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all right so in this video we're going
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to get into anticipation order flow and
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exactly what it is
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i think it's really an important aspect
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to know and
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learn in the way that we trade and
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i do look a little bit different to
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other people in
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respect that you you should be
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you should be always anticipating and
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reacting rather than expecting and sort
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of predicting now i do go into this into
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this video on the charts in a few
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minutes so
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let's just go quickly through the the
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basics into anticipation order flow and
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we'll take it from there so
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anticipation order flow is what we are
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basically always looking for in the
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markets so
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what is it
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well if we are looking at a price chart
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we would have some form of anticipation
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that we want to see
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a trend in market so you know if we if
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we're seeing trending markets it's
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obviously a great thing
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as opposed to ranging markets
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we can still trade either or
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but you know trending markets is
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is where we can make some big trades and
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some really big percentages for the
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longer term okay
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so if we're looking at bullish order
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flow or bullish anticipation or order
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flow
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for this example so
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if price forms a high
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and a low
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so as you can see from the diagram we
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have a high and a low
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which
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this is the pullback so once price
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pushed up formed a higher we pull back
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that's the pullback
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and we have a low but this low is not
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confirmed until we actually get a break
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above the most recent high which will be
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here
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so what we would be anticipating for a
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bullish order flow is for this higher to
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be taken out
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and
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once that high gets taken out that forms
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a higher high
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so you can see this is the
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the new higher high because
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it broke above this so it's a break of
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structure and it's also higher than the
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most recent high
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so we have a higher low
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the anticipation order flow
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would be for a new higher high
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and for
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price to
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then confirm this to be the higher low
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so once price breaks the high closes
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above
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we have a confirmed higher high and more
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importantly we have a confirmed higher
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low so this low wasn't confirmed until
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price broke
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okay so what's next once price breaks
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that high
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well if bullish order flow is to be
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continued the anticipation would be for
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a pullback
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a tap into you know the order block or
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the higher low region
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and for price to not surpass this level
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if our bullish order flow is going to
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continue
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this level should not be broken
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and when i say that
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it can be broken but it depends what
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price is breaking into so are we
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did we form equal lows or did we form
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trend line liquidity on lower time
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frames
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any form of liquidity around this area
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if price comes in to sweep below
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that the low or the higher low and
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sweeps liquidity or
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if price taps into an unmitigated demand
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so if we look at this area here
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and
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you know price comes in to break the
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higher low but it comes into this area
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which is unmitigated
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just for an example then that would not
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be classed as
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you know the order flow to the upside
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you know stop in basically it's
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continuing
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so when we're looking at unmitigated
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areas and liquidity
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then price can break
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the most recent higher low and our
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bullish order flow can still continue
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you know to the upside
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and i will get into that on the charts
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where
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we can like how do we determine when
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order flow has changed and the
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the trend momentum has now shifted to
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the downside so i will show you some
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examples of that but if we continue
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we have a higher higher
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higher low
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the anticipation would be for a pullback
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into this region
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bullish order block mitigation and
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we aren't
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really looking for price to
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go lower than this area as i said it
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might come down seek liquidity
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or
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tap into an unmitigated area and it
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might also come down to
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if you know form equal lows wick below
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but that's not considered
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depend on depending on how price is
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delivered that's not considered
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you know a breach of that higher low
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okay so this is where we can look for
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entries and we can also trade short into
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like trade this pullback into the higher
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time frame higher low
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okay so if we continue we have
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the next move so
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if our anticipation or order flow is
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going to continue this is the most
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recent higher high that we want to see
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breached
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and
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you can see price
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breaks above the high high we form a new
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higher high now this
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higher low
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is only confirmed to be the higher low
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once price puts in that new higher high
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so once we get this we can then work
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back
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work backwards with these candles
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and come to
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find the lowest point before we can see
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the pullback so the lowest point we can
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see is here bullish order block
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and notice how
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this is higher than the previous higher
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low okay they get higher because
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if price is breaking these higher lows
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then
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you know
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bullish order flow is coming to an end
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and we can potentially look for certain
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opportunities depending on how price
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reacts afterwards
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okay and then
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higher high
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higher low we pull back
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and we
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then this is not confirmed until this
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then puts in a higher high then we have
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a confirmed higher low and then i'm sure
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you get the
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the message by now we get a pullback
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higher high higher low
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okay so
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this is obviously very textbook charts
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don't look like this but this is just
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showing you you know what our
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anticipation order flow is and the
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reason why i say anticipation not
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expectation
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is
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i do go into this in the in on the
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charts but basically because
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having an ego in trading is one of the
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worst things you can do because it's
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just going to hold you back and you're
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not going to see
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any sort of consistency if you bring ego
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into trading okay
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you we want to be always anticipating
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reacting not predicting and not
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expecting because once you
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i'm sure like you can agree with this
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like if you're
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the moment you start expecting something
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to happen the opposite happens like it's
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just a way of life really like if you're
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anticipating and reacting
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you'll be more at peace with the outcome
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and it won't actually affect you you
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just react and then you just trade based
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off your plan
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okay so
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that being said i now want to get into
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the charts and go into this on the
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charts in a lot more detail so you can
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understand
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you know anticipation of order flow and
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how we view it
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so now we're on the charts what i'm
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going to do is go through um eu
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on the hourly time frame and we talk
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about
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you know anticipation order flow and
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basically
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the turning points in the market the
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lower lows lower highs higher highs and
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higher lows
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and talk on yeah the
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what we would be anticipating for you
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know future price and
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we're going to start from here and then
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we're going to go for a bit of price
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and
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you know we go through some
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examples and take it from there so if we
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start on this side here
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what we can see is
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we have price that's pushed down
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and we had a
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counter trend candle inside bar here but
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if we're looking at the swing points you
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can see this is one one leg down
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and
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the next sort of
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most visible pullback will be here
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and then price then puts in
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a new lower low
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okay
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now at this point here
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the anti anticipation that we would be
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you know looking for seeking
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would be
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lower low
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we have a range which is which is also
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the lower high
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we have an order block here
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and
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the anticipation
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would be for price to come into this
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area and
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mitigate this move
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and then anticipate a new lower low and
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you can see we got it here
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and we did wick
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we didn't really close below okay we did
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fairly close below
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ever so slightly and then
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we pull back and we put in a lower low
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again
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okay
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so this is a clear bearish order flow
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and it's quite
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um efficient pricing as well you can see
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once we've broken structure we've come
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back in to mitigate
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this this fair value candle the
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imbalance and the order block mitigation
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range
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a little
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move down here pull back mitigation
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break of structure which would be
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the most visible break of structure is
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this move here because this candle has
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broken impulsively left imbalance
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we have the last up close candle which
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would be here which we could refine to
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the next candle
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and what i can do is
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bring this up here mark that on
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so this is the order block we can refine
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it to that candle
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okay so at this point here
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i think it'd be better if i can draw it
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on for you so we have a lower low
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okay make that a bit darker
292
00:10:29,120 --> 00:10:32,399
we have a lower low and
293
00:10:32,399 --> 00:10:34,640
the swing point
294
00:10:34,640 --> 00:10:36,800
you know it's a bit subjective is it up
295
00:10:36,800 --> 00:10:39,120
here or
296
00:10:39,120 --> 00:10:40,399
for me the swinging point would be up
297
00:10:40,399 --> 00:10:42,079
here but you know obviously what we can
298
00:10:42,079 --> 00:10:43,839
do is look at
299
00:10:43,839 --> 00:10:45,600
our order blocks and where price is
300
00:10:45,600 --> 00:10:47,680
likely going to react from or where it's
301
00:10:47,680 --> 00:10:48,959
going to need to come back to to
302
00:10:48,959 --> 00:10:50,880
mitigate before continuing
303
00:10:50,880 --> 00:10:52,800
you can see if i just delete that off
304
00:10:52,800 --> 00:10:54,640
what we had was
305
00:10:54,640 --> 00:10:57,040
get my fib
306
00:10:57,040 --> 00:10:58,720
and bring it down
307
00:10:58,720 --> 00:11:00,399
you can see we've got our mitigation to
308
00:11:00,399 --> 00:11:02,560
the 50 eq
309
00:11:02,560 --> 00:11:04,320
and you know obviously we can look for
310
00:11:04,320 --> 00:11:06,240
entries within here
311
00:11:06,240 --> 00:11:07,680
and if we're not getting involved with
312
00:11:07,680 --> 00:11:10,560
this move we have sub 15 minute
313
00:11:10,560 --> 00:11:13,200
structure breaks what we can look for
314
00:11:13,200 --> 00:11:15,760
into the new lower low so at this point
315
00:11:15,760 --> 00:11:18,880
here what we have is
316
00:11:19,440 --> 00:11:22,079
spring point so i love a high
317
00:11:22,079 --> 00:11:23,839
lower low
318
00:11:23,839 --> 00:11:26,000
and what do we have next
319
00:11:26,000 --> 00:11:29,279
pull back which we know as a corrective
320
00:11:29,279 --> 00:11:32,079
mitigation of these orders with inside
321
00:11:32,079 --> 00:11:34,160
this order block
322
00:11:34,160 --> 00:11:35,360
and
323
00:11:35,360 --> 00:11:37,440
we can
324
00:11:37,440 --> 00:11:39,440
sort of agree that the highest point the
325
00:11:39,440 --> 00:11:41,200
highest swing point before price push
326
00:11:41,200 --> 00:11:44,640
down is clearly this candle here
327
00:11:44,640 --> 00:11:46,000
okay so
328
00:11:46,000 --> 00:11:48,079
if this bearish order flow is going to
329
00:11:48,079 --> 00:11:49,680
continue
330
00:11:49,680 --> 00:11:52,000
what do we need to see
331
00:11:52,000 --> 00:11:54,079
well we need to see
332
00:11:54,079 --> 00:11:56,720
we need to see price break this lower
333
00:11:56,720 --> 00:11:57,760
low
334
00:11:57,760 --> 00:11:59,440
and stay
335
00:11:59,440 --> 00:12:01,839
below the most recent lower high which
336
00:12:01,839 --> 00:12:02,800
is here
337
00:12:02,800 --> 00:12:05,680
if price say pulls back to here
338
00:12:05,680 --> 00:12:08,160
fails to put in a new lower low and we
339
00:12:08,160 --> 00:12:09,839
actually break structure to the upside
340
00:12:09,839 --> 00:12:11,600
above the lower higher
341
00:12:11,600 --> 00:12:13,680
then we have signs
342
00:12:13,680 --> 00:12:17,120
it's not confirmed of a trend change or
343
00:12:17,120 --> 00:12:20,240
a shift in momentum because
344
00:12:20,240 --> 00:12:22,079
it's all dependent on what price is
345
00:12:22,079 --> 00:12:24,320
tapping into
346
00:12:24,320 --> 00:12:26,240
we would need to see a break
347
00:12:26,240 --> 00:12:28,320
above that a pullback and then a second
348
00:12:28,320 --> 00:12:29,920
break of structure that would give us a
349
00:12:29,920 --> 00:12:32,240
really good indication that
350
00:12:32,240 --> 00:12:34,240
we're now going to see some bullish
351
00:12:34,240 --> 00:12:37,519
price action and order flow okay so
352
00:12:37,519 --> 00:12:39,440
if we continue you can see the move that
353
00:12:39,440 --> 00:12:41,839
broke structure or broke this lower low
354
00:12:41,839 --> 00:12:43,920
is this
355
00:12:43,920 --> 00:12:46,000
candle here okay
356
00:12:46,000 --> 00:12:48,720
and we can see
357
00:12:48,720 --> 00:12:50,399
we
358
00:12:50,399 --> 00:12:53,440
have a
359
00:12:53,440 --> 00:12:55,760
price puts in a lower low we pull back
360
00:12:55,760 --> 00:12:57,440
ever so slightly but really the swing
361
00:12:57,440 --> 00:12:59,360
point would be here
362
00:12:59,360 --> 00:13:01,360
um
363
00:13:01,360 --> 00:13:03,519
and we do don't get me wrong if we're
364
00:13:03,519 --> 00:13:04,480
looking
365
00:13:04,480 --> 00:13:07,200
more into each candle we do have
366
00:13:07,200 --> 00:13:09,440
breaks of structure within this which we
367
00:13:09,440 --> 00:13:10,480
can
368
00:13:10,480 --> 00:13:12,800
look at as
369
00:13:12,800 --> 00:13:14,320
potential
370
00:13:14,320 --> 00:13:16,399
entries for us to get long because if we
371
00:13:16,399 --> 00:13:18,839
are looking at this what we have
372
00:13:18,839 --> 00:13:21,040
is this is
373
00:13:21,040 --> 00:13:22,880
one whole move but within it we have a
374
00:13:22,880 --> 00:13:24,399
break of structure here
375
00:13:24,399 --> 00:13:26,240
and we have
376
00:13:26,240 --> 00:13:28,399
the last up close candle or a little
377
00:13:28,399 --> 00:13:30,240
range inside bar
378
00:13:30,240 --> 00:13:32,839
which price comes in to mitigate
379
00:13:32,839 --> 00:13:35,600
but what we can also see
380
00:13:35,600 --> 00:13:36,880
is
381
00:13:36,880 --> 00:13:38,240
you know
382
00:13:38,240 --> 00:13:40,160
lower low
383
00:13:40,160 --> 00:13:41,920
and really a lower height up here then
384
00:13:41,920 --> 00:13:44,000
we sort of range within this wick and
385
00:13:44,000 --> 00:13:45,600
then we push down with this these two
386
00:13:45,600 --> 00:13:47,360
candles put in a new lower low so we
387
00:13:47,360 --> 00:13:48,959
have a lower high here
388
00:13:48,959 --> 00:13:50,000
okay
389
00:13:50,000 --> 00:13:52,160
and then what we can then see is price
390
00:13:52,160 --> 00:13:53,279
broke
391
00:13:53,279 --> 00:13:54,639
okay so let me just
392
00:13:54,639 --> 00:13:56,800
delete this for now
393
00:13:56,800 --> 00:13:58,720
because these are the swing points but
394
00:13:58,720 --> 00:14:01,360
as i just said we have an area within
395
00:14:01,360 --> 00:14:03,440
here that which price has broken
396
00:14:03,440 --> 00:14:05,279
and put in a new lower low here so what
397
00:14:05,279 --> 00:14:08,079
we can see is
398
00:14:08,399 --> 00:14:11,519
prices broken structure
399
00:14:13,040 --> 00:14:14,720
so break of structure
400
00:14:14,720 --> 00:14:17,839
as you can see above that lower high
401
00:14:17,839 --> 00:14:20,959
and what do we have
402
00:14:20,959 --> 00:14:23,519
um before that so we have a
403
00:14:23,519 --> 00:14:25,040
one two three
404
00:14:25,040 --> 00:14:27,360
free candles so we have a consolidation
405
00:14:27,360 --> 00:14:29,120
range
406
00:14:29,120 --> 00:14:30,880
which price
407
00:14:30,880 --> 00:14:33,760
does come into but you know barely
408
00:14:33,760 --> 00:14:35,279
so
409
00:14:35,279 --> 00:14:36,240
this
410
00:14:36,240 --> 00:14:38,079
would be
411
00:14:38,079 --> 00:14:40,560
you know a change in
412
00:14:40,560 --> 00:14:42,720
trend which we can
413
00:14:42,720 --> 00:14:45,440
look to get along from although what i
414
00:14:45,440 --> 00:14:47,120
just said before where
415
00:14:47,120 --> 00:14:48,720
if we've got an area
416
00:14:48,720 --> 00:14:51,360
of supply which was previously you know
417
00:14:51,360 --> 00:14:54,000
left unmitigated then this could be a
418
00:14:54,000 --> 00:14:55,920
seek of liquidity from the most recent
419
00:14:55,920 --> 00:14:58,639
lower high and then a mitigation of this
420
00:14:58,639 --> 00:15:00,880
supplier to go short
421
00:15:00,880 --> 00:15:03,040
or good to go lower but as you can see
422
00:15:03,040 --> 00:15:04,320
we have some
423
00:15:04,320 --> 00:15:06,240
you know it's very efficient pricing we
424
00:15:06,240 --> 00:15:08,320
don't really have any areas where we
425
00:15:08,320 --> 00:15:10,079
would really be looking at to get
426
00:15:10,079 --> 00:15:11,519
short from
427
00:15:11,519 --> 00:15:12,800
and we can
428
00:15:12,800 --> 00:15:15,040
identify this as a
429
00:15:15,040 --> 00:15:17,360
quite a momentous break above the lower
430
00:15:17,360 --> 00:15:18,480
high
431
00:15:18,480 --> 00:15:20,480
okay so
432
00:15:20,480 --> 00:15:22,560
what we have basically is a
433
00:15:22,560 --> 00:15:25,680
consolidation range initiation out break
434
00:15:25,680 --> 00:15:26,959
of structure
435
00:15:26,959 --> 00:15:30,079
and price pulls back we do break again
436
00:15:30,079 --> 00:15:32,399
but it's about how it breaks
437
00:15:32,399 --> 00:15:34,800
and what i would be looking
438
00:15:34,800 --> 00:15:36,079
at that
439
00:15:36,079 --> 00:15:37,440
would be
440
00:15:37,440 --> 00:15:39,360
just sort of
441
00:15:39,360 --> 00:15:42,240
a feel of that imbalance so from that
442
00:15:42,240 --> 00:15:44,320
week to that week you can see we filled
443
00:15:44,320 --> 00:15:46,240
that to rebalance
444
00:15:46,240 --> 00:15:48,399
and we didn't really break with momentum
445
00:15:48,399 --> 00:15:50,480
as opposed to this move here
446
00:15:50,480 --> 00:15:52,160
now if we was to drop down to a lower
447
00:15:52,160 --> 00:15:56,160
time frame we would also see equal lows
448
00:15:56,160 --> 00:15:58,959
okay so we've had a clear of equals
449
00:15:58,959 --> 00:16:01,440
or a sweep of equal lows one two
450
00:16:01,440 --> 00:16:03,279
three you know a lot of liquidity
451
00:16:03,279 --> 00:16:05,360
building out this area from people
452
00:16:05,360 --> 00:16:07,040
stacking on buy orders
453
00:16:07,040 --> 00:16:08,880
price seeks liquidity taps into this
454
00:16:08,880 --> 00:16:10,880
area mitigates and then that's why we
455
00:16:10,880 --> 00:16:13,519
then see price continue
456
00:16:13,519 --> 00:16:16,000
okay so if we continue with price you
457
00:16:16,000 --> 00:16:17,600
can see
458
00:16:17,600 --> 00:16:20,320
we then mitigate entries within here
459
00:16:20,320 --> 00:16:21,680
and if we
460
00:16:21,680 --> 00:16:23,920
aren't getting involved here we have a
461
00:16:23,920 --> 00:16:25,360
break of structure which would be more
462
00:16:25,360 --> 00:16:26,320
visible
463
00:16:26,320 --> 00:16:28,560
on a 15-minute time frame and then we
464
00:16:28,560 --> 00:16:29,759
tap in
465
00:16:29,759 --> 00:16:31,199
and we mitigate and then we continue
466
00:16:31,199 --> 00:16:32,560
again
467
00:16:32,560 --> 00:16:34,320
now this is what i was saying about
468
00:16:34,320 --> 00:16:37,680
a true sort of confirmation of the trend
469
00:16:37,680 --> 00:16:38,880
change
470
00:16:38,880 --> 00:16:40,880
we have one breaker structure mitigate
471
00:16:40,880 --> 00:16:42,480
and then we break the structure again
472
00:16:42,480 --> 00:16:44,480
okay so we're signaling that price
473
00:16:44,480 --> 00:16:46,240
really wants to go up from here
474
00:16:46,240 --> 00:16:48,320
and price is efficient
475
00:16:48,320 --> 00:16:50,720
and you know we break structure again
476
00:16:50,720 --> 00:16:52,959
we have a wick here that price comes
477
00:16:52,959 --> 00:16:54,240
into
478
00:16:54,240 --> 00:16:57,360
but no real sort of clear entries that i
479
00:16:57,360 --> 00:16:59,360
would be looking at from here
480
00:16:59,360 --> 00:17:01,279
but we can see
481
00:17:01,279 --> 00:17:02,480
we've now
482
00:17:02,480 --> 00:17:04,559
changed our order flow
483
00:17:04,559 --> 00:17:06,880
and
484
00:17:06,880 --> 00:17:09,119
you know previously here we was in
485
00:17:09,119 --> 00:17:10,720
a downtrend putting in lower lowest
486
00:17:10,720 --> 00:17:12,640
level highs and then
487
00:17:12,640 --> 00:17:14,640
we broke structure to the upside
488
00:17:14,640 --> 00:17:16,720
mitigate supply to the left
489
00:17:16,720 --> 00:17:20,480
mitigate demand and
490
00:17:20,720 --> 00:17:24,400
you can see this low here
491
00:17:24,400 --> 00:17:26,240
price come in and it failed to put in a
492
00:17:26,240 --> 00:17:28,079
new lower low and instead we broke
493
00:17:28,079 --> 00:17:30,240
struck to the upside and
494
00:17:30,240 --> 00:17:32,400
this shows us intent for higher prices
495
00:17:32,400 --> 00:17:35,200
because price has failed to go lower
496
00:17:35,200 --> 00:17:37,520
okay and then instead we've broken
497
00:17:37,520 --> 00:17:39,919
structure to the upside
498
00:17:39,919 --> 00:17:41,039
okay
499
00:17:41,039 --> 00:17:43,600
so we're now changing our anticipation
500
00:17:43,600 --> 00:17:47,039
order flow to the upside and you can see
501
00:17:47,039 --> 00:17:49,440
this is what we have next so carrying on
502
00:17:49,440 --> 00:17:50,720
breaker structure
503
00:17:50,720 --> 00:17:52,480
pull back
504
00:17:52,480 --> 00:17:54,240
so the swing points at this point would
505
00:17:54,240 --> 00:17:55,600
be
506
00:17:55,600 --> 00:17:57,039
that is the higher
507
00:17:57,039 --> 00:18:00,240
and the swing point down here as the the
508
00:18:00,240 --> 00:18:01,039
low
509
00:18:01,039 --> 00:18:02,960
okay so these are the swing points we
510
00:18:02,960 --> 00:18:04,799
have entries within here that we could
511
00:18:04,799 --> 00:18:06,400
look at
512
00:18:06,400 --> 00:18:08,160
but we're
513
00:18:08,160 --> 00:18:10,000
we now have the anticipation that price
514
00:18:10,000 --> 00:18:11,039
is gonna
515
00:18:11,039 --> 00:18:13,760
potentially doesn't need to but take out
516
00:18:13,760 --> 00:18:15,600
this and put in a new higher high and
517
00:18:15,600 --> 00:18:17,360
you can see we have that here
518
00:18:17,360 --> 00:18:20,160
okay a new high high and then
519
00:18:20,160 --> 00:18:22,720
where's the most recent swing point
520
00:18:22,720 --> 00:18:24,799
well it's clearly
521
00:18:24,799 --> 00:18:26,880
the lowest point which is here
522
00:18:26,880 --> 00:18:29,280
this is the most recent higher low
523
00:18:29,280 --> 00:18:30,640
because it's the lowest point before we
524
00:18:30,640 --> 00:18:31,919
see the pullback
525
00:18:31,919 --> 00:18:33,760
so we price pulled back this is the
526
00:18:33,760 --> 00:18:35,039
lowest it came
527
00:18:35,039 --> 00:18:36,480
before it broke
528
00:18:36,480 --> 00:18:38,480
the higher high
529
00:18:38,480 --> 00:18:41,440
okay so i hope that makes sense
530
00:18:41,440 --> 00:18:43,360
and this may seem a bit
531
00:18:43,360 --> 00:18:45,120
basic to
532
00:18:45,120 --> 00:18:47,600
more of the the advanced traders but you
533
00:18:47,600 --> 00:18:49,120
know these are
534
00:18:49,120 --> 00:18:50,640
these are the concepts that are really
535
00:18:50,640 --> 00:18:52,559
important
536
00:18:52,559 --> 00:18:54,160
so carrying on we have the most recent
537
00:18:54,160 --> 00:18:56,720
high high higher low and you can see
538
00:18:56,720 --> 00:18:59,360
anticipation order flow continues
539
00:18:59,360 --> 00:19:00,480
we have
540
00:19:00,480 --> 00:19:02,960
that as a higher high
541
00:19:02,960 --> 00:19:03,840
and
542
00:19:03,840 --> 00:19:05,600
lowest point which would be
543
00:19:05,600 --> 00:19:08,080
higher low at that wick we have entries
544
00:19:08,080 --> 00:19:10,080
within here that we can refine you know
545
00:19:10,080 --> 00:19:11,520
valid order block
546
00:19:11,520 --> 00:19:14,240
price does not come back into
547
00:19:14,240 --> 00:19:16,320
which we always know price doesn't need
548
00:19:16,320 --> 00:19:19,360
to mitigate every single order block
549
00:19:19,360 --> 00:19:22,080
that could be used for you know a later
550
00:19:22,080 --> 00:19:24,400
date okay
551
00:19:24,400 --> 00:19:27,520
so carrying on high high high low
552
00:19:27,520 --> 00:19:29,760
price pulls back little range
553
00:19:29,760 --> 00:19:31,200
and then
554
00:19:31,200 --> 00:19:32,960
we have a new higher high
555
00:19:32,960 --> 00:19:34,799
so we can definitely
556
00:19:34,799 --> 00:19:36,799
class that as a pullback because price
557
00:19:36,799 --> 00:19:40,400
is stored and then moved up again
558
00:19:40,400 --> 00:19:42,320
right and then we have
559
00:19:42,320 --> 00:19:44,640
that as a new higher low price does come
560
00:19:44,640 --> 00:19:46,240
down to test it
561
00:19:46,240 --> 00:19:49,440
and you could argue that's broken it but
562
00:19:49,440 --> 00:19:53,360
it's always about how it breaks and
563
00:19:53,360 --> 00:19:55,280
we can see
564
00:19:55,280 --> 00:19:58,240
um it hasn't you know if anything it's
565
00:19:58,240 --> 00:20:00,400
just
566
00:20:01,440 --> 00:20:04,559
sort of equalled equal the low
567
00:20:04,559 --> 00:20:06,320
build liquidity in the form of equal
568
00:20:06,320 --> 00:20:08,640
lows so we can see
569
00:20:08,640 --> 00:20:10,960
we do have equal lows there
570
00:20:10,960 --> 00:20:14,000
and then what do we get next
571
00:20:14,000 --> 00:20:15,919
this is the highest point price then
572
00:20:15,919 --> 00:20:18,840
puts in a new higher high
573
00:20:18,840 --> 00:20:23,039
and we have the new high low
574
00:20:23,039 --> 00:20:24,960
and what we can also see
575
00:20:24,960 --> 00:20:27,600
is that's a valid order block
576
00:20:27,600 --> 00:20:29,840
which we would be definitely
577
00:20:29,840 --> 00:20:31,360
if i can get that
578
00:20:31,360 --> 00:20:32,880
definitely be looking for entries within
579
00:20:32,880 --> 00:20:35,520
that and
580
00:20:35,520 --> 00:20:37,039
although it hasn't broken with huge
581
00:20:37,039 --> 00:20:38,400
momentum
582
00:20:38,400 --> 00:20:40,400
this candle has
583
00:20:40,400 --> 00:20:42,080
and
584
00:20:42,080 --> 00:20:44,159
you know these two candles you know it's
585
00:20:44,159 --> 00:20:45,280
showing some
586
00:20:45,280 --> 00:20:47,440
some momentum we do have liquidity
587
00:20:47,440 --> 00:20:48,640
sitting below
588
00:20:48,640 --> 00:20:50,640
but it doesn't need to be swept right
589
00:20:50,640 --> 00:20:52,240
away as we already know
590
00:20:52,240 --> 00:20:54,000
okay so
591
00:20:54,000 --> 00:20:56,640
although we do range around for the next
592
00:20:56,640 --> 00:20:59,760
few days or you know yeah two three days
593
00:20:59,760 --> 00:21:01,600
we are still within
594
00:21:01,600 --> 00:21:03,919
this higher high and higher low price
595
00:21:03,919 --> 00:21:05,039
break structure i'll be coming to
596
00:21:05,039 --> 00:21:07,679
mitigate entries on a lower time frame
597
00:21:07,679 --> 00:21:08,799
within here
598
00:21:08,799 --> 00:21:09,919
as we've
599
00:21:09,919 --> 00:21:11,840
you know we know with the strategy that
600
00:21:11,840 --> 00:21:13,039
we trade
601
00:21:13,039 --> 00:21:14,880
and
602
00:21:14,880 --> 00:21:17,120
if we could be looking for entry entries
603
00:21:17,120 --> 00:21:19,120
within here as well because
604
00:21:19,120 --> 00:21:21,840
although it's not a break of the
605
00:21:21,840 --> 00:21:23,679
hourly
606
00:21:23,679 --> 00:21:26,480
um higher high that is a break
607
00:21:26,480 --> 00:21:27,520
of
608
00:21:27,520 --> 00:21:30,480
substructure on the lower time frames
609
00:21:30,480 --> 00:21:32,960
okay so even the 15 minute that's a
610
00:21:32,960 --> 00:21:35,440
break of structure from that high
611
00:21:35,440 --> 00:21:37,840
we come back in to mitigate that move
612
00:21:37,840 --> 00:21:39,360
in these wicks here
613
00:21:39,360 --> 00:21:40,799
and then
614
00:21:40,799 --> 00:21:43,200
you know price pushes off
615
00:21:43,200 --> 00:21:45,520
and really we have the exact same thing
616
00:21:45,520 --> 00:21:48,000
on this move here we push off and we
617
00:21:48,000 --> 00:21:50,240
come back in to mitigate with that wick
618
00:21:50,240 --> 00:21:52,480
that last down close candle
619
00:21:52,480 --> 00:21:55,360
so i can just mark that one for you
620
00:21:55,360 --> 00:21:58,960
we can refine it to that candle
621
00:21:58,960 --> 00:22:01,360
okay and that's what that's why prices
622
00:22:01,360 --> 00:22:03,679
is doing this it's coming into mitigate
623
00:22:03,679 --> 00:22:05,679
okay but then we can see we've now
624
00:22:05,679 --> 00:22:07,039
broken
625
00:22:07,039 --> 00:22:09,919
our higher higher so bullish order flow
626
00:22:09,919 --> 00:22:12,000
and our anticipation is should be still
627
00:22:12,000 --> 00:22:13,120
bullish
628
00:22:13,120 --> 00:22:15,200
that's the new higher higher
629
00:22:15,200 --> 00:22:17,600
or that's not really a pullback
630
00:22:17,600 --> 00:22:19,679
so we could be although i keep saying
631
00:22:19,679 --> 00:22:21,280
that there is some structure breaks
632
00:22:21,280 --> 00:22:23,520
within here it's not really a clear
633
00:22:23,520 --> 00:22:24,840
swing point
634
00:22:24,840 --> 00:22:27,520
so we would be looking up here okay so
635
00:22:27,520 --> 00:22:29,200
we can see a clear pull back and then we
636
00:22:29,200 --> 00:22:30,799
broke structure again
637
00:22:30,799 --> 00:22:33,360
okay so that would be the new high high
638
00:22:33,360 --> 00:22:35,120
and
639
00:22:35,120 --> 00:22:36,720
where are we yeah
640
00:22:36,720 --> 00:22:39,280
and that's the new higher low okay
641
00:22:39,280 --> 00:22:41,679
continuing on
642
00:22:41,679 --> 00:22:44,240
we have
643
00:22:44,480 --> 00:22:46,720
a high high pull back
644
00:22:46,720 --> 00:22:49,520
it's a high low high high
645
00:22:49,520 --> 00:22:52,159
and we can move that up to there
646
00:22:52,159 --> 00:22:53,840
and we do become a bit messy we range
647
00:22:53,840 --> 00:22:55,360
around a little bit
648
00:22:55,360 --> 00:22:56,640
and
649
00:22:56,640 --> 00:22:59,440
what i see this as well this is exactly
650
00:22:59,440 --> 00:23:03,440
what it is we have equal lows
651
00:23:03,840 --> 00:23:06,080
as you can see
652
00:23:06,080 --> 00:23:08,799
so we have
653
00:23:08,799 --> 00:23:10,400
a
654
00:23:10,400 --> 00:23:12,960
sweep of equals
655
00:23:12,960 --> 00:23:15,520
so soe means sweep of equals
656
00:23:15,520 --> 00:23:17,600
so basically equal lows
657
00:23:17,600 --> 00:23:18,480
so
658
00:23:18,480 --> 00:23:19,919
you know people are looking at this as a
659
00:23:19,919 --> 00:23:23,039
double bottom retail methods
660
00:23:23,039 --> 00:23:24,480
we have one
661
00:23:24,480 --> 00:23:26,559
price pushes off comes back to it people
662
00:23:26,559 --> 00:23:28,080
are getting long we see a reaction from
663
00:23:28,080 --> 00:23:29,120
this
664
00:23:29,120 --> 00:23:31,679
people in long what does price do
665
00:23:31,679 --> 00:23:33,760
comes down takes them out with that move
666
00:23:33,760 --> 00:23:35,679
there and then that is exactly why
667
00:23:35,679 --> 00:23:37,520
momentum kicked in
668
00:23:37,520 --> 00:23:40,080
that then led to a break of structure
669
00:23:40,080 --> 00:23:42,799
so when we can
670
00:23:42,799 --> 00:23:45,600
you know utilize liquidity
671
00:23:45,600 --> 00:23:48,400
and our sort of market structure and
672
00:23:48,400 --> 00:23:52,480
order flow this move here isn't really a
673
00:23:52,480 --> 00:23:55,360
although it is a break of
674
00:23:55,360 --> 00:23:57,039
the
675
00:23:57,039 --> 00:23:59,440
most recent um
676
00:23:59,440 --> 00:24:01,360
higher low which is here
677
00:24:01,360 --> 00:24:03,360
it's seeking liquidity
678
00:24:03,360 --> 00:24:05,360
from the equal lows so we're not really
679
00:24:05,360 --> 00:24:07,840
looking at this as a trend change
680
00:24:07,840 --> 00:24:09,760
it's more of you know seeking liquidity
681
00:24:09,760 --> 00:24:11,760
that's going to fuel price to move even
682
00:24:11,760 --> 00:24:13,520
further as you can see this is what it
683
00:24:13,520 --> 00:24:14,559
does
684
00:24:14,559 --> 00:24:16,080
momentum kicked in
685
00:24:16,080 --> 00:24:19,279
because price now has a reason to do so
686
00:24:19,279 --> 00:24:21,520
okay so
687
00:24:21,520 --> 00:24:23,039
and i did say
688
00:24:23,039 --> 00:24:25,600
this is the most recent um higher high
689
00:24:25,600 --> 00:24:27,200
but we did wick it here but we didn't
690
00:24:27,200 --> 00:24:28,960
close above
691
00:24:28,960 --> 00:24:31,440
okay so if we just continue with our
692
00:24:31,440 --> 00:24:33,760
bullish order flow
693
00:24:33,760 --> 00:24:35,919
you can see once price comes in
694
00:24:35,919 --> 00:24:38,000
it does break it but as i just said
695
00:24:38,000 --> 00:24:40,320
utilizing liquidity we can identify that
696
00:24:40,320 --> 00:24:42,559
as just a fake out basically
697
00:24:42,559 --> 00:24:45,039
and seeking liquidity
698
00:24:45,039 --> 00:24:47,039
okay and then we have
699
00:24:47,039 --> 00:24:48,720
high high
700
00:24:48,720 --> 00:24:49,679
and then
701
00:24:49,679 --> 00:24:51,520
higher low
702
00:24:51,520 --> 00:24:53,360
price pulls back
703
00:24:53,360 --> 00:24:55,918
high high
704
00:24:58,840 --> 00:25:03,039
and we can see higher low
705
00:25:03,039 --> 00:25:04,400
so high high
706
00:25:04,400 --> 00:25:08,000
high low high high higher low
707
00:25:08,000 --> 00:25:10,000
and then we range around a little bit
708
00:25:10,000 --> 00:25:12,159
and then we do break
709
00:25:12,159 --> 00:25:13,360
so this is where it can get a bit
710
00:25:13,360 --> 00:25:16,000
confusing where you're thinking
711
00:25:16,000 --> 00:25:17,039
is this
712
00:25:17,039 --> 00:25:19,200
is this move here are we now gonna can
713
00:25:19,200 --> 00:25:22,240
we now get short from this area here
714
00:25:22,240 --> 00:25:24,320
when
715
00:25:24,320 --> 00:25:26,240
we need to be looking at the overall
716
00:25:26,240 --> 00:25:28,400
picture we have this candle that price
717
00:25:28,400 --> 00:25:29,600
is going to
718
00:25:29,600 --> 00:25:31,600
try and gravitate back to
719
00:25:31,600 --> 00:25:34,480
because it is a fair value gap and
720
00:25:34,480 --> 00:25:36,000
you know a lot of liquidity in this
721
00:25:36,000 --> 00:25:37,679
candle
722
00:25:37,679 --> 00:25:39,679
and as i'm always saying
723
00:25:39,679 --> 00:25:41,520
price tends to do this where it will
724
00:25:41,520 --> 00:25:42,880
mitigate
725
00:25:42,880 --> 00:25:45,200
large candles by the 50 percent so the
726
00:25:45,200 --> 00:25:47,440
eq range
727
00:25:47,440 --> 00:25:49,440
as you can see it did
728
00:25:49,440 --> 00:25:51,840
and what we also have
729
00:25:51,840 --> 00:25:53,840
is although it ain't equal
730
00:25:53,840 --> 00:25:56,400
perfect equal lows it is still liquidity
731
00:25:56,400 --> 00:25:58,320
from these lows here okay and a
732
00:25:58,320 --> 00:26:01,360
mitigation of the eq from this
733
00:26:01,360 --> 00:26:02,960
and
734
00:26:02,960 --> 00:26:05,279
as i was saying before
735
00:26:05,279 --> 00:26:08,400
when price is pushing up like this
736
00:26:08,400 --> 00:26:11,039
and we have liquidity building
737
00:26:11,039 --> 00:26:13,919
if price comes in to break
738
00:26:13,919 --> 00:26:15,840
is it really a trend change or is it
739
00:26:15,840 --> 00:26:17,039
just
740
00:26:17,039 --> 00:26:18,640
mitigating something left before
741
00:26:18,640 --> 00:26:20,799
continuing higher if it's going to be a
742
00:26:20,799 --> 00:26:22,480
trend change what we want to see really
743
00:26:22,480 --> 00:26:24,480
is that structure break
744
00:26:24,480 --> 00:26:26,640
pull back and then a second break and
745
00:26:26,640 --> 00:26:28,400
then we can sort of
746
00:26:28,400 --> 00:26:30,640
switch our bias and look for you know
747
00:26:30,640 --> 00:26:33,360
bearish order flow and change our sort
748
00:26:33,360 --> 00:26:34,799
of anticipation
749
00:26:34,799 --> 00:26:36,159
but you can see that's not what we got
750
00:26:36,159 --> 00:26:38,159
in this example we just sort of come in
751
00:26:38,159 --> 00:26:39,360
to mitigate
752
00:26:39,360 --> 00:26:40,880
and that's why this supply didn't really
753
00:26:40,880 --> 00:26:42,000
hold
754
00:26:42,000 --> 00:26:44,080
it reacted as it always does and then it
755
00:26:44,080 --> 00:26:45,520
pushed up higher
756
00:26:45,520 --> 00:26:46,720
and then
757
00:26:46,720 --> 00:26:48,960
basically price come in
758
00:26:48,960 --> 00:26:51,360
it actually came a bit lower
759
00:26:51,360 --> 00:26:52,880
into this candle
760
00:26:52,880 --> 00:26:54,720
took liquidity from that low and then
761
00:26:54,720 --> 00:26:56,559
continued up
762
00:26:56,559 --> 00:26:58,960
okay so if we just continue
763
00:26:58,960 --> 00:27:01,440
knowing that this is a play on liquidity
764
00:27:01,440 --> 00:27:03,520
and to try and rebalance
765
00:27:03,520 --> 00:27:04,559
you know
766
00:27:04,559 --> 00:27:07,279
price from you know previous price
767
00:27:07,279 --> 00:27:09,200
we can continue
768
00:27:09,200 --> 00:27:12,240
you know with our bullish order flow and
769
00:27:12,240 --> 00:27:14,960
look for price breaking above this area
770
00:27:14,960 --> 00:27:17,840
and you can see we got it here
771
00:27:17,840 --> 00:27:20,399
and
772
00:27:20,399 --> 00:27:24,159
we have a higher high higher low
773
00:27:24,159 --> 00:27:26,960
and what we can see is
774
00:27:26,960 --> 00:27:28,399
this move
775
00:27:28,399 --> 00:27:29,919
that led to
776
00:27:29,919 --> 00:27:32,840
the swing point being broken from
777
00:27:32,840 --> 00:27:35,360
here created
778
00:27:35,360 --> 00:27:37,760
a valid order block
779
00:27:37,760 --> 00:27:39,840
which can be refined on a lower time
780
00:27:39,840 --> 00:27:42,799
frame we have entries within here
781
00:27:42,799 --> 00:27:44,080
which probably would have led to a
782
00:27:44,080 --> 00:27:45,600
little bit of profit
783
00:27:45,600 --> 00:27:48,240
because price did come in lower which
784
00:27:48,240 --> 00:27:50,159
looking at this from my experience is
785
00:27:50,159 --> 00:27:51,840
probably
786
00:27:51,840 --> 00:27:53,440
if we're looking at refining this on a
787
00:27:53,440 --> 00:27:55,840
15 minute it's probably somewhere just
788
00:27:55,840 --> 00:27:57,279
you know guessing
789
00:27:57,279 --> 00:27:59,679
probably half of the hourly candle
790
00:27:59,679 --> 00:28:01,200
or even
791
00:28:01,200 --> 00:28:03,520
you know three quarters
792
00:28:03,520 --> 00:28:06,480
and you can see that's what
793
00:28:06,559 --> 00:28:08,480
more than likely that's what price
794
00:28:08,480 --> 00:28:09,840
come lower for
795
00:28:09,840 --> 00:28:11,760
to actually mitigate that
796
00:28:11,760 --> 00:28:15,360
refined ob and the the fair value gap
797
00:28:15,360 --> 00:28:18,159
okay i'm not of course taking liquidity
798
00:28:18,159 --> 00:28:21,120
from that low as well
799
00:28:21,120 --> 00:28:23,520
okay so
800
00:28:23,520 --> 00:28:25,200
that's why price done that but then if
801
00:28:25,200 --> 00:28:27,279
we're looking at this we have
802
00:28:27,279 --> 00:28:29,600
a higher high because we did pull back
803
00:28:29,600 --> 00:28:31,120
and
804
00:28:31,120 --> 00:28:33,600
a higher low we do break
805
00:28:33,600 --> 00:28:35,440
we pull back we come into the last up
806
00:28:35,440 --> 00:28:36,880
close candle and we break structure
807
00:28:36,880 --> 00:28:38,080
again
808
00:28:38,080 --> 00:28:40,880
but remember it's so important on how it
809
00:28:40,880 --> 00:28:43,520
breaks and what is price breaking into
810
00:28:43,520 --> 00:28:45,200
in this example we can see prices
811
00:28:45,200 --> 00:28:47,120
breaking into
812
00:28:47,120 --> 00:28:50,080
you know demand and an unmitigated
813
00:28:50,080 --> 00:28:51,760
demand zone
814
00:28:51,760 --> 00:28:54,640
with liquidity at that low as well
815
00:28:54,640 --> 00:28:56,399
so with that said once price broke
816
00:28:56,399 --> 00:28:58,080
structure we can still look for entries
817
00:28:58,080 --> 00:28:59,279
here
818
00:28:59,279 --> 00:29:01,039
definitely and we can
819
00:29:01,039 --> 00:29:02,399
you know getting involved in entries
820
00:29:02,399 --> 00:29:04,799
here we can target
821
00:29:04,799 --> 00:29:06,640
this you know it's very
822
00:29:06,640 --> 00:29:08,640
obvious we can target this unmitigated
823
00:29:08,640 --> 00:29:09,919
demand zone
824
00:29:09,919 --> 00:29:11,679
okay and then we you know targets would
825
00:29:11,679 --> 00:29:13,760
have been met price reacted we broke
826
00:29:13,760 --> 00:29:15,360
structure
827
00:29:15,360 --> 00:29:18,480
which is um
828
00:29:18,480 --> 00:29:20,640
you know is substructure we've broken
829
00:29:20,640 --> 00:29:22,240
and then price mitigates that down
830
00:29:22,240 --> 00:29:23,679
candle
831
00:29:23,679 --> 00:29:25,679
and really we have the exact same thing
832
00:29:25,679 --> 00:29:27,600
here so if we're looking at this as a
833
00:29:27,600 --> 00:29:29,679
break of structure
834
00:29:29,679 --> 00:29:31,279
if we're looking at the last down close
835
00:29:31,279 --> 00:29:34,080
candle refined to this candle
836
00:29:34,080 --> 00:29:36,080
although we do tap into it
837
00:29:36,080 --> 00:29:38,559
we don't fully mitigate and then
838
00:29:38,559 --> 00:29:41,279
price reacts but this is why price come
839
00:29:41,279 --> 00:29:43,279
lower
840
00:29:43,279 --> 00:29:46,240
because it mitigated you know to the eq
841
00:29:46,240 --> 00:29:47,120
and
842
00:29:47,120 --> 00:29:48,880
well all of it basically
843
00:29:48,880 --> 00:29:50,559
and that's
844
00:29:50,559 --> 00:29:52,240
also taking liquidity from that low and
845
00:29:52,240 --> 00:29:54,799
then pushing up from here
846
00:29:54,799 --> 00:29:56,559
and
847
00:29:56,559 --> 00:29:59,840
we can also see we have
848
00:29:59,840 --> 00:30:02,480
this is definitely news related
849
00:30:02,480 --> 00:30:03,200
but
850
00:30:03,200 --> 00:30:05,440
news is just sort of covering
851
00:30:05,440 --> 00:30:06,799
it's a reason for them to move the
852
00:30:06,799 --> 00:30:08,159
market we have the exact same thing
853
00:30:08,159 --> 00:30:09,679
breaker structure
854
00:30:09,679 --> 00:30:11,679
last down close refined
855
00:30:11,679 --> 00:30:13,840
and we could also refine to the wick
856
00:30:13,840 --> 00:30:15,760
because that is a order block on a lower
857
00:30:15,760 --> 00:30:17,120
time frame
858
00:30:17,120 --> 00:30:19,360
price comes in to mitigate and this is
859
00:30:19,360 --> 00:30:20,640
the move
860
00:30:20,640 --> 00:30:21,679
that
861
00:30:21,679 --> 00:30:23,200
put in
862
00:30:23,200 --> 00:30:24,960
the new higher high
863
00:30:24,960 --> 00:30:26,320
i'm going to say it's here because this
864
00:30:26,320 --> 00:30:28,320
is just a little pullback although it is
865
00:30:28,320 --> 00:30:31,120
a pullback it's not really
866
00:30:31,120 --> 00:30:32,880
you know the swing point for me is the
867
00:30:32,880 --> 00:30:34,640
highest point
868
00:30:34,640 --> 00:30:35,919
so that's the higher higher and we have
869
00:30:35,919 --> 00:30:37,520
the higher low
870
00:30:37,520 --> 00:30:39,360
and
871
00:30:39,360 --> 00:30:43,120
what price does next is
872
00:30:43,120 --> 00:30:45,840
you know again we have
873
00:30:45,840 --> 00:30:47,760
although this is a little pull back it
874
00:30:47,760 --> 00:30:49,120
is still
875
00:30:49,120 --> 00:30:51,200
structure in a way
876
00:30:51,200 --> 00:30:53,520
price breaks it with this candle last up
877
00:30:53,520 --> 00:30:55,679
close candle we mitigate we break
878
00:30:55,679 --> 00:30:57,919
structure again last up close candle we
879
00:30:57,919 --> 00:31:00,000
mitigate these are entries that we can
880
00:31:00,000 --> 00:31:03,200
take and target these lows as you know
881
00:31:03,200 --> 00:31:05,440
the bare minimum
882
00:31:05,440 --> 00:31:07,440
okay but then we can see
883
00:31:07,440 --> 00:31:09,360
our order flow
884
00:31:09,360 --> 00:31:12,480
our bullish order flow comes to an end
885
00:31:12,480 --> 00:31:15,519
and we actually break momentously
886
00:31:15,519 --> 00:31:18,559
we break down and we break below
887
00:31:18,559 --> 00:31:21,440
the most recent higher low
888
00:31:21,440 --> 00:31:23,519
so we have a swing point down here
889
00:31:23,519 --> 00:31:26,159
and we do have a pullback
890
00:31:26,159 --> 00:31:30,480
which is classed as a swing point for me
891
00:31:30,960 --> 00:31:32,640
and
892
00:31:32,640 --> 00:31:34,399
what we also have
893
00:31:34,399 --> 00:31:36,159
is
894
00:31:36,159 --> 00:31:39,519
the last up close candle
895
00:31:39,919 --> 00:31:42,399
which price
896
00:31:42,399 --> 00:31:43,679
barely misses
897
00:31:43,679 --> 00:31:45,360
so you can see it doesn't really come
898
00:31:45,360 --> 00:31:46,640
back into it
899
00:31:46,640 --> 00:31:49,039
this candle here would be an an area on
900
00:31:49,039 --> 00:31:51,519
the 15 minute time frame because of how
901
00:31:51,519 --> 00:31:54,000
the candle is with wicks each side
902
00:31:54,000 --> 00:31:56,480
so we can still look for air areas you
903
00:31:56,480 --> 00:31:58,559
know within here to look for shorts and
904
00:31:58,559 --> 00:32:00,799
then first target being the the swing
905
00:32:00,799 --> 00:32:03,200
point price takes it out
906
00:32:03,200 --> 00:32:05,519
and
907
00:32:05,519 --> 00:32:07,039
we then
908
00:32:07,039 --> 00:32:09,279
just put this on so we broke
909
00:32:09,279 --> 00:32:10,960
bullish order flow
910
00:32:10,960 --> 00:32:14,000
we put in a lower low
911
00:32:14,000 --> 00:32:16,960
and this lower high is confirmed when we
912
00:32:16,960 --> 00:32:18,559
get a new lower low
913
00:32:18,559 --> 00:32:20,720
okay so we've broken that
914
00:32:20,720 --> 00:32:22,720
lower low there
915
00:32:22,720 --> 00:32:24,559
and this is now confirmed as the lower
916
00:32:24,559 --> 00:32:26,840
higher swing point
917
00:32:26,840 --> 00:32:29,519
and we pull back
918
00:32:29,519 --> 00:32:31,440
this is not confirmed yet until we break
919
00:32:31,440 --> 00:32:32,720
the lower low
920
00:32:32,720 --> 00:32:34,480
we do that here
921
00:32:34,480 --> 00:32:36,240
we pull back
922
00:32:36,240 --> 00:32:38,399
and what has price failed to do
923
00:32:38,399 --> 00:32:41,200
it fails to put in a new lower low and
924
00:32:41,200 --> 00:32:44,159
instead pulls off the brake structure
925
00:32:44,159 --> 00:32:46,799
this is also intent for higher prices
926
00:32:46,799 --> 00:32:48,480
and then
927
00:32:48,480 --> 00:32:51,600
where's the most recent um
928
00:32:51,600 --> 00:32:55,600
swing point in this market it's up here
929
00:32:55,600 --> 00:32:56,880
or
930
00:32:56,880 --> 00:32:58,880
it could be here
931
00:32:58,880 --> 00:33:01,120
um because lower low lower higher lower
932
00:33:01,120 --> 00:33:01,919
low
933
00:33:01,919 --> 00:33:03,120
lower higher
934
00:33:03,120 --> 00:33:05,679
lower low yeah so sorry it is here this
935
00:33:05,679 --> 00:33:08,320
move price breaks it and then we have
936
00:33:08,320 --> 00:33:09,919
pull back and we break structure again
937
00:33:09,919 --> 00:33:13,039
so we have another change in
938
00:33:13,039 --> 00:33:14,720
you know our anticipation order flow so
939
00:33:14,720 --> 00:33:16,159
we would then be looking for bullish
940
00:33:16,159 --> 00:33:18,320
price action but if we get into this bit
941
00:33:18,320 --> 00:33:20,320
of price here
942
00:33:20,320 --> 00:33:22,080
what we can see is we have the a bullish
943
00:33:22,080 --> 00:33:23,360
candle
944
00:33:23,360 --> 00:33:26,240
which would be that one
945
00:33:26,399 --> 00:33:29,440
which price doesn't come back into
946
00:33:29,440 --> 00:33:31,279
and
947
00:33:31,279 --> 00:33:33,120
we then
948
00:33:33,120 --> 00:33:34,960
break structure
949
00:33:34,960 --> 00:33:36,559
and we have
950
00:33:36,559 --> 00:33:39,440
this as our
951
00:33:39,440 --> 00:33:41,919
last up close candle
952
00:33:41,919 --> 00:33:43,360
which again we don't really come back
953
00:33:43,360 --> 00:33:44,720
into
954
00:33:44,720 --> 00:33:46,880
but we do there is entries on a lower
955
00:33:46,880 --> 00:33:48,480
time frame because this is just a little
956
00:33:48,480 --> 00:33:49,360
range
957
00:33:49,360 --> 00:33:52,799
so we can look for entries um
958
00:33:52,799 --> 00:33:54,799
which would have been you know a little
959
00:33:54,799 --> 00:33:56,640
profit and then price falls to put in a
960
00:33:56,640 --> 00:33:58,559
new lower low
961
00:33:58,559 --> 00:34:00,240
and
962
00:34:00,240 --> 00:34:02,320
instead we then break structure to the
963
00:34:02,320 --> 00:34:04,159
upside
964
00:34:04,159 --> 00:34:06,880
and we pull back
965
00:34:06,880 --> 00:34:08,639
because if we just continue from here
966
00:34:08,639 --> 00:34:11,359
all we can see is we have a high
967
00:34:11,359 --> 00:34:12,239
and
968
00:34:12,239 --> 00:34:13,918
we have
969
00:34:13,918 --> 00:34:17,280
a low here we pull back we range around
970
00:34:17,280 --> 00:34:20,000
we break structure again
971
00:34:20,000 --> 00:34:22,239
it's high high
972
00:34:22,239 --> 00:34:24,159
and
973
00:34:24,159 --> 00:34:26,399
lowest point higher low we break
974
00:34:26,399 --> 00:34:28,960
structure and again we have a news which
975
00:34:28,960 --> 00:34:30,480
just
976
00:34:30,480 --> 00:34:34,000
basically fueled price to come down to
977
00:34:34,000 --> 00:34:36,239
mitigate and then it
978
00:34:36,239 --> 00:34:38,879
basically once price mitigated to the eq
979
00:34:38,879 --> 00:34:41,199
it can then actually move up
980
00:34:41,199 --> 00:34:43,119
okay
981
00:34:43,119 --> 00:34:44,639
so we can see
982
00:34:44,639 --> 00:34:47,520
although we have a counter trend candle
983
00:34:47,520 --> 00:34:49,918
the swing point would be up here
984
00:34:49,918 --> 00:34:51,040
and
985
00:34:51,040 --> 00:34:53,520
that higher low would then be there
986
00:34:53,520 --> 00:34:54,719
we with
987
00:34:54,719 --> 00:34:58,160
you know a little inside bar within that
988
00:34:58,160 --> 00:34:59,599
and then we do we get some liquidity
989
00:34:59,599 --> 00:35:01,200
building
990
00:35:01,200 --> 00:35:03,440
so what we can see
991
00:35:03,440 --> 00:35:07,359
from this bit here we have equal highs
992
00:35:07,359 --> 00:35:10,960
sweep of equals
993
00:35:10,960 --> 00:35:12,880
and you can see we swept it there only
994
00:35:12,880 --> 00:35:14,160
slightly but we
995
00:35:14,160 --> 00:35:17,359
we did sweep the equal highs and took
996
00:35:17,359 --> 00:35:18,880
liquidity
997
00:35:18,880 --> 00:35:20,160
okay so
998
00:35:20,160 --> 00:35:22,640
higher higher higher low
999
00:35:22,640 --> 00:35:25,599
that's not a confirmed higher higher
1000
00:35:25,599 --> 00:35:27,440
and then
1001
00:35:27,440 --> 00:35:29,760
price does range
1002
00:35:29,760 --> 00:35:32,240
build liquidity
1003
00:35:32,240 --> 00:35:36,400
breaks down which this move down here is
1004
00:35:36,400 --> 00:35:37,520
definitely
1005
00:35:37,520 --> 00:35:38,640
a sub
1006
00:35:38,640 --> 00:35:40,400
break of structure because we are within
1007
00:35:40,400 --> 00:35:42,160
the swing points but we can still look
1008
00:35:42,160 --> 00:35:43,520
for
1009
00:35:43,520 --> 00:35:45,520
entries within that
1010
00:35:45,520 --> 00:35:47,680
brake structure
1011
00:35:47,680 --> 00:35:49,920
but bearing in mind we would be having
1012
00:35:49,920 --> 00:35:52,560
this marked out as equal highs so we are
1013
00:35:52,560 --> 00:35:54,480
anticipating that price will manipulate
1014
00:35:54,480 --> 00:35:57,920
the highest before selling off okay
1015
00:35:57,920 --> 00:35:59,119
so
1016
00:35:59,119 --> 00:36:00,720
if we continue
1017
00:36:00,720 --> 00:36:03,599
this move down we break structure
1018
00:36:03,599 --> 00:36:04,480
and
1019
00:36:04,480 --> 00:36:06,960
this you know it's quite messy
1020
00:36:06,960 --> 00:36:09,359
and we do basically come down this is
1021
00:36:09,359 --> 00:36:10,640
the lowest point
1022
00:36:10,640 --> 00:36:14,079
and we don't really we just wick
1023
00:36:14,079 --> 00:36:15,359
the um
1024
00:36:15,359 --> 00:36:18,320
most recent swing point and higher low
1025
00:36:18,320 --> 00:36:22,079
we wick it with that candle there
1026
00:36:22,079 --> 00:36:23,520
and
1027
00:36:23,520 --> 00:36:25,920
although that this was news price did
1028
00:36:25,920 --> 00:36:27,359
come back in to
1029
00:36:27,359 --> 00:36:28,960
fill this candle
1030
00:36:28,960 --> 00:36:30,480
and i wouldn't necessarily be looking
1031
00:36:30,480 --> 00:36:32,480
for entries within that but
1032
00:36:32,480 --> 00:36:35,280
you know there is entries you can take
1033
00:36:35,280 --> 00:36:38,480
but i'd be looking for something more um
1034
00:36:38,480 --> 00:36:39,839
clean and just waiting for a better
1035
00:36:39,839 --> 00:36:41,040
price action
1036
00:36:41,040 --> 00:36:42,720
so if we continue on we have this bit of
1037
00:36:42,720 --> 00:36:44,880
price action here which is within the
1038
00:36:44,880 --> 00:36:46,800
swing points so the high
1039
00:36:46,800 --> 00:36:49,359
high and higher low which we did wick up
1040
00:36:49,359 --> 00:36:51,200
here in this side so we wicked to either
1041
00:36:51,200 --> 00:36:53,359
side but we are still within
1042
00:36:53,359 --> 00:36:55,280
these swing points but we can still look
1043
00:36:55,280 --> 00:36:56,720
for breaks of structure within it
1044
00:36:56,720 --> 00:36:57,599
because
1045
00:36:57,599 --> 00:36:58,800
you know there's still a lot of
1046
00:36:58,800 --> 00:37:01,520
opportunity involved with this
1047
00:37:01,520 --> 00:37:02,480
so
1048
00:37:02,480 --> 00:37:03,839
this bit of price section here is
1049
00:37:03,839 --> 00:37:05,599
something that i took a few months ago
1050
00:37:05,599 --> 00:37:08,079
which i did forecast so what we do have
1051
00:37:08,079 --> 00:37:10,079
is
1052
00:37:10,079 --> 00:37:11,920
we have a break of structure
1053
00:37:11,920 --> 00:37:14,960
okay so we put in a higher
1054
00:37:14,960 --> 00:37:17,760
now bearing in mind these are
1055
00:37:17,760 --> 00:37:20,320
structure breaks within the swing points
1056
00:37:20,320 --> 00:37:22,079
as i've just mentioned but we can still
1057
00:37:22,079 --> 00:37:24,160
trade it because
1058
00:37:24,160 --> 00:37:25,440
you know there is still opportunity
1059
00:37:25,440 --> 00:37:26,800
within here so
1060
00:37:26,800 --> 00:37:28,960
what we can see and i did forecast this
1061
00:37:28,960 --> 00:37:30,720
quite a while back
1062
00:37:30,720 --> 00:37:34,000
but we have high high high low high high
1063
00:37:34,000 --> 00:37:36,400
high low this is the move that broke
1064
00:37:36,400 --> 00:37:38,720
structure to put in a new high high
1065
00:37:38,720 --> 00:37:40,320
and we do have two areas where we can
1066
00:37:40,320 --> 00:37:43,280
look for longs that area
1067
00:37:43,280 --> 00:37:44,960
and this candle here
1068
00:37:44,960 --> 00:37:47,680
which is the one i took on the 15 minute
1069
00:37:47,680 --> 00:37:49,440
time frame
1070
00:37:49,440 --> 00:37:50,560
and
1071
00:37:50,560 --> 00:37:52,640
this led to a really big trade i think
1072
00:37:52,640 --> 00:37:54,960
like 50 plus r
1073
00:37:54,960 --> 00:37:57,119
so we got in involved in entries here
1074
00:37:57,119 --> 00:38:00,400
and managing on higher time frames to
1075
00:38:00,400 --> 00:38:02,079
that
1076
00:38:02,079 --> 00:38:04,079
very first target being here but then
1077
00:38:04,079 --> 00:38:05,920
you can see
1078
00:38:05,920 --> 00:38:08,560
we actually before we broke this high we
1079
00:38:08,560 --> 00:38:10,000
ranged around for
1080
00:38:10,000 --> 00:38:11,680
four or five hours
1081
00:38:11,680 --> 00:38:12,800
and then we
1082
00:38:12,800 --> 00:38:15,119
really broke with momentum
1083
00:38:15,119 --> 00:38:17,200
which also for me is
1084
00:38:17,200 --> 00:38:19,599
grabbing more liquidity from these equal
1085
00:38:19,599 --> 00:38:21,599
highs because this probably didn't shake
1086
00:38:21,599 --> 00:38:24,960
out enough sort of stop losses or orders
1087
00:38:24,960 --> 00:38:26,880
and that's why price
1088
00:38:26,880 --> 00:38:28,079
pushed up
1089
00:38:28,079 --> 00:38:29,280
um
1090
00:38:29,280 --> 00:38:31,040
quite momentously
1091
00:38:31,040 --> 00:38:33,040
and yeah that was the bit of price i
1092
00:38:33,040 --> 00:38:34,960
wanted to go through um
1093
00:38:34,960 --> 00:38:37,200
talking on you know anticipation order
1094
00:38:37,200 --> 00:38:38,240
flow
1095
00:38:38,240 --> 00:38:39,680
and
1096
00:38:39,680 --> 00:38:41,200
understanding that the reason why i
1097
00:38:41,200 --> 00:38:41,920
don't
1098
00:38:41,920 --> 00:38:44,000
call it expectational order flow i know
1099
00:38:44,000 --> 00:38:48,320
i did mention this already is because
1100
00:38:48,320 --> 00:38:50,320
expecting something to happen is the
1101
00:38:50,320 --> 00:38:52,079
wrong mindset especially in training
1102
00:38:52,079 --> 00:38:54,079
because once you start to expect
1103
00:38:54,079 --> 00:38:55,760
something
1104
00:38:55,760 --> 00:38:57,520
more times than not it's not going to
1105
00:38:57,520 --> 00:39:00,160
play out how you you know expected but
1106
00:39:00,160 --> 00:39:02,480
if you anticipate and react
1107
00:39:02,480 --> 00:39:04,160
i think you'll be more a lot more at
1108
00:39:04,160 --> 00:39:06,240
ease with
1109
00:39:06,240 --> 00:39:08,480
you know what the markets do
1110
00:39:08,480 --> 00:39:10,800
and if it plays out in your favor then
1111
00:39:10,800 --> 00:39:12,560
it's great but if it doesn't you're not
1112
00:39:12,560 --> 00:39:14,560
sort of hurt and thinking
1113
00:39:14,560 --> 00:39:16,640
uh but i expected that to happen so why
1114
00:39:16,640 --> 00:39:20,240
didn't it happen you just sort of more
1115
00:39:20,240 --> 00:39:22,160
you're more at peace with it and you
1116
00:39:22,160 --> 00:39:24,079
just react to the market
1117
00:39:24,079 --> 00:39:25,280
so i think
1118
00:39:25,280 --> 00:39:26,960
it's really important to anticipate
1119
00:39:26,960 --> 00:39:32,160
react and not predict or expect
73576
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