All language subtitles for 9. Calibrate Position Management Take Profit
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We will now look at the last use of the
volume profile in terms of calibrating
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position management, profit -taking.
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For profit -taking, we will mainly look
for those levels or trading zones that
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00:00:11,240 --> 00:00:13,640
indicate interest or acceptance by
participants.
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As we have already mentioned, these are
the high pre -trade zones and the VWAP
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levels. Both create an attraction on the
price and this magnetism makes them
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excellent locations for profit -taking.
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As we have seen, A very important use of
the visible range volume profile, which
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shows the volume distribution of all the
price action we observe on the chart,
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is to identify large volume nodes from a
bird's eye view.
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The basic idea of these acceptance zones
is that since they are expected to
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attract some price, the market may
continually rotate between them, making
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excellent areas for establishing profit
taking.
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This means that if we are at any point
on the chart, We can use this analysis
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identify the volume node immediately
above and below us and use it to place
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profit taking there.
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Imagine that we are at the point I have
marked, within the volume node where the
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cause of the next trend movement is
being built.
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Now, if we confirm that the effective
imbalance will be generated by the top,
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the market will most likely go for the
volume node that is more immediately
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above.
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Similarly, if the imbalance is seen to
be occurring at its bottom, it is very
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likely that the market will visit the
volume node located at its bottom.
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The previous example is useful when we
have references, when we have already
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developed such high volume nodes.
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But what happens if we do not have such
references?
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This is what happens in this example.
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The market generates a distribution and
we do not observe any volume nodes on
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the downside, mainly because the upward
movement was very fluid.
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Or, You may even find yourself in a
context where the price is trading at
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historical lows and there is absolutely
no reference to take.
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In this case, you could take profits
according to the principles of another
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methodology you are using, but if you
are only using the volume profile
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levels, we can use the VWAP deviations
for these cases.
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Here we have the same chart showing the
second negative deviation of the weekly
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VWAP. As we can see, after actions that
leave us with short entries, The price
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will look for this deviation before
generating a corrective upward movement.
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Obviously, this is not the best way to
take advantage of large trends, but it
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certainly effective for short or medium
-term trades where we are trying to take
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advantage of trend movements of shorter
duration.
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Here is an example of intraday trading
with session profiles.
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After the buy entry and stop loss
placement, we identify the volume node
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top of the previous session.
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This would be a good point to take
profit.
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It does not have to be the entire
position.
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It could be a partial profit -taking
while letting the other part run to
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targets. The key is that when a break
-even zone is reached, it is convenient
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do some kind of position management.
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As a low, we should protect it and move
the stop to break -even.
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Another more complex example, the market
generates a sideways movement at the
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top that creates a bearish trend
movement.
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This movement is stopped with the
appearance of a B -shaped profile.
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followed by another profile that
overlaps the value areas, and finally
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-shaped profile that finally defines the
bullish reversal pattern that we
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studied earlier.
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After this, the market begins to move
higher, and the P -shaped profile is
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positioned above the value area.
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In this bullish context, we should start
looking for potential buying
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opportunities until our entry trigger
finally appears with this bullish
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candlestick. We set the entry and stop
loss orders according to what we have
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learned. and now it is time to determine
the location of the take profit.
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Obviously, we do not see a high volume
node in the immediate vicinity of the
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current price, so the most logical thing
to do at this point would be to place
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the take profit in the lateralization at
the top of the chart.
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As we can see, this lateralization
covers three different profiles, which
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us wonder where exactly we should place
the take profit.
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In this type of situation, it would be
best to draw a manual profile that
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the entire sideways movement.
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This way we would have a single large
value zone that would identify the
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trading level, and it would be there, in
the VPOC of this manual profile, where
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you should set the profit taking.
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Technically, I recommend placing the TP
a few levels ahead of the exact level
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that determines the VPOC.
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Sometimes you will see that the VPOC is
missed by a few ticks.
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This is because we actually want to take
advantage of the magnetism exerted by
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the entire volume knot, not just the
VPOC in isolation, but the area to which
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the VPOC belongs.
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As mentioned earlier, we need to treat
these levels as zones.
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Let's take another example.
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Short entry after a rejection at a low
volume node.
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After setting the entry and stop loss
orders, we identify the high volume node
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at the bottom, which should be used to
do some kind of position management on
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it. take partial profit or at least
protect the position.
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This range trade is a bit more delicate.
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In this example, we enter the market to
buy after the rejection of the price
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above the low volume node, which is
located below the value area low of the
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profile.
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The problem with this type of trade is
that the entry is inside the value area.
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00:05:28,330 --> 00:05:32,570
And what happens inside the value area
is that the equilibrium is such that
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there is an equal probability that the
market will go up or down.
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This is assuming that the valuations of
the participants have not changed,
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because if they have changed, and at the
aggregate level it is considered that
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price and value at that point no longer
converge, the market will necessarily
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start an imbalance in search of a new
value zone that generates a new
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between the participants.
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This is what is happening in this
example.
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After the rejection from the downside,
the market starts the imbalance from the
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upside, and, of course, this imbalance
must first go through the entire value
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area of the profile.
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00:06:08,820 --> 00:06:13,200
So in this context, there would be no
big problem to take the trade.
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The problem is that we will always have
this dilemma because we cannot know in
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advance if we are really facing the
event that will cause the market
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We will always have the doubt whether
the market is still in equilibrium or
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In any case, and under this premise,
What we have to do then is to manage the
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position more aggressively.
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00:06:34,790 --> 00:06:39,190
Since we know that in a market in
equilibrium, the price is most likely to
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between the extremes of the value area,
the most conservative assumption we will
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make in this particular example is that
it is most likely that the market will
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react after reaching the upper end of
the value area.
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With this baseline scenario, we will
take partial profits there or at the low
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end and protect the position at break
-even.
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That is the key.
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We're not dismissing the opportunity,
but we're managing it more aggressively,
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as if the trade were range -bound and
not trend -bound.
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We will talk about this later when we
present the principles of trading with
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value areas.
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Ultimately, this type of trading has a
higher risk, but also a higher potential
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for profit.
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If we are right and it is the total
imbalance of the structure, the profit
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potential will be relatively high.
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On the other hand, If we are wrong and
the market is still in balance, we will
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protect ourselves with more aggressive
management.
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In this other example, we would have
long entry on the test at the value high
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area of the lower sideways.
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It leaves a good bullish candlestick
that would activate the entry trigger
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we would set the stop loss just below
the low of the pattern that identifies
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entry signal.
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In this case, we cannot move the stop
loss location much further away as it is
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relatively close to the VPOC of the
lower structure.
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00:07:56,990 --> 00:08:01,610
In fact, the current stop -loss location
would already be within the value area
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00:08:01,610 --> 00:08:05,770
of that profile, so it is not a location
we are very comfortable with.
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00:08:06,050 --> 00:08:10,050
The problem is that there is no more
suitable location that allows us to
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maintain a controlled risk.
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These situations will arise at other
times. The key here for stop -loss
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placement is to rely on the end zones of
the two profiles.
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Both extremes of the profiles identify a
rejection zone.
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so we have no choice but to rely on
their strength.
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Regarding the take profit, it is the
right situation to zoom in and analyze
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overall context through the visible
range profile or view the manual profile
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that we have previously pulled, as is
the case.
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Fortunately, we have a clear reference
to the left of the price, so we will use
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the high volume node of that profile for
the take profit location.
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Again, you can decide to take profit on
part of the position or close it
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completely there.
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Finally, let's look at another example
of profit taking in the VWAP.
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In this case, it is the monthly VWAP.
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The VWAP is a very important trading
level that also allows us to get a sense
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the anatomy of the trends based on how
far the price is from the VWAP.
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In this case, as we can see, the price
is far away from the monthly VWAP.
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00:09:19,350 --> 00:09:22,870
This could be a fingerprint that tells
us that the trend movement could be
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overextended, which puts us in a
position to favor a reversion to the
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If we have managed to enter one of the
market trading zones, a good place to
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take profits would be when the price
reaches the VWAP zone.
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We have already talked about creating a
position management where partial
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profits are taken when a trading zone is
reached and the rest of the position is
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left to run.
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Well, part of the position could be left
open until it reaches an area further
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away from the price, such as the VWAP.
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As we will see later, the magnetism that
the VWAP exerts on the price is
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confirmed with this test that occurs to
give rise to the continuation of the
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bearish movement.
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00:10:03,220 --> 00:10:07,580
For more intraday trading, it can be
very useful to identify the developing
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volume point of control.
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These are price levels that were the
VPOC of a session at a given time.
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whether or not they were the final VPOC
of that session.
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To have them displayed on the chart, we
simply go to the Style tab of the
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session profile and check the Developing
POC box.
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00:10:25,540 --> 00:10:30,340
As we know, the VPOC of the session
changes based on the trades that are
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and this level represents the footprint
of that change.
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00:10:34,120 --> 00:10:38,900
In this example, we see the price being
attracted to these levels, virtually all
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of which are being tested.
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This is normal because we are dealing
with a level that has been traded a lot
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and is therefore likely to have some
magnetic behavior.
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The highlight of these levels is that we
are only considering those that have
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not been tested.
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The same is true for naked VPOCs.
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Naked VPOCs are VPOCs from previous
sessions that were not tested.
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Unlike DVPOCs, naked VPOCs were the last
VPOC of the session.
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00:11:07,810 --> 00:11:11,940
To include them in the chart, we simply
go to the Data Entry tab of the session
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00:11:11,940 --> 00:11:15,240
profile and check the Expand POC box on
the right.
181
00:11:15,800 --> 00:11:20,240
There is a statistic that VPOCs from
previous sessions have a high
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of being tested in the following days.
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00:11:22,740 --> 00:11:25,200
Therefore, they are very interesting to
consider.
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In this example, we see the magnetism of
these levels attracting the price and
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even generating a subsequent reversal.
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Especially useful, as I said, for
intraday trading.
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