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Sixty-six million years ago,
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this asteroid crashed into Earth
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and wiped out
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most of the life on our planet.
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Including the biggest,
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baddest things
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that ever roamed the planet.
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Yeah, dinosaurs.
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If a rock this size hit us today,
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well,
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humans would be
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on the brink of extinction.
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Today,
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we look at the five
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deadliest asteroids to hit
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Earth -
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Either in the past
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or in the not-so-distant future.
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And we’ll slam them into Earth,
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all at the same time.
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Spoiler alert: Earth does
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not win.
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We'll start
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with the smallest rock on our list.
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The Barringer asteroid.
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And then we'll
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build up to an asteroid
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that was much,
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much more massive
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than even the Chicxulub
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that wiped out dinosaurs.
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But before we get there,
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here's the thing about space rocks.
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They aren't some rare event.
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They barge in from space
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and hit Earth all the time.
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Most of these rocks
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are tiny meteoroids,
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just a few grams in weight.
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But they come in fast.
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These small meteoroids
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slam into Earth
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at tens of kilometers per second.
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Lucky for you,
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they burn up almost instantly
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thanks to our planet's home
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security system, our atmosphere.
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But sometimes, Earth gets hit
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by a way more serious rock.
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And the damage can be catastrophic.
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Let me take you
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back - 50,000 years into the past.
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Earth was deep in its last Ice Age.
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When suddenly,
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a large space
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rock entered the atmosphere.
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This is the Barringer asteroid.
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For millions of years,
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it was minding its own business
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in outer space.
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And then, suddenly,
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on a perfectly ordinary day
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in what we now call
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northern Arizona in the U.S.,
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this 50-meter-wide chunk of iron
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and nickel,
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that’s 165 feet in diameter,
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this chunk came
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tearing into Earth’s
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atmosphere at over
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15 km/s (9 mi/s).
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Just seconds later,
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it slammed into the ground
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with a force so powerful,
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it was like
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setting off a line
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of nuclear bombs.
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The shockwave flattened everything
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as far as the eye could see,
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and the asteroid left
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a massive crater to remember it by.
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Now, what if this asteroid
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hit us today?
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Well,
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it would be just as devastating.
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If the Barringer asteroid
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hit Earth near a major city,
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that would be total destruction.
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This 300,000-ton bullet from space
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would explode
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with the energy
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of 10 megatons of TNT.
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It would flatten
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skyscrapers in an instant,
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shattering glass for miles.
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Even if you weren’t at ground
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zero, that’s
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the exact point of impact,
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you’d feel the power
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of its shockwave.
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The blast would deafen
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you, and the heat would,
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well, fry you.
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The ground would shake as if a
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magnitude 7.5
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earthquake had just hit.
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The Barringer wouldn’t
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be a world-ending asteroid.
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But it would change the world
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for everyone nearby.
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Now, since
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we want to keep things
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exactly like they happened on Earth
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50,000 years ago,
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this space rock would hit
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exactly where it hit
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then, in the middle of a desert.
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But As long as you’re
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not a tourist
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or a hiker
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exploring the arid
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expanse of Arizona,
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you'd be fine.
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Still,
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this new Barringer
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asteroid would leave a new crater,
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a crater that’s
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big enough to fit Burj
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Khalifa inside of it.
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This is what today's impact
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would look like.
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If
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watching the impact
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from the nearest town
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over, Winslow, Arizona,
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you'd see the kilometer-high
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cloud of ash and fire
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rising from the impact site.
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About a minute after impact,
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just as you think you're safe,
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the sonic boom would reach you,
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knocking you to the ground
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and shattering
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all windows around you.
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It would be huge, but still,
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not a leveling-a-city-to-the-ground
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kind of impact.
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Okay,
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while the Barringer asteroid
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raised a plume of smoke
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and ash in Arizona,
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something bigger and deadlier
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is about to smash
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into South America.
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BARRINGER ASTEROID DEMOLISHES ARIZONA
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Arizona treated to brightest firework since the Cretaceous.
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If the Barringer asteroid did hit Earth today,
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those are two fictional headlines you might see in the news.
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And both give a vastly different understanding of what happened.
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In today’s landscape, finding out the truth
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of anything can be difficult.
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That’s where Ground News comes in.
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It’s a website and app that helps you cut through the noise
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and see how hundreds of news outlets are reporting
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on the same story — all in one place.
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One of its most useful features is the Interest Pages,
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which let you follow news stories in categories you care about.
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Like science, technology, or politics.
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And when you find a story that catches your attention,
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Ground News helps you understand the bigger picture
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by showing you how coverage differs
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across the political spectrum, how factual each source is,
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and what context you might be missing.
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The bias comparison feature summarizes the bias for left,
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right and center publications.
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Do you remember when scientists found
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bio-markers for life on K2-18b?
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We sure do, we sent Chase there to find out more.
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Unfortunately, his results were about
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as varied as the news publications’.
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More than 400 news stories were published
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regarding K2-18b.
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This article would have you believe
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there is a 100% guarantee of life on the planet,
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while this article highlights that
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the scientists discovered ‘hints’
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and are still mostly skeptical at this stage.
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Coming across only one of these articles,
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you might believe it’s either a sure thing
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or sensationalistic journalism.
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But with Ground News, you can filter for bias
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and quickly glance at a publication's Factuality Score.
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Understanding the context of who
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is reporting on a topic will help you understand
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the truth of what actually happened.
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If this sounds like something that would help you
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sort through the noise and hone in
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on learning about what really matters to you,
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visit ground.news/wif.
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Or scan this QR code.
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Subscribe now and get a 40% discount
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on their unlimited usage Vantage Plan.
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Understanding the history, context
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and factuality surrounding each news event
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can be extremely beneficial in today’s landscape.
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But the landscape of the ancient past
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had entirely different, astrological problems to contend with.
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Astronomers first
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spotted Asteroid YR4 in December
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of 2024,
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using the ATLAS system in Chile.
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And let me tell you,
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this rock almost
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gave us a heart attack.
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By the way,
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ATLAS stands
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for Asteroid
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Terrestrial-Impact
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Last Alert System,
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so that should give you an idea
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of why this discovery
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was so terrifying.
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At first,
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it looked like YR4
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had a 3.1% chance of hitting Earth
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on December 22, 2032.
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Now, that may not sound like much,
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but in
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asteroid terms, that’s
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alarm bells territory.
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Scientists worldwide
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scrambled to refine its orbit,
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and as more data came
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in, they brought that number down.
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First to 1%,
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and eventually,
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to even less than that.
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Now, it's
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something like a 0.001% chance.
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Yeah, but that's still more percent
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than you ever want to hear.
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Of course, here on What If,
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we always
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imagine the worst-case scenario.
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So, fast-forward to 2032.
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Cue the impact.
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The thing you need to
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know about YR4?
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It's big.
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At a length of about 60m (200 ft),
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it's about the size
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of a jumbo jet.
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And this intruder
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from space wouldn't
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even need to touch the ground
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to cause serious damage.
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Yeah, instead of directly
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hitting Earth,
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YR4 would explode overhead like
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the Tunguska event
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did in 1908,
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in a remote region of Siberia.
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This rock would explode
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like a deadly firework
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and level the city beneath it.
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Buildings would collapse,
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and only reinforced
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bridges would remain standing.
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Barely.
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Predicting exactly
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where the asteroid would hit
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is difficult.
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We have to take into account
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Earth's orbit,
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the asteroid trajectory,
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and speed for starters.
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It might land
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somewhere in the ocean.
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wouldn't it be more epic
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if it landed on land?
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Say, in northern South America?
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Yeah, our deadly
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space traveler
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would land in Bogota, Colombia.
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Bogota, Colombia, is a city of over
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7 million people,
287
00:10:08,741 --> 00:10:10,176
tucked high in the Andes.
288
00:10:10,176 --> 00:10:13,179
But its elevation wouldn’t save it.
289
00:10:13,245 --> 00:10:14,280
The skies over
290
00:10:14,280 --> 00:10:15,748
Bogota would light up,
291
00:10:15,748 --> 00:10:17,917
as if the Sun had suddenly moved in
292
00:10:17,917 --> 00:10:19,151
for a close-up.
293
00:10:19,151 --> 00:10:21,887
Then, about 10 km above the city,
294
00:10:21,887 --> 00:10:23,856
that's about 6 mi,
295
00:10:23,856 --> 00:10:25,725
YR4 would detonate
296
00:10:25,725 --> 00:10:28,160
in a massive airburst.
297
00:10:28,160 --> 00:10:29,562
It’d release the energy
298
00:10:29,562 --> 00:10:32,565
of about 15 megatons of TNT.
299
00:10:32,765 --> 00:10:34,467
That's 1000
300
00:10:34,467 --> 00:10:35,368
more than the bomb
301
00:10:35,368 --> 00:10:37,336
that was dropped on Hiroshima.
302
00:10:37,336 --> 00:10:38,904
The shockwave would rip
303
00:10:38,904 --> 00:10:40,406
across the city in seconds,
304
00:10:40,406 --> 00:10:41,774
flattening buildings,
305
00:10:41,774 --> 00:10:43,109
snapping power lines,
306
00:10:43,109 --> 00:10:44,644
and throwing vehicles
307
00:10:44,644 --> 00:10:46,312
into the air like toys.
308
00:10:46,312 --> 00:10:48,814
If you were caught outside,
309
00:10:48,814 --> 00:10:50,883
you'd be blinded by the flash,
310
00:10:50,883 --> 00:10:52,585
then knocked to the ground
311
00:10:52,585 --> 00:10:55,221
by the blast wave seconds later.
312
00:10:55,221 --> 00:10:56,522
Fires would break out
313
00:10:56,522 --> 00:10:58,124
across entire neighbourhoods
314
00:10:58,124 --> 00:10:59,091
and glass
315
00:10:59,091 --> 00:10:59,725
and debris
316
00:10:59,725 --> 00:11:02,328
would turn into deadly shrapnel.
317
00:11:02,328 --> 00:11:03,829
The destruction wouldn’t
318
00:11:03,829 --> 00:11:06,065
stop at Bogota’s city limits.
319
00:11:06,065 --> 00:11:07,600
The Andes would echo
320
00:11:07,600 --> 00:11:09,602
with the sound of the explosion.
321
00:11:09,602 --> 00:11:11,237
Dozens of kilometers away,
322
00:11:11,237 --> 00:11:12,738
windows would shatter.
323
00:11:12,738 --> 00:11:14,440
Nearby towns would feel like
324
00:11:14,440 --> 00:11:14,940
they were hit
325
00:11:14,940 --> 00:11:16,609
by a massive earthquake.
326
00:11:16,609 --> 00:11:17,576
Power would be out
327
00:11:17,576 --> 00:11:19,145
for millions of people.
328
00:11:19,145 --> 00:11:21,113
Communications would fail.
329
00:11:21,113 --> 00:11:23,983
This is where the chaos kicks in.
330
00:11:23,983 --> 00:11:26,352
But since the asteroid didn't
331
00:11:26,352 --> 00:11:28,888
actually strike the ground,
332
00:11:28,888 --> 00:11:30,456
there wouldn't be a crater.
333
00:11:30,456 --> 00:11:31,223
Instead,
334
00:11:31,223 --> 00:11:32,591
the city would be marked
335
00:11:32,591 --> 00:11:34,760
by a burned, flattened zone
336
00:11:34,760 --> 00:11:37,129
where the blast hit hardest.
337
00:11:37,129 --> 00:11:38,764
It wouldn’t be the end of humanity,
338
00:11:38,764 --> 00:11:40,466
but for South America,
339
00:11:40,466 --> 00:11:41,934
it would be remembered
340
00:11:41,934 --> 00:11:44,470
as the day of scorched earth.
341
00:11:44,470 --> 00:11:46,172
Now, if something like YR4
342
00:11:46,172 --> 00:11:49,108
was on a collision course with us,
343
00:11:49,108 --> 00:11:49,608
we wouldn't
344
00:11:49,608 --> 00:11:51,911
be completely defenseless.
345
00:11:51,911 --> 00:11:53,679
NASA has already tested
346
00:11:53,679 --> 00:11:54,747
a planetary defense
347
00:11:54,747 --> 00:11:56,649
strategy called DART,
348
00:11:56,649 --> 00:11:57,316
that's short
349
00:11:57,316 --> 00:11:58,751
for the Double Asteroid
350
00:11:58,751 --> 00:12:00,086
Redirection Test.
351
00:12:00,086 --> 00:12:00,920
The idea
352
00:12:00,920 --> 00:12:02,688
isn't to destroy the asteroid,
353
00:12:02,688 --> 00:12:04,356
but just to redirect it
354
00:12:04,356 --> 00:12:06,459
while it's still in space.
355
00:12:06,459 --> 00:12:08,661
NASA tested it in 2022
356
00:12:08,661 --> 00:12:09,862
by deliberately slamming
357
00:12:09,862 --> 00:12:10,896
a spacecraft
358
00:12:10,896 --> 00:12:12,098
into an asteroid moon
359
00:12:12,098 --> 00:12:13,632
called Dimorphos.
360
00:12:13,632 --> 00:12:15,401
It worked.
361
00:12:15,401 --> 00:12:17,503
When you're dealing with asteroids,
362
00:12:17,503 --> 00:12:18,904
even a tiny course
363
00:12:18,904 --> 00:12:21,006
correction years in advance
364
00:12:21,006 --> 00:12:21,807
can mean the difference
365
00:12:21,807 --> 00:12:23,676
between a harmless flyby
366
00:12:23,676 --> 00:12:25,878
and a direct hit.
367
00:12:25,878 --> 00:12:27,279
I'd still feel safer
368
00:12:27,279 --> 00:12:29,849
if YR4 had a zero chance
369
00:12:29,849 --> 00:12:31,717
of hitting us in the first place.
370
00:12:31,717 --> 00:12:33,119
But But it looks like
371
00:12:33,119 --> 00:12:35,421
it might just hit the Moon instead.
372
00:12:35,421 --> 00:12:36,789
What a relief.
373
00:12:36,789 --> 00:12:38,824
And as if South America didn't
374
00:12:38,824 --> 00:12:40,392
have enough to deal with,
375
00:12:40,392 --> 00:12:41,460
another big strike
376
00:12:41,460 --> 00:12:42,428
is coming its way.
377
00:12:44,597 --> 00:12:45,931
Oumuamua is a
378
00:12:45,931 --> 00:12:47,500
special rock on this list.
379
00:12:47,500 --> 00:12:49,902
Because this was the first-ever
380
00:12:49,902 --> 00:12:51,570
interstellar object
381
00:12:51,570 --> 00:12:53,005
that we saw enter
382
00:12:53,005 --> 00:12:55,207
from interstellar space.
383
00:12:55,207 --> 00:12:55,841
Like, it
384
00:12:55,841 --> 00:12:58,410
came from outside our Solar System.
385
00:12:58,410 --> 00:13:00,513
And it was weird.
386
00:13:00,513 --> 00:13:01,714
Oumuamua isn't
387
00:13:01,714 --> 00:13:04,049
your average round asteroid.
388
00:13:04,049 --> 00:13:05,317
It's what scientists
389
00:13:05,317 --> 00:13:08,020
and I call cigar-shaped.
390
00:13:08,020 --> 00:13:09,255
It's ten times
391
00:13:09,255 --> 00:13:11,257
longer than it is wide.
392
00:13:11,257 --> 00:13:13,759
We've never seen anything like it
393
00:13:13,759 --> 00:13:16,762
until we saw this in 2017.
394
00:13:18,030 --> 00:13:19,865
At first, it looked like a comet
395
00:13:19,865 --> 00:13:21,300
because it accelerated
396
00:13:21,300 --> 00:13:22,301
in a strange way,
397
00:13:22,301 --> 00:13:24,303
almost like it was being pushed.
398
00:13:24,303 --> 00:13:26,071
But scientists would never see
399
00:13:26,071 --> 00:13:27,306
a comet like tail,
400
00:13:27,306 --> 00:13:29,308
which made things awkward.
401
00:13:29,308 --> 00:13:30,910
It could be a fragment
402
00:13:30,910 --> 00:13:32,278
of a larger rock.
403
00:13:32,278 --> 00:13:33,946
It might have exotic ices
404
00:13:33,946 --> 00:13:34,947
in its composition,
405
00:13:34,947 --> 00:13:37,783
like hydrogen ice or nitrogen ice.
406
00:13:37,783 --> 00:13:41,120
Or it may even be an ‘alien-made’
407
00:13:41,120 --> 00:13:42,087
object.
408
00:13:42,087 --> 00:13:44,423
Something they've sent to explore
409
00:13:44,423 --> 00:13:46,792
our little planetary cluster.
410
00:13:46,792 --> 00:13:49,528
Either way, this elongated rock
411
00:13:49,528 --> 00:13:52,464
is about to slam into us.
412
00:13:52,464 --> 00:13:53,065
First,
413
00:13:53,065 --> 00:13:54,066
Oumuamua would hit
414
00:13:54,066 --> 00:13:55,167
the top of the atmosphere,
415
00:13:55,167 --> 00:13:58,270
speeding at 20 to 26 km/s
416
00:13:58,270 --> 00:13:59,438
(12-16 mi/s).
417
00:13:59,438 --> 00:14:00,372
For a moment,
418
00:14:00,372 --> 00:14:01,173
it would look like
419
00:14:01,173 --> 00:14:02,241
there was a second
420
00:14:02,241 --> 00:14:04,143
Sun over the Amazon.
421
00:14:04,143 --> 00:14:05,010
Hey, somebody give this guy
422
00:14:05,010 --> 00:14:06,645
a speeding ticket.
423
00:14:06,645 --> 00:14:07,913
But in just a moment,
424
00:14:07,913 --> 00:14:10,015
it'll crash into the rainforest
425
00:14:10,015 --> 00:14:13,018
with about one gigaton of energy.
426
00:14:13,219 --> 00:14:14,220
A new crater
427
00:14:14,220 --> 00:14:16,555
will be torn into the basin.
428
00:14:16,555 --> 00:14:18,290
A crater from this monster
429
00:14:18,290 --> 00:14:19,892
would be no joke. About
430
00:14:21,393 --> 00:14:24,096
4 km, or 2.5 mi, across and
431
00:14:24,096 --> 00:14:27,633
600m, or 2,000 ft, deep.
432
00:14:28,234 --> 00:14:29,735
Everything inside
433
00:14:29,735 --> 00:14:31,871
that ball would vaporize.
434
00:14:31,871 --> 00:14:34,139
The shockwave would race outward,
435
00:14:34,139 --> 00:14:36,175
snapping trees like matchsticks
436
00:14:36,175 --> 00:14:38,611
and lighting the canopy on fire.
437
00:14:38,611 --> 00:14:41,580
From above, the world’s green lung
438
00:14:41,580 --> 00:14:44,183
would turn into a ring of brown
439
00:14:44,183 --> 00:14:45,951
and black.
440
00:14:45,951 --> 00:14:47,086
Towns far
441
00:14:47,086 --> 00:14:48,554
beyond the horizon would feel
442
00:14:48,554 --> 00:14:49,321
the shockwave
443
00:14:49,321 --> 00:14:52,324
as a hard shove and a long roll.
444
00:14:52,358 --> 00:14:54,693
Ash would be falling from the sky.
445
00:14:54,693 --> 00:14:55,628
For days,
446
00:14:55,628 --> 00:14:57,763
it would be snowing charcoal.
447
00:14:57,763 --> 00:14:58,697
Oumuamua
448
00:14:58,697 --> 00:15:00,299
launching itself into Earth
449
00:15:00,299 --> 00:15:01,500
wouldn’t cause
450
00:15:01,500 --> 00:15:02,935
an extinction-level event,
451
00:15:02,935 --> 00:15:05,571
but it would definitely be a blast
452
00:15:05,571 --> 00:15:07,406
that the planet would remember.
453
00:15:07,406 --> 00:15:08,073
The Amazon
454
00:15:08,073 --> 00:15:08,941
River would run
455
00:15:08,941 --> 00:15:11,176
hot and cloudy with ash.
456
00:15:11,176 --> 00:15:12,878
Air travel would be diverted
457
00:15:12,878 --> 00:15:13,712
for weeks.
458
00:15:13,712 --> 00:15:15,547
And across the northern part
459
00:15:15,547 --> 00:15:16,815
of South America,
460
00:15:16,815 --> 00:15:18,751
crops would get less light
461
00:15:18,751 --> 00:15:20,986
under an ashy sky.
462
00:15:20,986 --> 00:15:21,453
We’re
463
00:15:21,453 --> 00:15:22,388
not at the level
464
00:15:22,388 --> 00:15:23,789
of dinosaur extinction,
465
00:15:23,789 --> 00:15:25,691
but we’re getting there.
466
00:15:30,095 --> 00:15:31,263
Over in Mexico,
467
00:15:31,263 --> 00:15:31,864
the big
468
00:15:31,864 --> 00:15:33,232
celebrity herself
469
00:15:33,232 --> 00:15:36,101
is about to destroy everything.
470
00:15:36,101 --> 00:15:37,703
This is the most famous
471
00:15:37,703 --> 00:15:38,938
asteroid out there.
472
00:15:38,938 --> 00:15:40,372
The boulder with the smolder.
473
00:15:40,372 --> 00:15:43,375
The world-ending Chicxulub.
474
00:15:45,010 --> 00:15:46,545
66 million years
475
00:15:46,545 --> 00:15:47,613
ago, this rock,
476
00:15:47,613 --> 00:15:49,682
or more like ‘this mountain,’
477
00:15:49,682 --> 00:15:51,083
smashed into Earth
478
00:15:51,083 --> 00:15:51,717
on the coast
479
00:15:51,717 --> 00:15:54,119
of the Yucatan Peninsula in Mexico.
480
00:15:54,119 --> 00:15:55,688
And I'm not exaggerating
481
00:15:55,688 --> 00:15:57,589
when I say it was a mountain.
482
00:15:57,589 --> 00:16:00,359
Chicxulub measured at least 10
483
00:16:00,359 --> 00:16:03,963
km, that's 6 mi, in diameter.
484
00:16:04,263 --> 00:16:06,031
That's
485
00:16:06,031 --> 00:16:06,231
bigger -
486
00:16:06,231 --> 00:16:07,766
much bigger, than Mount Everest.
487
00:16:07,766 --> 00:16:09,468
After Chicxulub hit,
488
00:16:09,468 --> 00:16:11,870
Earth was never the same.
489
00:16:11,870 --> 00:16:12,538
First came
490
00:16:12,538 --> 00:16:13,272
the fireball
491
00:16:13,272 --> 00:16:15,140
that ignited the forests.
492
00:16:15,140 --> 00:16:16,475
Then the shockwave
493
00:16:16,475 --> 00:16:18,644
that circled the globe.
494
00:16:18,644 --> 00:16:19,912
A lot of dinosaurs
495
00:16:19,912 --> 00:16:21,280
were killed immediately.
496
00:16:21,280 --> 00:16:23,282
But not all of them.
497
00:16:23,282 --> 00:16:23,983
After the great
498
00:16:23,983 --> 00:16:26,986
fireball came the great blackout.
499
00:16:27,386 --> 00:16:28,854
The Chicxulub impact
500
00:16:28,854 --> 00:16:30,022
spewed dust
501
00:16:30,022 --> 00:16:31,290
and ash into the sky,
502
00:16:31,290 --> 00:16:32,825
blocking sunlight.
503
00:16:32,825 --> 00:16:34,660
For years after the impact,
504
00:16:34,660 --> 00:16:36,295
our planet was plunged
505
00:16:36,295 --> 00:16:37,529
into darkness.
506
00:16:37,529 --> 00:16:39,264
Many plant species died,
507
00:16:39,264 --> 00:16:41,066
and when the plants went,
508
00:16:41,066 --> 00:16:42,301
everything that fed on them
509
00:16:42,301 --> 00:16:43,469
went, too.
510
00:16:43,469 --> 00:16:46,038
This was the most recent extinction
511
00:16:46,038 --> 00:16:48,207
event in Earth's history.
512
00:16:48,207 --> 00:16:51,010
The dinosaurs never stood a chance.
513
00:16:51,010 --> 00:16:51,643
But now,
514
00:16:51,643 --> 00:16:52,911
this massive monstrosity
515
00:16:52,911 --> 00:16:55,314
is coming to end you.
516
00:16:55,314 --> 00:16:55,814
Yeah,
517
00:16:55,814 --> 00:16:57,282
if this devastating rock
518
00:16:57,282 --> 00:16:58,350
were to hit the Yucatan
519
00:16:58,350 --> 00:16:59,785
Peninsula today,
520
00:16:59,785 --> 00:17:00,419
it wouldn't be the
521
00:17:00,419 --> 00:17:01,920
dinosaurs going extinct.
522
00:17:03,188 --> 00:17:04,289
It'll be you.
523
00:17:04,289 --> 00:17:06,025
At first, a bright star
524
00:17:06,025 --> 00:17:06,959
appears in the sky out
525
00:17:06,959 --> 00:17:08,193
over the Gulf of Mexico.
526
00:17:08,193 --> 00:17:11,630
It's too bright and too fast.
527
00:17:12,197 --> 00:17:13,265
In less than a minute,
528
00:17:13,265 --> 00:17:14,666
it would grow to the size
529
00:17:14,666 --> 00:17:16,635
of a blazing sun.
530
00:17:16,635 --> 00:17:18,871
Then, the impact.
531
00:17:18,871 --> 00:17:21,573
The blast would vaporize everything
532
00:17:21,573 --> 00:17:22,708
in the vicinity.
533
00:17:22,708 --> 00:17:23,842
The ground would shake
534
00:17:23,842 --> 00:17:25,577
for hundreds of kilometers
535
00:17:25,577 --> 00:17:27,613
with the energy of a magnitude
536
00:17:27,613 --> 00:17:29,515
ten earthquake.
537
00:17:29,515 --> 00:17:30,482
Coastal towns
538
00:17:30,482 --> 00:17:32,117
would turn to white hot
539
00:17:32,117 --> 00:17:35,120
ash, and skyscrapers of Cancun
540
00:17:35,154 --> 00:17:37,623
would collapse from the shockwave.
541
00:17:37,623 --> 00:17:39,792
Cue the massive tsunami.
542
00:17:39,792 --> 00:17:41,427
Within hours of the impact,
543
00:17:41,427 --> 00:17:42,327
not one,
544
00:17:42,327 --> 00:17:44,263
but multiple tsunamis
545
00:17:44,263 --> 00:17:45,664
would be roaring across
546
00:17:45,664 --> 00:17:46,932
the Gulf of Mexico.
547
00:17:46,932 --> 00:17:49,802
Walls of water 100 m (330 ft)
548
00:17:49,802 --> 00:17:50,369
high would
549
00:17:50,369 --> 00:17:51,804
slam into Florida,
550
00:17:51,804 --> 00:17:54,106
Cuba and Central America.
551
00:17:54,106 --> 00:17:56,141
Less than 48 hours later,
552
00:17:56,141 --> 00:17:57,109
these huge waves
553
00:17:57,109 --> 00:17:59,545
would reach Australia.
554
00:17:59,545 --> 00:18:00,546
Back in Mexico,
555
00:18:00,546 --> 00:18:02,014
fires would rampage.
556
00:18:02,014 --> 00:18:02,681
There'd be a
557
00:18:02,681 --> 00:18:04,983
thick, choking cloud of dust
558
00:18:04,983 --> 00:18:07,553
and ash and sulfur everywhere.
559
00:18:10,055 --> 00:18:11,857
If somehow you survived
560
00:18:11,857 --> 00:18:12,958
the impact,
561
00:18:12,958 --> 00:18:14,993
you wouldn't be able to breathe.
562
00:18:14,993 --> 00:18:15,461
Look,
563
00:18:15,461 --> 00:18:16,195
the dinosaurs
564
00:18:16,195 --> 00:18:17,463
didn't survive this story
565
00:18:17,463 --> 00:18:19,264
66 million years ago.
566
00:18:19,264 --> 00:18:20,699
And if Chicxulub were
567
00:18:20,699 --> 00:18:22,468
to strike again today,
568
00:18:22,468 --> 00:18:24,470
humanity wouldn't either.
569
00:18:24,470 --> 00:18:25,070
Not because
570
00:18:25,070 --> 00:18:27,339
of the first flash of fire, though
571
00:18:27,339 --> 00:18:28,507
that alone would cause
572
00:18:28,507 --> 00:18:29,575
a lot of casualties.
573
00:18:29,575 --> 00:18:31,376
But because of the long,
574
00:18:31,376 --> 00:18:33,779
cold night that follows.
575
00:18:33,779 --> 00:18:36,048
In the weeks after Chicxulub,
576
00:18:36,048 --> 00:18:38,083
the world would fall silent.
577
00:18:38,083 --> 00:18:39,418
Smoke and dust
578
00:18:39,418 --> 00:18:40,752
would block out the Sun.
579
00:18:40,752 --> 00:18:42,521
Earth would be plunged
580
00:18:42,521 --> 00:18:44,590
into a cold twilight.
581
00:18:44,590 --> 00:18:45,190
Soon,
582
00:18:45,190 --> 00:18:46,125
the food chain
583
00:18:46,125 --> 00:18:47,693
would begin to collapse.
584
00:18:47,693 --> 00:18:49,428
Famine would spread faster
585
00:18:49,428 --> 00:18:51,630
than relief could keep up with it.
586
00:18:51,630 --> 00:18:52,631
Just a few months
587
00:18:52,631 --> 00:18:53,732
in, humanity
588
00:18:53,732 --> 00:18:55,334
would be living in chaos,
589
00:18:55,334 --> 00:18:57,569
struggling to survive.
590
00:18:57,569 --> 00:18:58,537
Years later,
591
00:18:58,537 --> 00:18:59,838
if you were still around
592
00:18:59,838 --> 00:19:01,440
in some sort of Last of Us
593
00:19:01,440 --> 00:19:02,374
scenario,
594
00:19:02,374 --> 00:19:03,008
you'd be walking
595
00:19:03,008 --> 00:19:06,011
through an unrecognizable world.
596
00:19:06,011 --> 00:19:08,580
Forests would be gone, coastlines
597
00:19:08,580 --> 00:19:11,183
redrawn, and entire species
598
00:19:11,183 --> 00:19:12,784
would have vanished forever.
599
00:19:14,186 --> 00:19:16,755
Okay, that was devastating.
600
00:19:16,755 --> 00:19:18,891
The smaller asteroids on this list
601
00:19:18,891 --> 00:19:20,092
we could recover from,
602
00:19:20,092 --> 00:19:21,793
but this one?
603
00:19:21,793 --> 00:19:22,995
Yeah, it's not looking
604
00:19:22,995 --> 00:19:24,196
good for humanity.
605
00:19:24,196 --> 00:19:26,198
Or any aninty.
606
00:19:26,198 --> 00:19:28,000
Animal-anity, plant-anity...
607
00:19:28,000 --> 00:19:29,234
But wait, this wasn't
608
00:19:29,234 --> 00:19:31,370
even the biggest impact?
609
00:19:31,370 --> 00:19:34,339
It gets worse?
610
00:19:34,339 --> 00:19:37,342
What's worse than that?
611
00:19:38,510 --> 00:19:41,246
OK, this one is from a really,
612
00:19:41,246 --> 00:19:42,915
really distant past,
613
00:19:42,915 --> 00:19:44,850
when Earth was young
614
00:19:44,850 --> 00:19:46,385
and very different from the Earth
615
00:19:46,385 --> 00:19:46,652
you know.
616
00:19:46,652 --> 00:19:48,520
Let’s go back
617
00:19:48,520 --> 00:19:51,523
3.3 billion years ago.
618
00:19:52,024 --> 00:19:52,824
This it
619
00:19:52,824 --> 00:19:54,293
the Paleoarchean
620
00:19:54,293 --> 00:19:56,628
era of early Earth.
621
00:19:56,628 --> 00:19:57,629
This is when our planet
622
00:19:57,629 --> 00:19:59,498
was mostly a waterworld,
623
00:19:59,498 --> 00:20:01,667
with a few early continent-like
624
00:20:01,667 --> 00:20:03,669
landmasses scattered around.
625
00:20:03,669 --> 00:20:05,003
There was barely any oxygen
626
00:20:05,003 --> 00:20:05,871
in the atmosphere,
627
00:20:05,871 --> 00:20:07,739
and with no ozone layer,
628
00:20:07,739 --> 00:20:09,575
the Sun bathed early Earth
629
00:20:09,575 --> 00:20:11,643
in lethal radiation.
630
00:20:11,643 --> 00:20:12,544
But that’s okay
631
00:20:12,544 --> 00:20:13,979
because there was basically
632
00:20:13,979 --> 00:20:15,614
no complex life here.
633
00:20:15,614 --> 00:20:17,416
Only some simple
634
00:20:17,416 --> 00:20:18,550
single-celled organisms
635
00:20:18,550 --> 00:20:19,885
like cyanobacteria,
636
00:20:19,885 --> 00:20:21,353
drifting in the ocean.
637
00:20:21,353 --> 00:20:23,488
Then came S2.
638
00:20:25,257 --> 00:20:27,159
This space rock was
639
00:20:27,159 --> 00:20:30,162
absolutely, devastatingly massive.
640
00:20:30,629 --> 00:20:31,530
Yeah, about
641
00:20:31,530 --> 00:20:32,965
200 times
642
00:20:32,965 --> 00:20:35,734
more massive than Chicxulub, so,
643
00:20:35,734 --> 00:20:36,868
if you can imagine,
644
00:20:36,868 --> 00:20:39,871
the impact was enormous.
645
00:20:40,272 --> 00:20:41,506
S2 plunged
646
00:20:41,506 --> 00:20:43,075
into the shallow seas near
647
00:20:43,075 --> 00:20:45,110
what's now called South Africa,
648
00:20:45,110 --> 00:20:48,113
and it changed the world forever.
649
00:20:48,313 --> 00:20:49,815
But it was actually kind of
650
00:20:49,815 --> 00:20:51,149
good for Earth.
651
00:20:51,149 --> 00:20:53,185
Sure, there were humongous
652
00:20:53,185 --> 00:20:54,786
tsunamis ripping apart
653
00:20:54,786 --> 00:20:56,321
coastlines across the planet
654
00:20:56,321 --> 00:20:58,056
and stripping debris
655
00:20:58,056 --> 00:20:59,091
from the ocean floor,
656
00:20:59,091 --> 00:21:01,393
tossing it into the atmosphere.
657
00:21:01,393 --> 00:21:02,094
The surface
658
00:21:02,094 --> 00:21:03,862
layers of the oceans boiled away
659
00:21:03,862 --> 00:21:05,897
and heated up the atmosphere.
660
00:21:05,897 --> 00:21:08,900
Molten rock rained from the sky.
661
00:21:09,067 --> 00:21:10,969
But this was the kind of shake-up
662
00:21:10,969 --> 00:21:12,237
Earth needed.
663
00:21:12,237 --> 00:21:13,872
You see, this impact
664
00:21:13,872 --> 00:21:14,640
stirred up
665
00:21:14,640 --> 00:21:17,643
iron from the depths of the ocean.
666
00:21:17,909 --> 00:21:18,910
This was a good thing.
667
00:21:18,910 --> 00:21:20,112
Because now,
668
00:21:20,112 --> 00:21:20,879
the seas
669
00:21:20,879 --> 00:21:23,515
suddenly became full of nutrients.
670
00:21:23,515 --> 00:21:25,083
All kinds of bacteria
671
00:21:25,083 --> 00:21:26,385
and microorganisms
672
00:21:26,385 --> 00:21:28,320
went through a baby boom.
673
00:21:28,320 --> 00:21:29,488
After the impact,
674
00:21:29,488 --> 00:21:30,188
early life
675
00:21:30,188 --> 00:21:32,257
really started to flourish.
676
00:21:32,257 --> 00:21:33,492
But that doesn't mean
677
00:21:33,492 --> 00:21:34,793
this massive impact
678
00:21:34,793 --> 00:21:37,129
would be good for us today.
679
00:21:37,129 --> 00:21:38,263
Yeah, if S2 hit
680
00:21:38,263 --> 00:21:39,431
near South Africa today,
681
00:21:39,431 --> 00:21:41,233
it would be game over
682
00:21:41,233 --> 00:21:43,368
for all of us.
683
00:21:43,368 --> 00:21:44,569
I could stop right there,
684
00:21:44,569 --> 00:21:46,805
but I’ll give you some details.
685
00:21:46,805 --> 00:21:47,673
A fireball
686
00:21:47,673 --> 00:21:49,441
the size of a continent
687
00:21:49,441 --> 00:21:51,376
would rise into the sky.
688
00:21:51,376 --> 00:21:54,379
As S2 violently smashed into Earth,
689
00:21:54,446 --> 00:21:55,714
it wouldn’t just vaporize
690
00:21:55,714 --> 00:21:57,316
water and rock.
691
00:21:57,316 --> 00:22:00,319
It would tear the seafloor apart.
692
00:22:00,452 --> 00:22:02,187
Yeah, this impact crater
693
00:22:02,187 --> 00:22:03,588
would stretch for hundreds
694
00:22:03,588 --> 00:22:05,123
of kilometers.
695
00:22:05,123 --> 00:22:07,559
Earthquakes 100 times stronger
696
00:22:07,559 --> 00:22:08,527
than anything
697
00:22:08,527 --> 00:22:09,661
recorded in human
698
00:22:09,661 --> 00:22:12,631
history would rip across the globe.
699
00:22:12,631 --> 00:22:13,965
And after that, well,
700
00:22:13,965 --> 00:22:14,833
you know the drill.
701
00:22:14,833 --> 00:22:16,368
Tsunamis, a barrage
702
00:22:16,368 --> 00:22:17,235
of flying molten
703
00:22:17,235 --> 00:22:18,236
rock,
704
00:22:18,236 --> 00:22:19,438
blocked sunlight, the
705
00:22:19,438 --> 00:22:21,273
collapse of ecosystems.
706
00:22:22,240 --> 00:22:24,076
Followed by extinction.
707
00:22:24,076 --> 00:22:25,544
Of us.
708
00:22:25,544 --> 00:22:28,547
All of us.
Following this,
709
00:22:28,680 --> 00:22:31,483
Earth would change again in ways
710
00:22:31,483 --> 00:22:33,285
we can’t even predict.
711
00:22:33,285 --> 00:22:35,220
A total reset.
712
00:22:35,220 --> 00:22:36,388
You for sure
713
00:22:36,388 --> 00:22:38,724
are not surviving this one.
714
00:22:38,724 --> 00:22:41,093
Now, if only 1 or 2 of these
715
00:22:41,093 --> 00:22:42,160
asteroids hit Earth
716
00:22:42,160 --> 00:22:43,829
at the same time,
717
00:22:43,829 --> 00:22:44,996
we could still make it.
718
00:22:44,996 --> 00:22:46,665
But add Chicxulub
719
00:22:46,665 --> 00:22:47,966
and S2 into the mix,
720
00:22:47,966 --> 00:22:49,634
and it doesn't matter
721
00:22:49,634 --> 00:22:51,570
how many relatively small impacts
722
00:22:51,570 --> 00:22:52,637
you survive.
723
00:22:52,637 --> 00:22:55,640
No one survives meteorite S2.
724
00:22:56,141 --> 00:22:57,676
So lucky for you
725
00:22:57,676 --> 00:22:58,944
that you’re living today
726
00:22:58,944 --> 00:23:00,779
and not in prehistoric times,
727
00:23:00,779 --> 00:23:02,114
where you'd be constantly
728
00:23:02,114 --> 00:23:04,049
hiding, running,
729
00:23:04,049 --> 00:23:04,983
being hunted down
730
00:23:04,983 --> 00:23:06,051
by the terrifying
731
00:23:06,051 --> 00:23:07,986
creatures of the past.
732
00:23:07,986 --> 00:23:09,855
Unless...
733
00:23:09,855 --> 00:23:12,824
Well, that’s a story for
734
00:23:12,824 --> 00:23:15,827
another WHAT IF.43552
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