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Would you like to inspect the original subtitles? These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:43,600 --> 00:00:48,660 In this series, we have explored the Earth's frozen frontiers. 2 00:01:07,180 --> 00:01:12,100 We have celebrated the astonishing variety of animals that are found there. 3 00:01:20,860 --> 00:01:26,360 And revealed the extraordinary ways by which they managed to survive. 4 00:01:38,980 --> 00:01:42,829 At a time when our ice caps are melting faster than 5 00:01:42,841 --> 00:01:47,000 ever before. We will meet the 6 00:01:47,000 --> 00:01:51,429 scientists and people who are dedicating their lives to 7 00:01:51,441 --> 00:01:56,040 protecting our frozen planet. And striving to turn things 8 00:01:56,040 --> 00:02:01,868 around while there is still time to do so. It won't be easy, 9 00:02:01,880 --> 00:02:07,720 but it's doable. It's crucial that we try to understand what 10 00:02:07,720 --> 00:02:11,483 the impact will be, not just for the wildlife and 11 00:02:11,495 --> 00:02:15,420 the people that live there, but for you and for me. 12 00:02:30,360 --> 00:02:37,920 We start our journey in the high Arctic and the vast frozen expanse of Greenland. 13 00:02:40,340 --> 00:02:43,645 This huge island is blanketed by the largest 14 00:02:43,657 --> 00:02:46,680 store of ice in the Northern Hemisphere. 15 00:02:49,540 --> 00:02:52,240 But now, it's shrinking. 16 00:02:57,420 --> 00:03:00,944 Professor Alan Hubbard is a glaciologist, and he's spent 17 00:03:00,956 --> 00:03:04,740 over 30 years studying the movement of ice along Greenland's 18 00:03:04,740 --> 00:03:08,578 coastline. It is quite a 19 00:03:08,590 --> 00:03:12,440 beast of a glacier. It's just growling constantly. 20 00:03:14,720 --> 00:03:16,700 Thundering in the background. 21 00:03:19,240 --> 00:03:21,140 Oh, there we go, bit of activity. 22 00:03:31,620 --> 00:03:34,652 Carving icebergs is a natural 23 00:03:34,664 --> 00:03:37,980 process, but what we've seen in the last 20 years is there's 24 00:03:37,980 --> 00:03:45,520 been much more melt and much more ice carving off, producing huge icebergs. 25 00:03:49,100 --> 00:03:52,600 So it's quite an intimidating place to be hanging out. 26 00:04:00,360 --> 00:04:04,156 One thing in particular 27 00:04:04,168 --> 00:04:07,900 has caused this increase in melting and carving. 28 00:04:12,560 --> 00:04:17,420 We put this weather station here in 2010. ["Pomp and 29 00:04:17,432 --> 00:04:23,040 Circumstance"] And the hottest temperature was two days ago, 30 00:04:24,700 --> 00:04:33,980 at 22.37 degrees centigrade. That is very, very hot for Greenland. 31 00:04:39,900 --> 00:04:45,540 As the ice falls into the ocean, it raises sea levels globally. 32 00:04:48,300 --> 00:04:53,248 These are now rising by an average 33 00:04:53,260 --> 00:04:58,220 of four millimeters a year. A quarter of that comes from the 34 00:04:58,220 --> 00:05:04,960 Greenland ice sheet. And scientists fear that this figure could increase rapidly. 35 00:05:08,500 --> 00:05:13,194 To investigate, Alan has traveled 70 miles inland to the top 36 00:05:13,206 --> 00:05:17,680 of the ice sheet, where the glaciers start their lives as 37 00:05:17,680 --> 00:05:20,940 compacted snow more than a mile thick. 38 00:05:25,360 --> 00:05:30,653 Here, the effects of a warming climate are only too clear. 39 00:05:30,665 --> 00:05:35,700 There are thousands of these beautiful azure blue lakes 40 00:05:35,700 --> 00:05:39,779 littered across the surface of the ice sheet. The surface 41 00:05:39,791 --> 00:05:43,740 has always melted in the summer, but not on this scale. 42 00:05:44,980 --> 00:05:48,905 And Alan wants to know what effect 43 00:05:48,917 --> 00:05:52,660 the increase in meltwater is having on the ice sheet as a 44 00:05:52,660 --> 00:05:57,660 whole. The sheer quantity of water 45 00:06:00,840 --> 00:06:04,900 shifting through this system is crazy. 46 00:06:09,260 --> 00:06:15,158 Powerful torrents of meltwater are boring shafts, known as 47 00:06:15,170 --> 00:06:21,180 moulins, into the ice sheet. This is nuts. This is a moulin 48 00:06:21,180 --> 00:06:24,660 actively being formed, a moulin in genesis. 49 00:06:28,260 --> 00:06:32,957 As we speak, that water is finding the path of least 50 00:06:32,969 --> 00:06:38,300 resistance, sculpting this shaft that's going deep into the 51 00:06:38,300 --> 00:06:38,660 ice. 52 00:06:46,020 --> 00:06:50,697 And here it is, just toppling over a waterfall 53 00:06:50,709 --> 00:06:54,500 edge and dropping into the ice sheet. 54 00:06:57,620 --> 00:07:02,740 But where is all this meltwater going, and what impact is it 55 00:07:02,752 --> 00:07:07,800 having on the structure of the ice sheet? To find out, Alan 56 00:07:07,800 --> 00:07:13,628 decides to climb inside a dried-up moulin. I think I must be 57 00:07:13,640 --> 00:07:19,480 15, 20 meters down here. I'm going to go down a bit further. 58 00:07:21,400 --> 00:07:25,734 It's a very narrow shaft here. It's always been assumed that 59 00:07:25,746 --> 00:07:30,020 the meltwater drains straight down and out of the bottom of 60 00:07:30,020 --> 00:07:34,992 the ice sheet. But what Alan discovers is very different. 61 00:07:35,004 --> 00:07:40,160 I can hear a big amount of water moving in this system. And 62 00:07:40,160 --> 00:07:43,841 the water is starting to spread sideways, laterally, so 63 00:07:43,853 --> 00:07:47,810 the drainage system is obviously complex, it's interlinked. 64 00:07:54,220 --> 00:07:58,505 These observations suggest that the meltwater is branching 65 00:07:58,517 --> 00:08:02,960 out in every direction, causing this once-rigid structure to 66 00:08:02,960 --> 00:08:03,720 destabilize. 67 00:08:08,300 --> 00:08:11,220 It's a bit rotten. Everything's rotting here. 68 00:08:14,420 --> 00:08:16,940 The implications of this are frightening. 69 00:08:19,860 --> 00:08:23,007 Alan believes that as the ice sheet begins to thaw, 70 00:08:23,019 --> 00:08:26,300 it's sliding towards the ocean at a much faster rate. 71 00:08:30,060 --> 00:08:34,540 And he's now confirmed that, using time-lapse, photography. 72 00:08:38,180 --> 00:08:43,860 The ice, the front, can be moving in excess of 20 meters a 73 00:08:43,872 --> 00:08:49,660 day, which is fast. That is a huge quantity of ice straight 74 00:08:49,660 --> 00:08:55,181 into the ocean. Some of Greenland's glaciers are moving 75 00:08:55,193 --> 00:09:01,220 three times faster today than they were 30 years ago. As the 76 00:09:01,220 --> 00:09:05,478 climate's warming, the rate at which this ice sheet flows is 77 00:09:05,490 --> 00:09:09,760 absolutely critical. So whereas at the moment we're thinking 78 00:09:09,760 --> 00:09:14,222 this thing is going to take thousands of years of melt and 79 00:09:14,234 --> 00:09:18,480 disintegrate, if it does move faster and accelerate, it 80 00:09:18,480 --> 00:09:19,700 means centuries. 81 00:09:25,420 --> 00:09:29,432 That is a really contentious and very important question, 82 00:09:29,444 --> 00:09:33,260 because this ice sheet has enough water in it to raise 83 00:09:33,260 --> 00:09:39,140 global sea level by over seven meters, and that's a total disaster for humanity. 84 00:09:44,140 --> 00:09:47,498 Calculations predict that nearly half a billion people 85 00:09:47,510 --> 00:09:50,880 living in coastal communities around the world will be 86 00:09:50,880 --> 00:09:55,058 displaced by flooding by the end of the century. But if the 87 00:09:55,070 --> 00:09:59,260 Greenland ice sheet slips into the ocean more rapidly, this 88 00:09:59,260 --> 00:10:01,360 could all happen far sooner. 89 00:10:06,880 --> 00:10:11,558 Greenland isn't the only large body of ice in the Arctic. In 90 00:10:11,570 --> 00:10:16,260 winter, the ocean here freezes over, creating a cover of ice 91 00:10:16,260 --> 00:10:19,240 larger than the entire United States. 92 00:10:22,360 --> 00:10:25,765 This sea ice has always got smaller in 93 00:10:25,777 --> 00:10:29,720 summer, but today it's rapidly disappearing. 94 00:10:33,020 --> 00:10:37,300 Hotter temperatures are melting it at an unprecedented rate, 95 00:10:40,360 --> 00:10:44,940 with worrying consequences for the wildlife that depends on it. 96 00:11:00,180 --> 00:11:06,540 For half seals, the sea ice is an excellent place for giving birth out of the water. 97 00:11:11,980 --> 00:11:16,048 It provides the defenseless newborn pups with a safe space 98 00:11:16,060 --> 00:11:20,140 for their first six weeks until they're big enough to swim 99 00:11:20,140 --> 00:11:20,800 proficiently. 100 00:11:29,100 --> 00:11:32,560 But with the sea ice disappearing increasingly fast, 101 00:11:35,320 --> 00:11:36,860 will they be able to adapt? 102 00:11:48,640 --> 00:11:54,220 In Canada's Gulf of St. Lawrence, a group of seal biologists are trying to find out. 103 00:12:08,640 --> 00:12:13,300 But the fragile sea ice is a challenging place in which to work. 104 00:12:18,000 --> 00:12:22,648 Go a little further out. To support a two-ton helicopter, 105 00:12:22,660 --> 00:12:27,480 the ice must be at least 30 centimeters thick, and the only 106 00:12:27,480 --> 00:12:30,210 way to find out if that's so is with a 107 00:13:18,350 --> 00:13:23,088 seal. The team are trying to discover where the seals go 108 00:13:23,100 --> 00:13:27,850 when they become independent. So this is a juvenile harp 109 00:13:27,850 --> 00:13:33,288 seal, which is exactly what we've been out on the ice trying 110 00:13:33,300 --> 00:13:38,750 to find a little ago. They're absolutely beautiful. We'll be 111 00:13:38,750 --> 00:13:41,461 putting a satellite transmitter on the top of this animal's 112 00:13:41,473 --> 00:13:44,150 head so that every time the animal comes to the surface we 113 00:13:44,150 --> 00:13:48,825 can get a location estimate for where he is at sea. It 114 00:13:48,837 --> 00:13:53,610 won't harm them in any way, and in return the amount of 115 00:13:53,610 --> 00:13:56,130 information we get from them is invaluable. 116 00:14:00,810 --> 00:14:03,988 It'll be really interesting to see where these animals go 117 00:14:04,000 --> 00:14:07,190 as the ice starts to break up over the coming months. The 118 00:14:07,190 --> 00:14:11,784 results from the study so far do not look encouraging. 119 00:14:11,796 --> 00:14:16,570 Despite migrating huge distances, when the time comes to 120 00:14:16,570 --> 00:14:19,818 have pups of their own, harp seals almost always 121 00:14:19,830 --> 00:14:23,290 return to the area where they themselves were born. 122 00:14:26,970 --> 00:14:31,870 But as the sea ice shrinks, so does its suitability as a nursery. 123 00:14:35,130 --> 00:14:39,474 The problem really comes about if the only ice available in 124 00:14:39,486 --> 00:14:43,770 the traditional areas is very thin. They'll still use that 125 00:14:43,770 --> 00:14:45,770 ice and then you get increased mortality. 126 00:14:50,210 --> 00:14:55,128 In short, the pups risk drowning if the ice isn't thick 127 00:14:55,140 --> 00:15:00,510 enough. And the bigger question is, will the ice continue to 128 00:15:00,510 --> 00:15:01,530 exist at all? 129 00:15:05,770 --> 00:15:10,890 In my lifetime, we've lost about two-thirds of the summer sea ice in the Arctic. 130 00:15:15,870 --> 00:15:20,778 And it's likely that in the next 30 years we're going to end 131 00:15:20,790 --> 00:15:25,710 up with an ice-free Arctic in the summer. I think one of the 132 00:15:25,710 --> 00:15:30,568 issues with climate change is that it's really difficult 133 00:15:30,580 --> 00:15:35,450 to see. But in the case of harp seals, it's really quite 134 00:15:35,450 --> 00:15:36,030 simple. 135 00:15:39,090 --> 00:15:42,230 If we lose the sea ice in the Arctic, we lose the harp seals. 136 00:15:54,770 --> 00:15:59,487 For harp seals, their future, it has to be said, appears 137 00:15:59,499 --> 00:16:04,310 uncertain. But what about the most famous face of climate 138 00:16:04,310 --> 00:16:05,770 change, the polar bear? 139 00:16:16,950 --> 00:16:22,850 Can this keenly intelligent animal adapt to a rapidly changing world? 140 00:16:25,910 --> 00:16:29,705 As the summer sea ice melts away, many 141 00:16:29,717 --> 00:16:34,110 polar bears are forced to head for dry land. 142 00:16:42,150 --> 00:16:46,250 Some swim up to 400 miles to get there. 143 00:17:00,710 --> 00:17:07,130 This is Wrangell, a remote island in Arctic Russia. 144 00:17:17,410 --> 00:17:22,139 Wrangell is a unique place. Bears are part of this 145 00:17:22,151 --> 00:17:27,450 landscape. It's not suitable for all of people. If I'm a 146 00:17:27,450 --> 00:17:31,290 ranger, I like this life. 147 00:17:38,590 --> 00:17:43,058 Without the sea ice, the hungry bears cannot hunt seals and 148 00:17:43,070 --> 00:17:47,550 feed on their calorie-rich flesh, but find other sources of 149 00:17:47,550 --> 00:17:50,290 food, including human food supplies. 150 00:17:54,730 --> 00:17:59,910 This is an invention against polar bears. 151 00:18:04,310 --> 00:18:07,580 I need to be prepared against their invasions. 152 00:18:12,850 --> 00:18:17,579 Each summer, Gennady is joined by polar bear 153 00:18:17,591 --> 00:18:23,070 expert Dr. Erik Reger. We need to cross that ridge. 154 00:18:27,610 --> 00:18:31,790 Erik wants to find out just how many bears are ending up here. 155 00:18:35,890 --> 00:18:39,539 In 20 years of studying polar bears, I've never been 156 00:18:39,551 --> 00:18:43,350 anywhere like Wrangell Island. The density of bears is 157 00:18:43,350 --> 00:18:47,349 unlike anything I've ever seen before. This past two years, 158 00:18:47,361 --> 00:18:50,970 we've seen about 500 bears. My sense is that's just a 159 00:18:50,970 --> 00:18:52,470 fraction of how many are here. 160 00:18:57,170 --> 00:19:04,830 But with so many hungry animals in one place, is there enough food to go round? 161 00:19:12,350 --> 00:19:14,936 Gennady, if you can keep an eye out for us, please, like up 162 00:19:14,948 --> 00:19:17,590 on the hill or just wherever you got a good view. All right, 163 00:19:17,590 --> 00:19:18,210 thank you. 164 00:19:21,550 --> 00:19:25,215 This is a hairtrap, so bears like anything that smells 165 00:19:25,227 --> 00:19:28,970 strong, and so this has a little bit of spoiled cheese, 166 00:19:29,250 --> 00:19:33,958 milk, and fish in it. So the goal here is to get a polar 167 00:19:33,970 --> 00:19:38,690 bear to come in and put its hand or its head inside this 168 00:19:38,690 --> 00:19:41,677 box, and when that happens, these little wire brushes will 169 00:19:41,689 --> 00:19:44,790 pull out a few pieces of hair that we can use for scientific 170 00:19:44,790 --> 00:19:49,800 analyses. You can learn a lot about polar bears just from a 171 00:19:49,812 --> 00:19:54,750 piece of their hair. We can figure out which individual it 172 00:19:54,750 --> 00:19:58,406 is, or you can get information on what 173 00:19:58,418 --> 00:20:02,650 they're eating. There we go, hair collected. 174 00:20:06,970 --> 00:20:11,697 Eric's molecular studies of the polar bear's hair show that 175 00:20:11,709 --> 00:20:16,370 the bears on Wrangel appear to be finding enough food. But 176 00:20:16,370 --> 00:20:21,670 with more and more bears coming here, will there still be enough food to go round? 177 00:20:27,550 --> 00:20:30,675 One of the main things we expect to happen with sea ice loss 178 00:20:30,687 --> 00:20:33,670 is changes in the movements and the distribution of polar 179 00:20:33,670 --> 00:20:36,121 bears. So polar bears are going to appear in places they 180 00:20:36,133 --> 00:20:38,510 never were before, and they're going to disappear from 181 00:20:38,510 --> 00:20:39,430 places that they were. 182 00:20:47,030 --> 00:20:54,150 Some coastal towns in Siberia have been overrun with up to 50 bears at a time. 183 00:20:59,750 --> 00:21:06,241 They're desperate to eat whatever they can. And in the city 184 00:21:06,253 --> 00:21:12,430 of Norilsk, one female was found an incredible 250 miles 185 00:21:12,430 --> 00:21:14,030 away from the coast. 186 00:21:20,290 --> 00:21:23,870 Lost and starving, she was eventually rescued. 187 00:21:26,690 --> 00:21:28,970 But many are not so lucky. 188 00:21:31,950 --> 00:21:35,266 They are intelligent animals, but there's simply no food on 189 00:21:35,278 --> 00:21:38,550 land that could compare to the seals that the bears eat on 190 00:21:38,550 --> 00:21:39,790 the sea ice. 191 00:21:53,370 --> 00:21:59,146 A future without polar bears would be very sad, but the sea 192 00:21:59,158 --> 00:22:04,850 ice is not just essential for animals. It's a lifeline for 193 00:22:04,850 --> 00:22:09,330 many of the four million people who call the Arctic their home. 194 00:22:21,630 --> 00:22:25,070 People here call themselves Inuit. 195 00:22:28,090 --> 00:22:32,279 Alekasiak Perry lives in Kanak on Greenland's west 196 00:22:32,291 --> 00:22:36,410 coast, the most northern Inuit town in the world. 197 00:22:40,310 --> 00:22:44,750 For centuries, life here has depended on the sea ice. 198 00:22:49,210 --> 00:22:55,506 The dogs are the safest way to travel on the sea ice. 199 00:22:55,518 --> 00:23:02,410 Without the dogs, our ancestors would have never survived. 200 00:23:05,230 --> 00:23:09,262 Not only are dog sleds a way to reach neighbouring 201 00:23:09,274 --> 00:23:14,110 communities, which can be over 100 miles away, but in a land 202 00:23:14,110 --> 00:23:19,379 where no crops can grow, traveling over the sea ice is a 203 00:23:19,391 --> 00:23:24,950 vital route to food, fur and livelihood. We rely on the sea 204 00:23:24,950 --> 00:23:31,330 ice to hunt the seals, to make a living. 205 00:23:38,990 --> 00:23:46,150 The way of hunting is who we are and where we come from. 206 00:23:56,370 --> 00:24:00,860 But the dwindling of the sea ice is making this way of 207 00:24:00,872 --> 00:24:05,210 life not only difficult, but increasingly dangerous. 208 00:24:09,830 --> 00:24:20,710 This year, the sea ice has a lot of waterfalls, and 209 00:24:20,710 --> 00:24:23,630 it's breaking off quite fast. 210 00:24:27,050 --> 00:24:30,470 We trust our dogs. 211 00:24:35,970 --> 00:24:40,310 Somehow we know when they are on the thin ice. 212 00:24:45,690 --> 00:24:48,730 So based up, we cannot travel. 213 00:24:55,610 --> 00:24:58,030 Today, they must turn back. 214 00:25:02,030 --> 00:25:11,099 It has become difficult to be a hunter. The sea ice has 215 00:25:11,111 --> 00:25:20,030 become too dangerous to make enough money to live. For 216 00:25:20,030 --> 00:25:25,647 Canach's 650 residents, the loss of sea ice is the loss 217 00:25:25,659 --> 00:25:31,490 of an entire way of life, and it is creating an uncertain 218 00:25:31,490 --> 00:25:39,150 future. When the sea ice is gone, it will affect everything. 219 00:25:43,410 --> 00:25:48,887 If the world is changing, then we must change with 220 00:25:48,899 --> 00:25:54,710 it. But with us, the change has been going very fast. 221 00:26:03,170 --> 00:26:07,470 And there's a reason for this accelerating rate of change. 222 00:26:11,930 --> 00:26:17,508 In the last 30 years, over 14 trillion tons of ice have 223 00:26:17,520 --> 00:26:23,510 been lost from the Arctic, creating a vicious cycle of ever 224 00:26:23,510 --> 00:26:24,830 -increasing temperatures. 225 00:26:27,470 --> 00:26:33,850 Normally, large areas of snow and ice would act as a mirror, 226 00:26:33,862 --> 00:26:40,150 reflecting up to 85% of the sun's rays back into space. But 227 00:26:40,150 --> 00:26:43,577 as the ice melts, the great white mirror is being 228 00:26:43,589 --> 00:26:46,890 replaced by the darkness of the ice-free ocean. 229 00:26:50,810 --> 00:26:55,659 The dark ocean absorbs the sun's rays, so causing even more 230 00:26:55,671 --> 00:27:00,370 ice to melt. Creating a feedback loop that contributes to 231 00:27:00,370 --> 00:27:01,150 further warming. 232 00:27:05,290 --> 00:27:08,951 Because of this, the Arctic is now warming more 233 00:27:08,963 --> 00:27:12,330 than twice as fast as the Earth as a whole. 234 00:27:16,330 --> 00:27:21,238 That has far-reaching consequences not just for the Arctic 235 00:27:21,250 --> 00:27:26,170 Ocean, but for the vast frozen lands that surround it. The 236 00:27:26,170 --> 00:27:26,970 tundra. 237 00:27:31,070 --> 00:27:37,130 In summer, the open tundra provides refuge for great concentrations of life. 238 00:27:46,210 --> 00:27:51,194 But today, its thick surface soil, that has been deeply 239 00:27:51,206 --> 00:27:56,470 frozen for thousands of years, is thawing. And the pooling 240 00:27:56,470 --> 00:27:59,410 water is creating millions of new lakes. 241 00:28:04,730 --> 00:28:10,650 Here in Alaska, we've seen a 40% increase in the lake area since the 80s. 242 00:28:13,750 --> 00:28:18,497 Professor Katie Walter-Antony has worked across Alaska and 243 00:28:18,509 --> 00:28:23,430 Siberia, studying their lakes. She is interested not so much 244 00:28:23,430 --> 00:28:27,637 in the lakes themselves, but in what is seeping out of them. 245 00:28:27,649 --> 00:28:31,730 We are seeing a bright spot in the satellite image that we 246 00:28:31,730 --> 00:28:33,450 suspect is gas bubbling. 247 00:28:38,230 --> 00:28:43,294 To identify the gas in these bubbles, Katie must collect 248 00:28:43,306 --> 00:28:48,650 some of it. I'm surrounded by tiny bubbles that are rising. 249 00:28:50,530 --> 00:28:53,370 Methane appears to be the dominant gas. 250 00:28:56,370 --> 00:29:00,606 Methane is produced by the decaying remains of prehistoric 251 00:29:00,618 --> 00:29:04,650 plants and animals. As the frozen soil beneath the lake 252 00:29:04,650 --> 00:29:09,184 starts to thaw, it releases stores of this potent greenhouse 253 00:29:09,196 --> 00:29:13,370 gas, which is up to 30 times more effective than carbon 254 00:29:13,370 --> 00:29:18,540 dioxide when it comes to trapping heat in the atmosphere and 255 00:29:18,552 --> 00:29:23,650 accelerating global warming. 45 parts per million for these 256 00:29:23,650 --> 00:29:29,412 tiny bubbles rising higher and higher. Now it's going above 257 00:29:29,424 --> 00:29:34,910 70. This is a huge amount of methane. It could be a mega 258 00:29:34,910 --> 00:29:35,410 -seap. 259 00:29:39,550 --> 00:29:42,174 We are discovering more and more of these methane mega 260 00:29:42,186 --> 00:29:45,110 -seaps. It's streaming out and entering into the atmosphere. 261 00:29:52,670 --> 00:29:55,630 Methane can be seen escaping from lakes, 262 00:29:59,410 --> 00:30:03,327 but it also rises from the land wherever the frozen 263 00:30:03,339 --> 00:30:06,890 soil, known as the permafrost, begins to thaw. 264 00:30:13,710 --> 00:30:20,828 And the arctic tundra is thawing and collapsing at an 265 00:30:20,840 --> 00:30:28,630 unprecedented rate. It's concerning because permafrost, or 266 00:30:28,630 --> 00:30:34,033 frozen ground, occupies about a quarter of the northern 267 00:30:34,045 --> 00:30:39,750 hemisphere land surface. As permafrost thaws, even a small 268 00:30:39,750 --> 00:30:41,890 fraction of that trapped methane escapes. 269 00:30:44,530 --> 00:30:49,970 It will accelerate climate warming, and you cannot reverse it. 270 00:30:56,310 --> 00:31:00,826 It's clear that in the Arctic, changes to permafrost on 271 00:31:00,838 --> 00:31:05,690 the land and floating ice on the sea will have far-reaching 272 00:31:05,690 --> 00:31:10,306 consequences to the planet as a whole. And there is 273 00:31:10,318 --> 00:31:15,390 nowhere better to see the extent of these global changes 274 00:31:18,430 --> 00:31:20,050 than from space. 275 00:31:23,490 --> 00:31:28,258 All of my life I've thought about how this would feel to 276 00:31:28,270 --> 00:31:33,050 gaze back on the planet with my own eyes. NASA scientist 277 00:31:33,050 --> 00:31:37,945 Jessica Mir has spent six months in orbit. From the space 278 00:31:37,957 --> 00:31:42,610 station, you have the planet spinning beneath you, and 279 00:31:42,610 --> 00:31:47,696 you're passing over it at 17,500 miles per hour. We are 280 00:31:47,708 --> 00:31:53,170 going around the entire planet every 90 minutes. So you can 281 00:31:53,170 --> 00:31:57,866 begin to see larger scale phenomena in ways that you just 282 00:31:57,878 --> 00:32:02,830 can't experience on the ground. And we can see the change in 283 00:32:02,830 --> 00:32:07,066 these systems over time. We cannot deny that we are having 284 00:32:07,078 --> 00:32:11,110 an incredible effect on the fate of our planet. And the 285 00:32:11,110 --> 00:32:15,737 effect that we have as humans on our planet, right there 286 00:32:15,749 --> 00:32:20,470 actually, I'm looking down at several fires. I'm not sure 287 00:32:20,470 --> 00:32:24,230 where those are. Let's take a quick peek. 288 00:32:28,570 --> 00:32:33,410 So right now we're flying over Europe and I can see some fires over in that direction. 289 00:32:35,890 --> 00:32:39,068 And that is of course something that we have to 290 00:32:39,080 --> 00:32:42,470 contend more and more with as our climate changes. 291 00:32:45,470 --> 00:32:49,016 As the Arctic warms, wildfires are not only getting more 292 00:32:49,028 --> 00:32:52,710 intense, but they're breaking out in parts of the Northern 293 00:32:52,710 --> 00:32:55,590 Hemisphere where they have never occurred before. 294 00:33:07,930 --> 00:33:11,988 Some scientists believe that unusually warm air rising in 295 00:33:12,000 --> 00:33:16,070 the Arctic is disturbing high-altitude wind currents like 296 00:33:16,070 --> 00:33:20,905 the polar jet stream. Once disturbed, the jet stream 297 00:33:20,917 --> 00:33:26,130 produces hotter and drier conditions much further south. 298 00:33:29,090 --> 00:33:32,748 All of these factors that contribute to wildfires, the 299 00:33:32,760 --> 00:33:36,630 temperature, the soil moisture, the presence of trees and 300 00:33:36,630 --> 00:33:42,630 shrubs and other fuel, have either strong direct or indirect ties to climate change. 301 00:33:45,410 --> 00:33:49,830 A warming Arctic may not only be responsible for the outbreak of wildfires, 302 00:33:53,650 --> 00:33:56,714 but it may also be leading to extreme weather 303 00:33:56,726 --> 00:34:00,470 conditions across the whole of the Northern Hemisphere. 304 00:34:03,630 --> 00:34:07,678 I've always cared so much about the environment and known 305 00:34:07,690 --> 00:34:11,890 that we all need to do our part in protecting it. But after 306 00:34:11,890 --> 00:34:15,579 seeing this view with my own eyes, after seeing all of those 307 00:34:15,591 --> 00:34:19,110 ecosystems from up here, it really makes it resonate even 308 00:34:19,110 --> 00:34:19,990 more loudly. 309 00:34:30,090 --> 00:34:34,494 Outside the Arctic, there's another frozen realm that 310 00:34:34,506 --> 00:34:39,250 stretches across the world's continents, a high mountain. 311 00:34:56,250 --> 00:35:00,130 Home to an extraordinary array of species. 312 00:35:23,770 --> 00:35:26,430 But here, too, there's a problem. 313 00:35:31,950 --> 00:35:36,348 Across the world, mountain glaciers, which have existed for 314 00:35:36,360 --> 00:35:40,550 tens of thousands of years, are shrinking and vanishing. 315 00:35:50,830 --> 00:35:55,212 By the end of this century, some ranges may have no ice 316 00:35:55,224 --> 00:36:00,010 remaining at all. And this will affect not just animals, but 317 00:36:00,010 --> 00:36:01,330 people, too. 318 00:36:07,230 --> 00:36:11,272 Ice lost from the mountain glaciers, from the great ranges 319 00:36:11,284 --> 00:36:15,270 of the world, have a huge consequence for the populations 320 00:36:15,270 --> 00:36:20,370 downstream. And that consequence is their water supply. 321 00:36:24,090 --> 00:36:28,012 Glaciers in the Himalayas are the source of ten of the 322 00:36:28,024 --> 00:36:32,030 largest rivers in Asia, which together provide reliable 323 00:36:32,030 --> 00:36:35,490 fresh water for around a billion people downstream. 324 00:36:37,930 --> 00:36:41,710 If the glaciers disappear, so, too, will the water they supply. 325 00:36:44,710 --> 00:36:50,203 We know that these glaciers are losing about half a metre of 326 00:36:50,215 --> 00:36:55,630 ice a year. What we don't know is how much ice is left. So, 327 00:36:55,650 --> 00:36:59,278 if we know how many metres of ice are left, we can work out 328 00:36:59,290 --> 00:37:02,930 how long they'll last. How long this water supply will keep 329 00:37:02,930 --> 00:37:07,452 going. Dr Hamish Pritchard is part of a team of scientists 330 00:37:07,464 --> 00:37:11,690 who have devised a new instrument to measure ice. They 331 00:37:11,690 --> 00:37:15,888 measure one of the largest Himalayan glaciers. What we're 332 00:37:15,900 --> 00:37:20,110 putting together here is a long frame structure, and it's 333 00:37:20,110 --> 00:37:25,253 designed to hang underneath a helicopter. We're going to put 334 00:37:25,265 --> 00:37:30,250 a radar on it, and the radar will send out radio waves and 335 00:37:30,250 --> 00:37:34,368 then bounce back off the bottom of the glacier, and we'll be 336 00:37:34,380 --> 00:37:38,510 able to measure how thick the ice is. Once his team know how 337 00:37:38,510 --> 00:37:42,770 thick the ice is, they can start to work out how long it will last. 338 00:37:46,670 --> 00:37:48,959 Yeah, today was the moment we were just waiting for it to 339 00:37:48,971 --> 00:37:51,390 get lifted up for the first time. We're hoping it's going to 340 00:37:51,390 --> 00:37:56,030 be nice, steady, stable, nice, easy lift off, but we're about to find out. 341 00:38:01,710 --> 00:38:02,530 Line is clear. 342 00:38:11,810 --> 00:38:13,410 There's a lot of lifting. 343 00:38:19,850 --> 00:38:24,583 Okay, Mike, we must north of me, north of H.E.V. to the 344 00:38:24,595 --> 00:38:29,510 Khunjung area. Hi, Dr Hamish here. How's it flying? Yeah, 345 00:38:29,570 --> 00:38:32,368 with the wind picks up, it's a little more squirrely, but no 346 00:38:32,380 --> 00:38:35,190 problems otherwise. Yeah, it might want to go up a bit more. 347 00:38:35,190 --> 00:38:39,013 We're going a little bit of height there. Yeah, no 348 00:38:39,025 --> 00:38:43,010 problem. Yeah, we'll fly up the net towards Everest. 349 00:38:54,630 --> 00:38:57,752 After hours of scanning, the projection for 350 00:38:57,764 --> 00:39:00,970 this particular glacier is finally revealed. 351 00:39:05,330 --> 00:39:08,272 Yeah, that's pretty nice and clear. I can see exactly 352 00:39:08,284 --> 00:39:10,910 how thick that ice is. That's about 150 meters. 353 00:39:13,910 --> 00:39:17,894 So at the current rate of melting, this section would last 354 00:39:17,906 --> 00:39:21,970 maybe two to three hundred years. But we know that the melt 355 00:39:21,970 --> 00:39:22,910 rates are increasing. 356 00:39:26,710 --> 00:39:29,247 And this is one of the biggest glaciers, so there are many, 357 00:39:29,259 --> 00:39:31,850 many glaciers which are much smaller than this. Much thinner 358 00:39:31,850 --> 00:39:36,550 ice. And they're going to be disappearing much, much earlier than that. 359 00:39:41,790 --> 00:39:46,465 Water is already scarce in parts of Asia. And as glacial 360 00:39:46,477 --> 00:39:51,410 water supplies dry up, there will be even less to go round. 361 00:39:54,370 --> 00:39:57,050 So what happens if these glaciers disappear? 362 00:39:59,670 --> 00:40:04,857 Is that in dry summers, the rivers dry up. Tensions rise, 363 00:40:04,869 --> 00:40:09,710 especially between nations as they share water across 364 00:40:09,710 --> 00:40:10,450 borders. 365 00:40:14,690 --> 00:40:19,550 So one of the big risks of losing this ice is that it raises the risk of conflict. 366 00:40:22,490 --> 00:40:27,063 And that's a frightening prospect. If I have a one-year-old 367 00:40:27,075 --> 00:40:31,430 son, children born at the same time as him will see this 368 00:40:31,430 --> 00:40:31,870 happen. 369 00:40:36,150 --> 00:40:39,810 We need to act now to turn those trajectories round. 370 00:40:48,570 --> 00:40:53,308 There's no doubt that large tracts of our frozen wilderness 371 00:40:53,320 --> 00:40:58,070 are undergoing dramatic changes. But what about the largest 372 00:40:58,070 --> 00:41:01,570 body of ice of all? Antarctica. 373 00:41:05,510 --> 00:41:09,298 We have already seen how even here, animals live in the ice. 374 00:41:09,310 --> 00:41:13,110 The living around the fringes are starting to be affected by 375 00:41:13,110 --> 00:41:17,000 climate change, including chinstrap penguins. 376 00:41:25,750 --> 00:41:31,930 But for another penguin, the Adelie, the consequences are even more extreme. 377 00:41:39,810 --> 00:41:45,010 I arrived here for the first time in 1974. 378 00:41:50,650 --> 00:41:54,730 This part of the world was just 379 00:41:54,742 --> 00:42:01,210 incomprehensibly wild. It was filled with life. 380 00:42:05,450 --> 00:42:08,910 Antarctica absolutely captured me. 381 00:42:13,470 --> 00:42:17,618 Professor Bill Frazer has dedicated his entire 382 00:42:17,630 --> 00:42:21,790 45-year career to studying the Adelie penguin. 383 00:42:24,470 --> 00:42:30,258 What really fascinated me was the incredible hardiness of 384 00:42:30,270 --> 00:42:36,370 these penguins. Feisty, determined, beautiful little animal. 385 00:42:42,310 --> 00:42:45,350 But this environment is changing. 386 00:42:48,450 --> 00:42:53,021 In the last 45 years, the tremendous warming that has 387 00:42:53,033 --> 00:42:58,210 occurred has had an incredible impact. The changes have been 388 00:42:58,210 --> 00:43:02,410 very rapid, more rapid than anyone anticipated. 389 00:43:10,930 --> 00:43:15,269 Bill has witnessed firsthand how these changes have affected 390 00:43:15,281 --> 00:43:19,490 one of the largest colonies of Adelies on the western side 391 00:43:19,490 --> 00:43:25,321 of the Antarctic Peninsula. Four decades ago, this area 392 00:43:25,333 --> 00:43:31,490 contained 20,000 adults. Currently, we only have somewhere 393 00:43:31,490 --> 00:43:35,492 in the order of 400,000 adults. We have 100 breeding pairs. 394 00:43:35,504 --> 00:43:39,250 One of the issues that Adelies are clearly experiencing 395 00:43:39,250 --> 00:43:42,770 right now is just the increase in rainfall. 396 00:43:45,490 --> 00:43:51,800 Adelies are a creature of the high Antarctic. They evolve in 397 00:43:51,812 --> 00:43:58,030 a dry, cold polar system. They simply cannot tolerate being 398 00:43:58,030 --> 00:43:59,490 continuously wet. 399 00:44:04,230 --> 00:44:06,070 The chicks are soaking. 400 00:44:09,430 --> 00:44:12,752 The rain is penetrating their down, breaking 401 00:44:12,764 --> 00:44:15,950 down their ability to insulate themselves. 402 00:44:18,490 --> 00:44:21,453 That's why you see they're shivering, because they're just 403 00:44:21,465 --> 00:44:24,390 trying to maintain their body temperature and they can't. 404 00:44:27,890 --> 00:44:28,450 Sad. 405 00:44:41,950 --> 00:44:47,290 This tiny chick at this point has zero chances of surviving. 406 00:44:50,470 --> 00:44:52,870 They can't even react to the presence of a predator. 407 00:45:04,710 --> 00:45:10,430 We are standing, looking at climate change, actually 408 00:45:10,442 --> 00:45:15,850 killing off these Adelie penguins, one at a time. 409 00:45:34,450 --> 00:45:38,380 Before he leaves Antarctica for the last time, Bill is 410 00:45:38,392 --> 00:45:42,190 visiting an island that was once an Adelie paradise. 411 00:45:46,130 --> 00:45:50,251 When we used to walk onto this island, you could 412 00:45:50,263 --> 00:45:54,650 immediately hear the Adelies. They were everywhere. 413 00:45:57,570 --> 00:46:03,248 In 1974, the populations here were somewhere in the order of 414 00:46:03,260 --> 00:46:08,950 a thousand breeding pairs. All that remains are these little 415 00:46:08,950 --> 00:46:14,268 pebbles scattered throughout the area, stones that were used 416 00:46:14,280 --> 00:46:19,610 in former nest sites. The pebbles are still visible, they're 417 00:46:19,610 --> 00:46:25,703 very abundant, but the birds are gone. This is where 418 00:46:25,715 --> 00:46:32,050 we recorded the first island-wide extinction of Adelie 419 00:46:32,050 --> 00:46:32,810 penguins. 420 00:46:35,130 --> 00:46:41,390 And now the silence that exists here is pretty overbearing. 421 00:47:02,630 --> 00:47:11,270 There's no words that can really describe what I'm feeling at the moment. 422 00:47:18,210 --> 00:47:22,629 We're working with canaries in the coal mine. The Adelie 423 00:47:22,641 --> 00:47:27,150 penguins are, without a doubt, indicator species that are 424 00:47:27,150 --> 00:47:31,785 telling us that the globe is changing, the globe is getting 425 00:47:31,797 --> 00:47:36,290 warmer, it's happening, and we need to do something about 426 00:47:36,290 --> 00:47:37,090 it. 427 00:47:44,610 --> 00:47:49,179 The disappearance of Adelie penguins along the Antarctic 428 00:47:49,191 --> 00:47:53,370 Peninsula is just one example of how record warming 429 00:47:53,370 --> 00:47:56,170 temperatures are affecting life here. 430 00:47:59,790 --> 00:48:04,434 But warming temperatures are also affecting the very 431 00:48:04,446 --> 00:48:09,630 coastline itself. With serious implications for global sea 432 00:48:09,630 --> 00:48:10,510 levels... 433 00:48:15,090 --> 00:48:19,123 Across the glaciological community, we've identified that 434 00:48:19,135 --> 00:48:23,390 sea level rise from Antarctica is the most pressing question 435 00:48:23,390 --> 00:48:28,050 for the next 50 to 100 years. And we as a collaborative 436 00:48:28,062 --> 00:48:32,650 group have come together to try and understand it, and 437 00:48:32,650 --> 00:48:37,271 governments have come together to try and understand it 438 00:48:37,283 --> 00:48:42,330 because it's important. Professor Sridhar Anandakrishnan has 439 00:48:42,330 --> 00:48:47,008 been working in the polar regions for over three decades. 440 00:48:47,020 --> 00:48:51,710 He's part of a team of scientists undertaking the largest 441 00:48:51,710 --> 00:48:56,442 Antarctic expedition for more than 70 years. Their 442 00:48:56,454 --> 00:49:01,850 destination is a remote part of western Antarctica called 443 00:49:01,850 --> 00:49:04,070 the Thwaites Ice Shelf. 444 00:49:07,950 --> 00:49:13,130 Without getting out on the ice, you can't measure things underneath the ice. 445 00:49:17,430 --> 00:49:21,678 Those kinds of things can't be done from space. They can't 446 00:49:21,690 --> 00:49:25,950 be done by drones or aircraft flying over it. You actually 447 00:49:25,950 --> 00:49:29,170 have to go and put your instruments on the ice. 448 00:49:35,190 --> 00:49:41,324 The interior of Antarctica is covered in a giant sheet of 449 00:49:41,336 --> 00:49:47,270 ice, which for millennia has been slowly flowing to the 450 00:49:47,270 --> 00:49:47,670 coast. 451 00:49:52,370 --> 00:49:57,271 But because it's so cold here, rather than carve into the 452 00:49:57,283 --> 00:50:02,450 sea, the ice continues to flow out into the ocean, forming a 453 00:50:02,450 --> 00:50:05,150 floating platform known as an ice shelf. 454 00:50:10,610 --> 00:50:15,740 As an ice shelf grows, it begins to act as a dam, preventing 455 00:50:15,752 --> 00:50:20,810 more of the ice sheet behind it from slipping into the sea. 456 00:50:23,690 --> 00:50:29,470 And the Thwaites Ice Shelf holds back a body of ice the size of Florida. 457 00:50:32,350 --> 00:50:36,831 But scientists are concerned that the ice shelf itself is 458 00:50:36,843 --> 00:50:41,490 now at risk of melting. We're going down through 600 meters 459 00:50:41,490 --> 00:50:47,390 of ice. Once we drill the hole, I'm going to put the explosive charge down. 460 00:50:51,570 --> 00:50:54,930 Small seismic surveys... Okay, firing the hole. 461 00:50:57,630 --> 00:51:01,398 ...help establish exactly where to sink their robotic 462 00:51:01,410 --> 00:51:05,190 underwater probe, which the team hope will record the 463 00:51:05,190 --> 00:51:09,906 temperature of the seawater directly beneath the ice shelf. 464 00:51:09,918 --> 00:51:14,410 Okay, Andy, ready to descend. Try to go a little slower. 465 00:51:15,130 --> 00:51:19,230 Okay. Coming up on 75 meters. 75 meters now. 466 00:51:28,530 --> 00:51:34,250 425 meters. We've arrived at the ice-ocean interface. 467 00:51:37,490 --> 00:51:42,406 Early results are not encouraging. Have we noticed a huge 468 00:51:42,418 --> 00:51:47,430 change in the temperature? Uh, yeah. It is warm water. Can 469 00:51:47,430 --> 00:51:52,469 you see it melt? Like, what's going on there? Because of 470 00:51:52,481 --> 00:51:57,710 climate change, warmer seas directly beneath the ice shelf 471 00:51:57,710 --> 00:52:04,657 are melting it from below. So it's no longer a question of 472 00:52:04,669 --> 00:52:11,510 if this giant dam will disappear, but when. When the vast 473 00:52:11,510 --> 00:52:15,698 ice sheet behind it spills into the ocean, it could have 474 00:52:15,710 --> 00:52:19,910 catastrophic consequences for global sea levels over the 475 00:52:19,910 --> 00:52:20,890 coming centuries. 476 00:52:24,930 --> 00:52:28,225 The amount of water that Antarctica contains 477 00:52:28,237 --> 00:52:31,250 that could go into the ocean is so huge. 478 00:52:35,270 --> 00:52:39,639 This is a global problem. The oceans are all connected 479 00:52:39,651 --> 00:52:44,510 together, so as soon as a glacier puts water into the ocean, 480 00:52:45,650 --> 00:52:47,550 it rises all over the world. 481 00:52:50,890 --> 00:52:56,025 If sea levels rise as predicted, by the year 2050, 150 482 00:52:56,037 --> 00:53:01,090 million people could be displaced from coastal areas. 483 00:53:05,590 --> 00:53:10,876 And by 2070, cities including Miami, New York, Shanghai 484 00:53:10,888 --> 00:53:15,430 and Mumbai will be at risk of serious flooding. 485 00:53:19,090 --> 00:53:24,408 How much water will Antarctica contribute to sea level rise? 486 00:53:24,420 --> 00:53:29,750 The biggest wild cardinal of that is how we as humans affect 487 00:53:29,750 --> 00:53:30,750 climate. 488 00:53:56,130 --> 00:54:01,028 Recently, at COP26, 120 nations came together in 489 00:54:01,040 --> 00:54:06,050 an effort to limit global warming to 1.5 degrees. 490 00:54:08,790 --> 00:54:11,883 While a 1.5 degree rise will still bring significant 491 00:54:11,895 --> 00:54:15,410 changes with it, to some extent, it will be a challenge. To 492 00:54:15,410 --> 00:54:18,374 understand any chance of saving what remains of our 493 00:54:18,386 --> 00:54:21,590 frozen planet and saving ourselves from the devastating 494 00:54:21,590 --> 00:54:26,982 consequences of its loss, we must stick to this commitment 495 00:54:26,994 --> 00:54:32,490 and honor it no matter how challenging it might be. We know 496 00:54:32,490 --> 00:54:37,898 that climate change is happening. We know the main driver of 497 00:54:37,910 --> 00:54:43,330 climate change is human activities, it's human emissions. As 498 00:54:43,330 --> 00:54:46,396 a whole human species, we are not recognizing the impact 499 00:54:46,408 --> 00:54:49,270 that we're having and the fact that we do need to do 500 00:54:49,270 --> 00:54:54,234 something. But the important thing is that I believe all 501 00:54:54,246 --> 00:54:59,310 these processes are reversible. If everybody can make the 502 00:54:59,310 --> 00:55:02,567 effort of doing just one thing, reducing their carbon 503 00:55:02,579 --> 00:55:06,150 footprint. Consume less, think about what we need, what we 504 00:55:06,150 --> 00:55:11,039 really want. Think more sensibly about the journeys we take, 505 00:55:11,051 --> 00:55:15,630 about the food we eat, how that's produced. Figure out a 506 00:55:15,630 --> 00:55:17,790 lifestyle that is sustainable. 507 00:55:21,590 --> 00:55:27,895 And we're right at the point where we can generate all the 508 00:55:27,907 --> 00:55:34,010 power that we need from renewable sources like solar and 509 00:55:34,010 --> 00:55:39,951 wind. To do that, you need to really transform society as 510 00:55:39,963 --> 00:55:45,710 a whole. We can speak to our representatives to try and 511 00:55:45,710 --> 00:55:51,620 reconsider energy policies. If enough of us are educated 512 00:55:51,632 --> 00:55:57,970 about the effects of carbon in the atmosphere, even the most 513 00:55:57,970 --> 00:56:02,702 poorly educated politician will respond to what their 514 00:56:02,714 --> 00:56:07,810 citizenry wants. The awareness and the concern is greater 515 00:56:07,810 --> 00:56:13,303 now than it ever has been. So that gives us some hope. It 516 00:56:13,315 --> 00:56:18,630 won't be easy, but it's doable. If you can do something 517 00:56:18,630 --> 00:56:23,218 about it, then do it. Instead of just thinking about 518 00:56:23,230 --> 00:56:27,570 it, if you can do something about it, then do it. 519 00:56:34,490 --> 00:56:47,530 We can do it. It's within our power to do it. We can do it. We must do it. 520 00:56:53,890 --> 00:56:57,250 Then there will be a future for the planet. 521 00:57:31,190 --> 00:57:41,830 We can do it. We can 522 00:57:41,830 --> 00:57:42,010 do it. 48206

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