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We've been observing the planets
with telescopes
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for hundreds of years and sending
probes out into space for over 50.
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00:00:09,700 --> 00:00:13,060
So you might have thought that
our cosmic neighbourhood would be
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00:00:13,060 --> 00:00:15,100
pretty well explored.
But the truth is,
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we've only just
scratched the surface.
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The reality is
that most of the Solar System
still remains a mystery.
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Once you head out beyond Neptune,
you enter a realm that was,
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until recently,
almost completely unknown.
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Yet we now know that it's full
of extraordinary objects.
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00:00:37,060 --> 00:00:40,220
So tonight we're going to explore
this unknown area.
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00:00:40,220 --> 00:00:43,780
We're going to venture out
into this dark zone.
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Since Pluto's relegation
to dwarf planet status,
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the planets of the Solar System
now end at Neptune.
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And if you think
that all the exciting stuff
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happens between there and the Sun,
you're totally mistaken.
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We now know that that dark realm
beyond Neptune's orbit is filled
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with a vast number
of strange icy bodies.
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And, as we've discovered them
over the last couple of decades,
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it's become clear
that they play a critical role
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in the evolution
of the whole Solar System.
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Tonight, from
the Observatory at Herstmonceux,
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we'll explore the incredible objects
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that we're finding
in the outer Solar System.
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Some are on uniquely
baffling orbits,
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while others spin
surprisingly rapidly.
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And Marcus du Sautoy investigates
the surprising mathematical laws
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that govern these objects, and how
they reveal that our Solar System is
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potentially on the brink
of catastrophic instability.
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This group of strange new worlds
needed a name,
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and we call them
the Trans-Neptunian Objects.
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But to understand the role
they play in the Solar System,
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you really have to see them
in context.
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Let me paint you a picture
of our Solar System.
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At the centre, we have
our local star, the Sun.
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Then, the inner planets.
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Mercury, Venus,
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Earth, which of course we're on,
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and then, a little beyond, Mars.
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Then we move on
to the outer planets.
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Jupiter, Saturn.
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Over here is Uranus.
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And way over here is Neptune.
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4.5 billion kilometres
away from the sun.
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Now, the images of the planets
aren't drawn to scale,
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but the distances from the Sun
are about proportional.
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Except this isn't the outer edge.
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Not by a long way.
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00:03:09,220 --> 00:03:13,020
Because beyond is the realm of
the Trans-Neptunian Objects.
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00:03:14,580 --> 00:03:17,060
Most are in a region
called the Kuiper Belt.
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Pluto, for instance, is here.
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One called Haumea is here.
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Another, called Eris, sits here.
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And some are even further out,
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or in strange orbits outside
the plane of the Solar System.
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The Kuiper Belt alone is huge,
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some 16 billion kilometres wide.
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It forms a flat disc, lying
in the same plane as the planets.
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And within it are hundreds
of thousands of new objects,
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maybe millions.
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Trans-Neptunian Object hunter
Michelle Bannister has been using
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some of the most powerful telescopes
in the world
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to search through this dark zone.
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She tells Chris about some of
her most exciting discoveries.
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Well, the outer Solar System is
a fascinating and interesting place,
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but what's been found recently?
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Well, we've just wrapped up one
of the largest surveys ever made
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of the outer Solar System, and we've
been able to double the number
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of Trans-Neptunian objects orbiting
outside Neptune, that are known,
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that have really well understood
orbits.
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We've been able to discover
more than 800 icy worlds,
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00:04:31,700 --> 00:04:36,100
little objects about 50 to maybe
300 or so kilometres in size,
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00:04:36,100 --> 00:04:38,740
most of them,
that orbit beyond Neptune.
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These are leftover pieces,
planetesimals,
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from the formation and evolution
of the giant planets.
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Just very excited, I've got
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a picture of one of
your discoveries here.
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This goes by the delightful moniker
of 2015RR245.
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So RR245, it's a lot bigger than
some of these others.
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This is bright,
this is really bright,
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and when we found it,
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it's moving across the sky
over three hours
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00:05:02,700 --> 00:05:04,580
in these three images
you see here,
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00:05:04,580 --> 00:05:09,580
really slowly,
and because it's bright and slow,
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that means it has to be
very far away.
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It turns out
it's about 700km across.
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It's one of the 20 largest dwarf
objects in the outer Solar System.
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So, what's a world like this
actually like? What's it made of?
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What would it be like to be there?
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What you probably would see
is a surface of complex ices.
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Definitely water ice.
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On Pluto, we know that
water ice makes mountains.
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So here maybe you'd see terraces
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and small mountains
of some water ice.
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You'd also see
reddish layers on the surface.
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And that's because RR245 is probably
large enough that it has
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some of the complex molecules
that form on icy surfaces over time,
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from hydrocarbon molecules
being bombarded
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by the slow rain of cosmic rays.
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00:05:56,260 --> 00:05:58,780
So, I've got a picture
of one of my favourites.
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This is an artist's impression
of Haumea,
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which is one of the first
to be discovered.
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00:06:03,540 --> 00:06:06,140
Yes, it was discovered back in 2003,
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00:06:06,140 --> 00:06:08,860
and we now know a lot more about
this wonderful icy world,
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this is one of the strangest objects
in the outer Solar System.
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It's shaped in this elongated way,
like a rugby ball,
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cos its spin axis is actually here.
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So it's spinning like this,
and it spins every 3.9 hours or so.
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That's really fast.
These are big things.
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It's one of the fastest things
in the Solar System, spinning, yeah.
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This is spinning so fast
that the solid rock itself
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that makes up most of this object
is actually flowing out,
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and that gives it
this elongated shape.
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How are they arranged?
Some of them are in a flat disc,
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so they have round orbits
that are flat.
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These are probably the ones
that have changed the least
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since the formation of the
Solar System in the Kuiper Belt.
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Then you have ones
where their orbits have been
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dynamically changed,
so they're actually excited,
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00:06:52,460 --> 00:06:55,340
they have tilted orbits
out of the plane of the System.
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Not a whole lot, but, you know,
a few tens of degrees.
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What are the big new discoveries
still lurking out there?
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There's some fun indications that
we could have another dwarf planet
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out beyond Neptune,
that we haven't yet found.
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This could be as big as
a Mars-sized object,
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and this ties into an object
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that was found
about a year and a half ago now,
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by a different survey in Hawaii.
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00:07:16,940 --> 00:07:19,260
And this object,
it actually orbits perpendicular
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00:07:19,260 --> 00:07:21,700
to the plane of the Solar System.
Oh, is it called Niku?
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00:07:21,700 --> 00:07:23,860
It's called Niku.
OK, I was going to talk to you.
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There's Niku in all its glory. Yes!
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I have to say,
it doesn't look like much.
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It's got charisma. All right,
we'll go to the theory.
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00:07:30,060 --> 00:07:31,740
There you go, there's the theory.
135
00:07:31,740 --> 00:07:34,660
We've watched this object move
across the sky for several years,
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00:07:34,660 --> 00:07:37,380
and therefore able to do
the computation of its orbit
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00:07:37,380 --> 00:07:39,100
and show this orbit is strange.
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00:07:39,100 --> 00:07:41,780
So, this is Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus,
Neptune, all in a plane,
139
00:07:41,780 --> 00:07:44,420
and the Earth would be in this plane
as well. Right.
140
00:07:44,420 --> 00:07:48,260
But this object orbits perpendicular
to the plane of the Solar System,
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00:07:48,260 --> 00:07:51,420
and this is a mechanism
that we don't have a clear idea yet
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00:07:51,420 --> 00:07:53,300
of how to form orbits like this.
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00:07:53,300 --> 00:07:55,980
You can make a comet
that goes way out,
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and then comes back in
on such a perpendicular orbit,
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00:07:58,860 --> 00:08:02,100
but making something that's
relatively small and close...
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00:08:02,100 --> 00:08:05,380
This dips in amongst the giant
planets, and then zips out as far as
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00:08:05,380 --> 00:08:08,980
the Kuiper Belt. Except the Kuiper
Belt's over here, it's, you know,
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in a nice, relatively even disc.
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Nothing does this
in the Kuiper Belt.
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00:08:13,700 --> 00:08:16,940
Every time I talk to anyone
who studies the outer Solar System,
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I end up with more questions,
so I hope you find more things,
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I hope you come back
and tell us about them.
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Thank you very much. Thank you.
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The more we peer in
to this dark zone beyond Neptune,
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the more mysteries we discover.
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For most of astronomical history,
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these Trans-Neptunian Objects
have been hidden
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from even the most powerful
telescopes,
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and that's why they've never got
the attention they really deserve.
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But these days,
are they so impossible to spot?
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To find out,
we set Pete Lawrence a challenge -
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to try and see a Trans-Neptunian
Object using amateur equipment.
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I've been given tough challenges
on The Sky At Night before,
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but this one has to be up with
some of the hardest I've ever had.
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These objects are, after all, tiny,
dark and a long, long way away.
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But I've decided
to try and observe Haumea.
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The reason I've chosen
that particular one
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is that it's really well placed
at present.
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It's actually located
just between the midpoint,
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or just south of the midpoint
between the stars
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Arcturus and Muphrid,
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and both of those stars are
in the constellation of Bootes.
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I know the exact position of Haumea
because I've looked it up
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on the JPL Horizons
Ephemeris Generator.
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That's a free online resource.
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And I can tell you, it's pretty
faint, it's about magnitude 17.6,
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which is about 36,000 times fainter
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than the faintest star
you can see with the naked eye.
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To attempt this observation,
I'm using my 130mm telescope,
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with a DSLR camera
and my laptop to process the images.
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00:10:05,380 --> 00:10:09,140
We are trying to capture this
very close to the June Solstice,
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so the sky is still really bright.
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00:10:11,500 --> 00:10:14,020
In fact, the threshold of brightness
is too high, really,
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00:10:14,020 --> 00:10:16,580
to pick out anything really faint.
185
00:10:16,580 --> 00:10:19,620
It's a little bit frustrating
because I'm confident
186
00:10:19,620 --> 00:10:22,940
that under darker skies,
for instance, later in the year,
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I'd be able to make this work.
188
00:10:25,140 --> 00:10:29,060
I did have an inkling this was going
to happen, so a month ago,
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I did dial into a remote telescope
set-up in New Mexico.
190
00:10:35,060 --> 00:10:37,820
This is a commercially available
telescope
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00:10:37,820 --> 00:10:40,420
that anyone can book time with
on the internet.
192
00:10:40,420 --> 00:10:43,700
The one I'm using
is actually smaller than mine,
193
00:10:43,700 --> 00:10:47,900
but the skies in New Mexico
are fantastically dark.
194
00:10:47,900 --> 00:10:49,940
And these are the results.
195
00:10:51,140 --> 00:10:55,260
Well, looking at the New Mexico
results, they're much clearer,
196
00:10:55,260 --> 00:10:59,260
those dark, transparent skies
have really worked for us.
197
00:10:59,260 --> 00:11:03,100
But how am I going to find Haumea
amongst all those stars?
198
00:11:03,100 --> 00:11:05,300
Well, I'm going to use
a classic technique
199
00:11:05,300 --> 00:11:06,940
which is known as the blink method.
200
00:11:08,140 --> 00:11:10,140
So, the blink method works
like this.
201
00:11:10,140 --> 00:11:13,900
The object I'm looking for
will move over a period of days.
202
00:11:13,900 --> 00:11:17,100
So if I take a picture on one day
and then wait a few days,
203
00:11:17,100 --> 00:11:18,700
take another picture,
204
00:11:18,700 --> 00:11:21,660
and then I align the stars
between those two pictures,
205
00:11:21,660 --> 00:11:23,940
and then blink between them,
206
00:11:23,940 --> 00:11:27,540
anything that moves should
stand out like a sore thumb.
207
00:11:28,820 --> 00:11:32,300
This is the same technique
that was used in the 1930s
208
00:11:32,300 --> 00:11:35,220
by Clyde Tombaugh to spot Pluto.
209
00:11:35,220 --> 00:11:38,300
And these are the images
he took over a week
210
00:11:38,300 --> 00:11:41,780
that eventually revealed
Pluto's existence.
211
00:11:41,780 --> 00:11:44,900
Hopefully, that same technique
should work for me.
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00:11:46,980 --> 00:11:49,380
And there it is! I can see it,
213
00:11:49,380 --> 00:11:53,020
I can see the dot moving
backwards and forwards.
214
00:11:53,020 --> 00:11:57,020
Now, that represents the movement
of Haumea over six days.
215
00:11:57,020 --> 00:11:58,740
So the blink method has worked.
216
00:11:58,740 --> 00:12:01,900
That's incredible, isn't it?
I mean, that's an object which is
217
00:12:01,900 --> 00:12:04,820
just a few hundred kilometres
across,
218
00:12:04,820 --> 00:12:08,700
and about 7.5 billion
kilometres away.
219
00:12:08,700 --> 00:12:09,980
That's amazing!
220
00:12:11,340 --> 00:12:14,980
If you'd like to try and spot
a Trans-Neptunian Object,
221
00:12:14,980 --> 00:12:18,220
we've put some information
about the positions of Haumea,
222
00:12:18,220 --> 00:12:22,260
Makemake and Niku on our website.
223
00:12:22,260 --> 00:12:25,660
And please do drop us a line
to let us know how you do.
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00:12:29,140 --> 00:12:31,940
It's not just our instruments
that have improved.
225
00:12:31,940 --> 00:12:36,140
We now get much more information
about objects in deep space
226
00:12:36,140 --> 00:12:38,540
from missions like New Horizons.
227
00:12:38,540 --> 00:12:41,220
Three, two, one...
228
00:12:41,220 --> 00:12:46,020
We have ignition and lift-off of
Nasa's New Horizons spacecraft...
229
00:12:46,020 --> 00:12:50,700
Nasa's space explorer, New Horizons,
reached Pluto in 2015,
230
00:12:50,700 --> 00:12:54,580
and it's still exploring, venturing
deeper into the Kuiper Belt.
231
00:12:57,020 --> 00:13:02,100
It revealed new information about
both Pluto and its moon, Charon.
232
00:13:02,100 --> 00:13:05,340
It found unexpected warmth on Pluto
233
00:13:05,340 --> 00:13:09,060
and a mysterious dark red area
on Charon's North Pole.
234
00:13:11,020 --> 00:13:14,540
Maggie spoke to New Horizons
team member Carly Howett
235
00:13:14,540 --> 00:13:19,140
from her base in Colorado, for the
latest updates on these mysteries,
236
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and to see where they're going next
in this dark zone.
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00:13:23,660 --> 00:13:27,260
Hi, Carly, good to see you again.
Yeah, you, too. Good to be here.
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00:13:27,260 --> 00:13:29,940
Now, last time we spoke,
it was incredibly exciting,
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00:13:29,940 --> 00:13:32,420
because New Horizons had
just flown past Pluto.
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So what have been the most
exciting findings so far?
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00:13:35,180 --> 00:13:38,700
So, I think there's two
that really jumped out for me.
242
00:13:38,700 --> 00:13:40,700
One is actually to do with Charon.
243
00:13:40,700 --> 00:13:43,140
So, Charon, of course,
is Pluto's biggest moon.
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It's most of the same size as Pluto,
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00:13:45,780 --> 00:13:49,020
it's very large indeed,
compared to its orbital parent body,
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00:13:49,020 --> 00:13:50,940
and so we didn't know
it had a red pole.
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And so there was a lot of work
that's gone into
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00:13:53,660 --> 00:13:55,900
trying to understand
what's going on.
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And now, after two years
of analysis,
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00:13:59,180 --> 00:14:02,620
Carly's team think
they finally have an answer.
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Charon is stealing
Pluto's atmosphere,
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which is freezing at its poles,
then turning slowly red.
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00:14:10,580 --> 00:14:14,660
So, we think that Charon's poles are
red because they're sort of nabbing
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00:14:14,660 --> 00:14:17,700
some of Pluto's atmosphere
as it's being lost,
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00:14:17,700 --> 00:14:19,540
which I think is phenomenal.
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00:14:19,540 --> 00:14:22,100
But this process happens
incredibly slowly.
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00:14:22,100 --> 00:14:25,220
So, Pluto has
a very thin atmosphere,
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00:14:25,220 --> 00:14:28,420
and so you end up with
about 1.5 millimetres
259
00:14:28,420 --> 00:14:31,300
per million Earth years. Whoa!
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00:14:31,300 --> 00:14:34,740
So this process is not something
that's happening overnight,
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00:14:34,740 --> 00:14:37,540
this is a very, very slow process,
and it tells you, really,
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00:14:37,540 --> 00:14:39,860
that Charon's surface must be
incredibly stable.
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00:14:39,860 --> 00:14:42,700
There's not an overturning,
there's not a change in the surface,
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00:14:42,700 --> 00:14:45,300
because otherwise that reddening
couldn't have happened.
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00:14:45,300 --> 00:14:47,620
But there's also talk
that Pluto has a heat source.
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00:14:47,620 --> 00:14:49,340
Has that been confirmed?
267
00:14:49,340 --> 00:14:51,580
The origins of that is
that there's these shapes
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00:14:51,580 --> 00:14:53,300
that have very discrete boundaries,
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00:14:53,300 --> 00:14:55,500
and what we think is,
they're like lava lamps,
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00:14:55,500 --> 00:14:57,620
so they're getting heated
from the bottom,
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00:14:57,620 --> 00:15:00,540
slowly the material is rising up,
and then falling back down again.
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00:15:00,540 --> 00:15:02,100
Now, there's two ideas,
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00:15:02,100 --> 00:15:04,660
one is that the energy source
from that is from the interior
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00:15:04,660 --> 00:15:06,740
and it's leftover radioactive decay.
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00:15:06,740 --> 00:15:09,740
If it's radioactivity,
wouldn't it have decayed long ago?
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00:15:09,740 --> 00:15:13,140
So, we think that, actually,
there's enough remnant radiation,
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00:15:13,140 --> 00:15:16,260
because you just don't need enough,
you just need a little bit.
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00:15:16,260 --> 00:15:19,300
We're still trying to figure out
whether it's just purely sunlight,
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00:15:19,300 --> 00:15:21,940
whether sunlight's enough to drive
it, or whether we do need
280
00:15:21,940 --> 00:15:25,620
to sort of invoke extra radiation,
um...sort of a superpower
281
00:15:25,620 --> 00:15:29,220
for Pluto, for radiation to allow
this convection to happen.
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00:15:29,220 --> 00:15:31,980
But we certainly don't need
a lot of heat for it to happen,
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00:15:31,980 --> 00:15:34,100
a few degrees is all that's needed.
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00:15:34,100 --> 00:15:35,740
We've got all these
fantastic results,
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00:15:35,740 --> 00:15:37,340
but what's next for New Horizons?
286
00:15:37,340 --> 00:15:40,980
New Horizons is still busy, we found
another target for it to visit.
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00:15:40,980 --> 00:15:45,100
It's got a very catchy name
of 2014 MU69,
288
00:15:45,100 --> 00:15:48,460
and this is a very small object
289
00:15:48,460 --> 00:15:50,500
that's located in the Kuiper Belt.
290
00:15:50,500 --> 00:15:53,780
We think it's never been heated up,
so again, it's this sort of remnant
291
00:15:53,780 --> 00:15:55,420
of the early Solar System.
292
00:15:55,420 --> 00:15:58,220
Which is, again, important
in order to understand
293
00:15:58,220 --> 00:16:00,620
our own Solar System
formation theory.
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00:16:00,620 --> 00:16:02,260
It hasn't been modified since
295
00:16:02,260 --> 00:16:05,820
basically the dawn of our Solar
System, so it's very exciting.
296
00:16:05,820 --> 00:16:08,100
So, we're observing
things en route,
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00:16:08,100 --> 00:16:11,940
but our next target we reach
on the 1st of January in 2019.
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00:16:11,940 --> 00:16:15,140
So, there's going to be quite a lot
of scientists that are going to be
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00:16:15,140 --> 00:16:18,660
very sober on New Year's Eve 2018.
THEY LAUGH
300
00:16:18,660 --> 00:16:21,860
So, Carly, what have we learned
from its journey?
301
00:16:21,860 --> 00:16:23,820
Oh, we've learned so many things.
302
00:16:23,820 --> 00:16:27,460
I think we've learned that
this region of space is not boring,
303
00:16:27,460 --> 00:16:29,620
it's not dead.
Activity is happening,
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00:16:29,620 --> 00:16:32,820
there's variation
across different targets.
305
00:16:32,820 --> 00:16:35,220
This is a region of space
that really wasn't known
306
00:16:35,220 --> 00:16:38,060
very much at all,
and it's completely revolutionised
307
00:16:38,060 --> 00:16:40,100
our understanding of these targets.
308
00:16:40,100 --> 00:16:42,300
Well, Carly, thank you
for talking to us again,
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00:16:42,300 --> 00:16:45,140
and we look forward to getting the
latest results as they come through.
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00:16:45,140 --> 00:16:46,580
Thanks for your time.
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00:16:48,460 --> 00:16:50,820
Most of the Trans-Neptunian Objects
312
00:16:50,820 --> 00:16:53,500
are leftovers from the origins
of the Solar System.
313
00:16:54,900 --> 00:16:59,380
This means they contain important
clues as to how it evolved.
314
00:17:01,460 --> 00:17:04,700
Scientists believe they've played
a significant part
315
00:17:04,700 --> 00:17:07,420
in the Solar System's
most turbulent period,
316
00:17:07,420 --> 00:17:11,500
a time when the orbits of
the planets changed dramatically,
317
00:17:11,500 --> 00:17:15,740
and they suggest there's a chance
that this might happen again.
318
00:17:17,300 --> 00:17:20,540
To understand how
such relatively small objects
319
00:17:20,540 --> 00:17:22,500
play such an important role,
320
00:17:22,500 --> 00:17:24,900
you need a very particular tool...
321
00:17:24,900 --> 00:17:26,820
mathematics.
322
00:17:26,820 --> 00:17:29,020
Marcus du Sautoy explains.
323
00:17:35,700 --> 00:17:38,620
For a mathematician like me,
what's so fascinating
324
00:17:38,620 --> 00:17:41,420
is that the planets,
the Moon, the stars, all move
325
00:17:41,420 --> 00:17:45,180
through the night sky following
very strict mathematical rules.
326
00:17:45,180 --> 00:17:49,100
And this idea is perfectly captured
by this thing here.
327
00:17:49,100 --> 00:17:51,100
It's called an orrery.
328
00:17:52,300 --> 00:17:56,660
An orrery is a model of the planets
revolving around the sun
329
00:17:56,660 --> 00:18:00,500
that runs on one of the most
beautiful mathematical systems,
330
00:18:00,500 --> 00:18:02,100
clockwork.
331
00:18:02,100 --> 00:18:06,860
Mathematics describes the clockwork
nature of the way the planets move
332
00:18:06,860 --> 00:18:09,780
around the Sun
with such remarkable detail
333
00:18:09,780 --> 00:18:13,140
that we're able to make predictions
about where the planets will be
334
00:18:13,140 --> 00:18:15,580
into the future
with pinpoint accuracy.
335
00:18:17,620 --> 00:18:21,060
This is because of
Newton's theory of gravity -
336
00:18:21,060 --> 00:18:24,860
a mathematical equation that shows
how objects attract each other
337
00:18:24,860 --> 00:18:26,860
through gravitational force.
338
00:18:28,980 --> 00:18:32,620
Crucially, this means that as
the planets and other objects move,
339
00:18:32,620 --> 00:18:36,900
they can influence each other
in ways that can be very profound.
340
00:18:36,900 --> 00:18:41,140
Let's suppose this metal ball
is a planet orbiting the Sun.
341
00:18:41,140 --> 00:18:42,980
Let's set it off on its orbit.
342
00:18:44,380 --> 00:18:46,180
I'm going to use this magnet
343
00:18:46,180 --> 00:18:49,060
to represent the influence
of a second planet.
344
00:18:49,060 --> 00:18:51,100
So I should be able to give a kick
345
00:18:51,100 --> 00:18:53,660
to the stable orbit
of this first planet.
346
00:19:00,620 --> 00:19:03,420
There, see, we're starting
to influence the orbit
347
00:19:03,420 --> 00:19:06,340
of the first planet
in quite a dramatic way.
348
00:19:07,740 --> 00:19:11,580
When one object or planet
affects another via gravity,
349
00:19:11,580 --> 00:19:13,860
we call it perturbation,
350
00:19:13,860 --> 00:19:18,220
and it's an influence which has had
a major effect on the Solar System.
351
00:19:18,220 --> 00:19:22,100
And over the years, we've used
the mathematics of perturbation
352
00:19:22,100 --> 00:19:25,580
to solve some of the great mysteries
of the Solar System.
353
00:19:25,580 --> 00:19:28,300
For instance, in the 19th century,
354
00:19:28,300 --> 00:19:32,300
the predictions of the position of
Uranus were discovered to be wrong.
355
00:19:33,780 --> 00:19:37,500
And mathematicians guessed
this could actually be due
356
00:19:37,500 --> 00:19:40,660
to another planet
perturbing the orbit of Uranus.
357
00:19:41,780 --> 00:19:44,820
And within 20 years, they found it.
358
00:19:44,820 --> 00:19:47,860
It was named after
the Roman god of the sea,
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00:19:47,860 --> 00:19:49,140
Neptune.
360
00:19:50,300 --> 00:19:52,340
Mathematics doesn't just help us
361
00:19:52,340 --> 00:19:55,180
to predict where objects will be
in the future,
362
00:19:55,180 --> 00:19:59,420
it also helps us to understand the
very structure of the Solar System,
363
00:19:59,420 --> 00:20:02,780
how it evolved
and how it might eventually end.
364
00:20:04,020 --> 00:20:07,540
And many believe that
the Trans-Neptunian Objects
365
00:20:07,540 --> 00:20:10,340
are evidence of this mathematics
at work,
366
00:20:10,340 --> 00:20:12,860
because of my second
mathematical principle -
367
00:20:12,860 --> 00:20:14,060
resonance.
368
00:20:16,620 --> 00:20:19,060
This is a Barton pendulum,
369
00:20:19,060 --> 00:20:22,100
and it shows how,
under certain circumstances,
370
00:20:22,100 --> 00:20:25,260
a regular pattern can
powerfully influence another
371
00:20:25,260 --> 00:20:27,700
through something called resonance.
372
00:20:27,700 --> 00:20:31,020
I've got a series of pendulums
hanging from a string here,
373
00:20:31,020 --> 00:20:32,860
and I've got a driver pendulum.
374
00:20:32,860 --> 00:20:34,540
And when I set this off,
375
00:20:34,540 --> 00:20:37,740
the energy is going to get
transferred to the other pendulums,
376
00:20:37,740 --> 00:20:40,180
but they're not all going
to react in the same way.
377
00:20:40,180 --> 00:20:43,220
LANGUID PIANO MUSIC PLAYS
378
00:20:45,020 --> 00:20:48,260
What we see is that these two
pendulums are swinging much more
379
00:20:48,260 --> 00:20:51,620
than the others, and this is
because they're in resonance.
380
00:20:52,900 --> 00:20:57,580
Resonance occurs when a pendulum
absorbs the momentum easily
381
00:20:57,580 --> 00:21:00,740
from the driver
and relates to its length.
382
00:21:00,740 --> 00:21:04,180
And some lengths
work better than others.
383
00:21:04,180 --> 00:21:09,020
So, here, the length of the string
is the same as the driver,
384
00:21:09,020 --> 00:21:12,700
and this one is in a 2:3 ratio.
385
00:21:12,700 --> 00:21:16,820
Amazingly, the same thing can happen
with the planets and the moons.
386
00:21:16,820 --> 00:21:20,420
The gravitational attraction
as they orbit means that,
387
00:21:20,420 --> 00:21:24,140
under certain circumstances,
they can begin to resonate.
388
00:21:24,140 --> 00:21:27,380
So they kind of get locked in,
creating a regular pattern.
389
00:21:29,780 --> 00:21:33,300
For instance,
Pluto resonates with Neptune,
390
00:21:33,300 --> 00:21:36,460
orbiting twice
for Neptune's three times.
391
00:21:37,860 --> 00:21:41,100
And the Trans-Neptunian Objects
resonate too.
392
00:21:43,340 --> 00:21:47,100
Although this resonance seems
to create order and balance,
393
00:21:47,100 --> 00:21:52,140
it's not guaranteed, because,
as with any finely balanced object,
394
00:21:52,140 --> 00:21:54,980
it's easy for it
to become destabilised.
395
00:21:57,580 --> 00:22:00,540
Which brings us on
to another mathematical subject
396
00:22:00,540 --> 00:22:02,140
called chaos theory.
397
00:22:05,740 --> 00:22:10,620
Roughly speaking, the idea reveals
how a small change in the present
398
00:22:10,620 --> 00:22:13,780
can have dramatic implications
for the future.
399
00:22:13,780 --> 00:22:15,980
Consider this pendulum here.
400
00:22:15,980 --> 00:22:20,100
If I set it off, then it does
exactly what you'd expect it to do.
401
00:22:22,500 --> 00:22:27,500
If I now add a magnet to the base,
then it perturbs the orbit.
402
00:22:27,500 --> 00:22:30,380
It's still pretty predictable,
but it's beginning to wobble.
403
00:22:31,500 --> 00:22:35,180
But now, if I add
two more magnets to the base,
404
00:22:35,180 --> 00:22:38,740
the orbit becomes
wildly unpredictable.
405
00:22:38,740 --> 00:22:42,020
More accurately,
what mathematicians mean by chaos
406
00:22:42,020 --> 00:22:45,580
is that a small change
in the starting position
407
00:22:45,580 --> 00:22:47,620
can cause a completely different
outcome
408
00:22:47,620 --> 00:22:49,620
for the trajectory of the pendulum.
409
00:22:54,020 --> 00:22:57,100
What we've come to realise
in the last few years
410
00:22:57,100 --> 00:22:59,820
is that our Solar System has
much more in common
411
00:22:59,820 --> 00:23:03,100
with this chaotic pendulum
than we ever imagined.
412
00:23:05,020 --> 00:23:07,940
Far from being
stable and predictable,
413
00:23:07,940 --> 00:23:11,260
it's actually unstable and chaotic.
414
00:23:11,260 --> 00:23:16,140
And a small wobble of a tiny object
could theoretically change
415
00:23:16,140 --> 00:23:19,020
the whole structure
of the Solar System completely.
416
00:23:20,260 --> 00:23:22,580
But how about this for a thought?
417
00:23:22,580 --> 00:23:26,500
Scientists now believe that chaotic
disturbances have already played
418
00:23:26,500 --> 00:23:29,180
a critical role in the history
of our Solar System.
419
00:23:33,380 --> 00:23:36,900
In particular, they suggest
there may have been
420
00:23:36,900 --> 00:23:41,900
a chaotic resonance catastrophe
around 4.5 billion years ago.
421
00:23:43,180 --> 00:23:45,420
As well as messing with the planets,
422
00:23:45,420 --> 00:23:47,820
this might also finally explain
423
00:23:47,820 --> 00:23:50,500
the weird orbits, spins
and positions
424
00:23:50,500 --> 00:23:52,940
of the Trans-Neptunian Objects.
425
00:23:54,260 --> 00:23:56,060
To find out more,
426
00:23:56,060 --> 00:23:59,580
Chris met up with Marek Kukula
of Greenwich Observatory.
427
00:24:00,860 --> 00:24:02,300
So what's the story?
428
00:24:02,300 --> 00:24:05,180
What did happen
4.5, 5 billion years ago?
429
00:24:05,180 --> 00:24:08,100
Well, the most popular model
for what might have happened is
430
00:24:08,100 --> 00:24:09,820
called the Nice model.
431
00:24:09,820 --> 00:24:12,380
It's named after
the Observatoire de la Cote d'Azur,
432
00:24:12,380 --> 00:24:16,740
down in Nice in France, where
the model was first come up with,
433
00:24:16,740 --> 00:24:19,300
in 2005, I think.
434
00:24:19,300 --> 00:24:21,980
And the idea here is
that the giant planets -
435
00:24:21,980 --> 00:24:24,260
Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus
and Neptune -
436
00:24:24,260 --> 00:24:28,740
were all in very neat orbits, but
closer to the Sun than they are now,
437
00:24:28,740 --> 00:24:31,940
and beyond them was
this very thick, dense Kuiper Belt,
438
00:24:31,940 --> 00:24:34,380
very different to the one
that we have today.
439
00:24:34,380 --> 00:24:35,940
So, although it looked,
440
00:24:35,940 --> 00:24:38,260
perhaps from the outside,
very neat and stable,
441
00:24:38,260 --> 00:24:42,180
actually the seeds of its own
destruction were already there.
442
00:24:42,180 --> 00:24:44,980
And what happens is that the giant
planets are able to pull in
443
00:24:44,980 --> 00:24:48,140
the smaller objects from the Kuiper
Belt and they flick them inwards.
444
00:24:48,140 --> 00:24:51,820
But when the small objects start
to get into the realm of Jupiter,
445
00:24:51,820 --> 00:24:54,060
then something
a little bit different happens.
446
00:24:54,060 --> 00:24:56,300
Jupiter, obviously,
the most massive planet,
447
00:24:56,300 --> 00:24:58,260
its gravity is very powerful.
448
00:24:58,260 --> 00:25:00,180
It's able, actually,
to flick these objects
449
00:25:00,180 --> 00:25:01,900
not further in, but further out,
450
00:25:01,900 --> 00:25:05,060
it's flicking them perhaps even
out of the Solar System entirely.
451
00:25:05,060 --> 00:25:06,940
And of course,
if it's flicking them out,
452
00:25:06,940 --> 00:25:08,580
it has to move further in.
453
00:25:08,580 --> 00:25:11,140
So, Saturn, the other giant planets
are moving out,
454
00:25:11,140 --> 00:25:15,460
Jupiter is moving in, and then you
get to the situation where we have
455
00:25:15,460 --> 00:25:19,020
a resonance, where Jupiter is going
around the sun twice
456
00:25:19,020 --> 00:25:21,460
for every one orbit
that Saturn makes.
457
00:25:21,460 --> 00:25:24,780
That resonance is
a very powerful situation,
458
00:25:24,780 --> 00:25:26,740
and that means that,
as they do that,
459
00:25:26,740 --> 00:25:29,300
they're giving very regular
gravitational tugs
460
00:25:29,300 --> 00:25:32,100
to Uranus, to Neptune
and to the Kuiper Belt objects.
461
00:25:32,100 --> 00:25:33,700
So what you get is,
462
00:25:33,700 --> 00:25:37,100
as Jupiter and Saturn are doing
this resonance thing,
463
00:25:37,100 --> 00:25:40,500
they are pushing Uranus and Neptune
further out
464
00:25:40,500 --> 00:25:43,460
and they've pushed them out
into this dense Kuiper Belt.
465
00:25:43,460 --> 00:25:45,060
That's very chaotic.
466
00:25:45,060 --> 00:25:47,740
These smaller objects are being
thrown in all directions.
467
00:25:47,740 --> 00:25:50,420
Many of them are being flung
into the Solar System,
468
00:25:50,420 --> 00:25:53,540
and this is where
all hell breaks loose.
469
00:25:53,540 --> 00:25:57,500
This computer simulation shows
this moment of resonance,
470
00:25:57,500 --> 00:25:59,500
followed by chaos.
471
00:25:59,500 --> 00:26:03,020
The Kuiper Belt is in green and
the outer planets are in the centre.
472
00:26:04,220 --> 00:26:07,060
Suddenly, Jupiter and Saturn
wreak havoc,
473
00:26:07,060 --> 00:26:09,660
and the Kuiper Belt is scattered.
474
00:26:09,660 --> 00:26:11,340
When that process is finished,
475
00:26:11,340 --> 00:26:13,500
Uranus and Neptune
perhaps swap places.
476
00:26:13,500 --> 00:26:16,700
They and Saturn have moved
further out from the Sun,
477
00:26:16,700 --> 00:26:19,780
the Kuiper Belt has been scattered
in all directions.
478
00:26:19,780 --> 00:26:22,460
It's now much less dense
and much more extensive,
479
00:26:22,460 --> 00:26:25,900
and this is why we have
the Solar System that we have today.
480
00:26:25,900 --> 00:26:27,700
So, when we think about the chaos
481
00:26:27,700 --> 00:26:29,820
that still exists
in the Solar System,
482
00:26:29,820 --> 00:26:32,580
the potential for chaos,
the fact that things could change,
483
00:26:32,580 --> 00:26:34,380
what's the worst that could happen?
484
00:26:34,380 --> 00:26:35,820
Should we be worried?
485
00:26:35,820 --> 00:26:37,900
Well, perhaps a little bit worried.
486
00:26:37,900 --> 00:26:40,900
If you look at the Solar System
as it is today,
487
00:26:40,900 --> 00:26:44,060
it does look fairly stable,
but in fact that's an illusion.
488
00:26:44,060 --> 00:26:47,260
And if you look at all of the orbits
of the planets, the other objects,
489
00:26:47,260 --> 00:26:50,900
the Kuiper Belt, the asteroids,
it is still rather a chaotic system.
490
00:26:50,900 --> 00:26:54,580
It turns out that Mercury's orbit is
not particularly stable
491
00:26:54,580 --> 00:26:57,140
and there is a small,
perhaps 1% chance,
492
00:26:57,140 --> 00:27:00,820
that over the next few tens
or hundreds of millions of years,
493
00:27:00,820 --> 00:27:03,060
Jupiter's influence on Mercury
could cause it
494
00:27:03,060 --> 00:27:04,540
either to crash into the Sun,
495
00:27:04,540 --> 00:27:06,860
to fly out of the Solar System
entirely,
496
00:27:06,860 --> 00:27:11,100
or perhaps even to crash
into either Venus or the Earth.
497
00:27:11,100 --> 00:27:13,820
So, no sign that that's happening,
but we can't be certain.
498
00:27:13,820 --> 00:27:15,100
We can't rule it out.
499
00:27:15,100 --> 00:27:19,900
It's a small possibility, but it
is a real, finite possibility,
500
00:27:19,900 --> 00:27:25,020
so we're still living in chaotic
times, the chaos isn't over yet.
501
00:27:26,820 --> 00:27:29,300
It seems now that the exploration
502
00:27:29,300 --> 00:27:31,900
of the weird world
of Trans-Neptunian Objects
503
00:27:31,900 --> 00:27:35,900
is presenting us with a new
chaotic picture of our Solar System.
504
00:27:37,140 --> 00:27:40,780
This is light years away
from the stable, predictable one
505
00:27:40,780 --> 00:27:42,460
we thought we knew before.
506
00:27:44,380 --> 00:27:47,540
And there's still
so much more to explore.
507
00:27:53,020 --> 00:27:55,860
I'm so impressed by what's being
found in the outer Solar System -
508
00:27:55,860 --> 00:27:59,340
the diversity of worlds,
but also their sheer number.
509
00:27:59,340 --> 00:28:02,140
800 new places
in that one survey alone,
510
00:28:02,140 --> 00:28:04,380
and who knows
what else is out there?
511
00:28:04,380 --> 00:28:06,180
But that's the exciting thing,
I think.
512
00:28:06,180 --> 00:28:08,100
We're discovering new things
all the time,
513
00:28:08,100 --> 00:28:10,660
and by looking at these objects
so far away from the Sun,
514
00:28:10,660 --> 00:28:12,540
we're discovering about
the evolution
515
00:28:12,540 --> 00:28:14,540
of the whole of the Solar System.
516
00:28:14,540 --> 00:28:16,980
That's all we have time for
in this programme,
517
00:28:16,980 --> 00:28:18,540
but do join us next month
518
00:28:18,540 --> 00:28:20,820
when we'll be looking at
the profound effect
519
00:28:20,820 --> 00:28:22,860
that space has here on Earth,
520
00:28:22,860 --> 00:28:26,740
from a deluge of space dust
to the beauty of a meteor storm,
521
00:28:26,740 --> 00:28:29,420
to the potential for life itself.
522
00:28:29,420 --> 00:28:34,660
And in the meantime, do check out
our website at bbc.co.uk/skyatnight,
523
00:28:34,660 --> 00:28:37,940
where you'll find exclusive content,
including a star guide.
524
00:28:37,940 --> 00:28:40,940
In the meantime, of course,
get outside and...
525
00:28:40,940 --> 00:28:42,500
get looking up.
526
00:28:42,500 --> 00:28:43,860
Goodnight.
45844
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