
933
00:43:55,320 --> 00:43:58,879
of 36.6 degrees Celsius.
934
00:43:58,880 --> 00:44:01,759
The statistics
surrounding heat waves
935
00:44:01,760 --> 00:44:04,999
point to a worrying
trend of rising temperatures
936
00:44:05,000 --> 00:44:08,799
and extreme hot-weather events
around the globe.
937
00:44:08,800 --> 00:44:12,079
At the moment,
we already have warmed the world
938
00:44:12,080 --> 00:44:15,359
by about 1 degree
since preindustrial times
939
00:44:15,360 --> 00:44:17,599
through the burning
of fossil fuels
940
00:44:17,600 --> 00:44:20,999
and buildup of greenhouse gases
in the atmosphere.
941
00:44:21,000 --> 00:44:25,719
And the Paris Agreement in 2015
said that--
942
00:44:25,720 --> 00:44:27,759
Or the governments agreed
943
00:44:27,760 --> 00:44:31,039
they want to try
and limit the warming
944
00:44:31,040 --> 00:44:34,839
to 2 degrees or lower,
to 1.5 degrees.
945
00:44:34,840 --> 00:44:38,999
To do that, we need to stop
burning fossil fuels
946
00:44:39,000 --> 00:44:41,159
and emissions go towards zero.
947
00:44:41,160 --> 00:44:45,919
And the different countries
have pledged their NDCs,
948
00:44:45,920 --> 00:44:48,639
which is their National
Determined Contributions,
949
00:44:48,640 --> 00:44:50,599
to reaching this goal.
950
00:44:50,600 --> 00:44:54,999
And these pledges
at the moment are, however,
951
00:44:55,000 --> 00:44:58,079
not low enough
or not high enough.
952
00:44:58,080 --> 00:44:59,679
It’s a global problem
953
00:44:59,680 --> 00:45:03,159
and, in particular,
the risk of heat wave
954
00:45:03,160 --> 00:45:06,359
has already increased
quite a lot everywhere.
955
00:45:06,360 --> 00:45:09,839
And, of course, we can adapt
to that to some degree,
956
00:45:09,840 --> 00:45:12,999
but we can’t adapt
indefinitely.
957
00:45:13,000 --> 00:45:15,639
And we can’t just move out
of all hot places.
958
00:45:15,640 --> 00:45:17,999
Then there would not be
enough cool places left
959
00:45:18,000 --> 00:45:20,479
where people would be
able to live
960
00:45:20,480 --> 00:45:22,320
without a high risk
of heat waves.
961
00:45:23,840 --> 00:45:25,999
At the moment,
the way that ordinary people
962
00:45:26,000 --> 00:45:30,999
can access renewable energy
and clean motoring is not easy.
963
00:45:31,000 --> 00:45:34,599
The assorted costs of buying
an electric vehicle
964
00:45:34,600 --> 00:45:36,679
at the moment
are relatively high.
965
00:45:36,680 --> 00:45:40,119
However, if we look
at the cost of photovoltaics,
966
00:45:40,120 --> 00:45:43,479
of solar panels,
they have absolutely plummeted.
967
00:45:43,480 --> 00:45:45,479
The costs have fallen
far faster
968
00:45:45,480 --> 00:45:47,599
than any of the economists
predicted.
969
00:45:47,600 --> 00:45:50,119
So for the ordinary person,
this is going to mean
970
00:45:50,120 --> 00:45:52,239
that they’ll be able
to access renewable energy
971
00:45:52,240 --> 00:45:53,799
in an affordable way.
972
00:45:53,800 --> 00:45:55,599
So in terms of saving energy,
973
00:45:55,600 --> 00:45:57,439
there’s things
that people can do.
974
00:45:57,440 --> 00:46:00,719
So, I mean, the first thing
is to try and just use less.
975
00:46:00,720 --> 00:46:03,159
So can you turn off the lights?
Can you turn off the heating?
976
00:46:03,160 --> 00:46:05,719
There’s also things
like buying your energy
977
00:46:05,720 --> 00:46:08,319
from a green provider,
so you’re buying from companies
978
00:46:08,320 --> 00:46:11,119
that use renewable energy
and not fossil fuel energy.
979
00:46:11,120 --> 00:46:13,519
Then there’s using different
transport systems.
980
00:46:13,520 --> 00:46:16,599
So can you choose to walk today
or go on your bike,
981
00:46:16,600 --> 00:46:18,679
rather than jumping in the car?
982
00:46:18,680 --> 00:46:20,959
So there’s a number of things
that people can do
983
00:46:20,960 --> 00:46:24,999
in their normal daily lives
to help the situation.
984
00:46:25,000 --> 00:46:28,319
Having said that, we can’t be
expected to produce the answers.
985
00:46:28,320 --> 00:46:31,959
It’s got to be the government
and policies and laws
986
00:46:31,960 --> 00:46:33,879
that steer people
in the right behavior.
987
00:46:33,880 --> 00:46:35,040
They need to be helped.
988
00:46:36,280 --> 00:46:37,919
Scientists from
989
00:46:37,920 --> 00:46:40,359
the Intergovernmental Panel
on Climate Change
990
00:46:40,360 --> 00:46:42,039
have recently predicted
991
00:46:42,040 --> 00:46:44,959
that average global
temperatures could increase
992
00:46:44,960 --> 00:46:49,759
by somewhere between
1.4 and 5.8 degrees Celsius
993
00:46:49,760 --> 00:46:51,799
by the end of this century.
994
00:46:51,800 --> 00:46:54,639
Changes as a result
of the Earth heating up
995
00:46:54,640 --> 00:46:57,679
would include the melting
of the polar ice caps,
996
00:46:57,680 --> 00:47:01,599
leading to a rise in sea levels
and widespread flooding.
997
00:47:01,600 --> 00:47:03,679
Low-lying islands
in the Pacific
998
00:47:03,680 --> 00:47:05,519
could vanish entirely,
999
00:47:05,520 --> 00:47:09,359
with many coastal cities
disappearing beneath seawater.
1000
00:47:09,360 --> 00:47:12,439
There would be mass extinction
of animals
1001
00:47:12,440 --> 00:47:14,159
as their habitats are lost,
1002
00:47:14,160 --> 00:47:17,119
as well as an increase
in the occurrence and severity
1003
00:47:17,120 --> 00:47:20,279
of storms and other
extreme weather events,
1004
00:47:20,280 --> 00:47:23,119
like heat waves
and an increase in droughts,
1005
00:47:23,120 --> 00:47:26,999
leading to loss of agricultural
land and famine.
1006
00:47:27,000 --> 00:47:30,439
The results would be
catastrophic.
1007
00:47:30,440 --> 00:47:34,319
It would seem likely that more
record-breaking heat waves
1008
00:47:34,320 --> 00:47:36,159
await us in the future.
1009
00:47:36,160 --> 00:47:37,719
And should they persist,
1010
00:47:37,720 --> 00:47:41,119
these terrifying
and largely inescapable
1011
00:47:41,120 --> 00:47:43,279
increases in air temperature
1012
00:47:43,280 --> 00:47:46,519
will result
in devastating losses of life.
1013
00:47:46,520 --> 00:47:50,079
But whatever happens,
one thing is certain.
1014
00:47:50,080 --> 00:47:53,639
The heat wave is truly
one of Mother Nature’s
1015
00:47:53,640 --> 00:47:56,920
stealthiest and most
deadly disasters.
87563
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