All language subtitles for 2. Range principle

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Would you like to inspect the original subtitles? These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:00,200 --> 00:00:03,900 We will begin with the first of the four trading principles, the range 2 00:00:03,900 --> 00:00:07,700 principle. We will apply this principle in markets that are in total 3 00:00:07,700 --> 00:00:12,420 equilibrium, that is, in environments where most participants at the aggregate 4 00:00:12,420 --> 00:00:17,300 level converge in their valuations on the price of the asset, creating a zone 5 00:00:17,300 --> 00:00:20,260 high bargaining and causing a continuous rotation in the price. 6 00:00:21,060 --> 00:00:24,920 What the range principle tells us is that if the price is within a value 7 00:00:25,080 --> 00:00:28,820 as long as the market condition does not change, the market is likely to 8 00:00:28,820 --> 00:00:32,580 continue to generate value around the center point, so the price will most 9 00:00:32,580 --> 00:00:34,840 likely be rejected when the extremes are reached. 10 00:00:35,560 --> 00:00:39,840 Therefore, the type of trade we should use in this context is an extremes 11 00:00:40,040 --> 00:00:43,800 a range trade where we try to buy at the bottom and sell at the top. 12 00:00:44,260 --> 00:00:48,740 In other words, buy when you see a bullish reaction on the value area low 13 00:00:48,740 --> 00:00:51,880 sell when you see a bearish reaction on the value area high. 14 00:00:52,560 --> 00:00:57,290 In addition, if the price rejects one of the extremes of the value area, The 15 00:00:57,290 --> 00:01:01,350 most likely scenario now is that the price will seek at least the level of 16 00:01:01,350 --> 00:01:06,450 VPOC and, with a slightly lower probability, although still very high, 17 00:01:06,450 --> 00:01:07,950 opposite end of the value area. 18 00:01:08,370 --> 00:01:13,190 In other words, if the price generates a rejection at the value area low, the 19 00:01:13,190 --> 00:01:17,550 probability is that price will visit the value area high and vice versa. 20 00:01:18,250 --> 00:01:22,030 We can identify the context of equilibrium in different situations. 21 00:01:22,620 --> 00:01:26,400 depending on the degree to which we observe the market and the type of 22 00:01:26,400 --> 00:01:27,400 we use. 23 00:01:27,500 --> 00:01:32,280 If we use daily profiles, session profiles, we can see that the market is 24 00:01:32,280 --> 00:01:35,800 equilibrium when the price of the current session is within the value area 25 00:01:35,800 --> 00:01:36,800 the previous session. 26 00:01:37,240 --> 00:01:39,440 In this chart, we have an example of this. 27 00:01:39,980 --> 00:01:44,140 After the close of the previous day's session, we project the trading levels 28 00:01:44,140 --> 00:01:45,840 the right to identify these references. 29 00:01:46,220 --> 00:01:50,480 It is these levels that we will take into account to assess the type of day 30 00:01:50,480 --> 00:01:51,940 may have in the following session. 31 00:01:52,940 --> 00:01:57,260 These theories come from the market profile where they studied where the 32 00:01:57,260 --> 00:02:01,200 of the current session occurred in relation to the previous session in 33 00:02:01,200 --> 00:02:04,800 determine the directional bias and apply one or another operative. 34 00:02:05,420 --> 00:02:09,720 In this case, an opening within the value area of the previous session 35 00:02:09,720 --> 00:02:14,020 a market in equilibrium and should therefore be favored to maintain this 36 00:02:14,560 --> 00:02:19,200 As we can see in the chart, the second session opens within the value area of 37 00:02:19,200 --> 00:02:20,200 the first session. 38 00:02:20,250 --> 00:02:24,390 which should lead us to identify the principle of the range and apply an 39 00:02:24,390 --> 00:02:28,130 trade, favoring the reaction at the extremes of the value area. 40 00:02:28,790 --> 00:02:33,510 We can see how the price generates continuous rotations as it interacts 41 00:02:33,510 --> 00:02:35,210 high and low of the value area. 42 00:02:35,710 --> 00:02:39,130 It is at these points that we want to look for our entry signal. 43 00:02:39,510 --> 00:02:44,790 To do this, we can use the multiple temporality and move the time frame down 44 00:02:44,790 --> 00:02:46,770 identify the entry trigger more precisely. 45 00:02:47,340 --> 00:02:51,300 Or, you may not want to move down the time frame and look for the signal in 46 00:02:51,300 --> 00:02:53,840 same time frame. There is no one best way. 47 00:02:54,220 --> 00:02:55,920 The decision is up to the trader. 48 00:02:56,780 --> 00:02:59,500 Here is another example of exactly the same thing. 49 00:02:59,920 --> 00:03:04,380 After opening inside the value area, the price visits the low part of the value 50 00:03:04,380 --> 00:03:06,920 area where it generates a bullish rotation twice. 51 00:03:07,620 --> 00:03:12,140 Then, it goes to the upper part and generates another downward rotation, 52 00:03:12,140 --> 00:03:15,820 time to the downside, proving the equilibrium environment in the market. 53 00:03:16,430 --> 00:03:20,850 And in the last part of the session, it manages to break below the value area. 54 00:03:21,330 --> 00:03:25,390 The fact that the price does not manage to return to trading within the value 55 00:03:25,390 --> 00:03:30,450 area suggests, at least initially, that the equilibrium state in the market may 56 00:03:30,450 --> 00:03:31,450 have been lost. 57 00:03:31,490 --> 00:03:35,710 If this is confirmed, we should apply another principle that we will see below 58 00:03:35,710 --> 00:03:39,270 to try to take advantage of the potential trend movement that will 59 00:03:40,110 --> 00:03:43,950 And in this other example, although it doesn't look like it because it comes 60 00:03:43,950 --> 00:03:47,620 from a strong bullish imbalance, The range principle also applies. 61 00:03:47,920 --> 00:03:52,200 As we said, this is determined by the opening price and as we see in this 62 00:03:52,200 --> 00:03:55,120 example, it is within the previous day's value area. 63 00:03:55,500 --> 00:03:59,880 In this case, it first visited the lower part of the value area from where it 64 00:03:59,880 --> 00:04:02,460 reacted up to twice before visiting the upper part. 65 00:04:03,020 --> 00:04:07,480 There, a new bearish reaction took place which sent the price to the middle 66 00:04:07,480 --> 00:04:13,140 part, to the VPOC area of the previous day, key level from which the market 67 00:04:13,140 --> 00:04:14,140 the bullish breakout. 68 00:04:14,590 --> 00:04:17,690 As we can see, trading levels are very important. 69 00:04:18,670 --> 00:04:23,210 Beyond the profile of single sessions, we can also apply this principle of 70 00:04:23,210 --> 00:04:27,950 to a higher degree in identifying an equilibrium context in environments 71 00:04:27,950 --> 00:04:31,590 the market is experiencing a large sideways movement over several sessions. 72 00:04:33,010 --> 00:04:35,670 Here is an example of a range on the hourly chart. 73 00:04:36,050 --> 00:04:40,090 It spans a large number of sessions, so it would be best to start a manual 74 00:04:40,090 --> 00:04:42,010 profile of all this price action. 75 00:04:43,530 --> 00:04:47,950 As we can see, the price is generating multiple reactions at the extremes of 76 00:04:47,950 --> 00:04:48,829 value area. 77 00:04:48,830 --> 00:04:52,430 Regardless of whether we are dealing with session profiles or other types of 78 00:04:52,430 --> 00:04:57,030 profiles, the underlying logic is that the market context is one of 79 00:04:57,470 --> 00:05:02,630 And in an equilibrium context, any move to the upside is seen as an opportunity 80 00:05:02,630 --> 00:05:08,070 to sell. And conversely, any move to the downside is seen as an opportunity to 81 00:05:08,070 --> 00:05:12,650 buy. This is the reason for the constant price fluctuations in these areas. 82 00:05:13,450 --> 00:05:18,270 As mentioned above, this type of profile needs to be continuously updated until 83 00:05:18,270 --> 00:05:22,250 the breakout movement occurs, which, in this case, occurs at the bottom. 84 00:05:22,870 --> 00:05:27,450 Before the bearish breakout occurred, we can see how the price rejected the VAL 85 00:05:27,450 --> 00:05:32,990 several times and the resulting reaction could only reach the VPOC and not the 86 00:05:32,990 --> 00:05:37,490 VAH. This is a trace that we should keep in mind to be alert to the possibility 87 00:05:37,490 --> 00:05:38,690 of an imminent breakout. 88 00:05:39,430 --> 00:05:43,720 If you recall, at the beginning of the course, I said that what the price does 89 00:05:43,720 --> 00:05:46,520 is just as important as what it does not do. 90 00:05:47,040 --> 00:05:51,840 This is because what it fails to do, in this case, to generate a move to the top 91 00:05:51,840 --> 00:05:54,020 of the profile, is a crucial fingerprint. 92 00:05:54,600 --> 00:05:59,460 When the market fails to make such a move, even on multiple occasions, it is 93 00:05:59,460 --> 00:06:03,480 because there is some underlying weakness which is confirmed by the 94 00:06:03,480 --> 00:06:04,640 breakout to the downside. 95 00:06:05,660 --> 00:06:09,760 One doubt that may arise is how to analyze those stocks that go a long way 96 00:06:09,760 --> 00:06:11,400 beyond the limits of the value area. 97 00:06:11,980 --> 00:06:16,040 On many occasions, and especially in real time, we may initially get the 98 00:06:16,040 --> 00:06:20,280 impression that we are facing such a breakout action, at which point, as we 99 00:06:20,280 --> 00:06:24,360 already know, we should stop following the profile and wait for a retracement 100 00:06:24,360 --> 00:06:27,700 above its trading levels to look for a continuation in that direction. 101 00:06:28,320 --> 00:06:32,940 But instead, what happens is that the market goes back into value area. 102 00:06:33,420 --> 00:06:37,160 On the chart, I have marked four situations where exactly this happens. 103 00:06:37,480 --> 00:06:41,870 There are two stocks where the reversal happens in the same candlestick, and two 104 00:06:41,870 --> 00:06:43,070 stocks where it takes longer. 105 00:06:43,570 --> 00:06:47,610 The key, of course, is whether or not it has the ability to re -enter the value 106 00:06:47,610 --> 00:06:52,530 area. A phrase I like to spread is that every market action must be confirmed or 107 00:06:52,530 --> 00:06:54,490 rejected by the subsequent price action. 108 00:06:54,810 --> 00:06:58,530 In this case, what we are trying to confirm is the potential breakout. 109 00:06:58,970 --> 00:07:02,430 And to do that, we need the price to stay out of the value area. 110 00:07:03,670 --> 00:07:07,870 Therefore, it makes no difference to us if the price takes more or less time. 111 00:07:08,360 --> 00:07:12,940 The key is that whenever it re -enters the value area and manages to 112 00:07:12,940 --> 00:07:17,960 position itself below the VPOC, that is the moment when we will confirm this 113 00:07:17,960 --> 00:07:22,060 action as a false breakout and we should update the end of the profile, 114 00:07:22,300 --> 00:07:24,700 including all the actions of this failed discovery. 115 00:07:25,480 --> 00:07:29,880 In the final part of the course, we will explore this concept of when to modify 116 00:07:29,880 --> 00:07:31,460 the profile in more detail. 117 00:07:32,200 --> 00:07:33,640 Here is another example. 118 00:07:34,240 --> 00:07:38,520 As we can see, the market constantly rotates between the boundaries of the 119 00:07:38,520 --> 00:07:43,660 area. Sometimes it leaves this area and penetrates the rejection zone identified 120 00:07:43,660 --> 00:07:45,340 at the extremes of the profile. 121 00:07:45,820 --> 00:07:50,980 But it always returns to the midpoint established in the VPOC until it finally 122 00:07:50,980 --> 00:07:51,980 breaks through the top. 123 00:07:52,640 --> 00:07:56,520 Again, the operation could be thought in the same time frame or in a lower one. 124 00:07:56,600 --> 00:07:58,260 It is at the discretion of the trader. 125 00:07:58,880 --> 00:08:02,640 The most important thing is to be clear about the prevailing context at the 126 00:08:02,640 --> 00:08:05,780 levels at which we expect the price to develop our entry triggers. 12313

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