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Would you like to inspect the original subtitles? These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:01,020 --> 00:00:05,520 On the anniversary of Russia's full-scale  invasion of Ukraine, there is no less talk   2 00:00:05,520 --> 00:00:10,140 about the possibility of a second offensive,  Russia's preparations for it, and a new wave   3 00:00:10,140 --> 00:00:15,660 of mobilization. Information is circulating  both from experts and from Western leaders.   4 00:00:16,320 --> 00:00:21,000 But, of course, the main pool of news is  occupied by new deliveries of promised weapons.   5 00:00:21,660 --> 00:00:26,580 Mostly we are talking about tanks, very vainly  omitting the artillery announced in the latest   6 00:00:26,580 --> 00:00:32,340 Western aid packages. It is their presence that  indicates that the West, together with Ukraine,   7 00:00:32,340 --> 00:00:36,360 is preparing both for defense, which  requires artillery, and for a breakthrough,   8 00:00:36,360 --> 00:00:42,720 which will be greatly facilitated by tanks. Along with various equipment, longer-range   9 00:00:42,720 --> 00:00:47,280 missiles are also expected, they contribute  to the further destruction of logistic chains   10 00:00:47,280 --> 00:00:51,180 of the enemy of Ukraine, which will help  minimize the ability of Russia to attack. 11 00:00:52,140 --> 00:00:57,180 As for the Russian side, they are now seeing  a decrease in the use of artillery shells.   12 00:00:57,720 --> 00:01:02,100 Many analysts attribute this to the Kremlin's  desire to prepare for an offensive and,   13 00:01:02,100 --> 00:01:05,460 consequently, to stockpile some  "reserves," which have become   14 00:01:05,460 --> 00:01:09,780 harder to accumulate due to the weakness  of its own production facilities. It is   15 00:01:09,780 --> 00:01:13,500 predicted that the offensive may  stall because of the shell famine. 16 00:01:13,500 --> 00:01:18,840 The Ukrainians have already created a significant  shortage of Russian equipment, and the Kremlin,   17 00:01:18,840 --> 00:01:25,140 in the old fashioned way, pelted the front line  with infantry. The capture of Soledar, which   18 00:01:25,140 --> 00:01:30,420 the AFU left to save the lives of its defenders,  resulted in a "dizzying success" for the Russians.   19 00:01:30,960 --> 00:01:35,940 But the tactical retreat of the AFU is related  to Kyiv's desire to save as many fighters as   20 00:01:35,940 --> 00:01:41,100 possible and create a bridgehead for a better  defense and subsequent counteroffensive. While   21 00:01:41,100 --> 00:01:45,720 Moscow's strategy is to wait for the exhaustion  of the enemy to stupidly fill them with "cannon   22 00:01:45,720 --> 00:01:49,980 fodder," which they have been demonstrating for  more than seven months of fighting for Bakhmut. 23 00:01:50,700 --> 00:01:56,580 Obviously, Putin is in for another fiasco.  Also the unpreparedness of the Russian   24 00:01:56,580 --> 00:02:01,740 army for a productive offensive is confirmed by  analysts of the Institute for the Study of War. 25 00:02:02,640 --> 00:02:07,860 In my opinion, the information spreading now about  the global offensive of the occupation army in the   26 00:02:07,860 --> 00:02:13,140 next few days and also publication of the report  in the Swiss newspaper NZZ about the offer of CIA   27 00:02:13,140 --> 00:02:18,540 head Burns of 20% of territory in exchange for  peace are the elements of information warfare. 28 00:02:18,540 --> 00:02:22,740 Supplies of modern, high-precision  weapons will allow Ukraine to go from   29 00:02:22,740 --> 00:02:27,480 defense to counteroffensive. And Putin  will have to choke on his own ambitions,   30 00:02:27,480 --> 00:02:30,720 and his "big" offensive will  again, as it was a year ago,   31 00:02:30,720 --> 00:02:34,800 stall after finally exhausting the offensive  potential of the Russian Federation. 32 00:02:35,700 --> 00:02:39,780 I understand that if the Russian military  and political leadership decides to launch   33 00:02:39,780 --> 00:02:44,400 an offensive in the near future, the Wagner  group, as well as the first and second army   34 00:02:44,400 --> 00:02:48,900 corps of the so-called Luhansk and Donetsk  republics, will simply disappear from the   35 00:02:48,900 --> 00:02:55,260 arena of combat operations. The whole reason is  that it is them who will go in the first wave. 36 00:02:55,980 --> 00:03:00,360 That is, as expected, the "great" and  "unparalleled in the world" offensive   37 00:03:00,360 --> 00:03:04,560 of the Russian troops will be a meat grinder  and the first batch will be minced with the   38 00:03:04,560 --> 00:03:10,380 aforementioned trash. Then the more valuable and  more or less manned paratroopers will follow.   39 00:03:11,040 --> 00:03:13,740 In any case, the result will be the same... 5071

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