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In three months of the offensive, the Russian
occupiers have set a record for losses.
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The Russian offensive, which began in November
2023, may exhaust its potential by spring. At
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the same time, the Russians have not achieved
and are unlikely to achieve any important
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results. But what losses have the occupiers
suffered during the period of this offensive?
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To assess the period of the offensive,
let's take the full cycle from November
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2023 to January 2024, that is,
3 months of combat operations.
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The enemy losses from November
2023 to January 2024 were:
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Personnel - 84,740; Tanks - 1,099; Armored
fighting vehicles - 1,939; Barrel artillery
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- 1,978; MLRS - 130; Vehicles - 2,643; Special
vehicles - 443; Air defense - 100; Aviation - 11;
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All 3 months were record-breaking in
terms of personnel losses with the
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absolute record in December - 29,970 personnel.
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This is all due not only to the
fact of the offensive itself,
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but also to two very important circumstances.
The first is the weather conditions.
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Conducting an offensive in winter is always
associated with an actual increase in losses,
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and it was during this unfavorable period that the
intensification of enemy offensive actions began.
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The second, no less important circumstance is
the lack of full staffing of units in terms of
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equipment. In the offensive it is a very
important indicator, allowing to save the
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lives of the assaulting units, as well as
providing fire support is critical in the
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course of action on the battle line. Despite the
fact that the Russians have significantly more
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equipment than the Ukrainian Defense Forces, they
do not have enough for the total number of units.
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Also, the record increase in personnel
losses is simultaneously due to the Russian
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command's disregard for human lives and the
growing shortage of equipment in the troops.
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For two months in a row, the record for
destroyed vehicles was set at 931 and 937,
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respectively. These figures were also due
to the growing shortage of armored fighting
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vehicles in the Russian military and the
increasing use of civilian vehicles instead.
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Similarly with special vehicles, which were
destroyed for two consecutive months on record.
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In December, the second-highest number
of lost tanks was recorded - 419,
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and in November, the second highest number
of Multiple rocket launchers losses was 66.
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Since the start of the Russian occupation
forces' fall-winter offensive campaign,
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not a single critical settlement,
city, transportation hub, etc.,
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has been captured. Three months of intense
combat operations were accompanied by high
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and record losses for the Russian troops. During
the three months in Ukraine, a number of Russian
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occupiers comparable to the total number
of some armies of the world were destroyed.
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In addition, during the winter period, when it is
desirable to go on the defensive and accumulate
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forces, the Russians have only accelerated
the process of depletion of their troops,
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and in the spring they will come
out not with accumulated potential,
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but on the contrary - with the need to
compensate for losses. This necessity
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will also include mandatory mobilization after
the so-called Russian presidential elections,
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which will also affect the intensity of
combat operations in the summer of 2024.
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In fact, the offensive was supposed to
"prove" to the electorate the success of
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the so-called "special military operation"
with the subsequent capture of Avdiivka,
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Lyman and Kupiansk, but as
they say, not this time.
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