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These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:00,560 --> 00:00:02,910 - Well I think this is maybe the most important thing 2 00:00:02,910 --> 00:00:06,670 to know about living right now in the 21st century, 3 00:00:06,670 --> 00:00:08,860 that we are now hackable animals. 4 00:00:08,860 --> 00:00:12,590 That we have the technology to decipher what you think, 5 00:00:12,590 --> 00:00:15,360 what you want, to predict human choices, 6 00:00:15,360 --> 00:00:17,180 to manipulate human desires 7 00:00:17,180 --> 00:00:19,937 in ways which were never possible before. 8 00:00:19,937 --> 00:00:22,747 (audience applauds) 9 00:00:22,747 --> 00:00:24,710 - Hey everybody, welcome to Impact Theory. 10 00:00:24,710 --> 00:00:26,630 Our goal with this show and company 11 00:00:26,630 --> 00:00:28,900 is to introduce you to the people and ideas 12 00:00:28,900 --> 00:00:32,300 that will help you actually execute on your dreams. 13 00:00:32,300 --> 00:00:33,450 All right today's guest 14 00:00:33,450 --> 00:00:36,750 is one of the most profound thinkers of our time. 15 00:00:36,750 --> 00:00:38,900 A two-time winner of the Polonsky Prize 16 00:00:38,900 --> 00:00:40,910 for Creativity and Originality, 17 00:00:40,910 --> 00:00:44,060 his books have sold over 12 million copies 18 00:00:44,060 --> 00:00:47,090 and been translated into more than 45 languages. 19 00:00:47,090 --> 00:00:50,420 Sapiens, his seminal book on the history of mankind, 20 00:00:50,420 --> 00:00:53,820 spent six months on the Sunday Times bestseller list 21 00:00:53,820 --> 00:00:55,300 and also made him a number one 22 00:00:55,300 --> 00:00:57,200 New York Times bestselling author. 23 00:00:57,200 --> 00:01:00,000 His work has been recommended by countless luminaries, 24 00:01:00,000 --> 00:01:02,140 including Bill Gates, Richard Branson, 25 00:01:02,140 --> 00:01:04,290 Mark Zuckerberg, and Barack Obama. 26 00:01:04,290 --> 00:01:05,880 He's won a litany of awards, 27 00:01:05,880 --> 00:01:09,550 including the Society for Military History's Moncado Award 28 00:01:09,550 --> 00:01:12,120 for outstanding articles on military history, 29 00:01:12,120 --> 00:01:16,220 and the 2017 Handelsblatt's German Economic Book Award 30 00:01:16,220 --> 00:01:17,580 for the most thoughtful 31 00:01:17,580 --> 00:01:20,210 and influential economic book of the year. 32 00:01:20,210 --> 00:01:22,630 Additionally, he's one of the most sought-after 33 00:01:22,630 --> 00:01:24,660 and influential speakers in the world. 34 00:01:24,660 --> 00:01:26,150 He's given multiple TED talks 35 00:01:26,150 --> 00:01:28,680 on hot-button issues relating to the human race, 36 00:01:28,680 --> 00:01:30,980 and in 2018 he was invited to give 37 00:01:30,980 --> 00:01:34,500 the mainstage keynote speech on the future of humanity 38 00:01:34,500 --> 00:01:37,630 at the World Economic Forum Annual Meeting in Davos. 39 00:01:37,630 --> 00:01:39,460 He has a PhD from Oxford, 40 00:01:39,460 --> 00:01:40,950 is a tenured history professor 41 00:01:40,950 --> 00:01:42,790 at the Hebrew University of Jerusalem, 42 00:01:42,790 --> 00:01:44,660 and in addition to his many books, 43 00:01:44,660 --> 00:01:47,270 he's also written for such prestigious global outlets 44 00:01:47,270 --> 00:01:49,250 as the Financial Times, the New York Times, 45 00:01:49,250 --> 00:01:51,260 The Wall Street Journal, and The Guardian. 46 00:01:51,260 --> 00:01:54,110 So please help me in welcoming the man who does 47 00:01:54,110 --> 00:01:58,510 a yearly 60-day silent Vipassana meditation retreat, 48 00:01:58,510 --> 00:02:02,420 the bestselling author of 21 Lessons for the 21st Century, 49 00:02:02,420 --> 00:02:04,620 Yuval Noah Harari. 50 00:02:04,620 --> 00:02:07,825 (audience applauds) 51 00:02:07,825 --> 00:02:09,154 Welcome, man. 52 00:02:09,154 --> 00:02:10,600 Good to have you on the show. 53 00:02:10,600 --> 00:02:12,400 - Thank you, it's good to be here. 54 00:02:12,400 --> 00:02:13,590 - Dude, very excited. 55 00:02:13,590 --> 00:02:16,490 So I've been obsessively reading your books 56 00:02:16,490 --> 00:02:20,550 since Sapiens came out, and just really, really blown away. 57 00:02:20,550 --> 00:02:21,500 And behind the scenes, 58 00:02:21,500 --> 00:02:23,230 there's a guy here named Chase somewhere, 59 00:02:23,230 --> 00:02:24,760 who you will have to meet today, 60 00:02:24,760 --> 00:02:27,110 who has just been an absolute champion 61 00:02:27,110 --> 00:02:30,110 for your books internally because of the way 62 00:02:30,110 --> 00:02:33,190 that you really frame the historical 63 00:02:33,190 --> 00:02:35,020 and where we're going in a way 64 00:02:35,020 --> 00:02:38,040 that becomes very accessible for today and who we are, 65 00:02:38,040 --> 00:02:41,730 and that I think is the cool nexus of 21 Lessons, 66 00:02:41,730 --> 00:02:43,280 is that you're really attacking 67 00:02:43,280 --> 00:02:44,750 how does this all make sense? 68 00:02:44,750 --> 00:02:46,810 How has the past informed where we are, 69 00:02:46,810 --> 00:02:49,150 and how does where we are today inform 70 00:02:49,150 --> 00:02:50,760 where we're actually gonna go? 71 00:02:50,760 --> 00:02:54,260 And as a company that's making fiction content 72 00:02:54,260 --> 00:02:55,960 and dealing in sci-fi and things like that, 73 00:02:55,960 --> 00:02:57,960 these ideas are really, really important to us 74 00:02:57,960 --> 00:03:00,720 for creating guides on how to be, essentially. 75 00:03:00,720 --> 00:03:04,750 And the idea that I wanted to start with is your notion of 76 00:03:04,750 --> 00:03:06,980 some of the things that are happening technologically 77 00:03:06,980 --> 00:03:10,720 become a little bit dangerous because you can hack a human, 78 00:03:10,720 --> 00:03:13,750 and if you could explain what you mean by hacking a human, 79 00:03:13,750 --> 00:03:17,090 and then how do we end up hacking ourselves 80 00:03:17,090 --> 00:03:18,293 in a positive way? 81 00:03:19,820 --> 00:03:22,180 - Well I think this is maybe the most important thing 82 00:03:22,180 --> 00:03:25,920 to know about living right now in the 21st century, 83 00:03:25,920 --> 00:03:28,170 that we are now hackable animals. 84 00:03:28,170 --> 00:03:32,790 We have the technology to decipher how humans, 85 00:03:32,790 --> 00:03:35,230 what you think, what you want, 86 00:03:35,230 --> 00:03:38,480 to predict human choices, to manipulate human desires, 87 00:03:38,480 --> 00:03:41,360 in ways which were never possible before. 88 00:03:41,360 --> 00:03:45,260 Basically to hack a human being you need two things: 89 00:03:45,260 --> 00:03:49,420 You need a lot of data, especially biometric data. 90 00:03:49,420 --> 00:03:52,430 Not just about where you go and what you buy, 91 00:03:52,430 --> 00:03:54,520 but what is happening inside your body 92 00:03:54,520 --> 00:03:56,060 and inside your brain. 93 00:03:56,060 --> 00:03:59,110 And secondly, you need a lot of computing power 94 00:03:59,110 --> 00:04:02,310 to make sense of all that data. 95 00:04:02,310 --> 00:04:06,310 Now, previously in history, this was never possible. 96 00:04:06,310 --> 00:04:09,100 Nobody had enough data 97 00:04:09,100 --> 00:04:12,730 and enough computing power to hack human beings. 98 00:04:12,730 --> 00:04:15,900 Even if the KGB or the Gestapo 99 00:04:15,900 --> 00:04:18,540 followed you around 24 hours a day, 100 00:04:18,540 --> 00:04:21,420 eavesdropping on every conversation you had, 101 00:04:21,420 --> 00:04:23,530 watching everybody you meet, 102 00:04:23,530 --> 00:04:27,560 still they did not have the biological knowledge 103 00:04:27,560 --> 00:04:30,400 to really understand what's happening inside you, 104 00:04:30,400 --> 00:04:35,160 and they certainly didn't have the computing power necessary 105 00:04:35,160 --> 00:04:39,520 to make sense even of the data they were able to collect. 106 00:04:39,520 --> 00:04:43,140 So the KGB could not really understand you, 107 00:04:43,140 --> 00:04:46,500 could not really predict all your choices 108 00:04:46,500 --> 00:04:50,150 or manipulate all your desires and so forth. 109 00:04:50,150 --> 00:04:51,770 But now it's changing. 110 00:04:51,770 --> 00:04:56,770 What the KGB couldn't do, corporations and governments today 111 00:04:57,130 --> 00:04:59,540 are beginning to be able to do, 112 00:04:59,540 --> 00:05:01,780 and this is because of the merger 113 00:05:01,780 --> 00:05:04,630 of the revolution in biotech. 114 00:05:04,630 --> 00:05:08,040 We are getting better in understanding 115 00:05:08,040 --> 00:05:11,280 what's happening inside us, in the body, in the brain. 116 00:05:11,280 --> 00:05:14,330 And at the same time, the revolution in infotech 117 00:05:14,330 --> 00:05:17,300 which gives us the computing power necessary. 118 00:05:17,300 --> 00:05:19,350 When you put the two together, 119 00:05:19,350 --> 00:05:21,760 when infotech merges with biotech, 120 00:05:21,760 --> 00:05:26,760 what you get is the ability to create algorithms 121 00:05:26,800 --> 00:05:31,070 that understand me better than I understand myself. 122 00:05:31,070 --> 00:05:34,650 And then these algorithms cannot just predict my choices, 123 00:05:34,650 --> 00:05:36,850 but also manipulate my desires, 124 00:05:36,850 --> 00:05:38,300 and basically sell me anything, 125 00:05:38,300 --> 00:05:40,553 whether it's a product or a politician. 126 00:05:41,793 --> 00:05:43,230 - So that's what you're calling hacking, 127 00:05:43,230 --> 00:05:46,060 that you're hitting me with the right emotional message 128 00:05:46,060 --> 00:05:49,380 at exactly the right time based on my biometric data? 129 00:05:49,380 --> 00:05:51,860 - Mm-hmm, yeah, this is one of the things you can do. 130 00:05:51,860 --> 00:05:54,580 Then you can predict, you can manipulate, 131 00:05:54,580 --> 00:05:59,270 you can eventually also re-engineer or replace. 132 00:05:59,270 --> 00:06:01,140 If you really hack a system, 133 00:06:01,140 --> 00:06:03,710 you really understand how it functions, 134 00:06:03,710 --> 00:06:06,390 then usually you can also re-engineer it, 135 00:06:06,390 --> 00:06:08,790 or you can completely replace it. 136 00:06:08,790 --> 00:06:10,940 And again, one of the dangers 137 00:06:10,940 --> 00:06:13,270 that we are facing today in the 21st century 138 00:06:13,270 --> 00:06:18,270 is that computers and AI would be able to replace humans 139 00:06:18,640 --> 00:06:22,450 in more and more tasks, and maybe push millions of humans 140 00:06:22,450 --> 00:06:24,470 out of the job market as a result. 141 00:06:24,470 --> 00:06:27,660 - All right, so I fully understand the dangers, 142 00:06:27,660 --> 00:06:29,000 and we will talk about some of 143 00:06:29,000 --> 00:06:30,170 what we were talking about off-camera, 144 00:06:30,170 --> 00:06:32,330 which is we've got this whole story called Neon Future 145 00:06:32,330 --> 00:06:34,320 where we're exploring that notion of 146 00:06:34,320 --> 00:06:36,970 what happens to what you've called the useless class 147 00:06:36,970 --> 00:06:38,800 when they're pushed out of the job market, 148 00:06:38,800 --> 00:06:40,140 and what does that do economically? 149 00:06:40,140 --> 00:06:42,980 But just staying with the notion 150 00:06:42,980 --> 00:06:44,600 of the hackability for a second. 151 00:06:44,600 --> 00:06:47,270 So it's funny, as you were describing it, 152 00:06:47,270 --> 00:06:49,330 and I know you bring this sense of like, 153 00:06:49,330 --> 00:06:51,620 there's some like real significant problems 154 00:06:51,620 --> 00:06:53,040 we need to take a very serious look at, 155 00:06:53,040 --> 00:06:55,210 and I get almost giddy with excitement 156 00:06:55,210 --> 00:06:59,660 because I have potentially delusional levels of optimism, 157 00:06:59,660 --> 00:07:00,547 I'm very open to that. 158 00:07:00,547 --> 00:07:01,710 - No, I agree, I mean, 159 00:07:01,710 --> 00:07:04,660 the thing about this ability to hack humans 160 00:07:04,660 --> 00:07:06,230 is that it has also 161 00:07:06,230 --> 00:07:09,660 potentially tremendous positive consequences, 162 00:07:09,660 --> 00:07:11,620 and this is why it's so tempting. 163 00:07:11,620 --> 00:07:13,710 If it was only bad, 164 00:07:13,710 --> 00:07:16,420 then it would have been like an easy deal to say, 165 00:07:16,420 --> 00:07:17,990 okay, we don't want that, 166 00:07:17,990 --> 00:07:21,700 and let's stop researching or going in that direction. 167 00:07:21,700 --> 00:07:25,060 But it is extremely tempting because it can provide us, 168 00:07:25,060 --> 00:07:28,610 for example, with the best healthcare in history, 169 00:07:28,610 --> 00:07:32,780 something which goes far beyond anything we've seen so far. 170 00:07:32,780 --> 00:07:35,370 This can mean that maybe in 30 years, 171 00:07:35,370 --> 00:07:38,480 the poorest person on the planet 172 00:07:38,480 --> 00:07:43,330 can get better healthcare from her or his smartphone 173 00:07:43,330 --> 00:07:46,050 than the richest person today gets 174 00:07:46,050 --> 00:07:49,120 from the best hospitals and the best doctors. 175 00:07:49,120 --> 00:07:51,750 The kind of things you can just know 176 00:07:51,750 --> 00:07:53,540 about what's happening in your body 177 00:07:54,720 --> 00:07:57,103 is nothing like we've seen so far. 178 00:07:58,260 --> 00:07:59,570 - That's really extraordinary, 179 00:07:59,570 --> 00:08:02,570 and if you had to take the positive look 180 00:08:02,570 --> 00:08:04,020 and say, okay, we have this ability, 181 00:08:04,020 --> 00:08:05,050 let's just say it's already there, 182 00:08:05,050 --> 00:08:08,210 we've got all this biometric data, it's kicking off. 183 00:08:08,210 --> 00:08:11,380 How would you encourage people 184 00:08:11,380 --> 00:08:14,150 to leverage that to empower themselves? 185 00:08:14,150 --> 00:08:15,330 And I'll use an example 186 00:08:15,330 --> 00:08:18,250 that I found profoundly interesting from your book. 187 00:08:18,250 --> 00:08:20,780 So you said that growing up, 188 00:08:20,780 --> 00:08:23,360 that it was unclear to you that you were gay, 189 00:08:23,360 --> 00:08:26,190 but that now Stanford has developed an algorithm 190 00:08:26,190 --> 00:08:28,280 that essentially can look at three or four photos 191 00:08:28,280 --> 00:08:31,920 of somebody's face and predict with 91% accuracy 192 00:08:31,920 --> 00:08:33,060 whether or not they're gay, 193 00:08:33,060 --> 00:08:36,720 which seems impossible, but if that's true, 194 00:08:36,720 --> 00:08:39,270 the level of data that we could give ourselves 195 00:08:39,270 --> 00:08:43,490 about our like deepest, most hardwired desires, 196 00:08:43,490 --> 00:08:47,300 there would be a level of clarity there that seems useful. 197 00:08:47,300 --> 00:08:49,070 How would you encourage people to use that? 198 00:08:49,070 --> 00:08:50,240 - Well that's a very good example. 199 00:08:50,240 --> 00:08:51,810 I mean, the Stanford algorithm, 200 00:08:51,810 --> 00:08:54,350 actually there is a lot of problems with that research, 201 00:08:54,350 --> 00:08:56,060 and let's put it aside. 202 00:08:56,060 --> 00:08:59,550 But first key message from that is 203 00:08:59,550 --> 00:09:03,160 how little people actually know about themselves. 204 00:09:03,160 --> 00:09:07,120 And one of the most important things in my life, 205 00:09:07,120 --> 00:09:09,840 and also in, I think, in my scientific career, 206 00:09:09,840 --> 00:09:14,840 was the realization of how little I know about myself 207 00:09:15,010 --> 00:09:16,710 and humans in general. 208 00:09:16,710 --> 00:09:20,840 There are so many important ideas and important facts 209 00:09:20,840 --> 00:09:22,520 we don't realize about ourself. 210 00:09:22,520 --> 00:09:26,300 I was 21 when I finally realized that I was gay, 211 00:09:26,300 --> 00:09:29,560 which is, when you think about it, it's absolutely amazing. 212 00:09:29,560 --> 00:09:33,230 I mean, it should have been obvious at age 16, 15, 213 00:09:33,230 --> 00:09:37,370 and an algorithm would have realized it very quickly, 214 00:09:37,370 --> 00:09:40,330 and you can build algorithms like that today 215 00:09:40,330 --> 00:09:41,940 or in a few years. 216 00:09:41,940 --> 00:09:45,220 You just need to follow your eye movements. 217 00:09:45,220 --> 00:09:50,030 Like you go on the beach or you look at the computer screen 218 00:09:50,030 --> 00:09:52,660 and you see an attractive guy and an attractive girl, 219 00:09:52,660 --> 00:09:55,650 and just follow the focus of the eyes. 220 00:09:55,650 --> 00:09:59,330 Where do the eyes go, and whom do they focus on? 221 00:09:59,330 --> 00:10:00,990 It should be very easy. 222 00:10:00,990 --> 00:10:04,160 And such an algorithm could have told 223 00:10:04,160 --> 00:10:07,070 when I was 15 that I was gay, 224 00:10:07,070 --> 00:10:11,070 and the implications are really mind-boggling 225 00:10:11,070 --> 00:10:14,750 when an algorithm knows such an important thing about you 226 00:10:14,750 --> 00:10:17,400 before you know it about yourself. 227 00:10:17,400 --> 00:10:19,640 Now it can go in all kinds of directions, 228 00:10:19,640 --> 00:10:23,900 it really depends on where you live and what you do with it. 229 00:10:23,900 --> 00:10:27,140 In some countries you can be in trouble now 230 00:10:27,140 --> 00:10:29,420 with the police and the government. 231 00:10:29,420 --> 00:10:34,060 You might be sent to some re-education facility. 232 00:10:34,060 --> 00:10:37,820 In some countries, like with surveillance capitalism, 233 00:10:37,820 --> 00:10:40,960 so maybe I don't know about myself that I'm gay, 234 00:10:40,960 --> 00:10:43,550 but Coca-Cola knows that I'm gay 235 00:10:43,550 --> 00:10:45,430 because they have these algorithms, 236 00:10:45,430 --> 00:10:48,530 and they want to know that because they need to know 237 00:10:48,530 --> 00:10:50,290 which commercials to show me. 238 00:10:50,290 --> 00:10:52,340 Let's say Coca-Cola knows that I'm gay, 239 00:10:52,340 --> 00:10:53,900 and I even know it about myself 240 00:10:53,900 --> 00:10:56,650 that they know it, and Pepsi doesn't. 241 00:10:56,650 --> 00:10:58,960 Coca-Cola will show me a commercial 242 00:10:58,960 --> 00:11:01,600 with a shirtless guy drinking Coca-Cola, 243 00:11:01,600 --> 00:11:03,250 but Pepsi will make the mistake 244 00:11:03,250 --> 00:11:05,370 of showing a girl in a bikini. 245 00:11:05,370 --> 00:11:08,640 And next day, without my realizing why, 246 00:11:08,640 --> 00:11:10,350 when I go to the supermarket, 247 00:11:10,350 --> 00:11:12,400 when I go to the restaurant, 248 00:11:12,400 --> 00:11:14,450 I will order Coca-Cola, not Pepsi. 249 00:11:14,450 --> 00:11:16,950 I don't know why, but they know, 250 00:11:16,950 --> 00:11:18,590 so they might not even share 251 00:11:18,590 --> 00:11:20,790 this kind of information with me. 252 00:11:20,790 --> 00:11:24,350 Now if the algorithm does share the information with me, 253 00:11:24,350 --> 00:11:26,990 again, a lot depends on context. 254 00:11:26,990 --> 00:11:30,340 One scenario is that you're 15 years old, 255 00:11:30,340 --> 00:11:33,660 you go to a birthday party of somebody from your class, 256 00:11:33,660 --> 00:11:35,650 and somebody just heard 257 00:11:35,650 --> 00:11:38,300 that there is this cool new algorithm 258 00:11:38,300 --> 00:11:41,000 which tells your sexual orientation. 259 00:11:41,000 --> 00:11:43,610 And everybody agrees it will be a lot of fun 260 00:11:43,610 --> 00:11:45,020 to just have this game 261 00:11:45,020 --> 00:11:48,210 that everybody takes a turn with the algorithm, 262 00:11:48,210 --> 00:11:51,520 and everybody else looking and seeing the result. 263 00:11:51,520 --> 00:11:53,910 Would you like to discover about yourself 264 00:11:53,910 --> 00:11:56,190 in such a scenario? 265 00:11:56,190 --> 00:12:01,000 This can be quite a shocking experience. 266 00:12:01,000 --> 00:12:03,743 But even if it's done in like complete privacy, 267 00:12:04,590 --> 00:12:08,700 it's a very deep philosophical question. 268 00:12:08,700 --> 00:12:12,290 What does it mean to discover something like that 269 00:12:12,290 --> 00:12:15,283 about yourself from an algorithm? 270 00:12:16,690 --> 00:12:19,623 What does it mean about human life, about human identity? 271 00:12:20,490 --> 00:12:25,490 We have very little experience with these kinds of things. 272 00:12:25,590 --> 00:12:29,970 From very ancient times, all the philosophers and saints 273 00:12:29,970 --> 00:12:32,893 and sages tell people to get to know yourself better. 274 00:12:32,893 --> 00:12:36,000 It's one of the, maybe the most important thing in life 275 00:12:36,000 --> 00:12:38,330 is to get to know yourself better. 276 00:12:38,330 --> 00:12:40,660 But for all of history, 277 00:12:40,660 --> 00:12:43,670 this was a process of self-exploration 278 00:12:43,670 --> 00:12:46,630 which you did through things like meditation, 279 00:12:46,630 --> 00:12:49,770 and maybe sports, and maybe art, and contemplation, 280 00:12:49,770 --> 00:12:51,220 and all these things. 281 00:12:51,220 --> 00:12:56,220 What does it mean when the process of self-exploration 282 00:12:56,270 --> 00:13:00,040 is being outsourced to a big data algorithm? 283 00:13:00,040 --> 00:13:04,610 And the philosophical implications are quite mind-boggling. 284 00:13:04,610 --> 00:13:07,750 - It's interesting, so let's talk about that. 285 00:13:07,750 --> 00:13:09,990 So the implication is you're outsourcing 286 00:13:09,990 --> 00:13:11,800 the self-discovery process. 287 00:13:11,800 --> 00:13:13,870 To me, that sound so profoundly useful 288 00:13:13,870 --> 00:13:16,090 because all day the people that write in to me, 289 00:13:16,090 --> 00:13:18,990 they're asking basically one essential question. 290 00:13:18,990 --> 00:13:20,410 How do I find the thing that I love? 291 00:13:20,410 --> 00:13:21,243 Because I tell people, 292 00:13:21,243 --> 00:13:23,760 you need to develop a passion in your life, 293 00:13:23,760 --> 00:13:26,010 I don't think you find it, I think you develop it, 294 00:13:26,010 --> 00:13:28,400 but they need to start from an area of real interest. 295 00:13:28,400 --> 00:13:29,900 It needs to be actually something 296 00:13:29,900 --> 00:13:32,240 that at a hardwiring level they're just, 297 00:13:32,240 --> 00:13:34,160 they get that response. 298 00:13:34,160 --> 00:13:37,620 So then their next question is like, how, right? 299 00:13:37,620 --> 00:13:39,830 How do I get into that, how do I discover the thing 300 00:13:39,830 --> 00:13:41,370 that triggers me like that, and if I discover it, 301 00:13:41,370 --> 00:13:42,920 then how do I develop it into a passion? 302 00:13:42,920 --> 00:13:44,690 If you had an algorithm, 303 00:13:44,690 --> 00:13:47,110 something that were able to 304 00:13:48,070 --> 00:13:51,080 use the more manipulative techniques 305 00:13:51,080 --> 00:13:51,920 that you were talking about 306 00:13:51,920 --> 00:13:53,570 that Coca-Cola's doing or whatever, 307 00:13:53,570 --> 00:13:55,430 but give it to you in a way 308 00:13:55,430 --> 00:13:57,890 that can move you in a desired direction? 309 00:13:57,890 --> 00:13:59,340 So I'll give you a specific example 310 00:13:59,340 --> 00:14:01,230 that you give in the book. 311 00:14:01,230 --> 00:14:04,940 So talking about how, let's say there was an algorithm 312 00:14:04,940 --> 00:14:06,930 that knew you'd just broken up with somebody, 313 00:14:06,930 --> 00:14:08,550 knew that you were in the grips of heartache, 314 00:14:08,550 --> 00:14:10,040 because they're reading your biometrics. 315 00:14:10,040 --> 00:14:11,650 - Yeah, they're watching your heart. 316 00:14:11,650 --> 00:14:14,770 - In fact, give it to us, that example that you put. 317 00:14:14,770 --> 00:14:16,470 So the biometrics, they're reading you, 318 00:14:16,470 --> 00:14:19,230 it's the song, it knows what songs to pick. 319 00:14:19,230 --> 00:14:22,450 - Yeah, I mean, something as simple as choosing music. 320 00:14:22,450 --> 00:14:26,740 So you were just dumped by your boyfriend or girlfriend, 321 00:14:26,740 --> 00:14:31,740 and the algorithm that controls the music that you listen to 322 00:14:32,090 --> 00:14:36,020 chooses the songs that are the best fit 323 00:14:36,020 --> 00:14:39,270 for your current mental state. 324 00:14:39,270 --> 00:14:40,840 And of course this brings up 325 00:14:40,840 --> 00:14:42,730 the question of what is the metric? 326 00:14:42,730 --> 00:14:45,770 What do you actually want from the music? 327 00:14:45,770 --> 00:14:47,940 Do you want the music to uplift you, 328 00:14:47,940 --> 00:14:51,070 or do you more want the music to kind of connect you 329 00:14:51,070 --> 00:14:55,010 to the deepest level of sadness and depression? 330 00:14:55,010 --> 00:14:59,050 And ultimately we can say that the algorithm can follow 331 00:14:59,050 --> 00:15:01,620 different kinds of instructions. 332 00:15:01,620 --> 00:15:06,420 If you know what kind of emotional state you want to be in, 333 00:15:06,420 --> 00:15:09,440 you can just tell the algorithm what you want, 334 00:15:09,440 --> 00:15:10,350 and it will do it. 335 00:15:10,350 --> 00:15:13,100 If you're not sure, you can tell the algorithm, 336 00:15:13,100 --> 00:15:15,770 follow the recommendation 337 00:15:15,770 --> 00:15:19,770 of the best psychologist today. 338 00:15:19,770 --> 00:15:23,170 So let's say you have the five stages of grief, 339 00:15:23,170 --> 00:15:26,010 so, okay, walk me with music 340 00:15:26,010 --> 00:15:29,420 through these five stages of grief. 341 00:15:29,420 --> 00:15:34,420 And the algorithm can do that better than any human DJ. 342 00:15:34,730 --> 00:15:38,500 And what we really need to understand in this regard 343 00:15:38,500 --> 00:15:43,500 is that what music and most of art plays on in the end 344 00:15:44,210 --> 00:15:46,280 is the human biochemical system, 345 00:15:46,280 --> 00:15:50,110 at least according to the dominant view of art 346 00:15:50,110 --> 00:15:51,640 in the modern Western world. 347 00:15:51,640 --> 00:15:53,800 We had different views in different cultures, 348 00:15:53,800 --> 00:15:55,810 but in the modern Western world, 349 00:15:55,810 --> 00:15:59,460 the idea of art is that art is, above all, 350 00:15:59,460 --> 00:16:03,010 about inspiring human emotions. 351 00:16:03,010 --> 00:16:05,320 It doesn't necessarily have to be joy. 352 00:16:05,320 --> 00:16:09,000 Great art can inspire also sadness, 353 00:16:09,000 --> 00:16:12,750 can inspire anger, can inspire fear, 354 00:16:12,750 --> 00:16:16,150 it can be a whole palette of emotional states, 355 00:16:16,150 --> 00:16:19,820 but art is about inspiring human emotions. 356 00:16:19,820 --> 00:16:23,510 So the instrument artists play on, 357 00:16:23,510 --> 00:16:28,320 and whether it's musicians or poets or movie makers, 358 00:16:28,320 --> 00:16:29,820 they're actually playing 359 00:16:29,820 --> 00:16:33,080 on the Homo sapiens biochemical system. 360 00:16:33,080 --> 00:16:36,030 And we might reach a point quite soon 361 00:16:36,030 --> 00:16:39,620 when an algorithm knows this instrument 362 00:16:39,620 --> 00:16:42,350 better than any human artist. 363 00:16:42,350 --> 00:16:45,540 A movie or a poem or a song 364 00:16:46,400 --> 00:16:49,000 that will not move you, 365 00:16:49,000 --> 00:16:51,930 that will not inspire you, might inspire me. 366 00:16:51,930 --> 00:16:54,730 And something that will inspire me in one situation 367 00:16:54,730 --> 00:16:57,700 might not inspire me in another situation. 368 00:16:57,700 --> 00:16:59,470 And as time goes on, 369 00:16:59,470 --> 00:17:03,070 and the algorithm gathers more and more data about me, 370 00:17:03,070 --> 00:17:05,770 it will become more and more accurate 371 00:17:05,770 --> 00:17:08,790 in reading my biochemical system 372 00:17:08,790 --> 00:17:12,240 and knowing how to play on it as if it was a piano. 373 00:17:12,240 --> 00:17:13,960 Like okay, you want joy? 374 00:17:13,960 --> 00:17:17,220 I press this button and out comes the perfect song, 375 00:17:17,220 --> 00:17:19,320 the only song in the world 376 00:17:19,320 --> 00:17:22,053 that can actually make me joyful right now. 377 00:17:23,010 --> 00:17:24,210 - That's so interesting to me. 378 00:17:24,210 --> 00:17:26,260 All right, so right now, real world, 379 00:17:26,260 --> 00:17:27,360 you can snap your fingers 380 00:17:27,360 --> 00:17:28,800 and you can have one algorithm 381 00:17:28,800 --> 00:17:32,250 that's tied to one biochemical process. 382 00:17:32,250 --> 00:17:33,640 In your life for real, 383 00:17:33,640 --> 00:17:36,690 what would you want to monitor and get that feedback on? 384 00:17:36,690 --> 00:17:38,770 - Now that's easy, I mean, healthcare. 385 00:17:38,770 --> 00:17:42,200 If there is like something seriously wrong in my body 386 00:17:42,200 --> 00:17:43,460 that I don't know about, 387 00:17:43,460 --> 00:17:45,430 like, I don't know, cancer or something, 388 00:17:45,430 --> 00:17:48,230 I would like the algorithm to find that out. 389 00:17:48,230 --> 00:17:50,540 I don't want to wait until, 390 00:17:50,540 --> 00:17:54,030 I mean, the usual process is that 391 00:17:54,030 --> 00:17:57,420 it has to go through your own mind. 392 00:17:57,420 --> 00:17:59,010 You can't outsource it. 393 00:17:59,010 --> 00:18:02,680 I mean, today, when you need to diagnose cancer, 394 00:18:02,680 --> 00:18:05,140 there are exceptions, but in most cases, 395 00:18:05,140 --> 00:18:08,400 there is a crucial moment when you feel, 396 00:18:08,400 --> 00:18:10,780 something is wrong in my body. 397 00:18:10,780 --> 00:18:13,070 And you go to this doctor and that doctor 398 00:18:13,070 --> 00:18:15,010 and you do this test and that test, 399 00:18:15,010 --> 00:18:16,160 until they finally realize, 400 00:18:16,160 --> 00:18:19,000 okay, we just discovered you have cancer 401 00:18:19,000 --> 00:18:20,643 in your liver or whatever. 402 00:18:21,670 --> 00:18:25,980 But because it relies on your own feelings, 403 00:18:25,980 --> 00:18:28,240 in this case feelings of pain, 404 00:18:28,240 --> 00:18:32,660 very often it's quite late in the process. 405 00:18:32,660 --> 00:18:35,770 By the time you start feeling pain, 406 00:18:35,770 --> 00:18:38,320 usually the cancer has spread, 407 00:18:38,320 --> 00:18:41,960 and maybe it's not too late, but it's going to be expensive 408 00:18:41,960 --> 00:18:45,690 and painful and problematic to treat it. 409 00:18:45,690 --> 00:18:48,420 But if we can outsource this, 410 00:18:48,420 --> 00:18:51,810 don't go through the mind, through my feelings, 411 00:18:51,810 --> 00:18:56,030 I want an algorithm that with biometric sensors 412 00:18:56,030 --> 00:18:59,200 is monitoring my health 24 hours a day 413 00:18:59,200 --> 00:19:02,090 without my being aware of it. 414 00:19:02,090 --> 00:19:06,050 It can potentially discover this liver cancer 415 00:19:06,050 --> 00:19:09,280 when it is just a tiny, just a few cells 416 00:19:09,280 --> 00:19:13,160 are beginning to split and to spread. 417 00:19:13,160 --> 00:19:17,310 And it's so easy and cheap and painless 418 00:19:17,310 --> 00:19:20,770 to take care of it now instead of two years later 419 00:19:20,770 --> 00:19:23,490 when it's already spread and it's a big problem. 420 00:19:23,490 --> 00:19:24,550 So this is something 421 00:19:24,550 --> 00:19:27,700 that I think almost everybody would sign onto, 422 00:19:27,700 --> 00:19:29,890 and this is the big temptation, 423 00:19:29,890 --> 00:19:32,170 because it comes with the whole other, 424 00:19:32,170 --> 00:19:34,700 the long tail of dangers. 425 00:19:34,700 --> 00:19:38,290 I mean, this algorithm that the healthcare system 426 00:19:38,290 --> 00:19:40,263 knows almost everything about you. 427 00:19:41,100 --> 00:19:45,340 So one of the biggest battles in the 21st century 428 00:19:45,340 --> 00:19:49,940 is likely to be between privacy and health, 429 00:19:49,940 --> 00:19:52,910 and I guess that health is going to win. 430 00:19:52,910 --> 00:19:56,040 Most people will be willing to give up 431 00:19:56,040 --> 00:19:58,870 a very significant amount of privacy 432 00:19:58,870 --> 00:20:01,840 in exchange for far better healthcare. 433 00:20:01,840 --> 00:20:05,720 Now we do need to try and enjoy both worlds, 434 00:20:05,720 --> 00:20:09,940 to create a system that gives us very good healthcare, 435 00:20:09,940 --> 00:20:12,520 but without compromising our privacy, 436 00:20:12,520 --> 00:20:15,820 keeping the, yes, you can use the data to tell me 437 00:20:15,820 --> 00:20:16,770 that there is a problem 438 00:20:16,770 --> 00:20:19,390 and then we should do this or that to solve it, 439 00:20:19,390 --> 00:20:23,300 but I don't want this data to be used for other purposes 440 00:20:23,300 --> 00:20:24,700 without my knowing it. 441 00:20:24,700 --> 00:20:27,470 Whether we can reach such a balance 442 00:20:27,470 --> 00:20:30,570 and like have your cake and eat it too, 443 00:20:30,570 --> 00:20:32,170 that's a big political question. 444 00:20:33,734 --> 00:20:36,160 - Yeah, that is very crazy 445 00:20:36,160 --> 00:20:37,880 and very exciting for somebody like me 446 00:20:37,880 --> 00:20:41,530 who definitely errs on the side of wanting the healthcare. 447 00:20:41,530 --> 00:20:43,800 You've talked really powerfully about story, 448 00:20:43,800 --> 00:20:45,980 about how stories like money, 449 00:20:45,980 --> 00:20:48,823 which I don't think most people think of as a story, 450 00:20:49,700 --> 00:20:51,970 as being these tremendous things 451 00:20:51,970 --> 00:20:53,560 that control all of our lives, 452 00:20:53,560 --> 00:20:55,250 that point us all in the same direction, 453 00:20:55,250 --> 00:20:58,180 that give us sort of a common code by which to live. 454 00:20:58,180 --> 00:21:00,870 How can people take control of the story 455 00:21:00,870 --> 00:21:03,610 that they tell themselves about themselves, 456 00:21:03,610 --> 00:21:08,060 which I find to be one of the most important stories 457 00:21:08,060 --> 00:21:09,023 that you engage in? 458 00:21:10,470 --> 00:21:14,500 - Yes, so our identity is really just a story 459 00:21:14,500 --> 00:21:17,940 which we constantly construct and embellish. 460 00:21:17,940 --> 00:21:22,170 I mean, you can say that the entire human mind is a machine 461 00:21:22,170 --> 00:21:24,850 that constantly produces stories, 462 00:21:24,850 --> 00:21:28,873 and especially one very important story, which is my story. 463 00:21:29,760 --> 00:21:31,870 And different people have different, 464 00:21:31,870 --> 00:21:33,540 specialize in different genres. 465 00:21:33,540 --> 00:21:35,960 Some people build their story as a tragedy, 466 00:21:35,960 --> 00:21:39,240 some people build their story as a comedy or as a drama, 467 00:21:39,240 --> 00:21:42,080 but in the end, 468 00:21:42,080 --> 00:21:47,080 the self is a story, and not a real thing. 469 00:21:47,290 --> 00:21:50,850 And on the one hand, with all the new technologies, 470 00:21:50,850 --> 00:21:55,850 you get better and better abilities to construct yourself. 471 00:21:56,870 --> 00:22:00,330 But already today, a lot of the work 472 00:22:00,330 --> 00:22:02,920 which previously was done in the brain 473 00:22:02,920 --> 00:22:06,730 and in the mind of constructing my identity, my story, 474 00:22:06,730 --> 00:22:10,410 has been outsourced to things like Facebook, 475 00:22:10,410 --> 00:22:13,080 that you build your Facebook account, 476 00:22:13,080 --> 00:22:16,500 and this is actually outsourcing it from the brain, 477 00:22:16,500 --> 00:22:19,890 and you are busy maybe for hours every day 478 00:22:19,890 --> 00:22:24,420 just building a story and becoming extremely attached to it, 479 00:22:24,420 --> 00:22:27,080 and publicizing it to everybody. 480 00:22:27,080 --> 00:22:29,310 And you tend to make this fundamental mistake, 481 00:22:29,310 --> 00:22:31,323 you think this is really me. 482 00:22:32,790 --> 00:22:35,763 And so-- - Why is that a mistake? 483 00:22:36,740 --> 00:22:37,920 I'm actually really curious. 484 00:22:37,920 --> 00:22:41,100 - First of all, if you take something like the profile 485 00:22:41,100 --> 00:22:43,030 that people create about themselves 486 00:22:43,030 --> 00:22:46,390 in Facebook or in Instagram, it should be obvious 487 00:22:46,390 --> 00:22:51,290 it doesn't really reflect your actual existence, 488 00:22:51,290 --> 00:22:54,660 your actual reality, both inner reality and outer reality. 489 00:22:54,660 --> 00:22:56,900 Like the percentage of time you smile 490 00:22:56,900 --> 00:22:59,240 in your Instagram account is much bigger 491 00:22:59,240 --> 00:23:02,700 than the percentage of time you smile in real life. 492 00:23:02,700 --> 00:23:05,050 And you go on some vacation 493 00:23:06,160 --> 00:23:09,620 and you post the images from the vacation, 494 00:23:09,620 --> 00:23:13,340 so usually you're smiling and you're in your swimming suit 495 00:23:13,340 --> 00:23:15,130 on the beach with your girlfriend 496 00:23:15,130 --> 00:23:17,110 and boyfriend holding this cocktail, 497 00:23:17,110 --> 00:23:21,220 and everything looks perfect, and everybody's so envious. 498 00:23:21,220 --> 00:23:23,930 But actually, you just had a nasty fight 499 00:23:23,930 --> 00:23:26,470 with your boyfriend five minutes ago, 500 00:23:26,470 --> 00:23:29,930 and then this is the image that everybody else is seeing 501 00:23:29,930 --> 00:23:33,090 and thinking, oh, they must have such wonderful time. 502 00:23:33,090 --> 00:23:36,500 And afterwards, like a year later or two years later, 503 00:23:36,500 --> 00:23:39,220 you look back and this is what you see, 504 00:23:39,220 --> 00:23:43,463 and you forget what was the actual experience like. 505 00:23:44,430 --> 00:23:46,630 - What is the role of truth 506 00:23:46,630 --> 00:23:49,490 in the story that we tell ourselves about ourselves? 507 00:23:49,490 --> 00:23:50,540 - Very little. 508 00:23:50,540 --> 00:23:52,754 - Do you think there should be more? 509 00:23:52,754 --> 00:23:54,390 - There should definitely be more. 510 00:23:54,390 --> 00:23:56,070 - And what would be the outcome if we were like, 511 00:23:56,070 --> 00:23:57,630 I'm really gonna make sure 512 00:23:57,630 --> 00:24:01,200 that the story I tell myself is objectively true. 513 00:24:01,200 --> 00:24:04,340 - It's going to be very, very painful and difficult. 514 00:24:04,340 --> 00:24:06,800 I think it is worth the effort, 515 00:24:06,800 --> 00:24:08,973 but it's just very difficult. 516 00:24:11,406 --> 00:24:12,680 We constantly edit 517 00:24:14,188 --> 00:24:15,840 the story, 518 00:24:15,840 --> 00:24:18,120 just like the news on TV are edited, 519 00:24:18,120 --> 00:24:21,430 and just like, it's a bit like making a movie. 520 00:24:21,430 --> 00:24:23,910 Like you watch the movie in the cinema, 521 00:24:23,910 --> 00:24:26,500 and everything is so seamless. 522 00:24:26,500 --> 00:24:28,970 Like yeah, this is the story, it flows. 523 00:24:28,970 --> 00:24:30,700 And then when you actually see 524 00:24:30,700 --> 00:24:33,870 how a movie is produced, this is insane. 525 00:24:33,870 --> 00:24:36,880 Like you have this tiny bit of a scene, 526 00:24:36,880 --> 00:24:41,880 you repeat it 50 times, and sometimes you shoot this scene, 527 00:24:42,237 --> 00:24:45,200 this scene two comes after scene one, 528 00:24:45,200 --> 00:24:48,240 but actually it was filmed long before that. 529 00:24:48,240 --> 00:24:52,640 So sometimes you film the breakup of the lovers 530 00:24:52,640 --> 00:24:55,850 before you film the first meeting 531 00:24:55,850 --> 00:24:58,840 for all kinds of schedule reasons and location. 532 00:24:58,840 --> 00:25:01,820 So the end result 533 00:25:01,820 --> 00:25:05,290 is completely seamless and perfect, 534 00:25:05,290 --> 00:25:07,490 but it is actually made up 535 00:25:07,490 --> 00:25:12,170 from all these tiny, disconnected bits 536 00:25:12,170 --> 00:25:15,330 that have been, this is from here and this is from there 537 00:25:15,330 --> 00:25:18,490 and we somehow glue it together, and it looks good. 538 00:25:18,490 --> 00:25:21,640 And it's the same with the story of our life. 539 00:25:21,640 --> 00:25:24,400 It's all kinds of bits and pieces, 540 00:25:24,400 --> 00:25:27,100 and only when you tell it to yourself 541 00:25:27,100 --> 00:25:30,870 or to somebody else it kind of makes sense. 542 00:25:30,870 --> 00:25:35,750 The cost of trying to stick with the reality as it is 543 00:25:37,040 --> 00:25:38,900 is very, very high. 544 00:25:38,900 --> 00:25:42,140 It's very difficult, it demands a lot of effort, 545 00:25:42,140 --> 00:25:44,270 and it is often very painful 546 00:25:44,270 --> 00:25:47,270 because you have to acknowledge many things about yourself 547 00:25:47,270 --> 00:25:49,090 that you don't want to acknowledge them. 548 00:25:49,090 --> 00:25:52,720 People have this fantasy 549 00:25:52,720 --> 00:25:56,190 of, I don't know, going to some retreat 550 00:25:56,190 --> 00:26:01,190 and just taking out a week or two from life 551 00:26:01,190 --> 00:26:04,880 to really observe inside, to really explore 552 00:26:04,880 --> 00:26:07,890 who am I, what is my authentic self? 553 00:26:07,890 --> 00:26:11,400 And they have this fantastic notion 554 00:26:11,400 --> 00:26:15,760 that I will be able to finally connect to my inner child, 555 00:26:15,760 --> 00:26:19,470 and I will discover my true vocation in life, 556 00:26:19,470 --> 00:26:22,550 and I will discover all these wonderful things about me. 557 00:26:22,550 --> 00:26:24,860 And when you actually do it, 558 00:26:24,860 --> 00:26:27,360 the first thing you usually encounter 559 00:26:27,360 --> 00:26:31,130 is all the things you don't want to know about yourself. 560 00:26:31,130 --> 00:26:35,390 There is a reason that you don't want to know them. 561 00:26:35,390 --> 00:26:37,300 I think it's worth the effort, 562 00:26:37,300 --> 00:26:41,090 but it's a very, very hard task. 563 00:26:41,090 --> 00:26:43,130 - All right, on that, there's so many studies 564 00:26:43,130 --> 00:26:46,180 that talk about the more delusional somebody is, 565 00:26:46,180 --> 00:26:49,510 self-delusional, the more likely they are to be happy. 566 00:26:49,510 --> 00:26:51,280 You've said one of the big questions 567 00:26:51,280 --> 00:26:54,130 as a historian you're trying to answer is, 568 00:26:54,130 --> 00:26:58,160 as we've moved forward as a species, a society, 569 00:26:58,160 --> 00:27:00,650 have we actually gotten happier? 570 00:27:00,650 --> 00:27:03,610 So there is some importance, it sounds like, 571 00:27:03,610 --> 00:27:05,360 that you place on happiness. 572 00:27:05,360 --> 00:27:09,300 So why then would you want people to do 573 00:27:09,300 --> 00:27:11,590 that hard work of facing the realities, 574 00:27:11,590 --> 00:27:13,530 recognizing the things about themselves 575 00:27:13,530 --> 00:27:15,840 that they don't necessarily wanna recognize? 576 00:27:15,840 --> 00:27:18,210 Is that because you think it leads to more happiness? 577 00:27:18,210 --> 00:27:20,550 - I think that ultimately it is worth the price. 578 00:27:20,550 --> 00:27:24,943 I mean, delusions come at a very high price also. 579 00:27:26,520 --> 00:27:29,880 And not just to yourself, but to people around you, 580 00:27:29,880 --> 00:27:31,390 to the world as a whole. 581 00:27:31,390 --> 00:27:35,730 I mean, ultimately this leads to things like wars 582 00:27:35,730 --> 00:27:37,770 and like genocide, and like an emperor. 583 00:27:37,770 --> 00:27:40,860 And I come from Israel, I come from the Middle East, 584 00:27:40,860 --> 00:27:44,050 so I am surrounded by millions of people 585 00:27:44,050 --> 00:27:45,580 who are killing each other 586 00:27:45,580 --> 00:27:48,290 because of all kinds of fictional stories 587 00:27:48,290 --> 00:27:51,430 and delusions that they believe in. 588 00:27:51,430 --> 00:27:55,000 So sometimes it's an important defensive mechanism. 589 00:27:55,000 --> 00:27:56,500 It's very difficult to live 590 00:27:56,500 --> 00:27:59,780 just with the raw truth all the time, 591 00:27:59,780 --> 00:28:02,150 but the price of delusion 592 00:28:02,150 --> 00:28:04,670 and the price of not being able to tell the difference 593 00:28:04,670 --> 00:28:07,270 between fiction and reality, it adds up, 594 00:28:07,270 --> 00:28:11,203 and eventually it adds up to things like genocide and war. 595 00:28:12,800 --> 00:28:16,260 - That sounds like a pretty extraordinary price to pay. 596 00:28:16,260 --> 00:28:18,330 Yeah, I will agree with you there. 597 00:28:18,330 --> 00:28:21,500 In 21 Lessons is, 598 00:28:21,500 --> 00:28:26,500 what do we do when we're faced with being put out of work, 599 00:28:26,500 --> 00:28:28,450 that we are one of the useless class 600 00:28:28,450 --> 00:28:30,580 and we have to do this reinvention at a career level? 601 00:28:30,580 --> 00:28:31,430 You're living longer, 602 00:28:31,430 --> 00:28:33,860 your career life is 50, 60, 70, 80 years, 603 00:28:33,860 --> 00:28:34,950 whatever that looks like, 604 00:28:34,950 --> 00:28:37,230 in a time where every seven to 10 years, 605 00:28:37,230 --> 00:28:40,060 like it's just, it's a completely new world. 606 00:28:40,060 --> 00:28:41,660 What do you think the human capacity 607 00:28:41,660 --> 00:28:44,313 for that level of reinvention is? 608 00:28:45,290 --> 00:28:46,750 - That's a very important question. 609 00:28:46,750 --> 00:28:48,660 It has little to do with immortality, 610 00:28:48,660 --> 00:28:50,960 because even without immortality, 611 00:28:50,960 --> 00:28:52,680 we are heading in that direction. 612 00:28:52,680 --> 00:28:56,333 Even if people, if the lifespan remains as it is, 80 years, 613 00:28:57,170 --> 00:29:00,363 every 10 years you have another big shock. 614 00:29:01,790 --> 00:29:03,800 One of the things many people don't realize 615 00:29:03,800 --> 00:29:06,740 about the AI revolution and the automation revolution, 616 00:29:06,740 --> 00:29:10,760 they imagine it as some kind of one-time event. 617 00:29:10,760 --> 00:29:14,090 We have the big AI revolution in 2025, 618 00:29:14,090 --> 00:29:17,110 you have all these truck drivers and taxi drivers 619 00:29:17,110 --> 00:29:19,610 and doctors and whatever losing their jobs, 620 00:29:19,610 --> 00:29:23,410 you have a few difficult years of adjustment, 621 00:29:23,410 --> 00:29:28,200 and then eventually you have the new brave new world of AI 622 00:29:28,200 --> 00:29:30,150 with a new equilibrium. 623 00:29:30,150 --> 00:29:33,080 And this is an extremely unlikely scenario, 624 00:29:33,080 --> 00:29:38,080 because we are nowhere near the maximum potential of AI. 625 00:29:38,320 --> 00:29:42,960 The speed in which it develops is only likely to accelerate. 626 00:29:42,960 --> 00:29:45,330 So what we are really going to face 627 00:29:45,330 --> 00:29:50,330 is a cascade of ever-bigger revolutions in the job market 628 00:29:50,430 --> 00:29:52,280 and in many other areas of life: 629 00:29:52,280 --> 00:29:55,520 relationships, politics, and so forth. 630 00:29:55,520 --> 00:29:59,640 So you have a big disruption in 2025, 631 00:29:59,640 --> 00:30:03,070 you have an even bigger disruption in 2035, 632 00:30:03,070 --> 00:30:06,650 an even bigger one in 2045, and so forth. 633 00:30:06,650 --> 00:30:09,000 And if you look, say, at the job market, 634 00:30:09,000 --> 00:30:11,920 so okay, you were a truck driver, 635 00:30:11,920 --> 00:30:13,860 and they no longer need you, 636 00:30:13,860 --> 00:30:16,460 but there is new demand for yoga teachers, 637 00:30:16,460 --> 00:30:20,360 so you somehow reinvent yourself at age 40. 638 00:30:20,360 --> 00:30:23,610 I'm no longer a truck driver, now I'm a yoga teacher. 639 00:30:23,610 --> 00:30:25,970 It's very difficult, you somehow do it. 640 00:30:25,970 --> 00:30:28,410 10 years later, no need of yoga teachers, 641 00:30:28,410 --> 00:30:29,370 thank you very much, 642 00:30:29,370 --> 00:30:32,230 we now have these amazing applications 643 00:30:32,230 --> 00:30:35,240 connected with biometric sensors to your body, 644 00:30:35,240 --> 00:30:39,610 they know exactly what you're doing with every tiny muscle 645 00:30:39,610 --> 00:30:42,290 as you do this posture or that posture. 646 00:30:42,290 --> 00:30:45,370 No human yoga teacher can compete with that, 647 00:30:45,370 --> 00:30:46,600 you're out of job. 648 00:30:46,600 --> 00:30:48,390 You have to reinvent yourself again 649 00:30:48,390 --> 00:30:51,490 as a designer of virtual-world games. 650 00:30:51,490 --> 00:30:53,220 And you do it, somehow. 651 00:30:53,220 --> 00:30:55,400 But 10 years later, you have to do it again 652 00:30:55,400 --> 00:30:58,060 because this too has now been automated. 653 00:30:58,060 --> 00:31:00,590 And even if you get support from the government 654 00:31:00,590 --> 00:31:02,850 and there is all these 655 00:31:02,850 --> 00:31:07,160 education for adult system, 656 00:31:07,160 --> 00:31:09,860 the really big question is, again, it's psychological. 657 00:31:11,650 --> 00:31:16,650 Do we as human beings have the mental stability 658 00:31:17,160 --> 00:31:20,060 and the emotional intelligence necessary 659 00:31:20,060 --> 00:31:22,890 to reinvent ourselves repeatedly? 660 00:31:22,890 --> 00:31:25,360 And when you're 20, 661 00:31:25,360 --> 00:31:28,470 what you're doing is basically to reinvent yourself 662 00:31:28,470 --> 00:31:30,650 or to invent yourself for the first time, 663 00:31:30,650 --> 00:31:32,630 and it is very difficult. 664 00:31:32,630 --> 00:31:36,339 When you're 30, it's even more difficult, 665 00:31:36,339 --> 00:31:37,940 but you somehow do it. 666 00:31:37,940 --> 00:31:41,170 But when you get to be 40, 50, 60, 667 00:31:41,170 --> 00:31:43,210 it becomes more and more difficult. 668 00:31:43,210 --> 00:31:44,900 You have more to let go of. 669 00:31:44,900 --> 00:31:49,010 I've invested so much in building this career, 670 00:31:49,010 --> 00:31:53,080 this personality, these skills, to give it all up 671 00:31:53,080 --> 00:31:56,320 and start again from anew, it's so difficult. 672 00:31:56,320 --> 00:31:59,143 So I don't know whether we can do it. 673 00:32:00,220 --> 00:32:02,420 - Yeah, that is the question 674 00:32:02,420 --> 00:32:06,170 that I think we'll ultimately be forced to answer, 675 00:32:06,170 --> 00:32:07,770 and that brings me to education. 676 00:32:07,770 --> 00:32:10,670 So what do you think that, 677 00:32:10,670 --> 00:32:14,160 if we're talking to somebody who's 18 right now, 678 00:32:14,160 --> 00:32:16,540 they're trying to decide do I go to college, yes or no? 679 00:32:16,540 --> 00:32:18,550 Should they go to college, and if they go to college, 680 00:32:18,550 --> 00:32:20,000 what should they be studying? 681 00:32:22,800 --> 00:32:24,840 - It's a very difficult question. 682 00:32:24,840 --> 00:32:27,100 The first thing they should realize 683 00:32:27,100 --> 00:32:30,900 is that nobody really knows, nobody really knows 684 00:32:30,900 --> 00:32:34,600 how the job market would look like in 2040. 685 00:32:34,600 --> 00:32:39,600 So they should be suspicious of all these kinds of advices 686 00:32:40,260 --> 00:32:42,730 by people who pretend that they know 687 00:32:42,730 --> 00:32:46,100 what the job market would need in 20 years. 688 00:32:46,100 --> 00:32:48,900 The best investment, I would say, 689 00:32:48,900 --> 00:32:53,550 is in emotional intelligence and in mental balance, 690 00:32:53,550 --> 00:32:55,230 and these kinds of skills 691 00:32:55,230 --> 00:32:58,220 of how to keep changing throughout your life, 692 00:32:58,220 --> 00:33:01,350 how to keep learning throughout your life. 693 00:33:01,350 --> 00:33:03,000 Now, how do you learn that? 694 00:33:03,000 --> 00:33:04,930 That's very, very difficult. 695 00:33:04,930 --> 00:33:08,713 We don't have a college degree in mental flexibility, 696 00:33:09,650 --> 00:33:13,500 but these are the most important tools. 697 00:33:13,500 --> 00:33:16,040 So whatever you choose, you can go to law school, 698 00:33:16,040 --> 00:33:17,760 you can go to ballet school, 699 00:33:17,760 --> 00:33:22,520 but you should keep in mind that much of what I'm learning 700 00:33:22,520 --> 00:33:26,240 might be irrelevant in 20 or 30 years, 701 00:33:26,240 --> 00:33:30,930 so whatever else I'm doing, I should also invest 702 00:33:30,930 --> 00:33:35,590 in developing my emotional intelligence, my mental balance, 703 00:33:35,590 --> 00:33:40,040 my ability to keep changing and learning 704 00:33:40,040 --> 00:33:42,600 and reinventing throughout my life. 705 00:33:42,600 --> 00:33:44,933 So maybe to give an image or a metaphor, 706 00:33:45,940 --> 00:33:50,940 if in the past, education was like building a stone house 707 00:33:52,690 --> 00:33:55,220 with very deep foundations, 708 00:33:55,220 --> 00:33:58,730 now I would say that education is more like 709 00:33:58,730 --> 00:34:01,780 constructing a tent that you can fold up 710 00:34:01,780 --> 00:34:06,290 and move to another location very quickly and easily. 711 00:34:06,290 --> 00:34:07,693 - That's a great analogy. 712 00:34:08,940 --> 00:34:10,930 So given that it's so hard to predict the future, 713 00:34:10,930 --> 00:34:13,090 you've talked a lot about the power of science fiction 714 00:34:13,090 --> 00:34:14,770 and science fiction writers. 715 00:34:14,770 --> 00:34:16,300 Walk us through that. 716 00:34:16,300 --> 00:34:18,730 What is the role that a science fiction writer can play, 717 00:34:18,730 --> 00:34:21,950 or storyteller, filmmaker, whatever the case may be? 718 00:34:21,950 --> 00:34:25,620 - Our lives in the 21st century, more than anything else, 719 00:34:25,620 --> 00:34:28,000 are going to be new technologies, 720 00:34:28,000 --> 00:34:32,170 especially in AI and biotechnology. 721 00:34:32,170 --> 00:34:37,010 And most people, their understanding of these technologies 722 00:34:37,010 --> 00:34:39,840 and their potential for good or for bad, 723 00:34:39,840 --> 00:34:42,300 it really comes from science fiction. 724 00:34:42,300 --> 00:34:46,300 The political system so far has done an awful job 725 00:34:46,300 --> 00:34:49,090 in understanding and preparing us 726 00:34:49,090 --> 00:34:51,610 for these kinds of development. 727 00:34:51,610 --> 00:34:56,140 There is almost no talk in the political arena 728 00:34:56,140 --> 00:34:58,630 about AI and biotechnology. 729 00:34:58,630 --> 00:35:01,320 The scientific community is, of course, 730 00:35:01,320 --> 00:35:03,080 very deeply engaged with it, 731 00:35:03,080 --> 00:35:08,080 but most people don't read articles in Science or Nature, 732 00:35:08,590 --> 00:35:11,890 and even if they tried, it would be very difficult for them 733 00:35:11,890 --> 00:35:14,547 to understand the professional jargon 734 00:35:14,547 --> 00:35:17,540 and all the statistics and so forth. 735 00:35:17,540 --> 00:35:21,540 So most people actually get their education 736 00:35:21,540 --> 00:35:23,913 about what's coming from science fiction. 737 00:35:24,830 --> 00:35:28,850 And this means, at least I think so, that science fiction 738 00:35:28,850 --> 00:35:31,923 is now the most important artistic genre, 739 00:35:32,760 --> 00:35:36,090 and it should also be the most responsible. 740 00:35:36,090 --> 00:35:37,900 And one of the problems with science fiction 741 00:35:37,900 --> 00:35:41,120 is that so far it has done a so-so job. 742 00:35:41,120 --> 00:35:46,050 Some novels and TV series and films are really amazing 743 00:35:46,050 --> 00:35:50,380 in the way they explore what could happen. 744 00:35:50,380 --> 00:35:53,800 Ranging, like some of my favorites are, 745 00:35:53,800 --> 00:35:57,430 my all-time favorite is Brave New World by Aldous Huxley, 746 00:35:57,430 --> 00:36:00,630 which was written back in the early 1930s, 747 00:36:00,630 --> 00:36:04,470 and I think is the most prophetic and profound. 748 00:36:04,470 --> 00:36:06,190 - I totally understand. 749 00:36:06,190 --> 00:36:08,560 All right, so before I ask my last question, 750 00:36:08,560 --> 00:36:11,300 tell these guys where they can find you online. 751 00:36:11,300 --> 00:36:15,840 - I have a website, ynharari.com, 752 00:36:15,840 --> 00:36:20,140 and they can find me on Facebook and Instagram and Twitter 753 00:36:20,140 --> 00:36:22,340 and all the usual places. (laughs) 754 00:36:22,340 --> 00:36:23,173 - Awesome. 755 00:36:23,173 --> 00:36:25,060 My last question is what is the impact 756 00:36:25,060 --> 00:36:26,710 that you wanna have on the world? 757 00:36:28,280 --> 00:36:32,150 - I want to bring more clarity to the public conversation 758 00:36:32,150 --> 00:36:33,800 on what's happening in the world. 759 00:36:35,110 --> 00:36:38,470 I think that too much of the public discussion 760 00:36:38,470 --> 00:36:42,070 is focused either on the wrong issues 761 00:36:42,070 --> 00:36:46,550 or is extremely confused and unclear. 762 00:36:46,550 --> 00:36:51,210 And people are flooded by enormous amounts of information, 763 00:36:51,210 --> 00:36:53,860 which they don't know how to make sense of. 764 00:36:53,860 --> 00:36:56,500 And what I see my mission 765 00:36:56,500 --> 00:37:00,020 as bringing clarity to the public discussion, 766 00:37:00,020 --> 00:37:03,570 especially in terms of focusing people's attention 767 00:37:03,570 --> 00:37:06,400 on the most important questions. 768 00:37:06,400 --> 00:37:08,440 I try to give some answers too, 769 00:37:08,440 --> 00:37:11,460 but I don't care a lot if people don't agree with me 770 00:37:11,460 --> 00:37:13,440 about the answers, about the solutions. 771 00:37:13,440 --> 00:37:15,280 The important thing, I think, 772 00:37:15,280 --> 00:37:18,050 is to agree about the questions. 773 00:37:18,050 --> 00:37:19,210 And I would end by saying 774 00:37:19,210 --> 00:37:21,910 that there are three big challenges to humankind 775 00:37:21,910 --> 00:37:23,650 in the 21st century. 776 00:37:23,650 --> 00:37:26,050 They are nuclear war, climate change, 777 00:37:26,050 --> 00:37:27,940 and technological disruption. 778 00:37:27,940 --> 00:37:31,970 And these should be the first three items 779 00:37:31,970 --> 00:37:34,930 on the political agenda of every country. 780 00:37:34,930 --> 00:37:37,040 This is not the case right now. 781 00:37:37,040 --> 00:37:39,640 I would like it to be the case. 782 00:37:39,640 --> 00:37:40,530 - Awesome. 783 00:37:40,530 --> 00:37:42,885 Yuval, thank you so much for joining us today, 784 00:37:42,885 --> 00:37:44,185 that was incredible. - Thank you. 785 00:37:44,185 --> 00:37:45,250 (audience applauds) It was fascinating. 786 00:37:45,250 --> 00:37:48,670 - All right guys, when I say that you're going to learn 787 00:37:48,670 --> 00:37:52,520 just an absolute metric ton of stuff from this man. 788 00:37:52,520 --> 00:37:53,890 Dive into his first three books, 789 00:37:53,890 --> 00:37:56,273 they are absolutely extraordinary. 790 00:37:57,440 --> 00:37:59,910 You will learn so much about where we've come from, 791 00:37:59,910 --> 00:38:01,650 where we're going and where we are today 792 00:38:01,650 --> 00:38:04,620 that it will give you the ability to look at yourself 793 00:38:04,620 --> 00:38:07,200 in a totally new way, to understand yourself, 794 00:38:07,200 --> 00:38:09,250 not even just at the operating system level, 795 00:38:09,250 --> 00:38:10,520 but like at the kernel level. 796 00:38:10,520 --> 00:38:13,000 It was so fascinating to see him 797 00:38:13,000 --> 00:38:15,280 walk us through that entire lineage. 798 00:38:15,280 --> 00:38:18,140 It's unlike anything that I've read before, 799 00:38:18,140 --> 00:38:20,130 and reading the books as a trilogy 800 00:38:20,130 --> 00:38:23,040 and understanding how they all work together 801 00:38:23,040 --> 00:38:27,640 is breathtaking, so I highly, highly, highly encourage that. 802 00:38:27,640 --> 00:38:30,040 And the fact that he's out there in a populist way 803 00:38:30,040 --> 00:38:31,640 getting people to ask these questions 804 00:38:31,640 --> 00:38:34,210 I think is so critical, and he threw out, 805 00:38:34,210 --> 00:38:35,960 go back to the beginning of this episode, 806 00:38:35,960 --> 00:38:38,530 he threw out some amazing business ideas 807 00:38:38,530 --> 00:38:41,187 without, I think, even meaning to, but I thought, 808 00:38:41,187 --> 00:38:43,107 "Wow, somebody could actually run with these 809 00:38:43,107 --> 00:38:45,040 "and they would be extraordinary." 810 00:38:45,040 --> 00:38:46,880 And that's just the way his mind works, 811 00:38:46,880 --> 00:38:49,430 he really is one of the most profound thinkers of our time. 812 00:38:49,430 --> 00:38:50,970 Dive in, he's accessible, 813 00:38:50,970 --> 00:38:52,430 and that is one of the most beautiful things, 814 00:38:52,430 --> 00:38:53,740 and remember he's a historian, 815 00:38:53,740 --> 00:38:56,100 so the way that he's putting this all in context 816 00:38:56,100 --> 00:38:57,960 is truly extraordinary. 817 00:38:57,960 --> 00:39:00,450 And once you understand things 818 00:39:00,450 --> 00:39:03,000 at why they are the way they are, 819 00:39:03,000 --> 00:39:05,570 then it just brings a whole new ability 820 00:39:05,570 --> 00:39:08,890 to see through the lies, fake news, 821 00:39:08,890 --> 00:39:10,340 the stories we tell ourselves, 822 00:39:10,340 --> 00:39:12,500 all of the just natural human attachments, 823 00:39:12,500 --> 00:39:13,850 to really come to an understanding 824 00:39:13,850 --> 00:39:15,890 of the way the world actually is, 825 00:39:15,890 --> 00:39:17,960 and once you understand that, 826 00:39:17,960 --> 00:39:19,580 then you can begin to move in a way 827 00:39:19,580 --> 00:39:22,190 that makes sense and allows you to reach your own goals. 828 00:39:22,190 --> 00:39:24,440 All right, if you haven't already, be sure to subscribe, 829 00:39:24,440 --> 00:39:26,830 and until next time, my friends, be legendary. 830 00:39:26,830 --> 00:39:27,814 Take care. 831 00:39:27,814 --> 00:39:28,647 (audience applauds) 832 00:39:28,647 --> 00:39:30,607 Yuval, thank you. 833 00:39:32,160 --> 00:39:34,640 Everybody, thank you so much for watching 834 00:39:34,640 --> 00:39:35,950 and being a part of this community. 835 00:39:35,950 --> 00:39:38,670 If you haven't already, be sure to subscribe. 836 00:39:38,670 --> 00:39:41,410 You're gonna get weekly videos on building a growth mindset, 837 00:39:41,410 --> 00:39:45,081 cultivating grit, and unlocking your full potential. 838 00:39:45,081 --> 00:39:47,831 (glass breaking)63658

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