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About the gray zone, winter troubles for
the occupants and the Zaporizhzhya triangle.
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Russian sources are reporting some
panic about the village of Verbove,
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which is not surprising given the Ukrainian
Liberation Forces advances there. But while
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the attention of Russian patriots is drawn to
Verbove, Novoprokopivka is completely ignored.
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And this, too, is not surprising.
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Verbove is of course an important village on the
border of the first and second line of defense,
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the liberation of which would open
the Ukrainian stormtroopers an exit
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in several directions at once. But still,
it is somewhat away from highway 0408,
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which leads through Novoprokopivka,
Ilchenkove and Solodka Balka to Tokmak.
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And the nuance of this, conditionally,
agglomeration of villages is that the
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liberation of Novoprokopivka makes it
absolutely senseless for the occupants
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to hold Ilchenkove and Solodka Balka. And
if they are not a herd of suicidal people,
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after the liberation of Novoprokopivka they
will have to rush to Tokmak on highway 0408.
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What will the Russian command do in the above
situation? I think you and I will soon find out.
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But, in the impending collapse of this location,
the Russian command is trying to divert attention
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from the situation on a very important
highway to the situation on an important,
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but still somewhat remote village. But
the tops of the Zaporizhzhya triangle
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Novoprokopivka-Verbove-Ocheretuvate
are already starting to crumble.
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It is also worth paying attention
to a little further west,
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specifically to the gray
zone in the Kherson region.
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This is a unique gray zone along the left
bank of the Dnipro. The area that used to
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be the first border of the enemy's supply
line has turned into a zone where there
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is no control of positions by the
Russian occupants and, in a sense,
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at the same time absent, but also present
control of the Ukrainian Armed Forces. In
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a sense, this is the specificity and
uniqueness of the Kherson gray zone.
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For example, on the left bank there
is a notional position of the enemy,
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which they have lost for one reason or another,
but where Ukrainian forces are not present
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either. Can the Russians return to it? They
can, but in a day or two they'll be cut out
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there and the position will be a draw again. Or in
a couple of hours after returning to it, something
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fragmentation or cluster bomb will fly directly
at this position and the result will be the same.
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This is how the gray area on the left bank
grows, multiplying the number of such draws
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positions. Well, as draw positions, I have already
explained the specifics of "draw" positions above.
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But this gray zone has a nuance...
Already now it is beginning to
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bump into the borders of temporarily
occupied settlements and towns. Oleshky,
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Hola Prystan, Kozachi Laheri, Krynky, Korsunka....
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The gray zone presses in and piles up. What
will happen next? Because at some point, the
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gray zone will no longer consume enemy positions,
but streets, intersections, neighborhoods... "The
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Mist" by Stephen King as an analogy, only the
good side is on the other side of the mist.
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I also want to mention the Russian narrative
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that the onslaught will stop once
mud season begins. But this year,
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we don't have to expect a repeat of last year,
no one is going to give the enemy a break.
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You can only get attached to "mud season"
until it freezes over. And then you can
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continue the pressure in almost the
same amount as before the "season".
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In the interval there will be a lot of
counter-battery and infantry fighting,
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so that the occupants have not yet had time
to set up an additional line of defense.
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Winter battles, of course, have their
own peculiarities, but I am sure that
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the AFU will be able to surprise the enemy
unpleasantly at this time of year as well.
5786
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