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A value high value low breakaway is when
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the market accepts price above a value
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high or below a value low and continues to
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move away from value causing that value
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area high or value area low to act as
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either support or resistance. So this is
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typically used when we expect price to
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continue in the direction of a trend or
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for a new trend to begin. So unlike a fade
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you're trading in the direction of the
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breakout and using that value area high or
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low as support or resistance instead of
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trying to fade from that area. And the
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goal here is to capture a shift from what
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was previously a balanced market within
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value into imbalance and price discovery
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where the market will move to establish a
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new value area. So in these conditions a
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broken value area high or value area low
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will become support or resistance. So if
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breaking to the upside a value high will
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become support. If breaking to the
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downside a value low will become
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resistance. So if we look on the right
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here we have an example of where price had
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broken away from the point of control
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above value area highs. Here we have our
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overnight open at 6pm and you can see that
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as price came back down to test the value
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area high again and retest the value area
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of the market. You can see that the buyers
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bought that back up each time we have
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price bouncing bouncing. It tests it tries
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to probe back into value but because there
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is a more bullish sentiment in the market
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buyers continue to step in. And buy at
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value highs keeping and holding price
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above the value area high. And then here
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is our opposite example where we have
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bearish conditions. The market broke
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through the value area low to the downside
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completely cutting through. And you can
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see here is our overnight open 6pm. So now
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in the overnight session when price
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attempted to come back into the value area
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low. It was a perfect point of resistance.
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Sellers immediately rejected a move back
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into the value area pushing price to the
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downside. As that new price discovery
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happened and the market moved into an
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imbalanced state finding value at lower
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pricing. So why does this work? Again
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auction market theory. If price moves
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outside of the value area high or low that
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means the market is testing for new value.
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And if that test attracts fresh buyers
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above value highs or attracts fresh
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sellers below the value lows. The auction
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will migrate to a higher or lower value
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zone causing price to go into price
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discovery mode aka imbalance. Then there
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is the order flow. Breakaways are driven
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by initiative activity which is aggressive
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market participants that are executing
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orders in reaction to market movement. Not
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just short term scalpers or passive
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liquidity. This aggressive order flow
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sustains movement away from old value and
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moves price to seek new value at either
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higher or lower prices. The next thing is
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low volume area acceleration. So outside
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of value area highs and lows. Outside
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value area highs and lows are often low
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volume nodes. And low volume nodes if you
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remember from the introductory lessons.
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Low volume nodes are where price can move
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quickly due to thin liquidity. Especially
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if aggressors are present to move price.
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Because there is less activity at these
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lower or higher prices outside of the
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value area. Price can move a lot quicker
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than it would be moving in the thicker
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value areas closer to fair value. So
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little opposition means easier
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continuation and quick breakout potential.
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The last reason is failed fades fuel these
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breakouts. So traders that don't
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anticipate a trend or a breakaway from the
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value area highs and lows are instead
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fading the value area highs and lows like
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we showed in the previous setup. If these
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traders are wrong about fading the value
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highs and value lows they get stopped out
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which creates additional order flow
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supporting the breakout direction. So if
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we are going above value area highs if
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people are trying to sell at value area
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highs what do you do when you close out a
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sell position? You buy. So if traders are
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trying to sell at value highs but price
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fails to move down they have to buy back
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their position in order to get out of
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their short. So if there are an abundance
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of buyers present at value highs as well
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as failed sellers who have to buy in order
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to cover their position that creates
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additional fuel pushing price above value
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highs and vice versa. So shorts buying
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back above value highs or longs having to
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sell their long positions below value
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lows. So all of this creates additional
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order flow and additional fuel for price
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to break away from these zones when the
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context is correct. So whenever the market
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is not in a ranging state and we
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anticipate price to break out using the
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value area high and value area low as an
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area to build your position on the retest
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is an extremely powerful approach to
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trading breakaway markets. Now these won't
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occur as often as a fade from the value
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highs and value lows however with the
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right context and anticipating breakaways
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this is the type of play you should be
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looking for. So this is the second basic
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setup that we use trading the volume
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profile. Again we'll cover how to add more
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context and confluence to these trades in
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the next module but now move on to the
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next lesson and we'll cover the final
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basic trade setup which is using the point
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of control.
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