All language subtitles for Strange Days s03e09 Probability.eng

(upbeat music)

- Scientific prediction has
nothing to do with horoscopes

or crystal balls.

(professor clears throat)

Scientific prediction has
everything to do with this.

(chat screeching)

- A picture of a hill?

- No, Stewart, this is a bell curve

or should I say the bell curve?

And it was a mathematical
epiphany in its day.

In the mid 19th century,
scientists noticed

that when they measured large
samples of various things

the results tended to
cluster around an average.

And when plotted on a graph
took the shape of a bell.

For example, you're probably wondering

why I've had you change seats today.

Now would everyone please stand up?

(upbeat music)

Class height is an example

of something we can
measure using a bell curve.

- Oh, great.

- Now, although many of
you are still growing,

most of you fit

into what is called a normal
distribution, height-wise.

But at the far edges of the bell curve,

we have we abnormally tall

and a typically short.

No offense to either of you.

- Oh, none taken.

- Imagine how exciting it must have been

for those early scientists to realize

that one simple shape can be
used to describe almost any set

of data from population growth

to the average length of a
lima bean, even CD sales,

which you should be
working on after class.

(bell rings)

(upbeat music)

- How are things going at the
Children's Literacy Center?

- It's really kind of
fun helping kids read.

And if you ever need a
close book recitation

of the "Velveteen Rabbit," I'm your girl.

How's project keep Holsey Green?

- Awesome, I've managed to
preserve an endangered species

of swamp gloves worm.

- That's great, I think.

- Yeah, bet Durst is thrilled.

(upbeat music)

- Somehow I don't think
Durst will be as thrilled

by you creating a Magnet 360 promo package

instead of fulfilling

your community service
requirement, Marshall.

- Please don't get started on Durst.

I can't believe she's
making me write an essay

for the stupid Holsey
Howler School bulletin.

Nobody even reads it.

- I do.

- And you're the only one.

- Marshall, We all have to fulfill

our mandatory community service.

You just keep on putting yours off.

- Hey, I'm as much for community
service as the next guy

but I should be able to spend my free time

doing whatever I want.

(upbeat music)

Hey, Lucas, east your eyes on this baby.

- Great, did you finish the essay?

- I haven't started.

- Didn't Durst ask you for 1500 words

on the Blake Holsey of tomorrow?

- I need something easy.

Horoscopes are easy.

- I think she meant like
ways to improve the future

of our school.

- Yeah, well, she's gonna
get some predictions

for the future of some of
Blake Holsey's finest students

because that's all I have time for.

Okay, let's see.

Tomorrow, it is likely that a math whiz

will have an off day.

A skater girl will take
an unexpected trip.

A football star will save the day.

Conspiracy free gains unexpected rewards

from a surprising source.

A wise leader who meet an old friend.

And for the grand finale,
the Holsey Howler predicts

a member of the science club will diet.

(air whooshing)

save, send, and bed.

(somber music)

(electric sizzling)

(somber music)

- Okay, so my mom drops
me at this boarding school

and I'm thinking it's like all
the other places I've gone.

(rock music)

Students,

(rock music)

teachers, principal, like
normal schools, but it's not.

Weird stuff happens here.

Really weird stuff.

And what's this guy doing here?

Is his floating sphere
the key to the mystery?

Something's going on
and someone's behind it

and we are gonna get to the bottom of it.

(rock music)

- There's nothing wrong
at Blake Holsey High.

(rock music)

(upbeat music)

- Okay, so I'll have it to you today.

(laughs) Absolutely.

Oh, you will.

Listen, Magnet 360 is the
only band you need to hear.

Don't worry about booking
time with anybody else.

We rock.

All right, all right, thanks a lot.

I'll let...

(upbeat music)

I'll call you tonight.

(upbeat music)

What happened to you?

- My alarm clock didn't go
off and I guess I slept in.

I had no time to get ready

and I went to the wrong class twice.

I'm having the worst day.

- Guys, you'll never guess what,

my mom just called,

and we're going on a trip
to Europe for the summer.

- You and your mom will
finally get to spend time

with each other.

That's great, Josie.

- What happened to you?

- It is a long story.

- Dad, sorry, can you say that again?

- Guess what I just caught?

- No way.

- That's right.

The tag bass in the annual tournament.

And I couldn't have done it

without that great new fly you designed.

- That's great, dad, thanks a lot.

Okay, bye.

My dad just won $5,000

in a fishing tournament
and he's giving me half.

? I'm rich ?

? I'm rich ?

And it's all thanks to
your column in the Howler.

Even though Durst is gonna
kill you when she sees it.

- What are you talking about?

- Here, it says right
here a conspiracy freak

gains unexpected rewards
from a surprising source.

That's gotta be me.

- You don't really believe

Marshall predicted this, do you?

- Normally, no, but look
what it says about you.

- A skater girl will
take an unexpected trip.

What does yours say?

- So, you give everybody
out something good

and you give me the crappies
day of my life, thanks a lot.

- What are you talking about?

- It's right there in your stupid column.

- (chuckles) You can't be serious.

I made all this stuff up.

- [Durst] Marshall Wheeler,

come to the principal's
office immediately.

- Oh, man, now what?

We got CDs to get out.

(air whooshing)

- Not only did you
flagrantly flap the rules

regarding community service

by writing a frivolous prediction column

but you've also written terrible things

about your own friends.

I'm not even sure which punishment

fits this crime.
(phone rings)

Hello?

Marvin, Lip Shirts.

How long has it been?

(Durst laughs)

I'd love to get together with...

Oh. (laughs)

(Marshall clears throat)

(clears throat) Can you
hold on a moment, please?

We'll continue this later, Mr. Wheeler

when I've decided just what
I'm going to do with you.

- Principal Durst, is that by any chance

an old friend of yours on the phone?

- I'm not sure that it's any
of your business, Mr. Wheeler,

but yes it is, why?

- No reason.

(ethereal music)

(door bangs)

- So, Marvin.

(ethereal music)

- Now what?

- This isn't funny, Marshall.

- Why did you write
that one of us will die?

- What?

- It says right there.

You wrote, a member of
the science club will die.

- Okay, look, I'll admit I may
have been a little careless

about the stupid assignment,

and I'm sorry that I gave you an off day,

but I wrote that a member of
the science club will diet.

I did not write about anybody dying.

- Did it ever occur to
you to check your work?

- No, mom, it didn't.

It's just a dumb typo.

- Come on, Stu.

(ethereal music)

(air whooshing)

Josie, look out.

(air whooshing)

(metal clicks)
(Josie gasps)

(footstep approaching)

Whoa, Stu, a regular
wrecking machine today.

Stu only took my head
off with the shot put

a couple minutes ago, you guys okay?

- Barely.

- Anyone's seen my javelin.

- What?

- It's a long metal thing with the--

- Yeah, I know what it is.

You just about killed us with it.

- Oh, (panting) sorry.

- Try working on your aim.

Will you, Stu?

- That was no typo, Marshall

- An inch either way.

And Lucas and I would've been shish kebab.

- If it hadn't been for Vaughn's warning,

which you predicted.

A football star will save the day.

Vaughn's our starting quarterback.

- Look, it's not my fault

if the predictions are coming true.

- I think we better go talk to Z.

- Frankly, while
horoscopes have a funny way

of sometimes seeming to come true.

In this instance, I think you're jumping

to some pretty untenable conclusions.

- Then how would you explain it?

- Very easily.

Even a girl as well organized

as Corrine has to have
an off day sometime.

And Josie, your mother's
been wanting to spend time

with you for a long time now.

So planning a trip on your summer vacation

actually seems more
probable than improbable.

And an old friend calling principal Durst

isn't actually cause for alarm.

- And what about my dad catching the fish?

- Well, if all the fishermen
were equally skilled

and equipped, your father
had one in X chances

of catching the tagged fish.

How many fishermen took
part in the competition?

- About 500.

- Okay, so your father had
about one in 500 chances

of winning the prize.

Not exactly great odds,
but not impossible,

especially given the advantage

of having one of your patented lures.

- But what about the javelin

that nearly skewer Josie and Lucas?

- Okay, okay, I can see how
that would've shaken you up.

But while it is certainly
at the outer edge

of the bell curve that a
track and field champion

like Stewart Kubiak would
miss his target area

by such a wide margin,

it's much more likely a freak accident

than proof that Marshall is psychic.

Further, the chances of
anything like that near miss

happening to Josie and
Lucas again are minuscule

and certainly not proof

that any of you are marked for death.

And I'm sorry, without
further proof to the contrary

the facts simply do not
support your hypothesis.

- Well, that's a relief.

- So I just suggest you all
take a deep breath, relax

and try to carry on about your
day as you normally would,

and remember to think like scientists.

- I guess we did overreact a bit.

Sorry, Marshall.

(air whooshing)

- Man.

(paper rustling)

This wasn't inverted last night.

(somber music)

Oh, no.

See Sabra at the outer edge of
the bell curve, which means--

(somber music)

(footsteps thudding)

Corrine, the bell curve is...

(Corrine gasps)

- [Josie] Look out Corrine!
(Corrine screams)

(somber music)

- Corrine!
(Corrine screams)

(somber music)

(footsteps approaching)

(somber music)

- Are you okay?

- I guess.

- Another freak accident.

(somber music)

- I think you all should see this.

- It's a bell curve, so?

- Look again, Lucas, it's a
completely inverted bell curve.

This is the one Z distributed
yesterday in class.

It was normal last night

before I started writing my predictions.

- That inverted curve means
the least likely events

that have the greatest
likelihood of happening.

- We should warn Vaughn.

- Wait, he said Stu
almost took his head off

with his shot put remember?

- Just like that javelin
nearly got you guys

and I nearly fell.

- So since Marshall's predictions
have started coming true

we've all had some kind
of near death experience.

- Except Marshall.

- What?

So you're saying I'm next.

- You mean, because
you, Vaughn, Lucas and I

have all had some kind
of near death experience,

the odds of any of us having another one

are virtually inconceivable.

- Well, we've beaten the odds

of this inverted bell curve
universe we seem to be in.

Only Marshall hasn't.

- What if I don't make it?

(somber music)

- I've run up and down
those stairs 1,000 times

and never tripped once.

Kubiak is a six time gold medal winner,

but somehow he lost
control of that javelin.

And you still don't think

there's even a slightly higher probability

that Marshall could be in danger?

- Especially if you
add in one big variable

called the Black Hole.

- Yes, I'd have to say that's possible.

- What?

Even you believe it?

- I'm afraid the pendulum

of observable evidence has now swung

in support of that hypothesis.

- This cannot be happening.

I wrote a few stupid predictions
and now I have to die.

- No, of course not.

There are always variables
that can change the outcome

of an event like having your
friends to look out for you.

However, need I point out to you

that it was your careless
handling of Durst's assignment

that seems to be the trigger

that set these events in motion.

- I was just looking for an easy solution.

Now I give anything to have another chance

to do that assignment.

- I guess there's no such
thing as an easy solution.

- Yeah, I know.

- In the meantime, we should
all get to science class.

Marshall should be safe
there until we can figure out

how to turn the odds in his favor.

(air whooshing)

- If I could just get through this day

I will never put the band
ahead of schoolwork, I promise.

- We're holding you to it.

- Now let's get you to the science room

where it's at least safer.

- Mr. Wheeler, I think it's time

you and I finished our little chat.

(somber music)

Off we go now.

(upbeat music)

While some of your predictions

may have been surprisingly
even pleasantly accurate,

(chuckles) that still does
not excuse your behavior.

I mean writing that a member
of the science club will die,

is that a joke?

- No, of course not.

It was just a mistake.

- You say mistake, I say carelessness.

And what do you think
the punishment should be

for that kind of carelessness?

(air blowing)

- So let's be a little more careful

with the discus, all right, Stu?

(indistinct chattering)

(whistle blows)

(air whooshing)

(glass breaks)

(electric sizzling)
- Marshall, look out.

(fan thuds)

- Oh, Mr. Wheeler, you, I
was, we were nearly killed.

(Marshall laughs)

Are you alright?

- The emphasis is on
nearly Principal Durst.

I'm safe, I'm safe,

I'm safe, I'm safe, I'm safe.
(door bangs)

- (clears throat) Can I
please have my discus back,

Principal Durst.

(somber music)

Guess what?

Durst and I were nearly killed.

- That's fantastic.

- Sweet.
- Awesome.

- Is Durst all right?

- Oh, yeah, otherwise, no scratch.

- That's great, Marshall.

Congratulations on beating the odds.

(somber music)

(ethereal music)

- You guys should have seen it.

Kawoosh, the discus
took out the fan motor.

(somber music)

- Look.

- Marshall, isn't Z--

- Z a member of the science club?

Technically, yes.

- [All] Z's a member of the science club.

- Professor Z, get out of the way.

- Oh, I will have a good
ride, thank you, Marshall.

- He can't hear us.

- Professor Z, look out.
- [Josie] Professor Z,

get out of the way.

- Get out of there now.
- [Corrine] Professor Z,

look out, move!
- [Lucas] Move!

(both grunt)
(statue thuds)

- Marshall, promise me you will never

ever read another prediction
as long as you live.

- Done.

- Good.

(somber music)

Thank you for saving my life.

Now, get off me.

(both grunts)

(somber music)

- [Josie] Having a better
day today, Corrine?

- [Corrine] Yes.

- Here's a prediction,

you'll spend the rest of the month

making it up to your friends
for nearly killing them.

(somber music)

- That's very funny, Lucas.

(somber music)

But I want you guys to know

that as important as the band is to me,

from now on, I'm putting
school assignments first.

- So what happens with
your community service?

- I still have to do it

but I volunteered to
tutor students in science

rather than wait around for
something to be forced on me.

- Mr. Wheeler, that trash
will not collect itself.

- Looks like Durst had
some of her own ideas

for your community service.

- Yep.

(Josie chuckles)

She sure did.

(paper rustling)

(air whooshing)

(ethereal music)

- Marshall Wheeler, dabbling
in predictions of the future.

Bad idea.

People shouldn't know too much
about where they're headed.

(paper rustling)

(rock music)

? Oh, oh, oh ?

? Oh, yeah. ?

? Oh, oh, oh ?

? Oh, yeah. ?

? Oh, oh, oh ?

? Oh, yeah. ?

Repair and Synchronization by
Easy Subtitles Synchronizer 1.0.0.0