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Once the price leaves the equilibrium
range, we would be in the context of a
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trend. When a trend is identified, the
trader should only trade in favor of the
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trend and wait for the reversal to try
to enter the market.
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At some point, you can trade the
reversal, but this type of trading
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higher risk.
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In a trending context, there are two
places to trade depending on where the
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price is, interacting with the value
zone or away from it.
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In a trade where the price is
interacting with the value zone, what
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previously is that the price has left
the equilibrium zone and is in a process
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of imbalance that we must analyze to
confirm whether it is accepted or
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If it is rejected, the price will return
to the old value zone, but if it is
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accepted, it will initiate a subsequent
trend movement out of the range.
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This acceptance or rejection will be
verified in a subsequent test where we
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for the price to make a relevant trading
level, basically the extremes of the
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value area.
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And this is where the first trade
appears, in the post -breakout test,
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would apply the principle of
continuation as the price interacts with
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extremes of the profile.
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For bullish continuations, we would look
for a T on the value area high and for
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bearish continuations on the value area
low.
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We will look at several examples of
those already analyzed.
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In this type of trading context, we also
take into account the VPOC of the
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range, which is the last trading level
above which the retracement after the
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break can be expected.
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If this is far from the break, it is
advisable to quarantine the scenario, as
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the price will have re -entered the
value area and will already have some
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In this case, and according to the
volume profile trading principles, the
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reversal type of trade should be
triggered.
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Here we see two examples of testing on
the VPOC followed by continuations in
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favor of the imbalance.
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This failed reversal principle is a
hybrid between the continuation
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and the reversal principle as it is the
subsequent price reaction that
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determines which strategy is ultimately
applied.
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And here we see the other variant of the
failed reversal principle with the VPOC
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test and confirmation of the reversal.
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Once the price manages to position and
hold outside of the value area, we will
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determine that an imbalance has
occurred, that such a move has not been
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rejected, and therefore we will be in a
position to look for an entry in favor
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of that direction.
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If we are in a potential bullish
breakout, all the volumes seen below, as
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as the previous area of equilibrium, can
now be identified as a potential
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accumulation.
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As we know, the effect of an
accumulation will be a bullish move and
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where we want to be positioned.
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Conversely, if we find ourselves in a
situation of a possible bearish breakout
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and the price is able to hold this area
and not return to the previous
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equilibrium area, we will be able to
identify this process as distributive
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it will be the moment to look for the
trigger to enter into a selling position
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in order to take advantage of the
subsequent bearish trend movement.
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Once the market has confirmed the
effective break of the previous
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area, it will initiate the trend
movement.
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At this point, we would have to work
with the context away from the value
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There may also be another case where we
open a chart where the price is already
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outside its last value area and is
already looking for a new equilibrium
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Here, we have not been able to see the
origin of the break of this value area,
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but the objective that the market is
already in this trend context.
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And in such a context, what we need to
do now is wait for a corrective move to
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take place before continuing in the
direction of the trend imbalance.
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The key would be to identify the
possible areas where the price can be
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to make such a corrective move.
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If the first level is too close, it is
likely that the price will look for the
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next level to develop a retracement with
some proportionality in relation to the
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previous impulse.
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There are many ways to do this. We can
use the levels of the volume profile of
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the previous session if we are trading
intraday.
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This will be the end of the value area
and the VPOC on which we will first
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the continuation trade.
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We can also start a manual profile of
the whole impulse and use the operative
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levels of this profile.
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So we should wait for the price to be
above the end of the value area and
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the VPOC.
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Other levels to consider in this context
are the VWAP, whether daily, weekly, or
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monthly. We will always pay close
attention to the location of the weekly
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as it is particularly useful in these
trend contexts to look for the end of
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retracement and the beginning of a new
impulse move.
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Finally, it is interesting to identify
the areas of low volume within the
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context in which we are trading.
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In this case, we can use different
profiles, the composite to identify the
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general context, the profile of the
previous impulse, and the profile of the
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previous sessions.
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We already know how the price can
interact with these low trading zones,
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should always keep them in mind
regardless of the type of profile we are
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with. In all contexts, we will want to
trade in favor of the more trading
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the better.
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As mentioned above, the areas where
several trading levels converge are
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recommended to look for entries,
highlighting the combination of VPOC and
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