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Would you like to inspect the original subtitles? These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:09,568 --> 00:00:11,868 Hey what's going on everyone? Hope you're all doing really 2 00:00:11,868 --> 00:00:16,188 well. So welcome to this week's video. What we're gonna do is 3 00:00:16,188 --> 00:00:22,008 go through GUEU and AU as you know we always do and talk 4 00:00:22,008 --> 00:00:25,128 about the recent price action that we've just had from the 5 00:00:25,128 --> 00:00:28,188 week gone. And then look to see what we can get involved with 6 00:00:28,188 --> 00:00:34,128 um for next week basically. Now looking on GU you can see we've 7 00:00:34,128 --> 00:00:39,568 had a clear you know some really nice opportunities as we 8 00:00:39,568 --> 00:00:43,288 a clear trend so we're putting in these lower lows, lower 9 00:00:43,288 --> 00:00:50,008 highs, lower lows, lower highs. You know we're coming back in 10 00:00:50,008 --> 00:00:55,168 to mitigate supply levels which are continuation suppliers so 11 00:00:55,168 --> 00:00:59,128 we're you know we're essentially getting short from 12 00:00:59,128 --> 00:01:07,468 the most recent um lower higher okay and if we look at this bit 13 00:01:07,468 --> 00:01:11,848 of price action here this was a trade that you know we we took 14 00:01:11,848 --> 00:01:17,108 um So you can see if I just mark it on we had equal lows 15 00:01:17,108 --> 00:01:22,748 here. So we have one one low and a second low which we know 16 00:01:22,748 --> 00:01:27,188 as you know liquidity below this level and we also had a 17 00:01:27,188 --> 00:01:31,088 liquidity sweep from the top side. So if I look at this move 18 00:01:31,088 --> 00:01:37,268 here. So just zoom in. We can see we broke structure. And we 19 00:01:37,268 --> 00:01:41,408 have this order block refined down to that candle. Which II 20 00:01:41,408 --> 00:01:45,128 have been through this trade in you know the case study. But 21 00:01:45,128 --> 00:01:51,148 you know seeing that we broke that high there um but it's not 22 00:01:51,148 --> 00:01:56,068 really a confirmed lower high because we haven't broken this 23 00:01:56,068 --> 00:02:01,448 lower low. Although it it's not a confirmed lower high this 24 00:02:01,448 --> 00:02:04,928 move that broke above is sweeping liquidity from anyone 25 00:02:04,928 --> 00:02:08,708 who's in that or you know trailing stop losses or you 26 00:02:08,708 --> 00:02:11,768 know getting involved short from here. Because we do have 27 00:02:11,768 --> 00:02:19,208 an area on this move as well. So as this was unmitigated the 28 00:02:19,208 --> 00:02:21,968 price came in but it didn't come to the 50% which is what I 29 00:02:21,968 --> 00:02:25,628 look for to class something as mitigated or not. So we came 30 00:02:25,628 --> 00:02:31,368 in. We took liquidity sellers you know looking at this and 31 00:02:31,368 --> 00:02:36,828 getting involved here we have clear liquidity to target and 32 00:02:36,828 --> 00:02:40,128 we know that the market's target liquidity you know 33 00:02:40,128 --> 00:02:45,108 that's obvious and yeah we got involved in this led to the 34 00:02:45,108 --> 00:02:50,908 downside which took that liquidity and then one thing 35 00:02:50,908 --> 00:02:55,648 once price takes liquidity it has a reason to then move the 36 00:02:55,648 --> 00:02:59,188 other way which you can see it did a bit of momentum and then 37 00:02:59,188 --> 00:03:02,428 essentially you know we are still trending so price is 38 00:03:02,428 --> 00:03:10,068 continuing down. Okay so that was a very nice trade. Uh 39 00:03:10,068 --> 00:03:13,848 Carrying on, you can see we add that lower low. So, we put in 40 00:03:13,848 --> 00:03:21,428 that lower low, new lower high up here. We then broke that. So 41 00:03:21,428 --> 00:03:26,428 we broke that lower there. So a clear break of structure, 42 00:03:26,428 --> 00:03:30,148 momentum, and what does that leave? Well we have the last up 43 00:03:30,148 --> 00:03:33,088 close candle. But as you can see if I just zoom right in we 44 00:03:33,088 --> 00:03:38,428 have two wicks. Now wicks are points of interest on a time 45 00:03:38,428 --> 00:03:44,488 frame down. So it could be on the fifteen to five even the 46 00:03:44,488 --> 00:03:46,588 one minute. It could be you know it's there's something 47 00:03:46,588 --> 00:03:51,208 within that week always. Okay? So when we get that I'm not 48 00:03:51,208 --> 00:03:55,808 really looking to mark on that body or that you know the order 49 00:03:55,808 --> 00:04:00,728 block really I'm just looking at that wick there okay and you 50 00:04:00,728 --> 00:04:04,268 can see price came in ever so slightly but it did come in so 51 00:04:04,268 --> 00:04:11,948 we can look for shorts in that area okay? Because remember, 52 00:04:11,948 --> 00:04:16,328 we're looking to trade with the trend. We don't need to be with 53 00:04:16,328 --> 00:04:21,208 the trend but you know, trading with the trend is the safest 54 00:04:21,208 --> 00:04:25,768 way and you know we get a lot of opportunities basically. So 55 00:04:25,768 --> 00:04:31,648 price came into that wick. So 15 minute you can see we are 56 00:04:31,648 --> 00:04:35,368 still it is still a wick on the fifteen minute. Looking at the 57 00:04:35,368 --> 00:04:39,448 five. What what have we got? Still a wick. So what does that 58 00:04:39,448 --> 00:04:44,968 mean? So going to the one minute. What is it? So you can 59 00:04:44,968 --> 00:04:51,468 see it's an order block. So last up close candle which then 60 00:04:51,468 --> 00:04:57,288 led to a break of structure. And doesn't look like it but it 61 00:04:57,288 --> 00:05:02,568 did come in. You know you can say it's not been mitigated but 62 00:05:02,568 --> 00:05:05,808 for me I would still look for entries because price doesn't 63 00:05:05,808 --> 00:05:10,948 really need to come all the way up to here. It may do but it 64 00:05:10,948 --> 00:05:15,328 doesn't need to. It can do that in a later date with, you know, 65 00:05:15,328 --> 00:05:21,728 in price, you know, next week, week after, whenever. Key 66 00:05:21,728 --> 00:05:29,668 detail um on this bit here. So you may be looking at this as 67 00:05:30,068 --> 00:05:34,468 price is we have continuations here that we can trade into 68 00:05:34,468 --> 00:05:40,388 this level. We then see a break of structure. That's very clear 69 00:05:40,388 --> 00:05:45,008 to see. I'm sure you can agree. We broke down and we broke that 70 00:05:45,008 --> 00:05:49,508 most recent higher low. So we put in a higher high and we 71 00:05:49,508 --> 00:05:53,048 have a higher low here. We broke that but what are we 72 00:05:53,048 --> 00:05:55,868 actually trading off of? Because if I if I go back to 73 00:05:55,868 --> 00:06:01,688 the hourly you can see well you can't really see it but we 74 00:06:01,688 --> 00:06:05,468 didn't come into that level. So this purple zone is the hourly 75 00:06:05,468 --> 00:06:11,468 um lower higher. And you know our point of interest. Price 76 00:06:11,468 --> 00:06:15,968 didn't come into trade into that level. So you could see 77 00:06:15,968 --> 00:06:21,488 that it broke structure. So you could be thinking oh but it's 78 00:06:21,488 --> 00:06:26,528 close enough so should I take the trade? When really that's 79 00:06:26,528 --> 00:06:30,708 you know a bit of Fomo in my opinion. You see a break of 80 00:06:30,708 --> 00:06:33,588 structure so you you'll be looking at this. I'll just mark 81 00:06:33,588 --> 00:06:39,288 it on arguably that area there but we have a range up here. 82 00:06:39,288 --> 00:06:46,188 That candle. And you could be looking at this but again is 83 00:06:46,188 --> 00:06:49,608 not valid. Because it hasn't come into a point of interest 84 00:06:49,608 --> 00:06:54,588 on a higher time frame. So anyone else looking at this you 85 00:06:54,588 --> 00:06:58,348 know smart money retail then looking at this as you know 86 00:06:58,348 --> 00:07:02,068 breaker structure momentum shift which in some cases yes 87 00:07:02,068 --> 00:07:06,688 but is is more so seeking liquidity to push higher take 88 00:07:06,688 --> 00:07:09,688 out that high there take liquidity and then receive the 89 00:07:09,688 --> 00:07:16,328 sell off see it's easy to say that in hindsight but that's 90 00:07:16,328 --> 00:07:20,468 exactly what happened and that is the reason for it. We took 91 00:07:20,468 --> 00:07:24,968 out that high, only just but we tapped into the higher time 92 00:07:24,968 --> 00:07:28,988 frame point of interest, then, this is what I was looking at 93 00:07:28,988 --> 00:07:31,468 here. 94 00:07:32,568 --> 00:07:40,928 I wanted to see this move break with more sort of momentum and 95 00:07:40,928 --> 00:07:44,948 really show me that shift but it didn't. It sort of if 96 00:07:44,948 --> 00:07:52,208 anything it created equal O's and I was looking at this that 97 00:07:52,208 --> 00:07:56,888 wick and then that last up close candle but again I wanted 98 00:07:56,888 --> 00:08:01,868 to see a clear break but it didn't actually break. So price 99 00:08:01,868 --> 00:08:07,568 did come back up and it did just fall short of that area. 100 00:08:07,568 --> 00:08:14,348 Before then pushing down. Now, one other area would be looking 101 00:08:14,348 --> 00:08:19,928 at this move here but if we look at that move, it's not 102 00:08:19,928 --> 00:08:24,608 really showing momentum. If anything, it's sort of reacting 103 00:08:24,608 --> 00:08:29,648 off of an area left and you can see a sufficient pricing as 104 00:08:29,648 --> 00:08:34,388 well. Um but to to each different trader, you could be 105 00:08:34,388 --> 00:08:37,568 looking at that area as a breakup structure. We've broken 106 00:08:37,568 --> 00:08:43,388 these lows here and the move really started up here maybe 107 00:08:43,388 --> 00:08:46,508 even here and then you you may have taken a loss but yeah for 108 00:08:46,508 --> 00:08:49,568 me it wasn't really an entry that I was looking at. Um but 109 00:08:49,568 --> 00:08:52,868 if if we carry on you can see we've clearly broken down but 110 00:08:52,868 --> 00:08:57,668 we didn't pull back to any of these areas here. And we 111 00:08:57,668 --> 00:09:02,288 continue to break. The next clear area is here. So we have 112 00:09:02,288 --> 00:09:06,428 a consolidation of these candles then we momentously 113 00:09:06,428 --> 00:09:11,508 break that low and then we come in. I didn't Take this because 114 00:09:11,508 --> 00:09:16,428 the move is already quite a way down. Um and I think I was in 115 00:09:16,428 --> 00:09:21,048 other trades at the time if I can remember. But this you know 116 00:09:21,048 --> 00:09:25,548 this is a definitely AA great trade to be looking at. For me 117 00:09:25,548 --> 00:09:30,828 the EQ point on GU. Free pips. You know giving plenty of room. 118 00:09:30,828 --> 00:09:35,088 You would have been tagged in. So coming back to it what we 119 00:09:35,088 --> 00:09:42,628 have is a range. Initiation out. That broke structure. A 120 00:09:42,628 --> 00:09:47,128 mitigation of these orders to fill in more orders. Mitigation 121 00:09:47,128 --> 00:09:51,208 of the imbalance and then you know smart money gets involved 122 00:09:51,208 --> 00:09:55,048 or at large institutions at that area and then you know we 123 00:09:55,048 --> 00:10:02,908 see a continuation. Okay so you can see we break structure 124 00:10:02,908 --> 00:10:07,048 again we tap into that loss up close or that range and then we 125 00:10:07,048 --> 00:10:13,248 continue but if I go to the hourly time frame you can see 126 00:10:13,248 --> 00:10:15,888 we've already put in that lower low. So what I would be 127 00:10:15,888 --> 00:10:19,128 anticipating is that that pullback because we have put in 128 00:10:19,128 --> 00:10:24,008 a new lower low and closed below. Okay so we do push down 129 00:10:24,008 --> 00:10:31,828 then push up. And then this is where you know NFP we came down 130 00:10:31,828 --> 00:10:39,348 and we reversed from NFP and one thing to look at here We 131 00:10:39,348 --> 00:10:44,388 broke structure. So we broke this most recent um lower high. 132 00:10:44,388 --> 00:10:55,468 So just mark it on. BOS. And this is NFP so I wouldn't be 133 00:10:55,468 --> 00:10:58,708 looking at taking this because it is news but if we look at 134 00:10:58,708 --> 00:11:03,988 this order block there which wouldn't be valid for me but 135 00:11:03,988 --> 00:11:07,168 refined to that candle price broke structure closed above 136 00:11:07,168 --> 00:11:12,448 came back down nearly mitigating that imbalance you 137 00:11:12,448 --> 00:11:15,988 know but the majority of it has been mitigated then we continue 138 00:11:15,988 --> 00:11:23,828 up Now as we sin that that grip down and this is NFP. I'm gonna 139 00:11:23,828 --> 00:11:29,588 avoid this area and sort of anticipate the price won't need 140 00:11:29,588 --> 00:11:33,968 to come back to that area and we could be looking, well, what 141 00:11:33,968 --> 00:11:37,268 I'm gonna be looking for is getting long from this sort of 142 00:11:37,268 --> 00:11:42,828 area here. Okay. Now the reason I wanna get along from here is 143 00:11:42,828 --> 00:11:50,648 because this move and that wick is just news. It is a pullback 144 00:11:50,648 --> 00:11:55,448 so we have an inside bar there. There this would be a visible 145 00:11:55,448 --> 00:12:01,388 pullback on a lower time frame. Then we momentously break up 146 00:12:01,388 --> 00:12:06,308 which broke structure that that um sort of little pullback here 147 00:12:06,308 --> 00:12:11,228 but it's also broken this second most recent lower high. 148 00:12:11,228 --> 00:12:14,768 If that makes sense. So one thing that I'll be looking at 149 00:12:14,768 --> 00:12:22,108 is a push back into this level. 150 00:12:23,068 --> 00:12:26,688 Something like this and then what I'll draw here will be on 151 00:12:26,688 --> 00:12:29,688 a lower time frame what I'll be looking for you know clear 152 00:12:29,688 --> 00:12:36,408 breaker structure and something like that So that's gonna be 153 00:12:36,408 --> 00:12:43,148 what I'm looking for and One other thing to mention is we 154 00:12:43,148 --> 00:12:47,288 have areas left. So you you always wanna look left and 155 00:12:47,288 --> 00:12:51,668 although current price action is very important. Looking left 156 00:12:51,668 --> 00:12:55,808 and seeing looking left and seeing what price left behind. 157 00:12:55,808 --> 00:12:59,168 Previously you know we can still trade. So we have this 158 00:12:59,168 --> 00:13:04,908 area here which I'm sure you can agree is unmitigated and 159 00:13:04,908 --> 00:13:10,968 it's a clear supply zone inside bar showing a range on a lower 160 00:13:10,968 --> 00:13:15,108 time frame so you know a consolidation range initiation 161 00:13:15,108 --> 00:13:21,108 out breaking structure so price may open you know range around 162 00:13:21,108 --> 00:13:25,728 a bit that we usually see and then pull back a little bit 163 00:13:25,728 --> 00:13:30,228 come up to that level and then I'll be looking for something 164 00:13:30,228 --> 00:13:35,648 like this which is a reversal trade. Um and you know, look to 165 00:13:35,648 --> 00:13:40,148 get short if we get a clear delivery in price at at that 166 00:13:40,148 --> 00:13:46,228 area, okay? So, if we come in with momentum, then, I won't be 167 00:13:46,228 --> 00:13:50,548 looking to to sell it basically and look to see what price does 168 00:13:50,548 --> 00:13:54,388 next. But you know how price is delivered. I'll be looking to 169 00:13:54,388 --> 00:13:58,828 sell from there. Another thing to look at is why I wouldn't be 170 00:13:58,828 --> 00:14:04,128 looking at shorts from here because although price came in 171 00:14:04,128 --> 00:14:08,328 like I previously mentioned we didn't mitigate to the 50% of 172 00:14:08,328 --> 00:14:13,008 this you know refined wick or order block on a lower time 173 00:14:13,008 --> 00:14:17,448 frame. But look how price was delivered into this area. If we 174 00:14:17,448 --> 00:14:20,228 just take it back 175 00:14:21,068 --> 00:14:26,548 although that this lower move here was NFP this isn't and you 176 00:14:26,548 --> 00:14:32,728 can see price was momentously coming into this level and you 177 00:14:32,728 --> 00:14:35,008 know we didn't see anything on a on a lower time frame so 178 00:14:35,008 --> 00:14:39,328 that's the area there and I'm sure you can agree there's no 179 00:14:39,328 --> 00:14:44,428 entries in there you know to be looking short because we're 180 00:14:44,428 --> 00:14:48,208 seeing clear higher highs and higher lows. Okay so now I'm 181 00:14:48,208 --> 00:14:54,488 gonna avoid that area um dependent on what we see but we 182 00:14:54,488 --> 00:14:58,328 may see a retrace and we may see something to get short but 183 00:14:58,328 --> 00:15:04,908 you know ultimately this area down here to long and reversals 184 00:15:04,908 --> 00:15:11,168 from up here. Yeah that's gonna be it for GU. That's the game 185 00:15:11,168 --> 00:15:17,168 plan. Looking bullish. Um but we have this imbalance. I'll 186 00:15:17,168 --> 00:15:22,548 just mark it on. On this candle here, we have a bit of 187 00:15:22,548 --> 00:15:27,708 imbalance. From week to week that we have come into so we 188 00:15:27,708 --> 00:15:31,368 wicked it there but we have this in here which is you know 189 00:15:31,368 --> 00:15:35,628 inefficient pricing so we may come up refill that and then 190 00:15:35,628 --> 00:15:40,188 look for a shift in momentum you know week week to strong 191 00:15:40,188 --> 00:15:44,688 hands and look to get short from there basically. And yeah 192 00:15:44,688 --> 00:15:47,748 keeping things simple. I was gonna do it for GU but yeah 193 00:15:47,748 --> 00:15:51,228 this is what we like to see you know clear trend clear 194 00:15:51,228 --> 00:15:57,568 continuation supply zones and getting short from the the the 195 00:15:57,568 --> 00:16:02,908 most recent lower highs and you can trade in between them 196 00:16:02,908 --> 00:16:07,168 levels and I think that's one thing that people don't 197 00:16:07,168 --> 00:16:13,468 understand. Um you can trade. So if you're waiting for say 198 00:16:13,468 --> 00:16:17,668 this move to push back up into this supply. You can still 199 00:16:17,668 --> 00:16:21,568 trade long on this move. It just takes more experience and 200 00:16:21,568 --> 00:16:24,568 understanding what you're doing. But I'm gonna do some 201 00:16:24,568 --> 00:16:27,688 more videos on that and you know go into detail with that 202 00:16:27,688 --> 00:16:34,728 so yeah let's get into EU next. Okay so we're on EU now and 203 00:16:34,728 --> 00:16:38,568 again we've just had some really solid opportunity for 204 00:16:38,568 --> 00:16:45,168 this week. You know clear trend clear reactions from supply you 205 00:16:45,168 --> 00:16:49,728 know lower highs and a lot of trades to be taken. So I hope 206 00:16:49,728 --> 00:16:53,208 you know you've taken trades and you've if you haven't got 207 00:16:53,208 --> 00:16:57,408 involved in any of these moves then what I would suggest you 208 00:16:57,408 --> 00:17:03,068 do is definitely go and back test this you know start from 209 00:17:03,068 --> 00:17:07,868 where was market open around here. Start from here. So get 210 00:17:07,868 --> 00:17:10,928 your replay bar tool and then come back to here and then just 211 00:17:10,928 --> 00:17:14,768 go through go through this whole week of price section. 212 00:17:14,768 --> 00:17:18,608 How you would in the live markets. You know if you're all 213 00:17:18,608 --> 00:17:21,188 your time frames down to the 1 minute and the seconds if you 214 00:17:21,188 --> 00:17:26,168 use that. And and you go go through it like three times and 215 00:17:26,168 --> 00:17:30,848 just learn from it. And and take losses. Take wins. And ASR 216 00:17:30,848 --> 00:17:34,408 it and yeah. Because you know this is super clean so 217 00:17:34,408 --> 00:17:39,688 obviously this trade that I've taken from this area here such 218 00:17:39,688 --> 00:17:45,208 a you know very clean trade liquidity taken from um the 219 00:17:45,208 --> 00:17:52,568 sell side and from these highs here but if I just go through 220 00:17:52,568 --> 00:17:55,088 last week's price section. I know I've done this in a chart 221 00:17:55,088 --> 00:18:00,808 already in the dann aber finde ich 222 00:18:02,568 --> 00:18:06,368 if we just look at this so we had this high that broke that 223 00:18:06,368 --> 00:18:10,628 which is taken liquid as even that higher. Um being pushed 224 00:18:10,628 --> 00:18:14,288 down broke structure. So we've broke this low here. So we have 225 00:18:14,288 --> 00:18:20,488 a clear area here. And I won't make that a little bit. Okay 226 00:18:20,488 --> 00:18:25,468 that's good. So price didn't come back into that level and 227 00:18:25,468 --> 00:18:29,068 as we know it doesn't need to because what we can do is adapt 228 00:18:29,068 --> 00:18:33,808 and look for you know cleaner or the most freshest breaks of 229 00:18:33,808 --> 00:18:39,148 structure and then trade that. So this basically means that 230 00:18:39,148 --> 00:18:43,948 you know price will likely come back to this area at a later 231 00:18:43,948 --> 00:18:47,968 date. It could be next week. It could be week after. We we're 232 00:18:47,968 --> 00:18:53,948 not too sure but you can see air areas do come back to 233 00:18:53,948 --> 00:18:58,088 mitigate but it doesn't need to be you know the next day or the 234 00:18:58,088 --> 00:19:03,848 next couple days. Okay so price pushed down pulled back new 235 00:19:03,848 --> 00:19:06,848 lower low we've broken that low there you can see so you know 236 00:19:06,848 --> 00:19:15,228 clear order block price did come above it but as I as I 237 00:19:15,228 --> 00:19:21,228 always say if it comes above it doesn't invalidate um that area 238 00:19:21,228 --> 00:19:27,048 because it wicked it and then you know a wick on a lower time 239 00:19:27,048 --> 00:19:29,928 frame that would be you know breaks of structure and we can 240 00:19:29,928 --> 00:19:36,588 see there's no momentum up okay so the next area which is I 241 00:19:36,588 --> 00:19:41,748 believe what I've forecasted um just trying to look now yeah so 242 00:19:41,748 --> 00:19:45,868 it's this move here because again if you're new and you're 243 00:19:45,868 --> 00:19:50,668 trying to get your head around this is simple right this broke 244 00:19:50,668 --> 00:19:57,588 that low so a new lower low new lower higher. Which is the 245 00:19:57,588 --> 00:20:00,708 highest point. So the swing point swing higher swing low. 246 00:20:00,708 --> 00:20:04,848 Once that broke you can see clear momentum. What does it 247 00:20:04,848 --> 00:20:08,088 leave behind? Well let's just zoom right in. Last up close 248 00:20:08,088 --> 00:20:12,708 candle which you all should know is an order block. Okay 249 00:20:12,708 --> 00:20:18,048 that's a clear order block. Because it's the last up close 250 00:20:18,048 --> 00:20:22,968 candle before money stepped in. Large institutions push this 251 00:20:22,968 --> 00:20:27,168 down. Broke structure. Price is gonna come back, rebalance, 252 00:20:27,168 --> 00:20:31,128 close out orders, more orders being placed, smart money gets 253 00:20:31,128 --> 00:20:36,648 involved, okay? So, lower low, lower high, which is here but 254 00:20:36,648 --> 00:20:43,068 last up close candle and we we get involved in this and first 255 00:20:43,068 --> 00:20:46,368 target because we're we're seeing clear order flow and a 256 00:20:46,368 --> 00:20:52,968 clear trend. The very first target should be that low. So, 257 00:20:52,968 --> 00:20:57,688 we wanna see price attack that low and you know reassess from 258 00:20:57,688 --> 00:21:02,248 there which is what price done. So what's the next move? Well 259 00:21:02,248 --> 00:21:07,528 this move here broke. Not too momentously and it is quite 260 00:21:07,528 --> 00:21:10,648 efficient. A bit of imbalance left but we pull back break 261 00:21:10,648 --> 00:21:15,788 again. So we have a last up close candle which we can 262 00:21:15,788 --> 00:21:20,648 refine to this or even if we wanna be a bit more advanced 263 00:21:20,648 --> 00:21:24,968 that wick because that is definitely an area on a lower 264 00:21:24,968 --> 00:21:27,788 time frame. You can see price came in mitigated and then 265 00:21:27,788 --> 00:21:35,288 continued. Okay. So the next area is here. Now one thing to 266 00:21:35,288 --> 00:21:39,608 mention is we can trade long into these areas. So once price 267 00:21:39,608 --> 00:21:43,928 made this lower low we can trade long into that area. Is 268 00:21:43,928 --> 00:21:48,428 something that people aren't quite getting and it is, don't 269 00:21:48,428 --> 00:21:52,148 get me wrong, it is for more of the advanced trader, like the 270 00:21:52,148 --> 00:21:56,168 more experience you get, the more knowledge you get on how 271 00:21:56,168 --> 00:21:59,468 to take these trades and I think Elliot was talking about 272 00:21:59,468 --> 00:22:03,188 it. Um you know, the investor experience on Instagram. 273 00:22:03,188 --> 00:22:07,988 Elliot, great guy. Um he was talking about it, I believe. Um 274 00:22:07,988 --> 00:22:10,808 you know, trading long into these areas and not just 275 00:22:10,808 --> 00:22:14,108 waiting for the higher time frame area to play out, you can 276 00:22:14,108 --> 00:22:18,128 trade it into that area. Okay, so it's very key and it comes 277 00:22:18,128 --> 00:22:24,068 with back testing experience, forward testing, you know, and 278 00:22:24,068 --> 00:22:29,048 yeah carrying on. So this leg here quite efficient but it's 279 00:22:29,048 --> 00:22:33,068 still a clear break which was the move that broke that low 280 00:22:33,068 --> 00:22:37,448 there. Okay and this is this was the trade that I took. So 281 00:22:37,448 --> 00:22:41,048 I'm sure you can see by now. Last up close candle before the 282 00:22:41,048 --> 00:22:44,708 move down that caused the break. We tapped in. Wicked it. 283 00:22:44,708 --> 00:22:49,388 Ever so slightly but I'm still looking for entries at that 284 00:22:49,388 --> 00:22:54,268 area. So 1 minute time frame. 285 00:22:55,568 --> 00:22:59,788 And hold on let me go to the fifteen cuz you can I don't 286 00:22:59,788 --> 00:23:04,168 always refine from the hourly to the fifteen unless there's a 287 00:23:04,168 --> 00:23:08,668 very clear area where price may need to come to and we do have 288 00:23:08,668 --> 00:23:12,868 it here we have this area because if we just dissect this 289 00:23:12,868 --> 00:23:16,828 bit of price action all we have that's the hourly area right 290 00:23:16,828 --> 00:23:21,748 but we broke structure then we wicked back on the fifteen 291 00:23:21,748 --> 00:23:27,668 which is technically a mitigation or something that I 292 00:23:27,668 --> 00:23:31,508 would class as a mitigation. But then we have this next area 293 00:23:31,508 --> 00:23:34,628 which isn't visible on on the hourly but on the fifteen it 294 00:23:34,628 --> 00:23:37,088 is. So we have the last up close candle then we broke 295 00:23:37,088 --> 00:23:41,048 again. And that's not been mitigated that sort of order 296 00:23:41,048 --> 00:23:45,968 block there. And that is also the reason why price didn't 297 00:23:45,968 --> 00:23:49,748 come up here and it actually just sold off from here because 298 00:23:49,748 --> 00:23:52,828 if we just take that area 299 00:23:54,568 --> 00:23:59,528 and you can see price did go above it but you know we've 300 00:23:59,528 --> 00:24:02,708 mitigated and I wasn't looking at this at the time. I was just 301 00:24:02,708 --> 00:24:07,028 more focused on the hourly area because I wanna get short 302 00:24:07,028 --> 00:24:10,868 because going back to the hourly as I mentioned we have 303 00:24:10,868 --> 00:24:16,328 them we had a clear sweep of liquidity from that low. And 304 00:24:16,328 --> 00:24:22,208 then we have price put in that lower low. Take take took 305 00:24:22,208 --> 00:24:27,008 liquidity sorry. And then we had this lower height here. But 306 00:24:27,008 --> 00:24:30,288 we we knew that we had this area above that was unmitigated 307 00:24:30,288 --> 00:24:35,568 okay so people are looking to get short in here from this 308 00:24:35,568 --> 00:24:39,048 area price come up took liquidity and you know we came 309 00:24:39,048 --> 00:24:47,608 into this level and back to the 1 minute I took two trades. One 310 00:24:47,608 --> 00:24:52,348 loss and obviously this win which ended in just below 311 00:24:52,348 --> 00:24:58,408 twenty R. So I think it was nineteen point nine. Yeah. 312 00:24:58,408 --> 00:25:08,868 Okay. So we tapped in and with that move there we tapped in. 313 00:25:08,868 --> 00:25:13,248 Continuations into that level which you can take as I you 314 00:25:13,248 --> 00:25:18,408 know previously mentioned you you had an entry here. Arguably 315 00:25:18,408 --> 00:25:23,568 you had one here and one down here but price didn't come to 316 00:25:23,568 --> 00:25:28,548 tag you in. And you you can still take this one here which 317 00:25:28,548 --> 00:25:32,688 probably would have tagged you out just and then you know 318 00:25:32,688 --> 00:25:38,148 pushed up but once price tapped in we are anticipating you know 319 00:25:38,148 --> 00:25:41,628 sellers to come into the market and you know we wanna be 320 00:25:41,628 --> 00:25:49,288 waiting for that confirmation but looking for sales. Um so 321 00:25:49,288 --> 00:25:53,068 yeah we broke structure. Now I wasn't looking at this because 322 00:25:53,068 --> 00:25:56,428 it didn't break. As I always say I wanna see price break 323 00:25:56,428 --> 00:26:00,208 with momentum. And this didn't really show me that if anything 324 00:26:00,208 --> 00:26:05,068 this is equal lows for me. For price to sweep it. Break 325 00:26:05,068 --> 00:26:08,788 structure again. Tap into an order block. And then go from 326 00:26:08,788 --> 00:26:10,948 there which is what we've done. So we broke structure on this 327 00:26:10,948 --> 00:26:16,108 move here. And one thing that stands out is a bit of 328 00:26:16,108 --> 00:26:19,168 imbalance which you know is great. I do look look for 329 00:26:19,168 --> 00:26:24,508 imbalances but it's not always needed. It is needed but not 330 00:26:24,508 --> 00:26:29,968 you can trade without it. Um but you know it's just extra 331 00:26:29,968 --> 00:26:37,368 confluence. And I'm just trying to remember what my exact area 332 00:26:37,368 --> 00:26:40,428 was but what we can see is we pushed up. This is the move 333 00:26:40,428 --> 00:26:46,128 that broke structure and it started from here. Okay? So I 334 00:26:46,128 --> 00:26:49,308 was looking at this last down candle and I think I did take 335 00:26:49,308 --> 00:26:56,448 into consideration this candle here. It. I think it might have 336 00:26:56,448 --> 00:27:02,168 been this candle. Oh no that was it. Okay so we had this was 337 00:27:02,168 --> 00:27:05,648 the order block for me. And then we had these two candles 338 00:27:05,648 --> 00:27:10,088 inside that order block. And then these two and then these 339 00:27:10,088 --> 00:27:13,388 two candles here which is when we you know initiated out which 340 00:27:13,388 --> 00:27:16,088 actually engulfed the order block. So I was looking at 341 00:27:16,088 --> 00:27:23,988 these two candles that was inside that order block. And it 342 00:27:23,988 --> 00:27:30,648 might have been Okay so it's roughly around that area. Um 343 00:27:30,648 --> 00:27:37,768 but ultimately price came in and we feel that imbalance 344 00:27:37,768 --> 00:27:42,628 because this is a range. You can class this as a 345 00:27:42,628 --> 00:27:48,988 consolidation range. And price initiated out, broke structure, 346 00:27:48,988 --> 00:27:55,048 clear break. You could have an area here because we have a up 347 00:27:55,048 --> 00:27:59,848 close candle. We did see a reaction from it. But I was I 348 00:27:59,848 --> 00:28:05,668 always take the extreme rather than entries down here. Um as 349 00:28:05,668 --> 00:28:12,968 I've always ed. So I got tagged into this trade. Now wicked 350 00:28:12,968 --> 00:28:16,448 there. You can see a perfect entry. But I did take a trade 351 00:28:16,448 --> 00:28:21,808 here. Okay so we broke structure with this move. So we 352 00:28:21,808 --> 00:28:25,168 broke down and we broke that low there. So I think I was 353 00:28:25,168 --> 00:28:33,528 looking at either this range or this candle here. So it was 354 00:28:33,528 --> 00:28:39,328 something like this anyway. So I took this entry. And I placed 355 00:28:39,328 --> 00:28:46,728 it on I can't quite remember but if something like this 2.5 356 00:28:46,728 --> 00:28:55,248 and took a loss. But I was saying um I wanted to keep this 357 00:28:55,248 --> 00:29:00,108 entry on or once I took this loss sorry I put my entry on 358 00:29:00,108 --> 00:29:06,608 this second er area and although I always say adapt you 359 00:29:06,608 --> 00:29:12,248 know price didn't need to come up to here. Um but I was eager 360 00:29:12,248 --> 00:29:14,828 to get involved in this trade and you know get involved 361 00:29:14,828 --> 00:29:19,988 because of the the higher time frame sort of perspective and 362 00:29:19,988 --> 00:29:23,468 you know the sweeps of liquidity. It was a very high 363 00:29:23,468 --> 00:29:29,608 probability trade. So I wanted to get involved and I took this 364 00:29:29,608 --> 00:29:34,348 loss and then I set my entry on this one here and my stop loss 365 00:29:34,348 --> 00:29:41,008 was two pips or was it one point five? Two pips. Um but I 366 00:29:41,008 --> 00:29:48,628 did account for 0.3 for spread. And yeah got tagged in and then 367 00:29:48,628 --> 00:29:52,528 we see the true momentum kick in because price now has a 368 00:29:52,528 --> 00:29:57,268 reason to. Because all of this move has been mitigated and you 369 00:29:57,268 --> 00:30:03,548 know we're getting involved at a very best price basis so I 370 00:30:03,548 --> 00:30:15,068 managed this on the fifteen to start with because one key tip. 371 00:30:15,068 --> 00:30:19,088 The very first target for me is the low. So the most recent 372 00:30:19,088 --> 00:30:24,368 low. So I wanna be targeting here. Okay so the low lowest 373 00:30:24,368 --> 00:30:31,828 point anything before that I wanna manage somewhat lenient 374 00:30:31,828 --> 00:30:38,668 um but not giving profit back. So if I'm executing on say the 375 00:30:38,668 --> 00:30:42,868 1 minute time frame I wanna be managing either on the five or 376 00:30:42,868 --> 00:30:51,828 the fifteen and sort of you know trail my stop loss below 377 00:30:51,828 --> 00:30:57,048 or above the the structural points so the most recent lower 378 00:30:57,048 --> 00:31:01,908 highs but once price surpasses that lower low I wanna be more 379 00:31:01,908 --> 00:31:07,118 aggressive and even managing on the five or even the the 1 380 00:31:07,118 --> 00:31:12,968 minute but what I done was the five minute. So managing at 381 00:31:12,968 --> 00:31:18,728 these lows we had this range here we initiated out. So I was 382 00:31:18,728 --> 00:31:20,948 looking at this area but then we had NFP that you know just 383 00:31:20,948 --> 00:31:25,408 went through it so we can delete that off. Let me just 384 00:31:25,408 --> 00:31:29,568 take it back before NFP. 385 00:31:30,568 --> 00:31:36,588 So we took it took that new lower low from here and I then 386 00:31:36,588 --> 00:31:39,708 just run it forward a bit. So I got tagged out on that swing 387 00:31:39,708 --> 00:31:46,008 point there. And you know NFP we pushed down here and I was 388 00:31:46,008 --> 00:31:52,548 running around 3332 percent. But then got tagged out at that 389 00:31:52,548 --> 00:31:56,988 swing point for nineteen point nine. Which you know is a great 390 00:31:56,988 --> 00:32:00,748 trade. Happy with that. Every day of the week you know you 391 00:32:00,748 --> 00:32:04,048 only really need to take a couple of these trades a month 392 00:32:04,048 --> 00:32:09,448 and you're set but you know the way we trade you can get 393 00:32:09,448 --> 00:32:12,268 involved in these sort of trades multiple times a week 394 00:32:12,268 --> 00:32:16,408 and that's just the power of our strategy and how we trade 395 00:32:16,408 --> 00:32:22,288 it so you can see tagged out the trade. We had NFP. Let me 396 00:32:22,288 --> 00:32:26,848 just run it or just come out of bar replay. This is where we 397 00:32:26,848 --> 00:32:31,728 are now. So, I'm just gonna delete all this off now. Take 398 00:32:31,728 --> 00:32:38,368 that off. We can hide that. Very clean trade. And one that 399 00:32:38,368 --> 00:32:41,488 I would take you know every single time. Especially when we 400 00:32:41,488 --> 00:32:46,848 have the liquidity from both sides being taken. Um But 401 00:32:46,848 --> 00:32:51,948 looking at this now again we have this as news but it didn't 402 00:32:51,948 --> 00:32:56,628 break structure. Price wicked down rebalancing. But then this 403 00:32:56,628 --> 00:33:02,568 we pulled back then we actually broke again. So I'm not we have 404 00:33:02,568 --> 00:33:06,768 this area here. So the last up close and we could refine it to 405 00:33:06,768 --> 00:33:12,348 to that. Which price traded into. But it's not really an 406 00:33:12,348 --> 00:33:16,588 area that I wanna be looking at. Um and given that this was 407 00:33:16,588 --> 00:33:21,508 Friday at six, seven, 8 PM So, you know, it's not something 408 00:33:21,508 --> 00:33:26,668 I'm gonna be taking. Definitely not. Instead, what I'll be 409 00:33:26,668 --> 00:33:32,008 looking for is now that that's mitigated, I'm sure you can see 410 00:33:32,008 --> 00:33:36,628 but we have the higher high and a higher low. So, I'm looking 411 00:33:36,628 --> 00:33:44,768 at that area there. Because we pull back this is NFP so I'm 412 00:33:44,768 --> 00:33:48,308 not worried about any of this mess we've pulled back broke 413 00:33:48,308 --> 00:33:52,508 structure last down close candle so just like GU I'll be 414 00:33:52,508 --> 00:33:56,948 looking at that area see if price comes in and again you 415 00:33:56,948 --> 00:34:02,288 can trade short into this area but given that it's BB Monday I 416 00:34:02,288 --> 00:34:06,068 will assess price and see how markets open and you know go 417 00:34:06,068 --> 00:34:12,268 from there but ultimately longs from here could we see price 418 00:34:12,268 --> 00:34:19,708 come up into you know previous highs from here. Maybe not next 419 00:34:19,708 --> 00:34:25,008 week but it could get to there. Um but it doesn't need to. We 420 00:34:25,008 --> 00:34:29,268 just need to react to what we're seeing and trade our plan 421 00:34:29,268 --> 00:34:33,348 and look to see how price is delivered into this area. If we 422 00:34:33,348 --> 00:34:37,248 come down momentously then it's unlikely we're gonna hold but 423 00:34:37,248 --> 00:34:41,688 it's likely you know we can get some trades within this area 424 00:34:41,688 --> 00:34:46,428 and then look to to get along and target. Very first target 425 00:34:46,428 --> 00:34:50,088 would be the most recent high which is here and if we look at 426 00:34:50,088 --> 00:34:54,288 that move if we're getting long from here the forty pips away 427 00:34:54,288 --> 00:34:57,228 and if we're having a two pip stop loss then you know you can 428 00:34:57,228 --> 00:35:00,708 do the maths. We're getting some very nice percentage. But 429 00:35:00,708 --> 00:35:07,968 yeah that's gonna be it for EU. Simple and precise let's get 430 00:35:07,968 --> 00:35:16,328 into AU. So straight in we have pretty much the same thing. So 431 00:35:16,328 --> 00:35:23,088 I'm not gonna get into this trade here. I'll do that in 432 00:35:23,088 --> 00:35:28,308 another video or I'll break it down in the Discord channel but 433 00:35:28,308 --> 00:35:32,268 I'm just gonna go through quickly on my AU forecast 434 00:35:32,268 --> 00:35:37,128 because it is the same or similar to the first two pairs 435 00:35:37,128 --> 00:35:40,308 because they are dollar dollar pairs. So, you know, we are 436 00:35:40,308 --> 00:35:43,488 gonna be looking at the same things. But a couple things to 437 00:35:43,488 --> 00:35:50,188 note, we have this area here and you can see price came in 438 00:35:50,188 --> 00:35:58,508 and This is a supply zone and again, this is NFP. So, I'm not 439 00:35:58,508 --> 00:36:04,328 too worried about this but price came in but again, this 440 00:36:04,328 --> 00:36:08,468 is Friday afternoon. But if we go to the 1 minute and look to 441 00:36:08,468 --> 00:36:12,248 see if there's any entries. You can see this. There's not 442 00:36:12,248 --> 00:36:20,328 really you could argue there's an entry here. But the NFP was 443 00:36:20,328 --> 00:36:24,588 here and then, this is an hour later. So, do you really wanna 444 00:36:24,588 --> 00:36:29,308 be getting involved in this? It is valid. We have a breaker 445 00:36:29,308 --> 00:36:35,088 structure there. Last up close we tap in and come into some 446 00:36:35,088 --> 00:36:39,828 profit and then ultimately go up and then we just continue 447 00:36:39,828 --> 00:36:45,668 pushing up and that was the only entry there really. Um but 448 00:36:45,668 --> 00:36:48,908 it's not really too much of a high probability entry because 449 00:36:48,908 --> 00:36:52,868 we do did have NFP that came up near into that level and then 450 00:36:52,868 --> 00:36:58,688 you can see we had momentum. So one thing I'm looking at is we 451 00:36:58,688 --> 00:37:01,928 can delete that off. We can void that area because we 452 00:37:01,928 --> 00:37:09,548 haven't respected it. We've pushed off it and we have this 453 00:37:09,548 --> 00:37:12,668 bit of slow down in price. I'm not looking down here for any 454 00:37:12,668 --> 00:37:20,828 entries because that's NFL I'm looking at this area. So one 455 00:37:20,828 --> 00:37:25,088 candle that sticks out to me is that sort of dodgy candle 456 00:37:25,088 --> 00:37:30,968 there. I will take the lungs from this area because that was 457 00:37:30,968 --> 00:37:34,968 the move there that broke that high. As I'm sure you can 458 00:37:34,968 --> 00:37:42,888 agree, we broke structure there. So a break of that high 459 00:37:42,888 --> 00:37:49,668 clear momentum and it also broke that high as well. And 460 00:37:49,668 --> 00:37:53,028 you know we do have a supply zone here or an order block. We 461 00:37:53,028 --> 00:37:57,868 didn't respect that at all. You know we can we can void that 462 00:37:57,868 --> 00:38:03,388 really and the forecast for me is gonna be potentially looking 463 00:38:03,388 --> 00:38:07,828 to sell into this level for you know an an intra day or sort of 464 00:38:07,828 --> 00:38:15,088 scalping play but ultimately looking at this area looking to 465 00:38:15,088 --> 00:38:20,188 see how price is delivered and looking for something like that 466 00:38:20,188 --> 00:38:28,408 really into this area. So that area there sticks out to me. As 467 00:38:28,408 --> 00:38:34,888 an unmitigate area. Just take that off. So we may see price 468 00:38:34,888 --> 00:38:38,788 come in and then go long into that area but price doesn't 469 00:38:38,788 --> 00:38:45,568 really need to come down to here. What we may see is market 470 00:38:45,568 --> 00:38:50,368 open a pullback. A little bit something like that and then a 471 00:38:50,368 --> 00:38:54,808 push up. Into that level but if that happens then we obviously 472 00:38:54,808 --> 00:38:58,588 that'll be a break of structure there. Then I'll be adapting. 473 00:38:58,588 --> 00:39:02,388 Looking to see how that break that high and then look at that 474 00:39:02,388 --> 00:39:07,848 new area there and trade long into that area as a 475 00:39:07,848 --> 00:39:11,328 continuation play and then look to short as a reversal play 476 00:39:11,328 --> 00:39:18,948 from here. So yeah. That's gonna do it for AU. Keeping 477 00:39:18,948 --> 00:39:23,808 things simple and you know not over complicating things and 478 00:39:23,808 --> 00:39:26,868 that's the best way to learn really. So any questions you 479 00:39:26,868 --> 00:39:30,348 have on my three pairs or any pairs that you have whether it 480 00:39:30,348 --> 00:39:35,808 be gold, Euro yen you know pairs that I don't trade. You 481 00:39:35,808 --> 00:39:40,668 can send them into you know preferably into the channels. 482 00:39:40,668 --> 00:39:47,168 Tag me and I can show you my analysis, send through charts, 483 00:39:47,168 --> 00:39:51,368 or or you know, see how you're looking at your charts and you 484 00:39:51,368 --> 00:39:55,748 know, you can learn from there but yeah, any questions you 485 00:39:55,748 --> 00:40:00,128 have, send me a message and yeah, I'll speak to you all in 486 00:40:00,128 --> 00:40:04,328 Discord and I hope you all have a really good weekend and yeah, 487 00:40:04,328 --> 00:40:09,248 let's let's start off July or or continue July and have a 488 00:40:09,248 --> 00:40:12,608 really good month and you know, make some some really good 489 00:40:12,608 --> 00:40:17,888 percentage um so yeah have a really good weekend. 46326

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