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Ukraine's counteroffensive will begin in ...
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But what's the rush, I'll tell
you about it a little later...
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You know, the Chinese use the same hieroglyph for
the characteristics of a wise and cunning man.
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And military cunning is not
considered a deception at all.
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Such non-standard strategies,
developed in ancient China,
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form the basis of the essay "Thirty-Six
Stratagems. They cover the field of politics,
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diplomacy, espionage and are based on
the experience of three thousand years.
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The treatise recommends, for example:
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-️ do "dirty work" with other people's hands;
-️ to disguise one's true
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intentions with a false purpose;
-️ use a long-rejected technology or method;
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- deceive the enemy into believing
that he is acquiring something,
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thereby diverting his attention;
- free a cornered enemy to relax,
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and then attack unexpectedly;
- influence an army through their leader...
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Most effective, however,
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is to introduce more chaos by throwing in
false information to disorient the enemy.
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In connection with the Ukrainian counteroffensive,
it is appropriate to recall the German command's
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"Kremlin" operation to disinform
Stalin on the eve of the attack.
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In general, Nazi Germany since the mid-30s began
to declare the inevitability of war with the USSR.
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Soviet intelligence understood that the
war would begin. The question is when?
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In '41 a kaleidoscope of insinuations began -
dates of possible attack changed twice a day.
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But analytics was weak after Stalin's "purges",
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and the intelligence did not know what
to report to the leader. However, Stalin
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considered himself to be the best analyst,
just as Putin considers himself to be now.
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In general, I am sure that this skilful and subtle
information-psychological operation on the timing
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and readiness of the Ukrainian counteroffensive
successfully disoriented everyone who was needed.
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But at the same time it only optimized
the algorithm of the future counterattack,
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without violating the sober accounting of forces,
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discipline, cold calculation and daring
ambition of Ukraine to defeat the enemy.
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And now I will name the date of Ukraine's
counteroffensive. It will begin in November '22,
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in December, in spring, in March,
when the ground dries up, April 30...
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You get the idea...
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I'm wrapping up for today,
but I'll see you all tomorrow.
3643
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