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500 days of war are behind us: Russia has
already lost, but the Ukrainians have not
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yet won.
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We have to keep this in mind every day.
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There is still a lot of work ahead.
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Russian occupation forces not only lost the
ability to conduct large-scale offensive operations,
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but also to hold captured territories on the
defensive.
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For the Russian army, the war has shifted
from a victorious offensive to a defensive
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retreat.
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"The Russian Volunteer Corps, the Legion of
Free Russia, and later Prigozhin and his Wagner
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Group did their job.
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After their unhindered invasion of Russia,
enemy forces now have to be diverted to guarding
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their borders.
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So today will be an overview of the potential
of the Russian grouping along the Ukrainian
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border in the north of the country.
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There is no fighting here now, but there was
a full-scale invasion across the borders of
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these regions in February 2022.
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In brief, the Russian grouping along this
part of the border has the following appearance,
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which I have presented in the form of a table.
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Pause the video to compare the numbers before
and after.
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In this case, a remarkable trend should be
noted.
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Literally in February this year this grouping
was numerically equal to 17 thousand people.
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That is, we see an obvious increase, but there
is a nuance.
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If we look at these figures superficially,
we can talk about growth, but if we go deeper
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into the matter, we can draw some conclusions,
though obvious for a long time, but nevertheless
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invariably useful.
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But in order to draw these conclusions, we
should turn to the well-known Battalion tactical
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group index.
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According to the BTG index, the Russian grouping,
numerically corresponding to 22 BTGs, has
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grown to 33 BTGs.
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That is, an increase of 11 BTGs.
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Now we follow the increase in equipment, according
to the proportions that should correspond
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to this increase in personnel:
Tanks +34 instead of 121
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Armored vehicles +32 instead of 363.
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Barrel artillery +288 instead of 132!
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Multiple rocket launchers +16 instead of 132.
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That is, we see only a hypertrophied increase
in barrel artillery, which is also not surprising.
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The Russian side is massively and as quickly
as possible removing from storage all of its
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existing types of towed artillery, trying
to saturate its units with it, even more than
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they need in terms of functionality.
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We can see this constantly on the Ukrainian
General Staff's reports, as well as on videos
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of the recent total genocide of Russian WWII
artillery.
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At the same time, the disastrous level of
standard equipment in tanks, armored combat
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vehicles, and MLRS continues to persist.
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This is because their reactivation and restoration
to combat-ready condition is a longer and
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more energy-consuming process that does not
allow for timely compensation for losses.
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Thus, we can state that Russia continues to
experience serious problems with the staffing
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of its units and the critical lack of appropriate
technical resources does not allow it to fully
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improve the situation.
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Once again, they are relying on waves of "cannon
fodder" and ancient artillery.
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Meanwhile, the United States will be supplying
Ukraine with cluster munitions, I can already
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smell fried.
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It was the 501st day of the civilized world's
struggle against Ruscism...
5234
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