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The Russian occupants are feverishly
trying to saturate Luhansk oblast
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with their units to hold the occupied territories.
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But didn't we see the same
scenario in the Kharkiv region,
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as well as the right-bank Kherson region? Did
it help the occupation troops? No, not at all.
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I have often noted that I see
the liberation of Luhansk region
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as following the scenario of Kharkiv
region, though with its own specifics.
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For example, in Kharkiv region
there are more forest areas,
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and in Luhansk region in a number of promising
directions for the counterattack marshes prevail.
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Otherwise, these bridgeheads of
combat operations are similar,
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and the occupants have absolutely not changed
their habits in any incomprehensible situation
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to shut everything up with meat,
without turning on their brains.
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For example, Russian troops are now
intensively trying to saturate the
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location with mortar batteries. Also, a fresh
and, importantly, relatively manned Battalion
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tactical group has been brought to the line
of contact. The saturation continues, but...
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Today the section of Route 66 Svatove-Kreminna
is under full fire control of the AFU,
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as well as in a number of locations there
is the physical presence of well-trained,
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but not verbose and very quiet guys. In other
words, transport communication here is impossible.
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In turn, the northern section of the route,
Troitske-Svatove, is only under fire control,
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but there is no physical presence, although
such daring attempts have been made.
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And this particular section is very important,
because it is a logistical artery from Russia.
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And now, let's remember the artery in the
Kharkiv region Volchansk-Kupyansk-Izium.
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The gradual fire control of this artery,
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and subsequently its cutting, became decisive
in the counteroffensive in the Kharkiv region.
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And this is despite the fact that a large
amount of biomass was concentrated in Izium.
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In other words, accumulate or not,
but when the logistics are destroyed,
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all that is left is to flee. And in the case of
Luhansk Region, the occupants will have to flee
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to Starobilsk, because Russian troops do not
have adequate lines of defense in this segment.
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However, as of today, there is a small thing
missing for this scenario to materialize.
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The Russian command, limited in artillery in
Luhansk Oblast, experiencing a shortage of
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ammunition and progressively losing control over
logistics, is plugging the holes with infantry,
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deprived of a full-fledged command and
control system and logistical support .
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They’re not learning anything. Because if they
were, they’d be running and not looking back.
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In summary, situation in Luhansk oblast is
becoming increasingly dire as the Russian
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occupants frantically try to hold onto the
occupied territories using tactics that have
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proven to be unsuccessful in the past. Rather
than using strategy and planning, they rely on
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brute force and are lacking in proper defensive
measures. This has led to a shortage of ammunition
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and a loss of control over logistics, with the
Russian command resorting to using under-equipped
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infantry to try and hold their ground. It
is clear that the Russian occupants are not
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learning from their mistakes and may eventually
be forced to retreat to Starobilsk in defeat.
4920
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