All language subtitles for 2. How can we analyze a chart from scratch
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1
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How can we analyze a chart from scratch?
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This is one of the first obstacles a
novice trader must overcome when trying
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analyze charts from the point of view of
price action and volume.
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The first thing to say is that when it
comes to a chart, the cleaner, the
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better. There's no point in having lots
of objects or indicators on it.
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The only thing this does is hide the
most critical piece of information, the
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price. Our first goal is to determine
the current long -term context to know
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the market is in a trend or in a range.
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There is no designated timeframe for
each objective.
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I always say that it will be the chart
itself that tells us which timeframe is
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best to use at each moment.
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For reference, the long -term context is
generally best identified on either
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daily or weekly charts.
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Depending on the history of the asset,
sometimes just looking at the H4 chart
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may be enough.
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While on the other occasions, you will
need to look at the monthly chart, but
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a general rule, most of these analyses
will be daily or weekly.
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Once on the chart, the first thing we
are going to do is find where the latest
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sideways movements are with respect to
the current price.
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This sign will give us the current long
-term context.
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Here, there are only three options and
each one offers us a different context.
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The identification of the context will
answer the first and most important
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question for our subsequent trading
approach.
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What kind of strategy are we going to
look for?
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In other words, what do we want to do,
buy or sell?
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In which direction is the greatest
control of the market?
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These key questions should be resolved
in this first context analysis.
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In short, it is about establishing the
directional bias of the market.
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Once we are clear about the bias, The
strategies we will implement must be
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aligned with it, so we always try to
trade in favor of the least resistance.
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That is, if we see a distribution
structure above, the context will be
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and therefore we should look for selling
opportunities.
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The market is unbalanced to the downside
and we should only be looking for short
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buys.
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Later, we will see up to what point. For
now, we are sticking with the key
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concept that the path of least
resistance is downwards.
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If we open a chart and do not see an
accumulation range below, we will
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the context as bullets, and therefore we
should look for buying opportunities.
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Unlike the previous example, in this
case, the control is on the side of the
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buyers. Most market participants have
agreed that the asset is cheap and
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higher prices.
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That is why we should only be looking
for long positions.
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Finally, if we find ourselves within a
sideways movement, The context will be
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neutral and therefore we should look for
trades at the edges, in other words,
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look to buy at the lows of the structure
and sell at the highs, or do absolutely
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nothing and wait for the imbalance to
occur.
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It is during the development of these
ranges that we put into practice all the
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analytical tools that the methodology
offers us to try to discern what is
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happening and where the market is most
likely to turn.
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Fundamentally, most of the participants
consider that price and value converge
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approximately in the entire price range
covered by the structure, and therefore
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a movement towards the high part is seen
as an opportunity to sell, and a move
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to the bottom of the structure would
present an opportunity to buy.
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Up to what point?
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Well, as we saw with auction theory,
this will continue until something
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at the fundamental level.
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that changes the valuations of the
agents and the price leaves this
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zone to look for another one higher up
or lower down.
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As we can see, this first overall
analysis to understand the current
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is fundamental, since it will determine
how we are next going to proceed.
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The market can only be in two
situations, a range or a trend.
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Within these, there are only three
possible trading contexts.
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Look to buy if it is in a bullish
context.
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Look to sell if it is in a bearish
context.
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Look to trade at the edges or do nothing
if it is in a range context.
6240
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