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These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:04,900 --> 00:00:08,733 now moving on to the actual setup this 2 00:00:08,733 --> 00:00:12,566 setup is called the pull back to vwap it 3 00:00:12,566 --> 00:00:15,333 relies on an indicator known as volume 4 00:00:15,333 --> 00:00:18,166 weighted average price this is an 5 00:00:18,166 --> 00:00:21,133 extremely valuable tool because it is 6 00:00:21,133 --> 00:00:24,166 something not only that pretty much every 7 00:00:24,166 --> 00:00:26,666 retail trader is watching it is also 8 00:00:26,666 --> 00:00:28,566 something that institutions are utilizing 9 00:00:28,566 --> 00:00:31,266 to get involved with a stop the basic 10 00:00:31,266 --> 00:00:33,933 premise is as you can see on the slide 11 00:00:33,933 --> 00:00:37,866 here we are looking for price to show an 12 00:00:37,866 --> 00:00:41,466 extension move away from vwap when it 13 00:00:41,466 --> 00:00:44,500 pulls back into vwap we look for an entry 14 00:00:44,500 --> 00:00:45,866 here we're going to be looking for an 15 00:00:45,866 --> 00:00:49,600 entry signal now from there if we do see 16 00:00:49,600 --> 00:00:52,466 that entry signal in this case we would be 17 00:00:52,466 --> 00:00:55,600 buying calls or going long on whatever the 18 00:00:55,600 --> 00:00:57,500 stock is or maybe we're trading the index 19 00:00:57,500 --> 00:01:00,333 we would be going long at this point our 20 00:01:00,333 --> 00:01:02,933 first target is going to be that prior 21 00:01:02,933 --> 00:01:06,300 session high right so your your target 22 00:01:06,300 --> 00:01:09,100 very first target is whatever the prior 23 00:01:09,100 --> 00:01:11,533 session high was let's assume that this 24 00:01:11,533 --> 00:01:14,466 trade is incorrect your stop is right 25 00:01:14,466 --> 00:01:17,533 below that vwap level and so we'll look at 26 00:01:17,533 --> 00:01:19,200 some real examples of this in just a 27 00:01:19,200 --> 00:01:21,033 moment but this is the kind of schematic 28 00:01:21,033 --> 00:01:23,000 of how the trade is actually going to work 29 00:01:23,000 --> 00:01:25,533 again looking for that extension move away 30 00:01:25,533 --> 00:01:29,866 from vwap pulls back into vwap we look for 31 00:01:29,866 --> 00:01:33,200 our signal at vwap remember vwap is a 32 00:01:33,200 --> 00:01:36,300 location once price is at our location we 33 00:01:36,300 --> 00:01:39,333 still need some type of signal bar to tell 34 00:01:39,333 --> 00:01:41,400 us okay yeah you want to be getting in 35 00:01:41,400 --> 00:01:43,333 right here we'll be discussing that in 36 00:01:43,333 --> 00:01:45,900 just a moment here but we look at price at 37 00:01:45,900 --> 00:01:48,066 vwap that's our location once we get the 38 00:01:48,066 --> 00:01:51,300 signal we buy calls or we get along in our 39 00:01:51,300 --> 00:01:55,133 futures and we are selling them once price 40 00:01:55,133 --> 00:02:00,166 tests that prior session high right stop 41 00:02:00,166 --> 00:02:02,833 is right below whatever that structure is 42 00:02:02,833 --> 00:02:04,466 so we talked a lot in the risk management 43 00:02:04,466 --> 00:02:07,600 section about using structure keeping a 44 00:02:07,600 --> 00:02:09,933 tight stop establishing risk to reward 45 00:02:09,933 --> 00:02:14,866 looking at this low at vwap is how we 46 00:02:14,866 --> 00:02:17,633 establish our risk point once price starts 47 00:02:17,633 --> 00:02:21,033 to bounce versus vwap we are long our risk 48 00:02:21,033 --> 00:02:25,333 point is down here okay now there will be 49 00:02:25,333 --> 00:02:27,533 scenarios where it doesn't show immediate 50 00:02:27,533 --> 00:02:29,333 follow-through right it doesn't actually 51 00:02:29,333 --> 00:02:31,833 test that high you have a decision here to 52 00:02:31,833 --> 00:02:34,466 make as a trader personally i like to keep 53 00:02:34,466 --> 00:02:36,933 a trailing stop so that i'm not giving 54 00:02:36,933 --> 00:02:39,300 back too much of my open profits on the 55 00:02:39,300 --> 00:02:41,100 day that's a personal decision that you 56 00:02:41,100 --> 00:02:43,466 have to make the the trade is not 57 00:02:43,466 --> 00:02:47,066 technically incorrect until vwap is broken 58 00:02:47,066 --> 00:02:50,233 to the downside and so this is a common 59 00:02:50,233 --> 00:02:52,033 scenario where we'll see price bounce 60 00:02:52,033 --> 00:02:54,433 slightly come and retest vwap and then 61 00:02:54,433 --> 00:02:57,366 eventually test that session high on the 62 00:02:57,366 --> 00:03:01,233 flip side of this we do have what is known 63 00:03:01,233 --> 00:03:05,200 as basically a break of vwap for lack of a 64 00:03:05,200 --> 00:03:08,133 better term here where price is pushing 65 00:03:08,133 --> 00:03:12,200 below vwap this is a tradable scenario but 66 00:03:12,200 --> 00:03:14,200 isn't it is not the trade that we are 67 00:03:14,200 --> 00:03:17,233 talking about in this course it is not 68 00:03:17,233 --> 00:03:19,766 part of the two-hour trader this is 69 00:03:19,766 --> 00:03:22,533 something totally different yes price is 70 00:03:22,533 --> 00:03:25,133 at vwap but this is not the pullback to 71 00:03:25,133 --> 00:03:27,833 vwap trade so if you see price breaking 72 00:03:27,833 --> 00:03:31,633 below vwap that is not your pullback to 73 00:03:31,633 --> 00:03:33,300 vwap trade that is something totally 74 00:03:33,300 --> 00:03:35,666 different and that is not a trade that 75 00:03:35,666 --> 00:03:38,100 we're going to be talking about in this 76 00:03:38,100 --> 00:03:40,600 course it is a more challenging trade it 77 00:03:40,600 --> 00:03:42,166 is not something that we're going to be 78 00:03:42,166 --> 00:03:45,100 discussing here remember the trade here 79 00:03:45,100 --> 00:03:47,366 would look like this price would come back 80 00:03:47,366 --> 00:03:49,666 to vwap you would see a signal bar here 81 00:03:49,666 --> 00:03:52,266 and be attempting to trade the bounce 82 00:03:52,866 --> 00:03:54,966 we're not going to be shorting when price 83 00:03:54,966 --> 00:03:58,333 loses vwap now you can be short with this 84 00:03:58,333 --> 00:04:00,566 trade the thing is is that you need that 85 00:04:00,566 --> 00:04:03,766 extension again away from vwap and then 86 00:04:03,766 --> 00:04:07,533 you need a bounce into vwap once price is 87 00:04:07,533 --> 00:04:09,833 at vwap we look for that signal bar that 88 00:04:09,833 --> 00:04:13,466 price is going to be rejecting vwap and 89 00:04:13,466 --> 00:04:16,466 then we look for our short opportunity it 90 00:04:16,466 --> 00:04:19,366 could be puts it could be short es or nq 91 00:04:19,366 --> 00:04:22,166 and our first target again is the session 92 00:04:22,166 --> 00:04:25,900 low right very similar pretty much the 93 00:04:25,900 --> 00:04:28,133 exact same thing that we look for to the 94 00:04:28,133 --> 00:04:32,233 long we look for to the short avoid this 95 00:04:32,233 --> 00:04:35,266 vwap failure trade on both sides so if it 96 00:04:35,266 --> 00:04:38,233 breaks above that's not your play we only 97 00:04:38,233 --> 00:04:39,966 trade the pullback and part of the reason 98 00:04:39,966 --> 00:04:42,800 is is that the pullback allows us a very 99 00:04:42,800 --> 00:04:45,266 very tight stop means you're going to be 100 00:04:45,266 --> 00:04:47,733 able to keep your risk extremely tight 101 00:04:47,733 --> 00:04:50,266 extremely tight and that's extremely 102 00:04:50,266 --> 00:04:53,033 important for a new trader that's 103 00:04:53,033 --> 00:04:54,700 extremely important for any trader really 104 00:04:54,700 --> 00:04:57,233 but it is especially important for 105 00:04:57,233 --> 00:05:00,733 developing trader now moving on just 106 00:05:00,733 --> 00:05:02,900 looking at some real examples here there 107 00:05:02,900 --> 00:05:05,366 are going to be scenarios where we see 108 00:05:05,366 --> 00:05:09,566 what i call static versus dynamic vwap now 109 00:05:09,566 --> 00:05:12,533 early in the session is when you want to 110 00:05:12,533 --> 00:05:14,500 be focusing on this trade generally 111 00:05:14,500 --> 00:05:17,133 speaking going to be the first 90 minutes 112 00:05:17,133 --> 00:05:19,666 of the trading session this is a great 113 00:05:19,666 --> 00:05:21,933 strategy to be watching beyond 90 minutes 114 00:05:21,933 --> 00:05:23,866 if you haven't taken a trade yet you 115 00:05:23,866 --> 00:05:26,233 probably want to just call it a day and 116 00:05:26,233 --> 00:05:28,933 wait until the next session static versus 117 00:05:28,933 --> 00:05:32,666 dynamic just refers to the angle of vwap 118 00:05:32,666 --> 00:05:35,566 if we are angled higher if vwap is 119 00:05:35,566 --> 00:05:37,666 trending higher like you can see here 120 00:05:37,666 --> 00:05:40,800 that's dynamic once it starts to flatten 121 00:05:40,800 --> 00:05:43,300 out that is static and we'll see this 122 00:05:43,300 --> 00:05:45,966 repeated in a bunch of different scenarios 123 00:05:45,966 --> 00:05:47,633 and you'll notice it as well when you 124 00:05:47,633 --> 00:05:50,266 start to use this strategy there will be 125 00:05:50,266 --> 00:05:53,333 times where vwap is angled higher price 126 00:05:53,333 --> 00:05:55,333 tends to respect it better in those 127 00:05:55,333 --> 00:05:57,533 moments when it's dynamic then when it 128 00:05:57,533 --> 00:05:59,266 starts to flatten out in the middle of the 129 00:05:59,266 --> 00:06:01,966 day it's static there's no real interest 130 00:06:01,966 --> 00:06:04,166 at vwap there now there are going to be 131 00:06:04,166 --> 00:06:07,100 entire sessions when a stock is not in 132 00:06:07,100 --> 00:06:10,966 play where vwap is static we don't want to 133 00:06:10,966 --> 00:06:13,400 be trading the pullback to vwap strategy 134 00:06:13,400 --> 00:06:16,066 on these particular days this particular 135 00:06:16,066 --> 00:06:19,200 strategy is reserved for stocks in play 136 00:06:19,200 --> 00:06:24,366 and the index meaning spire qqq or es and 137 00:06:24,366 --> 00:06:27,233 nq if you're unfamiliar or you don't know 138 00:06:27,233 --> 00:06:29,566 how to find stocks in play you need to be 139 00:06:29,566 --> 00:06:31,900 in the traders think tank you need to have 140 00:06:31,900 --> 00:06:34,166 access to the pre-market prep notes where 141 00:06:34,166 --> 00:06:36,533 we're posting stocks in play every single 142 00:06:36,533 --> 00:06:39,066 morning where this type of strategy is 143 00:06:39,066 --> 00:06:41,633 going to work and so one of the parameters 144 00:06:41,633 --> 00:06:44,100 that you need to be following for this 145 00:06:44,100 --> 00:06:46,333 particular trade is making sure that the 146 00:06:46,333 --> 00:06:49,333 stock is in play or that you are trading 147 00:06:49,333 --> 00:06:54,566 spy qqq es or nq now how do you determine 148 00:06:54,566 --> 00:06:56,266 if a stock is in play well the easiest 149 00:06:56,266 --> 00:06:59,100 possible way is to be in the traders think 150 00:06:59,100 --> 00:07:00,966 tank where we are telling you here are the 151 00:07:00,966 --> 00:07:03,066 stocks in play that you can watch now if 152 00:07:03,066 --> 00:07:04,866 you want to do it on your own you need to 153 00:07:04,866 --> 00:07:07,233 be looking at relative volume if we have a 154 00:07:07,233 --> 00:07:09,666 stock that is doing two to three x 155 00:07:09,666 --> 00:07:12,000 relative volume meaning it's trading two 156 00:07:12,000 --> 00:07:15,366 to three times what it does on a normal or 157 00:07:15,366 --> 00:07:17,833 an average day that is a stock in play 158 00:07:17,833 --> 00:07:20,433 generally speaking any stock with a big 159 00:07:20,433 --> 00:07:22,666 catalyst that is that is hitting the news 160 00:07:22,666 --> 00:07:25,900 feeds is going to be a stock in play now 161 00:07:25,900 --> 00:07:28,533 looking at more examples here once again 162 00:07:28,533 --> 00:07:31,966 we have static versus dynamic these two 163 00:07:31,966 --> 00:07:35,000 these first two trading days here vwap is 164 00:07:35,000 --> 00:07:36,833 static it's flat there's nothing 165 00:07:36,833 --> 00:07:39,200 interesting happening in the stock on this 166 00:07:39,200 --> 00:07:41,533 day you wouldn't really want to be trading 167 00:07:41,533 --> 00:07:43,533 view up on this day yeah you can see this 168 00:07:43,533 --> 00:07:45,666 little example right here where it 169 00:07:45,666 --> 00:07:47,933 actually works for the balance play that's 170 00:07:47,933 --> 00:07:50,600 great you can see that right here too but 171 00:07:50,600 --> 00:07:53,066 it is a lower probability trade i want to 172 00:07:53,066 --> 00:07:55,033 see you guys in the highest probability 173 00:07:55,033 --> 00:07:58,400 trades and with that we want to ignore the 174 00:07:58,400 --> 00:08:01,333 days where stocks or the index has a 175 00:08:01,333 --> 00:08:04,366 static vwap mean again meaning it is 176 00:08:04,366 --> 00:08:06,433 totally flat now look at it compared to 177 00:08:06,433 --> 00:08:08,900 this day view app is totally dynamic it's 178 00:08:08,900 --> 00:08:11,500 it is angled and pushing higher the entire 179 00:08:11,500 --> 00:08:13,433 day now we don't really have a pullback 180 00:08:13,433 --> 00:08:15,866 where we can get long with this particular 181 00:08:15,866 --> 00:08:18,000 strategy but this is what we like to see 182 00:08:18,000 --> 00:08:21,066 out of view app a note on this is that 183 00:08:21,066 --> 00:08:25,000 general rule of thumb when using vwap is 184 00:08:25,000 --> 00:08:27,166 if price is above vwap you want to be 185 00:08:27,166 --> 00:08:30,333 focusing on longs if price is below vwap 186 00:08:30,333 --> 00:08:32,933 you want to be focusing on shorts and 187 00:08:32,933 --> 00:08:34,633 that's why that's another reason why the 188 00:08:34,633 --> 00:08:37,033 pullback to view app trade is so valuable 189 00:08:37,033 --> 00:08:39,933 now looking at a real life example here 190 00:08:39,933 --> 00:08:44,433 right we can see price this is qqq so we 191 00:08:44,433 --> 00:08:47,333 can see price selling off there's a bounce 192 00:08:47,333 --> 00:08:49,833 here it doesn't really get to vwap so 193 00:08:49,833 --> 00:08:51,500 that's not that's not going to be counted 194 00:08:51,500 --> 00:08:54,266 as the pullback to view app trade it does 195 00:08:54,266 --> 00:08:56,166 indeed sell off again and break the 196 00:08:56,166 --> 00:09:00,166 session low but this this is the real 197 00:09:00,166 --> 00:09:03,166 pullback to view app test that we look for 198 00:09:03,166 --> 00:09:05,533 comes back test view app you have your 199 00:09:05,533 --> 00:09:06,966 signal bar there we're going to be talking 200 00:09:06,966 --> 00:09:08,666 about signal bars on the next slide here 201 00:09:08,666 --> 00:09:10,233 but you have your signal bar right there 202 00:09:10,233 --> 00:09:13,733 and so you're short you're either short 203 00:09:13,733 --> 00:09:19,566 via nq or you're short via qqq puts again 204 00:09:19,566 --> 00:09:22,400 what we're looking for is a move down into 205 00:09:22,400 --> 00:09:24,900 session lows so you can see when price hit 206 00:09:24,900 --> 00:09:27,033 those session lows here i experience a 207 00:09:27,033 --> 00:09:28,833 bounce it's because the shorts are 208 00:09:28,833 --> 00:09:30,633 starting to cover their positions right 209 00:09:30,633 --> 00:09:33,266 you would be short until price makes a 210 00:09:33,266 --> 00:09:36,033 session low or test the session low and 211 00:09:36,033 --> 00:09:40,200 then you cover or you sell your puts at a 212 00:09:40,200 --> 00:09:43,066 at a pretty large profit now where is your 213 00:09:43,066 --> 00:09:47,233 stop on this particular trade the stop is 214 00:09:47,233 --> 00:09:49,033 going to be up through the highs right 215 00:09:49,033 --> 00:09:52,266 here right so let's say price pulls back 216 00:09:52,266 --> 00:09:54,500 off of off of view app you're short and 217 00:09:54,500 --> 00:09:55,933 then all of a sudden it bounces out of 218 00:09:55,933 --> 00:09:59,233 nowhere if it breaks this high where this 219 00:09:59,233 --> 00:10:02,500 circle is you take the stop on the trade 220 00:10:02,500 --> 00:10:05,266 the trade is done it is no longer 221 00:10:05,266 --> 00:10:07,566 something that you want to be holding if 222 00:10:07,566 --> 00:10:10,100 you continue to hold past this point 223 00:10:10,100 --> 00:10:12,933 hoping that it comes back you're no longer 224 00:10:12,933 --> 00:10:15,166 trading you are gambling understand that 225 00:10:15,166 --> 00:10:20,533 okay the edge in this trade is in this 226 00:10:20,533 --> 00:10:22,733 sequence right here where price retests 227 00:10:22,733 --> 00:10:25,066 vwap and then gives you a signal bar that 228 00:10:25,066 --> 00:10:27,366 is where the edge is if you start to 229 00:10:27,366 --> 00:10:30,866 ignore that you have no edge you're not 230 00:10:30,866 --> 00:10:32,500 trading anymore you're just purely 231 00:10:32,500 --> 00:10:35,233 gambling and so there are other places you 232 00:10:35,233 --> 00:10:37,033 can gamble outside of the stock market i 233 00:10:37,033 --> 00:10:40,400 would not recommend doing it here now what 234 00:10:40,400 --> 00:10:43,366 does a signal bar look like so we know we 235 00:10:43,366 --> 00:10:45,866 know the location at which we want price 236 00:10:45,866 --> 00:10:48,100 it is vwap so we want to be observing 237 00:10:48,100 --> 00:10:50,833 price at vwap that does not necessarily 238 00:10:50,833 --> 00:10:53,466 mean that we're initiating a trade at vwap 239 00:10:54,066 --> 00:10:56,133 we're simply watching price at vwap we're 240 00:10:56,133 --> 00:10:56,400 going to see you see you see you see you 241 00:10:56,400 --> 00:10:56,533 see you see you see see see 18052

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