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Antarctica:
the most undiscovered continent on Earth,
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and for very good reasons.
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Freezing temperatures
and deadly storms have defeated
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many explorers and scientists
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seeking to understand this mysterious land
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on which man has never lived.
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Today, they know enough to survive
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this beautiful, though hostile place,
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but events are now unfolding here
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that may spell disaster
for the rest of the world.
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What we find here today is unnerving.
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Glaciers are melting rapidly into the ocean,
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threatening to flood the world's coastlines.
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Penguins are walking off
to their death in inexplicable
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"Suicide Marches".
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Seals are struck blind by ultraviolet rays.
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Starfish are unable to reproduce
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and the continent's largest land animal,
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a creature smaller than a common housefly,
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is facing possible extinction.
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And now, on newly-exposed rocky landscapes,
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seeing sunlight for the very first time,
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green vegetation is thriving in the world's
largest desert.
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Has an irreversible environmental
change begun here?
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Or can we - as a global community - work together,
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to save our planet as well as ourselves?
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This is - The Antarctica Challenge.
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According to the National Oceanic
and Atmospheric Administration,
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global temperatures have been increasing steadily
for the past 100 years,
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with seven of the eight warmest years on record
occurring since 2001.
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The most dramatic rise has been here,
in Antarctica,
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as scientists from every discipline
search for clues,
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and hopefully answers.
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Warming temperatures here mean melting ice
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and that means flooding for the rest of the world.
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Dr. Julian Scott, a geophysicist
with the British Antarctic Survey,
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believes we have to prepare
for this catastrophe today.
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Adding the water to the ocean
will cause more flooding
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and we'll need to put up more flood defenses
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and build our cities in a different way
because of it.
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Pine Island is one of Antarctica's
largest glaciers.
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Over 250 kilometers long
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approximately the distance
between New York City and Boston
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and two kilometers thick,
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it is the greatest contributor of ice
flow into the ocean
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of any ice drainage basin in the world.
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In this time-lapse photography
of a melting glacier,
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we can see just how quickly large areas of ice
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can move from their rocky shores to the sea.
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Through his extensive study,
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Dr. Scott has found that Pine Island Glacier alone
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is currently adding 46 gigatons of fresh water
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to the world's sea level every year.
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The main reason the glacier is increasing
its speed at the moment
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is thought by most scientists working on the area
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to be due to warm ocean water.
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Now this isn't necessarily water
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that's been affected by atmospheric
changes in recent history.
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This is deep ocean water off the edge
of the continental shelf
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that is somehow being pushed up
onto the continental shelf
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by the wind patterns,
and the pressure systems in Antarctica.
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And shifting warm water right to the area
of this glacier where it starts to float.
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Now this is thinning this area of the glacier,
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and by thinning this floating portion
of the glacier,
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this causes a reduction in the pressure
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which means there's less holding the glacier back
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which means it can speed up.
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Another cause of the faster-moving ice
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is the warming of the newly exposed rock
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that extends beneath the ice.
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As the sun warms this bare rock,
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it creates an endothermic reaction
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that heats the rock bed
and melts the ice from underneath.
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Antarctica holds 70 per cent
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of the world's fresh water in its ice.
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According to NASA,
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if the land ice of the west coast of
the continent alone were to melt,
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the world's sea level would rise 18 to 20 feet.
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This would result in massive
flooding around the world
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as well as increased weight
and pressure on the world's seabed.
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This, in turn, could provide severe stress
on oceanic fault lines
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resulting in earthquakes and tsunamis.
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Even the ozone hole
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may be contributing to this problem by the way
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it has changed weather patterns here.
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Now one theory that's been suggested
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is it actually could be anthropogenic,
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but due to the ozone hole over Antarctica
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which has been shown to change
the weather systems around Antarctica,
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or we could be seeing El Nino-type effects
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in the southern weather systems
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that the wind is driving this ocean water
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up to the front of the glacier.
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It's a huge ice sheet
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grounded largely below sea level
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which is why we are concerned about it.
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But the ice is very thick
and extends way above sea level,
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so obviously if we were to lose it,
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it would contribute to the global sea levels.
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And in fact,
the whole of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet
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could contribute up to five meters.
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And the Amundsen Sea area,
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where Pine Island and Thwaites Glaciers are,
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that have both been
noted to be speeding up recently
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that could contribute around one and a half meters
to global sea level.
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Dr. Scott is one of many scientists
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dedicated to studying Antarctica.
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He spends long periods of study in the field,
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but returns home to analyze his findings.
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His headquarters are located here,
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half a world away,
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in the historic university town of Cambridge,
England.
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His research, along with others
at the British Antarctic Survey,
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pays tribute to the first scientific expeditions
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in Antarctica 100 years ago.
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While many ships and lives
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were lost in those early days
by explorers the world over,
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it was one British explorer
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who is perhaps best known for paving the way
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for scientific study here today:
Sir Ernest Shackleton.
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In 1909, he led one
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of the very first scientific expeditions
to Antarctica.
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Ernest Shackleton really filled
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the old dictionary definition of an explorer:
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one who explores to discover new lands.
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There are very few new lands left to discover
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under the sea,
possibly and of course in space in the future.
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But for scientists there are always new lands
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and they never stop discovering.
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Well during the early expeditions,
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polar science was really a matter of observation
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more than very precise science.
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I mean they didn't have the gear.
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A lot of scientific research was accomplished
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during the Nimrod Expedition.
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And they did accomplish some notable firsts.
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They did discover that the south,
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the south magnetic pole which is not a fixed point
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but moves about, about six miles a year.
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That was enough for Shackleton
to secure a second expedition.
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However, this time,
it didn't turn out as expected.
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When the ship became trapped in the ice,
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it was hoped that she would rise above it
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and be able to be floated once more,
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but instead she was slowly crushed.
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They watched with horror
as, as, as this took place.
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Eventually the mast came down.
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And though, you can see the little group,
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rather desolate on the ice, their home
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because the ship is always a sailor's home - gone.
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They were in a very dangerous situation.
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No one knew where they were.
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Shackleton and his crew were left stranded,
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and fighting for their lives,
for over a year and a half.
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Amazingly, Shackleton led his Endurance crew
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back to safety without losing one life.
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Their incredible story of survival is commemorated
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by one of Antarctica's very few museums.
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With many of their supplies still on its shelves,
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this unique museum
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provides an eerie reminder of
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how difficult survival is in this harsh land.
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A struggle which helped give inspiration
to an international treaty fifty years later.
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For the first time in human history,
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twelve nations were able to agree
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to administer an entire continent.
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Signed on December 1, 1959,
the "Antarctica Treaty"
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bans any military activity
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and restricts any human occupation
solely to scientific study.
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Never before has the world come together
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to jointly govern a continent,
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rather than fight over its ownership.
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Today, there are 47 nations ensuring the
"peaceful use"
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of Antarctica strictly for scientific research.
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One of the more recent countries to sign
the Treaty is Ukraine.
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Dr. Yeugeny Karyagin
is a Seismologist from Ukraine.
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His country joined the treaty in 1992
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and took over
Great Britain's Faraday Research Station,
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renaming it Vernadsky Station.
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He believes that the melting fresh water
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is contributing to the further melting of the ice
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in a very unusual way.
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Dr. Karyagin warns that
the increased precipitation
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will accelerate the melting of the glacier ice,
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compounding and accelerating the process,
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as more fresh water from the melting land ice
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dilutes the salt-water of the Antarctic Ocean.
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Since fresh water
evaporates faster than salt water,
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there will be a lot more rain and snow here.
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Over the past 20 years,
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the continent of Antarctica
has diminished in size dramatically,
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shrinking the ice fields at an alarming rate.
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How much further can Antarctica shrink
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before its melting ice floods the world?
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Dr. Karyagin is measuring this melting every day
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through a series of seismology tests
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designed to record shifts in glacial movement.
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Dr. Karyagin has been recording vibrations
from nearby glaciers.
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He claims that the increased frequency
of seismic signals
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tells him that the climate is warming.
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If he's right,
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more glaciers will soon resemble this one,
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diluting the sea with fresh ice water
at unprecedented speeds.
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At this continued rate it could mean
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catastrophic flooding
for most of the coastal towns
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and cities of the planet.
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Are we too late?
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Is there anything we can do now to slow,
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and perhaps even reverse,
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this continent's warming to prevent
world flooding?
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00:18:09,960 --> 00:18:11,261
Most scientists predict that
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the world's coastal towns and cities
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will be hit the hardest by the rising sea levels
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and the ensuing hurricanes,
earthquakes and tsunamis.
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Coastal cities that are the centre
of life to millions are at peril.
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Cities like San Francisco.
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This picturesque coastal city in California
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is the occasional home
of renowned environmentalist
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and penguin specialist, Dr. David Ainley,
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who, after spending more than 30 years
in the field in Antarctica,
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has likely spent more time there than here.
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His contribution to scientific study
in Antarctica is so significant
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a mountain there has been named after him -
Ainley's Peak.
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He believes that cities
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like his will soon have some serious environmental
issues to deal with.
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I think we're going to see some major problems.
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We are too late by 20 years
and it's really serious.
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Anybody that lives on the coast
is going to be having problems.
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It doesn't take much of a rise in sea level,
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just an inch and that's huge
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when you get a storm surge you know,
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from a nor'easter or a hurricane
or that sort of thing.
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You know foreclosures are happening on beachfront.
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That's probably a good thing
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because those properties are history anyway.
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And while today's Antarctic scientists
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are suggesting we need to relocate
to higher ground,
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the penguins here are already being forced
to do the same thing.
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There are up to seven species of penguins
that might occur in the Antarctic.
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Four of those are relatively common
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and if we start from the largest -
the Emperor Penguin
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it's the one that is least tolerant
to temperature changes.
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It's the one that nests the furthest south,
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the one that nests in the coldest climates.
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Next would be the Adelie penguin.
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They're very much dependent
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on ice floes and the near-ice conditions
for hunting,
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so they again would be very much affected
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by rising temperature changes.
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The Chinstrap penguin is somewhere in between.
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It is more adaptive.
254
00:20:26,763 --> 00:20:29,466
It will move further north and further south
than some of the other ones.
255
00:20:32,302 --> 00:20:33,536
But the one behind me, the Gentoo,
256
00:20:33,703 --> 00:20:34,804
is probably the most adaptive.
257
00:20:34,971 --> 00:20:38,641
It's the one that might be the super penguin
of the Antarctic eventually.
258
00:20:50,820 --> 00:20:54,257
As well, warming waters
are responsible for a drastic decline
259
00:20:54,424 --> 00:20:57,093
in the penguins' sole food source, the krill.
260
00:21:10,707 --> 00:21:13,443
Krill are small shrimp-like marine crustaceans.
261
00:21:13,810 --> 00:21:18,548
They're the primary food supply of penguins
and all other Antarctic animal life.
262
00:21:19,449 --> 00:21:21,684
They travel in schools of millions and
263
00:21:21,851 --> 00:21:23,853
are very sensitive to water temperature.
264
00:21:25,021 --> 00:21:27,590
A rise in temperature of even half a degree
265
00:21:27,757 --> 00:21:29,926
hinders their ability to reproduce,
266
00:21:30,126 --> 00:21:32,395
seriously impacting the penguins here.
267
00:21:33,429 --> 00:21:35,899
Compounding this problem is that more whales
268
00:21:36,065 --> 00:21:38,835
are entering these waters now
that they have become warmer.
269
00:21:39,936 --> 00:21:43,373
In one gulp,
these whales can consume a quantity of krill
270
00:21:43,540 --> 00:21:46,509
that would otherwise feed 2,000 penguins.
271
00:21:46,976 --> 00:21:48,812
If the krill move out of the area entirely,
272
00:21:48,978 --> 00:21:50,880
these penguins will have to find
another food source
273
00:21:51,047 --> 00:21:52,415
and most of them won't be able to.
274
00:21:52,949 --> 00:21:56,085
When krill's available all of the species
of smaller penguins here
275
00:21:56,252 --> 00:21:58,688
the Adelie, the Chinstrap and the Gentoo
276
00:21:58,855 --> 00:22:00,523
will eat them almost exclusively.
277
00:22:00,690 --> 00:22:02,926
It's only when the krill is in diminishing numbers
278
00:22:03,092 --> 00:22:05,028
that they would turn to other species.
279
00:22:07,096 --> 00:22:07,564
Well, if there's no food,
280
00:22:07,730 --> 00:22:09,566
there's no birds, pretty simple.
281
00:22:09,732 --> 00:22:11,701
As the food resources change,
282
00:22:12,268 --> 00:22:15,305
it's only the species that are able to adapt
that are going to survive.
283
00:22:15,471 --> 00:22:16,806
The other species, such as the Adelie,
284
00:22:16,973 --> 00:22:18,808
the Emperor, will have to either stay south
285
00:22:18,975 --> 00:22:20,810
or move south into the colder waters
286
00:22:20,977 --> 00:22:22,779
and try to catch the krill that are still there.
287
00:22:48,338 --> 00:22:49,806
Over the past 25 years,
288
00:22:49,973 --> 00:22:53,443
the population of the Adelie penguins here
in the Antarctic Peninsula
289
00:22:53,610 --> 00:22:55,178
has dropped by 50 per cent,
290
00:22:55,378 --> 00:22:56,679
while the Chinstrap numbers
291
00:22:56,846 --> 00:22:59,449
have fallen by as much as 65 per cent,
292
00:22:59,949 --> 00:23:02,452
but the most noticeable relocation recently
293
00:23:02,619 --> 00:23:04,220
has been among the Gentoos.
294
00:23:08,691 --> 00:23:09,893
The biggest change that's occurred here
295
00:23:10,059 --> 00:23:11,261
is the movement of the Gentoo.
296
00:23:11,427 --> 00:23:12,061
They're moving further south.
297
00:23:12,228 --> 00:23:13,997
They're moving south in greater numbers.
298
00:23:14,163 --> 00:23:15,765
They're moving higher up onto the slopes.
299
00:23:15,932 --> 00:23:17,333
When you have small numbers of them,
300
00:23:17,533 --> 00:23:19,369
they will nest in near-shore areas.
301
00:23:19,535 --> 00:23:22,438
As the population increases
in a preferred nesting locale,
302
00:23:22,605 --> 00:23:23,473
they'll move upslope.
303
00:23:23,640 --> 00:23:25,174
So we have the penguins behind me.
304
00:23:25,341 --> 00:23:27,277
We have penguins on a higher slope to the right,
305
00:23:27,443 --> 00:23:30,680
and then sometimes we'll get penguins
even higher up on the slope behind.
306
00:23:39,889 --> 00:23:42,158
So while it looks as though the Gentoo is poised
307
00:23:42,325 --> 00:23:44,727
to take over the warming west coast of Antarctica,
308
00:23:45,428 --> 00:23:46,596
the retreating penguin species
309
00:23:46,763 --> 00:23:49,465
are moving to the colder climates down the coast,
310
00:23:50,166 --> 00:23:51,801
and individual penguins have begun
311
00:23:51,968 --> 00:23:54,270
wandering off to certain death
312
00:23:55,271 --> 00:23:58,741
a phenomenon only recently observed
in the past five years.
313
00:23:59,742 --> 00:24:01,811
Viewed by many as "suicide marches",
314
00:24:02,145 --> 00:24:04,681
lone penguins have been observed
to leave their colony,
315
00:24:05,148 --> 00:24:06,482
walk away from the sea,
316
00:24:06,683 --> 00:24:09,919
and venture deep into the continent,
never to return.
317
00:24:11,487 --> 00:24:13,489
Penguin scientist Dr. David Ainley
318
00:24:13,690 --> 00:24:16,492
has been studying penguin behavior for 40 years,
319
00:24:16,726 --> 00:24:18,895
most of those years in the field in Antarctica.
320
00:24:19,662 --> 00:24:22,632
His theory is that
these so-called suicidal penguins
321
00:24:22,899 --> 00:24:26,936
are actually pioneers, a kind of "noble explorer"
322
00:24:27,170 --> 00:24:28,237
who ventures out on his own
323
00:24:28,404 --> 00:24:30,106
to find a new home for his colony.
324
00:24:31,040 --> 00:24:35,945
We have these individual penguins that purportedly
325
00:24:36,112 --> 00:24:42,852
are committing suicide by walking away
from the sea,
326
00:24:43,152 --> 00:24:46,489
into the interior of the Antarctic,
kind of like Scott did.
327
00:24:47,991 --> 00:24:50,994
When these populations expand,
328
00:24:51,361 --> 00:24:55,598
it's because of pioneers that find new places.
329
00:24:55,865 --> 00:24:57,667
They go off and disappear and nobody hears
330
00:24:57,834 --> 00:25:00,636
about 'em anymore unless
they have good publicists.
331
00:25:09,579 --> 00:25:11,748
This unusual behavior was first noted
332
00:25:11,914 --> 00:25:14,984
when an iceberg measuring 97 nautical miles
333
00:25:15,184 --> 00:25:17,920
came to rest at the shore of
a large penguin colony,
334
00:25:18,321 --> 00:25:20,890
effectively blocking access to their food supply.
335
00:25:23,159 --> 00:25:26,696
So this big iceberg, B15A,
336
00:25:27,263 --> 00:25:29,999
parked itself in the southern Ross Sea.
337
00:25:30,767 --> 00:25:35,471
So there was a lot of disoriented penguins
during those five years that essentially
338
00:25:35,638 --> 00:25:39,409
had this 97-mile-long fence
that went across the Ross Sea.
339
00:25:39,809 --> 00:25:41,444
So during those five years,
340
00:25:41,611 --> 00:25:45,248
there was an increase in the numbers
of these penguins
341
00:25:45,415 --> 00:25:48,818
that were really beside themselves
about which way to go
342
00:25:49,085 --> 00:25:51,220
and which would get them
to where they wanted to go.
343
00:25:51,788 --> 00:25:55,658
Several more of these penguins
that were going the wrong way,
344
00:25:55,958 --> 00:25:59,862
so to speak these would be the heroes
that penguins would write about.
345
00:26:09,038 --> 00:26:11,374
However, without the warming temperatures
346
00:26:11,541 --> 00:26:13,943
that placed giant icebergs in their path,
347
00:26:14,110 --> 00:26:17,613
there would be no heroic penguins
looking for a new home for their tribe.
348
00:26:18,714 --> 00:26:20,283
Suicide missions aside,
349
00:26:20,550 --> 00:26:25,188
the relocation of penguin populations is
taking a significant toll on their numbers.
350
00:26:29,292 --> 00:26:31,994
As well, global warming and the ozone hole
351
00:26:32,261 --> 00:26:35,832
have combined to threaten penguin populations
across the continent
352
00:26:36,032 --> 00:26:38,334
and may very well cause their extinction.
353
00:26:54,717 --> 00:26:56,385
For many penguin species,
354
00:26:56,552 --> 00:26:59,856
warming temperatures have reduced
the size of ice floes upon
355
00:27:00,022 --> 00:27:03,059
which species such as the Emperor penguin
hatch their young.
356
00:27:04,927 --> 00:27:06,362
Combined with the increased winds
357
00:27:06,529 --> 00:27:08,464
resulting from the ozone hole,
358
00:27:08,998 --> 00:27:10,533
entire colonies of baby chicks
359
00:27:10,700 --> 00:27:13,302
are being blown off the ice to certain death.
360
00:27:16,172 --> 00:27:20,042
But as is being shown at Point Geologie,
361
00:27:21,110 --> 00:27:26,015
that colony has decreased by 50 per cent
since the mid-70s
362
00:27:26,749 --> 00:27:34,090
and partially it is related to the fact
that the fast ice is too thin
363
00:27:34,257 --> 00:27:36,492
and so it gets blown out repeatedly.
364
00:27:37,126 --> 00:27:42,865
And many eggs and chicks are blown away
on the ice with parents sitting on them.
365
00:27:43,032 --> 00:27:43,733
It's okay with the parents,
366
00:27:43,900 --> 00:27:45,468
you know they're used to water
367
00:27:45,635 --> 00:27:49,205
but this is happening with greater frequency.
368
00:28:11,827 --> 00:28:13,829
Also occurring with greater frequency
369
00:28:13,996 --> 00:28:18,067
is an extended period of dependency
by young penguins on their parents for food.
370
00:28:19,001 --> 00:28:21,737
Young Gentoos such as this one have usually begun
371
00:28:21,904 --> 00:28:23,906
to collect food for themselves by now.
372
00:28:24,407 --> 00:28:25,808
Yet more and more of these penguins
373
00:28:25,975 --> 00:28:28,311
have been observed to be relying on their parents.
374
00:28:28,945 --> 00:28:30,680
Penguins far beyond the age of nestling
375
00:28:30,846 --> 00:28:33,149
are having trouble "leaving the nest" as it were,
376
00:28:33,549 --> 00:28:36,152
perhaps afraid to face
the relatively bleak prospects
377
00:28:36,319 --> 00:28:38,154
of their diminishing food supplies.
378
00:28:49,699 --> 00:28:51,734
Failed mating attempts, such as this one,
379
00:28:51,901 --> 00:28:54,503
have been observed more and more
in the past five years,
380
00:28:54,704 --> 00:28:57,473
suggesting the birds
are becoming more disoriented,
381
00:28:58,174 --> 00:29:02,979
perhaps another result of their difficulty in
adapting to the rapidly changing environment.
382
00:29:20,463 --> 00:29:21,897
Another cause for concern,
383
00:29:22,064 --> 00:29:23,899
especially among the younger penguins,
384
00:29:24,267 --> 00:29:26,936
is the increase in attacks from a predatory bird
385
00:29:27,103 --> 00:29:28,638
known as the skua.
386
00:29:34,777 --> 00:29:37,813
Usually, these birds attack
only the eggs of penguins,
387
00:29:38,214 --> 00:29:40,416
but as the number of eggs has been reduced,
388
00:29:40,683 --> 00:29:43,352
the skua has now become a predator of baby chicks.
389
00:29:53,362 --> 00:29:57,233
And since these birds prefer a warmer climate
and a rocky shore to live on,
390
00:29:57,466 --> 00:29:59,635
more of them are entering the peninsula area,
391
00:29:59,969 --> 00:30:01,904
providing the remaining penguin populations
392
00:30:02,071 --> 00:30:04,874
something they are not used to - a predator.
393
00:30:14,717 --> 00:30:16,686
While the warmer climate in Antarctica
394
00:30:16,852 --> 00:30:20,623
is impacting on the survival of
the once plentiful penguin populations...
395
00:30:23,426 --> 00:30:25,261
...the increased temperatures
are also resulting
396
00:30:25,428 --> 00:30:30,399
in the decline of Antarctica's
only indigenous land animal the common fly.
397
00:30:33,069 --> 00:30:37,239
Okay, what we've been looking at here are little,
tiny terrestrial invertebrates
398
00:30:37,406 --> 00:30:41,711
that are the main animal fauna
on the Antarctic Peninsula.
399
00:30:42,244 --> 00:30:45,715
They're virtually the only fauna
you see in the Antarctic
400
00:30:46,048 --> 00:30:48,484
and what I've been looking at specifically here
is this little fly.
401
00:30:48,651 --> 00:30:51,754
There are only two real flies in Antarctica,
402
00:30:51,921 --> 00:30:52,822
and this is one of them.
403
00:30:53,189 --> 00:30:57,493
It's the largest land animal in Antarctica,
404
00:30:57,660 --> 00:31:00,329
and if you're lucky, it's about 4 or 5 mm long
405
00:31:00,496 --> 00:31:02,298
and about half a milligram in weight
406
00:31:02,465 --> 00:31:08,604
so it's a, a really rather, a small,
cute little insect basically.
407
00:31:08,771 --> 00:31:10,039
It's a fly without any wings.
408
00:31:10,206 --> 00:31:11,474
The Antarctic Peninsula,
409
00:31:11,640 --> 00:31:16,045
it's one of the three fastest warming parts
of the planet at the moment.
410
00:31:16,212 --> 00:31:19,048
And these little invertebrates
and in their distributions
411
00:31:19,215 --> 00:31:21,784
are potentially sensitive to these changes.
412
00:31:21,951 --> 00:31:25,254
So if it gets warmer, as it is doing,
413
00:31:25,421 --> 00:31:27,590
they can carry out their lifecycle quicker.
414
00:31:29,058 --> 00:31:31,127
What this means is they die faster.
415
00:31:35,598 --> 00:31:37,666
The warmer habitat here can be deadly.
416
00:31:39,835 --> 00:31:41,303
The barren rock now being exposed
417
00:31:41,470 --> 00:31:43,806
by melting ice is very dry,
418
00:31:44,106 --> 00:31:45,775
depriving the creatures of water.
419
00:31:47,576 --> 00:31:49,779
It doesn't have very good water-holding capacity.
420
00:31:50,279 --> 00:31:53,749
If you warm it up, and particularly
if you have increased amounts of sunshine,
421
00:31:53,916 --> 00:31:55,284
direct sunshine landing on it,
422
00:31:55,451 --> 00:31:57,620
it actually dries out more quickly,
423
00:31:57,887 --> 00:32:00,189
so you actually may end up with a warmer habitat
424
00:32:00,389 --> 00:32:02,358
but one in which there's no water available.
425
00:32:02,691 --> 00:32:04,160
Now that combination of effects
426
00:32:04,326 --> 00:32:06,996
is actually then negative
on these little invertebrates.
427
00:32:12,501 --> 00:32:17,139
And while warming temperatures are creating
deadly environments for Antarctica's land animals,
428
00:32:18,174 --> 00:32:22,144
the warmer waters are having the same effect
for Antarctica's marine life.
429
00:32:36,125 --> 00:32:37,893
Laura Grange is a marine biologist
430
00:32:38,060 --> 00:32:41,931
working with the British Antarctic Survey
at their Rothera Research Station.
431
00:32:42,398 --> 00:32:46,869
She tells us that an anticipated increase of
only two degrees in water temperature
432
00:32:47,036 --> 00:32:50,206
will cause starfish and other marine life
to stop reproducing.
433
00:32:51,340 --> 00:32:52,675
This is a starfish.
434
00:32:55,044 --> 00:32:57,046
All these animals were actually collected from
435
00:32:57,213 --> 00:32:59,782
the shallow water
around the Rothera Research Station.
436
00:32:59,949 --> 00:33:01,951
And they're all collected by scuba-diving.
437
00:33:02,117 --> 00:33:03,686
And it's also incredibly colourful
438
00:33:03,886 --> 00:33:05,888
which is easily shown on this starfish.
439
00:33:07,323 --> 00:33:09,391
We collect them directly from outside
440
00:33:09,558 --> 00:33:12,761
and then we bring them in to carry out
various experiments on them.
441
00:33:12,995 --> 00:33:16,465
I'm actually looking at their
breeding success from year to year.
442
00:33:16,866 --> 00:33:18,000
They're also very important
443
00:33:18,167 --> 00:33:20,536
because they're very sensitive
to temperature change.
444
00:33:20,703 --> 00:33:22,705
Many scientists have actually predicted
445
00:33:22,872 --> 00:33:25,074
that there will possibly
be a global temperature change
446
00:33:25,241 --> 00:33:27,643
of two degrees within the next 100 years.
447
00:33:29,445 --> 00:33:31,814
Well, these animals, in particular,
are very susceptible
448
00:33:31,981 --> 00:33:34,216
or very sensitive to changes in temperature.
449
00:33:34,450 --> 00:33:36,285
And therefore, because of this predicted change,
450
00:33:36,452 --> 00:33:38,521
both regionally but also globally,
451
00:33:38,687 --> 00:33:41,156
it's very unlikely that they won't be affected.
452
00:33:41,323 --> 00:33:43,125
And in my case, for my work,
453
00:33:43,325 --> 00:33:44,560
if they're not able to breed,
454
00:33:44,727 --> 00:33:46,595
obviously they won't be able to survive.
455
00:34:09,385 --> 00:34:11,120
And while global warming in Antarctica
456
00:34:11,287 --> 00:34:13,789
seems to be a significant threat to its fauna,
457
00:34:14,356 --> 00:34:16,859
the flora seems to be experiencing a genesis...
458
00:34:17,126 --> 00:34:18,894
in what is commonly referred to
459
00:34:19,061 --> 00:34:20,596
as the world's largest desert.
460
00:34:26,936 --> 00:34:30,005
Daniella Rubling,
a sub-Antarctic botany researcher,
461
00:34:30,272 --> 00:34:31,774
describes a new vegetation here
462
00:34:31,941 --> 00:34:33,375
that she has not seen before.
463
00:34:35,578 --> 00:34:39,848
It looks to be a combination of moss-type plant...
464
00:34:40,015 --> 00:34:42,318
as well as potentially some algae as well
465
00:34:42,484 --> 00:34:44,820
but basically chlorophyllic species
466
00:34:44,987 --> 00:34:49,191
that do use photosynthesis in order
to produce their food,
467
00:34:49,358 --> 00:34:51,727
and to produce, to grow and to survive.
468
00:34:52,695 --> 00:34:55,931
And it's very interesting to see it
in this type of area
469
00:34:56,098 --> 00:34:58,300
because most of the time,
470
00:34:58,867 --> 00:35:00,736
these islands are covered by snow.
471
00:35:00,903 --> 00:35:01,870
They're covered by ice.
472
00:35:02,037 --> 00:35:03,505
They don't see light.
473
00:35:03,806 --> 00:35:08,410
And so to see greenery in an area
that has always been considered to be a desert,
474
00:35:08,711 --> 00:35:10,145
it's very interesting and exciting
475
00:35:10,312 --> 00:35:13,215
to see new life growing in places
476
00:35:13,382 --> 00:35:15,250
where it has never been previously.
477
00:35:17,987 --> 00:35:21,857
But perhaps the biggest mystery
of the "greening of Antarctica" is
478
00:35:22,024 --> 00:35:24,026
where this new life came from.
479
00:35:24,360 --> 00:35:27,730
Was it always here,
lying dormant in the rocky soil?
480
00:35:28,130 --> 00:35:30,699
Or was it brought here by birds or winds?
481
00:35:32,301 --> 00:35:35,371
Well I mean the seeds or spores of these plants
482
00:35:35,537 --> 00:35:37,640
may have been carried in by winds.
483
00:35:37,806 --> 00:35:40,309
This may have been occurring for hundreds of years
484
00:35:40,476 --> 00:35:42,444
but because it's been covered in snow,
485
00:35:43,312 --> 00:35:46,281
these plants have not been able
to establish themselves.
486
00:35:46,448 --> 00:35:49,451
Whereas now, once you get exposure of rock,
487
00:35:49,652 --> 00:35:51,553
you get soil deposition,
488
00:35:51,720 --> 00:35:54,790
allowing these seeds or spores
to establish themselves
489
00:35:54,957 --> 00:35:57,359
and grow in areas where they would
never have been before.
490
00:36:02,164 --> 00:36:03,599
And does it stop there?
491
00:36:05,367 --> 00:36:09,271
Is this possibly the beginning of
an entirely new eco-system?
492
00:36:11,440 --> 00:36:12,641
This type of vegetation,
493
00:36:12,808 --> 00:36:17,146
it can serve as both food supply for animals
494
00:36:17,312 --> 00:36:21,283
that need to convert the plant material
into energy for themselves,
495
00:36:21,450 --> 00:36:23,085
but also in and amongst you can see
496
00:36:23,252 --> 00:36:26,655
that it could also provide shelter
or protection for animals
497
00:36:26,822 --> 00:36:28,624
as well or for smaller invertebrates.
498
00:36:28,791 --> 00:36:31,460
I mean the possibilities are,
499
00:36:31,960 --> 00:36:33,562
are for more life to grow
500
00:36:33,729 --> 00:36:36,532
and for more species to find their way here
501
00:36:36,699 --> 00:36:38,333
and establish themselves as well.
502
00:36:44,873 --> 00:36:48,310
But in order to predict how severe climate change
will affect this continent and,
503
00:36:48,477 --> 00:36:50,512
by extension, the rest of the world,
504
00:36:50,846 --> 00:36:53,115
a series of measurements
and data recordings is done
505
00:36:53,282 --> 00:36:56,652
on a daily basis by devoted
scientists the world over
506
00:36:56,852 --> 00:36:59,421
in what is often a thankless, yet essential, job.
507
00:37:03,425 --> 00:37:05,160
Recording temperatures from the past,
508
00:37:05,327 --> 00:37:07,329
and projecting a tendency to continue,
509
00:37:07,496 --> 00:37:10,099
is not a very reliable method of forecast
510
00:37:10,265 --> 00:37:14,436
given the wildly changing atmospheric
and meteorological conditions here.
511
00:37:28,984 --> 00:37:31,520
What was different last night, I don't know.
512
00:37:35,657 --> 00:37:36,525
Okay, down we go!
513
00:37:36,692 --> 00:37:37,826
Okay!
514
00:37:45,768 --> 00:37:48,837
One of the more accurate methods involves
ice core sampling.
515
00:38:02,785 --> 00:38:05,854
Where I'm sitting, the ice is 950 meters thick.
516
00:38:06,155 --> 00:38:08,190
If I drill through all the way
down to the bedrock,
517
00:38:08,490 --> 00:38:11,360
I would have recovered ice spanning
the last 40,000 years.
518
00:38:11,860 --> 00:38:13,529
This is quite an important period.
519
00:38:13,695 --> 00:38:14,930
Forty thousand years ago,
520
00:38:15,097 --> 00:38:16,465
the earth was in an ice age.
521
00:38:16,632 --> 00:38:18,100
Today we're in a warm period.
522
00:38:18,333 --> 00:38:22,337
By analyzing the record of the climate
from the bottom of the core to the top,
523
00:38:22,504 --> 00:38:26,208
I will be able to see how we moved
from a cold period into a warm period
524
00:38:26,375 --> 00:38:27,242
and this helps us understand
525
00:38:27,409 --> 00:38:30,412
how we expect the climate to change
over the next hundred years.
526
00:38:41,890 --> 00:38:44,593
That's a nice piece of core about 2 meters long,
527
00:38:45,227 --> 00:38:48,397
and round about here is 500 meters
depth from the surface,
528
00:38:48,664 --> 00:38:52,367
and that's ice that fell as snow about
5,800 years ago.
529
00:38:55,470 --> 00:38:58,307
Many things in the atmosphere change
from summer to winter
530
00:38:58,707 --> 00:39:01,210
and we can see this in the ice cores
when we analyze them.
531
00:39:01,443 --> 00:39:03,011
So when we plot out our results,
532
00:39:03,178 --> 00:39:05,714
we see a series of waves going down the ice
533
00:39:05,948 --> 00:39:08,684
and these are summer, winter, summer, winter.
534
00:39:08,917 --> 00:39:10,586
So we can simply count the layers
535
00:39:10,752 --> 00:39:12,254
just like counting tree rings.
536
00:39:23,699 --> 00:39:26,101
Once we get the 2-meter ice core
back to the surface
537
00:39:26,268 --> 00:39:28,270
and we've packed it into insulated boxes,
538
00:39:28,437 --> 00:39:33,408
and then it's shipped by small aircraft
back to one of our coastal stations - Hailey Bay -
539
00:39:33,876 --> 00:39:35,544
where it's loaded onto one of our ships,
540
00:39:35,777 --> 00:39:38,714
and is shipped back to Europe
in a refrigerated container.
541
00:39:49,091 --> 00:39:50,092
Once it gets back to Europe,
542
00:39:50,259 --> 00:39:51,894
we cut it into much smaller pieces
543
00:39:52,127 --> 00:39:55,731
and send each of these pieces out to
different laboratories for different analyses
544
00:39:55,898 --> 00:39:59,668
to try to understand all the things that are
happening in the climate and the atmosphere.
545
00:40:03,805 --> 00:40:04,907
This study has shown
546
00:40:05,073 --> 00:40:08,210
that the increase of greenhouse gases
found in the air bubbles
547
00:40:08,410 --> 00:40:11,847
is directly proportionate to the increase
in size of the ozone hole.
548
00:40:28,030 --> 00:40:29,698
And what if the hole gets bigger?
549
00:40:30,365 --> 00:40:35,103
How many lives might be at risk
as a result of the cancer-inducing UV rays?
550
00:40:42,678 --> 00:40:43,912
One of the most important areas
551
00:40:44,079 --> 00:40:47,282
of study in Antarctica today is the ozone hole.
552
00:40:48,016 --> 00:40:51,119
As its regularly increasing size
approaches human habitats,
553
00:40:51,286 --> 00:40:52,321
such as New Zealand,
554
00:40:52,754 --> 00:40:55,223
the related increase in cases of skin cancer
555
00:40:55,390 --> 00:40:57,859
has made ozone study a high priority.
556
00:41:13,041 --> 00:41:14,276
At Vernadsky Station,
557
00:41:14,609 --> 00:41:16,845
ozone scientist Igor Gvodzdovskyy
558
00:41:17,045 --> 00:41:18,780
keeps a daily vigil of recording ozone
559
00:41:18,947 --> 00:41:21,016
readings every three hours.
560
00:41:27,589 --> 00:41:30,959
To do this,
he uses a Dobson Ozone Spectrophotometer,
561
00:41:31,860 --> 00:41:35,597
an instrument used by the British Antarctic Survey
to study the Ozone Hole.
562
00:41:40,035 --> 00:41:43,305
The hole was discovered in 1985
by Dr. Jonathan Shanklin,
563
00:41:43,538 --> 00:41:44,873
using this very device.
564
00:41:45,874 --> 00:41:47,909
Well this sort of white box
565
00:41:48,076 --> 00:41:51,346
that we've got in front of us
is the Dobson Ozone Spectrophotometer.
566
00:41:52,014 --> 00:41:55,917
And as you might guess from the fact
that it's got ozone in its name,
567
00:41:56,084 --> 00:41:58,253
it's for measuring ozone
in the atmosphere above us.
568
00:41:58,754 --> 00:42:00,422
And we can see on the top of the instrument
569
00:42:00,655 --> 00:42:04,192
this black tube with a prism at the top,
570
00:42:04,393 --> 00:42:08,930
and that allows us to direct a beam of sunlight
into the instrument.
571
00:42:09,164 --> 00:42:11,767
Now this sunlight has come through
the earth's atmosphere,
572
00:42:11,933 --> 00:42:13,368
through the ozone layer,
573
00:42:13,568 --> 00:42:15,070
and it's slightly changed that beam,
574
00:42:15,237 --> 00:42:17,305
particularly in the ultraviolet part
of the spectrum.
575
00:42:17,572 --> 00:42:19,441
And what we do inside the instrument
576
00:42:19,708 --> 00:42:21,543
is select out those wavelengths,
577
00:42:21,710 --> 00:42:25,781
or parts of the ultraviolet spectrum,
that have been affected by the ozone.
578
00:42:25,947 --> 00:42:29,117
And by looking at the ratio of intensity
of two wavelengths,
579
00:42:29,284 --> 00:42:32,120
we can look at how much ozone was in the path
580
00:42:32,621 --> 00:42:34,589
from the instrument to the sun.
581
00:42:35,323 --> 00:42:39,795
And the observer would make some adjustments
on the levers
582
00:42:39,961 --> 00:42:42,964
and the dial to either select the wavelength,
583
00:42:43,131 --> 00:42:45,967
or to find out what the absorption was.
584
00:42:46,268 --> 00:42:49,204
So it's essentially a very simple design,
585
00:42:50,005 --> 00:42:54,276
designed by an Oxford professor
of physics in the 1920s,
586
00:42:54,443 --> 00:42:58,413
and it's still the world standard
for measuring ozone from the ground.
587
00:43:04,453 --> 00:43:07,089
Measurements recorded here on Galindez Island
588
00:43:07,255 --> 00:43:09,758
detail the amount of ozone in the atmosphere.
589
00:43:11,226 --> 00:43:15,163
Recent measurements have ranged
from 270 to 300 Dobsons
590
00:43:15,430 --> 00:43:16,798
and this is good news!
591
00:43:17,432 --> 00:43:19,367
A measurement of 260 or less
592
00:43:19,534 --> 00:43:21,703
is dangerous for people and animals.
593
00:43:28,143 --> 00:43:31,213
This allows all wavelengths
of ultra-violet rays through,
594
00:43:31,580 --> 00:43:33,849
burning unprotected skin in five minutes
595
00:43:34,015 --> 00:43:36,318
and blinding Antarctica's land animals.
596
00:43:38,587 --> 00:43:40,288
This Weddell Seal, for example,
597
00:43:40,455 --> 00:43:42,290
has been blinded by UV rays
598
00:43:42,457 --> 00:43:44,659
and this is becoming an increasing problem.
599
00:43:44,926 --> 00:43:45,827
There seems to be evidence
600
00:43:45,994 --> 00:43:47,796
that the changes in the ozone hole
601
00:43:47,963 --> 00:43:50,599
are having an effect on climate
change here as well.
602
00:43:52,000 --> 00:43:54,102
The changes in the ozone hole
603
00:43:54,736 --> 00:44:00,775
certainly have been driving some of the changes
that we've seen in surface climate.
604
00:44:00,942 --> 00:44:03,278
I think that's now pretty well established
605
00:44:04,012 --> 00:44:08,683
that one of the big changes in Antarctic climate
over the last 30 years
606
00:44:08,850 --> 00:44:13,488
or so has been that the westerly winds
that blow around the continent
607
00:44:13,655 --> 00:44:16,258
have speeded up by maybe 20%.
608
00:44:16,892 --> 00:44:20,395
We now think that a large part of that
609
00:44:20,595 --> 00:44:23,865
is due to the reduction of ozone
in the stratosphere.
610
00:44:33,708 --> 00:44:37,379
Since its discovery in 1985
by Dr. Jonathan Shanklin,
611
00:44:37,546 --> 00:44:39,948
the hole has been getting bigger every week.
612
00:44:40,649 --> 00:44:45,320
Now that it has reached an area
in excess of 25 million square kilometers
613
00:44:45,487 --> 00:44:47,322
the size of North America -
614
00:44:47,756 --> 00:44:50,892
it has, for the very first time, stopped growing.
615
00:44:51,993 --> 00:44:54,829
This year's ozone hole has actually
been quite unusual.
616
00:44:56,331 --> 00:44:58,266
Quite often, it's not a circular thing.
617
00:44:58,433 --> 00:44:59,734
It can be quite elliptical
618
00:44:59,901 --> 00:45:02,671
and sometimes when it's elliptical
it sweeps northwards
619
00:45:02,837 --> 00:45:03,838
over the tip of South America
620
00:45:04,005 --> 00:45:06,074
or the Falkland Islands and South Georgia.
621
00:45:06,908 --> 00:45:09,211
And that can usually happen once every few weeks.
622
00:45:09,377 --> 00:45:10,879
This year, it's only happened once.
623
00:45:11,179 --> 00:45:15,684
The hole has remained very,
very circular and consequently, very stable.
624
00:45:17,786 --> 00:45:20,088
The reason for this, many scientists believe
625
00:45:20,322 --> 00:45:22,023
has been the Montreal Protocol
626
00:45:22,390 --> 00:45:24,626
an urgently created global initiative
627
00:45:24,793 --> 00:45:26,127
to ban the use of gases
628
00:45:26,294 --> 00:45:30,565
that destroy ozone, such as chlorofluorocarbons,
or CFCs.
629
00:45:31,499 --> 00:45:34,836
The treaty was signed on September 16, 1987
630
00:45:35,003 --> 00:45:36,838
by almost all the nations of the world
631
00:45:37,138 --> 00:45:38,840
and the results have made a difference.
632
00:45:39,274 --> 00:45:43,945
Timor-Leste, San Marino and Andorra
633
00:45:44,112 --> 00:45:45,780
are the three that haven't signed up.
634
00:45:46,081 --> 00:45:49,317
Everybody else has signed up
to the basic protocol and it's working!
635
00:45:49,484 --> 00:45:50,819
It's really quite amazing.
636
00:45:50,986 --> 00:45:54,723
The amount of these ozone-destroying substances
in the atmosphere is clearly dropping.
637
00:45:55,490 --> 00:45:58,960
It will take a few years before
638
00:45:59,127 --> 00:46:01,029
what we see at the surface filters through
639
00:46:01,196 --> 00:46:03,064
to the high atmosphere above Antarctica.
640
00:46:03,365 --> 00:46:05,667
But nevertheless I think even in Antarctica
641
00:46:05,834 --> 00:46:10,071
we're starting to see
the amount of ozone-destroying substances go down.
642
00:46:10,338 --> 00:46:12,674
It's a slow process because they're very stable
643
00:46:13,141 --> 00:46:17,178
and it's probably going to be
another decade before
644
00:46:17,345 --> 00:46:20,048
we can be certain that things
are actually improving,
645
00:46:20,215 --> 00:46:21,049
but we can confidently say
646
00:46:21,216 --> 00:46:22,884
that we're on the right track.
647
00:46:25,954 --> 00:46:30,025
And while Dr. Shanklin believes
in the reduction of our use of CFCs
648
00:46:30,191 --> 00:46:32,927
is the reason why the ozone hole
has stopped growing,
649
00:46:33,395 --> 00:46:35,096
his counterpart in Antarctica,
650
00:46:35,297 --> 00:46:37,932
Igor Gvozdovskyy, has recorded measurements
651
00:46:38,099 --> 00:46:40,969
that suggest the hole is actually shrinking.
652
00:47:05,593 --> 00:47:08,496
The correlation between the world-wide CFC ban
653
00:47:08,663 --> 00:47:10,965
and the reversal of the ozone hole's size
654
00:47:11,132 --> 00:47:13,568
will hopefully encourage
further collective efforts
655
00:47:13,735 --> 00:47:16,805
to help reduce the damage to ourselves
and our planet.
656
00:47:18,540 --> 00:47:22,310
The Montreal Protocol together with
the signing of the Antarctica Treaty,
657
00:47:22,811 --> 00:47:26,514
have proven to be two unprecedented
international co-operatives
658
00:47:26,681 --> 00:47:28,783
that ended up protecting the Earth's environment.
659
00:47:29,884 --> 00:47:33,521
No territorial disputes, no military presence,
660
00:47:33,722 --> 00:47:35,390
no natural resource mining,
661
00:47:35,757 --> 00:47:37,158
no commercial interests,
662
00:47:37,325 --> 00:47:39,260
no residential land claims.
663
00:47:40,295 --> 00:47:43,064
Antarctica is unique in so many ways.
664
00:47:43,631 --> 00:47:45,767
It is the driest, windiest,
665
00:47:46,000 --> 00:47:48,403
highest and coldest continent on Earth.
666
00:47:51,139 --> 00:47:52,607
We can now add to that list
667
00:47:52,807 --> 00:47:54,576
that it is the only place on Earth
668
00:47:54,743 --> 00:47:56,911
where the world has come together in peace
669
00:47:57,078 --> 00:47:58,947
to effect environmental change
670
00:47:59,114 --> 00:48:00,882
for the betterment of all life.
671
00:48:11,426 --> 00:48:15,063
No matter how insurmountable
the environmental crisis may seem to be,
672
00:48:15,497 --> 00:48:18,600
we have proven that with
an internationally united effort,
673
00:48:18,833 --> 00:48:21,035
we can answer the call to any challenge,
674
00:48:24,005 --> 00:48:26,040
even The Antarctica Challenge.
675
00:50:13,281 --> 00:50:16,251
There's no denying the effects
of global warming on our planet.
676
00:50:16,417 --> 00:50:17,285
Countries around the world...
677
00:50:17,452 --> 00:50:20,088
have been experiencing record
temperatures for years,
678
00:50:20,355 --> 00:50:23,391
but none more pronounced than
right here in Antarctica.
679
00:50:24,058 --> 00:50:26,160
I'm standing in beautiful Neko Harbour here
680
00:50:26,661 --> 00:50:31,132
where the temperatures have increased hugely
in the past five years.
681
00:50:32,066 --> 00:50:34,502
Five years ago the idea of swimming in Antarctica
682
00:50:34,669 --> 00:50:37,338
was not only ludicrous but actually impossible
683
00:50:37,539 --> 00:50:39,841
because most of the shoreline water was frozen.
684
00:50:40,341 --> 00:50:42,744
However, as you can see over my shoulder,
685
00:50:44,612 --> 00:50:45,780
the water is not frozen.
686
00:50:46,381 --> 00:50:50,184
And the temperature today is
a balmy eight degrees Celsius
687
00:50:50,919 --> 00:50:55,757
and to me, that sounds like
a good temperature for a swim.
688
00:50:57,025 --> 00:50:58,092
So here I go.
689
00:51:07,402 --> 00:51:08,803
Okay, we'll see you in a bit!
690
00:51:43,204 --> 00:51:44,372
So there you have it -
691
00:51:44,539 --> 00:51:47,108
swimming, Antarctica's newest sport!
55588
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