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♪♪
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-In order to understand whether
hurricanes are getting worse,
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we have to understand
what they've done in the past.
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-Joanne Muller is
a paleotempestologist.
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She's a scientist who studies
the forensic record
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of ancient storms.
[ Thunder rumbles ]
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-We're looking for evidence
of past hurricane events
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to try to understand
what the hurricane history
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00:00:28,300 --> 00:00:30,433
is on the west coast
of Florida.
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♪♪
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-Every major hurricane
to ever hit Florida's coast
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has left behind a calling card
like the sediment
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00:00:45,366 --> 00:00:47,533
buried deep
beneath this lagoon.
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By sifting through the evidence
of long-ago hurricanes,
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Muller will help Miami
predict storms of the future.
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[ Thunder rumbles ]
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The world's great cities
face threats they have never
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before encountered --
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New York,
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Tokyo,
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London,
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Miami.
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The threats come from the sea,
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from above
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and from below.
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These are the problems
and their solutions...
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♪♪
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...for when the water comes.
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[ Waves crashing ]
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♪♪
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-At their Florida
Gulf Coast University lab,
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Joanne Muller's team
analyzes sediment cores
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to create a timeline
of hurricanes
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that happened centuries ago.
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-This is essentially
the overwash
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that the hurricane has produced,
so this is what the hurricane
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00:02:03,100 --> 00:02:06,566
has brought back
into the lagoon.
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-Muller is looking at samples
from 1,000 years ago.
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From 950 to 1250 A.D.,
the Medieval Warm Period
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was a time when the Atlantic
Ocean was warmer than usual.
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She finds that there's
more sediment overwash
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and evidence of more hurricane
activity in that period.
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-Well, what we're seeing here
in southwest Florida
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is time periods
of activity and inactivity,
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and these time periods
of activity
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are correlated with warmer
sea-surface temperatures
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in the main development region
of the Atlantic,
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so, for example, during
the Medieval Warm Period
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when sea-surface temperatures
were warmer,
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we see quite a few more
overwashed layers
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during that time period whereas,
during the Little Ice Age,
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which was a relatively
cooler period,
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sea-surface temperatures
were relatively lower out
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in the main
development region.
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We don't see any
overwashed layers.
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-With Atlantic Ocean surface
temperatures now rising,
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Muller's research indicates
that Florida should expect
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more hurricanes
in the 21st century.
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-So what this is telling us
is that,
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00:03:15,200 --> 00:03:17,233
when sea-surface
temperatures are warmer,
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we tend to see more
landfalling storms
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here in southwest Florida,
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and we should be expecting
more storms like this.
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[ Thunder rumbles ]
65
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-From Miamians, the upside
of living by the water
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has always outweighed
the drawbacks,
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00:03:35,900 --> 00:03:38,233
but while most residents
are used to the flooding
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00:03:38,266 --> 00:03:40,966
and heavy rains that comes
with tropical storms,
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00:03:41,000 --> 00:03:43,433
they're now facing
a new kind of flooding,
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00:03:43,466 --> 00:03:45,733
which comes from
below the ground,
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00:03:45,766 --> 00:03:48,233
often when there's not
a cloud in the sky.
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It happens during
what's called king tides.
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Locals just call it
sunny-day flooding.
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00:03:56,800 --> 00:03:58,200
-The first time that,
that happened,
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I was surprised
because what you find, it's --
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00:04:01,666 --> 00:04:03,300
At the end of this road
in particular,
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you'll find a bunch of water
and big puddles.
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00:04:06,566 --> 00:04:09,900
-Laura Pantano is a
real-estate agent.
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She lives in Shorecrest,
a neighborhood in Miami
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on the shore of Biscayne Bay.
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00:04:17,266 --> 00:04:20,500
-I really was ignorant
about the king tide,
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and I knew that the tide
is controlled or influenced
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by the moon
and the full moon,
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but I never realized
how you could wake up
85
00:04:29,433 --> 00:04:31,333
in the morning like this
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and find water
at the doorstep of your house
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for no other reason
than the tide,
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and then I will find in my
driveway all of the debris...
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Like that, what you see here,
that I have to clean up.
90
00:04:46,633 --> 00:04:48,866
...because everything
is literally on your house,
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00:04:48,900 --> 00:04:51,733
and it's sunny,
and you don't understand.
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-King tides are
the higher-than-normal tides,
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which usually occur
during a full or new moon.
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Because of rising sea level,
high tides now often push up
95
00:05:01,900 --> 00:05:04,933
through Miami's drainage system
and onto the streets,
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00:05:04,966 --> 00:05:08,500
carrying debris
along as they go.
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00:05:08,533 --> 00:05:10,800
The water might then disappear
between tides
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00:05:10,833 --> 00:05:13,833
only to flood back up again
12 hours later.
99
00:05:16,266 --> 00:05:19,100
-As the sea is rising,
those same tides,
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00:05:19,133 --> 00:05:21,233
they're riding on higher seas,
101
00:05:21,266 --> 00:05:23,700
so the water comes through
those drains and pipes
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00:05:23,733 --> 00:05:25,933
and pops up in the streets.
103
00:05:28,033 --> 00:05:30,833
There are some figures
that say that a sea-level
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00:05:30,866 --> 00:05:32,866
rise in that area of Miami
105
00:05:32,900 --> 00:05:37,066
is six times faster
than the global average.
106
00:05:37,100 --> 00:05:39,833
By 2030, it's expected
that they will see
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00:05:39,866 --> 00:05:42,600
about 50 tidal floods a year
108
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and, by 2045,
about 250 times a year.
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Yeah.
Can you imagine?
110
00:05:51,333 --> 00:05:53,100
-It's not seawater flooding.
111
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It's freshwater in the aquifer
stored beneath the city,
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which is being pushed up
by the rising tide.
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00:06:00,066 --> 00:06:03,366
-Cities like Miami
are a complicated machine.
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They try to keep saltwater
from the ocean
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00:06:05,333 --> 00:06:07,833
from coming
into the well zones,
116
00:06:07,866 --> 00:06:10,400
and they recharge the
groundwater from rivers
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and canals.
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00:06:12,700 --> 00:06:15,066
We need the groundwater
to be high,
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00:06:15,100 --> 00:06:18,466
sufficient for using it
for water resources,
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00:06:18,500 --> 00:06:19,766
but not too high.
121
00:06:19,800 --> 00:06:22,033
We need the rain
but not too much rain,
122
00:06:22,066 --> 00:06:26,433
so it's difficult to balance
how they're going to maintain
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00:06:26,466 --> 00:06:28,733
a thick enough lens
of freshwater
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00:06:28,766 --> 00:06:31,333
in the water table
for water use
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00:06:31,366 --> 00:06:37,233
and not let the sea level
push it up out of the ground.
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-In Miami Beach,
king-tide flooding
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has increased 400 percent
in the past 10 years.
128
00:06:47,266 --> 00:06:50,433
The underlying reason why
Miami experiences increased
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00:06:50,466 --> 00:06:54,166
flooding has to do not only
with global sea-level rise
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00:06:54,200 --> 00:06:57,166
but with the city's
unique foundation.
131
00:06:57,200 --> 00:06:59,400
Doug Marcy has been
studying sea level
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00:06:59,433 --> 00:07:01,566
for more than 20 years.
133
00:07:01,600 --> 00:07:05,733
-This is a fossiliferous
limestone.
134
00:07:05,766 --> 00:07:10,900
It has calcium carbonate
and quartz sand.
135
00:07:10,933 --> 00:07:13,033
Most of southeast Florida
and Miami-Dade area
136
00:07:13,066 --> 00:07:16,566
is built on top of
this type of limestone.
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00:07:16,600 --> 00:07:19,166
It's hard, so it's good
for building
138
00:07:19,200 --> 00:07:22,200
into for high-rise structures
and things like that.
139
00:07:22,233 --> 00:07:23,633
It's very porous as you can tell
140
00:07:23,666 --> 00:07:27,400
and has a lot of these holes
that are basically --
141
00:07:27,433 --> 00:07:29,933
got little mini caves,
if you will.
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00:07:29,966 --> 00:07:34,800
So to show you how porous
this rock really is,
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00:07:34,833 --> 00:07:37,600
if I pour this seawater
into the top...
144
00:07:40,100 --> 00:07:44,033
...it goes right through kind of
like Swiss cheese.
145
00:07:46,400 --> 00:07:48,700
So groundwater doesn't flow
that fast,
146
00:07:48,733 --> 00:07:50,433
but the main point is,
147
00:07:50,466 --> 00:07:52,833
there's no impedance
to the flow here.
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00:07:52,866 --> 00:07:55,133
-Most of Miami
and southern Florida
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00:07:55,166 --> 00:07:58,066
sit on this giant bed
of limestone.
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00:07:58,100 --> 00:07:59,866
As the ocean levels rise,
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00:07:59,900 --> 00:08:03,466
seawater pushes up
through the porous rock,
152
00:08:03,500 --> 00:08:06,700
and as it continues to be
forced up through the limestone,
153
00:08:06,733 --> 00:08:10,733
it will infiltrate
the natural freshwater aquifer.
154
00:08:10,766 --> 00:08:12,466
-It actually can come up
through storm drains
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00:08:12,500 --> 00:08:16,200
and close roads and cause
transportation-access problems,
156
00:08:16,233 --> 00:08:19,433
also can cause problems
with businesses and whatnot,
157
00:08:19,466 --> 00:08:21,400
so as the saltwater wedge
moves in
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00:08:21,433 --> 00:08:24,533
and drinking-water wells
come in contact with that,
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00:08:24,566 --> 00:08:26,833
then it'll start to become
higher salinity values,
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00:08:26,866 --> 00:08:30,533
and they won't be able to use
that for drinking water anymore.
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00:08:30,566 --> 00:08:33,200
-But it's not just salt
contaminating Miami's
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00:08:33,233 --> 00:08:34,400
drinking water.
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00:08:34,433 --> 00:08:37,100
There's an even worse problem.
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00:08:37,133 --> 00:08:40,400
20 percent of Miami-Dade
still uses septic tanks
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00:08:40,433 --> 00:08:42,066
to collect sewage,
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00:08:42,100 --> 00:08:44,633
and as the water
seeps up to the surface,
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00:08:44,666 --> 00:08:46,366
it gets into those tanks,
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00:08:46,400 --> 00:08:50,533
causing the flood water
to mix with the sewage inside.
169
00:08:50,566 --> 00:08:53,066
-It's definitely not clear,
fresh water.
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It's muddy.
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It's for sure contaminated,
and it travels to your house,
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00:08:59,400 --> 00:09:03,566
to where your children
walk barefoot.
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00:09:03,600 --> 00:09:05,766
-The City of Miami
advises residents
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00:09:05,800 --> 00:09:08,266
not to come in contact
with the flood water
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00:09:08,300 --> 00:09:10,500
and to wash immediately
if they do.
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00:09:13,300 --> 00:09:17,633
James Murley is chief resilience
officer for Miami-Dade County.
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00:09:22,233 --> 00:09:26,466
By air, he can see the problems
that surround the Miami area,
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00:09:26,500 --> 00:09:29,600
problems that were right there
from the beginning.
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00:09:29,633 --> 00:09:32,100
-When man intervenes in nature,
you end up
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00:09:32,133 --> 00:09:34,100
with a lot
of unintended consequences,
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00:09:34,133 --> 00:09:40,800
and we try to learn from the
mistakes we made in the past.
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00:09:40,833 --> 00:09:42,066
-One of those mistakes
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00:09:42,100 --> 00:09:44,666
was the removal
of the mangrove forests,
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00:09:44,700 --> 00:09:47,100
nature's protection
for coastlines.
185
00:09:49,166 --> 00:09:52,133
This is what Miami looked like
before it was developed.
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00:09:54,633 --> 00:09:58,966
-All along here, everything
you see green is mangrove.
187
00:09:59,000 --> 00:10:00,533
Mangroves are very valuable.
188
00:10:00,566 --> 00:10:01,766
They protect.
189
00:10:01,800 --> 00:10:04,566
They break down the storm surge
coming in.
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00:10:04,600 --> 00:10:07,333
It's must cheaper to maintain
mangrove forest
191
00:10:07,366 --> 00:10:09,000
than it is to build concrete.
192
00:10:09,033 --> 00:10:12,566
You build concrete walls
or dikes.
193
00:10:12,600 --> 00:10:15,233
-The mangroves area
Miami's prehistory,
194
00:10:15,266 --> 00:10:17,600
which needs to be restored.
195
00:10:17,633 --> 00:10:19,300
It's the city's human impact
196
00:10:19,333 --> 00:10:22,933
that is destined
to be destroyed.
197
00:10:22,966 --> 00:10:27,400
-What we see coming up
is a mobile-home park.
198
00:10:27,433 --> 00:10:30,800
They were built decades ago
in a time
199
00:10:30,833 --> 00:10:35,000
when people thought
we would keep the water out,
200
00:10:35,033 --> 00:10:36,833
but now we know
we can't do that.
201
00:10:39,600 --> 00:10:44,066
-The most vulnerable areas
are also Miami's most valuable.
202
00:10:44,100 --> 00:10:46,933
Even at a glance, it's clear
they will be underwater
203
00:10:46,966 --> 00:10:48,966
when the ocean rises.
204
00:10:49,000 --> 00:10:50,833
-This is in the city
of Coral Gables.
205
00:10:50,866 --> 00:10:53,800
It's their most expensive
real estate.
206
00:10:53,833 --> 00:10:55,500
We understand the value
of this real estate
207
00:10:55,533 --> 00:10:57,700
in terms of real-estate taxes,
208
00:10:57,733 --> 00:11:01,166
but we also realize that those
decisions we made decades ago
209
00:11:01,200 --> 00:11:04,233
to allow this kind of
development right on the coast,
210
00:11:04,266 --> 00:11:06,033
we're not going
to keep doing that.
211
00:11:09,433 --> 00:11:12,200
If we were to experience
a huge catastrophic storm,
212
00:11:12,233 --> 00:11:14,800
then we'd have to relook
at how we redevelop.
213
00:11:14,833 --> 00:11:17,600
It may be better in the future
214
00:11:17,633 --> 00:11:20,933
to relocate
those most vulnerable areas.
215
00:11:25,366 --> 00:11:27,733
-Dr. Keren Bolter
is a climate scientist
216
00:11:27,766 --> 00:11:30,433
who was born
and raised in Miami.
217
00:11:30,466 --> 00:11:32,400
She was alarmed to see
how climate change
218
00:11:32,433 --> 00:11:37,600
was transforming her city
while being ignored by many.
219
00:11:37,633 --> 00:11:39,133
-When I learned about
climate change,
220
00:11:39,166 --> 00:11:40,966
it blew my mind
that all of these
221
00:11:41,000 --> 00:11:42,500
dramatic changes were happening,
222
00:11:42,533 --> 00:11:46,733
and people still were wondering
whether it was a problem,
223
00:11:46,766 --> 00:11:49,400
and once I had kids, I realized
it was my life mission
224
00:11:49,433 --> 00:11:53,533
to get people to wake up
and understand what's happening.
225
00:11:57,700 --> 00:11:59,766
-Bolter has modeled
how sea-level rise
226
00:11:59,800 --> 00:12:03,400
will affect Miami-Dade County
through the next century
227
00:12:03,433 --> 00:12:05,366
based on predictions from NOAA,
228
00:12:05,400 --> 00:12:09,633
the National Oceanographic
and Atmospheric Administration.
229
00:12:09,666 --> 00:12:11,566
-So these tools and this data
230
00:12:11,600 --> 00:12:15,666
is a really good communication
method to show what's happening.
231
00:12:15,700 --> 00:12:19,766
We already see 20 days a year
that just high tide,
232
00:12:19,800 --> 00:12:22,200
the water is higher
than the land,
233
00:12:22,233 --> 00:12:25,266
and how does that increase
in the future?
234
00:12:25,300 --> 00:12:28,533
Two to three feet of sea-level
rise basically takes
235
00:12:28,566 --> 00:12:33,366
Downtown Miami, Miami Beach
and puts it below sea level,
236
00:12:33,400 --> 00:12:35,666
and these areas are where
the movie stars live
237
00:12:35,700 --> 00:12:36,766
and the famous people.
238
00:12:36,800 --> 00:12:38,800
These are the low-lying areas,
239
00:12:38,833 --> 00:12:41,500
but they stand out
not only because of that
240
00:12:41,533 --> 00:12:43,566
but because
they have the resources.
241
00:12:43,600 --> 00:12:45,833
This is very high
property value,
242
00:12:45,866 --> 00:12:49,066
the highest in all of Florida,
243
00:12:49,100 --> 00:12:53,566
but if you look further north,
we have these vulnerable areas.
244
00:12:53,600 --> 00:12:57,333
What I did was, I actually
modeled low-income populations
245
00:12:57,366 --> 00:12:59,233
at low elevation,
and what I found was,
246
00:12:59,266 --> 00:13:03,066
there's a huge hot spot
in this area.
247
00:13:03,100 --> 00:13:06,600
-The hot spot is only 15 miles
from Miami Beach.
248
00:13:06,633 --> 00:13:11,700
Much of the population here
lives below the poverty line.
249
00:13:11,733 --> 00:13:14,666
-So there's a huge
social vulnerability
250
00:13:14,700 --> 00:13:18,266
and physical vulnerability
in this kind of hot spot.
251
00:13:18,300 --> 00:13:22,600
These are the people
that will be truly displaced.
252
00:13:22,633 --> 00:13:28,933
-My name is Eric Bason,
and I'm a community activist
253
00:13:28,966 --> 00:13:33,666
working around issues on climate
change and sea-level rise.
254
00:13:33,700 --> 00:13:35,066
-Eric Bason is among
255
00:13:35,100 --> 00:13:38,600
those living
in Miami's most vulnerable area.
256
00:13:38,633 --> 00:13:41,166
-Well, the community
is low-income communities,
257
00:13:41,200 --> 00:13:43,800
and members such as myself
are highly effected
258
00:13:43,833 --> 00:13:46,100
because we don't have
the resources when, like,
259
00:13:46,133 --> 00:13:48,033
a flood happens.
260
00:13:48,066 --> 00:13:49,933
I try to educate
community members
261
00:13:49,966 --> 00:13:51,733
about what's accessible to them.
262
00:13:51,766 --> 00:13:54,200
When they're having meetings
at city hall,
263
00:13:54,233 --> 00:13:56,466
should make sure that they go
and have their voices heard
264
00:13:56,500 --> 00:13:59,133
so that more resources
could come down
265
00:13:59,166 --> 00:14:02,566
to help low-income
communities like mine.
266
00:14:02,600 --> 00:14:04,700
-What's going on?
-Somebody is paying
267
00:14:04,733 --> 00:14:06,333
for the roads to be fixed,
268
00:14:06,366 --> 00:14:08,600
so somebody is paying
for flood prevention.
269
00:14:08,633 --> 00:14:09,866
-See you, man.
-All right.
270
00:14:09,900 --> 00:14:11,200
-People who live here want
to make sure
271
00:14:11,233 --> 00:14:14,833
they get their fair
share of that money.
272
00:14:14,866 --> 00:14:16,866
-There's a lot of money
being given
273
00:14:16,900 --> 00:14:20,233
for low-income communities
to offset their flooding,
274
00:14:20,266 --> 00:14:22,600
but it doesn't seem to go
down to these communities.
275
00:14:22,633 --> 00:14:24,333
When you vote for these people,
you hire them,
276
00:14:24,366 --> 00:14:27,166
and it's our responsibility
to hold them accountable
277
00:14:27,200 --> 00:14:28,433
and especially
for poor people
278
00:14:28,466 --> 00:14:30,033
if they plan
on getting any help.
279
00:14:30,066 --> 00:14:31,266
The squeaky wheel gets the oil.
280
00:14:31,300 --> 00:14:33,200
It's just that simple.
281
00:14:33,233 --> 00:14:35,833
-As Miami's chief
resilience officer,
282
00:14:35,866 --> 00:14:38,833
Jane Gilbert recognizes
that low-income communities
283
00:14:38,866 --> 00:14:43,100
are much more vulnerable
to the rising sea.
284
00:14:43,133 --> 00:14:46,833
-Just under 30 percent
of the City of Miami population
285
00:14:46,866 --> 00:14:49,766
is living at poverty level
or less,
286
00:14:49,800 --> 00:14:53,933
and I would say a little
over 60 percent
287
00:14:53,966 --> 00:14:56,066
have a hard time
meeting basic needs,
288
00:14:56,100 --> 00:14:59,233
whether it's rent or child care
or transportation,
289
00:14:59,266 --> 00:15:01,866
because we have very high costs
290
00:15:01,900 --> 00:15:05,766
of both housing
and transportation costs.
291
00:15:05,800 --> 00:15:08,100
The majority of our population
is having a hard time
292
00:15:08,133 --> 00:15:11,700
making ends meet,
so that needs to be built
293
00:15:11,733 --> 00:15:15,733
into our resilience strategy
as part of it.
294
00:15:15,766 --> 00:15:20,233
-For all its citizens,
Miami needs a plan to survive.
295
00:15:20,266 --> 00:15:22,300
According to
current projections,
296
00:15:22,333 --> 00:15:23,866
sea-level rise will impact
297
00:15:23,900 --> 00:15:27,066
Miami more than any other city
in the US.
298
00:15:29,833 --> 00:15:34,266
Miami could experience as much
as a 3-foot rise by 2080
299
00:15:34,300 --> 00:15:38,833
and as much as
a 6-foot rise by 2100.
300
00:15:38,866 --> 00:15:40,966
-This is an extremely
frightening scenario.
301
00:15:41,000 --> 00:15:44,300
It's scary to even think that,
as a worst-case scenario,
302
00:15:44,333 --> 00:15:46,433
it's possible,
and the fact that it's possible,
303
00:15:46,466 --> 00:15:47,800
we need to consider it.
304
00:15:47,833 --> 00:15:50,200
And even more alarming,
further south,
305
00:15:50,233 --> 00:15:52,000
we happen to have
right along the coastline
306
00:15:52,033 --> 00:15:55,000
a nuclear power plant,
Turkey Point.
307
00:15:55,033 --> 00:15:58,233
All of the cooling canals
in the surrounding areas
308
00:15:58,266 --> 00:16:01,666
are extremely low, so there's
a really big vulnerability
309
00:16:01,700 --> 00:16:03,333
for the nuclear power plant.
310
00:16:03,366 --> 00:16:05,666
It's a little scary for me
living so close
311
00:16:05,700 --> 00:16:08,866
to a nuclear power plant
that is that low-lying.
312
00:16:08,900 --> 00:16:12,000
-Miami-Dade Chief Resilience
Officer James Murley
313
00:16:12,033 --> 00:16:15,066
is also worried
about Turkey Point.
314
00:16:15,100 --> 00:16:17,833
-So the plant was built there
in 1976,
315
00:16:17,866 --> 00:16:21,633
and it's cooled by a large area
of cooling canals.
316
00:16:21,666 --> 00:16:23,200
Those probably
wouldn't be the way
317
00:16:23,233 --> 00:16:24,966
we would permit it today,
318
00:16:25,000 --> 00:16:27,766
but, you know,
that's what we had to live with.
319
00:16:27,800 --> 00:16:29,300
We'd like to have
cooling towers.
320
00:16:29,333 --> 00:16:32,733
That may be in the future,
but that's where we are.
321
00:16:36,900 --> 00:16:39,433
-Miami is also considered
the most at-risk
322
00:16:39,466 --> 00:16:42,466
city worldwide
for potential property damage
323
00:16:42,500 --> 00:16:46,766
due to rising sea level
and storm-related flooding.
324
00:16:46,800 --> 00:16:51,666
More than $416 billion
in real estate is at risk here.
325
00:16:54,200 --> 00:16:55,733
-If you look at Downtown Miami
right now,
326
00:16:55,766 --> 00:16:58,100
you see crane
after crane after crane,
327
00:16:58,133 --> 00:17:02,566
and you see new construction
after new construction,
328
00:17:02,600 --> 00:17:07,066
gleaming towers
rising out of the bay.
329
00:17:07,099 --> 00:17:08,500
You think to yourself,
"Wait a second.
330
00:17:08,533 --> 00:17:10,533
Who's buying this?
Who's selling?
331
00:17:10,566 --> 00:17:11,966
Aren't these people crazy?
332
00:17:12,000 --> 00:17:16,200
How can they be plunking
this amount of money into it?"
333
00:17:16,233 --> 00:17:18,200
We're going to get probably
2 feet of sea-level
334
00:17:18,233 --> 00:17:21,933
rise by 2060, and by 2100,
we might get 6 feet of water,
335
00:17:21,966 --> 00:17:25,233
and none of this
construction is, by law,
336
00:17:25,266 --> 00:17:27,466
required to take into account
337
00:17:27,500 --> 00:17:30,500
that sea-level rise
within its design.
338
00:17:30,533 --> 00:17:32,300
-So we have to look
at infrastructure.
339
00:17:32,333 --> 00:17:35,366
We have to look at building
and land-use codes,
340
00:17:35,400 --> 00:17:39,966
and we have to do a lot around
citizen-resident outreach,
341
00:17:40,000 --> 00:17:42,166
education, information.
342
00:17:42,200 --> 00:17:47,566
♪♪
343
00:17:47,600 --> 00:17:53,000
♪♪
344
00:17:53,033 --> 00:17:56,433
-If Miami Beach is underwater
within the next century,
345
00:17:56,466 --> 00:17:58,266
these buildings are doomed.
346
00:18:01,866 --> 00:18:03,433
-How much is the real estate
in Miami Beach
347
00:18:03,466 --> 00:18:06,466
worth when the beach is gone?
348
00:18:06,500 --> 00:18:10,600
So I think that Miami Beach
goes eventually.
349
00:18:13,000 --> 00:18:15,766
If you look at the incomes
of people in Miami,
350
00:18:15,800 --> 00:18:18,133
Miami Beach, North Miami,
351
00:18:18,166 --> 00:18:22,166
the high-income zone is still
along the saltwater shore zone.
352
00:18:22,200 --> 00:18:25,000
-It's only a matter of time
before these houses,
353
00:18:25,033 --> 00:18:29,766
along with their mortgages,
end up underwater.
354
00:18:29,800 --> 00:18:32,733
-But when your bathroom
doesn't work anymore,
355
00:18:32,766 --> 00:18:35,100
can your house retain its value?
356
00:18:35,133 --> 00:18:37,966
Somebody has to give them
the economic signal
357
00:18:38,000 --> 00:18:40,866
that those properties
are losing value.
358
00:18:40,900 --> 00:18:43,866
Until they feel it, like,
the bank says to them,
359
00:18:43,900 --> 00:18:46,433
"You know what? Your house
isn't worth the mortgage
360
00:18:46,466 --> 00:18:49,066
that you have for it,"
361
00:18:49,100 --> 00:18:52,133
so we'll see what happens
to a lot of people
362
00:18:52,166 --> 00:18:58,000
as this slower-moving trend
starts to become a real issue
363
00:18:58,033 --> 00:19:03,366
in the very thin crust
of infrastructure in Miami.
364
00:19:03,400 --> 00:19:05,566
-Today, developers continue
to build
365
00:19:05,600 --> 00:19:08,166
on Miami's
most vulnerable ground,
366
00:19:08,200 --> 00:19:12,066
and buyers keep demanding
those condos with a view,
367
00:19:12,100 --> 00:19:15,033
but developers are focused
on the immediate future,
368
00:19:15,066 --> 00:19:17,166
not beyond.
369
00:19:17,200 --> 00:19:23,166
There's no long-range plan
other than build, sell, repeat.
370
00:19:23,200 --> 00:19:25,166
-So are these pieces
of real estate
371
00:19:25,200 --> 00:19:26,500
the equivalent of junk bonds?
372
00:19:26,533 --> 00:19:27,933
Are these investments
that people are never
373
00:19:27,966 --> 00:19:29,233
going to see a return on?
374
00:19:29,266 --> 00:19:31,633
At some point, the Miami
real-estate market
375
00:19:31,666 --> 00:19:34,700
is going to really have
to start integrating accurately
376
00:19:34,733 --> 00:19:40,833
the price of rising sea levels
into how much stuff costs.
377
00:19:40,866 --> 00:19:43,066
-That may already be happening.
378
00:19:43,100 --> 00:19:45,666
A recent study found that houses
on the coast
379
00:19:45,700 --> 00:19:50,233
now sell for seven percent less
than houses in the interior,
380
00:19:50,266 --> 00:19:54,866
but what isn't changing is the
high demand for property here.
381
00:19:54,900 --> 00:19:56,766
-So who's buying in Miami?
382
00:19:56,800 --> 00:19:59,700
Well, the honest answer is that,
sometimes, we really don't know.
383
00:19:59,733 --> 00:20:01,500
Miami has two property markets.
384
00:20:01,533 --> 00:20:03,400
One is the market for people
like you and me
385
00:20:03,433 --> 00:20:05,000
who are looking
for a place to live,
386
00:20:05,033 --> 00:20:08,066
and the other is the market
for the world's one percent.
387
00:20:08,100 --> 00:20:10,666
They're looking for a place
to plunk their money.
388
00:20:10,700 --> 00:20:14,100
Something like two-thirds
of the properties in the city
389
00:20:14,133 --> 00:20:16,800
are actually owned by
limited-liability corporations
390
00:20:16,833 --> 00:20:18,733
whose providence is opaque.
391
00:20:18,766 --> 00:20:20,800
We don't know who owns
these places.
392
00:20:20,833 --> 00:20:23,900
It's a great haven for offshore
funny money
393
00:20:23,933 --> 00:20:25,466
from developing countries
394
00:20:25,500 --> 00:20:28,366
and people trying to escape
taxes in those places,
395
00:20:28,400 --> 00:20:30,466
putting money in Miami.
396
00:20:30,500 --> 00:20:32,066
-Miami is no stranger
397
00:20:32,100 --> 00:20:35,700
to resourceful
if not shady business deals.
398
00:20:35,733 --> 00:20:40,133
Its very inception
was a huge risk.
399
00:20:40,166 --> 00:20:42,133
-If you look at Miami-Dade
County today,
400
00:20:42,166 --> 00:20:46,700
you've got millions of people
living in what was the swamp.
401
00:20:46,733 --> 00:20:52,266
This map depicts Florida
at the time of 1835 to 1842.
402
00:20:52,300 --> 00:20:54,033
The Everglades was massive.
403
00:20:54,066 --> 00:20:57,133
It measured from Lake Okeechobee
down to Florida Bay,
404
00:20:57,166 --> 00:21:00,000
about 4 million acres
of swampland.
405
00:21:00,033 --> 00:21:02,800
There were mosquitoes
everywhere, so again,
406
00:21:02,833 --> 00:21:04,133
there's just really nobody here.
407
00:21:04,166 --> 00:21:06,000
There's really --
Other than the coastal area,
408
00:21:06,033 --> 00:21:08,333
there's no place
you can really live.
409
00:21:08,366 --> 00:21:10,066
You can't live in the swamp.
410
00:21:13,600 --> 00:21:19,100
-In 1891, an Ohio businesswoman
named Julia Tuttle moved there
411
00:21:19,133 --> 00:21:22,366
and began lobbying another
Ohioan, Henry Flagler,
412
00:21:22,400 --> 00:21:26,100
to extend his railroad
to the coast.
413
00:21:26,133 --> 00:21:29,066
Flagler enlisted Bohemian
and other migrant workers
414
00:21:29,100 --> 00:21:30,533
to build the railway,
415
00:21:30,566 --> 00:21:35,166
which reached
the Atlantic coast by 1896.
416
00:21:35,200 --> 00:21:37,366
Then, in the early 1900s,
417
00:21:37,400 --> 00:21:40,633
another entrepreneur
from the north, Carl G. Fisher,
418
00:21:40,666 --> 00:21:43,200
arrived
and really got things going.
419
00:21:46,666 --> 00:21:48,833
Fisher cut down
the mangrove forests
420
00:21:48,866 --> 00:21:53,933
and dredged sand from the bottom
of the bay to fill the swamp.
421
00:21:53,966 --> 00:21:56,033
Miami Beach was born.
422
00:21:59,766 --> 00:22:03,400
Carl Fisher turned a swamp
into a dream,
423
00:22:03,433 --> 00:22:07,866
and almost immediately,
Miami's fragile beginnings crack
424
00:22:07,900 --> 00:22:10,633
with the arrival
of a devastating storm.
425
00:22:10,666 --> 00:22:13,200
[ Thunder rumbles ]
426
00:22:13,233 --> 00:22:15,900
-The Miami hurricane of 1926,
427
00:22:15,933 --> 00:22:17,866
it did tremendous destruction
to the area.
428
00:22:17,900 --> 00:22:20,266
The damage was unreal.
429
00:22:20,300 --> 00:22:22,400
An estimated 10,000 people
were homeless
430
00:22:22,433 --> 00:22:25,300
and thousands of structures
uninhabitable at the time.
431
00:22:25,333 --> 00:22:27,566
The flooding
was incredibly severe.
432
00:22:29,933 --> 00:22:34,400
-Over 300 people died
in that 1926 hurricane.
433
00:22:34,433 --> 00:22:36,100
Adjusted for inflation,
434
00:22:36,133 --> 00:22:40,033
it caused more than
$100 billion worth of damage.
435
00:22:40,066 --> 00:22:43,200
[ Waves crashing ]
436
00:22:43,233 --> 00:22:47,466
Hurricanes hit Florida from June
to November every year,
437
00:22:47,500 --> 00:22:50,066
but the biggest storm
of all still strikes fear
438
00:22:50,100 --> 00:22:53,366
into the hearts
of South Floridians,
439
00:22:53,400 --> 00:22:56,333
Hurricane Andrew in 1992.
440
00:23:01,000 --> 00:23:02,933
It's a night that changed
the lives
441
00:23:02,966 --> 00:23:06,566
of Miami's Petersen family.
442
00:23:06,600 --> 00:23:10,100
-The evening before the storm
hit, we were --
443
00:23:10,133 --> 00:23:11,266
-I think we were at a store.
444
00:23:11,300 --> 00:23:12,600
-We were out to dinner,
I believe.
445
00:23:12,633 --> 00:23:13,766
-Something, but...
-And then...
446
00:23:13,800 --> 00:23:14,633
-...we didn't take it
as seriously.
447
00:23:14,666 --> 00:23:16,266
-...we heard the news,
448
00:23:16,300 --> 00:23:19,100
was on maybe the television
that was in the restaurant,
449
00:23:19,133 --> 00:23:21,000
and it said
that Hurricane Andrew
450
00:23:21,033 --> 00:23:25,166
has taken a severe turn
to the west.
451
00:23:25,200 --> 00:23:29,266
-But Hurricane Andrew suddenly
changed course and intensified,
452
00:23:29,300 --> 00:23:32,333
confounding the experts.
453
00:23:32,366 --> 00:23:35,333
The state quickly called
for an evacuation of more
454
00:23:35,366 --> 00:23:37,833
than a million residents.
455
00:23:37,866 --> 00:23:39,433
-The police came,
and they said,
456
00:23:39,466 --> 00:23:42,233
"If you're not leaving, give us
next of kin, please," so --
457
00:23:42,266 --> 00:23:44,100
-That kind of sealed the deal.
458
00:23:44,133 --> 00:23:46,900
-But the Petersens,
unable to move quickly enough,
459
00:23:46,933 --> 00:23:49,033
found themselves
trapped in their home
460
00:23:49,066 --> 00:23:51,833
with no way
to protect their young son.
461
00:23:51,866 --> 00:23:54,233
-This is Bryan.
He was 4.
462
00:23:54,266 --> 00:23:55,866
-So get in your closets.
463
00:23:55,900 --> 00:23:59,600
Put the mattresses over
the opening of the closet
464
00:23:59,633 --> 00:24:01,733
and protect yourself
from any debris
465
00:24:01,766 --> 00:24:05,733
when your windows break,
and your windows will break.
466
00:24:05,766 --> 00:24:09,300
-I remember my dad having to
carry me on his shoulders,
467
00:24:09,333 --> 00:24:11,633
the water being so high
that it was up to his chest,
468
00:24:11,666 --> 00:24:14,633
and me sitting on his shoulders,
I could feel it on my toes,
469
00:24:14,666 --> 00:24:18,133
and I'll never forget
how cold the water was.
470
00:24:18,166 --> 00:24:19,666
I remember the roof being gone.
471
00:24:19,700 --> 00:24:21,466
I remember the entire
neighborhood
472
00:24:21,500 --> 00:24:23,566
looked like somebody
had just flattened it
473
00:24:23,600 --> 00:24:25,300
out of a pop-up book.
474
00:24:27,866 --> 00:24:29,900
-And I remember my son saying,
475
00:24:29,933 --> 00:24:32,966
"You can go through a hurricane
and think you die."
476
00:24:33,000 --> 00:24:35,300
Just --
-Yes.
477
00:24:35,333 --> 00:24:39,266
-Because we put pillows on him
in case any --
478
00:24:39,300 --> 00:24:44,733
It was scary,
still bring tears to me.
479
00:24:44,766 --> 00:24:47,400
-A wall of seawater rushed in.
480
00:24:47,433 --> 00:24:50,133
173-mile-per-hour winds
481
00:24:50,166 --> 00:24:52,866
sent deadly debris
hurtling through the air.
482
00:24:56,266 --> 00:24:58,466
-The middle of the night while
we were watching out the window,
483
00:24:58,500 --> 00:24:59,800
we saw the green lightning,
484
00:24:59,833 --> 00:25:01,533
which wasn't really
green lightning.
485
00:25:01,566 --> 00:25:04,133
It was the power substations
exploding.
486
00:25:04,166 --> 00:25:05,733
[ Explosion in distance ]
487
00:25:09,400 --> 00:25:15,366
-Andrew left Miami in ruins,
25,000 houses destroyed,
488
00:25:15,400 --> 00:25:18,933
more than 100,000
others damaged.
489
00:25:18,966 --> 00:25:20,966
It left 15 people dead.
490
00:25:23,433 --> 00:25:25,233
-The building code
had been insufficient
491
00:25:25,266 --> 00:25:27,300
for that type of a windstorm,
492
00:25:27,333 --> 00:25:28,900
so structures were built
in a way
493
00:25:28,933 --> 00:25:32,566
that the roofs weren't capable,
you know, flew right off.
494
00:25:32,600 --> 00:25:34,966
There was plenty evidence
of what we needed to do
495
00:25:35,000 --> 00:25:38,100
to tighten up our building code
and other standards.
496
00:25:40,133 --> 00:25:45,066
-The damages were enormous,
totaling $27 billion,
497
00:25:45,100 --> 00:25:49,466
enough to put eight insurance
companies out of business.
498
00:25:49,500 --> 00:25:52,833
At the time, it was the most
expensive natural disaster
499
00:25:52,866 --> 00:25:55,066
to strike the United States,
500
00:25:55,100 --> 00:25:59,000
only surpassed
by Hurricane Katrina in 2005.
501
00:26:02,200 --> 00:26:05,966
Now, as sea levels rise,
the storm surge experienced
502
00:26:06,000 --> 00:26:09,966
when Andrew hit would be
even more devastating.
503
00:26:10,000 --> 00:26:11,433
A quarter century later,
504
00:26:11,466 --> 00:26:14,033
Miami is still not
fully prepared.
505
00:26:14,066 --> 00:26:20,800
♪♪
506
00:26:20,833 --> 00:26:23,933
September 7, 2017 --
507
00:26:23,966 --> 00:26:27,366
Hurricane Irma barreled
toward Miami.
508
00:26:27,400 --> 00:26:30,933
It was the ninth named storm
of the year for this area.
509
00:26:34,233 --> 00:26:36,166
-We were thinking of water
surge of,
510
00:26:36,200 --> 00:26:37,900
I don't know, 20, 30 feet,
511
00:26:37,933 --> 00:26:39,566
which means, I mean,
it's a whole house.
512
00:26:39,600 --> 00:26:42,900
It's gone.
I was prepared for the worst.
513
00:26:42,933 --> 00:26:45,600
-Facing the prospect
of a category 5,
514
00:26:45,633 --> 00:26:48,066
the most intense storm possible,
515
00:26:48,100 --> 00:26:51,900
Miami did the only thing
it could, evacuate.
516
00:26:51,933 --> 00:27:01,966
♪♪
517
00:27:02,000 --> 00:27:05,133
Irma battered the city
with powerful winds.
518
00:27:05,166 --> 00:27:07,400
Water poured into the streets.
519
00:27:07,433 --> 00:27:09,900
Nearly the entire city
went dark.
520
00:27:09,933 --> 00:27:15,500
♪♪
521
00:27:15,533 --> 00:27:17,600
In the aftermath of that storm,
522
00:27:17,633 --> 00:27:22,166
Miami was forced to reckon
with catastrophic damage.
523
00:27:22,200 --> 00:27:26,500
-This road was
completely flooded, completely.
524
00:27:26,533 --> 00:27:32,833
We're talking 2 feet
height of water.
525
00:27:32,866 --> 00:27:34,466
-But the most shocking fact
526
00:27:34,500 --> 00:27:37,766
was that Irma didn't even
hit Miami directly.
527
00:27:37,800 --> 00:27:41,433
It shifted course
at the last second.
528
00:27:41,466 --> 00:27:45,666
Now even near misses
are leaving Miami underwater.
529
00:27:48,733 --> 00:27:50,633
One of Florida's biggest
challenges
530
00:27:50,666 --> 00:27:54,466
is a hurricane phenomenon
called rapid intensification.
531
00:27:59,133 --> 00:28:03,433
All Atlantic hurricanes
start near Africa,
532
00:28:03,466 --> 00:28:05,033
and most grow or dissipate
533
00:28:05,066 --> 00:28:08,133
predictably as they make
the crossing,
534
00:28:08,166 --> 00:28:10,766
but as they approach
the Gulf of Mexico,
535
00:28:10,800 --> 00:28:13,166
they encounter warmer waters.
536
00:28:13,200 --> 00:28:16,966
Together, with other weather
conditions, such as wind shear,
537
00:28:17,000 --> 00:28:20,566
rapid intensification
becomes deadly,
538
00:28:20,600 --> 00:28:22,600
and as forecasters know,
539
00:28:22,633 --> 00:28:25,100
it's almost impossible
to predict.
540
00:28:25,133 --> 00:28:29,733
-Nightmare scenario is the
storm that intensifies rapidly
541
00:28:29,766 --> 00:28:31,666
and catches people by surprise.
542
00:28:34,833 --> 00:28:37,066
-Brian Haus does research
in an attempt
543
00:28:37,100 --> 00:28:40,666
to predict rapid intensification
with more accuracy.
544
00:28:44,800 --> 00:28:48,233
-The relatively
simple explanation is but,
545
00:28:48,266 --> 00:28:50,066
you know, it's the heat
coming off the ocean.
546
00:28:50,100 --> 00:28:52,600
The heat takes the form
of the temperature,
547
00:28:52,633 --> 00:28:54,733
the sensible heat, we call it,
and then
548
00:28:54,766 --> 00:28:57,766
the more critical component
for development of a hurricane
549
00:28:57,800 --> 00:28:59,933
is the latent heat,
the water that is evaporated,
550
00:28:59,966 --> 00:29:02,866
so I think that's probably
the part that may be not as well
551
00:29:02,900 --> 00:29:05,966
understood is really
the evaporation at the surface.
552
00:29:06,000 --> 00:29:08,300
Then it's also slowed down
by the interaction
553
00:29:08,333 --> 00:29:10,600
with the ocean itself,
the waves on the ocean.
554
00:29:10,633 --> 00:29:12,833
That's the friction
that it's spinning over.
555
00:29:16,633 --> 00:29:19,200
-Despite centuries of hurricane
research,
556
00:29:19,233 --> 00:29:23,700
predicting rapid intensification
is still next to impossible.
557
00:29:23,733 --> 00:29:28,466
Cracking that code may help
preserve Miami's future.
558
00:29:28,500 --> 00:29:30,966
-And you need to know
these things as soon as possible
559
00:29:31,000 --> 00:29:34,466
because you can't make these
decisions at the last minute
560
00:29:34,500 --> 00:29:36,766
in a place where
four million other people
561
00:29:36,800 --> 00:29:39,100
are making
the same decision as you,
562
00:29:39,133 --> 00:29:41,000
and there's two roads
to get out,
563
00:29:41,033 --> 00:29:43,300
so the sooner we can
get good forecasts
564
00:29:43,333 --> 00:29:45,266
that everybody can trust,
565
00:29:45,300 --> 00:29:49,066
the sooner people can
make intelligent choices
566
00:29:49,100 --> 00:29:51,066
about whether they're
evacuating their house,
567
00:29:51,100 --> 00:29:54,133
to what level
they protect their house.
568
00:29:54,166 --> 00:29:57,200
-A wave generator at the
Rosenstiel School of Marine
569
00:29:57,233 --> 00:30:00,666
and Atmospheric Sciences
allows Haus to collect data
570
00:30:00,700 --> 00:30:03,000
he can't get from
real hurricanes.
571
00:30:05,266 --> 00:30:07,166
-What's unique about
our facility here is,
572
00:30:07,200 --> 00:30:10,400
we can take a decently
sized chunk of water,
573
00:30:10,433 --> 00:30:13,966
and we can recreate
controlled hurricane conditions
574
00:30:14,000 --> 00:30:15,933
over the top
of that chunk of water
575
00:30:15,966 --> 00:30:17,566
and really try to understand
576
00:30:17,600 --> 00:30:19,633
what happens right
at the interface,
577
00:30:22,066 --> 00:30:25,300
and we can use that information
in computer models
578
00:30:25,333 --> 00:30:28,033
to predict the intensity
of the storm.
579
00:30:32,033 --> 00:30:33,500
A lot of these processes,
580
00:30:33,533 --> 00:30:35,900
the heat transfer
and the spray generation,
581
00:30:35,933 --> 00:30:38,933
all that, are really happening
at small scales.
582
00:30:38,966 --> 00:30:41,533
We can create
those conditions here,
583
00:30:41,566 --> 00:30:44,033
and we can understand
what's happening
584
00:30:44,066 --> 00:30:46,400
right at the interface,
this spray that's coming off
585
00:30:46,433 --> 00:30:50,333
and how that contributes
to the transfers of heat
586
00:30:50,366 --> 00:30:51,633
up into the storm
587
00:30:51,666 --> 00:30:53,400
and also how it contributes
to the way
588
00:30:53,433 --> 00:30:56,900
that the storm feels
the friction of the surface.
589
00:31:01,600 --> 00:31:02,900
We can generate a wind up
590
00:31:02,933 --> 00:31:05,833
to a really intense
category-5 hurricane,
591
00:31:05,866 --> 00:31:07,800
up to 200 miles an hour.
592
00:31:12,033 --> 00:31:13,933
This interface between the air
and the water
593
00:31:13,966 --> 00:31:15,533
where a lot of
the action happens,
594
00:31:15,566 --> 00:31:18,266
you see all the spray that's
starting to be generated here
595
00:31:18,300 --> 00:31:24,500
at these intense conditions that
just explode up into the air.
596
00:31:24,533 --> 00:31:26,466
-Haus has learned
that sea spray
597
00:31:26,500 --> 00:31:29,633
is a key component
of intensification.
598
00:31:29,666 --> 00:31:32,433
When wind kicks up the spray,
the heat in it
599
00:31:32,466 --> 00:31:35,266
is transferred
to the atmosphere above.
600
00:31:35,300 --> 00:31:37,866
That heat helps fuel the storm.
601
00:31:37,900 --> 00:31:40,700
-There is a significant
increase in the amount
602
00:31:40,733 --> 00:31:42,366
of rapid intensification.
603
00:31:42,400 --> 00:31:45,033
This year, it happened
with almost every hurricane.
604
00:31:45,066 --> 00:31:47,866
Miami has a lot to worry
about in the future.
605
00:31:51,666 --> 00:31:54,933
-Stronger and more
frequent hurricanes,
606
00:31:54,966 --> 00:31:59,266
gradual loss of the most
exclusive shoreline in Florida,
607
00:31:59,300 --> 00:32:02,833
sunny-day flooding through
porous limestone bedrock --
608
00:32:02,866 --> 00:32:06,500
These are the problems
Miami faces.
609
00:32:06,533 --> 00:32:11,600
To survive, Miami needs to adapt
and to find new solutions
610
00:32:11,633 --> 00:32:14,366
or risk being lost
to the rising sea.
611
00:32:14,400 --> 00:32:20,533
♪♪
612
00:32:20,566 --> 00:32:22,700
The development along
Miami's shores
613
00:32:22,733 --> 00:32:25,800
is still primarily
vertical towers rising out
614
00:32:25,833 --> 00:32:29,733
of its Swiss-cheese-limestone
foundation.
615
00:32:29,766 --> 00:32:31,600
However, an increasing
number of them
616
00:32:31,633 --> 00:32:36,066
are designed
with resilience in mind.
617
00:32:36,100 --> 00:32:38,866
-So if you're talking about
a dense urban downtown
618
00:32:38,900 --> 00:32:41,433
where you have
lots of high-rises,
619
00:32:41,466 --> 00:32:45,566
you can invest in infrastructure
to raise things,
620
00:32:45,600 --> 00:32:50,433
build strong flood barriers
and pump and piping systems
621
00:32:50,466 --> 00:32:55,166
and raise roads over time
to live with that water.
622
00:32:55,200 --> 00:32:57,533
-With our project,
Grove at Grand Bay,
623
00:32:57,566 --> 00:33:00,600
we raised the terra firma,
624
00:33:00,633 --> 00:33:05,000
or the ground level,
20 feet into the air.
625
00:33:05,033 --> 00:33:07,200
-The Grove at Grand Bay
is one of dozens
626
00:33:07,233 --> 00:33:10,500
of condos being built
on the water in Miami,
627
00:33:10,533 --> 00:33:15,366
but it's not like any condo
that came before it.
628
00:33:15,400 --> 00:33:17,900
Project leader
Kai Uwe-Bergmann's design
629
00:33:17,933 --> 00:33:20,700
is part of Miami's ambitious
new building code
630
00:33:20,733 --> 00:33:24,200
for the 21st century.
631
00:33:24,233 --> 00:33:26,100
-Because of sea-level rise,
632
00:33:26,133 --> 00:33:29,133
the city is literally
acknowledging
633
00:33:29,166 --> 00:33:31,400
that that will occur
and that properties
634
00:33:31,433 --> 00:33:35,000
that are being developed now
actually move higher.
635
00:33:37,000 --> 00:33:39,366
-All-new developments
along the city's coast
636
00:33:39,400 --> 00:33:42,900
must be raised
by almost 13 feet.
637
00:33:42,933 --> 00:33:45,666
They must also be built
to withstand flooding without
638
00:33:45,700 --> 00:33:51,033
being crippled in the event
of a 15-foot storm surge.
639
00:33:51,066 --> 00:33:53,100
-The plan does stipulate
640
00:33:53,133 --> 00:33:56,333
that any of the sort
of mechanical rooms
641
00:33:56,366 --> 00:34:02,533
are above the flood stage or,
in this case, the ground floor.
642
00:34:02,566 --> 00:34:04,533
-Miami's plan is just
a Band-Aid
643
00:34:04,566 --> 00:34:07,166
in the face of rising seas.
644
00:34:07,200 --> 00:34:09,900
The city needs to look much
further into the future
645
00:34:09,933 --> 00:34:13,866
if it hopes
to survive the inevitable.
646
00:34:13,900 --> 00:34:16,699
-So we have a citizen
sea-level-rise
647
00:34:16,733 --> 00:34:20,433
advisory committee
that is made up of engineers,
648
00:34:20,466 --> 00:34:25,766
ecosystem naturalists, land-use
attorney, architect, developer,
649
00:34:25,800 --> 00:34:29,033
someone representing some
of our low-income communities,
650
00:34:29,066 --> 00:34:31,366
and they're advising us
on public policies,
651
00:34:31,400 --> 00:34:35,100
advising our commission
on how to approach it.
652
00:34:35,133 --> 00:34:38,300
-But it'll take much more than
committees and consultations
653
00:34:38,333 --> 00:34:42,966
to stop the water that's already
at Miami's doorstep.
654
00:34:43,000 --> 00:34:44,666
-You can't escape it.
655
00:34:44,699 --> 00:34:49,199
Water is coming from the side,
from below, from above,
656
00:34:51,333 --> 00:34:53,566
and I think Miami
is at that point
657
00:34:53,600 --> 00:34:54,966
where they've got to decide,
658
00:34:55,000 --> 00:35:00,033
"How do we solve the issues
of sea-level rise?"
659
00:35:00,066 --> 00:35:04,300
I do, however,
think that we as humans,
660
00:35:04,333 --> 00:35:09,133
if we're posed a challenge
and there's a way to solve it,
661
00:35:09,166 --> 00:35:12,933
we will find the energy,
the resources to do it.
662
00:35:12,966 --> 00:35:19,033
♪♪
663
00:35:19,066 --> 00:35:20,466
-While coastal real estate
664
00:35:20,500 --> 00:35:23,666
has always been Miami-Dade's
most desirable,
665
00:35:23,700 --> 00:35:26,166
some buyers now prefer
higher ground
666
00:35:26,200 --> 00:35:28,500
where they won't be
as affected by flooding,
667
00:35:28,533 --> 00:35:32,800
whether from storm surge
or from rising sea level.
668
00:35:32,833 --> 00:35:36,500
The term climate gentrification
has been coined to describe
669
00:35:36,533 --> 00:35:38,766
how some people
move away from the shore
670
00:35:38,800 --> 00:35:41,900
into traditionally less
desirable lower-income
671
00:35:41,933 --> 00:35:44,566
neighborhoods.
672
00:35:44,600 --> 00:35:47,833
-Liberty City is a
predominantly African-American
673
00:35:47,866 --> 00:35:49,900
and Latino community.
674
00:35:49,933 --> 00:35:51,566
When they originally
built Miami,
675
00:35:51,600 --> 00:35:54,266
the beach was supposed to be
for the affluent, tourists
676
00:35:54,300 --> 00:35:58,300
and things like that, so we were
not allowed to be on the beach.
677
00:35:58,333 --> 00:36:00,600
Because of racism and redlining,
678
00:36:00,633 --> 00:36:02,800
they pushed us
to the center of the city...
679
00:36:02,833 --> 00:36:12,266
♪♪
680
00:36:12,300 --> 00:36:13,933
...and now they're
trying to take it away
681
00:36:13,966 --> 00:36:15,533
after all these years
682
00:36:15,566 --> 00:36:19,566
when they didn't want it because
the place that they love so much
683
00:36:19,600 --> 00:36:22,800
is going to be underwater.
684
00:36:22,833 --> 00:36:26,066
We're starting to see a lot
of developers come in
685
00:36:26,100 --> 00:36:31,333
and buy up blocks at a time,
taking over communities.
686
00:36:31,366 --> 00:36:34,200
-The gentrification that's been
transforming neighborhoods
687
00:36:34,233 --> 00:36:38,966
across America has taken
a unique twist in Miami.
688
00:36:39,000 --> 00:36:40,666
-Climate-change gentrification
in Miami
689
00:36:40,700 --> 00:36:42,466
would be funny
if it weren't so sad.
690
00:36:42,500 --> 00:36:46,966
It's the sort of thing where,
because of redlining and racist
691
00:36:47,000 --> 00:36:50,800
housing practices historically
in the United States,
692
00:36:50,833 --> 00:36:52,666
you have minorities
being confined
693
00:36:52,700 --> 00:36:56,400
to the less desirable areas
on the coastal ridge
694
00:36:56,433 --> 00:36:57,766
away from the nice beaches
695
00:36:57,800 --> 00:36:59,633
and the nice sea
breezes and stuff,
696
00:36:59,666 --> 00:37:00,933
and now that everybody
is realizing,
697
00:37:00,966 --> 00:37:02,433
"Like, hey, man,
this whole beach thing
698
00:37:02,466 --> 00:37:04,433
might not really work out
while the water is rising,"
699
00:37:04,466 --> 00:37:09,033
these areas have been gentrified
in an amazingly rapid rate.
700
00:37:09,066 --> 00:37:11,966
-My family has been in Miami
for generations.
701
00:37:12,000 --> 00:37:14,866
-Gunder is worried that
climate-change gentrification
702
00:37:14,900 --> 00:37:17,833
will force her and her neighbors
from their homes
703
00:37:17,866 --> 00:37:21,666
and erase a vital part
of Miami's culture.
704
00:37:21,700 --> 00:37:23,266
-My family has been
in Overtown.
705
00:37:23,300 --> 00:37:24,866
They've been in Liberty City.
706
00:37:24,900 --> 00:37:29,600
They've been in Lemon City,
been in Little Haiti for years.
707
00:37:29,633 --> 00:37:33,733
My Miami is the west side
of the causeway
708
00:37:33,766 --> 00:37:35,566
where the cameras
usually don't come
709
00:37:35,600 --> 00:37:40,600
or people don't think about
when they think about Miami.
710
00:37:40,633 --> 00:37:43,600
My Miami is everyday
working people,
711
00:37:43,633 --> 00:37:46,600
hundreds of cultures,
children playing outside.
712
00:37:46,633 --> 00:37:48,033
It doesn't look like
South Beach.
713
00:37:48,066 --> 00:37:51,166
It's not lined with beautiful
palm trees
714
00:37:51,200 --> 00:37:56,800
and million-dollar hotels
and a beautiful, clean beach.
715
00:37:56,833 --> 00:37:59,033
Even though we're 15 minutes
away from the beach,
716
00:37:59,066 --> 00:38:01,700
I can name hundreds of people
who've never been there,
717
00:38:01,733 --> 00:38:05,300
and they've been here
their entire lives.
718
00:38:05,333 --> 00:38:08,566
-60 percent of Miami
is living paycheck
719
00:38:08,600 --> 00:38:10,600
to paycheck to paycheck,
720
00:38:10,633 --> 00:38:14,266
and fully 66 percent
of the city rents.
721
00:38:14,300 --> 00:38:16,133
They don't own their house.
722
00:38:16,166 --> 00:38:19,166
-Which leaves people like
Valencia Gunder no choice
723
00:38:19,200 --> 00:38:21,600
but to move
to a more vulnerable area
724
00:38:21,633 --> 00:38:24,333
as the money moves
into her neighborhood.
725
00:38:24,366 --> 00:38:26,566
-Now all of the working-class
families in Miami
726
00:38:26,600 --> 00:38:29,433
or most are being pushed
to lower-lying areas,
727
00:38:29,466 --> 00:38:31,033
so if you have
a sunny-day flooding
728
00:38:31,066 --> 00:38:34,066
or even a very rainy incident,
it's going to take you twice
729
00:38:34,100 --> 00:38:37,366
as long to get
from your house to work.
730
00:38:37,400 --> 00:38:38,666
That's a cost on society.
731
00:38:38,700 --> 00:38:40,633
That's a burden.
732
00:38:40,666 --> 00:38:43,766
-Rich or poor, officials
in Miami face the challenge
733
00:38:43,800 --> 00:38:45,233
of making sure everyone
734
00:38:45,266 --> 00:38:48,400
is protected
from Miami's rising sea.
735
00:38:48,433 --> 00:38:51,500
-We are currently designing
infrastructure
736
00:38:51,533 --> 00:38:53,700
for the next 40 to 50 years
737
00:38:53,733 --> 00:38:58,866
to 2, 2 1/2 feet of sea-level
rise over that time.
738
00:38:58,900 --> 00:39:00,300
We don't know what's
going to happen
739
00:39:00,333 --> 00:39:02,466
in the next 40 to 50 years.
740
00:39:02,500 --> 00:39:04,133
Projections are going to change.
741
00:39:04,166 --> 00:39:06,633
We're going to have to
recalibrate our projections
742
00:39:06,666 --> 00:39:10,600
every 5 years based on
new scientific information.
743
00:39:10,633 --> 00:39:11,800
Policy can happen.
744
00:39:11,833 --> 00:39:15,200
Technology can happen,
and frankly, you know,
745
00:39:15,233 --> 00:39:17,900
most cities, a long-range plan
is a 20-year plan.
746
00:39:17,933 --> 00:39:21,366
We're doing a 40-to-50-year
plan.
747
00:39:21,400 --> 00:39:25,166
-Miami Beach is fighting
sea-level rise on three fronts
748
00:39:25,200 --> 00:39:27,933
with one of the most ambitious
public-works projects
749
00:39:27,966 --> 00:39:29,633
in the United States.
750
00:39:29,666 --> 00:39:37,166
♪♪
751
00:39:37,200 --> 00:39:40,600
-This is a very exciting time
for an engineer
752
00:39:40,633 --> 00:39:42,800
to actually see
what they've designed
753
00:39:42,833 --> 00:39:45,133
and actually seeing it
actually come together.
754
00:39:45,166 --> 00:39:49,366
[ Indistinct conversation ]
755
00:39:49,400 --> 00:39:52,933
-When Bruce Mowry was the chief
engineer of Miami Beach,
756
00:39:52,966 --> 00:39:56,400
he had the Herculean task of
keeping the most vulnerable area
757
00:39:56,433 --> 00:39:58,533
in all of Miami dry.
758
00:39:58,566 --> 00:40:04,133
♪♪
759
00:40:04,166 --> 00:40:07,000
He oversaw the installation
of a series of pumps
760
00:40:07,033 --> 00:40:08,866
along Indian Creek Drive
761
00:40:08,900 --> 00:40:12,800
following a canal
just west of the beach.
762
00:40:12,833 --> 00:40:16,133
It's part of a huge new
pumping system.
763
00:40:16,166 --> 00:40:17,933
-We have a total of about 70,
764
00:40:17,966 --> 00:40:20,466
so we're going to be building
about 40 more pump stations
765
00:40:20,500 --> 00:40:24,633
throughout the city
over the next 3 to 5 years.
766
00:40:24,666 --> 00:40:27,533
This will sustain a much drier
street for us
767
00:40:27,566 --> 00:40:28,766
and a better quality of life
768
00:40:28,800 --> 00:40:30,700
for our residents
and businesses.
769
00:40:33,133 --> 00:40:36,266
-The pumps are part of
a $500 million initiative
770
00:40:36,300 --> 00:40:39,266
to send seawater
from the streets into the nearby
771
00:40:39,300 --> 00:40:43,433
canals at a rate of about
5 million gallons per minute,
772
00:40:43,466 --> 00:40:46,100
reducing the impact
of king tides.
773
00:40:49,966 --> 00:40:53,100
Miami's first challenge
is to get all that water
774
00:40:53,133 --> 00:40:56,033
out of the city
and back into Biscayne Bay.
775
00:40:58,166 --> 00:41:00,966
-And the way that it works is,
after the pump station treats
776
00:41:01,000 --> 00:41:05,566
the water collected from
the entire drainage system,
777
00:41:05,600 --> 00:41:08,066
that pump station
pushes the water
778
00:41:08,100 --> 00:41:09,433
through an underground system
779
00:41:09,466 --> 00:41:12,700
and discharges into the bay
after treating it.
780
00:41:12,733 --> 00:41:14,833
-The water from the pump
station gets sent
781
00:41:14,866 --> 00:41:18,000
to a treatment station
south of the city's core
782
00:41:18,033 --> 00:41:21,700
where it gets purified
with waste held in tanks.
783
00:41:21,733 --> 00:41:26,166
The clean water then gets pumped
back into Biscayne Bay.
784
00:41:26,200 --> 00:41:28,466
-We can't retreat 1 inch.
785
00:41:28,500 --> 00:41:30,800
We don't have any land available
to say,
786
00:41:30,833 --> 00:41:32,700
"We'll let that part go."
787
00:41:32,733 --> 00:41:36,900
We need to defend
at the waterfront now.
788
00:41:36,933 --> 00:41:40,233
-The second front of the plan
involves raising seawalls
789
00:41:40,266 --> 00:41:43,866
along Miami's canals and creeks.
790
00:41:43,900 --> 00:41:47,233
-This wall was constructed
approximately 75 years ago,
791
00:41:47,266 --> 00:41:50,566
and this was the level of which
they were anticipating tides
792
00:41:50,600 --> 00:41:52,166
or high waters to come in.
793
00:41:52,200 --> 00:41:55,033
During high tide, water will
actually come over it,
794
00:41:55,066 --> 00:41:57,300
and so we're looking at a wall
well over 4,
795
00:41:57,333 --> 00:41:59,666
almost 5 feet higher
than the existing walls
796
00:41:59,700 --> 00:42:01,866
built 75 to 100 years ago.
797
00:42:01,900 --> 00:42:03,166
We believe it's necessary
798
00:42:03,200 --> 00:42:06,100
because of what to be
expected sea-level rise,
799
00:42:06,133 --> 00:42:09,166
that this is going to be
our standard requirements.
800
00:42:09,200 --> 00:42:12,866
This is a very direct indication
of how climate change
801
00:42:12,900 --> 00:42:16,866
and sea-level rise is changing
the conditions in this world.
802
00:42:16,900 --> 00:42:19,733
-But because of Miami's
porous foundation,
803
00:42:19,766 --> 00:42:23,400
even Miami's chief resilience
officer, Jane Gilbert,
804
00:42:23,433 --> 00:42:25,566
is skeptical
that raising seawalls
805
00:42:25,600 --> 00:42:28,700
is an effective
long-term solution.
806
00:42:28,733 --> 00:42:29,933
-Even if you have
the barrier there,
807
00:42:29,966 --> 00:42:31,966
the water comes up from behind
808
00:42:32,000 --> 00:42:34,666
and creates its own
flooding event,
809
00:42:34,700 --> 00:42:38,500
so we need to learn over time
to live with that water.
810
00:42:41,700 --> 00:42:44,733
-Living with the reality
of rising water requires
811
00:42:44,766 --> 00:42:48,466
a third front in the battle,
something far more radical.
812
00:42:50,633 --> 00:42:52,066
-What the city has done is,
813
00:42:52,100 --> 00:42:54,133
they actually went into
some of those low-lying streets
814
00:42:54,166 --> 00:42:56,266
and started raising them
incrementally.
815
00:42:56,300 --> 00:42:59,933
Now what we're raising today
may not be the final elevation
816
00:42:59,966 --> 00:43:01,533
50 to 100 years from now,
817
00:43:01,566 --> 00:43:04,333
but it's not appropriate
to try to raise
818
00:43:04,366 --> 00:43:09,566
in a developed city
all at one time.
819
00:43:09,600 --> 00:43:11,700
-The greatest challenge
in Miami Beach
820
00:43:11,733 --> 00:43:14,000
is the substrate of our soil.
821
00:43:14,033 --> 00:43:16,666
We live on a barrier island
made out of limestone,
822
00:43:16,700 --> 00:43:18,233
coral and sand.
823
00:43:18,266 --> 00:43:21,333
The water is coming up as much
as it's coming over any seawall,
824
00:43:21,366 --> 00:43:23,266
and if we don't elevate our land
825
00:43:23,300 --> 00:43:27,033
and literally have our
infrastructure above the water,
826
00:43:27,066 --> 00:43:29,133
it's going to come in
and flood anyway.
827
00:43:29,166 --> 00:43:31,633
-The best example of elevation
can be found
828
00:43:31,666 --> 00:43:35,000
in Miami Beach's
Sunset Harbour neighborhood.
829
00:43:35,033 --> 00:43:36,533
-This was the most
vulnerable area
830
00:43:36,566 --> 00:43:38,200
of our community at the time.
831
00:43:38,233 --> 00:43:41,833
The area we're standing in now
during high-tide events
832
00:43:41,866 --> 00:43:43,600
would be water in the streets.
833
00:43:43,633 --> 00:43:46,400
We literally see people
kayaking in the streets.
834
00:43:46,433 --> 00:43:48,500
It was so low,
so we started here,
835
00:43:48,533 --> 00:43:52,900
and this area was raised
30 inches in many spots.
836
00:43:52,933 --> 00:43:55,166
-This restaurant's patio
was once popular
837
00:43:55,200 --> 00:43:57,366
for people-watching.
838
00:43:57,400 --> 00:44:00,233
Now its tables
are below street level.
839
00:44:00,266 --> 00:44:02,533
-The elevation difference
between where I'm standing
840
00:44:02,566 --> 00:44:04,000
and what you can see
841
00:44:04,033 --> 00:44:07,433
was the original elevation
of the sidewalks and streets,
842
00:44:07,466 --> 00:44:09,600
so when we finished
these neighborhoods,
843
00:44:09,633 --> 00:44:12,733
we bring soil in
from the mainland.
844
00:44:12,766 --> 00:44:15,133
We installed underground pipes.
845
00:44:15,166 --> 00:44:17,833
We'll build our roadbed,
our drainage structure
846
00:44:17,866 --> 00:44:21,533
and pave the road,
and it'll be 30 inches higher.
847
00:44:21,566 --> 00:44:26,300
-Sunset Harbour is a 6-block
neighborhood in South Beach.
848
00:44:26,333 --> 00:44:31,000
Raising the streets there took
2 years and $27 million.
849
00:44:31,033 --> 00:44:33,133
-That's 2 years
of roads blocked,
850
00:44:33,166 --> 00:44:36,300
lot of dust from road
construction, noise,
851
00:44:36,333 --> 00:44:40,033
just interrupting normal life
routine, but the bottom line --
852
00:44:40,066 --> 00:44:43,400
They suffer 2 years
to rebuild a community like this
853
00:44:43,433 --> 00:44:45,900
in exchange
for 30 years of security.
854
00:44:48,600 --> 00:44:53,200
-Many believe it's too little
too late
855
00:44:53,233 --> 00:44:56,366
and that a 30-year life span
is too short
856
00:44:56,400 --> 00:44:59,266
before the rising seas force
Miami Beach
857
00:44:59,300 --> 00:45:01,166
to do it all over again.
858
00:45:01,200 --> 00:45:09,700
♪♪
859
00:45:09,733 --> 00:45:12,900
-The problem is that sea-level
rise is going to continue,
860
00:45:12,933 --> 00:45:16,700
so raising your city
is kind of like walking a plank.
861
00:45:16,733 --> 00:45:19,466
It works as long as you don't
get to the end of it,
862
00:45:19,500 --> 00:45:23,533
and the sea-level-rise dynamic
is going to continue,
863
00:45:23,566 --> 00:45:27,533
so I don't think they can raise
themselves out of the problem
864
00:45:27,566 --> 00:45:32,866
maybe more than 3, 5 feet,
and even with that,
865
00:45:32,900 --> 00:45:35,933
they have to be ready
for serious hurricanes
866
00:45:35,966 --> 00:45:40,900
and the more extreme rainfall
events project for the future,
867
00:45:40,933 --> 00:45:42,966
which are raising
their groundwater,
868
00:45:43,000 --> 00:45:46,333
and that's a very important
piece of the flooding problem.
869
00:45:49,033 --> 00:45:52,566
-One of Hill's strategies for
living with rising groundwater
870
00:45:52,600 --> 00:45:55,466
has already been tested
in the Netherlands.
871
00:45:55,500 --> 00:45:58,366
-I think that we can use
earthworks,
872
00:45:58,400 --> 00:46:04,200
landforms to structure areas
that are safe where water ponds,
873
00:46:04,233 --> 00:46:08,100
and then we can float urban
districts in those safe ponds.
874
00:46:08,133 --> 00:46:11,066
I'm not talking about floating
stuff in the Atlantic Ocean.
875
00:46:13,166 --> 00:46:15,666
And the Dutch idea of canals
is a great one
876
00:46:15,700 --> 00:46:19,333
because it mostly relies
on gravity to drain groundwater
877
00:46:19,366 --> 00:46:23,000
out of high-water-table zones,
but that would be a way
878
00:46:23,033 --> 00:46:26,933
for us to adapt
to living with more water.
879
00:46:26,966 --> 00:46:30,100
-Miami-Dade Chief Resilience
Officer James Murley
880
00:46:30,133 --> 00:46:32,700
has looked at the Dutch model
of building dikes,
881
00:46:32,733 --> 00:46:36,866
canals and levies but doesn't
think that it will work in Miami
882
00:46:36,900 --> 00:46:39,000
due to its unique geology.
883
00:46:39,033 --> 00:46:45,066
-The idea of building dikes or
levies with the porous limestone
884
00:46:45,100 --> 00:46:47,400
means that they're not going
to be nearly as efficient
885
00:46:47,433 --> 00:46:51,166
as dikes and levies
in other parts of the country.
886
00:46:51,200 --> 00:46:55,133
They will have an effect
of lessening
887
00:46:55,166 --> 00:46:58,333
an onrushing storm surge,
but the water itself
888
00:46:58,366 --> 00:47:01,266
is going to go right
underneath through the lime rock
889
00:47:01,300 --> 00:47:03,566
and is going to raise
the freshwater water table,
890
00:47:03,600 --> 00:47:09,466
and, you know, it's a situation
that is unique to our geology,
891
00:47:09,500 --> 00:47:13,766
and we have to work with that
as we move forward.
892
00:47:13,800 --> 00:47:16,100
-You can elevate houses.
You can elevate buildings.
893
00:47:16,133 --> 00:47:18,100
You can elevate roads.
894
00:47:18,133 --> 00:47:20,666
People are doing it all over
the country, all over the world.
895
00:47:20,700 --> 00:47:23,000
They're elevating
whole buildings,
896
00:47:23,033 --> 00:47:28,033
but can you elevate all of
the buildings of Miami Beach?
897
00:47:28,066 --> 00:47:30,633
I don't know,
and if you elevate it
898
00:47:30,666 --> 00:47:34,733
and the limestone underneath
is all full of saltwater,
899
00:47:34,766 --> 00:47:38,033
you're going to have to
pump water from way inland,
900
00:47:38,066 --> 00:47:41,600
so there are all these things
that you have to consider.
901
00:47:41,633 --> 00:47:43,966
-The City of Miami Beach
is committed
902
00:47:44,000 --> 00:47:47,233
and planning to overcome
the challenges long-term,
903
00:47:47,266 --> 00:47:49,466
no matter what the cost.
904
00:47:49,500 --> 00:47:52,600
-All the South Florida people
are very strong-willed,
905
00:47:52,633 --> 00:47:54,000
resilient people.
906
00:47:54,033 --> 00:47:56,633
The people in this community,
in Miami Beach,
907
00:47:56,666 --> 00:47:59,966
have determined that retreat
from sea-level rise
908
00:48:00,000 --> 00:48:02,233
is not an option at this point.
909
00:48:02,266 --> 00:48:05,033
We will rise above,
and we will stay.
910
00:48:05,066 --> 00:48:10,633
♪♪
911
00:48:10,666 --> 00:48:12,900
-One building here
is a shining example
912
00:48:12,933 --> 00:48:16,433
of what Miami could do
to face the future.
913
00:48:16,466 --> 00:48:20,166
The Pérez Art Museum
opened in 2013
914
00:48:20,200 --> 00:48:23,800
when the reality of
a sinking storm-battered Miami
915
00:48:23,833 --> 00:48:26,833
became accepted
by most residents.
916
00:48:26,866 --> 00:48:30,533
The museum's designers faced
that challenge head-on.
917
00:48:32,966 --> 00:48:35,066
-Here, we're standing on
the south side of PAMM,
918
00:48:35,100 --> 00:48:38,800
the Pérez Art Museum Miami,
right at our front doors.
919
00:48:38,833 --> 00:48:41,666
To the east of me
is Biscayne Bay.
920
00:48:41,700 --> 00:48:44,200
We are a modern art museum.
921
00:48:44,233 --> 00:48:47,100
The art starts at 22 feet
above sea level
922
00:48:47,133 --> 00:48:49,000
with the second level of art
being at 40 feet
923
00:48:49,033 --> 00:48:50,766
above sea level.
924
00:48:50,800 --> 00:48:53,633
The materials that were used
are unbelievably solid
925
00:48:53,666 --> 00:48:56,833
to withstand
major weather conditions.
926
00:48:56,866 --> 00:48:59,700
Certainly the concrete
throughout the entire structure,
927
00:48:59,733 --> 00:49:02,133
any wood that was used
on the building could sustain
928
00:49:02,166 --> 00:49:04,166
both wind and water.
929
00:49:04,200 --> 00:49:06,200
-While the structural materials
defend
930
00:49:06,233 --> 00:49:08,666
against sea level and storms,
931
00:49:08,700 --> 00:49:12,733
other features work with water,
ushering it into cisterns
932
00:49:12,766 --> 00:49:15,100
that are used
to irrigate the grounds
933
00:49:15,133 --> 00:49:17,066
and then funneling
any access water
934
00:49:17,100 --> 00:49:19,400
quickly back out to the bay.
935
00:49:19,433 --> 00:49:21,300
-As we're walking toward
the east of our building,
936
00:49:21,333 --> 00:49:24,100
you'll notice that the ground
that we're walking on
937
00:49:24,133 --> 00:49:26,833
are basically
like concrete planks.
938
00:49:26,866 --> 00:49:30,466
That's to allow water to flow
underneath the structure
939
00:49:30,500 --> 00:49:32,233
to the PAMM garage.
940
00:49:34,933 --> 00:49:38,900
We're at exactly 8 feet above
sea level at level zero
941
00:49:38,933 --> 00:49:40,333
in the PAMM garage.
942
00:49:40,366 --> 00:49:43,333
We have a gravel surface here,
and the idea behind this
943
00:49:43,366 --> 00:49:48,800
was to allow the water
to drain as quickly as possible.
944
00:49:48,833 --> 00:49:50,133
So we do have a generator,
945
00:49:50,166 --> 00:49:52,866
so PAMM will never be
without power,
946
00:49:52,900 --> 00:49:55,400
and I think about PAMM
a lot of times like a hospital
947
00:49:55,433 --> 00:49:58,133
that we have art
that is living and breathing
948
00:49:58,166 --> 00:50:00,266
and needs 70-degree temperature,
949
00:50:00,300 --> 00:50:05,466
50-percent humidity at all times
and allows the art to be safe.
950
00:50:08,666 --> 00:50:12,700
-The Pérez Art Museum proved
its worth during Irma.
951
00:50:29,833 --> 00:50:31,233
-We've learned a lot.
952
00:50:31,266 --> 00:50:32,800
We've changed our procedures
over the years,
953
00:50:32,833 --> 00:50:36,100
but the building has sustained
no damage since we've moved in.
954
00:50:36,133 --> 00:50:38,200
We would never
change our location.
955
00:50:38,233 --> 00:50:41,966
We wear it as a badge.
956
00:50:42,000 --> 00:50:43,800
-The big storm
is more frightening
957
00:50:43,833 --> 00:50:46,100
than the gradual rise of water.
958
00:50:50,100 --> 00:50:53,366
Absolutely, and that's why
we respond so intensely
959
00:50:53,400 --> 00:50:56,066
to the big storm
and the hurricanes.
960
00:50:56,100 --> 00:50:59,366
It's a natural response.
961
00:50:59,400 --> 00:51:00,800
-According to Caldas,
962
00:51:00,833 --> 00:51:04,066
Miamians should be
less concerned about hurricanes
963
00:51:04,100 --> 00:51:07,633
and more worried
about sea-level rise.
964
00:51:07,666 --> 00:51:11,133
-It is more important
to consider tidal flooding
965
00:51:11,166 --> 00:51:12,533
than it is hurricanes.
966
00:51:12,566 --> 00:51:15,500
Hurricane can come
or cannot come,
967
00:51:15,533 --> 00:51:17,300
but the tide comes in every day.
968
00:51:19,866 --> 00:51:21,233
It's only getting worse.
969
00:51:21,266 --> 00:51:23,800
The measurements are there.
The data are there.
970
00:51:23,833 --> 00:51:26,333
It's only going to get
worse and fast.
971
00:51:28,933 --> 00:51:32,033
So we have three options.
972
00:51:32,066 --> 00:51:35,400
We protect.
973
00:51:35,433 --> 00:51:40,233
We try to build berms and walls
in different areas.
974
00:51:40,266 --> 00:51:42,000
We accommodate the water.
975
00:51:42,033 --> 00:51:45,233
We build areas that can flood
without damage,
976
00:51:45,266 --> 00:51:48,100
or we retreat,
which is the, you know,
977
00:51:48,133 --> 00:51:50,966
the last-resort thing
that you have to do.
978
00:51:51,000 --> 00:51:54,066
If your place has been flooded
250 times a year,
979
00:51:54,100 --> 00:51:56,033
it's, like, it's time to leave.
980
00:51:56,066 --> 00:51:57,766
We got to get out of here.
981
00:52:00,800 --> 00:52:05,800
-You start thinking, "Okay.
What if I don't have my car?
982
00:52:05,833 --> 00:52:09,466
What if I don't have my job?"
because if there's no houses
983
00:52:09,500 --> 00:52:14,133
to sell, no condos to sell,
that's my livelihood.
984
00:52:14,166 --> 00:52:18,133
What if I don't have a home
to return to?
985
00:52:20,500 --> 00:52:22,300
-What we found is,
986
00:52:22,333 --> 00:52:26,766
people are going to ask
for the opportunity to retreat.
987
00:52:26,800 --> 00:52:28,266
They weren't being told
to leave.
988
00:52:28,300 --> 00:52:30,200
They were saying,
"We prefer to leave."
989
00:52:30,233 --> 00:52:35,266
They were willing to sell
their property and move.
990
00:52:35,300 --> 00:52:37,233
That could change in the future,
991
00:52:37,266 --> 00:52:40,133
but that's sort of
where we find ourselves today,
992
00:52:40,166 --> 00:52:41,800
so there's a lot of thinking
going on.
993
00:52:41,833 --> 00:52:47,533
There's a lot of different
options being considered.
994
00:52:50,133 --> 00:52:52,266
-Everybody is doom and gloom.
995
00:52:52,300 --> 00:52:54,933
They're all saying,
"Sea-level rise, climate change
996
00:52:54,966 --> 00:52:58,666
is going to be the end
of all coastal communities.
997
00:52:58,700 --> 00:53:01,466
You'll never, ever be able to
save the City of Miami Beach,"
998
00:53:01,500 --> 00:53:04,933
and I'm saying,
"No, that doesn't have to be."
999
00:53:04,966 --> 00:53:06,733
We got to solve problems.
1000
00:53:06,766 --> 00:53:08,900
We can't just talk about how bad
they are
1001
00:53:08,933 --> 00:53:10,633
and how much worse
they're going to get.
1002
00:53:10,666 --> 00:53:14,533
We have to also talk about what
we're going to do to correct it.
1003
00:53:14,566 --> 00:53:19,000
-Eric Bason says he will stand
his ground, no matter what.
1004
00:53:19,033 --> 00:53:20,466
-I'm not planning on moving.
1005
00:53:20,500 --> 00:53:23,966
I plan on fighting for people
in my community,
1006
00:53:24,000 --> 00:53:27,200
low-income communities
to live the best life possible.
1007
00:53:29,966 --> 00:53:33,600
-I would say that I'm more
hopeful than I am worried.
1008
00:53:33,633 --> 00:53:35,533
Maybe that's just because
I'm an optimistic,
1009
00:53:35,566 --> 00:53:37,100
positive person,
1010
00:53:37,133 --> 00:53:42,433
but I do see humanity in a way
that there's so much potential,
1011
00:53:42,466 --> 00:53:44,233
and there's so much innovation.
1012
00:53:44,266 --> 00:53:47,266
There are solutions
that we don't even know exist,
1013
00:53:47,300 --> 00:53:49,766
and once we have the willpower,
1014
00:53:49,800 --> 00:53:52,000
the movement,
we're going to find them,
1015
00:53:52,033 --> 00:53:55,900
and America, the world
is not going to let Miami go.
1016
00:53:55,933 --> 00:54:00,500
♪♪
1017
00:54:02,033 --> 00:54:09,900
♪♪
1018
00:54:09,933 --> 00:54:12,133
-To order "Sinking Cities"
on DVD,
1019
00:54:12,166 --> 00:54:17,200
visit ShopPBS
or call 1-800-PLAY-PBS.
1020
00:54:17,233 --> 00:54:21,333
This program is also available
on Amazon Prime Video.
1021
00:54:21,366 --> 00:54:30,433
♪♪
83029
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