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No matter how nuclear war begins, it
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ends in 72 minutes and 5 billion people
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would be dead. Do you think there will
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be a nuclear war? So, I've interviewed
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former secretaries of defense, the
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former nuclear sub commander, the Secret
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Service, and what I learned was
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oh my god. Annie Jacobsen, investigative
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researcher and writer who specializes in
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uncovering the world's biggest secrets.
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We are one misunderstanding away from
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nuclear apocalypse. And yet you have
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presidents threatening nuclear war. In
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fact, the president of the United States
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doesn't need to ask anyone to launch a
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nuclear missile.
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It makes me realize how important the
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decision to pick our leaders is. Nothing
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could be more important. Could you play
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out a scenario where nuclear war broke
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out?
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Yes, and I can describe in painstaking
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horrific detail precisely what happens.
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So,
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but after nuclear war, the survivors
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would be forced to live underground and
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envy the dead.
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Annie,
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is there anyone you interviewed that
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brought you to tears? Yes, I met a woman
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who was a survivor of the Nagasaki bomb,
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and I haven't written about this yet.
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But someone I interviewed and someone
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that meant a lot to me wired that
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nuclear weapon that was dropped on
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Nagasaki.
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Can you speak about the impact that it
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had on both those individuals? Mhm, and
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it's horrifying.
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Congratulations, Diary of a CEO gang.
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We've made some progress. 63% of you
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that listen to this podcast regularly
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don't subscribe, which is down from 69%.
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Our goal is 50%. So, if you've ever
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liked any of the videos we've posted, if
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you like this channel, can you do me a
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quick favor and hit the subscribe
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button? It helps this channel more than
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you know, and the bigger the channel
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gets, as you've seen, the bigger the
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guests get. Thank you, and enjoy this
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episode.
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Annie,
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you wrote this book about nuclear war
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and published it in March 2024.
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The timing
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of this book seems to be a little bit
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coincidental when I
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or not, when I look at what's going on
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in the world at the moment.
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Why did you write a book about nuclear
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war? Mhm. And why did you write it now?
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As an investigative journalist,
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before nuclear war a scenario, I had
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written six
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previous books, all of which are about
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the military and intelligence
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organizations in the United States,
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DARPA, Area 51, always the Pentagon, the
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CIA. That's my That's my beat.
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And think about how many sources I have
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in each book, 100 or more. How many
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covering all the wars, by the way, since
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World War II.
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All these intelligence and military
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programs
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uh intensely kinetic,
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and think of how many people said to me
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with a kind of
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pride, I dedicated my life to preventing
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nuclear World War III. That's always the
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idea in the Defense Department and in
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the CIA. We are there to prevent nuclear
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war. And so, during the previous
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administration,
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former President Trump,
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there was this presidential rhetoric
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going on.
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You may recall fire and fury.
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Trump and the president of North Korea,
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the leader of North Korea, threatening
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this kind of thing, and I, like many,
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I'm sure, began to wonder, my god, what
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if deterrence, another word for
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prevention, fails?
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And that is the question that I put to
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all of those sources in the book, and
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that result is nuclear war a scenario.
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What was your intention?
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I wanted to show in horrific detail
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just how
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horrible, just how apocalyptic nuclear
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war will be.
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Because I think many people have
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forgotten
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or don't know to begin with
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the consequences
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of a nuclear exchange. As I show in the
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book, almost certainly,
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if a nuclear exchange happens, and we're
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talking strategic ballistic missiles, it
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will not stop until the world ends.
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And we are talking about in seconds and
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minutes, not in days and weeks and
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months.
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That is astonishing.
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When did you start writing the book?
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When was the first word written?
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So, probably during COVID was the first
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word written, but keep in mind, my
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reporting on nuclear weapons goes back
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my entire career. My first
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book, Area 51,
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is about a a joint CIA Air Force base
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out there in the Nevada desert inside
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a secret test and training range where
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the United States government used to
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explode nuclear weapons.
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Atmospheric nuclear weapons in the '50s.
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And so, my when I was reporting Area 51,
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I I wound up quite literally, I did not
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intend to, but I wound up interviewing
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the people who armed, wired, and fired
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those nuclear weapons, early Manhattan
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Project members.
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And they That was kind of my B story of
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Area 51.
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And what I learned was like,
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oh my god. And I was also surprised to
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learn that most people didn't even know
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we, the American government, set off 100
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some odd atmospheric nuclear weapons in
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the desert in Nevada testing them.
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So, my reporting, to answer That's a
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long-winded answer of I've been on this
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issue
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peripherally,
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you know, for years, for more than a
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decade, but the idea in this book, the
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word one, as you asked, was like, once I
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understood that nuclear war is a
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sequence,
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it begins the first fraction of a second
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after detection,
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then I could see clearly, oh my god,
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it's a ticking clock scenario.
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Because it just all happens so fast.
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I'll ask that again because So, if you
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started writing the first word of the
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book on nuclear war in COVID, sort of
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2020,
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Mhm.
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2020, roughly? 2021?
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Around there.
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Yeah. 2020, 2021, yeah. Since then,
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things have escalated around the world
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in terms of conflict in a way that I
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imagine you couldn't have forecasted.
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And even it's almost ironic that in the
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month that your book was published,
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Putin moved I think he moved nuclear
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weapons into Belarus, and the rhetoric
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and he started saying that he would use
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them. And if you look at the terminology
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him and his commanders are using towards
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the world, it seems like we're at a
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moment that I haven't seen in my
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lifetime where the subject of nuclear
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war seems to be more real than ever
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before.
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You're absolutely right, and that is
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astonishing because in 2021, when I
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began the interviews,
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people were forthcoming with me, you
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know, as you know from the list of
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sources I've interviewed, former
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secretaries of defense, former nuclear
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sub commander, you know, former STRATCOM
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commander, former FEMA director, former
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cyber chief.
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And a lot of these individuals shared
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with me in 2021 this idea that wow, the
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world has kind of forgotten that the
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nuclear
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threat is always there.
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And so, over the course of reporting and
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writing, you're absolutely right that
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the geopolitical
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temperature of the world has escalated
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to a point that you have not seen in
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your lifetime and I haven't seen in my
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lifetime.
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Setting the stage even more, we talked
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about how possible nuclear war is, but
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one thing I learned from reading your
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book, which actually surprised me,
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was that it doesn't take thousands of
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people to agree on a nuclear war for it
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to begin.
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In the case of the United States, it
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only takes one person to make that
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decision,
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which I find quite unnerving that
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there's one individual
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that can theoretically make the decision
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that would destroy the earth.
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Uh you're absolutely right, and this
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kind of thing is surprising to almost
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everyone. One of the things that I
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strive to do in my reporting is take
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very complex
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science and technology, military issues,
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and simplify them down for the layman,
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just for the average Joe or the average
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Jane. And I do that by interviewing
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the really smart, really knowledgeable
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people on those subjects. I have two
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things going for me, perhaps, as an
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investigative journalist that help in
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conveying a story, is that I'm not a
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scientist, and so, I can ask questions
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that the average person would ask, like,
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really try and help me understand this,
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whatever this is. And then also that I
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have a real interest in
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making what is conveyed to me
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make sense
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to other people in their lives, right?
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So, and also, perhaps, make them
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realize,
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I never even stopped to think about the
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fact, how strange is it that the United
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States president, this is what you learn
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in the book and you're talking about,
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the United States president has sole
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presidential authority to launch a
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nuclear war. What does that mean? It's
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exactly like it sounds. What's so
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interesting is a lot of this stuff, this
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nomenclature that gets thrown at you,
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if you just break it down, it's sole,
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solo,
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presidential, he's the POTUS,
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authority. He doesn't have to ask anyone
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for permission.
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Not the SECDEF, not the Chairman of the
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Joint Chiefs of Staff, not the Congress.
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I love the worried look on your face in
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this moment because it is Once you know
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that,
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you say Well, first you might Google, is
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it really true? And you will get, for
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example, on Reddit, like, that's not
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really true. You'll get like hundreds of
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thousands of people,
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you know, coming in with their opinions
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about how that's not really true.
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Well, it is really true.
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It's absolutely true. And in fact,
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during the former President Trump
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administration,
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Congress became so sort of
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And I want to say motivated or alarmed
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by this issue, meaning they were being
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asked questions by the powers that be,
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is this actually true? That they
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released a report stating specifically,
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and I quote in the book, yes, it is
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true. As Commander in Chief, the
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President has this sole authority. He
281
00:11:06,200 --> 00:11:08,839
doesn't need to ask anyone.
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And hopefully,
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00:11:10,320 --> 00:11:13,520
sort of my bringing sort of concepts
284
00:11:13,520 --> 00:11:15,680
like that to the fore right away, the
285
00:11:15,680 --> 00:11:17,360
reader can then become engaged and they
286
00:11:17,360 --> 00:11:20,720
say, well, that's weird. Why? And then I
287
00:11:20,720 --> 00:11:22,720
can give you a very simple answer
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without
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00:11:24,080 --> 00:11:25,480
necessarily taking you through the whole
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00:11:25,480 --> 00:11:27,960
history of presidential authority, but
291
00:11:27,960 --> 00:11:29,680
it has to do with the ticking clock of
292
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it.
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00:11:31,040 --> 00:11:33,160
And I explain to you right away that a
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ballistic missile
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00:11:35,080 --> 00:11:37,760
travels from one continent in It's
296
00:11:37,760 --> 00:11:39,240
called an ICBM. People have heard of
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that. Intercontinental ballistic
298
00:11:42,040 --> 00:11:43,760
missile. Again,
299
00:11:43,760 --> 00:11:45,600
exactly like it sounds. It can travel
300
00:11:45,600 --> 00:11:48,960
from one continent to the next in
301
00:11:48,960 --> 00:11:51,800
roughly 30 minutes carrying a nuclear
302
00:11:51,800 --> 00:11:53,800
warhead to strike a target.
303
00:11:53,800 --> 00:11:55,360
Once you realize, wait a minute, there
304
00:11:55,360 --> 00:11:57,720
are only 30 minutes,
305
00:11:57,720 --> 00:11:59,520
this isn't like, hey guys, should we go
306
00:11:59,520 --> 00:12:01,920
have a war in Iraq? Let's discuss this.
307
00:12:01,920 --> 00:12:03,560
Let's debate this. Let's take it to the
308
00:12:03,560 --> 00:12:05,080
Congress.
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00:12:05,080 --> 00:12:07,640
This is There is a ballistic missile,
310
00:12:07,640 --> 00:12:10,320
sir, coming at the United States, and
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00:12:10,320 --> 00:12:13,000
you must act.
312
00:12:13,000 --> 00:12:16,360
And that's why, in the simplest layman's
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terms, sole presidential authority
314
00:12:19,880 --> 00:12:21,480
exists.
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00:12:21,480 --> 00:12:23,120
So, let's define then
316
00:12:23,120 --> 00:12:25,520
what these weapons are. We Many of us
317
00:12:25,520 --> 00:12:26,839
have seen that film Oppenheimer. We saw
318
00:12:26,839 --> 00:12:28,000
them out in the desert, I think, in New
319
00:12:28,000 --> 00:12:29,480
Mexico playing playing with all these
320
00:12:29,480 --> 00:12:31,400
weapons and eventually making this one
321
00:12:31,400 --> 00:12:33,320
bomb that they would then drop drop in
322
00:12:33,320 --> 00:12:35,040
Japan.
323
00:12:35,040 --> 00:12:36,520
The weapon we see in that film, which
324
00:12:36,520 --> 00:12:38,680
was in the 1940 made in the 1940s that
325
00:12:38,680 --> 00:12:40,400
ultimately led to the end of the war, is
326
00:12:40,400 --> 00:12:42,000
that the same weapon that we're talking
327
00:12:42,000 --> 00:12:43,440
about today?
328
00:12:43,440 --> 00:12:44,480
No.
329
00:12:44,480 --> 00:12:47,320
Well, in in in sort of principle, in
330
00:12:47,320 --> 00:12:50,200
yes, meaning it's an atomic bomb, but
331
00:12:50,200 --> 00:12:52,440
there's two things that separate where
332
00:12:52,440 --> 00:12:53,880
we are now.
333
00:12:53,880 --> 00:12:55,560
One has to do with the size and the
334
00:12:55,560 --> 00:12:57,240
power of the bomb.
335
00:12:57,240 --> 00:13:00,120
So, the the In 1945, there were atomic
336
00:13:00,120 --> 00:13:02,400
bombs. Now, there are thermonuclear
337
00:13:02,400 --> 00:13:06,440
bombs. So, an atomic bomb is used inside
338
00:13:06,440 --> 00:13:10,360
a thermonuclear weapon as the trigger.
339
00:13:10,360 --> 00:13:11,920
Okay.
340
00:13:11,920 --> 00:13:13,680
It is a bomb inside a bomb. And the
341
00:13:13,680 --> 00:13:16,320
power of the thermonuclear bomb is so
342
00:13:16,320 --> 00:13:18,480
astonishingly,
343
00:13:18,480 --> 00:13:20,760
you know, destructive, you can read the
344
00:13:20,760 --> 00:13:22,800
details. I interviewed Richard Garwin,
345
00:13:22,800 --> 00:13:25,440
who designed the first thermonuclear
346
00:13:25,440 --> 00:13:28,200
bomb for Edward Teller when he was 24
347
00:13:28,200 --> 00:13:29,640
years old. I interviewed him, he's in
348
00:13:29,640 --> 00:13:32,400
his 90s. He explains to me, and I
349
00:13:32,400 --> 00:13:33,960
explain to you,
350
00:13:33,960 --> 00:13:36,440
what the power is behind that. But this
351
00:13:36,440 --> 00:13:38,280
So, the atomic bomb and and it has to do
352
00:13:38,280 --> 00:13:39,920
with size. Like, the old atomic bomb,
353
00:13:39,920 --> 00:13:41,680
the one that was dropped on Hiroshima
354
00:13:41,680 --> 00:13:44,760
was the size of a small elephant.
355
00:13:44,760 --> 00:13:48,080
Okay, 15 kilotons in a big giant
356
00:13:48,080 --> 00:13:50,160
elephant-sized bomb inside of an
357
00:13:50,160 --> 00:13:53,280
aircraft having to fly from Tinian
358
00:13:53,280 --> 00:13:57,080
Island to over Hiroshima where it drops
359
00:13:57,080 --> 00:13:59,320
in an aircraft.
360
00:13:59,320 --> 00:14:01,640
That all changed
361
00:14:01,640 --> 00:14:04,280
when we brought the Nazi scientists to
362
00:14:04,280 --> 00:14:07,040
us. Ooh, let's have Let's figure out how
363
00:14:07,040 --> 00:14:08,760
to do two things. Let's figure out how
364
00:14:08,760 --> 00:14:09,560
to
365
00:14:09,560 --> 00:14:11,560
create more powerful bombs. That's the
366
00:14:11,560 --> 00:14:13,560
result The result is the thermonuclear
367
00:14:13,560 --> 00:14:16,120
bomb. And let's make them smaller.
368
00:14:16,120 --> 00:14:18,360
We can't load an elephant-sized weapon
369
00:14:18,360 --> 00:14:20,440
into the top of a ballistic missile. It
370
00:14:20,440 --> 00:14:22,480
needs to be smaller. And so, so much of
371
00:14:22,480 --> 00:14:25,440
this buildup was about creating more
372
00:14:25,440 --> 00:14:29,120
powerful weapons to be smaller in size.
373
00:14:29,120 --> 00:14:30,839
And then you see the military-industrial
374
00:14:30,839 --> 00:14:33,280
complex. You see You can imagine, and I
375
00:14:33,280 --> 00:14:35,079
do this as a history lesson in just a
376
00:14:35,079 --> 00:14:37,640
few short pages to try to bring readers
377
00:14:37,640 --> 00:14:40,800
up to speed without losing the drama of
378
00:14:40,800 --> 00:14:42,280
the narrative.
379
00:14:42,280 --> 00:14:43,920
And
380
00:14:43,920 --> 00:14:45,920
the result, so if you flash forward to
381
00:14:45,920 --> 00:14:47,400
where we are now, which is where we've
382
00:14:47,400 --> 00:14:49,760
been for a very long time, is a nuclear
383
00:14:49,760 --> 00:14:53,280
triad, just like it sounds, three parts.
384
00:14:53,280 --> 00:14:57,400
We have ICBMs, silos under the ground.
385
00:14:57,400 --> 00:14:58,920
So, those are weapons hidden in the
386
00:14:58,920 --> 00:15:00,720
ground? In the United States, there are
387
00:15:00,720 --> 00:15:03,160
400 of them. There were more. Now, there
388
00:15:03,160 --> 00:15:05,320
400. You can find out where they are on
389
00:15:05,320 --> 00:15:06,480
a map.
390
00:15:06,480 --> 00:15:08,520
They're in silos, underground silos
391
00:15:08,520 --> 00:15:12,000
across the Midwest and the West.
392
00:15:12,000 --> 00:15:14,400
Then we have our nuclear-armed,
393
00:15:14,400 --> 00:15:18,920
nuclear-powered submarines that carry
394
00:15:18,920 --> 00:15:21,400
that same kind of concept of a ballistic
395
00:15:21,400 --> 00:15:22,920
missile
396
00:15:22,920 --> 00:15:25,360
with a warhead in its nose cone.
397
00:15:25,360 --> 00:15:27,000
We have those same systems on
398
00:15:27,000 --> 00:15:28,839
submarines.
399
00:15:28,839 --> 00:15:30,440
And the technology behind it is
400
00:15:30,440 --> 00:15:31,760
astonishing. I take the reader through
401
00:15:31,760 --> 00:15:34,040
it fast from the experts who explain it
402
00:15:34,040 --> 00:15:36,800
to me in a digestible way.
403
00:15:36,800 --> 00:15:40,360
And those systems lurk around in the
404
00:15:40,360 --> 00:15:41,680
oceans
405
00:15:41,680 --> 00:15:44,600
all 24 hours a day,
406
00:15:44,600 --> 00:15:46,880
7 days a week, 365
407
00:15:46,880 --> 00:15:47,880
days a year. They're called the
408
00:15:47,880 --> 00:15:50,760
handmaidens of the apocalypse. They're
409
00:15:50,760 --> 00:15:52,280
almost impossible to find, right? They
410
00:15:52,280 --> 00:15:54,800
are impossible to find. The nuclear The
411
00:15:54,800 --> 00:15:57,480
former nuclear force sub commander,
412
00:15:57,480 --> 00:15:58,920
um
413
00:15:58,920 --> 00:16:01,040
Admiral Connor,
414
00:16:01,040 --> 00:16:02,680
had this great way of describing it to
415
00:16:02,680 --> 00:16:04,560
me. When I said, like, how hard is it to
416
00:16:04,560 --> 00:16:07,480
find a sub? He said, Annie, it's easier
417
00:16:07,480 --> 00:16:10,800
to find a grapefruit-sized
418
00:16:10,800 --> 00:16:14,160
object in space
419
00:16:14,160 --> 00:16:16,880
than a nuclear sub under the sea.
420
00:16:16,880 --> 00:16:18,600
And it's not just the United States that
421
00:16:18,600 --> 00:16:20,360
have these weapons, which I think is
422
00:16:20,360 --> 00:16:22,240
important to say. There's many people
423
00:16:22,240 --> 00:16:24,240
listening all around the world now who
424
00:16:24,240 --> 00:16:25,600
have these weapons in their country,
425
00:16:25,600 --> 00:16:27,440
too. You list um several of those
426
00:16:27,440 --> 00:16:28,920
countries. I think it's nine countries
427
00:16:28,920 --> 00:16:30,400
in total that have nuclear weapons,
428
00:16:30,400 --> 00:16:32,160
right? What are those countries? I know
429
00:16:32,160 --> 00:16:33,520
we have them back in the UK.
430
00:16:33,520 --> 00:16:35,280
Yeah, there are nine nuclear-armed
431
00:16:35,280 --> 00:16:37,000
nations. Also really interesting to
432
00:16:37,000 --> 00:16:39,160
think about that the whole sort of
433
00:16:39,160 --> 00:16:41,120
let's have a triad. Let's have all these
434
00:16:41,120 --> 00:16:42,959
weapons that we will use We will have a
435
00:16:42,959 --> 00:16:44,800
concept of mutually assured destruction,
436
00:16:44,800 --> 00:16:46,760
so we will have these weapons, but we
437
00:16:46,760 --> 00:16:48,200
will never use them because everyone
438
00:16:48,200 --> 00:16:50,280
would be destroyed. Those concepts go
439
00:16:50,280 --> 00:16:53,240
back to the '50s when there were only
440
00:16:53,240 --> 00:16:56,000
two nuclear-armed nations, the United
441
00:16:56,000 --> 00:16:59,360
States and Soviet Russia. So,
442
00:16:59,360 --> 00:17:01,320
you know, really making all of this more
443
00:17:01,320 --> 00:17:03,040
precarious, talk
444
00:17:03,040 --> 00:17:05,040
looping back to your,
445
00:17:05,040 --> 00:17:07,079
you know, notion that, like, my God, we
446
00:17:07,079 --> 00:17:09,079
are at this precipice
447
00:17:09,079 --> 00:17:10,280
of
448
00:17:10,280 --> 00:17:12,839
danger, which we are, is because there
449
00:17:12,839 --> 00:17:14,839
are nine nuclear-armed nations, many of
450
00:17:14,839 --> 00:17:18,360
which are in direct conflict with others
451
00:17:18,360 --> 00:17:21,760
or their neighbors. And they are the US,
452
00:17:21,760 --> 00:17:24,079
Russia, China,
453
00:17:24,079 --> 00:17:28,880
the UK, France, India and Pakistan,
454
00:17:28,880 --> 00:17:30,120
Israel,
455
00:17:30,120 --> 00:17:32,800
North Korea.
456
00:17:32,800 --> 00:17:36,520
And there's some threat that Iran
457
00:17:36,520 --> 00:17:39,360
are trying to Absolutely. I mean, that
458
00:17:39,360 --> 00:17:42,679
is a very, very, very significant
459
00:17:42,679 --> 00:17:45,240
threat. And you really have to look I
460
00:17:45,240 --> 00:17:46,840
think the book
461
00:17:46,840 --> 00:17:48,040
I stay away from the sort of
462
00:17:48,040 --> 00:17:49,640
geopolitical
463
00:17:49,640 --> 00:17:52,600
posturing or analysis or even,
464
00:17:52,600 --> 00:17:53,600
um
465
00:17:53,600 --> 00:17:56,880
you know, opinion about the political
466
00:17:56,880 --> 00:17:59,640
aspect of all of this. But I think
467
00:17:59,640 --> 00:18:02,160
readers get to take their away there and
468
00:18:02,160 --> 00:18:04,679
have, because I have read a lot of the
469
00:18:04,679 --> 00:18:06,760
responses and had a lot of really
470
00:18:06,760 --> 00:18:09,240
interesting conversations since the book
471
00:18:09,240 --> 00:18:11,200
published a month ago.
472
00:18:11,200 --> 00:18:13,040
But yes, you can take away what you
473
00:18:13,040 --> 00:18:15,760
think about the fact, what, my God, you
474
00:18:15,760 --> 00:18:19,400
put a 10th nuclear-armed nation in here.
475
00:18:19,400 --> 00:18:21,240
That is Iran.
476
00:18:21,240 --> 00:18:23,679
How
477
00:18:23,679 --> 00:18:26,920
more destabilizing is that going to be
478
00:18:26,920 --> 00:18:30,280
to safety and security?
479
00:18:30,280 --> 00:18:32,200
And when I look at the list of countries
480
00:18:32,200 --> 00:18:33,720
um you've written about that have these
481
00:18:33,720 --> 00:18:35,280
nuclear weapons,
482
00:18:35,280 --> 00:18:37,560
the US, Russia, they're both basically
483
00:18:37,560 --> 00:18:39,159
in proxy wars at the moment with
484
00:18:39,159 --> 00:18:40,360
obviously the the war going on in
485
00:18:40,360 --> 00:18:41,560
Ukraine.
486
00:18:41,560 --> 00:18:44,240
Think about Pakistan and India, um
487
00:18:44,240 --> 00:18:47,240
Israel and Iran, you know, they're both
488
00:18:47,240 --> 00:18:49,400
at conflicts flat throwing different
489
00:18:49,400 --> 00:18:50,640
missiles at each other and drones at
490
00:18:50,640 --> 00:18:52,240
each other at the moment.
491
00:18:52,240 --> 00:18:54,480
Um the UK and and France are obviously
492
00:18:54,480 --> 00:18:56,520
part of NATO, so they're kind of
493
00:18:56,520 --> 00:18:58,960
sucked into the whole Russia-Ukraine-US
494
00:18:58,960 --> 00:19:00,880
conflict that's going on, that proxy war
495
00:19:00,880 --> 00:19:03,360
there. These countries right now, many
496
00:19:03,360 --> 00:19:04,600
of them, I think the majority of them,
497
00:19:04,600 --> 00:19:06,440
are involved in a direct war or some
498
00:19:06,440 --> 00:19:08,640
form of proxy war as it is.
499
00:19:08,640 --> 00:19:10,880
And with many of these wars, it's hard
500
00:19:10,880 --> 00:19:12,440
to find the way that it ends, the way
501
00:19:12,440 --> 00:19:14,840
out, the kind of golden bridge, because
502
00:19:14,840 --> 00:19:16,520
Ukraine aren't going to relent, so
503
00:19:16,520 --> 00:19:19,240
Russia aren't going to necessarily
504
00:19:19,240 --> 00:19:21,040
decide one day that they're going to
505
00:19:21,040 --> 00:19:22,560
lose the war. That would cause
506
00:19:22,560 --> 00:19:24,360
significant ramifications for Putin, his
507
00:19:24,360 --> 00:19:26,600
reputation, and Russia as a whole. The
508
00:19:26,600 --> 00:19:29,120
US can't let Ukraine lose for a variety
509
00:19:29,120 --> 00:19:31,320
of geopolitical reasons. And then at the
510
00:19:31,320 --> 00:19:32,880
same time, all this conflict started in
511
00:19:32,880 --> 00:19:34,600
Israel following the the attack in
512
00:19:34,600 --> 00:19:36,720
Israel, which has sucked Iran in and
513
00:19:36,720 --> 00:19:38,280
much of that region. It's all seems
514
00:19:38,280 --> 00:19:39,320
like,
515
00:19:39,320 --> 00:19:41,000
you know, these are the countries right
516
00:19:41,000 --> 00:19:43,760
now that are involved in
517
00:19:43,760 --> 00:19:45,919
the conflict that is scaring many much
518
00:19:45,919 --> 00:19:47,080
many of us
519
00:19:47,080 --> 00:19:48,480
um in a significant way. And if all
520
00:19:48,480 --> 00:19:50,000
these countries operate in a similar way
521
00:19:50,000 --> 00:19:51,880
where there's one individual that can
522
00:19:51,880 --> 00:19:53,320
make the decision
523
00:19:53,320 --> 00:19:57,200
to release those weapons.
524
00:19:57,200 --> 00:19:58,880
It is quite scary.
525
00:19:58,880 --> 00:20:01,440
The UN Secretary General said recently
526
00:20:01,440 --> 00:20:03,280
that we are one
527
00:20:03,280 --> 00:20:07,440
misunderstanding, one miscalculation
528
00:20:07,440 --> 00:20:10,560
away from nuclear Armageddon.
529
00:20:10,560 --> 00:20:14,000
And so the scary part of it is that when
530
00:20:14,000 --> 00:20:16,840
you look at that sort of verbage, right?
531
00:20:16,840 --> 00:20:19,480
When I talk about you know, nuclear
532
00:20:19,480 --> 00:20:22,880
Armageddon, nuclear apocalypse, nuclear
533
00:20:22,880 --> 00:20:24,640
holocaust.
534
00:20:24,640 --> 00:20:27,840
Those are words out of the mouths of
535
00:20:27,840 --> 00:20:30,880
some of these leaders. So there is a
536
00:20:30,880 --> 00:20:34,800
very clear notion that if nuclear war
537
00:20:34,800 --> 00:20:36,880
starts, it ends
538
00:20:36,880 --> 00:20:40,160
civilization. That is almost certainly
539
00:20:40,160 --> 00:20:43,720
known among the leaders. And yet
540
00:20:43,720 --> 00:20:46,920
you have people like the president of
541
00:20:46,920 --> 00:20:48,640
Russia and the president of the United
542
00:20:48,640 --> 00:20:49,920
States
543
00:20:49,920 --> 00:20:52,760
and the leader of North Korea
544
00:20:52,760 --> 00:20:56,320
throwing around threats and terms. You
545
00:20:56,320 --> 00:20:59,040
know, the leader of North Korea recently
546
00:20:59,040 --> 00:21:01,440
accused the United States of having a
547
00:21:01,440 --> 00:21:05,160
sinister intention of provoking nuclear
548
00:21:05,160 --> 00:21:06,320
war.
549
00:21:06,320 --> 00:21:08,160
I mean, that is a provocation on top of
550
00:21:08,160 --> 00:21:10,320
a provocation in you know, embedded in
551
00:21:10,320 --> 00:21:12,320
but to your point
552
00:21:12,320 --> 00:21:14,440
what's the point of being scared?
553
00:21:14,440 --> 00:21:17,320
Well, the point is
554
00:21:17,320 --> 00:21:20,600
to realize that passivity
555
00:21:20,600 --> 00:21:23,960
is not necessarily the answer. That your
556
00:21:23,960 --> 00:21:28,400
knowledge of the situation leads to
557
00:21:28,400 --> 00:21:29,880
change. That's just the that's just the
558
00:21:29,880 --> 00:21:32,080
history of of civilization. One of the
559
00:21:32,080 --> 00:21:33,160
things that did make me think when I
560
00:21:33,160 --> 00:21:36,040
realized that there's one individual in
561
00:21:36,040 --> 00:21:37,880
in the United States, where we are now,
562
00:21:37,880 --> 00:21:39,840
who can make that decision and that
563
00:21:39,840 --> 00:21:41,960
there's basically like someone following
564
00:21:41,960 --> 00:21:43,760
the president with a briefcase called
565
00:21:43,760 --> 00:21:45,000
the it's like the football or something.
566
00:21:45,000 --> 00:21:46,720
Yes. What is that football for people
567
00:21:46,720 --> 00:21:49,120
that don't know? Yeah. And so so now
568
00:21:49,120 --> 00:21:50,960
that people know about the football or
569
00:21:50,960 --> 00:21:53,040
when they read it, you'll you'll see you
570
00:21:53,040 --> 00:21:55,400
can see in photographs of the president,
571
00:21:55,400 --> 00:21:57,720
you will almost if he's in frame, you'll
572
00:21:57,720 --> 00:21:59,960
see the mill aid. That's the military
573
00:21:59,960 --> 00:22:03,040
aid. An individual who is assigned to be
574
00:22:03,040 --> 00:22:07,440
with the president 24/7 365. And inside
575
00:22:07,440 --> 00:22:09,120
the football, it's called the emergency
576
00:22:09,120 --> 00:22:10,600
satchel
577
00:22:10,600 --> 00:22:13,400
are two important things. There's
578
00:22:13,400 --> 00:22:15,840
instrumentation that allows the
579
00:22:15,840 --> 00:22:18,320
president to be identified as the
580
00:22:18,320 --> 00:22:21,400
president to the National Military
581
00:22:21,400 --> 00:22:22,960
Command Center, which is the nuclear
582
00:22:22,960 --> 00:22:25,040
bunker beneath the Pentagon.
583
00:22:25,040 --> 00:22:28,840
Okay? So it's a it's a call and response
584
00:22:28,840 --> 00:22:31,720
authentic authentication.
585
00:22:31,720 --> 00:22:34,360
And then there is something called
586
00:22:34,360 --> 00:22:37,440
colloquially the black book.
587
00:22:37,440 --> 00:22:39,080
And it was told to me the reason it's
588
00:22:39,080 --> 00:22:40,640
called the black book is cuz it involves
589
00:22:40,640 --> 00:22:42,520
so much death.
590
00:22:42,520 --> 00:22:45,440
And what the black book is is a list of
591
00:22:45,440 --> 00:22:48,440
nuclear strike options for the president
592
00:22:48,440 --> 00:22:51,240
to choose from. And so once the
593
00:22:51,240 --> 00:22:53,679
president is notified that a ballistic
594
00:22:53,679 --> 00:22:56,720
missile is coming at the United States
595
00:22:56,720 --> 00:22:58,520
and he has to make a decision about a
596
00:22:58,520 --> 00:23:00,360
counterattack
597
00:23:00,360 --> 00:23:02,720
he must look quickly because as you
598
00:23:02,720 --> 00:23:04,400
learn in the book and as I learned from
599
00:23:04,400 --> 00:23:05,720
presidents
600
00:23:05,720 --> 00:23:08,240
uh there is a 6-minute window of
601
00:23:08,240 --> 00:23:10,200
decision-making.
602
00:23:10,200 --> 00:23:13,160
And so there's no time for a round table
603
00:23:13,160 --> 00:23:15,280
discussion.
604
00:23:15,280 --> 00:23:18,440
There is a list of options that has been
605
00:23:18,440 --> 00:23:20,360
pre-prepared
606
00:23:20,360 --> 00:23:23,040
for the president to choose from.
607
00:23:23,040 --> 00:23:25,600
And I interviewed for the book someone
608
00:23:25,600 --> 00:23:27,440
who actually
609
00:23:27,440 --> 00:23:28,880
was responsible for some of those
610
00:23:28,880 --> 00:23:30,880
decisions in the '80s.
611
00:23:30,880 --> 00:23:33,280
And he
612
00:23:33,280 --> 00:23:36,679
described to me in appalling detail
613
00:23:36,679 --> 00:23:39,640
what it was like to have worked on this
614
00:23:39,640 --> 00:23:43,040
in the Pentagon, like worked out
615
00:23:43,040 --> 00:23:46,000
numerically different targets and why
616
00:23:46,000 --> 00:23:49,400
they would be targets in said strike XYZ
617
00:23:49,400 --> 00:23:51,760
or Q against said nation.
618
00:23:51,760 --> 00:23:55,000
And then later seeing the black book and
619
00:23:55,000 --> 00:23:57,440
realizing the like sort of transmutation
620
00:23:57,440 --> 00:23:59,920
of that information to what was
621
00:23:59,920 --> 00:24:02,679
described by the only mill aid who's
622
00:24:02,679 --> 00:24:04,280
ever gone on the record speaking about
623
00:24:04,280 --> 00:24:07,280
this as essentially like a Denny's menu
624
00:24:07,280 --> 00:24:09,800
list of options.
625
00:24:09,800 --> 00:24:11,400
And
626
00:24:11,400 --> 00:24:14,640
so you understand that this list is so
627
00:24:14,640 --> 00:24:16,440
watered down
628
00:24:16,440 --> 00:24:20,120
into strike options and there is so
629
00:24:20,120 --> 00:24:22,560
little time that the president in
630
00:24:22,560 --> 00:24:25,960
essence has really no idea
631
00:24:25,960 --> 00:24:28,280
what he's striking and how many millions
632
00:24:28,280 --> 00:24:30,320
of people will be killed.
633
00:24:30,320 --> 00:24:31,720
When I
634
00:24:31,720 --> 00:24:33,080
hear that, it makes me realize how
635
00:24:33,080 --> 00:24:34,679
important the decision to pick our
636
00:24:34,679 --> 00:24:35,920
leaders is.
637
00:24:35,920 --> 00:24:37,760
Something I didn't realize before.
638
00:24:37,760 --> 00:24:39,720
Nothing could be more important. And yet
639
00:24:39,720 --> 00:24:41,440
I learned in the book and I'm talking
640
00:24:41,440 --> 00:24:43,120
about from former secretaries of
641
00:24:43,120 --> 00:24:45,600
defense, people very close to the
642
00:24:45,600 --> 00:24:48,920
president, that most presidents are
643
00:24:48,920 --> 00:24:52,240
ill-informed about their role as
644
00:24:52,240 --> 00:24:54,120
commander in chief in a nuclear war
645
00:24:54,120 --> 00:24:56,360
because and it was said to me, most
646
00:24:56,360 --> 00:24:57,920
don't want to know.
647
00:24:57,920 --> 00:24:59,720
And again, so this brings us back to
648
00:24:59,720 --> 00:25:03,080
that paradox of deterrence. The original
649
00:25:03,080 --> 00:25:04,880
question I asked in writing and
650
00:25:04,880 --> 00:25:06,800
reporting this book, what if deterrence
651
00:25:06,800 --> 00:25:09,840
fails? Deterrence is this idea, we will
652
00:25:09,840 --> 00:25:12,120
have so many nuclear weapons pointed at
653
00:25:12,120 --> 00:25:14,280
the other side, they will have so many
654
00:25:14,280 --> 00:25:16,640
nuclear weapons pointed at us, no one
655
00:25:16,640 --> 00:25:18,960
would be insane enough to let any of
656
00:25:18,960 --> 00:25:20,320
them loose.
657
00:25:20,320 --> 00:25:23,000
That's how we all stay safe.
658
00:25:23,000 --> 00:25:25,280
Another way of saying deterrence is more
659
00:25:25,280 --> 00:25:28,120
nuclear weapons make us more safe. You
660
00:25:28,120 --> 00:25:30,080
can decide if you think that's a little
661
00:25:30,080 --> 00:25:33,480
Orwellian, but that is what exists.
662
00:25:33,480 --> 00:25:35,520
Okay, so with that in mind, we should
663
00:25:35,520 --> 00:25:37,720
really be doing
664
00:25:37,720 --> 00:25:39,040
mental
665
00:25:39,040 --> 00:25:42,120
checks on our leaders every 3 months
666
00:25:42,120 --> 00:25:44,400
because we've all probably
667
00:25:44,400 --> 00:25:46,920
had an experience with someone who's had
668
00:25:46,920 --> 00:25:49,040
a
669
00:25:49,040 --> 00:25:50,840
episode.
670
00:25:50,840 --> 00:25:52,240
You know, and I'll I'll leave it at at
671
00:25:52,240 --> 00:25:53,360
episode because there's a variety of
672
00:25:53,360 --> 00:25:54,520
different types of episodes one can
673
00:25:54,520 --> 00:25:56,080
have. And I was thinking, well, if the
674
00:25:56,080 --> 00:25:58,760
president just has a bit of an episode
675
00:25:58,760 --> 00:26:00,760
and gets a little bit paranoid or you
676
00:26:00,760 --> 00:26:01,960
know, sort of has a little bit of a
677
00:26:01,960 --> 00:26:04,240
schizophrenic paranoia
678
00:26:04,240 --> 00:26:06,360
which can happen to people for a variety
679
00:26:06,360 --> 00:26:09,120
of different unpredictable reasons then
680
00:26:09,120 --> 00:26:10,600
that president could potentially make a
681
00:26:10,600 --> 00:26:12,400
decision to end the planet and there
682
00:26:12,400 --> 00:26:14,240
doesn't seem to be a
683
00:26:14,240 --> 00:26:16,440
defense mechanism to stop him doing that
684
00:26:16,440 --> 00:26:18,360
or her doing that. You're reminding me
685
00:26:18,360 --> 00:26:20,960
of a famous story when Nixon was
686
00:26:20,960 --> 00:26:21,960
president and it was during the
687
00:26:21,960 --> 00:26:24,560
Watergate scandal. He probably knew the
688
00:26:24,560 --> 00:26:27,280
end of his presidency was near. And he
689
00:26:27,280 --> 00:26:31,080
was very drunk one night and he began to
690
00:26:31,080 --> 00:26:33,240
threaten or rather he just began to
691
00:26:33,240 --> 00:26:34,880
talk, you know,
692
00:26:34,880 --> 00:26:36,640
in in a sort of extremely verbose
693
00:26:36,640 --> 00:26:38,360
drunken manner about how he could end
694
00:26:38,360 --> 00:26:40,640
the world or kill tens of millions of
695
00:26:40,640 --> 00:26:43,840
people with a push of a button. And his
696
00:26:43,840 --> 00:26:46,440
it is said that that Kissinger called up
697
00:26:46,440 --> 00:26:48,280
the military and said, if the president
698
00:26:48,280 --> 00:26:50,240
orders any kind of a nuclear strike,
699
00:26:50,240 --> 00:26:52,200
talk to me first.
700
00:26:52,200 --> 00:26:54,320
Really?
701
00:26:54,320 --> 00:26:55,560
And you'd say that you think that would
702
00:26:55,560 --> 00:26:57,720
have happened?
703
00:26:57,720 --> 00:26:59,080
I mean, we you know It's hard to know,
704
00:26:59,080 --> 00:27:00,320
isn't it?
705
00:27:00,320 --> 00:27:03,320
All of these stories, unless they come
706
00:27:03,320 --> 00:27:05,560
out of the mouth of the individual who
707
00:27:05,560 --> 00:27:08,560
actually said that, are in essence
708
00:27:08,560 --> 00:27:10,360
stories. So there's an element of truth
709
00:27:10,360 --> 00:27:13,120
to them for sure. Um you know, the
710
00:27:13,120 --> 00:27:16,080
actual command and control, who's going
711
00:27:16,080 --> 00:27:18,280
to follow the rules, people ask me that
712
00:27:18,280 --> 00:27:21,840
question often. And I took that exact
713
00:27:21,840 --> 00:27:23,080
question like
714
00:27:23,080 --> 00:27:24,960
you know, I think people have a naivete
715
00:27:24,960 --> 00:27:27,160
that if you're in the nuclear command
716
00:27:27,160 --> 00:27:28,760
and control, whether you're a missileer
717
00:27:28,760 --> 00:27:31,960
in a underground silo or a submariner on
718
00:27:31,960 --> 00:27:34,880
a sub that you might when you get this
719
00:27:34,880 --> 00:27:37,560
command, suddenly have this heart, you
720
00:27:37,560 --> 00:27:38,720
know, like in a Hollywood movie, have
721
00:27:38,720 --> 00:27:41,160
this moment where you say, my goodness,
722
00:27:41,160 --> 00:27:42,800
I'm going to save the planet rather than
723
00:27:42,800 --> 00:27:44,720
destroy it.
724
00:27:44,720 --> 00:27:47,560
I put that question to Dr. Glenn McDuff,
725
00:27:47,560 --> 00:27:48,560
the
726
00:27:48,560 --> 00:27:51,080
historian at the classified
727
00:27:51,080 --> 00:27:53,640
museum at Los Alamos, the one you and I
728
00:27:53,640 --> 00:27:55,120
can't go see.
729
00:27:55,120 --> 00:27:57,080
Um and I said, do you think that could
730
00:27:57,080 --> 00:27:58,880
happen? And he said
731
00:27:58,880 --> 00:28:00,480
Annie, you have a better chance at
732
00:28:00,480 --> 00:28:02,400
winning Powerball
733
00:28:02,400 --> 00:28:06,040
than betting on someone in the nuclear
734
00:28:06,040 --> 00:28:08,280
chain of command and control
735
00:28:08,280 --> 00:28:11,080
to defy orders. And I said, why? And he
736
00:28:11,080 --> 00:28:12,440
said, well
737
00:28:12,440 --> 00:28:16,320
you are trained to follow orders.
738
00:28:16,320 --> 00:28:18,520
I spoke to a CIA agent or should I say
739
00:28:18,520 --> 00:28:21,040
former CIA agent called Andy Bustamante.
740
00:28:21,040 --> 00:28:22,360
Might have seen him, he did does some
741
00:28:22,360 --> 00:28:24,360
podcasts. And
742
00:28:24,360 --> 00:28:25,919
after speaking to him, I I completely
743
00:28:25,919 --> 00:28:27,640
agree because as he said, he was trained
744
00:28:27,640 --> 00:28:28,760
to
745
00:28:28,760 --> 00:28:31,560
basically he was selected and trained on
746
00:28:31,560 --> 00:28:33,240
the basis that he would
747
00:28:33,240 --> 00:28:34,640
follow orders in that moment and they
748
00:28:34,640 --> 00:28:36,840
even do drills to make sure dummy drills
749
00:28:36,840 --> 00:28:38,080
to make sure that they're prepared, I
750
00:28:38,080 --> 00:28:40,240
guess psychologically to follow through
751
00:28:40,240 --> 00:28:42,280
on those instructions. It made me think
752
00:28:42,280 --> 00:28:44,480
as well that if if um
753
00:28:44,480 --> 00:28:46,240
what if the president's dead? What if
754
00:28:46,240 --> 00:28:49,520
the president is hit by a nuclear weapon
755
00:28:49,520 --> 00:28:51,440
from another country and now they can no
756
00:28:51,440 --> 00:28:53,520
longer make the decision. Is the
757
00:28:53,520 --> 00:28:56,000
decision deferred on to somebody else?
758
00:28:56,000 --> 00:28:57,520
Well, I take the reader through that
759
00:28:57,520 --> 00:28:59,159
precisely because those are the kind of
760
00:28:59,159 --> 00:29:01,720
questions that I had to ask of my
761
00:29:01,720 --> 00:29:03,919
sources as I was reporting this.
762
00:29:03,919 --> 00:29:05,440
On the one hand as I was learning what
763
00:29:05,440 --> 00:29:07,800
happens in the seconds and minutes you
764
00:29:07,800 --> 00:29:10,200
know, after a launch is detected because
765
00:29:10,200 --> 00:29:12,560
we have a satellite system that detects
766
00:29:12,560 --> 00:29:14,520
the launch of a nuclear weapon in under
767
00:29:14,520 --> 00:29:16,400
a fraction of a second. But it's not
768
00:29:16,400 --> 00:29:17,679
always very trustworthy. This is why I'm
769
00:29:17,679 --> 00:29:18,120
concerned.
770
00:29:18,120 --> 00:29:20,480
The ours is very trustworthy as far as I
771
00:29:20,480 --> 00:29:22,159
understand. It's called SIBERS. It's
772
00:29:22,159 --> 00:29:24,640
built by Lockheed and it's astonishingly
773
00:29:24,640 --> 00:29:27,200
powerful. Other nations do not have that
774
00:29:27,200 --> 00:29:28,320
same kind of technology.
775
00:29:28,320 --> 00:29:29,360
Cuz I was reading about the sort of
776
00:29:29,360 --> 00:29:30,560
historic
777
00:29:30,560 --> 00:29:31,880
mistakes that were made. Sometimes
778
00:29:31,880 --> 00:29:33,840
people thought there was a a nuclear
779
00:29:33,840 --> 00:29:34,880
bomb or a strike coming and it was
780
00:29:34,880 --> 00:29:36,840
actually just a bunch of swans.
781
00:29:36,840 --> 00:29:39,000
Absolutely. So I was a little bit like
782
00:29:39,000 --> 00:29:39,240
you know.
783
00:29:39,240 --> 00:29:40,720
these are these are you know, this is
784
00:29:40,720 --> 00:29:42,040
the one miscalculation, one
785
00:29:42,040 --> 00:29:43,679
misunderstanding away from nuclear
786
00:29:43,679 --> 00:29:45,280
Armageddon.
787
00:29:45,280 --> 00:29:46,600
What what are those instances from
788
00:29:46,600 --> 00:29:48,440
history where the nuclear detection
789
00:29:48,440 --> 00:29:50,920
system was triggered and someone in some
790
00:29:50,920 --> 00:29:53,200
country decided um
791
00:29:53,200 --> 00:29:56,280
not to follow through on a notification?
792
00:29:56,280 --> 00:29:58,600
I think the most interesting stories
793
00:29:58,600 --> 00:30:01,800
that I report come from the person who
794
00:30:01,800 --> 00:30:04,320
is an actual first-hand witness to it
795
00:30:04,320 --> 00:30:06,080
because what often happens is the
796
00:30:06,080 --> 00:30:08,840
telephone game, you know, whereby one
797
00:30:08,840 --> 00:30:10,040
person tells the story and then you
798
00:30:10,040 --> 00:30:12,240
imagine you add a detail. So, I write
799
00:30:12,240 --> 00:30:14,360
about a couple of them in the book, but
800
00:30:14,360 --> 00:30:16,640
one of them came to me first-hand and
801
00:30:16,640 --> 00:30:18,240
I'll share that with you, which was
802
00:30:18,240 --> 00:30:21,080
former Secretary of Defense Bill Perry.
803
00:30:21,080 --> 00:30:23,200
And he was on the night watch during the
804
00:30:23,200 --> 00:30:25,080
Carter administration. He wasn't the
805
00:30:25,080 --> 00:30:26,560
Secretary of Defense yet. He had like
806
00:30:26,560 --> 00:30:28,480
the job before that, the Director of
807
00:30:28,480 --> 00:30:30,160
Research and Engineering at the
808
00:30:30,160 --> 00:30:32,920
Pentagon. But it was his his night watch
809
00:30:32,920 --> 00:30:35,120
inform the president job.
810
00:30:35,120 --> 00:30:38,200
And he was told by the National Military
811
00:30:38,200 --> 00:30:39,760
Command Center, which is the bunker
812
00:30:39,760 --> 00:30:42,080
beneath the Pentagon,
813
00:30:42,080 --> 00:30:43,360
that
814
00:30:43,360 --> 00:30:46,400
there were ballistic missiles on the way
815
00:30:46,400 --> 00:30:48,440
from Soviet Russia.
816
00:30:48,440 --> 00:30:50,680
This was confirmed
817
00:30:50,680 --> 00:30:53,680
by the nuclear bunker beneath Offutt Air
818
00:30:53,680 --> 00:30:55,960
Force Base in Nebraska, the STRATCOM
819
00:30:55,960 --> 00:30:57,000
bunker.
820
00:30:57,000 --> 00:30:59,440
And not only were they intercontinental
821
00:30:59,440 --> 00:31:01,640
ballistic missiles flying at the United
822
00:31:01,640 --> 00:31:04,000
States, but they were sub-launched
823
00:31:04,000 --> 00:31:05,960
ballistic missiles coming at the United
824
00:31:05,960 --> 00:31:09,480
States. And it was a massive mother lode
825
00:31:09,480 --> 00:31:11,160
of warheads.
826
00:31:11,160 --> 00:31:13,760
And Perry described to me as I recount
827
00:31:13,760 --> 00:31:17,320
in the book what that was like
828
00:31:17,320 --> 00:31:19,600
to try and process
829
00:31:19,600 --> 00:31:22,520
in your mind oh my god, I'm going to
830
00:31:22,520 --> 00:31:25,120
have to tell the president
831
00:31:25,120 --> 00:31:27,480
and going to have to and he is going to
832
00:31:27,480 --> 00:31:30,080
have to make a counterattack.
833
00:31:30,080 --> 00:31:31,600
And
834
00:31:31,600 --> 00:31:34,400
within a matter of minutes
835
00:31:34,400 --> 00:31:37,800
he got word that it was a mistake.
836
00:31:37,800 --> 00:31:39,520
And a mistake, you might ask like a
837
00:31:39,520 --> 00:31:42,280
mistake? How does a mistake happen? What
838
00:31:42,280 --> 00:31:46,080
he told me was that it was a VHS tape,
839
00:31:46,080 --> 00:31:48,680
a simulated war game,
840
00:31:48,680 --> 00:31:52,240
a simulated attack by the Soviet Union
841
00:31:52,240 --> 00:31:54,120
against the United States.
842
00:31:54,120 --> 00:31:56,800
And the VHS tape
843
00:31:56,800 --> 00:31:59,440
had mistakenly been inserted into a
844
00:31:59,440 --> 00:32:01,840
machine in the nuclear bunker beneath
845
00:32:01,840 --> 00:32:03,800
the Pentagon and because it is linked to
846
00:32:03,800 --> 00:32:05,200
STRATCOM,
847
00:32:05,200 --> 00:32:08,000
it was seen in both places.
848
00:32:08,000 --> 00:32:10,760
And Perry said to me, it looked real
849
00:32:10,760 --> 00:32:13,360
because it was meant to look real.
850
00:32:13,360 --> 00:32:15,600
Hm.
851
00:32:16,800 --> 00:32:19,080
There was a president you talk about
852
00:32:19,080 --> 00:32:23,080
that played a nuclear war game
853
00:32:23,080 --> 00:32:24,679
and discovered that
854
00:32:24,679 --> 00:32:26,720
there could be no winners.
855
00:32:26,720 --> 00:32:28,000
So,
856
00:32:28,000 --> 00:32:30,640
Proud Prophet Proud Prophet, yeah. is
857
00:32:30,640 --> 00:32:32,800
one of the few
858
00:32:32,800 --> 00:32:35,920
a very rare declassified nuclear war
859
00:32:35,920 --> 00:32:38,320
game. People talk about, you know,
860
00:32:38,320 --> 00:32:40,240
jealously guarded secrets in the United
861
00:32:40,240 --> 00:32:42,400
States government. You can be sure that
862
00:32:42,400 --> 00:32:44,960
anything having to do with nuclear war
863
00:32:44,960 --> 00:32:47,920
gaming is way up there
864
00:32:47,920 --> 00:32:50,280
in the top secrets along with what is
865
00:32:50,280 --> 00:32:53,320
actually in that black book.
866
00:32:53,320 --> 00:32:54,880
But the Proud Prophet war game was
867
00:32:54,880 --> 00:32:57,480
declassified. Reagan had ordered it. I
868
00:32:57,480 --> 00:32:59,480
don't believe he participated in it. His
869
00:32:59,480 --> 00:33:01,640
sec desk everybody in the commit nuclear
870
00:33:01,640 --> 00:33:03,679
command and control participated in for
871
00:33:03,679 --> 00:33:06,400
two weeks in 1983.
872
00:33:06,400 --> 00:33:09,000
And this is declassified. I reprint some
873
00:33:09,000 --> 00:33:11,240
of it in the book. And if you have a
874
00:33:11,240 --> 00:33:13,720
look at it, you might say to yourself,
875
00:33:13,720 --> 00:33:15,720
well, what's the point of declassifying
876
00:33:15,720 --> 00:33:16,840
something that looks like this? It's
877
00:33:16,840 --> 00:33:19,240
just black. It's like there's a number
878
00:33:19,240 --> 00:33:22,080
here and a word there and a page number,
879
00:33:22,080 --> 00:33:25,679
but mostly it's entirely redacted.
880
00:33:25,679 --> 00:33:27,480
And so, what's the point of
881
00:33:27,480 --> 00:33:29,880
declassifying it? Well, for the public,
882
00:33:29,880 --> 00:33:32,040
something very valuable came out of
883
00:33:32,040 --> 00:33:35,400
that, which is it allowed a certain
884
00:33:35,400 --> 00:33:37,960
civilian who was participating, Yale
885
00:33:37,960 --> 00:33:40,240
professor named Paul Bracken,
886
00:33:40,240 --> 00:33:42,800
to actually speak about it in a general
887
00:33:42,800 --> 00:33:44,720
way. He couldn't, you know,
888
00:33:44,720 --> 00:33:47,760
couldn't tell OPSEC, but he could
889
00:33:47,760 --> 00:33:49,920
generally talk about it. And what he
890
00:33:49,920 --> 00:33:53,160
said in his own book was that no matter
891
00:33:53,160 --> 00:33:55,679
how nuclear war begins,
892
00:33:55,679 --> 00:33:57,400
NATO's involved, NATO's not involved,
893
00:33:57,400 --> 00:33:59,800
China's involved, China's no matter how
894
00:33:59,800 --> 00:34:02,040
it begins, it ends in nuclear
895
00:34:02,040 --> 00:34:04,480
Armageddon. And Bracken's words was that
896
00:34:04,480 --> 00:34:08,720
everyone left really depressed.
897
00:34:09,280 --> 00:34:10,960
Nuclear Armageddon essentially means the
898
00:34:10,960 --> 00:34:13,320
world is destroyed. Nuclear Armageddon
899
00:34:13,320 --> 00:34:14,520
is the world is destroyed. And when you
900
00:34:14,520 --> 00:34:15,720
get to the end of the book, which
901
00:34:15,720 --> 00:34:19,480
happens in 72 minutes, and that comes
902
00:34:19,480 --> 00:34:21,000
from something that
903
00:34:21,000 --> 00:34:23,640
former STRATCOM director General Keeler
904
00:34:23,640 --> 00:34:25,640
said to me when we were discussing and
905
00:34:25,640 --> 00:34:28,520
interviewing and I said we I asked him
906
00:34:28,520 --> 00:34:30,280
about what could happen if there was a
907
00:34:30,280 --> 00:34:32,399
nuclear exchange between Russia and the
908
00:34:32,399 --> 00:34:35,000
United States and he said, the world
909
00:34:35,000 --> 00:34:38,720
could end in the next couple of hours.
910
00:34:38,720 --> 00:34:40,399
So, from where we are now in this
911
00:34:40,399 --> 00:34:41,359
conversation to the end of this
912
00:34:41,359 --> 00:34:43,960
conversation, if a nuclear war broke out
913
00:34:43,960 --> 00:34:45,520
when we were sat here,
914
00:34:45,520 --> 00:34:47,560
by the end of this conversation,
915
00:34:47,560 --> 00:34:49,200
basically the entire world would be
916
00:34:49,200 --> 00:34:50,919
destroyed. And we you and I wouldn't
917
00:34:50,919 --> 00:34:52,800
even know before the first missile hit.
918
00:34:52,800 --> 00:34:54,800
That was shocking to me to have that
919
00:34:54,800 --> 00:34:56,960
confirmed in essence by
920
00:34:56,960 --> 00:34:58,560
uh Obama's
921
00:34:58,560 --> 00:35:00,920
FEMA director. So, FEMA, the Federal
922
00:35:00,920 --> 00:35:03,280
Emergency Management Agency, is the is
923
00:35:03,280 --> 00:35:04,800
the agency in the United States that's
924
00:35:04,800 --> 00:35:06,280
in charge of disasters, right? So, if
925
00:35:06,280 --> 00:35:08,840
there's a hurricane or a flood or an
926
00:35:08,840 --> 00:35:11,920
earthquake, FEMA steps in to help the
927
00:35:11,920 --> 00:35:13,440
people. They have something called
928
00:35:13,440 --> 00:35:15,880
population planning.
929
00:35:15,880 --> 00:35:17,920
Craig Fugate was Obama's FEMA director
930
00:35:17,920 --> 00:35:20,359
for 8 years and he just covered an
931
00:35:20,359 --> 00:35:22,960
extraordinary amount of catastrophes in
932
00:35:22,960 --> 00:35:24,280
the United States. He was also
933
00:35:24,280 --> 00:35:26,440
responsible for planning for a nuclear
934
00:35:26,440 --> 00:35:28,359
war. He told me that they did that. He
935
00:35:28,359 --> 00:35:31,160
also said, we plan for asteroid strikes.
936
00:35:31,160 --> 00:35:34,240
These are called low probability, high
937
00:35:34,240 --> 00:35:36,280
consequence events.
938
00:35:36,280 --> 00:35:37,960
But what Fugate told me that was
939
00:35:37,960 --> 00:35:39,560
shocking is that
940
00:35:39,560 --> 00:35:41,560
there is no population protection
941
00:35:41,560 --> 00:35:43,760
planning in a nuclear war because
942
00:35:43,760 --> 00:35:45,600
everyone will be dead.
943
00:35:45,600 --> 00:35:47,280
And he explained to me that there's
944
00:35:47,280 --> 00:35:48,520
nothing
945
00:35:48,520 --> 00:35:51,120
that that that that he could do as FEMA
946
00:35:51,120 --> 00:35:53,120
director. He would really be putting his
947
00:35:53,120 --> 00:35:55,320
efforts from this nuclear bunker where
948
00:35:55,320 --> 00:35:56,480
he would be, which is called Mount
949
00:35:56,480 --> 00:35:58,960
Weather, he would be putting his efforts
950
00:35:58,960 --> 00:36:00,000
on
951
00:36:00,000 --> 00:36:02,160
the continuity of government issues, the
952
00:36:02,160 --> 00:36:05,720
continuity of like the government has
953
00:36:05,720 --> 00:36:08,400
what are called essential functions. So,
954
00:36:08,400 --> 00:36:10,520
and you know, as a nuclear war is
955
00:36:10,520 --> 00:36:13,440
happening, the government is trying to
956
00:36:13,440 --> 00:36:16,680
prepare to keep the government running,
957
00:36:16,680 --> 00:36:19,880
which is a form of fantasy in itself.
958
00:36:19,880 --> 00:36:21,920
And when you read Fugate's interviews
959
00:36:21,920 --> 00:36:25,080
with me, he's just so candid about how
960
00:36:25,080 --> 00:36:29,400
there is nothing anyone can do. And you
961
00:36:29,400 --> 00:36:31,560
know, what he told me was so shocking, I
962
00:36:31,560 --> 00:36:33,280
went back to him
963
00:36:33,280 --> 00:36:35,320
and said like, I just want to really
964
00:36:35,320 --> 00:36:37,440
make sure these are your actual quotes
965
00:36:37,440 --> 00:36:39,160
that you that that
966
00:36:39,160 --> 00:36:42,200
And he absolutely, you know, he was one
967
00:36:42,200 --> 00:36:44,160
of the first people
968
00:36:44,160 --> 00:36:46,480
to write an Amazon review of the book
969
00:36:46,480 --> 00:36:47,760
after it published here in the United
970
00:36:47,760 --> 00:36:48,960
States.
971
00:36:48,960 --> 00:36:51,440
And I find that
972
00:36:51,440 --> 00:36:54,960
both terrifying, but also heartening for
973
00:36:54,960 --> 00:36:57,160
this reason is that a lot of these
974
00:36:57,160 --> 00:37:00,000
people who leave office because my
975
00:37:00,000 --> 00:37:02,520
sources are all former
976
00:37:02,520 --> 00:37:04,320
and then the title.
977
00:37:04,320 --> 00:37:06,800
They when they are in the command and
978
00:37:06,800 --> 00:37:09,000
control, they are very focused on doing
979
00:37:09,000 --> 00:37:11,280
their job. Hence what we spoke about
980
00:37:11,280 --> 00:37:13,800
earlier about like following orders.
981
00:37:13,800 --> 00:37:15,240
They are civil servants. They are
982
00:37:15,240 --> 00:37:17,560
dedicated civil servants. They believe
983
00:37:17,560 --> 00:37:20,640
in national security. They believe in,
984
00:37:20,640 --> 00:37:22,240
you know, the perseverance of
985
00:37:22,240 --> 00:37:24,880
government. And then they leave office
986
00:37:24,880 --> 00:37:27,800
and they are just regular people again.
987
00:37:27,800 --> 00:37:30,800
And that's when the heart
988
00:37:30,800 --> 00:37:34,080
I think begins to lead and particularly
989
00:37:34,080 --> 00:37:35,800
as people get older
990
00:37:35,800 --> 00:37:37,000
because I interview a lot of people in
991
00:37:37,000 --> 00:37:39,560
their 80s and 90s.
992
00:37:39,560 --> 00:37:42,760
And then they begin to think about
993
00:37:42,760 --> 00:37:46,280
what this means in terms of legacy.
994
00:37:46,280 --> 00:37:50,160
What is nuclear command and control
995
00:37:50,160 --> 00:37:52,560
really as buttoned up
996
00:37:52,560 --> 00:37:54,640
as this is might be them talking, you
997
00:37:54,640 --> 00:37:55,560
know,
998
00:37:55,560 --> 00:37:57,920
as I thought.
999
00:37:57,920 --> 00:38:00,240
And is it a good idea
1000
00:38:00,240 --> 00:38:03,640
in a world that is so rapidly changing
1001
00:38:03,640 --> 00:38:07,160
both geopolitically and also in terms of
1002
00:38:07,160 --> 00:38:08,720
technology?
1003
00:38:08,720 --> 00:38:10,720
Was there one individual you met that
1004
00:38:10,720 --> 00:38:13,880
comes to mind when I ask who the most
1005
00:38:13,880 --> 00:38:16,000
troubled person was in terms of the work
1006
00:38:16,000 --> 00:38:18,640
they participated in or troubled in the
1007
00:38:18,640 --> 00:38:21,200
context of
1008
00:38:21,200 --> 00:38:22,680
what they know and what it means for
1009
00:38:22,680 --> 00:38:24,720
humanity and how they're grappling with
1010
00:38:24,720 --> 00:38:27,600
that? The most concerned and sort of the
1011
00:38:27,600 --> 00:38:29,880
most activated by all means would be
1012
00:38:29,880 --> 00:38:31,680
former Secretary of Defense Bill Perry.
1013
00:38:31,680 --> 00:38:34,320
And he's now in his 90s and I I don't
1014
00:38:34,320 --> 00:38:36,359
believe he's doing interviews anymore.
1015
00:38:36,359 --> 00:38:39,240
But it it's not surprising that Perry
1016
00:38:39,240 --> 00:38:43,440
shared with me his intense worry about
1017
00:38:43,440 --> 00:38:46,440
all of this because he has been actively
1018
00:38:46,440 --> 00:38:48,840
working on this and
1019
00:38:48,840 --> 00:38:52,920
you know, for at least 15, 20 years. And
1020
00:38:52,920 --> 00:38:56,080
when I say this, I mean bringing the
1021
00:38:56,080 --> 00:38:58,080
information to the public so that the
1022
00:38:58,080 --> 00:39:00,440
public is aware. He wrote his own book
1023
00:39:00,440 --> 00:39:03,040
with a colleague called The Button. And
1024
00:39:03,040 --> 00:39:05,720
he has, you know, really
1025
00:39:05,720 --> 00:39:08,560
he did a podcast called At the Brink.
1026
00:39:08,560 --> 00:39:10,720
And what's fascinating is Perry spent
1027
00:39:10,720 --> 00:39:14,000
most of his life dedicated to what you
1028
00:39:14,000 --> 00:39:15,600
might call the military-industrial
1029
00:39:15,600 --> 00:39:18,080
complex, right? To the research and
1030
00:39:18,080 --> 00:39:21,320
development of weapon systems that I
1031
00:39:21,320 --> 00:39:24,640
write about in my other books,
1032
00:39:24,640 --> 00:39:26,160
the DARPA book in particular because
1033
00:39:26,160 --> 00:39:27,960
this is all part and parcel to what
1034
00:39:27,960 --> 00:39:30,240
we're talking about here that you have
1035
00:39:30,240 --> 00:39:31,560
this sort of
1036
00:39:31,560 --> 00:39:33,160
industry,
1037
00:39:33,160 --> 00:39:35,920
military weapon system industry that is
1038
00:39:35,920 --> 00:39:38,480
in a constant state of
1039
00:39:38,480 --> 00:39:41,160
forward movement. It's deeply tied to
1040
00:39:41,160 --> 00:39:44,920
economics, to jobs, to prosperity. And
1041
00:39:44,920 --> 00:39:48,880
so, where does that take us? And and at
1042
00:39:48,880 --> 00:39:50,080
what point does it end? It was
1043
00:39:50,080 --> 00:39:52,560
Eisenhower who said in his famous speech
1044
00:39:52,560 --> 00:39:54,320
where the public really learned about
1045
00:39:54,320 --> 00:39:56,680
this so-called military-industrial
1046
00:39:56,680 --> 00:39:59,040
complex because Eisenhower spoke of it
1047
00:39:59,040 --> 00:40:01,120
in his farewell speech. But he also said
1048
00:40:01,120 --> 00:40:03,240
an important thing in the second half of
1049
00:40:03,240 --> 00:40:05,240
that speech which doesn't get nearly as
1050
00:40:05,240 --> 00:40:07,720
much airtime, which is that a
1051
00:40:07,720 --> 00:40:11,320
knowledgeable and alert citizenry
1052
00:40:11,320 --> 00:40:14,760
is how you balance sort of an idea of
1053
00:40:14,760 --> 00:40:18,280
peace with an idea of defense.
1054
00:40:18,280 --> 00:40:19,720
And I think what frightens both of us
1055
00:40:19,720 --> 00:40:20,920
that we talked about in the beginning
1056
00:40:20,920 --> 00:40:25,000
here was that peace and defense are very
1057
00:40:25,000 --> 00:40:30,040
different than constant states of war.
1058
00:40:30,040 --> 00:40:32,120
72 minutes.
1059
00:40:32,120 --> 00:40:34,480
You you go through this in the book
1060
00:40:34,480 --> 00:40:36,600
minute almost minute by minute showing
1061
00:40:36,600 --> 00:40:37,920
exactly what will happen. We know in
1062
00:40:37,920 --> 00:40:39,240
this first
1063
00:40:39,240 --> 00:40:40,240
couple of minutes there's the
1064
00:40:40,240 --> 00:40:42,320
notification that there's a you know, a
1065
00:40:42,320 --> 00:40:44,040
nuclear bomb coming in from somewhere.
1066
00:40:44,040 --> 00:40:45,360
My question on that was and I was
1067
00:40:45,360 --> 00:40:46,240
thinking about this earlier as we were
1068
00:40:46,240 --> 00:40:48,120
talking about it, how does the president
1069
00:40:48,120 --> 00:40:49,640
know? How does the world leader of that
1070
00:40:49,640 --> 00:40:50,920
country know? The prime minister of the
1071
00:40:50,920 --> 00:40:53,880
UK, whoever it might be, or Netanyahu,
1072
00:40:53,880 --> 00:40:57,000
or Putin know where that nuclear bomb
1073
00:40:57,000 --> 00:40:58,840
has come from because we talked about
1074
00:40:58,840 --> 00:41:00,840
this sort of black black book of places,
1075
00:41:00,840 --> 00:41:03,960
this menu that the president has in that
1076
00:41:03,960 --> 00:41:05,640
football that his aide is carrying
1077
00:41:05,640 --> 00:41:06,960
around.
1078
00:41:06,960 --> 00:41:09,360
How does he know which place to pick on
1079
00:41:09,360 --> 00:41:11,320
the menu to send the nuclear bomb back?
1080
00:41:11,320 --> 00:41:13,040
Powerful distinction, right? This is not
1081
00:41:13,040 --> 00:41:16,200
9/11 where suddenly there are planes in
1082
00:41:16,200 --> 00:41:19,200
the Trade Center towers and
1083
00:41:19,200 --> 00:41:21,160
you know, everyone is scrambling to say
1084
00:41:21,160 --> 00:41:23,520
who did this and the CIA is saying this
1085
00:41:23,520 --> 00:41:25,520
is Al-Qaeda, it has the mark of Al but
1086
00:41:25,520 --> 00:41:29,040
no one knows for sure. This is not that.
1087
00:41:29,040 --> 00:41:32,200
This is the fact that for 79 years the
1088
00:41:32,200 --> 00:41:34,880
United States has been building nuclear
1089
00:41:34,880 --> 00:41:36,880
weapons, nuclear weapon systems, and
1090
00:41:36,880 --> 00:41:40,520
also systems to detect other people's
1091
00:41:40,520 --> 00:41:42,160
nuclear weapons should they have them.
1092
00:41:42,160 --> 00:41:45,320
What are these submarines? Okay, so
1093
00:41:45,320 --> 00:41:47,160
good point on the submarines, which is
1094
00:41:47,160 --> 00:41:48,120
but
1095
00:41:48,120 --> 00:41:51,680
we have a set of satellites called
1096
00:41:51,680 --> 00:41:54,520
Sibers, which are parked. Now, I'm only
1097
00:41:54,520 --> 00:41:56,240
talk when you said what how would
1098
00:41:56,240 --> 00:41:57,760
Netanyahu know, how would the president
1099
00:41:57,760 --> 00:41:58,440
of
1100
00:41:58,440 --> 00:42:02,640
that is a different scenario.
1101
00:42:02,640 --> 00:42:04,640
What I am talking about is the US
1102
00:42:04,640 --> 00:42:07,480
president because I have interviewed
1103
00:42:07,480 --> 00:42:10,000
people in the US Defense Department and
1104
00:42:10,000 --> 00:42:11,640
the intelligence community. And the
1105
00:42:11,640 --> 00:42:16,040
Defense Department knows precisely where
1106
00:42:16,040 --> 00:42:17,920
a weapon comes from within a second of
1107
00:42:17,920 --> 00:42:20,200
launch because the Siber satellites can
1108
00:42:20,200 --> 00:42:22,960
measure the hot rocket exhaust. So, you
1109
00:42:22,960 --> 00:42:25,120
imagine a rocket taking off, lots of
1110
00:42:25,120 --> 00:42:28,600
fire beneath it. That is measured
1111
00:42:28,600 --> 00:42:31,720
from 22,000 miles up in geosync. I mean,
1112
00:42:31,720 --> 00:42:33,080
that is just a technological
1113
00:42:33,080 --> 00:42:34,640
astonishment.
1114
00:42:34,640 --> 00:42:39,240
And then there begins the data sent down
1115
00:42:39,240 --> 00:42:41,320
to these various commands in the United
1116
00:42:41,320 --> 00:42:43,080
States, the Aerospace Data Center, the
1117
00:42:43,080 --> 00:42:45,840
Space Force, and they begin measuring
1118
00:42:45,840 --> 00:42:48,360
the trajectory of the missile and
1119
00:42:48,360 --> 00:42:49,840
figuring out where it's going to go.
1120
00:42:49,840 --> 00:42:51,560
Like, it's not going to Moscow and it's
1121
00:42:51,560 --> 00:42:53,000
not going to Guam, those would be
1122
00:42:53,000 --> 00:42:55,240
opposite directions. Is it going to San
1123
00:42:55,240 --> 00:42:57,400
Francisco or is it going to the East
1124
00:42:57,400 --> 00:43:01,360
Coast? That is learned in 100 seconds
1125
00:43:01,360 --> 00:43:04,400
approximately. Okay? Now, you are right,
1126
00:43:04,400 --> 00:43:07,400
you cannot you if some if a submarine
1127
00:43:07,400 --> 00:43:10,200
launches a ballistic missile, there's no
1128
00:43:10,200 --> 00:43:11,880
way of knowing where that came from,
1129
00:43:11,880 --> 00:43:13,880
which is why in the scenario I have that
1130
00:43:13,880 --> 00:43:17,240
happen and it creates a whole other set
1131
00:43:17,240 --> 00:43:18,960
of problems.
1132
00:43:18,960 --> 00:43:20,560
What are these I mean I mean I mean what
1133
00:43:20,560 --> 00:43:21,480
is the answer to that? Cuz I was
1134
00:43:21,480 --> 00:43:22,400
imagining
1135
00:43:22,400 --> 00:43:25,480
if the Siber system sees a nuclear bomb
1136
00:43:25,480 --> 00:43:27,920
coming out of the Pacific Ocean,
1137
00:43:27,920 --> 00:43:29,880
I mean, that could be Rishi Sunak, that
1138
00:43:29,880 --> 00:43:30,960
could be
1139
00:43:30,960 --> 00:43:33,560
that could be the UK firing one at
1140
00:43:33,560 --> 00:43:35,400
America. It could be, you know, could be
1141
00:43:35,400 --> 00:43:37,120
anybody. You are absolutely right that
1142
00:43:37,120 --> 00:43:38,960
there is no way of knowing. And in the
1143
00:43:38,960 --> 00:43:40,760
scenario that I chose because I wanted
1144
00:43:40,760 --> 00:43:43,400
to try to take the reader through a
1145
00:43:43,400 --> 00:43:46,000
logical sequence, if you could even call
1146
00:43:46,000 --> 00:43:48,080
any of this logical because it's all you
1147
00:43:48,080 --> 00:43:49,840
know, they call it MAD, Mutual Assured
1148
00:43:49,840 --> 00:43:52,800
Destruction. It's really madness.
1149
00:43:52,800 --> 00:43:56,320
But you cannot know who launched that.
1150
00:43:56,320 --> 00:43:58,560
So does we just go for our enemy in that
1151
00:43:58,560 --> 00:44:00,120
situation?
1152
00:44:00,120 --> 00:44:01,560
I mean,
1153
00:44:01,560 --> 00:44:02,359
Do you know what I mean?
1154
00:44:02,359 --> 00:44:03,320
now you
1155
00:44:03,320 --> 00:44:06,000
have a new task. You are going to write
1156
00:44:06,000 --> 00:44:09,240
nuclear war an even worse scenario.
1157
00:44:09,240 --> 00:44:10,280
Well, cuz that's what you would do,
1158
00:44:10,280 --> 00:44:12,359
right? If you're President Biden, your
1159
00:44:12,359 --> 00:44:13,560
aide turns to you and goes, "Hi
1160
00:44:13,560 --> 00:44:14,760
President, there's a nuclear bomb
1161
00:44:14,760 --> 00:44:16,840
heading our way." I go, "I know exactly
1162
00:44:16,840 --> 00:44:19,880
who that who did that."
1163
00:44:20,240 --> 00:44:21,720
And you might start firing a couple of
1164
00:44:21,720 --> 00:44:23,080
back back at just the people that you
1165
00:44:23,080 --> 00:44:24,800
assume would do it.
1166
00:44:24,800 --> 00:44:27,240
And then they do the same.
1167
00:44:27,240 --> 00:44:29,120
Um
1168
00:44:29,120 --> 00:44:32,960
The nuclear-armed submarines
1169
00:44:32,960 --> 00:44:34,200
that
1170
00:44:34,200 --> 00:44:37,400
are owned by Russia and China
1171
00:44:37,400 --> 00:44:40,400
regularly come within a couple hundred
1172
00:44:40,400 --> 00:44:42,640
miles of East of each coast of the
1173
00:44:42,640 --> 00:44:44,400
United States and you can assume the
1174
00:44:44,400 --> 00:44:46,280
same about England.
1175
00:44:46,280 --> 00:44:48,520
And how do we know this?
1176
00:44:48,520 --> 00:44:50,520
Well, you can't see a submarine moving
1177
00:44:50,520 --> 00:44:53,600
in real time, but you can track the
1178
00:44:53,600 --> 00:44:56,280
submarine's movements after the fact
1179
00:44:56,280 --> 00:44:58,040
owing to a very
1180
00:44:58,040 --> 00:45:01,320
complex system of underwater
1181
00:45:01,320 --> 00:45:02,760
surveillance
1182
00:45:02,760 --> 00:45:05,200
systems that we have in place.
1183
00:45:05,200 --> 00:45:08,280
And there's a map that appeared in a
1184
00:45:08,280 --> 00:45:11,359
recent Defense Department budget request
1185
00:45:11,359 --> 00:45:13,440
to Congress, which I reproduce in the
1186
00:45:13,440 --> 00:45:17,480
book, that shows just how close those
1187
00:45:17,480 --> 00:45:19,440
submarines, those enemy submarines get
1188
00:45:19,440 --> 00:45:22,359
to the coast. And that reduces the
1189
00:45:22,359 --> 00:45:25,120
travel time of a ballistic missile down
1190
00:45:25,120 --> 00:45:28,640
to under 10 minutes. And so this idea
1191
00:45:28,640 --> 00:45:31,160
that we really are living at the edge of
1192
00:45:31,160 --> 00:45:34,000
apocalypse is not an exaggeration. The
1193
00:45:34,000 --> 00:45:36,800
question is, how would this start? Why
1194
00:45:36,800 --> 00:45:39,680
would this start? Again, read the
1195
00:45:39,680 --> 00:45:43,960
scenario and you begin to realize
1196
00:45:43,960 --> 00:45:46,200
this could start in or have a discussion
1197
00:45:46,200 --> 00:45:48,920
with you and you this could start in so
1198
00:45:48,920 --> 00:45:50,120
many
1199
00:45:50,120 --> 00:45:52,720
the training test tape. I mean,
1200
00:45:52,720 --> 00:45:55,040
and the real takeaway is asking
1201
00:45:55,040 --> 00:45:56,440
ourselves is
1202
00:45:56,440 --> 00:45:58,320
why do none of us know about this? Or
1203
00:45:58,320 --> 00:46:01,400
most of us rather.
1204
00:46:02,280 --> 00:46:03,800
There's so many ways this could start
1205
00:46:03,800 --> 00:46:05,200
and one of them one of them obviously
1206
00:46:05,200 --> 00:46:06,920
again has emerged
1207
00:46:06,920 --> 00:46:08,359
front of mind for society since you
1208
00:46:08,359 --> 00:46:09,240
started writing the book, which is
1209
00:46:09,240 --> 00:46:11,280
artificial intelligence. Before I get to
1210
00:46:11,280 --> 00:46:12,800
that though, I really want to I really
1211
00:46:12,800 --> 00:46:15,359
want to close off on this 72 minutes. I
1212
00:46:15,359 --> 00:46:16,960
understand the first couple of minutes
1213
00:46:16,960 --> 00:46:17,840
there.
1214
00:46:17,840 --> 00:46:19,120
Um
1215
00:46:19,120 --> 00:46:20,880
what does the person listening to this
1216
00:46:20,880 --> 00:46:22,120
need to know about what happens in the
1217
00:46:22,120 --> 00:46:25,359
subsequent what are 60 minutes?
1218
00:46:25,359 --> 00:46:28,960
There's a very fast process where the
1219
00:46:28,960 --> 00:46:31,440
trajectory of the ballistic missile is
1220
00:46:31,440 --> 00:46:33,720
being determined and we're talking in
1221
00:46:33,720 --> 00:46:35,080
the first minutes of the sequence
1222
00:46:35,080 --> 00:46:37,000
because everyone is getting ready to
1223
00:46:37,000 --> 00:46:38,880
tell the president because what they're
1224
00:46:38,880 --> 00:46:40,720
going to tell the president is, "Sir,
1225
00:46:40,720 --> 00:46:42,640
you need to choose a counterattack."
1226
00:46:42,640 --> 00:46:44,720
That is called get the blue clock
1227
00:46:44,720 --> 00:46:46,440
running. Does the president not like
1228
00:46:46,440 --> 00:46:48,640
getting some plane super quick?
1229
00:46:48,640 --> 00:46:49,760
So, we'll get there in a second because
1230
00:46:49,760 --> 00:46:51,280
that's where the that's a decision tree
1231
00:46:51,280 --> 00:46:51,880
problem.
1232
00:46:51,880 --> 00:46:54,200
Okay. So, everyone is working on
1233
00:46:54,200 --> 00:46:55,560
figuring out the trajectory of the
1234
00:46:55,560 --> 00:46:57,120
ballistic missile.
1235
00:46:57,120 --> 00:47:00,080
And there is the first confirmation when
1236
00:47:00,080 --> 00:47:01,600
you see it and by the way, a ballistic
1237
00:47:01,600 --> 00:47:04,080
missile cannot be redirected or
1238
00:47:04,080 --> 00:47:06,680
recalled. Cannot be.
1239
00:47:06,680 --> 00:47:07,880
Now,
1240
00:47:07,880 --> 00:47:10,000
ultimately the Defense Department will
1241
00:47:10,000 --> 00:47:12,400
wait for second confirmation of that
1242
00:47:12,400 --> 00:47:15,440
missile from a ground radar system. We
1243
00:47:15,440 --> 00:47:17,440
have them around the world. The one in
1244
00:47:17,440 --> 00:47:18,760
the scenario that would see it is in
1245
00:47:18,760 --> 00:47:19,960
Alaska.
1246
00:47:19,960 --> 00:47:23,320
It has to be able to see and confirm
1247
00:47:23,320 --> 00:47:25,680
that missile is definitely coming this
1248
00:47:25,680 --> 00:47:26,840
way.
1249
00:47:26,840 --> 00:47:28,560
And that happens at around 8 or 9
1250
00:47:28,560 --> 00:47:31,080
minutes. And so the process in between
1251
00:47:31,080 --> 00:47:33,760
that everyone's getting ready to brief
1252
00:47:33,760 --> 00:47:36,200
the president about a counterattack. And
1253
00:47:36,200 --> 00:47:37,120
so
1254
00:47:37,120 --> 00:47:38,880
in the scenario the president learns
1255
00:47:38,880 --> 00:47:41,080
around 3 minutes and then they're
1256
00:47:41,080 --> 00:47:43,280
waiting on the secondary confirmation.
1257
00:47:43,280 --> 00:47:44,800
And in my interviews with the Secret
1258
00:47:44,800 --> 00:47:46,359
Service,
1259
00:47:46,359 --> 00:47:48,000
as I was reporting the book, interesting
1260
00:47:48,000 --> 00:47:50,440
things would happen exactly like your
1261
00:47:50,440 --> 00:47:52,920
question, like, "Wait a minute.
1262
00:47:52,920 --> 00:47:54,000
What would
1263
00:47:54,000 --> 00:47:55,480
would the president be staying at the
1264
00:47:55,480 --> 00:47:57,280
White House?" So, I as the reporter put
1265
00:47:57,280 --> 00:47:59,359
that question to the former director of
1266
00:47:59,359 --> 00:48:02,280
the Secret Service, who explains to me
1267
00:48:02,280 --> 00:48:04,720
how there is a team called the Counter
1268
00:48:04,720 --> 00:48:06,200
Assault Team.
1269
00:48:06,200 --> 00:48:08,400
Um and that is that is the sort of
1270
00:48:08,400 --> 00:48:11,520
paramilitary organization of the of the
1271
00:48:11,520 --> 00:48:13,280
Secret Service that's going to always be
1272
00:48:13,280 --> 00:48:16,600
there to move the president really fast
1273
00:48:16,600 --> 00:48:20,240
if need be. And in this situation, they
1274
00:48:20,240 --> 00:48:23,240
make a decision, "We're moving him." If
1275
00:48:23,240 --> 00:48:25,040
the target is Washington, D.C. or
1276
00:48:25,040 --> 00:48:26,760
anywhere on the East Coast for that
1277
00:48:26,760 --> 00:48:29,120
matter, we cannot have the president
1278
00:48:29,120 --> 00:48:31,480
anywhere near ground zero.
1279
00:48:31,480 --> 00:48:34,480
And their job that they are sworn to do
1280
00:48:34,480 --> 00:48:36,880
is to protect the president. And so that
1281
00:48:36,880 --> 00:48:38,760
then you're going to have a bit of a
1282
00:48:38,760 --> 00:48:41,560
stalemate because the military command
1283
00:48:41,560 --> 00:48:44,280
wants the president on on coms to be
1284
00:48:44,280 --> 00:48:47,080
able to give him counterstrike orders.
1285
00:48:47,080 --> 00:48:48,880
That is what they want.
1286
00:48:48,880 --> 00:48:51,320
And they can only get those orders from
1287
00:48:51,320 --> 00:48:53,480
the president, but the Secret Service
1288
00:48:53,480 --> 00:48:55,560
has a totally different agenda. And in
1289
00:48:55,560 --> 00:48:57,800
my scenario, the Secret Service,
1290
00:48:57,800 --> 00:48:59,280
considering they're the only ones in the
1291
00:48:59,280 --> 00:49:01,800
room that are armed, win.
1292
00:49:01,800 --> 00:49:04,880
They take the president out and he flies
1293
00:49:04,880 --> 00:49:08,560
out of Washington, D.C. in Marine One.
1294
00:49:08,560 --> 00:49:10,000
Marine One being the helicopter? The
1295
00:49:10,000 --> 00:49:12,080
helicopter that is that Yeah. You know,
1296
00:49:12,080 --> 00:49:13,400
and then I learned even more interesting
1297
00:49:13,400 --> 00:49:16,880
details like, "Okay, so in the scenario,
1298
00:49:16,880 --> 00:49:18,520
the likely situation is that the
1299
00:49:18,520 --> 00:49:21,320
electromagnetic pulse will really
1300
00:49:21,320 --> 00:49:23,480
threaten the the electronic system in
1301
00:49:23,480 --> 00:49:25,240
Marine One and it will be in deep danger
1302
00:49:25,240 --> 00:49:27,080
of crashing." What is that for people
1303
00:49:27,080 --> 00:49:28,560
that don't know? For people that don't
1304
00:49:28,560 --> 00:49:30,840
know, an an electromagnetic pulse is
1305
00:49:30,840 --> 00:49:32,600
like a three-pulsed
1306
00:49:32,600 --> 00:49:35,359
sort of shock wave that essentially just
1307
00:49:35,359 --> 00:49:38,280
zeros out electronics. Imagine your
1308
00:49:38,280 --> 00:49:40,920
house getting struck by lightning, a
1309
00:49:40,920 --> 00:49:42,480
direct hit,
1310
00:49:42,480 --> 00:49:44,760
and no surge suppressor. I mean, just
1311
00:49:44,760 --> 00:49:46,920
just it's all all the electronics go
1312
00:49:46,920 --> 00:49:48,400
out, and that will almost certainly
1313
00:49:48,400 --> 00:49:51,320
happen. Marine One is outfitted
1314
00:49:51,320 --> 00:49:54,880
retrofitted against EMP attack cuz they
1315
00:49:54,880 --> 00:49:57,320
think about these things, but no one
1316
00:49:57,320 --> 00:49:58,800
knows if it's going to really work. It's
1317
00:49:58,800 --> 00:50:01,000
been tested in a chamber. They're
1318
00:50:01,000 --> 00:50:01,960
So So, what you're saying, sorry, just
1319
00:50:01,960 --> 00:50:04,920
to be clear, is that whoever's attacking
1320
00:50:04,920 --> 00:50:06,120
the United States or another country
1321
00:50:06,120 --> 00:50:09,040
would send an electronic pulse first?
1322
00:50:09,040 --> 00:50:11,120
No, the pulse is part of the of the bomb
1323
00:50:11,120 --> 00:50:11,360
going off.
1324
00:50:11,360 --> 00:50:11,960
Ah, okay.
1325
00:50:11,960 --> 00:50:14,280
It's It's a It's inherent in the nuclear
1326
00:50:14,280 --> 00:50:16,600
explosion. Okay. And so, even if you
1327
00:50:16,600 --> 00:50:17,880
even if you're getting the president
1328
00:50:17,880 --> 00:50:21,680
out, if he's 7 8 9 miles 10 miles out of
1329
00:50:21,680 --> 00:50:23,440
ground zero, as they rush because
1330
00:50:23,440 --> 00:50:24,720
remember this is all happening in 30
1331
00:50:24,720 --> 00:50:27,240
minutes, under 30 minutes, as they rush
1332
00:50:27,240 --> 00:50:29,200
to get him out of the White House,
1333
00:50:29,200 --> 00:50:31,960
the EMP could seriously damage the
1334
00:50:31,960 --> 00:50:33,520
Marine One. So, the Secret Service
1335
00:50:33,520 --> 00:50:35,880
people I interviewed explained to me
1336
00:50:35,880 --> 00:50:38,040
that they would have a backup plan,
1337
00:50:38,040 --> 00:50:40,720
which would be to tandem jump the
1338
00:50:40,720 --> 00:50:43,000
president out of the aircraft
1339
00:50:43,000 --> 00:50:44,400
in a with with a parachute. They would
1340
00:50:44,400 --> 00:50:46,000
strap the president onto them and jump
1341
00:50:46,000 --> 00:50:47,640
out of the aircraft cuz at least there
1342
00:50:47,640 --> 00:50:49,320
would be the the aircraft is going to
1343
00:50:49,320 --> 00:50:50,440
crash if it gets hit by the
1344
00:50:50,440 --> 00:50:52,200
electromagnetic pulse.
1345
00:50:52,200 --> 00:50:54,440
So, at least there's a better chance.
1346
00:50:54,440 --> 00:50:56,320
Well, then you have to have the mill aid
1347
00:50:56,320 --> 00:50:58,560
has to have a parachute cuz he's got the
1348
00:50:58,560 --> 00:51:01,440
black book. And the direct the the
1349
00:51:01,440 --> 00:51:03,000
special agent in charge of the president
1350
00:51:03,000 --> 00:51:04,680
is definitely going to go. So, then I
1351
00:51:04,680 --> 00:51:07,320
learned that this incredible detail that
1352
00:51:07,320 --> 00:51:10,280
there aren't parachutes in Marine One.
1353
00:51:10,280 --> 00:51:12,160
So, they have to go to the White House
1354
00:51:12,160 --> 00:51:14,160
office to get the parachutes. You know,
1355
00:51:14,160 --> 00:51:16,240
these kind of details
1356
00:51:16,240 --> 00:51:18,440
I believe provide the reader with a
1357
00:51:18,440 --> 00:51:21,000
number of things like the the
1358
00:51:21,000 --> 00:51:24,640
astonishing understanding of how many
1359
00:51:24,640 --> 00:51:27,080
different scenarios are in play all the
1360
00:51:27,080 --> 00:51:30,800
time, you know, being rehearsed so that
1361
00:51:30,800 --> 00:51:33,200
we because we might have a nuclear war.
1362
00:51:33,200 --> 00:51:35,520
At the same time that the messaging is
1363
00:51:35,520 --> 00:51:37,680
we will never have a nuclear war.
1364
00:51:37,680 --> 00:51:39,200
And then when you begin to look at all
1365
00:51:39,200 --> 00:51:42,280
the competing agendas that will happen,
1366
00:51:42,280 --> 00:51:44,880
you you realize it's just chaos upon
1367
00:51:44,880 --> 00:51:46,600
mayhem.
1368
00:51:46,600 --> 00:51:49,160
What if the president dies
1369
00:51:49,160 --> 00:51:51,040
in the strike
1370
00:51:51,040 --> 00:51:53,040
and before we've made a counter attack?
1371
00:51:53,040 --> 00:51:55,200
Which is something that Stratcom thinks
1372
00:51:55,200 --> 00:51:57,000
about and it's certainly why I have that
1373
00:51:57,000 --> 00:51:59,200
in the scenario because if the president
1374
00:51:59,200 --> 00:52:01,360
is the only one that can order a
1375
00:52:01,360 --> 00:52:02,560
a counter attack, that can launch
1376
00:52:02,560 --> 00:52:05,160
nuclear weapons, what if he dies?
1377
00:52:05,160 --> 00:52:07,760
And so, I learned in the reporting that
1378
00:52:07,760 --> 00:52:09,320
if you're the president, let's say he
1379
00:52:09,320 --> 00:52:11,920
even gives the order, okay, here's my
1380
00:52:11,920 --> 00:52:13,440
counter strike. I'm choosing this from
1381
00:52:13,440 --> 00:52:15,400
the black book.
1382
00:52:15,400 --> 00:52:18,000
The situ- the command and control is set
1383
00:52:18,000 --> 00:52:19,840
up that if the president orders 82
1384
00:52:19,840 --> 00:52:22,920
nuclear weapons is in response,
1385
00:52:22,920 --> 00:52:25,640
you can't launch 83 nuclear weapons.
1386
00:52:25,640 --> 00:52:28,520
It's 82 and 82 only. And then to do
1387
00:52:28,520 --> 00:52:32,480
another launch requires passwords I
1388
00:52:32,480 --> 00:52:35,000
mean, it requires so much bureaucracy.
1389
00:52:35,000 --> 00:52:36,680
There's not time for that. And so,
1390
00:52:36,680 --> 00:52:40,080
there's this almost unknown little
1391
00:52:40,080 --> 00:52:42,400
detail inside of the nuclear command and
1392
00:52:42,400 --> 00:52:45,080
control apparatus called a universal
1393
00:52:45,080 --> 00:52:47,400
unlock code, which I learned about in
1394
00:52:47,400 --> 00:52:49,520
the book, and the eyebrow goes up for
1395
00:52:49,520 --> 00:52:52,360
exactly that reason, as did mine when I
1396
00:52:52,360 --> 00:52:54,840
Wait, what? And then you find out that
1397
00:52:54,840 --> 00:52:57,280
the president can release to the
1398
00:52:57,280 --> 00:52:59,920
Stratcom commander
1399
00:52:59,920 --> 00:53:01,680
the universal unlock code, which
1400
00:53:01,680 --> 00:53:05,080
basically says, okay, you if I die, you
1401
00:53:05,080 --> 00:53:08,720
have permission to launch
1402
00:53:08,720 --> 00:53:11,080
nuclear weapon number 83
1403
00:53:11,080 --> 00:53:13,640
or nuclear weapon number 5,000, you
1404
00:53:13,640 --> 00:53:16,960
know, all the way up. And that
1405
00:53:16,960 --> 00:53:18,520
is a pretty
1406
00:53:18,520 --> 00:53:22,160
shocking concept.
1407
00:53:23,000 --> 00:53:24,360
The president responds to the nuclear
1408
00:53:24,360 --> 00:53:26,480
attack,
1409
00:53:26,480 --> 00:53:28,160
hits I don't know, let's say they they
1410
00:53:28,160 --> 00:53:29,440
hit Russia.
1411
00:53:29,440 --> 00:53:32,280
They send the submarines out to
1412
00:53:32,280 --> 00:53:33,600
send the
1413
00:53:33,600 --> 00:53:36,000
ICBMs or whatever it's called to hit
1414
00:53:36,000 --> 00:53:37,360
strike Russia.
1415
00:53:37,360 --> 00:53:39,120
Russia have these submarines as well,
1416
00:53:39,120 --> 00:53:42,080
they send more back.
1417
00:53:42,520 --> 00:53:44,640
What does What's the aftermath
1418
00:53:44,640 --> 00:53:45,680
of
1419
00:53:45,680 --> 00:53:48,280
nuclear you know, that 72 that 72nd
1420
00:53:48,280 --> 00:53:50,480
minute? Cuz I imagine from the minute
1421
00:53:50,480 --> 00:53:52,800
the president hears that um
1422
00:53:52,800 --> 00:53:54,200
gets the notification that there are
1423
00:53:54,200 --> 00:53:55,440
it's been confirmed, it's had the second
1424
00:53:55,440 --> 00:53:56,800
confirmation,
1425
00:53:56,800 --> 00:53:58,520
he's going to make the decision to fire
1426
00:53:58,520 --> 00:54:00,800
nuclear weapons back, I assume.
1427
00:54:00,800 --> 00:54:02,000
And then from I mean, from there it's
1428
00:54:02,000 --> 00:54:04,120
just all fire as far as I'm concerned.
1429
00:54:04,120 --> 00:54:05,840
There's a concept called jamming the
1430
00:54:05,840 --> 00:54:08,640
president, which is So, the president
1431
00:54:08,640 --> 00:54:10,600
learns in the scenario I write that
1432
00:54:10,600 --> 00:54:12,600
North Korea has fired
1433
00:54:12,600 --> 00:54:13,920
a ballistic missile and then a second
1434
00:54:13,920 --> 00:54:15,760
one comes in from a sub and hits a
1435
00:54:15,760 --> 00:54:17,680
nuclear power plant in California.
1436
00:54:17,680 --> 00:54:19,560
Why did you pick North Korea?
1437
00:54:19,560 --> 00:54:21,400
I picked North Korea because of my
1438
00:54:21,400 --> 00:54:23,000
interviews with Richard Garwin, the
1439
00:54:23,000 --> 00:54:25,240
designer of the nuclear thermonuclear
1440
00:54:25,240 --> 00:54:27,520
bomb, the first one, which he designed
1441
00:54:27,520 --> 00:54:29,120
for Teller,
1442
00:54:29,120 --> 00:54:31,280
because in our interviews I asked him
1443
00:54:31,280 --> 00:54:33,400
what scared me most. Garwin, also in his
1444
00:54:33,400 --> 00:54:35,320
90s, has advised every president of the
1445
00:54:35,320 --> 00:54:38,000
United States since Eisenhower.
1446
00:54:38,000 --> 00:54:40,720
He was an early founder of NRO. I mean,
1447
00:54:40,720 --> 00:54:43,320
our one of our most classified agencies.
1448
00:54:43,320 --> 00:54:44,560
His
1449
00:54:44,560 --> 00:54:47,400
opinion matters. And while he didn't
1450
00:54:47,400 --> 00:54:50,280
want to be specific, he gave me sort of
1451
00:54:50,280 --> 00:54:52,960
a very interesting, almost poetic
1452
00:54:52,960 --> 00:54:56,840
metaphor when he spoke of the mad king.
1453
00:54:56,840 --> 00:54:59,640
And the mad king with a nuclear arsenal,
1454
00:54:59,640 --> 00:55:02,560
and he even used us that French phrase
1455
00:55:02,560 --> 00:55:05,240
après moi le déluge.
1456
00:55:05,240 --> 00:55:07,640
This idea of like after me the flood. If
1457
00:55:07,640 --> 00:55:10,560
I die, who cares? And I
1458
00:55:10,560 --> 00:55:13,160
interpreted that that Garwin was talking
1459
00:55:13,160 --> 00:55:15,880
about North Korea because North Korea is
1460
00:55:15,880 --> 00:55:18,960
the rogue nuclear-armed nation that
1461
00:55:18,960 --> 00:55:21,520
regularly sets off ballistic missiles
1462
00:55:21,520 --> 00:55:23,720
and doesn't tell anyone. There is an
1463
00:55:23,720 --> 00:55:26,120
unspoken reality among the other nations
1464
00:55:26,120 --> 00:55:28,280
that you inform people when you're going
1465
00:55:28,280 --> 00:55:31,160
to test an ICBM with a dummy warhead, of
1466
00:55:31,160 --> 00:55:32,320
course.
1467
00:55:32,320 --> 00:55:34,840
North Korea doesn't adhere to that. So,
1468
00:55:34,840 --> 00:55:35,680
you know,
1469
00:55:35,680 --> 00:55:37,240
when I interviewed people who are in
1470
00:55:37,240 --> 00:55:39,240
those command and control bunkers, those
1471
00:55:39,240 --> 00:55:41,480
first 100 seconds we spoke of where the
1472
00:55:41,480 --> 00:55:44,120
ballistic missile is on its way, and and
1473
00:55:44,120 --> 00:55:46,200
and all of that command and control is
1474
00:55:46,200 --> 00:55:49,480
focused on is this coming at us or is it
1475
00:55:49,480 --> 00:55:51,440
as launching a space satellite or is it
1476
00:55:51,440 --> 00:55:53,480
going into the Sea of Japan? That's what
1477
00:55:53,480 --> 00:55:55,080
North Korea does.
1478
00:55:55,080 --> 00:55:57,120
They don't announce those tests, and so
1479
00:55:57,120 --> 00:55:59,960
imagine the anxiety
1480
00:55:59,960 --> 00:56:02,280
in those command bunkers
1481
00:56:02,280 --> 00:56:04,560
every time they launch
1482
00:56:04,560 --> 00:56:06,280
a ballistic missile. They have launched
1483
00:56:06,280 --> 00:56:08,640
uh more than 100 ballistic missiles in
1484
00:56:08,640 --> 00:56:11,920
an 18-month period from like 2022
1485
00:56:11,920 --> 00:56:12,920
forward.
1486
00:56:12,920 --> 00:56:13,320
Testing.
1487
00:56:13,320 --> 00:56:14,640
Okay. Testing.
1488
00:56:14,640 --> 00:56:18,480
So, this is so dangerous and so rogue.
1489
00:56:18,480 --> 00:56:20,000
If they're, you know, on the one hand I
1490
00:56:20,000 --> 00:56:22,520
say there are no rules to nuclear war,
1491
00:56:22,520 --> 00:56:24,480
but there are a few nuclear rules to
1492
00:56:24,480 --> 00:56:26,280
nuclear deterrence like you tell your
1493
00:56:26,280 --> 00:56:28,240
neighbors. And that's why I chose North
1494
00:56:28,240 --> 00:56:30,680
Korea. But just to finish that, the
1495
00:56:30,680 --> 00:56:33,160
sequence
1496
00:56:33,160 --> 00:56:37,000
the president launches 82 missiles at
1497
00:56:37,000 --> 00:56:39,680
North Korea in a counter attack.
1498
00:56:39,680 --> 00:56:42,080
And that is And in the scenario that I
1499
00:56:42,080 --> 00:56:44,200
write, the failure
1500
00:56:44,200 --> 00:56:47,359
now becomes about miscommunication, a
1501
00:56:47,359 --> 00:56:50,359
very important concept, and also about
1502
00:56:50,359 --> 00:56:52,880
technology not working.
1503
00:56:52,880 --> 00:56:55,560
And I source in the book precisely where
1504
00:56:55,560 --> 00:56:57,320
this information comes from. So,
1505
00:56:57,320 --> 00:56:59,040
Russia
1506
00:56:59,040 --> 00:57:01,120
misinterprets
1507
00:57:01,120 --> 00:57:04,359
our launching nuclear weapons at North
1508
00:57:04,359 --> 00:57:05,560
Korea
1509
00:57:05,560 --> 00:57:09,080
as being launched at Russia. Why?
1510
00:57:09,080 --> 00:57:13,600
Because actual fact, our ICBMs do not
1511
00:57:13,600 --> 00:57:16,040
have enough range
1512
00:57:16,040 --> 00:57:17,640
to travel
1513
00:57:17,640 --> 00:57:20,280
to North Korea without overflying
1514
00:57:20,280 --> 00:57:22,040
Russia.
1515
00:57:22,040 --> 00:57:26,200
And so, imagine in a climate like now
1516
00:57:26,200 --> 00:57:29,680
with hostilities as an all-time high,
1517
00:57:29,680 --> 00:57:32,200
the Russian president just saying, okay,
1518
00:57:32,200 --> 00:57:34,600
well, maybe they're not coming for us.
1519
00:57:34,600 --> 00:57:36,960
And nuclear policy, the policy of
1520
00:57:36,960 --> 00:57:38,960
deterrence is you launch if someone's
1521
00:57:38,960 --> 00:57:42,880
launching at you. And so, that is where,
1522
00:57:42,880 --> 00:57:45,240
you know, in the second act of the book,
1523
00:57:45,240 --> 00:57:47,960
it's 24 minutes 24 minutes 24 minutes
1524
00:57:47,960 --> 00:57:50,560
end game, Russia launches. And Russia
1525
00:57:50,560 --> 00:57:52,640
launch You don't launch If someone's
1526
00:57:52,640 --> 00:57:55,480
attacking you with nuclear missiles,
1527
00:57:55,480 --> 00:57:57,600
you don't launch
1528
00:57:57,600 --> 00:58:01,359
one or two back. That's mad king logic.
1529
00:58:01,359 --> 00:58:04,000
You launch the mother lode, and that's
1530
00:58:04,000 --> 00:58:05,359
what I have Russia launch in the
1531
00:58:05,359 --> 00:58:07,120
scenario. What do you mean mad king
1532
00:58:07,120 --> 00:58:11,720
logic? Well, mad king logic is
1533
00:58:11,720 --> 00:58:13,560
why would you do that? Yeah, yeah.
1534
00:58:13,560 --> 00:58:15,760
Okay. So, in the book
1535
00:58:15,760 --> 00:58:17,560
in the mad king logic of the book, the
1536
00:58:17,560 --> 00:58:20,080
leader of North Korea, who is nameless,
1537
00:58:20,080 --> 00:58:21,280
um
1538
00:58:21,280 --> 00:58:23,080
launches a nuclear weapon at the United
1539
00:58:23,080 --> 00:58:24,880
States for reasons we don't know, and we
1540
00:58:24,880 --> 00:58:26,880
will never know because history will
1541
00:58:26,880 --> 00:58:29,880
end. The ability to write history ends
1542
00:58:29,880 --> 00:58:32,720
in 72 minutes of the book.
1543
00:58:32,720 --> 00:58:35,680
So, we will never know why.
1544
00:58:35,680 --> 00:58:38,200
And that is the sort of,
1545
00:58:38,200 --> 00:58:40,560
you know, question.
1546
00:58:40,560 --> 00:58:42,800
Mad king logic is very different than
1547
00:58:42,800 --> 00:58:45,560
Defense Department logic or in many
1548
00:58:45,560 --> 00:58:46,440
regards
1549
00:58:46,440 --> 00:58:48,200
Russian nuclear command and control
1550
00:58:48,200 --> 00:58:50,440
logic, which I interviewed sort of the
1551
00:58:50,440 --> 00:58:52,760
world's expert on those subjects to be
1552
00:58:52,760 --> 00:58:55,359
able to, you know, give readers quickly
1553
00:58:55,359 --> 00:58:59,680
an idea of what that logic is and why
1554
00:58:59,680 --> 00:59:03,000
it has held for 79 years.
1555
00:59:03,000 --> 00:59:06,120
Can't we just shoot it out the sky?
1556
00:59:06,120 --> 00:59:08,600
That is the great fantasy that is a
1557
00:59:08,600 --> 00:59:11,880
fallacy, right? So,
1558
00:59:11,880 --> 00:59:14,040
let's talk numbers for a second.
1559
00:59:14,040 --> 00:59:16,920
America has 1,770
1560
00:59:16,920 --> 00:59:20,120
nuclear weapons on ready for launch
1561
00:59:20,120 --> 00:59:22,560
status. They're deployed.
1562
00:59:22,560 --> 00:59:24,880
Okay? They can launch in seconds,
1563
00:59:24,880 --> 00:59:26,640
minutes, maybe some of the bombers take
1564
00:59:26,640 --> 00:59:28,520
an hour or two.
1565
00:59:28,520 --> 00:59:32,960
Russia has roughly the same, 1,674.
1566
00:59:32,960 --> 00:59:34,440
That's the parity of the nuclear
1567
00:59:34,440 --> 00:59:36,080
treaties. That says nothing of the
1568
00:59:36,080 --> 00:59:38,000
thousands more that we each have in
1569
00:59:38,000 --> 00:59:40,080
reserve. But those are actual nuclear
1570
00:59:40,080 --> 00:59:42,160
weapons that are pointed at one another
1571
00:59:42,160 --> 00:59:43,520
ready to go.
1572
00:59:43,520 --> 00:59:48,440
Ready to go. Okay? So those numbers
1573
00:59:48,440 --> 00:59:52,480
The US has an interceptor program
1574
00:59:52,480 --> 00:59:56,440
to allegedly intercept a long-range
1575
00:59:56,440 --> 00:59:57,880
ballistic missile. I'm not talking about
1576
00:59:57,880 --> 00:59:59,440
short-range or even medium-range,
1577
00:59:59,440 --> 01:00:02,560
long-range like that would come from
1578
01:00:02,560 --> 01:00:07,080
Russia or North Korea. We have 44
1579
01:00:07,080 --> 01:00:09,400
interceptor missiles. Four of them are
1580
01:00:09,400 --> 01:00:11,000
at Vandenberg Air Force Base in Santa
1581
01:00:11,000 --> 01:00:14,160
Barbara. 40 of them are at Fort Greely
1582
01:00:14,160 --> 01:00:15,520
in Alaska.
1583
01:00:15,520 --> 01:00:19,680
44. So if Russia has 1,607
1584
01:00:19,680 --> 01:00:23,120
nuclear weapons how are our 44
1585
01:00:23,120 --> 01:00:25,360
interceptors going to go up against
1586
01:00:25,360 --> 01:00:26,440
those?
1587
01:00:26,440 --> 01:00:28,160
And that and that says nothing by the
1588
01:00:28,160 --> 01:00:30,280
way, and I get into this in sort of the
1589
01:00:30,280 --> 01:00:33,840
little bit of the wonkiness inside a
1590
01:00:33,840 --> 01:00:35,880
nuclear warhead
1591
01:00:35,880 --> 01:00:37,680
many of them are what are called MIRV's,
1592
01:00:37,680 --> 01:00:39,520
which means they have multiple warheads
1593
01:00:39,520 --> 01:00:41,720
inside of it. And so when the warhead
1594
01:00:41,720 --> 01:00:43,960
unleashes the multiple warheads go out
1595
01:00:43,960 --> 01:00:46,000
along with decoys so that if an
1596
01:00:46,000 --> 01:00:48,960
interceptor missile is coming at it
1597
01:00:48,960 --> 01:00:51,360
it it greatly reduces the chance that
1598
01:00:51,360 --> 01:00:52,800
the interceptor will be able to shoot it
1599
01:00:52,800 --> 01:00:54,400
out of the sky. The way that it was said
1600
01:00:54,400 --> 01:00:55,880
to me was like this.
1601
01:00:55,880 --> 01:00:57,400
An interceptor missile, which is
1602
01:00:57,400 --> 01:00:59,320
basically just like a small ICBM, right?
1603
01:00:59,320 --> 01:01:01,680
It's a small rocket.
1604
01:01:01,680 --> 01:01:03,040
It
1605
01:01:03,040 --> 01:01:05,880
is like trying to shoot a bullet with a
1606
01:01:05,880 --> 01:01:08,400
bullet. That's a quote from the
1607
01:01:08,400 --> 01:01:11,960
spokesperson of at the Pentagon.
1608
01:01:11,960 --> 01:01:14,640
One of them is traveling at 14,000 miles
1609
01:01:14,640 --> 01:01:17,720
an hour, the ballistic missile. 14,000
1610
01:01:17,720 --> 01:01:19,160
miles an hour.
1611
01:01:19,160 --> 01:01:21,560
The interceptor, the little kinetic
1612
01:01:21,560 --> 01:01:23,320
vehicle inside of it that's going to hit
1613
01:01:23,320 --> 01:01:26,480
the warhead, hopefully, is traveling at
1614
01:01:26,480 --> 01:01:29,840
20,000 miles an hour. That's where you
1615
01:01:29,840 --> 01:01:32,000
get the trying to hit a bullet with a
1616
01:01:32,000 --> 01:01:33,440
bullet. And by the way, this is all
1617
01:01:33,440 --> 01:01:37,280
happening 500 miles up in space.
1618
01:01:37,280 --> 01:01:38,960
Good luck.
1619
01:01:38,960 --> 01:01:40,560
The success rate of our interceptor
1620
01:01:40,560 --> 01:01:44,680
program is between 40 and 55%. That's on
1621
01:01:44,680 --> 01:01:46,720
a good day where they're testing these
1622
01:01:46,720 --> 01:01:48,960
things and they go, "Hey, we're doing an
1623
01:01:48,960 --> 01:01:52,000
interceptor test. It might be around
1624
01:01:52,000 --> 01:01:54,480
there, right?" That's called a curated
1625
01:01:54,480 --> 01:01:56,760
test. That's not in the madness of the
1626
01:01:56,760 --> 01:01:58,920
moment.
1627
01:01:58,920 --> 01:02:00,960
The bombs land.
1628
01:02:00,960 --> 01:02:03,440
If I was a
1629
01:02:03,440 --> 01:02:05,120
fly on the wall, not that there would be
1630
01:02:05,120 --> 01:02:06,480
a wall left.
1631
01:02:06,480 --> 01:02:07,920
What would I what would I and I was
1632
01:02:07,920 --> 01:02:09,840
looking at America or the UK after it
1633
01:02:09,840 --> 01:02:12,440
had been strike struck by these nuclear
1634
01:02:12,440 --> 01:02:14,160
bombs by thousands of, you know, Russian
1635
01:02:14,160 --> 01:02:16,640
or North Korean nuclear weapons, what
1636
01:02:16,640 --> 01:02:18,320
would I see? What would the visuals be
1637
01:02:18,320 --> 01:02:20,720
in those minutes after the strike?
1638
01:02:20,720 --> 01:02:23,480
I describe the first bomb in the
1639
01:02:23,480 --> 01:02:25,080
scenario that strikes the Pentagon. It's
1640
01:02:25,080 --> 01:02:27,520
a one megaton thermonuclear bomb in
1641
01:02:27,520 --> 01:02:30,400
painstaking horrific detail all sourced
1642
01:02:30,400 --> 01:02:32,480
from Defense Department documents,
1643
01:02:32,480 --> 01:02:33,960
defense scientists who have worked for
1644
01:02:33,960 --> 01:02:35,800
decades to describe precisely what
1645
01:02:35,800 --> 01:02:38,400
happens to things and to humans. And
1646
01:02:38,400 --> 01:02:41,240
it's horrifying. But on top of the
1647
01:02:41,240 --> 01:02:44,480
initial flash of thermonuclear light,
1648
01:02:44,480 --> 01:02:46,680
which is 180 million degrees, which
1649
01:02:46,680 --> 01:02:49,520
catches everything on fire in a 9-mile
1650
01:02:49,520 --> 01:02:51,880
diameter radius. On top of the
1651
01:02:51,880 --> 01:02:53,520
bulldozing effect of the wind and the
1652
01:02:53,520 --> 01:02:56,040
all the buildings coming down and more
1653
01:02:56,040 --> 01:02:58,360
fires igniting more fires. On top of the
1654
01:02:58,360 --> 01:03:01,400
radiation poisoning people to death in
1655
01:03:01,400 --> 01:03:04,160
minutes and hours and days and weeks if
1656
01:03:04,160 --> 01:03:05,960
they happen to have survived. On top of
1657
01:03:05,960 --> 01:03:08,680
all of that, each one of these fires
1658
01:03:08,680 --> 01:03:12,640
creates a megafire that is 100 or more
1659
01:03:12,640 --> 01:03:15,560
square miles. And so essentially in
1660
01:03:15,560 --> 01:03:17,840
essence, what do you see? Well, in the
1661
01:03:17,840 --> 01:03:20,920
scenario at minute 72, a thousand
1662
01:03:20,920 --> 01:03:22,760
Russian nuclear weapons land on the
1663
01:03:22,760 --> 01:03:25,560
United States. And so it just becomes a
1664
01:03:25,560 --> 01:03:29,400
conflagration of fire. It's just fire
1665
01:03:29,400 --> 01:03:34,280
fires burning. Fires 100, 200 square
1666
01:03:34,280 --> 01:03:37,760
mile fires burning. And then we move
1667
01:03:37,760 --> 01:03:40,520
into nuclear winter. And that's sort of
1668
01:03:40,520 --> 01:03:43,280
the denouement of the book where I tell
1669
01:03:43,280 --> 01:03:46,960
you about nuclear winter from the point
1670
01:03:46,960 --> 01:03:49,080
of view of one of the original
1671
01:03:49,080 --> 01:03:51,240
scientists who wrote that original
1672
01:03:51,240 --> 01:03:54,080
nuclear winter paper with Carl Sagan
1673
01:03:54,080 --> 01:03:56,720
back in 1983. And his name is Professor
1674
01:03:56,720 --> 01:03:58,920
Brian Toon, and he's spent the decades
1675
01:03:58,920 --> 01:04:01,600
since working with the state-of-the-art
1676
01:04:01,600 --> 01:04:03,720
climate modeling systems that can now
1677
01:04:03,720 --> 01:04:06,200
precisely tell us what nuclear winter
1678
01:04:06,200 --> 01:04:07,800
will look like. Cuz I've always thought,
1679
01:04:07,800 --> 01:04:09,040
you know what, nuclear war wouldn't be
1680
01:04:09,040 --> 01:04:10,920
that bad if, you know, Russia launched a
1681
01:04:10,920 --> 01:04:12,680
thousand of their nuclear bombs at the
1682
01:04:12,680 --> 01:04:14,320
United States and I was here in New York
1683
01:04:14,320 --> 01:04:15,680
where I am now
1684
01:04:15,680 --> 01:04:17,000
I would die instantly so I wouldn't
1685
01:04:17,000 --> 01:04:18,960
really know it happened.
1686
01:04:18,960 --> 01:04:21,080
Is that true? I think you would want to
1687
01:04:21,080 --> 01:04:22,920
die instantly. I mean, there's a quote
1688
01:04:22,920 --> 01:04:25,640
from Nikita Khrushchev, the former
1689
01:04:25,640 --> 01:04:27,280
um premier of the Soviet Union, and he
1690
01:04:27,280 --> 01:04:30,920
said, "After nuclear war, the survivors
1691
01:04:30,920 --> 01:04:33,800
would envy the dead."
1692
01:04:33,800 --> 01:04:36,560
Because there is right? There is this
1693
01:04:36,560 --> 01:04:40,320
sense of if you survived, I mean, there
1694
01:04:40,320 --> 01:04:43,960
is no more law and order. There is no
1695
01:04:43,960 --> 01:04:46,120
more rule of law. There is no
1696
01:04:46,120 --> 01:04:48,640
government. Craig Fugate made that very
1697
01:04:48,640 --> 01:04:51,280
clear. The bunkers that the people in
1698
01:04:51,280 --> 01:04:53,680
the military command and control centers
1699
01:04:53,680 --> 01:04:55,000
would be in, let's say the secret
1700
01:04:55,000 --> 01:04:56,640
bunkers, not the ones that are targets
1701
01:04:56,640 --> 01:04:58,400
that Russia's going to take out that I
1702
01:04:58,400 --> 01:04:59,800
write about in the book, but the smaller
1703
01:04:59,800 --> 01:05:03,280
ones those are going to only function
1704
01:05:03,280 --> 01:05:05,040
for as long as there's gasoline to run
1705
01:05:05,040 --> 01:05:08,000
the diesel in the diesel generators. And
1706
01:05:08,000 --> 01:05:09,840
then those people are going to have to
1707
01:05:09,840 --> 01:05:13,400
come out. And who's left? It's man
1708
01:05:13,400 --> 01:05:16,960
returning to the most primal, most
1709
01:05:16,960 --> 01:05:20,160
violent state as people fight over the
1710
01:05:20,160 --> 01:05:23,920
tiny resources that remain. And by the
1711
01:05:23,920 --> 01:05:25,920
way, they're all malnourished.
1712
01:05:25,920 --> 01:05:29,040
Everybody's sick. And most people have
1713
01:05:29,040 --> 01:05:31,800
lost everything and everyone they know.
1714
01:05:31,800 --> 01:05:34,760
How's that going to feel?
1715
01:05:35,200 --> 01:05:36,840
It's going to feel as you describe here
1716
01:05:36,840 --> 01:05:39,120
on page 277
1717
01:05:39,120 --> 01:05:41,040
there are a thousand flashes of light
1718
01:05:41,040 --> 01:05:43,880
superheating the air in each ground zero
1719
01:05:43,880 --> 01:05:46,240
to 180 million degrees Fahrenheit. A
1720
01:05:46,240 --> 01:05:48,200
thousand fireballs each more than a mile
1721
01:05:48,200 --> 01:05:50,440
in diameter.
1722
01:05:50,440 --> 01:05:53,800
A thousand steeply fronted blast waves.
1723
01:05:53,800 --> 01:05:56,400
A thousand walls of compressed air. A
1724
01:05:56,400 --> 01:05:59,680
thousand American cities and towns where
1725
01:05:59,680 --> 01:06:01,800
all where all engineered structures in
1726
01:06:01,800 --> 01:06:04,080
5, 6, or 7-mile radius change physical
1727
01:06:04,080 --> 01:06:06,200
shapes, collapse, and burn. A thousand
1728
01:06:06,200 --> 01:06:08,000
cities and towns with molten asphalt
1729
01:06:08,000 --> 01:06:10,120
streets. A thousand cities and towns
1730
01:06:10,120 --> 01:06:11,720
with survivors impaled to death by
1731
01:06:11,720 --> 01:06:13,960
flying debris. A thousand cities and
1732
01:06:13,960 --> 01:06:15,480
towns filled with tens of millions of
1733
01:06:15,480 --> 01:06:17,560
dead people. With tens of millions of
1734
01:06:17,560 --> 01:06:19,280
unfortunate survivors suffering fatal
1735
01:06:19,280 --> 01:06:21,160
third-degree burns. People naked,
1736
01:06:21,160 --> 01:06:23,880
tattered, bleeding, and suffocating.
1737
01:06:23,880 --> 01:06:27,359
People who don't look or act like people
1738
01:06:27,359 --> 01:06:30,040
anymore.
1739
01:06:30,080 --> 01:06:31,840
Across America and Europe, hundreds of
1740
01:06:31,840 --> 01:06:33,480
millions of people are dead and dying
1741
01:06:33,480 --> 01:06:35,080
while hundreds of military aircraft fly
1742
01:06:35,080 --> 01:06:37,320
circles in the air until they until they
1743
01:06:37,320 --> 01:06:39,720
run out of fuel.
1744
01:06:39,720 --> 01:06:42,040
I mean, that is
1745
01:06:42,040 --> 01:06:44,520
that is some visual.
1746
01:06:44,520 --> 01:06:46,600
How many people would be
1747
01:06:46,600 --> 01:06:48,880
dead or dying, do you think, after those
1748
01:06:48,880 --> 01:06:51,240
72 minutes?
1749
01:06:51,240 --> 01:06:55,440
Hundreds of millions of people die
1750
01:06:55,440 --> 01:06:58,920
in the fireballs, no question. But the
1751
01:06:58,920 --> 01:07:00,880
number that I think is very interesting
1752
01:07:00,880 --> 01:07:04,200
to think about comes from Professor Toon
1753
01:07:04,200 --> 01:07:07,080
and his team who wrote a paper for
1754
01:07:07,080 --> 01:07:11,359
Nature uh recently, 2022, and sort of
1755
01:07:11,359 --> 01:07:15,040
updated nuclear winter idea based around
1756
01:07:15,040 --> 01:07:18,680
food. And the number that they have is 5
1757
01:07:18,680 --> 01:07:20,920
billion people
1758
01:07:20,920 --> 01:07:22,840
would be dead. The population of the
1759
01:07:22,840 --> 01:07:24,200
planet currently is about 8 billion?
1760
01:07:24,200 --> 01:07:26,280
Yes. So there'd be 3 billion people
1761
01:07:26,280 --> 01:07:29,240
still alive.
1762
01:07:29,240 --> 01:07:32,200
Where shall I go to be one of the 3
1763
01:07:32,200 --> 01:07:34,400
billion? I I was just in New Zealand and
1764
01:07:34,400 --> 01:07:36,160
Australia. That's exactly where you'd
1765
01:07:36,160 --> 01:07:38,240
go. Although according to Toon, those
1766
01:07:38,240 --> 01:07:41,120
are the only places that could actually
1767
01:07:41,120 --> 01:07:43,920
sustain agriculture.
1768
01:07:43,920 --> 01:07:46,280
I was there two weeks ago. Not even two
1769
01:07:46,280 --> 01:07:47,560
weeks ago, it was maybe 10 days ago. I
1770
01:07:47,560 --> 01:07:49,320
was in New Zealand and Australia.
1771
01:07:49,320 --> 01:07:51,520
And at that time
1772
01:07:51,520 --> 01:07:54,640
I think Iran attacked Israel.
1773
01:07:54,640 --> 01:07:57,520
Right. Yes.
1774
01:07:58,400 --> 01:08:00,440
I was kind of happy. You're in the right
1775
01:08:00,440 --> 01:08:01,840
place at the right time. Yeah. I was
1776
01:08:01,840 --> 01:08:03,320
kind of happy for where I was located if
1777
01:08:03,320 --> 01:08:05,040
I'm you know, and I was thinking I
1778
01:08:05,040 --> 01:08:06,320
actually remember I was talking to my
1779
01:08:06,320 --> 01:08:07,960
friends and I pulled up a map and I was
1780
01:08:07,960 --> 01:08:09,560
trying to see how far away I was from
1781
01:08:09,560 --> 01:08:11,680
everything. I was thinking if cuz World
1782
01:08:11,680 --> 01:08:12,960
War III started trending on Twitter, I
1783
01:08:12,960 --> 01:08:14,680
was thinking if if it does break out
1784
01:08:14,680 --> 01:08:16,799
now, I think I'm pretty probably pretty
1785
01:08:16,799 --> 01:08:18,920
well placed. Is that the place to be, do
1786
01:08:18,920 --> 01:08:20,520
That is. That is according to Professor
1787
01:08:20,520 --> 01:08:22,440
Toon. I mean, he was so generous with
1788
01:08:22,440 --> 01:08:25,200
me. He shared a lot of his slideshows
1789
01:08:25,200 --> 01:08:28,000
that he has for his students. And that
1790
01:08:28,000 --> 01:08:29,440
is really pretty much what's left. I
1791
01:08:29,440 --> 01:08:32,120
mean, because most of the world is
1792
01:08:32,120 --> 01:08:33,799
certainly the mid-latitudes would be
1793
01:08:33,799 --> 01:08:35,240
covered in these,
1794
01:08:35,240 --> 01:08:37,440
you know, sheets of ice. The the
1795
01:08:37,440 --> 01:08:39,200
freshwater bodies,
1796
01:08:39,200 --> 01:08:42,000
places like Iowa and Ukraine would be
1797
01:08:42,000 --> 01:08:44,759
would be just snow for 10 years. And so
1798
01:08:44,759 --> 01:08:47,200
agriculture would fail. And when
1799
01:08:47,200 --> 01:08:50,600
agriculture fails, people just die. And
1800
01:08:50,600 --> 01:08:52,560
and on on top of that, you have the
1801
01:08:52,560 --> 01:08:55,560
radiation poisoning because the ozone
1802
01:08:55,560 --> 01:08:59,480
layer will be so damaged and destroyed
1803
01:08:59,480 --> 01:09:00,759
that
1804
01:09:00,759 --> 01:09:05,319
you can't be outside in the sunlight.
1805
01:09:05,319 --> 01:09:07,680
And so people will be forced to live
1806
01:09:07,680 --> 01:09:11,240
underground. And so you have to imagine
1807
01:09:11,240 --> 01:09:13,319
people living underground fighting for
1808
01:09:13,319 --> 01:09:14,839
food everywhere except for in New
1809
01:09:14,839 --> 01:09:17,960
Zealand and Australia. Um there was also
1810
01:09:17,960 --> 01:09:20,000
another interesting detail that that he
1811
01:09:20,000 --> 01:09:22,839
shared with me that, you know
1812
01:09:22,839 --> 01:09:27,359
66 million years ago an asteroid hit
1813
01:09:27,359 --> 01:09:30,640
Earth and wiped out the dinosaurs
1814
01:09:30,640 --> 01:09:32,960
and something like 70% of the known
1815
01:09:32,960 --> 01:09:34,720
species.
1816
01:09:34,720 --> 01:09:38,960
And Professor Toon compared nuclear war
1817
01:09:38,960 --> 01:09:41,120
to that situation.
1818
01:09:41,120 --> 01:09:43,000
And so when you really think about it
1819
01:09:43,000 --> 01:09:44,720
and and again this was also echoed by
1820
01:09:44,720 --> 01:09:46,319
Craig Fugate
1821
01:09:46,319 --> 01:09:49,160
FEMA's director.
1822
01:09:49,160 --> 01:09:50,640
You think about it there's nothing we
1823
01:09:50,640 --> 01:09:54,360
can do about an asteroid.
1824
01:09:54,360 --> 01:09:56,200
At least not right now.
1825
01:09:56,200 --> 01:09:58,280
And yet there is something
1826
01:09:58,280 --> 01:10:02,040
nuclear war is a man-made threat
1827
01:10:02,040 --> 01:10:05,520
and therefore it has to be a man-made
1828
01:10:05,520 --> 01:10:07,880
solution.
1829
01:10:07,880 --> 01:10:10,360
What is the solution?
1830
01:10:10,360 --> 01:10:12,920
I really believe that people motivate
1831
01:10:12,920 --> 01:10:14,840
other people. It's like a fundamental
1832
01:10:14,840 --> 01:10:16,880
truth on the smallest scale and on the
1833
01:10:16,880 --> 01:10:19,880
biggest scale. And so there's one person
1834
01:10:19,880 --> 01:10:21,600
who is incredibly powerful and that is
1835
01:10:21,600 --> 01:10:23,400
the president of the United States. For
1836
01:10:23,400 --> 01:10:25,600
better or for worse, it's just the way
1837
01:10:25,600 --> 01:10:27,560
it is. And so in the same way that the
1838
01:10:27,560 --> 01:10:28,840
president has
1839
01:10:28,840 --> 01:10:30,720
presidential sole authority to start a
1840
01:10:30,720 --> 01:10:32,480
nuclear war, the president also has a
1841
01:10:32,480 --> 01:10:34,840
very powerful pen with which he can
1842
01:10:34,840 --> 01:10:38,080
write executive orders and EO.
1843
01:10:38,080 --> 01:10:40,320
And the story I tell on the hopeful note
1844
01:10:40,320 --> 01:10:42,240
goes like this. When I was in high
1845
01:10:42,240 --> 01:10:46,000
school in 1983 there was an ABC TV movie
1846
01:10:46,000 --> 01:10:48,240
called The Day After
1847
01:10:48,240 --> 01:10:49,880
and it
1848
01:10:49,880 --> 01:10:52,400
showed a fictional war between the
1849
01:10:52,400 --> 01:10:55,160
United States and then Soviet Russia.
1850
01:10:55,160 --> 01:10:58,120
It was horrific and terrifying, okay?
1851
01:10:58,120 --> 01:11:01,360
100 million Americans watched it.
1852
01:11:01,360 --> 01:11:03,120
100 million Americans It's like the
1853
01:11:03,120 --> 01:11:05,880
third of the the population.
1854
01:11:05,880 --> 01:11:08,000
And I think it was half the population
1855
01:11:08,000 --> 01:11:08,920
then.
1856
01:11:08,920 --> 01:11:09,840
Um
1857
01:11:09,840 --> 01:11:12,360
President Reagan was one of those
1858
01:11:12,360 --> 01:11:14,920
Americans. He had a private screening at
1859
01:11:14,920 --> 01:11:16,440
Camp David.
1860
01:11:16,440 --> 01:11:18,680
His advisers told him not to watch it.
1861
01:11:18,680 --> 01:11:21,560
He did watch it. Before that President
1862
01:11:21,560 --> 01:11:25,760
Reagan was a hawk. He was pro nuclear
1863
01:11:25,760 --> 01:11:27,760
weapons. His position was the more
1864
01:11:27,760 --> 01:11:29,840
nuclear weapons the better. He was the
1865
01:11:29,840 --> 01:11:32,000
one putting nuclear weapons in space
1866
01:11:32,000 --> 01:11:34,160
with the Star Wars program, the SDI
1867
01:11:34,160 --> 01:11:36,840
program, okay? He couldn't have been
1868
01:11:36,840 --> 01:11:39,720
more pro deterrence
1869
01:11:39,720 --> 01:11:41,640
supremacy.
1870
01:11:41,640 --> 01:11:44,600
He saw The Day After
1871
01:11:44,600 --> 01:11:47,000
and he changed his position. He wrote in
1872
01:11:47,000 --> 01:11:49,520
his White House journal that he became
1873
01:11:49,520 --> 01:11:53,040
greatly depressed, his words.
1874
01:11:53,040 --> 01:11:55,400
And he reached out to Gorbachev.
1875
01:11:55,400 --> 01:11:57,880
And then they had a Reykjavik Summit a
1876
01:11:57,880 --> 01:11:59,800
summit in Iceland
1877
01:11:59,800 --> 01:12:01,680
Reagan and Gorbachev
1878
01:12:01,680 --> 01:12:02,800
and
1879
01:12:02,800 --> 01:12:06,080
through communication, right? Through
1880
01:12:06,080 --> 01:12:09,360
both of them realizing this is madness
1881
01:12:09,360 --> 01:12:11,880
realizing what could happen seeing The
1882
01:12:11,880 --> 01:12:14,920
Day After and realizing my God
1883
01:12:14,920 --> 01:12:16,720
this cannot happen. And they famously
1884
01:12:16,720 --> 01:12:18,680
issued a statement that said a nuke the
1885
01:12:18,680 --> 01:12:20,080
joint statement between the two of them
1886
01:12:20,080 --> 01:12:20,960
that said
1887
01:12:20,960 --> 01:12:24,280
a nuclear war cannot be won
1888
01:12:24,280 --> 01:12:26,800
and must never be fought.
1889
01:12:26,800 --> 01:12:29,240
And the result of the Reykjavik Summit
1890
01:12:29,240 --> 01:12:32,880
was that the world has gone from 70,000
1891
01:12:32,880 --> 01:12:35,360
nuclear warheads. That was the all-time
1892
01:12:35,360 --> 01:12:36,320
high.
1893
01:12:36,320 --> 01:12:38,720
70,000.
1894
01:12:38,720 --> 01:12:42,520
Why do you need 70,000 nuclear warheads?
1895
01:12:42,520 --> 01:12:46,040
That's what there were in 1986. And now
1896
01:12:46,040 --> 01:12:48,600
here we are because of the reductions,
1897
01:12:48,600 --> 01:12:50,680
because of the treaties, thanks to those
1898
01:12:50,680 --> 01:12:52,360
two.
1899
01:12:52,360 --> 01:12:54,120
12,500
1900
01:12:54,120 --> 01:12:57,640
approximately nuclear warheads. That is
1901
01:12:57,640 --> 01:13:00,120
the movement in the right direction.
1902
01:13:00,120 --> 01:13:02,520
And it came from
1903
01:13:02,520 --> 01:13:05,480
a dramatic story being told and it came
1904
01:13:05,480 --> 01:13:08,360
from the president taking action because
1905
01:13:08,360 --> 01:13:11,360
people would not stand for this anymore.
1906
01:13:11,360 --> 01:13:13,200
There were massive protests. Do you
1907
01:13:13,200 --> 01:13:15,280
believe we could ever get to zero?
1908
01:13:15,280 --> 01:13:15,600
Honestly.
1909
01:13:15,600 --> 01:13:18,480
That is for the disarmament experts. I
1910
01:13:18,480 --> 01:13:20,800
like to stay in my lane as a
1911
01:13:20,800 --> 01:13:22,360
storyteller, as an investigative
1912
01:13:22,360 --> 01:13:24,680
journalist. I like to give you the
1913
01:13:24,680 --> 01:13:26,240
dramatic
1914
01:13:26,240 --> 01:13:30,480
fast read and then pass the baton
1915
01:13:30,480 --> 01:13:34,240
to those who have been working on that
1916
01:13:34,240 --> 01:13:35,720
issue for decades because boy are they
1917
01:13:35,720 --> 01:13:37,760
qualified. I just had the great fortune
1918
01:13:37,760 --> 01:13:40,440
of being invited to Brussels where I was
1919
01:13:40,440 --> 01:13:43,160
part of a nuclear expo and there were
1920
01:13:43,160 --> 01:13:44,920
members of the European Parliament in
1921
01:13:44,920 --> 01:13:46,360
the audience.
1922
01:13:46,360 --> 01:13:48,280
And I and and there were all these
1923
01:13:48,280 --> 01:13:50,480
disarmament people there and I learned a
1924
01:13:50,480 --> 01:13:54,200
lot about all of these groups and they
1925
01:13:54,200 --> 01:13:56,080
have the answer and they are the ones
1926
01:13:56,080 --> 01:13:58,200
that should be asked that question and
1927
01:13:58,200 --> 01:14:01,920
they are doing a lot to get us there.
1928
01:14:01,920 --> 01:14:05,280
From the moment you wrote the first word
1929
01:14:05,280 --> 01:14:08,760
in this new book um nuclear war scenario
1930
01:14:08,760 --> 01:14:10,560
to when you finish the book, how did
1931
01:14:10,560 --> 01:14:13,200
your feelings change about the subject
1932
01:14:13,200 --> 01:14:15,640
matter?
1933
01:14:18,240 --> 01:14:21,520
It's interesting because
1934
01:14:21,520 --> 01:14:22,560
you
1935
01:14:22,560 --> 01:14:25,080
you write the This is just my experience
1936
01:14:25,080 --> 01:14:26,600
as a journalist, but
1937
01:14:26,600 --> 01:14:28,480
you you write the book and you're like
1938
01:14:28,480 --> 01:14:29,640
any
1939
01:14:29,640 --> 01:14:31,240
professional person you want to do a
1940
01:14:31,240 --> 01:14:34,160
really good job at your job, right? So
1941
01:14:34,160 --> 01:14:37,120
so I was very focused on gathering the
1942
01:14:37,120 --> 01:14:39,280
facts and then relaying them in a
1943
01:14:39,280 --> 01:14:42,120
readable way, you know? My husband Kevin
1944
01:14:42,120 --> 01:14:43,640
always says like you got to write
1945
01:14:43,640 --> 01:14:44,720
something that someone can read on the
1946
01:14:44,720 --> 01:14:46,720
beach or an airplane. Right? Which is
1947
01:14:46,720 --> 01:14:49,480
not necessarily conducive to like Nazi
1948
01:14:49,480 --> 01:14:50,760
scientists or the other things I've
1949
01:14:50,760 --> 01:14:52,920
written about. But for this it became
1950
01:14:52,920 --> 01:14:55,240
clear to me nuclear launch to nuclear
1951
01:14:55,240 --> 01:14:59,000
winter fast. Have people read it fast
1952
01:14:59,000 --> 01:15:00,640
because you want to grab their attention
1953
01:15:00,640 --> 01:15:01,480
because
1954
01:15:01,480 --> 01:15:04,360
I'm a mother, you know? I'm a hopeful
1955
01:15:04,360 --> 01:15:06,000
person that believes that we do not have
1956
01:15:06,000 --> 01:15:08,720
to live with this threat overhead. And
1957
01:15:08,720 --> 01:15:12,080
so my focus of the work was really on
1958
01:15:12,080 --> 01:15:15,440
doing the best job I could to narrate
1959
01:15:15,440 --> 01:15:18,400
the story and I think you you take your
1960
01:15:18,400 --> 01:15:23,640
hat off about um maybe any more sort of
1961
01:15:23,640 --> 01:15:26,080
emotional or sentimental feelings. You
1962
01:15:26,080 --> 01:15:27,760
try to
1963
01:15:27,760 --> 01:15:30,200
you try to push that into the prose I
1964
01:15:30,200 --> 01:15:33,080
suppose. So maybe in subtext
1965
01:15:33,080 --> 01:15:34,520
there is
1966
01:15:34,520 --> 01:15:39,600
a sense of urgency and and even fear.
1967
01:15:39,600 --> 01:15:43,120
But for me intellectually, you know as
1968
01:15:43,120 --> 01:15:45,120
an investigative journalist it was it
1969
01:15:45,120 --> 01:15:47,160
was just what's what's the next page
1970
01:15:47,160 --> 01:15:48,840
going to read like. But how do you feel
1971
01:15:48,840 --> 01:15:50,800
about you know the nature that you It's
1972
01:15:50,800 --> 01:15:52,440
interesting as well because you when you
1973
01:15:52,440 --> 01:15:53,520
think about the books you've written I
1974
01:15:53,520 --> 01:15:54,720
don't even think how many have you
1975
01:15:54,720 --> 01:15:56,800
written now six or seven? Seven books in
1976
01:15:56,800 --> 01:15:57,840
total.
1977
01:15:57,840 --> 01:16:00,560
The subject matter of your books are all
1978
01:16:00,560 --> 01:16:03,120
the basis of a lot of conspiracy theory.
1979
01:16:03,120 --> 01:16:04,080
If that makes sense. You know you've
1980
01:16:04,080 --> 01:16:06,000
written about Area 51 and this thing
1981
01:16:06,000 --> 01:16:07,600
called Operation Paperclip and the
1982
01:16:07,600 --> 01:16:09,080
Pentagon and
1983
01:16:09,080 --> 01:16:11,520
and our nuclear bombs and the CIA, all
1984
01:16:11,520 --> 01:16:12,840
these kinds of things which are the
1985
01:16:12,840 --> 01:16:14,320
basis of many of the conspiracy theories
1986
01:16:14,320 --> 01:16:18,160
that I hear hear about. Um so you've
1987
01:16:18,160 --> 01:16:19,600
you've got a very unique perspective on
1988
01:16:19,600 --> 01:16:20,640
the world because you've had the
1989
01:16:20,640 --> 01:16:22,680
privilege and the access of interviewing
1990
01:16:22,680 --> 01:16:23,920
some of the most interesting people that
1991
01:16:23,920 --> 01:16:25,440
are closest to these very interesting
1992
01:16:25,440 --> 01:16:26,880
subjects.
1993
01:16:26,880 --> 01:16:28,520
What are some of the things that you've
1994
01:16:28,520 --> 01:16:29,920
come to learn that you once thought were
1995
01:16:29,920 --> 01:16:33,080
just conspiracy theories?
1996
01:16:33,360 --> 01:16:35,680
I mean conspiracy theory is such a
1997
01:16:35,680 --> 01:16:39,120
loaded word and I think it's too bad
1998
01:16:39,120 --> 01:16:42,680
that um it's used as a catchall to kind
1999
01:16:42,680 --> 01:16:45,320
of dismiss
2000
01:16:45,320 --> 01:16:48,000
uh a lot of curiosity. Mhm. Because
2001
01:16:48,000 --> 01:16:50,120
curiosity is important, right? And
2002
01:16:50,120 --> 01:16:52,560
curiosity leads toward reading. I mean I
2003
01:16:52,560 --> 01:16:54,680
couldn't be a bigger fan of reading or
2004
01:16:54,680 --> 01:16:56,120
listening to pod you know educating
2005
01:16:56,120 --> 01:16:57,920
yourself. I mean things have really
2006
01:16:57,920 --> 01:17:00,280
changed in terms of audio. Like you can
2007
01:17:00,280 --> 01:17:02,400
listen to a podcast
2008
01:17:02,400 --> 01:17:04,840
and learn a lot. You can listen to an
2009
01:17:04,840 --> 01:17:06,840
audio book the same way that you used to
2010
01:17:06,840 --> 01:17:08,840
have to read them. And
2011
01:17:08,840 --> 01:17:10,520
and so
2012
01:17:10,520 --> 01:17:13,960
to just call things conspiracy
2013
01:17:13,960 --> 01:17:17,160
theories I find to be intellectually
2014
01:17:17,160 --> 01:17:19,840
thin, right? It's just too easy. And
2015
01:17:19,840 --> 01:17:21,760
it's also very self-righteous.
2016
01:17:21,760 --> 01:17:24,360
And I think two things I always work to
2017
01:17:24,360 --> 01:17:26,560
avoid um
2018
01:17:26,560 --> 01:17:28,440
is like
2019
01:17:28,440 --> 01:17:30,400
kind of being a know-it-all. And I am
2020
01:17:30,400 --> 01:17:32,880
around a lot of know-it-alls because
2021
01:17:32,880 --> 01:17:36,440
people who become experts in subjects
2022
01:17:36,440 --> 01:17:37,880
um and maybe they don't get as much
2023
01:17:37,880 --> 01:17:40,040
attention as they think they deserve
2024
01:17:40,040 --> 01:17:41,920
tend to become
2025
01:17:41,920 --> 01:17:43,240
a little bit of self-righteous
2026
01:17:43,240 --> 01:17:44,440
know-it-alls.
2027
01:17:44,440 --> 01:17:47,560
And so I have to wind my way
2028
01:17:47,560 --> 01:17:50,040
through that world because I'm always
2029
01:17:50,040 --> 01:17:52,400
What interests me are
2030
01:17:52,400 --> 01:17:54,680
subjects that
2031
01:17:54,680 --> 01:17:57,240
make me ask the question why, right?
2032
01:17:57,240 --> 01:17:58,240
Like
2033
01:17:58,240 --> 01:18:00,560
why does no one know about Area 51? What
2034
01:18:00,560 --> 01:18:03,040
why why is Area 51 so secret? I mean
2035
01:18:03,040 --> 01:18:05,640
when I wrote the book Area 51 the word
2036
01:18:05,640 --> 01:18:08,240
Area 51 was still classified. Really?
2037
01:18:08,240 --> 01:18:10,560
You couldn't say it. I went to the CIA
2038
01:18:10,560 --> 01:18:12,680
and I was told by my minder
2039
01:18:12,680 --> 01:18:17,160
if you say a certain word and number
2040
01:18:17,160 --> 01:18:19,120
you will be asked to leave.
2041
01:18:19,120 --> 01:18:20,920
It was classified. It only became
2042
01:18:20,920 --> 01:18:23,400
unclassified when President Obama spoke
2043
01:18:23,400 --> 01:18:25,360
about it publicly. Oh really? He just
2044
01:18:25,360 --> 01:18:27,120
mentioned it
2045
01:18:27,120 --> 01:18:29,560
and then it was unclassified. Right? And
2046
01:18:29,560 --> 01:18:31,920
so
2047
01:18:32,000 --> 01:18:35,320
to answer your question um
2048
01:18:35,320 --> 01:18:37,880
I find it really interesting tackling
2049
01:18:37,880 --> 01:18:41,040
subjects that are in the zeitgeist that
2050
01:18:41,040 --> 01:18:43,520
people are interested in and then trying
2051
01:18:43,520 --> 01:18:45,640
to unpack
2052
01:18:45,640 --> 01:18:48,080
the truths and the fictions. Is there
2053
01:18:48,080 --> 01:18:50,120
something you heard about you heard a
2054
01:18:50,120 --> 01:18:51,320
you know a whisper about and you thought
2055
01:18:51,320 --> 01:18:53,560
that can't possibly be true? And then
2056
01:18:53,560 --> 01:18:54,480
after doing a little bit of
2057
01:18:54,480 --> 01:18:57,240
investigative researching and journalism
2058
01:18:57,240 --> 01:18:58,840
you discover that it actually was true
2059
01:18:58,840 --> 01:19:00,080
and you were blown away. And I say that
2060
01:19:00,080 --> 01:19:01,400
in part because
2061
01:19:01,400 --> 01:19:03,160
I lived much of my life thinking that a
2062
01:19:03,160 --> 01:19:05,760
lot of these subjects Area 51, the CIA,
2063
01:19:05,760 --> 01:19:07,360
this idea that there's all these spies
2064
01:19:07,360 --> 01:19:09,120
and they're doing all this stuff and I
2065
01:19:09,120 --> 01:19:12,480
thought a lot of it was
2066
01:19:12,480 --> 01:19:15,960
just internet rumors and you know people
2067
01:19:15,960 --> 01:19:18,000
who certain people who have you know
2068
01:19:18,000 --> 01:19:19,440
they have like the silver foil on their
2069
01:19:19,440 --> 01:19:21,640
heads and they're just like whatever.
2070
01:19:21,640 --> 01:19:24,560
And then I had the privilege of speaking
2071
01:19:24,560 --> 01:19:25,800
to
2072
01:19:25,800 --> 01:19:28,280
some people on this podcast and just out
2073
01:19:28,280 --> 01:19:29,920
there in the world
2074
01:19:29,920 --> 01:19:32,320
who confirmed that a lot of the things I
2075
01:19:32,320 --> 01:19:34,360
once thought were
2076
01:19:34,360 --> 01:19:37,880
tin foil hat stuff is actually true. And
2077
01:19:37,880 --> 01:19:40,040
once once you have the curtain pulled
2078
01:19:40,040 --> 01:19:41,680
back,
2079
01:19:41,680 --> 01:19:43,600
it kind of blows your mind open to what
2080
01:19:43,600 --> 01:19:45,480
else could be true.
2081
01:19:45,480 --> 01:19:46,840
And I'm I'm a person that kind of like
2082
01:19:46,840 --> 01:19:48,400
needs evidence and logic and I'm not
2083
01:19:48,400 --> 01:19:49,600
going to believe something cuz I saw it
2084
01:19:49,600 --> 01:19:51,840
on like an Instagram post or a story or
2085
01:19:51,840 --> 01:19:53,640
a Telegram community.
2086
01:19:53,640 --> 01:19:55,000
But my mind's been blown, especially
2087
01:19:55,000 --> 01:19:56,880
over the last couple of years, about
2088
01:19:56,880 --> 01:19:58,760
how um how some of these things that
2089
01:19:58,760 --> 01:19:59,960
people consider to be conspiracy
2090
01:19:59,960 --> 01:20:01,840
theories are actually very true. Have
2091
01:20:01,840 --> 01:20:04,040
you had those moments in your career?
2092
01:20:04,040 --> 01:20:06,080
Oh, absolutely. But I mean, you can
2093
01:20:06,080 --> 01:20:07,960
really drill down on this stuff and
2094
01:20:07,960 --> 01:20:11,120
figure out the thematic element of
2095
01:20:11,120 --> 01:20:12,600
what's going on and then the specifics.
2096
01:20:12,600 --> 01:20:14,000
And I'll give you an example. Like in
2097
01:20:14,000 --> 01:20:16,240
Area 51, I learned about something
2098
01:20:16,240 --> 01:20:19,120
called strategic deception, which is a
2099
01:20:19,120 --> 01:20:21,760
CIA concept, okay?
2100
01:20:21,760 --> 01:20:25,400
And this plays into
2101
01:20:25,400 --> 01:20:28,800
conspiracy theories and when you come
2102
01:20:28,800 --> 01:20:30,680
across something
2103
01:20:30,680 --> 01:20:32,160
maybe having this information I'm about
2104
01:20:32,160 --> 01:20:34,040
to tell you will help you go,
2105
01:20:34,040 --> 01:20:35,960
"Okay, let me look at it in terms of
2106
01:20:35,960 --> 01:20:38,360
these two lanes." So it goes like this.
2107
01:20:38,360 --> 01:20:39,840
The CIA's
2108
01:20:39,840 --> 01:20:42,240
had a was building spy planes out at
2109
01:20:42,240 --> 01:20:43,800
Area 51.
2110
01:20:43,800 --> 01:20:45,360
The U-2 spy plane, which was going to
2111
01:20:45,360 --> 01:20:48,120
spy on the Soviet Union in the '50s
2112
01:20:48,120 --> 01:20:50,600
from above and figure out whether they
2113
01:20:50,600 --> 01:20:53,080
were preparing for nuclear war.
2114
01:20:53,080 --> 01:20:55,520
And the plane was built at Area 51 cuz
2115
01:20:55,520 --> 01:20:57,160
this no one could know about it. It flew
2116
01:20:57,160 --> 01:20:59,440
at 70,000 ft.
2117
01:20:59,440 --> 01:21:00,920
It was out of range of any
2118
01:21:00,920 --> 01:21:02,800
surface-to-air missiles.
2119
01:21:02,800 --> 01:21:05,240
Um I interviewed the first man who flew
2120
01:21:05,240 --> 01:21:08,280
over the Soviet Union in a U-2, Hervey
2121
01:21:08,280 --> 01:21:10,040
Stockman. And he took pictures with
2122
01:21:10,040 --> 01:21:12,320
these massive CIA cameras
2123
01:21:12,320 --> 01:21:14,840
that, you know, came back to the agency.
2124
01:21:14,840 --> 01:21:17,880
It was wet film and allowed the CIA to
2125
01:21:17,880 --> 01:21:19,760
understand what was actually going on on
2126
01:21:19,760 --> 01:21:21,400
the ground in Soviet Russia. It was
2127
01:21:21,400 --> 01:21:23,480
photographing military bases.
2128
01:21:23,480 --> 01:21:24,920
So the spy plane was being built and it
2129
01:21:24,920 --> 01:21:26,920
was so secret, like only the president
2130
01:21:26,920 --> 01:21:29,960
knew about it. At the same time, nuclear
2131
01:21:29,960 --> 01:21:32,400
weapons were being exploded next door,
2132
01:21:32,400 --> 01:21:35,000
right? So Area 51 and then over at Area
2133
01:21:35,000 --> 01:21:37,840
23 was where the the the bombs were
2134
01:21:37,840 --> 01:21:39,000
going off.
2135
01:21:39,000 --> 01:21:40,240
And
2136
01:21:40,240 --> 01:21:42,080
there was a I was interviewing all the
2137
01:21:42,080 --> 01:21:43,680
engineers who were building the spy
2138
01:21:43,680 --> 01:21:44,640
plane.
2139
01:21:44,640 --> 01:21:46,280
And Bob Murphy was one of the lead
2140
01:21:46,280 --> 01:21:48,080
engineers and he told me this story
2141
01:21:48,080 --> 01:21:50,320
about strategic deception. So,
2142
01:21:50,320 --> 01:21:53,000
he and others would go to the ranch,
2143
01:21:53,000 --> 01:21:54,120
that's what they called Area 51, then
2144
01:21:54,120 --> 01:21:55,800
they'd fly back to Burbank, California
2145
01:21:55,800 --> 01:21:57,240
where they all lived for the weekends to
2146
01:21:57,240 --> 01:21:58,880
be with their families. And they would
2147
01:21:58,880 --> 01:22:01,480
take the shuttle back and forth.
2148
01:22:01,480 --> 01:22:04,040
And one day, um they went to a big party
2149
01:22:04,040 --> 01:22:05,880
the night before and Bob Murphy got
2150
01:22:05,880 --> 01:22:07,680
drunk. He was not a guy who gets drunk,
2151
01:22:07,680 --> 01:22:09,520
but he got drunk.
2152
01:22:09,520 --> 01:22:11,280
He missed the shuttle.
2153
01:22:11,280 --> 01:22:13,200
And he was like, "Oh my god, I'm going
2154
01:22:13,200 --> 01:22:14,880
to lose my job. I'm in trouble." And he
2155
01:22:14,880 --> 01:22:16,480
opens the door, is how he described it
2156
01:22:16,480 --> 01:22:17,720
to me, to like,
2157
01:22:17,720 --> 01:22:20,480
you know, go out and deal with this. And
2158
01:22:20,480 --> 01:22:22,960
there's an FBI agent like about to knock
2159
01:22:22,960 --> 01:22:24,240
on the door.
2160
01:22:24,240 --> 01:22:26,200
And they tell and the guy turns white as
2161
01:22:26,200 --> 01:22:27,880
a ghost because Bob Murphy was supposed
2162
01:22:27,880 --> 01:22:29,160
to be on that flight, so he was on the
2163
01:22:29,160 --> 01:22:31,080
flight manifest and it crashed into
2164
01:22:31,080 --> 01:22:33,080
Mount Charleston on the way there and
2165
01:22:33,080 --> 01:22:34,960
everyone was dead.
2166
01:22:34,960 --> 01:22:36,080
Okay?
2167
01:22:36,080 --> 01:22:38,360
So that is a dramatic thing to begin
2168
01:22:38,360 --> 01:22:39,560
with, but here's how it ties up with
2169
01:22:39,560 --> 01:22:42,400
strategic deception.
2170
01:22:42,400 --> 01:22:44,560
The CIA
2171
01:22:44,560 --> 01:22:48,920
learns that its aircraft full of U-2
2172
01:22:48,920 --> 01:22:51,240
engineers, pilots, designers, all these
2173
01:22:51,240 --> 01:22:52,800
incredibly important people on this top
2174
01:22:52,800 --> 01:22:55,040
secret project are dead. They just
2175
01:22:55,040 --> 01:22:57,800
crashed into Mount Charleston.
2176
01:22:57,800 --> 01:22:59,680
What are they going to do? How are they
2177
01:22:59,680 --> 01:23:01,640
going to keep this secret? All the news
2178
01:23:01,640 --> 01:23:04,720
stations are racing up to the top of the
2179
01:23:04,720 --> 01:23:06,040
mountain to try to get to the crash
2180
01:23:06,040 --> 01:23:07,440
site.
2181
01:23:07,440 --> 01:23:09,240
Oh my god, this is going to be the
2182
01:23:09,240 --> 01:23:11,360
project's going to be blown open. What
2183
01:23:11,360 --> 01:23:13,640
are we going to do? So they quickly rope
2184
01:23:13,640 --> 01:23:15,200
off the areas. They do the damage
2185
01:23:15,200 --> 01:23:17,280
control to the best that they can.
2186
01:23:17,280 --> 01:23:19,320
But they're spinning and I have all the
2187
01:23:19,320 --> 01:23:21,000
declassified documents from that part of
2188
01:23:21,000 --> 01:23:22,680
it, learning how worried they are.
2189
01:23:22,680 --> 01:23:23,480
There's
2190
01:23:23,480 --> 01:23:24,800
almost no doubt the project's going to
2191
01:23:24,800 --> 01:23:27,120
be revealed. The U-2 program is going to
2192
01:23:27,120 --> 01:23:29,640
be no more because once the Soviets know
2193
01:23:29,640 --> 01:23:32,000
about it, it's off.
2194
01:23:32,000 --> 01:23:35,560
And instead, the press
2195
01:23:35,560 --> 01:23:37,400
comes up with a story.
2196
01:23:37,400 --> 01:23:39,880
The press reports that it's all these
2197
01:23:39,880 --> 01:23:42,280
atomic scientists working on this secret
2198
01:23:42,280 --> 01:23:43,760
new weapon. They just completely make
2199
01:23:43,760 --> 01:23:45,640
this up in essence, right? It's this new
2200
01:23:45,640 --> 01:23:47,480
weapons project. And that's what they're
2201
01:23:47,480 --> 01:23:49,680
all doing. Who knows who put what bug in
2202
01:23:49,680 --> 01:23:51,400
someone's ear.
2203
01:23:51,400 --> 01:23:54,360
And so that's the story that comes out.
2204
01:23:54,360 --> 01:23:57,440
And the CIA is like,
2205
01:23:57,440 --> 01:24:00,800
"Perfect." And what I The story explains
2206
01:24:00,800 --> 01:24:02,160
that there are two kinds of strategic
2207
01:24:02,160 --> 01:24:05,600
deception. There's cover when you say,
2208
01:24:05,600 --> 01:24:07,320
like Bob Murphy said to his wife, "I'm
2209
01:24:07,320 --> 01:24:09,440
just an engineer working out there on
2210
01:24:09,440 --> 01:24:11,760
some television systems." That's cover.
2211
01:24:11,760 --> 01:24:13,360
That was his cover. He didn't say I'm
2212
01:24:13,360 --> 01:24:16,280
working on the U-2 spy plane. And then
2213
01:24:16,280 --> 01:24:18,800
there's disinformation.
2214
01:24:18,800 --> 01:24:22,280
When the press reports that the crash
2215
01:24:22,280 --> 01:24:24,160
was full of a bunch of atomic engineers
2216
01:24:24,160 --> 01:24:26,320
working on a secret weapons program.
2217
01:24:26,320 --> 01:24:27,920
And those are both kinds of strategic
2218
01:24:27,920 --> 01:24:31,320
deception. And so you begin to realize
2219
01:24:31,320 --> 01:24:32,720
that
2220
01:24:32,720 --> 01:24:35,440
there is a purpose behind a lot of
2221
01:24:35,440 --> 01:24:37,920
information coming out into the public.
2222
01:24:37,920 --> 01:24:41,320
And the CIA often uses that to its
2223
01:24:41,320 --> 01:24:43,840
advantage. And so whenever a situation
2224
01:24:43,840 --> 01:24:45,840
happens, you have to say to yourself,
2225
01:24:45,840 --> 01:24:47,880
"Is this really what happened? Or is it
2226
01:24:47,880 --> 01:24:50,000
covering up something else?" And then of
2227
01:24:50,000 --> 01:24:51,440
course you have to put your rational
2228
01:24:51,440 --> 01:24:52,680
person
2229
01:24:52,680 --> 01:24:56,760
hat on and you can't just imagine
2230
01:24:56,760 --> 01:24:59,280
what the true story might be. You have
2231
01:24:59,280 --> 01:25:01,800
to actually find it and report it. Does
2232
01:25:01,800 --> 01:25:03,840
the CIA
2233
01:25:03,840 --> 01:25:05,560
um or the I think in the UK it's called
2234
01:25:05,560 --> 01:25:07,280
MI5 or MI6. MI6, I think it's the
2235
01:25:07,280 --> 01:25:09,600
equivalent. Does MI6, all of these sort
2236
01:25:09,600 --> 01:25:11,600
of special secret service agencies
2237
01:25:11,600 --> 01:25:13,040
around the world, do they work with the
2238
01:25:13,040 --> 01:25:15,520
media?
2239
01:25:15,520 --> 01:25:17,800
That's a much That's a totally separate
2240
01:25:17,800 --> 01:25:19,480
podcast. We could talk forever because
2241
01:25:19,480 --> 01:25:21,960
there's history of the CIA. I and I'm
2242
01:25:21,960 --> 01:25:24,080
not an expert on foreign intelligence
2243
01:25:24,080 --> 01:25:25,960
agencies as much as I am on the United
2244
01:25:25,960 --> 01:25:27,880
States. But by all means, there's a long
2245
01:25:27,880 --> 01:25:31,360
history of the CIA working with uh
2246
01:25:31,360 --> 01:25:34,000
journalists, reporters, authors,
2247
01:25:34,000 --> 01:25:34,600
um
2248
01:25:34,600 --> 01:25:36,040
to
2249
01:25:36,040 --> 01:25:38,400
put information there. I mean, there's
2250
01:25:38,400 --> 01:25:41,120
almost nothing that the CIA hasn't done
2251
01:25:41,120 --> 01:25:44,600
to my eye. The question is, you know,
2252
01:25:44,600 --> 01:25:48,560
reporting it in the context of
2253
01:25:48,560 --> 01:25:50,520
how that's happening. I wrote about in
2254
01:25:50,520 --> 01:25:52,400
The Pentagon's Brain, if you want a
2255
01:25:52,400 --> 01:25:53,920
little homework, you know, and you go
2256
01:25:53,920 --> 01:25:57,720
into the back and in the index and look
2257
01:25:57,720 --> 01:26:00,320
up brainwashing.
2258
01:26:00,320 --> 01:26:03,400
And there's a long story
2259
01:26:03,400 --> 01:26:06,160
uh where I talked to where I explain
2260
01:26:06,160 --> 01:26:10,440
exactly how this happened in the '50s
2261
01:26:10,440 --> 01:26:11,800
with
2262
01:26:11,800 --> 01:26:13,800
what ultimately an element that became
2263
01:26:13,800 --> 01:26:15,880
known as the MKUltra program, okay? So
2264
01:26:15,880 --> 01:26:18,800
like MKUltra was a real program and it
2265
01:26:18,800 --> 01:26:21,000
had a lot of sinister components to it.
2266
01:26:21,000 --> 01:26:24,160
Is it everything that, you know,
2267
01:26:24,160 --> 01:26:25,360
certain
2268
01:26:25,360 --> 01:26:27,000
groups of people that sometimes get
2269
01:26:27,000 --> 01:26:30,120
called conspiracy theorists say that it
2270
01:26:30,120 --> 01:26:32,680
was? No. But there are threads of truth
2271
01:26:32,680 --> 01:26:35,040
in it. And if you reverse engineer the
2272
01:26:35,040 --> 01:26:37,320
brainwashing concept from the back, you
2273
01:26:37,320 --> 01:26:39,160
will see what I'm talking about. And
2274
01:26:39,160 --> 01:26:40,200
it's I think it's a very interesting
2275
01:26:40,200 --> 01:26:41,960
story cuz it actually involves
2276
01:26:41,960 --> 01:26:43,640
the head of the CIA, a guy called Allen
2277
01:26:43,640 --> 01:26:46,840
Dulles, and his son who got brain
2278
01:26:46,840 --> 01:26:49,800
damaged in Korea, whom I tracked down
2279
01:26:49,800 --> 01:26:52,160
and interviewed for that book. Spoiler
2280
01:26:52,160 --> 01:26:54,600
alert.
2281
01:26:54,920 --> 01:26:57,000
What what happens?
2282
01:26:57,000 --> 01:26:58,520
Which part? I mean,
2283
01:26:58,520 --> 01:27:00,200
which part of I'm so I'm so compelled by
2284
01:27:00,200 --> 01:27:02,000
the the whole idea of the CIA because we
2285
01:27:02,000 --> 01:27:03,960
we had somebody here recently talking We
2286
01:27:03,960 --> 01:27:05,280
had Andrew here recently talking about
2287
01:27:05,280 --> 01:27:07,040
what goes on in the CIA and
2288
01:27:07,040 --> 01:27:09,040
I think um one of the things he said to
2289
01:27:09,040 --> 01:27:10,600
me is that the role of the CIA has
2290
01:27:10,600 --> 01:27:13,040
changed over time and once upon a time
2291
01:27:13,040 --> 01:27:14,640
it was
2292
01:27:14,640 --> 01:27:17,400
more capable of doing more things. And
2293
01:27:17,400 --> 01:27:18,680
by the way he described it, it sounded
2294
01:27:18,680 --> 01:27:20,960
like the CIA has less powers and can do
2295
01:27:20,960 --> 01:27:22,480
less of the things that it's been
2296
01:27:22,480 --> 01:27:24,040
accused of in the past. I think it's
2297
01:27:24,040 --> 01:27:25,480
been accused of killing the president
2298
01:27:25,480 --> 01:27:26,960
here
2299
01:27:26,960 --> 01:27:28,880
by some people or being involved in the
2300
01:27:28,880 --> 01:27:30,520
assassination of one of the presidents
2301
01:27:30,520 --> 01:27:31,400
here.
2302
01:27:31,400 --> 01:27:33,040
Um and
2303
01:27:33,040 --> 01:27:34,520
does the CIA report directly into the
2304
01:27:34,520 --> 01:27:35,960
president?
2305
01:27:35,960 --> 01:27:37,920
The CIA features in almost every one of
2306
01:27:37,920 --> 01:27:39,160
my books.
2307
01:27:39,160 --> 01:27:40,640
Um
2308
01:27:40,640 --> 01:27:43,120
the most sort of comprehensive look I
2309
01:27:43,120 --> 01:27:45,080
did at the CIA was a book called
2310
01:27:45,080 --> 01:27:47,600
Surprise, Kill, Vanish, which is about
2311
01:27:47,600 --> 01:27:49,840
the CIA's paramilitary.
2312
01:27:49,840 --> 01:27:52,280
And once I reported that, I understood
2313
01:27:52,280 --> 01:27:53,800
that there are actually two very
2314
01:27:53,800 --> 01:27:56,240
distinct components of the CIA. There's
2315
01:27:56,240 --> 01:27:59,680
the sort of Central Intelligence Agency,
2316
01:27:59,680 --> 01:28:01,320
the primary
2317
01:28:01,320 --> 01:28:02,880
um human
2318
01:28:02,880 --> 01:28:04,320
It's called human intelligence. And
2319
01:28:04,320 --> 01:28:06,760
there's analysts and there's espionage.
2320
01:28:06,760 --> 01:28:08,880
And And then there is the
2321
01:28:08,880 --> 01:28:13,040
paramilitary organization, which was set
2322
01:28:13,040 --> 01:28:15,600
up in 1947
2323
01:28:15,600 --> 01:28:19,840
specifically to go against the Russian
2324
01:28:19,840 --> 01:28:22,080
version of itself.
2325
01:28:22,080 --> 01:28:24,719
Sort of to do the darkest,
2326
01:28:24,719 --> 01:28:26,240
dirtiest,
2327
01:28:26,240 --> 01:28:27,800
nastiest
2328
01:28:27,800 --> 01:28:30,440
operations that we had to because the
2329
01:28:30,440 --> 01:28:32,960
Russians were. And so,
2330
01:28:32,960 --> 01:28:36,280
you know, the CIA is a is a is a giant
2331
01:28:36,280 --> 01:28:39,000
organization with a lot of tentacles.
2332
01:28:39,000 --> 01:28:41,520
And I think it's important to
2333
01:28:41,520 --> 01:28:44,080
speak, at least for me, having reported
2334
01:28:44,080 --> 01:28:46,200
on many of these different programs. You
2335
01:28:46,200 --> 01:28:48,160
know, Area 51 covers the aerial
2336
01:28:48,160 --> 01:28:50,760
espionage element of the CI, the science
2337
01:28:50,760 --> 01:28:53,160
and technology. The CIA was responsible
2338
01:28:53,160 --> 01:28:56,000
for putting the first satellite in
2339
01:28:56,000 --> 01:28:58,240
space, the Corona program.
2340
01:28:58,240 --> 01:29:00,320
Dr. Bud Wheelon, who I interviewed for
2341
01:29:00,320 --> 01:29:03,160
Area 51, remarkable
2342
01:29:03,160 --> 01:29:04,520
intelligence, surveillance, and
2343
01:29:04,520 --> 01:29:06,320
reconnaissance programs. And then you
2344
01:29:06,320 --> 01:29:08,400
have the paramilitary operators, the
2345
01:29:08,400 --> 01:29:10,040
trigger pullers,
2346
01:29:10,040 --> 01:29:13,480
uh the snake eaters, the individuals
2347
01:29:13,480 --> 01:29:16,200
who, you know, find, fix, and finish
2348
01:29:16,200 --> 01:29:19,120
people. That's a euphemism.
2349
01:29:19,120 --> 01:29:20,160
Um
2350
01:29:20,160 --> 01:29:22,400
the teams that do that.
2351
01:29:22,400 --> 01:29:26,120
But I prefer to speak very specifically
2352
01:29:26,120 --> 01:29:29,040
on programs because I find it's
2353
01:29:29,040 --> 01:29:30,880
the most
2354
01:29:30,880 --> 01:29:33,240
it it's the most responsible or the most
2355
01:29:33,240 --> 01:29:36,720
factual way for me to stick to a certain
2356
01:29:36,720 --> 01:29:39,440
lane of the agency because it is so
2357
01:29:39,440 --> 01:29:40,960
vast.
2358
01:29:40,960 --> 01:29:42,400
Once upon a time, if you had a business
2359
01:29:42,400 --> 01:29:45,240
idea, it was exceptionally difficult to
2360
01:29:45,240 --> 01:29:47,800
get going. But now, in the age of
2361
01:29:47,800 --> 01:29:50,880
Shopify, it is exceptionally
2362
01:29:50,880 --> 01:29:53,000
easy. As many of you will know, Shopify
2363
01:29:53,000 --> 01:29:54,840
are a sponsor of this podcast. If you
2364
01:29:54,840 --> 01:29:56,120
don't know Shopify, it's an
2365
01:29:56,120 --> 01:29:58,240
exceptionally simple web platform for
2366
01:29:58,240 --> 01:30:00,000
anybody that's got an idea that wants to
2367
01:30:00,000 --> 01:30:03,040
transact on a global scale. So, things
2368
01:30:03,040 --> 01:30:04,560
like these conversation cards, which we
2369
01:30:04,560 --> 01:30:07,440
sell, we've sold using Shopify, and it
2370
01:30:07,440 --> 01:30:10,000
only took us a couple of clicks to get
2371
01:30:10,000 --> 01:30:11,920
going. So, why did we choose Shopify?
2372
01:30:11,920 --> 01:30:13,320
For a number of reasons, but I think one
2373
01:30:13,320 --> 01:30:15,360
of the big ones which goes unappreciated
2374
01:30:15,360 --> 01:30:17,760
is their checkout system converts 36%
2375
01:30:17,760 --> 01:30:20,720
better compared to other platforms. And
2376
01:30:20,720 --> 01:30:22,080
here's what I'm going to do to remove
2377
01:30:22,080 --> 01:30:23,760
the cost for you. If you go to
2378
01:30:23,760 --> 01:30:26,040
shopify.com/bartlett,
2379
01:30:26,040 --> 01:30:29,600
you'll be able to try Shopify for $1
2380
01:30:29,600 --> 01:30:31,920
a month. I've seen Shopify completely
2381
01:30:31,920 --> 01:30:34,080
change people's lives. And for many of
2382
01:30:34,080 --> 01:30:36,920
you, I think it could change yours.
2383
01:30:36,920 --> 01:30:38,680
On the the nuclear war subject, we
2384
01:30:38,680 --> 01:30:40,560
talked a little bit about um another
2385
01:30:40,560 --> 01:30:42,400
thing that has what we I kind of alluded
2386
01:30:42,400 --> 01:30:43,920
to it that has emerged since you started
2387
01:30:43,920 --> 01:30:44,760
writing this book, which is the
2388
01:30:44,760 --> 01:30:45,920
conversation around artificial
2389
01:30:45,920 --> 01:30:47,120
intelligence.
2390
01:30:47,120 --> 01:30:48,720
And when I start thinking about how you
2391
01:30:48,720 --> 01:30:50,440
overlay that with this idea of nuclear
2392
01:30:50,440 --> 01:30:52,360
war, it becomes even more
2393
01:30:52,360 --> 01:30:55,000
um concerning because we're heading
2394
01:30:55,000 --> 01:30:56,320
towards a world of what they call
2395
01:30:56,320 --> 01:30:57,720
artificial general intelligence, where a
2396
01:30:57,720 --> 01:31:00,240
lot of these systems will be making
2397
01:31:00,240 --> 01:31:02,640
autonomous decisions. They'll be able to
2398
01:31:02,640 --> 01:31:04,600
and a couple of people that I've spoken
2399
01:31:04,600 --> 01:31:07,960
to from DeepMind or from um Google have
2400
01:31:07,960 --> 01:31:10,200
talked to me about a world where
2401
01:31:10,200 --> 01:31:11,640
this is an extreme case, but our elected
2402
01:31:11,640 --> 01:31:13,240
leaders will be
2403
01:31:13,240 --> 01:31:15,840
either AI themselves or being basically
2404
01:31:15,840 --> 01:31:18,000
working in lockstep with AI. And And
2405
01:31:18,000 --> 01:31:19,040
then when you think about our nuclear
2406
01:31:19,040 --> 01:31:21,120
weapon systems, who is better to make
2407
01:31:21,120 --> 01:31:23,720
that decision? Is it a Joe Biden that's
2408
01:31:23,720 --> 01:31:25,000
better to make a decision to launch a
2409
01:31:25,000 --> 01:31:27,680
nuclear weapon, or is it some kind of
2410
01:31:27,680 --> 01:31:29,160
artificial intelligence that is so
2411
01:31:29,160 --> 01:31:30,560
advanced
2412
01:31:30,560 --> 01:31:31,800
we might not even know what it's
2413
01:31:31,800 --> 01:31:33,520
thinking or doing. Have you thought much
2414
01:31:33,520 --> 01:31:34,840
about artificial intelligence since this
2415
01:31:34,840 --> 01:31:36,000
book came out and since you started
2416
01:31:36,000 --> 01:31:38,320
writing? Absolutely. It's something I
2417
01:31:38,320 --> 01:31:41,080
covered at length in The Pentagon's
2418
01:31:41,080 --> 01:31:43,440
Brain, which is the book about DARPA.
2419
01:31:43,440 --> 01:31:45,120
And I think
2420
01:31:45,120 --> 01:31:45,920
that
2421
01:31:45,920 --> 01:31:47,600
maybe I'll speak to an origin story
2422
01:31:47,600 --> 01:31:48,480
here, right? Because I think of
2423
01:31:48,480 --> 01:31:50,360
Shakespeare, it's like what is past is
2424
01:31:50,360 --> 01:31:52,960
prologue. We can understand better the
2425
01:31:52,960 --> 01:31:54,400
question you raise, especially for
2426
01:31:54,400 --> 01:31:56,280
younger people, like, what is this going
2427
01:31:56,280 --> 01:31:57,480
to look like in the future? Is a
2428
01:31:57,480 --> 01:31:59,360
president really going to be working in
2429
01:31:59,360 --> 01:32:01,400
consort with AI?
2430
01:32:01,400 --> 01:32:03,720
If we know, wait, how did this all
2431
01:32:03,720 --> 01:32:08,080
begin? It somehow, at least to my eye,
2432
01:32:08,080 --> 01:32:11,480
becomes easier to
2433
01:32:11,480 --> 01:32:13,880
think about these things in a grounded
2434
01:32:13,880 --> 01:32:15,560
manner.
2435
01:32:15,560 --> 01:32:16,920
And so
2436
01:32:16,920 --> 01:32:19,800
I'll throw this detail at you. In In
2437
01:32:19,800 --> 01:32:21,320
reporting The Pentagon's Brain, it was
2438
01:32:21,320 --> 01:32:23,280
fascinating to learn that during World
2439
01:32:23,280 --> 01:32:25,800
War II, computers
2440
01:32:25,800 --> 01:32:28,040
were people.
2441
01:32:28,040 --> 01:32:31,960
A computer was someone who computed
2442
01:32:31,960 --> 01:32:33,560
mathematical
2443
01:32:33,560 --> 01:32:35,160
you know, call right
2444
01:32:35,160 --> 01:32:39,480
trajectories, bomb explosions were all
2445
01:32:39,480 --> 01:32:43,280
measured by people and pencils.
2446
01:32:43,280 --> 01:32:45,560
And right? So, then and I love the smile
2447
01:32:45,560 --> 01:32:47,440
because suddenly it all becomes easier.
2448
01:32:47,440 --> 01:32:48,760
Then you have a guy called John von
2449
01:32:48,760 --> 01:32:51,480
Neumann, the the The Pentagon's Brain.
2450
01:32:51,480 --> 01:32:54,360
He was the first brain that the Pentagon
2451
01:32:54,360 --> 01:32:57,080
really was interested in. And he created
2452
01:32:57,080 --> 01:32:58,880
one of the first
2453
01:32:58,880 --> 01:33:00,560
computers. You can't really assign the
2454
01:33:00,560 --> 01:33:02,040
first computer to anyone, but there was
2455
01:33:02,040 --> 01:33:04,520
a computer that was doing calculations
2456
01:33:04,520 --> 01:33:05,320
for
2457
01:33:05,320 --> 01:33:08,760
called ENIAC. And ultimately after the
2458
01:33:08,760 --> 01:33:11,520
war, von Neumann went to the Atomic
2459
01:33:11,520 --> 01:33:13,360
Energy Commission, the most powerful
2460
01:33:13,360 --> 01:33:15,480
organization in the world at the moment,
2461
01:33:15,480 --> 01:33:17,680
and said, I want to build a computer
2462
01:33:17,680 --> 01:33:21,200
that can actually think for itself. That
2463
01:33:21,200 --> 01:33:23,640
can He's kind of the progenitor of this
2464
01:33:23,640 --> 01:33:26,160
idea of software, not just hardware. So,
2465
01:33:26,160 --> 01:33:27,800
for a long time it was kind of Texas
2466
01:33:27,800 --> 01:33:30,640
Instruments type computing, almost just
2467
01:33:30,640 --> 01:33:32,480
like a giant calculator.
2468
01:33:32,480 --> 01:33:34,160
And von Neumann
2469
01:33:34,160 --> 01:33:37,760
wanted to put the brain inside the
2470
01:33:37,760 --> 01:33:39,520
calculator.
2471
01:33:39,520 --> 01:33:41,320
And they gave him a lot of money to do
2472
01:33:41,320 --> 01:33:44,400
it, and he did this in the basement of
2473
01:33:44,400 --> 01:33:46,760
Fooldall over at the Princeton Institute
2474
01:33:46,760 --> 01:33:48,560
for Advanced Study.
2475
01:33:48,560 --> 01:33:50,800
And it was giant vacuum tubes, and he
2476
01:33:50,800 --> 01:33:52,960
would do these tests, and I describe
2477
01:33:52,960 --> 01:33:55,320
this in The Pentagon's Brain, because
2478
01:33:55,320 --> 01:33:57,000
it's really interesting to think this
2479
01:33:57,000 --> 01:34:00,040
was only in 1945.
2480
01:34:00,040 --> 01:34:02,680
There were vacuum tubes and, you know,
2481
01:34:02,680 --> 01:34:04,560
cords, and they had to worry about mice
2482
01:34:04,560 --> 01:34:06,800
eating cords, and John von Neumann was
2483
01:34:06,800 --> 01:34:10,200
so brilliant and smart that his he could
2484
01:34:10,200 --> 01:34:12,880
beat the computer initially.
2485
01:34:12,880 --> 01:34:14,400
The his assistants would give him
2486
01:34:14,400 --> 01:34:16,160
numerical calculations, he would do them
2487
01:34:16,160 --> 01:34:17,760
in his mind, the computer would be
2488
01:34:17,760 --> 01:34:20,520
trying to do them, he would win.
2489
01:34:20,520 --> 01:34:22,560
And then one day, and like I think it
2490
01:34:22,560 --> 01:34:27,240
was 1946 or 1947, the computer beat him.
2491
01:34:27,240 --> 01:34:29,760
That was the moment that von Neumann
2492
01:34:29,760 --> 01:34:32,320
realized computers are going to be
2493
01:34:32,320 --> 01:34:34,920
computers just got smarter than me,
2494
01:34:34,920 --> 01:34:36,280
than man.
2495
01:34:36,280 --> 01:34:38,480
And then he began
2496
01:34:38,480 --> 01:34:41,000
to develop and systems, the Defense
2497
01:34:41,000 --> 01:34:43,680
Department began to put an extraordinary
2498
01:34:43,680 --> 01:34:45,600
amount of money into computer systems.
2499
01:34:45,600 --> 01:34:47,200
And if you really want to know where
2500
01:34:47,200 --> 01:34:48,720
they took off, cuz this has to do with
2501
01:34:48,720 --> 01:34:49,800
AI.
2502
01:34:49,800 --> 01:34:53,000
This is man-computer interface. The
2503
01:34:53,000 --> 01:34:55,240
Defense Department hires a guy called
2504
01:34:55,240 --> 01:34:56,600
Licklider
2505
01:34:56,600 --> 01:34:59,760
to essentially shrink computers down
2506
01:34:59,760 --> 01:35:02,040
from the size of a a house
2507
01:35:02,040 --> 01:35:03,880
to the size of this room. And think of
2508
01:35:03,880 --> 01:35:05,480
what they are now.
2509
01:35:05,480 --> 01:35:07,360
So, the Defense Department has always
2510
01:35:07,360 --> 01:35:09,600
led with artificial intelligence, which
2511
01:35:09,600 --> 01:35:11,720
is computer-based.
2512
01:35:11,720 --> 01:35:14,240
And when you can see that origin story,
2513
01:35:14,240 --> 01:35:15,960
you can begin to understand where we're
2514
01:35:15,960 --> 01:35:19,680
going. And AI had to have these military
2515
01:35:19,680 --> 01:35:21,560
the the benefits of these military
2516
01:35:21,560 --> 01:35:23,080
systems
2517
01:35:23,080 --> 01:35:26,880
to develop, right? Like nanotechnology.
2518
01:35:26,880 --> 01:35:29,480
Things had to start becoming smaller.
2519
01:35:29,480 --> 01:35:33,280
And that all happens in that book.
2520
01:35:33,280 --> 01:35:34,560
You know, not all of it, but in other
2521
01:35:34,560 --> 01:35:37,360
words, you can you can learn in a sort
2522
01:35:37,360 --> 01:35:40,280
of poetic manner the trajectory of
2523
01:35:40,280 --> 01:35:41,880
computers
2524
01:35:41,880 --> 01:35:44,440
and where they began not so long ago and
2525
01:35:44,440 --> 01:35:46,280
where we are now.
2526
01:35:46,280 --> 01:35:48,520
And it was in 1983 that DARPA, that
2527
01:35:48,520 --> 01:35:52,840
organization, decided that the battle
2528
01:35:52,840 --> 01:35:56,080
place the battlefield is no place for
2529
01:35:56,080 --> 01:35:58,320
humans. That was a statement of its
2530
01:35:58,320 --> 01:36:00,600
first robotic AI program.
2531
01:36:00,600 --> 01:36:02,760
I went on ChatGPT um a couple of months
2532
01:36:02,760 --> 01:36:04,400
ago, and I asked it, I said, could you
2533
01:36:04,400 --> 01:36:06,360
play out a scenario where the world ends
2534
01:36:06,360 --> 01:36:08,600
because an artificial intelligence
2535
01:36:08,600 --> 01:36:11,040
basically gets leaked out of its
2536
01:36:11,040 --> 01:36:12,400
out of the
2537
01:36:12,400 --> 01:36:14,560
computer that it was um
2538
01:36:14,560 --> 01:36:16,760
born out of born on. And it the scenario
2539
01:36:16,760 --> 01:36:18,920
that it played out involved nuclear war
2540
01:36:18,920 --> 01:36:20,520
because halfway, I think it was in step
2541
01:36:20,520 --> 01:36:22,560
three or four, it says that the AI
2542
01:36:22,560 --> 01:36:25,600
basically takes control of the nuclear
2543
01:36:25,600 --> 01:36:27,000
warheads
2544
01:36:27,000 --> 01:36:28,440
or at least some of them,
2545
01:36:28,440 --> 01:36:30,040
and then it kind of launches them at
2546
01:36:30,040 --> 01:36:31,960
other countries.
2547
01:36:31,960 --> 01:36:33,960
And
2548
01:36:33,960 --> 01:36:37,440
it hearing ChatGPT
2549
01:36:37,440 --> 01:36:38,720
say that
2550
01:36:38,720 --> 01:36:41,240
and and it and in step three or four use
2551
01:36:41,240 --> 01:36:43,160
nuclear weapons as a way to kind of make
2552
01:36:43,160 --> 01:36:46,720
the world extinct, it felt plausible.
2553
01:36:46,720 --> 01:36:48,280
Okay, so I'm going to push back against
2554
01:36:48,280 --> 01:36:50,640
that, and which is by no means right.
2555
01:36:50,640 --> 01:36:52,000
I'm not right. But we're just having a
2556
01:36:52,000 --> 01:36:53,560
like sort of theoretical conversation
2557
01:36:53,560 --> 01:36:54,600
here.
2558
01:36:54,600 --> 01:36:56,920
ChatGPT is gathering its information,
2559
01:36:56,920 --> 01:36:58,880
right? So, my I would argue that ChatGPT
2560
01:36:58,880 --> 01:37:00,280
has got a lot of information from The
2561
01:37:00,280 --> 01:37:02,840
Terminator movie. Yeah. Okay? There is
2562
01:37:02,840 --> 01:37:05,760
that in the zeitgeist of what happens.
2563
01:37:05,760 --> 01:37:09,080
Then I want you to consider that
2564
01:37:09,080 --> 01:37:11,800
the communication systems in nuclear
2565
01:37:11,800 --> 01:37:13,360
command and control, which is actually
2566
01:37:13,360 --> 01:37:14,800
nuclear command control and
2567
01:37:14,800 --> 01:37:16,160
communication,
2568
01:37:16,160 --> 01:37:19,160
the the ability to for
2569
01:37:19,160 --> 01:37:21,280
NC3 to communicate with the actual
2570
01:37:21,280 --> 01:37:23,760
weapons is so profoundly classified that
2571
01:37:23,760 --> 01:37:25,520
I don't have access to it. But I'm going
2572
01:37:25,520 --> 01:37:27,760
to give this to you as an idea.
2573
01:37:27,760 --> 01:37:29,640
What I do know and learned reporting
2574
01:37:29,640 --> 01:37:31,920
nuclear war scenario is a fascinating
2575
01:37:31,920 --> 01:37:34,080
detail that stands as an analogy, at
2576
01:37:34,080 --> 01:37:35,200
least for me,
2577
01:37:35,200 --> 01:37:38,080
which is how analog
2578
01:37:38,080 --> 01:37:40,040
our ballistic missile systems are
2579
01:37:40,040 --> 01:37:42,520
because of the exact
2580
01:37:42,520 --> 01:37:44,560
fear that you describe or that and that
2581
01:37:44,560 --> 01:37:46,200
ChatGPT
2582
01:37:46,200 --> 01:37:47,800
described back at you.
2583
01:37:47,800 --> 01:37:51,280
And will they stay that way forever?
2584
01:37:51,280 --> 01:37:53,640
Probably not, but are they that way
2585
01:37:53,640 --> 01:37:56,880
right now? From what I understand, yes.
2586
01:37:56,880 --> 01:37:58,920
Our submarine-launched ballistic
2587
01:37:58,920 --> 01:38:00,200
missiles
2588
01:38:00,200 --> 01:38:02,880
that that are just so the technology
2589
01:38:02,880 --> 01:38:05,080
behind them, and I I delineate it for
2590
01:38:05,080 --> 01:38:07,320
the reader, you it's it's astonishing
2591
01:38:07,320 --> 01:38:09,280
that you can launch a missile
2592
01:38:09,280 --> 01:38:12,000
from underwater, it can breach the
2593
01:38:12,000 --> 01:38:13,440
surface,
2594
01:38:13,440 --> 01:38:15,719
it's afterburners take off, and then it
2595
01:38:15,719 --> 01:38:18,600
begins its trajectory, you know, boost
2596
01:38:18,600 --> 01:38:21,560
phase, midcourse phase,
2597
01:38:21,560 --> 01:38:24,000
terminal phase, hits the target. This is
2598
01:38:24,000 --> 01:38:25,360
incredible.
2599
01:38:25,360 --> 01:38:28,040
And how does it get there?
2600
01:38:28,040 --> 01:38:31,280
You might ask. I asked. It gets there by
2601
01:38:31,280 --> 01:38:34,080
starsighting.
2602
01:38:34,080 --> 01:38:36,160
Oh, really?
2603
01:38:36,160 --> 01:38:37,840
So, you realize there's this little
2604
01:38:37,840 --> 01:38:40,040
panel that opens up in the ballistic
2605
01:38:40,040 --> 01:38:41,080
missile.
2606
01:38:41,080 --> 01:38:43,040
And there are other ways that it's
2607
01:38:43,040 --> 01:38:45,440
navigating. But the primary mean of
2608
01:38:45,440 --> 01:38:48,000
navigation is starsighting.
2609
01:38:48,000 --> 01:38:49,640
Right? I mean, you just have to really
2610
01:38:49,640 --> 01:38:52,320
stop and go, oh my first of all, it's
2611
01:38:52,320 --> 01:38:54,560
actually really interesting concept that
2612
01:38:54,560 --> 01:38:55,440
the
2613
01:38:55,440 --> 01:38:57,480
most advanced, potentially
2614
01:38:57,480 --> 01:38:59,240
civilization-ending
2615
01:38:59,240 --> 01:39:02,280
ballistic missile is guiding itself to
2616
01:39:02,280 --> 01:39:07,120
its target by this ancient concept,
2617
01:39:07,120 --> 01:39:10,800
like that our hunter-gatherer ancestors
2618
01:39:10,800 --> 01:39:12,640
used, which is looking at the stars.
2619
01:39:12,640 --> 01:39:13,920
It's looking at the stars and then
2620
01:39:13,920 --> 01:39:17,240
navigating using them.
2621
01:39:18,520 --> 01:39:21,560
And that's meant to be
2622
01:39:21,560 --> 01:39:25,000
a defense against a system an enemy
2623
01:39:25,000 --> 01:39:28,640
taking control of your nuclear weapons.
2624
01:39:28,640 --> 01:39:30,400
The issue we have is that there's
2625
01:39:30,400 --> 01:39:32,080
potentially nine or 10 different nuclear
2626
01:39:32,080 --> 01:39:33,120
powers
2627
01:39:33,120 --> 01:39:34,480
and they don't all have the same system.
2628
01:39:34,480 --> 01:39:37,520
So, if a if we get to the point of AGI,
2629
01:39:37,520 --> 01:39:39,520
which a lot of people almost see as the
2630
01:39:39,520 --> 01:39:41,600
singularity, almost you can't see past
2631
01:39:41,600 --> 01:39:43,520
moment where there is a new being
2632
01:39:43,520 --> 01:39:46,760
amongst us that is capable of
2633
01:39:46,760 --> 01:39:48,560
thinking faster and more expansively and
2634
01:39:48,560 --> 01:39:49,960
more intelligently than humans. It knows
2635
01:39:49,960 --> 01:39:51,360
things we don't.
2636
01:39:51,360 --> 01:39:53,280
I think it might look at our systems as
2637
01:39:53,280 --> 01:39:55,840
child's play. As maybe not our systems,
2638
01:39:55,840 --> 01:39:57,480
but maybe it'll look at North Korea's
2639
01:39:57,480 --> 01:39:58,800
systems as child's play. It might be
2640
01:39:58,800 --> 01:40:00,680
able to put that VCR into the system and
2641
01:40:00,680 --> 01:40:02,760
play out the nuclear simulation that
2642
01:40:02,760 --> 01:40:04,800
tricks those people into believing
2643
01:40:04,800 --> 01:40:07,040
they're being attacked and that Yes. And
2644
01:40:07,040 --> 01:40:10,640
so Which is maybe time for the answer to
2645
01:40:10,640 --> 01:40:12,640
your question of should we be at zero,
2646
01:40:12,640 --> 01:40:13,280
right?
2647
01:40:13,280 --> 01:40:16,160
Yeah. So, what you have presented, which
2648
01:40:16,160 --> 01:40:17,440
would be the whole point of somebody
2649
01:40:17,440 --> 01:40:18,960
like me writing a book that somebody
2650
01:40:18,960 --> 01:40:20,800
like you would read of a younger
2651
01:40:20,800 --> 01:40:22,920
generation and begin having these
2652
01:40:22,920 --> 01:40:25,120
conversations with their colleagues and
2653
01:40:25,120 --> 01:40:27,520
their thought leaders and the people
2654
01:40:27,520 --> 01:40:29,840
that could maybe influence public policy
2655
01:40:29,840 --> 01:40:30,880
and saying
2656
01:40:30,880 --> 01:40:32,480
well, that would be a very good reason
2657
01:40:32,480 --> 01:40:34,800
to have zero nuclear weapons or, you
2658
01:40:34,800 --> 01:40:37,000
know, everybody gets 10. I'm making that
2659
01:40:37,000 --> 01:40:37,960
up, but right?
2660
01:40:37,960 --> 01:40:40,920
Yeah, yeah. Because if you have 12,500
2661
01:40:40,920 --> 01:40:43,600
nuclear weapons, it's better than
2662
01:40:43,600 --> 01:40:45,120
70,000,
2663
01:40:45,120 --> 01:40:47,920
but that's way too many for an
2664
01:40:47,920 --> 01:40:50,200
artificially intelligent, you know,
2665
01:40:50,200 --> 01:40:51,920
trigger scenario like you're talking
2666
01:40:51,920 --> 01:40:54,360
about.
2667
01:40:55,080 --> 01:40:57,120
Are you optimistic?
2668
01:40:57,120 --> 01:41:01,080
Optimistic about I I am
2669
01:41:01,240 --> 01:41:02,360
I mean
2670
01:41:02,360 --> 01:41:05,000
I am an optimistic person by nature and
2671
01:41:05,000 --> 01:41:07,440
so Do you think there will be a nuclear
2672
01:41:07,440 --> 01:41:08,560
war
2673
01:41:08,560 --> 01:41:12,520
in the course of humanity?
2674
01:41:12,520 --> 01:41:13,800
I
2675
01:41:13,800 --> 01:41:17,920
wrote this book as the optimistic
2676
01:41:17,920 --> 01:41:23,680
hopeful person that's saying read this
2677
01:41:23,680 --> 01:41:26,160
and realize
2678
01:41:26,160 --> 01:41:29,560
that a man-made problem has a man-made
2679
01:41:29,560 --> 01:41:30,680
solution.
2680
01:41:30,680 --> 01:41:32,120
Earlier you talked about there being
2681
01:41:32,120 --> 01:41:34,480
high consequence and low probability,
2682
01:41:34,480 --> 01:41:36,320
but the more the years tick on, that
2683
01:41:36,320 --> 01:41:38,080
probability increases by nature of there
2684
01:41:38,080 --> 01:41:39,880
being this mad king
2685
01:41:39,880 --> 01:41:40,640
Absolutely.
2686
01:41:40,640 --> 01:41:42,760
point. So, you know, and that's what I
2687
01:41:42,760 --> 01:41:43,920
think. So, I was asking myself,
2688
01:41:43,920 --> 01:41:46,160
eventually, if we if we play this
2689
01:41:46,160 --> 01:41:48,200
forward, I don't know, 1,000 years,
2690
01:41:48,200 --> 01:41:51,000
what what is most likely to cause the
2691
01:41:51,000 --> 01:41:52,760
end of humanity? Is it
2692
01:41:52,760 --> 01:41:54,880
a mad king somewhere who doesn't want
2693
01:41:54,880 --> 01:41:56,280
that, you know, he realizes that he's
2694
01:41:56,280 --> 01:41:57,920
going to either die, he's got cancer, he
2695
01:41:57,920 --> 01:42:00,000
realizes that, you know, he's got some
2696
01:42:00,000 --> 01:42:02,000
sickness and he doesn't really want that
2697
01:42:02,000 --> 01:42:04,400
his son to take power. He starts getting
2698
01:42:04,400 --> 01:42:05,960
a bit agitated, maybe he has some kind
2699
01:42:05,960 --> 01:42:07,560
of psychosis, schizophrenia, I don't
2700
01:42:07,560 --> 01:42:10,280
know, decides to in his
2701
01:42:10,280 --> 01:42:11,760
dying days to let a couple of these
2702
01:42:11,760 --> 01:42:14,240
things fly. Is that
2703
01:42:14,240 --> 01:42:15,880
eventually going to happen? The laws of
2704
01:42:15,880 --> 01:42:17,400
probability, the laws of averages say
2705
01:42:17,400 --> 01:42:19,000
that the longer we're here, the longer
2706
01:42:19,000 --> 01:42:20,640
we have these weapons,
2707
01:42:20,640 --> 01:42:23,960
the higher the probability.
2708
01:42:23,960 --> 01:42:26,120
I mean, I leave that to people like you
2709
01:42:26,120 --> 01:42:28,480
to think about and talk about because I
2710
01:42:28,480 --> 01:42:30,760
do and I am fascinated that I find that
2711
01:42:30,760 --> 01:42:32,920
people of your generation
2712
01:42:32,920 --> 01:42:35,120
ask that question a lot more than
2713
01:42:35,120 --> 01:42:36,760
perhaps people of my generation and
2714
01:42:36,760 --> 01:42:39,040
older. Like that was not a mindset that
2715
01:42:39,040 --> 01:42:41,320
people necessarily
2716
01:42:41,320 --> 01:42:42,720
had and talked about and I think that
2717
01:42:42,720 --> 01:42:45,000
has to do with the confluence of events
2718
01:42:45,000 --> 01:42:46,080
that you talk about. First of all,
2719
01:42:46,080 --> 01:42:47,400
people are
2720
01:42:47,400 --> 01:42:49,320
have access to information in a manner
2721
01:42:49,320 --> 01:42:50,520
they didn't,
2722
01:42:50,520 --> 01:42:52,800
you know, 30, 40 years ago or it took a
2723
01:42:52,800 --> 01:42:56,400
lot more effort. And also that there are
2724
01:42:56,400 --> 01:42:57,920
these incredible new threats that you're
2725
01:42:57,920 --> 01:42:59,920
talking about that are that you cannot
2726
01:42:59,920 --> 01:43:02,120
overlook. And so you would think that
2727
01:43:02,120 --> 01:43:03,840
it's time to kind of and I'm not a
2728
01:43:03,840 --> 01:43:06,480
Pollyanna, but you have to move away
2729
01:43:06,480 --> 01:43:08,800
from seeing everyone and everything as
2730
01:43:08,800 --> 01:43:11,840
an enemy and moving toward it's fine to
2731
01:43:11,840 --> 01:43:15,240
have adversaries. Having opponents is,
2732
01:43:15,240 --> 01:43:16,360
you know,
2733
01:43:16,360 --> 01:43:19,640
Sportsmen have opponents, right? But
2734
01:43:19,640 --> 01:43:22,280
everyone being an enemy and having, you
2735
01:43:22,280 --> 01:43:24,720
know, wars
2736
01:43:24,720 --> 01:43:28,680
escalating around the world, it seems as
2737
01:43:28,680 --> 01:43:30,800
if what you are saying is there has to
2738
01:43:30,800 --> 01:43:35,240
be a fundamental shift in what people
2739
01:43:35,240 --> 01:43:37,520
are considering important. But war has
2740
01:43:37,520 --> 01:43:39,520
always existed and it's existed as long
2741
01:43:39,520 --> 01:43:41,040
as humans have. So, it makes me think
2742
01:43:41,040 --> 01:43:44,440
that war is just part of humans trying
2743
01:43:44,440 --> 01:43:46,280
to coexist. And all of the things that
2744
01:43:46,280 --> 01:43:47,760
are hardwired into us, our search for
2745
01:43:47,760 --> 01:43:50,720
status and ego and reproduction and
2746
01:43:50,720 --> 01:43:53,480
resources and survival result in war.
2747
01:43:53,480 --> 01:43:55,840
Like they result in recessions.
2748
01:43:55,840 --> 01:43:57,760
So, I read a lot about the origin of
2749
01:43:57,760 --> 01:43:59,520
war. Like there it's a debate. No one,
2750
01:43:59,520 --> 01:44:01,520
you know, it but it is discussed and the
2751
01:44:01,520 --> 01:44:03,320
anthropologists, I think, have the most
2752
01:44:03,320 --> 01:44:04,840
interesting
2753
01:44:04,840 --> 01:44:06,960
sort of thoughtful concepts around it,
2754
01:44:06,960 --> 01:44:07,920
which I'll share with you, which is
2755
01:44:07,920 --> 01:44:10,000
this. Because yes, technically men there
2756
01:44:10,000 --> 01:44:11,880
has always been war. And that one of the
2757
01:44:11,880 --> 01:44:14,000
debates is, you know, did war begin with
2758
01:44:14,000 --> 01:44:15,960
civilization or were hunter-gatherers
2759
01:44:15,960 --> 01:44:17,080
warring?
2760
01:44:17,080 --> 01:44:18,920
But more interesting to that, I think,
2761
01:44:18,920 --> 01:44:22,400
is about the anthropologists who studied
2762
01:44:22,400 --> 01:44:24,680
in the '60s the hunter-gatherer tribes
2763
01:44:24,680 --> 01:44:26,800
like in the Amazon when there were still
2764
01:44:26,800 --> 01:44:28,880
access to them and they were sort of,
2765
01:44:28,880 --> 01:44:30,880
you know, they were unaffected by
2766
01:44:30,880 --> 01:44:33,360
civilization at all and they could look
2767
01:44:33,360 --> 01:44:36,560
at how they perceived
2768
01:44:36,560 --> 01:44:39,480
enemies. And an interesting idea came
2769
01:44:39,480 --> 01:44:41,560
out of that, which makes me think about
2770
01:44:41,560 --> 01:44:43,720
optimist versus pessimist, right? Sort
2771
01:44:43,720 --> 01:44:46,840
of or rather those who trust versus
2772
01:44:46,840 --> 01:44:48,840
those who are suspicious. That
2773
01:44:48,840 --> 01:44:50,760
that no matter if a hunter is out
2774
01:44:50,760 --> 01:44:52,560
hunting in a that's part of a
2775
01:44:52,560 --> 01:44:56,440
hunter-gatherer tribal environment and
2776
01:44:56,440 --> 01:44:59,840
he comes across another person,
2777
01:44:59,840 --> 01:45:01,600
obviously, there could be that person is
2778
01:45:01,600 --> 01:45:03,360
either threatening or that person is
2779
01:45:03,360 --> 01:45:05,600
someone to team up with against the
2780
01:45:05,600 --> 01:45:07,280
greater threat.
2781
01:45:07,280 --> 01:45:10,600
And the anthropologists do not know why
2782
01:45:10,600 --> 01:45:13,680
it is that some people
2783
01:45:13,680 --> 01:45:15,880
interpret this person with suspicion and
2784
01:45:15,880 --> 01:45:17,560
then might kill him
2785
01:45:17,560 --> 01:45:20,160
and others would interpret that person
2786
01:45:20,160 --> 01:45:23,000
as a teammate.
2787
01:45:23,000 --> 01:45:26,240
And so, if we don't know
2788
01:45:26,240 --> 01:45:28,280
how human, you know, is it genetics?
2789
01:45:28,280 --> 01:45:30,160
Like how do people
2790
01:45:30,160 --> 01:45:32,320
either fall on one of those two sides,
2791
01:45:32,320 --> 01:45:36,400
but what we do know is that people can
2792
01:45:36,400 --> 01:45:39,120
learn to think differently. You talk
2793
01:45:39,120 --> 01:45:40,560
with half your guests on the podcast
2794
01:45:40,560 --> 01:45:44,680
about this. People can be trained, not,
2795
01:45:44,680 --> 01:45:47,080
you know, propagandized, but people can
2796
01:45:47,080 --> 01:45:48,560
learn to think differently. So, if
2797
01:45:48,560 --> 01:45:50,600
you're me who
2798
01:45:50,600 --> 01:45:52,960
is a hopeful person and wants to see the
2799
01:45:52,960 --> 01:45:57,400
positive side of even my dark reporting
2800
01:45:57,400 --> 01:46:01,080
because that's a better choice for me
2801
01:46:01,080 --> 01:46:02,680
and for my family.
2802
01:46:02,680 --> 01:46:06,200
I train myself to find, if you will, the
2803
01:46:06,200 --> 01:46:08,240
silver lining or rather, if that's too
2804
01:46:08,240 --> 01:46:10,760
Pollyanna-ish, to find the way in which
2805
01:46:10,760 --> 01:46:13,960
how do I look at the person coming at me
2806
01:46:13,960 --> 01:46:16,320
as someone who could be on my team or
2807
01:46:16,320 --> 01:46:17,520
even an
2808
01:46:17,520 --> 01:46:20,000
an opponent, but not an enemy that I
2809
01:46:20,000 --> 01:46:21,440
would have to kill.
2810
01:46:21,440 --> 01:46:22,880
What's the most interesting thing that
2811
01:46:22,880 --> 01:46:23,960
you've written about that we haven't
2812
01:46:23,960 --> 01:46:25,320
discussed?
2813
01:46:25,320 --> 01:46:26,880
Of all the and I don't just mean in the
2814
01:46:26,880 --> 01:46:28,000
nuclear war, I mean in all these books.
2815
01:46:28,000 --> 01:46:29,400
I mean, I'm particularly fascinated by
2816
01:46:29,400 --> 01:46:31,280
DARPA because I think in a lot of the
2817
01:46:31,280 --> 01:46:32,960
world, especially in Europe, in the UK,
2818
01:46:32,960 --> 01:46:35,080
we we don't even know what DARPA means.
2819
01:46:35,080 --> 01:46:36,720
So, you know, it was interesting reading
2820
01:46:36,720 --> 01:46:38,440
about the existence of that. But in all
2821
01:46:38,440 --> 01:46:40,040
these books, what is the most
2822
01:46:40,040 --> 01:46:42,080
interesting thing, the most resonant
2823
01:46:42,080 --> 01:46:43,720
thing when you talk about your work to
2824
01:46:43,720 --> 01:46:47,120
people? Maybe that surprised you.
2825
01:46:47,120 --> 01:46:48,400
I mean,
2826
01:46:48,400 --> 01:46:50,280
every single one of my books is
2827
01:46:50,280 --> 01:46:51,880
powerfully important to me, not just
2828
01:46:51,880 --> 01:46:53,640
because of the information there, but
2829
01:46:53,640 --> 01:46:55,960
because the people I met along the way.
2830
01:46:55,960 --> 01:46:58,520
And I really could not sit, you know,
2831
01:46:58,520 --> 01:46:59,920
put one over the other because that
2832
01:46:59,920 --> 01:47:01,880
would be like favoring a child. And I
2833
01:47:01,880 --> 01:47:04,480
mean that literally, you know,
2834
01:47:04,480 --> 01:47:05,720
sometimes when I prepare to do a
2835
01:47:05,720 --> 01:47:08,480
podcast, I read my own books. And I and
2836
01:47:08,480 --> 01:47:09,720
I'm really
2837
01:47:09,720 --> 01:47:12,720
it for me, it's the it's the
2838
01:47:12,720 --> 01:47:15,400
it's the sum total of these incredibly
2839
01:47:15,400 --> 01:47:18,440
fascinating people I have had the
2840
01:47:18,440 --> 01:47:21,360
incredible fortune of interviewing and
2841
01:47:21,360 --> 01:47:23,000
also how
2842
01:47:23,000 --> 01:47:25,320
fate and circumstance always seems to
2843
01:47:25,320 --> 01:47:28,320
play a role in all of their lives and
2844
01:47:28,320 --> 01:47:30,160
that's maybe the theme that I take away
2845
01:47:30,160 --> 01:47:31,840
from all of this as opposed to the
2846
01:47:31,840 --> 01:47:33,600
specific shocking thing. Because
2847
01:47:33,600 --> 01:47:35,160
remember that many of the people that I
2848
01:47:35,160 --> 01:47:36,600
interview,
2849
01:47:36,600 --> 01:47:38,880
because they're war fighters or
2850
01:47:38,880 --> 01:47:41,280
intelligence agency people,
2851
01:47:41,280 --> 01:47:43,320
many of their friends have died.
2852
01:47:43,320 --> 01:47:44,440
Is there anyone you interviewed that
2853
01:47:44,440 --> 01:47:45,680
brought you to tears when you were
2854
01:47:45,680 --> 01:47:48,520
interviewing them? Oh, absolutely. I
2855
01:47:48,520 --> 01:47:50,200
can't I can't even I can't even say it
2856
01:47:50,200 --> 01:47:51,880
now cuz I might
2857
01:47:51,880 --> 01:47:52,920
Yeah.
2858
01:47:52,920 --> 01:47:53,200
Yeah.
2859
01:47:53,200 --> 01:47:55,000
going to ask you for the example. You
2860
01:47:55,000 --> 01:47:56,600
want the example? I'll tell you right
2861
01:47:56,600 --> 01:47:58,280
now.
2862
01:47:58,280 --> 01:48:01,360
It's a hard one. Um
2863
01:48:02,840 --> 01:48:05,600
So, I was just in
2864
01:48:08,320 --> 01:48:10,840
I was just in uh Brussels, I told you,
2865
01:48:10,840 --> 01:48:14,000
at the nuclear convention and
2866
01:48:14,000 --> 01:48:17,880
and I met a woman who was 1 year and 10
2867
01:48:17,880 --> 01:48:20,080
months when
2868
01:48:20,080 --> 01:48:22,840
the bomb was dropped on Nagasaki.
2869
01:48:22,840 --> 01:48:24,640
So, she's a survivor of the Nagasaki
2870
01:48:24,640 --> 01:48:26,800
bomb.
2871
01:48:26,800 --> 01:48:28,400
Right?
2872
01:48:28,400 --> 01:48:30,360
And
2873
01:48:30,360 --> 01:48:31,760
I met her, I brought her a signed copy
2874
01:48:31,760 --> 01:48:33,400
of my book, right? I mean, you just
2875
01:48:33,400 --> 01:48:34,960
think about being
2876
01:48:34,960 --> 01:48:38,080
a victim of that. And also, I learned so
2877
01:48:38,080 --> 01:48:42,640
much about the stigma that followed
2878
01:48:42,640 --> 01:48:45,360
the survivors of the atomic bombs
2879
01:48:45,360 --> 01:48:47,440
of Hiroshima and Nagasaki. The stigma
2880
01:48:47,440 --> 01:48:51,560
because they were perceived as sort of
2881
01:48:51,560 --> 01:48:54,320
tainted people, tainted humans and there
2882
01:48:54,320 --> 01:48:56,880
was this deep fear of the legacy of
2883
01:48:56,880 --> 01:48:59,440
radiation.
2884
01:48:59,440 --> 01:49:01,120
And
2885
01:49:01,120 --> 01:49:03,760
I met her and I expected to just be so
2886
01:49:03,760 --> 01:49:06,840
composed, but in talking to her,
2887
01:49:06,840 --> 01:49:09,160
I got very emotional kind of, you know,
2888
01:49:09,160 --> 01:49:11,840
because you can't avoid that. And part
2889
01:49:11,840 --> 01:49:14,320
of the reason why I got so emotional was
2890
01:49:14,320 --> 01:49:16,360
that, and I haven't written about this
2891
01:49:16,360 --> 01:49:19,160
yet, but I will, is that
2892
01:49:19,160 --> 01:49:20,840
someone I interviewed and someone that
2893
01:49:20,840 --> 01:49:21,960
meant a lot to me and that I have
2894
01:49:21,960 --> 01:49:24,800
written about a lot wired
2895
01:49:24,800 --> 01:49:27,560
that nuclear weapon
2896
01:49:27,560 --> 01:49:31,480
that was dropped on Nagasaki.
2897
01:49:33,640 --> 01:49:37,200
And so, when you think about it,
2898
01:49:37,200 --> 01:49:39,080
and there's little old me, the reporter,
2899
01:49:39,080 --> 01:49:41,560
who fate and circumstance put in
2900
01:49:41,560 --> 01:49:44,120
Brussels last week at a Nuke Expo. You
2901
01:49:44,120 --> 01:49:46,080
couldn't make that up
2902
01:49:46,080 --> 01:49:48,040
if you were me, you know,
2903
01:49:48,040 --> 01:49:50,760
even a year ago, let alone 10 years ago,
2904
01:49:50,760 --> 01:49:53,360
let alone when I was a child.
2905
01:49:53,360 --> 01:49:57,000
And here I am, and one hand of my
2906
01:49:57,000 --> 01:49:58,960
reporting goes to that source that
2907
01:49:58,960 --> 01:50:01,200
worked with me for a very long time,
2908
01:50:01,200 --> 01:50:03,360
whose story I haven't written yet, who
2909
01:50:03,360 --> 01:50:06,440
wired the bomb that was dropped on
2910
01:50:06,440 --> 01:50:09,600
Nagasaki. And my other hand goes to
2911
01:50:09,600 --> 01:50:10,920
someone
2912
01:50:10,920 --> 01:50:13,840
who was there.
2913
01:50:15,160 --> 01:50:16,720
That
2914
01:50:16,720 --> 01:50:18,320
that wells you up.
2915
01:50:18,320 --> 01:50:21,680
Because it's the human condition.
2916
01:50:25,880 --> 01:50:29,120
Can you speak to this impact that
2917
01:50:29,120 --> 01:50:32,480
that had on both those individuals?
2918
01:50:32,480 --> 01:50:33,960
So,
2919
01:50:33,960 --> 01:50:37,000
starting with if we start with the
2920
01:50:37,000 --> 01:50:38,720
individual who was involved in wiring
2921
01:50:38,720 --> 01:50:40,720
that bomb.
2922
01:50:40,720 --> 01:50:43,280
Mhm.
2923
01:50:44,720 --> 01:50:48,160
So, and I know less about her than I
2924
01:50:48,160 --> 01:50:50,920
know about him, right?
2925
01:50:50,920 --> 01:50:52,280
And I've reached out to her and we will
2926
01:50:52,280 --> 01:50:55,360
do interviews now, okay? So, but for
2927
01:50:55,360 --> 01:50:57,240
him,
2928
01:50:57,240 --> 01:51:00,000
it impacted his whole life. And he
2929
01:51:00,000 --> 01:51:01,360
became a member of the Manhattan
2930
01:51:01,360 --> 01:51:04,440
Project, and he became uniquely tied
2931
01:51:04,440 --> 01:51:07,960
into the nuclear weapons industry.
2932
01:51:07,960 --> 01:51:12,720
So, these kind of long arcs of history
2933
01:51:12,720 --> 01:51:14,760
are so deeply interesting to me,
2934
01:51:14,760 --> 01:51:16,720
especially as I get older.
2935
01:51:16,720 --> 01:51:18,840
You move from
2936
01:51:18,840 --> 01:51:20,120
um
2937
01:51:20,120 --> 01:51:24,120
the intensity of specific missions that
2938
01:51:24,120 --> 01:51:26,760
people were on, of specific operations
2939
01:51:26,760 --> 01:51:30,600
they ran, and you begin to look
2940
01:51:30,600 --> 01:51:33,280
at a human
2941
01:51:33,280 --> 01:51:35,360
over the course of their life, and what
2942
01:51:35,360 --> 01:51:37,080
that means, because ultimately that's
2943
01:51:37,080 --> 01:51:39,640
the most interesting storytelling of
2944
01:51:39,640 --> 01:51:41,080
all. It's the most interesting
2945
01:51:41,080 --> 01:51:43,840
conversation you and I can have. And And
2946
01:51:43,840 --> 01:51:46,840
you have to get a little bit older to
2947
01:51:46,840 --> 01:51:48,960
know that, you know? But sometimes when
2948
01:51:48,960 --> 01:51:50,600
I'm interviewing people who are in their
2949
01:51:50,600 --> 01:51:53,440
80s and 90s, and I see them looking at
2950
01:51:53,440 --> 01:51:54,640
me,
2951
01:51:54,640 --> 01:51:56,880
and I like especially going back 15
2952
01:51:56,880 --> 01:51:58,120
years ago when I started reporting all
2953
01:51:58,120 --> 01:52:00,320
this, and I could see I can you know,
2954
01:52:00,320 --> 01:52:02,160
they're old and they're like earlobes
2955
01:52:02,160 --> 01:52:04,680
sag, and they have you know, incredible
2956
01:52:04,680 --> 01:52:06,560
wrinkles and
2957
01:52:06,560 --> 01:52:08,240
the course of their lives, what they
2958
01:52:08,240 --> 01:52:10,000
have done, and they're all involved in
2959
01:52:10,000 --> 01:52:12,920
these top formerly top secret programs,
2960
01:52:12,920 --> 01:52:14,400
and I can
2961
01:52:14,400 --> 01:52:15,400
I can
2962
01:52:15,400 --> 01:52:18,800
I sense them looking at me with this
2963
01:52:18,800 --> 01:52:22,320
sense of their own legacy, that they are
2964
01:52:22,320 --> 01:52:25,240
like, I'm telling her my story, and then
2965
01:52:25,240 --> 01:52:27,920
I'm going to be gone. And that's really
2966
01:52:27,920 --> 01:52:30,800
that's powerful.
2967
01:52:30,920 --> 01:52:33,880
It's a lot of trust as well, isn't it?
2968
01:52:33,880 --> 01:52:36,240
It It is. That's the role of the
2969
01:52:36,240 --> 01:52:40,960
reporter. You You work, at least my job
2970
01:52:40,960 --> 01:52:43,240
as an investigative journalist is like,
2971
01:52:43,240 --> 01:52:46,400
you know, I want people to trust me that
2972
01:52:46,400 --> 01:52:48,720
I am getting the in their information
2973
01:52:48,720 --> 01:52:50,680
down on the public record. And that has
2974
01:52:50,680 --> 01:52:52,840
a lot to do with why, you know, people
2975
01:52:52,840 --> 01:52:54,840
say, "How did you get so many people to
2976
01:52:54,840 --> 01:52:56,680
talk to you about nuclear weapons,
2977
01:52:56,680 --> 01:52:59,400
right?" So, to loop this back to
2978
01:52:59,400 --> 01:53:02,160
nuclear war scenario, I know I'm doing
2979
01:53:02,160 --> 01:53:04,000
my job, at least it feels like I'm doing
2980
01:53:04,000 --> 01:53:08,880
my job properly or earnestly, that I can
2981
01:53:08,880 --> 01:53:12,080
in the same week last week have two
2982
01:53:12,080 --> 01:53:14,680
people that are 100% part of the
2983
01:53:14,680 --> 01:53:16,920
military industrial complex, working for
2984
01:53:16,920 --> 01:53:19,840
the Space Force in Los Angeles,
2985
01:53:19,840 --> 01:53:21,520
you know, at a Space Force convention,
2986
01:53:21,520 --> 01:53:24,080
come to my house for dinner,
2987
01:53:24,080 --> 01:53:25,760
have a conversation with my family,
2988
01:53:25,760 --> 01:53:28,000
including my young son who's closer to
2989
01:53:28,000 --> 01:53:29,400
your age,
2990
01:53:29,400 --> 01:53:31,680
and then the week before have been with
2991
01:53:31,680 --> 01:53:33,880
peace activists
2992
01:53:33,880 --> 01:53:35,640
addressing members of the European
2993
01:53:35,640 --> 01:53:38,560
Parliament. I have my lane,
2994
01:53:38,560 --> 01:53:42,000
but yet all of these people are around
2995
01:53:42,000 --> 01:53:43,600
me.
2996
01:53:43,600 --> 01:53:46,640
They might not think they can get along,
2997
01:53:46,640 --> 01:53:50,080
but they probably can. And if I'm the
2998
01:53:50,080 --> 01:53:53,040
middle of the road of all of that, that
2999
01:53:53,040 --> 01:53:55,720
is important to me as an investigative
3000
01:53:55,720 --> 01:53:58,000
journalist, and but also like as an
3001
01:53:58,000 --> 01:54:00,200
American citizen as and as I said
3002
01:54:00,200 --> 01:54:03,240
earlier, as a as a mother.
3003
01:54:03,240 --> 01:54:05,840
That individual that wired that that
3004
01:54:05,840 --> 01:54:07,640
bomb, took took part in the Manhattan
3005
01:54:07,640 --> 01:54:09,080
Project, was involved in dropping the
3006
01:54:09,080 --> 01:54:13,120
bomb on the lady that you met recently.
3007
01:54:13,120 --> 01:54:14,400
How do they feel about that now in
3008
01:54:14,400 --> 01:54:16,280
hindsight with with their age and as
3009
01:54:16,280 --> 01:54:16,880
they look back?
3010
01:54:16,880 --> 01:54:18,320
He has died. Oh, okay.
3011
01:54:18,320 --> 01:54:19,720
He has died. Um and
3012
01:54:19,720 --> 01:54:22,640
How How did he feel about it?
3013
01:54:22,640 --> 01:54:24,400
There were other things that bothered
3014
01:54:24,400 --> 01:54:27,120
him more, which is
3015
01:54:27,120 --> 01:54:29,120
the great conundrum
3016
01:54:29,120 --> 01:54:31,160
of
3017
01:54:31,160 --> 01:54:36,080
using your own eyes to
3018
01:54:36,080 --> 01:54:39,120
perceive another person. And it's why I
3019
01:54:39,120 --> 01:54:41,800
have not written that book yet, because
3020
01:54:41,800 --> 01:54:43,720
it is still very confusing, and there is
3021
01:54:43,720 --> 01:54:46,040
a lot of mysterious elements of it. And
3022
01:54:46,040 --> 01:54:47,680
sometimes when people are involved in
3023
01:54:47,680 --> 01:54:50,120
really classified programs,
3024
01:54:50,120 --> 01:54:53,480
you have to spend a lot of time to
3025
01:54:53,480 --> 01:54:55,600
uh
3026
01:54:55,600 --> 01:54:59,040
dig and uncover and discover. It's a
3027
01:54:59,040 --> 01:55:01,040
long process.
3028
01:55:01,040 --> 01:55:03,120
Um and he was involved in some other
3029
01:55:03,120 --> 01:55:04,680
programs that
3030
01:55:04,680 --> 01:55:08,480
he had more intense thoughts about. And
3031
01:55:08,480 --> 01:55:10,920
that alone is enough to
3032
01:55:10,920 --> 01:55:12,520
I mean, the look on your face is the
3033
01:55:12,520 --> 01:55:14,920
look on my face
3034
01:55:14,920 --> 01:55:16,760
interviewing him. A happy man?
3035
01:55:16,760 --> 01:55:18,280
Absolutely.
3036
01:55:18,280 --> 01:55:21,160
Absolutely. Regret?
3037
01:55:21,160 --> 01:55:23,680
Yes, most definitely. Almost everyone
3038
01:55:23,680 --> 01:55:25,480
that I end up spending hours and hours
3039
01:55:25,480 --> 01:55:27,000
and hours with, that I would travel
3040
01:55:27,000 --> 01:55:28,840
with, and you know, another person that
3041
01:55:28,840 --> 01:55:30,160
comes to mind was Billy Waugh in the
3042
01:55:30,160 --> 01:55:31,960
Surprise Kill Vanish book, sort of the
3043
01:55:31,960 --> 01:55:35,680
longest serving singleton for the US
3044
01:55:35,680 --> 01:55:37,800
government as a paramilitary operator.
3045
01:55:37,800 --> 01:55:39,600
The saying goes, Billy Waugh killed more
3046
01:55:39,600 --> 01:55:41,520
people than cancer.
3047
01:55:41,520 --> 01:55:44,000
Okay? We traveled to Hanoi together. We
3048
01:55:44,000 --> 01:55:46,080
traveled to Havana together.
3049
01:55:46,080 --> 01:55:49,560
Um I spent a lot of time with him.
3050
01:55:49,560 --> 01:55:51,960
Uh they were you know, both of these men
3051
01:55:51,960 --> 01:55:53,400
were probably the two most powerful
3052
01:55:53,400 --> 01:55:55,360
sources I worked with in my life, in
3053
01:55:55,360 --> 01:56:00,360
their 80s and 90s. Both happy men?
3054
01:56:01,400 --> 01:56:04,560
Billy was more complex than happy, you
3055
01:56:04,560 --> 01:56:06,920
know? Um
3056
01:56:06,920 --> 01:56:11,120
you work hard to kind of get at the
3057
01:56:11,120 --> 01:56:13,120
to get at the character of someone, and
3058
01:56:13,120 --> 01:56:15,200
you you you you try the best to
3059
01:56:15,200 --> 01:56:17,160
represent them. But I mean,
3060
01:56:17,160 --> 01:56:20,400
you know, Billy had so many people um he
3061
01:56:20,400 --> 01:56:22,160
was involved in so many missions with so
3062
01:56:22,160 --> 01:56:24,200
many people that died that
3063
01:56:24,200 --> 01:56:26,120
I don't know if happiness is He
3064
01:56:26,120 --> 01:56:27,760
certainly wasn't ang- He certainly
3065
01:56:27,760 --> 01:56:29,840
wasn't sour,
3066
01:56:29,840 --> 01:56:32,200
but uh he had a lot of anger about a lot
3067
01:56:32,200 --> 01:56:34,480
of things. And then the lady, she was 1
3068
01:56:34,480 --> 01:56:36,360
and 1/2 years old when the bomb was
3069
01:56:36,360 --> 01:56:38,560
dropped. She survived as a baby. Mhm.
3070
01:56:38,560 --> 01:56:40,520
Her family, did they survive? Yes, and
3071
01:56:40,520 --> 01:56:43,000
it was it's fascinating. Um
3072
01:56:43,000 --> 01:56:45,040
uh I'm not saying her name because I
3073
01:56:45,040 --> 01:56:46,480
don't I I don't have quite her
3074
01:56:46,480 --> 01:56:48,800
permission yet, right? So, but um
3075
01:56:48,800 --> 01:56:52,480
although she is a public figure, but she
3076
01:56:52,480 --> 01:56:54,320
didn't know
3077
01:56:54,320 --> 01:56:56,120
about her story until she got older,
3078
01:56:56,120 --> 01:56:57,560
because it was kept hidden from her,
3079
01:56:57,560 --> 01:56:58,520
which is
3080
01:56:58,520 --> 01:57:01,400
So, these layers upon layers about what
3081
01:57:01,400 --> 01:57:04,360
we know about our own selves, you've
3082
01:57:04,360 --> 01:57:06,800
made me think of, which is you balance
3083
01:57:06,800 --> 01:57:09,040
that out with
3084
01:57:09,040 --> 01:57:11,000
ques- what you know about your own self
3085
01:57:11,000 --> 01:57:14,000
versus what how easy it is to to judge
3086
01:57:14,000 --> 01:57:17,040
someone else or perceive someone else.
3087
01:57:17,040 --> 01:57:19,200
And I think those two journeys in life
3088
01:57:19,200 --> 01:57:22,480
are interwoven always. Like, our own
3089
01:57:22,480 --> 01:57:24,600
journey for self-discovery,
3090
01:57:24,600 --> 01:57:26,280
right? In a way, you're on that with
3091
01:57:26,280 --> 01:57:28,920
your podcast, I'm guessing. You probably
3092
01:57:28,920 --> 01:57:31,160
learn as much about yourself
3093
01:57:31,160 --> 01:57:33,160
um as you do about others. I know I do.
3094
01:57:33,160 --> 01:57:35,520
I'm usually in your seat. Um and there's
3095
01:57:35,520 --> 01:57:38,000
no camera running. It's just a pen. And
3096
01:57:38,000 --> 01:57:41,200
so, I can learn so much from people
3097
01:57:41,200 --> 01:57:44,200
about how they speak, why they speak,
3098
01:57:44,200 --> 01:57:46,520
what they say to me, "I don't want this
3099
01:57:46,520 --> 01:57:48,080
on the record. I want you to know this
3100
01:57:48,080 --> 01:57:50,360
about me because it's important, but I
3101
01:57:50,360 --> 01:57:52,600
don't want it publicly known." And I
3102
01:57:52,600 --> 01:57:55,320
honor that, because in a way, being a
3103
01:57:55,320 --> 01:57:57,280
journalist is
3104
01:57:57,280 --> 01:57:58,520
being
3105
01:57:58,520 --> 01:58:02,040
a a trusted source that someone can
3106
01:58:02,040 --> 01:58:04,440
share information with within a context
3107
01:58:04,440 --> 01:58:06,960
that the person I I mean, knows the
3108
01:58:06,960 --> 01:58:09,040
groundwork about. Many people's
3109
01:58:09,040 --> 01:58:10,600
grandchildren's
3110
01:58:10,600 --> 01:58:12,640
grandchildren don't
3111
01:58:12,640 --> 01:58:15,640
they don't know what grandpa did.
3112
01:58:15,640 --> 01:58:17,760
And they might not know
3113
01:58:17,760 --> 01:58:20,840
for decades. I had a guy show up at one
3114
01:58:20,840 --> 01:58:22,600
of my book signings at the LA Times
3115
01:58:22,600 --> 01:58:25,880
Festival of Books just last Sunday. And
3116
01:58:25,880 --> 01:58:27,360
he had,
3117
01:58:27,360 --> 01:58:29,920
you know, a binder, and he said, "After
3118
01:58:29,920 --> 01:58:32,200
you're done signing, would you mind
3119
01:58:32,200 --> 01:58:34,360
looking at this binder and interpreting
3120
01:58:34,360 --> 01:58:36,040
it for me?" And of course I did, you
3121
01:58:36,040 --> 01:58:38,120
know? And his grandfather was a
3122
01:58:38,120 --> 01:58:41,440
seriously high-ranking person working on
3123
01:58:41,440 --> 01:58:45,360
nuclear sub launched ballistic missiles
3124
01:58:45,360 --> 01:58:46,960
in the early days of what was called the
3125
01:58:46,960 --> 01:58:49,080
Polaris experiment. And he had all these
3126
01:58:49,080 --> 01:58:50,719
documents, and no one in his family
3127
01:58:50,719 --> 01:58:53,480
cared about it. He had ID badges and
3128
01:58:53,480 --> 01:58:55,520
letters and pictures with the president
3129
01:58:55,520 --> 01:58:57,840
and picture and I could say to him, "Oh,
3130
01:58:57,840 --> 01:58:59,480
yes, this is the you know, I could give
3131
01:58:59,480 --> 01:59:01,080
him some context." And his wife was
3132
01:59:01,080 --> 01:59:03,920
there, and you know, it was just like
3133
01:59:03,920 --> 01:59:06,360
it's a great example of how
3134
01:59:06,360 --> 01:59:09,080
we sometimes have a desire to know about
3135
01:59:09,080 --> 01:59:11,080
our own selves and our own legacy. Where
3136
01:59:11,080 --> 01:59:13,760
did we come from? And then grandpa has
3137
01:59:13,760 --> 01:59:15,960
passed. And so my job is like getting
3138
01:59:15,960 --> 01:59:18,800
grandpa's story on the record.
3139
01:59:18,800 --> 01:59:20,840
That conversation you had um
3140
01:59:20,840 --> 01:59:22,000
since the book had come out with the
3141
01:59:22,000 --> 01:59:24,720
lady you met in Brussels.
3142
01:59:24,720 --> 01:59:26,640
Did it change how you viewed your your
3143
01:59:26,640 --> 01:59:29,040
book and the work you've done here
3144
01:59:29,040 --> 01:59:31,600
in writing this? Did it add an element?
3145
01:59:31,600 --> 01:59:34,280
Oh, it most certainly enhanced and added
3146
01:59:34,280 --> 01:59:35,720
and particularly that emotional one that
3147
01:59:35,720 --> 01:59:37,720
you saw for me when I think about that,
3148
01:59:37,720 --> 01:59:38,760
you know,
3149
01:59:38,760 --> 01:59:40,240
um
3150
01:59:40,240 --> 01:59:41,600
and I immediately had a long
3151
01:59:41,600 --> 01:59:43,120
conversation with my husband about it
3152
01:59:43,120 --> 01:59:45,400
when when I got home, right? Because I
3153
01:59:45,400 --> 01:59:48,040
use sounding boards to understand how I
3154
01:59:48,040 --> 01:59:50,120
even really feel about things, but
3155
01:59:50,120 --> 01:59:52,560
I already had a context to know about
3156
01:59:52,560 --> 01:59:57,280
survivors having read a lot of accounts
3157
01:59:57,280 --> 01:59:59,800
from survivors
3158
01:59:59,800 --> 02:00:03,080
to report the book and I mention
3159
02:00:03,080 --> 02:00:06,160
some of them. Setsuko Thurlow was a
3160
02:00:06,160 --> 02:00:08,920
survivor of Hiroshima and has given a
3161
02:00:08,920 --> 02:00:12,080
lot of incredible public statements on
3162
02:00:12,080 --> 02:00:13,640
the record to the United Nations and
3163
02:00:13,640 --> 02:00:16,160
elsewhere and I quote her in my book to
3164
02:00:16,160 --> 02:00:18,640
narrate the part of the story where we
3165
02:00:18,640 --> 02:00:19,960
learn about the bomb dropping on
3166
02:00:19,960 --> 02:00:22,880
Hiroshima and then I read a lot of the
3167
02:00:22,880 --> 02:00:25,400
ancillary material about that so I can
3168
02:00:25,400 --> 02:00:27,480
understand more
3169
02:00:27,480 --> 02:00:29,920
and try and a lot of work as a
3170
02:00:29,920 --> 02:00:31,680
journalist you're just at least if you
3171
02:00:31,680 --> 02:00:33,400
write narrative non-fiction as I do,
3172
02:00:33,400 --> 02:00:37,440
you're really trying to imagine
3173
02:00:37,440 --> 02:00:39,680
the situation. But then you meet someone
3174
02:00:39,680 --> 02:00:41,520
and it all becomes real. And that's
3175
02:00:41,520 --> 02:00:43,360
where the this comes in cuz it's not
3176
02:00:43,360 --> 02:00:46,600
just words on the paper. It hasn't been
3177
02:00:46,600 --> 02:00:49,240
When they say survivor
3178
02:00:49,240 --> 02:00:50,880
what what
3179
02:00:50,880 --> 02:00:52,680
how do you categorize or define a
3180
02:00:52,680 --> 02:00:56,960
survivor of a nuclear bomb?
3181
02:00:57,240 --> 02:00:59,880
Um there's a word in Japanese and I
3182
02:00:59,880 --> 02:01:01,320
don't want to get it wrong and it's
3183
02:01:01,320 --> 02:01:03,560
something like Hibakusha, right? So
3184
02:01:03,560 --> 02:01:05,800
forgive me for not having that word.
3185
02:01:05,800 --> 02:01:07,040
But um
3186
02:01:07,040 --> 02:01:09,360
that is an actual term
3187
02:01:09,360 --> 02:01:12,120
that is used by
3188
02:01:12,120 --> 02:01:14,040
anyone who
3189
02:01:14,040 --> 02:01:16,360
lived through
3190
02:01:16,360 --> 02:01:20,240
the atomic bombings in August of 1945
3191
02:01:20,240 --> 02:01:23,480
of Hiroshima and Nagasaki.
3192
02:01:23,480 --> 02:01:27,320
So if you lived through it, you are
3193
02:01:27,320 --> 02:01:29,960
in that category of people. If you lived
3194
02:01:29,960 --> 02:01:32,360
through that Yeah, yeah, yeah. And so in
3195
02:01:32,360 --> 02:01:34,200
other words now
3196
02:01:34,200 --> 02:01:36,480
uh this was, you know,
3197
02:01:36,480 --> 02:01:38,600
79 years ago.
3198
02:01:38,600 --> 02:01:42,640
So most of the survivors you can just
3199
02:01:42,640 --> 02:01:44,080
think about the ages of the people
3200
02:01:44,080 --> 02:01:47,200
involved. Setsuko Thurlow is 90.
3201
02:01:47,200 --> 02:01:48,920
You know, she's she's
3202
02:01:48,920 --> 02:01:51,320
one she was a recipient of the who I who
3203
02:01:51,320 --> 02:01:53,600
I write about. Um
3204
02:01:53,600 --> 02:01:56,240
she was a recipient of the Nobel Peace
3205
02:01:56,240 --> 02:02:01,080
Prize in 2017 with a group of physicians
3206
02:02:01,080 --> 02:02:03,640
Dr. Carlos Omana and others whom I met
3207
02:02:03,640 --> 02:02:06,120
in Brussels that are all part of these
3208
02:02:06,120 --> 02:02:09,720
organizations working to reduce nuclear
3209
02:02:09,720 --> 02:02:12,080
weapons down to zero.
3210
02:02:12,080 --> 02:02:14,560
Right? They are against
3211
02:02:14,560 --> 02:02:16,360
nuclear war.
3212
02:02:16,360 --> 02:02:19,800
And their organizations work diligently
3213
02:02:19,800 --> 02:02:22,280
to bring the information to the fore and
3214
02:02:22,280 --> 02:02:25,800
to affect change at a geopolitical level
3215
02:02:25,800 --> 02:02:27,680
like the United Nations.
3216
02:02:27,680 --> 02:02:28,720
That conversation you have with your
3217
02:02:28,720 --> 02:02:30,000
husband when you got home that day after
3218
02:02:30,000 --> 02:02:32,560
meeting her.
3219
02:02:33,240 --> 02:02:34,320
What can you tell me about that
3220
02:02:34,320 --> 02:02:36,520
conversation?
3221
02:02:36,520 --> 02:02:38,200
It's probably like you have with your I
3222
02:02:38,200 --> 02:02:39,400
mean my husband and I've been married a
3223
02:02:39,400 --> 02:02:43,240
very long time. So he knows everything.
3224
02:02:43,240 --> 02:02:44,240
Um
3225
02:02:44,240 --> 02:02:46,200
there's also a joke that he has what's
3226
02:02:46,200 --> 02:02:48,520
called spouse privilege which he does,
3227
02:02:48,520 --> 02:02:50,680
right? You can tell your spouse anything
3228
02:02:50,680 --> 02:02:53,320
legally
3229
02:02:53,360 --> 02:02:55,040
But no, those conversations are
3230
02:02:55,040 --> 02:02:56,800
priceless. Those are the conversations
3231
02:02:56,800 --> 02:03:01,120
that allow me to try and peel back one
3232
02:03:01,120 --> 02:03:02,400
layer
3233
02:03:02,400 --> 02:03:06,400
of what the next book is going to be and
3234
02:03:06,400 --> 02:03:09,200
what the next book aims to do because I
3235
02:03:09,200 --> 02:03:11,560
am always working on the next book. I am
3236
02:03:11,560 --> 02:03:14,520
one of those people who loves writing.
3237
02:03:14,520 --> 02:03:18,080
And so and I also love evolving as a
3238
02:03:18,080 --> 02:03:19,840
writer. So you want to get better in
3239
02:03:19,840 --> 02:03:22,480
terms of the small mistakes you make and
3240
02:03:22,480 --> 02:03:25,040
you want to get better in terms of the
3241
02:03:25,040 --> 02:03:27,160
the intentions that you might have
3242
02:03:27,160 --> 02:03:29,960
thematically about conveying it. And so
3243
02:03:29,960 --> 02:03:31,800
thank you for pointing out to me
3244
02:03:31,800 --> 02:03:33,120
and I mean this sincerely is that what
3245
02:03:33,120 --> 02:03:34,920
you helped me realize is that
3246
02:03:34,920 --> 02:03:37,720
the next book is trying will try to move
3247
02:03:37,720 --> 02:03:41,560
more toward those themes of cause
3248
02:03:41,560 --> 02:03:45,240
that was him and effect that was her.
3249
02:03:45,240 --> 02:03:47,640
This idea that there are always
3250
02:03:47,640 --> 02:03:49,880
consequences.
3251
02:03:49,880 --> 02:03:53,720
And very real people on both sides that
3252
02:03:53,720 --> 02:03:54,880
you know
3253
02:03:54,880 --> 02:03:57,160
one could class as both victims and
3254
02:03:57,160 --> 02:04:00,040
innocent at the same time, I guess.
3255
02:04:00,040 --> 02:04:02,520
I've just a horrific situation.
3256
02:04:02,520 --> 02:04:04,760
Absolutely. I'm really intrigued now by
3257
02:04:04,760 --> 02:04:06,480
this idea that you almost have to embody
3258
02:04:06,480 --> 02:04:08,400
two roles. You're a human being but at
3259
02:04:08,400 --> 02:04:11,400
the same time you've got a job to do
3260
02:04:11,400 --> 02:04:12,560
here
3261
02:04:12,560 --> 02:04:14,160
and you've got a mission.
3262
02:04:14,160 --> 02:04:16,200
And when you meet that person who's who
3263
02:04:16,200 --> 02:04:19,440
is a survivor of a nuclear attack
3264
02:04:19,440 --> 02:04:22,000
those lines can understandably become at
3265
02:04:22,000 --> 02:04:23,640
at least in your head
3266
02:04:23,640 --> 02:04:25,680
the wall can drop between the two. And
3267
02:04:25,680 --> 02:04:27,200
as you you touched your heart, you
3268
02:04:27,200 --> 02:04:28,960
referred to your head which I think is
3269
02:04:28,960 --> 02:04:30,040
typically when you're talking about your
3270
02:04:30,040 --> 02:04:31,880
journalistic hat, but then we all have
3271
02:04:31,880 --> 02:04:33,920
hearts as well, thank God.
3272
02:04:33,920 --> 02:04:35,160
Um you come home and I don't know the
3273
02:04:35,160 --> 02:04:37,680
conversations I have with my partner.
3274
02:04:37,680 --> 02:04:39,480
I guess I I'm assuming, you know, the
3275
02:04:39,480 --> 02:04:40,680
conversation you have with your husband
3276
02:04:40,680 --> 02:04:43,200
there is about
3277
02:04:43,200 --> 02:04:44,880
the complexity of the emotions you feel
3278
02:04:44,880 --> 02:04:46,400
upon meeting that person.
3279
02:04:46,400 --> 02:04:48,080
Absolutely and what you do with that and
3280
02:04:48,080 --> 02:04:49,640
what that means and you want to be able
3281
02:04:49,640 --> 02:04:51,960
to have those conversations so that you
3282
02:04:51,960 --> 02:04:55,120
can I think
3283
02:04:55,120 --> 02:04:58,080
have both of those bring both of those
3284
02:04:58,080 --> 02:05:00,480
components into your
3285
02:05:00,480 --> 02:05:02,280
into your work. I mean
3286
02:05:02,280 --> 02:05:03,840
maybe with the exception being the
3287
02:05:03,840 --> 02:05:05,960
military or the CIA, the two
3288
02:05:05,960 --> 02:05:07,960
organizations I write about. You know,
3289
02:05:07,960 --> 02:05:10,040
Billy Waugh can't bring his heart into
3290
02:05:10,040 --> 02:05:12,600
the mission when he is assigned to go X
3291
02:05:12,600 --> 02:05:14,000
Y Z.
3292
02:05:14,000 --> 02:05:16,040
You know, find, fix and finish someone.
3293
02:05:16,040 --> 02:05:17,280
They're not allowed to tell that that
3294
02:05:17,280 --> 02:05:19,120
partner are they in the CIA? No.
3295
02:05:19,120 --> 02:05:21,880
I was told to you. And and so so what we
3296
02:05:21,880 --> 02:05:23,240
that aren't in the military or the
3297
02:05:23,240 --> 02:05:26,280
intelligence community have that luxury.
3298
02:05:26,280 --> 02:05:27,920
Is it a luxury?
3299
02:05:27,920 --> 02:05:29,640
I don't know, but it's a necessity for
3300
02:05:29,640 --> 02:05:31,160
me.
3301
02:05:31,160 --> 02:05:32,720
What if you couldn't?
3302
02:05:32,720 --> 02:05:35,000
I wouldn't be myself. I wouldn't I
3303
02:05:35,000 --> 02:05:37,080
wouldn't choose that. I could never be
3304
02:05:37,080 --> 02:05:39,360
in the military. I could never be in the
3305
02:05:39,360 --> 02:05:40,600
agency.
3306
02:05:40,600 --> 02:05:44,360
Because I I think you are asked to wear
3307
02:05:44,360 --> 02:05:47,880
a hat that removes your heart.
3308
02:05:47,880 --> 02:05:50,880
And that's not possible for somebody
3309
02:05:50,880 --> 02:05:52,400
like me. I mean we just figure out our
3310
02:05:52,400 --> 02:05:55,000
strengths and our weaknesses. Um and
3311
02:05:55,000 --> 02:05:56,760
society needs all of those people by the
3312
02:05:56,760 --> 02:05:59,680
way. That is what a democracy is. It is
3313
02:05:59,680 --> 02:06:02,520
made up of all kinds of people. I'm all
3314
02:06:02,520 --> 02:06:05,200
for that. It's why I have so many
3315
02:06:05,200 --> 02:06:07,320
friends and colleagues from different
3316
02:06:07,320 --> 02:06:09,800
worlds on different sides of the aisle.
3317
02:06:09,800 --> 02:06:12,440
They just make me think
3318
02:06:12,440 --> 02:06:15,320
more interesting things about the world
3319
02:06:15,320 --> 02:06:18,600
in which we all live.
3320
02:06:18,600 --> 02:06:19,720
We have a closing tradition on this
3321
02:06:19,720 --> 02:06:20,920
podcast where the last guest leaves a
3322
02:06:20,920 --> 02:06:22,240
question for the next guest not knowing
3323
02:06:22,240 --> 02:06:23,800
who they're leaving it for.
3324
02:06:23,800 --> 02:06:25,400
And the question that's been left for
3325
02:06:25,400 --> 02:06:26,520
you
3326
02:06:26,520 --> 02:06:27,920
was written in Europe when we were in
3327
02:06:27,920 --> 02:06:30,200
our studio then.
3328
02:06:30,200 --> 02:06:33,120
It is what is the last thing you changed
3329
02:06:33,120 --> 02:06:36,080
your mind about?
3330
02:06:38,520 --> 02:06:39,960
Well, I'll just
3331
02:06:39,960 --> 02:06:42,160
it comes this comes to mind only because
3332
02:06:42,160 --> 02:06:43,760
it's apropos to what we've been talking
3333
02:06:43,760 --> 02:06:45,520
about and it has to do with reporting
3334
02:06:45,520 --> 02:06:47,560
not my personal life which is maybe more
3335
02:06:47,560 --> 02:06:51,360
interesting to people. Um
3336
02:06:52,120 --> 02:06:55,280
I always strive to interview people
3337
02:06:55,280 --> 02:06:57,080
and ask them questions even if they are
3338
02:06:57,080 --> 02:06:59,000
hard, even if I have a preconception
3339
02:06:59,000 --> 02:07:01,920
that maybe they are the sort of bad guy,
3340
02:07:01,920 --> 02:07:04,000
shall we say, or the you know
3341
02:07:04,000 --> 02:07:05,360
perpetrator the what?
3342
02:07:05,360 --> 02:07:07,560
the perpetrator some something not
3343
02:07:07,560 --> 02:07:09,680
necessarily the bad but just that like I
3344
02:07:09,680 --> 02:07:11,440
might not my brain might not think I
3345
02:07:11,440 --> 02:07:13,240
agree with what they did or the project
3346
02:07:13,240 --> 02:07:14,240
they were on.
3347
02:07:14,240 --> 02:07:16,240
And there was a general that I was
3348
02:07:16,240 --> 02:07:18,560
trying to interview for the Pentagon's
3349
02:07:18,560 --> 02:07:21,120
brain and he had he was kind of the
3350
02:07:21,120 --> 02:07:23,240
creator behind what's called the soldier
3351
02:07:23,240 --> 02:07:25,160
super suit, okay? And that's a totally
3352
02:07:25,160 --> 02:07:26,920
different subject but that these idea to
3353
02:07:26,920 --> 02:07:29,720
make super soldiers, okay? Off of this
3354
02:07:29,720 --> 02:07:31,760
idea of the this concept called the
3355
02:07:31,760 --> 02:07:34,040
weakling on the battlefield that humans
3356
02:07:34,040 --> 02:07:36,600
feel fear and get fatigued and those are
3357
02:07:36,600 --> 02:07:38,520
not good things for soldiers and so
3358
02:07:38,520 --> 02:07:40,600
there are all these programs to try and
3359
02:07:40,600 --> 02:07:44,240
enhance our top tier military fighters
3360
02:07:44,240 --> 02:07:46,200
to become super soldiers. This is a
3361
02:07:46,200 --> 02:07:48,680
fact. And this one general was part of
3362
02:07:48,680 --> 02:07:51,080
that program and I had reached out to
3363
02:07:51,080 --> 02:07:54,200
him and asked him to interview with me
3364
02:07:54,200 --> 02:07:56,320
and I get it. Lots of people say you
3365
02:07:56,320 --> 02:07:57,680
know, I'm going to pass. I don't want to
3366
02:07:57,680 --> 02:07:59,600
interview. That's fine. But he ignored
3367
02:07:59,600 --> 02:08:02,840
me. And I felt slighted. And so I'm
3368
02:08:02,840 --> 02:08:05,000
telling on myself here from your view.
3369
02:08:05,000 --> 02:08:07,640
And so when I was writing my narrative
3370
02:08:07,640 --> 02:08:10,280
of the super soldier, he essentially was
3371
02:08:10,280 --> 02:08:12,880
kind of cast as the bad guy.
3372
02:08:12,880 --> 02:08:15,840
And then
3373
02:08:15,840 --> 02:08:18,000
I was in the editorial phase of the book
3374
02:08:18,000 --> 02:08:20,560
and I got an email from him and he said,
3375
02:08:20,560 --> 02:08:22,880
"I'm so sorry I didn't get back to you.
3376
02:08:22,880 --> 02:08:26,240
My wife had cancer."
3377
02:08:27,640 --> 02:08:30,880
And I what a valuable lesson. What a
3378
02:08:30,880 --> 02:08:32,719
valuable lesson.
3379
02:08:32,719 --> 02:08:35,280
And we did two interviews. And I told my
3380
02:08:35,280 --> 02:08:36,960
editor, "I have to rewrite that
3381
02:08:36,960 --> 02:08:40,480
chapter." And I did.
3382
02:08:42,080 --> 02:08:45,040
I mean that story speaks to a lot of the
3383
02:08:45,040 --> 02:08:46,840
subjects we spoken about today which is
3384
02:08:46,840 --> 02:08:48,160
when we
3385
02:08:48,160 --> 02:08:49,719
see someone as different, when we see
3386
02:08:49,719 --> 02:08:51,240
them as aliens, adversaries, enemies,
3387
02:08:51,240 --> 02:08:52,800
opponents
3388
02:08:52,800 --> 02:08:55,440
we are much more likely to treat them
3389
02:08:55,440 --> 02:08:57,320
as such, but
3390
02:08:57,320 --> 02:09:00,840
in reality it often turns out that we're
3391
02:09:00,840 --> 02:09:02,360
all very much the same, struggling with
3392
02:09:02,360 --> 02:09:04,200
the same things, with the same worries,
3393
02:09:04,200 --> 02:09:06,080
anxieties, concerns,
3394
02:09:06,080 --> 02:09:08,000
apprehensions, and it's just sometimes
3395
02:09:08,000 --> 02:09:10,400
when there's a bridge built, in the case
3396
02:09:10,400 --> 02:09:13,200
of that email, that we realize that
3397
02:09:13,200 --> 02:09:15,120
we're not enemies after all.
3398
02:09:15,120 --> 02:09:16,280
And that we don't need to be at war,
3399
02:09:16,280 --> 02:09:17,880
whether that's with words or whether
3400
02:09:17,880 --> 02:09:19,120
it's with
3401
02:09:19,120 --> 02:09:21,200
nuclear weapons.
3402
02:09:21,200 --> 02:09:23,760
And when you see that fellow
3403
02:09:23,760 --> 02:09:26,200
hunter on the path,
3404
02:09:26,200 --> 02:09:28,640
they might not be
3405
02:09:28,640 --> 02:09:31,240
the enemy. They might be someone to work
3406
02:09:31,240 --> 02:09:32,440
with.
3407
02:09:32,440 --> 02:09:33,760
It's very good of you to admit that,
3408
02:09:33,760 --> 02:09:35,400
Annie, because
3409
02:09:35,400 --> 02:09:36,680
what you're actually admitting is that
3410
02:09:36,680 --> 02:09:38,000
you're a human being.
3411
02:09:38,000 --> 02:09:40,040
Because we all do that kind of thing.
3412
02:09:40,040 --> 02:09:41,240
When we see someone as an adversary, I
3413
02:09:41,240 --> 02:09:42,720
think, as you say, it's feels like it's
3414
02:09:42,720 --> 02:09:44,960
hardwired into us in some way, but also
3415
02:09:44,960 --> 02:09:46,760
within that story we learn to
3416
02:09:46,760 --> 02:09:47,920
try and find or make the bridge
3417
02:09:47,920 --> 02:09:49,240
ourselves.
3418
02:09:49,240 --> 02:09:50,520
Which in the world we live in now, with
3419
02:09:50,520 --> 02:09:52,400
social media and stuff, is
3420
02:09:52,400 --> 02:09:54,480
doesn't seem to be um
3421
02:09:54,480 --> 02:09:56,120
easy or obvious for people, with all of
3422
02:09:56,120 --> 02:09:58,520
this polarization and such. And maybe if
3423
02:09:58,520 --> 02:10:00,520
the you know, if the US could make a
3424
02:10:00,520 --> 02:10:02,040
bridge with some of these foreign
3425
02:10:02,040 --> 02:10:04,160
adversaries, we wouldn't be talking
3426
02:10:04,160 --> 02:10:06,200
about nuclear war in your book, nuclear
3427
02:10:06,200 --> 02:10:07,840
war scenario.
3428
02:10:07,840 --> 02:10:09,280
Thank you so much for writing this book,
3429
02:10:09,280 --> 02:10:10,440
because
3430
02:10:10,440 --> 02:10:12,680
I'm a big believer and a big
3431
02:10:12,680 --> 02:10:15,600
um advocate of confronting the realities
3432
02:10:15,600 --> 02:10:17,200
honestly and openly, regardless of how
3433
02:10:17,200 --> 02:10:19,480
uncomfortable it is, because
3434
02:10:19,480 --> 02:10:20,920
if we don't, I think it actually
3435
02:10:20,920 --> 02:10:23,120
increases the probability of us
3436
02:10:23,120 --> 02:10:26,360
finding ourselves in a 72-hour
3437
02:10:26,360 --> 02:10:27,120
scenario, as you write about in the
3438
02:10:27,120 --> 02:10:28,280
book. And I The same thing
3439
02:10:28,280 --> 02:10:29,360
72 minutes.
3440
02:10:29,360 --> 02:10:29,560
72
3441
02:10:29,560 --> 02:10:31,000
Christ, only two hours. Did I say 72
3442
02:10:31,000 --> 02:10:31,320
hours?
3443
02:10:31,320 --> 02:10:32,160
Yes.
3444
02:10:32,160 --> 02:10:34,800
We all make Freudian slips. Okay. I wish
3445
02:10:34,800 --> 02:10:36,160
it was 72.
3446
02:10:36,160 --> 02:10:37,720
Well, no, I actually don't. I
3447
02:10:37,720 --> 02:10:38,680
Well, if it was going to happen, I'd
3448
02:10:38,680 --> 02:10:40,080
rather it just
3449
02:10:40,080 --> 02:10:42,200
happened in the blink of an eye. But um
3450
02:10:42,200 --> 02:10:43,920
but no, I think it's it's so, so
3451
02:10:43,920 --> 02:10:45,200
important to write. A lot of people
3452
02:10:45,200 --> 02:10:46,440
would be scared. A lot of people would
3453
02:10:46,440 --> 02:10:47,560
choose not to even click on this
3454
02:10:47,560 --> 02:10:48,800
conversation, because they're scared of
3455
02:10:48,800 --> 02:10:50,800
the subject matter. But I I think it's
3456
02:10:50,800 --> 02:10:53,760
leaning in that helps us to resolve and
3457
02:10:53,760 --> 02:10:54,800
find solutions and start the
3458
02:10:54,800 --> 02:10:56,840
conversation. And I know lots of people
3459
02:10:56,840 --> 02:10:58,120
listen to this. You never know, like
3460
02:10:58,120 --> 02:10:59,040
that
3461
02:10:59,040 --> 02:11:00,680
like that documentary or movie you
3462
02:11:00,680 --> 02:11:02,600
talked about earlier, who's listening
3463
02:11:02,600 --> 02:11:04,640
and the powers that they have, and the
3464
02:11:04,640 --> 02:11:06,160
decisions that they can make to change
3465
02:11:06,160 --> 02:11:07,640
things or to create one of those bridges
3466
02:11:07,640 --> 02:11:10,840
to to sort of denuclearize the world.
3467
02:11:10,840 --> 02:11:11,960
And that's the work you're doing. So, I
3468
02:11:11,960 --> 02:11:13,080
think it's very, very important work,
3469
02:11:13,080 --> 02:11:14,440
and I'm glad that you've committed your
3470
02:11:14,440 --> 02:11:16,360
brilliance to doing it. So, thank you.
3471
02:11:16,360 --> 02:11:19,600
Thank you so much for having me.237566
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