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These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:00,120 --> 00:00:04,500 all right hello everyone hope you're 2 00:00:02,100 --> 00:00:08,160 doing all right welcome back to this new 3 00:00:04,500 --> 00:00:10,679 video now we are slowly starting to get 4 00:00:08,160 --> 00:00:12,780 into the more advanced stuff and I'm 5 00:00:10,679 --> 00:00:15,960 absolutely loving it I'm very excited 6 00:00:12,780 --> 00:00:18,300 for it so in the previous seven episodes 7 00:00:15,960 --> 00:00:20,820 so the first seven episodes that you 8 00:00:18,300 --> 00:00:24,000 watched on the A to Z guide 9 00:00:20,820 --> 00:00:26,820 they were touching on PD erase so that 10 00:00:24,000 --> 00:00:28,920 is premium erase and discount arrays so 11 00:00:26,820 --> 00:00:31,199 either bullish arrays or bearish arrays 12 00:00:28,920 --> 00:00:33,480 and these BD rays are where price can 13 00:00:31,199 --> 00:00:35,880 reject off of where price can 14 00:00:33,480 --> 00:00:39,120 potentially push a higher from or push 15 00:00:35,880 --> 00:00:42,540 lower from so these PD Rays what that 16 00:00:39,120 --> 00:00:45,059 creates is a PD array Matrix now 17 00:00:42,540 --> 00:00:47,579 obviously that's just a very fancy word 18 00:00:45,059 --> 00:00:50,460 and I'm going to dive into price and 19 00:00:47,579 --> 00:00:52,020 show you exactly what that is ETC now in 20 00:00:50,460 --> 00:00:55,739 the top right you can probably tell 21 00:00:52,020 --> 00:00:59,520 there is flood and there is lot that is 22 00:00:55,739 --> 00:01:03,059 first line of defense and last line of 23 00:00:59,520 --> 00:01:05,760 defense so if we take a look at this 24 00:01:03,059 --> 00:01:08,340 price action lag right here 25 00:01:05,760 --> 00:01:11,460 we have a swing high right here and a 26 00:01:08,340 --> 00:01:14,520 swing low right there dead in itself so 27 00:01:11,460 --> 00:01:15,960 this right here is a price action lag 28 00:01:14,520 --> 00:01:18,360 that is a price action lack we are 29 00:01:15,960 --> 00:01:20,159 focusing on right now again swing High 30 00:01:18,360 --> 00:01:22,979 swing low is something we will get into 31 00:01:20,159 --> 00:01:25,920 don't worry just keep in mind that this 32 00:01:22,979 --> 00:01:28,560 is a price action lag inside that price 33 00:01:25,920 --> 00:01:31,740 action lag inside that price action lag 34 00:01:28,560 --> 00:01:34,860 we are scouting in this case obviously 35 00:01:31,740 --> 00:01:37,140 also with the help of hindsight we are 36 00:01:34,860 --> 00:01:41,100 looking at bearish prices so we are 37 00:01:37,140 --> 00:01:43,920 scouting for all premium arrays so 38 00:01:41,100 --> 00:01:46,560 please do me a favor and go over all the 39 00:01:43,920 --> 00:01:47,700 premium Rays inside that price action 40 00:01:46,560 --> 00:01:50,100 lag 41 00:01:47,700 --> 00:01:53,280 there is verify Gap right there 42 00:01:50,100 --> 00:01:56,280 overlapping with this order block then 43 00:01:53,280 --> 00:02:00,659 we have this River Gap but there is also 44 00:01:56,280 --> 00:02:02,880 a BPR and then the last one is 45 00:02:00,659 --> 00:02:03,720 that high and that high is a liquidity 46 00:02:02,880 --> 00:02:08,220 pool 47 00:02:03,720 --> 00:02:09,899 so in this case we have a first line of 48 00:02:08,220 --> 00:02:11,220 defense what is our first line of 49 00:02:09,899 --> 00:02:13,920 defense here 50 00:02:11,220 --> 00:02:16,260 Dead Further Gap overlapping with that 51 00:02:13,920 --> 00:02:18,480 order block that is our first line of 52 00:02:16,260 --> 00:02:20,879 defense now we can even argue of course 53 00:02:18,480 --> 00:02:22,200 at the absolute first line of defense 54 00:02:20,879 --> 00:02:24,000 right here is this fair value Gap 55 00:02:22,200 --> 00:02:27,180 because the order block line is a little 56 00:02:24,000 --> 00:02:29,819 bit higher as you can see right there 57 00:02:27,180 --> 00:02:30,540 and then the last line of defense is 58 00:02:29,819 --> 00:02:33,180 what 59 00:02:30,540 --> 00:02:36,120 that high 60 00:02:33,180 --> 00:02:38,520 so when we have a retracement and we can 61 00:02:36,120 --> 00:02:42,660 see the retracement is happening right 62 00:02:38,520 --> 00:02:47,280 there when we have that retracement one 63 00:02:42,660 --> 00:02:49,019 of those PD arrays should hold so right 64 00:02:47,280 --> 00:02:52,379 there we have a first line of defense 65 00:02:49,019 --> 00:02:54,300 and the last line of defense and that is 66 00:02:52,379 --> 00:02:56,760 very important for you to understand so 67 00:02:54,300 --> 00:03:00,120 if we move on right here we are having a 68 00:02:56,760 --> 00:03:03,120 new price action lag lower we have this 69 00:03:00,120 --> 00:03:05,400 swing High we have this swing low inside 70 00:03:03,120 --> 00:03:08,519 that what do we create 71 00:03:05,400 --> 00:03:10,920 we are creating an order block 72 00:03:08,519 --> 00:03:12,659 right there we are creating a fair value 73 00:03:10,920 --> 00:03:14,760 Gap right there then we have some sort 74 00:03:12,659 --> 00:03:15,720 of rejection block I like the big wick 75 00:03:14,760 --> 00:03:18,659 right there 76 00:03:15,720 --> 00:03:19,500 and then the last line of defense would 77 00:03:18,659 --> 00:03:21,480 be 78 00:03:19,500 --> 00:03:24,120 that high right there 79 00:03:21,480 --> 00:03:26,580 the first line of defense would be dead 80 00:03:24,120 --> 00:03:28,800 that verify again right there 81 00:03:26,580 --> 00:03:33,720 what happens right here 82 00:03:28,800 --> 00:03:36,959 we are disrespecting this last line of 83 00:03:33,720 --> 00:03:39,060 defense so what does that create a new 84 00:03:36,959 --> 00:03:40,860 price action lack something new that we 85 00:03:39,060 --> 00:03:42,659 can work with what is the recent price 86 00:03:40,860 --> 00:03:45,840 action lag right there 87 00:03:42,659 --> 00:03:48,239 swing low swing High what is the first 88 00:03:45,840 --> 00:03:51,659 line of defense 89 00:03:48,239 --> 00:03:54,659 that fair value Gap right there what is 90 00:03:51,659 --> 00:03:58,019 the last line of defense 91 00:03:54,659 --> 00:04:00,780 that a low That Swing Low right there so 92 00:03:58,019 --> 00:04:03,599 ideally we should not come below that 93 00:04:00,780 --> 00:04:06,659 swimming low and again remember the 94 00:04:03,599 --> 00:04:10,260 liquidity pulls we can come below this 95 00:04:06,659 --> 00:04:12,060 low right here but we shouldn't stay 96 00:04:10,260 --> 00:04:14,700 below that low 97 00:04:12,060 --> 00:04:16,440 so that is very important so we have a 98 00:04:14,700 --> 00:04:19,320 first line of defense and we have a last 99 00:04:16,440 --> 00:04:21,840 line of defense obviously inside of that 100 00:04:19,320 --> 00:04:24,000 first line of defense and less line of 101 00:04:21,840 --> 00:04:26,880 defense we have even more discount 102 00:04:24,000 --> 00:04:29,160 arrays as in that high and this or block 103 00:04:26,880 --> 00:04:31,500 as well and that makes it interesting 104 00:04:29,160 --> 00:04:35,280 because then we can get a clearer view 105 00:04:31,500 --> 00:04:37,919 of where price will likely reject off of 106 00:04:35,280 --> 00:04:41,040 because obviously we now have a lot of 107 00:04:37,919 --> 00:04:43,199 PD arrays inside One Price action lag 108 00:04:41,040 --> 00:04:47,220 and I already told you in the previous 109 00:04:43,199 --> 00:04:50,280 videos on where we can expect price to 110 00:04:47,220 --> 00:04:52,560 actually reject off of and we see the 111 00:04:50,280 --> 00:04:55,139 perfect example in this price action lag 112 00:04:52,560 --> 00:04:57,419 and in this price action lag 113 00:04:55,139 --> 00:04:59,580 and even in this price I can lag as well 114 00:04:57,419 --> 00:05:03,479 right whenever there's multiple 115 00:04:59,580 --> 00:05:06,240 overlapping PD rays that is exactly that 116 00:05:03,479 --> 00:05:09,000 is the most beautiful place where we 117 00:05:06,240 --> 00:05:10,020 want to see price reject off of what do 118 00:05:09,000 --> 00:05:13,020 we have here 119 00:05:10,020 --> 00:05:15,900 we have that high and we have this 120 00:05:13,020 --> 00:05:17,220 verify Gap what makes it two PD arrays 121 00:05:15,900 --> 00:05:19,620 two discount race 122 00:05:17,220 --> 00:05:22,740 what do we reject off of here we have 123 00:05:19,620 --> 00:05:24,780 that verify Gap and we have this 124 00:05:22,740 --> 00:05:25,979 overlapping order block what does that 125 00:05:24,780 --> 00:05:27,539 make 126 00:05:25,979 --> 00:05:30,419 premium race 127 00:05:27,539 --> 00:05:32,220 what does this right hair make we have 128 00:05:30,419 --> 00:05:36,240 this first line of defense 129 00:05:32,220 --> 00:05:37,800 but right here we have a verify Gap and 130 00:05:36,240 --> 00:05:42,419 we have 131 00:05:37,800 --> 00:05:45,660 that order block right there 132 00:05:42,419 --> 00:05:48,660 what does that make two discount arrays 133 00:05:45,660 --> 00:05:51,600 and then right there this would be your 134 00:05:48,660 --> 00:05:53,520 last line of defense That Swing Low 135 00:05:51,600 --> 00:05:55,860 and this is your price action lag 136 00:05:53,520 --> 00:05:57,720 obviously swing low to swing high so 137 00:05:55,860 --> 00:06:00,060 whenever the first line of defense is 138 00:05:57,720 --> 00:06:03,060 holding you can probably notice a 139 00:06:00,060 --> 00:06:05,759 certain pattern it is usually nine out 140 00:06:03,060 --> 00:06:07,259 of 10 times it is overlapping so 141 00:06:05,759 --> 00:06:09,780 whenever you see that first line of 142 00:06:07,259 --> 00:06:12,780 defense holding and usually first line 143 00:06:09,780 --> 00:06:14,820 of defense is 9 out of 10 times it is a 144 00:06:12,780 --> 00:06:16,320 fair value Gap and the thing I want you 145 00:06:14,820 --> 00:06:18,419 to focus on 146 00:06:16,320 --> 00:06:21,240 when we have that first line of defense 147 00:06:18,419 --> 00:06:24,180 and it is usually a fair value Gap 148 00:06:21,240 --> 00:06:27,360 is that fair value Gap overlapping with 149 00:06:24,180 --> 00:06:30,000 another premium or discount array 150 00:06:27,360 --> 00:06:32,759 if yes there's a high chance that the 151 00:06:30,000 --> 00:06:35,639 first line of defense will hold if it 152 00:06:32,759 --> 00:06:38,039 doesn't hold we have certain PD arrays 153 00:06:35,639 --> 00:06:40,560 in the middle and then we have that last 154 00:06:38,039 --> 00:06:44,039 line of defense that last line of 155 00:06:40,560 --> 00:06:47,220 defense should not get violated should 156 00:06:44,039 --> 00:06:49,560 not get invalidated alright so if we 157 00:06:47,220 --> 00:06:54,000 take a look at a bit more price action 158 00:06:49,560 --> 00:06:56,759 right here we are having right there we 159 00:06:54,000 --> 00:06:59,580 have an order block and 160 00:06:56,759 --> 00:07:00,539 a fair value Gap right perfectly right 161 00:06:59,580 --> 00:07:03,360 there 162 00:07:00,539 --> 00:07:06,060 right there this high is the first line 163 00:07:03,360 --> 00:07:09,180 of defense right that old high so this 164 00:07:06,060 --> 00:07:10,979 high would be your first line of defense 165 00:07:09,180 --> 00:07:13,139 so in this case it isn't the fair value 166 00:07:10,979 --> 00:07:14,940 Gap but if we take a look just a bit 167 00:07:13,139 --> 00:07:17,400 lower 168 00:07:14,940 --> 00:07:19,860 what do we see we see two discount 169 00:07:17,400 --> 00:07:22,319 arrays overlapping with each other 170 00:07:19,860 --> 00:07:25,139 and that is what I'm trying to tell you 171 00:07:22,319 --> 00:07:26,819 that is what makes it so strong 172 00:07:25,139 --> 00:07:29,240 now what is your last line of defense 173 00:07:26,819 --> 00:07:29,240 right here 174 00:07:29,340 --> 00:07:33,599 dead right there 175 00:07:31,800 --> 00:07:37,080 that is your last line of defense this 176 00:07:33,599 --> 00:07:40,319 load shouldn't get invalidated now 177 00:07:37,080 --> 00:07:43,500 the thing I want you to understand is 178 00:07:40,319 --> 00:07:45,720 we need to think in probabilities so yes 179 00:07:43,500 --> 00:07:47,639 sometimes it might bounce off of a fair 180 00:07:45,720 --> 00:07:50,400 value Gap without an overlapping PD 181 00:07:47,639 --> 00:07:52,620 array yes sometimes it might not even 182 00:07:50,400 --> 00:07:55,259 get into different value Gap and it 183 00:07:52,620 --> 00:07:57,240 might just take off yes sometimes the 184 00:07:55,259 --> 00:07:59,759 last line of defense will get violated 185 00:07:57,240 --> 00:08:03,120 and price will still continue in that 186 00:07:59,759 --> 00:08:07,319 intended direction that we first had and 187 00:08:03,120 --> 00:08:09,479 that is completely normal because this 188 00:08:07,319 --> 00:08:10,680 stuff this trading stuff is not binary 189 00:08:09,479 --> 00:08:13,979 and that's where a lot of people go 190 00:08:10,680 --> 00:08:15,599 wrong they think it is binary they think 191 00:08:13,979 --> 00:08:17,940 when I tell someone it is low 192 00:08:15,599 --> 00:08:20,520 probability conditions that you should 193 00:08:17,940 --> 00:08:22,080 100 lose because low probability 194 00:08:20,520 --> 00:08:24,360 conditions oh you should lose it's 195 00:08:22,080 --> 00:08:25,139 binary and that's absolutely not the 196 00:08:24,360 --> 00:08:27,539 case 197 00:08:25,139 --> 00:08:29,940 trading is probabilities 198 00:08:27,539 --> 00:08:31,860 and when I tell you it is either high 199 00:08:29,940 --> 00:08:34,380 probability or low probability it is 200 00:08:31,860 --> 00:08:36,599 about probabilities it is not binary yes 201 00:08:34,380 --> 00:08:39,419 you can still win in low probability 202 00:08:36,599 --> 00:08:42,240 conditions yes you can still lose in 203 00:08:39,419 --> 00:08:45,779 high probability conditions but the odds 204 00:08:42,240 --> 00:08:48,360 in high probability conditions are way 205 00:08:45,779 --> 00:08:50,399 more in your favor so let's say we have 206 00:08:48,360 --> 00:08:53,339 an 80 win rate 207 00:08:50,399 --> 00:08:56,339 in high probability conditions and we 208 00:08:53,339 --> 00:08:58,560 have a 20 win rate in low probability 209 00:08:56,339 --> 00:09:00,180 conditions yes there is still a chance 210 00:08:58,560 --> 00:09:03,060 that we can win in low probability 211 00:09:00,180 --> 00:09:05,459 conditions but always ask yourself if 212 00:09:03,060 --> 00:09:08,100 you had a million in capital or even 10 213 00:09:05,459 --> 00:09:10,560 million in capital would you risk it on 214 00:09:08,100 --> 00:09:11,519 a day where you know the odds are not in 215 00:09:10,560 --> 00:09:13,860 your favor 216 00:09:11,519 --> 00:09:15,480 and that's the same for those fair value 217 00:09:13,860 --> 00:09:18,779 gaps when these fair value gaps are not 218 00:09:15,480 --> 00:09:21,420 overlapping with another PD array just 219 00:09:18,779 --> 00:09:24,180 know yes they could still play out but 220 00:09:21,420 --> 00:09:26,100 the probabilities are way higher 221 00:09:24,180 --> 00:09:28,500 when you wait for it to come into effect 222 00:09:26,100 --> 00:09:31,680 that is overlapping with another PD 223 00:09:28,500 --> 00:09:32,580 array and that is so crucial for you to 224 00:09:31,680 --> 00:09:35,700 understand 225 00:09:32,580 --> 00:09:37,680 that these these things are not binary 226 00:09:35,700 --> 00:09:40,080 and that's what a lot of people think 227 00:09:37,680 --> 00:09:42,720 and it might seem very obvious what I'm 228 00:09:40,080 --> 00:09:44,880 saying right here but but I've seen so 229 00:09:42,720 --> 00:09:46,440 many people that are trading low 230 00:09:44,880 --> 00:09:48,600 probability conditions and they tell 231 00:09:46,440 --> 00:09:50,399 others oh but I'm winning in low 232 00:09:48,600 --> 00:09:52,920 probability conditions yeah 233 00:09:50,399 --> 00:09:55,019 yes you are getting very lucky the 234 00:09:52,920 --> 00:09:56,940 probabilities are still there's 20 you 235 00:09:55,019 --> 00:09:59,700 can win absolutely 236 00:09:56,940 --> 00:10:01,560 so you just dodged a bullet but if you 237 00:09:59,700 --> 00:10:04,440 do it on the long run 238 00:10:01,560 --> 00:10:07,140 that is likely not going to end very 239 00:10:04,440 --> 00:10:10,080 well and that's the exact same with 240 00:10:07,140 --> 00:10:12,480 overlapping PD arrays etc etc all right 241 00:10:10,080 --> 00:10:15,360 I want you please to study this 242 00:10:12,480 --> 00:10:17,040 study the price action lag study the PD 243 00:10:15,360 --> 00:10:19,860 Ray Matrix the first line of defense 244 00:10:17,040 --> 00:10:22,080 last line of defense and also study what 245 00:10:19,860 --> 00:10:24,779 happens if that last line of defense 246 00:10:22,080 --> 00:10:27,120 does get violated and again remember 247 00:10:24,779 --> 00:10:29,100 right last line of defense yes we can 248 00:10:27,120 --> 00:10:32,040 take a liquidity pool before we move 249 00:10:29,100 --> 00:10:34,620 lower or before we move higher but 250 00:10:32,040 --> 00:10:36,600 there's a certain type of invalidation 251 00:10:34,620 --> 00:10:38,339 and again that's where you're studying 252 00:10:36,600 --> 00:10:41,040 comes in as well and I've mentioned it 253 00:10:38,339 --> 00:10:43,260 as well so study that when does the 254 00:10:41,040 --> 00:10:45,720 first line of defense hold if it doesn't 255 00:10:43,260 --> 00:10:49,200 hold why doesn't it hold 256 00:10:45,720 --> 00:10:52,320 see the probabilities play out then on 257 00:10:49,200 --> 00:10:55,560 Sunday we have a live stream 8 30 a.m 258 00:10:52,320 --> 00:10:56,399 New York local time so feel free to tune 259 00:10:55,560 --> 00:10:59,700 in 260 00:10:56,399 --> 00:11:01,380 and we can just have a little chat and 261 00:10:59,700 --> 00:11:04,380 if I don't see you at the live stream I 262 00:11:01,380 --> 00:11:07,380 will see you on next Tuesday on the next 263 00:11:04,380 --> 00:11:11,339 episode on the A2Z guide alright study 264 00:11:07,380 --> 00:11:13,700 take care and thank you 265 00:11:11,339 --> 00:11:13,700 foreign 266 00:11:21,090 --> 00:11:24,059 [Music]19449

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